KCYS [050413]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050413
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
913 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 S WHEATLAND 41.92N 104.96W
12/04/2012 M59 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED AT WYDOT BORDEAUX STATION.


&&

$$

AAH

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KCYS [050405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050405
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
904 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
12/04/2012 M58 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [050404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050404
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
903 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.29W
12/04/2012 M58 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY21

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [050403]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 050403
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
903 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0307 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
12/04/2012 M61 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS


&&

$$

SUK

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KCRP [050402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KCRP 050402
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1001 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0214 PM HAIL PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
12/04/2012 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN PORT LAVACA.

0237 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.64W
12/04/2012 M2.00 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

2.00 INCHES OF RAIN IN 50 MINUTES.

0358 PM HAIL 4 SE TIVOLI 28.39N 96.84W
12/04/2012 E0.75 INCH REFUGIO TX COCORAHS

0536 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 SSE AUSTWELL 28.20N 96.79W
12/04/2012 M67.00 MPH GMZ235 TX MESONET

ARANSAS WILDLIFE REFUGE MESONET SITE ARANWR RECORDED
MARINE GUST OF 57.9 KTS /66.6 MPH/.

0601 PM TSTM WND GST 11 E HOLIDAY BEACH 28.12N 96.80W
12/04/2012 M61.00 MPH CALHOUN TX MESONET

RAWS SITE MIRT2 ON MATAGORDA ISLAND RECORDED 61 MPH WIND
GUST. TIME IS APPROX FROM RADAR.

0816 PM HAIL 3 W CC NAS 27.69N 97.34W
12/04/2012 E0.50 INCH NUECES TX BROADCAST MEDIA

AT SPID AND RODD FIELD. NO TIME GIVEN BUT LSR TIME
ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0821 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 ENE CC NAS 27.70N 97.26W
12/04/2012 M40.00 MPH GMZ230 TX ASOS

KNGP ASOS MEASURED WIND GUST OF 35 KTS /40 MPH/

0900 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 SE CHAPMAN RANCH 27.48N 97.32W
12/04/2012 M41.00 MPH GMZ230 TX MESONET

S BIRD ISLAND TCOON STATION RECORDED WIND GUST OF 35.4
KTS /41 MPH/.


&&

$$

HART

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KTFX [050400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 050400
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
900 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
12/04/2012 M59 MPH TETON MT MESONET

0730 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 13 W BYNUM 47.98N 112.59W
12/04/2012 M44 MPH TETON MT MESONET


&&

$$

SUK

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KCRP [050350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 050350
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
950 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0536 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 13 SSE AUSTWELL 28.20N 96.79W
12/04/2012 M67 MPH GMZ235 TX MESONET

ARANSAS WILDLIFE REFUGE MESONET SITE ARANWR RECORDED
MARINE GUST OF 57.9 KTS /66.6 MPH/.


&&

$$

HART

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KCRP [050340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 050340
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
939 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 SE CHAPMAN RANCH 27.48N 97.32W
12/04/2012 M41 MPH GMZ230 TX MESONET

S BIRD ISLAND TCOON STATION RECORDED WIND GUST OF 35.4
KTS /41 MPH/.


&&

$$

HART

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KCYS [050024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050024 CCA
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
524 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 S WHEATLAND 41.93N 104.94W
12/04/2012 M65 MPH PLATTE WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT BORDEAUX STATION...KBRX

&&

$$

AAH

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KMFR [050011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 050011
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
410 PM PST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NNE TAKILMA 42.11N 123.58W
12/04/2012 M1.18 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN DURATION 24 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [050002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050002
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
502 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE BORDEAUX 41.93N 104.94W
12/04/2012 M65 MPH PLATTE WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KBRX

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [042320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042320
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
419 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSE BORDEAUX 41.93N 104.94W
12/04/2012 M69 MPH PLATTE WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION KBRX

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCRP [042221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 042221
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
421 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0358 PM HAIL 4 SE TIVOLI 28.39N 96.84W
12/04/2012 E0.75 INCH REFUGIO TX COCORAHS


&&

$$

HART

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KCYS [042209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042209
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
309 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 S WHEATLAND 41.92N 104.96W
12/04/2012 M61 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REPORTED AT BORDEAUX WYDOT SITE.


