KTSA [150303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 150303
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1003 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0957 PM HAIL 3 E BROKEN ARROW 36.05N 95.74W
03/14/2008 E1.00 INCH WAGONER OK TRAINED SPOTTER

BROKEN ARROW EXPRESSWAY AND MUSKOGEE TURNPIKE NICKEL TO
QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND

&&

$$

JDS

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KTSA [150254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 150254
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
953 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 PM TSTM WND GST CATOOSA 36.19N 95.75W
03/14/2008 E60 MPH ROGERS OK AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

SAA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0405

ACUS11 KWNS 150250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150250
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-150345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0405
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0950 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LA...SRN AR...W-CNTRL MS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 111...

VALID 150250Z - 150345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 111 CONTINUES.

AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE FEW HOURS...WITH
LARGE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS REMAINING THE PRIMARY THREAT
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS UPSCALE CONSOLIDATION OF TSTMS LIKELY
CONTINUES.

AS OF 0245Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTED A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO
SEVERE TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS ACROSS S-CNTRL/SERN AR INTO
N-CNTRL LA. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SUPERCELL /WITH A HISTORY OF
INTERMITTENT TORNADO REPORTS/...WAS LOCATED ON THE SRN FLANK OF THIS
CLUSTER IN LINCOLN PARISH LA. HERE...BOTH INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR A TORNADIC THREAT...WITH SURFACE DEW
POINTS IN THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S AND 1 KM AGL FLOW RECENTLY
STRENGTHENING TO 50 KT /PER LATEST FT POLK LA VAD PROFILER/. FARTHER
N IN SRN AR...ACTIVITY HAS RECENTLY SHOWN SIGNS OF CONSOLIDATING
INTO AN MCS. ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...OVERALL TREND SHOULD BE FOR INCREASINGLY ELEVATED CONVECTION
AS TSTMS EVOLVE ATOP A COOLER/MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER COMPARED TO
NRN LA.

ACROSS THE SWRN PORTION OF THE WW...PENETRATION OF ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER COMBINED WITH STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL ASCENT BECOMING FOCUSED
TOWARDS THE MS RIVER...SHOULD LEAD TO A LOW PROBABILITY OF ANY
ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING.

.GRAMS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

31929201 32249297 32449425 33609450 34619440 34669281
34569144 34339086 33919042 33299032 32489046 31759071
31769129

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KJAN [150247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 150247
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
947 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0938 PM HAIL 6 NNE MONTROSE 33.38N 91.46W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH ASHLEY AR EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTED BY CHICOT COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER ON HIGHWAY
165 NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF DREW, ASHLEY, AND CHICOT
COUNTIES.

&&

$$

BRYANT

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KJAN [150223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 150223
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
923 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM HAIL HAMBURG 33.23N 91.80W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH ASHLEY AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED IN HAMBURG.

&&

$$

JCULIN

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KHUN [150217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KHUN 150217
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
917 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0544 PM HAIL GERALDINE 34.36N 86.00W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC AND RELAYED BY EMA.

0558 PM HAIL DOG TOWN 34.35N 85.74W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH DEKALB AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

PUBLIC REPORT OF PENNY SIZED HAIL. RELAYED BY SHERIFFS
OFFICE.

0558 PM HAIL S GERALDINE 34.36N 86.00W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON HWY 176

0643 PM HAIL ALBERTVILLE 34.26N 86.21W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH MARSHALL AL PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AMP

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KSHV [150211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150211
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
911 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 5 SE HOPE 33.62N 93.53W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH HEMPSTEAD AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

D. BUTTS

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KJAN [150205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 150205
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
905 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0902 PM HAIL CROSSETT 33.13N 91.97W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH ASHLEY AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER TO GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED IN CROSSETT, WEST
CROSSETT AND NORTH CROSSETT.

&&

$$

JFAIRLY

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KSHV [150205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KSHV 150205
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
905 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 3 N ARCADIA 32.59N 92.92W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH CLAIBORNE LA AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

D. BUTTS

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KSHV [150203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150203
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
903 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL 6 E MINDEN 32.62N 93.18W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER LA AMATEUR RADIO

0840 PM HAIL 3 N ARCADIA 32.59N 92.92W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH CLAIBORNE LA AIRPLANE PILOT

&&

$$

D. BUTTS

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KFFC [150158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150158
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
958 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM TORNADO 1 NW ATLANTA 33.77N 84.43W
03/14/2008 FULTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO CAUSED DAMAGE TO THE GEORGIA DOME.
DAMAGE AT CNN ALSO REPORTED FROM MEDIA.

&&

$$

SNELSON

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KOUN [150154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 150154
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
853 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0825 PM TSTM WND GST 10 WSW SEWARD 35.74N 97.65W
03/14/2008 E60 MPH LOGAN OK PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 50-60 MPH

&&

$$

DW

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KSHV [150143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150143
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
843 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0834 PM HAIL 18 W EL DORADO 33.22N 92.97W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH UNION AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL FELL IN THE MOUNT HOLLY COMMUNITY

&&

$$

15

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KSHV [150142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150142
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
842 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM HAIL WALDO 33.35N 93.30W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH COLUMBIA AR BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN WALDO

0800 PM HAIL 1 NE MAGNOLIA 33.29N 93.22W
03/14/2008 E1.25 INCH COLUMBIA AR TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

15

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KFFC [150134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150134
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
934 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N CEDARTOWN 34.09N 85.26W
03/14/2008 POLK GA EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGED OUTBUILDINGS. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

SNELSON

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KFFC [150124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150124
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
923 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 PM HAIL 2 SW SMYRNA 33.85N 84.54W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH COBB GA PUBLIC

&&

$$

SNELSON

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KFFC [150123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150123
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
922 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HAIL 4 W KENNESAW 34.02N 84.69W
03/14/2008 E1.00 INCH COBB GA PUBLIC

&&

$$

SNELSON

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KLZK [150121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 150121
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
820 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM HAIL ELLIOTT 33.45N 92.83W
03/14/2008 E1.00 INCH OUACHITA AR TRAINED SPOTTER

THE HAIL COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

$$

58

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 112

WWUS20 KWNS 150117
SEL2
SPC WW 150117
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-150900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 112
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
820 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 820 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
FAYETTEVILLE ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 111...

