Saturday, March 1, 2014

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011253
SWODY1
SPC AC 011250

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0650 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LOW AMPLITUDE...BROADLY CYCLONIC SPLIT FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL
OVER THE LWR 48 THROUGH SUN. STRONG E PACIFIC SYSTEM THAT AFFECTED
CA YESTERDAY WILL CONTINUE ESE ACROSS CNTRL/SRN CA LATER TODAY...AND
AZ TNGT...BEFORE REACHING THE FOUR CORNERS REGION EARLY SUN.
DOWNSTREAM FROM THE TROUGH...STRENGTHENING WSW FLOW WILL SPREAD FROM
THE SRN RCKYS AND SRN PLNS INTO THE LWR MS AND TN VLYS.

AT THE SFC...DESPITE LARGELY ZONAL FLOW...PERSISTENT ANTICYLOGENESIS
ASSOCIATED WITH NRN STREAM JET WILL DRIVE A SHALLOW ARCTIC COLD
FRONT STEADILY S ACROSS THE SRN PLNS...AND MORE SLOWLY SE ACROSS THE
MID MS VLY. THIS BOUNDARY MAY SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR STRONG ELEVATED
STORMS LATER IN THE PERIOD OVER PARTS OF AR/KS/MO/OK. IN THE MEAN
TIME...SCTD DIURNALLY-ENHANCED TSTMS LIKELY WILL PERSIST IN
ASSOCIATION WITH UPR SYSTEM CROSSING THE SWRN U.S.

...SRN PLNS/OZARKS TNGT/EARLY SUN...
SWLY LOW-LVL JET STREAM WILL INCREASE TNGT AND EARLY SUN AHEAD OF
APPROACHING SW U.S. UPR TROUGH. THIS WILL SERVE TO TIGHTEN
AFOREMENTIONED ARCTIC FRONT MOVING S ACROSS OK/SE KS AND THE NRN
OZARKS. ASSOCIATED MOISTURE INFLOW AND STRENGTHENING ISENTROPIC
ASCENT SHOULD FOSTER TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
AND...ESPECIALLY...BEHIND FRONT TNGT THROUGH 12Z SUN OVER NRN/WRN
AR...SE KS...CNTRL/ERN OK...AND MUCH OF MO. WITH TIME...THIS
ACTIVITY COULD SPREAD INTO ADJACENT PARTS OF TX AND THE LWR OH VLY.

PRESENCE OF STEEP MID-LVL LAPSE RATES/EML ASSOCIATED WITH LOW
AMPLITUDE WSWLY MID-LVL FLOW AMIDST INCREASING MOISTURE AND
APPRECIABLE /40-50 KT/ CLOUD LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS A CONDITIONAL RISK
FOR A FEW INSTANCES OF SVR HAIL...DESPITE INCREASINGLY COLD/DRY
NATURE OF UNDERCUTTING ARCTIC AIR MASS. WHILE A SFC OR NEARLY
SFC-BASED STORM CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT...MAINLY NEAR THE RED
RVR THIS EVE OR EARLY TNGT...EML CAP SHOULD STRONGLY LIMIT THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR SUCH DEVELOPMENT.

...SW U.S. TODAY/TNGT...
SCTD AREAS OF DIURNALLY-ENHANCED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED FROM SRN CA EWD
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION/CNTRL RCKYS THIS PERIOD AS DEAMPLIFYING
E PACIFIC TROUGH CONTINUES GENERALLY E ACROSS REGION. GRADUAL
RELAXATION OF ASSOCIATED MID/UPR-LVL WIND AND ASCENT FIELDS SUGGESTS
THAT ANY SVR THREAT WILL BE MINIMAL. BUT RELATIVELY COOL AIR ALOFT
COUPLED WITH OROGRAPHIC UPLIFT AND FAIRLY SUBSTANTIAL SFC HEATING
MAY YIELD A STORM OR TWO WITH GUSTY WINDS/HAIL.

