KLKN [280002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KLKN 280002
LSRLKN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
501 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1003 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SW RUBY VALLEY 40.73N 115.25W
10/26/2009 M77.00 MPH ELKO NV MESONET

MEASURED AT RUBY VALLEY RAWS STATION. ELEVATION 6900 FT.

1137 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SW OROVADA 41.46N 117.97W
10/26/2009 M66.00 MPH HUMBOLDT NV MESONET

MEASURED AT MOREY CREEK RAWS STATION. 5500 FT ELEVATION.

1223 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WNW GREAT BASIN NATIO 39.03N 114.28W
10/27/2009 M62.00 MPH WHITE PINE NV MESONET

MEASURED AT MATHER RAWS STATION. ELEVATION 9268 FT.

0200 AM SNOW 8 WSW MOUNTAIN CITY 41.79N 116.10W
10/27/2009 E5.0 INCH ELKO NV MESONET

ESTIMATED AT FAWN CREEK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 7000 FT.

0700 AM SNOW 2 N LAMOILLE 40.77N 115.49W
10/27/2009 M3.0 INCH ELKO NV CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 9 SE MCGILL 39.31N 114.66W
10/27/2009 E4.0 INCH WHITE PINE NV MESONET

ESTIMATED AT BERRY CREEL SNOTEL. ELEVATION 9100 FT.

1100 AM SNOW 9 ESE JARBIDGE 41.83N 115.26W
10/27/2009 E8.0 INCH ELKO NV MESONET

ESTIMATED AT POLE CREEK RS SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8330 FT.

1200 PM SNOW 7 NW RUBY LAKE 40.27N 115.59W
10/27/2009 E5.0 INCH ELKO NV MESONET

ESTIMATED AT CORRAL CANYON SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8500 FT.

&&

$$

MS

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KHNX [272345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KHNX 272345
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
444 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E AVENAL 36.03N 120.03W
10/27/2009 M49.00 MPH KINGS CA MESONET

MEASURED BY KETTLEMAN HILLS RAWS

0913 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LAUREL MOUNTAIN RAWS 35.48N 117.70W
10/27/2009 M67.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0930 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.31W
10/27/2009 M72.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

AT MESONET STATION NEAR 80TH ST WEST

1009 AM DUST STORM 7 S HANFORD 36.22N 119.65W
10/27/2009 KINGS CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

VISIBLITY OF 0 REPORTED IN BLOWING DUST ALONG KANSAS AVE
BETWEEN 10 1/2 AVE AND SR 41.

1013 AM NON-TSTM WND GST INDIAN WELLS CANYON RAW 35.69N 117.89W
10/27/2009 M75.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

1020 AM NON-TSTM WND GST HANFORD 36.33N 119.65W
10/27/2009 M38.00 MPH KINGS CA ASOS

1026 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MOJAVE 35.05N 118.18W
10/27/2009 KERN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY.

1035 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
10/27/2009 M68.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

AT MAIN BASE ASOS

1114 AM NON-TSTM WND GST JAWBONE CANYON 35.29N 118.23W
10/27/2009 M80.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

1126 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 W SAN JOAQUIN 36.61N 120.22W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE DOWN ACROSS ROAD.

1131 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SAN LUIS NATIONAL WILDL 37.18N 120.79W
10/27/2009 M42.00 MPH MERCED CA MESONET

1151 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PIUTES 35.45N 118.28W
10/27/2009 M56.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED BY PIUTES RAWS

1213 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SW FIVE POINTS 36.41N 120.13W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES AND 3 POLES DOWN.

1224 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SSW FRESNO 36.71N 119.83W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWNED ACROSS THE INTERSECTION OF SPRINGFIELD
AVE AND BRYAN AVE.

1257 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 W LIVINGSTON 37.39N 120.90W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

PHONE LINES DOWNED ON THE ROADWAY AT THE INTERSECTION OF
GEER AVE AND SR 165.

0229 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N MERCED 37.37N 120.48W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES ACROSS ROADWAY AT GOLDEN RULE AVE AND WINTON
WAY.

0250 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 W MERCED 37.30N 120.50W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES ON ROADWAY AT SR 140 AND TINA AVE.

0253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MADERA 36.97N 120.08W
10/27/2009 M39.00 MPH MADERA CA ASOS

0253 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MERCED 37.30N 120.48W
10/27/2009 M46.00 MPH MERCED CA ASOS

0316 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 S DOS PALOS 36.97N 120.64W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINES ON ROADWAY.

0322 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 E MERCED 37.30N 120.39W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE DOWNED BLOCKING ROAD.

0356 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LEMOORE NAS 36.26N 119.90W
10/27/2009 M46.00 MPH KINGS CA ASOS

0402 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE SAN LUIS RESERVOIR 37.04N 121.03W
10/27/2009 M36.00 MPH MERCED CA MESONET

MEASURED BY LOS BANOS RAWS

&&

$$

DS

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KCHS [272339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 272339
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
739 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM TSTM WND DMG MARLOW 32.27N 81.39W
10/27/2009 EFFINGHAM GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

EFFINGHAM COUNTY WARNING POINT REPORTS POWERLINES SNAPPED
IN TWO ALONG STAGECOACH AVENUE IN MARLOW.

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Resent 1

ACUS01 KWNS 272334
SWODY1
SPC AC 272333

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0633 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AMENDED TO ADD SLGT RISK ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN SC

...AMENDMENT...
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS HAS BEEN ADDED FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR DETAILS...REFER TO TORNADO
WATCH 777 OR SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2145.

