KTOP [120314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120314
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1014 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1013 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 N GLASCO 39.45N 97.83W
09/11/2008 M2.40 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WOLTERS

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KTOP [120311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120311
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1011 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW CONCORDIA 39.56N 97.68W
09/11/2008 M4.10 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER IN CONCORDIA MEASURED 4.10 INCHES

&&

$$

SBLAIR

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KGID [120311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 120311
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1011 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1010 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 NNE LURAY 39.23N 98.65W
09/11/2008 M3.75 INCH OSBORNE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL SINCE 6PM

&&

$$

DOXEY

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KRIW [120252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 120252
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
851 PM MDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM FLASH FLOOD OPAL 41.77N 110.32W
09/11/2008 LINCOLN WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

STREET FLOODING WITH ONE FOOT DEEP WATER. ONE BASEMENT
FLOODED ON SOLLIDAY STREET.

&&

$$

21

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KICT [120247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120247
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
947 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0944 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SSW WALDO 39.05N 98.84W
09/11/2008 RUSSELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

5.25 INCHES OF RAIN IN OBSERVERS GAUGE. OBSERVER IS
LOCATED NEAR PARADISE CREEK...MANY FLOODED ROADS AND SOME
SMALL BRIDGES WASHED OUT.

&&

$$

JMB

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KTOP [120246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120246
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
946 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSE CONCORDIA 39.51N 97.63W
09/11/2008 M1.50 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

1.50 INCHES IN 90 MINUTES

&&

$$

SBLAIR

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KTOP [120244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120244
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
944 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0927 PM FLASH FLOOD CONCORDIA 39.57N 97.66W
09/11/2008 CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED STREET FLOODING IN CONCORDIA WITH WATER COVERING
THE STREETS UP TO THE CROWN. DEPTH OF RUNNING WATER
ESTIMATED AROUND 5 INCHES DEEP.

&&

$$

WOLTERS

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KPSR [120225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KPSR 120225
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
724 PM MST THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM TSTM WND GST YUMA 32.68N 114.62W
09/11/2008 E60.00 MPH YUMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED WIND GUSTS 50-60 MPH. AWNING
BLOWN OFF OF HOUSE.

0125 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW YUMA 32.65N 114.66W
09/11/2008 YUMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

AWNING BLOWN OFF BUILDING. POWER POLES DOWN AT AVENUE A
AND 3RD ST IN YUMA.

0522 PM DUST STORM 10 N GILA BEND 33.10N 112.68W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

DUST STORM WITH WIND 50 MPH. 3 COTTON TRAILERS BLOWN
OVER. 522-532 PM.

0525 PM DUST STORM TONOPAH 33.50N 112.93W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE WALL OF DUST ENTERING TONOPAH AND I-10

0528 PM DUST STORM 5 NE BUCKEYE 33.43N 112.54W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY 600 FT IN BLOWING DUST. 40 MPH WIND.

0534 PM TSTM WND GST TONOPAH 33.50N 112.93W
09/11/2008 E60.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE IN BLOWING DUST. WIND GUST TO 60
MPH.

0540 PM TSTM WND GST BUCKEYE 33.38N 112.60W
09/11/2008 M60.00 MPH MARICOPA AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL

FLOOD CONTROL DISTRICT WIND SENSOR MEASURED 60 MPH WIND
GUST.

0545 PM DUST STORM LITCHFIELD PARK 33.50N 112.36W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY 1/8 MILE IN BLOWING DUST.

0559 PM DUST STORM EL MIRAGE 33.59N 112.32W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE

0604 PM DUST STORM SUN LAKES 33.22N 111.87W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY 1/4 MILE

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 SW BUCKEYE 33.28N 112.72W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MCSO REPORTED 3 MILES OF POWER POLES BLOWN DOWN ON OLD
HIGHWAY 80 BETWEEN BUCKEYE AND GILA BEND.

0615 PM DUST STORM CHANDLER 33.29N 111.87W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ NWS EMPLOYEE

VSBY 1/4 MILE

0628 PM DUST STORM ARIZONA CITY 32.75N 111.67W
09/11/2008 PINAL AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE

0629 PM DUST STORM QUEEN CREEK 33.24N 111.64W
09/11/2008 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

VSBY LESS THAN 1/4 MILE. ESTIMATED WIND GUST TO 60 MPH.

&&

$$

KINCAID

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KICT [120209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120209
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
909 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N LUCAS 39.09N 98.54W
09/11/2008 M2.34 INCH RUSSELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED 2.34 INCHES OF RAINFALL AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN STILL COMING DOWN.

