KDLH [230356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 230356
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
956 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM SNOW TWO HARBORS 47.03N 91.68W
11/22/2012 E3.0 INCH LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BTENTING

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KDLH [230355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230355
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
955 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM SNOW TWO HARBORS 47.03N 91.68W
11/22/2012 E2.0 INCH LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BTENTING

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KDLH [230353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230353
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
953 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0952 PM SNOW 5 N VIRGINIA 47.59N 92.51W
11/22/2012 M4.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0952 PM SNOW LARSMONT 46.98N 91.75W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KMKX [230327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 230327
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
927 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HIGH SUST WINDS MONROE AIRPORT 42.62N 89.59W
11/22/2012 M31 MPH GREEN WI AWOS

SUSTAINED WINDS OF 27 KNOTS MEASURED BY AUTOMATED
OBSERVING EQUIPMENT AT MONROE AIRPORT. GUST TO 32 KNOTS
AT THE TIME.


&&

$$

MBK

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KDLH [230323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230323
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
923 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM SNOW DULUTH 46.78N 92.12W
11/22/2012 E2.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN NWS EMPLOYEE

IN THE DULUTH HEIGHTS NEIGHBORHOOD.


&&

$$

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KDLH [230306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230306
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
906 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0906 PM SNOW 7 E SUPERIOR 46.70N 91.91W
11/22/2012 M2.0 INCH LSZ145 WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KMPX [230306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 230306
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
906 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM SNOW COLLEGEVILLE 45.60N 94.37W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0715 PM SNOW BUFFALO 45.18N 93.87W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0717 PM SNOW PRINCETON 45.57N 93.59W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH MILLE LACS MN PUBLIC

0721 PM SNOW SHOREVIEW 45.08N 93.14W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH RAMSEY MN PUBLIC

0724 PM SNOW PRIOR LAKE 44.73N 93.43W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH SCOTT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0725 PM SNOW COON RAPIDS 45.17N 93.31W
11/22/2012 M1.4 INCH ANOKA MN PUBLIC

0726 PM SNOW ALEXANDRIA 45.87N 95.38W
11/22/2012 E0.5 INCH DOUGLAS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0728 PM SNOW DELANO 45.04N 93.79W
11/22/2012 E1.0 INCH WRIGHT MN PUBLIC

0737 PM SNOW EAST FARMINGTON 45.25N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI PUBLIC

0740 PM SNOW OSCEOLA 45.32N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0740 PM SNOW 1 WNW RAMSEY 45.27N 93.47W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0756 PM SNOW MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.80W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0845 PM SNOW EAST BETHEL 45.34N 93.20W
11/22/2012 E2.0 INCH ANOKA MN PUBLIC

0850 PM SNOW ISANTI 45.49N 93.25W
11/22/2012 E1.0 INCH ISANTI MN PUBLIC

0850 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
11/22/2012 M1.3 INCH HENNEPIN MN NWS EMPLOYEE

0901 PM SNOW HAM LAKE 45.26N 93.20W
11/22/2012 M2.8 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BORGHOFF

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KDLH [230304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230304
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
904 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0904 PM SNOW SAWYER 46.67N 92.63W
11/22/2012 M1.2 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230303
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
903 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0903 PM SNOW 3 N BRAINERD 46.40N 94.19W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

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KDLH [230303]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230303
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
903 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM SNOW WASHBURN 46.67N 90.89W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH BAYFIELD WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230257
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
857 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM SNOW 5 N TWO HARBORS 47.10N 91.68W
11/22/2012 M2.5 INCH LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230206
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
806 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 PM SNOW 8 S HAYWARD 45.89N 91.48W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH SAWYER WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230157
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
756 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 PM SNOW MAPLE 46.59N 91.72W
11/22/2012 E2.0 INCH DOUGLAS WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KMPX [230156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230156
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
756 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 PM SNOW MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.80W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 230150
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
750 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW ST CLOUD 45.55N 94.17W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH STEARNS MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 PM SNOW 2 WNW GLENWOOD 45.66N 95.42W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH POPE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 PM SNOW COLLEGEVILLE 45.60N 94.37W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
11/22/2012 M0.8 INCH HENNEPIN MN NWS EMPLOYEE

