NWUS53 KGRR 200236
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1035 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1005 PM HAIL GRAND RAPIDS 42.96N 85.66W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH KENT MI BROADCAST MEDIA
RECORDED AT WOODTV IN GRAND RAPIDS. THUNDER
ALSO WAS HEARD.
1010 PM HAIL 3 ENE KENTWOOD 42.89N 85.54W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OB
PEA SIZED HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT 5 MINUTES AT
NWS GRAND RAPIDS.
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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Saturday, October 19, 2013
KJAX [200234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KJAX 200234
LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1034 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0531 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 S ST. AUGUSTINE 29.76N 81.31W
10/19/2013 M1.75 INCH ST. JOHNS FL PUBLIC
1.75 INCHES OF RAIN WAS RECORDED IN 20 MINUTES AT ST
AUGUSTINE SHORES.
&&
$$
PP
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LSRJAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1034 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0531 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 S ST. AUGUSTINE 29.76N 81.31W
10/19/2013 M1.75 INCH ST. JOHNS FL PUBLIC
1.75 INCHES OF RAIN WAS RECORDED IN 20 MINUTES AT ST
AUGUSTINE SHORES.
&&
$$
PP
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KGRR [200152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 200152
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
951 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0937 PM HAIL 1 S ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH OTTAWA MI AMATEUR RADIO
HAIL LIGHTLY COVERING GROUND. LIGHTNING
OBSERVED.
0941 PM HAIL 2 NW SAINT HUBERTS 43.57N 86.12W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH OCEANA MI COUNTY OFFICIAL
SOME LIGHTNING ALSO OBSERVED. LOCATION IS 4
MILES WEST OF HESPERIA.
0945 PM HAIL RAVENNA 43.19N 85.94W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH MUSKEGON MI COCORAHS
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
951 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0937 PM HAIL 1 S ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH OTTAWA MI AMATEUR RADIO
HAIL LIGHTLY COVERING GROUND. LIGHTNING
OBSERVED.
0941 PM HAIL 2 NW SAINT HUBERTS 43.57N 86.12W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH OCEANA MI COUNTY OFFICIAL
SOME LIGHTNING ALSO OBSERVED. LOCATION IS 4
MILES WEST OF HESPERIA.
0945 PM HAIL RAVENNA 43.19N 85.94W
10/19/2013 M0.25 INCH MUSKEGON MI COCORAHS
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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KGRR [200105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 200105
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
904 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0810 PM HAIL 1 SSE ZEELAND 42.81N 86.01W
10/19/2013 M0.50 INCH OTTAWA MI AMATEUR RADIO
HAIL RANGED FROM 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH.
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
904 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0810 PM HAIL 1 SSE ZEELAND 42.81N 86.01W
10/19/2013 M0.50 INCH OTTAWA MI AMATEUR RADIO
HAIL RANGED FROM 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH.
&&
$$
NWS GRAND RAPIDS MI
IRIS SYSTEM
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 200101
SWODY1
SPC AC 200058
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT. A COUPLE
OF TSTMS IN FL SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER INLAND AREAS THIS EVENING
WITHIN A WEAK-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER
PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL DIMINISH AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS
EWD AND EL TEMPERATURES WARM.
..GRAMS.. 10/20/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 200058
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 200100Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TONIGHT. A COUPLE
OF TSTMS IN FL SHOULD DISSIPATE OVER INLAND AREAS THIS EVENING
WITHIN A WEAK-SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER
PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL DIMINISH AS A MID-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS
EWD AND EL TEMPERATURES WARM.
..GRAMS.. 10/20/2013
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KGRR [200036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 200036
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
836 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 PM HAIL HOLT 42.64N 84.52W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH INGHAM MI PUBLIC
&&
$$
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
836 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 PM HAIL HOLT 42.64N 84.52W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH INGHAM MI PUBLIC
&&
$$
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KGRR [192329]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 192329
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
729 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0710 PM HAIL SW ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
GRAUPEL UP TO PEA SIZE MIXING IN WITH SHOWERS.
&&
$$
NJJ
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
729 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0710 PM HAIL SW ALLENDALE 42.97N 85.95W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
GRAUPEL UP TO PEA SIZE MIXING IN WITH SHOWERS.
