KDTX [280445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDTX 280445
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1145 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 PM SNOW BRIDGEPORT 43.38N 83.88W
01/27/2010 M1.1 INCH SAGINAW MI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

BT

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KILX [280427]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280427
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1027 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM SNOW LANE 40.13N 88.85W
01/27/2010 M1.0 INCH DE WITT IL MESONET

SWOP REPORT

&&

$$

DPK

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KPUB [280423]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 280423
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
923 PM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM SNOW SALIDA 38.53N 106.00W
01/27/2010 M1.3 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KILX [280420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280420
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1019 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW DANVILLE 40.14N 87.62W
01/27/2010 M1.3 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

DPK

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KPUB [280419]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 280419
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
918 PM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
01/27/2010 M1.9 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KPUB [280414]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 280414
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
914 PM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0913 PM SNOW BUENA VISTA 38.85N 106.14W
01/27/2010 M1.5 INCH CHAFFEE CO PUBLIC

1.5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 400PM THIS AFTERNOON. SLE OF
0.12 INCHES.

&&

$$

KMOZLEY

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KIWX [280406]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 280406
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1106 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1105 PM SNOW 3 ESE WHITE PIGEON 41.78N 85.59W
01/27/2010 M3.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000173

$$

LASHLEY

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KDTX [280400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDTX 280400
LSRDTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1100 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM SNOW SAGINAW 43.42N 83.95W
01/27/2010 M1.0 INCH SAGINAW MI BROADCAST MEDIA

TOTAL OVER PAST 3 HOURS.

&&

$$

MR

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KIWX [280356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 280356
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1055 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM SNOW BENTON HARBOR 42.12N 86.45W
01/27/2010 M1.7 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000172

$$

LASHLEY

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KMQT [280335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 280335
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1035 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1033 PM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.36W
01/27/2010 M3.5 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER

SINCE 845AM. SNOW DEPTH OF 17 INCHES.

&&

$$

SRF

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KIWX [280301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 280301
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1001 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM SNOW BUCHANAN 41.83N 86.36W
01/27/2010 M1.0 INCH BERRIEN MI TRAINED SPOTTER

1.0 INCHES SINCE 2 PM

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000171

$$

NG

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KIWX [280255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 280255
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
954 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0954 PM SNOW 3 SE SYRACUSE 41.40N 85.71W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH KOSCIUSKO IN NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL. 2 INCHES ON THE GROUND.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX1000170

$$

ARNOTT

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KLOT [280241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 280241
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
841 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
01/27/2010 E1.5 INCH COOK IL AIRPLANE PILOT

LIGHT ICING ON SIDEWALKS.

&&

$$

JCG

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KGRR [280233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 280233
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
932 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM SNOW 1 S KALAMAZOO 42.26N 85.59W
01/27/2010 M2.0 INCH KALAMAZOO MI BROADCAST MEDIA

SNOWFALL SINCE LATE THIS AFTERNOON

0920 PM SNOW SCHOOLCRAFT 42.12N 85.63W
01/27/2010 M2.0 INCH KALAMAZOO MI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 530 PM. ROADS SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.
STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

JK

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KDLH [280225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 280225
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
824 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW 5 S HERBSTER 46.76N 91.26W
01/27/2010 M1.0 INCH BAYFIELD WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KLOT [280222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 280222
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
822 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0807 PM SNOW PORTAGE 41.59N 87.18W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH PORTER IN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OVER THE PAST 8 HOURS. MANY AREA ROADS ARE
SLICK. SECONDARY ROADS ARE SNOW COVERED. STILL SNOWING
LIGHTLY.

&&

$$

BN

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KILX [280212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280212
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
812 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW 1 SW JEROME 39.76N 89.69W
01/27/2010 M1.4 INCH SANGAMON IL MESONET

SWOP REPORT

&&

$$

DPK

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KILX [280203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280203
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
803 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM SNOW 2 N HOMER 40.06N 87.96W
01/27/2010 M1.0 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL MESONET

SNOWFALL OVER THE PAST 5 HOURS. SWOP REPORT

&&

$$

DPK

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KDVN [280200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 280200
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
800 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM SNOW 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
01/27/2010 E1.0 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW ATKINS 42.00N 91.86W
01/27/2010 E1.1 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0455 PM SNOW LOWDEN 41.86N 90.92W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH CEDAR IA CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
01/27/2010 M1.1 INCH SCOTT IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
01/27/2010 M0.2 INCH DUBUQUE IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR 41.63N 91.55W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH JOHNSON IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0640 PM SNOW 1 WNW MORRISON 41.81N 89.98W
01/27/2010 E1.3 INCH WHITESIDE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL TOTAL 1 1/4 INCHES.

