Wednesday, August 1, 2007

KFWD [012238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012238
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
538 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD RICHARDSON 32.97N 96.71W
08/01/2007 DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

ABOUT EIGHT INCHES OF WATER ACROSS CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY.

$$

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KFWD [012237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012237
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
536 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 PM TSTM WND DMG RICHARDSON 32.97N 96.71W
08/01/2007 DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN NEAR CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY. ESTIMATED
70 MPH.

$$

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KHUN [012236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 012236
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
536 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0528 PM HAIL GRANT 34.53N 86.25W
08/01/2007 E0.50 INCH MARSHALL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL IN THE TOWN OF GRANT


&&

$$

DL-16

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KHUN [012229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 012229
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
529 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0528 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 ESE GRANT 34.49N 86.19W
08/01/2007 MARSHALL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.


&&

$$

TROUTMAN

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KOUN [012203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 012203
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
503 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0502 PM FLASH FLOOD CORDELL 35.30N 98.98W
08/01/2007 WASHITA OK FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

ROADS IN CORDELL ARE BEING BARRICADED OFF DUE TO RISING
WATER.


&&

$$

TY

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KJAN [012203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 012203
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
503 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG HICKORY 32.32N 89.02W
08/01/2007 NEWTON MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ALONG INTERSTATE 20 NEAR MILE MARKER 111


&&

$$

GERARD

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KOHX [012156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOHX 012156
LSROHX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
456 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NW COLUMBIA 35.67N 87.11W
08/01/2007 MAURY TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND ELECTRIC POLES DOWN AT SANTE FE AND MT PLEASANT

&&

$$

MCDANIEL

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KGID [012144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGID 012144
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
444 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM HEAVY RAIN KEARNEY 40.70N 99.08W
08/01/2007 M3.30 INCH BUFFALO NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SOUTHWEST KEARNEY.

1217 PM FLASH FLOOD KEARNEY 40.70N 99.08W
08/01/2007 BUFFALO NE TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING REPORTED. 5 CARS STALLED ON 11TH STREET
AND WATER UP TO AUTOMOBILE BUMPERS AROUND COURTHOUSE.
SPOTTER MEASURED 4.02 INCHES OF RAIN AT HIS HOME IN
SOUTHWEST KEARNEY.

0200 PM FLOOD KEARNEY 40.70N 99.08W
08/01/2007 BUFFALO NE PUBLIC

FLOODING REPORTED ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF KEARNEY JUST NORTH
OF THE INTERCHANGE.

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S KEARNEY 40.69N 99.08W
08/01/2007 M4.07 INCH BUFFALO NE OTHER FEDERAL

AUTOMATED RAIN GAGE LOCATED AT THE PLATTE RIVER USGS
GAGING STATION ON THE HIGHWAY 44 BRIDGE JUST SOUTH OF
KEARNEY. STORM TOTAL AS OF 2 PM.

0242 PM HEAVY RAIN KEARNEY 40.70N 99.08W
08/01/2007 M4.84 INCH BUFFALO NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SOUTHWEST SIDE OF KEARNEY.

0343 PM FLASH FLOOD SMITH CENTER 39.78N 98.78W
08/01/2007 SMITH KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 36 COVERED IN WATER IN THE COUNTY.

0403 PM HEAVY RAIN LEBANON 39.81N 98.56W
08/01/2007 M2.00 INCH SMITH KS TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN LEBANON.

0407 PM HEAVY RAIN LEBANON 39.81N 98.56W
08/01/2007 M3.90 INCH SMITH KS TRAINED SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED IN LEBANON

0443 PM HEAVY RAIN SMITH CENTER 39.78N 98.78W
08/01/2007 M2.74 INCH SMITH KS CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

NWS

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KGID [012144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 012144
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
444 PM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 PM HEAVY RAIN SMITH CENTER 39.78N 98.78W
08/01/2007 M2.74 INCH SMITH KS CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

NWS

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KMRX [012139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 012139
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
539 PM EDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0458 PM HAIL 2 N CHARLESTON 35.32N 84.76W
08/01/2007 E0.75 INCH MCMINN TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL 2 MILES NORTH OF CHARLESTON. REPORTED BY
DISPATCH.


&&

$$

TGETZ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1622

ACUS11 KWNS 011644
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011644
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-011745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1622
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SWRN MN AND SERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 011644Z - 011745Z

AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM OR TWO ARE POSSIBLE THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS FROM CENTRAL MN SWWD INTO SERN SD...THOUGH COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE TOO ISOLATED FOR A WW.

A COLD FRONT STRETCHED FROM NWRN MN SWWD INTO SWRN SD...WITH A 50-75
MILE BAND OF CLOUDS LOCATED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT.
THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALSO LOCATED AHEAD OF THE FRONT... PRIMARILY NEAR
THE LEADING EDGE OF THESE MORE DENSE CLOUDS. PLENTY OF SUNSHINE
AHEAD OF THE CLOUDS HAVE AIDED IN WARMING TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE
80S...AND WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S...MLCAPE VALUES RANGE FROM
1500-2500 J/KG. DESPITE THIS AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...WARM
TEMPERATURES AROUND 700 MB ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT UPDRAFT STRENGTH.
ALSO...DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...THOUGH VEERING
WIND PROFILES SHOULD MAINTAIN STORM UPDRAFTS. THE AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT A FEW SEVERE WIND/HAIL EVENTS...BUT THE
WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT SHOULD KEEP THE THREAT ISOLATED AND BRIEF.

.IMY.. 08/01/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...LBF...UNR...

43029717 42869915 43940035 46499457 46359400 45249327
43859531

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KKEY [011629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011629
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1229 PM EDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1036 AM WATER SPOUT 10 N MARATHON 24.86N 81.08W
08/01/2007 GMZ031 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER OBSERVED A WATERSPOUT WITHIN A CLOUDLINE
APPROXIMATELY 10 MILES NORTH OF MARATHON...MOVING EAST AT
10 KNOTS. DURATION UNKNOWN.


&&

$$

SD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011624
SWODY1
SPC AC 011622

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MN INTO NEB/NORTHWEST
KS...

..MN TO NEB/NORTHWEST KS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS PRONOUNCED SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING
EASTWARD ACROSS MANITOBA...WITH A MODERATELY STRONG BELT OF
WESTERLIES ALONG THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. AT THE SURFACE...COLD
FRONT ADVANCING EAST-SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS...ARCING
FROM NORTHWEST MN TO NEAR THE BLACK HILLS REGION OF SD AT
MIDDAY...WITH A BROAD CORRIDOR OF UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS IN
THE AMBIENT WARM SECTOR.

STORMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG/JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...AND THESE PERSISTENT STORMS/CLOUD COVER
COMPLICATE THE DETAILS THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY WITH THE NORTHERN
EXTENT ACROSS MN. IN ALL LIKLIHOOD...ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF ONGOING STORMS/CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS ACROSS
MN/EASTERN SD...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WITH SOUTHWEST EXTENT
ALONG THE SYNOPTIC FRONT INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL NEB. GIVEN AMPLE
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND ADEQUATE LAPSE RATES...MLCAPE VALUES
SHOULD RANGE FROM ROUGHLY 1500 J/KG ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL MN TO
2500-3000 J/KG ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL NEB AND NORTHWEST KS THIS
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL RESIDE IN THE
POST-FRONTAL REGIME...AND WIND SPEEDS THROUGH THE LOW TO MID
TROPOSPHERE IN THE WARM SECTOR ARE MODEST...SOMEWHAT STRONGER HIGH
LEVEL FLOW ABOVE 6 KM SHOULD HELP CONTRIBUTE TO ORGANIZED MULTICELLS
AND SOME SUPERCELL STRUCTURES BY LATE AFTERNOON. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

..ELSEWHERE...
THE BROAD MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME AND SCATTERED DIURNAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
INTO THE GREAT BASIN. FARTHER E...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
TODAY ALONG THE REMNANT FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SEWD
TO THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN FL.

.GUYER/MCCARTHY.. 08/01/2007

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KDDC [011612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDDC 011612
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1112 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 9 S CHARLESTON 37.74N 100.57W
08/01/2007 M3.00 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. ALSO REPORTED WATER 6 INCHES DEEP COVERING
SOME RURAL ROADS

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 14 W KALVESTA 38.05N 100.54W
08/01/2007 E1.30 INCH FINNEY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTAL

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 15 W KALVESTA 38.05N 100.56W
08/01/2007 E2.50 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC

OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTAL.

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 12 NNW SCOTT CITY 38.64N 100.99W
08/01/2007 M1.75 INCH SCOTT KS PUBLIC

OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTAL

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N AMY 38.45N 100.60W
08/01/2007 M1.50 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER

OVERNIGHT RAINFALL TOTAL

1035 AM HEAVY RAIN 22 WNW KALVESTA 38.17N 100.65W
08/01/2007 M2.80 INCH FINNEY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING AND STILL RAINING. WATER
FLOWING OUT OF THE FIELDS ACROSS SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS.


&&

$$

RBURGERT

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KDDC [011558]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 011558
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1058 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 9 S CHARLESTON 37.74N 100.57W
08/01/2007 M3.00 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. ALSO REPORTED WATER 6 INCHES DEEP COVERING
SOME RURAL ROADS

1035 AM HEAVY RAIN 22 WNW KALVESTA 38.17N 100.65W
08/01/2007 M2.80 INCH FINNEY KS CO-OP OBSERVER

OVERNIGHT AND THIS MORNING AND STILL RAINING. WATER
FLOWING OUT OF THE FIELDS ACROSS SEVERAL COUNTY ROADS.


&&

$$

RBURGERT

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KTOP [011505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 011505
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1005 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD MARYSVILLE 39.84N 96.65W
08/01/2007 MARSHALL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER FLOWING ACROSS 12TH STREET IN MARYSVILLE. ESTIMATED
AT 4 INCHES DEEP.


&&

$$

AW

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KBIS [011439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 011439
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
938 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM TSTM WND GST 6 ENE NEWBURG 48.75N 100.79W
07/31/2007 E80 MPH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGH WIND LASTED ABOUT 10 MINUTES WITH THE PEAK AROUND 80
MPH. DAMAGE TO TREES, GRAIN BINS, AND AN AUGER.


&&

$$

LPETERSO

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KJAX [011405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 011405
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1005 AM EDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0433 PM TSTM WND DMG POMONA PARK 29.50N 81.59W
07/31/2007 PUTNAM FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

UPDATE TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR RESIDENT HOME. A POSSIBLE
TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WAS REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC...HOWEVER
...A DAMAGE SURVEY BY PUTNAM COUNTY EMA DID NOT INDICATE
ANY EVIDENCE OF A TORNADO EVENT.


&&

$$

SANDRIK

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KJAX [011350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 011350
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
949 AM EDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0944 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 N SOUTH PONTE VEDRA B 30.09N 81.32W
08/01/2007 ST. JOHNS FL BROADCAST MEDIA

FUNNEL CLOUD AT SR 16 AND WORLD GOLF VILLAGE. PINE STRAW
DEBRIS WAS SPOTTED BUT NO DAMAGE REPORTED.


&&

$$

DEESE

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KTOP [011331]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 011331
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
831 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 AM HEAVY RAIN BEATTIE 39.86N 96.42W
08/01/2007 M1.70 INCH MARSHALL KS CO-OP OBSERVER

1.7 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 1.5 HOURS


&&

$$

AW

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KGID [011259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 011259
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
759 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 N ALEXANDRIA 40.26N 97.39W
08/01/2007 THAYER NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY ROAD U UNDER WATER AND REPORTED FLOODED BY COUNTY
DISPATCHER.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011255
SWODY1
SPC AC 011253

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM MN
TO CENTRAL NEB...

..NEB TO MN THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
A STRONG MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE EWD FROM SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA TO ONTARIO...WHILE AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD
ACROSS MUCH OF MN/SD/NW NEB BY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION HAS BEEN
ONGOING OVERNIGHT NEAR THE FRONT...WITHIN A NARROW BELT OF MID LEVEL
MOISTURE EMANATING FROM SWRN MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME. EXPECT
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT BY MIDDAY/EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG
THE FRONT AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WHERE INSTABILITY WILL BE
MAINTAINED BY DAYTIME HEATING AND BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS RANGING
FROM 65-70 F...BENEATH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD RANGE FROM ROUGHLY 1500
J/KG ACROSS MN TO 2500 J/KG IN CENTRAL NEB THIS AFTERNOON.

THE STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW AND RESULTANT DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE SURFACE FRONT AND OUT
OF PHASE WITH THE WARM SECTOR. THUS...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF ONLY
20-25 KT WILL LIKELY SUPPORT MULTICELL CLUSTERS ALONG THE FRONT
BEGINNING BY ROUGHLY MIDDAY TO EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH CONVECTION
EXPECTED TO SPREAD SEWD ACROSS MN...AND SWD INTO NEB. DESPITE
PROXIMITY TO THE MID LEVEL WAVE...MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES
IN MN WILL NOT YIELD APPRECIABLY STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR THAN IN
NEB...WHILE THE STRONGER INSTABILITY ACROSS NEB WILL LIKELY
COMPENSATE SOMEWHAT FOR THE WARMER TEMPERATURE PROFILES COMPARED TO
MN. THEREFORE...WILL EXTEND THE SLIGHT RISK AND LOW-END WIND/HAIL
PROBABILITIES SWWD INTO NEB GIVEN NO SUBSTANTIAL DIFFERENCES IN THE
SEVERE THREAT ALONG MUCH OF THE SURFACE FRONT.

..ELSEWHERE...
THE BROAD MONSOONAL MOISTURE PLUME AND SCATTERED DIURNAL
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY FROM THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE
GREAT BASIN. FARTHER E...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY
ALONG THE REMNANT FRONTAL ZONE FROM THE SRN PLAINS SEWD TO THE NRN
GULF OF MEXICO AND CENTRAL/N FL.

