Sunday, August 25, 2013

KGJT [252358]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 252358
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
558 PM MDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM FLOOD BLUFF 37.28N 109.56W
08/25/2013 SAN JUAN UT CO-OP OBSERVER

LIGHT RAIN THROUGH THE MORNING... HEAVY RAIN 2 PM TO 3
PM. 1.85 INCHES. SAND BAGGING IN TOWN... WITH FLOODING
FROM BLUFF SOUTH TO SAND ISLAND AND ALONG HWY 191.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301415

$$

BK

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KSGX [252349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 252349
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
449 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 W BORREGO SPRINGS 33.24N 116.41W
08/25/2013 SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED OVER HIGHWAY S-22 BETWEEN
BORREGO SPRINGS AND RANCHITA. NUMEROUS LARGE BOULDERS
BLOCKED THE ROADWAY WITH OTHER DEBRIS AND RUNNING WATER
IN THE ROADWAY.

0425 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S RANCHITA 33.14N 116.52W
08/25/2013 SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

18 INCHES OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY S-2 AT VALLECITOS CREEK.

0425 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SE AGUA CALIENTE SPRI 32.90N 116.24W
08/25/2013 SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

18 INCHES OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY S-2 NEAR CANEBRAKE.

0440 PM FLASH FLOOD INDIO 33.72N 116.23W
08/25/2013 RIVERSIDE CA BROADCAST MEDIA

WIDESPREAD FLOODING REPORTED IN INDIO. SEVERAL ROADS
CLOSED WITH NUMEROUS MOTORISTS STRANDED.


&&

$$

BM

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KPSR [252341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 252341
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
441 PM MST SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD COTTONWOOD VISITOR CENT 33.75N 115.79W
08/25/2013 RIVERSIDE CA OTHER FEDERAL

FLOODING REPORTED BY PARK HOST AT VISITOR CENTER.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300142

$$

MCLANE

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KFGF [252331]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 252331
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
631 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM HAIL LAKE GEORGE 47.20N 94.99W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH HUBBARD MN EMERGENCY MNGR

REPORT RELAYED FROM BELTRAMI COUNTY EM


&&

$$

DKELLENB

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KGJT [252321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 252321
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
521 PM MDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HEAVY RAIN GATEWAY 38.68N 108.97W
08/25/2013 M0.78 INCH MESA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR RAINFALL.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301414

$$

BK

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KSLC [252319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 252319
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
519 PM MDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0517 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 SW SPRINGDALE 37.16N 113.02W
08/25/2013 WASHINGTON UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

FLASH FLOODING ACROSS MANY CANYONS IN ZION NATIONAL PARK.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF OVER AN INCH IN MANY PLACES.


&&

$$

BMCINERN

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KVEF [252319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KVEF 252319
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
418 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ESE WEST WIND AERO 34.13N 115.91W
08/25/2013 SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED FLOWING WATER WITH DEBRIS UP TO 6 TO 8
INCHES DEEP ACROSS HIGHWAY 62 BETWEEN STEGG ROAD AND
SHELTON ROAD. CORRECTED EXACT LOCATION OF REPORT.


&&

$$

JH

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KVEF [252315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 252315
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
415 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0308 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 NNW SUMMERLIN 36.31N 115.37W
08/25/2013 CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

NHP HAS CLOSED KYLE CANYON RD DUE TO WATER OVER THE
ROADWAY.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [252314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 252314
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
413 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 E TWENTYNINE PALMS 34.14N 115.94W
08/25/2013 SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER AND DEBRIS OVER THE ROAD.


&&

$$

MORGAN

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KVEF [252312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 252312
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
412 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW FOSSIL RIDGE 36.37N 115.36W
08/25/2013 CLARK NV PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED THAT HIGHWAY 95 WAS FLOODED JUST NORTH OF
THE SNOW MOUNTAIN EXIT. TRAFFIC WAS STOPPED ON THE
HIGHWAY.


&&

$$

ASG

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KVEF [252310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 252310
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
409 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NNW CENTENNIAL HILLS 36.32N 115.29W
08/25/2013 CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL ROAD CLOSURES IN CENTENNIAL HILLS INCLUDING IRON
MOUNTAIN AND BRENT BETWEEN EL CAPITAN AND FORT APACHE.


&&

$$

MORGAN

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KSGX [252308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 252308
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
408 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM FLASH FLOOD RANCHO MIRAGE 33.76N 116.43W
08/25/2013 RIVERSIDE CA BROADCAST MEDIA

MOVIE THEATER IN RANCHO MIRAGE FLOODED AND EVACUATED.