0715 PM SNOW BUFFALO 45.18N 93.87W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0717 PM SNOW PRINCETON 45.57N 93.59W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH MILLE LACS MN PUBLIC

0721 PM SNOW SHOREVIEW 45.08N 93.14W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH RAMSEY MN PUBLIC

0724 PM SNOW PRIOR LAKE 44.73N 93.43W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH SCOTT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0725 PM SNOW COON RAPIDS 45.17N 93.31W
11/22/2012 M1.4 INCH ANOKA MN PUBLIC

0726 PM SNOW ALEXANDRIA 45.87N 95.38W
11/22/2012 E0.5 INCH DOUGLAS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0727 PM SNOW ISANTI 45.49N 93.25W
11/22/2012 M0.5 INCH ISANTI MN PUBLIC

0728 PM SNOW DELANO 45.04N 93.79W
11/22/2012 E1.0 INCH WRIGHT MN PUBLIC

0737 PM SNOW EAST FARMINGTON 45.25N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI PUBLIC

0740 PM SNOW OSCEOLA 45.32N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0740 PM SNOW 1 WNW RAMSEY 45.27N 93.47W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230150
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
750 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM SNOW BUFFALO 45.18N 93.87W
11/22/2012 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230147
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
747 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW 2 WNW GLENWOOD 45.66N 95.42W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH POPE MN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230146
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
746 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM SNOW OSCEOLA 45.32N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230144
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM SNOW EAST FARMINGTON 45.25N 92.70W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH POLK WI PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230143
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
743 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM SNOW 1 WNW RAMSEY 45.27N 93.47W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230142
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
742 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM SNOW COLLEGEVILLE 45.60N 94.37W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

SPD

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KDLH [230138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230138
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
738 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0737 PM SNOW 4 S SAWYER 46.61N 92.63W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KMPX [230135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230135
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
735 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM SNOW DELANO 45.04N 93.79W
11/22/2012 E1.0 INCH WRIGHT MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230133
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
733 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 PM SNOW ISANTI 45.49N 93.25W
11/22/2012 M0.5 INCH ISANTI MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230132
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
732 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM SNOW COON RAPIDS 45.17N 93.31W
11/22/2012 M1.4 INCH ANOKA MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230132
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
732 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0724 PM SNOW PRIOR LAKE 44.73N 93.43W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH SCOTT MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230128
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
728 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0726 PM SNOW ALEXANDRIA 45.87N 95.38W
11/22/2012 E0.5 INCH DOUGLAS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230122
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
722 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 PM SNOW SHOREVIEW 45.08N 93.14W
11/22/2012 M0.3 INCH RAMSEY MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230119]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230119
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
719 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW ST CLOUD 45.55N 94.17W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH STEARNS MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230118
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
718 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 PM SNOW PRINCETON 45.57N 93.59W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH MILLE LACS MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [230112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 230112
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
712 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
11/22/2012 M0.8 INCH HENNEPIN MN NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

SPD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230055
SWODY1
SPC AC 230053

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 230100Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
AT MID EVENING...A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM CNTRL LAKE
SUPERIOR TO NWRN OK AND FARTHER WEST OVER THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES.
ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST IN A ZONE OF WEAK WARM
ADVECTION LEADING THE FRONT FROM LOWER MI SWWD INTO SERN MO FOR THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...BEFORE INSTABILITY BECOMES INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
LIGHTNING PRODUCTION. FARTHER SW INTO PARTS OF AR...SRN OK...AND NRN
TX...ELEVATED STORMS COULD DEVELOP LATER IN THE NIGHT AS THE FRONT
UNDERCUTS A RELATIVELY MORE MOIST AND CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS. HOWEVER...WEAK DEEP ASCENT WILL KEEP ANY INSTANCES OF
LIGHTNING ISOLATED. SVR STORMS ARE UNLIKELY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/23/2012

