KBMX [280353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBMX 280353
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1053 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE ALEXANDER CITY 32.90N 85.89W
08/27/2007 TALLAPOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A BOAT HOUSE ON THE TALLAPOOSA RIVER NEAR THE US 280
BRIDGE WAS SUBSTANTIALLY DAMAGED.

&&

$$

61

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KFGF [280350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFGF 280350
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1050 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HAIL 2 E NORCROSS 45.87N 96.15W
08/27/2007 E0.75 INCH GRANT MN PUBLIC

0310 PM HAIL VERGAS 46.66N 95.80W
08/27/2007 E0.75 INCH OTTER TAIL MN PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL 2 E FRAZEE 46.73N 95.66W
08/27/2007 E1.00 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL 2 NE VALLEY CITY 46.94N 97.98W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH BARNES ND PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL VALLEY CITY 46.92N 98.01W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH BARNES ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0355 PM HAIL MIDWAY 46.78N 95.26W
08/27/2007 E1.00 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

0400 PM HAIL 2 S MENAHGA 46.72N 95.10W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH WADENA MN PUBLIC

COVERED THE LAWN.

0400 PM HAIL 4 E HILLVIEW 46.68N 95.17W
08/27/2007 E1.00 INCH OTTER TAIL MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0410 PM HAIL 8 W CALLAWAY 46.98N 96.08W
08/27/2007 E0.75 INCH BECKER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0514 PM TSTM WND GST PARK RAPIDS 46.92N 95.06W
08/27/2007 M60.00 MPH HUBBARD MN ASOS

0522 PM HAIL 7 E PARK RAPIDS 46.92N 94.91W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH HUBBARD MN PUBLIC

0652 PM HAIL 6 NE BARNESVILLE 46.71N 96.33W
08/27/2007 E1.00 INCH CLAY MN PUBLIC

0725 PM HAIL 8 WNW VERGAS 46.70N 95.96W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH OTTER TAIL MN PUBLIC

0730 PM HAIL 7 SSE DETROIT LAKES 46.72N 95.79W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

DRIDDLE

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KFGF [280350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280350
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1050 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0514 PM TSTM WND GST PARK RAPIDS 46.92N 95.06W
08/27/2007 M60.00 MPH HUBBARD MN ASOS

0522 PM HAIL 7 E PARK RAPIDS 46.92N 94.91W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH HUBBARD MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

DRIDDLE

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KFSD [280339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 280339
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1039 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1034 PM HAIL 5 SW FULTON 43.68N 97.89W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH HANSON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JSHEEHAN

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KBMX [280303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 280303
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1003 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE ALEXANDER CITY 32.90N 85.89W
08/27/2007 TALLAPOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A BOAT HOUSE ON THE TALLAPOOSA RIVER NEAR THE US 280
BRIDGE WAS SUBSTANTIALLY DAMAGED.

&&

$$

61

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 655

WWUS20 KWNS 280303
SEL5
SPC WW 280303
MNZ000-NDZ000-280300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 655
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1003 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 655 ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

MINNESOTA
NORTH DAKOTA

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KFGF [280253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280253
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
953 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM HAIL 6 NW FERTILE 47.59N 96.38W
08/27/2007 E0.75 INCH POLK MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

JKAISER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1908

ACUS11 KWNS 280250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280249
MNZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-280415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1908
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0949 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD THROUGH SWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 280249Z - 280415Z

