KCLE [011949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 011949
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
349 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0152 PM TSTM WND DMG OBERLIN 41.29N 82.22W
06/01/2007 LORAIN OH EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES WERE DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

&&

$$

KING

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KDVN [011946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011946
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
246 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM HEAVY RAIN JESUP 42.48N 92.07W
06/01/2007 E0.00 INCH BUCHANAN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN TOWN.

&&

$$

ELLIOTT

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KLUB [011944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 011944
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
244 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 PM HAIL 3 S ESTELLINE 34.50N 100.44W
06/01/2007 E0.88 INCH HALL TX PUBLIC

&&

$$

FB

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KALY [011938]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 011938
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
338 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM TSTM WND DMG ARLINGTON 43.07N 73.15W
06/01/2007 BENNINGTON VT LAW ENFORCEMENT

2 TREES DOWN ROUTE 7A NEAR RECREATION CENTER

&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0951

ACUS11 KWNS 011936
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011935
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-012100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0951
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN IA...NWRN IL...SRN WI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 321...

VALID 011935Z - 012100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 321 CONTINUES.

AREA TO THE NORTH AND EAST WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WATCH.

50 KT SOUTHERLY 500 MB JET STREAK CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY DEVELOP
NORTHWARD ACROSS EXTREME EASTERN IOWA. INITIAL CYCLONIC VORTICITY
CENTER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE IS WEAKENING AS IT LIFTS NORTH
OF MASON CITY...BUT NEW CENTER APPEARS TO HAVE FORMED OVER EAST
CENTRAL IOWA. WEAK MESO LOW HAS DEVELOPED NEAR CEDAR RAPIDS...AND
WILL TRACK TOWARD AREAS NORTHWEST OF DUBUQUE THROUGH 21-22Z.
ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ASSOCIATED WITH EASTERLY SURFACE WINDS
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THIS FEATURE MAY SUPPORT TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITH
NEW STORMS FORMING NORTH OF CEDAR RAPIDS...ACROSS PARTS OF
LINN/BUCHANAN/CLAYTON/DELAWARE COUNTIES.

OTHERWISE...THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY REMAIN WITH LEAD
CONVECTIVE LINE NOW BEGINNING TO SPREAD EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER INTO NORTHWEST ILLINOIS/SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
THIS SEEMS TO BE FOCUSED IN STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION
REGIME DEVELOPING JUST AHEAD OF UPPER IMPULSE...WHERE LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS ARE MAXIMIZED AND SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUING TORNADO
POTENTIAL. SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY REACH
THE ROCKFORD IL/MADISON WI AREAS BY 22Z.

.KERR.. 06/01/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...ARX...

42479197 42969203 43459149 43649036 43388897 42888874
42258855 41148880 40568991 40909044 41459040 41889049
41999096

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KCYS [011936]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KCYS 011936
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
136 PM MDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE SUNOL 41.18N 102.74W
05/28/2007 CHEYENNE NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CR 139 1.5 MILES NORTH OF HIGHWAY30 HAD WATER OVER IT 6
INCHES DEEP AND WAS 200 FEET WIDE BETWEEN 630 AND 9 PM.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW SUNOL 41.18N 102.79W
05/28/2007 CHEYENNE NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CR 135 2.5 NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30 HAD WATER OVER IT FOR 2.5
HOURS.

&&

$$

GRIFFITH

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KCYS [011931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 011931
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
131 PM MDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE SUNOL 41.18N 102.74W
05/28/2007 CHEYENNE NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CR 139 1.5 MILES NORTH OF SUNOL HAD WATER OVER IT 6
INCHES DEEP AND WAS 200 FEET WIDE BETWEEN 630 AND 9 PM.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW SUNOL 41.18N 102.79W
05/28/2007 CHEYENNE NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

CR 135 2.5 NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30 HAD WATER OVER IT FOR 2.5
HOURS.

&&

$$

GRIFFITH

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KGID [011927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 011927
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
227 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM TSTM WND DMG SUPERIOR 40.02N 98.07W
05/31/2007 NUCKOLLS NE CO-OP OBSERVER

12 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMB DOWN AT 7TH AND BLOOM.

&&

$$

DOXEY

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KDVN [011919]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011919
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
219 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0214 PM FUNNEL CLOUD ALBANY 41.79N 90.22W
06/01/2007 WHITESIDE IL PUBLIC

REPORTED NEAR CORNER OF KENNEDY ROAD AND STONE STREET.
RELAYED BY LINCOLN WFO.

&&

$$

ELLIOTT

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KDVN [011915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011915
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
214 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM BLIZZARD 4 SE MAQUOKETA 42.02N 90.61W
06/01/2007 CLINTON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO TORNADOS REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT MOVING NE.

&&

$$

ELLIOTT

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KDVN [011906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011906
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
206 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0150 PM HAIL GOOD HOPE 40.56N 90.67W
06/01/2007 M0.25 INCH MCDONOUGH IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL NORTH OF GOOD HOPE.

&&

$$

JH2

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KCTP [011905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 011905
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
305 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 1 S OSCEOLA MILLS 40.84N 78.27W
06/01/2007 M1.00 INCH CENTRE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

A FEW LARGER STONES...PARTIALLY COVERING THE GROUND IN
SPOTS

&&

$$

STEINBUGL

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 322

WWUS20 KWNS 011904
SEL2
SPC WW 011904
OKZ000-TXZ000-020200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 322
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST OF PLAINVIEW
TEXAS TO 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...

DISCUSSION...SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION WILL INCREASE IN
COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG A N E-W OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THE SRN TX
PANHANDLE INTO SW OK. MID LEVEL FLOW IS A LITTLE WEAK FOR
LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS...BUT ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR/MOISTURE ALONG THE BOUNDARY MAY SUPPORT A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION TYPE SUPERCELLS THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...VERY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE NEAR 3000
J/KG WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE
STORMS...AND DAMAGING WINDS AS STORM MERGERS RESULT IN SOME UPSCALE
GROWTH INTO LARGER CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28015.