..KERR.. 10/27/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009/

...FL PANHANDLE INTO NW FL/SRN GA...
INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE ARKLATEX THIS MORNING
AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NEWD INTO OH VALLEY TONIGHT...AS A
150-175 KT HIGH LEVEL JET MAX CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY A LARGE AND DEEP
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH ARKLATEX
TROUGH WAS BRUSHING THE FL REGION AND AIDING IN THE MAINTENANCE OF A
WEAK SURFACE WAVE NEAR PANAMA CITY FL AT 15Z...WITH A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING ENEWD ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER.

AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW AND ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT LIFT SLOWLY NWD
ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SRN GA THIS AFTERNOON...SUBSTANTIAL
LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORS ROTATING STORMS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO
OR TWO...REFERENCE WW 776 AND MCD 2141. DESPITE WEAKER FORCING AND
NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT FALLS EAST OF CURRENT WW...CONVERGENCE NEAR WARM
FRONT AND DEGREE OF SHEAR MAY ALSO SUPPORT A SMALL TORNADO THREAT
INTO SERN GA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION WILL DECREASE
BY DARK AS THE PRIMARY FORCING SHIFTS INTO THE TN/OH VALLEYS AND
SPREADS WEAK SUBSIDENCE INTO THE REGION.

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KSLC [272331]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 272331
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
526 PM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNOWBASIN 41.20N 111.88W
10/27/2009 M67 MPH WEBER UT MESONET

OGDEN PEAK - 9570 FT

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ALTA 40.57N 111.64W
10/27/2009 M64 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

CENTRAL WASATCH PEAKS - 11066 FT

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNOWBASIN 41.20N 111.86W
10/27/2009 M61 MPH WEBER UT MESONET

SNOWBASIN - WILDCAT - 7703 FT

0215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LAKE POINT 40.69N 112.27W
10/27/2009 M66 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

LAKE POINT I-80 - 4301 FT

0250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DUGWAY 40.05N 113.21W
10/27/2009 M64 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

CALLAO GATE - 4250 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WENDOVER 40.75N 113.99W
10/27/2009 M62 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

WENDOVER PORT OF ENTRY - 4227 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST DUGWAY 40.20N 113.17W
10/27/2009 M58 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

HORIZONTAL GRID - 4261 FT

0357 PM SNOW ALTA 40.57N 111.65W
10/27/2009 M9.5 INCH SALT LAKE UT TRAINED SPOTTER

0524 PM SNOW ALTA 40.58N 111.64W
10/27/2009 M10.0 INCH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 272316
SWODY1
SPC AC 272314

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0614 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AMENDED TO ADD SLGT RISK ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN SC

...AMENDMENT...
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS HAS BEEN ADDED FOR PARTS OF
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR DETAILS...REFER TO TORNADO
WATCH 777 OR SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2145.

...SERN ATLC CST...
19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MESO-LOW OVER SWRN GA WITH A MARINE
FRONT EXTENDING NE TO MIDWAY BETWEEN BRUNSWICK AND SAVANNAH GA THEN
TO 30-60 MILES SSE OF KCHS-KILM RESPECTIVELY. A WEDGE
FRONT...MARKING RAIN-COOLED AIR...EXTENDED FROM THE WRN CSTL PLAINS
OF NC INTO CNTRL GA. PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW WAS LOCATED UPSTREAM OVER
NRN MS...REFLECTING THE STRONG UPR WAVE MOVING NE THROUGH THE
MID-SOUTH.

PRESSURE FALL AXIS OVER UPSTATE SC AND THE PIEDMONT SUGGESTS THAT AS
THE MID-SOUTH DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE OH VLY TONIGHT...THE MARINE
FRONT WILL PROBABLY MAKE NWD PROGRESS INTO AT LEAST THE ERN CSTL
PLAINS OF SC/NC OVERNIGHT. INFLUX OF WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGH
PWAT AIR MASS WILL PROMOTE WEAK DESTABILIZATION AND SUPPORT
SHOWERS/WDLY SCTD TSTMS AS THE SRN PORTIONS OF AFOREMENTIONED
DISTURBANCE GRAZES THE REGION.

FORECAST HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE
CST OVERNIGHT...AND DEEPER CONVECTION MAY BRIEFLY EXHIBIT LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION...AND THUS THE EXTENSION OF THE LOW TORNADO/WIND
PROBABILITIES NEWD INTO CSTL NC/SC. WIDESPREAD SVR WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..KERR.. 10/27/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009/

...FL PANHANDLE INTO NW FL/SRN GA...
INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE ARKLATEX THIS MORNING
AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NEWD INTO OH VALLEY TONIGHT...AS A
150-175 KT HIGH LEVEL JET MAX CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY A LARGE AND DEEP
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH ARKLATEX
TROUGH WAS BRUSHING THE FL REGION AND AIDING IN THE MAINTENANCE OF A
WEAK SURFACE WAVE NEAR PANAMA CITY FL AT 15Z...WITH A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING ENEWD ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER.

AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW AND ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT LIFT SLOWLY NWD
ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SRN GA THIS AFTERNOON...SUBSTANTIAL
LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORS ROTATING STORMS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO
OR TWO...REFERENCE WW 776 AND MCD 2141. DESPITE WEAKER FORCING AND
NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT FALLS EAST OF CURRENT WW...CONVERGENCE NEAR WARM
FRONT AND DEGREE OF SHEAR MAY ALSO SUPPORT A SMALL TORNADO THREAT
INTO SERN GA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION WILL DECREASE
BY DARK AS THE PRIMARY FORCING SHIFTS INTO THE TN/OH VALLEYS AND
SPREADS WEAK SUBSIDENCE INTO THE REGION.

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KLOX [272310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 272310
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
410 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0307 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW SOLVANG 34.60N 120.15W
10/27/2009 SANTA BARBARA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CHP REPORTED TREE BLOCKING BOTH LANES OF ROADWAY AT CHALK
HILL RD AND HOLSTED DR IN SOLVANG.