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KDLH [230042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 230042
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
642 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0641 PM SNOW SAGINAW 46.86N 92.44W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

1.0 INCH AT 522PM CDT


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230032
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
632 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0631 PM SNOW 10 N ESKO 46.85N 92.36W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230031
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
631 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0631 PM SNOW 6 NW DULUTH 46.84N 92.21W
11/22/2012 M1.2 INCH ST. LOUIS MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [230022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230022
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
622 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0621 PM SNOW FORT RIPLEY 46.17N 94.36W
11/22/2012 E1.2 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RSENGENB

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KMSO [230005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 230005
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
505 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 8 N FINLEY POINT 47.85N 114.04W
11/22/2012 M2.0 INCH LAKE MT TRAINED SPOTTER



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMSO [230004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 230004
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
504 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 4 E BELL CROSSING 46.43N 114.05W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH RAVALLI MT COCORAHS



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMSO [230003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 230003
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
502 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW STEVENSVILLE 46.51N 114.09W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH RAVALLI MT PUBLIC



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KDLH [230001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 230001
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
601 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM SNOW MOOSE LAKE 46.45N 92.77W
11/22/2012 M2.5 INCH CARLTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

BTENTING

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KDLH [222347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 222347
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
547 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0546 PM SNOW CLOQUET 46.73N 92.49W
11/22/2012 M1.5 INCH CARLTON MN NWS EMPLOYEE


&&

$$

RSENGENB

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KDLH [222332]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 222332
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
532 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0532 PM SNOW 5 N PILLAGER 46.40N 94.48W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH CASS MN COCORAHS


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [222322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 222322
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
522 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0522 PM SNOW SAGINAW 46.86N 92.44W
11/22/2012 M1.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [222311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 222311
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
511 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0508 PM SNOW 3 E PAYNE 47.09N 92.54W
11/22/2012 E1.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW COVERED ROADS.


&&

$$

RS

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KDLH [222236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 222236
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
435 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM SNOW EMILY 46.76N 93.96W
11/22/2012 E0.2 INCH CROW WING MN TRAINED SPOTTER

MULTIPLE ACCIDENTS REPORTED THROUGH CROW WING COUNTY.


&&

$$

RS

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KJAX [222217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 222217
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
517 PM EST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 8 NNW WAYNESVILLE 31.34N 81.84W
11/22/2012 BRANTLEY GA EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIAL REPORTED A 30 PLUS ACRE
WILDFIRE OFF OF HIGHWAY 32 IN NORTHEAST BRANTLEY COUNTY.


&&

$$

ARS

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KCYS [222036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KCYS 222036
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
136 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 S SIBLEY PEAK 42.32N 105.05W
11/21/2012 M62.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

COLEMAN WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 43 MPH.

1136 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 15 E SINCLAIR 41.78N 106.83W
11/21/2012 M50.00 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.

1200 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 W I-80 EXIT 235 41.74N 106.84W
11/21/2012 M40.00 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

WALCOTT JUNCTION WYDOT SITE. GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

0100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 10 SSW HANNA 41.73N 106.65W
11/21/2012 M58.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

DANA RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 40 MPH.

0136 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.75N 106.51W
11/21/2012 M60.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 47 MPH.

0200 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 8 ENE HANNA 41.91N 106.41W
11/21/2012 M46.00 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

COMO UPR SITE.

0206 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 WNW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.74N 106.57W
11/21/2012 M58.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MILE MARKER 249.1 WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 46 MPH.

0246 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.75N 106.51W
11/21/2012 M67.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HALLECK RIDGE WYDOT SITE. SUSTAINED AT 53 MPH.