&&

$$

AAH

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KCYS [042203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042203
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.29W
12/04/2012 M60 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY21

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [042203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042203
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
302 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
12/04/2012 M62 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMEG [042147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 042147
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
346 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HAIL VERONA 34.19N 88.72W
12/04/2012 E0.75 INCH LEE MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED BY LEE COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
FROM THE TOWN OF VERONA.


&&

$$

JLH

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KJAN [042146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 042146
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
345 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL OAK GROVE 32.86N 91.39W
12/04/2012 E0.88 INCH WEST CARROLL LA EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORTS OF DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN OAK GROVE.


&&

$$

DCOX

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KCYS [042138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042138
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
238 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
12/04/2012 M58 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

REPORTED AT MESOWEST STATION UR345

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [042138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042138
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
238 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 ESE ARLINGTON 41.55N 106.09W
12/04/2012 M61 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY24

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KCYS [042138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042138
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
237 PM MST TUE DEC 4 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 NW ARLINGTON 41.64N 106.29W
12/04/2012 M62 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

REPORTED AT WYDOT STATION WY21

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KLCH [042134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 042134
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
334 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL 8 NNE SILSBEE 30.45N 94.13W
12/04/2012 E0.88 INCH HARDIN TX BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORTS NICKEL SIZED HAIL NORTH OF SILSBEE.


&&

$$

RDEAL

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KPIH [042125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 042125
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
225 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0223 PM SNOW 1 ESE KETCHUM 43.69N 114.36W
12/04/2012 M3.0 INCH BLAINE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW ACCUMULATION 3 INCHES SINCE THIS MORNING. STILL
SNOWING.


&&

$$

RSURVICK

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KCYS [042112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042112
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
212 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW ARLINGTON 41.62N 106.30W
12/04/2012 M59 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WAGONHOUND WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED WIND 49 MPH.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KCRP [042045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 042045
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
245 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0237 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.64W
12/04/2012 M2.00 INCH CALHOUN TX CO-OP OBSERVER

2.00 INCHES OF RAIN IN 50 MINUTES.


&&

$$

HART

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KPIH [042038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KPIH 042038
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
137 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM SNOW 12 NNW KETCHUM 43.85N 114.47W
12/04/2012 M4.1 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

CHOCOLATE GULCH, 4.1 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS ENDING AT
NOON ON 4 DECEMBER

0125 PM SNOW 20 NW KETCHUM 43.89N 114.66W
12/04/2012 M4.3 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SNOWTEL, 4.3 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS ENDING AT
NOON ON 4 DECEMBER

0125 PM SNOW 22 WNW KETCHUM 43.81N 114.78W
12/04/2012 M5.4 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SUMMIT SNOWTEL, 5.4 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS
ENDING AT NOON ON 4 DECEMBER

0125 PM SNOW 10 NW KETCHUM 43.79N 114.52W
12/04/2012 M5.4 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

LOST WOOD DIVIDE SNOWTEL, 5.4 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS
ENDING AT NOON ON 4 DECEMBER.

0125 PM SNOW 22 NW KETCHUM 43.91N 114.69W
12/04/2012 M7.7 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

VIENNA MINE SNOWTEL, 7.7 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS ENDING
AT NOON ON 4 DECEMBER.


&&

$$

EJP

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KSHV [042035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 042035
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
235 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 NW CHATHAM 32.40N 92.56W
12/04/2012 JACKSON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ON MT ZION ROAD NEAR MT ZION CHURCH


&&

$$

19

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KPIH [042030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 042030
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
129 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM SNOW 12 NNW KETCHUM 43.85N 114.47W
12/04/2012 M4.1 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

CHOCOLATE GULCH, 4.1 INCHES FELL OVER 12 HOURS ENDING AT
NOON ON 4 DECEMBER


&&

$$

EJP

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KCRP [042015]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 042015
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
215 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0214 PM HAIL PORT LAVACA 28.61N 96.62W
12/04/2012 E0.25 INCH CALHOUN TX TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN PORT LAVACA.