.THOMPSON/GRAMS.. 08/01/2007

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KGID [011226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 011226
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
726 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 AM FLOOD 4 WNW ALEXANDRIA 40.27N 97.46W
08/01/2007 THAYER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL ESTIMATED IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES. DRY SANDY CREEK
IS 3 FEET OUT OF BANK 1/2 MILE NORTH OF CONFLUENCE WITH
BIG SANDY CREEK.


&&

$$

LEW

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KGID [011219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 011219
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
718 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 AM HEAVY RAIN ALEXANDRIA 40.25N 97.39W
08/01/2007 M4.30 INCH THAYER NE TRAINED SPOTTER

RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

LEW

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010859
SWOD48
SPC AC 010858

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

..DISCUSSION...

DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SUGGEST UPPER PATTERN WILL EVOLVE
INTO A CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER THE WRN STATES WITH BELT OF STRONGER
WLYS IN ZONAL FLOW PATTERN OVER MUCH OF THE NRN TIER OF THE COUNTRY.
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL FROM NRN PLAINS THROUGH GREAT LAKES WILL LIKELY
BE MODULATED BY A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT WILL LIKELY MOVE
EWD THROUGH THIS BELT OF STRONGER FLOW. MOISTURE WILL LIKELY RETURN
NWD INTO THIS REGION IN VICINITY OF FRONTAL BOUNDARY FORECAST TO
EVOLVE INTO A MORE OR LESS E-W ORIENTATION BY DAYS 5-6. DETAILS
REGARDING WHEN AND WHERE BEST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE REMAIN SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...BUT POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND N OF THIS BOUNDARY AND SPREAD EWD DURING THIS
PERIOD.

.DIAL.. 08/01/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010751
SWODY3
SPC AC 010750

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NERN STATES...

..NERN STATES...

MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY HAVE ADVECTED NEWD THROUGH
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR OVER THE NERN STATES EARLY FRIDAY IN ADVANCE
OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL EXTEND FROM SERN QUEBEC INTO THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES AREA. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM ROUGHLY
SERN QUEBEC SWWD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AT START OF THIS PERIOD.
SLIGHTLY COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WITH -10C AT 500 MB WILL
SPREAD EWD OVER THE WARM SECTOR WITH 6.5 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND MODERATE INSTABILITY EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG SEWD ADVANCING FRONT AS THE ATMOSPHERE
DESTABILIZES. PRIMARY LOW LEVEL JET WILL SHIFT NE OF REGION WITHIN
ZONE OF STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS. HOWEVER...BELT OF WLY 25-35 KT FLOW
IN THE 700-500 MB LAYER WILL SPREAD OVER MUCH OF NEW ENGLAND ALONG
SRN PERIPHERY OF EWD ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH. UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AROUND 20 TO 30 KT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELLS. HOWEVER...SOME
STORMS MAY EVOLVE INTO LINE SEGMENTS AND CLUSTERS WITH AN INCREASING
THREAT OF MAINLY DAMAGING WIND AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES.
STRONGER STORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.


..NRN ROCKIES THROUGH NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AREA...

LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE RIDGING IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THIS AREA
IN WAKE OF UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL HAVE ADVANCED INTO SERN CANADA AND
THE NERN STATES. HOWEVER...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR VORTICITY MAXIMA
TO MOVE THROUGH THE UPPER RIDGE AND INTO THE NRN ROCKIES AND NRN
HIGH PLAINS. LEE TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE NRN HIGH
PLAINS WITHIN ZONE OF MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MOISTURE ADVECTION THROUGH NEB AND INTO THE DAKOTAS AS FRONTAL
BOUNDARY RETREATS NWD. HOWEVER...POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD CLOUDS
FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION MAY LIMIT INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY OVER
PARTS OF SD AND NEB. WHERE SUBSTANTIAL HEATING DEVELOPS...MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL BE POSSIBLE. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND SPREAD EWD...AND POSSIBLY ALONG
RETREATING BOUNDARY. SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW EAST OF LEE TROUGH AXIS
VEERING TO WLY AND INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KT AT 500 MB WILL RESULT
IN SUFFICIENT DEEP SHEAR FOR SOME ORGANIZED STORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE SLIGHT RISK IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

.DIAL.. 08/01/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010551
SWODY2
SPC AC 010550

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER NRN TIER OF THE COUNTRY. THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SASKATCHEWAN WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH
ONTARIO THURSDAY...REACHING QUEBEC THURSDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT
ATTENDING THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE
DAY AND APPROACH THE NERN STATES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. TRAILING
PORTION OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS.

..GREAT LAKES AREA...

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL HAVE ADVECTED
NEWD THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR INTO PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES
EARLY THURSDAY. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL DESTABILIZE AS THE BOUNDARY
LAYER WARMS...BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE TEMPERED TO SOME EXTENT BY
MODEST 6-6.5 C/KM MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WITH 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE
POSSIBLE. THE STRONGER MID-UPPER FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY
REMAIN IN POST FRONTAL REGION ACROSS SRN CANADA AND EXTREME NRN
PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES. HOWEVER...FLOW WILL INCREASE IN VICINITY
OF FRONT AS UPPER TROUGH ADVANCES EWD...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN PARTS OF
LOWER MI THROUGH UPPER MI WHERE WLY 35 TO 40 KT WINDS WILL EXIST IN
THE 700-500 MB LAYER. STRONGEST DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN IN CANADA. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT LIFT WILL EXIST ALONG FRONT
AND LAKE BREEZES TO INITIATE A FEW STORMS AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
DESTABILIZES. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT...ESPECIALLY OVER NRN LOWER MI WHERE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT
APPEARS A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE.


..NERN STATES...

MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY ADVECT NEWD THROUGH WARM
SECTOR IN ADVANCE OF UPPER TROUGH ADVANCING THROUGH SERN CANADA.
THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT AND LACK OF A
PRONOUNCED LOW LEVEL FOCUS SUGGEST THAT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL
BE LIMITED DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG ANY LAKE BREEZES OR PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH...AND THESE
MAY POSE A MARGINAL THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND. A BETTER
CHANCE FOR STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES FROM
THE NORTHWEST. HOWEVER...STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER DUE TO TIME OF DAY
WILL LIKELY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..NRN CA...NWRN NV AND SRN OR...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWD INTO THIS REGION ALONG WRN
PERIPHERY OF UPPER RIDGE. MID LEVEL ASCENT AND MOISTENING ATTENDING
THIS FEATURE MAY PROMOTE HIGH BASE STORMS WITHIN A STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH MID EVENING.

.DIAL.. 08/01/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010538
SWODY1
SPC AC 010536

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1236 AM CDT WED AUG 01 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PARTS OF NRN AND CNTRL MN...

..SYNOPSIS...

STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH AB/SK IS FORECAST
TO UNDERGO FURTHER AMPLIFICATION AS IT CONTINUES ESEWD THROUGH MB
AND ONTARIO. ACCOMPANYING 50-60 KT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK WILL REMAIN
N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER...THOUGH SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER HEIGHT
FALLS WILL SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE UPPER MS VALLEY INTO UPPER GREAT
LAKES. IN THE LOW LEVELS...COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONCURRENTLY SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE UPPER MS VALLEY...LIKELY
EXTENDING FROM THE MN ARROWHEAD SWWD THROUGH SERN SD...N-CNTRL NEB
INTO NERN CO BY EARLY THIS EVENING.