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST W ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
11/22/2012 M58.00 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

ROCK RIVER UPR SITE. SUSTAINED AT 46 MPH

0700 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 8 WNW I-80 EXIT 297 41.44N 105.96W
11/22/2012 M40.00 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

QUEALY DOME WYDOT SITE. GUSTS TO 52 MPH.

0900 AM HIGH SUST WINDS W ROCK RIVER 41.73N 105.98W
11/22/2012 M40.00 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

ROCK RIVER UPR SITE. GUSTS TO 46 MPH.

1000 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 NNW WHITAKER 41.42N 104.87W
11/22/2012 M40.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WHITAKER WYDOT SITE. GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

1000 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 23 W CHEYENNE 41.14N 105.23W
11/22/2012 E43.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 37 TO 47 MPH FROM 906 AM TO 1010 AM MST.

1146 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 4 S CRYSTAL LAKE RESERV 41.10N 105.21W
11/22/2012 M44.00 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

REMOUNT WYDOT SITE. GUSTS TO 55 MPH.

1155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 21 WSW CHEYENNE 41.03N 105.16W
11/22/2012 E59.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

THIS IS LYNCH AT UP 204.

0100 PM HIGH SUST WINDS 1 NW I-80 EXIT 279 41.55N 106.09W
11/22/2012 M40.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

COOPER COVE WYDOT SITE. GUSTS TO 57 MPH.


&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KCYS [221954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 221954
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1253 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 21 WSW CHEYENNE 41.03N 105.16W
11/22/2012 E59 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

THIS IS LYNCH AT UP 204.


&&

$$

DDEAL

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KTFX [221951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 221951
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1251 PM MST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM SNOW 5 W HAVRE 48.55N 109.79W
11/22/2012 M3.0 INCH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

3.0 INCHES...NEW SNOWFALL PAST 12 HOURS


&&

$$

UTTECH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221949
SWODY1
SPC AC 221946

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0146 PM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 222000Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK EXCEPT TO REMOVE
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TX FROM THUNDER AS IT APPEARS IT MAY REMAIN
CAPPED.

..JEWELL.. 11/22/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0958 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS LATE THIS
MORNING WILL AMPLIFY AND CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD TOWARD THE UPPER
MIDWEST/MID MS VALLEY BY 12Z FRI. A SFC LOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH OVER
SRN ONTARIO/NRN MN WILL ALSO SHIFT E/NE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A
COLD FRONT TRAILING TO THE S/SW. AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER
GREATS LAKES/MID MS VALLEY INTO WRN TX THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. THE NRN
SEGMENT OF THE FRONT WILL SURGE EWD OVERNIGHT TOWARD THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS WHILE THE SRN SEGMENT SLOWLY SINKS S/SE FROM SRN AR INTO
CNTRL TX BY FRI MORNING.

...LOWER MI S/SW INTO NE OK...
DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 50S SOUTH TO THE 40S NORTH ARE EXPECTED AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S. HOWEVER...LITTLE BOUNDARY
LAYER DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED. AS MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /LESS
THAN 500 J PER KG MUCAPE/ ABOVE THE 850-700 MB LAYER MAY BE ADEQUATE
FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WHILE THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE
FORCING FOR ASCENT AND FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES RESULT IN SOME
SEMBLANCE OF ORGANIZED LINEAR STRUCTURES...LESS THAN FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY.

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KLBF [221747]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 221747
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1147 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BIG SPRINGS 41.06N 102.07W
11/22/2012 M50 MPH DEUEL NE CO-OP OBSERVER

VISIBILITY DOWN TO ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES FROM BLOWING
DUST.


&&

$$

SNIVELY

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KCYS [221726]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 221726
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1026 AM MST THU NOV 22 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HIGH SUST WINDS 23 W CHEYENNE 41.14N 105.23W
11/22/2012 E43 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

SUSTAINED WIND 37 TO 47 MPH FROM 906 AM TO 1010 AM MST.