&&
$$
NJJ
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KGRB [192211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRB 192211
LSRGRB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
510 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0509 PM HAIL WISCONSIN RAPIDS 44.40N 89.84W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH WOOD WI TRAINED SPOTTER
SMALL, PEA SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND WITH THUNDERSTORM.
&&
$$
TERIE
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LSRGRB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
510 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0509 PM HAIL WISCONSIN RAPIDS 44.40N 89.84W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH WOOD WI TRAINED SPOTTER
SMALL, PEA SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND WITH THUNDERSTORM.
&&
$$
TERIE
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KDDC [192050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KDDC 192050
LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
350 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0956 AM SNOW 1 E NESS CITY 38.45N 99.89W
10/18/2013 E1.0 INCH NESS KS TRAINED SPOTTER
1145 AM SNOW 8 SSE NESS CITY 38.35N 99.85W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
1155 AM SNOW 2 E DODGE CITY 37.76N 99.98W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH FORD KS NWS EMPLOYEE
THIS MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN AT THE NWS DDC OFFICE.
0100 PM SNOW 6 S HANSTON 38.03N 99.71W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0128 PM SNOW WNW JETMORE 38.08N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 N HICKOK 37.72N 101.25W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH GRANT KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 SSE ASH VALLEY 38.23N 99.17W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW HEALY 38.60N 100.62W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW SW NESS CITY 38.45N 99.91W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH NESS KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 2 NNW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.03W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 7 SE CIMARRON 37.74N 100.26W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 WNW JETMORE 38.14N 100.08W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 4 NE HANSTON 38.16N 99.66W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 SW UTICA 38.58N 100.25W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 NNW LARNED 38.26N 99.14W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW NW MCCRACKEN 38.58N 99.57W
10/18/2013 M2.3 INCH RUSH KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 8 N JETMORE 38.20N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M3.2 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 15 N INGALLS 38.04N 100.45W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 14 N DEERFIELD 38.18N 101.13W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH KEARNY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 3 SW DODGE CITY 37.73N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M2.8 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 10 NNE PIERCEVILLE 38.02N 100.60W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 9 SW JETMORE 37.99N 100.00W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 ENE ROZEL 38.22N 99.32W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0300 PM SNOW 1 NW BURDETT 38.20N 99.54W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0300 PM SNOW 8 NNE HOWELL 37.89N 100.12W
10/18/2013 E3.0 INCH FORD KS PUBLIC
0400 PM SNOW 12 SSW LARNED 38.02N 99.19W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0400 PM SNOW 6 W LARNED 38.18N 99.21W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
RBURG
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LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
350 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0956 AM SNOW 1 E NESS CITY 38.45N 99.89W
10/18/2013 E1.0 INCH NESS KS TRAINED SPOTTER
1145 AM SNOW 8 SSE NESS CITY 38.35N 99.85W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
1155 AM SNOW 2 E DODGE CITY 37.76N 99.98W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH FORD KS NWS EMPLOYEE
THIS MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN AT THE NWS DDC OFFICE.
0100 PM SNOW 6 S HANSTON 38.03N 99.71W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0128 PM SNOW WNW JETMORE 38.08N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 N HICKOK 37.72N 101.25W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH GRANT KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 SSE ASH VALLEY 38.23N 99.17W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW HEALY 38.60N 100.62W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW SW NESS CITY 38.45N 99.91W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH NESS KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 2 NNW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.03W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 7 SE CIMARRON 37.74N 100.26W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 WNW JETMORE 38.14N 100.08W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 4 NE HANSTON 38.16N 99.66W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 SW UTICA 38.58N 100.25W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 NNW LARNED 38.26N 99.14W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW NW MCCRACKEN 38.58N 99.57W
10/18/2013 M2.3 INCH RUSH KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 8 N JETMORE 38.20N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M3.2 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 15 N INGALLS 38.04N 100.45W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 14 N DEERFIELD 38.18N 101.13W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH KEARNY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 3 SW DODGE CITY 37.73N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M2.8 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 10 NNE PIERCEVILLE 38.02N 100.60W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 9 SW JETMORE 37.99N 100.00W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 ENE ROZEL 38.22N 99.32W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0300 PM SNOW 1 NW BURDETT 38.20N 99.54W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0300 PM SNOW 8 NNE HOWELL 37.89N 100.12W
10/18/2013 E3.0 INCH FORD KS PUBLIC
0400 PM SNOW 12 SSW LARNED 38.02N 99.19W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0400 PM SNOW 6 W LARNED 38.18N 99.21W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
RBURG
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 191956
SWODY1
SPC AC 191954
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 192000Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES BEING MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST...WITH THE MOST
SUBSTANTIAL BEING TO EXPAND THE GREAT LAKES THUNDER AREA WWD INTO
SERN MN/NERN IA...TO ACCOUNT FOR A FEW STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKES
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER VORT MAX CROSSING THE AREA.
OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE
SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INVOF THE SERN U.S. COAST AND ACROSS
NRN FL. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
..GOSS.. 10/19/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013/
CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY
OVER PARTS OF FL. A STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH FL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER LAKE MI AND WESTERN LOWER MI WHERE WARM WATER TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 191954
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 192000Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...DISCUSSION...
FEW CHANGES BEING MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST...WITH THE MOST
SUBSTANTIAL BEING TO EXPAND THE GREAT LAKES THUNDER AREA WWD INTO
SERN MN/NERN IA...TO ACCOUNT FOR A FEW STRAY LIGHTNING STRIKES
ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER VORT MAX CROSSING THE AREA.
OTHERWISE...SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE NEAR THE
SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INVOF THE SERN U.S. COAST AND ACROSS
NRN FL. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.
..GOSS.. 10/19/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013/
CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY
OVER PARTS OF FL. A STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH FL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER LAKE MI AND WESTERN LOWER MI WHERE WARM WATER TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.
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KMKX [191944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMKX 191944
LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
243 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0218 PM HAIL WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL ESTIMATED AT PEA SIZE. FELL FOR ABOUT 2 MINUTES
BEFORE ALL PCPN. ENDED. NO ACCUMULATION OF HAIL.
&&
$$
BHAHN
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LSRMKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
243 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0218 PM HAIL WEST ALLIS 43.01N 88.03W
10/19/2013 E0.25 INCH MILWAUKEE WI TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL ESTIMATED AT PEA SIZE. FELL FOR ABOUT 2 MINUTES
BEFORE ALL PCPN. ENDED. NO ACCUMULATION OF HAIL.
&&
$$
BHAHN
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 191723
SWODY2
SPC AC 191721
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SOME AMPLIFICATION OF THE BROADLY CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW FIELD COVERING
THE MAJORITY OF THE U.S. WILL OCCUR THIS PERIOD...AS PHASED
SHORT-WAVE TROUGHING DIGS SWD OUT OF CANADA AND ACROSS THE PLAINS
WITHIN THE WRN PORTION OF THE LARGER-SCALE TROUGHING. AS THIS
OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT -- AT THE LEADING EDGE OF A
REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR -- WILL ADVANCE QUICKLY SEWD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...REACHING A POSITION FROM LOWER MI SWWD INTO SRN
OK/N TX BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
AS SLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS TX AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE WITHIN THE GRADUALLY MOISTENING WARM
SECTOR DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF S TX AND THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TX COAST.
HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED GIVEN AN
ANTICIPATED/OVERALL LACK OF CAPE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL
PENINSULA...AHEAD OF THE LINGERING COLD FRONT AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
AN EARLIER SURGE OF COLD CONTINENTAL AIR. HOWEVER...CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ANY APPRECIABLE SEVERE
RISK ACROSS THIS AREA AS WELL.
..GOSS.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 191721
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1221 PM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SOME AMPLIFICATION OF THE BROADLY CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW FIELD COVERING
THE MAJORITY OF THE U.S. WILL OCCUR THIS PERIOD...AS PHASED
SHORT-WAVE TROUGHING DIGS SWD OUT OF CANADA AND ACROSS THE PLAINS
WITHIN THE WRN PORTION OF THE LARGER-SCALE TROUGHING. AS THIS
OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT -- AT THE LEADING EDGE OF A
REINFORCING SURGE OF COLD AIR -- WILL ADVANCE QUICKLY SEWD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS...REACHING A POSITION FROM LOWER MI SWWD INTO SRN
OK/N TX BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
AS SLY FLOW INCREASES ACROSS TX AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY EVOLVE WITHIN THE GRADUALLY MOISTENING WARM
SECTOR DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD -- PARTICULARLY ACROSS
PORTIONS OF S TX AND THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TX COAST.
HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED GIVEN AN
ANTICIPATED/OVERALL LACK OF CAPE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE FL
PENINSULA...AHEAD OF THE LINGERING COLD FRONT AT THE LEADING EDGE OF
AN EARLIER SURGE OF COLD CONTINENTAL AIR. HOWEVER...CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ANY APPRECIABLE SEVERE
RISK ACROSS THIS AREA AS WELL.
..GOSS.. 10/19/2013
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 191621
SWODY1
SPC AC 191619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 191630Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY
OVER PARTS OF FL. A STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH FL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER LAKE MI AND WESTERN LOWER MI WHERE WARM WATER TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 191619
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 191630Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
CYCLONIC FLOW IS PRESENT ACROSS MOST OF THE NATION TODAY...WITH THE
PRIMARY SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHEAST STATES. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF...AND OTHER STORMS ARE EXPECTED LATER TODAY
OVER PARTS OF FL. A STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH FL...BUT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT ANTICIPATED. OTHER ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER LAKE MI AND WESTERN LOWER MI WHERE WARM WATER TEMPERATURES WILL
RESULT IN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.
..HART/LEITMAN.. 10/19/2013
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KLIX [191612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS54 KLIX 191612
LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1111 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 29.26N 89.96W
10/19/2013 M40.00 MPH JEFFERSON LA C-MAN STATION
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0915 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 17 SW BOOTHVILLE 29.15N 89.60W
10/19/2013 M46.00 MPH GMZ552 LA AWOS
KDLP AWOS. ANEMOMETER 114 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0955 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 44 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.68N 89.68W
10/19/2013 M45.00 MPH GMZ552 XX AWOS
KMDJ AWOS OBSERVATION. ANEMOMETER ELEVATION 295 FEET
ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
1000 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 26 S VENICE 28.90N 89.43W
10/19/2013 M41.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
1035 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 34 E BOOTHVILLE 29.32N 88.83W
10/19/2013 M41.00 MPH GMZ555 LA AWOS
KMIS AWOS. ANEMOMETER 279 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1111 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 29.26N 89.96W
10/19/2013 M40.00 MPH JEFFERSON LA C-MAN STATION
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0915 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 17 SW BOOTHVILLE 29.15N 89.60W
10/19/2013 M46.00 MPH GMZ552 LA AWOS
KDLP AWOS. ANEMOMETER 114 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0955 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 44 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.68N 89.68W
10/19/2013 M45.00 MPH GMZ552 XX AWOS
KMDJ AWOS OBSERVATION. ANEMOMETER ELEVATION 295 FEET
ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
1000 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 26 S VENICE 28.90N 89.43W
10/19/2013 M41.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
1035 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 34 E BOOTHVILLE 29.32N 88.83W
10/19/2013 M41.00 MPH GMZ555 LA AWOS
KMIS AWOS. ANEMOMETER 279 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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KMLB [191607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 191607
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1207 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1152 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 E SAINT LUCIE AIRPOR 27.49N 80.20W
10/19/2013 AMZ555 FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
OBSERVER AT KFPR SAINT LUCIE AIRPORT REPORTED FUNNEL
CLOUD WHICH FORMED AND DISSIPATED MULTIPLE TIMES BUT
NEVER REACHED THE WATER.
&&
$$
ARB
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1207 PM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1152 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 E SAINT LUCIE AIRPOR 27.49N 80.20W
10/19/2013 AMZ555 FL OFFICIAL NWS OBS
OBSERVER AT KFPR SAINT LUCIE AIRPORT REPORTED FUNNEL
CLOUD WHICH FORMED AND DISSIPATED MULTIPLE TIMES BUT
NEVER REACHED THE WATER.
&&
$$
ARB
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KICT [191543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KICT 191543
LSRICT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1043 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW GREAT BEND 38.36N 98.81W
10/19/2013 M4.0 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW YESTERDAY
AND HAD 3 INCHES OF SNOW REMAINING ON THE GROUND.
&&
$$
VJP
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LSRICT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1043 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW GREAT BEND 38.36N 98.81W
10/19/2013 M4.0 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW YESTERDAY
AND HAD 3 INCHES OF SNOW REMAINING ON THE GROUND.