..NRN/CNTRL MN...

CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND GOES SOUNDER PW IMAGERY SHOW AN
AXIS OF RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS OF 65-70 F/ WITHIN
PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS OVER THE ERN DAKOTAS. THIS MOIST AXIS WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD TODAY /MAINTAINED BY A SWLY 20-25 KT LLJ/ AND
COMBINE WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO SUPPORT A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG.

SOME REMNANTS OF SMALL MCS CURRENTLY OVER NERN ND MAY BE IN PROGRESS
LATER THIS MORNING OVER NWRN/N-CNTRL MN. ANY ONGOING STORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REINTENSIFY BY AFTERNOON WITH
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT LIKELY ALONG FRONT AS AIR MASS BECOMES
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE. AS MENTIONED ABOVE...STRONGER DEEP-LAYER
WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN N OF THE BORDER...THOUGH FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEARS APPROACHING 30 KT OVER NRN MN. THIS
MODEST FLOW IN CONJUNCTION WITH LOCALLY STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS
INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORM ORGANIZATION WITH A THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

..SRN MN SWWD THROUGH THE MID MO VALLEY INTO CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

DIABATIC HEATING COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S
WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE TO POTENTIALLY STRONG
INSTABILITY ACROSS PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING
2000-3000 J/KG. TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP PROGRESSIVELY SWWD
ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS FROM W-CNTRL/SWRN MN
THROUGH ERN SD INTO NRN NEB AND EVENTUALLY NERN CO/SERN WY.

LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES MODEST /40-45 KT/ HIGH-LEVEL FLOW
ACROSS THE REGION. HOWEVER...LOW AND MID-TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS
WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK WHICH SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT A MORE ORGANIZED
SEVERE THREAT. STILL...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR
STRONG/MARGINALLY SEVERE PULSE OR MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
ISOLATED HAIL/LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS.

.MEAD/GRAMS.. 08/01/2007

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KPSR [010443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 010443
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
943 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM FLASH FLOOD SCOTTSDALE 33.69N 111.87W
07/31/2007 MARICOPA AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

ROADS CLOSED IN NORTH SCOTTSDALE. AT LEAST 6 WATER
RESCUES.


&&

$$

MBRUCE

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KFGZ [010441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 010441
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
941 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM FLOOD COTTONWOOD 34.73N 112.02W
07/31/2007 YAVAPAI AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL HOMES FLOODED IN VERDE VILLAGE 8.

0445 PM FLOOD BRIDGEPORT 34.72N 111.99W
07/31/2007 YAVAPAI AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING ON UVX RD AND BATES RD. ROADS CLOSED DUE TO 1 TO
1.5 FEET OF WATER ON ROADS.

0506 PM FLOOD 2 S COTTONWOOD 34.70N 112.02W
07/31/2007 YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

INTERSECTION OF 6TH AND CYPRUS FLOODED. RECORDED 0.75
INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES.

0530 PM FLOOD 10 ENE DEWEY-HUMBOLDT 34.59N 112.09W
07/31/2007 YAVAPAI AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING ON STATE 169 NEAR YARBER WASH. SECTION OF STATE
169 CLOSED.

0601 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N BLACK CANYON CITY 34.13N 112.11W
07/31/2007 YAVAPAI AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR MUDSLIDE/ROCKSLIDE ON INTERSTATE 17 NEAR MILE
MARKER 249.

0740 PM FLOOD HOLBROOK 34.90N 110.16W
07/31/2007 NAVAJO AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MCLAWS, WESTOVER, NAVAJO, AND FLORIDA STREETS FLOODED.
LIGHTNING KNOCKED DOWN POWER LINES.


&&

$$

DDV

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KSLC [010429]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 010429
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1029 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0858 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 N VIRGIN 37.29N 113.20W
07/31/2007 WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

MINOR FLASH FLOODING IN HEADWATERS OF CURRANT...
LAVERKIN...TIMBER ...AND NORTH CREEKS OF ZION NATIONAL
PARK.


&&

$$

BMCINERN

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Tuesday, July 31, 2007

KGLD [010227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGLD 010227
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
827 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM HAIL 15 S GOODLAND 39.13N 101.71W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH WALLACE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0650 PM HAIL 1 S BENKELMAN 40.04N 101.54W
07/31/2007 E1.25 INCH DUNDY NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0650 PM HAIL BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.54W
07/31/2007 E0.88 INCH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0650 PM HAIL 2 E BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.50W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND GUST ALSO

0720 PM TSTM WND GST 4 N MAX 40.17N 101.40W
07/31/2007 E60.00 MPH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KJAX [010152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KJAX 010152
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
951 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 AM LIGHTNING PALM COAST 29.57N 81.21W
07/31/2007 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

BETWEEN 1117 AND 1126 AM LIGHTNING STRUCK PROPERTY AND
CAR AT 91 EMERSON DR IN PALM COAST. TWO TIRES WERE BLOWN
OUT OF CAR. AT 4 OLD KINGS RD IN PALM COAST LIGHTNING
STRUCK A BUILDING.

0316 PM TSTM WND DMG BUNNELL 29.47N 81.26W
07/31/2007 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE TREE FELL ON A POWERLINE

0330 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 NNW BOSTWICK 29.91N 81.70W
07/31/2007 CLAY FL UTILITY COMPANY

REPORTS OF POWERLINES DOWN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 17 NORTH OF
THE PUTNAM COUNTY LINE. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE PALATKA 29.69N 81.64W
07/31/2007 PUTNAM FL UTILITY COMPANY

REPORTS OF POWERLINES DOWN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 17 AND
RIVER ROAD IN PALATKA. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0419 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESCENT CITY 29.44N 81.52W
07/31/2007 M1.50 INCH PUTNAM FL TRAINED SPOTTER

BEGAN AT 350 PM EDT. ALSO REPORTED STREET FLOODING.

0433 PM TSTM WND DMG POMONA PARK 29.50N 81.59W
07/31/2007 PUTNAM FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR RESIDENT HOME. POSSIBLE TORNADO
TOUCHDOWN.

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG SATSUMA 29.55N 81.66W
07/31/2007 PUTNAM FL UTILITY COMPANY

REPORTS OF POWERLINES DOWN ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 17 IN THE
SATSUMA AREA. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN KEYSTONE HEIGHTS 29.78N 82.03W
07/31/2007 M4.14 INCH CLAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

AT MCRAE ELEMENTARY BETWEEN KEYSTONE HEIGHTS AND
FLORAHOME


&&

$$

PP

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KJAX [010149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 010149
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
949 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN KEYSTONE HEIGHTS 29.78N 82.03W
07/31/2007 M4.14 INCH CLAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

AT MCRAE ELEMENTARY BETWEEN KEYSTONE HEIGHTS AND
FLORAHOME


&&

$$

PP

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KBIS [010148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 010148
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
848 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 ENE NEWBURG 48.76N 100.81W
07/31/2007 BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN. KNOCKED OVER GRAIN BIN AND
AUGER.


