Saturday, March 15, 2008

KGSP [152002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 152002
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
402 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0357 PM HAIL HICKORY TAVERN 34.52N 82.19W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH LAURENS SC TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BSH

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KFFC [152003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 152003
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
403 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM HAIL 3 S CAVE SPRING 34.07N 85.33W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH POLK GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [152002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 152002
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
402 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0359 PM HAIL 2 SW SIX FLAGS 33.75N 84.57W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH FULTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KHUN [151958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151958
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
258 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL DECATUR 34.57N 86.99W
03/15/2008 E0.25 INCH MORGAN AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

0232 PM HAIL 5 WSW HUNTSVILLE 34.69N 86.72W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT ZIERDT RD AND MADISON BLVD

0235 PM HAIL 5 WSW HUNTSVILLE 34.68N 86.72W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH MADISON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT ZIERDT ROAD

0240 PM HAIL 1 NNW FARLEY 34.62N 86.57W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL REPORTED ALONG MEMORIAL PARKWAY NEAR HOBBS
ROAD

0240 PM HAIL 2 S HUNTSVILLE 34.71N 86.59W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL AND MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED AT
DRAKE AVENUE AND MEMORIAL PARKWAY

0240 PM HAIL HUNTSVILLE 34.73N 86.59W
03/15/2008 E0.25 INCH MADISON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN HUNTSVILLE

0240 PM HAIL 2 SSW HUNTSVILLE 34.70N 86.60W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL REPORTED NEAR MILTON FRANK PARK


&&

$$

DL

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KGSP [151958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151958
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
358 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM TORNADO DUE WEST 34.33N 82.39W
03/15/2008 ABBEVILLE SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

TORNADO TOUCHDOWN REPORTED BY A SHERIFFS DEPUTY AROUND
DUE WEST AND TREES REPORTED DOWNED.


&&

$$

LG

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KFFC [151954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151954
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
354 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM HAIL 3 E DAWSONVILLE 34.42N 84.07W
03/15/2008 E2.75 INCH DAWSON GA AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KHUN [151948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151948
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
248 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 PM HAIL FLINTVILLE 35.06N 86.42W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH LINCOLN TN NWS EMPLOYEE

0220 PM HAIL HUNTLAND 35.06N 86.27W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH FRANKLIN TN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE COVERING THE GROUND IN HUNTLAND

0225 PM HAIL MADISON 34.70N 86.75W
03/15/2008 E0.25 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

0230 PM HAIL 5 W HUNTSVILLE 34.69N 86.72W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH MADISON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO HALF INCH HAIL IN MADISON NEAR MADISON BLVD

0230 PM HAIL MADISON 34.70N 86.75W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH MADISON AL BROADCAST MEDIA

DIME SIZED HAIL IN MADISON...AND POWER OUTAGES REPORTED
IN THE VICINITY OF WALL TRIANA HWY

0230 PM HAIL 1 SE MADISON 34.68N 86.73W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH MADISON AL AMATEUR RADIO

HALF INCH TO PENNY SIZED HAIL AT HUGHES RD AND MADISON
BLVD


&&

$$

DL

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KFFC [151948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KFFC 151948
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0338 PM HAIL 7 NE DALLAS 33.99N 84.75W
03/15/2008 E1.25 INCH PAULDING GA CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151946
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
346 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HAIL 2 N DOUGLASVILLE 33.77N 84.75W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH DOUGLAS GA AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 151943
SWODY1
SPC AC 151940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

VALID 152000Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NRN GA AND
SC...

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NRN AND CNTRL
GA...SC AND SRN NC...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TN
VALLEY...SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS AND CAROLINAS...

..REGIONAL TORNADO OUTBREAK IS IN PROGRESS ACROSS NRN GA AND SC
WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING...

