KOAX [290336]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290336
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1036 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1032 PM HAIL CREIGHTON 42.47N 97.91W
09/28/2008 M0.88 INCH KNOX NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

KURTZ

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KGID [290306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 290306
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1006 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 PM HAIL LOUP CITY 41.28N 98.97W
09/28/2008 M1.00 INCH SHERMAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

LEW

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KFSD [290300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected To Remove Comments

NWUS53 KFSD 290300 CCA
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED TO REMOVE COMMENTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
956 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL 5 SW HITCHCOCK 44.58N 98.48W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH BEADLE SD PUBLIC

0629 PM HAIL DIMOCK 43.48N 97.99W
09/28/2008 M1.00 INCH HUTCHINSON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0635 PM HAIL 9 W CARTHAGE 44.16N 97.89W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH SANBORN SD PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL 6 WSW TRIPP 43.20N 98.07W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL 3 SSW CLAYTON 43.40N 97.69W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL 5 N TYNDALL 43.06N 97.88W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BON HOMME SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0805 PM HAIL 2 W LESTERVILLE 43.04N 97.63W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH YANKTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JH

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KFSD [290256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFSD 290256
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
956 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL 5 SW HITCHCOCK 44.58N 98.48W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH BEADLE SD PUBLIC

A FEW NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAILSTONES, MOST SMALLER.

0629 PM HAIL DIMOCK 43.48N 97.99W
09/28/2008 M1.00 INCH HUTCHINSON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0635 PM HAIL 9 W CARTHAGE 44.16N 97.89W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH SANBORN SD PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL 6 WSW TRIPP 43.20N 98.07W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL. RAIN STARTED AT 640 PM, AND WAS
MEASURED AT 1.77 INCHES AT 705 PM WITH HEAVY RAIN STILL
FALLING.

0700 PM HAIL 3 SSW CLAYTON 43.40N 97.69W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL 5 N TYNDALL 43.06N 97.88W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BON HOMME SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0805 PM HAIL 2 W LESTERVILLE 43.04N 97.63W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH YANKTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JH

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 909

WWUS20 KWNS 290252
SEL9
SPC WW 290252
NEZ000-SDZ000-290400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 909
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
952 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 909 ISSUED AT 500 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

NEBRASKA
SOUTH DAKOTA

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KOAX [290248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290248
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
948 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM HAIL 2 S OSMOND 42.33N 97.60W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH PIERCE NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

KURTZ

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KOAX [290239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290239
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
939 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0927 PM HAIL CEDAR RAPIDS 41.56N 98.15W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH BOONE NE TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2298

ACUS11 KWNS 290230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290230 COR
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2298
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0930 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NEB AND E CNTRL NEB THROUGH SE SD AND NW IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909...

VALID 290230Z - 290315Z

CORRECTED FOR WATCH TYPE

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909
CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST FOR
ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO. STORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND TRENDS
SHOULD BE FOR INTENSITIES TO CONTINUE DECREASING. STORMS ARE
APPROACHING ERN EDGE OF WW 909...BUT THREAT FARTHER EAST APPEARS TOO
LIMITED IN SPACE AND TIME TO JUSTIFY ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE.

STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD THROUGH ERN NEB AND WRN
IA OVERNIGHT WITHIN ZONE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT AND SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE
HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. HOWEVER...STABILIZING
EFFECTS OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH TIME.

..DIAL.. 09/29/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

42959656 41959668 41359767 41289888 42079834 42989737

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KOAX [290223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290223
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
923 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HAIL CROFTON 42.73N 97.50W
09/28/2008 M0.75 INCH KNOX NE CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2298

ACUS11 KWNS 290222
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290222
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-290315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2298
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0922 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN NEB AND E CNTRL NEB THROUGH SE SD AND NW IA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 909...

VALID 290222Z - 290315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 909 CONTINUES.

THREAT FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL PERSIST FOR
ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO. STORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED AND TRENDS
SHOULD BE FOR INTENSITIES TO CONTINUE DECREASING. STORMS ARE
APPROACHING ERN EDGE OF WW 909...BUT THREAT FARTHER EAST APPEARS TOO
LIMITED IN SPACE AND TIME TO JUSTIFY ANOTHER WW ISSUANCE.

STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING SEWD THROUGH ERN NEB AND WRN
IA OVERNIGHT WITHIN ZONE OF FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH SEWD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT AND SWLY LOW LEVEL JET. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE
HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. HOWEVER...STABILIZING
EFFECTS OF NOCTURNAL COOLING SUGGESTS THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY MARGINAL WITH TIME.

..DIAL.. 09/29/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

42959656 41959668 41359767 41289888 42079834 42989737

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KLBF [290209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLBF 290209
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
909 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0625 PM HAIL 20 SSE AINSWORTH 42.28N 99.71W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH BROWN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0628 PM HAIL 19 S JOHNSTOWN 42.30N 100.06W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BROWN NE PUBLIC

0642 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH ROCK NE EMERGENCY MNGR

0643 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 M2.00 INCH ROCK NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0651 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 M2.00 INCH ROCK NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0720 PM HAIL DUNNING 41.83N 100.10W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH BLAINE NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0734 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NE ATKINSON 42.58N 98.91W
09/28/2008 E60.00 MPH HOLT NE PUBLIC

0740 PM HAIL 4 NNE LYNCH 42.88N 98.44W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH BOYD NE PUBLIC

0751 PM HAIL 9 NE ARNOLD 41.52N 100.07W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH CUSTER NE PUBLIC

0800 PM HAIL 9 ESE ATKINSON 42.48N 98.81W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HOLT NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KPHI [290150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 290150
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
950 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HEAVY RAIN SPRINGTOWN 40.56N 75.29W
09/28/2008 M2.57 INCH BUCKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 7 AM TODAY, 2.57 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN
SPRINGTOWN.

