DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140046
SWODY1
SPC AC 140043

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 140100Z - 141200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..ERN WA/ID PNHDL...

00Z SPOKANE SOUNDING INDICATED SOME MOISTENING IN THE 750-600 MB
LAYER SINCE 12Z WITH MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OF AROUND 7 C/KM.
HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY LAYER WAS NOTABLY DRIER THAN MODEL FORECAST
SOUNDINGS WITH LITTLE OR NO OBSERVED CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY.
CONTINUED ASCENT ALONG FRONT AND AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH SHOULD SERVE
TO FURTHER MOISTEN ENVIRONMENT AND PERHAPS STEEPEN MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES...EFFECTIVELY CONTRIBUTING TO POCKETS OF WEAK CONVECTIVE
INSTABILITY TONIGHT. WHILE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE
WITH ANY DEEPER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS...ANTICIPATED AREAL COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO SPARSE TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF A GENERAL
THUNDER AREA.

..NC...

LIGHTNING DATA SHOW ISOLATED STRIKES WITHIN THE PAST HOUR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION MOVING THROUGH PORTIONS OF
CNTRL NC. 00Z GSO SOUNDING SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY IS QUITE
HIGH BASED /AROUND 600 MB/ AND LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH VIGOROUS
VORTICITY MAXIMUM LIFTING NEWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS. THIS
CONVECTIVE WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF AN ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE OR
TWO TONIGHT OVER S-CNTRL INTO ERN NC. AS ABOVE...THIS POTENTIAL IS
TOO LOW FOR A THUNDER AREA.

.MEAD.. 04/14/2008

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KCLE [140033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 140033
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
831 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 PM HAIL 6 S NORWALK 41.16N 82.61W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH HURON OH TRAINED SPOTTER

0925 PM HAIL 10 NE ASHLAND 40.97N 82.18W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH ASHLAND OH PUBLIC

1225 AM HAIL 5 S SPARTANSBURG 41.75N 79.68W
04/12/2008 E1.00 INCH CRAWFORD PA PUBLIC

THE HAIL LASTED 5 MINUTES NEAR BUELL CORNERS.

&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131953
SWODY1
SPC AC 131951

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 132000Z - 141200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SRN FL...
EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT CONTINUING TO
MOVE SWD THROUGH SRN FL AND AT 19Z EXTENDED FROM NEAR APF TO PBI. A
WARM/MOIST AIR MASS RESIDES S OF THE FRONT...BUT WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES ARE LIMITING THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONGER INSTABILITY.
RECENT ACARS DATA OVER SE FL CONTINUED TO VERIFY THE EXPECTED
MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WITH A SLIGHT WARM NOSE LOCATED
AROUND 700 MB. LIGHTNING DATA DID SHOW A STRIKE OR TWO ALONG THE SE
FL COAST JUST PRIOR TO 19Z...WHILE VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY ACROSS
SRN FL ALSO SHOWED A FEW CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE
AND AT THE INTERSECTIONS OF THE COLD FRONT/SEA/LAKE BREEZE
BOUNDARIES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SWD. HOWEVER...THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES SHOULD REMAIN MARGINAL FOR MORE THAN AN ISOLATED TSTM OR
TWO.

..ERN WA/ID PANHANDLE...
SURFACE COLD FRONT ATTENDANT TO PACIFIC TROUGH APPROACHING THE NWRN
U.S. WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS WA/ORE THIS FORECAST PERIOD AND SHOULD
EXTEND FROM ERN WA TO CENTRAL ORE BY 12Z MONDAY. FORCING FOR ASCENT
ALONG LEADING EDGE OF UPPER TROUGH AND COLD FRONT COMBINED WITH
MODEST MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /6.5 TO 7 C/KM/ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SOME
CONVECTION AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. EXPECTED LIMITED AREAL
COVERAGE CONTINUES TO PRECLUDE THE INTRODUCTION OF A GENERAL TSTM
AREA.

.PETERS.. 04/13/2008

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KDLH [131906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 131906
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
206 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM BLIZZARD DULUTH 46.78N 92.12W
04/11/2008 ST. LOUIS MN NWS EMPLOYEE

SEVERAL LARGE PINE TREES UPROOTED AND SNAPPED IN WEST
DULUTH. TIME ESTIMATED

&&

$$

TLONKA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 131703
SWODY2
SPC AC 131702

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1202 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE U.S ON
MONDAY AS THE ERN LONG WAVE TROUGH AXIS APPROACHES THE E COAST AND
THE NEXT UPSTREAM DEEP PACIFIC TROUGH DEVELOPS INLAND OVER THE WRN
STATES. COLD FRONT ACCOMPANYING THE WRN TROUGH SHOULD EXTEND FROM
ERN WA TO CENTRAL ORE AT 12Z MONDAY...AND MOVE EWD REACHING WRN MT
AND SRN ID BY MONDAY EVENING. ELSEWHERE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF THE CONUS IN THE WAKE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT...EFFECTIVELY NEGATING THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL IN
THIS PART OF THE COUNTRY.

