Tuesday, September 27, 2011

KCAE [272153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 272153
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
553 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0539 PM HAIL 4 NE AIKEN 33.58N 81.67W
09/27/2011 E2.00 INCH AIKEN SC PUBLIC

HAIL LARGER THAN GOLFBALL SIZE COVERING THE GROUND...WIRE
RD OUTSIDE AIKEN.


&&

$$

DCM

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KCHS [272153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 272153
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
553 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0533 PM TSTM WND DMG REIDSVILLE 32.09N 82.12W
09/27/2011 TATTNALL GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED 1 TREE DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 280
IN REIDSVILLE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100967

$$

DPB

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KLWX [272152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 272152
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
552 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0412 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW POTOMAC CREEK 38.33N 77.30W
09/27/2011 KING GEORGE VA 911 CALL CENTER

MUDSLIDE DUE TO FLASH FLOODING NEAR BELVEDERE DR AND
WAUGH POINT RD


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101951

$$

JRK

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KFFC [272130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272130
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
530 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL 1 S WADLEY 32.85N 82.40W
09/27/2011 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KLWX [272130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 272130
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
529 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HAIL ROMNEY 39.35N 78.76W
09/27/2011 E1.25 INCH HAMPSHIRE WV PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101950

$$

STRONG

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KLWX [272128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 272128
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
528 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0522 PM HAIL ROMNEY 39.35N 78.76W
09/27/2011 E1.50 INCH HAMPSHIRE WV EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101949

$$

STRONG

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KFFC [272128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272128
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
528 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 PM HAIL 3 ENE BEULAH 33.16N 83.01W
09/27/2011 E1.00 INCH HANCOCK GA EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

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KLWX [272127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 272127
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
527 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM FUNNEL CLOUD ROMNEY 39.35N 78.76W
09/27/2011 HAMPSHIRE WV PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101948

$$

STRONG

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KFFC [272118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272118
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
518 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0453 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNE BLUNDALE 32.76N 82.38W
09/27/2011 EMANUEL GA 911 CALL CENTER

911 RELAYED A REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON A POWERLINE NEAR
BLUNDALE.


&&

$$

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KFFC [272112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272112
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
512 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SSE MACON 32.82N 83.64W
09/27/2011 BIBB GA AMATEUR RADIO

AMATUER RADIO OPERATOR RELAYED A REPORT OF STRAIGHT LINE
WIND DAMAGE JUST SOUTH OF DOWNTOWN MACON. 12-14 TREES
WERE REPORTED DOWN ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO 2-3 STRUCTURES IN
THE AREA AS WELL.


&&

$$

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KLWX [272100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 272100
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
500 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW PASSAPATANZY 38.28N 77.34W
09/27/2011 KING GEORGE VA 911 CALL CENTER

ROAD WASHED OUT DUE TO HEAVY RAIN NEAR BULLY HILL DR
AND CHAPEL GREEN RD


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1101947

$$

JRK

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KFFC [272052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272052
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
452 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 PM HAIL 2 NNE JACKSON 33.32N 83.95W
09/27/2011 E1.25 INCH BUTTS GA 911 CALL CENTER


&&

$$

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KPHI [272032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPHI 272032
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
432 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM LIGHTNING WOOLWICH TWP 39.73N 75.33W
09/27/2011 GLOUCESTER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

A 48 YEAR OLD MALE WAS STRUCK BY LIGHTNING ON A GOLF
COURSE IN WOOLWICH TOWNSHIP.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100746

$$

MEOLA

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KFFC [272025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272025
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
425 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0359 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S BULLARD 32.62N 83.50W
09/27/2011 TWIGGS GA 911 CALL CENTER

TWIGGS COUNTY 911 RELAYED A REPORT OF THREE TREES DOWN
SOUTH OF BULLARD.


&&

$$

KFRANTZ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2210

ACUS11 KWNS 272016
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272016
SCZ000-GAZ000-272115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2210
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL GA/W CENTRAL SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 272016Z - 272115Z

STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL GA AND NEWD INTO W CENTRAL SC
SUGGESTS INCREASE IN MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH WW ISSUANCE
DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY ATTM.

LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE MODERATE DESTABILIZATION ONGOING
ACROSS THE MCD AREA...AS DAYTIME HEATING HAS COMBINED WITH SURFACE
DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 60S TO YIELD MIXED-LAYER CAPE 2000 TO
2500 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY HAS FUELED STORM INITIATION ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE SURFACE FRONT....WITH A FEW STRONGER UPDRAFTS ARISING
FROM OUTFLOW INTERACTIONS AND AIDED BY MODEST SHEAR.