..THOMPSON

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KDVN [011903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDVN 011903
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
203 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM TORNADO GRANDVIEW 41.28N 91.19W
06/01/2007 LOUISA IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES. CITY OF GRANDVIEW CORDONED OFF BY
POLICE DUE TO THE DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.

1225 PM TORNADO MUSCATINE 41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEMI TRAILER TRUCKS OVERTURNED AT THE INDUSTRIAL CENTER
IN MUSCATINE. DELAYED REPORT.

1225 PM TORNADO MUSCATINE 41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERE DAMAGE REPORTED FROM FRUITLAND TO MUSCATINE.
HOUSES DAMAGED. BUSINESSES DESTROYED. AT LEAST SEVERAL
INJURIES.

&&

$$

JH2

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KKEY [011903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011903
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
302 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0112 PM TORNADO 2 NE SUGARLOAF KEY 24.65N 81.53W
06/01/2007 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATERSPOUT MOVED ONSHORE SUGARLOAF KEY AS A TORNADO NEAR
MILE MARKER 19. MINOR DAMAGE REPORTED TO ONE STRUCTURE.

&&

$$

KBK

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KDVN [011856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011856
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
156 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0148 PM TORNADO GRANDVIEW 41.28N 91.19W
06/01/2007 LOUISA IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERE DAMAGE TO HOMES. CITY OF GRANDVIEW CORDONED OFF BY
POLICE DUE TO THE DAMAGE. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

JH2

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KGLD [011850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGLD 011850
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1249 PM MDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM HAIL BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.54W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH DUNDY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

1053 AM HAIL BENKELMAN 40.05N 101.54W
05/31/2007 M0.50 INCH DUNDY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

THERE IS 2 INCHES OF HAIL ON THE GROUND.

1135 AM HAIL 6 SSE TRENTON 40.09N 100.97W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

1140 AM HAIL 4 SW TRENTON 40.13N 101.07W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL COVERING HWY 25

1142 AM HAIL 9 SSE TRENTON 40.05N 100.95W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

1143 AM HAIL 7 S TRENTON 40.07N 101.01W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH HITCHCOCK NE TRAINED SPOTTER

1218 PM HAIL 3 N TRAER 39.97N 100.65W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH DECATUR KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 45 MPH WINDS

1222 PM HAIL 13 SSE MCCOOK 40.03N 100.53W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH RED WILLOW NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0125 PM HAIL 6 W OBERLIN 39.82N 100.64W
05/31/2007 M1.00 INCH DECATUR KS BROADCAST MEDIA

0130 PM HAIL 5 NW NORTON 39.89N 99.96W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH NORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0135 PM HAIL 3 W OBERLIN 39.82N 100.59W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH DECATUR KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0148 PM TSTM WND GST NORTON 39.84N 99.89W
05/31/2007 M60.00 MPH NORTON KS AWOS

0150 PM HAIL 2 N CALVERT 39.86N 99.76W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH NORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0210 PM HAIL 11 W WINONA 39.06N 101.45W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH LOGAN KS PUBLIC

0210 PM HAIL 10 SE ATWOOD 39.71N 100.91W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH RAWLINS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0229 PM HAIL 11 S HERNDON 39.75N 100.79W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH RAWLINS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0250 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 N WINONA 39.09N 101.25W
05/31/2007 LOGAN KS NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD 2
MILES NORTH OF WINONA

0253 PM HAIL 8 ENE WINONA 39.11N 101.11W
05/31/2007 M1.00 INCH LOGAN KS NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED 1 INCH HAIL

0310 PM HAIL 6 S OBERLIN 39.74N 100.53W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH DECATUR KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD OAKLEY 39.13N 100.85W
05/31/2007 LOGAN KS AMATEUR RADIO

STREET FLOODING WITH WATER ALMOST OVER THE CURBS IN THE
TOWN OF OAKLEY.

0348 PM HAIL 2 E JENNINGS 39.68N 100.26W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH DECATUR KS PUBLIC

0407 PM HAIL 2 W GOVE 38.96N 100.53W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0420 PM HAIL 5 SE GOVE 38.91N 100.42W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0424 PM HAIL 5 SE GOVE 38.91N 100.42W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0440 PM HEAVY RAIN 12 S QUINTER 38.89N 100.23W
05/31/2007 E0.50 INCH GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

1/2 INCH OF RAIN IN 10 MINUTES

0440 PM HAIL 12 S QUINTER 38.89N 100.23W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH GOVE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM HAIL LEOTI 38.48N 101.36W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH WICHITA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0623 PM HAIL LEOTI 38.48N 101.36W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH WICHITA KS EMERGENCY MNGR

0625 PM HAIL LEOTI 38.48N 101.36W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH WICHITA KS BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORT FORWARDED BY KAKE-TV

0705 PM HAIL 6 N THE MONUMENT ROCKS 38.86N 100.77W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH GOVE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0705 PM HAIL 6 N THE MONUMENT ROCKS 38.86N 100.77W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH GOVE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

JDK

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KDVN [011848]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011848
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
148 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0140 PM TSTM WND GST DAVENPORT 41.56N 90.60W
06/01/2007 E60 MPH SCOTT IA TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS AT THE WALMART NEAR ELMORE AND
I-74.

&&

$$

JH2

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0950

ACUS11 KWNS 011845
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011845
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-011945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0950
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NM...NWRN TX...FAR SWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 011845Z - 011945Z

SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG QUASI-STATIONARY
WEST-EAST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES GENERALLY ALONG THE RED RIVER
CORRIDOR. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS ALONG
AND JUST N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT INITIALLY. A WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

18Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS AND VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY PLACES THE
MAIN WEST TO EAST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY GENERALLY FROM TCC TO 25
S AMA TO FSI...WITH MORE SUBTLE GRAVITY WAVES/CONFLUENT BANDS
LOCATED FARTHER S. ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE HAS
GENERALLY REMAINED ALONG AND N OF THIS BOUNDARY...AND WILL LIKELY
REMAIN AS THE MAIN IMPETUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. RECENT OBJECTIVE ANALYSES HAVE INDICATED AT LEAST
MODERATE INSTABILITY DEVELOPING WITH MLCAPES FROM 2000 TO 3000 J/KG
WITH WEAKENING INHIBITION. THUS...SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION WILL
BECOME INCREASINGLY PREVALENT. DESPITE RELATIVELY WEAK MID-LEVEL
WINDS /20 TO 30 KTS AT 6 KM PER REGIONAL VAD PROFILERS/...FAVORABLE
VEERING WILL MAINTAIN EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30 TO 40 KTS.
THUS...SUPERCELLS WILL BE LIKELY WITH LARGE-HAIL THE MAIN THREAT
OWING TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