ELEVATED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER SERN SD MAY POSE A THREAT FOR HAIL.
A WW IS UNLIKELY UNLESS STORMS BEGIN TO SHOW EVIDENCE OF
INTENSIFICATION. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM A SURFACE LOW IN SWRN MN SWWD THROUGH SERN
SD THROUGH SWRN NEB MOVING SLOWLY SEWD. PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR
REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE...BUT A ZONE OF STRONG MUCAPE PERSISTS IN POST
FRONTAL REGION ACROSS SERN SD. MOST OF THIS CAPE RESULTS FROM
PARCELS THAT CAN BE LIFTED FROM BELOW 800 MB. CHARACTER AND MOTION
OF DEVELOPING STORMS OVER SERN SD SUGGEST THEY ARE STILL ROOTED
ABOVE A STRONG INVERSION THAT WAS EVIDENT ON MOST 00Z RAOBS.
ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WITHIN A ZONE OF MID LEVEL ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH AN EWD ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. GIVEN STRENGTH OF
INVERSION...IT IS UNLIKELY THAT STORMS WILL BE ABLE TO ROOT FARTHER
DOWN. STRENGTHENING SLY LOW LEVEL JET IS ENHANCING ISENTROPIC LIFT
IN FRONTAL ZONE...AND THIS MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SOME COOLING AND
MOISTENING IN THE INVERSION LAYER. HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME CONFIDENCE
IS NOT HIGH THAT INVERSION WILL BE ERODED SUFFICIENTLY FOR UPDRAFTS
TO TAP INTO HIGH THETA-E AIR BELOW 800 MB.

.DIAL.. 08/28/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...LBF...

44849564 43359775 43009848 42969916 43519882 44629754
44979661

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KFGZ [280223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 280223
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
723 PM MST MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 E PAGE 36.90N 111.37W
08/27/2007 COCONINO AZ CO-OP OBSERVER

FIVE FOOT WATER DEPTH REPORTED IN ANTELOPE CANYON.

1225 PM HAIL GRAND CANYON VILLAGE 36.05N 112.15W
08/27/2007 E0.25 INCH COCONINO AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

1225 PM FLOOD CHINLE 36.15N 109.58W
08/27/2007 APACHE AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD FLOODING REPORTED IN CHINLE BY NAVAJO COUNTY
SHERIFFS OFFICE.

1235 PM FLOOD SUPAI 36.22N 112.69W
08/27/2007 COCONINO AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING REPORTED IN CATARACT CANYON NEAR SUPAI.

1235 PM FUNNEL CLOUD ROCK POINT 36.72N 109.63W
08/27/2007 APACHE AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD IN PAST HOUR.

&&

$$

DB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1907

ACUS11 KWNS 280205
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280205
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-280300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1907
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0905 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL AND NERN MN THROUGH NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 655...656...

VALID 280205Z - 280300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
655...656...CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND WILL
PERSIST NEXT COUPLE HOURS FROM PARTS OF E CNTRL AND NERN MN THROUGH
NWRN WI. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR AS ROBUST AS EARLIER
IN THE EVENING...AND THREAT WILL GRADUALLY END FROM WEST TO EAST AND
REMAINING PARTS OF WW 655 SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE BY 03Z.

THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM EXTREME NWRN WI SWWD THROUGH
SWRN MN AND INTO SERN SD. WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM A WEAK LOW IN SWRN
MN SEWD THROUGH WRN WI. A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED STORMS CONTINUES FROM
E CNTRL MN INTO EXTREME NW WI GENERALLY N OF THE COLD FRONT.
ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH A SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL GRADUALLY VEER AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES EWD THROUGH NRN MN WITH STORMS ENDING
FROM THE WEST. STORMS HAVE TAKEN ON A MORE LINEAR STRUCTURE...THOUGH
SOME EVIDENCE OF MID LEVEL ROTATION EXISTS WITH STORMS ON SRN END OF
LINE. TRANSITION TO A MORE LINEAR MODE SUGGESTS THAT OVERALL HAIL
THREAT IS NOT AS HIGH AS PREVIOUSLY IN THE EVENING. THOUGH STORMS
ARE ELEVATED...SOME POTENTIAL EXIST FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS TO REACH
THE SURFACE.

.DIAL.. 08/28/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...MPX...FGF...

46578999 46049210 45879456 46329489 47039358 47479196
47639014

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KFGF [280203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280203
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
902 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 AM TSTM WND DMG SAUM 47.97N 94.68W
08/27/2007 BELTRAMI MN TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN AND SHED DESTROYED.

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KFGF [280152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280152
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
852 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W RED LAKE 47.88N 95.06W
08/26/2007 BELTRAMI MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN BLOCKING HWY 1.

