KLCH [230324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 230324
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1024 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1014 PM DOWNBURST ALEXANDRIA 31.29N 92.46W
04/22/2008 RAPIDES LA ASOS

AUTOMATIC SURFACE OBSERVATION SITE AT ALEXANDRIA REGIONAL
AIRPORT REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 56 KNOTS FROM A
THUNDERSTORM.

&&

$$

JSWEENEY

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KSGF [230320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 230320
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1020 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 S WHEATON 36.73N 94.06W
04/22/2008 BARRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [230318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 230318
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1018 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 W CLEVER 37.03N 93.49W
04/22/2008 CHRISTIAN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER RUSHING OVER MEZELTEIN ROAD JUST OFF OF HIGHWAY 14.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KJAN [230204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 230204
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
903 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM HAIL REDWOOD 32.48N 90.80W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH WARREN MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

PEA SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN OPENWOOD PLANTATION
SUBDIVISION.

&&

$$

JFAIRLY

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 216

WWUS20 KWNS 230203
SEL6
SPC WW 230203
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-OKZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 216
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 216 ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ARKANSAS
LOUISIANA
MISSISSIPPI
OKLAHOMA

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 215

WWUS20 KWNS 230203
SEL5
SPC WW 230203
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 215
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 215 ISSUED AT 210 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ARKANSAS
MISSOURI
OKLAHOMA

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KMFR [230159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 230159
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
659 PM PDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.71W
04/22/2008 M1.06 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNT SINCE MIDNIGHT.

&&

$$

DW

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KJAN [230152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 230152
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
852 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG LITTLE ROCK 32.53N 89.03W
04/22/2008 NEWTON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES REPORTED DOWN IN NE NEWTON COUNTY. ALSO REPORTED
EAST OF NEWTON EXPERIMENT STATION.

&&

$$

GERARD

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KLIX [230151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLIX 230151
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
850 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM HAIL 4 SW BOUTTE 29.86N 90.44W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH ST. CHARLES LA BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN PARADIS.

0615 PM HAIL FRANKLINTON 30.85N 90.14W
04/22/2008 E0.50 INCH WASHINGTON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN FRANKLINTON.

0635 PM HAIL FRANKLINTON 30.85N 90.14W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON LA BROADCAST MEDIA

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN FRANKLINTON

0640 PM HAIL ENON 30.73N 90.08W
04/22/2008 E0.50 INCH WASHINGTON LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN ENON.

0730 PM HAIL FRANKLINTON 30.85N 90.14W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON LA BROADCAST MEDIA

NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN FRANKLINTON.

0740 PM HAIL FOLSOM 30.63N 90.20W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH ST. TAMMANY LA BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN FOLSOM.

0745 PM HAIL BATON ROUGE 30.45N 91.13W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH EAST BATON ROUGE LA PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC AT ONEIL LANE AND
INTERSTATE 12 IN BATON ROUGE.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG BATON ROUGE 30.45N 91.13W
04/22/2008 EAST BATON ROUGE LA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO A FIRE TRUCK ON WOODVINE.

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG BATON ROUGE 30.45N 91.13W
04/22/2008 EAST BATON ROUGE LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS WIND DAMAGE REPORTS IN PORTIONS OF BATON ROUGE

0840 PM HAIL BATON ROUGE 30.45N 91.13W
04/22/2008 E2.50 INCH EAST BATON ROUGE LA TRAINED SPOTTER

TENNIS BALL HAIL WAS REPORTED BY A STORM SPOTTER AT
AIRLINE HIGHWAY AND OLD HAMMOND ROAD IN BATON ROUGE.
REPORT WAS RELAYED BY LAKE CHARLES NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

$$

PGRIGSBY

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KTSA [230143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 230143
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
843 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 PM HAIL PEA RIDGE 36.45N 94.11W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH BENTON AR PUBLIC

&&

$$

RBD

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KTSA [230139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 230139
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
839 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM HAIL FERN 35.64N 94.02W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN AR PUBLIC

&&

$$

RBD

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KJAN [230132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KJAN 230132
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
832 PM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL 2 SE MIDNIGHT 33.03N 90.55W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0335 PM HAIL INDIANOLA 33.45N 90.64W
04/22/2008 E1.75 INCH SUNFLOWER MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORTED BY INDIANOLA PD

0342 PM HAIL BELZONI 33.18N 90.49W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0352 PM HAIL 1 N BELZONI 33.19N 90.49W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH HUMPHREYS MS TRAINED SPOTTER

HAS BEEN OCCURRING FOR 15 MINUTES...AND STILL OCCURRING

0405 PM HAIL DREW 33.81N 90.53W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH SUNFLOWER MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY DREW PD.