&&

$$

HART

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KCYS [042005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 042005
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
105 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW ARLINGTON 41.62N 106.30W
12/04/2012 M61 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WAGONHOUND WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED WIND 48 MPH.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041958
SWODY1
SPC AC 041956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF LOWER TO MIDDLE
TX COAST...

A COUPLE OF CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.
THE FIRST CHANGE IS TO REMOVE PART OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE
HOUSTON AREA WHERE NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING. THE AIRMASS
IS IN THE PROCESS OF BEING TURNED OVER IN SOUTHEAST TX AND THE
SEVERE THREAT MAY BE REDUCED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS INSTABILITY
DECREASES DUE TO THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW. THE SECOND CHANGE TO THE
OUTLOOK IS TO ADD A 5 PERCENT WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITY NEWD INTO
NCNTRL MS WHERE CONVECTION IS ONGOING. IN ADDITION...REMOVED THUNDER
ACROSS PARTS OF THE OZARKS. OTHERWISE...THE OUTLOOK APPEARS TO BE ON
TRACK.

..BROYLES.. 12/04/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1011 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...

THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS PERIOD IS A LOW-LATITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL TRANSLATE SEWD FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU
AND SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND NRN GULF OF MEXICO.
EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS BROADER-SCALE FEATURE...A VORTICITY MAXIMUM
OVER ERN OK AS OF MID MORNING WILL WEAKEN TODAY IN RESPONSE TO THE
SEWD PROGRESSION AND AMPLIFICATION OF A SECONDARY VORTICITY MAXIMUM
AND ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK FROM WRN TX INTO THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO. MEANWHILE...AN ACCOMPANYING SURFACE COLD FRONT ANALYZED
FROM NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MS AND OH RIVERS SWWD INTO THE TX
HILL COUNTRY AS OF 15Z WILL CONTINUE SEWD TOWARD THE TX COAST AND
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...SERVING AS THE FOCUS FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT.

...MIDDLE TX COAST INTO DEEP S TX THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AIR MASS /I.E.
LOWEST 100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 12-14 G PER KG/ BENEATH MODESTLY
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7 C/KM. WHEN COMBINED WITH
LOCAL CLOUD BREAKS...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR CORRIDORS OF
MODERATE AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000-2000 J/KG. LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND
DEVELOPING SEA-BREEZE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS/DCVA
ATTENDANT TO W TX VORTICITY MAXIMUM TO FOSTER WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED TSTMS BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. THE SEWD PROGRESSION OF THE
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK ATTENDING THE VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL LEAD TO A
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR WITH THE KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED LINE
SEGMENTS WITH AN ASSOCIATED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...LOWER MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT RADAR OBSERVATIONS...LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A GENERAL INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE TODAY BOTH ALONG THE
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT AS WELL AS WITHIN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR WHERE
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE IS ENHANCED. WHILE THE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT ACROSS TX /I.E. MLCAPE OF
1000-2000 J PER KG/...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE NOTABLY WEAKER. THIS
WILL RESULT IN LESS ORGANIZED AND OUTFLOW-DOMINANT STORMS CAPABLE OF
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.

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KCYS [041956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 041956
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1256 PM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 WNW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.73N 106.54W
12/04/2012 M57.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED WIND 46 MPH.


&&

$$

MJAMSKI

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KMFR [041945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 041945
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1144 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SSW SILVER LAKE 43.13N 121.05W
12/04/2012 M70 MPH LAKE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SOUTH WINDS 40 PMH GUSTING TO 65 TO 70 MPH.