LATEST RUC GUIDANCE ALONG WITH 12Z MORNING MODEL GUIDANCE DEPICT
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WEAKENING LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE S PLAINS
TOWARDS THE RED RIVER. THIS SHOULD TEND TO MITIGATE THE OVERALL
TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...WITH STORMS LIKELY REMAINING TIED INVOF
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR MAY PROVE TO
BE SUFFICIENT FOR TORNADOES...PRIOR TO THE OUTFLOW/COLD POOL
UNDERCUTTING STORMS.

.GRAMS.. 06/01/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

34999838 34259780 33519797 33089889 33060054 33280214
33610353 34370401 35130384 35460291 35310108 35249987

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KAMA [011841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 011841
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
141 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0103 PM HAIL 1 E VEGA 35.25N 102.41W
06/01/2007 E0.75 INCH OLDHAM TX PUBLIC

TIME ESTIMATED

&&

$$

CK

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KDVN [011835]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011835
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
135 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0126 PM HAIL ROCK ISLAND 41.48N 90.58W
06/01/2007 M1.00 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS IN LOWER ROCK ISLAND.

0127 PM HAIL ROCK ISLAND 41.48N 90.58W
06/01/2007 M1.00 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL THE SIZE OF NICKELS TO QUARTERS IN DOWNTOWN ROCK
ISLAND.

&&

$$

JH2

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KRNK [011832]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 011832
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
232 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM HAIL CHECK 37.05N 80.18W
06/01/2007 E0.75 INCH FLOYD VA PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN CHECK.

&&

$$

JH

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KLUB [011831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLUB 011831
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
130 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0541 PM HAIL SUDAN 34.07N 102.53W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH LAMB TX TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY A SPOTTER

0617 PM HAIL 3 ESE SPRINGLAKE 34.22N 102.26W
05/31/2007 E1.50 INCH LAMB TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL ON THE GROUND TO THE EAST OF
SPRINGLAKE

0622 PM HAIL 1.5 E COTTON CENTER 33.99N 101.97W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH HALE TX PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC

0645 PM HAIL 3 S TULIA 34.49N 101.77W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH SWISHER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TULIA PD REPORTED GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL THREE MILES
SOUTH OF TULIA ON U.S. HIGHWAY 87

0710 PM HAIL 6 NW PETERSBURG 33.93N 101.67W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH HALE TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

SPOTTERS REPORTED QUARTER SIZED HAIL NORTHWEST OF
PETERSBURG

0756 PM HAIL 3 W PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.65W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH HALE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0809 PM HAIL PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.60W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH HALE TX PUBLIC

RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA

0815 PM HAIL 1 S COTTON CENTER 33.98N 101.99W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH HALE TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL ALONG 179 SOUTH OF COTTON CENTER

0815 PM FLASH FLOOD FLOYDADA 33.98N 101.34W
05/31/2007 FLOYD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREETS IN AND AROUND FLOYDADA WERE COVERED WITH WATER
AT LEAST CURB DEEP.

0815 PM HAIL FLOYDADA 33.98N 101.34W
05/31/2007 E1.50 INCH FLOYD TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0818 PM TORNADO 2 S PETERSBURG 33.84N 101.60W
05/31/2007 HALE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

RALLS FD REPORTS TORNADO JUST SOUTH OF PETERSBURG

0818 PM HAIL 12 SW FLOYDADA 33.86N 101.48W
05/31/2007 E2.50 INCH FLOYD TX EMERGENCY MNGR

0822 PM HAIL PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.60W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH HALE TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HAIL IS COVERING THE GROUND IN PETERSBURG

0827 PM TORNADO 3.5 NW CONE 33.83N 101.43W
05/31/2007 CROSBY TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

2 BRIEF TORNADOES REPORTED NW OF CONE REPORTED BY RALLS
FIRE DEPARTMENT

0830 PM HAIL PLAINVIEW 34.19N 101.72W
05/31/2007 E2.75 INCH HALE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0835 PM TSTM WND GST COTTON CENTER 33.99N 101.99W
05/31/2007 E60 MPH HALE TX PUBLIC

0840 PM TORNADO 2 N RALLS 33.71N 101.38W
05/31/2007 CROSBY TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

TORNADO MOVING ESE TOWARDS CROSBYTON. RPRTD BY RALLS
FD.

0842 PM HAIL 11 SW FLOYDADA 33.87N 101.47W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH FLOYD TX PUBLIC

0845 PM HAIL 3 N SPADE 33.97N 102.15W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH LAMB TX PUBLIC

0845 PM HAIL 14 ENE PLAINS 33.27N 102.60W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH YOAKUM TX PUBLIC

HAIL 7 N OF US HIGHWAY 87 NEAR BRONCO LOST CROPS DUE TO
THE HAIL. POWER LINES WERE DOWNED NEAR TOKIO.

0850 PM HAIL 2 W PLAINS 33.19N 102.86W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH YOAKUM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0854 PM HAIL 11 SW FLOYDADA 33.87N 101.47W
05/31/2007 E1.25 INCH FLOYD TX PUBLIC

0902 PM HAIL 2 S PLAINS 33.16N 102.83W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH YOAKUM TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

0910 PM FLASH FLOOD 13 SW FLOYDADA 33.85N 101.50W
05/31/2007 FLOYD TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED BETWEEN 1 MILE WEST OF
PETERSBURG TO 1 MILE EAST OF PETERSBURG.