&&

THE REPORTS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
1.3 1 WNW MORRISON IL WHITESIDE 0640 PM
1.2 LOWDEN IA CEDAR 0455 PM
1.1 DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR IA SCOTT 0600 PM
1.1 ATKINS IA BENTON 0400 PM
1.0 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS IA LINN 0335 PM
0.3 IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR IA JOHNSON 0600 PM
0.3 MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR IL ROCK ISLAND 0600 PM
0.2 DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR IA DUBUQUE 0600 PM

$$

PHILIP

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KDVN [280200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 280200
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
800 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM SNOW 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
01/27/2010 E1.0 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW ATKINS 42.00N 91.86W
01/27/2010 E1.1 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0455 PM SNOW LOWDEN 41.86N 90.92W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH CEDAR IA CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
01/27/2010 M1.1 INCH SCOTT IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
01/27/2010 M0.2 INCH DUBUQUE IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR 41.63N 91.55W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH JOHNSON IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0640 PM SNOW 1 WNW MORRISON 41.81N 89.98W
01/27/2010 E1.3 INCH WHITESIDE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL TOTAL 1 1/4 INCHES.

&&

$$

PHILIP

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KPUB [280116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 280116
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
616 PM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW MAYSVILLE 38.54N 106.22W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 430 PM

&&

$$

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KJAN [280045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 280045
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
645 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 AM HAIL 1 SW SEMINARY 31.55N 89.51W
01/20/2010 E1.00 INCH COVINGTON MS PUBLIC

CAR DAMAGE REPORTED BY PUBLIC DUE TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0603 PM HAIL 2 W SHAW 33.60N 90.81W
01/24/2010 E0.88 INCH BOLIVAR MS PUBLIC

DIME TO NICKEL HAIL FELL NEAR AND WEST OF SHAW.

&&

$$

JALLEN

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KAPX [280043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 280043
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
743 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0741 PM SNOW 2 ENE ELLSWORTH 45.18N 85.21W
01/27/2010 M3.6 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.

0741 PM SNOW 2 ENE ELLSWORTH 45.18N 85.21W
01/27/2010 M6.6 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.

&&

$$

JSL

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KDVN [280042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 280042
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
642 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM SNOW 1 WNW MORRISON 41.81N 89.98W
01/27/2010 E1.3 INCH WHITESIDE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL TOTAL 1 1/4 INCHES.

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280037
SWODY1
SPC AC 280036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0636 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SWRN U.S...

DEEP CONVECTION HAS STRUGGLED TO SPREAD/DEVELOP NORTH OF THE MEXICAN
BORDER THIS EVENING...PRIMARILY DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY ON THE U.S.
SIDE. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM TUS...EPZ AND DRT SUGGEST AIRMASS HAS
CONSIDERABLE MOISTENING/COOLING ALOFT BEFORE SUBSTANTIAL INSTABILITY
DEVELOPS THAT WOULD SUPPORT CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING
LIGHTNING. WITH TIME IT APPEARS ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO
SPREAD NEWD INTO WEST TX...ESPECIALLY AS LLJ INTENSIFIES LATE ACROSS
THE EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION. BUOYANCY SHOULD REMAIN TOO WEAK TO
SUPPORT HAIL AND ANY SIGNIFICANCE.

..DARROW.. 01/28/2010

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KILX [280028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280028
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
628 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW SPRINGFIELD 39.78N 89.64W
01/27/2010 M1.3 INCH SANGAMON IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

OFFICIAL SNOWFALL OBSERVATION FOR SPRINGFIELD

&&

$$

DPK

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KAPX [280024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 280024
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
724 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0723 PM SNOW EAST JORDAN 45.16N 85.13W
01/27/2010 M5.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI TRAINED SPOTTER

10 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.

&&

$$

MRUNYAN

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KDVN [280014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 280014
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
613 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
01/27/2010 M0.2 INCH DUBUQUE IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

0600 PM SNOW IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR 41.63N 91.55W
01/27/2010 M0.3 INCH JOHNSON IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

&&

$$

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KAPX [280013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 280013
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
713 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW ALBA 45.00N 84.90W
01/27/2010 M3.5 INCH ANTRIM MI TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HR TOTAL THRU 6 PM. SNOWDEPTH 10 IN.