&&

$$

GLASER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2131

ACUS11 KWNS 041909
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041908
TXZ000-042115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2131
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0108 PM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...TX COASTAL PLAIN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 041908Z - 042115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A SMALL SEVERE TSTM WATCH MAY BE CONSIDERED FOR PARTS OF
THE TX COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON-EVENING. ISOLD LARGE HAIL AND A
FEW INSTANCES OF STRONG-SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THRU THE
EARLY EVENING.

DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW A SWELLING CU
FIELD INVOF A PRE-FRONTAL WINDSHIFT AND OVER A WARM SECTOR LOCATED
OVER THE TX COASTAL PLAIN. SURFACE TEMPS HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER
80S AMIDST AN ADEQUATELY MOIST/DESTABILIZING AIRMASS. A MID-LEVEL
SPEED MAX IS CONTINUING TO APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE CONCHO RIVER
VALLEY/EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION. UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED
WITH THE UPPER FEATURE...COMBINED WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE
ALONG THE PREFRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND DIABATIC HEATING WILL ACT TO
FURTHER WEAKEN THE CAP SAMPLED BY THE 12Z CRP RAOB. THE CAP HAS
ALREADY ERODED FROM MATAGORDA BAY NEWD TO THE SABINE RIVER...WITH
SCTD STORMS /OCCASIONAL PULSATING SEVERE UPDRAFT/ EXPECTED TO LEAD
TO SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING OVER THE NEXT FEW
HRS...THEREBY LESSENING THE SEVERE RISK IN THIS REGION. FARTHER
SSW...MORE SPARSE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE --LIKELY DELAYED UNTIL
MID-LATE AFTERNOON-- IS EXPECTED. UPWARDS OF 40 KT DEEP SHEAR AND A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS /1500 J/KG MLCAPE/ WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND
GUSTS.

..SMITH/MEAD.. 12/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...

LAT...LON 27199742 26789801 27619907 28629874 29919674 30099507
29359469 28019688 27199742

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KPDT [041907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 041907
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1107 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0411 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N JOSEPH 45.38N 117.23W
12/04/2012 M67.00 MPH WALLOWA OR AMATEUR RADIO

MEASURED A PEAK WIND GUST FROM THE EAST OF 67 MPH.
REPORTED BY AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR, SPOTTER WA-508.


&&

$$

POLAN

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KMFR [041735]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 041735
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
935 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
12/04/2012 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

MID TO 9AM.


&&

$$

GLASER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 041719
SWODY2
SPC AC 041717

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1117 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER SRN LA WILL MOVE ESEWD ACROSS THE NRN
GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY EXTENDING NEWD INTO THE TN VALLEY WILL BECOME
ILL-DEFINED...MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES ON WEDNESDAY.
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG THE BOUNDARY AT THE START OF
THE PERIOD WITH COVERAGE BEING MAINTAINED OR INCREASING SOMEWHAT
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WEAK INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD
BE INADEQUATE FOR SEVERE STORMS. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL FL PENINSULA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 12/04/2012

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2130

ACUS11 KWNS 041709
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041709
MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-041845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1109 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX...WRN-NERN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 041709Z - 041845Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE APPEARS LIKELY DURING THE
AFTERNOON FROM SERN TX INTO WRN-NERN LA. ISOLATED THREAT FOR
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL EXIST.
HOWEVER...A WW DOES NOT APPEAR NECESSARY.

DISCUSSION...MIDDAY MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT EXTENDING S-SWWD
FROM THE ARKLATEX REGION INTO SRN TX. ASCENT SPREADING EWD AHEAD OF
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER W TX IS AIDING IN THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT IN E-CNTRL TX. AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM
SERN TX INTO NERN LA...PARTIAL CLEARING HAS ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO
WARM INTO THE 70S...WHILE DEWPOINTS RESIDE IN THE UPPER 60S. GIVEN
THE PRESENCE OF MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES FROM 6.5-7.0 C/KM...MODIFIED
12Z RAOBS YIELD MLCAPE VALUES FROM 1000-2000 J/KG. THIS
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT COMBINED WITH A CONFLUENT SURFACE FLOW
REGIME WILL FAVOR SCATTERED STORM COVERAGE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR GREATER
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS WEAK DEEP-LAYER WIND SPEEDS AND SHEAR.
HOWEVER...MODERATE INSTABILITY WITHIN THE AREA OF PARTIAL CLEARING
MAY ALLOW A FEW MULTICELL THUNDERSTORMS TO PULSE UPWARDS IN
INTENSITY AND POSE A THREAT FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