0341 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 SW PALM DESERT 33.70N 116.41W
08/25/2013 RIVERSIDE CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

INTERSECTION OF PAISANO ROAD AND CHOLLA WAY WASHED OUT
WITH FLASH FLOODING OCCURRING.


&&

$$

BM

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KABR [252307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 252307
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
607 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0603 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NW SHAMBO RANCH 45.58N 101.91W
08/25/2013 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC

PEA SIZE HAIL ALSO OCCURRED. HAIL PILED IN DRIFTS.
WOODEN SWING-SET BLOWN APART...


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABR1300730

$$

NWS

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KVEF [252259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 252259
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
359 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 ESE WEST WIND AERO 34.12N 115.85W
08/25/2013 SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED FLOWING WATER WITH DEBRIS UP TO 6 TO 8
INCHES DEEP ACROSS HIGHWAY 62 BETWEEN STEGG ROAD AND
SHELTON ROAD.


&&

$$

JH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1772

ACUS11 KWNS 252254
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252253
SDZ000-NDZ000-260030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1772
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NW INTO N CNTRL SOUTH DAKOTA AND ADJACENT
S CNTRL/SERN NORTH DAKOTA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 252253Z - 260030Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SOME INCREASE IN SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL APPEARS POSSIBLE
ACROSS AT LEAST A SMALL AREA OF NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. IT DOES NOT SEEM PROBABLE THAT A WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED AT THE PRESENT TIME...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUED TO BE
MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN INCREASING THREAT THAT COULD
REQUIRE ONE.

DISCUSSION...SOME INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING
NORTH OF THE BLACK HILLS INTO AREAS NORTHWEST THROUGH NORTH OF FAITH
SD. THIS MAY BE IN RESPONSE TO FORCING FOR ASCENT AND WEAKENING OF
MID-LEVEL INHIBITION ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK PERTURBATION MIGRATING
NORTHEAST OF THE ROCKIES. THIS IS WITHIN BROADER SCALE ANTICYCLONIC
FLOW AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE STRONG LOWER CENTRAL
PLAINS SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS CONCERNING
STRENGTH OF THIS FORCING...AND HOW LONG IT WILL PERSIST...BUT THERE
APPEARS SOME SUGGESTION IN MODEL DATA THAT IT COULD CONTRIBUTE TO
MAINTENANCE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY INTO THE 00-03Z TIME
FRAME...WHILE CONTINUING NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL DAKOTAS.

WHILE CONVECTION APPEARS POSSIBLE AS FAR NORTH AS CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...POTENTIAL FOR STRONGEST STORM DEVELOPMENT SEEMS TO EXIST
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA...AROUND THE MOBRIDGE AREA...WHERE
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE APPEARS FOCUSED. IF CONVECTION DOES INDEED
PERSIST INTO THIS AREA...INFLOW OF INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
BOUNDARY LAYER AIR CHARACTERIZED BY CAPE IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG
PROBABLY WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR
BENEATH 30+ KT WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW IS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR/HART.. 08/25/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...BIS...UNR...

LAT...LON 45810148 46519830 45459864 44640044 44970202 45810148

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KSGX [252244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 252244
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
344 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0317 PM FLASH FLOOD RANCHO MIRAGE 33.76N 116.43W
08/25/2013 RIVERSIDE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGHWAY 111 AT INDIAN TRAIL DRIVE HAS 1 FOOT OF WATER IN
THE ROADWAY AT THE GUTTERS.

0327 PM HEAVY RAIN RANCHO MIRAGE 33.76N 116.43W
08/25/2013 M1.24 INCH RIVERSIDE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1.24 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 35 MINUTES NEAR THE
INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 111 AND INDIAN TRAIL.


&&

$$

BM

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KPDT [252242]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252242
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
342 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HEAVY RAIN S MADRAS 44.63N 121.13W
08/25/2013 U0.00 INCH JEFFERSON OR PUBLIC

VERY HEAVY RAIN CAUSED MINOR STREET FLOODING ON 2ND
STREET IN MADRAS...OVERWHELMING STORM DRAINS AND
DISLODGING MANHOLE COVERS.


&&

$$

AA

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KMFR [252241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 252241
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
340 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.73W
08/25/2013 M0.19 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN DURATION 12 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION 1.6 MILES FROM HWY 199 IN O BRIEN



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KEKA [252226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 252226
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
326 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM HAIL 1 S WEAVERVILLE 40.71N 122.94W
08/25/2013 M0.50 INCH TRINITY CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTS HEAVY RAIN AND HALF INCH
HAIL.