0700 PM SNOW BOYNE FALLS 45.17N 84.90W
01/27/2010 M5.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI NWS EMPLOYEE

6 HR TOTAL THRU 7 PM.

&&

$$

JSL

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KILX [280008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 280008
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
607 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0554 PM SNOW LINCOLN 40.15N 89.37W
01/27/2010 M1.1 INCH LOGAN IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS

AT THE NWS IN LINCOLN

0530 PM SNOW 2 W RIVERTON 39.85N 89.58W
01/27/2010 M1.3 INCH SANGAMON IL MESONET

SNOWFALL IN THE PAST 3 HOURS...COCORAHS REPORT

&&

$$

DPK

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KDVN [280000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 280000
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
600 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW DAVENPORT MUNICIPAL AIR 41.62N 90.58W
01/27/2010 M1.1 INCH SCOTT IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

DAILY SNOWFALL TOTAL.

&&

$$

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KVEF [272355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 272355
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
355 PM PST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HEAVY SNOW PIOCHE 37.93N 114.45W
01/27/2010 E10.0 INCH LINCOLN NV TRAINED SPOTTER

A WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A TOTAL OF 10 INCHES OF SNOW
FELL IN PIOCHE BETWEEN ABOUT 2 AM AND 3 PM PST.

&&

$$

JA

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KDVN [272258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 272258
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
458 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 PM SNOW LOWDEN 41.86N 90.92W
01/27/2010 M1.2 INCH CEDAR IA CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTAL.

&&

$$

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KDVN [272242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 272242
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
441 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW ATKINS 42.00N 91.86W
01/27/2010 E1.1 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KLSX [272240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 272240
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
440 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM SNOW ST. LOUIS 38.64N 90.24W
01/27/2010 M0.8 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO NWS EMPLOYEE

TOWER GROVE PARK

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX1000213

$$

MILLER

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KLSX [272111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 272111
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
310 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM SNOW ST. LOUIS 38.64N 90.24W
01/27/2010 E0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS CITY MO NWS EMPLOYEE

TOWER GROVE PARK...VERY LARGE SNOW FALKES

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX1000211

$$

MILLER

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KAPX [272104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 272104
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
403 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0402 PM SNOW PETOSKEY 45.38N 84.96W
01/27/2010 M3.1 INCH EMMET MI CO-OP OBSERVER

8 HR TOTAL THRU 4 PM.

&&

$$

BERGER

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KOKX [271952]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KOKX 271952
LSROKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
252 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NW CROWN HEIGHTS 40.71N 74.01W
01/25/2010 NEW YORK (MANHATTA NY EMERGENCY MNGR

DEBRIS BLOWN OFF BUILDING. NINE SQUARE BLOCK AREA CLOSED
UNTIL 8 PM.

0757 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ENGLEWOOD 40.89N 73.97W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ CO-OP OBSERVER

LARGE TREE LIMB DOWN. HIT PEDESTRIAN ON CORNER OF TEANECK
ROAD AND WEST IVY LANE.

0813 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARAMUS 40.95N 74.07W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE FELL ONTO HOME.

0823 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG UNION CITY 40.77N 74.03W
01/25/2010 HUDSON NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

SCAFFOLDING COMING OFF BUILDING AT 120 SUMMIT AVE.
RESIDENTS ARE BEING EVACUATED FROM BUILDING.

0830 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SSE FLUSHING 40.70N 73.82W
01/25/2010 QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** CONSTRUCTION WAS BLOWN OVER.

0846 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG TEANECK 40.89N 74.01W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE FELL INTO HOME.

0925 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CO-OP CITY 40.87N 73.82W
01/25/2010 BRONX NY AMATEUR RADIO

*** 1 INJ *** SCAFFOLD FELL.

1022 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ORADELL 40.96N 74.03W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE ELECTRIC POLES DOWN AT ORADELL AND SUMMIT AVE.

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG JAMAICA 40.71N 73.79W
01/25/2010 QUEENS NY TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE AIR CONDITIONER UNIT COVER BLOWN OFF THIRD FLOOR
ROOF TOP. AT JFK AIRPORT BLDG 151 JAPAN CARGO BUILDING.