..CORFIDI/MARSH.. 03/01/2014

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KAPX [011247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 011247
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
746 AM EST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM SNOW 4 E HONOR 44.67N 85.94W
03/01/2014 M4.2 INCH BENZIE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW DEPTH 33 IN. SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [011240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011240
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
539 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM SNOW 2 S CHOTEAU 47.78N 112.18W
03/01/2014 E2.0 INCH TETON MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KLOX [011238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 011238
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
438 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 AM HAIL 3 W DIAMOND BAR 34.01N 117.87W
03/01/2014 M1.00 INCH LOS ANGELES CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1 INCH HAIL OBSERVED BY AN OFFICIAL NWS OBSERVER FROM THE
CITY OF WALNUT.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KMSO [011221]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 011221
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
520 AM MST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 ESE ROLLINS 47.87N 114.03W
02/28/2014 M53 MPH LAKE MT TRAINED SPOTTER





&&

$$

NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM

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KARX [011217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 011217
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
616 AM CST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0616 AM SNOW FRIENDSHIP 43.97N 89.82W
03/01/2014 M2.7 INCH ADAMS WI PUBLIC

SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0615 AM SNOW 1 WNW OELWEIN 42.68N 91.93W
03/01/2014 M1.3 INCH FAYETTE IA PUBLIC

SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS OBSERVER LOCATION
OELWEIN 1WNW



&&

$$

NWS LA CROSSE WI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KTFX [011217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011217
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
516 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM EXTR WIND CHILL 7 S NEIHART 46.84N 110.72W
02/28/2014 M-41.0 F MEAGHER MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -41 AT PORPHYRY PEAK RAWS.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KOAX [011216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 011216
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
616 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW TEKAMAH 41.78N 96.22W
03/01/2014 E2.0 INCH BURT NE PUBLIC

SNOW THAT FELL FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.


&&

$$

VDEWALD

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KTFX [011210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011210
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
510 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 5 WNW LEDGER 48.30N 111.92W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F PONDERA MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -40 AT CONRAD AG RC SCAN SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KLOT [011155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 011155
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
555 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0554 AM SNOW ROCKFORD AIRPORT 42.20N 89.10W
03/01/2014 M1.2 INCH WINNEBAGO IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

AKREIN

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KLOT [011153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 011153
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
553 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0552 AM SNOW OHARE AIRPORT 41.98N 87.90W
03/01/2014 M0.6 INCH COOK IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

AKREIN

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KTFX [011145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011145
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
445 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0156 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
03/01/2014 M-41.0 F GLACIER MT ASOS

WIND CHILL -41 AT THE CUT BANK AIRPORT.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [011142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011142
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
442 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0210 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 8 WNW WHITLASH 48.94N 111.43W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F TOOLE MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -40 AT SUNBURST APRSWXNET SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [011141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011141
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
441 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 14 NNW JOPLIN 48.74N 110.93W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F LIBERTY MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -40 AT CHESTER APRSWXNET SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [011139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011139
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
439 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM EXTR WIND CHILL TURNER 48.84N 108.41W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F BLAINE MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -40 AT TURNER AGRIMET SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KGSP [011137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 011137
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
637 AM EST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 AM SLEET ROCK HILL 34.94N 81.03W
03/01/2014 E0.0 INCH YORK SC PUBLIC


&&

$$

JAT

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KTFX [011136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011136
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
435 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WID CHILL -40 BELOW AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [011134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011134
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
434 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 23 N HAVRE 48.88N 109.68W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F HILL MT MESONET

WIND CHILL -40 BELOW AT MUD LAKE MCSCN SITE.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [011124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 011124
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
423 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM EXTR WIND CHILL 2 NW PENDROY 48.07N 112.33W
03/01/2014 M-40.0 F TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WIND CHILL -40 AT THE DOT SENSOR NEAR PENDROY.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KLOT [011118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 011118
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
517 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 AM SNOW WOODSTOCK 42.31N 88.44W
03/01/2014 M1.5 INCH MCHENRY IL CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

AKREIN

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KLOT [011110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 011110
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
510 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0509 AM SNOW GURNEE 42.38N 87.94W
03/01/2014 M1.5 INCH LAKE IL BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

AKREIN

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KSGX [011049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 011049
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
249 AM PST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1137 AM NON-TSTM WND GST IMPERIAL BEACH 32.57N 117.12W
02/28/2014 M51 MPH SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

ASOS STATION IMPERIAL BEACH (NAS) /NRS/


1044 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NW SAN DIEGO 32.73N 117.18W
02/28/2014 M45 MPH SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