DISCUSSION...SMALL MCS BEGINNING TO FORM OVER N CNTRL OK AHEAD OF
ESE-MOVING MID-LEVEL VORT MAX MAY POSE AN INCREASING THREAT FOR DMGG
WIND AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR HAIL GIVEN MDT TO STRONG
UNIDIRECTIONAL MID-LEVEL FLOW...STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AND FAIRLY DEEP...DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 28035.

..CORFIDI

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KSHV [150118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150118
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
818 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL COTTON VALLEY 32.81N 93.42W
03/14/2008 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER LA AIRPLANE PILOT

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL IN COTTON VALLEY

0810 PM FUNNEL CLOUD COTTON VALLEY 32.81N 93.42W
03/14/2008 WEBSTER LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED JUST SOUTH OF COTTON VALLEY

&&

$$

15

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KLZK [150115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 150115
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
815 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 PM HAIL CAMDEN 33.57N 92.85W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH OUACHITA AR TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

58

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KFFC [150113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150113
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
913 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 PM HAIL DALLAS 33.92N 84.83W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH PAULDING GA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

SNELSON

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KSHV [150111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150111
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
811 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM HAIL 5 N COTTON VALLEY 32.89N 93.42W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH WEBSTER LA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FELL IN SAREPTA

&&

$$

15

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150105
SWODY1
SPC AC 150102

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0802 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND SERN U.S....

..ERN OK AND EXTREME NERN TX THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY...

A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE TN VALLEY REGIONS SWWD AND BECOMES A
QUASISTATIONARY FRONT ACROSS SRN AR...THEN WNWWD TO A SURFACE LOW IN
WRN OK. A DRYLINE EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL OK SWD THROUGH ERN TX. THE
ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF
THE FRONT FROM SRN AR...NRN LA THROUGH ERN TX WHERE RICHER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WITH 50S DEWPOINTS EXISTS IN WARM SECTOR BENEATH STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES. TEMPERATURES WARMED INTO THE LOW 80S IN THIS AREA
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...AND THE CAP HAS WEAKENED SUFFICIENTLY FOR
ISOLATED CELLS TO BEGIN DEVELOPING FROM EXTREME NW LA INTO SWRN AR.
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND EXPAND NEWD AS THE
LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM OK VORT MAX AND ENHANCES
LIFT ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. AS THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS
AND MID LEVEL SPEED MAX SHIFTS EWD...0-1 KM HODOGRAPH SIZE AND DEEP
SHEAR WILL INCREASE AND SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOW
LEVEL MESOCYCLONES. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO DECOUPLE LATER THIS EVENING.

FARTHER WEST...HIGH BASED CONVECTION SPREADING EWD OUT OF CNTRL OK
IN ASSOCIATION WITH VORT MAX MAY INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES EWD
DURING THE EVENING AND ENCOUNTERS INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
INFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. OTHER STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP
WITHIN ZONE OF INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF FRONT ACROSS
CNTRL AND NRN AR INTO PARTS OF NRN MS...AL AND TN LATER TONIGHT AS
THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL...BUT ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

..AL AND GA...

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE WITH STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER NERN AL AND PARTS OF GA WITHIN ZONE OF LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. DEEP LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE TN VALLEY IS SHIFTING EAST OF THIS
REGION. THIS ALONG WITH ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGEST STORMS
WILL PROBABLY GRADUALLY WEAKEN. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP FARTHER WEST CROSS PARTS OF AL AND MS NORTH OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS DOWNSTREAM FROM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE PLAINS.

.DIAL.. 03/15/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0404

ACUS11 KWNS 150102
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150101
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-150130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0404
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN OK...SOUTH CENTRAL/SERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 150101Z - 150130Z

WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL/ERN
OK...FAR SOUTH CENTRAL/SERN KS...AND EVENTUALLY INTO SWRN MO/NWRN
AR.

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED CLOUD TOPS CONTINUING TO COOL ACROSS NRN
OK..WITH SOME INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT. THIS APPEARS TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG ASCENT ATTENDANT TO LEAD MID LEVEL IMPULSE
AHEAD OF MAIN SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO SWRN KS AND THE
OK/TX PANHANDLES. IN THE LOW LEVELS...SURFACE LOW IS REDEVELOPING
SEWD INTO SWRN OK...WITH A WARM FRONT RETREATING NWD AND EXTENDING
NEWD THROUGH CENTRAL INTO NERN OK. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD NWD THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR AND COMBINED WITH PLUME OF
STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL SUPPORT DESTABILIZING AIR MASS WITH AT LEAST
MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ALTHOUGH LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING WILL
INCREASE SURFACE BASED INHIBITION...A VERY DRY AND DEEP SUB-CLOUD
LAYER PER 00Z OUN SOUNDING SUGGESTS WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT AS STRONGER FLOW ALOFT REACHES THE SURFACE WITHIN STRONGER
DOWNDRAFTS. UNIDIRECTIONAL WINDS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A LOW
DEWPOINT WIND THREAT.