1045 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 WNW CROWN HEIGHTS 40.69N 73.99W
01/25/2010 KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** CONSTRUCTION MATERIAL WAS BLOWN OFF
BUILDING.

1058 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG NW WASHINGTON HEIGHTS 40.85N 73.93W
01/25/2010 NEW YORK (MANHATTA NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

VEHICLE OVERTURNED ON EASTBOUND LANES OF UPPER LEVEL
GEORGE WASHINGTON BRIDGE.

1103 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG LEONIA 40.86N 73.99W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE AND LIVE WIRES DOWN ON FIRE TRUCK.

1116 AM NON-TSTM WND GST RYE 40.95N 73.68W
01/25/2010 E81.00 MPH WESTCHESTER NY EMERGENCY MNGR

GUST TO 81 MPH AT RYE PLAYLAND. WIND SENSOR IS 69 FT
ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

1122 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEWARK 40.72N 74.17W
01/25/2010 ESSEX NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

FALLEN MASONARY FROM BUILDING DAMAGE TO CARS AT MCCHARTER
HWY AND CENTER ST.

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG RYE 40.95N 73.68W
01/25/2010 WESTCHESTER NY PUBLIC

MANY TREE LIMBS DOWN SOME ON POWER LINES ALONG FOREST
AVE.

1145 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG FORT LEE 40.85N 73.97W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

SCAFFOLDING COLLAPSE ONTO CAR.

1146 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG FORT LEE 40.85N 73.97W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN ON MCAVOY PLACE.

1158 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG NORWICH 41.55N 72.09W
01/25/2010 NEW LONDON CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE BLOWN OVER ONTO POWER LINES AND DAMAGED A

HOUSE NEAR INTERSECTION OF RT. 97 AND TAFTVILLE OCCUM RD.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 E ROCKAWAY BEACH 40.58N 73.85W
01/25/2010 QUEENS NY AMATEUR RADIO

POWER OUTAGE FOR THE AREA.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 NE HOBOKEN 40.79N 73.98W
01/25/2010 NEW YORK (MANHATTA NY EMERGENCY MNGR

DOWNED TREE CAUSED ALL LANES OF THE HENRY HUDSON PARKWAY
TO BE CLOSED.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NE HUGUENOT 40.55N 74.15W
01/25/2010 RICHMOND (STATEN I NY EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER OUTAGE DUE TO DOWNED ELECTRICAL WIRES.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG JAMAICA 40.71N 73.79W
01/25/2010 QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

SCAFFOLDING COLLAPSED AT ADDABBO FEDERAL BUILDING.

1220 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WANTAGH 40.67N 73.51W
01/25/2010 NASSAU NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

DOWN TREE WANTAGH HWY AT EXIT 5W NEAR NY27 IN HEMPSTEAD.

1220 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SMITHTOWN 40.86N 73.21W
01/25/2010 SUFFOLK NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ACROSS RT 25A NEAR LAKE AVE. ALL LANES CLOSED.

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 NE PORT CHESTER 41.03N 73.63W
01/25/2010 FAIRFIELD CT EMERGENCY MNGR

ROOF BLOWING OFF AT GREENWICH PLAZA OFFICE COMPLEX BLDG.
SURROUNDING STREETS CLOSED.

1236 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NNE EAST TREMONT 40.86N 73.87W
01/25/2010 BRONX NY EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** A PORTION OF A BUILDING COLLAPSED.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NYACK 41.09N 73.92W
01/25/2010 ROCKLAND NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TRACTOR TRAILER OVERTURNED ON TAPPEN ZEE BRIDGE.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG WESTPORT 41.12N 73.35W
01/25/2010 FAIRFIELD CT TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE DOWN ON NORTH AVE AND MYSTIC LN. ROAD CLOSED
BOTH DIRECTIONS.

0117 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG YORKTOWN HEIGHTS 41.27N 73.78W
01/25/2010 WESTCHESTER NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE DOWN AT RT 35 AND RT 118 CLOSING ROAD BOTH WAYS
BETWEEN BROAD ST AND RIDGE ST.

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG NEW CANAAN 41.14N 73.49W
01/25/2010 FAIRFIELD CT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

METRO NORTH TRAIN SERVICE SUSPENDED DUE TO POWER OUTAGE
CAUSED BY DOWNED TREE.