&&

$$

KAPLAN

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 777

WWUS20 KWNS 272307
SEL7
SPC WW 272307
GAZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-280400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 777
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
710 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
EASTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT FROM 710 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 25 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF SAVANNAH
GEORGIA TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OF SAVANNAH
WILL TRACK EAST-NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE EVENING...ALONG AND SOUTH
OF RETREATING SURFACE BOUNDARY. MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THIS REGION...COUPLED WITH FAVORABLE VERTICAL
SHEAR AND CONVERGENCE NEAR THE BOUNDARY...MAY POSE A RISK FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.

...HART

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KCHS [272304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 272304
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
704 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SE GLENNVILLE 31.86N 81.84W
10/27/2009 LONG GA EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED SHINGLE DAMAGE ON 2 HOMES 55
YARDS APART AND POWERLINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 196 AND FLOWERS ROAD.

&&

$$

DPB

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KLOX [272304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 272304
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
404 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0237 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW CASTAIC LAKE 34.72N 118.79W
10/27/2009 M70 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

WHITAKER PEAK REPORTED WIND GUST OF 70 MPH.

&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KPSR [272258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 272258
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
357 PM MST TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM DUST STORM 3 ESE AVONDALE 33.40N 112.30W
10/27/2009 MARICOPA AZ FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

BLOWING DUST REDUCING VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF MILE AT
AVONDALE BLVD AND INTERSTATE 10.

&&

$$

ROGERS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2145

ACUS11 KWNS 272256
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272256
SCZ000-GAZ000-280030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SE GE INTO SRN/CNTRL SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 272256Z - 280030Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING
SEVERE THREAT THAT COULD REQUIRE A WATCH.

A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF
ACCELERATING NORTHEASTWARD TO THE LEE OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS...DOWNSTREAM OF THE MUCH STRONGER CLOSED LOW/SHORT WAVE
TROUGH LIFTING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER
OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS. AS THESE PROCESSES CONTINUE EARLY THIS
EVENING...MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ACROSS THE
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST WILL WEAKEN...AND MODELS SUGGEST THAT A
LINGERING PRE-FRONTAL BELT OF ISENTROPIC ASCENT WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
EASTWARD FROM UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA/EASTERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN
FLORIDA. THIS BAND MAY REACH THE LEE OF THE BLUE RIDGE THROUGH
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS EAST OF
CHARLESTON BY 03-04Z.

WIDESPREAD MOSTLY WEAK CONVECTION WITHIN A VERY MOIST RETURN FLOW IS
ONGOING WITH THIS BAND...AND LIKELY TO CONTINUE. HOWEVER...OF
CONCERN IS THE ENHANCED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WHERE THIS BAND
INTERSECTS A WARM FRONTAL ZONE WHICH IS SLOWLY ADVANCING INLAND OF
GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS. SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE RISING
THROUGH THE LOWER 70S AS THE FRONT PASSES TO THE NORTH... AND THIS
IS CONTRIBUTING TO WEAK TO MODERATE BOUNDARY LAYER BASED
DESTABILIZATION IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR ALONG AND
EAST OF A 30-50 KT SOUTHERLY 850 MB JET. THIS FRONT MAY ADVANCE
ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA COASTAL AREAS INTO PARTS OF THE
PIEDMONT...BEFORE THE NORTH/SOUTH BAND OF FORCING SHIFTS EAST OF THE
REGION LATER THIS EVENING. AS THIS OCCURS...THERE APPEARS TO BE A
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR INCREASING TORNADIC POTENTIAL ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA.

..KERR.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

LAT...LON 33148168 33548135 33668066 33708004 33107911 32647985
31808129 33148168

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KCHS [272251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 272251
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
651 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0648 PM FUNNEL CLOUD PEMBROKE 32.14N 81.62W
10/27/2009 BRYAN GA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD OVER PEMBROKE.

&&

$$

DPB

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KPQR [272242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 272242
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
341 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TORNADO 4 ENE OREGON CITY 45.37N 122.52W
10/26/2009 CLACKAMAS OR NWS STORM SURVEY

EF0, ESTIMATED WINDS 65 TO 85 MPH. DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS
AND TREES ALONG A QUARTER MILE PATH.

&&

$$

ARB

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KCHS [272238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 272238
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
638 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SE GLENNVILLE 31.86N 81.84W
10/27/2009 LONG GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

*** 1 INJ *** NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON HWY
196. A TREE FELL ON A CAR AT THE INTERSECTION WITH
FLOWERS RD WITH ONE PERSON SUSTAINING MINOR INJURIES.
TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.

&&

$$

DPB

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KHNX [272230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 272230
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
330 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0316 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 S DOS PALOS 36.97N 120.64W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINES ON ROADWAY.

0322 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 E MERCED 37.30N 120.39W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLE DOWNED BLOCKING ROAD.

&&

$$

DS

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KLCH [272210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 272210
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
510 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 S LAKE CHARLES 30.15N 93.20W
10/26/2009 CALCASIEU LA BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER ENTERED A FEW HOMES IN THE AREA OF SUNDALE DRIVE

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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KHNX [272209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 272209
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
309 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0229 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N MERCED 37.37N 120.48W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES ACROSS ROADWAY AT GOLDEN RULE AVE AND WINTON
WAY.

0250 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 W MERCED 37.30N 120.50W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES ON ROADWAY AT SR 140 AND TINA AVE.

&&

$$

DS

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KLOX [272141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 272141
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
240 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE SANTA CLARITA 34.44N 118.50W
10/27/2009 M59 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

SAUGUS RAWS SITE REPORTED A GUST OF 59 MPH.