..GARNER/MEAD.. 12/04/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 32289093 31209165 29709385 29459467 29659520 30109547
30809534 31639447 32959228 32289093

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041613
SWODY1
SPC AC 041611

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE MIDDLE TX COAST INTO
PARTS OF DEEP S TX...

...SYNOPSIS...

THE PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS PERIOD IS A LOW-LATITUDE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL TRANSLATE SEWD FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU
AND SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND NRN GULF OF MEXICO.
EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS BROADER-SCALE FEATURE...A VORTICITY MAXIMUM
OVER ERN OK AS OF MID MORNING WILL WEAKEN TODAY IN RESPONSE TO THE
SEWD PROGRESSION AND AMPLIFICATION OF A SECONDARY VORTICITY MAXIMUM
AND ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK FROM WRN TX INTO THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO. MEANWHILE...AN ACCOMPANYING SURFACE COLD FRONT ANALYZED
FROM NEAR THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MS AND OH RIVERS SWWD INTO THE TX
HILL COUNTRY AS OF 15Z WILL CONTINUE SEWD TOWARD THE TX COAST AND
INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY...SERVING AS THE FOCUS FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT.

...MIDDLE TX COAST INTO DEEP S TX THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS SHOWED THE PRESENCE OF A MOIST AIR MASS /I.E.
LOWEST 100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 12-14 G PER KG/ BENEATH MODESTLY
STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7 C/KM. WHEN COMBINED WITH
LOCAL CLOUD BREAKS...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR CORRIDORS OF
MODERATE AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES APPROACHING
1000-2000 J/KG. LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND
DEVELOPING SEA-BREEZE WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS/DCVA
ATTENDANT TO W TX VORTICITY MAXIMUM TO FOSTER WIDELY SCATTERED TO
SCATTERED TSTMS BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. THE SEWD PROGRESSION OF THE
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK ATTENDING THE VORTICITY MAXIMUM WILL LEAD TO A
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN VERTICAL SHEAR WITH THE KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT BECOMING SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED LINE
SEGMENTS WITH AN ASSOCIATED RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...LOWER MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

CONSISTENT WITH CURRENT RADAR OBSERVATIONS...LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS A GENERAL INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE TODAY BOTH ALONG THE
SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT AS WELL AS WITHIN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR WHERE
LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE IS ENHANCED. WHILE THE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT ACROSS TX /I.E. MLCAPE OF
1000-2000 J PER KG/...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE NOTABLY WEAKER. THIS
WILL RESULT IN LESS ORGANIZED AND OUTFLOW-DOMINANT STORMS CAPABLE OF
LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.

..MEAD/GARNER.. 12/04/2012

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KPQR [041533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 041533
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
733 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 11 N FLORENCE 44.15N 124.10W
12/04/2012 LANE OR BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE DOWN INTO POWERLINE, 11 MILES NORTH OF FLORENCE, OR
CLOSED HIGHWAY 101.