0145 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FARMINGVILLE 40.84N 73.04W
01/25/2010 SUFFOLK NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

TREE DOWN ON PORTION RD BETWEEN MORRIS AVE AND MAPLE
CREST DR. ACCIDENT REPORTED.

0149 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ISLIP 40.73N 73.22W
01/25/2010 SUFFOLK NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF PINE ST AND WILSON
BLVD.

0150 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE LEDYARD CENTER 41.46N 72.01W
01/25/2010 NEW LONDON CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINES DUE TO FALLEN TREE ON CHURCH HILL RD.

0151 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SHINNECOCK HILLS 40.90N 72.46W
01/25/2010 M60.00 MPH SUFFOLK NY MESONET

WIND SENSOR IS 75 FT ABOVE GROUND LEVEL.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG GARDEN CITY 40.73N 73.64W
01/25/2010 NASSAU NY PUBLIC

POWERLINES DOWN NEAR 3RD ST AND HAMILTON PL

0201 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SOUTHOLD 41.06N 72.43W
01/25/2010 SUFFOLK NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE BLOWN DOWN ON ACKERLY POND LN.

0216 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PARAMUS 40.95N 74.07W
01/25/2010 BERGEN NJ EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 1 INJ *** POWER LINES FELL ON A HOUSE AT 207 WEST
MIDLAND AVE. PERSON TOUCHED THE DOWNED LINES AND WAS
ELECTROCUTED. HOUSE ON FIRE AS WELL FROM THE DOWNED
LINES.

0221 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG OLD SAYBROOK 41.29N 72.37W
01/25/2010 MIDDLESEX CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED UTILITY POLE ON SHEFFIELD ST.

0243 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 6 SW DURHAM 41.41N 72.76W
01/25/2010 NEW HAVEN CT LAW ENFORCEMENT

TWO TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 17 AND REEDS GAP
RD EAST.

0244 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 3 S RIVERHEAD 40.87N 72.63W
01/25/2010 SUFFOLK NY PUBLIC

NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES.

0300 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 W GARDEN CITY 40.72N 73.74W
01/25/2010 QUEENS NY EMERGENCY MNGR

POLE FELL ONTO THE EASTBOUND SIDE OF THE LONG ISLAND
RAILROAD TRACKS.

&&

$$

JP

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271941
SWODY1
SPC AC 271939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0139 PM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN AZ...SRN NM THROUGH WRN TX...

THUNDERSTORMS INITIALLY OVER SERN AZ ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EWD
THROUGH SRN NM THIS EVENING WITH COVERAGE INCREASING LATER TONIGHT
OVER WRN TX. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH VERY LITTLE CHANGE
NECESSARY.

..DIAL/STOPPKOTTE.. 01/27/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010/

THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN BAJA WILL WEAKEN AND TRACK
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN MEXICO DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL
INCREASE ACROSS WEST TX/EASTERN NM AND HELP TO TRANSPORT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE NORTHWARD. LOW LEVEL DESTABILIZATION AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE TONIGHT
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN NM AND MUCH OF WEST/CENTRAL TX. SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST CORES...BUT NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED.

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KBGM [271824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBGM 271824
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
124 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM FLASH FLOOD FORKSTON 41.53N 76.13W
01/25/2010 WYOMING PA EMERGENCY MNGR

MEHOOPANY CREEK FLOODED 10 HOMES IN FORKSTON. 3 FAMILIES
WERE EVACUATED.

&&

$$

DJN

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KBGM [271822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 271822
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
122 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 AM FLASH FLOOD MEHOOPANY 41.57N 76.07W
01/25/2010 WYOMING PA TRAINED SPOTTER

PA ROUTE 87 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING AND A ROCKSLIDE.

&&
REPORT FROM MONDAY THE 25TH.
$$

DJN

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KBGM [271812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 271812
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
112 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD MORAVIA 42.71N 76.42W
01/25/2010 CAYUGA NY EMERGENCY MNGR

MANY ROADS FLOODED IN THE FLATS AREA.

1045 PM FLASH FLOOD FORKSTON 41.53N 76.13W
01/25/2010 WYOMING PA EMERGENCY MNGR

MEHOOPANY CREEK FLOODED 10 HOMES IN FORKSTON. 3 FAMILIES
WERE EVACUATED.

&&
MORE FLASH FLOOD REPORTS FROM MONDAY THE 25TH.
$$

DJN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 271723
SWODY2
SPC AC 271722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF SWRN THROUGH S
CNTRL AND SERN TX...