&&

$$

STP

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KPDT [252218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252218
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
317 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0313 PM TSTM WND DMG REDMOND 44.26N 121.17W
08/25/2013 DESCHUTES OR PUBLIC

SMALL LIMBS OFF JUNIPER TREES AND DIME SIZED HAIL IN
NORTH REDMOND.


&&

$$

ML

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KPDT [252215]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KPDT 252215
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
315 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM HAIL 5 W PRINEVILLE 44.31N 120.94W
08/25/2013 E1.25 INCH CROOK OR TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 26 AND LONE PINE RD. HEAVY RAIN
AND 1.25 INCH DIAMETER HAIL COVERING GROUND.


&&

$$

MVESCIO

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KPDT [252212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252212
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
312 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM HAIL 3 NE TERREBONNE 44.37N 121.14W
08/25/2013 M1.00 INCH DESCHUTES OR NWS EMPLOYEE

QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT SKULL HOLLOW CAMPGROUND.


&&

$$

AA

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KPDT [252208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252208
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
307 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL 4 NE KENT 45.24N 120.63W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH SHERMAN OR PUBLIC

0245 PM TSTM WND GST KENT 45.19N 120.69W
08/25/2013 E50.00 MPH SHERMAN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED WIND GUST TO 50 MPH. TRAMPOLINE LIFTED
AND MOVED OVER FENCE. ALSO 1/2 INCH HAIL.


&&

$$

ML

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KTBW [252205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 252205
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
605 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0602 PM TSTM WND GST 4 ESE TAMPA 27.93N 82.43W
08/25/2013 M45 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL C-MAN STATION

EAST BAY CAUSEWAY PORTS SITE MEASURED 39 KNOT WIND GUST.


&&

$$

OGLESBY

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KMFR [252204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 252204
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
303 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0302 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE ASHLAND 42.17N 122.66W
08/25/2013 M0.42 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN DURATION 15 HOURS OBSERVER
LOCATION 1M S ASHLAND; WEISINGER WINERY
(WORK)



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPDT [252202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252202
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
302 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL TUMALO 44.15N 121.33W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH DESCHUTES OR AMATEUR RADIO

QUARTER SIZED HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN WHILE DRIVING THROUGH
TUMALO. REPORTED BY KE7TMU...RELAYED BY CR-555.


&&

$$

AA

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KPDT [252158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252158
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
258 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM HAIL 2 NNW PRINEVILLE 44.33N 120.85W
08/25/2013 E1.25 INCH CROOK OR TRAINED SPOTTER

NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 26 AND LONE PINE RD. HEAVY RAIN
AND 1.25 INCH DIAMETER HAIL COVERING GROUND.


&&

$$

AA

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KAPX [252144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 252144
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
544 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM HEAVY RAIN SAULT STE. MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH CHIPPEWA MI PUBLIC

FELL BETWEEN 430 PM AND 515 PM. HIGH WATER ALSO REPORTED
ON ROADS.


&&

$$

NTS

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KPDT [252132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252132
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
232 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL 6 NE TERREBONNE 44.40N 121.09W
08/25/2013 E0.75 INCH JEFFERSON OR PUBLIC


&&

$$

ML

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KPDT [252126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252126
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
226 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0138 PM HAIL MADRAS 44.63N 121.13W
08/25/2013 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON OR PUBLIC

GOLFBALL HAIL BROKE WINDOWS AND DAMAGED PLAYGROUND
EQUIPMENT AT HOME ON NORTH SIDE OF MADRAS.


&&

$$

ML

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KFGF [252124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFGF 252124
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
424 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HAIL 7 S WARROAD 48.81N 95.32W
08/24/2013 M1.00 INCH ROSEAU MN PUBLIC

0737 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E ROSEAU 48.85N 95.70W
08/24/2013 ROSEAU MN TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF MULTIPLE 20-30 FT TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED
FROM RADAR.

0740 PM HAIL 4 S SALOL 48.81N 95.57W
08/24/2013 M2.00 INCH ROSEAU MN BROADCAST MEDIA

PUBLIC FACEBOOK REPORT RELAYED VIA MEDIA PARTNER.

0810 PM HAIL 2 SW WARROAD 48.89N 95.35W
08/24/2013 E1.00 INCH ROSEAU MN PUBLIC

QUARTER OR SLIGHTLY LARGER SIZED HAIL JUST AFTER 8 PM

0815 PM HAIL 7 WSW WARROAD 48.87N 95.46W
08/24/2013 E1.50 INCH ROSEAU MN PUBLIC

INFORMATION PASSED TO NWS VIA RELATIVES

0340 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 NE VALLEY CITY 46.98N 97.92W
08/25/2013 BARNES ND PUBLIC

HAIL AND WIND CAUSED SOME CROP DAMAGE. HAIL SIZE UNKNOWN.