&&

$$

TW

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KTFX [041512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 041512
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
812 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE MCALLISTER 45.50N 111.70W
12/04/2012 M63 MPH MADISON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON NORRIS HILL.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [041510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 041510
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
810 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE MCALLISTER 45.50N 111.70W
12/04/2012 M62 MPH MADISON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON NORRIS HILL.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [041509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 041509
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
809 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 4 NNE MCALLISTER 45.50N 111.70W
12/04/2012 M56 MPH MADISON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 40 TO 56 MPH SINCE 530 AM AT THE
DOT SENSOR ON NORRIS HILL.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [041507]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 041507
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
806 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE MCALLISTER 45.50N 111.70W
12/04/2012 M63 MPH MADISON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON NORRIS HILL.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [041505]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 041505
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
805 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0617 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE MCALLISTER 45.50N 111.70W
12/04/2012 M58 MPH MADISON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR ON NORRIS HILL.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KPIH [041437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 041437
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
737 AM MST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 AM SNOW HAILEY 43.51N 114.30W
12/04/2012 E1.0 INCH BLAINE ID PUBLIC

ONE INCH SNOW THIS MORNING AND STILL SNOWING AT THIS
TIME.


&&

$$

RSURVICK

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KMFR [041338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 041338
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
538 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
12/04/2012 M1.30 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

7.5 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

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KGRR [041338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 041338
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
838 AM EST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 SSE MUSKEGON 43.17N 86.22W
12/03/2012 M45 MPH MUSKEGON MI ASOS

PEAK WIND GUST AT MUSKEGON ASOS.


&&

$$

HOVING

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041253
SWODY1
SPC AC 041251

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0651 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 041300Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MORNING WATER VAPOR DATA INDICATE A MID-LEVEL CYCLONE OVER NRN
ONTARIO THAT IS PROJECTED TO TRACK NEWD INTO QUEBEC. THIS FEATURE IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES BEFORE EVENTUALLY REACHING THE NERN STATES
BY EARLY WED MORNING. A SEPARATE SRN SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
ESEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...LOWER MS VALLEY...AND NRN GULF. A SFC
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPOSITE ERN/S-CNTRL-CONUS SHORTWAVE
TROUGHS WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EWD/SWD THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
EXTEND FROM COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO THE NW
GULF BY EARLY WED MORNING.

...PORTIONS OF ERN/SRN TX...NRN/WRN LA...SRN AR...WRN MS THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...
ONGOING CONVECTION INVOF THE FRONT OVER NRN AR WILL LIKELY BE
STEERED ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
WILL BE RELATIVELY SMALLER IN MAGNITUDE COMPARED TO LOCATIONS
FARTHER SOUTH. THROUGH MID-DAY...ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY OVER THE SRN FLANKS OF THE
ONGOING CONVECTION...AND WITHIN A ZONE OF WEAK LOW-LEVEL
WAA/CONFLUENCE THAT LEADS THE FRONT. THIS AFTERNOON...STRONGER
STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT FROM SRN AR INTO SRN TX.
THIS WILL OCCURS AS DIURNAL HEATING COMBINES WITH MODESTLY STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVERSPREADING PREFRONTAL DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 60S. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT 500-1500 J/KG
OF MLCAPE WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE AREA.

WITH 20-30 KT OF 500-MB FLOW...DEEP SHEAR IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
STRONG...WITH CLUSTERS OF MULTICELL STORMS LIKELY BEING THE
PREDOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE. ISOLATED INSTANCES OF SVR WINDS/HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS. WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW
WILL ALSO PREVENT A MORE SUBSTANTIAL SVR THREAT FROM EVOLVING.

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE MOVING OFF THE TX COAST DURING THE EVENING
HOURS...WITH STORMS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY MOVING EWD/SEWD WHILE
WEAKENING DURING THE MID/LATE EVENING.

..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 12/04/2012

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KPQR [041252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KPQR 041252
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
452 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 22 WSW YAQUINA HEAD 44.60N 124.50W
12/03/2012 M63.00 MPH PZZ275 OR BUOY

BUOY 46050 LOCATED OFFSHORE OF NEWPORT. MAX GUST OF 54
KT. SEAS PEAKED AT 26 FT AT 3 AM PST.

0109 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 W LINCOLN CITY 44.98N 124.09W
12/04/2012 M71.00 MPH PZZ255 OR MESONET

0135 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
12/04/2012 M68.00 MPH LINCOLN OR AWOS

SUSTAINED WIND 47 MPH. AT THE NEWPORT AIRPORT - KONP.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 N NEWPORT 44.69N 124.06W
12/04/2012 M63.00 MPH LINCOLN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

ON THE COAST AT SCHOONER POINT.