ASOS STATION SAN DIEGO LINDBERGH /SAN/


0302 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NW CAMP PENDLETON SOUT33.29N 117.46W
02/28/2014 M43 MPH SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

ASOS STATION RED BEACH AIRPORT /NXF/


0340 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SE CAMP PENDLETON SOUT33.22N 117.35W
02/28/2014 M41 MPH SAN DIEGO CA ASOS

ASOS STATION OCEANSIDE AIRPORT /OKB/



&&

$$

NWS SAN DIEGO CA
IRIS SYSTEM

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KSLC [011046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 011046
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
345 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CEDAR CITY 37.66N 112.84W
02/28/2014 M78 MPH IRON UT MESONET

BRIAN HEAD 2S - 10472 FT

1130 PM NON-TSTM WND GST COVE FT 38.59N 112.49W
02/28/2014 M62 MPH SEVIER UT MESONET

CLEAR CREEK SUMMIT I70 - 7103 FT

1145 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MILFORD 38.42N 113.01W
02/28/2014 M58 MPH BEAVER UT MESONET

MILFORD MUNICIPAL AIRPORT - 5039 FT

1200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PARK CITY 40.61N 111.53W
03/01/2014 M71 MPH SUMMIT UT MESONET

DEER VLY - EMPIRE PK - 9570 FT

1200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ALTA 40.59N 111.65W
03/01/2014 M59 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

CARDIFF PEAK - 10059 FT

1208 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MONROE 38.63N 112.06W
03/01/2014 M88 MPH SEVIER UT MESONET

SIGNAL PEAK - 8792 FT

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SCIPIO 39.20N 112.17W
03/01/2014 M61 MPH MILLARD UT MESONET

I-15 AT SCIPIO SUMMIT - 5960 FT

0100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ALTA 40.57N 111.64W
03/01/2014 M78 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

CENTRAL WASATCH PEAKS - 11066 FT

0120 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EUREKA 39.96N 112.10W
03/01/2014 M85 MPH JUAB UT MESONET

U.S. 6 AT EUREKA - 6584 FT

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VERNON 40.13N 112.38W
03/01/2014 M60 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

VERNON HILL - 5761 FT

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BAUER 40.46N 112.37W
03/01/2014 M58 MPH TOOELE UT MESONET

STOCKTON BAR - 5161 FT

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST KIMBALL JCT 40.75N 111.62W
03/01/2014 M64 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

PARLEYS SUMMIT - 7040 FT

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BRIGHTON 40.61N 111.54W
03/01/2014 M80 MPH SUMMIT UT MESONET

PARK CITY - JUPITER - 10024 FT

0230 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SUNDANCE 40.37N 111.59W
03/01/2014 M64 MPH UTAH UT MESONET

SUNDANCE - ARROWHEAD - 8251 FT

0232 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MAGNA 40.73N 112.21W
03/01/2014 M73 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

GREAT SALT LAKE MARINA - 4206 FT

0258 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BURNTFORK 40.81N 110.07W
03/01/2014 M61 MPH DUCHESNE UT MESONET

CHEPETA - 12120 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNOWBASIN 41.20N 111.86W
03/01/2014 M70 MPH WEBER UT MESONET

SNOWBASIN - WILDCAT - 7703 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ALTA 40.57N 111.63W
03/01/2014 M60 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

CENTRAL WASATCH PEAKS - 10443 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SNYDERVILLE 40.69N 111.59W
03/01/2014 M62 MPH SUMMIT UT MESONET

CANYONS - CONDOR - 8999 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST TRIAL LK 40.73N 110.89W
03/01/2014 M77 MPH SUMMIT UT MESONET

LOFTY LAKE PEAK - 11186 FT

0300 AM NON-TSTM WND GST TRIAL LK 40.84N 111.02W
03/01/2014 M82 MPH SUMMIT UT MESONET

WINDY PEAK - 10662 FT

0308 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SANDY 40.55N 111.80W
03/01/2014 M60 MPH SALT LAKE UT MESONET

SANDY - 5161 FT

0316 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LEROY 41.30N 110.64W
03/01/2014 M58 MPH UINTA WY MESONET

LEROY - 6886 FT

&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

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KGSP [011030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 011030
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
530 AM EST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 AM SLEET DUNCAN 34.94N 82.14W
03/01/2014 E0.0 INCH SPARTANBURG SC PUBLIC