0353 AM TSTM WND GST FARGO 46.88N 96.82W
08/25/2013 M59.00 MPH CASS ND ASOS

0355 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 W KRAGNES 46.99N 96.79W
08/25/2013 CLAY MN PUBLIC

GRAIN BIN UNDER CONSTRUCTION WAS BLOWN OVER. LARGE HAIL
TO NEAR GOLFBALL SIZE ALSO REPORTED VIA KVLY FACEBOOK
PAGE.

0455 AM HAIL 1 E CALLAWAY 46.98N 95.89W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

ESTIMATED HAIL OF AT LEAST QUARTER SIZE. SEVERAL BRANCHES
DOWN.


&&

$$

DKELLENB

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KPDT [252121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252121
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
221 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM HAIL 7 NE REDMOND 44.33N 121.07W
08/25/2013 E0.75 INCH CROOK OR PUBLIC


&&

$$

ML

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KTBW [252112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 252112
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
511 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND GST 1 WSW CHARLOTTE HARBOR 26.96N 82.08W
08/25/2013 M39 MPH CHARLOTTE FL MESONET

MESONET STATION 1 WSW CHARLOTTE HARBOR
/XCHL/



&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [252111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 252111
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
511 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM MARINE TSTM WIND SAULT STE. MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
08/25/2013 M39 MPH CHIPPEWA MI ASOS

MEASURED AT THE SAULT STE. MARIE AIRPORT.


&&

$$

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KSJT [252057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSJT 252057
LSRSJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
357 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM WILDFIRE 34 SW OZONA 30.34N 101.57W
08/23/2013 E300 ACRE CROCKETT TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

THE MITCHELL WHITE FIRE...WHICH STARTED ON FRIDAY
AUGUST 23RD...IN EXTREME SOUTHWEST CROCKETT COUNTY IS 85
PERCENT CONTAINED. ONE HOME WAS THREATENED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER SJT1300421

$$

SN

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1771

ACUS11 KWNS 252056
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252055
WIZ000-MNZ000-252200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1771
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0355 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MN...NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 252055Z - 252200Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION CONTINUES TO BE
MONITORED ACROSS CNTRL MN WITHIN THE NEXT 1-3 HRS. IF TSTMS
DEVELOP...A RISK FOR DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY EXIST AND
MAY REQUIRE A WW.

DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS AN EXPANDING AREA OF
BOUNDARY LAYER CU INVOF A WEAKLY CONVERGENT BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS
W-CNTRL AND N-CNTRL MN. A SUBTLE UPSTREAM IMPULSE WAS ALSO NOTED
NEAR ABR...AND WILL INTERSECT THE BOUNDARY IN THE NEXT 1-2 HRS.
WHILE LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT REMAINS MINIMAL WITH
NEAR-NEUTRAL MIDLEVEL HEIGHT CHANGES...THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE
INITIATION MAY INCREASE AS THE UPPER IMPULSE APPROACHES THE
AREA...AND TEMPERATURES HEAT INTO THE MID-90S F RESULTING IN
WEAKENING CINH. RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /SFC DEWPOINTS NEAR 70
F/ BENEATH STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES IS CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE
VALUES NEAR 1000-2000 J/KG...WITH HIGHER CAPE VALUES FARTHER S INTO
S-CNTRL MN. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR
STORM ORGANIZATION INTO MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR PERHAPS TRANSIENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DMGG WINDS SHOULD TSTMS DEVELOP....EVENTUALLY SPREADING E OR SEWD
INTO PARTS OF E-CNTRL MN AND PERHAPS NWRN WI. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

..ROGERS/THOMPSON.. 08/25/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...

LAT...LON 46449114 46019136 45849280 45749389 45809502 45989586
46319642 46819640 47409546 47589446 47549350 47399205
46449114

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KCHS [252048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 252048
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
448 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0446 PM RIP CURRENTS TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.86W
08/25/2013 CHATHAM GA LIFEGUARD

TYBEE ISLAND LIFEGUARDS REPORT SEVERAL RIP CURRENTS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. NONE WERE CLASSIFIED AS BEING
PARTICULARILY STRONG. 2 RESCUES WERE NECESSARY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1300868

$$

33

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KPDT [252047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252047
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
147 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE MADRAS 44.68N 121.06W
08/25/2013 JEFFERSON OR PUBLIC

ESTIMATED WIND 70-80 MPH, NUMEROUS IRRIGATION WHEEL LINES
DAMAGED. ALSO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0142 PM HAIL 1 SSE MADRAS 44.62N 121.12W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE

REPORTED BY OFF DUTY CWSU EMPLOYEE.