ATTM...DEGREE OF SHEAR APPEARS GENERALLY INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT A
WELL-ORGANIZED/MORE SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT THAN HAS BEEN
ANTICIPATED WITHIN EARLIER SPC FORECASTS. DURATION OF THREAT SHOULD
ALSO REMAIN LIMITED -- AS PEAK HEATING GIVES WAY TO SLOW DIURNAL
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION. IN THE MEAN TIME...ISOLATED/MARGINAL
HAIL AND PERHAPS A DAMAGING GUST OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A FEW
OF THE STRONGEST STORMS.

..GOSS.. 09/27/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON 32058446 32808452 33238334 34108177 34078074 33488089
31978224 31738289 31858385 32058446

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KIWX [272012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 272012
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
412 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM TORNADO 2 E NAPPANEE 41.44N 85.96W
09/27/2011 ELKHART IN NWS STORM SURVEY

NWS STORM SURVEY CONFIRMED AN EF0 TORNADO WITH
ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 70 TO 75 MPH. THE TORNADO HAD A
PATH LENGTH OF 0.6 MILES AND A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 30
YARDS. MINOR ROOF AND TREE DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED.
INSULATION DEBRIS WAS CARRIED UP TO ONE HALF MILE TO THE
NORTH.


&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1101401

$$

JC

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KFFC [272009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272009
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
409 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL DRY BRANCH 32.80N 83.50W
09/27/2011 E1.00 INCH BIBB GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

KFRANTZ

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KFFC [272007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 272007
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
407 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL 1 ESE MACON 32.83N 83.63W
09/27/2011 E1.00 INCH BIBB GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

KFRANTZ

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KSJT [272003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 272003
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
303 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0833 PM WILDFIRE 35 SW OZONA 30.36N 101.62W
09/26/2011 E560 ACRE CROCKETT TX FOREST SERVICE

THE LIGHTNING INDUCED MITCHELL 3 FIRE IN EXTREME
SOUTHWEST CROCKETT COUNTY. SEVERAL OIL FIELD STRUCUTURES
THREATENED AND FIRE CREWS ARE WORKING IN ROUGH TERRAIN.
CONTAINMENT IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1100268

$$

JOHNSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271954
SWODY1
SPC AC 271952

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0252 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

.CHANGE TO PREV OTLK...

1. ADJUST LOW SVR PROBABILITIES ACROSS THE SERN STATES

...SERN STATES...
HAVE ADJUSTED LOW SVR WIND PROBABILITIES A LITTLE FARTHER NEWD
ACROSS CNTRL GA AND CNTRL SC ALONG A WEAK WIND SHIFT WHERE A FEW
TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTN. ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE RESPONDING
TO BOTH ENHANCED THERMAL BUOYANCY AND THE APPROACHING UPR LVL
DISTURBANCE ROTATING THROUGH SCNTRL AL. ENVIRONMENT CONSISTING OF
MLCAPE TO 2500 J/KG AND STEEP LLVL LAPSE RATES WILL MAINTAIN AN
ISOLD THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS/HAIL WITH MULTICELL STORM CLUSTERS.
OTHERWISE...WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIMIT OVERALL STORM
ORGANIZATION.

REMAINDER OF PREV FCST UNCHANGED.

..RACY.. 09/27/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011/

...NC TO PA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE OCCLUDED DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE OVER NE IL/NW INDIANA THIS MORNING
WILL DRIFT EWD AND WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. FARTHER E AND S...A
SLOW-MOVING FRONT WILL REMAIN FROM NEAR THE E SLOPES OF THE
APPALACHIANS SWWD AND WWD ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR INTO NE TX. WEAK
SPEED MAXIMA WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE MIDLEVEL LOW...AND
THE ERN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER MID-UPPER SWLY/SLY FLOW WILL BE
MAINTAINED NEAR THE APPALACHIANS. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 68-72
F AND MOIST PROFILES WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG AND E OF THE SURFACE FRONT.
HOWEVER...CLOUDS WILL LIMIT SURFACE HEATING FROM NRN VA INTO
PA...AND LOW-MIDLEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG
IN THE WARM SECTOR. THUS...WHILE A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL CLUSTERS...THE OVERALL SEVERE
STORM RISK APPEARS TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE.