..SRN ATLANTIC SEABOARD/ERN TN VALLEY...
LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LOW AMPLITUDE PROGRESSIVE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. A MORE SUBTLE
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS ALSO EVIDENT OVER THE UPPER TN VALLEY AND
LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS AIDING INTENSE CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NRN GA AND FAR WRN SC. THE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
LOCATED ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING EWD FROM THE
ATLANTA METRO AREA TO JUST SOUTH OF GREENVILLE SC. A CLUSTER OF
SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND REACH
THE COLUMBIA SC AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...RUC
ANALYSIS INDICATES A SLIGHT CAPPING INVERSION EXISTS ACROSS ECNTRL
GA AND THIS CAP SHOULD WEAKEN QUICKLY OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS. AS
THIS HAPPENS...CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL CONTINUE TO OCCUR BETWEEN
ATLANTA AND MACON GA THIS AFTERNOON WITH A SEVERE CONVECTIVE CLUSTER
MOVING EWD INTO ECNTRL GA LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS
EVENING. SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS AND RECENT RADAR TRENDS ARE IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO AND SEVERE STORM COVERAGE
SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 3 TO 6
HOURS.

CONCERNING THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...LATEST RUC ANALYSIS HAS A 50 TO
60 KT LOW-LEVEL JET EXTENDING NEWD FROM THE FL PANHANDLE INTO CNTRL
GA. THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS SCNTRL GA THIS AFTERNOON
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ACROSS THE HIGH RISK AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS AT AUGUSTA GA SHOW CURVED HODOGRAPHS AND INCREASE 0-3 KM
STORM RELATIVE HELICITIES FROM ABOUT 300 M2/S2 AT 19Z TO ABOUT 450
M2/S2 AT 21Z SUGGESTING LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IN
ADDITION...SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST LCL HEIGHTS WILL DROP
ACROSS THE HIGH RISK AREA AS MOISTURE ADVECTION BRINGS SFC DEWPOINTS
INTO THE MID 60S F MAKING CONDITIONS MORE FAVORABLE FOR STRONG
TORNADOES. STRONG TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE CORRIDOR FROM
ATHENS GA SEWD TO THE AUGUSTA GA AREA AND EWD TO NEAR COLUMBIA SC
LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. SUPERCELLS AND BOW
ECHOES WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 80 KT. MODEL FORECASTS GRADUALLY DRIVE THE
MCS EWD INTO ERN SC AND ACROSS NC SUGGESTING THE TORNADO...WIND
DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL THREAT SHOULD EXPAND EWD INTO THE I-95
CORRIDOR BY EARLY TO MID EVENING.

..TN VALLEY...
A LINE OF CONVECTION IS ONGOING ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL WHICH IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH EXITING THE LOWER MS
VALLEY ATTM. AS SFC DEWPOINTS GRADUALLY INCREASE AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY DEVELOPS ACROSS NRN AL...THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
GRADUALLY EXPAND EWD ACROSS THE I-65 CORRIDOR. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
SHOWN BY RUC ANALYSIS AND COLD AIR ALOFT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGESTS THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THE ACTIVITY WILL BE LARGE HAIL.

.BROYLES.. 03/15/2008

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KGSP [151943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151943
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
343 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0339 PM HAIL 4 W DUE WEST 34.33N 82.46W
03/15/2008 M1.00 INCH ABBEVILLE SC PUBLIC

HAILSTONES 0.6 INCH BY 1.1 INCH


&&

$$

MOORE

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KFFC [151940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151940
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
340 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0338 PM HAIL 7 NE DALLAS 33.99N 84.75W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH PAULDING GA CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0423

ACUS11 KWNS 151939
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151939
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-152145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0423
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN AL...EXTREME NWRN GA...SERN TN.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 151939Z - 152145Z

NARROW BAND OF TSTMS -- EVIDENT AT 1925Z FROM MARION/FRANKLIN
COUNTIES TN SWWD ACROSS HSV AREA TO FRANKLIN COUNTY AL -- MAY
PRODUCE SVR HAIL AND STG...POSSIBLY DAMAGING GUSTS AS IT MOVES ESEWD
ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA THROUGH 23Z. TORNADO POTENTIAL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WITH ANY SUSTAINED/DISCRETE TSTMS...PARTICULARLY AS THEY
APPROACH RELATIVELY FAVORABLE AIR MASS IN AND NEAR EXISTING WW 119.
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY...IN SEPARATE AND SMALLER CONVECTIVE BAND NEAR
CBM -- ALSO MAY POSE SVR THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS NWRN AL.