.PETERS.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

35359759 36129776 37099780 37439764 37479646 37429487
37269449 36379415 35409426 34819441 34949608 35129683

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KSHV [150054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 150054
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
753 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 PM HAIL HOSSTON 32.88N 93.88W
03/14/2008 M2.00 INCH CADDO LA AMATEUR RADIO

2.25 INCH SIZED HAIL MEASURED IN HOSSTON

0720 PM HAIL BODCAW 33.56N 93.40W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH NEVADA AR TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN BODCAW

0725 PM HAIL WILLISVILLE 33.52N 93.29W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH NEVADA AR AIRPLANE PILOT

NICKEL SIZED HAIL IN WILLISVILLE

0725 PM HAIL BRADLEY 33.10N 93.66W
03/14/2008 E1.00 INCH LAFAYETTE AR EMERGENCY MNGR

QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN BRADLEY

&&

$$

15

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KMFR [150039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 150039
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
539 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0538 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 N HAPPY CAMP 41.80N 123.38W
03/14/2008 M1.32 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR PERIOD

&&

$$

SUGDEN

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KMFR [150039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 150039
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
539 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0538 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.71W
03/14/2008 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 12 AM PDT

&&

$$

SUGDEN

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KFFC [150021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 150021
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
821 PM EDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0818 PM HAIL 4 SSE LINDALE 34.13N 85.15W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH FLOYD GA EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

SNELSON

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 111

WWUS20 KWNS 150019
SEL1
SPC WW 150019
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-150800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 111
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 715 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TEXARKANA ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GREENVILLE
MISSISSIPPI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE JUST DEVELOPED OVER NE TX/SW AR IN LOW-LEVEL
WAA ZONE ALONG WEAK WNW/ESE-ORIENTED WARM FRONT. STORMS/SUPERCELLS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN WW THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AS EXIT REGION OF
SLIGHTLY-AMPLIFYING MID/UPR JET STREAK OVER WRN OK CONTINUES ESEWD.
COMBINATION OF INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...MODERATE TO STRONG
SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...AND INCREASING UVV SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW SUSTAINED DISCRETE SUPERCELLS THAT COULD YIELD A COUPLE
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND. THE STORMS SHOULD
MERGE INTO AN MCS BY EARLY SATURDAY...WITH A CONTINUING THREAT FOR
HAIL/WIND E/NE INTO ERN AR/NW MS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.

..CORFIDI

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KHUN [150016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 150016
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
716 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0643 PM HAIL ALBERTVILLE 34.26N 86.21W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH MARSHALL AL PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

$$

AMP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0403

ACUS11 KWNS 150011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150011
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-150115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0711 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL/WRN GA/ERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 150011Z - 150115Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...BUT
OVERALL THREAT WILL DECREASE.

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH A MAIN THREAT OF HAIL
WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS WEAK
INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 50-60 KTS ARE
EVIDENT ACROSS THE AREA. STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN NEAR A WEAK
SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NRN AL/GA WHERE SFC CONVERGENCE
COMBINED WITH THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET ASSOCIATED
WITH ATTENDANT SHORT WAVE HAS AIDED IN VERY LOCALIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. DOWNWARD TREND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO AS MAIN SHORT WAVE LIFTS NEWD AND SFC INSTABILITY
WEAKENS WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

.HURLBUT.. 03/15/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...

31808494 31898570 32738694 34208675 35018572 35228455
34568394 33098359 31908436

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0402

ACUS11 KWNS 142359
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142359
MSZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-150030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0402
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0659 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN TX/SRN AR/NRN LA/PARTS OF WRN/CENTRAL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 142359Z - 150030Z

WW IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR FAR NERN TX INTO NRN LA/SRN AR AND PARTS
OF WRN/CENTRAL MS.

EARLY EVENING SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM CENTRAL MS WWD THROUGH FAR SRN AR INTO OK. MOIST AIR MASS
ALONG AND S OF THIS BOUNDARY COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING HAS
RESULTED IN MODERATE INSTABILITY GRADIENT ACROSS THIS REGION.
INCREASING ASCENT AHEAD OF SRN HIGH PLAINS SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND
LIFT WITHIN 80+ KT WLY MID LEVEL JET TRANSLATING EWD INTO NERN TX/
SRN AR/NRN LA BY LATE THIS EVENING WILL FURTHER ENHANCE UPDRAFT
POTENTIAL. STRONG EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES /7-8.5 C/KM/ WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED ROTATING
UPDRAFTS WITH HAIL AND STRONG WINDS. TORNADO THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST
ACROSS THIS REGION GIVEN ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND SSWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW.

.PETERS.. 03/14/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...

32778992 32039045 32199245 32439405 32889441 33869428
34299342 33939158 33529052

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KHUN [142337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KHUN 142337
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
637 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0544 PM HAIL GERALDINE 34.36N 86.00W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC AND RELAYED BY EMA.

0558 PM HAIL DOG TOWN 34.35N 85.74W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH DEKALB AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

PUBLIC REPORT OF PENNY SIZED HAIL. RELAYED BY SHERIFFS
OFFICE.

0558 PM HAIL S GERALDINE 34.36N 86.00W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON HWY 176

&&

$$

AMP

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KSHV [142337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 142337
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
637 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM HAIL 8 E RINGOLD 34.23N 95.00W
03/13/2008 E1.25 INCH MCCURTAIN OK PUBLIC

QUARTER TO HALF-DOLLAR SIZED HAIL FELL AT A RESIDENCE.

&&

$$

D. BUTTS

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KHUN [142328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 142328
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
628 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0544 PM HAIL GERALDINE 34.36N 86.00W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH DEKALB AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC AND RELAYED BY EMA.

0558 PM HAIL DOG TOWN 34.35N 85.74W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH DEKALB AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

PUBLIC REPORT OF PENNY SIZED HAIL. RELAYED BY SHERIFFS
OFFICE.

0558 PM HAIL MOUNT VERNON 35.41N 84.36W
03/14/2008 E0.25 INCH MONROE TN EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON HWY 176

&&

$$

AMP

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KBOI [142319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 142319
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
519 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM HAIL 3 E NAMPA 43.58N 116.51W
03/14/2008 M0.50 INCH CANYON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL WAS VERY SOFT. PEAK WIND WITH STORM 10 MPH.

0502 PM HAIL 3 NW MERIDIAN 43.64N 116.44W
03/14/2008 M0.50 INCH ADA ID NWS EMPLOYEE

LIGHTNING STRIKES AS WELL. LIGHT WINDS.

