MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0016

ACUS11 KWNS 072235
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072234
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-080000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0016
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0434 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KS/MUCH OF MO/CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 1...

VALID 072234Z - 080000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 1 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH #1 CONTINUES UNTIL 03Z FOR FAR SOUTHEAST KS/MUCH OF MO
INTO WEST CENTRAL IL...WITH A RISK OF TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS AND
SEVERE HAIL. PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL IL WILL BE
MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WATCH OR EASTWARD
EXTENSION.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES A STRONG SURFACE FRONT EXTENDING
FROM A SURFACE LOW ACROSS NORTHEAST IA...INTO SOUTH CENTRAL KS.
SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY...AN UNSEASONABLY WARM/MOIST AIRMASS
CONTINUES TO ADVECT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION
TOWARD THE OZARK PLATEAU/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. NEAR 70 F
TEMPERATURES/MID 50S F DEWPOINTS EXTEND AS FAR NORTH AS WEST CENTRAL
IL AS OF 22Z. AS OBSERVATIONAL SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS AND SHORT TERM
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST...INCREASING STORM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO
RESULT IN A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS
GUSTS/SEVERE HAIL ACROSS THE BULK OF TORNADO WATCH #1 THROUGH EARLY
EVENING...WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY MODEST
INSTABILITY/HIGH SHEAR.

ONGOING STORMS FROM CENTRAL MO INTO WEST CENTRAL IL HAVE A HISTORY
OF LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON...AND EVEN
WHERE STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO CLUSTER ACROSS NORTHEAST MO/WEST CENTRAL
IL...IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL FLOW FIELDS WITH 300-400 M2/S2 0-1 KM SRH
WILL FAVOR THE POSSIBILITY OF EMBEDDED LEWP DEVELOPMENT/LOW LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES...WITH A RISK FOR TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
WHILE STORMS ARE CURRENTLY MORE DISCRETE FARTHER SOUTHWEST ACROSS
SOUTHWEST MO/FAR SOUTHEAST KS...WEAKENING INHIBITION AND A
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION REGIME IS LIKELY TO
RESULT IN INCREASING STORM COVERAGE AND A MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
THREAT EARLY THIS EVENING.

.GUYER.. 01/07/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...ICT...

40349247 40459014 40248882 39578901 38279035 37159275
37069473 37159551 38129480 39159389

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KLSX [072235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072235
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
435 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM TSTM WND GST MEXICO 39.17N 91.87W
01/07/2008 E60.00 MPH AUDRAIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL ALSO REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

0405 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW HATTON 39.04N 92.05W
01/07/2008 CALLAWAY MO TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED WINDS OF 60 TO 70 MPH. SEVERAL MEDIUM TO LARGE
TREE LIMBS DOWN. TWO STORM DOORS WERE REMOVED FROM THE
HOUSE AND TOSSED 40 YARDS.

0420 PM HAIL 2 WNW FULTON 38.87N 91.99W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH CALLAWAY MO TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ALSO REPORTED.

&&

$$

TES

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KSGF [072234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 072234
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
434 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HAIL 2 S NOEL 36.52N 94.48W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH MCDONALD MO AMATEUR RADIO

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

WDAVIS

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KLSX [072234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072234
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
434 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM HAIL ASHLAND 38.77N 92.26W
01/07/2008 E1.50 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

STRONG WINDS OF 60 MPH IN ASSOCIATION WITH STORM.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KILX [072233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 072233
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
433 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0429 PM HAIL DUNCAN MILLS 40.33N 90.18W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH FULTON IL EMERGENCY MNGR

0432 PM HAIL ST. DAVID 40.49N 90.05W
01/07/2008 M0.75 INCH FULTON IL CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

GEELHART

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KSGF [072229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 072229
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
429 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM HAIL PINEVILLE 36.59N 94.38W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH MCDONALD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

WDAVIS

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KSGF [072225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 072225
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
425 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM HAIL NOEL 36.55N 94.48W
01/07/2008 E1.75 INCH MCDONALD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIND DRIVEN GOLF BALL HAIL DAMAGING WIND SHIELDS AND
HOMES IN NOEL AND SOUTHWEST CITY.

&&

$$

GAGAN

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KLOT [072220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072220
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
420 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TORNADO POPLAR GROVE 42.37N 88.82W
01/07/2008 BOONE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO HOUSES WITH MAJOR DAMAGE.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KMKX [072219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 072219
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
419 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TORNADO 3 NE NEW MUNSTER 42.61N 88.19W
01/07/2008 KENOSHA WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

IN WHEATLAND KENOSHA COUNTY. 370TH AVE AND 65TH ST.5
HOUSES HIT.

&&

$$

HENTZ

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KLSX [072217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072217
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
417 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0417 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 NE AUXVASSE 39.07N 91.83W
01/07/2008 AUDRAIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

ALONG HIGHWAY 54.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072212
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
412 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0328 PM HAIL LOVES PARK 42.34N 89.01W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072210
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
410 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM HAIL ASHLAND 38.77N 92.26W
01/07/2008 E1.75 INCH BOONE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072210
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
409 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM TSTM WND GST HEBRON 42.47N 88.43W
01/07/2008 E80 MPH MCHENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KHNX [072208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 072208
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
208 PM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 NE EDISON 35.40N 118.79W
01/07/2008 KERN CA BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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KLOT [072206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072206
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
406 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TORNADO POPLAR GROVE 42.37N 88.82W
01/07/2008 BOONE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND DAMAGE REPORTED NEAR 7061 CENTERVILLE RD. NORTH OF
POPLAR GROVE.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072205
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
405 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL 5 W KINGDOM CITY 38.95N 92.03W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH CALLAWAY MO TRAINED SPOTTER

WITH WIND ESTIMATES OF 40 MPH.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 3

WWUS20 KWNS 072202
SEL3
SPC WW 072202
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-080400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 3
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF NORTHEAST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF GROVE
OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES WEST OF POTEAU OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...WW 2...

DISCUSSION...WITH APPROACH OF VIGOROUS TROUGH NOW OVER NM...LOW
LEVEL FLOW WILL BACK AND ENHANCE SHEAR AND SUPERCELL POTENTIAL THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. CURRENTLY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
ERN OK IN AXIS OF FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WITH
POTENTIAL OF SUPERCELL AND TORNADOES IN THE NEAR TERM.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.