...SE AL/FL PANHANDLE/SW GA THIS AFTERNOON...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EMANATING FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY
CONTRIBUTED TO NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS S CENTRAL/SE AL.
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF THESE DEVELOPING
STORMS AS A RESULT OF STRONG SURFACE HEATING...WHICH WILL SUPPORT AN
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY. THOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR IS
WEAK...THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON.

...CENTRAL TX THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE SURFACE FRONT HAS STALLED A LITTLE S OF I-20 IN NE AND CENTRAL
TX. 12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED A STRONG CAP AT THE BASE OF A WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG INSTABILITY THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER DAY OF INTENSE SURFACE HEATING/
MIXING...COMBINED WITH SHALLOW ASCENT ALONG THE FRONT AND A WEAK
MIDLEVEL WAVE OVER CENTRAL TX...SHOULD PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE RELATIVELY
WEAK...BUT 2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL SUPPORT HYBRID DOWNBURSTS AND A RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS.

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KFFC [271945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 271945
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
345 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM HAIL MACON 32.83N 83.64W
09/27/2011 E0.88 INCH BIBB GA PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KCTP [271814]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271814
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
214 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0212 PM FLASH FLOOD PORT ROYAL 40.53N 77.39W
09/27/2011 JUNIATA PA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODED BASEMENTS AND ROAD CLOSURES IN AND AROUND PORT
ROYAL


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100466

$$

KREKELER

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KCTP [271801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271801
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
201 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD CHAMBERSBURG 39.93N 77.66W
09/27/2011 FRANKLIN PA EMERGENCY MNGR

FLOODING ON MAIN ST. IN CHAMBERSBURG


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100465

$$

KREKELER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 271722
SWODY2
SPC AC 271720

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1220 PM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MIDWEST UPR LOW WILL BEGIN TO MIGRATE ENE INTO THE LWR GRTLKS REGION
ON DAY2 AS IMPULSE OVER SW CANADA DIGS TOWARD THE UPR MS RVR VLY.
IN THE LWR-LVLS...BAROCLINIC ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPR LOW WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EWD REACHING NY...CNTRL VA...WRN CAROLINAS BY 12Z THU.
TAIL-END OF THE SAME FRONT WILL BE SITUATED ALONG THE GULF COAST WWD
INTO CNTRL/NW TX.

..MID-ATLANTIC REGION...
EWD TRANSLATION OF THE UPR LOW WILL FORCE A CDFNT INTO CNTRL/ERN
SECTIONS OF PA/MD/VA WED AFTN. SLY LLVL FLOW IN ADVANCE OF THE
FRONT WILL MAINTAIN MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER NWD WITH AFTN SFC DEW
POINTS IN THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70 DEG F. LOCAL DIURNAL HEATING WILL
BOOST MLCAPES 500-1500 J/KG AND BE SUPPORTIVE OF INCREASING TSTMS
ALONG THE FRONT. STORMS WILL BE ALONG ERN FRINGE OF STRONGER SLY
MID-LVL FLOW OF 45-50 KTS ATOP WEAK SSELY LLVL FLOW...POTENTIALLY
SUPPORTING BRIEF SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE SMALL SPATIOTEMPORAL
INSTABILITY CONSIDERATIONS...WILL MAINTAIN SUB-CATEGORICAL SLIGHT
RISK SVR PROBABILITIES. SHOULD SUSTAINED STORMS DEVELOP...MRGLLY
SVR HAIL/DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE PSBL.

...CNTRL TX TO SW LA...
VERY STEEP LOW/MID-LVL LAPSE RATES WILL EVOLVE AGAIN ON WED AFTN
VCNTY DECAYING FRONTAL ZONE. STRONG DIABATIC HEATING AND WEAK LLVL
CONVERGENCE WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR WDLY SCTD TSTMS. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
WILL BE WEAK...BUT MAGNITUDE OF LAPSE RATES AND 30-40 DEG BOUNDARY
LAYER DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS WILL SUPPORT ISOLD PULSE SVR MULTICELLS
WITH DMGG WINDS AND PERHAPS LARGE HAIL.

..RACY.. 09/27/2011

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KDVN [271651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271651
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1151 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 W BETTENDORF 41.56N 90.49W
09/27/2011 M1.39 INCH SCOTT IA TRAINED SPOTTER

60 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

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KLOT [271629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 271629
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1129 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM HEAVY RAIN ROCKFORD 42.27N 89.06W
09/26/2011 M4.25 INCH WINNEBAGO IL BROADCAST MEDIA

DELAYED REPORT. MEASURED AT STATE ST AND I90. RELAYED
FROM PUBLIC.