&&
$$
VJP
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KDDC [191531]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KDDC 191531
LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1030 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 AM SNOW 8 SSE NESS CITY 38.35N 99.85W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
1155 AM SNOW 2 E DODGE CITY 37.76N 99.98W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH FORD KS NWS EMPLOYEE
THIS MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN AT THE NWS DDC OFFICE.
0100 PM SNOW 6 S HANSTON 38.03N 99.71W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0128 PM SNOW WNW JETMORE 38.08N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 5 SSE ASH VALLEY 38.23N 99.17W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 ENE ROZEL 38.22N 99.32W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 2 NNW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.03W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW SW NESS CITY 38.45N 99.91W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH NESS KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW HEALY 38.60N 100.62W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 9 SW JETMORE 37.99N 100.00W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 10 NNE PIERCEVILLE 38.02N 100.60W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 3 SW DODGE CITY 37.73N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M2.8 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 14 N DEERFIELD 38.18N 101.13W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH KEARNY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 15 N INGALLS 38.04N 100.45W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M3.2 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 8 N JETMORE 38.20N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW NW MCCRACKEN 38.58N 99.57W
10/18/2013 M2.3 INCH RUSH KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 NNW LARNED 38.26N 99.14W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 SW UTICA 38.58N 100.25W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 4 NE HANSTON 38.16N 99.66W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 WNW JETMORE 38.14N 100.08W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 7 SE CIMARRON 37.74N 100.26W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0300 PM SNOW 8 NNE HOWELL 37.89N 100.12W
10/18/2013 E3.0 INCH FORD KS PUBLIC
0300 PM SNOW 1 NW BURDETT 38.20N 99.54W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0400 PM SNOW 12 SSW LARNED 38.02N 99.19W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
&&
$$
MSCOTT
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LSRDDC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1030 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 AM SNOW 8 SSE NESS CITY 38.35N 99.85W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH NESS KS PUBLIC
1155 AM SNOW 2 E DODGE CITY 37.76N 99.98W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH FORD KS NWS EMPLOYEE
THIS MEASUREMENT WAS TAKEN AT THE NWS DDC OFFICE.
0100 PM SNOW 6 S HANSTON 38.03N 99.71W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0128 PM SNOW WNW JETMORE 38.08N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 5 SSE ASH VALLEY 38.23N 99.17W
10/18/2013 E2.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 5 ENE ROZEL 38.22N 99.32W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 2 NNW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.03W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW SW NESS CITY 38.45N 99.91W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH NESS KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW HEALY 38.60N 100.62W
10/18/2013 M2.0 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 9 SW JETMORE 37.99N 100.00W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 10 NNE PIERCEVILLE 38.02N 100.60W
10/18/2013 E5.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 3 SW DODGE CITY 37.73N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M2.8 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 14 N DEERFIELD 38.18N 101.13W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH KEARNY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 15 N INGALLS 38.04N 100.45W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH FINNEY KS PUBLIC
0200 PM SNOW 3 NW DODGE CITY 37.79N 100.05W
10/18/2013 M3.2 INCH FORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 8 N JETMORE 38.20N 99.89W
10/18/2013 M4.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW NW MCCRACKEN 38.58N 99.57W
10/18/2013 M2.3 INCH RUSH KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 NNW LARNED 38.26N 99.14W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 6 SW UTICA 38.58N 100.25W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH LANE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 4 NE HANSTON 38.16N 99.66W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 11 WNW JETMORE 38.14N 100.08W
10/18/2013 M3.5 INCH HODGEMAN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0200 PM SNOW 7 SE CIMARRON 37.74N 100.26W
10/18/2013 M3.0 INCH GRAY KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0300 PM SNOW 8 NNE HOWELL 37.89N 100.12W
10/18/2013 E3.0 INCH FORD KS PUBLIC
0300 PM SNOW 1 NW BURDETT 38.20N 99.54W
10/18/2013 M2.5 INCH PAWNEE KS CO-OP OBSERVER
0400 PM SNOW 12 SSW LARNED 38.02N 99.19W
10/18/2013 E4.0 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC
&&
$$
MSCOTT
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KLIX [191524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS54 KLIX 191524
LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1024 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 29.26N 89.96W
10/19/2013 M40.00 MPH JEFFERSON LA C-MAN STATION
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0915 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 17 SW BOOTHVILLE 29.15N 89.60W
10/19/2013 M46.00 MPH GMZ552 LA AWOS
KDLP AWOS. ANEMOMETER 114 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0955 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 44 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.68N 89.68W
10/19/2013 M45.00 MPH GMZ552 XX AWOS
KMDJ AWOS OBSERVATION. ANEMOMETER ELEVATION 295 FEET
ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1024 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 1 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 29.26N 89.96W
10/19/2013 M40.00 MPH JEFFERSON LA C-MAN STATION
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51.00 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0915 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 17 SW BOOTHVILLE 29.15N 89.60W
10/19/2013 M46.00 MPH GMZ552 LA AWOS
KDLP AWOS. ANEMOMETER 114 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
0955 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 44 SSE GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.68N 89.68W
10/19/2013 M45.00 MPH GMZ552 XX AWOS
KMDJ AWOS OBSERVATION. ANEMOMETER ELEVATION 295 FEET
ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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KLIX [191508]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLIX 191508
LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1008 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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LSRLIX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1008 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0855 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 27 SSE LEEVILLE 28.89N 90.02W
10/19/2013 M51 MPH GMZ552 LA BUOY
ANEMOMETER 190 FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL.
&&
$$
PGRIGSBY
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KSEW [191502]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KSEW 191502
LSRSEW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
802 AM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0802 AM DENSE FOG 1 ESE ANACORTES 48.49N 122.60W
10/19/2013 SKAGIT WA TRAINED SPOTTER
VISIBILITY 75 YARDS
&&
$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV
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LSRSEW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
802 AM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0802 AM DENSE FOG 1 ESE ANACORTES 48.49N 122.60W
10/19/2013 SKAGIT WA TRAINED SPOTTER
VISIBILITY 75 YARDS
&&
$$
WWW.WEATHER.GOV
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KICT [191454]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KICT 191454
LSRICT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
954 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW CLAFLIN 38.52N 98.54W
10/19/2013 M4.0 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW FOR
YESTERDAY AND HAD A SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES AS OF 7AM.
0700 AM SNOW ELLINWOOD 38.36N 98.58W
10/19/2013 M3.5 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 3.5 INCHES OF SNOW TO HAVE
FALLEN YESTERDAY AND HAD A SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES AS OF
7AM.
0700 AM SNOW LINCOLN 39.04N 98.15W
10/19/2013 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL
YESTERDAY. ALL OF THE SNOW MELTED BY 7AM THIS MORNING.
&&
$$
VJP
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LSRICT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
954 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM SNOW CLAFLIN 38.52N 98.54W
10/19/2013 M4.0 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW FOR
YESTERDAY AND HAD A SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES AS OF 7AM.
0700 AM SNOW ELLINWOOD 38.36N 98.58W
10/19/2013 M3.5 INCH BARTON KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER MEASURED 3.5 INCHES OF SNOW TO HAVE
FALLEN YESTERDAY AND HAD A SNOW DEPTH OF 2 INCHES AS OF
7AM.
0700 AM SNOW LINCOLN 39.04N 98.15W
10/19/2013 M3.0 INCH LINCOLN KS CO-OP OBSERVER
COOPERATIVE OBSERVER REPORTS 3 INCHES OF SNOW FELL
YESTERDAY. ALL OF THE SNOW MELTED BY 7AM THIS MORNING.
&&
$$
VJP
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KGRR [191426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 191426
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1026 AM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM SLEET 4 ENE MUSKEGON 43.25N 86.18W
10/19/2013 M0.00 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SLEET THE SIZE OF BBS MIXED IN WITH RAIN FOR 5 TO 10
MINUTES.
&&
$$
EBW
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1026 AM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM SLEET 4 ENE MUSKEGON 43.25N 86.18W
10/19/2013 M0.00 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SLEET THE SIZE OF BBS MIXED IN WITH RAIN FOR 5 TO 10
MINUTES.
&&
$$
EBW
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KGRR [191401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGRR 191401
LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1001 AM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM SLEET 4 NE HOLLAND 42.83N 86.06W
10/19/2013 M0.00 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SLEET MIXED IN WITH RAIN. PRECIP IS 0.01 INCHES.