&&

$$

CDJ

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KICT [120204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120204
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
904 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0902 PM FLASH FLOOD S GORHAM 38.88N 99.02W
09/11/2008 RUSSELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

176TH STREET SOUTH OF GORHAM HAS WATER OVER THE ROAD AND
COUNTY HAS BEEN DISPACHED TO PUT UP BARRICADES.

&&

$$

JMB

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KTOP [120159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120159
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
859 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0857 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 W NORWAY 39.70N 97.85W
09/11/2008 M1.70 INCH REPUBLIC KS TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL SINCE 630PM.

&&

$$

JTL

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KGID [120158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 120158
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
857 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 N BELOIT 39.55N 98.11W
09/11/2008 MITCHELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 14 NORTH OF BELOIT NEAR THE JEWELL
COUNTY LINE.

0801 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 E BELOIT 39.47N 98.05W
09/11/2008 MITCHELL KS AMATEUR RADIO

QUICKLY FLOWING WATER IS COVERING HIGHWAY 9 IN AREAS
BETWEEN BELOIT AND THE CLOUD COUNTY LINE.

0807 PM FLASH FLOOD BELOIT 39.47N 98.11W
09/11/2008 MITCHELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER HIGHWAY 14 FROM E ROAD SOUTH TO HIGHWAY 24.

&&

$$

HEINLEIN

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KTOP [120157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120157
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
857 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0854 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 N GLASCO 39.44N 97.84W
09/11/2008 M0.75 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED RAINFALL OCCURRED IN 30 TO 35 MINUTES.

&&

$$

JTL

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KTOP [120150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 120150
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
849 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0848 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W CONCORDIA 39.57N 97.68W
09/11/2008 M2.30 INCH CLOUD KS TRAINED SPOTTER

2.30 INCHES OF RAINFALL MEASURED WITHIN THE PAST HOUR ON
THE WEST SIDE OF CONCORDIA

&&

$$

SBLAIR

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KGID [120139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 120139
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
839 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 PM HEAVY RAIN E BELOIT 39.47N 98.10W
09/11/2008 M2.20 INCH MITCHELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL SINCE 6PM, STILL RAINING HEAVY

&&

$$

DOXEY

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KDDC [120132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 120132
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
831 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0825 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 E VICTORIA 38.85N 99.06W
09/11/2008 E3.69 INCH ELLIS KS EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

MB

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KICT [120130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120130
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
830 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0822 PM HEAVY RAIN WALDO 39.12N 98.80W
09/11/2008 M3.60 INCH RUSSELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

AMOUNT OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN IN THE LAST 2.5 TO 3
HOURS.

&&

$$

JMB

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KICT [120128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 120128
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
828 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0821 PM HEAVY RAIN RUSSELL AIRPORT 38.87N 98.82W
09/11/2008 M0.49 INCH RUSSELL KS ASOS

RUSSELL AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED NEAR HALF AN INCH OF
RAINFALL IN TEN MINUTES.

&&

$$

CDJ

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KSGF [120055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 120055
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
755 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 PM TORNADO 1 N CABOOL 37.14N 92.10W
09/11/2008 TEXAS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KARDELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 120053
SWODY1
SPC AC 120050

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0750 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 120100Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN MO/NRN AR/NERN OK...

SEVERAL MINI SUPERCELLS...WITH REPORTED TORNADOES...HAVE EVOLVED
WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIRMASS FROM EXTREME NERN OK INTO SRN MO/NRN AR.
00Z SOUNDINGS FROM THIS REGION SUGGEST THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING
WITHIN A FAIRLY WEAK WARM ADVECTION REGIME ALONG NRN FRINGE OF
SOMEWHAT STEEPER LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY. IN ALL LIKELIHOOD DIURNAL
HEATING IS CONTRIBUTING GREATLY TO THE RECENT BRIEF/WEAK TORNADOES.
LATEST THINKING IS DIURNAL COOLING WILL GREATLY IMPEDE THIS TYPE OF
ACTIVITY...BUT FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS ISOLATED SUPERCELLS MAY
PRODUCE ONE OR TWO TORNADOES ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF BROADER PRECIP
SHIELD FROM SRN MO INTO NRN AR.

...LA...

NRN OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL BEGIN TO SKIRT COASTAL
PORTIONS OF LA OVERNIGHT. ENELY FLOW HAS INCREASED WELL NORTH OF
STRONGER BANDS AND RESULTANT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY PROVE
ADEQUATE FOR STORM ROTATION AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

...AZ...

NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALL BUT OVERTURNED INSTABILITY
ACROSS SRN AZ THIS EVENING. OVERALL TRENDS ARE DOWN WITH ORGANIZED
CONVECTION ACROSS MARICOPA AND PIMA COUNTIES. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH PERHAPS AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUST OR
SOME HAIL BEFORE ACTIVITY DIMINISHES.

..DARROW.. 09/12/2008

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KSGF [120052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 120052
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO 4 SW CABOOL 37.09N 92.14W
09/11/2008 TEXAS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KARDELL

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KSGF [120049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KSGF 120049
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
748 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO 1 S CABOOL 37.11N 92.10W
09/11/2008 TEXAS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION...REMARKS

$$

KARDELL

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KSGF [120046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 120046
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
746 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0719 PM TORNADO 5 W WILLOW SPRINGS 36.99N 92.06W
09/11/2008 HOWELL MO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

KARDELL

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KSGF [120023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 120023
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
723 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TORNADO 2 SW CABOOL 37.10N 92.13W
09/11/2008 TEXAS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTS OF MULTIPLE ROPE TORNADOES TO THE SOUTH AND
WEST OF CABOOL.

&&

$$

JSS

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KILX [120006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 120006
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
705 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSW PETERSBURG 39.97N 89.87W
09/11/2008 M2.96 INCH MENARD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 SSW PETERSBURG 39.97N 89.87W
09/11/2008 MENARD IL CO-OP OBSERVER

RT. 97 NEAR NEAR NEW SALEM ST. PARK WAS CLOSED FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO HIGH WATER FROM HEAVY RAIN.

&&

$$

SCHAFFER

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KCHS [120005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 120005
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
805 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NW GARDEN CITY 32.11N 81.19W
09/11/2008 E45 MPH CHATHAM GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

REPORT OF WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL AND
SIGHTING OF A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 307
AND ROUTE 21.

&&

$$

33

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KSGX [112357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 112357
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
457 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM HAIL RANCHITA 33.21N 116.52W
09/11/2008 E1.75 INCH SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BM

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KFFC [112340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 112340
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
739 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0614 PM LIGHTNING BONAIRE 32.54N 83.60W
09/11/2008 HOUSTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 10 INJ *** 10 PEOPLE INJURED AT A FOOTBALL GAME...1
SERIOUS

&&

$$

SLAMBACK

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KSGX [112306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 112306
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
406 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TSTM WND GST LA QUINTA 33.67N 116.29W
09/11/2008 M67 MPH RIVERSIDE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND GUST WAS FROM OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS ABOUT 30
MILES TO THE SOUTHEAST.

&&

$$

BM

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KMAF [112258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 112258
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
558 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0519 PM FLASH FLOOD HOBBS 32.73N 103.16W
09/11/2008 LEA NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN AND
AROUND HOBBS WITH MULTIPLE STALLED VEHICLES AND A FEW
MOTOR VEHICLE ACCIDENTS

&&

$$

CGITRO

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KMAF [112254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMAF 112254
LSRMAF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
554 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0447 PM FLASH FLOOD HOBBS 32.73N 103.16W
09/11/2008 LEA NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE STREETS BARACADED DUE TO HIGH WATER. NUMEROUS
STALLED VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CGITRO

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KSGX [112251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 112251
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
350 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 N BOULEVARD 32.69N 116.27W
09/11/2008 SAN DIEGO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 8 NEAR
BOULEVARD.

&&

$$

BM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2248

ACUS11 KWNS 112201
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112200
MOZ000-ARZ000-112300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2248
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN MO/NORTHERN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 112200Z - 112300Z

A RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO
ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MO /AND PERHAPS NORTHERN AR/...HOWEVER A WATCH
IS UNLIKELY.