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KFGF [280150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280150
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
850 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM HAIL 1 S MALLORY 47.86N 96.91W
08/26/2007 E0.75 INCH POLK MN PUBLIC

45 MPH WINDS WITH APPROXIMATELY 60 MPH GUSTS...HAIL
LASTED FROM 950-953 PM...1.58 INCHES OF RAIN IN 35
MINUTES.

&&

$$

AMHOMANN

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KFGF [280149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280149
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
849 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE BERNER 47.82N 95.44W
08/26/2007 CLEARWATER MN PUBLIC

DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

&&

$$

AMHOMANN

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KFGF [280134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280134
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
833 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W DOROTHY 47.93N 96.47W
08/26/2007 RED LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

4-5 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN...DOWNED POWER LINES.

&&

$$

AMHOMANN

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KFGF [280133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280133
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
833 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E THIEF RIVER FALLS 48.11N 96.07W
08/26/2007 PENNINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN...DOWNED POWER LINES.

&&

$$

AMHOMANN

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KLCH [280131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLCH 280131
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
831 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S FARRSVILLE 30.97N 93.81W
08/27/2007 NEWTON TX PUBLIC

LUMBER CO. REPORTS TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD.

0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 E CHINA 30.05N 94.27W
08/27/2007 JEFFERSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE BLOWN DOWN. REPORTED BY JEFFERSON COUNTY
SHERIFF OFFICE. TIME APPROXIMATE.

0515 PM HAIL MEEKER 30.08N 94.26W
08/27/2007 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORTED BY KFDM TV.

0522 PM HAIL 2 W BEAUMONT 30.09N 94.18W
08/27/2007 E0.25 INCH JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HAIL REPORTED IN WESTERN BEAUMONT. REPORTED BY KFDM TV.

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW BEAUMONT 30.04N 94.16W
08/27/2007 JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

KBTV4 TV REPORTS ROOF BLOWN OFF AUTO SALES COMPANY ON
FANNETT RD AT HIGHWAY 69. TIME APPROXIMATE.

0555 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSW BEAUMONT 30.06N 94.16W
08/27/2007 M54.00 MPH JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

MEASURED AT PRICE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. REPORTED BY KFDM-TV.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KFGF [280119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280119
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
819 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM HAIL FRAZEE 46.73N 95.70W
08/27/2007 E1.25 INCH BECKER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KTBW [280105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 280105
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
905 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM LIGHTNING 5 SE CLEARWATER 27.91N 82.70W
08/27/2007 PINELLAS FL BROADCAST MEDIA

CAR STRUCK BY LIGHTNING ON ROOSEVELT BLVD ACROSS FROM
SAINT PETERSBURG CLEARWATER AIRPORT. CAR LOST POWER BUT
DRIVER OKAY AND UNINJURED. REPORT RELAYED BY BAYNEWS 9.

&&

$$

RJS

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KFGF [280104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280104
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
803 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM HAIL 8 WNW VERGAS 46.70N 95.96W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH OTTER TAIL MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KFGF [280102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 280102
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
801 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM HAIL 7 SSE DETROIT LAKES 46.72N 95.79W
08/27/2007 E0.88 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

JKAISER

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KSLC [280053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KSLC 280053
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
653 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL WEST JORDAN 40.60N 112.00W
08/26/2007 E1.00 INCH SALT LAKE UT BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF QUARTER-SIZE HAIL AROUND WEST JORDAN

0150 PM HAIL 6 SW LEHI 40.34N 111.93W
08/26/2007 M0.88 INCH UTAH UT BROADCAST MEDIA

PICTURES OF PENNY TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN EAGLE MOUNTAIN
ON KUTV.

0507 PM HAIL OREM 40.30N 111.70W
08/26/2007 E0.50 INCH UTAH UT TRAINED SPOTTER

0756 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N MODENA 37.87N 113.92W
08/26/2007 IRON UT PUBLIC

HAMLIN VALLEY FLASH FLOODING NEAR MODENA CAUSED 2 ATVS TO
BE WASHED AWAY AND ONE RESCUE VEHICLE WAS STUCK IN MUD.
DIRT ROADS IN THE AREA UNDER WATER OR WASHED OUT.