0422 PM FLASH FLOOD BELZONI 33.18N 90.49W
04/22/2008 HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING REPOTED IN SEVERAL AREAS ACROSS NORTHERN
HUMPHREYS COUNTY. WATER FLOWING ACROSS AT LEAST ONE
ROAD...WATER ALSO IN YARDS OF SEVERAL HOMES.

0435 PM HAIL 1 N HOLCOMB 33.78N 89.98W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH GRENADA MS TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO STRONG WINDS IN HOLCOMB.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N GRENADA 33.84N 89.81W
04/22/2008 GRENADA MS TRAINED SPOTTER

POWERLINES DOWN ALONG THE LEVEE AT GRENADA LAKE

0455 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NNE BLACK HAWK 33.37N 89.99W
04/22/2008 CARROLL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ACROSS HWY 17

0505 PM HAIL THORNTON 33.08N 90.32W
04/22/2008 E0.50 INCH HOLMES MS PUBLIC

HAIL A LITTLE SMALLER THAN A PENNY REPORTED BY GROCERY.

0510 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 N BELZONI 33.25N 90.49W
04/22/2008 HUMPHREYS MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN THE LINDALE AND WOODYARD AREAS
ALONG HWY 7 NORTH OF BELZONI. ONE HOME BEING
EVACUATED...SEVERAL OTHERS BEING THREATENED WITH SOME

SANDBAGGING OCCURRING. CARPORTS OF SEVERAL HOMES FLOODED.

0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 SW WINONA 33.41N 89.84W
04/22/2008 CARROLL MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN THE AREA BETWEEN CARROLLTON AND
VAIDEN. ALSO HAD HAIL OF UNKNOWN SIZE. REPORTED BY
CARROLL SO.

0601 PM HAIL 4 W EDINBURG 32.80N 89.40W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH LEAKE MS EMERGENCY MNGR

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 WSW SNYDER 33.27N 91.69W
04/22/2008 ASHLEY AR EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD AND HAIL OF UNKNOWN SIZE AT MIST
COMMUNITY. REPORT THAT SOME HAIL DAMAGE OCCURRED.

0619 PM HAIL 4 SE EDINBURG 32.75N 89.30W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH NESHOBA MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL IN THE HOPE COMMUNITY.
REPORTED BY NESHOBA COUNTY 911.

0700 PM HAIL GEORGETOWN 31.87N 90.16W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

0724 PM HAIL TRANSYLVANIA 32.68N 91.18W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH EAST CARROLL LA PUBLIC

REPORTED BY STORE. LASTED 15 MINUTES.

0800 PM HAIL 2 S TOPEKA 31.39N 90.19W
04/22/2008 E1.50 INCH LAWRENCE MS PUBLIC

ON TOPEKA-JAYESS ROAD ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN JAYESS AND
TOPEKA. REPORTED BY JAYESS STORE.

&&

$$

GERARD

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KDVN [221140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 221140
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
640 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 AM HAIL KEOSAUQUA 40.73N 91.96W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

15

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KDVN [221139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 221139
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
639 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM HAIL 1 S MUSCATINE 41.40N 91.07W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH MUSCATINE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FELL 1 MILE SOUTH OF AIRPORT

&&

$$

15

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KDVN [221138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 221138
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
637 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM HAIL VICTOR 41.73N 92.29W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH IOWA IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 6 COMPETELY COVERED WITH HAIL

&&

$$

15

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KDMX [221128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 221128
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
627 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0621 AM HAIL MONTEZUMA 41.58N 92.53W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH POWESHIEK IA BROADCAST MEDIA

UP TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL COVERING DECK. FROM KCCI TV.