...SYNOPSIS...

SPLIT FLOW UPPER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL INTO THURSDAY. A BROAD UPPER
LOW WILL PERSIST OVER SERN CANADA AND THE NERN STATES...WHILE THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER NRN BAJA ADVANCES ENE INTO
THE SRN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL CONTINUE SWD
INTO THE TN VALLEY AND SRN PLAINS. BY LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THE
FRONT WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM NRN PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES WWD
THROUGH NRN AND WRN TX. THE WRN EXTENSION OF THIS BOUNDARY WILL
CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH MUCH OF TX OVERNIGHT.

...SW THROUGH CNTRL AND SERN TX...

BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE WRN GULF IS STILL UNDERGOING MODIFICATION
WITH NEAR 60F DEWPOINTS. SLY LOW-LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY OVER THE SRN PLAINS WITHIN HEIGHT FALL ZONE
DOWNSTREAM FROM ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS WILL RESULT IN NWD
ADVECTION OF PARTIALLY MODIFIED GULF AIR WITH LOW TO MID 60F
DEWPOINTS LIKELY ACROSS S AND S-CNTRL TX AND MID TO UPPER 50F
FARTHER WEST TOWARD THE BIG BEND AREA. A RESERVOIR OF 7-8 C/KM
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ADVECT EWD ABOVE THE MOIST AXIS AND
CONTRIBUTE TO DESTABILIZATION. HOWEVER...SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY
WILL BE LIMITED BY FORMATION OF WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS WITHIN THE
THETA-E ADVECTION REGIME WITH MLCAPE FROM 500-1000 J/KG. MID-LEVEL
INVERSION ALREADY EVIDENT ON THE 12Z RAOBS FROM WRN THROUGH S TX
WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. THIS SUGGESTS THE WARM SECTOR
WILL PROBABLY STAY CAPPED UNTIL ZONE OF DEEPER FORCING ATTENDING THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SEWD ADVANCING FRONT INTERCEPT THE MOIST AXIS.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT ACTIVITY WILL GROW UPSCALE INTO AN MCS.
STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE SRN END OF THE MCS WILL BE BASED NEAR
THE SURFACE. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND LARGE 0-1 KM HODOGRAPHS WILL
SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED LEWP AND SUPERCELL STRUCTURES.

..DIAL.. 01/27/2010

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KPSR [271715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 271715
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1014 AM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM HAIL 3 SSW MAGMA 33.09N 111.51W
01/27/2010 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

CORRECTED TIME.

&&

$$

WATERS

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KMQT [271703]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271703
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1203 PM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM SNOW 4 NE CALUMET 47.29N 88.39W
01/27/2010 E3.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATED NEW SNOW SINCE 8 AM

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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KDMX [271653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 271653
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1053 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 AM SNOW FORT DODGE 42.51N 94.18W
01/27/2010 E1.0 INCH WEBSTER IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [271646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 271646
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1046 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1042 AM SNOW BOONE 42.05N 93.88W
01/27/2010 E0.2 INCH BOONE IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [271641]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 271641
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1041 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1032 AM SNOW CARROLL 42.07N 94.86W
01/27/2010 E0.1 INCH CARROLL IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

BF

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KPSR [271639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 271639
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
938 AM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM HAIL 3 S MAGMA 33.09N 111.51W
01/27/2010 E0.25 INCH PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WATERS

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KDMX [271629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 271629
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1029 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1027 AM SNOW DENISON 42.02N 95.35W
01/27/2010 E0.2 INCH CRAWFORD IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

BF

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KDMX [271625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 271625
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1025 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 AM SNOW ROCKWELL CITY 42.40N 94.63W
01/27/2010 E1.0 INCH CALHOUN IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

BF

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KGJT [271624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 271624
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
924 AM MST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 7 SSW REDSTONE 39.09N 107.28W
01/27/2010 M3.0 INCH GUNNISON CO AVALANCHE FCSTR

24 HOUR SNOWFALL AMOUNT FOR MCCLURE PASS. WATER
EQUIVALENT OF 0.15 INCHES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000121

$$

MALEKSA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271617
SWODY1
SPC AC 271615

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1015 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE CLOSED UPPER LOW OVER NORTHERN BAJA WILL WEAKEN AND TRACK
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHERN MEXICO DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
MEANWHILE...SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL
INCREASE ACROSS WEST TX/EASTERN NM AND HELP TO TRANSPORT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE NORTHWARD. LOW LEVEL DESTABILIZATION AND WARM ADVECTION
WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE TONIGHT
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN NM AND MUCH OF WEST/CENTRAL TX. SMALL HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGEST CORES...BUT NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED.