&&

$$

RS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271620
SWODY1
SPC AC 271618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NC TO PA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE OCCLUDED DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE OVER NE IL/NW INDIANA THIS MORNING
WILL DRIFT EWD AND WEAKEN THROUGH TONIGHT. FARTHER E AND S...A
SLOW-MOVING FRONT WILL REMAIN FROM NEAR THE E SLOPES OF THE
APPALACHIANS SWWD AND WWD ALONG THE I-20 CORRIDOR INTO NE TX. WEAK
SPEED MAXIMA WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND THE MIDLEVEL LOW...AND
THE ERN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER MID-UPPER SWLY/SLY FLOW WILL BE
MAINTAINED NEAR THE APPALACHIANS. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS OF 68-72
F AND MOIST PROFILES WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE PERIOD ALONG AND E OF THE SURFACE FRONT.
HOWEVER...CLOUDS WILL LIMIT SURFACE HEATING FROM NRN VA INTO
PA...AND LOW-MIDLEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG
IN THE WARM SECTOR. THUS...WHILE A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER MULTICELL CLUSTERS...THE OVERALL SEVERE
STORM RISK APPEARS TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE.

...SE AL/FL PANHANDLE/SW GA THIS AFTERNOON...
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EMANATING FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY
CONTRIBUTED TO NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS S CENTRAL/SE AL.
MODERATE INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED IN ADVANCE OF THESE DEVELOPING
STORMS AS A RESULT OF STRONG SURFACE HEATING...WHICH WILL SUPPORT AN
INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY. THOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR IS
WEAK...THE STRONGER MULTICELL STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED STRONG/DAMAGING OUTFLOW GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON.

...CENTRAL TX THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
THE SURFACE FRONT HAS STALLED A LITTLE S OF I-20 IN NE AND CENTRAL
TX. 12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED A STRONG CAP AT THE BASE OF A WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG INSTABILITY THIS
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER DAY OF INTENSE SURFACE HEATING/
MIXING...COMBINED WITH SHALLOW ASCENT ALONG THE FRONT AND A WEAK
MIDLEVEL WAVE OVER CENTRAL TX...SHOULD PROMOTE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE RELATIVELY
WEAK...BUT 2000-3000 J/KG MLCAPE AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL SUPPORT HYBRID DOWNBURSTS AND A RISK FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS.

..THOMPSON/HURLBUT.. 09/27/2011

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KCTP [271600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271600
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1200 PM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S SAXTON 40.17N 78.25W
09/27/2011 BEDFORD PA 911 CALL CENTER

WATER AND DEBRIS OVER ROAD IN COALDALE


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100464

$$

KREKELER

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KCTP [271556]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271556
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1156 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 AM FLASH FLOOD CASSVILLE 40.29N 78.03W
09/27/2011 HUNTINGDON PA EMERGENCY MNGR

STRUCTURAL FLOODING REPORTED IN CASS TOWNSHIP


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100463

$$

KREKELER

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KTBW [271550]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 271550
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1150 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 AM WATER SPOUT 2 SW BRADENTON BEACH 27.44N 82.73W
09/27/2011 GMZ853 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM SPOTTER REPORTED A WATERSPOUT 1 TO 2 MILES WEST OF
LONGBOAT PASS DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD LASTING 10 MINUTES.


&&

$$

DAVIS

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KCTP [271539]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271539
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1138 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM FLASH FLOOD STATE COLLEGE 40.79N 77.86W
09/27/2011 CENTRE PA PUBLIC

1 FOOT OF WATER ON ATHERTON ST.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100462

$$

KREKELER

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KDVN [271500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 271500
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1000 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0633 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNE STOCKTON 42.39N 89.98W
09/27/2011 M1.20 INCH JO DAVIESS IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW COLETA 41.89N 89.81W
09/27/2011 M2.37 INCH WHITESIDE IL COCORAHS

48 HOUR TOTAL. 24 HOUR TOTAL WAS 1.11 INCHES.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
09/27/2011 M1.38 INCH SCOTT IA ASOS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 N DAVENPORT 41.64N 90.60W
09/27/2011 M1.36 INCH SCOTT IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