0215 PM FLOOD BETHLEHEM 40.63N 75.37W
09/28/2008 NORTHAMPTON PA TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND ROADS WAS
REPORTED IN THE BETHLEHEM AREA. ALSO, THERE WAS SOME
MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE MONOCACY CREEK.

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD FERNDALE 40.53N 75.18W
09/28/2008 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS REPORTED TO BE WASHED OUT IN NOCKAMIXON
TOWNSHIP, INCLUDING PORTIONS OF ROUTE 611 NORTH OF ROUTE
412. ALSO, A SMALL STREAM OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS AND
FLOODED A YARD.

0443 PM HEAVY RAIN PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
09/28/2008 M1.17 INCH PHILADELPHIA PA ASOS

1.17 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE NORTHEAST
PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT IN 30 MINUTES.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW CROSSWICKS 40.18N 74.68W
09/28/2008 M1.50 INCH MERCER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1.50 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN 20 MINUTES NEAR
YARDVILLE.

0730 PM HEAVY RAIN CATASAUQUA 40.65N 75.46W
09/28/2008 M3.74 INCH LEHIGH PA PUBLIC

3.74 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED TODAY IN CATASAUQUA.

0750 PM FLOOD EDISON 40.53N 74.37W
09/28/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN EDISON WITH THE FIRE
DEPARTMENT CALLED OUT.

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN ALLENTOWN 40.60N 75.48W
09/28/2008 M3.84 INCH LEHIGH PA ASOS

AS OF 8 PM, A TOTAL OF 3.84 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED
TODAY AT THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN
ALLENTOWN. THIS SURPASSED THE PREVIOUS DAILY RAINFALL
RECORD FOR THIS DATE OF 2.82 INCHES, WHICH WAS SET BACK
IN 2004.

0845 PM FLOOD SOCIETY HILL 40.53N 74.46W
09/28/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

INTERSTATE 287 FLOODED WITH 2 LEFT LANES REPORTED TO BE
IMPASSABLE.

&&

$$

ROBERTSON/GORSE

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KBOX [290149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 290149
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
949 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

4 CARS STUCK IN FLOODWATERS ON ELLIOT STREET

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS BASEMENTS FLOODED ON WEATHERSRIELD AVENUE.

0840 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

BASEMENT FLOODING ON MAPLE AVENUE

0840 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

2 CARS TRAPPED IN FLOODWATERS ON FLATBUSH AVENUE.

0932 PM FLASH FLOOD WETHERSFIELD 41.70N 72.67W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

3 HOMES WITH FLOODED BASEMENTS ON PARKVIEW DRIVE. THE
FIRE DEPARTMENT IS PUMPING WATER OUT OF THE BASEMENTS.

&&

$$

HFRANK

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KOAX [290142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290142
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
842 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL CREIGHTON 42.47N 97.91W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH KNOX NE EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

JKURTZ

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KOAX [290139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 290139
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
838 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM HAIL 5 NW VERDEL 42.86N 98.26W
09/28/2008 E1.25 INCH KNOX NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JKURTZ

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KFSD [290112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 290112
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
812 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM HAIL 2 W LESTERVILLE 43.04N 97.63W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH YANKTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KBOX [290109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBOX 290109
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
908 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

4 CARS STUCK IN FLOODWATERS ON ELLIOT STREET

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS BASEMENTS FLOODED ON WEATHERSRIELD AVENUE.

0840 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

BASEMENT FLOODING ON MAPLE AVENUE

0840 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

2 CARS TRAPPED IN FLOODWATERS ON FLATBUSH AVENUE.

&&

$$

HFRANK

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KLBF [290104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290104
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
804 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM HAIL 9 ESE ATKINSON 42.48N 98.81W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HOLT NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KFSD [290101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 290101
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
801 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL 3 SSW CLAYTON 43.40N 97.69W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KLBF [290051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290051
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
751 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0751 PM HAIL 9 NE ARNOLD 41.52N 100.07W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH CUSTER NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KFSD [290041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 290041
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
741 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL 5 N TYNDALL 43.06N 97.88W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BON HOMME SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KLBF [290040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290040
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
740 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM HAIL 4 NNE LYNCH 42.88N 98.44W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH BOYD NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KLBF [290037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290037
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
737 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0734 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NE ATKINSON 42.58N 98.91W
09/28/2008 E60 MPH HOLT NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KPHI [290036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KPHI 290036
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
836 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM HEAVY RAIN SPRINGTOWN 40.56N 75.29W
09/28/2008 M2.57 INCH BUCKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE 7 AM TODAY, 2.57 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN
SPRINGTOWN.

0215 PM FLOOD BETHLEHEM 40.63N 75.37W
09/28/2008 NORTHAMPTON PA TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND ROADS WAS
REPORTED IN THE BETHLEHEM AREA. ALSO, THERE WAS SOME
MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE MONOCACY CREEK.

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD FERNDALE 40.53N 75.18W
09/28/2008 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS REPORTED TO BE WASHED OUT IN NOCKAMIXON
TOWNSHIP, INCLUDING PORTIONS OF ROUTE 611 NORTH OF ROUTE
412. ALSO, A SMALL STREAM OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS AND
FLOODED A YARD.

0443 PM HEAVY RAIN PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
09/28/2008 M1.17 INCH PHILADELPHIA PA ASOS

1.17 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE NORTHEAST
PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT IN 30 MINUTES.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW CROSSWICKS 40.18N 74.68W
09/28/2008 M1.50 INCH MERCER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1.50 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN 20 MINUTES NEAR
YARDVILLE.