&&

$$

DDEAL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 221708
SWODY2
SPC AC 221706

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY ESEWD
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHICH WILL HELP TO DRIVE A
LARGE SURFACE HIGH SWD ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SERN STATES.

AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE LOWER
60S ACROSS MUCH OF SRN TX. AS THE FRONT PROGRESSES
SWD...THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM. HOWEVER...WIND SHEAR AND INSTABILITY
WILL BOTH BE WEAK...AND WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE THREAT.

ELSEWHERE...IT WILL REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE WRN STATES UNDER AN UPPER
RIDGE WITH NO THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.

..JEWELL.. 11/22/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221600
SWODY1
SPC AC 221558

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0958 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 221630Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS LATE THIS
MORNING WILL AMPLIFY AND CONTINUE SHIFTING EWD TOWARD THE UPPER
MIDWEST/MID MS VALLEY BY 12Z FRI. A SFC LOW AHEAD OF THE TROUGH OVER
SRN ONTARIO/NRN MN WILL ALSO SHIFT E/NE THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH A
COLD FRONT TRAILING TO THE S/SW. AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER
GREATS LAKES/MID MS VALLEY INTO WRN TX THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE. THE NRN
SEGMENT OF THE FRONT WILL SURGE EWD OVERNIGHT TOWARD THE OH AND TN
VALLEYS WHILE THE SRN SEGMENT SLOWLY SINKS S/SE FROM SRN AR INTO
CNTRL TX BY FRI MORNING.

...LOWER MI S/SW INTO NE OK...
DEWPOINTS FROM THE MID 50S SOUTH TO THE 40S NORTH ARE EXPECTED AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S AND 70S. HOWEVER...LITTLE BOUNDARY
LAYER DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED. AS MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY /LESS
THAN 500 J PER KG MUCAPE/ ABOVE THE 850-700 MB LAYER MAY BE ADEQUATE
FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. WHILE THE FRONT WILL PROVIDE
FORCING FOR ASCENT AND FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES RESULT IN SOME
SEMBLANCE OF ORGANIZED LINEAR STRUCTURES...LESS THAN FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY.

..LEITMAN.. 11/22/2012

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KCYS [221322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 221322
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
621 AM MST THU NOV 22 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0534 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 W GERING 41.83N 103.71W
11/22/2012 M57 MPH SCOTTS BLUFF NE MESONET

REPORTED AT GOES STATION SBFN1

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 221243
SWODY1
SPC AC 221241

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 221300Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MORNING WV IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER TROUGH ENTERING THE NRN
HIGH PLAINS. THIS FEATURE WILL AMPLIFY SOMEWHAT DURING THE DAY AS IT
MOVES ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT. AT THE
SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE IS SITUATED JUST N OF THE MN/CANADIAN
BORDER...AND IS FORECAST TO LIFT NEWD TOWARDS JAMES BAY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. AS THIS TAKES PLACE...A COLD FRONT TRAILING TO THE SW
WILL BECOME POSITIONED FROM THE UP OF MI SWWD INTO MO AND ACROSS NRN
TX INTO THE TRANS PECOS BY 23/00Z. DURING THE NIGHT...THE FRONT WILL
ACCELERATE EWD INTO THE OH VALLEY...WHILE THE SRN SEGMENT MOVES SWD
ACROSS CNTRL TX.