24 HOUR TOTAL. NWS DVN COOP OBSERVATION.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 S DEWITT 41.76N 90.55W
09/27/2011 M1.10 INCH SCOTT IA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E KEWANEE 41.24N 89.91W
09/27/2011 M1.92 INCH HENRY IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
09/27/2011 M1.14 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL ASOS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW ORION 41.39N 90.43W
09/27/2011 M1.29 INCH HENRY IL COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N MOLINE 41.50N 90.49W
09/27/2011 M1.17 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE COAL VALLEY 41.43N 90.42W
09/27/2011 M1.16 INCH HENRY IL COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW MACOMB 40.51N 90.74W
09/27/2011 M1.05 INCH MCDONOUGH IL COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S ELDRIDGE 41.62N 90.57W
09/27/2011 M1.47 INCH SCOTT IA COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW DAVENPORT 41.54N 90.61W
09/27/2011 M1.39 INCH SCOTT IA COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE BETTENDORF 41.54N 90.45W
09/27/2011 M1.36 INCH SCOTT IA COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNE LE CLAIRE 41.63N 90.35W
09/27/2011 M1.26 INCH SCOTT IA COCORAHS

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

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KJAX [271457]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 271457
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1057 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSE DUNGENESS 30.67N 81.43W
09/26/2011 NASSAU FL POST OFFICE

THE POST OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN NEAR TARPON STREET.
THE TIME GIVEN WAS BASED ON RADAR.


&&

$$

PP

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KPQR [271456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 271456
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
756 AM PDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE DISAPPOINTMENT 46.27N 124.08W
09/26/2011 M62.00 MPH PACIFIC WA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

51 MPH SUSTAINED, 62 MPH GUSTS.

0120 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CAPE MEARES 45.49N 123.97W
09/26/2011 M61.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

0130 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 10 S TOKELAND 46.57N 123.98W
09/26/2011 M44.00 MPH PZZ250 WA OTHER FEDERAL

0235 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N TILLAMOOK 45.53N 123.84W
09/26/2011 M69.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR OTHER FEDERAL

TILLAMOOK BAY WIND GUSTS TO 69 MPH.

0235 PM NON-TSTM WND GST GARIBALDI 45.56N 123.91W
09/26/2011 M73.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR OFFICIAL NWS OBS

51 MPH SUSTAINED, 73 MPH GUSTS.

0235 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CLATSOP SPIT 46.22N 124.00W
09/26/2011 M65.00 MPH CLATSOP OR OFFICIAL NWS OBS

51 MPH SUSTAINED, 65 MPH GUSTS.


&&

$$

TW

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KILX [271442]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KILX 271442
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
942 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE NORMAL 40.56N 88.95W
09/27/2011 M1.20 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN ALTONA 41.12N 90.16W
09/27/2011 M1.55 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSE BRADFORD 41.14N 89.64W
09/27/2011 M2.29 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N MACKINAW 40.55N 89.36W
09/27/2011 M1.10 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN SPARLAND 41.03N 89.44W
09/27/2011 M1.74 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 89.07W
09/27/2011 M1.23 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
09/27/2011 M1.93 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 W FARMER CITY 40.24N 88.70W
09/27/2011 M1.10 INCH DE WITT IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MORTON 40.61N 89.47W
09/27/2011 M1.19 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CAMP GROVE 41.06N 89.66W
09/27/2011 M1.62 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW CLINTON 40.14N 88.97W
09/27/2011 M1.12 INCH DE WITT IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE DAHINDA 40.96N 90.09W
09/27/2011 M1.28 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NE BLOOMINGTON 40.51N 88.93W
09/27/2011 M1.33 INCH MCLEAN IL NWS EMPLOYEE

MEASURED 1.33 INCHES OF RAIN FROM 4 PM MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM
TUESDAY. STILL GETTING VERY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE AT 7
AM MONDAY. TOTAL OF 1.56 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE SUNDAY
NIGHT.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN VARNA 41.04N 89.22W
09/27/2011 M2.05 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.20W
09/27/2011 M1.57 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0730 AM HEAVY RAIN EUREKA 40.72N 89.28W
09/27/2011 M1.42 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MINONK 40.90N 89.04W
09/27/2011 M1.70 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.97W
09/27/2011 M1.27 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR REPORT

0815 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NW CONGERVILLE 40.64N 89.24W
09/27/2011 M1.30 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