&&
$$
EBW
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LSRGRR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1001 AM EDT SAT OCT 19 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM SLEET 4 NE HOLLAND 42.83N 86.06W
10/19/2013 M0.00 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SLEET MIXED IN WITH RAIN. PRECIP IS 0.01 INCHES.
&&
$$
EBW
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 191230
SWODY1
SPC AC 191228
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOCUSED THIS MORNING NEAR A
SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM COASTAL NC SWWD TO DEEP S TX.
AS AN UPPER TROUGH POSITIONED OVER THE MS VALLEY PROGRESSES NEWD
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...STORMS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE...WITH
COOLER/STABLE AIR SPREADING INTO THE GULF AND SERN ATLANTIC STATES.
ELSEWHERE...COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES /NEAR -30C AT 500 MB/
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MS VALLEY TROUGH WILL SPREAD ACROSS LK MI THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. STEEPENING LOW/MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP WARM
LAKE WATER WILL AID IN WEAK BUOYANCY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL.
..GARNER.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 191228
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0728 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOCUSED THIS MORNING NEAR A
SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDING FROM COASTAL NC SWWD TO DEEP S TX.
AS AN UPPER TROUGH POSITIONED OVER THE MS VALLEY PROGRESSES NEWD
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...STORMS WILL MOVE OFFSHORE...WITH
COOLER/STABLE AIR SPREADING INTO THE GULF AND SERN ATLANTIC STATES.
ELSEWHERE...COLD MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES /NEAR -30C AT 500 MB/
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MS VALLEY TROUGH WILL SPREAD ACROSS LK MI THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. STEEPENING LOW/MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP WARM
LAKE WATER WILL AID IN WEAK BUOYANCY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL.
..GARNER.. 10/19/2013
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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS48 KWNS 190856
SWOD48
SPC AC 190856
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 221200Z - 271200Z
...DISCUSSION...
THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES AND MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY ON TUESDAY/DAY 4. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD INTO THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AND
REMAIN THERE DURING THE MID-WEEK TIMEFRAME. THIS WILL LIMIT MOISTURE
RETURN INTO THE SRN U.S. THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.
ALTHOUGH SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ACROSS ERN GULF
COAST STATES AND FL ON TUESDAY...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE
VERY ISOLATED DURING MOST OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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SWOD48
SPC AC 190856
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0356 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 221200Z - 271200Z
...DISCUSSION...
THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEGIN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL STATES AND MOVE THIS FEATURE EWD
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY ON TUESDAY/DAY 4. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD INTO THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY AND
REMAIN THERE DURING THE MID-WEEK TIMEFRAME. THIS WILL LIMIT MOISTURE
RETURN INTO THE SRN U.S. THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.
ALTHOUGH SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ACROSS ERN GULF
COAST STATES AND FL ON TUESDAY...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE
VERY ISOLATED DURING MOST OF THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS03 KWNS 190706
SWODY3
SPC AC 190705
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN A LARGER SCALE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SEWD FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON MONDAY. AT
THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND
MID MS VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN CNTRL
TX AND EWD ACROSS THE MOIST SECTOR FROM THE TX COASTAL PLAINS TO NRN
FL. INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE TOO MARGINAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY3
SPC AC 190705
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0205 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED IN A LARGER SCALE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
MOVE SEWD FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON MONDAY. AT
THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND
MID MS VALLEY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY IN CNTRL
TX AND EWD ACROSS THE MOIST SECTOR FROM THE TX COASTAL PLAINS TO NRN
FL. INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO BE TOO MARGINAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 190555
SWODY2
SPC AC 190553
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS ON
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID
TO UPPER MS VALLEY. SFC WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME SLY ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS ALLOWING FOR SOME MOISTURE RETURN TO TAKE PLACE. IN
RESPONSE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT ON
THE TX COASTAL PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SRN
AND CNTRL FL DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY...NONE OF THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO
BE SEVERE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY2
SPC AC 190553
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1253 AM CDT SAT OCT 19 2013
VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS ON
SUNDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS AND MID
TO UPPER MS VALLEY. SFC WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME SLY ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS ALLOWING FOR SOME MOISTURE RETURN TO TAKE PLACE. IN
RESPONSE...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT ON
THE TX COASTAL PLAINS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN SRN
AND CNTRL FL DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. DUE TO WEAK
INSTABILITY...NONE OF THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE CONUS IS EXPECTED TO
BE SEVERE SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT.