0730 PM HEAVY RAIN CATASAUQUA 40.65N 75.46W
09/28/2008 M3.74 INCH LEHIGH PA PUBLIC

3.74 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED TODAY IN CATASAUQUA.

0750 PM FLOOD EDISON 40.53N 74.37W
09/28/2008 MIDDLESEX NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING REPORTED IN EDISON WITH THE FIRE
DEPARTMENT CALLED OUT.

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN ALLENTOWN 40.60N 75.48W
09/28/2008 M3.84 INCH LEHIGH PA ASOS

AS OF 8 PM, A TOTAL OF 3.84 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED
TODAY AT THE LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN
ALLENTOWN. THIS SURPASSED THE PREVIOUS DAILY RAINFALL
RECORD FOR THIS DATE OF 2.82 INCHES, WHICH WAS SET BACK
IN 2004.

&&

$$

ROBERTSON/GORSE

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KBOX [290033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBOX 290033
LSRBOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
833 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

4 CARS STUCK IN FLOODWATERS ON ELLIOT STREET

0817 PM FLASH FLOOD HARTFORD 41.77N 72.68W
09/28/2008 HARTFORD CT AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS BASEMENTS FLOODED ON WEATHERSRIELD AVENUE.

&&

$$

HFRANK

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KLBF [290021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290021
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
721 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL DUNNING 41.83N 100.10W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH BLAINE NE TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KFSD [290013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 290013
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
713 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL 6 WSW TRIPP 43.20N 98.07W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH HUTCHINSON SD PUBLIC

PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL. RAIN STARTED AT 640 PM, AND WAS
MEASURED AT 1.77 INCHES AT 705 PM WITH HEAVY RAIN STILL
FALLING.

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290008
SWODY1
SPC AC 290006

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0706 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ...

...NEB/EASTERN SD/SOUTHWEST MN/WESTERN IA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY FEATURES BASE OF CANADIAN PRAIRIE UPPER TROUGH
DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER
MIDWEST...WITH PRIMARY SURFACE COLD FRONT ANALYZED FROM WESTERN MN
INTO EASTERN SD AND NORTHERN/WESTERN NEB EARLY THIS EVENING. AIDED
BY LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS/FORCED ASCENT AND AN INCREASING LOW
LEVEL WARM AIR ADVECTION REGIME THIS EVENING...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE/DEVELOP SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
SD/SOUTHWEST MN AND MUCH OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEB INTO WESTERN IA. THE
STRONGEST TSTMS...IN THE FORM OF WELL-ORGANIZED QUASI-LINEAR
MULTICELLS OR SOME SUPERCELLS /MAINLY ACROSS NEB/...WILL REMAIN
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH EARLY/MID
EVENING. ALTHOUGH MARGINAL PREFRONTAL MOISTURE /MAINLY 50S F
DEWPOINTS/ SHOULD LEAD TO A QUICK DECOUPLING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER
BY MID EVENING...INCREASING WARM ADVECTION/MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME
AND STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT/STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD
MAINTAIN AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL RISK LATE THIS EVENING AND PERHAPS
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF NEB/FAR WESTERN IA. FOR
ADDITIONAL SHORT TERM INFORMATION...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2297.

..GUYER.. 09/29/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2297

ACUS11 KWNS 290004
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290004
IAZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-290200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2297
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0704 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN SD THROUGH NERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909...

VALID 290004Z - 290200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 909
CONTINUES.

THE STRONGER STORMS WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING. ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY BUILD SOUTH THROUGH CNTRL AND E CNTRL NEB DURING NEXT COUPLE
HOURS...AND WW 909 MIGHT NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED FARTHER SOUTH
INTO NEB.

THIS EVENING A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM ERN SD SWWD THROUGH CNTRL AND
SW NEB. AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS AHEAD OF FRONT WITH
MLCAPE AROUND 2000 J/KG AND 8 C/KM 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES. SWLY LOW
LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN IN WARM SECTOR WITHIN ZONE OF HEIGHT FALLS
RESULTING FROM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND
UPPER MS VALLEY. FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRENGTHENING SWLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING. BULK SHEAR OF 30-35 KT WILL
SUPPORT UPDRAFT ROTATION IN SOME STORMS. THIS ALONG WITH A FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL
THROUGH MID EVENING.

..DIAL.. 09/29/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...GID...LBF...

43179660 42259695 41529742 41179822 41259956 41999975
42859913 43909862 44249790 44489648 43919627

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KLBF [290000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 290000
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
700 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0651 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 M2.00 INCH ROCK NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KFSD [282352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 282352
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
652 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL 9 W CARTHAGE 44.16N 97.89W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH SANBORN SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KABR [282351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 282351
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
651 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL 6 NW TULARE 44.80N 98.60W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH SPINK SD PUBLIC

0445 PM HAIL 9 SSE FRANKFORT 44.76N 98.24W
09/28/2008 E0.75 INCH SPINK SD PUBLIC

0450 PM HAIL 11 SSE CLARK 44.73N 97.65W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH CLARK SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

NWS

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KKEY [282348]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 282348
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
748 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0711 PM WATER SPOUT 6 SE LOWER MATECUMBE KE 24.81N 80.64W
09/28/2008 GMZ052 FL TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED SPOTTER OBSERVED A MATURE WATERSPOUT WITH A
SPRAY RING AT THE SEA SURFACE ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LOWER MATECUMBE KEY OFFSHORE MILE MARKER 78. THE
WATERSPOUT DEVELOPED BENEATH A CLOUD LINE...AND
EVENTUALLY DISSIPATED AS A RAIN SHAFT OVERTOOK THE
FUNNEL. MOVEMENT WAS EASTWARD 5 TO 10 KNOTS. DURATION 23
MINUTES.