0910 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 W PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.61W
05/31/2007 HALE TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED BETWEEN 1 MILE WEST OF
PETERSBURG TO 1 MILE EAST OF PETERSBURG. ALONG HIGHWAY
54...ROADS ARE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0926 PM HAIL FLOYDADA 33.98N 101.34W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH FLOYD TX EMERGENCY MNGR

0932 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 W PETERSBURG 33.87N 101.61W
05/31/2007 HALE TX SKYWARN SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED BETWEEN 1 MILE WEST OF
PETERSBURG TO 1 MILE EAST OF PETERSBURG. ALONG HIGHWAY
54...ROADS ARE FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.

0953 PM FLASH FLOOD FLOYDADA 33.98N 101.34W
05/31/2007 FLOYD TX EMERGENCY MNGR

WIDESPREAD FLOODING REPORTED

1025 PM TSTM WND GST 3 N ROARING SPRINGS 33.94N 100.86W
05/31/2007 M59 MPH MOTLEY TX MESONET

REPORTED BY WEST TEXAS MESONET.

1110 PM TSTM WND GST 10 SW PADUCAH 33.91N 100.43W
05/31/2007 M60 MPH COTTLE TX MESONET

REPORTED BY THE WEST TEXAS MESONET.

1115 PM HAIL 2 SW PADUCAH 33.99N 100.33W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH COTTLE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

REPORTED BY PADUCAH FIRE DEPARTMENT

&&

$$

JDV

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KTSA [011829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 011829
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
129 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 AM HAIL TERLTON 36.19N 96.49W
06/01/2007 E0.75 INCH PAWNEE OK EMERGENCY MNGR

0330 AM TSTM WND DMG SHAMROCK 35.91N 96.58W
06/01/2007 CREEK OK EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

$$

JDS

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KDVN [011819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011819
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
119 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0116 PM TORNADO MUSCATINE 41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEMI TRAILER TRUCKS OVERTURNED AT THE INDUSTRIAL CENTER
IN MUSCATINE. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

JH2

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KLWX [011817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 011817
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
217 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM HAIL SUITLAND 38.85N 76.92W
05/27/2007 E0.75 INCH PRINCE GEORGES MD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
DELAYED REPORT
$$

MANNING

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KAMA [011814]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 011814
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
114 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM HAIL VEGA 35.25N 102.43W
06/01/2007 E1.00 INCH OLDHAM TX CITY OFFICIAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

CK

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KDVN [011811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011811
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
111 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0107 PM TORNADO MUSCATINE 41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERE DAMAGE REPORTED FROM FRUITLAND TO MUSCATINE.
HOUSES DAMAGED. BUSINESSES DESTROYED. AT LEAST SEVERAL
INJURIES.

&&

$$

JH2

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KAMA [011800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 011800
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
100 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1259 PM HAIL VEGA 35.25N 102.43W
06/01/2007 E0.75 INCH OLDHAM TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DH

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KDVN [011752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011752
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1252 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1251 PM TORNADO 1 NW WILTON 41.60N 91.04W
06/01/2007 CEDAR IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DEBRIS IN THE AIR NW OF
WILTON.

&&

$$

JH2

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KAMA [011751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 011751
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1251 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM HAIL PALO DURO CANYON 34.95N 101.67W
06/01/2007 M0.75 INCH RANDALL TX NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

CK

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KRNK [011747]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 011747
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
147 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0143 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E LANSING 36.50N 81.47W
06/01/2007 ASHE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON THE EAST SIDE OF LANSING.

&&

$$

JH

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 321

WWUS20 KWNS 011736
SEL1
SPC WW 011736
IAZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT FRI JUN 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN IOWA
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF LONEROCK
WISCONSIN TO 60 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MOLINE ILLINOIS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...WELL-DEFINED MCV IN IA WILL LIFT NNEWD TOWARD WI THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN A
BROKEN ARC FROM NE TO SE OF THE MID LEVEL VORTICITY CENTER.
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS HAVE INCREASED INTO THE UPPER 60S NEAR THE
MS RIVER IN ADVANCE OF THE DEVELOPING STORMS...WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR
IS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS IN A SMALL AREA E/NE OF THE MCV.
GIVEN THE INCREASING MOISTURE/MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...ADDITIONAL SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.

..THOMPSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 011733
SWODY1
SPC AC 011732

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

VALID 011730Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS W TX AND SW OK...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN
IA...NW IL...AND SW WI...

AMENDED FOR TORNADO PROBABILITIES IN THE UPPER MIDWEST

FOR DETAILS ON HIGHER TORNADO PROBABILITIES...PLEASE REFER TO SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 949 AND TORNADO WATCH 321.

..SRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
A COMPLEX SITUATION EXISTS THIS MORNING TRYING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
EVENTUAL INFLUENCES OF OVERNIGHT AND ONGOING CONVECTION. AN
OVERNIGHT MCS STABILIZED MUCH OF KS/WRN MO...AND THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EMANATING FROM THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE STALLED FROM
NW AR INTO SRN OK. THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS WWD ALONG THE RED
RIVER INTO THE SRN TX PANHANDLE WHERE IT INTERSECTS ANOTHER
DEVELOPING COLD POOL ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE. RICH BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 60S/ IS PRESENT ALONG AND S
OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN TX AND ERN NM...WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM ATOP THE MOIST LAYER OVER W TX. THE NET
RESULT WILL BE STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 3000 J/KG/
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S.

EXPECT THE ONGOING STORMS NEAR AND N OF AMA TO PERSIST WHILE
DEVELOPING ESEWD TOWARD THE ERN TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK...ALONG AND
N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. OTHER STORMS SHOULD FORM LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON ALONG THE W EDGE OF THE MOISTURE IN ERN NM...AS WELL AS
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES AND
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WEAKENS WHEN SURFACE TEMPERATURES REACH AT
LEAST THE MID 80S. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS W TX IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH STRONGLY VEERING FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS /ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES/...AND STRONG SPEED SHEAR ALOFT ON THE
CYCLONIC SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET FROM SRN AZ INTO SW TX.
THEREFORE...EXPECT SOME OF THE INITIAL STORMS TO BE SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING GUSTS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. UPSCALE GROWTH OF THE CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED BY
EVENING...WITH ONE OR TWO MCS/S LIKELY ACROSS W/NW TX INTO OK.