1153 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE CASTAIC LAKE 34.70N 118.67W
10/27/2009 M62 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

WARM SPRINGS RAWS SITE REPORTED A GUST OF 62 MPH.

0137 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW CASTAIC LAKE 34.72N 118.79W
10/27/2009 M59 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

RAWS SITE WHITAKER PEAK REPORTED A GUST OF 59 MPH.

&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KLCH [272125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 272125
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
425 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 S LAKE CHARLES 30.12N 93.20W
10/26/2009 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTS ABOUT ONE HALF FOOT OF WATER ON
AIRPORT ROAD.

1200 PM FLOOD 6 SE LAKE CHARLES 30.15N 93.13W
10/27/2009 CALCASIEU LA NWS STORM SURVEY

NEARLY ONE FOOT OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS WARD LINE ROAD
BETWEEN GAUTHIER AND TANK FARM ROADS. TOM HEBERT ROAD
ALSO BARRICADED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

$$

BRAZZELL

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KPSR [272121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KPSR 272121
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
220 PM MST TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 PM DUST STORM 10 NW FLORENCE 33.14N 111.50W
10/27/2009 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DUST ALONG
HIGHWAY 79 NORTH OF FLORENCE.

&&

$$

PADDOCK

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KPSR [272115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 272115
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
215 PM MST TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 PM DUST STORM 10 NE FLORENCE 33.14N 111.25W
10/27/2009 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

BETWEEN 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE VISIBILITY IN BLOWING DUST ALONG
HIGHWAY 79 NORTH OF FLORENCE.

&&

$$

PADDOCK

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KPDT [272102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 272102
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
202 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM HAIL 3 NNW REDMOND 44.29N 121.19W
10/27/2009 M0.25 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL WAVES OF HAIL SHOWERS HAVE BEEN MOVING ACROSS
NORTHWEST REDMOND, STARTING AS BEBE SIZED AND GRADUALLY
BECOMING PEA SIZED OF LATE.

&&

$$

RQB

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 776

WWUS20 KWNS 272052
SEL6
SPC WW 272052
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-272200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 776
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
452 PM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 776 ISSUED AT 910 AM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

FLORIDA
GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2144

ACUS11 KWNS 272043
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272043
GAZ000-FLZ000-272215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN FL PANHANDLE EWD INTO S CENTRAL AND SERN GA/NRN
FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 776...

VALID 272043Z - 272215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 776 CONTINUES.

BAND OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTIVE CELLS CONTINUES SPREADING EWD
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST CONUS/ERN GULF...THROUGH A VERY WEAKLY UNSTABLE
BUT STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. AN ISOLATED CELL NOW MOVING INTO
COASTAL TAYLOR COUNTY FL HAS HAD A HISTORY OF WEAK ROTATION...BUT
ROTATION CONTINUES TO DIMINISH AS THE CELL MOVES ONSHORE.

A VERY ISOLATED/LIMITED THREAT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO SHOULD CONTINUE
ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF WW 776...AND WITH TIME ACROSS SERN GA AND
ADJACENT N FL...AS THIS AREA OF CONVECTION SHIFTS EWD WITH TIME.
HOWEVER...POTENTIAL APPEARS SUFFICIENTLY LIMITED THAT A NEW WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

..GOSS.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 29718343 29688396 31118360 31568192 31618141 30438168
29488335 29718343

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KBRO [272019]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 272019
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
319 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM TSTM WND DMG RANCHO VIEJO 26.03N 97.56W
10/26/2009 CAMERON TX NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE REPORTED 8 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREE BLOWN
DOWN ON PROPERTY IN RANCHO VIEJO. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED
ON RADAR.

&&

$$

HART

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KHNX [272014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 272014
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
114 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1257 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 10 W LIVINGSTON 37.39N 120.90W
10/27/2009 MERCED CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

PHONE LINES DOWNED ON THE ROADWAY AT THE INTERSECTION OF
GEER AVE AND SR 165.

&&

$$

DS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271945
SWODY1
SPC AC 271944

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN ATLC CST...
19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTS A MESO-LOW OVER SWRN GA WITH A MARINE
FRONT EXTENDING NE TO MIDWAY BETWEEN BRUNSWICK AND SAVANNAH GA THEN
TO 30-60 MILES SSE OF KCHS-KILM RESPECTIVELY. A WEDGE
FRONT...MARKING RAIN-COOLED AIR...EXTENDED FROM THE WRN CSTL PLAINS
OF NC INTO CNTRL GA. PRIMARY SYNOPTIC LOW WAS LOCATED UPSTREAM OVER
NRN MS...REFLECTING THE STRONG UPR WAVE MOVING NE THROUGH THE
MID-SOUTH.

PRESSURE FALL AXIS OVER UPSTATE SC AND THE PIEDMONT SUGGESTS THAT AS
THE MID-SOUTH DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO THE OH VLY TONIGHT...THE MARINE
FRONT WILL PROBABLY MAKE NWD PROGRESS INTO AT LEAST THE ERN CSTL
PLAINS OF SC/NC OVERNIGHT. INFLUX OF WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGH
PWAT AIR MASS WILL PROMOTE WEAK DESTABILIZATION AND SUPPORT
SHOWERS/WDLY SCTD TSTMS AS THE SRN PORTIONS OF AFOREMENTIONED
DISTURBANCE GRAZES THE REGION.