&&

$$

JAT

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KGSP [011028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 011028
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
528 AM EST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 AM SLEET GSP AIRPORT 34.88N 82.22W
03/01/2014 M0.0 INCH SPARTANBURG SC NWS OFFICE


&&

$$

JAT

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KGRB [011016]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 011016
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
416 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0414 AM SNOW GREEN BAY 44.51N 88.00W
03/01/2014 M4.8 INCH BROWN WI NWS EMPLOYEE

SE PART OF THE CITY


&&

$$

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KHNX [011011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 011011
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
211 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 AM DEBRIS FLOW 1 NNW FANCHER CREEK 36.92N 119.51W
03/01/2014 FRESNO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CALIFORNIA HIGHWAY PATROL REPORTED A MUD/ROCK FLOW ON
EASTBOUND STATE ROUTE 168 AT THE FOUR LANE.


&&

$$

SANGER

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KLOX [010945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010945
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
145 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0328 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WNW CLAREMONT 34.16N 117.80W
02/28/2014 M58 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

JOHNSTONE PEAK HAD A GUST OF 58 MPH FROM THE SOUTH.
ELEVATION IS 3200 FT.

0254 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N ALTADENA 34.27N 118.15W
02/28/2014 M58 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

CLEAR CREEK RAWS SITE. WIND GUST 58 MPH FROM THE SE.
ELEVATION IS AT 3000 FT.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010938
SWOD48
SPC AC 010938

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS -- D6/THU-D7/FRI...
THE CONSENSUS AMONGST MEDIUM-RANGE DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS FOR A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE TO AMPLIFY OVER THE PLAINS
DURING MIDDLE/LATTER PORTIONS OF THIS UPCOMING WEEK AND INTERACT
WITH A REMNANT SFC BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. SOME MODEL
SOLUTIONS SUGGEST THAT THIS PROCESS COULD INDUCE STRONG CYCLOGENESIS
OVER THE GULF WATERS...YIELDING POLEWARD FLUXES OF SUBTROPICAL
MOISTURE OVER THE FL PENINSULA/KEYS FOR LATE WEEK. WITH STRONG
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW HAVING THE POTENTIAL TO COINCIDE WITH ANY
CYCLONE-RELATED WARM SECTOR...SVR STORMS COULD BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND KEYS. SVR PROBABILITIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE
NEEDED IN SUBSEQUENT OUTLOOKS. HOWEVER...ONGOING DISPERSION AMONGST
MODEL SOLUTIONS REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
FEATURES AND QUALITY OF WARM-SECTOR MOISTURE/BUOYANCY REMAIN TOO
SUBSTANTIAL FOR THE DELINEATION OF ANY AOA-30-PERCENT SVR
THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..COHEN.. 03/01/2014

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KLOX [010937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010937
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
136 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0757 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 SSW CASTAIC LAKE 34.57N 118.74W
02/28/2014 M59 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

WHITAKER PEAK RAWS SITE. A GUST OF 59 MPH FROM THE SOUTH.
ELEVATION IS AT 4120 FEET.

0355 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S PALMDALE 34.54N 118.10W
02/28/2014 M63 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

LAKE PALMDALE RAWS SITE HAD A GUST OF 63 MPH FROM THE W.
ELEVATION IS 2980 FT.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KLOX [010915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010915
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
115 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1053 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NNE MOUNT WILSON 34.33N 118.03W
02/28/2014 M91 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

CHILAO RAWS SITE RECORDED A GUST OF 91 MPH FROM THE SE.
ELEVATION AT 5450 FT.

0153 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N ALTADENA 34.27N 118.15W
02/28/2014 M81 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

MILL CREEK RAWS SITE. WIND GUST OF 81 MPH OCCURRED FROM
THE SOUTH. ELEVATION IS 3000 FT.

0229 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 N GLENDALE 34.27N 118.24W
02/28/2014 M72 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

MT LUKENS WIND GAGE HAD A GUST OF 72 MPH FROM THE SOUTH.
THE ELEVATION IS 5070 FT

0554 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW ACTON 34.45N 118.20W
02/28/2014 M71 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

ACTON RAWS SITE. A GUST OF 71 MPH OCCURRED FROM THE
SOUTH.