&&

$$

SWICHE

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KGLD [010127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 010127
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
727 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM TSTM WND GST 4 N MAX 40.17N 101.40W
07/31/2007 E60.00 MPH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KMRX [010126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 010126
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
925 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG CASTLEWOOD 36.88N 82.29W
07/31/2007 RUSSELL VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

*** 1 FATAL *** A ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF THE PIZZA TOWN
RESTAURANT ON TO A CAR...KILLING ONE OCCUPANT. REPORTED
BY THE SHERIFFS DISPATCH AND T.V. BROADCASTER.


&&

$$

FERRELL

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KGLD [010105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 010105
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
704 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL 2 E BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.50W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 50 MPH WIND GUST ALSO


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KGLD [010101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 010101
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
701 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.54W
07/31/2007 E0.88 INCH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KBIS [010100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 010100
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
759 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0734 PM HAIL BURLINGTON 48.28N 101.43W
07/31/2007 E0.88 INCH WARD ND PUBLIC

0744 PM HAIL BURLINGTON 48.28N 101.43W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH WARD ND PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL 1 W MINOT 48.23N 101.32W
07/31/2007 E0.88 INCH WARD ND PUBLIC


&&

$$

SWICHE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010053
SWODY1
SPC AC 010051

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 010100Z - 011200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT OVER CNTRL ND...

..ND...

TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS ALONG A PRESSURE
TROUGH FROM THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER N OF MOT...THROUGH MOT TO W OF
BIS AND INTO NWRN SD...SW OF Y22. MODIFICATION OF 00Z BIS SOUNDING
FOR A MORE MOIST BUT SLIGHTLY COOLER BOUNDARY LAYER /SIMILAR TO DVL
AND JMS SURFACE CONDITIONS/ YIELDS AN MLCAPE OF 2500-3000 J/KG WITH
RELATIVELY STEEP LOW AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. MOREOVER...CURRENT
MINOT AFB VWP INDICATES MODESTLY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH 35-40
KT IN LOWEST 6 KM AGL.

GIVEN THE AMBIENT THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT...
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A FEW SEVERE STORMS /SOME PERHAPS
EXHIBITING SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS/ THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING OVER THE CNTRL PART OF THE STATE. THE MORE INTENSE CELLS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OWING TO STRONG
EVAPORATION COOLING POTENTIAL /DCAPES OF AROUND 1500 J PER KG/ AS
WELL AS SOME HAIL. THIS SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH
BETWEEN 04-05Z AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO SLOWLY COOL AND
STABILIZE.

..AZ...

AIR MASS OVER WRN/SWRN PARTS OF THE STATE REMAINS RELATIVELY HOT AND
MOIST THIS EVENING WITH 00Z SOUNDING FROM THE PHX AREA INDICATING
MODEST INSTABILITY /SBCAPES OF AROUND 1000 J PER KG/ AND A BOUNDARY
LAYER DEPTH TO AROUND 760 MB. WHILE ENVIRONMENT IS NOT OVERLY
SUPPORTIVE OF DAMAGING DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL...AN ISOLATED WIND THREAT
WILL EXIST WITH ONGOING STORMS AS THEY CONTINUE WSWWD INTO
RELATIVELY UNDISTURBED LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS.

.MEAD.. 08/01/2007

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KGLD [010050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 010050
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
650 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL 1 S BENKELMAN 40.04N 101.54W
07/31/2007 E1.25 INCH DUNDY NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KBIS [010042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 010042
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
742 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 PM HAIL DES LACS 48.26N 101.56W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH WARD ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SWICHE

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KTWC [010013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 010013
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
513 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** ONE PERSON DROWNED AT RODEO WASH NEAR
PARK AND AJO.


&&

$$

GLADER

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KTWC [312342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312342
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
442 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

10 FT RISE ON SANTA CRUZ RIVER AT TUCSON/CONGRESS STREET
IN 2 HOURS. CRESTED NEAR 10.8 FT...WHICH IS ABOVE
BANKFULL STAGE BUT JUST BELOW THE 11 FT FLOOD STAGE.


&&

$$

PYTLAK

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KRNK [312316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 312316
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
716 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0650 PM HAIL 5 SSW UNION 37.52N 80.57W
07/31/2007 E0.75 INCH MONROE WV TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY HAIL REPORTED ALONG PETERS MOUNTAIN.


&&

$$

JH

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KRNK [312255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 312255
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
655 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0618 PM HAIL 5 NW NATURAL BRIDGE 37.68N 79.61W
07/31/2007 E0.75 INCH ROCKBRIDGE VA PUBLIC


&&

$$

RMG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1621

ACUS11 KWNS 312254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312254
NDZ000-SDZ000-010100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1621
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0554 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN/CENTRAL ND AND FAR NORTHERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 312254Z - 010100Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/SEVERE HAIL MAY INCREASE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL ND AND FAR NORTHERN
SD. EXPECTED ISOLATED/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE OVERALL THREAT SHOULD
PRECLUDE A WATCH ISSUANCE.

LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES 1003 MB SURFACE LOW
CENTERED ACROSS NORTHWEST ND...WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE SD/MT/WY BORDER REGION. THE AMBIENT
AIRMASS HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE/VERY DEEPLY MIXED ACROSS THE
WESTERN DAKOTAS...WITH TEMPERATURES IN EXCESS OF 100 F AND CLOUD
BASES ESTIMATED TO BE WELL ABOVE 10K FT PER MODIFIED 12Z BISMARCK
RAOB AND LATEST RUC SOUNDINGS. AS MAINLY MULTICELL STORMS CONTINUE
TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
ND/FAR NORTHERN SD...DEEPLY MIXED/HIGH DCAPE ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR
STRONG DOWNDRAFT POTENTIAL...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AT LEAST
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH THE MORE ROBUST UPDRAFTS. MODEST WINDS
THROUGH THE LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERE SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT OVERALL
STORM ORGANIZATION...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR GENERALLY 25-30
KT...ALTHOUGH SOMEWHAT STRONGER FLOW RESIDES NEAR THE CANADIAN
BORDER.

.GUYER.. 07/31/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...

48970185 48840033 48369998 46800025 45780132 45380290
46220340 47700316 48660263

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KLCH [312253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 312253
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
553 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0524 PM TSTM WND GST CAMERON 29.80N 93.30W
07/31/2007 M43 MPH CAMERON LA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MEASURED AT THE CAMERON NOS TIDE GUAGE.


&&

$$

DML

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KTWC [312238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312238
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
337 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD SABINO CANYON 32.34N 110.81W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

3.5 FT RISE ON SABINO CREEK IN ONE HOUR


&&

$$

PYTLAK

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KMRX [312232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 312232
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
632 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG CASTLEWOOD 36.88N 82.29W
07/31/2007 RUSSELL VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW HOMES HAD SHINGLES DAMAGED AND SEVERAL TREES DOWN.
REPORTED BY THE SHERIFFS DISPATCH.


&&

$$

FERRELL

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KMRX [312216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 312216
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
616 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW WARTBURG 36.14N 84.64W
07/31/2007 MORGAN TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE TREE DOWN IN LANSING. REPORTED BY THE SHERIFFS
DISPATCH.