FORECAST HODOGRAPHS SUGGEST SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL TURNING ALONG THE
CST OVERNIGHT...AND DEEPER CONVECTION MAY BRIEFLY EXHIBIT LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION...AND THUS THE EXTENSION OF THE LOW TORNADO/WIND
PROBABILITIES NEWD INTO CSTL NC/SC. WIDESPREAD SVR WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..RACY.. 10/27/2009

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1106 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009/

...FL PANHANDLE INTO NW FL/SRN GA...
INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE ARKLATEX THIS MORNING
AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NEWD INTO OH VALLEY TONIGHT...AS A
150-175 KT HIGH LEVEL JET MAX CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY A LARGE AND DEEP
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH ARKLATEX
TROUGH WAS BRUSHING THE FL REGION AND AIDING IN THE MAINTENANCE OF A
WEAK SURFACE WAVE NEAR PANAMA CITY FL AT 15Z...WITH A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING ENEWD ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER.

AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW AND ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT LIFT SLOWLY NWD
ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SRN GA THIS AFTERNOON...SUBSTANTIAL
LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORS ROTATING STORMS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO
OR TWO...REFERENCE WW 776 AND MCD 2141. DESPITE WEAKER FORCING AND
NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT FALLS EAST OF CURRENT WW...CONVERGENCE NEAR WARM
FRONT AND DEGREE OF SHEAR MAY ALSO SUPPORT A SMALL TORNADO THREAT
INTO SERN GA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION WILL DECREASE
BY DARK AS THE PRIMARY FORCING SHIFTS INTO THE TN/OH VALLEYS AND
SPREADS WEAK SUBSIDENCE INTO THE REGION.

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2143

ACUS11 KWNS 271943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271943
SCZ000-GAZ000-272145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN GA AND INTO COASTAL SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 271943Z - 272145Z

VERY LOW PROBABILITY THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO APPEARS TO
EXIST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA. WW APPEARS
UNLIKELY.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A SLOWLY RETREATING WARM FRONT
EXTENDING FROM SRN GA OFF THE SERN GA COAST AND INTO THE ATLANTIC.
WITH MODERATE SWLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS...LOW-LEVEL SELYS --
PARTICULARLY NEAR AND N OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY -- ARE CONTRIBUTING
TO SHEAR PROFILES WHICH FAVOR LOW-LEVEL ROTATION WITH ANY
STRONG/SUSTAINED UPDRAFT.

HAVING SAID THAT...THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/SUSTAINED INLAND
UPDRAFTS REMAINS LOW...GIVEN THAT INSTABILITY REMAINS BOTH QUITE
LIMITED...AND CONFINED TO COASTAL AREAS. WITH LITTLE PROSPECTS FOR
APPRECIABLE DESTABILIZATION GIVEN ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER AND THE RAPID
APPROACH OF PEAK DIURNAL HEATING TIME...OVERALL THREAT FOR STRONG
CELLULAR CONVECTION -- AND THUS SEVERE THREAT -- SHOULD REMAIN QUITE
LOW. GREATEST POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN ACROSS COASTAL AREAS...AS
ROTATING STORMS DEVELOPING WITHIN A MORE UNSTABLE/GULF
STREAM-INDUCED BOUNDARY LAYER ATTEMPT TO MOVE ONSHORE. ATTM
HOWEVER...THIS THREAT APPEARS LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE ANY SHORT-TERM
WATCH CONSIDERATIONS.

..GOSS.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...

LAT...LON 31508115 31828165 32648080 33157991 33137889 32087998
31508115

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KBRO [271940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 271940
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
239 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0254 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 11 N LAGUNA VISTA 26.26N 97.29W
10/26/2009 M57.00 MPH GMZ130 TX C-MAN STATION

57MPH WIND GUST RECORDED AT REALITOS PENINSULA TCOON
STATION. GUSTS OF 50 MPH OR GREATER OCCURRED FROM 254PM
THROUGH AT LEAST 324PM BEFORE OBS BECAME MISSING. TIMES
ARE ACCURATE WITHIN 6 MINUTES.

&&

$$

HART

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KHNX [271935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 271935
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1235 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1224 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 SSW FRESNO 36.71N 119.83W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWNED ACROSS THE INTERSECTION OF SPRINGFIELD
AVE AND BRYAN AVE.

&&

$$

DS

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KHNX [271924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 271924
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1224 PM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1213 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SW FIVE POINTS 36.41N 120.13W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES AND 3 POLES DOWN.

&&

$$

DS

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KBRO [271909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 271909
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
209 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NE PORT ISABEL 26.10N 97.20W
10/26/2009 M44 MPH GMZ130 TX C-MAN STATION

44MPH WIND GUST MEASURED BY PORT ISABEL TCOON SITE.

&&

$$

HART/BOGORAD

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KBRO [271903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBRO 271903
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
203 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 NE PORT ISABEL 26.10N 97.20W
10/26/2009 M43.00 MPH GMZ130 TX C-MAN STATION

PORT ISABEL TCOON SITE REPORTED 37 KNOTS OR 43 MPH GUSTS
WITH A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

$$

HART/BOGORAD

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2142

ACUS11 KWNS 271857
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271857
GAZ000-FLZ000-272100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2142
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN FL PANHANDLE INTO SWRN GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 776...

VALID 271857Z - 272100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 776 CONTINUES.

MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS THE ERN GULF/SERN
CONUS...WITH SOMEWHAT STRONGER/MORE CELLULAR CONVECTION FROM SWRN GA
SWD. EVEN ACROSS THIS REGION HOWEVER...WEAK INSTABILITY -- AS
INDICATED BY THE LACK OF INLAND LIGHTNING ATTM -- CONTINUES TO
HINDER THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED/STRONGER STORMS. LIKEWISE...A
DECREASE IN INTENSITY WITHIN THE ONGOING CONVECTION HAS BEEN NOTED
OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.