0917 AM FLASH FLOOD IVINS 37.17N 113.68W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCH STORM TOTAL. 10 TO 12 HOMES AFFECTED WITH MUD
AND BASEMENT FLOODING AND WATER BUILDING UP NEAR
FOUNDATIONS.

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD ST. GEORGE 37.08N 113.58W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SANTA CLARA RIVER ROSE TO AROUND 650 CFS

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD ZION NP 37.22N 112.99W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

MOST SLOTS REPORTED TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 0.63 RAIN IN 3 HOURS ENDING 1020 AM
AT ZION PARK. 0.88 RAIN AT LAVA POINT IN 3 HOURS DURING
SAME PERIOD. 24 HOUR TOTAL 1.52 AND 1.16 RESPECTIVELY.

0140 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 NW BIG WATER 37.17N 111.79W
08/27/2007 KANE UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED UPSTREAM ON WAHWEAP CREEK AS A
LARGE FLOW. PEAK FLOW NEAR 100 FEET ACROSS BETWEEN 4 AND
5 PM AND DOWN TO 50 FEET BY 6 PM.

0415 PM HEAVY RAIN LOA 38.40N 111.64W
08/27/2007 M0.55 INCH WAYNE UT TRAINED SPOTTER

IN 12 MINUTES

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN BRYCE CYN NP 37.67N 112.17W
08/27/2007 M1.21 INCH GARFIELD UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

RAWS REPORTED THIS AMOUNT SINCE 10 AM. TOTAL 1.73.

&&

$$

ATARDY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280049
SWODY1
SPC AC 280046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0746 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPR MS
VLY AND WRN GRTLKS REGION...

..UPR MS VLY TO MID-MO VLY...
00Z MPX SOUNDING CONTINUED TO EXHIBIT A SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING
INVERSION WITH A 24 DEG C TEMPERATURE AT THE BASE OF THE EML.
MODIFYING THE SOUNDING USING SFC CONDITIONS REPRESENTATIVE OF THE
WARM SECTOR FARTHER TO THE W AND S STILL RENDERS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
CAPPED /70 J/KG CINH/ AND ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGESTS THAT
INHIBITION WILL NOT BE ERASED. THUS...THREAT FOR SFC-BASED STORM
INITIATION APPEARS TO HAVE DIMINISHED.

FARTHER TO THE N...COMBINATION OF RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION CIRCULATION
INTO A HIGH LEVEL JET OVER NWRN ONTARIO...STEEP LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT ALOFT AND FAVORABLE LLJ ORIENTATION WITH RESPECT TO
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES HAVE BEEN FAVORABLE FOR NUMEROUS STG-SVR TSTM
CLUSTERS OVER NRN/CNTRL MN. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ENEWD TOWARD THE LAKE SUPERIOR REGION OVERNIGHT. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND STG TO SVR WIND
GUSTS.

MEANWHILE...THE COLD FRONT MOVING VERY SLOWLY SEWD IN WAKE OF THE
ONTARIO DISTURBANCE WAS BEGINNING TO OVERTAKE A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH
FROM WCNTRL MN SWWD INTO CNTRL NEB. 00Z OAX/LBF SOUNDINGS SAMPLED A
MUCH DRIER PROFILE THAN AT POINTS FARTHER NE. THERE HAVE BEEN
ATTEMPTS AT SFC-BASED INITIATION AT THE FRONT/TROUGH INTERSECTION
OVER NCNTRL NEB AT LATE AFTN...BUT CINH AND MEAGER DEPTH TO THE
FRONTAL CIRCULATION APPARENTLY ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR UPDRAFT
SUSTENANCE.

HAVE MAINTAINED A LOW PROBABILISTIC RISK FOR SVR HAIL/WIND ALONG AND
TO THE COOL SIDE OF THE FRONT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW
AMPLITUDE PERTURBATION MOVING NEWD OUT OF THE CNTRL ROCKIES THIS
EVENING. SLY LLJ IN ADVANCE OF THIS FEATURE SHOULD ENHANCE WARM
ADVECTION PROFILES FROM PARTS OF CNTRL/NRN NEB INTO SERN SD LATER
THIS EVENING. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN ELEVATED BANDS OF TSTMS.
EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL BE SOMEWHAT WEAK...BUT THE STEEP LAPSE RATES
ALOFT MAY YIELD MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND PERHAPS A SVR WIND THREAT
WITH ISOLD STORMS.