SHOWERS/FEW TSTMS CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT MODERATE BOUTS OF LOW LEVEL
ROTATION ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GENERALLY
FOCUSED ALONG A DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY...THIS ACTIVITY IS
OCCURRING WITHIN A VERY MOIST TROPICAL-LIKE AIRMASS WITH LOWER 70S F
DEWPOINTS AND WELL-ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AROUND 1.8
INCHES PER THIS MORNINGS 12Z OBSERVED RAOB FROM SPRINGFIELD. WSR-88D
DERIVED WINDS FROM SPRINGFIELD AND THE CONWAY MO PROFILER REFLECT
0-1 KM SHEAR AROUND 15 KT WITH 0-1 KM SRH PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 100
M2/S2...WHICH IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES
WITHIN SUCH A MOISTURE-RICH AIRMASS. LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD
DIMINISH THE THREAT FURTHER TOWARD SUNSET. THE EXPECTED
BRIEF/MARGINAL NATURE OF THE TORNADO THREAT WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE A
WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 09/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

36709405 37259186 37019016 36359018 35629422

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KSLC [112155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 112155
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
354 PM MDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM FLASH FLOOD 24 ESE ESCALANTE 37.58N 111.23W
09/10/2008 GARFIELD UT PARK/FOREST SRVC

*** 2 FATAL, 2 INJ *** FLASH FLOOD IN EGYPT 3 SLOT CANYON
IN THE GRAND STAIRCASE-ESCALANTE NATIONAL MONUMENT.

&&

$$

LCHENG

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KILX [112154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 112154
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
454 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM FLASH FLOOD ASHLAND 39.89N 90.01W
09/11/2008 CASS IL EMERGENCY MNGR

STORM SEWERS OVERFLOWING FROM HEAVY RAIN. SOME ROADS
UNDER WATER AND CLOSED.

&&

$$

SCHAFFER

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KILX [112144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 112144
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
444 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HEAVY RAIN PETERSBURG 40.01N 89.85W
09/11/2008 M3.02 INCH MENARD IL MESONET

0250 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S GREENVIEW 40.04N 89.74W
09/11/2008 M2.99 INCH MENARD IL MESONET

&&

$$

SCHAFFER

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KMLB [112126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 112126
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
525 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM TORNADO 1 W WEST LAKE TOHO 28.22N 81.42W
09/10/2008 OSCEOLA FL PUBLIC

THE PUBLIC SIGHTED A TORNADIC WATERSPOUT FROM THE WESTERN
SHORE OF LAKE TOHO FOR TWO MINUTES. IT LIFTED BEFORE
REACHING SHORE.

&&

$$

JRC

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KVEF [112103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 112103
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
203 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE VALENTINE 35.40N 113.64W
09/11/2008 M1.14 INCH MOHAVE AZ MESONET

AN AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGE AT CROZIER CANYON RECORDED 1.14
INCHES OF RAIN IN UNDER 2 HOURS.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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KPSR [112046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 112046
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
146 PM MST THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW YUMA 32.65N 114.66W
09/11/2008 YUMA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

AWNING BLOWN OFF BUILDING. POWER POLES DOWN AT AVENUE A
AND 3RD ST IN YUMA.

&&

$$

INIGUEZ

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KVEF [112041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 112041
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
141 PM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM HAIL GOLDEN VALLEY 35.22N 114.22W
09/11/2008 E0.50 INCH MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER REPORTED MARBLE SIZE HAIL IN THE GOLDEN VALLEY
AREA.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111943
SWODY1
SPC AC 111940

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...FOUR CORNERS REGION...
WATER VAPOR CURRENTLY SHOWS A POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
OVER THE WRN STATES WITH A PLUME OF MID-LEVEL MOISTURE EXTENDING
FROM WRN AZ NNEWD ACROSS CNTRL AND ERN UT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE
DEVELOPING ALONG THIS MID-LEVEL MOIST AXIS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
RUC ANALYSIS SUGGESTS MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE FROM NEAR THE
COLORADO RIVER IN FAR WRN AZ EXTENDING NEWD TO NEAR THE UT
STATE-LINE. THIS COMBINED WITH STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ESPECIALLY IN SW AND WCNTRL AZ WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS RANGE FROM THE
MID 50S F TO THE LOWER 60S F SHOULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE
THREAT. THE INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO SUPPORT A HAIL THREAT ACROSS
THIS AREA. NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM EXTENDING NEWD ACROSS ECNTRL
UT...RUC DATA SUGGESTS MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR IS IN PLACE WITH
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING 8.0 C/KM. THIS ALONG WITH COLD AIR
ALOFT /500 MB TEMPS FROM -12 TO -16 C/ AHEAD OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR HAIL WITH THE MORE INTENSE
MULTICELLS. STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH
OF I-70 IN SERN UT WHERE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE QUITE STEEP AND
SFC TEMPS HAVE WARMED TO ABOVE 70 F.