..FAR ERN ORE/SRN AND CENTRAL ID/WRN MT...
DESPITE LIMITED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...MODELS/FORECAST SOUNDINGS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH BASED TSTMS ALONG THE
COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. SURFACE HEATING AND COLD MID
LEVEL TEMPERATURES ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER TROUGH WILL RESULT IN
STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY. THIS COMBINED WITH
FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE FRONT AND TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW
TSTMS. GIVEN HIGH BASED ACTIVITY...A FEW STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE...BUT WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL TSTM AND
WIND GUST THREATS.

..WRN ORE...
LAPSE RATES ARE EXPECTED TO STEEPEN ALONG AND JUST INLAND OF THE ORE
COAST LATER MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING AS THE COLDEST
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-30 TO -34 C AT 500 MB/ SPREAD OVER THIS
REGION WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. MODELS SUGGEST SHOWERS AND A FEW
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

.PETERS.. 04/13/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131622
SWODY1
SPC AC 131618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 131630Z - 141200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SRN FL...
SURFACE COLD FRONT FROM FMY TO VRB AT 16Z WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY SWD
THROUGH THE SRN PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. DESPITE A FAIRLY
WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THERMODYNAMIC
PROFILES WILL BE MARGINAL FOR DEEP CONVECTION WITH WARM NOSE INVOF
700 MB AND TEMPERATURES AROUND -20 DEG C AT 400 MB...PER 12Z RAOBS
AND RECENT ACARS. IN ADDITION...WEAK W/SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WILL LIMIT CONVERGENCE. STILL...AN ISOLATED TSTM OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK.

..ERN WA/ID PANHANDLE...
LARGE-SCALE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE
PACIFIC NW COAST THROUGH EARLY MON. AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES EWD
TOWARDS THE NRN ROCKIES...MOIST CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BREAK OUT
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. 12Z GFS/NAM BOTH APPEAR TO BE TOO
AGGRESSIVE WITH SUGGESTING SURFACE DEW POINTS WILL RISE INTO THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S BY LATE AFTERNOON IN THE PRE-CONVECTIVE
ENVIRONMENT...BASED ON CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND REGIONAL
RAOBS THIS MORNING. RELATIVELY MODEST MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
SURFACE DEW POINTS MORE LIKELY IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S...SHOULD
RESULT IN ONLY MINIMAL CHARGE SEPARATION WITH A COUPLE OF SPORADIC
LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE.

.GRAMS.. 04/13/2008

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KBMX [131258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 131258
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
758 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S DOUBLE SPRINGS 34.09N 87.40W
04/11/2008 WINSTON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 8. POSSIBLE
TORNADO DAMAGE.

0100 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S DOUBLE SPRINGS 34.10N 87.40W
04/11/2008 WINSTON AL STORM CHASER

TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ALONG HWY 195.

0115 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W SULLIGENT 33.89N 88.22W
04/11/2008 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN NEAR THE STATE LINE.

0149 PM HAIL 1 N VERNON 33.77N 88.11W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NEAR AIRPORT

0150 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S HAMILTON 34.13N 87.98W
04/11/2008 MARION AL EMERGENCY MNGR

AT AIRPORT...COR...WIND NOT HAIL

0226 PM HAIL 1 N CARBON HILL 33.91N 87.53W
04/11/2008 E0.88 INCH WALKER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NICKEL SIZE HAIL FELL NEAR CARBON HILL.

0226 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CARBON HILL 33.90N 87.53W
04/11/2008 WALKER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED BETWEEN NAUVOO AND CARBON
HILL.

0226 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CARBON HILL 33.90N 87.53W
04/11/2008 WALKER AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED BETWEEN NAUVOO AND CARBON
HILL.

0226 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 N CARBON HILL 33.91N 87.53W
04/11/2008 WALKER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SPOTTED BETWEEN NAUVOO AND CARBON
HILL.