0555 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NNE SAN FERNANDO 34.35N 118.42W
02/28/2014 M80 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

CAMP 9 RAWS SITE HAD A GUST OF 80 MPH FROM THE SOUTH.
ELEVATION IS 4000 FT.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KLOX [010815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010815
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
1215 AM PST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 ESE GLENDALE 34.16N 118.22W
02/28/2014 LOS ANGELES CA BROADCAST MEDIA

DEBRIS FLOW FROM A SMALL BURN AREA IN THE FOOTHILLS NEAR
GLENDALE.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KMSO [010801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 010801
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
100 AM MST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 PM AVALANCHE 1 ENE MISSOULA 46.88N 113.97W
02/28/2014 MISSOULA MT BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 3 INJ ***
AN AVALANCHE RELEASED FROM MOUNT JUMBO AND
CRASHED INTO A TWO STORY HOME AT THE FOOT OF
THE MOUNTAIN. THREE INDIVIDUALS IN THE HOME
WERE BURIED. AFTER AN EXTENSIVE SEARCH, ALL
THREE VICTIMS WERE FOUND ALIVE WITH
INJURIES. THE EXTENT OF INJURIES ARE NOT
KNOWN AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT.



&&

$$

NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM

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KLOX [010752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010752
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
1152 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 S BURBANK 34.18N 118.32W
02/28/2014 LOS ANGELES CA BROADCAST MEDIA

LARGE TREE OVER 80 YEARS OLD FELL ON A HOME NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF MAGNOLIA BLVD AND N.BEACHWOOD DR.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KLOX [010741]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010741
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
1141 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ENE AZUSA 34.15N 117.86W
02/28/2014 LOS ANGELES CA BROADCAST MEDIA

FLASH FLOOD OCCURRED AT THE COLBY BURN AREA. 2 GARAGES
WERE DAMAGED ON EASLY CANYON IN GLENDORA.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KMSO [010738]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 010738
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1238 AM MST SAT MAR 1 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 AM SNOW 5 NW MISSOULA 46.92N 114.08W
03/01/2014 M5.4 INCH MISSOULA MT PUBLIC

24HR TOTAL OF 5.4 INCHES OF SNOW WITH A 48HR
TOTAL OF 9.1 INCHES SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010738
SWODY3
SPC AC 010737

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0137 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC TO THE CNTRL GULF
COAST EARLY MON MORNING AND MOVE SEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...CLEARING
ALL OF THE SERN CONUS ASIDE FROM THE FL PENINSULA BY EARLY TUES. AS
A FRONTAL WAVE INITIALLY OVER THE CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS ADVANCES
ENEWD AND AWAY FROM HIGHER THETA-E AIR TO THE S...ANY PRE-FRONTAL
BUOYANCY CAPABLE OF SUPPORTING ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE CONFINED TO
THE CNTRL GULF COAST AND VICINITY MON MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY COULD
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AS DEEP SHEAR IS ENHANCED BY THE TAIL END OF A
MID-LEVEL JET CORE MOVING OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. HOWEVER...POOR
TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD
MITIGATE THE SVR POTENTIAL.

ALSO...ISENTROPIC ASCENT PRECEDING A LOW-AMPLITUDE SRN-STREAM
IMPULSE MAY SPREAD ACROSS CNTRL/SRN TX ATOP A SFC-BASED COLD DOME.
MODEST ELEVATED MOISTURE RETURN BENEATH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
COULD SUPPORT SOME THUNDER POTENTIAL...MAINLY FOR MON NIGHT. THE
LACK OF RICHER MOISTURE AND LIMITED DEEP ASCENT WILL LARGELY
PRECLUDE ANY SVR RISK.

OTHERWISE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE UNLIKELY ACROSS THE CONUS WITH
STABLE/DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE.