&&

$$

SMALL

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KSGF [221107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 221107
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
607 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0606 AM HAIL WHEATLAND 37.95N 93.40W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH HICKORY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

DSA

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KSGF [221050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KSGF 221050
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
550 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM HAIL 6 W EDWARDS 38.14N 93.28W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH BENTON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

HATCH

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KSGF [221049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 221049
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
549 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM HAIL COLE CAMP 38.46N 93.20W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH BENTON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

HATCH

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KOUN [220905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 220905
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
404 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0853 PM HAIL MAYSVILLE 34.82N 97.41W
04/21/2008 E1.95 INCH GARVIN OK STORM CHASER

HAIL WAS ABOUT TWICE THE DIAMETER OF A 1 EURO COIN.
REPORTED BY A METEOROLOGIST FROM MUNICH GERMANY.

&&

$$

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 220853
SWOD48
SPC AC 220852

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

VALID 251200Z - 301200Z

...DISCUSSION...

MODELS REMAIN IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH DAY 4. BEYOND DAY 4 THE
GFS BEGINS TO DEPART SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE ECMWF AND MREF ENSEMBLE
WHICH HAVE DEMONSTRATED BETTER RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. WILL LEAN
TOWARD THE ECMWF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

...DAY 4...

UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY AND GREAT
LAKES DAY 4. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM SURFACE LOW OVER
THE GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE DEVELOPING ALONG MUCH OF THE FRONT. STRONGEST KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT WILL EXIST OVER THE GREAT LAKES BUT WITH LIMITED
INSTABILITY. FARTHER SOUTH INSTABILITY WILL BE STRONGER FROM THE
LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE SRN PLAINS...BUT THE STRONGER FLOW AND
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY REMAIN NORTH OF WARM SECTOR. NET RESULT
IS THAT ALTHOUGH A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS
OF THE FRONT...THE POTENTIAL LIMITING FACTORS PRECLUDE INTRODUCING
AN OUTLOOK AREA AT THIS TIME. A RISK AREA MAY NEED TO BE INTRODUCED
IN LATER OUTLOOKS...POSSIBLY FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER-MID
MS VALLEY REGIONS.

...DAY 5 AND BEYOND....

ECMWF DRIVES FRONT TO THE TX COAST EARLY DAY 5. FARTHER EAST FROM
THE SERN U.S. INTO THE MID ATLANTIC...KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC
PARAMETERS WILL LIKELY BE TOO LIMITED FOR A SEVERE THREAT IN THESE
REGIONS. BEYOND DAY 5...ECMWF INDICATES OVERALL PATTERN APPEARS
UNFAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS AS UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES IN
THE EAST WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL SURGE CONTRIBUTING TO OFFSHORE
FLOW OVER THE GULF BY LATE DAY 6 INTO DAY 8.

..DIAL.. 04/22/2008

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KDMX [220840]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220840
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
340 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 AM HAIL 1 SE CLIVE 41.59N 93.75W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH POLK IA BROADCAST MEDIA

NICKEL SIZED HAIL AT I235 AND VALLEY WEST DRIVE. PEOPLE
PULLING OVER. FROM KCCI TV.

&&

$$

SMALL

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KEAX [220830]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220830
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
330 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 AM HAIL CLEVELAND 38.68N 94.60W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH CASS MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

GAMIS

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KDMX [220826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220826
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
326 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0326 AM HAIL BEDFORD 40.67N 94.72W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH TAYLOR IA EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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KDMX [220824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220824
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
324 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0229 AM HAIL 1 W ANITA 41.44N 94.78W
04/22/2008 E0.25 INCH CASS IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

0307 AM HAIL 7 N BOONE AIRPORT 42.15N 93.82W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH BOONE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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KEAX [220821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220821
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
321 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 AM HAIL 6 N LEES SUMMIT 39.00N 94.38W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

HMORGAN

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KEAX [220820]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220820
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
320 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0313 AM HAIL BLUE SPRINGS 39.02N 94.28W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO PUBLIC

MOSTLY PEA SIZE WITH A FEW QUARTER SIZE HAILSTONES.