..HALES

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KLSX [072200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072200
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
400 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM TORNADO 2 SW MARION 38.67N 92.39W
01/07/2008 COLE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

VERY LOW WALL CLOUD ... POSSIBLE FUNNEL NEAR THE GROUND.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KDVN [072158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072158
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
358 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM HAIL MOLINE 41.49N 90.49W
01/07/2008 M0.50 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL. DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

JH2

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KLSX [072157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072157
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
357 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM HAIL W HANNIBAL 39.71N 91.38W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH MARION MO EMERGENCY MNGR

WESTERN EDGE OF HANNIBAL AT US 36 AND SHINN LANE.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072156
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
355 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0353 PM TORNADO N HARVARD 42.42N 88.62W
01/07/2008 MCHENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO REPORTED NORTH OF HARVARD CROSSING ROUTE 14. SEMI
TURNED OVER AND TRANSFORMER DOWN.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072154
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
354 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 4 NW MOUNT STERLING 40.03N 90.82W
01/07/2008 BROWN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCOMPANIED WITH ONE INCH HAIL.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLSX [072148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072148
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
348 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0346 PM HAIL N PAYSON 39.82N 91.24W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH ADAMS IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072147
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
347 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL MACHESNEY PARK 42.36N 89.04W
01/07/2008 E0.50 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLOT [072145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072145
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
345 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TORNADO POPLAR GROVE 42.37N 88.82W
01/07/2008 BOONE IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

PRELIMINARY PATH LENGTH OF 3 MILES.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072144
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
343 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

ON THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI COLUMBIA CAMPUS.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLSX [072143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072143
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
342 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0341 PM TORNADO 1 E CALIFORNIA 38.63N 92.55W
01/07/2008 MONITEAU MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072142
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
341 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TORNADO POPLAR GROVE 42.37N 88.82W
01/07/2008 BOONE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. A BARN AND APPLE ORCHARD
DAMAGED.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KEAX [072142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 072142
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
342 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0232 PM HAIL 6 S TIGHTWAD 38.23N 93.56W
01/07/2008 E1.75 INCH HENRY MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

AB

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KLOT [072137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072137
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
337 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM TORNADO POPLAR GROVE 42.37N 88.82W
01/07/2008 BOONE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TORNADO REPORTED ON THE GROUND.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072136
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
336 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0334 PM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

AT THE INTERSECTION OF COLLEGE AVENUE AND BUSINESS LOOP
70.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLSX [072135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072135
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
335 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL COLUMBIA 38.95N 92.33W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH BOONE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL TO DIME SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND WITH
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLSX [072128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072128
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
328 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM HAIL LIBERTY 39.88N 91.11W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH ADAMS IL TRAINED SPOTTER

STRONG WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH HAIL.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KHNX [072128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 072128
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
127 PM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW 10 W FRAZIER PARK 34.82N 119.12W
01/07/2008 M5.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 1 N FRAZIER PARK 34.83N 118.96W
01/07/2008 M5.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW 4 SW KEENE 35.20N 118.66W
01/07/2008 M3.2 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT BEAR VALLEY SPRINGS

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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KLOT [072127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072127
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
327 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM HAIL ROSCOE 42.42N 89.01W
01/07/2008 M0.75 INCH WINNEBAGO IL CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072127
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
327 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0322 PM HAIL SE QUINCY 39.93N 91.39W
01/07/2008 E1.75 INCH ADAMS IL BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLOT [072124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 072124
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
324 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL 2 N WINNEBAGO 42.30N 89.24W
01/07/2008 E0.25 INCH WINNEBAGO IL BROADCAST MEDIA

PEA SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLSX [072112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072112
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
312 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM HAIL TIPTON 38.65N 92.78W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH MONITEAU MO EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KBOI [072111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 072111
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
211 PM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM SNOW 10 NE BOISE 43.71N 116.08W
01/07/2008 M6.0 INCH BOISE ID NWS EMPLOYEE

NWS EMPLOYEE MEASURED 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AS OF 125 PM
MST.

0125 PM SNOW 1 N PINE 43.49N 115.31W
01/07/2008 M6.0 INCH ELMORE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW SINCE
MIDNIGHT...STILL SNOWING.

1241 PM SNOW 5 NNW GLENDALE 44.89N 116.44W
01/07/2008 M8.0 INCH ADAMS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 8 INCHES OF NEW SNOW BEGINNING
10 PM MST 1/06.

1224 PM SNOW 5 NNW BOISE 43.67N 116.26W
01/07/2008 E1.3 INCH ADA ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 1.3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AS OF
1224 PM MST.

1224 PM SNOW 4 E BANKS 44.09N 116.04W
01/07/2008 M6.5 INCH BOISE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED 6.5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW BEGINNING
9 PM MST 1/6...STILL SNOWING.

&&

$$

MTHIMMES

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KSGF [072110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 072110
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
310 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 7 S STOVER 38.34N 92.99W
01/07/2008 MORGAN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

GAEDE

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KLSX [072108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 072108
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
308 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL PALMYRA 39.80N 91.52W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH MARION MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME SIZED TO A LITTLE LARGER IN THE TOWN OF PALMYRA.

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KEAX [072105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 072105
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
305 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0256 PM HAIL BUNCETON 38.79N 92.80W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH COOPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

AB

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KMFR [072101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 072101
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
101 PM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1254 PM SNOW 5 NNW BROOKINGS 42.12N 124.32W
01/07/2008 M2.5 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 8 AM.

1254 PM SNOW 5 NW MEDFORD 42.40N 122.92W
01/07/2008 M2.5 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

12 HOUR TOTAL ENDING AT 10 AM

&&

$$

STAVISH

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KEAX [072053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 072053
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
253 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0248 PM HAIL 2 E OTTERVILLE 38.70N 92.97W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH COOPER MO PUBLIC

LAW ENFORCEMENT RELAYED PUBLIC REPORT OF NICKEL SIZED
HAIL AND 40 TO 45 MPH WINDS.

&&

$$

MRD

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KSGF [072051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 072051
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
251 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HAIL 5 W WARSAW 38.24N 93.47W
01/07/2008 E1.00 INCH BENTON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL OBSERVED ALONG BENTON/HENRY COUNTY BORDER.