FOREGOING AIR MASS CONSISTS OF MODIFIED OUTFLOW AIR FROM MORNING MCS
ACTIVITY...HEATED DIABATICALLY AND DESTABILIZING WITH SFC DEW POINTS
UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S F. RESULTING BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE AND
COOLING ALOFT INVOF UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH EACH WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPES APCHG 1000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH VEERED/WLY
COMPONENT OF SFC FLOW WILL KEEP VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WEAKER THAN
FARTHER E AND SE IN WW 119...STG DEEP-LAYER SPEED SHEAR SHOULD
PERSIST ACROSS THIS AREA AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT THAT IS LOCATED IN
OR JUST BEHIND CONVECTIVE BAND. THIS WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
SUPERCELL AND SMALL BOWING STRUCTURES.

.EDWARDS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...BMX...HUN...MEG...

34398821 34578731 34958643 35178593 35188506 34968452
34528471 34188583 33938659 33418699 32948707 33118781
33278820

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KFFC [151931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151931
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
331 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0328 PM HAIL 1 N VILLA RICA 33.75N 84.92W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH CARROLL GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KFFC 151931
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
331 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 WNW WALESKA 34.35N 84.65W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA EMERGENCY MNGR

CARS BLOWN OFF ROAD. POSSIBLE INJURY.


&&

$$

GRIFFITH

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KGSP [151928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151928
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
328 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL NUBERG 34.26N 82.89W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH HART GA TRAINED SPOTTER

ALONG HW-77 NEAR ELBERT COUNTY LINE.

0326 PM HAIL NUBERG 34.26N 82.89W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH HART GA TRAINED SPOTTER

ALONG HW-77 NEAR THE ELBERT COUNTY LINE.


&&

$$

BSH

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KFFC [151927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151927
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
327 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 2 WNW ROBERTS CROSSROAD 34.15N 83.97W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

ALSO REPORTED SEEING A FUNNEL CLOUD BEFORE TAKING COVER.

&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151922
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
322 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM TSTM WND DMG 6 SW CANTON 34.19N 84.56W
03/15/2008 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TRESS DOWN AND SEVERAL POWER LINES DOWN.

0110 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE CANTON 34.24N 84.48W
03/15/2008 CHEROKEE GA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0110 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 SE CANTON 34.24N 84.48W
03/15/2008 CHEROKEE GA TRAINED SPOTTER

ROTATING FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED.

0120 PM DOWNBURST 6 WNW WALESKA 34.35N 84.65W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA EMERGENCY MNGR

CARS BLOWN OFF ROAD. POSSIBLE INJURY.

0220 PM HAIL 2 SE CANTON 34.23N 84.47W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

0230 PM HAIL CHEROKEE 34.17N 84.57W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTED NEAR EMERSON AND SCOTT ROADS.


&&

$$

GRIFFITH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422

ACUS11 KWNS 151914
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151913 COR
GAZ000-ALZ000-152015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0422
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N-CENTRAL/NWRN GA...SMALL PART OF NERN AL
-- WRN/CENTRAL SUBSET OF WW 119.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 119...

VALID 151913Z - 152015Z

CORRECTED FOR EXTRANEOUS STATE ABBREVATION

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 119 CONTINUES.