...OK NEWD INTO LOWER MI...
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE WARM SECTOR AIRMASS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOW TO MID 50S OVER OK...AND 40S NEWD ACROSS MO INTO LOWER MI.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LIMITED BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZATION WILL
TAKE PLACE DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH WILL RESULT IN WEAK MUCAPE
VALUES ROOTED WELL ABOVE THE SURFACE. THUS...DESPITE STRONG FRONTAL
FORCING FOR ASCENT AND FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES FOR ORGANIZED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
BE LOW TODAY DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

..GARNER/MEAD.. 11/22/2012

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 220941
SWOD48
SPC AC 220940

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 251200Z - 301200Z

...DISCUSSION...
LOW-LEVEL RIDGING...FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF ERN CONUS TROUGH DESCRIBED
IN DAY-3 OUTLOOK...WILL PRECLUDE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE RETURN TO
SUPPORT ORGANIZED SVR UNTIL AT LEAST DAY-5/26TH-27TH. SHORTWAVE
TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AS QUASISTATIONARY
PERTURBATION OVER SWRN AK -- IS EXPECTED TO PIVOT AROUND DECAYING
GULF OF AK CYCLONE AND EJECT ESEWD FROM NWRN CONUS TO CENTRAL PLAINS
DAYS 4-5. THIS FEATURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GEN SYNOPTIC TROUGHING
DAY-5 AS FAR S AS CENTRAL/S TX.

STRENGTHENING DEEP SHEAR...INCREASINGLY MOIST WARM SECTOR...AND
IMPINGING SFC COLD FRONT STILL ARE EXPECTED BY AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT DAY-5...WITH RELATED SFC-BASED CONVECTIVE AREA POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS ERN/NERN TX/ARKLATEX REGION...PERHAPS INTO MS DELTA
REGION LATE. MODEL DISCREPANCIES IN AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF UPPER
PERTURBATION AND RESULTANT LOW-LEVEL FEATURES ARE ACTUALLY GREATER
THAN 24 HOURS AGO...WITH TYPICALLY MOST RELIABLE ECMWF OFFERING
LEAST AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL SOLUTION. THUS...WHILE SVR EVENT STILL
IS POSSIBLE AND SHOULD BE CONSIDERED...CONFIDENCE IS LOWER THAN
BEFORE...AND DOES NOT SUPPORT UNCONDITIONAL 30% AREA ATTM. AFTER
DAY-5...TOO MUCH SPREAD IN ECMWF/SPECTRAL/UKMET/MREF SOLUTIONS IS
EVIDENT TO DRAW ANY SPECIFIC SVR THREAT AREAS.

..EDWARDS.. 11/22/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 220608
SWODY3
SPC AC 220606

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1206 AM CST THU NOV 22 2012

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN IS FCST TO BECOME RATHER AMPLIFIED OVER CONUS
THROUGH PERIOD...AS NRN-STREAM TROUGH DISCUSSED IN DAY-2 OUTLOOK
CROSSES LOWER GREAT LAKES AND MIDLEVEL HEIGHTS FALL ALONG ATLC
SEABOARD. STG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE MOST OF ATLC COAST LATE
DAY-2...SEWD THROUGH FL PENINSULA DURING FIRST 6-9 HOURS OF THIS
PERIOD...AND SWD ACROSS NRN/WRN GULF. WITH NLY FLOW ON BOTH SIDES
OF FRONT...CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE MINIMAL OVER FL...AS WILL BE
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. OVER DEEP S TX...LIFT ATOP POSTFRONTAL STABLE
LAYER MAY SUPPORT ELEVATED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL EARLY IN
PERIOD...WITH MUCAPE UP TO ABOUT 300 J/KG EVIDENT IN MOST
AGGRESSIVELY MOIST MODEL FCST SOUNDINGS. WHILE LTG CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO ISOLATED/MRGL/CONDITIONAL FOR GEN
THUNDER LINE ATTM.