..COHEN.. 03/01/2014

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KTFX [010718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 010718
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1218 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM SNOW HELENA 46.60N 112.02W
02/28/2014 E4.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 4 INCHES OF NEW SNOW IN THE PAST 24 HOURS IN
THE DOWNTOWN AREA.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [010717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 010717
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1217 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW 2 ENE HELENA 46.61N 111.99W
03/01/2014 M3.0 INCH LEWIS AND CLARK MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL OF 3 INCHES SINCE 5 PM THURSDAY EVENING.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [010716]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 010716
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1216 AM MST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW 5 SW GREAT FALLS 47.46N 111.38W
03/01/2014 M3.1 INCH CASCADE MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL OF 3.1 INCHES OF SINCE 6 PM THURSDAY
EVENING.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KSGX [010712]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010712
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1111 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM TSTM WND DMG CHULA VISTA 32.64N 117.08W
02/28/2014 SAN DIEGO CA BROADCAST MEDIA

ABC NEWS 10 REPORTS STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OF 60 MPH WHICH
BROUGHT DOWN A LARGE TREE ONTO A CONDOMINIUM IN CHULA
VISTA.


&&

$$

SHARRISO

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KVEF [010707]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 010707
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1107 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM NON-TSTM WND GST RACHEL 37.63N 115.72W
02/28/2014 M55 MPH LINCOLN NV MESONET

CMP19 REPORTS GUST TO 55 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 4850 FT.
ALSO RECEIVED REPORTS OF MINOR WIND RELATED DAMAGE TO
PARTS OF TOWN.


&&

$$

COUTLER

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KGJT [010659]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 010659
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1159 PM MST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1158 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SW SWAMP ANGEL 37.88N 107.74W
02/28/2014 M81 MPH SAN JUAN CO MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1400668

$$

RENWICK

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010650
SWODY2
SPC AC 010649

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1249 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
TEXAS...LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WESTERN AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI...

...SYNOPSIS...
A DEEP CYCLONE CURRENTLY CENTERED OFF THE CNTRL CA COAST WILL HAVE
DEVOLVED INTO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHICH WILL ADVANCE FROM THE SRN
ROCKIES TO THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY ON D2/SUN. WHILE THIS FEATURE WILL
DE-AMPLIFY IN CONFLUENT FLOW ALOFT...DISTURBANCE-PRECEDING ASCENT
WILL SUPPORT THE ENEWD PROGRESSION OF A WAVE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE
OF SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR FROM N-CNTRL TX TO THE ARKLATEX TO THE
CNTRL/SRN APPALACHIANS. A SFC DRYLINE WILL EXTEND S OF THE FRONTAL
WAVE OVER CNTRL/SRN TX AND WILL BE OVERTAKEN BY THE ARCTIC AIR
ADVANCING SWD BEHIND THE WAVE. E OF THE DRYLINE...A STRENGTHENING
LLJ WILL ENCOURAGE THE POLEWARD TRANSPORT OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTO
ERN PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY. SFC ANALYSIS
REVEALS THE INITIAL STAGES OF THIS PROCESS...WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
LOWER/MIDDLE 60S PRESENTLY REACHING THE LOWER TX COAST.

...ERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EWD TO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...
ISOLATED ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS -- PERHAPS WITH SVR HAIL -- ROOTED
ATOP THE SHALLOW ARCTIC AIR MAY BE ONGOING SUN MORNING ACROSS PARTS
OF FAR SRN OK AND NRN TX. SIMILAR ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST AS FAR AS
100-150 MILES /OR MORE/ BEHIND THE SWD/SEWD-MOVING SFC BOUNDARY
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL OCCUR AS ISENTROPIC ASCENT AND
ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACCOMPANYING THE LLJ PERSIST BENEATH
H7-H5 LAPSE RATES AROUND 7-7.5 C/KM AND 50-70-KT H5 WSWLY/S.

MEANWHILE...DIURNAL HEATING OF MIDDLE-60S SFC DEWPOINTS BENEATH AN
EML PLUME ORIGINATING FROM THE NRN MEXICAN PLATEAU WILL YIELD
MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY E OF THE DRYLINE DURING THE
AFTERNOON. WHILE THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE COVERAGE OF
SFC-BASED CONVECTION...MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS PRECEDING THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD THIS INSTABILITY THROUGH THE DAY.
THIS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCE FOR
CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE SFC FRONT AND ON
THE PERIPHERY OF STRONGER CAPPING ACCOMPANYING THE EML PLUME -- I.E.
FROM THE ARKLATEX TO NERN/E-CNTRL TX. THIS ACTIVITY WOULD SPREAD
EWD/SEWD TO PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY THROUGH SUN NIGHT AS THE
ARCTIC BOUNDARY SHIFTS SEWD...AND WILL YIELD A HIGHER SVR POTENTIAL
FROM ERN TX TO LA AND ACROSS FAR SRN AR.