..HART.. 01/27/2010

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KMQT [271555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271555
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1055 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW TWIN LAKES 46.90N 88.83W
01/27/2010 M4.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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KMQT [271553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271553
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1053 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 8 WSW ONTONAGON 46.82N 89.47W
01/27/2010 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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KMQT [271539]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271539
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1038 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM SNOW HANCOCK 47.13N 88.60W
01/27/2010 M4.2 INCH HOUGHTON MI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW SINCE 8 AM YESTERDAY

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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KMQT [271537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 271537
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1037 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.36W
01/27/2010 M3.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL ENDING AT 845 AM

&&

$$

KFLEEGEL

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KCAE [271346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KCAE 271346
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
846 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM FLASH FLOOD LANCASTER 34.72N 80.78W
01/25/2010 LANCASTER SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER ON ROADS IN THE WEST SIDE OF
LANCASTER.

1230 AM FLASH FLOOD 8 NNW LANCASTER 34.83N 80.83W
01/25/2010 LANCASTER SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

US HIGHWAY 521 FLOODED IN INDY AREA.

&&

$$

LAMBERTY

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KCAE [271307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 271307
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
807 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM FLASH FLOOD LANCASTER 34.72N 80.78W
01/25/2010 LANCASTER SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER ON ROADS IN THE WEST SIDE OF
LANCASTER.

&&

$$

LAMBERTY

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KCAE [271305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 271305
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
805 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 AM FLASH FLOOD AUGUSTA 33.46N 82.00W
01/25/2010 RICHMOND GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

MINOR FLOODING OF STREET IN FRONT OF HOSPITAL

&&

$$

LAMBERTY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271231
SWODY1
SPC AC 271229

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0629 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE CLOSED MIDLEVEL LOW NEAR THE COAST OF NRN BAJA THIS MORNING WILL
ROTATE EWD OVER NW MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT AND BECOME MORE OF AN OPEN
WAVE...WHILE A SECONDARY SPEED MAX DIGS SWD FROM WRN NV TO SE CA.
DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SWD FROM
NRN KS THIS MORNING TO THE TX S PLAINS AND RED RIVER VALLEY BY
28/12Z...IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER
THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. S OF THE FRONT...A SLY LLJ AND THE NWD/NWWD
RETURN OF A MODIFYING CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS WILL BE MAINTAINED
THROUGH THE PERIOD FROM S INTO SW TX. AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE AND WAA WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT IN SW TX...THOUGH INSTABILITY WILL
BE TOO WEAK FOR HAIL AT OR ABOVE THE 1 INCH SEVERE CRITERION.

..THOMPSON.. 01/27/2010

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 270945
SWOD48
SPC AC 270945

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 301200Z - 041200Z

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS START THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD WITH AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE SRN PLAINS. A LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM IN THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES ON SATURDAY/DAY
4. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING JUST WEST OF THE LOW-LEVEL
JET AXIS AND SOUTH OF A MID-LEVEL JET WHICH WILL CREATE STRONG DEEP
LAYER SHEAR PROFILES. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
FOR SEVERE STORMS ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST FROM THE MS DELTA
REGION TO THE FL PANHANDLE...INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE WEAK
SUGGESTING THE THREAT WILL REMAIN ISOLATED. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT ON SUNDAY/DAY 5 WITH CONVECTION POSSIBLE ACROSS CNTRL
AND SRN FL. AGAIN...WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD BE THE LIMITING FACTOR
FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE
MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT ON MONDAY/DAY 6 WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS. IF THE TIMING OF THE
TROUGH IS REASONABLE...THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WOULD BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION
POSSIBLE IN THE GULF COAST STATES TUESDAY/DAY 7. MOISTURE RETURN
SHOULD BE WEAK WITH THE SYSTEM EARLY NEXT WEEK AND A SUBSTANTIAL
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.