.RACY.. 08/28/2007

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KSLC [280043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KSLC 280043
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
643 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL WEST JORDAN 40.60N 112.00W
08/26/2007 E1.00 INCH SALT LAKE UT BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF QUARTER-SIZE HAIL AROUND WEST JORDAN

0150 PM HAIL 6 SW LEHI 40.34N 111.93W
08/26/2007 M0.88 INCH UTAH UT BROADCAST MEDIA

PICTURES OF PENNY TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN EAGLE MOUNTAIN
ON KUTV.

0507 PM HAIL OREM 40.30N 111.70W
08/26/2007 E0.50 INCH UTAH UT TRAINED SPOTTER

0756 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N MODENA 37.87N 113.92W
08/26/2007 IRON UT PUBLIC

HAMLIN VALLEY FLASH FLOODING NEAR MODENA CAUSED 2 ATVS TO
BE WASHED AWAY AND ONE RESCUE VEHICLE WAS STUCK IN MUD.
DIRT ROADS IN THE AREA UNDER WATER OR WASHED OUT.

0917 AM FLASH FLOOD IVINS 37.17N 113.68W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT TRAINED SPOTTER

1.77 INCH STORM TOTAL. 10 TO 12 HOMES AFFECTED WITH MUD
AND BASEMENT FLOODING AND WATER BUILDING UP NEAR
FOUNDATIONS.

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD ST. GEORGE 37.08N 113.58W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

SANTA CLARA RIVER ROSE TO AROUND 650 CFS

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD ZION NP 37.22N 112.99W
08/27/2007 WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

MOST SLOTS REPORTED TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT RUNOFF FROM HEAVY
RAIN IN THE MORNING. 0.63 RAIN IN 3 HOURS ENDING 1020 AM
AT ZION PARK. 0.88 RAIN AT LAVA POINT IN 3 HOURS DURING
SAME PERIOD. 24 HOUR TOTAL 1.52 AND 1.16 RESPECTIVELY.

0140 PM FLASH FLOOD 10 NW BIG WATER 37.17N 111.79W
08/27/2007 KANE UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED UPSTREAM ON WAHWEAP CREEK AS A
LARGE FLOW. PEAK FLOW NEAR 100 FEET ACROSS BETWEEN 4 AND
5 PM AND DOWN TO 50 FEET BY 6 PM.

0415 PM HEAVY RAIN LOA 38.40N 111.64W
08/27/2007 M0.55 INCH WAYNE UT TRAINED SPOTTER

IN 12 MINUTES

0500 PM HEAVY RAIN BRYCE CYN NP 37.67N 112.17W
08/27/2007 M0.95 INCH GARFIELD UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

RAWS REPORTED THIS AMOUNT SINCE 10 AM. TOTAL 1.73.

&&

$$

ATARDY

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KBMX [280032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 280032
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
732 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N JASPER 33.85N 87.26W
08/27/2007 WALKER AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN, ALONG WITH ROOF
DAMAGE TO A VET CLINIC ON WALSTON BRIDGE RD.

&&

$$

SUNGER

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KLCH [280031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KLCH 280031
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
730 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW BEAUMONT 30.04N 94.16W
08/27/2007 JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

KBTV4 TV REPORTS ROOF BLOWN OFF AUTO SALES COMPANY ON
FANNETT RD AT HIGHWAY 69. TIME APPROXIMATE.

0555 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSW BEAUMONT 30.06N 94.16W
08/27/2007 M54.00 MPH JEFFERSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

MEASURED AT PRICE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL. REPORTED BY KFDM-TV.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KTBW [280018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 280018
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
818 PM EDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 7 E LARGO 27.91N 82.67W
08/27/2007 M45 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS

MEASURED AT SAINT PETERSBURG CLEARWATER AIRPORT.