&&

$$

MSUTTON

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KHNX [072050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KHNX 072050
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1249 PM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG AVENAL 36.03N 120.11W
01/04/2008 KINGS CA COUNTY OFFICIAL

*** 2 INJ *** UPDATE TO PREVIOUS INFO...CONFIRMED
SCATTERED DAMAGE THROUGHOUT THE TOWN OF AVENAL. SMALL
AIRPORT HANGAR AND 2 SMALL PLANES BLOWN ACROSS HWY 33.
SCHOOL ROOF DESTROYED. NUMEROUS INSTANCES OF SHINGLES
REMOVED FROM ROOFS. SEVERAL TREES AND POWER POLES DOWNED.
DAMAGE ESTIMATE 2 MILLION DOLLARS. 2-3 HRS OF SYNOPTIC
WINDS ASSOC WITH FAST MOVING COLD FRONT. PEAK WIND 70 MPH
EST BY DAMAGE AND MESONET OBS. A BOY WAS INJURED BY A
TREE BRANCH AND A MAN WAS INJURED WHEN A TREE FELL ON HIS
MOBILE HOME.

&&

$$

JBRO

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KEAX [072040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 072040
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
240 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0236 PM HAIL 2 S TIGHTWAD 38.28N 93.54W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH HENRY MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL OBSERVED BY SPOTTER.

&&

$$

MRD

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 2

WWUS20 KWNS 072036
SEL2
SPC WW 072036
IAZ000-ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-080300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

PARTS OF SOUTHEAST IOWA
MUCH OF NORTHERN ILLINOIS
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST INDIANA
LAKE MICHIGAN

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PEORIA
ILLINOIS TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MEIGS FIELD ILLINOIS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...

DISCUSSION...WITH THE UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ACROSS WATCH AREA AND THE VERY STRONG SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY NRN IL. IN ADDITION
TO THE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS THREAT...A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
ARE LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE MORE DISCRETE UPDRAFTS NOW DEVELOPING
NERN MO AND NWRN IL.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.

..HALES

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KDVN [072031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 072031
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
231 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL N SHANNON 42.15N 89.74W
01/07/2008 M0.25 INCH CARROLL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN PEA SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

JH2

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KOTX [072028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KOTX 072028
LSROTX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1228 PM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1024 AM HEAVY SNOW ROYAL CITY 46.90N 119.61W
01/07/2008 M4.0 INCH GRANT WA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW FELL MAINLY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. SPOTTER GRANT
23. ELEVATION 1099 FT.

&&

$$

SBODNAR

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KARX [071444]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 071444
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
844 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 AM HAIL HAZEL GREEN 42.53N 90.44W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH GRANT WI POST OFFICE

SOME HAIL MAY HAVE BEEN A LITTLE LARGER BRIEFLY. LASTED
FOR ONLY A FEW MINUTES.

&&

$$

SHEA

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KMQT [071422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 071422
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
921 AM EST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW HERMAN 46.67N 88.37W
01/02/2008 M10.6 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOW FELL IN 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

TGREEN

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KABQ [071352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 071352
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
652 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1222 PM SNOW 18 NNE TAOS 36.63N 105.45W
01/06/2008 M12.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

0500 PM SNOW 13 ESE CUBA 35.95N 106.75W
01/06/2008 M9.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

6 NEW INCHES SINCE LAST REPORT

0932 PM SNOW 2 N CHAMA 36.92N 106.58W
01/06/2008 M12.2 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

2.0 NEW SNOW SINCE 4 PM.

&&

$$

SHY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0013

ACUS11 KWNS 071326
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071326
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-071530-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0013
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MO...SRN IA...NW IL...SRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 071326Z - 071530Z

ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN
IOWA...PERHAPS NORTHERN MISSOURI...THROUGH MID MORNING.

AN INITIAL CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS...NOW DEVELOPING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD ALONG FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...HAS
FORMED WELL IN ADVANCE OF MAIN FRONTAL WAVE...STILL LOCATED NEAR THE
OMAHA NEB AREA. ACTIVITY PROBABLY IS BEING SUPPORTED BY FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE CURRENTLY LIFTING THROUGH
THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MODELS ARE SUGGESTIVE THAT THIS
FORCING MAY WEAKEN SHORTLY...BUT ANOTHER IMPULSE WITHIN THE CYCLONIC
SOUTHWESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW REGIME IS ALREADY LIFTING NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AND...IT APPEARS LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL
INCREASE NEAR A STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET TO THE
EAST OF LOW...ACROSS PARTS OF EXTREME NORTHERN MISSOURI/SOUTHERN
IOWA BETWEEN NOW AND 15-16Z. GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF WEAK
CONDITIONAL INSTABILITY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...AS
REFLECTED BY THE 12Z SOUNDING FROM DAVENPORT IA ...THIS IS EXPECTED
TO SUPPORT NEW THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

WHILE RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT DEEP LAYER SHEAR THROUGH THE
CONVECTIVE LAYER IS MARGINAL FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION...MOST UNSTABLE
CAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG COULD SUPPORT ADDITIONAL MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL
IN STRONGER CELLS. ALTHOUGH...OBSERVED AND MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THE PRESENCE OF WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY ABOVE THE SHARP
INVERSION...POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNDRAFTS PENETRATING THE STABLE
SURFACE BASED LAYER SEEMS LOW...AS DOES THE POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING
WIND PRODUCING GRAVITY WAVE TYPE OF EVENT.

.KERR.. 01/07/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...

40319437 40819429 41509325 42259230 42889120 43349018
43348901 43058798 42638802 42368883 41998974 41429063
40959141 40599241 40259325 40169408

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KMFR [071316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 071316
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
516 AM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0516 AM SNOW N KENO 42.13N 121.93W
01/07/2008 M2.5 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION ENDING AT 5AM

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KCYS [071301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 071301
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
601 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0546 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M62 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WINDS INCREASED TO 40-43 MPH FROM 526 AM MST TO
536 AM MST. GUSTS WERE IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH FROM 535 AM
MST TO 546 AM MST. ELEV. 4698 FEET.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMKX [071259]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 071259
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
659 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0657 AM HAIL BENTON 42.57N 90.38W
01/07/2008 E0.50 INCH LAFAYETTE WI FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

$$

MBK

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KARX [071255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 071255
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
655 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 AM HAIL HAZEL GREEN 42.53N 90.44W
01/07/2008 E0.25 INCH GRANT WI AMATEUR RADIO

REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 80. HAIL WAS COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

SHEA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 071241
SWODY1
SPC AC 071239

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

VALID 071300Z - 081200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE MS VALLEY...

MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE
WESTERN STATES...WITH STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS
SRN CA/NV. THIS FEATURE IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY AND MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP OVER THE TX PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK
NORTHEASTWARD INTO MO/IL BY 08/12Z.

..LOWER/MID MS VALLEY TONIGHT...
MOIST AND MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS STREAMING NORTHWARD THIS
MORNING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL
MAINTAIN SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER 60S FROM
CENTRAL MO/IL SOUTHWARD. THIS WILL YIELD MUCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000
J/KG THROUGHOUT THIS REGION. COMBINATION OF COOLING ALOFT AND LARGE
SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL HELP TO
INITIATE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN OK/WESTERN
AR/SOUTHWEST MO AFTER DARK THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
SLOWLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH THE NIGHT AS THEY
TRACK NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
OVER PARTS OF MO/AR INDICATE VERY FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES FOR ORGANIZED SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES /EFFECTIVE HELICITY OF 300-500 M2/S2 AND 6KM BULK SHEAR OF
50-60 KNOTS/. SREF GUIDANCE...NAM...AND EXPERIMENTAL MESOSCALE
MODELS INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ENHANCED AREA OF SEVERE THREAT
AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN AR/SOUTHERN MO...WHERE HIGHER
WIND PROBABILITIES AND A LARGER 5% TORNADO RISK AREA HAS BEEN
INCLUDED.

..IA/WI/IL THIS MORNING...
ISOLATED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING OVER
PARTS OF EASTERN IA. THESE STORMS ARE NEAR NOSE OF 40-50 KNOT
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET WHERE WARM ADVECTION IS MAXIMIZED. 12Z
DVN SOUNDING SHOWS SUFFICIENT ELEVATED CAPE AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
A CONTINUED RISK OF ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AS STORMS TRACK ACROSS PARTS
OF SOUTHERN WI AND NORTHERN IL THIS MORNING.

.HART.. 01/07/2008

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KDVN [071234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 071234
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
634 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 AM HAIL CASCADE 42.30N 91.01W
01/07/2008 E0.75 INCH DUBUQUE IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

HAIL COVERING GROUND. LOTS OF HAIL...DEPTH UNKNOWN.

&&

$$

BILLN

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KPQR [071227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 071227
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
426 AM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0421 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 SE CAMP BONNEVILLE 45.67N 122.38W
01/07/2008 M3.5 INCH CLARK WA TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED 3.5 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN 4 PM ON 1/6/08 AND
230 AM ON 1/7/08. ELEVATION 1400 FEET.

&&

$$

RW

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KDVN [071206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 071206
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
606 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0559 AM HAIL MONTICELLO 42.24N 91.19W
01/07/2008 E0.88 INCH JONES IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO NICKEL-SIZE HAIL. LASTED FOR ABOUT 4
MINUTES...UNTIL 603 AM.

&&

$$

14

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KCYS [071102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 071102
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
402 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0256 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M61.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND AT TIME OF GUST WAS 41 MPH. ELEV. 4698
FEET.

0316 AM HIGH SUST WINDS BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M42.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND OF 41 MPH REPORTED AT 315 AM MST. GUSTS AT
TIME OF SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WERE 55 MPH.
ELEV. 4698 FEET.

&&

$$

SJC

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KREV [071031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 071031
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
231 AM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 NE INCLINE VILLAGE 39.26N 119.94W
01/06/2008 M28.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

48 HOUR STORM TOTAL SINCE 6 AM 1/4.

0707 AM SNOW CARSON CITY 39.17N 119.76W
01/06/2008 M15.0 INCH CARSON CITY NV COUNTY OFFICIAL

TOTAL 15 INCHES OF SNOW ON GROUND WITH 4 INCHES SINCE 5
PM LAST NIGHT.

0707 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 N COLD SPRINGS VALLEY 39.68N 119.96W
01/06/2008 M14.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

14 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 3.44 INCHES TOTAL LIQUID
EQUIVALENT.

0707 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 WNW MAMMOTH LAKES 37.65N 118.98W
01/06/2008 M36.0 INCH MONO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL WAS 24 TO 36 INCHES. STORM TOTAL IS
OVER 5 FEET OF SNOW. NEAR VILLAGE AT MAMMOTH.

0707 AM HEAVY SNOW MINDEN 38.96N 119.77W
01/06/2008 M12.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

12 INCHES STORM TOTAL. ELEVATION 4709 FEET.

0822 AM SNOW 2 N CEDARVILLE 41.55N 120.17W
01/06/2008 M3.0 INCH MODOC CA TRAINED SPOTTER

THREE INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.

0822 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 WSW PROSSER CREEK RES 39.34N 120.25W
01/06/2008 M51.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL OF 51 INCHES AROUND 6600 FEET.

0822 AM SNOW 1 N CARSON CITY 39.18N 119.77W
01/06/2008 M11.0 INCH CARSON CITY NV TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES NEW OVERNIGHT. 11 INCHES STORM TOTAL.

0902 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 W PROSSER CREEK RESER 39.37N 120.25W
01/06/2008 M36.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

12 INCHES ADDITIONAL SNOW UP TO THIS MORNING. STORM TOTAL
36 INCHES AT TAHOE DONNER. ELEVATION 6500 FEET.

0902 AM HEAVY SNOW SPANISH SPRINGS 39.62N 119.72W
01/06/2008 M9.0 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

9 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 3 INCHES LAST NIGHT. ELEVATION
4488 FEET.

0909 AM HEAVY SNOW KIRKWOOD 38.70N 120.07W
01/06/2008 M132 INCH EL DORADO CA MESONET

8 TO 11 FEET STORM TOTAL. 7 TO 10 FEET IN THE LAST 48
HOURS. KIRKWOOD SKI RESORT.

0909 AM HEAVY SNOW BOCA RESERVOIR 39.40N 120.09W
01/06/2008 M31.0 INCH NEVADA CA CO-OP OBSERVER

31 INCHES STORM TOTAL. ELEVATION 5575 FEET.

0947 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 N RENO 39.61N 119.82W
01/06/2008 M15.0 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

15 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 5 INCHES SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. GOLDEN VALLEY.