0230 PM TSTM WND DMG HUBBERTVILLE 33.83N 87.74W
04/11/2008 FAYETTE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN GLEN ALLEN AND HUBBERTVILLE
AND AROUND BAZEMORE.

0235 PM HAIL 5 S FAYETTE 33.62N 87.83W
04/11/2008 E1.00 INCH FAYETTE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL NEAR NEWTONVILLE AND WAS COVERING
THE GROUND.

0235 PM HAIL 3 N CARBON HILL 33.94N 87.53W
04/11/2008 E0.88 INCH WALKER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR CARBON HILL.

0235 PM TSTM WND GST 3 N CARBON HILL 33.94N 87.53W
04/11/2008 E70.00 MPH WALKER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED AROUND 70 MPH NORTH OF CARBON
HILL.

0258 PM HAIL 2 NNE JASPER 33.88N 87.26W
04/11/2008 E2.75 INCH WALKER AL AMATEUR RADIO

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR CURRY.

0318 PM HAIL N CURRY 33.95N 87.21W
04/11/2008 E0.88 INCH WALKER AL TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED NEAR CURRY.

0322 PM HAIL 5 S GREENSBORO 32.63N 87.59W
04/11/2008 E0.50 INCH HALE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SMALL HAIL FELL SOUTH OF GREENSBORO.

0330 PM HAIL 8 S JASPER 33.74N 87.27W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH WALKER AL PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL SOUTH OF JASPER.

0330 PM LIGHTNING PARRISH 33.73N 87.28W
04/11/2008 WALKER AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A STRUCTURE CAUGHT ON FIRE DUE TO LIGHTNING.

0335 PM HAIL N SAFFORD 33.41N 87.58W
04/11/2008 E0.88 INCH TUSCALOOSA AL TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED NEAR PRUIT LOOP ROAD AND
HWY 171.

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG PINEY GROVE 33.82N 85.43W
04/11/2008 CLEBURNE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A BARN SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE.

0350 PM HAIL SAFFORD 33.41N 87.58W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH TUSCALOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR THE SAFFORD
COMMUNITY.

0353 PM TORNADO CORDOVA 33.76N 87.19W
04/11/2008 WALKER AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

UNCONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR CORDOVA.

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
04/11/2008 ETOWAH AL TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES WERE UPROOTED AND CARS WERE BLOWN INTO FENCE AT THE
INTERSECTION OF AL 77 AND BROOK AVE.

0416 PM TSTM WND DMG GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
04/11/2008 ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN. WINDOWS WERE BLOWN
OUT OF A BANK. ONE HOME WAS DAMAGED. ONE MOBILE HOME WAS
DAMAGED. ONE LARGE BRICK WALL COLLAPSED.

0416 PM TSTM WND GST GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
04/11/2008 M86.00 MPH ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

86 MPH WIND GUSTS WERE MEASURED AT THE EOC.

0423 PM TORNADO 3 W HUEYTOWN 33.44N 87.05W
04/11/2008 JEFFERSON AL PUBLIC

UNCONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR TAYLORS FERRY ROAD. DISTANCE
OBSERVANCE OF TREE TOP DAMAGE.

0426 PM HAIL HOOVER 33.38N 86.82W
04/11/2008 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN HOOVER.

0430 PM HAIL HOOVER 33.38N 86.82W
04/11/2008 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
HWY 150 AND LORNA ROAD.

0430 PM HAIL HOOVER 33.38N 86.82W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

SEVERAL REPORTS OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WERE RECEIVED IN
AND AROUND HOOVER.

0430 PM HAIL VESTAVIA HILLS 33.43N 86.79W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN VESTAVIA HILLS.

0430 PM HAIL HOOVER 33.39N 86.82W
04/11/2008 E1.00 INCH JEFFERSON AL PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED IN HOOVER.

0431 PM HAIL BIRMINGHAM 33.53N 86.80W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN AND AROUND BIRMINGHAM.

0436 PM HAIL IRONDALE 33.53N 86.68W
04/11/2008 E2.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL BROADCAST MEDIA

VERY LARGE HAIL WAS REPORTED ON RUFFNER ROAD IN IRONDALE.
MAY HAVE BEEN LARGER THAN BASEBALL.

0436 PM HAIL CAHABA HEIGHTS 33.46N 86.73W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
I-59 AND US 280.

0436 PM HAIL CAHABA HEIGHTS 33.46N 86.73W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL TRAINED SPOTTER

NUMEROUS REPORTS OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL HAVE BEEN RECEIVED
ALL AROUND THE CAHABA HEIGHTS AREA.