&&

$$

MAS

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KEAX [220804]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220804
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
304 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM HAIL 2 NE LENEXA 38.98N 94.76W
04/22/2008 E0.88 INCH JOHNSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MAS

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KEAX [220800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220800
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
300 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM HAIL OLATHE 38.89N 94.81W
04/22/2008 M0.88 INCH JOHNSON KS PUBLIC

0247 AM HAIL 4 SE OLATHE 38.85N 94.76W
04/22/2008 M0.75 INCH JOHNSON KS PUBLIC

2 EPISODES OF DIME SIZE HAIL ABOUT 5 MINUTES APART.
LOCATION OF 151ST AND PHLUMM IN OLATHE.

&&

$$

MAS

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KSGF [220753]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 220753
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
253 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM HAIL 6 N LAMAR 37.58N 94.28W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH BARTON MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KEAX [220752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220752
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
252 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
04/22/2008 M1.50 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

23RD AND COLLEGE

&&

$$

HMORGAN

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KEAX [220745]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220745
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
244 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0238 AM HAIL 5 NE FILLMORE 40.08N 94.91W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH ANDREW MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL SIZE AT LEAST 1 INCH.

&&

$$

MAS

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 220733
SWODY3
SPC AC 220730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...

MID LEVEL JET MAX THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH TX WEDNESDAY WILL CONTINUE
NEWD INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES EARLY THURSDAY. FARTHER
WEST A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES DURING THE
DAY AND INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS THURSDAY NIGHT. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
SEWD THROUGH THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL PLAINS. BY THURSDAY
EVENING THIS BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM MN SWWD THROUGH NEB
AND NWRN KS. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE SEWD OVERNIGHT REACHING THE SRN
PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. DRYLINE WILL
EXTEND FROM THE SRN PLAINS NWD THROUGH KS AND WRN NEB WHERE IT WILL
INTERSECT THE SWD MOVING COLD FRONT.

...CNTRL PLAINS THROUGH MID-UPPER MS VALLEY...

WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO BE ONGOING WITHIN ZONE
OF WARM ADVECTION AND DEEP ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AND ATTENDANT LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS THE MID-UPPER MS VALLEY.
STRONG KINEMATIC PROFILES WILL EXIST IN THIS REGION...BUT WEAK
INSTABILITY WILL PROBABLY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL. ACTIVITY
WILL SHIFT NE DURING THE DAY. FARTHER WEST...THE MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL LIKELY BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE
AND SOUTH OF ADVANCING FRONT ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. POTENTIAL FOR
AT LEAST MODEST CAP AND SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF LEAD IMPULSE WILL
PROBABLY DELAY THUNDERSTORM INITIATION UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON WHEN
STORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP OVER NEB ALONG SEWD ADVANCING FRONT.
MORE ISOLATED STORMS COULD ALSO DEVELOP FARTHER SWD ACROSS WRN OR
CNTRL KS AS THE DRYLINE MIXES EWD. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS THAT CAN INITIATE
ALONG THE DRYLINE. UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT INTO THE
PLAINS DURING THE EVENING CONTRIBUTING TO AN INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL
JET AND DEEP FORCING ALONG THE SWD MOVING FRONT. THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTRIBUTE TO STORMS EVOLVING INTO AN MCS ALONG FRONT WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.

...OK...

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE MORE STRONGLY CAPPED IN OK THAN FARTHER NORTH
AND THE STRONGER UPPER SUPPORT WILL LIKELY REMAIN NW OF THIS REGION
DURING THE DAY. THIS SUGGEST IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO INITIATE
SUSTAINED STORMS ON THE DRYLINE. THREAT WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS IF
A STORM OR TWO MANAGES TO DEVELOP. DUE TO THE CONDITIONAL NATURE OF
THE THREAT...WILL INTRODUCE ONLY 5% SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
HOWEVER...IF MODELS BEGIN TO INDICATE UPSTREAM WAVE WILL EJECT INTO
THE PLAINS SOONER THAN CURRENTLY INDICATED...THIS AREA MAY NEED TO
BE UPGRADED TO A SLIGHT RISK IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..DIAL.. 04/22/2008

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KSGF [220727]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 220727
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
227 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 AM HAIL 3 NW LAMAR HEIGHTS 37.52N 94.34W
04/22/2008 M0.50 INCH BARTON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KEAX [220723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220723
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
223 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0221 AM HAIL NAPOLEON 39.13N 94.09W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH LAFAYETTE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER HAIL NW LAFAYETTE COUNTY