LAUFENBERG

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KILX [271441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 271441
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
941 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 NE NORMAL 40.56N 88.95W
09/27/2011 M1.20 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N MACKINAW 40.55N 89.36W
09/27/2011 M1.10 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSE BRADFORD 41.14N 89.64W
09/27/2011 M2.29 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN ALTONA 41.12N 90.16W
09/27/2011 M1.55 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN SPARLAND 41.03N 89.44W
09/27/2011 M1.74 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0600 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 89.07W
09/27/2011 M1.23 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0630 AM HEAVY RAIN TOULON 41.09N 89.86W
09/27/2011 M1.93 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN VARNA 41.04N 89.22W
09/27/2011 M2.05 INCH MARSHALL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN ROANOKE 40.80N 89.20W
09/27/2011 M1.57 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 NE DAHINDA 40.96N 90.09W
09/27/2011 M1.28 INCH KNOX IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW CLINTON 40.14N 88.97W
09/27/2011 M1.12 INCH DE WITT IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CAMP GROVE 41.06N 89.66W
09/27/2011 M1.62 INCH STARK IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN MORTON 40.61N 89.47W
09/27/2011 M1.19 INCH TAZEWELL IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 W FARMER CITY 40.24N 88.70W
09/27/2011 M1.10 INCH DE WITT IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0730 AM HEAVY RAIN EUREKA 40.72N 89.28W
09/27/2011 M1.42 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN MINONK 40.90N 89.04W
09/27/2011 M1.70 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON 40.48N 88.97W
09/27/2011 M1.27 INCH MCLEAN IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR REPORT

0815 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NW CONGERVILLE 40.64N 89.24W
09/27/2011 M1.30 INCH WOODFORD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

24-HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

LAUFENBERG

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KCLE [271432]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 271432
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1032 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 3 W ORWELL 41.54N 80.92W
09/25/2011 E1.00 INCH ASHTABULA OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0630 PM HAIL 9 N ANDOVER 41.74N 80.57W
09/26/2011 E1.75 INCH ASHTABULA OH PUBLIC

0635 PM HAIL 13 N ANDOVER 41.80N 80.57W
09/26/2011 E1.00 INCH ASHTABULA OH PUBLIC


&&

$$

ABAIR

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KJAN [271418]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 271418
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
918 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 AM LIGHTNING 10 NW PHILADELPHIA 32.88N 89.23W
09/27/2011 NESHOBA MS EMERGENCY MNGR

LIGHTNING STRUCK A RESIDENCE ON ROUTE 187 NEAR THE
WINSTON COUNTY LINE...THE STRUCTURE IS WOOD WITH METAL
ROOF AND CAUGHT ON FIRE NEAR STRIKE LOCATION BUT THE FIRE
WAS CONTAINED...REPORTED BY NESHOBA EM


&&

$$

EC

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KILX [271348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 271348
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
848 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 NE BLOOMINGTON 40.51N 88.93W
09/27/2011 M1.33 INCH MCLEAN IL NWS EMPLOYEE

MEASURED 1.33 INCHES OF RAIN FROM 4 PM MONDAY UNTIL 7 AM
TUESDAY. STILL GETTING VERY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE AT 7
AM MONDAY. TOTAL OF 1.56 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE SUNDAY
NIGHT.


&&

$$

KHUETTL

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KRNK [271333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271333
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
932 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1027 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNW FERRUM 36.96N 80.04W
09/26/2011 FRANKLIN VA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON FERRUM MOUNTAIN ROAD.


&&

$$

JH

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KJAN [271301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 271301
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
801 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLASH FLOOD KILBOURNE 33.00N 91.31W
09/27/2011 WEST CARROLL LA PUBLIC

A FEW ROADS WERE UNDER WATER AND IMPASSABLE IN THE FAR N
PART OF THE PARISH


&&

$$

CME

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271245
SWODY1
SPC AC 271243

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO CAROLINAS...

LITTLE NET MOTION OF MIDWESTERN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST THROUGH THE D1
PERIOD. HOWEVER...A NUMBER OF VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL CONTINUE TO
PIVOT AROUND PARENT CIRCULATION...ONE OF WHICH WILL LIFT NWD FROM
THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE UPPER OH VALLEY THIS MORNING. AS
THIS OCCURS...THE NEXT VORTICITY LOBE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL
TRANSLATE INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS BY AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY
THROUGH THE UPPER OH VALLEY BY TONIGHT. IN THE LOW LEVELS...SOME
OSCILLATION OF SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
BOUNDARY EXTENDING GENERALLY FROM WRN OR CNTRL PARTS OF NY/PA SWD
INTO THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT.