&&

$$

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KPDT [252042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 252042
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
142 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL MADRAS 44.63N 121.13W
08/25/2013 M1.00 INCH JEFFERSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED BY TRAINED SPOTTER.


&&

$$

MVESCIO

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1770

ACUS11 KWNS 252015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252014
ORZ000-252215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1770
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0314 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL OREGON

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 252014Z - 252215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING NWD THROUGH CNTRL OREGON THIS AFTERNOON
MAY POSE A MODEST RISK FOR ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND SMALL
HAIL. SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TOO MARGINAL FOR A WW ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...THIS AFTERNOON STORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN A BAND OF
ASCENT OVER SWRN OR ASSOCIATED WITH A NNEWD EJECTING VORTICITY
MAXIMUM. MID-LEVEL AND LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE RATHER WEAK WHERE
STORMS ARE CURRENTLY FORMING. HOWEVER...MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
GRADUALLY STEEPEN WITH EWD EXTENT INTO CNTRL/ERN OREGON AND WHERE
DIABATIC WARMING IS ALSO CONTRIBUTING TO STEEPER LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND MLCAPE TO 500 J/KG. A BELT OF STRONGER WINDS ALOFT /40 KT
AT 500 MB/ HAS RESULTED IN A CORRIDOR OF 30-35 KT SLY UNIDIRECTIONAL
DEEP SHEAR THAT COINCIDES WITH THE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT. THUS POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR STORMS TO
UNDERGO SOME INTENSIFICATION AS THEY DEVELOP NEWD THROUGH CNTRL/ERN
OREGON. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
SMALL TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH EARLY-MID EVENING.

..DIAL/THOMPSON.. 08/25/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOI...PDT...MFR...

LAT...LON 42912128 44352146 45252089 45521927 44891808 43561858
42561989 42912128

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 251955
SWODY1
SPC AC 251953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

VALID 252000Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY...

NO CHANGES ARE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE.

..BROYLES.. 08/25/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1217 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013/

CORRECTED FOR NDFD GENERAL TSTM POINTS

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE
CONUS...WITH EXCEPTION TO THE PACIFIC COAST WHERE A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH WILL SHIFT FROM CNTRL CA NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. MULTIPLE
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES ARE FORECAST TO PIVOT NEWD AND EWD FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AND ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF STRONGER ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. A WRN EXTENSION
OF A WEAK CANADIAN SFC FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED ACROSS MN AND THE
DAKOTAS...AND WILL SLOWLY SAG S/EWD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. VERY RICH
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER PARTS OF AZ AND SRN CA
N OF T.D. IVO.

...UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...
AN UNCERTAIN/CONDITIONAL RISK FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
UPPER GREAT LAKES. ONLY VERY WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE PRESENT
IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY NOTABLE UPPER IMPULSES OR MIDLEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS...PRIMARILY VIA LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND VERY WEAK SFC
CONVERGENCE ALONG A BOUNDARY SAGGING SEWD ACROSS NRN MN.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH 100 F THIS
AFTERNOON...AND A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WAS SAMPLED IN 12Z MPX AND INL
SOUNDINGS WITH PW VALUES EXCEEDING 1.8 INCHES. THIS AREA WILL ALSO
BE LOCATED ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF AN EML PLUME...WHICH WILL
SUPPORT MLCAPE VALUES OF 3000-4000 J/KG...ALTHOUGH WEAK CINH MAY
STILL EXIST DURING PEAK HEATING.