STRONG DEEP SHEAR OWING TO STRENGTHENING MID-LEVEL FLOW WOULD
ENCOURAGE THE ORGANIZATION OF SFC-BASED CONVECTION...WITH INITIALLY
MIXED SUPERCELL/QLCS MODES OVER ERN TX TRANSITIONING TO MORE LINEAR
MODES FARTHER E. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SVR HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERNS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...WITH THE DMGG-WIND POTENTIAL
PERHAPS BECOMING OF GREATER CONCERN AS STORMS SPREAD ACROSS PARTS OF
LA. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR BENEATH 40-55 KT OF SWLY H85-H7 FLOW WILL
EXIST AND ALSO YIELD SOME POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THERE MAY BE A
TENDENCY FOR THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY TO UNDERCUT INITIALLY SFC-BASED
CONVECTION. HOWEVER...FAST MID-LEVEL FLOW CONSISTING OF AT LEAST
SOME BOUNDARY-ORTHOGONAL COMPONENT S OF THE FRONTAL WAVE MAY
MAINTAIN NEAR-SFC-BASED CONVECTION. ANY FRONT-UNDERCUT CONVECTION
WOULD STILL SUPPORT A HAIL RISK.

AS THE FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPS ENEWD AND AWAY FROM RICHER LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE/BUOYANCY WHILE WEAKENING SUN NIGHT...AND THE ARCTIC
BOUNDARY PINCHES OFF THE NRN EXTENT OF RETURNING MOISTURE...THE SVR
POTENTIAL WILL LESSEN ACROSS ERN PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
HOWEVER...SOME SVR POTENTIAL WILL EXIST AS FAR E AS SRN MS AND SERN
LA LATE SUN NIGHT AS THE LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED COLD
POOLS INTERCEPT RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.

..COHEN.. 03/01/2014

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KSGX [010641]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 010641
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
1041 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM DUST STORM 5 SE BORREGO SPRINGS 33.19N 116.28W
02/28/2014 SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

DUST/SAND STORM IN BORREGO SPRINGS. VISIBILITY REDUCED TO
A QUARTER MILE WITH WINDS GUSTING TO 45 MPH.


&&

$$

SHARRISO

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KLOX [010628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 010628
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
1028 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE SAN FERNANDO 34.27N 118.39W
02/28/2014 LOS ANGELES CA BROADCAST MEDIA

FLASH FLOODING CAUSED A CAR TO GET TRAPPED IN LAKE VIEW
TERRACE. AROUND FOOTHILL BLVD AND GLADSTONE AVE. LADY WAS
RESCUED WITH NO INJURY.

0924 PM FLASH FLOOD 14 E CASTAIC LAKE 34.68N 118.45W
02/28/2014 LOS ANGELES CA BROADCAST MEDIA

SOME DEBRIS FLOWS OCCURRED AROUND LAKE HUGHES IN THE
POWRHOUSE BURN AREA. 13 HOMES WERE EVACTUED. NO
INJURIES.RAINFALL RATES WERE NOT HIGH IN THAT AREA...BUT
COULD HAVE OCCURED FROM NEARBY MOUNTAIN RUNOFF.


&&

$$

KAPLAN

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KDVN [010625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 010625
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1224 AM CST SAT MAR 01 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW INDEPENDENCE 42.47N 91.89W
02/28/2014 E2.5 INCH BUCHANAN IA PUBLIC

SOCIAL MEDIA

1200 AM SNOW DUBUQUE REGIONAL AIRPOR 42.40N 90.72W
03/01/2014 M1.2 INCH DUBUQUE IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

DLF

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KPIH [010615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 010615
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1115 PM MST FRI FEB 28 2014

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1114 PM SNOW 3 ENE DRIGGS 43.75N 111.05W
02/28/2014 M4.5 INCH TETON ID PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL SINCE YESTERDAY AT THE STATE
LINE.