..EDWARDS.. 11/22/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 220557
SWODY2
SPC AC 220555

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MOST CRUCIAL UPPER-AIR FEATURE FOR THIS FCST WILL BE STG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH NOW CROSSING NRN ROCKIES REGION. THIS PERTURBATION IS FCST
TO MOVE EWD WHILE FURTHER AMPLIFYING...RESULTING IN POSITIVELY
TILTED TROUGH FROM ERN LS SWWD ACROSS PORTIONS NRN/WRN IL AND NRN MO
BY 23/12Z. AS PRIMARY/EMBEDDED VORTICITY CENTER OVER LS EJECTS NEWD
ACROSS NRN ONT...TRAILING 500-MB TROUGH SHOULD SHIFT EWD TO LE...WRN
PA...AND CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS BY 24/00Z. GEN REGIME OF HEIGHT
FALLS WILL CONTINUE OVER E COAST REGION THEREAFTER...AS SERIES OF
LOWER-AMPLITUDE/TRAILING PERTURBATIONS REINFORCES TROUGHING FROM
LOWER GREAT LAKES SWD TO NRN FL.

RELATED SFC COLD FRONT SHOULD BEGIN PERIOD INVOF WRN OH...WRN
TN...SRN AR...AND PORTIONS CENTRAL/SW TX. FRONT SHOULD REACH ERN
NY...NRN VA...WRN SC...AND WRN FL PANHANDLE BY 24/00Z...THEN SWEEP
EWD OFF MOST OF ATLC COAST BY END OF PERIOD.

...SW TX TO SRN AR...
DAY-1 GEN TSTM POTENTIAL OVER NRN PART OF THIS CORRIDOR MAY CARRY
OVER ALONG AND N OF SFC COLD FRONT INTO FIRST FEW HOURS OF THIS
PERIOD...AS ANAFRONTAL LIFT FORCES MRGLLY BUT INCREASINGLY MOIST
EFFECTIVE-INFLOW PARCELS TO LFC. FCST SOUNDINGS AT 23/12Z SHOW WEAK
ELEVATED MUCAPE N OF FRONT -- GENERALLY BELOW 200 J/KG AND ROOTED IN
700-800 MB LAYER -- AS FAR E AS SRN AR...BUT THAT MEAGER BUOYANCY
REACHES INTO THERMAL LAYERS SUITABLE FOR LTG GENERATION. COVERAGE
SHOULD BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED IN THIS REGIME.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT WILL BE RATHER
SCANT...GIVEN INCOMPLETENESS OF GULF MARINE-AIR MODIFICATION IN WAKE
OF SYSTEM NOW LOCATED OFFSHORE NRN FL. SFC DEW POINTS 50S F ARE
EXPECTED OVER MOST OF IMMEDIATE PREFRONTAL CORRIDOR IN TX AND AR TO
START PERIOD...TRANSITIONING TO MID-UPPER 60S OVER DEEP S TX PRIOR
TO AFTN FROPA THERE. THOUGH LAPSE RATES ALOFT WILL BE
WEAK...COMBINATION OF THOSE DEW POINTS WITH SFC DIABATIC HEATING MAY
SUFFICE TO REMOVE MLCINH AND YIELD 300-600 J/KG AFTERNOON MLCAPE IN
WARM SECTOR...AVAILABLE FOR CONVECTIVE LIFT ALONG FRONT.
ISOLATED/ELEVATED TSTMS ALSO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE BEHIND FRONT.
THOUGH BULK OF CONVECTION MAY OCCUR OVER MEX...AT LEAST ISOLATED
TSTM COVERAGE IS POSSIBLE OVER DEEP S TX AND NEAR RIO GRANDE FARTHER
NW. LIMITING FACTORS SHOULD BE RELATIVE WARM LAYER EVIDENT IN SOME
FCST SOUNDINGS JUST ABOVE 700 MB...AS WELL AS LACK OF MORE ROBUST
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY.

..EDWARDS.. 11/22/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 220543
SWODY1
SPC AC 220541

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST WED NOV 21 2012

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS...A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
EWD FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE WRN GREAT LAKES WHILE AMPLIFYING. A
DISORGANIZED CLUSTER OF VORTICITY MAXIMA WILL BE ADVECTED NEWD FROM
THE SRN PLAINS TO THE ERN GREAT LAKES IN ADVANCE OF THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH. TO THE E OF THESE FEATURES...A RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD
TOWARD THE E COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE A CYCLONE MOVES ENEWD
OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC/SERN U.S. COAST.