..BROYLES.. 10/19/2013
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 190441
SWODY1
SPC AC 190438
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL MOVE THROUGH A BROAD AREA OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING MUCH OF THE CONUS. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OFF THE LOWER TX COAST THIS MORNING WHILE SHIFTING SEWD
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SAME FRONT WILL INITIALLY EXTEND NEWD
FROM THE ERN GULF COAST TO COASTAL NC...AND THIS FRONTAL SEGMENT
WILL BE SLOWER TO PROGRESS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. HOWEVER...AFTER
00Z...THE FRONT WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY A SURGE OF COOL/CONTINENTAL AIR
ATTENDANT TO AN IMPULSE QUICKLY ADVANCING FROM THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY
TO NEW ENGLAND. IN TURN...MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR ON THE
WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED OVER
INLAND AREAS AND SUPPORT ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SERN
STATES AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF TX. POOR TROPOSPHERIC
LAPSE RATES AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW RENDER NO SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
COLD MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS ACCOMPANYING THE AFOREMENTIONED IMPULSE
/E.G. H5 TEMPERATURES MORE NEGATIVE THAN -30C/ WILL GLANCE THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY LAYER GROWTH
ATOP THE RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS OF THE GREAT LAKES TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT NARROW CAPE
LAYERS MAY EXTEND MARGINALLY DEEP ENOUGH INTO ICING LAYERS ALOFT TO
SUPPORT A FEW VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PRECLUDE GENERAL
THUNDERSTORM AREAS. ALSO...DCVA PRECEDING THE IMPULSE MAY ENCOURAGE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL...LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM THE
CNTRL/NRN APPALACHIANS TO NEW ENGLAND. BUOYANCY IS FORECAST TO BE
TOO LIMITED FOR GENERAL THUNDERSTORM DELINEATION.
..COHEN/GRAMS.. 10/19/2013
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SWODY1
SPC AC 190438
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1138 PM CDT FRI OCT 18 2013
VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL MOVE THROUGH A BROAD AREA OF MID/UPPER-LEVEL
CYCLONIC FLOW COVERING MUCH OF THE CONUS. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE OFF THE LOWER TX COAST THIS MORNING WHILE SHIFTING SEWD
ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE SAME FRONT WILL INITIALLY EXTEND NEWD
FROM THE ERN GULF COAST TO COASTAL NC...AND THIS FRONTAL SEGMENT
WILL BE SLOWER TO PROGRESS OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST. HOWEVER...AFTER
00Z...THE FRONT WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY A SURGE OF COOL/CONTINENTAL AIR
ATTENDANT TO AN IMPULSE QUICKLY ADVANCING FROM THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY
TO NEW ENGLAND. IN TURN...MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR ON THE
WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED OVER
INLAND AREAS AND SUPPORT ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE SERN
STATES AND THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OF TX. POOR TROPOSPHERIC
LAPSE RATES AND WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW RENDER NO SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
COLD MID-LEVEL CONDITIONS ACCOMPANYING THE AFOREMENTIONED IMPULSE
/E.G. H5 TEMPERATURES MORE NEGATIVE THAN -30C/ WILL GLANCE THE GREAT
LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY LAYER GROWTH
ATOP THE RELATIVELY WARMER WATERS OF THE GREAT LAKES TO SUPPORT
SCATTERED SHOWERS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT NARROW CAPE
LAYERS MAY EXTEND MARGINALLY DEEP ENOUGH INTO ICING LAYERS ALOFT TO
SUPPORT A FEW VERY ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PRECLUDE GENERAL
THUNDERSTORM AREAS. ALSO...DCVA PRECEDING THE IMPULSE MAY ENCOURAGE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF SMALL...LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE BANDS FROM THE
CNTRL/NRN APPALACHIANS TO NEW ENGLAND. BUOYANCY IS FORECAST TO BE
TOO LIMITED FOR GENERAL THUNDERSTORM DELINEATION.
..COHEN/GRAMS.. 10/19/2013
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