0949 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 NE SPANISH SPRINGS 39.65N 119.69W
01/06/2008 M12.0 INCH WASHOE NV TRAINED SPOTTER

12 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 4 INCHES LAST NIGHT.

0949 AM HEAVY SNOW LEE VINING 37.96N 119.12W
01/06/2008 M15.0 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

15 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. ELEVATION 6800 FEET.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW MEYERS 38.86N 120.01W
01/06/2008 M90.0 INCH EL DORADO CA MESONET

7 TO 8 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 30 TO 42 INCHES IN LAST 24
HOURS. 56 TO 90 INCHES IN LAST 48 HOURS. SIERRA AT TAHOE
SKI RESORT.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW SODA SPRINGS 39.32N 120.38W
01/06/2008 M68.0 INCH NEVADA CA MESONET

5 TO 6 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 33 INCHES IN LAST 24 HOURS.
SODA SPRINGS WINTER RESORT.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW DONNER SUMMIT 39.33N 120.39W
01/06/2008 M68.0 INCH NEVADA CA MESONET

5 TO 6 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 33 INCHES IN LAST 24 HOURS.
BOREAL SKI AREA.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW NORTHSTAR 39.28N 120.12W
01/06/2008 M63.0 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

51 TO 63 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 21 TO 24 INCHES IN LAST
24 HOURS. NORTHSTAR SKI RESORT.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 E INCLINE VILLAGE 39.25N 119.94W
01/06/2008 M56.0 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

48 TO 56 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 18 TO 30 INCHES IN LAST
24 HOURS. DIAMOND PEAK SKI AREA.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW SQUAW VALLEY 39.20N 120.22W
01/06/2008 M68.0 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

48 TO 68 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 16 INCHES IN LAST 24
HOURS. SQUAW VALLEY SKI RESORT.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW ALPINE MEADOWS 39.17N 120.22W
01/06/2008 M56.0 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

41 TO 56 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 30 INCHES IN LAST 24
HOURS. ALPINE MEADOWS SKI RESORT.

1031 AM HEAVY SNOW 1 W HOMEWOOD 39.08N 120.18W
01/06/2008 M55.0 INCH PLACER CA MESONET

35-55 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. 24 TO 36 INCHES IN LAST 24
HOURS. HOMEWOOD SKI RESORT.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW JUNE LAKE 37.78N 119.08W
01/06/2008 M62.0 INCH MONO CA MESONET

5 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 18 INCHES IN LAST 24 HOURS. JUNE
LAKE SKI AREA.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA 39.33N 119.89W
01/06/2008 M72.0 INCH WASHOE NV MESONET

5 TO 6 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 10 TO 12 INCHES IN THE LAST
12 HOURS. MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW HEAVENLY VALLEY 38.96N 119.89W
01/06/2008 M96.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV MESONET

5 TO 8 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 36 TO 48 INCHES IN LAST 24
HOURS. HEAVENLY SKI RESORT.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 W MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.99W
01/06/2008 M84.0 INCH MONO CA MESONET

5 TO 8 FEET SNOW STORM TOTAL. 24 INCHES IN LAST 24 HOURS.
MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN SKI AREA.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.96W
01/06/2008 M47.0 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

47 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. ELEVATION 7800 FEET.

1046 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 S HOMEWOOD 39.04N 120.16W
01/06/2008 M48.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

48 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN TAHOMA. ELEVATION 6350
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW TRUCKEE 39.33N 120.20W
01/06/2008 M28.0 INCH NEVADA CA CO-OP OBSERVER

28 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL AT TRUCKEE AIRPORT. ELEVATION
5900 FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW VIRGINIA CITY 39.31N 119.64W
01/06/2008 M23.0 INCH STOREY NV CO-OP OBSERVER

23 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN VIRGINIA CITY. ELEVATION
6340 FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW YERINGTON 38.99N 119.16W
01/06/2008 M3.0 INCH LYON NV CO-OP OBSERVER

3 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN YERINGTON. ELEVATION 4380
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 W RENO 39.54N 119.88W
01/06/2008 M9.0 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

9 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. RENO VALLEY FLOOR.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 WSW PROSSER CREEK RES 39.34N 120.25W
01/06/2008 M32.0 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

32 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL NEAR TAHOE DONNER. ELEVATION
6600 FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW DAGGET PASS 38.98N 119.89W
01/06/2008 M48.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

48 INCHES STORM TOTAL AT DAGGET PASS. ELEVATION 7334
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW GLENBROOK 39.09N 119.94W
01/06/2008 M27.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

27 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL AT GLENBROOK. ELEVATION 6350
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
01/06/2008 M22.0 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

22 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL AT PORTOLA. ELEVATION 4850
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW STEAD 39.64N 119.88W
01/06/2008 M18.0 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

18 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN STEAD. ELEVATION 5120 FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW SUSANVILLE 40.41N 120.65W
01/06/2008 M8.0 INCH LASSEN CA CO-OP OBSERVER

8 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN SUSANVILLE. ELEVATION 4200
FEET.

1131 AM HEAVY SNOW TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.14W
01/06/2008 M36.0 INCH PLACER CA CO-OP OBSERVER

36 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL AT TAHOE CITY COAST GUARD
STATION. ELEVATION 6250 FEET.

1250 PM HEAVY SNOW 5 NW RENO 39.59N 119.89W
01/06/2008 M20.0 INCH WASHOE NV NWS EMPLOYEE

20 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL. NEW NORTHWEST RENO. ELEVATION
5350 FEET.

0331 PM HEAVY SNOW SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.94N 119.98W
01/06/2008 M36.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

36 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL AT SOUTH LAKE TAHOE. ELEVATION
6250 FEET.

0331 PM HEAVY SNOW SOUTH LAKE TAHOE 38.94N 119.98W
01/06/2008 M36.0 INCH EL DORADO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

36 INCHES SNOW STORM TOTAL IN SOUTH LAKE TAHOE NEAR
INTERSECTION OF U.S. 50 AND CA 89. ELEVATION 6250 FEET.

&&

$$

JWALLMAN

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KCYS [071004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 071004
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
304 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M60 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE ALSO BEEN 40-41 MPH BETWEEN 206 AM
MST AND 255 AM MST. ELEV. 4698 FEET.

&&

$$

SJC

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 070949
SWOD48
SPC AC 070949

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

VALID 101200Z - 151200Z

..DISCUSSION...

PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST DURING THE EXTENDED PERIOD WILL BE
STRONG TROUGH WHICH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EWD FROM THE PLAINS STATES
THROUGH THE MS VALLEY ON DAY 4 /THU JAN 10TH/ AND THEN NEWD INTO NEW
ENGLAND DURING THE LATER HALF OF THE DAY 5 /FRI JAN 11TH/ PERIOD.
DIFFERENCES DO EXIST IN THE AMPLITUDE AND TRACK OF THIS TROUGH WITH
THE ECMWF AND UKMET INDICATING A SHARPER...MORE INTENSE SYSTEM OVER
THE GULF COAST STATES WHEN COMPARED TO THE GFS DETERMINISTIC AND
MAJORITY OF MREF MEMBERS. AS WOULD BE EXPECTED...THESE DIFFERENCES
ARE ALSO PRESENT IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF PRIMARY SURFACE LOW
FROM THE CNTRL OR SRN LOW PLAINS INTO THE OH VALLEY.

IT APPEARS THAT COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO NEAR TERM TROUGH /REFERENCE
DAY 1 AND 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOKS/ SHOULD STALL ALONG THE GULF COAST
PRIOR TO RETREATING NWD...ALLOWING A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER TO QUICKLY
MOVE INLAND IN ADVANCE OF DAY 4 TROUGH. WHILE INSTABILITY IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY STRONG ACROSS PRE-FRONTAL WARM
SECTOR...STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS AND FORCING FOR ASCENT
/ESPECIALLY IN THE CASE OF THE ECMWF SOLUTION/ SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL
FOR A REGIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE OVER THE WRN AND CNTRL GULF
COAST STATES ON DAY 4. SOME POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY
CONTINUE INTO DAY 5 FROM THE ERN GULF COAST STATES INTO THE SRN
ATLANTIC STATES. HOWEVER...MODEL DIFFERENCES IN THE TIMING AND
TRACK OF THIS SYNOPTIC SYSTEM ARE GREAT ENOUGH SUCH THAT CONFIDENCE
IN ANY ONE SCENARIO REMAINS LOW...AND NO ADDITIONAL AREA WILL BE
DELINEATED.

THEREAFTER...RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SHOULD BE SHUNTED WELL S
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND NO ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER EPISODES
ARE ANTICIPATED.

.MEAD.. 01/07/2008

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KGJT [070920]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 070920
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
220 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 1 SSE HAMILTON 40.36N 107.59W
01/06/2008 M9.1 INCH MOFFAT CO CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL

&&

$$

DLC

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KCYS [070902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 070902
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
202 AM MST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1146 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/06/2008 M62.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND AT TIME OF GUST WAS 38 MPH. ELEV. 4698
FEET.

1216 AM HIGH SUST WINDS BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M43.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

HIGHEST OF SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 1156 PM AND 1216 AM.
GUSTS AT TIME WERE 58-59 MPH. ELEV. 4698 FEET.

0126 AM HIGH SUST WINDS BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
01/07/2008 M47.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STRONGEST OF SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 126 AM AND 136 AM.
GUSTS AT TIME WERE 55-56 MPH. ELEV. 4698 FEET.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMFR [070800]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 070800
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1200 AM PST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1157 PM HEAVY SNOW N MOUNT SHASTA 41.32N 122.31W
01/06/2008 M4.0 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNT SINCE 730 PM PST.

1157 PM HEAVY SNOW SHADY COVE 42.61N 122.82W
01/06/2008 M2.0 INCH JACKSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE

AMOUNT SINCE 8 PM PST.

&&

$$

DW

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 070729
SWODY3
SPC AC 070728

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

AN AMPLIFICATION TO THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN IS FORECAST DURING THE
DAY THREE PERIOD AS WEAKENING SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO
UPPER OH VALLEY DEPARTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND NEXT
UPSTREAM TROUGH INTENSIFIES OVER THE PLAINS STATES. NOTABLE
DIFFERENCES EXIST AMONGST BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND SREF DATA SETS WITH
REGARD TO THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH AS WELL AS THE TRACK OF
ATTENDANT SURFACE LOW WHICH IS FORECAST TO INITIALLY DEVELOP OVER
THE CNTRL OR SRN HIGH PLAINS.

..ERN TX INTO LOWER MS VALLEY...

DESPITE THE DIFFERENCES IN THE MOVEMENT OF MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW...MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN SUGGESTING
THAT A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY INITIALLY ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL
RETREAT NWD AS A WARM FRONT THROUGH THE PERIOD. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR
AN INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER TO DEVELOP INLAND IN RESPONSE
TO STRENGTHENING...SWLY FLOW IN THE LOW LEVELS.

THE LATEST GFS APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER SOLUTION WITH A MORE EWD
PROGRESSION OF UPPER TROUGH. THIS RESULTS IN MORE
SUBSTANTIAL...SURFACE-BASED CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY AND TSTM
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY LATE IN THE PERIOD. THE SLOWER
MOVEMENT OF THE UPPER TROUGH AS SEEN IN THE ECMWF...WRF AND MAJORITY
OF SREF MEMBERS LEADS TO LESS CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION AND
INSTABILITY. GIVEN THE VARIABILITY AND INHERENT UNCERTAINTY IN
THESE SOLUTIONS...NO SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES WILL BE INCLUDED
IN THIS FORECAST.

.MEAD.. 01/07/2008

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KAMA [070648]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 070648
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1248 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 5 N PANTEX 35.40N 101.58W
01/05/2008 E400 ACRE CARSON TX BROADCAST MEDIA

WILDFIRE ESTIMATED 300 TO 400 ACRES FIRE WAS STOPPED
NEAR COUNTY ROAD G AND COUNTY ROAD 15 AN OLD BARN WAS
DESTROYED BUT NO INJURIES WILDFIRE REPORTED UNDER
CONTROL BY 1430 CST

0206 PM WILDFIRE 2 E FRITCH 35.64N 101.56W
01/05/2008 E2600 ACRE HUTCHINSON TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MORE THAN SEVEN FIRE DEPARTMENT UNITS RESPONDED TO THE
WILDFIRE AND THE WILDFIRE WAS REPORTEDLY UNDER CONTROL
AROUND 1730 HOURS CST. OFFICIALS SAID THE FIRE BURNED
ABOUT 2600 ACROES. THE CAUSE WAS DETERMINED TO BE ARSON.
26 PEOPLE WERE EVACUATED...HOWEVER NO INJURIES OR
DAMAGES WERE REPORTED. THE FIRE STARTED ON FARM TO
MARKET ROAD 687 ABOUT ONE MILE NORTH OF TEXAS STATE
HIGHWAY 136 AND SPREAD TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AND
ENDED UP CLOSE TO FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1319.