..BROYLES.. 01/27/2010

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KMQT [270802]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 270802
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
258 AM EST WED JAN 27 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM SNOW EAGLE RIVER 47.42N 88.30W
01/27/2010 E6.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

UP TO 6 INCHES SINCE TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG WINDS AND
BLOWING SNOW WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

&&

$$

JLA

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 270716
SWODY3
SPC AC 270715

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0115 AM CST WED JAN 27 2010

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...SRN LA/TX COASTAL PLAIN...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS
FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS
INTO THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING FRIDAY
MORNING ALONG THE LOWER TO MIDDLE TX COAST AND SHOULD MOVE QUICKLY
OFFSHORE BY MIDDAY. THE NERN PORTION OF THE LINE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS SE TX AND SRN LA WHERE A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT MAY EXIST
FRIDAY MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN SRN LA AT 18Z SHOW 50 KT OF
0-6 KM SHEAR...SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 60 F AND ABOUT 40 KT OF FLOW AT
1 KM. THIS MAY SUPPORT AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE THREAT. THE SEVERE
THREAT MAY INCREASE SOMEWHAT DUE TO WARMING SFC TEMPS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AS THE LINE MOVES INTO SERN LA. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY
SHOULD STILL BE WEAK SUGGESTING THE THREAT WILL REMAIN MARGINAL.

..BROYLES.. 01/27/2010

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 270545
SWODY2
SPC AC 270544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX HILL
COUNTRY...

...TX HILL COUNTRY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS NRN MEXICO THURSDAY AS A
MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH. THE EXIT REGION OF THIS
JET WILL AFFECT SOUTHWEST AND CNTRL TX CREATING STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR PROFILES THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A LOW-LEVEL JET TRANSPORTS
MOISTURE NWD. THUNDERSTORMS WITH A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE
ONGOING THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS WEST TX WITH THE STORMS SPREADING
EWD INTO THE TX HILL COUNTRY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A BAND OF VERY
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL HELP CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TO
INCREASE DURING THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO ORGANIZE
INTO A LINE ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD INTO INCREASING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE.

ETA-KF FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THE TX HILL COUNTRY BY 21Z THURSDAY
SHOW SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S F WITH 40 KT OF FLOW AT 1 KM AND
0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 65 TO 75 KT RANGE. THE MOISTURE AND SHEAR COULD
SUPPORT A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH SHORT-LINE SEGMENTS. THE WINDOW
FOR SEVERE COULD BE NARROW AND CONCENTRATED NEAR AND JUST AFTER PEAK
HEATING. FOR THIS REASON...THE SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN NARROWED FOR
THIS OUTLOOK. THE 21Z FORECAST SOUNDING AT AUSTIN DID SHOW A 500 MB
TEMPERATURE OF -15C AND A 700 TO 500 MB LAPSE RATE OF 7.0 C/KM WHICH
WOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR HAIL GIVEN THE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR. A
MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE SEWD ONTO THE TX COASTAL PLAIN
DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO BE
IN THE MID 60S F.

..BROYLES.. 01/27/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270534
SWODY1
SPC AC 270532

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 PM CST TUE JAN 26 2010

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
COLD/DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER NORTHERN ONTARIO
TODAY...AS SPLIT UPPER WESTERLIES PREVAIL OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
NORTH AMERICA. PREVALENCE OF COLD/STABLE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE CONUS
WILL LARGELY LIMIT TSTM POTENTIAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...BUT AT LEAST
ISOLATED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST
THIS AFTERNOON/TONIGHT IN TANDEM WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH
CROSSING FAR NORTHERN MEXICO.

...SOUTHEAST AZ/SOUTHERN NM/WEST TX...
GIVEN THE SOUTHERN LATITUDE OF THE DIGGING/ADVANCING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/UPPER JET ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO...PROSPECTS FOR ISOLATED
TSTMS WILL LARGELY BE CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER VICINITY OF
THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY SOUTHEAST AZ/FAR
SOUTHWEST NM. LATER TONIGHT...TSTM POTENTIAL SHOULD EXPAND/PROBABLY
INCREASE INTO SOUTHWEST TX/PERHAPS SOUTHEAST NM...ESPECIALLY AFTER
06Z AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN/LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES.
SOME MAINLY SUB-SEVERE HAIL IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX...BUT SCENARIO APPEARS
TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT HAIL PROBABILITIES...LARGELY OWING TO MODEST
ELEVATED BUOYANCY WITH ONLY A FEW HUNDRED J/KG OF MUCAPE PER 00Z
NAM/GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS.

..GUYER.. 01/27/2010

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