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S WARTBURG 36.09N 84.59W
07/31/2007 MORGAN TN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN JUST SOUTH OF WARTBURG.
REPORTED BY THE SHERIFFS DISPATCH.


&&

$$

FERRELL

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KTWC [312210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312210
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
310 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM FLASH FLOOD TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED IN DOWNTOWN TUCSON


&&

$$

PYTLAK

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KGLD [312203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 312203
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
403 PM MDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM HAIL 15 S GOODLAND 39.13N 101.71W
07/31/2007 E1.00 INCH WALLACE KS TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

FOLTZ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1620

ACUS11 KWNS 312158
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312158
AZZ000-010100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1620
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0458 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/WRN AZ.

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL

VALID 312158Z - 010100Z

RAIN RATES 2-3 INCHES/HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM HEAVIEST AMONG
SCATTERED TSTMS ACROSS BROAD SWATH OF AZ. MERGING STORMS AND
BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS WILL HELP TO FOCUS THREAT LOCALLY.

SPORADIC HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT OVER PORTIONS PIMA COUNTY MAY BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED AND GROW/MOVE NWWD ACROSS PORTIONS NRN/WRN
PINAL...MARICOPA AND ERN YUMA COUNTIES THROUGH NEXT 2-3 HOURS.
ADDITIONALLY...SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP WWD FROM PORTIONS
GILA/YAVAPAI/SRN COCONINO COUNTIES...WITH MOUNTAINS AND OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY INTERSECTIONS BEING PRIMARY FOCI FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT. VERY
RICH MOISTURE IS EVIDENT ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION WITH MODIFIED
20Z PHX RAOB...RUC SOUNDINGS AND GPS PW DATA INDICATING 1.75-2 INCH
PW...PRE-STORM MLCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG...AND LIGHT ELY FLOW THROUGH
MUD-UPPER LEVELS. SFC DEWPOINTS HAVE MIXED DOWN ABOUT AS FAR AS
THEY WILL AND REMAIN HIGH -- MID 60S ACROSS PORTIONS
MARICOPA/YUMA/LA PAZ COUNTIES. SOMEWHAT WELL-MIXED SUBCLOUD LAYERS
MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED STG/DAMAGING WET MICROBURSTS AS WELL...BUT
HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE PREDOMINANT HAZARD THROUGH REMAINDER AFTERNOON.

.EDWARDS.. 07/31/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TWC...FGZ...PSR...VEF...

32131369 33231373 34121389 35211331 35391286 34971219
34421225 34381155 33731082 33061102 32251161 32001307

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KTWC [312156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312156
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
256 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM FLASH FLOOD HICKIWAN 32.36N 112.49W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL

3 FT RISE ON HICKIWAN WASH IN ONE HOUR.


&&

$$

PYTLAK

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KTWC [312153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312153
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
253 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM TSTM WND GST DAVIS-MONTHAN AIR FORCE 32.18N 110.87W
07/31/2007 E58 MPH PIMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

EVANS

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KTWC [312147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 312147
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
247 PM MST TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0246 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNE TUCSON 32.26N 110.93W
07/31/2007 PIMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING AT 1ST AND GLENN AVENUES


&&

$$

PYTLAK

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KJAX [312142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 312142
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
541 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0419 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESCENT CITY 29.44N 81.52W
07/31/2007 M1.50 INCH PUTNAM FL TRAINED SPOTTER

BEGAN AT 350 PM EDT. ALSO REPORTED STREET FLOODING.


&&

$$

PP

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KJAX [312136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 312136
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
536 PM EDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM HEAVY RAIN CRESCENT CITY 29.44N 81.52W
07/31/2007 M1.50 INCH PUTNAM FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SINCE 350 PM EDT. ALSO REPORTED STREET FLOODING.


&&

$$

PP

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KTOP [311225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 311225
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
721 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 W OVERBROOK 38.78N 95.59W
07/31/2007 OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGHWAY 56 FLOODED WEST OF OVERBROOK. WATER APPEARED 5-6
FEET DEEP ALONG SIDE OF ROAD. SPOTTER REPORTED 3.5 INCHES
OF RAINFALL WITHIN ABOUT AN HOUR AND A HALF.


&&

$$

AW

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KTOP [311218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 311218
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
718 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 SW OVERBROOK 38.74N 95.61W
07/31/2007 M2.25 INCH OSAGE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

DITCHES RUNNING FULL OF WATER WITH WATER FLOWING OVER
DRIVEWAY


&&

$$

SBLAIR

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KTOP [311147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 311147
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
646 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM HEAVY RAIN READING 38.52N 95.96W
07/31/2007 M2.50 INCH LYON KS PUBLIC

2.5 INCHES WITHIN TWO HOURS. DITCHES FULL OF WATER IN
AREA.


&&

$$

SBLAIR

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KTOP [311143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 311143
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
643 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 N READING 38.62N 95.96W
07/31/2007 M2.70 INCH LYON KS CO-OP OBSERVER

AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT FELL BETWEEN 400AM AND 545AM.


&&

$$

EK

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 310840
SWOD48
SPC AC 310839

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 031200Z - 081200Z

..DISCUSSION...

..THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER PARTS OF THE NERN STATES FRIDAY
AUGUST 03...

DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SOLUTIONS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT
UPPER TROUGH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE EWD THROUGH ONTARIO
AND THE NERN STATES FRIDAY. PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE...AND STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP AND
INTENSIFY ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT AND SPREAD EWD DURING THE DAY.


FARTHER WEST OVER THE NRN PLAINS THROUGH UPPER MS VALLEY...MODEL
DIFFERENCES HAVE BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED ALONG WITH MORE RUN TO RUN
INCONSISTENCY WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE UPPER PATTERN. GFS...UKMET
AND MRF DEVELOP A CUTOFF LOW OVER THE NWRN U.S. BY SATURDAY AUGUST
04 WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED UPPER RIDGE OVER NRN ROCKIES AND NRN HIGH
PLAINS...WHILE THE ECMWF MAINTAINS AN OPEN WAVE AND EJECTS THIS
FEATURE EWD BY SUNDAY AUG 05. SEVERE POTENTIAL MAY DEVELOP IN THIS
REGION SATURDAY AUG 04 THROUGH MONDAY AUG 06. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME
PREDICTABILITY DOES NOT APPEAR HIGH ENOUGH TO CARRY A SEVERE THREAT
AREA.

.DIAL.. 07/31/2007

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 310725
SWODY3
SPC AC 310724

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NRN THIRD OF THE COUNTRY
THIS PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING EWD THROUGH BRITISH COLUMBIA
WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH SRN ONTARIO THURSDAY...GLANCING THE GREAT
LAKES REGION AND REACHING QUEBEC LATER THURSDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER
RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE NRN PLAINS IN WAKE OF THIS FEATURE WHILE A
SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH ADVANCES EWD INTO THE PACIFIC NW.