..ERN IA/WRN IL/SW WI TODAY...
A CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED MID LEVEL WAVE IS LIFTING NNEWD OVER CENTRAL
IA AS OF MID MORNING...AND THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TOWARD WI
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THOUGH INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
IN ADVANCE OF THIS WAVE...MID 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS AND SOME
SURFACE HEATING SHOULD MAINTAIN MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000-2000
J/KG AND A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR MAINTENANCE OF DEEP CONVECTION.
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...THOUGH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADO COULD ALSO OCCUR WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR IS LOCALLY ENHANCED
ALONG THE CONVECTIVE LINE.

..NEW ENGLAND TO THE APPALACHIANS...
VERTICAL PROFILES HAVE EITHER CHANGED LITTLE FROM YESTERDAY OVER
THIS AREA...OR LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO SOME
DESTABILIZATION. WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-UPPER
80S...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE APPALACHIANS...AS WELL AS A SUBTLE SURFACE TROUGH
FROM THE NRN CHESAPEAKE AREA INTO SE NY STATE. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR
OVER THIS AREA SUGGESTS THAT A FEW PULSE-TYPE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING
DOWNBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

FARTHER N...VERTICAL SHEAR IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS FROM UPSTATE NY SEWD ACROSS VT/SRN NH INTO CENTRAL AND WRN
MA. A SUBTLE MID LEVEL WAVE CRESTING THE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES...AS WELL AS THE WNW-ESE ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE COULD HELP
FOCUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG/...STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND MODEST DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /0-6 KM
BULK SHEAR OF ROUGHLY 35 KT/ COULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE THE THREAT
FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE IS STILL IN QUESTION THIS AREA...SO WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW
HAIL/WIND PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..W/SW FL COAST TONIGHT...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE SE GULF OF MEXICO WILL LIFT NNEWD ACROSS THE
EXTREME ERN GULF...IN ADVANCE OF A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
CENTRAL AND WRN GULF. LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE LATER
TODAY INTO TONIGHT OVER FL AS THE LOW APPROACHES.
HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL AIR MASS MODIFICATION IS NECESSARY OVER FL
/I.E. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S/...AND LOW-LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES NEED TO BECOME MORE SLY THAN ELY BEFORE INSTABILITY
WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED. THEREFORE...EXPECT ANY TORNADO THREAT TO
REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD CLOSE TO THE W COAST.

.THOMPSON/KERR.. 06/01/2007

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KDVN [011734]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011734
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1234 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1232 PM TORNADO 1 N MUSCATINE 41.43N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO ON THE GROUND NORTH SIDE OF MUSCATINE. DEBRIS
FLYING INTO THE AIR.

&&

$$

JH2

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 011729
SWODY2
SPC AC 011727

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1227 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MO
OZARKS NEWD INTO THE UPR MIDWEST...

..SYNOPSIS...
UPR LOW VCNTY SD WILL OPEN INTO A WAVE AND PHASE WITH THE NRN STREAM
ACROSS THE UPR MS VLY/UPR GRTLKS REGION SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
AS THE UPSTREAM RIDGE OVER THE WRN CONUS BUILDS NWD.
MEANWHILE...WAVE OVER THE GULF BASIN WILL EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE SERN
STATES BY EARLY SUNDAY. AT THE SFC...A LOW NEAR KMSP AT 12Z
SATURDAY WILL DEVELOP NEWD TOWARD UPR MI SATURDAY NIGHT. TRAILING
COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE UPR MIDWEST... MID-MS VLY AND
SRN PLAINS DURING THE PERIOD.

..SRN PLAINS...
REMNANT MCS/S WILL BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD OVER PARTS
OF N TX WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES SPLAYING S AND W. A RATHER BROAD
SLGT RISK SEEMS PRUDENT AS DETAILS ON BOUNDARY PLACEMENT IS ENTIRELY
UNCERTAIN. IN WAKE OF MORNING ACTIVITY...WDLY SCT TSTMS MAY DEVELOP
ALONG ERN EXTENTS OF AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARIES INTO
ERN...NCNTRL...CNTRL TX DURING PEAK HEATING IF CINH CAN BE ERASED.
FLOW REGIME WILL REMAIN WEAK...BUT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND HOT
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POSSIBLE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.

OTHERWISE...A FEW TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP UPSTREAM ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN/PLAINS OF NM AND THE WRN PNHDL/PLAINS OF TX LATE
SATURDAY AFTN/EVE WHERE MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW WILL COMBINE WITH STRONG
HEATING. MODEST DIRECTIONAL SHEAR /ESELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW AND
NWLY FLOW ALOFT/ WILL BOOST SUPERCELL POTENTIAL WITH LARGE HAIL OVER
THE HIGH PLAINS INITIALLY. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO GROW UPSCALE
INTO AN MCS OR TWO AS IT MOVES SEWD TOWARD THE TX S PLAINS OVERNIGHT
WITH DAMAGING WINDS BECOMING MORE OF AN ISSUE.

..MID-UPR MS VLYS...
SEVERAL BANDS OF CONFLUENCE AND/OR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL EXIST
ALONG SERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPR LOW ACROSS THE PLAINS NEWD INTO THE
UPR MS VLY SATURDAY. AN ACTIVE TSTM CORRIDOR MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE
FROM PARTS OF IL SWWD INTO MO EARLY SATURDAY AFTN WHERE BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATS AMIDST A MOIST ENVIRONMENT. LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL
REMAIN QUITE STEEP AND AS THE LARGER SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SPREAD EWD
ASSOCD WITH THE EJECTING UPR LOW...TSTMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP.
THOUGH STRONGER BELT OF FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN DECIDEDLY WEST OF THE
MORE SUBSTANTIAL WARM SECTOR...DEEP SWLY TROPOSPHERIC FLOW WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR LINEAR BANDS OF STORMS WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS THAT
MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS AN ISOLD TORNADO.

A SEPARATE AREA OF LOWER VALUE SVR PROBABILITIES WILL EXIST BENEATH
THE COLD CORE UPR LOW OVER PARTS OF SRN MN...WRN WI AND NRN IA
SATURDAY AFTN. HERE...LOW-TOPPED STORMS MAY DEVELOP WITHIN
LEFT-EXIT OF A JET STREAK ROUNDING THE UPR LOW. ISOLD STORMS MAY
PRODUCE HAIL AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO.