&&

$$

KASPER

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KLBF [282344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 282344
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
644 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0643 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 M2.00 INCH ROCK NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KLBF [282343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 282343
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
643 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0642 PM HAIL BASSETT 42.58N 99.54W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH ROCK NE EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KMFL [282337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 282337
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
737 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM HEAVY RAIN KENDALL 25.68N 80.32W
09/28/2008 M2.54 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED 2.54 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 330 PM
AND 530 PM OVER WEST KENDALL, 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF
TAMIAMI AIRPORT.

0732 PM HEAVY RAIN COOPER CITY 26.06N 80.27W
09/28/2008 M2.63 INCH BROWARD FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED 2.63 INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE AND A HALF
HOURS NEAR DENVER DRIVE IN COOPER CITY.

&&

$$

RIVERA

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KKEY [282333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 282333
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
732 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0646 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.89W
09/28/2008 M40.00 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS...OR 40 MPH...FROM THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST WAS RECORDED AT THE SAND KEY C-MAN
STATION DURING A HEAVY SHOWER.

&&

$$

KASPER

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KFSD [282332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 282332
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
631 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0629 PM HAIL DIMOCK 43.48N 97.99W
09/28/2008 M1.00 INCH HUTCHINSON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MB

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KLBF [282330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 282330
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
630 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0625 PM HAIL 20 SSE AINSWORTH 42.28N 99.71W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH BROWN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KLBF [282328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 282328
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
628 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM HAIL 19 S JOHNSTOWN 42.30N 100.06W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BROWN NE PUBLIC

&&

$$

JSWEET

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KFSD [282225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 282225
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
525 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM HAIL 5 SW HITCHCOCK 44.58N 98.48W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH BEADLE SD PUBLIC

A FEW NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAILSTONES, MOST SMALLER.

&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KPHI [282221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KPHI 282221
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
621 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM FLOOD BETHLEHEM 40.63N 75.37W
09/28/2008 NORTHAMPTON PA TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND ROADS WAS
REPORTED IN THE BETHLEHEM AREA. ALSO, THERE WAS SOME
MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE MONOCACY CREEK.

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD FERNDALE 40.53N 75.18W
09/28/2008 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS REPORTED TO BE WASHED OUT IN NOCKAMIXON
TOWNSHIP, INCLUDING PORTIONS OF ROUTE 611 NORTH OF ROUTE
412. ALSO, A SMALL STREAM OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS AND
FLOODED A YARD.

0443 PM HEAVY RAIN PHILADELPHIA 40.01N 75.13W
09/28/2008 M1.17 INCH PHILADELPHIA PA ASOS

1.17 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED AT THE NORTHEAST
PHILADELPHIA AIRPORT IN 30 MINUTES.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW CROSSWICKS 40.18N 74.68W
09/28/2008 M1.50 INCH MERCER NJ TRAINED SPOTTER

1.50 INCHES OF RAIN WAS MEASURED IN 20 MINUTES NEAR
YARDVILLE.

&&

$$

ROBERTSON/GORSE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 909

WWUS20 KWNS 282158
SEL9
SPC WW 282158
NEZ000-SDZ000-290400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 909
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
500 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTH CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 500 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF BROOKINGS SOUTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF ONEILL
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THIS REGION AHEAD OF APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
STRENGTHENING SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THREATS OF LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30015.

...EVANS

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KABR [282149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 282149
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
449 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0448 PM HAIL 1 N MILLER 44.53N 98.99W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH HAND SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

NWS

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KABR [282145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 282145
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
445 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM HAIL 1 SW WARNER 45.31N 98.51W
09/28/2008 E0.88 INCH BROWN SD EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

NWS

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KCAR [282143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 282143
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
543 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 AM FLOOD DEER ISLE 44.22N 68.68W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

ROUTE 15 A CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1052 AM FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

DUMP ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1052 AM FLOOD LAMOINE 44.45N 68.29W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

JORDAN RIVER ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
09/28/2008 M4.68 INCH HANCOCK ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN STONINGTON 44.16N 68.73W
09/28/2008 M4.79 INCH HANCOCK ME MESONET

0200 PM FLOOD SURRY 44.50N 68.50W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE TREE HAS FALLEN, REPORTEDLY DUE TO SATURATED GROUND.

0200 PM FLOOD TOPSFIELD 45.42N 67.74W
09/28/2008 WASHINGTON ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE 6 FLOODED IN 2 SPOTS BETWEEN ROUTE 170 AND US
1 AT KOSSUTH AND IN TOPSFIELD.

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN JONESBORO 44.66N 67.57W
09/28/2008 M2.16 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 W BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.27W
09/28/2008 M4.20 INCH HANCOCK ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

ACADIA NATIONAL PARK

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN EASTPORT 44.91N 66.99W
09/28/2008 M2.10 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN BARNARD 45.37N 69.21W
09/28/2008 M3.18 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN TOPSFIELD 45.42N 67.74W
09/28/2008 M4.29 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN ISLE AU HAUT 44.08N 68.63W
09/28/2008 M4.40 INCH KNOX ME MESONET

0500 PM FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROUTE 176 RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD SULLIVAN 44.52N 68.20W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

BURT GRAY ROAD RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD BLUE HILL 44.41N 68.59W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

MOUNTAIN ROAD RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD BLUE HILL 44.41N 68.59W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOUTH STREET IN BLUE HILL RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO
FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD WALTHAM 44.71N 68.34W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROUTE 179 RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROUTE 15 RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD DEDHAM 44.69N 68.66W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

US ROUTE 1A RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

0500 PM FLOOD HANCOCK 44.53N 68.25W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

US ROUTE 1 RESTRICTED TO ONE LANE DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

MAT

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KABR [282136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 282136
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
436 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 PM HAIL 6 NW MILLER 44.58N 99.07W
09/28/2008 E1.75 INCH HAND SD EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

NWS

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KPHI [282117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPHI 282117
LSRPHI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
517 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD FERNDALE 40.53N 75.18W
09/28/2008 BUCKS PA EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS REPORTED TO BE WASHED IN NOCKAMIXON TWP,
INCLUDING PORTIONS OF ROUTE 611 NORTH OF ROUTE 412. ALSO,
A SMALL STREAM OVERFLOWED ITS BANKS AND FLOODED A YARD.