0142 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CANNON BEACH 45.89N 123.96W
12/04/2012 M60.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

0142 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WSW PACIFIC CITY 45.20N 123.97W
12/04/2012 M69.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 47 MPH.

0145 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 W TILLAMOOK 45.46N 123.92W
12/04/2012 M61.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR OTHER FEDERAL

BPANET STATION.

0150 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
12/04/2012 M84.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

YAQUINA BRIDGE OBSERVATION. SUSTAINED WINDS PEAKED AT 63
MPH.

0218 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SW GARIBALDI 45.55N 123.92W
12/04/2012 M73.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 57 MPH. SITE ID TLB03.

0227 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW LEBANON 44.52N 123.00W
12/04/2012 M71.00 MPH LINN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW FLORENCE 44.01N 124.12W
12/04/2012 M69.00 MPH LANE OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 53 MPH. SITE ID FCGO3

0245 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CLATSOP SPIT 46.22N 124.00W
12/04/2012 M59.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 49 MPH.


&&

$$

KDONOFRI

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KPQR [041251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 041251
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
451 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 22 WSW YAQUINA HEAD 44.60N 124.50W
12/03/2012 M63.00 MPH PZZ275 OR BUOY

BUOY 46050 LOCATED OFFSHORE OF NEWPORT. MAX GUST OF 54
KT. SEAS PEAKED AT 26 FT AT 3 AM PST.


&&

$$

KDONOFRI

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KPQR [041243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 041243
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
443 AM PST TUE DEC 04 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0109 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 W LINCOLN CITY 44.98N 124.09W
12/04/2012 M71.00 MPH PZZ255 OR MESONET

0135 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
12/04/2012 M68.00 MPH LINCOLN OR AWOS

SUSTAINED WIND 47 MPH. AT THE NEWPORT AIRPORT - KONP.

0136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 N NEWPORT 44.69N 124.06W
12/04/2012 M63.00 MPH LINCOLN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

ON THE COAST AT SCHOONER POINT.

0142 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CANNON BEACH 45.89N 123.96W
12/04/2012 M60.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

0142 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WSW PACIFIC CITY 45.20N 123.97W
12/04/2012 M69.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 47 MPH.

0145 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 W TILLAMOOK 45.46N 123.92W
12/04/2012 M61.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR OTHER FEDERAL

BPANET STATION.

0150 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWPORT 44.63N 124.05W
12/04/2012 M84.00 MPH LINCOLN OR MESONET

YAQUINA BRIDGE OBSERVATION. SUSTAINED WINDS PEAKED AT 63
MPH.

0218 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SW GARIBALDI 45.55N 123.92W
12/04/2012 M73.00 MPH TILLAMOOK OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 57 MPH. SITE ID TLB03.

0227 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW LEBANON 44.52N 123.00W
12/04/2012 M71.00 MPH LINN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNW FLORENCE 44.01N 124.12W
12/04/2012 M69.00 MPH LANE OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 53 MPH. SITE ID FCGO3

0245 AM NON-TSTM WND GST CLATSOP SPIT 46.22N 124.00W
12/04/2012 M59.00 MPH CLATSOP OR MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 49 MPH.