..ERN NY INTO CNTRL/SRN NEW ENGLAND...
REGION WILL REMAIN SITUATED ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER CYCLONIC
FLOW ALOFT ASSOCD WITH THE NRN STREAM THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WDLY
SCT TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE HIGHER
TERRAIN/BOUNDARIES COINCIDENT WITH THE HEATING CYCLE SATURDAY AFTN.
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE COAST WITHIN WNWLY FLOW ALOFT WITH AT
LEAST ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS HAIL. DIURNAL COOLING
WILL MARK THE END OF THE SVR THREATS SATURDAY EVE.

..FL...
MUCH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS ON EVOLUTION AND TIMING OF THE EJECTING WAVE
EARLY IN THE WEEKEND. EVIDENCE IS GROWING THAT THE SFC LOW WILL
TRACK VCNTY CNTRL FL ALONG A RETURNING FRONT. AIR MASS S OF THIS
FRONT SHOULD GRADUALLY TAP INTO TROPICAL MOISTURE WITH GREATER
BUOYANCY VALUES AND HIGHER PROBABILITIES FOR TSTMS ON SATURDAY.
LOW-LEVEL TURNING WILL BE QUITE PRONOUNCED...ESPECIALLY VCNTY THE
LOW TRACK AND ALONG THE WARM FRONT. AS SUCH...ISOLD TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE...THOUGH DISCREPANCIES IN MODEL SUITE PRECLUDES A
CATEGORICAL...HIGHER CONFIDENCE SLGT RISK.

.RACY.. 06/01/2007

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KDVN [011727]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011727
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1227 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1226 PM TORNADO MUSCATINE 41.42N 91.07W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA AMATEUR RADIO

TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR THE BYPASS IN MUSCATINE.
DEBRIS IN THE AIR. POSSIBLE DAMAGE.

&&

$$

JH2

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KKEY [011725]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011725
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
125 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 8 ENE FORT JEFFERSON AT 24.69N 82.77W
06/01/2007 M40 MPH GMZ075 XX C-MAN STATION

PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT CMAN STATION REPORTED A GUST IN A
RAIN SQUALL OF 40 MPH...OR 35 KNOTS.

1200 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 SSW MARATHON 24.63N 81.11W
06/01/2007 M40 MPH GMZ053 FL C-MAN STATION

SOMBRERO REEF LIGHT CMAN PLATFORM REPORTED A GUST IN A
RAIN SQUALL OF 40 MPH...OR 35 KNOTS.

&&

$$

LK

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KDVN [011722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011722
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1222 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1219 PM TORNADO 3 W MUSCATINE 41.41N 91.14W
06/01/2007 MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS TORNADO AT BURLINGTON ROAD NEAR
THE AIRPORT.

&&

$$

JH2

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KTFX [011719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 011719
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1119 AM MDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 SSW BOULDER 46.18N 112.15W
05/10/2007 JEFFERSON MT NWS STORM SURVEY

NUMEROUS TREES...60 TO 80 EVERGREENS...UPROOTED OR
SNAPPED OFF IN A CANYON ALONG THE LITTLE BOULDER RIVER.
DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH STRONG STRAIGHT LINE WINDS 80 TO
100 MPH CHANNELING THROUGH THE CANYON WITH TREES KNOCKED
DOWN IN SAME DIRECTION. FEW TREES AT END OF PATH DAMAGE
PUSHED DOWN IN OPPOSITE DIRECTION POSSIBLY A RESULT OF A
WEAK VORTEX OR EDDY. DAMAGE PATH LENGTH 0.5 MILES...PATH
WIDTH 300 YARDS.

&&

$$

DREILLY

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KDVN [011711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 011711
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1211 PM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1209 PM TORNADO 2 N WAPELLO 41.21N 91.19W
06/01/2007 LOUISA IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TORNADO ON GROUND REPORTED BY PUBLIC NEAR HIGHWAY 92
NORTH OF WAPELLO.

&&

$$

BILLN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011634
SWODY1
SPC AC 011632

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

VALID 011630Z - 021200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
ACROSS W TX AND SW OK...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS ERN
IA...NW IL...AND SW WI...

..SRN AND CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY INTO TONIGHT...
A COMPLEX SITUATION EXISTS THIS MORNING TRYING TO ACCOUNT FOR THE
EVENTUAL INFLUENCES OF OVERNIGHT AND ONGOING CONVECTION. AN
OVERNIGHT MCS STABILIZED MUCH OF KS/WRN MO...AND THE OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EMANATING FROM THIS CONVECTION APPEARS TO HAVE STALLED FROM
NW AR INTO SRN OK. THIS OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS WWD ALONG THE RED
RIVER INTO THE SRN TX PANHANDLE WHERE IT INTERSECTS ANOTHER
DEVELOPING COLD POOL ACROSS THE CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE. RICH BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 60S/ IS PRESENT ALONG AND S
OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN TX AND ERN NM...WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES IN EXCESS OF 8 C/KM ATOP THE MOIST LAYER OVER W TX. THE NET
RESULT WILL BE STRONG INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 3000 J/KG/
WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S.

EXPECT THE ONGOING STORMS NEAR AND N OF AMA TO PERSIST WHILE
DEVELOPING ESEWD TOWARD THE ERN TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK...ALONG AND
N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. OTHER STORMS SHOULD FORM LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON ALONG THE W EDGE OF THE MOISTURE IN ERN NM...AS WELL AS
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES AND
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WEAKENS WHEN SURFACE TEMPERATURES REACH AT
LEAST THE MID 80S. VERTICAL SHEAR ACROSS W TX IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH STRONGLY VEERING FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS /ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES/...AND STRONG SPEED SHEAR ALOFT ON THE
CYCLONIC SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET FROM SRN AZ INTO SW TX.
THEREFORE...EXPECT SOME OF THE INITIAL STORMS TO BE SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING GUSTS...AND A FEW
TORNADOES. UPSCALE GROWTH OF THE CONVECTION IS ALSO EXPECTED BY
EVENING...WITH ONE OR TWO MCS/S LIKELY ACROSS W/NW TX INTO OK.