WHILE SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ROTATION WITHIN ANY
SUSTAINED/STRONGER UPDRAFT...A CONTINUED DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE
INTENSITY IS FORECAST GIVEN THE LACK OF INSTABILITY...AND GIVEN THE
STRONGER LARGE-SCALE FORCING CONTINUING ITS NEWD SHIFT AWAY FROM
THIS REGION. WHILE AN ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADO REMAINS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON.

..GOSS.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 29688507 30578449 31068449 31078267 30428343 29688384
29688507

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KBRO [271841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBRO 271841
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
140 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0258 PM TSTM WND GST BAYVIEW 26.12N 97.40W
10/26/2009 M56.00 MPH CAMERON TX ASOS

PORT ISABEL AIRPORT NEAR BAYVIEW REPORTED WIND GUSTS AT
56 MPH.

&&

$$

HART/BOGORAD

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KVEF [271838]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 271838
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1138 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1051 AM HIGH SUST WINDS N SQUAW SPRINGS RAWS 35.37N 117.57W
10/27/2009 M42 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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KHNX [271835]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KHNX 271835
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1134 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.31W
10/27/2009 M72.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

AT MESONET STATION NEAR 80TH ST WEST

1009 AM DUST STORM 7 S HANFORD 36.22N 119.65W
10/27/2009 KINGS CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

VISIBLITY OF 0 REPORTED IN BLOWING DUST ALONG KANSAS AVE
BETWEEN 10 1/2 AVE AND SR 41.

1026 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MOJAVE 35.05N 118.18W
10/27/2009 KERN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY.

1035 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
10/27/2009 M68.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

AT MAIN BASE ASOS

1126 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 W SAN JOAQUIN 36.61N 120.22W
10/27/2009 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE DOWN ACROSS ROAD.

&&

$$

DS

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KVEF [271828]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 271828
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1127 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 WSW INDEPENDENCE 36.78N 118.24W
10/27/2009 M62.00 MPH INYO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SIERRA ROTORS SITE NUMBER 2 LOCATED AT
ELEVATION OF 4842 FEET.

0656 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E BISHOP 37.37N 118.36W
10/27/2009 M59.00 MPH INYO CA ASOS

&&

$$

KLABELLE

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KHNX [271801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 271801
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1101 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 W ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.31W
10/27/2009 M72.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

AT MESONET STATION NEAR 80TH ST WEST

1009 AM DUST STORM 7 S HANFORD 36.22N 119.65W
10/27/2009 KINGS CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

VISIBLITY OF 0 REPORTED IN BLOWING DUST ALONG KANSAS AVE
BETWEEN 10 1/2 AVE AND SR 41.

1026 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MOJAVE 35.05N 118.18W
10/27/2009 KERN CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY.

1035 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
10/27/2009 M68.00 MPH KERN CA ASOS

AT MAIN BASE ASOS

&&

$$

DS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 271715
SWODY2
SPC AC 271714

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID-WEEK ATTENTION WILL BE ON THE VERY STRONG UPR JET THAT WILL
CARVE OUT A COLD UPR LOW OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN W. THIS FEATURE
WILL SETTLE INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE
EJECTING ENE TO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

IN THE LOWER-LEVELS...A FRONT THAT SETTLES INTO THE NRN GULF BASIN
IN WAKE OF THE CURRENT IMPULSE MIGRATING NEWD FROM THE MID-SOUTH IS
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP QUICKLY N INTO PARTS OF NRN TX AND LWR MS VLY
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. UPSTREAM...LEE CYCLOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE
OVER NERN NM WEDNESDAY AFTN WITH THE LOW DEVELOPING INTO SWRN KS BY
12Z THURSDAY. SRN PLAINS LEE TROUGH WILL EVENTUALLY BE OVERTAKEN BY
A CDFNT LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OVER WRN TX WITH THE FRONT ARRIVING
OVER PARTS OF OK/CNTRL TX BY SUNRISE THURSDAY.

...SRN PLAINS...
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO RETURN IN EARNEST WEDNESDAY
AFTN/NIGHT ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AS SLY FLOW INCREASES DOWNSTREAM
FROM THE APCHG UPR LOW. SFC DEW POINTS IN EXCESS OF 60 DEG F WILL
BE SURGING INTO PARTS OF CNTRL/NWRN TX BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...BUT
PERHAPS SUFFICIENTLY DELAYED TO REDUCE THE RISK OF DIURNAL TSTM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE LEE TROUGH. MORE LIKELY SCENARIO WILL BE FOR
POST-SUNSET TSTMS TO EVOLVE ALONG THE TX/OK BORDER SWD INTO THE
TRANSPECOS REGION AS PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS CONTINUES TO MOISTEN AND
LARGE-SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SPREAD EWD.

FORECAST DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE QUITE STRONG AND DESPITE
THE POST-DIURNAL CYCLE TIMING...INITIAL STORMS MAY BE SUPERCELLS
WITH LARGE HAIL...DMGG WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. BACKING
LOW/MID-LVL WIND FIELDS WITH TIME AND INCREASING ASCENT WILL RESULT
IN AN EXPANDING SQUALL LINE FROM WRN/CNTRL OK INTO CNTRL TX BY 12Z
THURSDAY. WHILE SVR THREAT WILL TRANSITION INTO MOSTLY DMGG
WINDS...ISOLD TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT...PARTICULARLY WHERE
STORMS CAN REMAIN DISCRETE THE LONGEST WITHIN THE MORE ROBUST
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE ACROSS CNTRL/NRN TX.