..GREAT LAKES AREA...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP IN VICINITY OF FRONT
FROM THE GREAT LAKES SWWD THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY AND CNTRL
PLAINS. THE STRONGER FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN IN POST
FRONTAL ZONE. HOWEVER...PROXIMITY TO UPPER TROUGH WILL PROMOTE 25 TO
35 KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH MODEST WLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELLS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
DESTABILIZE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS BUT MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SHOULD LIMIT MLCAPE TO 1000-1500 J/KG. A FEW STORMS MAY
PRODUCE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY SMALL HAIL...BUT AT
THIS TIME THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC PARAMETERS TO NOT APPEAR
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT MORE THAN 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES.

..NERN U.S....

COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SRN QUEBEC DURING THE AFTERNOON AS UPPER
TROUGH ADVANCES EWD. INCREASING SWLY FLOW WILL ADVECT MID 60S
DEWPOINTS THROUGH PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR INTO THE NERN STATES
CONTRIBUTING TO MODERATE INSTABILITY AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS.
HOWEVER...THIS REGION WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SHORTWAVE
RIDGING DURING THE DAY ALONG WITH LACK OF A LOW LEVEL FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION. A FEW STORMS MAY SPREAD INTO PARTS OF NRN
NY AND MAINE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...BUT TIME OF
DAY SUGGESTS SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY MAY BE SOMEWHAT
LIMITED. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION...BUT CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT A BETTER THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
FRIDAY.

.DIAL.. 07/31/2007

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KVEF [310624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 310624
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1124 PM PDT MON JUL 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 N SAM BOYD STADIUM 36.13N 115.02W
07/30/2007 M53 MPH CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A GUST TO 53 MPH.


&&

$$

CBELL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 310619
SWODY2
SPC AC 310618

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0118 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN SD...SERN ND INTO NRN
MN...

CORRECTED FOR DAY 1 GRAPHIC

..NRN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

UPPER TROUGH OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL MOVE EWD INTO SASKATCHEWAN
AND MANITOBA WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN DEAMPLIFICATION OF UPPER RIDGE
NOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE
AND BY LATE AFTERNOON SHOULD EXTEND FROM NRN MN SWWD THROUGH CNTRL
SD...WRN NEB AND ERN WY.

AXIS OF UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL PERSIST IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD THROUGH SD AND NEB BENEATH 6.5 TO 7
C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS MLCAPE
FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THERMAL AXIS. LOW
LEVEL JET WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO ONTARIO WITHIN ZONE OF STRONGER
FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLONICALLY CURVED UPPER
JET...LEAVING WEAK SWLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR. WITH TRACK OF UPPER TROUGH BEING NORTH OF U.S. BORDER...THE
STRONGER MID-UPPER FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN
POST FRONTAL REGION. EXCEPTION MAY BE OVER NRN MN WHERE 30-40 KT WLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL PERSIST IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
MID LEVEL JET.

AS DESTABILIZATION COMMENCES...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
ALONG AND JUST BEHIND SURFACE FRONT WITH SOME STORMS LIKELY EVOLVING
INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS THEY ADVANCE EWD. MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. STORMS MAY BE A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZED AND
FASTER MOVING OVER NRN MN WHERE STRONGER WIND PROFILES WILL EXIST.

..WY...

STORMS MAY INITIATE WITHIN DEVELOPING UPSLOPE REGION OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WY. DESPITE PRESENCE OF ELY LOW LEVEL WINDS AND WLY WINDS
ALOFT...OVERALL MAGNITUDE OF VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN MODEST DUE
TO WEAK MID-UPPER FLOW WITH 10 TO 15 KT AT 500 MB. SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
HAIL...BUT WEAK FLOW THROUGH 500 MB MAY SERVE AS AN OVERALL LIMITING
FACTOR FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT.

.DIAL.. 07/31/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 310600
SWODY2
SPC AC 310559

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..NRN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

UPPER TROUGH OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL MOVE EWD INTO SASKATCHEWAN
AND MANITOBA WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN DEAMPLIFICATION OF UPPER RIDGE
NOW OVER THE NRN PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE
AND BY LATE AFTERNOON SHOULD EXTEND FROM NRN MN SWWD THROUGH CNTRL
SD...WRN NEB AND ERN WY.

AXIS OF UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS WILL PERSIST IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY SWWD THROUGH SD AND NEB BENEATH 6.5 TO 7
C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS MLCAPE
FROM 1500 TO 2000 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THERMAL AXIS. LOW
LEVEL JET WILL SHIFT NEWD INTO ONTARIO WITHIN ZONE OF STRONGER
FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH CYCLONICALLY CURVED UPPER
JET...LEAVING WEAK SWLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR. WITH TRACK OF UPPER TROUGH BEING NORTH OF U.S. BORDER...THE
STRONGER MID-UPPER FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN
POST FRONTAL REGION. EXCEPTION MAY BE OVER NRN MN WHERE 30-40 KT WLY
UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL PERSIST IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
MID LEVEL JET.

AS DESTABILIZATION COMMENCES...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY
ALONG AND JUST BEHIND SURFACE FRONT WITH SOME STORMS LIKELY EVOLVING
INTO LINE SEGMENTS AS THEY ADVANCE EWD. MULTICELL STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT
THROUGH EARLY EVENING. STORMS MAY BE A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZED AND
FASTER MOVING OVER NRN MN WHERE STRONGER WIND PROFILES WILL EXIST.

..WY...

STORMS MAY INITIATE WITHIN DEVELOPING UPSLOPE REGION OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF WY. DESPITE PRESENCE OF ELY LOW LEVEL WINDS AND WLY WINDS
ALOFT...OVERALL MAGNITUDE OF VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN MODEST DUE
TO WEAK MID-UPPER FLOW WITH 10 TO 15 KT AT 500 MB. SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
HAIL...BUT WEAK FLOW THROUGH 500 MB MAY SERVE AS AN OVERALL LIMITING
FACTOR FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE EVENT.

.DIAL.. 07/31/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 310552
SWODY1
SPC AC 310550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2007

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

MAIN BELT OF WESTERLIES WILL EXIST N OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER
WITH PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST BEING STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH
WHICH WILL TRANSLATE EWD THROUGH THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. SRN FRINGE
OF HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BRUSH THE NRN
PLAINS...EFFECTIVELY FLATTENING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO THE CANADIAN SYSTEM WILL
SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS BY THIS
EVENING WITH TRAILING PART OF BOUNDARY STRETCHING WWD INTO THE GREAT
BASIN. ELSEWHERE...REMNANT FRONTAL ZONE WILL PERSIST FROM SRN
GA/NRN FL WWD ALONG THE GULF COAST AND THEN NWWD WHERE IT MERGES
WITH A LEE TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.

..DAKOTAS INTO NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...

A HOT AND DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AHEAD
OF SURFACE FRONT TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING THROUGH THE 90S
OVER ERN MT INTO THE WRN DAKOTAS. THIS DIABATIC HEATING COUPLED
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S TO PERHAPS LOWER 60S WILL RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MLCAPES OF
1000-2000 J/KG. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT A CAP MAY LIMIT
DIURNAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT /DESPITE THE WARM BOUNDARY LAYER
CONDITIONS/ OWING TO EWD ADVECTION OF AN EML OFF THE NRN ROCKIES.
HOWEVER...SHOULD ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOP...A THREAT OF MAINLY
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST OWING TO THE STRONG EVAPORATIONAL
COOLING POTENTIAL WITHIN SUB-CLOUD LAYER.