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG PELHAM 33.30N 86.79W
04/11/2008 SHELBY AL AMATEUR RADIO

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN THE ROYAL OAKS
SUBDIVISION.

0442 PM HAIL 4 NE BIRMINGHAM 33.57N 86.75W
04/11/2008 E2.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

BASEBALL SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF
I-20 AND CRESTWOOD BLVD.

0452 PM FUNNEL CLOUD BIRMINGHAM 33.53N 86.80W
04/11/2008 JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED IN BIRMINGHAM.

0452 PM HAIL TRUSSVILLE 33.64N 86.59W
04/11/2008 E2.50 INCH JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN TRUSSVILLE.

0500 PM HAIL MOODY 33.60N 86.49W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH ST. CLAIR AL BROADCAST MEDIA

HAIL AT LEAST AS LARGE AS PENNIES FELL NEAR MOODY.

0518 PM FLASH FLOOD BIRMINGHAM 33.53N 86.80W
04/11/2008 JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

WATER COVERED THE ROADWAY BETWEEN 18-24 INCHES DEEP IN
TARRANT CITY.

0615 PM HEAVY RAIN N CALERA 33.10N 86.75W
04/11/2008 E0.00 INCH SHELBY AL ASOS

OVER SHELBY COUNTY AIRPORT

0658 PM TSTM WND GST THORSBY 32.92N 86.71W
04/11/2008 E48.00 MPH CHILTON AL NWS EMPLOYEE

WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 45 AND 50 MPH.

0825 PM HAIL JACKSONS' GAP 32.88N 85.82W
04/11/2008 E0.50 INCH TALLAPOOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SMALL HAIL FELL NEAR JACKSONS GAP.

1035 PM HAIL MILLBROOK 32.49N 86.37W
04/11/2008 E0.88 INCH ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN MILLBROOK.

1035 PM HAIL WETUMPKA 32.54N 86.20W
04/11/2008 E0.25 INCH ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED IN WETUMPKA.

0158 AM HAIL 2 W SYLACAUGA 33.18N 86.30W
04/12/2008 E0.25 INCH TALLADEGA AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

PEA SIZE HAIL FELL WEST OF SYLACAUGA. HAIL MAY HAVE BEEN
MUCH LARGER BUT FELL IN RURAL AREAS.

0202 AM HAIL SYLACAUGA 33.18N 86.26W
04/12/2008 E1.00 INCH TALLADEGA AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR SYLACAUGA.

&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [131252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 131252
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
751 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL 5 S FAYETTE 33.62N 87.83W
04/11/2008 E1.00 INCH FAYETTE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FELL NEAR NEWTONVILLE AND WAS COVERING
THE GROUND.

&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [131249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 131249
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
749 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM TSTM WND DMG HUBBERTVILLE 33.83N 87.74W
04/11/2008 FAYETTE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN BETWEEN GLEN ALLEN AND HUBBERTVILLE
AND AROUND BAZEMORE.

&&

$$

LINHARES

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 131226
SWODY1
SPC AC 131223

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0723 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 131300Z - 141200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
DEEP TROUGH ALOFT WILL BE CARVED OUT OVER THE ERN U.S. DURING THE
PERIOD AS A PAIR OF STRONG MID LEVEL VORT MAXIMA ROTATE SEWD ACROSS
THE MID WEST/LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY. THIS WILL DRIVE SURFACE COLD
FRONT SEWD OFF FL COAST DURING THE DAY. ALTHOUGH A FAIRLY
WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL PERSIST OVER SERN FL AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL ONLY BE MARGINAL FOR DEEP MOIST
CONVECTION WITH WARM NOSE AROUND H7 WEAKENING CAPE.
REGARDLESS...APPEARS SUFFICIENT CAPE WILL BE PRESENT FOR A FEW
DEEPER CONVECTIVE UPDRAFTS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SRN FL PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE.

ELSEWHERE...STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO THE
PAC NW AND FORCE RIDGE AXIS EWD ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS TONIGHT. AS
THIS OCCURS A STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT QUICKLY EWD INTO
THE NRN ROCKIES AND BRING SHALLOW MOIST CONVECTION EWD AWAY FROM THE
PAC NW. HOWEVER...FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED.

.EVANS.. 04/13/2008

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KBMX [131027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 131027
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
527 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM HAIL VESTAVIA HILLS 33.43N 86.79W
04/11/2008 E1.75 INCH JEFFERSON AL BROADCAST MEDIA

GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN VESTAVIA HILLS.