...UPR TX CST/E TX/WRN LA...
STREAMER SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE ON THE INCREASE WEDNESDAY AFTN/EVE
ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION AS STRONG LLVL SLY FLOW COMMENCES IN
RESPONSE TO THE APPROACH OF THE INTENSE UPR TROUGH. ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY DEEPEN WITH TIME WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS MORE ROBUST
BUOYANCY/BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE BEGIN TO SURGE TO THE CST AND DEEP
LAYER WIND FIELDS INCREASE. WHILE THE RISK OF SVR WEATHER WILL
ESCALATE JUST BEYOND THE DAY 2 PERIOD /ENDING 12Z THURSDAY/...ISOLD
STORMS MAY BEGIN TO EXHIBIT SOME ORGANIZATION AS EARLY AS 09-12Z
THURSDAY. SUFFICIENT LLVL TURNING WILL EXIST FOR AT LEAST A LOW
PROBABILITY OF A TORNADO OR TWO INVOF THE WRMFNT.

..RACY.. 10/27/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271608
SWODY1
SPC AC 271606

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 271630Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE AND SRN GA...

...FL PANHANDLE INTO NW FL/SRN GA...
INTENSE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS LOCATED OVER THE ARKLATEX THIS MORNING
AND IS FORECAST TO ACCELERATE NEWD INTO OH VALLEY TONIGHT...AS A
150-175 KT HIGH LEVEL JET MAX CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY A LARGE AND DEEP
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WRN CONUS. FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH ARKLATEX
TROUGH WAS BRUSHING THE FL REGION AND AIDING IN THE MAINTENANCE OF A
WEAK SURFACE WAVE NEAR PANAMA CITY FL AT 15Z...WITH A WARM FRONT
EXTENDING ENEWD ALONG THE FL/GA BORDER.

AS THE WEAK SURFACE LOW AND ACCOMPANYING WARM FRONT LIFT SLOWLY NWD
ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SRN GA THIS AFTERNOON...SUBSTANTIAL
LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR FAVORS ROTATING STORMS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO
OR TWO...REFERENCE WW 776 AND MCD 2141. DESPITE WEAKER FORCING AND
NEGLIGIBLE HEIGHT FALLS EAST OF CURRENT WW...CONVERGENCE NEAR WARM
FRONT AND DEGREE OF SHEAR MAY ALSO SUPPORT A SMALL TORNADO THREAT
INTO SERN GA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

HOWEVER...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION WILL DECREASE
BY DARK AS THE PRIMARY FORCING SHIFTS INTO THE TN/OH VALLEYS AND
SPREADS WEAK SUBSIDENCE INTO THE REGION.

..IMY/JEWELL.. 10/27/2009

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KTFX [271548]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 271548
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
948 AM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 3 SW CUT BANK 48.60N 112.38W
10/27/2009 E2.0 INCH GLACIER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW THIS MORNING. BLOWING SNOW
ALSO CAUSING REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

0915 AM SNOW OILMONT 48.74N 111.84W
10/27/2009 E2.0 INCH TOOLE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE OILMONT AREA.

&&

$$

BRUSDA

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2141

ACUS11 KWNS 271524
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271524
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-271730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE/SWRN GA AND VICINITY

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 776...

VALID 271524Z - 271730Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 776 CONTINUES.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK WARM FRONT LYING FROM EXTREME SERN GA
WSWWD TO THE PANAMA CITY FL VICINITY...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A
FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THE ERN GULF. A FEW
OFFSHORE STORMS HAVE SHOWN ROTATION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF
HOURS...THOUGH ROTATION HAS THUS FAR WEAKENED AS STORMS SHIFT NWD
ACROSS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND INTO THE COOLER LOW-LEVEL ONSHORE
AIRMASS.

AREA VAD WIND PROFILES CONTINUE TO REVEAL SUBSTANTIAL LOW-LEVEL
VEERING/SHEAR -- PARTICULARLY JUST N OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WHERE
0-1 KM VALUES REMAIN IN EXCESS OF 30 KT. WHILE INSTABILITY IS
MARGINAL -- PER MORNING RAOBS AND OBSERVED LACK OF
LIGHTNING...DEGREE OF SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION...AND ASSOCIATED/LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT FOR AN ONSHORE
TORNADO.

..GOSS.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON 29788674 30438634 30808591 31108475 31078373 30658369
29698439 29788674

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KHNX [271441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 271441
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
741 AM PDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 AM DUST STORM 5 E ROSAMOND 34.86N 118.11W
10/27/2009 KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY LESS THAN ONE-QUARTER MILE IN BLOWING SAND,
WIND ESTIMATED AT GREATER THAN 50 MPH.

0728 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EDWARDS AFB 34.91N 117.93W
10/27/2009 M70 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT NASA LAKE BED WIND NETWORK

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 776

WWUS20 KWNS 271313
SEL6
SPC WW 271313
FLZ000-GAZ000-CWZ000-272200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 776
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
910 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 910 AM UNTIL 600
PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MARIANNA FLORIDA TO 35 MILES WEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING IN
MOIST...STRONGLY-SHEARED LOW LVL WAA ZONE ALONG CONFLUENCE AXIS OVER
THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO AS REGION IN GLANCED BY RED RVR VLY
SHORTWAVE IMPULSE /REF MCD 2140/. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SCTD
STORMS WITH LOW LVL ROTATION AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS W/E FRONT NOW
ALONG THE CST OF THE FL PANHANDLE MOVES SLOWLY NWD.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.

...CORFIDI

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KPIH [271301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 271301
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
701 AM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM SNOW VICTOR 43.60N 111.11W
10/27/2009 M2.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATION.

&&

$$

MH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271244
SWODY1
SPC AC 271243

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE...NW FL...AND SRN GA...