AT THE SFC...AN EXTENSIVE COLD FRONT ACCOMPANYING THE STRONG
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL TRACK EWD/SWD ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL U.S.
AND LIE FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE SRN PLAINS BY EARLY FRI
MORNING. ANTICYCLONIC FLOW OVER MUCH OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...
COMBINED WITH DEEP/SUBSIDENT NWLY/NLY FLOW BETWEEN THE ERN U.S.
RIDGE AXIS AND THE WRN ATLANTIC CYCLONE...WILL LARGELY HINDER
BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE RETURN IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT.

...MID MS VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
MEAGER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WITH SFC DEWPOINTS FROM THE 40S TO THE
LOWER 50S WILL CHARACTERIZE A NARROW ZONE LEADING THE FRONT. WITHIN
THIS ZONE...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT VERY LITTLE...IF
ANY...SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP...WITH AROUND
100-800 J/KG OF ELEVATED CAPE FOR PARCELS LIFTED WITHIN THE
850-750-MB LAYER. HOWEVER...INTENSE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ACCOMPANYING
THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WITH 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS FROM 100 TO OVER 200
GEOPOTENTIAL METERS PER 12 HOURS...COUPLED WITH THE DEEP FRONTAL
CIRCULATION...MAY PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE
BANDS WITH INFREQUENT LIGHTNING INVOF THE FRONT.

THE STRENGTH OF THE SYNOPTIC-SCALE ASCENT AND DEEP SHEAR...ALONG
WITH A 40-50-KT 925-850-MB JET MAXIMUM OVERLAYING THE ELEVATED WARM
SECTOR...OFFER SOME CONCERN THAT THE CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY PRODUCE
STRONG TO POTENTIALLY ISOLATED INSTANCES OF SVR WIND GUSTS. THE
STRONG/SVR-WIND THREAT MAY ALSO BE ENHANCED BY MODEST
TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS NEAR THE SFC DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE
AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN FOR THESE CONVECTIVE WINDS LIES FROM CNTRL
MO NEWD TO SRN LOWER MI.

HOWEVER...WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICTING STRONG BOUNDARY-LAYER
STABILITY -- INCLUDING ONE OR MORE LOW-LEVEL INVERSION LAYERS --
BENEATH THE ELEVATED CAPE LAYER...THERE IS LARGE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE STRONG FLOW ALOFT TO BECOME MANIFESTED AT THE SFC
AS SVR WIND GUSTS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ASCENT
ACCOMPANYING THE CLUSTER OF VORTICITY MAXIMA MAY FURTHER MITIGATE
ANY PRE-FRONTAL DESTABILIZATION ALONG WITH ANY SVR THREAT.
ACCORDINGLY...SVR-WIND PROBABILITIES HAVE NOT BEEN INTRODUCED
ATTM...BUT MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED IF DESTABILIZATION BECOMES A
GREATER CONCERN AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

...SRN PLAINS TO WRN PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...
MODESTLY RICHER MOISTURE WITHIN A PARTIALLY MODIFIED AIR MASS WILL
BE FOUND AHEAD OF THE SRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS
INTO THE MIDDLE 50S ASSOCIATED WITH RELATIVELY GREATER
INSTABILITY -- ALBEIT LIMITED. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRONGER DEEP
FLOW / FORCING FOR ASCENT BEING FOCUSED FARTHER NORTH IN CLOSER
PROXIMITY TO THE STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH...ORGANIZED/SVR CONVECTION
WILL BE UNLIKELY. STORMS MAY ALSO HAVE A TENDENCY TO BECOME UNDERCUT
BY THE SEWD/SWD-SURGING FRONT...LIMITING CONVECTIVE INTENSITY.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/22/2012

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