LATEST HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE LOCATION/TIMING OF CONVECTIVE
INITIATION THIS AFTERNOON. THE MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO APPEARS TO BE
TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON INVOF OF THE SFC BOUNDARY ACROSS
CNTRL MN AND NRN WI. MORNING VISIBLE LOOP ALSO SHOWS SOME HINT OF A
WEAK UPPER IMPULSE OVER WRN SD WITH THE PRESENCE OF A MIDLEVEL CU
FIELD...WHICH WILL LIKELY INTERSECT THE BOUNDARY DURING PEAK HEATING
OVER W-CNTRL MN AND COULD SUPPORT TSTM INITIATION. WEAK TO MODERATE
AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES SHOULD MAINLY SUPPORT
MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH
CONVECTION SHIFTING SEWD INTO THE EVENING...POSING A PRIMARY RISK
FOR DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

...INTERIOR PACIFIC NW AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH NEAR THE NRN CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
PROGRESS NEWD INTO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE PAC NW...CONTRIBUTING TO
TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF ORE/WA AND NRN ID THIS
AFTERNOON. MEAN 0-6 KM FLOW OF 20-30 KT...ALONG WITH STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW TSTM CLUSTERS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG TO ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...THE SVR
THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY...WITH
FORECAST MLCAPE VALUES GENERALLY BELOW 500 J/KG.

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MESO: Nws Weather Prediction Center College Park Md

AWUS01 KWNH 251949
FFGMPD
AZZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-CAZ000-260017-

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0223
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
348 PM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN AZ...SOUTHEAST CA...AND SOUTHERN NV

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 251947Z - 260017Z

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH RAINFALL RATES OF 2"+ PER
HOUR ARE INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND ORGANIZATION, WHICH ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY AND POTENTIALLY MERGE/TRAIN OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY IN THIS REGION.

DISCUSSION...TO THE WEST OF AN AREA OF STRATIFORM RAIN ACROSS
WESTERN AZ ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO, DIURNAL
HEATING HAS LED TO CAPE VALUES AROUND 1000 J/KG FROM THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY WESTWARD ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
LOW-LEVEL INFLOW, PER THE 18Z RAP RUN, IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS TOWARDS
20-30 KNOTS OUT OF THE SOUTH. THE LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR ACROSS THE
REGION IS NEAR THE BORDERLINE FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION -- BEYOND
WHAT WAS SEEN THIS TIME YESTERDAY -- WHICH INCREASES THE RISK OF
FLASH FLOODING. DIVERGENCE ALOFT IS BEING AIDED BY AN UPPER LEVEL
JET ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL CA AND NV. THE STORMS SHOULD BE
EFFICIENT RAIN MAKERS, AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.75-2.50
INCHES LIE ACROSS THE REGION, WHICH IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL, BEYOND
THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR LATE AUGUST, AND ABOVE THAT SEEN THIS TIME
YESTERDAY. WHILE 850-400 HPA MEAN WINDS IMPLY CELL MOTION OF
15-20 KNOTS TO THE NORTH, CORFIDI VECTORS ARE EVEN LIGHTER, ON THE
ORDER OF 5 KNOTS, WHICH COULD BE MORE RELEVANT PER THE EXPECTATION
OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION. SOME WESTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED SIMILAR
TO THIS TIME YESTERDAY, WITH MOVEMENT TOWARDS THE CURRENT
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GRADIENT NEAR THE 117TH MERIDIAN EXPECTED,
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. THE 12Z AFWA, 12Z EXREF MEAN, 06Z ARW, AND
06Z NMM SEEM TO HAVE THE BEST HANDLE OF THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT. CELL MERGERS/TRAINING COULD LEAD TO LOCAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2-4 INCHES WITHIN A SHORT TIME FRAME, WHICH IS CLOSE TO
THE ANNUAL AVERAGE RAINFALL FOR THE REGION. CONFIDENCE IN
REGIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS AS HIGH AS IT HAS BEEN FOR THIS REGION
DURING THIS YEAR'S MONSOON SEASON. REGIONAL FLASH FLOODING IS
CONSIDERED LIKELY.

ROTH

...PLEASE SEE WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGZ...SLC...PSR...VEF...SGX...

ATTN...RFC...CBRFC...CNRFC...

LAT...LON 33111671 33741706 34981706 36381655 37171546 37081362
35791322 33051393 32441489 32601614 33111671

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KVEF [251931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 251931
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1231 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1209 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 W MOHAVE VALLEY 34.92N 114.77W
08/25/2013 SAN BERNARDINO CA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

US 95 IS CLOSED DUE TO WATER FLOWING ACROSS THE ROADWAY
JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KVEF [251931]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KVEF 251931
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1230 PM PDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE YUCCA 34.85N 114.11W
08/24/2013 MOHAVE AZ PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTS BOULDERS WASHED ONTO ROAD NEAR ALAMO ROAD
AND BORIANA MINE ROAD IN YUCCA

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD 7 ESE YUCCA (C6399) 34.77N 113.98W
08/24/2013 MOHAVE AZ PUBLIC

ALAMO ROAD SOUTH OF YUCCA DAMAGED BY FLASH FLOOD

0905 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 ENE LAKE HAVASU CITY 34.49N 114.29W
08/24/2013 MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 6 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OVER
MCCULLOCH STREET IN HAVASU CITY

1055 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW GOLDEN VALLEY 35.23N 114.25W
08/24/2013 MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF FLOWING WATER WITH ROCKS AND DEBRIS AT THE
INTERSECTION OF CHINO DRIVE AND TEDDY ROOSEVELT ROAD IN
GOLDEN VALLEY.