&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [131010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 131010
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
510 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HAIL MOODY 33.60N 86.49W
04/11/2008 E0.75 INCH ST. CLAIR AL BROADCAST MEDIA

HAIL AT LEAST AS LARGE AS PENNIES FELL NEAR MOODY.

&&

$$

LINHARES

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 130823
SWOD48
SPC AC 130822

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 161200Z - 211200Z

..DISCUSSION...
LATEST GFS RUNS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION...IN TERMS OF
ITS HANDLING OF THE NEXT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO EJECT OUT OF
THE ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS DAY 5 /THU. APR. 17/. DESPITE
INCREASING CERTAINTY WITH THE EJECTION OF THIS FEATURE...SEVERAL
ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS REMAIN -- INCLUDING THE QUALITY OF THE MOISTURE
RETURN AND THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF THE SURFACE LOW/FRONT.

ATTM...OVERALL MAGNITUDE OF THE POTENTIAL SEVERE EVENT SEEMS
MARGINAL FOR THE INTRODUCTION OF A RISK AREA...WITH CONFIDENCE
LESSENED FURTHER BY THE AFOREMENTIONED QUESTIONS REGARDING
MOISTURE/DESTABILIZATION AND EVOLUTION OF THE SURFACE PATTERN.
THUS...WILL NOT INTRODUCE AN OUTLOOK AREA THIS FORECAST...DESPITE
THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST A LOWER-END SEVERE EVENT DAY 5 ACROSS THE
SRN PLAINS...AND PERHAPS EXPANDING EWD TO INCLUDE THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER MS VALLEY DAY 6.

.GOSS.. 04/13/2008

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KDDC [130746]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 130746
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
246 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE HAYS 38.85N 99.28W
04/12/2008 M91.00 MPH ELLIS KS AWOS

0455 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE HAYS 38.85N 99.28W
04/12/2008 M59.00 MPH ELLIS KS AWOS

&&

$$

BURKE

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 130713
SWODY3
SPC AC 130711

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE/HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN TO PERSIST THIS
PERIOD...WITH THE ERN TROUGH EVENTUALLY MOVING OFF THE E COAST WHILE
THE WRN TROUGH DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES/GREAT BASIN.
AT THE SURFACE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS/INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH TIME...AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING WRN
TROUGH. HOWEVER...LACK OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT
SUGGESTS LITTLE IF ANY POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION...AND THUS ONLY
A VERY MINIMAL THREAT FOR THUNDER. ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED.

.GOSS.. 04/13/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 130554
SWODY2
SPC AC 130552

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1252 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
HIGHLY-AMPLIFIED/SLOWLY-PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE DAY
2...AS ONE TROUGH APPROACHES THE E COAST AND A SECOND MOVES ACROSS
THE WEST.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF
THE CONUS IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...EFFECTIVELY NEGATING
ANY THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. FURTHER W...SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR ACROSS PARTS OF ID AND VICINITY...INVOF COLD
FRONT/IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE WRN UPPER TROUGH.
ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED THIS PERIOD.

.GOSS.. 04/13/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 130519
SWODY1
SPC AC 130517

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1217 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2008

VALID 131200Z - 141200Z

..NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL PERSIST SUNDAY WITH A POSITIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH ADVANCING SLOWLY THROUGH THE ERN STATES AND A
RIDGE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN WEST. UPPER TROUGH NOW OVER THE ERN
PACIFIC WILL APPROACH THE PACIFIC NW TOWARD THE END OF THIS PERIOD.
THE SURFACE PATTERN WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY A COLD FRONT MOVING SWD
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FL PENINSULA AND A LARGE AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE CNTRL STATES CONTRIBUTING TO OFFSHORE FLOW ALONG
THE GULF.

..S FL...

A FEW SHOWERS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY PROBABLE ALONG SWD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT AND SEA BREEZES AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DESTABILIZES. THE
00Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS OVER THE FL PENINSULA FOR SATURDAY EVENING
SHOWED AN INVERSION PRESENT AROUND 700 MB ALONG WITH WEAK MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE IMPROVEMENT OF THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND MUCH
OF THE CAPE CONFINED TO LAYERS WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE WARMER THAN
-10C. THIS SEEMS REASONABLE GIVEN THAT DEEPER ASCENT AND UPPER JET
MAXIMA MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN WELL NW OF THE
WARM SECTOR. THE MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS ANY
LIGHTNING ACCOMPANYING THE SHOWERS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 10%
COVERAGE INLAND.

.DIAL.. 04/13/2008

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