&&

$$

ROBERTSON

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KMFL [282113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 282113
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
513 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 PM HEAVY RAIN TAMIAMI FAIRGROUNDS 25.75N 80.37W
09/28/2008 M3.30 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 3.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN
APPROXIMATELY ONE HOUR NEAR TAMIAMI AIRPORT.

&&

$$

RIVERA

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KFGF [282047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 282047
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
347 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM HAIL 1 E LAMARS 45.96N 96.67W
09/28/2008 E1.00 INCH RICHLAND ND PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL 1 MI EAST OF LAMARS ELEVATOR

&&

$$

SPEICHER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2296

ACUS11 KWNS 282035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282034
MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-282230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2296
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NRN NEB...SERN ND...CENTRAL/ERN
SD...W-CENTRAL/SWRN MN.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 282034Z - 282230Z

AIR MASS IS DESTABILIZING ENOUGH ACROSS THIS REGION TO SUPPORT
SFC-BASED TSTMS...WITH LARGE HAIL BEING PRIMARY THREAT...AND
DAMAGING GUSTS ALSO POSSIBLE. PREDOMINANT STORM MODE SHOULD BE
MULTICELLULAR...ALTHOUGH BRIEF SUPERCELL STRUCTURES MAY FORM WITH
ACCORDINGLY ENHANCED HAIL POTENTIAL.

20Z SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATES PRIMARY COLD FRONT FROM SERN ND SWWD
ACROSS EDMUNDS AND JACKSON COUNTIES SD AND OVER NEB PANHANDLE. THIS
FRONT IS FCST TO CONTINUE MOVING SEWD 20-25 KT ACROSS SD/NEB...AND
MORE SLOWLY ESEWD INTO WRN MN...THROUGH LATE EVENING...CATCHING UP
WITH WEAKER/LEADING COLD FRONT THAT IS ANALYZED FROM WEAK SFC LOW
NEAR ICR...SWWD ACROSS NEB SANDHILLS. WARM FRONT EXTENDS SE-NW
ACROSS ERN AND NRN NEB. QUASISTATIONARY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM
MORNING ACTIVITY OVERLIES WARM FRONT AND IS ANALYZED IN ARC FROM
NEAR OFK WWD ACROSS GARFIELD COUNTY NEB THEN NWD ACROSS HOLT COUNTY.
20Z VIS IMAGERY INDICATES DEEP CONVECTIVE INITIATION ALONG SFC COLD
FRONT WHERE IT CROSSES LAKE OAHE IN N-CENTRAL SD...ROUGHLY 30 NNW
PIR. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS EVIDENT OVER EXTREME SERN ND/NERN SD
AHEAD OF MAIN FRONT AND NE OF WARM FRONT. THESE TSTMS MAY REMAIN
ELEVATED BUT STILL POSE HAIL RISK MOVING EWD OVER MN.

MODIFIED RUC FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SBCINH IS WEAKER FARTHER S
ACROSS S-CENTRAL SD INTO CHERRY COUNTY NEB...ALONG LEADING COLD
FRONT WHERE VIS IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES ENHANCED CU FIELD. INITIALLY
WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED CONVECTION SHOULD FILL INTO BKN/SW-NE
ALIGNED BAND DURING NEXT FEW HOURS AND MOVE SEWD OVER SRN/ERN
SD...SWRN MN AND N-CENTRAL NEB. 30-35 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES
ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF AREA. HOWEVER...0-3 KM SRH VALUES ARE
ENHANCED TO 150-200 J/KG ALONG AND N OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AS COMPUTED
FROM LATEST NLG PROFILER WINDS...INDICATING ANY TSTMS THAT INTERACT
WITH THAT BOUNDARY WOULD HAVE GREATEST PROBABILITY OF SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT.

..EDWARDS.. 09/28/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FGF...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

44700036 45699870 46219660 46099499 44759523 42909838
42129830 41949742 41309851 41770120 42300095 43640009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 282001
SWODY1
SPC AC 281958

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF NEB...

...NEB AND VICINITY...
COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVING SEWD ACROSS SD AND THE NEB PANHANDLE
ATTM...WHILE A WARM FRONT BISECTS NEB FROM NW-SE. EARLIER STORMS --
DRIVEN LARGELY BY WARM ADVECTION/QG FORCING -- HAVE WEAKENED
SUBSTANTIALLY THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT HAS YET
TO OCCUR INVOF THE COLD FRONT.

EVENTUALLY...COMBINATION OF CONTINUED HEATING AND UVV SHOULD WEAKEN
THE CAP SUFFICIENTLY TO ALLOW ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR
ALONG THE COLD FRONT. LATER...A FURTHER EXPANSION OF STORMS NEAR
AND NE OF THE WARM FRONT SHOULD ALSO OCCUR...AS WEAK LOW-LEVEL JET
DEVELOPS THIS EVENING.