&&

$$

RJS

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KFGF [270739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 270739
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
239 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL 7 SE MILTON 48.56N 97.94W
08/26/2007 E1.75 INCH CAVALIER ND PUBLIC

&&

$$

DRIDDLE

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 270727
SWODY3
SPC AC 270725

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..OH VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST TUESDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE
EWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WEDNESDAY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
IS FORECAST TO MOVE SWD INTO THE OH VALLEY WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S F ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS SHOULD RESULT
IN MODERATE INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON SHOW STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN PLACE
SUGGESTING A FEW OF THE STRONGER CELLS MAY HAVE A MARGINAL WIND
DAMAGE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD KEEP ANY
SEVERE THREAT ISOLATED AND CONCENTRATED NEAR PEAK HEATING.

.BROYLES.. 08/27/2007

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KGRR [270714]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KGRR 270714
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
314 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TORNADO 2 N CHARLOTTE 42.59N 84.83W
08/24/2007 EATON MI EMERGENCY MNGR

BUILDING DAMAGE NEAR COCHRAN AND M50

0425 PM TORNADO 3 W POTTERVILLE 42.63N 84.80W
08/24/2007 EATON MI EMERGENCY MNGR

2 BARNS DESTROYED AND ANOTHER HEAVILY DAMAGED. NEAR OTTO
AND VERMONTVILLE.

0425 PM TORNADO 1 WNW POTTERVILLE 42.63N 84.76W
08/24/2007 F3 EATON MI NWS EMPLOYEE

*** 5 INJ *** 5 PEOPLE TREATED FOR INJURIES TORNADO
DESTROYED ROUGHLY 15 HOMES. ROOF AND HALF OF SECOND STORY
ROOMS BLOWN OFF OF ONE HOME. PATH 10 MILES LONG AND 200
TO 300 YARDS WIDE. MAXIMUM WINDS 140 MPH.

0430 PM HAIL 2 NW POTTERVILLE 42.65N 84.77W
08/24/2007 E1.00 INCH EATON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR OTTO AND DOAN

0455 PM TORNADO 2 E LANSING 42.71N 84.51W
08/24/2007 F1 INGHAM MI NWS EMPLOYEE

TRANSFORMER DAMAGED NEAR INTERSECTION OF DUNCKEL AND
JOLLY. MAX WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 90 MILES AN HOUR. THE
TRACK OF THE TORNADO WAS 6 MILES LONG AND 200 TO 300
YARDS WIDE.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1901

ACUS11 KWNS 270643
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270643
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-270815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1901
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL/SE MN...WRN WI...NE IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270643Z - 270815Z

THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS ARE
BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT.

INITIATION OF NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY...IN A NORTH/
SOUTH BAND EXTENDING NEAR/WEST OF MINNEAPOLIS THROUGH THE MASON CITY
IA AREA. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC
WARM ADVECTION...TO THE SOUTH OF A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE LIFTING INTO
WESTERN ONTARIO...WITHIN THE STRONGER BELT OF POLAR WESTERLIES. AS
MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE NORTH PLAINS AND UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...THE STRONGER FORCING...AND ASSOCIATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH MUCH
OF WESTERN/CENTRAL WISCONSIN BY 12Z.

RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT STORMS ARE PROBABLY HIGH BASED...IN A
VERY MOIST AIR MASS ABOVE A NEAR SURFACE INVERSION LAYER. LEVELS OF
FREE CONVECTION ARE LIKELY ABOVE 700 MB...BUT LARGE CAPE ON THE
ORDER OF 2000 TO 3000 J/KG IS SUPPORTIVE OF VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS. THIS
COULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...
DESPITE WEAK CLOUD BEARING LAYER SHEAR. OTHERWISE...AT LEAST BRIEF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES APPEAR POSSIBLE AS STORMS INTENSIFY BETWEEN NOW AND
DAYBREAK.

.KERR.. 08/27/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...DVN...DLH...ARX...MPX...DMX...

45279364 45959293 46359117 45998965 44758932 43198958
42599042 42299184 42869292 43509308 44209340 44659357

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 653

WWUS20 KWNS 270603
SEL3
SPC WW 270603
MNZ000-NDZ000-270400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 653
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
103 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 653 ISSUED AT 505 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

MINNESOTA
NORTH DAKOTA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270559
SWODY1
SPC AC 270557

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPR MS
VLY AND PLAINS STATES...

..SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPR RIDGE ACROSS THE CNTRL/SRN PARTS OF THE COUNTRY WILL
KEEP PRIMARY BELT OF WLYS ACROSS THE PAC NW AND SCNTRL CANADA...
ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF A HUDSON BAY GYRE. LEAD IMPULSE WITHIN THIS
FLOW...NOW CROSSING NRN MN AND NWRN ONTARIO WILL SHIFT QUICKLY INTO
SERN CANADA MONDAY. NEXT MIDLEVEL WAVE OVER THE PAC NW WILL
TRANSLATE INTO THE NRN PLAINS MONDAY AFTN. MEANWHILE...A SEPARATE
STREAM WILL EXIST AROUND THE NRN PART OF THE HIGH...CARRYING LOW
AMPLITUDE DISTURBANCES NEWD FROM THE GRT BASIN INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS
AND UPR MS VLY THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT...NOW EXTENDING FROM NWRN MN SWWD ACROSS
CNTRL ND...IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY SEWD INTO NRN MN AND SD DURING
THE AFTN. A LOW ALONG THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE NEWD FROM SD INTO MN BY
MONDAY EVENING WITH THE COLD FRONT ACCELERATING SWD THROUGH THE HIGH
PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT.

..PLAINS AND UPR MS VLY...
SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF TSTMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
UPR MS VLY WWD INTO ND AT THE START OF THE PERIOD. STRONGER
STORMS...TIED TO THE LLJ...WILL WEAKEN WITH TIME DURING THE MORNING
AND SHIFT NEWD WHILE CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING EWD
FROM ND INTO NRN MN THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THIS WILL LIKELY STRENGTHEN
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND/OR THE COLD FRONT ACROSS NRN MN AND ERN ND.

TO THE S AND SE OF THE BOUNDARIES...AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
VERY UNSTABLE AGAIN MONDAY AFTN...OWING BOTH TO RICH BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE AND THE STOUT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER. AIR
MASS...HOWEVER...SHOULD REMAIN STRONGLY CAPPED FOR AT LEAST THE
FIRST HALF OF THE HEATING CYCLE. BUT...PERSISTENT FRONTAL
CIRCULATION...HEATING AND THE APPROACH OF ONE OR MORE UPR IMPULSES
SHOULD YIELD INCREASING SVR THREATS LATE MONDAY AFTN/EVENING. TSTMS
WILL LIKELY FAVOR THE ZONE VCNTY THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/FRONT
INTERSECTION OVER CNTRL MN WITH ACTIVITY LIKELY BACKBUILDING SWWD
ALONG THE FRONT DURING THE EVENING.

REGION WILL REMAIN BENEATH 50-60 KTS OF WSWLY FLOW ALOFT... BOOSTING
BULK SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL.
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH DISCRETE STORMS THAT
DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SOUTH OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE POTENTIALLY BACKED AT THE SFC.
ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY DEVELOP/MOVE ENEWD TOWARD THE UPR GRTLKS
REGION MONDAY NIGHT WITH ATTENDANT THREATS FOR HAIL/HIGH WINDS.

FARTHER SW...STG/SVR TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
LEE-TROUGH/FRONT ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/NRN NEB LATE MONDAY AFTN/EVE.
HERE...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE COMPARATIVELY LESS IN THE WARM SECTOR
THAN FARTHER TO THE N. HOWEVER...BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE HOTTER AND
DEEPLY MIXED AND WILL AT LEAST SUPPORT DMGG WIND/HAIL THREATS
THROUGH MID-EVENING.

..SCNTRL/SERN STATES...
NUMEROUS TSTMS WILL FORM VCNTY A FRONT SITUATED FROM THE LWR MS VLY
TO THE CAROLINAS MONDAY AFTN. FLOW REGIME WILL REMAIN WEAK...BUT
PULSE MULTICELL CLUSTERS MAY PRODUCE ISOLD DMGG WINDS AND/OR
MARGINALLY SVR HAILSTONES.