0513 PM HAIL 1 N EAGLE 43.71N 116.36W
03/14/2008 M0.25 INCH ADA ID NWS EMPLOYEE

VERY SOFT HAIL. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. WIND GUST 20
MPH.

&&

$$

VMILLS

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KBMX [142243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 142243
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
543 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HAIL SEALE 32.30N 85.17W
03/14/2008 E0.88 INCH RUSSELL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

KLAWS

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KHNX [142221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 142221
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
320 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 NNW MOJAVE 35.27N 118.29W
03/13/2008 M60.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT JAWBONE CANYON RAWS

1014 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
03/13/2008 M58.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

0209 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NNE EDWARDS AFB 34.98N 117.90W
03/13/2008 M51.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT EDWARDS AIR FORCE BASE AUXILARY NORTH

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW INYOKERN 35.63N 117.86W
03/13/2008 M64.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT INDIAN WELLS CANYON RAWS

0750 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 S MOJAVE 35.04N 118.18W
03/13/2008 M51.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE MOJAVE NTPS

0755 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 SSE INYOKERN 35.45N 117.71W
03/13/2008 M56.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT LAUREL TOWER CHINA LAKE RANGE

&&

$$

PETERSON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0401

ACUS11 KWNS 142138
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142137
GAZ000-TNZ000-ALZ000-142200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0437 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN AL/ERN TN INTO WRN/CENTRAL GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 142137Z - 142200Z

WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR PARTS OF ERN TN/ERN AL INTO WRN/CENTRAL
GA.

ASCENT ATTENDANT TO UPPER TN VALLEY SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND VORTICITY
LOBE EXTENDING SWD THROUGH ERN AL/WRN GA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
TSTM DEVELOPMENT FROM ERN TN/ERN AL INTO GA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SWLY LOW LEVEL FLOW FROM SRN AL INTO
CENTRAL GA HAS AIDED IN MOISTURE INFLUX INTO THIS REGION...WHILE
PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SPREADS EWD WITHIN STRONG
/50-60 KT/ WLY FLOW ALOFT...AND ATOP MOISTURE RETURN. THESE WIND
FIELDS ARE SUPPORTING DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 50 KT. THIS COMBINED
WITH MARGINAL INSTABILITY SUGGESTS A FEW STRONGER CORES WILL POSE A
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZATION AND A THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH TSTM COVERAGE IS SOMEWHAT LOW AT THIS POINT...
FURTHER DESTABILIZATION INTO THE EVENING MAY SUPPORT GREATER TSTM
DEVELOPMENT.

.PETERS.. 03/14/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MRX...FFC...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...

36028493 34898481 34158503 33318481 32818368 31868322
31268374 31198510 31578588 32848627 33568667 34568644
35718563

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KVEF [142110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KVEF 142110
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
210 PM PDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW INDEPENDENCE 36.76N 118.22W
03/13/2008 M60.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SIERRA ROTORS SITE 8. ELEVATION 4724 FEET.

0400 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N BISHOP 37.40N 118.40W
03/13/2008 M55.00 MPH INYO CA DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

US HIGHWAY 395 WAS CLOSED FROM BISHOP TO NORTH OF THE
MONO-INYO COUNTY LINE TO BRIDGEPORT DUE TO HIGH CROSS
WINDS FROM 4 AM TO 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING. GUSTS UP TO 55
MPH WERE MEASURED BY SEVERAL SITES FROM THE OWENS VALLEY
MESONET.

0710 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW INDEPENDENCE 36.77N 118.28W
03/13/2008 M66.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SIERRA ROTORS SITE 1. ELEVATION 5697 FEET.

0830 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SW INDEPENDENCE 36.76N 118.25W
03/13/2008 M64.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SIERRA ROTORS SITE 7. ELEVATION 5167 FEET.

1014 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 28 S OLANCHA 35.87N 117.92W
03/13/2008 M72.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT FIVE MILE RAWS. ELEVATION 4150 FEET.

1137 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BARSTOW 34.88N 117.07W
03/13/2008 M52.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA ASOS

MEASURED AT KDAG.

0514 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 19 NNW LENWOOD 35.15N 117.18W
03/13/2008 M46.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT OPAL MOUNTAIN RAWS. ELEVATION 3240 FEET.

0551 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 29 SSW SEARLES VALLEY 35.37N 117.57W
03/13/2008 M71.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SQUAW SPRINGS RAWS. ELEVATION 3620 FEET.

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 35 NE BEATTY 37.20N 116.23W
03/14/2008 M63.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

MEASURED AT AREA 12 MESA. ELEVATION 7492 FEET.

0532 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BARSTOW 34.88N 117.07W
03/14/2008 M46.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA ASOS

MEASURED AT KDAG.

0832 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 NNW LATHROP WELLS 36.84N 116.47W
03/14/2008 M51.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

MEASURED AT YUCCA MOUNTAIN AT 4951 FEET.

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 NNW LATHROP WELLS 36.84N 116.47W
03/14/2008 M58.00 MPH NYE NV MESONET

MEASURED AT YUCCA MOUNTAIN. ELEVATION 4951 FEET.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KTSA [142024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 142024
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
323 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1058 PM HAIL 2 S MILLTOWN 35.13N 94.15W
03/13/2008 E0.88 INCH SEBASTIAN AR PUBLIC

&&

$$

SAA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0400

ACUS11 KWNS 142023
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142023
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-142300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0323 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS WRN/NRN/CENTRAL OK...SWRN/S-CENTRAL
KS...E-CENTRAL/NERN TX PANHANDLE.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 142023Z - 142300Z

TSTM POTENTIAL IS FCST TO INCREASE AND MOVE EWD THROUGH REMAINDER
AFTERNOON ACROSS DISCUSSION AREA -- HIGH-BASED...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED STG-SVR GUSTS POSSIBLE.

MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AND VWP/PROFILER WINDS INDICATE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING OUT OF S-CENTRAL ROCKIES AND ACROSS PORTIONS S-CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS. ASSOCIATED STG/COMPACT PLUME OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT IS
SHIFTING EWD ACROSS TX PANHANDLE...ACCOMPANIED BY VERY HIGH BASED
CONVECTION. SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWS CYCLONE INVOF NERN CORNER TX
PANHANDLE...FCST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS NWRN OK THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
DIFFUSE WARM FRONT SEWD ACROSS SERN OK SHOULD LIFT NWD OVER PORTIONS
CENTRAL/NRN OK. CONVECTION INITIALLY DEVELOPING ATOP VERY DRY SFC
AIR OF PANHANDLES AND SWRN KS -- E.G. DEW POINTS 20S F -- MAY MOVE
EWD PAST SFC LOW AND INTO WARMER AND SOMEWHAT MORE MOIST AIR...WITH
DEW POINTS MID-UPPER 30S. MORE BACKED/SLY AND SELY SFC WINDS WILL
ACCOMPANY PRESSURE FALLS NEAR AND N OF WARM FRONT. THIS REGIME WILL
RESULT IN INCREASE OF BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE...STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW
AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AVAILABLE TO ANY ACTIVITY MOVING EWD FROM
PANHANDLES. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST VERY STEEP LOW-MIDDLE
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 9 DEG C/KM...AND SFC BASED LIFTED PARCELS
BETWEEN NOW AND ABOUT 01Z..SUPPORTING ABOUT 500 J/KG MLCAPE. 40-50
KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR AND 0-6 KM SHEAR UP TO 65 KT ALREADY ARE EVIDENT
OVER REGION PER VICI PROFILER.

SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL AND SMALL BOW
STRUCTURES...WITH POTENTIAL FOR HAIL/WIND GIVEN DEEP/WELL-MIXED
SUBCLOUD LAYER. MOMENTUM FROM VERY STG AMBIENT/GRADIENT FLOW ALOFT
MAY BE BROUGHT TO SFC IN MORE VIGOROUS DOWNDRAFTS.

.EDWARDS.. 03/14/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

35060009 35880131 37089993 37589951 37699878 37649793
37299712 36969674 36739661 36369655 35989665 35399705
35129742 35089982

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 142002
SWODY1
SPC AC 142000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...OZARK PLATEAU AND TN VALLEY...

..SRN PLAINS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN
ROCKIES AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SRN PLAINS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. AT THE SFC...A 998 MB LOW IS LOCATED ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE WITH SOUTH TO SELY FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE ERN
PORTION OF THE SRN PLAINS. AN EAST TO WEST THERMAL GRADIENT EXISTS
ON SFC ANALYSIS ACROSS SRN KS WITH A SFC TROUGH LOCATED FROM THE SFC
LOW NEWD INTO SCNTRL KS. AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES DUE TO THE
APPROACH OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...CONVECTION
APPEARS LIKELY TO INITIATE NEAR THE WRN EDGE OF THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA. THIS IS CONFIRMED BY THE RUC MODEL WHICH DEVELOPS A CONVECTIVE
CLUSTER IN SRN KS BY EARLY EVENING. SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS AGREE
WITH THIS SCENARIO AND EXPAND CONVECTION SEWD ACROSS NE OK INTO AR
BY LATE THIS EVENING.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS DUE TO A BROAD AXIS OF
STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW. THIS WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AS
STORMS INITIATE IN SRN KS AND MOVE SEWD ACROSS NE OK THIS EVENING.
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALONG THIS CORRIDOR CURRENTLY EXCEED 7.5
C/KM ACCORDING TO RUC ANALYSIS AND THIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR
LARGE HAIL. SUPERCELLS MAY ALSO HAVE AN ISOLATED TORNADO/WIND DAMAGE
THREAT THIS EVENING. SFC DEWPOINTS IN SRN KS AND NRN OK ARE ONLY
AROUND 40 F BUT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY RETURN NWD INTO
THE REGION. THE RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER MAKES THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT COVERAGE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS MORE UNCERTAIN ATTM.

..OZARK PLATEAU/TN VALLEY...
A SFC LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AS A
LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION TONIGHT. MODEL
FORECASTS ORGANIZE A WARM FRONT FROM SE OK EXTENDING EWD ACROSS SRN
AR INTO NCNTRL MS DEVELOPING CONVECTION ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
BOUNDARY AROUND MIDNIGHT. IT APPEARS THAT SEVERAL MCS/S MAY ORGANIZE
AND MOVE EWD ACROSS AR...MS..WRN TN AND NRN AL BY LATE IN THE
PERIOD.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...MODERATE TO STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR
IS ALREADY IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE EXIT REGION OF A 75 TO 85 KT MID-LEVEL
JET APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT AS STORMS INITIATE LATE THIS EVENING WITH THE MOST
LIKELY AREA ALONG AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF A WARM FRONT IN SRN AR
AND NCNTRL MS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL RAPIDLY STRENGTHEN LATE THIS
EVENING ACROSS SRN AR AND NW MS AS A LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS.
SUPERCELLS THAT TRACK EWD ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT MAY
PRODUCE A FEW TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ARE ALREADY IN PLACE AND 500 MB TEMPS ARE BELOW -20C ACROSS CNTRL
AND NRN AR SUGGESTING THERMODYNAMICS ARE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL.
THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR WIND DAMAGE
AND THE GREATEST POTENTIAL SHOULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS OVERNIGHT.