AS ADJOINING WARM SECTOR CONTINUES TO HEAT/DESTABILIZE
GRADUALLY...CONVECTION IS BUILDING AND BECOMING SVR INVOF AL/GA
STATE LINE...ALONG WRN SEGMENT OF COMBINED SFC WARM FRONT AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. SFC WINDS IN WARM SECTOR HAVE VEERED IN RESPONSE
TO EWD SHIFT OF STRONGEST ISALLOBARIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH NERN
GA TORNADIC STORM...AND ASSOCIATED MESOCIRCULATION. HOWEVER...BULK
SHEAR ACROSS N-CENTRAL/NWRN GA WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE -- E.G. ROUGHLY
60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE FROM FFC RAOB AND RUC
SOUNDINGS...AND 0-1 KM SRH STILL EXCEEDING 200 J/KG BASED ON VWP AND
RAOB DATA. MODIFIED 18Z FFC RAOB INDICATES THAT SFC TEMPS LOW-MID
70S F AND DEW POINTS LOW 60S SUPPORT MLCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG AND VERY
WEAK CINH. STRENGTHENING SUPERCELLS OVER CALHOUN/CLEBURNE COUNTIES
AL AT 19Z ARE MOVING ENE 40-45 KT. ASSOCIATED RISK OF DAMAGING
HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES COULD AFFECT ATL METRO AREA DURING
20-21Z TIME FRAME THEN ENEWD TOWARD AREAS NEAR AND JUST N AHN IN
ENSUING 1-2 HOURS.

.EDWARDS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...BMX...

33578416 33518484 33608577 33938503 34208351 34278334
34098293 33898302 33718330

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KGSP [151913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151913
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
313 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM TORNADO 3 SE ROYSTON 34.25N 83.07W
03/15/2008 HART GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

911 CENTER REPORTED A PUBLIC REPORT OF A TORNADO 3 MILES
SE OF ROYSTON ALONG HIGHWAY 17.


&&

$$

LG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0422

ACUS11 KWNS 151909
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151908
GAZ000-ALZ000-152015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0422
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF N-CENTRAL/NWRN GA...SMALL PART OF NERN AL
-- WRN/CENTRAL SUBSET OF WW 119.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 119...

VALID 151908Z - 152015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 119 CONTINUES.

AS ADJOINING WARM SECTOR CONTINUES TO HEAT/DESTABILIZE
GRADUALLY...CONVECTION IS BUILDING AND BECOMING SVR INVOF AL/GA
STATE LINE...ALONG WRN SEGMENT OF COMBINED SFC WARM FRONT AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. SFC WINDS IN WARM SECTOR HAVE VEERED IN RESPONSE
TO EWD SHIFT OF STRONGEST ISALLOBARIC FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH NERN
GA TORNADIC STORM...AND ASSOCIATED MESOCIRCULATION. HOWEVER...BULK
SHEAR ACROSS N-CENTRAL/NWRN GA WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE -- E.G. ROUGHLY
60 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDE FROM FFC RAOB AND RUC
SOUNDINGS...AND 0-1 KM SRH STILL EXCEEDING 200 J/KG BASED ON VWP AND
RAOB DATA. MODIFIED 18Z FFC RAOB INDICATES THAT SFC TEMPS LOW-MID
70S F AND DEW POINTS LOW 60S SUPPORT MLCAPES 1000-1500 J/KG AND VERY
WEAK CINH. STRENGTHENING SUPERCELLS OVER CALHOUN/CLEBURNE COUNTIES
AL GA AT 19Z ARE MOVING ENE 40-45 KT. ASSOCIATED RISK OF DAMAGING
HAIL/WIND AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES COULD AFFECT ATL METRO AREA DURING
20-21Z TIME FRAME THEN ENEWD TOWARD AREAS NEAR AND JUST N AHN IN
ENSUING 1-2 HOURS.

.EDWARDS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...BMX...

33578416 33518484 33608577 33938503 34208351 34278334
34098293 33898302 33718330

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KFFC [151904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151904
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
304 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL 2 S CHESTATEE 34.27N 84.00W
03/15/2008 E2.00 INCH FORSYTH GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KHUN [151854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151854
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
154 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 PM HAIL FAYETTEVILLE 35.15N 86.56W
03/15/2008 E0.25 INCH LINCOLN TN NWS EMPLOYEE

PEA SIZED HAIL IN DOWNTOWN FAYETTEVILLE

0150 PM HAIL FAYETTEVILLE 35.15N 86.56W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH LINCOLN TN NWS EMPLOYEE

DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN FAYETTEVILLE


&&

$$

DL

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KGSP [151854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 151854
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
253 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM HAIL 3 W FRANKLIN SPRINGS 34.28N 83.20W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN GA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LG

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KDMX [151851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 151851
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
151 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 AM FLOOD 1 SW WATERLOO 42.48N 92.36W
03/15/2008 BLACK HAWK IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

BLACK HAWK CREEK...WATER OVER RIDGEWAY AVENUE...
BARICADED FROM HWY 63 TO DEER RD.