WHILE SHEAR IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT -- IN
CONJUNCTION WITH EXISTING MODERATE INSTABILITY -- TO SUPPORT
VIGOROUS MULTICELL/WEAK SUPERCELL STORMS. THOUGH SOME POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY-DAMAGING WINDS IS APPARENT WITH ANY WARM-SECTOR DEVELOPMENT
THIS AFTERNOON...HAIL APPEARS TO BE THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT --
PARTICULARLY THIS EVENING AS ELEVATED CONVECTION BECOMES FAVORED
WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION OVER NERN NEB AND INTO THE MIDDLE MO
VALLEY REGION.

..GOSS.. 09/28/2008

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KCAR [281934]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 281934
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
334 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 AM FLOOD LAMOINE 44.45N 68.29W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

JORDAN RIVER ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1052 AM FLOOD SEDGWICK 44.30N 68.62W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

DUMP ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1052 AM FLOOD DEER ISLE 44.22N 68.68W
09/28/2008 HANCOCK ME EMERGENCY MNGR

ROUTE 15 A CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN STONINGTON 44.16N 68.73W
09/28/2008 M4.79 INCH HANCOCK ME MESONET

0100 PM HEAVY RAIN ELLSWORTH 44.54N 68.42W
09/28/2008 M4.68 INCH HANCOCK ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0200 PM FLOOD TOPSFIELD 45.42N 67.74W
09/28/2008 WASHINGTON ME DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STATE ROUTE 6 FLOODED IN 2 SPOTS BETWEEN ROUTE 170 AND US
1 AT KOSSUTH AND IN TOPSFIELD.

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN ISLE AU HAUT 44.08N 68.63W
09/28/2008 M4.40 INCH KNOX ME MESONET

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN TOPSFIELD 45.42N 67.74W
09/28/2008 M4.29 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN BARNARD 45.37N 69.21W
09/28/2008 M3.18 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN EASTPORT 44.91N 66.99W
09/28/2008 M2.10 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 W BAR HARBOR 44.39N 68.27W
09/28/2008 M4.20 INCH HANCOCK ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

ACADIA NATIONAL PARK

0220 PM HEAVY RAIN JONESBORO 44.66N 67.57W
09/28/2008 M2.16 INCH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MAT

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 281715
SWODY2
SPC AC 281713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1213 PM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID-LEVEL PATTERN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE AMPLIFYING WITH TIME...AS
A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD OUT OF CENTRAL CANADA ACROSS THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO THE OH VALLEY AND VICINITY.
MEANWHILE...THIS WILL AID IN THE EXPANSION OF A LARGE RIDGE OVER THE
WRN HALF OF THE CONUS. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...A
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH PATTERN IS FORECAST ACROSS THE
COUNTRY.

AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGION...AND MORE SLOWLY SWD
INTO THE SRN PLAINS...IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE DIGGING UPPER TROUGH.
ELSEWHERE...A WEAK LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT ACROSS SRN FL IN
RESPONSE TO AN UPPER VORT MAX EXPECTED TO DO LIKEWISE...WHILE THE
REMNANTS OF KYLE MOVE NNEWD ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

...UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/LOWER MO VALLEY...
THE COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/OH
VALLEY THIS PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT/MAINTENANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION
SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD FROM UPPER MI/WI SWWD
INTO ERN KS/MO...AND WILL LIKELY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS WARM
SECTOR HEATING/MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION OCCURS.

ATTM...DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION REMAINS A PRIMARY QUESTION WITH
RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL -- AS IT APPEARS THAT
MODERATE MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL SPREAD ATOP THE FRONTAL ZONE YIELDING
AMPLE SHEAR FOR LOCALLY-STRONGER/ORGANIZED STORMS. ATTM...WILL
REMAIN CONSERVATIVE REGARDING THE PROSPECTS FOR DESTABILIZATION --
AND THUS WILL MAINTAIN ONLY A 5% THREAT AREA FOR MARGINAL
HAIL/LOCALLY SEVERE GUSTS. PORTIONS OF THIS AREA MAY EVENTUALLY
REQUIRE AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT RISK IF IT APPEARS THAT AMPLE
DESTABILIZATION WILL BE POSSIBLE...GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED PRESENCE OF
A FAIRLY STRONG/DIGGING UPPER TROUGH AND AMPLE KINEMATICS
ACCOMPANYING THIS FEATURE.

..GOSS.. 09/28/2008

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KPUB [281602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281602
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1002 AM MDT SUN SEP 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM HAIL 1 N MANZANOLA 38.12N 103.87W
09/27/2008 M1.00 INCH CROWLEY CO CO-OP OBSERVER

COCORAHS REPORT.

&&

$$

RMG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281600
SWODY1
SPC AC 281557

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1057 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR A LARGE PORTION OF CENTRAL
AND EASTERN NE...

...NEBRASKA...
THE 12Z LBF SOUNDING DEPICTS THE PRESENCE OF CONSIDERABLE ELEVATED
INSTABILITY ALONG WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF
8C/KM. THIS ENVIRONMENT EVEN WITH THE CURRENT GENERALLY BENIGN
KINEMATICS IS SUPPORTING THIS MORNINGS VIGOROUS ELEVATED CONVECTION
NCENTRAL NE.

COLD FRONT AND LEE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING SK/MB IMPULSE
WILL REACH THE ERN DAKS/NW NEB BY LATE IN THE DAY. TSTMS SHOULD
FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN ERN SD/SW MN...AND ALONG LEE TROUGH
ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL NEB...AS HEATING AND LOW LVL CONVERGENCE BREACH
FAIRLY STOUT EML CAP.

WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE MID 80S MLCAPES WILL
CLIMB TO AOA 2000 J/KG BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL REMAIN MARGINAL FOR SUPERCELLS...AROUND 30KT...THE
THERMODYNAMICS...COUPLED WITH VEERING SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD LEAD TO
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON. LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

OVERALL SETUP SUGGESTS LIKELIHOOD FOR SCTD STRONG MULTICELL STORMS
...ALONG WITH A FEW BRIEF SUPERCELLS. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF
MEAN FLOW...DEVELOPING SWLY LLJ...AND ARRIVAL OF HEIGHT FALLS WITH
AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH FURTHER SUGGEST THAT AN ISOLD/MARGINAL SVR
HAIL THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVE AS STORMS CONSOLIDATE INTO
A CLUSTER THAT MOVES GENERALLY SE ACROSS ERN NEB/WRN IA.

..HALES/CROSBIE.. 09/28/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281301
SWODY1
SPC AC 281258

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF NEB...

...SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD AS RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND SK/MB TROUGH DEVELOPS SE INTO THE
NRN PLNS/UPR MS VLY. FARTHER E...UPR TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
WEAKEN/SHEAR NEWD OVER THE NERN U.S. AS HRCN KYLE ACCELERATES NNE
TOWARD THE BAY OF FUNDY.

...NEB/MID MO VLY...
COLD FRONT AND LEE TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING SK/MB IMPULSE
WILL REACH THE ERN DAKS/NW NEB BY LATE IN THE DAY. TSTMS SHOULD
FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN ERN SD/SW MN...AND ALONG LEE TROUGH
ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL NEB...AS HEATING AND LOW LVL CONVERGENCE BREACH
FAIRLY STOUT EML CAP.

MOISTURE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIMITED...BUT WILL INCREASE SOMEWHAT AS
WEAK FRONT THAT STALLED OVER KS YESTERDAY RETURNS NWD AS A DIFFUSE
WARM FRONT. COMBINATION OF EML PLUME /STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES/
AND SUBSTANTIAL HEATING SHOULD YIELD 1500-2000 J/KG SBCAPE...WITH A
MAXIMUM OVER CNTRL NEB.

ALTHOUGH MID/UPR LVL FLOW INITIALLY WILL BE RATHER WEAK...SPEEDS
WILL INCREASE TOWARD EVENING...WITH 500 MB WNW FLOW APPROACHING 30
KTS. IN ADDITION...WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE MODEST IN
MAGNITUDE...WIND PROFILES WILL EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLE TURNING WITH
HEIGHT.

OVERALL SETUP SUGGESTS LIKELIHOOD FOR SCTD STRONG MULTICELL STORMS
...ALONG WITH A FEW BRIEF SUPERCELLS. THESE WILL BE CAPABLE OF BOTH
SVR HAIL AND ISOLD DMGG WIND. CONTINUED STRENGTHENING OF MEAN
FLOW...DEVELOPING SWLY LLJ...AND ARRIVAL OF HEIGHT FALLS WITH
AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH FURTHER SUGGEST THAT AN ISOLD/MARGINAL SVR
HAIL THREAT MAY PERSIST THROUGH LATE EVE AS STORMS CONSOLIDATE INTO
A CLUSTER THAT MOVES GENERALLY SE ACROSS ERN NEB/WRN IA.

...S FL...
A FEW STRONG DIURNAL STORMS MAY FORM WITH HEATING IN VERY
MOIST...MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT ACROSS S FL.

..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 09/28/2008

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 280831
SWOD48
SPC AC 280831

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0331 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...POTENTIAL TOO LOW TO DELINEATE A REGIONAL SEVERE THREAT AREA...

THE AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN...BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
U.S. LATE THIS WEEKEND...IS PROGGED TO PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WORK WEEK...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO A MORE ZONAL SPLIT FLOW REGIME
NEXT WEEKEND. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT A
MAJOR SHORT WAVE TROUGH COULD APPROACH THE PLAINS NEXT WEEKEND
...ACCOMPANIED BY LEE SURFACE TROUGHING AND THE ADVECTION OF WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HOWEVER...
PERSISTENT UPPER TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN GULF BASIN...WITHIN THE
SOUTHERN BRANCH OF THE SPLIT FLOW...IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A
SIGNIFICANT RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.

..KERR.. 09/28/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 280731
SWODY3
SPC AC 280729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 301200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN AMPLIFIED
ACROSS THE U.S. THROUGH THIS PERIOD. THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
STATES IS PROGGED TO REMAIN GENERALLY STRONG...WHILE CONSOLIDATING
IMPULSES WITHIN THE TROUGH ACROSS THE EAST CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER
DEEPENING. DISCREPANCIES EXIST CONCERNING THE DEGREE TO WHICH A
STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY
AND ANOTHER LIFTING OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO PHASE. BUT...SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS IS EXPECTED TO COMMENCE OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES
REGION TUESDAY...ACCOMPANIED BY A SIGNIFICANT COLD INTRUSION ACROSS
MUCH OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE VICINITY OF THE APPALACHIANS
BY 12Z WEDNESDAY.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES SWD THROUGH THE SRN APLCNS...
THE LOCATION AND MAGNITUDE OF ANY SEVERE THREAT/CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
FOR TUESDAY IS STILL UNCLEAR DUE TO MODEL UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE
SPECIFICS OF THE PATTERN EVOLUTION. WITH MOISTURE LEVELS EXPECTED
TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED IN THE WAKE AN UPPER SYSTEM NOW BEGINNING TO
LIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST STATES... POTENTIAL FOR
SEASONABLY STRONG DESTABILIZATION APPEARS LOW. THIS PROBABLY WILL
MINIMIZE SEVERE POTENTIAL. BUT...A FEW STRONG STORMS COULD FORM IN
THE WARM SECTOR OF THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW ...ACROSS PARTS OF
EASTERN OHIO INTO WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...AS WELL AS AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT ADVANCING TOWARD THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...AND WITHIN A DEVELOPING SURFACE TROUGH TO THE LEE OF
THE ALLEGHENY FRONT AND BLUE RIDGE.