.BROYLES.. 03/14/2008

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KPUB [141840]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 141840
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1240 PM MDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1234 PM SNOW 1 WSW WOODLAND PARK 38.99N 105.07W
03/14/2008 M5.0 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW SNOWFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

$$

RMG

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KTSA [141813]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 141813
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
113 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM HAIL CLAREMORE 36.31N 95.62W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH ROGERS OK DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED BY TURN PIKE TOLL GATE OPERATOR

1115 PM HAIL 3 S HEAVENER 34.85N 94.60W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH LE FLORE OK LAW ENFORCEMENT

1115 PM TSTM WND GST 3 S HEAVENER 34.85N 94.60W
03/13/2008 E0.00 MPH LE FLORE OK LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 65MPH

1230 AM HAIL 8 S CASS 35.57N 93.82W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

&&

$$

BAS

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KCYS [141751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 141751
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1151 AM MDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0951 AM SNOW DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
03/14/2008 M1.0 INCH CONVERSE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

0952 AM SNOW LOST SPRINGS 42.77N 104.92W
03/14/2008 M1.0 INCH CONVERSE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING.

0954 AM SNOW BILL 43.21N 105.26W
03/14/2008 M1.5 INCH CONVERSE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNTS RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO INCHES

0959 AM SNOW CHADRON 42.83N 103.00W
03/14/2008 E2.0 INCH DAWES NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0959 AM SNOW HARRISON 42.69N 103.88W
03/14/2008 E3.5 INCH SIOUX NE PUBLIC

DEPTH RANGE FROM 3-4 INCHES.

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 141732
SWODY2
SPC AC 141729

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TN
VALLEY...SRN APPALACHIANS AND CAROLINAS...

..TN VALLEY/SRN APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS...
ZONAL FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY ACROSS THE SRN
STATES AS A 90 TO 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET QUICKLY APPROACHES THE TN
VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A STRONG LOW CENTER IN THE OZARKS EARLY IN THE
PERIOD WILL MOVE EWD INTO TN SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD
ACROSS MS AND AL DURING THE DAY. A WARM FRONT SOUTHEAST OF THE LOW
WILL ALSO LIFT NEWD ACROSS GA INTO SOUTH CAROLINA BY AFTERNOON.
SEVERAL STORM CLUSTERS AND POSSIBLY AN MCS MAY BE ONGOING AT THE
BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD AS SUGGESTED BY SEVERAL SHORT-TERM MODELS
NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE SFC LOW AND WARM FRONT. THIS CONVECTION
SHOULD MOVE EWD ACROSS TN AND NRN AL REACHING THE SRN APPALACHIAN
MTNS AROUND MIDDAY. AS INSTABILITY INCREASES SATURDAY...CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE APPEARS LIKELY TO EXPAND EWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND NRN
GA DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH MCS DEVELOPMENT AGAIN POSSIBLE BY
SATURDAY EVENING.

CONCERNING THE STORM ENVIRONMENT...MODEL FORECASTS GRADUALLY
STRENGTHEN VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIANS SATURDAY AS
THE MID-LEVEL JET APPROACHES. AS A RESULT...SHEAR SHOULD BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS DURING THE DAY. ALTHOUGH THE
WARM SECTOR WILL LIKELY BE CAPPED...LIFT WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED LOW-LEVEL JET MOVE INTO THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. IN RESPONSE...SHEAR AND LIFT WILL SUPPORT
SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT WITH
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES LIKELY DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS
ZONE FROM NEAR ATLANTA GA EWD TO NEAR MYRTLE BEACH SC SHOULD HAVE
THE GREATEST COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY AND THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WITH THE MORE
INTENSE CELLS. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR
SHOW IMPRESSIVE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES WITH SELY 10 KT FLOW AT THE
SFC AND ABOUT 45 KT SWLY FLOW AT 850 MB SUGGESTING A TORNADO THREAT
WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT SHOULD
EXIST WITH LONGER-LIVED SUPERCELLS THAT TRACK EWD ALONG THE WARM
FRONT. FURTHER NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS NC...MODEL FORECASTS
SHOW ELEVATED CAPE MOSTLY ABOVE THE 700 MB LEVEL WITH STEEP ENOUGH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES FOR LARGE HAIL. ALTHOUGH...INSTABILITY WILL
LIKELY BE STRONGER SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT IN CNTRL GA...A CAPPING
INVERSION SHOULD KEEP STORM DEVELOPMENT AND THE SEVERE THREAT MORE
ISOLATED.

.BROYLES.. 03/14/2008

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KMFR [141702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 141702
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1002 AM PDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1001 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 E PORT ORFORD 42.75N 124.40W
03/14/2008 M1.00 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR PERIOD ENDING 8 AM PDT FRIDAY

&&

$$

SUGDEN

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KPIH [141645]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 141645
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO/IDAHO FALLS ID
1045 AM MDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 40 SE ST. ANTHONY 43.56N 111.12W
03/14/2008 E5.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL AMOUNT FROM 3/14 OOZ TO 3/14 12Z.

0700 AM SNOW 15 NE ST. ANTHONY 44.12N 111.47W
03/14/2008 E10.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL AMOUNT FROM 3/13 13Z TO 3/14 13Z.

0700 AM SNOW 16 NE ST. ANTHONY 44.13N 111.46W
03/14/2008 E12.0 INCH FREMONT ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL AMOUNT FROM 3/13 12Z TO 3/14 12Z.

&&

$$

TWYATT

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140610
SWODY1
SPC AC 140608

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF OK AND SRN KS
INTO THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS...

..SYNOPSIS...

INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY REGION
WILL CONTINUE EAST THROUGH THE SERN STATES...REACHING THE CAROLINAS
OVERNIGHT. SECONDARY IMPULSE OVER NWRN GULF WILL MOVE EAST INTO NRN
FL DURING THE DAY. AN UPSTREAM LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH
ATTENDANT STRONG MID LEVEL JET WILL REACH THE SRN PLAINS BY FRIDAY
EVENING. WEAK SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EWD INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC IN ASSOCIATION WITH LEAD IMPULSE WITH TRAILING FRONT
EXTENDING SWWD THROUGH THE TN VALLEY...LOWER MS VALLEY AND OK. WRN
PORTIONS OF THIS FRONT WILL STALL AS CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES AND THE
SLY LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING WAVE. THE
DRYLINE WILL EXTEND SWD FROM THE LOW THROUGH ERN TX.