..ERN IA/WRN IL/SW WI TODAY...
A CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED MID LEVEL WAVE IS LIFTING NNEWD OVER CENTRAL
IA AS OF MID MORNING...AND THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TOWARD WI
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THOUGH INSTABILITY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG
IN ADVANCE OF THIS WAVE...MID 60S BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS AND SOME
SURFACE HEATING SHOULD MAINTAIN MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING 1000-2000
J/KG AND A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR MAINTENANCE OF DEEP CONVECTION.
DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...THOUGH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADO COULD ALSO OCCUR WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR IS LOCALLY ENHANCED
ALONG THE CONVECTIVE LINE.

..NEW ENGLAND TO THE APPALACHIANS...
VERTICAL PROFILES HAVE EITHER CHANGED LITTLE FROM YESTERDAY OVER
THIS AREA...OR LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING HAS CONTRIBUTED TO SOME
DESTABILIZATION. WITH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-UPPER
80S...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE APPALACHIANS...AS WELL AS A SUBTLE SURFACE TROUGH
FROM THE NRN CHESAPEAKE AREA INTO SE NY STATE. WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR
OVER THIS AREA SUGGESTS THAT A FEW PULSE-TYPE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING
DOWNBURSTS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

FARTHER N...VERTICAL SHEAR IS MORE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS FROM UPSTATE NY SEWD ACROSS VT/SRN NH INTO CENTRAL AND WRN
MA. A SUBTLE MID LEVEL WAVE CRESTING THE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES...AS WELL AS THE WNW-ESE ORIENTED BAROCLINIC ZONE COULD HELP
FOCUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG/...STEEP
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND MODEST DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /0-6 KM
BULK SHEAR OF ROUGHLY 35 KT/ COULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH
MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WHICH MAY LOCALLY ENHANCE THE THREAT
FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THIS AFTERNOON. CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE IS STILL IN QUESTION THIS AREA...SO WILL MAINTAIN ONLY LOW
HAIL/WIND PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..W/SW FL COAST TONIGHT...
A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE SE GULF OF MEXICO WILL LIFT NNEWD ACROSS THE
EXTREME ERN GULF...IN ADVANCE OF A BROAD MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE
CENTRAL AND WRN GULF. LOW-LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE LATER
TODAY INTO TONIGHT OVER FL AS THE LOW APPROACHES.
HOWEVER...SUBSTANTIAL AIR MASS MODIFICATION IS NECESSARY OVER FL
/I.E. SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S/...AND LOW-LEVEL
TRAJECTORIES NEED TO BECOME MORE SLY THAN ELY BEFORE INSTABILITY
WILL BECOME SURFACE BASED. THEREFORE...EXPECT ANY TORNADO THREAT TO
REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE UNTIL LATE IN THE PERIOD CLOSE TO THE W COAST.

.THOMPSON/GRAMS.. 06/01/2007

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KKEY [011626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011626
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1226 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1139 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 SSW MARATHON 24.63N 81.11W
06/01/2007 M44 MPH GMZ053 FL C-MAN STATION

SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT CMAN PLATFORM REPORTED A MARINE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST OF 44 MPH...OR 38 KNOTS.

&&

$$

LK

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0949

ACUS11 KWNS 011609
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011609
ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-011815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0949
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NE MO INTO EXTREME ERN IA...W CNTRL/NW
IL...SRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 011609Z - 011815Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW...WHICH COULD BECOME NECESSARY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON.

WEAKENING MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC VORTICITY CENTER/LOBE LIFTING NORTHEAST
OF THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY IS PROVIDING THE PRIMARY FORCING FOR
ARCING BAND OF CONVECTION NOW SPREADING THROUGH EASTERN IOWA.
ACTIVITY APPEARS MOSTLY BASED IN ELEVATED ZONE OF ISENTROPIC
ASCENT...ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER. AND...NORTHEASTERLY LOW-LEVEL
STORM RELATIVE INFLOW...EMANATING FROM DRIER ENVIRONMENT APPEARS TO
BE CONTRIBUTING TO CURRENT WEAKENING TRENDS.

HOWEVER...AHEAD OF TRAILING SURFACE WIND SHIFT/REMNANT OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY...A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH MID 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS IS
BEGINNING TO DESTABILIZE WITH DAYTIME HEATING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN
MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS. AS INHIBITION WEAKENS...MIXED LAYER
CAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG SEEMS POSSIBLE BY MID AFTERNOON.
AND...FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER IMPULSE IS EXPECTED TO BE
SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT INCREASING/INTENSIFYING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY. A SEASONABLY STRONG BELT OF FLOW ASSOCIATED
WITH 50+ KT 500 MB JET STREAK WILL ENHANCE STORM MOTIONS AND SHEAR
PROFILES...CONTRIBUTING TO AN ORGANIZING LINE OF STORMS WITH WIND
DAMAGE/HAIL POTENTIAL. ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
AND JUST AHEAD OF LINE ...PARTICULARLY IN STRONGEST LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION REGIME...LIKELY SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTH OF BURLINGTON IA
BY 18-19Z. THIS IS WHERE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL BECOME ENHANCED
AND SUPPORTIVE OF A RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES.