&&

$$

HMORGAN

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 212

WWUS20 KWNS 220703
SEL2
SPC WW 220703
OKZ000-220700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 212
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
203 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 212 ISSUED AT 900 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

OKLAHOMA

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 211

WWUS20 KWNS 220703
SEL1
SPC WW 220703
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-220700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
203 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 211 ISSUED AT 705 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

KANSAS
MISSOURI
OKLAHOMA

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KEAX [220657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220657
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
157 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 AM HAIL BASEHOR 39.13N 94.93W
04/22/2008 M1.00 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS NWS EMPLOYEE

ONE INCH HAIL

&&

$$

HMORGAN

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KEAX [220641]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220641
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
141 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0132 AM HAIL INDEPENDENCE 39.09N 94.35W
04/22/2008 E1.25 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MAS

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KDMX [220639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220639
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
139 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 AM HAIL 1 S BRAYTON 41.52N 94.93W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH AUDUBON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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KEAX [220634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220634
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
134 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0103 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY KS 39.12N 94.73W
04/22/2008 M0.88 INCH WYANDOTTE KS PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED 35 MPH WINDS.

0114 AM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO BROADCAST MEDIA

0.75 TO 1.00 INCH HAIL.

0114 AM HAIL 3 SSE KANSAS CITY 39.08N 94.53W
04/22/2008 E0.75 INCH JACKSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

0129 AM HAIL 1 W INDEPENDENCE 39.09N 94.37W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

AT 31ST AND BLUE RIDGE.

0132 AM HAIL INDEPENDENCE 39.09N 94.35W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MAS

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KDMX [220633]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220633
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
133 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 AM HAIL 5 NNE ATLANTIC 41.46N 94.97W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH CASS IA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL NEARLY COVERING THE GROUND. LASTED FOR SEVERAL
MINUTES.

&&

$$

SMALL

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KDMX [220627]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220627
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
127 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0126 AM HAIL 3 E ATLANTIC AIRPORT 41.41N 95.00W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH CASS IA BROADCAST MEDIA

PENNY TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL COMING DOWN IN BUCKETS AND
ACCUMULATING. FROM KJAN RADIO IN ATLANTIC.

&&

$$

SMALL

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KDMX [220624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220624
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
124 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 AM HAIL ATLANTIC 41.40N 95.01W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH CASS IA EMERGENCY MNGR

CASS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL
FALLING.

&&

$$

LEE

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KDMX [220621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 220621
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
120 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 AM HAIL 6 NNE GRISWOLD 41.30N 95.09W
04/22/2008 E1.00 INCH CASS IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED NICKLE TO QUARTER HAIL IN LEWIS.

&&

$$

MRUSSELL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0682

ACUS11 KWNS 220615
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220614
MOZ000-KSZ000-220745-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0682
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0114 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS AND WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211...

VALID 220614Z - 220745Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 211
CONTINUES.

THE POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY CONTINUE E OF WW
211 PAST 07Z. THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED AND AN
ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

AS OF 06Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO
POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS OVER PLATTE AND WYANDOTTE COUNTIES IN NWRN
MO AND BOURBON...CRAWFORD...NEOSHO AND LABETTE COUNTIES IN SERN KS.
LATEST MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING IN
ADVANCE OF SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT AND ALONG SWLY 30-40 KT LLJ AXIS.
GROUND CLUTTER PATTERN OBSERVED IN LOCAL RADAR DATA COUPLED WITH
PROXIMITY RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGESTS THAT THE CAP HAS BECOME RATHER
STRONG...AND THAT THE ONGOING STORMS HAVE LIKELY BECOME SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH MUCAPES OF
1000-1500 J/KG.

LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO SHORT WAVE TROUGH
LIFTING NEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL PLAINS SHOULD MAINTAIN ONGOING TSTMS
EARLY THIS MORNING EWD THROUGH WRN MO. HOWEVER...LATEST SHORT TERM
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SWLY LLJ WILL BEGIN TO VEER AND WEAKEN
THROUGH 22/09Z WITH STORMS GRADUALLY MOVING E/NE OF
PRIMARY...ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS. AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR MAINLY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE
STORMS. THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED AND AN
ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

..MEAD.. 04/22/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

37109539 37589569 39099509 39629472 39769401 39319340
37779378 37149421 37029457

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 220601
SWODY1
SPC AC 220600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NW TX INTO THE
TX PANHANDLE AND FAR WRN OK TONIGHT...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY/NRN GREAT
LAKES REGION TODAY REACHING ONTARIO BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. IN THE WAKE
OF THIS TROUGH...UPPER FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE AMPLIFIED AS
A PACIFIC TROUGH DEEPENS AND MOVES INLAND IN THE WEST AND SUPPORTS
DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDING NEWD FROM E TX/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE
MID MS/OH VALLEYS. A WEAK IMPULSE IN THE SRN STREAM SHOULD MOVE
ESEWD ACROSS E TX/LOWER MS VALLEY THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.
MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT SHOWING A STRONGER SRN STREAM SHORT
WAVE TROUGH WILL TRACK ENEWD ACROSS NWRN MEXICO LATER TONIGHT
REACHING FAR W TX BY 12Z WEDNESDAY.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...COLD FRONT ATTENDANT WITH UPPER MS VALLEY TROUGH
WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE WRN GREAT LAKES REGION AND MID MS VALLEY.
SRN EXTENT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY SWD THROUGH OK AND SHOULD
STALL FROM SRN MO/NWRN AR TO SRN OK AND NW TX BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL OCCUR AS LOW LEVEL MASS FIELDS WEAKEN ACROSS
ERN OK/E TX INTO THE LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY...AND RESPOND WWD TO
THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WITH APPROACH OF SRN STREAM IMPULSE AND
WRN TROUGH.

...MID MS VALLEY SWD INTO AR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
MODELS SUGGEST TSTMS...SOME STRONG TO SEVERE...SHOULD BE ONGOING
ACROSS SWRN MO INTO ERN IA/WRN IL AT 12Z TODAY. ALTHOUGH STRONGER
FORCING FOR ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN N OF THIS REGION TODAY...
LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND ANY OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES SHOULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE SUPPORTING THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR /AROUND 30 KT/ SUGGESTS TSTMS SHOULD BE
MULTICELLULAR WITH A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONGER WIND
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE SWD INTO AR ALONG SRN
EXTENT OF ONGOING MORNING ACTIVITY WITH SIMILAR THREATS INTO THE
AFTERNOON.

...PARTS OF ERN TX INTO LA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE ACROSS THIS
REGION TODAY. MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT SHOWING TSTMS DEVELOPING
BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF E TX AND WRN LA AS
ASCENT ATTENDANT TO WEAK LEAD SRN STREAM IMPULSE SPREADS ESEWD
ACROSS THIS REGION DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. ALTHOUGH SLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS ARE FORECAST TO WEAKEN BY LATE MORNING...25-30 KT NWLY MID
LEVEL WINDS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 30
KT TO SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR WEAK FORCING...PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT COVERAGE SHOULD BE SPORADIC RESULTING IN LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES.

...WRN AR/CENTRAL/SRN OK TO WRN N TX THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...
STRONG SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST AIR MASS RESIDING ALONG THE
STALLED FRONT THIS AFTERNOON WILL RESULT IN MLCAPE VALUES RANGING
FROM 2000-3000 J/KG. ALTHOUGH FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD BE WEAK
GIVEN BUILDING RIDGE OVER THIS REGION...MODELS SUGGEST CONVERGENCE
ALONG BOUNDARY AND SURFACE HEATING SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT TO
OVERCOME CAP AND SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT. WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WILL RESULT IN GENERALLY UN-ORGANIZED TO MULTICELL STORMS WITH
ISOLATED HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS.

...PARTS OF W TX NWD TO WRN KS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...
SELY LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO 40-45 KT THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE SRN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT
FALLS AHEAD OF WRN LONGWAVE TROUGH. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING
MOIST/WARM AIR ADVECTION INTO THIS REGION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT. STEEP LAPSE RATES
SPREADING NEWD ACROSS THIS REGION AFTER 23/00Z ATOP THE MOISTURE
RETURN WILL RESULT IN STRONG INSTABILITY. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR UP
TO 50 KT WILL FAVOR SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH HAIL AND WIND BEING
THE PRIMARY THREATS. SOME STORMS MAY DEVELOP FARTHER NWD OVERNIGHT
INTO WRN KS.