..N CNTRL OK THROUGH SRN KS EWD INTO THE LOWER MS AND TN VALLEYS...

PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH DEWPOINTS MOSTLY IN THE 50S IN OK
AND NRN AR...BUT WITH SOME LOW 60S OVER THE SRN PARTS OF THE LOWER
MS VALLEY WILL RESIDE SOUTH OF THE FRONT BENEATH VERY STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THIS WARM SECTOR WILL BE CAPPED
MUCH OF THE DAY DUE TO PRESENCE OF EML. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
GRADUALLY DESTABILIZE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS DURING THE DAY AND
AS STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET ADVECTS MOISTURE NWD BENEATH COLD MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES DURING THE EVENING WITH -20C AT 500 MB AND MUCAPE
AROUND 1500 J/KG LIKELY. INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDING
EXIT REGION OF EWD ADVANCING UPPER JET AND STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET WILL RESULT IN INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS IN
VICINITY OF THE FRONT FROM NRN OK...SRN KS EWD INTO PART OF AR. BULK
SHEAR PROFILES OF 50 + KT WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH STORMS THAT
MANAGE TO DEVELOP. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY DURING THE EVENING FROM NERN OK INTO PARTS OF
AR BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES WHERE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL
JET WILL RESULT IN LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS.

THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT WHERE THE
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL INCREASE LIFT NORTH OF THE FRONT.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED...BUT COLD AIR
ALOFT...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND BULK SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
SUPERCELLS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL. ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY EXPAND EWD INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT.

..N CNTRL FL...

IMPULSE OVER THE GULF WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO FL BY AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE AND MODELS INDICATE A STRONG
SWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE AND CONTRIBUTE TO THE
NEWD ADVECTION OF RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO PARTS OF FL. LOW
LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING
SEGMENTS WITH A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS
ISOLATED TORNADOES. AT THIS TIME...PRIMARY UNCERTAINTY IS HOW MUCH
BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY WILL OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE.
SO RISK IN THIS AREA APPEARS SOMEWHAT CONDITIONAL. IF IT BEGINS TO
APPEAR SUFFICIENT MOISTURE RETURN AND DESTABILIZATION WILL DEVELOP
OVER FL AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK MIGHT BE NECESSARY IN LATER
UPDATES.

..SERN U.S...

SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE EWD THROUGH PARTS OF THE
SERN STATES FROM EARLY FRIDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH. CURRENT THINKING IS MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY
WILL BEGIN TO OUTRUN THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AND MAY REMAIN AT
LEAST SLIGHTLY ELEVATED. DESTABILIZATION WILL OCCUR IN WAKE OF THE
CONVECTION...BUT SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF LEAD WAVE AND LACK OF A LOW
LEVEL FOCUS SUGGEST IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO INITIATE STORMS UPSTREAM.
HOWEVER...AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES UPSTREAM OF EXISTING
ACTIVITY...INCREASING WSWLY UNSTABLE INFLOW COULD RESULT IN SOME
INTENSIFICATION OF EXISTING STORMS WITH PRIMARY THREAT BEING HAIL.

.DIAL.. 03/14/2008

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KTSA [140556]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KTSA 140556
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1255 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM HAIL NE RATTAN 34.20N 95.41W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH PUSHMATAHA OK LAW ENFORCEMENT

1038 PM TORNADO 6 NE RATTAN 34.26N 95.34W
03/13/2008 PUSHMATAHA OK TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTERS ON HWY 3 REPORTED A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN 6NE OF
RATTAN

1022 PM HAIL 3 SW WISTER 34.94N 94.76W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH LE FLORE OK AMATEUR RADIO

1010 PM HAIL N GREENWOOD 35.22N 94.26W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH SEBASTIAN AR TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GREENWOOD

0930 PM HAIL MOYERS 34.33N 95.65W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH PUSHMATAHA OK TRAINED SPOTTER

0855 PM HAIL 2 S BRISTOW 35.80N 96.39W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH CREEK OK EMERGENCY MNGR

0554 PM HAIL ALTUS 35.45N 93.76W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL AT ALTUS AND US HIGHWAY 64

0547 PM HAIL JETHRO 35.61N 93.89W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0547 PM HAIL 3 S WATALULA 35.53N 93.83W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL AT I-40 EAST BOUND REST STOP
BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 35 AND 37.

0530 PM HAIL JETHRO 35.61N 93.89W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH FRANKLIN AR TRAINED SPOTTER

0520 PM HAIL MULBERRY 35.50N 94.05W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD AR TRAINED SPOTTER

0515 PM HAIL MULBERRY 35.50N 94.05W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH CRAWFORD AR BROADCAST MEDIA

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL

0502 PM HAIL RUDY 35.53N 94.27W
03/13/2008 E0.88 INCH CRAWFORD AR BROADCAST MEDIA

NICKEL SIZE HAIL OFF HWY 348 IN RUDY

0455 PM HAIL E VAN BUREN 35.44N 94.35W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH SEBASTIAN AR BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

SFP

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KLZK [140540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLZK 140540
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1240 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM LIGHTNING HOT SPRINGS 34.49N 93.05W
03/13/2008 GARLAND AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL GRASS FIRES WERE STARTED BY LIGHTNING IN GARLAND
COUNTY.

0555 PM LIGHTNING 4 E ROYAL 34.52N 93.16W
03/13/2008 GARLAND AR AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS FIRES STARTED IN GARLAND COUNTY DUE TO
LIGHTNING.

0555 PM HAIL 4 E ROYAL 34.52N 93.16W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH GARLAND AR AMATEUR RADIO

0600 PM HAIL HOT SPRINGS 34.49N 93.05W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH GARLAND AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN HOT SPRINGS.

0602 PM HAIL HOT SPRINGS 34.49N 93.05W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH GARLAND AR AMATEUR RADIO

0645 PM LIGHTNING AMITY 34.27N 93.46W
03/13/2008 CLARK AR FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A LARGE TREE CAUGHT ON FIRE DUE TO A LIGHTNING STRIKE.