ADDITIONAL...ISOLATED STORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG TRAILING
PORTION OF FRONT OR IN IMMEDIATE POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS OVER SWRN MT
INTO NWRN WY WHERE OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STORM
INITIATION. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...THOUGH
THE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPES OF 500-1000
J/KG INDICATE SOME THREAT OF SOME HAIL AND/OR LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS.

..SERN ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE SRN PLAINS...

A MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS WILL BE MAINTAINED ALONG STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW/MID 70S COMBINING
WITH DAYTIME HEATING TO SUPPORT MLCAPES OF 1500-3000 J/KG. SIMILAR
TO PREVIOUS DAYS...TSTMS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY NUMEROUS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...FOCUSED ALONG PRIMARY FRONT AS WELL AS ANY RESIDUAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK WITH MOST
STORMS REMAINING PULSE OR MULTICELL IN NATURE WITH THE MAIN THREAT
BEING WET MICROBURSTS.

..AZ...

E-W ORIENTED MID-LEVEL SHEAR ZONE OVER NRN MEXICO WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FRAGMENTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WEAK IMPULSES SLOWLY
TRANSLATING WWD ACROSS THE REGION. ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN
RELATIVELY MOIST OWING TO PRESENCE OF DEEP MOIST PLUME...THOUGH THIS
WILL TEND TO LIMIT THE STEEPNESS OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
RESULTANT INSTABILITY. STILL...SOME POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY STRONG
WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST WITH STRONGER STORMS OR STORM MERGERS...NAMELY
AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO LOWER ELEVATION AND PROGRESSIVELY MORE
UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

.MEAD/LEVIT.. 07/31/2007

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KPSR [310450]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 310450
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
950 PM MST MON JUL 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM FLASH FLOOD AGUILA 33.95N 113.17W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

CENTENNIAL WASH FLOWING WITH ONE FOOT OF WATER.

0312 PM FLASH FLOOD 18 NW PHOENIX 33.73N 112.29W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL RATE OF .57 INCHES IN 15 MINUTES NEAR 35TH
AVENUE/PEORIA. SOME SMALL TREES DOWN.

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD WADDELL 33.59N 112.36W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL RATE OF .66 INCHES IN 15 MINUTES NW OF
LUKE AFB.

0428 PM FLASH FLOOD GOODYEAR 33.42N 112.40W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ NEWSPAPER

RUSSELL RANCH NEAR CITRUS ROAD/CAMELBACK ROAD. MEDIA
SOURCE REPORTED HEAVY RAINFALL AND STREET FLOODING. SOME
SMALL TREES DOWN.

0453 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL RATE OF 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR NEAR VAL VISTA
AND UNIVERSITY. MEASURED WIND GUST 45 MPH.

0458 PM FLASH FLOOD TEMPE 33.39N 111.93W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR MCCLINTOCK AND UNIVERSITY. STREETS AND INTERSECTIONS
COMPLETELY FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0505 PM TSTM WND GST MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 E45.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 45+ MPH WIND GUST NEAR GREENFIELD AND HORNE.

0505 PM TSTM WND GST MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 E60.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ NWS EMPLOYEE

ESTIMATED 60+ MPH WIND GUSTS NEAR BASELINE AND STAPLEY.

0505 PM TSTM WND DMG MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ NEWSPAPER

LARGE BILLBOARD WITH SEVERAL FULL-SIZED TIMBER SUPPORTS
BLOWN DOWN ACROSS RAILROAD TRACKS AT BASELINE ROAD
BETWEEN MESA DRIVE AND COUNTRY CLUB.

0510 PM FLASH FLOOD GILBERT 33.33N 111.76W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL OF .81 INCHES IN 30 MINUTES. MEASURED 40+ MPH
WIND GUST.

0510 PM TSTM WND GST MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 E50.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ NWS EMPLOYEE

ESTIMATED 50+ MPH WIND GUSTS AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR
GUADALUPE AND ALMA SCHOOL.

0513 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAINFALL RATE OF 1.88 INCHES PER HOUR. MEASURED .75
INCHES IN ABOUT 20 MINUTES NEAR VAL VISTA AND UNIVERSITY.


0515 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ NEWSPAPER

WATER RESCUE FROM FLOODED UNDERPASS WITH APPROX 2.0 FEET
OF WATER AT COUNTRY CLUB AND BROADWAY ROAD.

0518 PM FLASH FLOOD TEMPE 33.39N 111.93W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL NEAR RURAL AND SOUTHERN. MEASURED 2.0
INCHES IN ONE HOUR.

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS AWNINGS BLOWN OFF AND WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE.
WINDS ESTIMATED 50-55+ MPH. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH FLOODED
STREETS AND UNDERPASSES.

0525 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ NEWSPAPER

FOUR LANES ACROSS US HIGHWAY 60 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0525 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ NEWSPAPER

HEAVY RAINFALL OF 1.0 INCH IN 15 MINUTES NEAR BROWN AND
HORNE.

0529 PM FLASH FLOOD MESA 33.42N 111.74W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DOWNTOWN MESA FCDMC GAGE MEASURED 1.69 INCHES IN 45
MINUTES.

0535 PM DUST STORM QUEEN CREEK 33.24N 111.64W
07/30/2007 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

WFO TUCSON RELAYED SPOTTER REPORT OF VISIBILITY UNDER 1/2
MILE IN BLOWING DUST.

0545 PM DUST STORM FLORENCE 33.04N 111.37W
07/30/2007 PINAL AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

PINAL COUNTY SO REPORTED APPROX 50 FEET OF VISIBILITY IN
BLOWING DUST AND RAIN.


&&

$$

MEYERS

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KSLC [310427]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KSLC 310427
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1027 PM MDT MON JUL 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SE ST. GEORGE 37.06N 113.55W
07/30/2007 WASHINGTON UT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

FORT PIERCE DRY WASH WENT FROM 0 TO 1357 CFS

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 SW GUNLOCK 37.15N 113.95W
07/30/2007 M1.66 INCH WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

BADGER SPRINGS RAWS IN SOUTHWEST UTAH. DRY WASHES RUNNING
IN IVINS.


&&

$$

ATARDY

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KSLC [310426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KSLC 310426
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1025 PM MDT MON JUL 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SE ST. GEORGE 37.06N 113.55W
07/30/2007 WASHINGTON UT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

FORT PIERCE DRY WASH WENT FROM 0 TO 1357 CFS

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 SW GUNLOCK 37.15N 113.95W
07/30/2007 M1.66 INCH WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

BAGDER SPRINGS RAWS IN SOUTHWEST UTAH. DRY WASHES RUNNING
IN IVINS.


&&

$$

ATARDY

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KSLC [310420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 310420
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1020 PM MDT MON JUL 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 SW GUNLOCK 37.15N 113.95W
07/30/2007 M1.66 INCH WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

BAGDER SPRINGS RAWS IN SOUTHWEST UTAH. DRY WASHES RUNNING
IN IVINS.


&&

$$

ATARDY

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