CLUSTERS OF TSTMS ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF CNTRL PA AND ALONG THE
VA/NC BORDER ARE LIKELY BEING FORCED BY THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF
LEAD IMPULSE LIFTING NWD. 12Z SOUNDINGS SHOW THE PRESENCE OF A
MOIST AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS...SUGGESTING THAT THESE STORMS MAY
PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING WITH SOME RISK FOR GUSTY WINDS. TSTMS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY AFTERNOON AS
AIR MASS DESTABILIZES AND LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ONCE AGAIN
INCREASES AHEAD OF UPSTREAM VORTICITY MAXIMUM. THOUGH LAPSE RATES
WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK...DAYTIME HEATING COUPLED WITH A MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BOOST MLCAPE VALUES TO AROUND 1000 J/KG LOCALLY.
WHILE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE
DISPLACEMENT OF THE STRONGER VERTICAL SHEAR TO THE WEST OF THE WARM
SECTOR WILL LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT.

...CNTRL TX EWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES...

SEWD-MOVING TSTM COMPLEX OVER MS/WRN AL MAY POSE AN ISOLATED
WIND/HAIL THREAT THIS MORNING BEFORE WEAKENING WITH THE CESSATION OF
THE NOCTURNAL LLJ. IN ITS WAKE...12Z WARM-SECTOR SOUNDINGS INDICATE
THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES WHICH WILL YIELD A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY AFTERNOON
WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 3000 J/KG. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY REMNANT FROM
NOCTURNAL MCS AND STALLED SYNOPTIC FRONT WILL SERVE AS THE FOCI FOR
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY AS CAP IS ERODED
THROUGH HEATING AND CONVERGENCE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER. THOUGH WARM
SECTOR WILL REMAIN DISPLACED TO THE S OF STRONGER MIDLEVEL FLOW
ATTENDANT TO DEEP-LAYER CYCLONE OVER THE MIDWEST...THE STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONG CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT INTENSE
UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..MEAD/ROGERS.. 09/27/2011

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KJAN [271239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 271239
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HAIL EUDORA 33.12N 91.26W
09/27/2011 E1.00 INCH CHICOT AR CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

CME

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KJAN [271204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 271204
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
704 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD PARKDALE 33.12N 91.55W
09/27/2011 ASHLEY AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER IN SE ASHLEY CO...RADAR EST 4-6
IN OF RAIN HAS FALLEN.


&&

$$

CME

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KAPX [271153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 271153
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
753 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0749 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 E LUZERNE 44.62N 84.23W
09/27/2011 M2.21 INCH OSCODA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.

0749 AM HEAVY RAIN LUPTON 44.43N 84.02W
09/27/2011 M2.27 INCH OGEMAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM.


&&

$$

SCHWARTZ

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KCTP [271049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCTP 271049
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
649 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0621 AM TSTM WND DMG ALTOONA 40.51N 78.40W
09/27/2011 BLAIR PA 911 CALL CENTER

A FEW TREES DOWN ON WIRES WITH POWER OUTAGES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CTP1100461

$$

STEINBUGL

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KAPX [271041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 271041
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
641 AM EDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 AM HEAVY RAIN CHEBOYGAN 45.64N 84.47W
09/27/2011 M1.13 INCH CHEBOYGAN MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.

0638 AM HEAVY RAIN LOVELLS 44.81N 84.47W
09/27/2011 M1.57 INCH CRAWFORD MI BROADCAST MEDIA

24 HR TOTAL THRU 6 AM.


&&

$$

SCHWARTZ

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KSHV [270750]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 270750
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
250 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 AM HAIL HOPE 33.67N 93.59W
09/27/2011 M0.50 INCH HEMPSTEAD AR TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MMAYEAUX

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 270744
SWOD48
SPC AC 270743

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

VALID 301200Z - 051200Z

...DISCUSSION...

NWLY FLOW WILL DEEPEN EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE WEEKEND AS HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY FORCES MORE MOIST/BUOYANT AIR MASS OFFSHORE. NET
RESULT WILL BE A DRIER AND MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE CONUS. ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 09/27/2011

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KJAN [270721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 270721
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
221 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 AM HAIL SHAW 33.60N 90.77W
09/27/2011 E0.75 INCH BOLIVAR MS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

CME

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