0658 PM HAIL SALEM 34.63N 92.56W
03/13/2008 E0.88 INCH SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

NICKEL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN SALEM.

0700 PM HAIL BISMARCK 34.32N 93.17W
03/13/2008 E0.88 INCH HOT SPRING AR PUBLIC

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN BISMARCK...WITH THE LARGEST
PIECES BEING NICKEL SIZED.

0700 PM HAIL BRYANT 34.61N 92.49W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG I-30 IN BRYANT.

0705 PM HAIL 2 W MABELVALE 34.65N 92.42W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH PULASKI AR BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZED HAIL FELL IN OTTER CREEK AREA OF LITTLE
ROCK.

0708 PM HAIL BRYANT 34.61N 92.49W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH SALINE AR PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN BRYANT.

0725 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 NW HASKELL 34.56N 92.70W
03/13/2008 SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTS OF HIGHWAY 70 FLOODED IN SOUTHEAST SALINE COUNTY.

0735 PM HAIL MALVERN 34.37N 92.82W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH HOT SPRING AR PUBLIC

PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND IN MALVERN.

0810 PM LIGHTNING HOT SPRINGS 34.49N 93.05W
03/13/2008 GARLAND AR BROADCAST MEDIA

LIGHTNING STRUCK KROGER GAS STATION ON CENTRAL AVENUE.

0930 PM HAIL RUSSELLVILLE 35.27N 93.14W
03/13/2008 E1.00 INCH POPE AR AMATEUR RADIO

0933 PM HAIL RUSSELLVILLE 35.27N 93.14W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH POPE AR TRAINED SPOTTER

0939 PM HAIL DARDANELLE 35.23N 93.17W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH YELL AR TRAINED SPOTTER

1025 PM HAIL 7 S CROSS ROADS 34.12N 92.41W
03/13/2008 E0.50 INCH GRANT AR NWS EMPLOYEE

FOUR MINUTES OF CONTINUOUS HAIL ON HIGHWAY 167.

1110 PM HAIL 2 NW BOONEVILLE 35.16N 93.94W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH LOGAN AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

1128 PM HAIL MENA 34.58N 94.24W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH POLK AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

1145 PM HAIL 8 W DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROC 34.73N 92.37W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR PUBLIC

HAIL FELL AT THE INTERSECTION OF RODNEY PARHAM AND
SHACKLEFORD.

1207 AM HAIL NORTH LITTLE ROCK 34.79N 92.26W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN NORTH LITTLE ROCK...WITH THE
LARGEST PIECES BEING PENNY SIZED.

1208 AM HAIL SHERWOOD 34.83N 92.21W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN SHERWOOD...WITH THE LARGEST
PIECES BEING PENNY SIZED.

&&

$$

58

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KJAN [140535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 140535
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1235 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM HAIL SATARTIA 32.67N 90.54W
03/13/2008 M0.50 INCH YAZOO MS CO-OP OBSERVER

DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN SATARTIA.

&&

$$

MME

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KSHV [140530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 140530
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1230 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM HAIL 15 SE DE QUEEN 33.89N 94.16W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH SEVIER AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

2 MILES EAST OF LOCKESBURG

&&

$$

STEVENS

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KLZK [140515]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 140515
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1215 AM CDT FRI MAR 14 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1207 AM HAIL NORTH LITTLE ROCK 34.79N 92.26W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN NORTH LITTLE ROCK...WITH THE
LARGEST PIECES BEING PENNY SIZED.

1208 AM HAIL SHERWOOD 34.83N 92.21W
03/14/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN SHERWOOD...WITH THE LARGEST
PIECES BEING PENNY SIZED.

&&

$$

58

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KLZK [140456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 140456
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1156 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 PM HAIL 8 W DOWNTOWN LITTLE ROC 34.73N 92.37W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH PULASKI AR PUBLIC

HAIL FELL AT THE INTERSECTION OF RODNEY PARHAM AND
SHACKLEFORD.

&&

$$

58

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KLZK [140450]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 140450
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1150 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM HAIL 2 NW BOONEVILLE 35.16N 93.94W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH LOGAN AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

58

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KSHV [140442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 140442
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1142 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1138 PM HAIL 3 NW QUITMAN 32.83N 95.48W
03/13/2008 E0.75 INCH WOOD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

STEVENS

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KLZK [140440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 140440
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1140 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM LIGHTNING HOT SPRINGS 34.49N 93.05W
03/13/2008 GARLAND AR BROADCAST MEDIA

LIGHTNING STRUCK KROGER GAS STATION ON CENTRAL AVENUE.

1128 PM HAIL MENA 34.58N 94.24W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH POLK AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

58

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 110

WWUS20 KWNS 140424
SEL0
SPC WW 140424
ARZ000-LAZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-141200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 110
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1120 PM
UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH OF
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LONGVIEW
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 109...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS/SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
PART OF THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS WW AS LOW-LEVEL WARM/MOISTURE ADVECTION
CONTINUE BENEATH DIFFLUENT WNW FLOW INVOF SLIGHTLY-AMPLIFYING SRN
STREAM TROUGH. WHILE AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY EXIST FOR THE
NEXT 2 OR 3 HRS WITH ANY DISCRETE STORMS OVER SE OK/NE TX...MAIN SVR
THREAT SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL GIVEN WEAK COLD ADVECTION AT
MID-LEVELS... MDT/STRONG DEEP SHEAR...AND SLOWLY INCREASING
MOISTURE.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.

..CORFIDI

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KTSA [140406]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 140406
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1106 PM CDT THU MAR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM HAIL NE RATTAN 34.20N 95.41W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH PUSHMATAHA OK LAW ENFORCEMENT

0930 PM HAIL MOYERS 34.33N 95.65W
03/13/2008 E1.75 INCH PUSHMATAHA OK TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DMJ

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