..PETERS/GRAMS.. 04/22/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 220559
SWODY2
SPC AC 220557

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SRN THROUGH PARTS OF
THE CNTRL PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...

UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN PACIFIC WILL ADVANCE INTO THE WRN STATES
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A COMPACT BUT STRONG
UPPER JET MAX WILL MOVE THROUGH TX DURING THE DAY. OTHER IMPULSES
WILL LIKELY EJECT INTO THE CNTRL AND NRN PLAINS DOWNSTREAM FROM THE
MAIN UPPER TROUGH. WARM FRONT THAT WILL LIKELY EXIST OVER SRN OK
EARLY WEDNESDAY SHOULD LIFT NWD AND WEAKEN DURING THE DAY. DRYLINE
WILL SETUP ACROSS THE SRN THROUGH NRN HIGH PLAINS.

...SRN PLAINS...

RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S WILL EXIST OVER
THE SRN PLAINS WARM SECTOR BENEATH 7-8 C/KM 850-500 MB LAPSE RATES.
THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE INSTABILITY WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER
WARMING OCCURS. COMPLICATING FACTORS INCLUDE POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
STORMS TO DEVELOP EARLY WITHIN WARM ADVECTION REGIME FROM PARTS OF
NWRN TX INTO OK...AND TIMING OF SRN STREAM JET MAX WHICH COULD
RESULT IN EARLY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS WRN TX. MODELS
GENERALLY AGREE THAT THIS FEATURE WILL TIME OUT INTO SWRN TX LATE
WEDNESDAY MORNING PRIOR TO MAX HEATING. IN ADDITION TO POTENTIAL
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE...STORMS WILL LIKELY ALSO DEVELOP IN
ADVANCE OF THIS BOUNDARY AS FORCING FOR ASCENT ACCOMPANYING THE JET
MAX MOVES THROUGH THE TX WARM SECTOR. COUPLED LOW LEVEL AND MID
LEVEL JETS ATTENDING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE 0-1 KM
HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP SHEAR AS IT ADVANCES THROUGH TX AND POSSIBLY SRN
OK LATER IN THE DAY AND OVERNIGHT. ALONG THE PATH OF THE JET
STREAK...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.

THREAT IN OK APPEARS MORE CONDITIONAL GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR EARLY
CONVECTION AND POSSIBILITY THAT STRONGER LOW-MID LEVEL FLOW
ATTENDING THE JET MAX COULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE STATE. IF EARLY
STORMS WEAKEN OR ARE NOT TOO WIDESPREAD...THEN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
DESTABILIZE ACROSS PARTS OF OK AND POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SEVERE
STORMS TO DEVELOP IN THIS REGION LATER IN THE DAY.

...CNTRL THROUGH NRN PLAINS...

THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THIS REGION EARLY IN THE
PERIOD WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG THE
STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET. WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES IN PLACE SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. IN WAKE OF THE MORNING
STORMS...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE IN A
NARROW CORRIDOR EAST OF THE DRYLINE AS MOISTURE RETURNS NWD ALONG
THE LOW LEVEL JET. DEGREE OF MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE MORE LIMITED IN
THIS REGION...BUT COMPENSATED FOR BY COLD AIR ALOFT. STORMS MAY
REDEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITHIN ZONE OF
FAVORABLE LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EJECTING IMPULSE.
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS.

..DIAL.. 04/22/2008

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KOAX [220541]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 220541
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1241 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1238 AM HAIL 3 W PACIFIC JUNCTION 41.02N 95.86W
04/22/2008 E0.50 INCH MILLS IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MILLER

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KEAX [220539]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 220539
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1239 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1217 AM HAIL TONGANOXIE 39.11N 95.08W
04/22/2008 M0.75 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS PUBLIC

SEVERAL MINUTES OF DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS GUSTING INTO
THE 30 MPH RANGE.

1233 AM HAIL 1 S BASEHOR 39.11N 94.93W
04/22/2008 M0.88 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

MAS

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KOUN [220529]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 220529
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1229 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HAIL 3 W PAOLI 34.83N 97.32W
04/21/2008 E2.25 INCH GARVIN OK STORM CHASER

LARGE HAIL BROKE WINDSHIELDS

&&

$$

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