&&

$$

STEACHOU

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KFFC [151852]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151852
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
252 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0141 PM HAIL W DAWSONVILLE 34.42N 84.12W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH DAWSON GA PUBLIC

REPORTED ALONG HWY 53 NEAR BLUE RIDGE.

0145 PM HAIL MURRAYVILLE 34.42N 83.91W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

0145 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

EXIT 17 AT GA-400.

0148 PM HAIL CUMMING 34.21N 84.14W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH FORSYTH GA PUBLIC

REPORTED AT HWY 369 AND HWY 20 OFF GA-400 NEAR LAKE
LANIER.

0152 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.25 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

10 WEST OF I-985

0200 PM HAIL CUMMING 34.21N 84.14W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH FORSYTH GA PUBLIC

REPORTED WEST OF LAKE LANIER NEAR HWYS 300 AND 53.

0200 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

0200 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

REPORTED AT THE LONG STREET HILL NEIGHBORHOOD AND
CHASTITY ELEMENTARY SCHOOL.

0205 PM TSTM WND DMG GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 HALL GA PUBLIC

10-20 TREES DOWN IN GAINESVILLE.


&&

$$

GRIFFITH

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KFFC [151849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151849
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
249 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0237 PM HAIL 6 E BUFFINGTON 34.24N 84.32W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH CHEROKEE GA AMATEUR RADIO

0235 PM HAIL 2 ENE CALHOUN 34.51N 84.91W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH GORDON GA PUBLIC

0235 PM HAIL 7 E CANTON 34.25N 84.37W
03/15/2008 E2.75 INCH CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KDVN [151849]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 151849
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
149 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM SNOW W CANTRIL 40.64N 92.07W
03/15/2008 M0.8 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF NEW SNOWFALL MELTED DOWN TO
0.23 OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.


&&

$$

12

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KFFC [151841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151841
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
241 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 PM TORNADO 3 S GAINESVILLE 34.25N 83.83W
03/15/2008 HALL GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON THE
SOUTH SIDE OF GAINESVILLE. DAMAGE REPORTS ARE STILL
COMING IN.

0225 PM TORNADO 6 SSE HOMER 34.25N 83.46W
03/15/2008 BANKS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO WAS REPORTED NEAR INTERSTATE 85 NEAR EXIT 149.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151827
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
227 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL 2 SW CANTON 34.23N 84.51W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KFFC 151823
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
223 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1224 PM TORNADO 3 NW ARAGON 34.08N 85.09W
03/15/2008 POLK GA EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 FATAL, 1 INJ *** ONE FATALITY AND ONE SERIOUS
INJURY OCCURRED BETWEEN LIVE OAK AND YARBOROUGH ROADS
WHEN A HOME WAS DESTROYED.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KLZK [151822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 151822
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
122 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0419 AM HAIL 4 NE GLENWOOD 34.37N 93.50W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY AR LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

51

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0421

ACUS11 KWNS 151821
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151821
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-151945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS ERN AL...NRN GA...SC...SRN NC.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 119...

VALID 151821Z - 151945Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 119 CONTINUES.

TORNADIC SUPERCELL HAS PASSED OVER HALL COUNTY GA...MOVING ROUGHLY
FROM 260 DEG AT 50 KT...SLIGHTLY MORE RIGHTWARD THEN EARLIER AND
INTO INCREASINGLY MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM-FRONTAL AIR. ASSOCIATED
POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL MAY
EXTEND TO ANDERSON COUNTY SC AROUND 19Z...UNION/FAIRFIELD/NEWBERRY
COUNTY AREA AROUND 20Z. WITH DESTABILIZATION OF AIR MASS CONTINUING
INVOF WARM FRONT E OF THIS STORM...AND LIKELIHOOD OF
ADDITIONAL/UPSTREAM ACTIVITY MOVING ACROSS THIS REGION...ANOTHER WW
MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS PORTIONS SRN NC AND ERN SC.