..KERR.. 09/28/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 280528
SWODY2
SPC AC 280526

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE UPPER FLOW REGIME FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE WESTERN U.S.
IS IN THE PROCESS OF BECOMING INCREASINGLY AMPLIFIED. AND...BY
EARLY MONDAY...MODELS SUGGEST THAT THE AXIS OF AN ELONGATED CENTER
OF A STRONG RIDGE WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED IN A NORTH-SOUTH FASHION
ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN AND ROCKIES. TO THE EAST OF THIS
FEATURE...A SIGNIFICANT DIGGING SHORT WAVE TROUGH APPEARS LIKELY TO
TURN MORE SHARPLY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
AS THIS SYSTEM PROGRESSES INTO THE LOWER OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS
LATE MONDAY INTO EARLY TUESDAY...MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF INCREASED
PHASING WITH AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE GULF COAST/GULF OF
MEXICO...EMBEDDED WITHIN A BELT OF WESTERLIES EXTENDING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MEXICAN PLATEAU THROUGH THE LOWER LATITUDE WESTERN
ATLANTIC.

THE EVOLVING PATTERN WILL FAVOR THE CONTINUED EROSION OF AN ELEVATED
MIXED LAYER TO THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES...WHILE REMAINING UNFAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW OF MOISTURE OFF THE
GULF OF MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES APPEARS
LIKELY TO REMAIN CONFINED TO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA. MEANWHILE...DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE WEST...BUT SOME MOISTENING MAY BEGIN TO OCCUR ON SOUTHERLY FLOW
TO THE WEST OF THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS...ACROSS THE PACIFIC COAST
STATES AND PARTS OF THE WESTERN GREAT BASIN.

...MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI/LOWER OHIO VALLEYS...
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF STRONG FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND MID-LEVEL COOLING WILL ACCOMPANY AN
INITIAL JET STREAK /AROUND 50 KT AT 500 MB/ ASSOCIATED WITH THE
DIGGING UPPER TROUGH...ACROSS PARTS OF ILLINOIS/MISSOURI DURING THE
PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING HOURS. DESPITE MODEST MOISTURE LEVELS AND
WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW/FORCING...FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF
SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION FOR AT LEAST SCATTERED STORMS...A FEW OF
WHICH MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL/LOCALIZED GUSTS WHICH COULD
APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED SEVERE LIMITS.

...FLORIDA...
LARGE-SCALE FORCING AHEAD OF THE SOUTHERN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO BE CONDUCIVE TO CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PENINSULA. BUT...THERMODYNAMIC/KINEMATIC PROFILES
EXHIBITING WEAK LAPSE RATES AND WEAK LOW/MID-LEVEL FLOW FIELDS ARE
EXPECTED TO MINIMIZE THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS.

...PACIFIC COAST STATES/WESTERN GREAT BASIN...
ENOUGH MOISTENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY MONDAY FOR AT LEAST WIDELY
SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY DAYTIME
HEATING/OROGRAPHIC FORCING...ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...THE SIERRA NEVADA INTO THE SHASTA/SISKIYOU
REGION AND SOUTHERN CASCADES...AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NEVADA.

..KERR.. 09/28/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280517
SWODY1
SPC AC 280514

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 AM CDT SUN SEP 28 2008

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL AMPLIFY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPING
SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PRAIRIE AND ADJACENT
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST THIS
AFTERNOON/TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST...PERSISTENT UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE
TO WEAKEN/SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...WHILE LATEST NHC FORECASTS SUGGEST HURRICANE
KYLE WILL RACE NORTHWARD TOWARD THE FAR EASTERN COAST OF MAINE AND
BAY OF FUNDY VICINITY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

...NEB AND ADJACENT MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY...
AS HEIGHT FALLS OCCUR OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST IN
ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH...CORRESPONDING SURFACE COLD
FRONT WILL STEADILY SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PLAINS DURING THE DAY. TSTMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE COLD FRONT
/OR PERHAPS A LEADING PREFRONTAL TROUGH/...INITIALLY ACROSS THE FAR
EASTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN MN BY MID AFTERNOON...AND EVENTUALLY
INTO NORTHERN/WEST CENTRAL NEB BY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
BENEATH A PLUME OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AMPLE HEATING /80S
F/ AND MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /MAINLY 50S F DEWPOINTS/
SHOULD LEAD TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN THE PREFRONTAL WARM
SECTOR...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 1000-2000 J/KG MLCAPE /MAXIMIZED
ACROSS NEB AND FAR SOUTHERN SD/. WHILE MID/UPPER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW
WILL BE STEADILY INCREASING BY EVENING ACROSS THE REGION...INITIALLY
WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR OF 25-30 KT /ALBEIT WELL-VEERED/ DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT OVERALL TSTM
ORGANIZATION. NEVERTHELESS...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WITH COOL
PROFILES ALOFT/STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONGLY VEERED WIND
PROFILES WILL SUPPORT MULTICELLS AND PERHAPS A FEW SHORT DURATION
SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL...WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ALSO A POSSIBILITY. AFOREMENTIONED STRENGTHENING FLOW ALOFT
AND AN INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET/WARM AIR ADVECTION
REGIME MAY MAINTAIN AN ISOLATED/MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL RISK THROUGH
THE EVENING ACROSS EASTERN NEB/WESTERN IA.

..GUYER/JEWELL.. 09/28/2008

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