1155 AM HAIL 8 N PIOCHE 38.05N 114.45W
08/24/2013 E0.75 INCH LINCOLN NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1230 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 NW SANDY VALLEY 35.88N 115.68W
08/24/2013 CLARK NV PUBLIC

SEVERAL INCHES OF WATER WITH ROCKS AND DEBRIS FLOWING
ACROSS PAHRUMP ROAD NEAR SANDY VALLEY.

1230 PM HAIL 3 NW SANDY VALLEY 35.83N 115.65W
08/24/2013 E1.00 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

REPORT VIA FACEBOOK

0213 PM DUST STORM 10 ESE DAGGETT (CLR11) 34.82N 116.61W
08/24/2013 SAN BERNARDINO CA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CHP REPORTS THAT A 3 VEHICLE ACCIDENT OCCURRED ON
INTERSTATE 40 NEAR THE FORT CADY ROAD EXIT. THIS ACCIDENT
WAS CAUSED BY REDUCED VISIBILITY ASSOCIATED WITH BLOWING
DUST. INTERSTATE 40 WAS CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS EAST OF
FORT CADY ROAD DUE TO REDUCED VISIBILITY FOR SEVERAL
HOURS.

0245 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNW TOPOCK 34.75N 114.48W
08/24/2013 MOHAVE AZ DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL INCHES OF WATER AND MUD FLOWING ACROSS THE
OATMAN-TOPOCK HIGHWAY AT THE SACRAMENTO WASH. OBSERVED
VIA WEBCAM.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KFGF [251829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 251829
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
128 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 NE VALLEY CITY 46.98N 97.92W
08/25/2013 BARNES ND PUBLIC

HAIL AND WIND CAUSED SOME CROP DAMAGE. HAIL SIZE UNKNOWN.


0355 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 W KRAGNES 46.99N 96.79W
08/25/2013 CLAY MN PUBLIC

GRAIN BIN UNDER CONSTRUCTION WAS BLOWN OVER. LARGE HAIL
TO NEAR GOLFBALL SIZE ALSO REPORTED VIA KVLY FACEBOOK
PAGE.

0455 AM HAIL 1 E CALLAWAY 46.98N 95.89W
08/25/2013 E1.00 INCH BECKER MN PUBLIC

ESTIMATED HAIL OF AT LEAST QUARTER SIZE. SEVERAL BRANCHES
DOWN.


&&

$$

JAM

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KPSR [251815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 251815
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1115 AM MST SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1112 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 E FORTUNA FOOTHILLS 32.65N 114.38W
08/25/2013 YUMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

EVIDENCE OF MAJOR FLOODING ACROSS COUNTY 15E ROAD FROM
LAST EVENINGS STORMS 1 2 MILE SOUTH OF I-8.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300141

$$

MP

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KFGF [251804]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 251804
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
104 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL 2 SW WARROAD 48.89N 95.35W
08/24/2013 E1.00 INCH ROSEAU MN PUBLIC

QUARTER OR SLIGHTLY LARGER SIZED HAIL JUST AFTER 8 PM


&&

$$

PJS

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KFGF [251746]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 251746
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1246 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM HAIL 7 WSW WARROAD 48.87N 95.46W
08/24/2013 E1.50 INCH ROSEAU MN PUBLIC

INFORMATION PASSED TO NWS VIA RELATIVES


&&

$$

PJS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 251724
SWODY2
SPC AC 251723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1223 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS
AND UPPER MS VALLEY...