0200 PM WILDFIRE 4 SSE SANFORD 35.65N 101.50W
01/06/2008 E300 ACRE HUTCHINSON TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

*** 2 INJ *** WILDFIRE STARTED AT WINDSONG ROAD AND
TEXAS HIGHWAY 136. THE FIRE MOVED 35 MPH AND BURNED TWO
AND A HALF MILES OF OPEN RANGE...APPROXIMATELY 300
ACRES. THE FIRE WAS CONTAINED BEFORE REACHING THE
MEADOWLARK HILL HOUSING DIVISION NEAR BORGER. PEOPLE
WERE ASKED TO EVACUATE THEIR HOMES AND SOME FENCING WAS
DAMAGED. ALSO SAID HWY 136 WAS PARTIALLY CLOSED NEAR
MEADOWLARK HILL WITH ONLY 2 LANES OF TRAFFIC OPEN...BUT
THE FIRE WAS PUT OUT AS OF 4 PM WITH NO FURTHER ROAD
CLOSURES. COUPLE OF FIREFIGHTERS WERE INJURED. ONE
PERSON WAS TREATED FOR SMOKE INHALATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00002 00005 00007

$$

KJS

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KAMA [070636]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KAMA 070636
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1235 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0206 PM WILDFIRE 2 E FRITCH 35.64N 101.56W
01/05/2008 E2600 ACRE HUTCHINSON TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

MORE THAN SEVEN FIRE DEPARTMENT UNITS RESPONDED TO THE
WILDFIRE AND THE WILDFIRE WAS REPORTEDLY UNDER CONTROL
AROUND 1730 HOURS CST. OFFICIALS SAID THE FIRE BURNED
ABOUT 2600 ACROES. THE CAUSE WAS DETERMINED TO BE ARSON.
26 PEOPLE WERE EVACUATED...HOWEVER NO INJURIES OR
DAMAGES WERE REPORTED. THE FIRE STARTED ON FARM TO
MARKET ROAD 687 ABOUT ONE MILE NORTH OF TEXAS STATE
HIGHWAY 136 AND SPREAD TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AND
ENDED UP CLOSE TO FARM TO MARKET ROAD 1319.

&&

CORRECTED SOURCE

EVENT NUMBER 00005

$$

KJS

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KAMA [070629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 070629
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1228 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM WILDFIRE 4 SSE SANFORD 35.65N 101.50W
01/06/2008 E300 ACRE HUTCHINSON TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

*** 2 INJ *** WILDFIRE STARTED AT WINDSONG ROAD AND
TEXAS HIGHWAY 136. THE FIRE MOVED 35 MPH AND BURNED TWO
AND A HALF MILES OF OPEN RANGE...APPROXIMATELY 300
ACRES. THE FIRE WAS CONTAINED BEFORE REACHING THE
MEADOWLARK HILL HOUSING DIVISION NEAR BORGER. PEOPLE
WERE ASKED TO EVACUATE THEIR HOMES AND SOME FENCING WAS
DAMAGED. ALSO SAID HWY 136 WAS PARTIALLY CLOSED NEAR
MEADOWLARK HILL WITH ONLY 2 LANES OF TRAFFIC OPEN...BUT
THE FIRE WAS PUT OUT AS OF 4 PM WITH NO FURTHER ROAD
CLOSURES. COUPLE OF FIREFIGHTERS WERE INJURED. ONE
PERSON WAS TREATED FOR SMOKE INHALATION.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00007

$$

KJS

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KEKA [070613]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KEKA 070613
LSREKA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EUREKA CA
925 PM PST SUN JAN 06 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0554 PM SNOW 3 NW GARBERVILLE 40.13N 123.84W
01/06/2008 M3.0 INCH HUMBOLDT CA TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATION FROM 3PM THROUGH 6PM SUNDAY AT APPROXIMATELY
2000 FEET ELEVATION.

&&

$$

LEWITSKY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 070557
SWODY1
SPC AC 070555

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CST SUN JAN 06 2008

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NE TX...ERN OK...WRN
AR...MO AND IL......

..SRN PLAINS/OZARKS/MID MS VALLEY...
A BROAD WRN AND CNTRL U.S. UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL ACCELERATE EWD
TODAY AND TONIGHT AS SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE
PLAINS AND MS VALLEY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. AT THE
SFC...FRONTOGENESIS WILL TAKE PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS TODAY
AND THIS BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SEWD INTO NCNTRL MO AND SE KS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE CURRENTLY AROUND 60 F ACROSS THE SRN
OZARK REGION AND THIS MODIFIED GULF AIR MASS WILL WORK ITS WAY NWD
INTO SRN MO AS THE FRONT MOVES SEWD INTO THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD INITIATE ALONG THE BOUNDARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH STORM
COVERAGE RAPIDLY EXPANDING FROM WRN IL SWWD ACROSS MO WITH SCATTERED
DEVELOPMENT ALSO LIKELY IN ERN OK...WRN AR AND POSSIBLY NE TX.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE AXIS OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET AND ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

CONCERNING THE STORM ENVIRONMENT...LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE CONTENT WILL
BE UNSEASONABLY HIGH AND FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST POCKETS OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE MOIST AXIS BY LATE
AFTERNOON. THE MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF INITIATION WITH THE
NAM FOCUSING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT MAINLY AFTER
00Z. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE AS THE STRONGEST LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS
TIMED INTO WRN MO EARLY THIS EVENING BY BOTH THE NAM AND GFS.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE OZARKS SHOW VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 50 TO 70 KT RANGE. THIS WILL
BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH HAIL AND WIND
DAMAGE POTENTIAL. A FEW TORNADOES MAY ALSO OCCUR ACROSS SW AND
SCNTRL MO WITH SUPERCELLS THAT REMAIN DISCRETE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT MAY ALSO EXIST AS STORMS INITIATE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IN WCNTRL MO. ALTHOUGH TRAINING CELLS WILL BE COMMON ALONG THE
BOUNDARY IN THE EVENING...A FEW PERSISTENT SUPERCELLS COULD HAVE
WIND DAMAGE OR TORNADO POTENTIAL.