VERY INTENSE SFC PRESSURE PERTURBATION WITH MAJOR SUPERCELL
INDICATES INCREASINGLY WELL-DEVELOPED/COLLOCATED MESOLOW. GVL SFC
OB SHOWED 4 MB PRESSURE FALL IN 22 MIN AND 6 MB IN ONE HOUR...PRIOR
TO 40 KT SFC GUST WITH STORM OUTFLOW...THEN 5 MB RISE IN NEXT 7 MIN
THEREAFTER. THIS LOW SHOULD PROCEED EWD ALONG WARM FRONT ACROSS NRN
SC THROUGH NEXT 2-3 HOURS...THEN EWD OVER ADJOINING PORTIONS SRN NC.
ASSOCIATED ISALLOBARIC FORCING WILL MAINTAIN FAVORABLY BACKED WINDS
AND ENLARGED LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ALONG WARM FRONT...WITH MODIFIED
18Z RAOBS AND RUC SOUNDINGS SHOWING MLCAPES AROUND 1000 J/KG IN
PROSPECTIVE INFLOW LAYER. THIS MAY SUPPORT ADDITIONAL SUPERCELL
FORMATION FROM ACTIVITY DEVELOPING AHEAD OF INITIAL/PRIMARY STORM AS
WELL.
MEANWHILE SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE INVOF BOUNDARY
ACROSS NRN GA AND PERHAPS NERN AL...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
EVIDENT IN THOSE AREAS.

.EDWARDS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

33547902 32768366 32818558 33498629 34008580 35128226
35527772 35137690 34667697 34327770 33867798 33887840
33767879

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KHUN [151817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 151817
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
117 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0103 PM HAIL 6 NNE UNDERWOOD-PETERSV 34.95N 87.67W
03/15/2008 E0.50 INCH LAUDERDALE AL PUBLIC


&&

$$

DL

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KFFC [151813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151813
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
213 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL CUMMING 34.21N 84.14W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH FORSYTH GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0200 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151806
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
206 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0139 PM HAIL 5 S LINDALE 34.12N 85.18W
03/15/2008 E1.00 INCH FLOYD GA AMATEUR RADIO

0145 PM HAIL GAINESVILLE 34.29N 83.83W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH HALL GA PUBLIC

0130 PM HAIL 2 S DAWSONVILLE 34.39N 84.12W
03/15/2008 E1.75 INCH DAWSON GA PUBLIC

0130 PM HAIL BALL GROUND 34.34N 84.38W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH CHEROKEE GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151756
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
155 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0138 PM TORNADO 3 N CUMMING 34.25N 84.14W
03/15/2008 FORSYTH GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TORNADO WAS REPORTED CROSSING GA 400 NORTH OF CUMMING.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151738]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KFFC 151738
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
137 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0938 PM TORNADO 1 NW ATLANTA 33.77N 84.43W
03/14/2008 F2 FULTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

NWS DAMAGE SURVEY CONCLUDED AN EF2 TORNADO 6 MILES LONG
AND 200 YARDS WIDE TUCHED DOWN AT SIMPSON AND BURBANK
ROAD AT 938 PM. IT MOVED ACROSS DOWNTOWN ATLANTA AND CAME
UP AT THE CORNER OF BRAEBURN AND JOSEPHINE ROAD IN
WESTERN DEKALB COUNTY.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KLZK [151736]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 151736
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1236 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0308 AM TSTM WND DMG PARON 34.77N 92.75W
03/15/2008 SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE KNOCKED A POWERLINE DOWN NEAR PARON ON HWY 298
BETWEEN HWY 5 AND HWY 9. ALSO A TREE FELL ON A POWERLINE
ON CONGO RD.