...SYNOPSIS...
POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE RED RVR VLY HAS ASSUMED A BIT
OF A NEGATIVE TILT. THE TROUGH SHOULD ACCELERATE ENE INTO WRN TN BY
THIS EVE BEFORE CONTINUING INTO WRN MD/PA EARLY WED. AT THE SAME
TIME...POWERFUL JET STREAK NOW CROSSING THE NRN SIERRA EXPECTED TO
EVOLVE INTO A DEEP CLOSED LOW OVER SRN UT/NRN AZ.

AT LWR LVLS...WEAK SFC WAVE AND INVERTED TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH RED
RVR UPR SYSTEM SHOULD REDEVELOP ENE ACROSS THE TN/LWR OH VLYS
TODAY/TONIGHT. HOWEVER...FRONT EXTENDING E/NE FROM THE WAVE LIKELY
WILL SHOW MORE LIMITED NWD MOTION AS SHALLOW WEDGE AIR MASS REMAINS
ALONG AND JUST S/E OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS.

...FL PANHANDLE INTO NW FL/SRN GA...
AREA VWP PLOT AND PATTERN OF SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NERN
GULF OF MEXICO SUGGEST PRESENCE OF A N/S 850 MB CONFLUENCE ZONE
LOCATED ROUGHLY 250 MILES E OF THE COLD FRONT TRAILING SSW FROM N
CNTRL GULF SFC WAVE. THE CONFLUENCE ZONE...AND ITS INTERSECTION
WITH WARM/STNRY FRONT INVOF THE FL PANHANDLE... SHOULD CONTINUE TO
BE A SOURCE OF ENHANCED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE DAY.

NW FL/SRN GA AND THE FL PANHANDLE WILL REMAIN WELL REMOVED FROM
STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH RED RVR VLY UPR SYSTEM.
BUT GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THAT DISTURBANCE...AND ASSOCIATED VEERING
OF DEEP FLOW OVER THE CNTRL GULF CST MAY...AT LEAST BETWEEN NOW AND
MID AFTN...ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE
CONFLUENCE ZONE AND FRONT BEFORE UPR SYSTEM MOVES FARTHER N INTO THE
TN VLY.

WITH PW REMAINING AOA 2 INCHES AND WIND PROFILES EXHIBITING A 30-40
KT SLY LLJ BENEATH 40-50 KT SWLY MID LVL FLOW...WAA SETUP COULD
YIELD SCTD SUPERCELLS WITH LOW LVL ROTATION/ISOLD TORNADOES.
ALTHOUGH WEAK LOW LVL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED UPR LVL FORCING SHOULD
MITIGATE OVERALL SVR THREAT...POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS AND TORNADOES APPEARS GREAT ENOUGH TO WARRANT A SLIGHT RISK
FOR LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTN.

...PARTS OF CENTRAL/NRN FL PENINSULA INTO SERN GA...
SOMEWHAT GREATER SFC HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER THE FL PENINSULA...S
AND E OF FRONT/CONFLUENCE ZONE AFFECTING THE NW PART OF THE STATE.
AT THE SAME TIME...HOWEVER...LOW TO MID LVL SHEAR WILL BE
WEAKER...WITH ONLY MODEST VEERING IN THE LWR LVLS. NEVERTHELESS
...SCTD DIURNAL STORMS SHOULD FORM OVER CNTRL AND NRN PARTS OF THE
PENINSULA. THESE SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP MAINLY ENE TOWARD THE FL E CST
AND SE GA...AND MAY POSE A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND PERHAPS
A BRIEF TORNADO BEFORE WEAKENING EARLY THIS EVE.

..CORFIDI/GRAMS.. 10/27/2009

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2140

ACUS11 KWNS 271233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271232
FLZ000-GAZ000-271400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT TUE OCT 27 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PNHDL INTO SWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 271232Z - 271400Z

THE THREAT FOR SURFACE-BASED SUPERCELLS IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
THROUGH THE MORNING. REGION WILL BE UPGRADED TO SLIGHT RISK AT 13Z
AND A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER THIS MORNING.

12Z LAND AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE WARM FRONT CONTINUING TO
LIFT NWD THROUGH THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE NRN FL
PENINSULA...AND LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS FEATURE
SHOULD PIVOT NWWD THROUGH THE CNTRL/ERN PNHDL AND SWRN GA BY
AFTERNOON. IN FACT...12Z TLH SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT ENVIRONMENT N
OF WARM FRONT IS ALREADY CLOSE TO SUPPORTING SURFACE-BASED
STORMS...AND MODIFICATION OF THESE DATA FOR CURRENT BUOY OB S OF AAF
/S OF WARM FRONT/ YIELDS MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG AND NO CAP.

CONCENTRATED ZONE OF PRESSURE FALLS FROM SERN MS EWD THROUGH THE FL
PNHDL AND SWRN GA ARE INDICATIVE OF THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL WAA
OCCURRING WHICH IS VERIFIED BY REGIONAL VWPS. THIS FORCING SHOULD
BE MAINTAINED ACROSS AREA THROUGH MID DAY BEFORE SHIFTING NWD IN
CONJUNCTION WITH MIGRATORY UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH. AS
SUCH...EXPECT STRONGER STORMS CURRENTLY OBSERVED OFFSHORE TO
GRADUALLY MOVE INLAND IN CONCERT WITH SURFACE WARM FRONT. GIVEN THE
MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIR MASS AND MODESTLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR...THE
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
PERHAPS TORNADOES.

..MEAD.. 10/27/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAX...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30158654 30728639 30948517 31158450 31058363 30368318
29818385 29558492 29718612 30158654

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KPIH [271221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 271221
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO
620 AM MDT TUE OCT 27 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0618 AM SNOW 1 W VICTOR 43.60N 111.13W
10/27/2009 M3.0 INCH TETON ID TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED NEW SNOW ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT WAS 3 INCHES.

&&

$$

RSURVICK

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