&&

$$

KDONOFRI

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 040949
SWOD48
SPC AC 040948

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0348 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS SHOW FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH DAY 6 /SUN.
12-9/...BUT THE CURRENT SOLUTIONS ARE QUITE DIFFERENT FROM THE
SOLUTIONS FROM THE MODEL RUNS 24 HOURS PRIOR. OVERALL...IT REMAINS
CLEAR BASED ON MODEL INCONSISTENCIES THAT THE MEDIUM-RANGE PATTERN
IN GENERAL IS A LOW-PREDICTABILITY SCENARIO...AND THUS ANY ATTEMPT
AT A CONVECTIVE FORECAST BECOMES INCREASINGLY TENUOUS WITH TIME
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD /I.E. DAYS 4-6/...MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT A
FRONT WILL REMAIN SITUATED FROM THE GENERAL OH VALLEY/MIDWEST REGION
SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. WITH AN AMPLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS
PARTS OF TX/OK AND THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY AREA AVAILABLE TO SUPPORT
AT LEAST MODEST INSTABILITY...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL IS EVIDENT. IN
ADDITION...WITH MODERATELY STRONG WSWLY FLOW ALOFT ATOP THE
REGION...LIMITED/LOW-END SEVERE THREAT IS ALSO A POSSIBILITY.
HOWEVER...GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF UNCERTAINTY AS WELL AS WHAT
SHOULD REMAIN GENERALLY LOW-END/ISOLATED POTENTIAL AT BEST...NO
THREAT AREAS /IMPLYING 30% SEVERE PROBABILITY/ WILL BE INTRODUCED
THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 12/04/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 040819
SWODY3
SPC AC 040818

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
SOME AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST THIS PERIOD OVER
THE CONUS...AS THE GENERAL WLY/WEAKLY CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD TAKES ON
INCREASED -- BUT STILL BROAD -- CYCLONIC CURVATURE...AS SHORT-WAVE
ENERGY DIGS ESEWD ACROSS THE WRN STATES. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE
COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIDE SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE
COUNTRY. HOWEVER...WITH A LACK OF LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...DESTABILIZATION SHOULD PROVE INSUFFICIENT FOR THUNDER
THREAT IN CONJUNCTION WITH THIS FRONT. ANY THUNDER THIS PERIOD WILL
LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED TO FL AND ADJACENT COASTAL PARTS OF
GA/SC...NEAR THE TRAILING EDGE OF THE PRIOR FRONT STILL LINGERING
ACROSS THIS AREA.

..GOSS.. 12/04/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040649
SWODY2
SPC AC 040648

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1248 AM CST TUE DEC 04 2012

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AS AN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES CROSSING THE ERN U.S. TOWARD THE WRN
ATLANTIC...A BROAD ZONE OF WEAKLY CYCLONIC/WLY FLOW WILL EXPAND TO
ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE U.S. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIE AND ADJACENT NRN CONUS...WHILE A SECOND FRONT MOVES INTO THE
WRN ATLANTIC IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH.

THIS ERN FRONT -- WHICH WILL TRAIL WSWWD ACROSS THE SERN STATES --
WILL FOCUS SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER...WEAK FLOW ALOFT AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY
REMAIN UNSUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE WEATHER.

..GOSS.. 12/04/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040539
SWODY1
SPC AC 040537

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CST MON DEC 03 2012

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE FLOW REGIME WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CONUS...WITH THE
PRIMARY STORM TRACK ALONG THE U.S./CANADA BORDER. MUCH OF THE CONUS
WILL BE DRY DUE TO HIGH PRESSURE. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL BE PRESENT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BE SITUATED FROM WRN AR INTO NRN TX TUE
MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL DRIFT SWD ACROSS ERN TX...LA AND MS DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO FORM BY LATE
MORNING/MIDDAY ALONG THE FRONT...WHERE COOL AIR ALOFT WILL ALSO BE
PRESENT WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH.

...SERN TX INTO LA...WRN MS...SRN AR...
THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL FROM CNTRL TX INTO AR DURING THE
AFTERNOON...WHERE AROUND 1000 J/KG IS FORECAST TO EXIST. WIND
PROFILES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...BUT WEAK SELY SFC WINDS
BENEATH W TO NWLY FLOW ALOFT MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE
STORMS. BOTH MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS
EVOLVE ALONG AND PROPAGATE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. WEAK LOW LEVEL
FLOW AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF MERGING OUTFLOWS SHOULD PRECLUDE A
TORNADO THREAT.

..JEWELL/ROGERS.. 12/04/2012

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