FURTHER SOUTH SOUTHWEST...THE GFS SOLUTION DEVELOPS NUMEROUS STORMS
WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE BOUNDARY IN ERN OK...WRN AR AND NE TX.
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL LIKELY BE MUCH LESS IN THIS REGION DUE TO
WEAKER FORCING THAN AREAS FURTHER NORTH. HOWEVER...MODEL FORECASTS
DEVELOP STRONGER INSTABILITY AND AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY
SHOULD BE PRESENT BY LATE AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-1 KM SHEAR
VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 KT RANGE SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
WITH TORNADO AND WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
DROP OFF QUICKLY ACROSS EAST TX WHERE ASCENT AND SHEAR WILL BE MUCH
WEAKER.

.BROYLES.. 01/07/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 070554
SWODY2
SPC AC 070552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 PM CST SUN JAN 06 2008

VALID 081200Z - 091200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE OH VALLEY
INTO THE MID SOUTH...

..SYNOPSIS...

MIDLEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT PLAINS TUESDAY MORNING IS FORECAST TO
INTENSIFY WHILE LIFTING NEWD THROUGH THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND OH
VALLEY. THIS WILL OCCUR AS UPSTREAM JET STREAK/VORTICITY MAXIMUM
ROTATES THROUGH THE TROUGH BASE WITH SYSTEM BECOMING NEGATIVELY
TILTED DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...INITIAL SURFACE LOW OVER LAKE MI/LOWER MI WILL
WEAKEN WITH TIME AS SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER IL/IND. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN
TUESDAY NIGHT WHILE DEVELOPING NEWD INTO SWRN ONTARIO.
MEANWHILE...TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL ALSO STRENGTHEN TO THE S OF THE
DEEPENING CYCLONE...WITH THIS BOUNDARY RAPIDLY PUSHING THROUGH THE
MID MS VALLEY EWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SRN
EXTENSION OF BOUNDARY IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS STRONG WITH A
SLOWER...MORE SWWD MOVEMENT THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY.

..OH VALLEY INTO MID SOUTH...

MODEL GUIDANCE HAS TENDED TOWARD A MORE PROGRESSIVE AND LESS
AMPLIFIED CHARACTER TO ABOVE-MENTIONED TROUGH. MOREOVER...
SUBSEQUENT MODEL RUNS HAVE SHOWN A NWD SHIFT IN A PROGRESSIVELY MORE
UNSTABLE AIR MASS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT. THEREFORE... CONSIDERABLE
CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THIS FORECAST SINCE THE PRIOR DAY THREE
ISSUANCE.

CURRENT GOES SOUNDER IPW LOOP AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
A RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAS ALREADY BEEN
ESTABLISHED FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY NWD INTO THE OH VALLEY AND SRN
GREAT LAKES WITH MID 50S DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY AND 50 F
DEWPOINTS AS FAR N AS CNTRL LOWER MI. PERSISTENT SLY/SWLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SHOULD MAINTAIN SIMILAR BOUNDARY LAYER
CONDITIONS INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH AIR MASS BECOMING AT LEAST
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES GENERALLY LESS THAN 1000 J/KG.

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING TUESDAY MORNING WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL
WARM SECTOR FROM PORTIONS OF IL/IND SWWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
WHILE ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS...MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND FORCING FOR ASCENT SHOULD LIMIT A
MORE SUBSTANTIAL THREAT. POTENTIALLY MORE SIGNIFICANT TSTM
DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED BY AFTERNOON OVER THE LOWER OH VALLEY
INTO THE MID SOUTH AS DEEP LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
MIDLEVEL JET STREAK AND STRENGTHENING FRONTAL CIRCULATION BEGIN TO
ACT ON DESTABILIZING AIR MASS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE QUITE SUPPORTIVE OF EMBEDDED BOWING
STRUCTURES AND SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF MAINLY DAMAGING WINDS AND
PERHAPS A FEW TORNADOES.

UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A STRONGLY FORCED SQUALL LINE IS ANTICIPATED
ALONG THE FRONT TUESDAY EVENING WITH THE DAMAGING WIND AND TORNADO
THREAT RAPIDLY SHIFTING EWD ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF IL/IND AND WRN
PARTS OF KY/TN. THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT INTO PARTS OF OH...CNTRL/ERN KY AND
MIDDLE TN...THOUGH IT APPEARS THAT ANY CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WILL
BE QUITE SMALL AND ONLY LOW PROBABILITIES WILL BE INCLUDED ATTM.

..LOWER MS VALLEY...

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...CONSIDERABLE CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO FORECAST
GIVEN RECENT MODEL TRENDS. ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF
ORGANIZED...SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS AND MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR.
HOWEVER...THE STRONGER LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN N OF THE REGION WHICH MAY TEND TO LIMIT THE COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY OF STORMS. IT APPEARS THAT A MORE ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT
WILL LIKELY EXIST FROM NRN MS NWD...WITH MORE ISOLATED...SEVERE
STORM POTENTIAL OVER CNTRL/SRN MS INTO LA.

.MEAD.. 01/07/2008

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KSGX [070551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 070551
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
951 PM PST SUN JAN 06 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM FLOOD ONTARIO 34.05N 117.61W
01/06/2008 SAN BERNARDINO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

NORTHBOUND ON 4TH ST. BETWEEN VINEYARD AND HAVEN. NUMBER
2 LANE FLOODED TO THE CURB AND WATER ACROSS ALL 4 LANES.

&&

$$

SCV

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KMFR [070544]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 070544
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
943 PM PST SUN JAN 06 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 ENE MERLIN 42.53N 123.39W
01/06/2008 M3.0 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNT SINCE 3 PM. MOST OF IT HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 2
HOURS.

&&

$$

DW

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KHNX [070541]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 070541
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
941 PM PST SUN JAN 06 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0939 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 W FRAZIER PARK 34.82N 119.12W
01/06/2008 M2.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

AT CUDDY VALLEY

0939 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 N FRAZIER PARK 34.83N 118.96W
01/06/2008 M3.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL PAST 2 HOURS

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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