...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT LAKES...
A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
CNTRL U.S. WITH THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE LOCATED IN THE UPPER
MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A LOW SHOULD BE LOCATED ACROSS SD WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDING EWD FROM THE LOW ACROSS
SCNTRL MN AND CNTRL WI INTO LOWER MI. A CAPPING INVERSION SHOULD
INHIBIT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS THE UPPER
MS VALLEY. THE CAP IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
WITH THE MODELS DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY. AS
CELLS INCREASE IN COVERAGE...A CONVECTIVE CLUSTER OR LINE MAY MOVE
SEWD ACROSS MN AND WI DURING THE EARLY TO MID EVENING...POSSIBLY
REACHING LOWER MI DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. OTHER STORMS MAY
DEVELOP FURTHER WEST IN THE DAKOTAS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE SFC
LOW.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 00Z/MON ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS AT ABERDEEN
SD...MINNEAPOLIS MN AND GREEN BAY SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
NEAR 70 F WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN MODERATE DESTABILIZATION BY EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON. MLCAPE IS ESTIMATED AROUND 2000 J/KG WHICH
COMBINED WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR AROUND 30 KT SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR A
SEVERE MULTICELL STORMS. LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OF 8.5 C/KM AND THE
VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER COULD BE FAVORABLE FOR COLD POOL
DEVELOPMENT. IN THIS CASE...THE ASSOCIATED LINE-SEGMENT WOULD HAVE A
WIND DAMAGE THREAT. HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH CELLS
THAT EXHIBIT ROTATION. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL LIKELY BE THE
STEEPER IN WCNTRL MN AND THE DAKOTAS SUGGESTING THE THREAT FOR HAIL
WILL BE GREATEST THERE.

..BROYLES.. 08/25/2013

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 251719
SWODY1
SPC AC 251717

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

VALID 251630Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...

CORRECTED FOR NDFD GENERAL TSTM POINTS

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO ENCOMPASS MOST OF THE
CONUS...WITH EXCEPTION TO THE PACIFIC COAST WHERE A WEAK UPPER
TROUGH WILL SHIFT FROM CNTRL CA NEWD INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. MULTIPLE
WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCES ARE FORECAST TO PIVOT NEWD AND EWD FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AND ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...ALONG
THE PERIPHERY OF STRONGER ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT. A WRN EXTENSION
OF A WEAK CANADIAN SFC FRONT WILL BE POSITIONED ACROSS MN AND THE
DAKOTAS...AND WILL SLOWLY SAG S/EWD THROUGHOUT THE DAY. VERY RICH
MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER PARTS OF AZ AND SRN CA
N OF T.D. IVO.

...UPPER MS VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES...
AN UNCERTAIN/CONDITIONAL RISK FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
UPPER GREAT LAKES. ONLY VERY WEAK FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE PRESENT
IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY NOTABLE UPPER IMPULSES OR MIDLEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS...PRIMARILY VIA LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND VERY WEAK SFC
CONVERGENCE ALONG A BOUNDARY SAGGING SEWD ACROSS NRN MN.
HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO APPROACH 100 F THIS
AFTERNOON...AND A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WAS SAMPLED IN 12Z MPX AND INL
SOUNDINGS WITH PW VALUES EXCEEDING 1.8 INCHES. THIS AREA WILL ALSO
BE LOCATED ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF AN EML PLUME...WHICH WILL
SUPPORT MLCAPE VALUES OF 3000-4000 J/KG...ALTHOUGH WEAK CINH MAY
STILL EXIST DURING PEAK HEATING.

LATEST HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH THE LOCATION/TIMING OF CONVECTIVE
INITIATION THIS AFTERNOON. THE MOST PROBABLE SCENARIO APPEARS TO BE
TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY LATE AFTERNOON INVOF OF THE SFC BOUNDARY ACROSS
CNTRL MN AND NRN WI. MORNING VISIBLE LOOP ALSO SHOWS SOME HINT OF A
WEAK UPPER IMPULSE OVER WRN SD WITH THE PRESENCE OF A MIDLEVEL CU
FIELD...WHICH WILL LIKELY INTERSECT THE BOUNDARY DURING PEAK HEATING
OVER W-CNTRL MN AND COULD SUPPORT TSTM INITIATION. WEAK TO MODERATE
AND NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES SHOULD MAINLY SUPPORT
MULTICELL CLUSTERS OR MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...WITH
CONVECTION SHIFTING SEWD INTO THE EVENING...POSING A PRIMARY RISK
FOR DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

...INTERIOR PACIFIC NW AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...
A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH NEAR THE NRN CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
PROGRESS NEWD INTO INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE PAC NW...CONTRIBUTING TO
TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF ORE/WA AND NRN ID THIS
AFTERNOON. MEAN 0-6 KM FLOW OF 20-30 KT...ALONG WITH STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW TSTM CLUSTERS CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING STRONG TO ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...THE SVR
THREAT WILL LIKELY BE LIMITED BY MARGINAL INSTABILITY...WITH
FORECAST MLCAPE VALUES GENERALLY BELOW 500 J/KG.

..ROGERS/THOMPSON.. 08/25/2013

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