..ERN UT AND WRN CO...
IMPULSE OVER THE LA BASIN IS PROGD TO SHEAR ENEWD TOWARD THE CNTRL
ROCKIES MONDAY AFTN. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES HAVE RISEN TO NEAR 1
INCH ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED THREAT FOR
NUMEROUS TSTMS THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS THIS DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION. ENHANCED WSWLY FLOW ALOFT MAY YIELD ISOLD FAST MOVING
TSTM CLUSTERS THAT PRODUCE SVR WIND GUSTS FROM PARTS OF ERN UT INTO
WRN CO.

.RACY/GUYER.. 08/27/2007

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 270600
SWODY2
SPC AC 270559

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2007

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...

..CNTRL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST...
A LOW-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS LATE
TONIGHT WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS TUESDAY. AT THE SFC...A
COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SWD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND CNTRL
PLAINS. EVEN THOUGH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL BE RELATIVELY
WEAK...MODEL FORECASTS INCREASE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY WHICH COMBINED WITH SFC HEATING SHOULD RESULT IN SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM NRN KS EXTENDING
NEWD ACROSS SE NEB...IA INTO WI. THE NAM...GFS AND NAMKF AGREE WITH
DEVELOPING MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY FROM
NEAR OMAHA NEB EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS IA AND SRN WI. ALTHOUGH MODEL
FORECASTS DISAGREE ON THE AMOUNT OF VERTICAL SHEAR VARYING FROM 30
TO 50 KT...FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO SHOW VERY STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND 20 TO 25 KT OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW WHICH SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
FOR AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT. THE WIND DAMAGE THREAT SHOULD BE
GREATEST WITH ORGANIZED BOWING LINE-SEGMENTS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW INCREASES.

..CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
FURTHER WEST ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...FORECAST INSTABILITY IS
CONSIDERABLY WEAKER THAN ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST.
HOWEVER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD STILL INITIATE ALONG THE
BOUNDARY AND IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ECNTRL CO AND SE WY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON SUGGEST LAPSE RATES
WILL BE STEEP AND MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE. AS A
RESULT...A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD EXIST NEAR PEAK HEATING IN
AREAS WHERE INSTABILITY IS LOCALLY MAXIMIZED.

.BROYLES.. 08/27/2007

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KFGF [270411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 270411
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1111 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1107 PM HAIL BUXTON 47.60N 97.10W
08/26/2007 E0.88 INCH TRAILL ND TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

AMHOMANN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1900

ACUS11 KWNS 270408
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270407
NDZ000-270600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1900
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1107 PM CDT SUN AUG 26 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 270407Z - 270600Z

POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MAINLY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND TO DEVELOP BY 06Z.
THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND A WW MAY BE NEEDED
ONCE INITIATION APPEARS IMMINENT.

LATE THIS EVENING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM EXTREME NERN ND
SWWD THROUGH SWRN ND AND SERN MT. WV AND RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS DATA
SUGGEST A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN THE WLY FLOW REGIME ACROSS
SERN MT. ACCAS SHOWERS DEVELOPING FROM ERN MT INTO SWRN ND MAY BE
INDICATIVE OF INCREASING MID LEVEL ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
FEATURE. MODELS INDICATE SURFACE LOW WILL SHIFT EWD INTO SD AS THE
IMPULSE MOVES INTO THE NRN PLAINS. SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP
EAST OF THE LOW OVER SD WITH INCREASING FRONTOGENETIC FORCING AND
LIFT EXPECTED IN VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY OVER SRN ND. BISMARK 00Z
RAOB SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF AN INVERSION AROUND 700 MB.
HOWEVER...INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT MAY MOISTEN AND COOL THE
INVERSION LAYER SUFFICIENTLY FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP IN VICINITY OF
THE BOUNDARY. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
ELEVATED...BUT SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD LAYER WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR
ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THIS ALONG WITH STRONG INSTABILITY AND STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.

.DIAL.. 08/27/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...

46299978 46000094 46020271 46680273 47270063 46939952

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