.KERR.. 06/01/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

40449197 41529254 42259259 42899117 42849010 42308920
40928887 39728936 39139069 39249191

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KDDC [011553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDDC 011553
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM HAIL 10 S COLLYER 38.89N 100.12W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH TREGO KS CO-OP OBSERVER

0637 PM HAIL 3 S ELLIS 38.89N 99.56W
05/31/2007 M0.88 INCH ELLIS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0639 PM HAIL 3 S ELLIS 38.89N 99.56W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH ELLIS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0640 PM HAIL 1 NNE CEDAR BLUFF 38.80N 99.72W
05/31/2007 E1.75 INCH TREGO KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0659 PM HAIL 11 S ELLIS 38.78N 99.56W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH ELLIS KS PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL 10 WSW RICHFIELD 37.21N 101.95W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH MORTON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM HAIL 8 S HAYS 38.76N 99.32W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH ELLIS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0705 PM HAIL 3 S ANTONINO 38.74N 99.38W
05/31/2007 E2.75 INCH ELLIS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0710 PM HAIL SCOTT CITY 38.48N 100.91W
05/31/2007 M1.00 INCH SCOTT KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0711 PM HAIL SCOTT CITY 38.48N 100.91W
05/31/2007 M1.00 INCH SCOTT KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0711 PM HAIL SCOTT CITY 38.48N 100.91W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH SCOTT KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0718 PM HAIL 3 N TREGO CENTER 38.92N 99.90W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH TREGO KS PUBLIC

0727 PM HAIL 4 W LIEBENTHAL 38.65N 99.39W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH RUSH KS PUBLIC

0728 PM HAIL LIEBENTHAL 38.65N 99.32W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH RUSH KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0732 PM HAIL PENDENNIS 38.65N 100.33W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH LANE KS PUBLIC

0733 PM HAIL 2 WNW LIEBENTHAL 38.67N 99.35W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH RUSH KS PUBLIC

0733 PM HAIL 1 NNE LIEBENTHAL 38.67N 99.31W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH RUSH KS PUBLIC

0734 PM HAIL 3 E SCHOENCHEN 38.71N 99.27W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH ELLIS KS PUBLIC

0745 PM HAIL 1 NNE WILBURTON 37.08N 101.75W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH MORTON KS PUBLIC

0752 PM HAIL 19 WNW NESS CITY 38.56N 100.23W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH NESS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0801 PM HAIL 3 N OTIS 38.58N 99.05W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH RUSH KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0825 PM TORNADO 4 NE HARGRAVE 38.59N 99.38W
05/31/2007 RUSH KS PUBLIC

RELAYED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0830 PM HAIL LIEBENTHAL 38.65N 99.32W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH RUSH KS TRAINED SPOTTER

0850 PM HAIL 1 N OTIS 38.55N 99.05W
05/31/2007 M2.75 INCH RUSH KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0850 PM HAIL 1 N OTIS 38.55N 99.05W
05/31/2007 E2.75 INCH RUSH KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

1015 PM HAIL 8 NNE HUDSON 38.21N 98.60W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH STAFFORD KS PUBLIC

1225 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 W HARDTNER 37.01N 98.76W
06/01/2007 BARBER KS TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE TO FOUR INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

1245 AM TSTM WND DMG KIOWA 37.02N 98.48W
06/01/2007 BARBER KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED FROM HARDTNER TO EAST OF
KIOWA. ONE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN IN KIOWA, AND MANY LIMBS
THREE TO FOUR INCHES IN DIAMETER WERE BLOWN DOWN. POWER
STILL WAS OUT THIS MORNING IN RURAL AREAS AROUND KIOWA.
APPROXIMATELY 25 POWER POLES WERE BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN
KIOWA AND CHEROKEE, OKLAHOMA. EXTENSIVE WHEAT DAMAGE
OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF HIGH WINDS AND HAIL.

0114 AM HAIL 2 NE LIBERAL 37.07N 100.91W
06/01/2007 E0.75 INCH SEWARD KS CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

01

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KDDC [011552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 011552
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1052 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM HAIL 1 NNE WILBURTON 37.08N 101.75W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH MORTON KS PUBLIC

1015 PM HAIL 8 NNE HUDSON 38.21N 98.60W
05/31/2007 E1.00 INCH STAFFORD KS PUBLIC

1225 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 W HARDTNER 37.01N 98.76W
06/01/2007 BARBER KS TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE TO FOUR INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN.

1245 AM TSTM WND DMG KIOWA 37.02N 98.48W
06/01/2007 BARBER KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE OCCURRED FROM HARDTNER TO EAST OF
KIOWA. ONE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN IN KIOWA, AND MANY LIMBS
THREE TO FOUR INCHES IN DIAMETER WERE BLOWN DOWN. POWER
STILL WAS OUT THIS MORNING IN RURAL AREAS AROUND KIOWA.
APPROXIMATELY 25 POWER POLES WERE BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN
KIOWA AND CHEROKEE, OKLAHOMA. EXTENSIVE WHEAT DAMAGE
OCCURRED AS A RESULT OF HIGH WINDS AND HAIL.

&&

$$

01

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KICT [011538]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 011538
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1038 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1029 AM FLOOD 2 S DOUGLASS 37.49N 97.01W
06/01/2007 BUTLER KS EMERGENCY MNGR

POLE CAT CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS CAUSING LOCAL FLOOD.

&&

$$

LFW

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KICT [011535]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 011535
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1035 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1029 AM FLOOD 5 E ROSE HILL 37.57N 97.04W
06/01/2007 BUTLER KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER COUNTY ROADS BECAUSE OF FEILD RUN OFF.

&&

$$

LFW

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KICT [011533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 011533
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1032 AM CDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1029 AM FLOOD 4 E ROSE HILL 37.57N 97.06W
06/01/2007 BUTLER KS EMERGENCY MNGR

8 MILE CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS.

&&

$$

LFW

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KPHI [011521]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 011521
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1121 AM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNE PHILLIPSBURG 40.76N 75.15W
05/31/2007 WARREN NJ COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREE DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROUTE 519 IN HARMONY TOWNSHIP.

0535 PM HAIL MACUNGIE 40.52N 75.55W
05/31/2007 E0.50 INCH LEHIGH PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0600 PM HAIL BRODHEADSVILLE 40.92N 75.40W
05/31/2007 E0.88 INCH MONROE PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 NW ALBURTIS 40.58N 75.69W
05/31/2007 LEHIGH PA EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND ELECTRIC POLES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
OLD ROUTE 22 AND ROUTE 863 NEAR NEW SMITHVILLE IN
WEISENBERG TOWNSHIP.

0830 PM HAIL 7 NW ALBURTIS 40.58N 75.69W
05/31/2007 E0.75 INCH LEHIGH PA EMERGENCY MNGR

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND IN NEW SMITHVILLE, PA.

&&

$$

JJM

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