&&

$$

51

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KFFC [151732]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151732
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
132 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM HAIL BALL GROUND 34.34N 84.38W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH CHEROKEE GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 151725
SWODY2
SPC AC 151724

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE...FAR
SW OK...THE OK PANHANDLE...FAR SW KS AND FAR SE CO...

..SRN PLAINS AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
A HIGHLY MERIDIONAL UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN THE
DESERTS OF SRN CA AND WRN AZ LATE TONIGHT AS A PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL
JET ORGANIZES ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE CENTER
OF A 60 KT LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO BE LOCATED IN WEST TX AND
EXPAND WITH TIME...RESULTING IN RAPID MOISTURE RETURN SUNDAY NIGHT
ACROSS WEST TX. SFC DEWPOINTS APPEAR LIKELY TO REACH THE MID 50S F
IN THE SRN AND ERN TX PANHANDLE AFTER 06Z MONDAY. AS LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT INCREASES DUE TO THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
LOW...CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NE NM AND
SRN CO EXPANDING EAST AND SEWD INTO THE TX AND OK PANHANDLES IN THE
06Z TO 12Z TIMEFRAME.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...MODEL FORECASTS SHOW AN IMPRESSIVE
90 TO 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET EJECTING NEWD OUT OF THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH AND THIS WILL RESULT IN STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS
THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. THE EJECTING MID-LEVEL JET WILL ALSO SPREAD
AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER EWD ACROSS WEST TX. OF CONCERN IS A WARM
LAYER THAT SHOWS UP ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS JUST ABOVE 700 MB
ASSOCIATED WITH THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER. HOWEVER...CURRENT THINKING
IS THAT LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO BREAK THE CAP AND
CONVECTION WILL BE PRIMARILY ELEVATED IN NATURE. THE AMOUNT OF SHEAR
AND CHARACTER OF THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT EVIDENT ON FORECAST
SOUNDINGS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT SHOULD BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. THE HAIL THREAT COULD ALSO DEVELOP
NWWD INTO SE CO...HOWEVER MOISTURE RETURN IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS AND
THIS MAKES THE THREAT IN SE CO MORE UNCERTAIN ATTM.

.BROYLES.. 03/15/2008

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KBMX [151724]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 151724
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1224 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE PIEDMONT 33.99N 85.56W
03/15/2008 CHEROKEE AL AMATEUR RADIO

POSSIBLE TORNADO...DAMAGE TO A BARN AT 2295 COUNTY ROAD
10. MULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN OVER ROAD.


&&

$$

SUNGER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0420

ACUS11 KWNS 151723
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 151722
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-151845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0420
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN GA...SC...CENTRAL/ERN AL.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 119...

VALID 151722Z - 151845Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 119 CONTINUES.

BAND OF TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED/TORNADIC SUPERCELL WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
EWD ACROSS NRN GA. REPORTS OF TORNADO DAMAGE HAVE COME FROM POLK
COUNTY GA FROM LEADING SUPERCELL...WITH ADDITIONAL TORNADO REPORTS
FROM BARTOW COUNTY. THIS STORM MAY CONTINUE SOME TORNADO POTENTIAL
DESPITE MOVING INTO SLIGHTLY MORE STABLE AIR MASS JUST N OF SFC WARM
FRONT OUTLINED BELOW.

ADDITIONAL SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITH UPSTREAM
CONVECTION ACROSS NWRN GA...PERHAPS BACKBUILDING ACROSS NERN AL.
SUCH ACTIVITY SHOULD HAVE MORE UNSTABLE SURFACE BASED INFLOW PARCELS
THAN INITIAL SUPERCELL BECAUSE OF CONTINUED SFC HEATING AND WAA..AND
NWD MOTION OF WARM FRONT. AS OF 17Z FRONT WAS ANALYZED FROM
KERSHAW-GREENWOOD COUNTIES SC WSWWD ACROSS AHN...BECOMING SOMEWHAT
DIFFUSE ACROSS ATL METRO AREA BECAUSE OF CONVECTIVE EFFECTS FROM
THERE NWD. THIS FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE LIFTING NWD ABOUT 10 KT
ACROSS NERN GA AND SC...REINFORCED BOTH BY DIFFERENTIAL DIABATIC
HEATING AND BY CONVECTION TO ITS N. STRONGEST LOW LEVEL
STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW...VORTICITY...AND 0-1 KM SRH WILL REMAIN
CONCENTRATED ALONG AND WITHIN 50-60 NM N OF THIS FRONT...WHERE
MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE SFC-BASED INFLOW PARCELS STILL WILL
BE POSSIBLE. 0-1 KM SRH 300-450 J/KG IS INDICATED IN VWP DATA...AND
SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT INVOF FRONT.
DEVELOPMENT FARTHER S ACROSS E-CENTRAL AL AND CENTRAL GA IS MORE
CONDITIONAL AND UNCERTAIN BECAUSE OF WEAKER LOW LEVEL FORCING S OF
FRONT.