&&

$$

NWS POCATELLO ID
IRIS SYSTEM

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KVEF [010613]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 010613
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1012 PM PST FRI FEB 28 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 W LAS VEGAS 36.18N 115.21W
02/28/2014 U0.00 INCH CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

RAIN CAUSED A POWER OUTAGE NEAR WASHINGTON AND DECATUR.
1263 CUSTOMERS LOST POWER FOR ABOUT 20 MINUTES.

0416 PM HEAVY RAIN 11 ENE NORTH LAS VEGAS 36.32N 114.95W
02/28/2014 U0.00 INCH CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

RAIN SHORTED OUT A SENSOR IN A UNION PACIFIC CROSSING
SENSOR ALONG LAS VEGAS BLVD CAUSING THE CROSSING ARMS TO
MALFUNCTION.

0503 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NE MT. CHARLESTON 36.32N 115.57W
02/28/2014 M77.00 MPH CLARK NV MESONET

A SENSOR AT AN ELEVATION OF 8818 FT RECORDED A PEAK GUST
OF 77 MPH AT 1702. GUSTS OVER 70 MPH REPORTED FROM 1632
UNTIL 1832.

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN LAS VEGAS 36.17N 115.15W
02/28/2014 U0.00 INCH CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 8 INJ *** SINCE 3 PM METRO HAS RESPONDED TO 43
ACCIDENTS DUE TO THE RAIN.


&&

$$

METZGER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010551
SWODY1
SPC AC 010550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 PM CST FRI FEB 28 2014

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE MID/UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE U.S.CONTINUES TO TREND MORE
ZONAL...WITH THE COLD VORTEX NOW CENTERED NEAR HUDSON BAY GENERALLY
CONFINED TO THE EASTERN CANADIAN PROVINCES. HOWEVER...A VERY COLD
RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE...WHICH CONTINUES TO BUILD TO THE LEE
OF THE CANADIAN AND NORTHERN U.S. ROCKIES...IS IN THE PROCESS OF
NOSING SOUTHEASTWARD...AND ITS SHALLOW LEADING EDGE IS EXPECTED TO
ADVANCE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...OZARK PLATEAU AND TEXAS SOUTH
PLAINS BY 12Z SUNDAY. IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL OCCUR COINCIDENT
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN INCREASINGLY SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OF
MOISTURE ON SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IN THE
WAKE OF ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH CENTER SHIFTING OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST.


THE MOISTURE RETURN COULD CONTRIBUTE TO CONSIDERABLE DESTABILIZATION
BENEATH STEEPENING LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND OZARK PLATEAU...INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
AND LOWER OHIO VALLEYS. HOWEVER...UPPER RIDGING DOWNSTREAM OF A
SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH MIGRATING INLAND ACROSS THE CALIFORNIA
COAST MAY SUPPRESS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD.

MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE CONSIDERABLE WEAKENING OF THE UPPER
TROUGH AND EMBEDDED LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC CYCLONE WILL OCCUR AS IT
ADVANCES INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES TODAY. A RELATIVELY
COLD MID-LEVEL AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION FOR
A CONTINUING RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NEAR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
COASTAL AREAS...AND ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN PLATEAU INTO
THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. BUT IT GENERALLY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT AN APPRECIABLE SEVERE STORM THREAT...AS DEEP LAYER WIND
FIELDS AND SHEAR WITH THE UPPER IMPULSE BECOME MORE MODEST.

...PARTS OF S CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU...
THE LATEST AVAILABLE HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL OUTPUT REMAINS UNCLEAR
CONCERNING THE DEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TONIGHT. BUT IT
DOES NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT STEEPENING ISENTROPIC
ASCENT WITHIN A MOISTENING ENVIRONMENT ALONG THE SOUTHWARD ADVANCING
LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC FRONTAL ZONE COULD INITIATE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. THIS SEEMS MOST PROBABLE AS THE LEADING EDGE
OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER
TROUGH BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER 02/06Z. GIVEN THE
CONDITIONAL AND CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY EVIDENT IN FORECAST
SOUNDINGS...EVEN ABOVE/TO THE NORTH OF THE SHALLOW LEADING EDGE OF
THE COLD/STABLE SURFACE BASED AIR MASS...THERE STILL SEEMS AT LEAST
SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE HAIL...AS THE CONVECTIVE LAYER SHOULD BE
CHARACTERIZED BY FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR.

..KERR/ROGERS.. 03/01/2014

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