.EDWARDS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

33308027 31968571 32148659 33358655 34008580 34878310
35018104 34667994

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KFFC [151721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151721
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
121 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM HAIL 3 E EUHARLEE 34.14N 84.88W
03/15/2008 E0.75 INCH BARTOW GA TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL BEFORE AND THEN AFTER POSSIBLE TORNADO MOVED OVER
THE RESIDENCE

1242 PM TORNADO 3 E EUHARLEE 34.14N 84.88W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA TRAINED SPOTTER

POSSIBLE TORNADO KNOCKED DOWN SEVERAL TREES ALONG
EUHARLEE ROAD.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KDVN [151718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 151718
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1217 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM SNOW 3 SE DALLAS CITY 40.60N 91.12W
03/15/2008 M1.8 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATING ON GRASS...SIDEWALKS AND GRAVEL ROADS. LIGHT
SNOW AT THE TIME OF THE REPORT.

1210 PM SNOW 2 WNW BURLINGTON 40.83N 91.16W
03/15/2008 M1.3 INCH DES MOINES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATIONS ARE MAINLY ON THE GRASS

1215 PM SNOW MACOMB 40.47N 90.68W
03/15/2008 E0.3 INCH MCDONOUGH IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATING ON THE GRASS.


&&

$$

DLF

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KFFC [151711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151711
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
111 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1248 PM TORNADO 3 SW CARTERSVILLE 34.14N 84.84W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA AMATEUR RADIO

POSSIBLE TORNADO HAS DAMAGED TREES AND BULDINGS NEAR
WOODLAND HIGH SCHOOL.

1232 PM TORNADO TAYLORSVILLE 34.09N 84.99W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA PUBLIC

POSSIBLE TORNADO HAS DAMAGED SEVERAL MOBILE
HOMES...KNOCKED DOWN NUMEROUS TREES...AND DAMAGED THE
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL IN TAYLORSVILLE.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151656]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151656
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1256 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM HAIL 1 S CAVE SPRING 34.10N 85.33W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH FLOYD GA PUBLIC

1250 PM HAIL 3 SSE LINDALE 34.15N 85.16W
03/15/2008 E0.88 INCH FLOYD GA NWS EMPLOYEE

PENNY TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN SILVER CREEK.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KFFC [151651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151651
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1251 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1224 PM TORNADO 2 NW ARAGON 34.07N 85.08W
03/15/2008 POLK GA EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO ALONG HIGHWAY 101...EMERGENCY CREWS HAVE
BEEN DISPATCHED DUE TO REPORTS OF HEAVY DAMAGE.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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KMFR [151646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 151646
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
946 AM PDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E SIXES 42.81N 124.42W
03/15/2008 M1.00 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN 7AM AND 7AM. NOTE ALSO RECEIVED 1.0 INCH PREVIOUS
DAY.


&&

$$

JOHNSON

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KFFC [151646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 151646
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1246 PM EDT SAT MAR 15 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 PM TORNADO 1 N TAYLORSVILLE 34.11N 84.99W
03/15/2008 BARTOW GA TRAINED SPOTTER

POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE WITH SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND ROOF
DAMAGE ALONG POPUM ROAD NORTH OF TAYLORSVILLE.


&&

$$

MGRIESIN

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