...SRN LA/FAR SRN MS...
HURRICANE IKE WILL CONTINUE TO APPROACH THE MID TO UPPER TX COAST
TONIGHT. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH IKE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE WNWWD INTO
SRN LA THIS EVENING AND THE OUTER MOST RAINBAND ON THE NRN SIDE OF
IKE SHOULD REMAIN ALONG OR JUST OFF THE COAST OF LA THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD. FORECAST SOUNDINGS GRADUALLY INCREASE LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY THIS EVENING WITH 0-1 KM
SHEAR VALUES EXCEEDING 30 KT ACROSS MUCH OF SRN LA BY MIDNIGHT. THIS
ALONG WITH RELATIVELY LOW LCL HEIGHTS NEAR 750 METERS AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ABOVE 2 INCHES SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A
MARGINAL TORNADO THREAT THROUGH LATE IN THE PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 09/11/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2247

ACUS11 KWNS 111850
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111849
AZZ000-CAZ000-112045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2247
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0149 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CA AND SWRN AZ

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 111849Z - 112045Z

DUE TO LOCALIZED THREAT WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING JUST S OF THE BORDER OF SERN
CA/SWRN AZ. VERY MOIST SLY FLOW UP THE G OF CA COUPLED WITH STEEP
LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK UPR LOW JUST W OF NRN BAJA ARE
COMBINING TO SUPPORT A LOCALIZED AREA OF MDT/STG INSTABILITY. WITH
SBCAPES ABOVE 2500 J/KG STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP N AND E
ACROSS BORDER INTO IMPERIAL VALLEY AND SWRN DESERT VALLEYS OF AZ.
NEW STORMS WILL DEVELOP ON OUTFLOW OF EXISTING CONVECTION AND RESULT
IN POTENTIAL FOR STRONG ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SPREADING NWD INTO
THIS AREA N OF MEX BORDER.

..HALES.. 09/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PSR...

32531330 32301410 32591537 33321541 33701508 33741434
33631374 33531371

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2246

ACUS11 KWNS 111845
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111844
COZ000-NMZ000-AZZ000-UTZ000-112045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2246
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0144 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN UT...WRN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 111844Z - 112045Z

THE RISK FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED OR MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS APPEARS
TO BE INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON. THE NEED FOR A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT...INCLUDING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
...IS NOW WELL UNDERWAY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST/EAST CENTRAL UTAH
INTO NORTHWEST COLORADO. THIS IS WHERE UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE
APPEARS STRONGEST TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST OF A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION
NOW SHIFTING SOUTH SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN. A
MID-LEVEL COLD POCKET ACCOMPANYING THE UPPER SYSTEM IS CONTRIBUTING
FAIRLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WHICH RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
COULD SUPPORT MIXED LAYER CAPE UP TO AROUND 1000 J/KG BY PEAK
AFTERNOON HEATING. ALTHOUGH LOW/MID LEVEL WIND FIELDS ARE SOMEWHAT
LIGHT...CLOUD BEARING LAYER SHEAR IS STRONG BENEATH 50+ KT
SOUTHWESTERLY HIGH LEVEL FLOW...AND THIS COULD ENHANCE THE THREAT
FOR AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN ISOLATED STRONGEST CELLS. AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM/BECOME MORE DEEPLY MIXED...
LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY IN NEW
ACTIVITY WHICH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP/INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN UTAH AND SOUTHWESTERN COLORADO.

..KERR.. 09/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PUB...ABQ...GJT...FGZ...SLC...

38351185 39541109 40151110 40751042 40970917 40350706
39380652 37960690 37110816 36860975 36991152 37651189

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KVEF [111843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 111843
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1143 AM PDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1139 AM HAIL 3 N KINGMAN 35.25N 114.03W
09/11/2008 E0.25 INCH MOHAVE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

A SPOTTER REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL JUST NORTH OF KINGMAN.

&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 111727
SWODY2
SPC AC 111725

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX AND LA
COASTAL PLAINS...

...TX AND LA COASTAL PLAINS...
HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO MOVE
TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TX COAST FRIDAY WITH THE MORE
WELL-DEVELOPED OUTER RAINBANDS SPREADING STARTING FRIDAY MORNING
AROUND 12Z. BECAUSE OF THE LARGE AREA AFFECTED BY HURRICANE
IKE...RAINBANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE TX AND LA
COASTAL PLAINS ALL DAY FRIDAY AND ALL FRIDAY NIGHT. IKE IS EXPECTED
TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE MIDDLE TO UPPER TX COAST TOWARD DAYBREAK
ON SATURDAY.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS ON FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA
SHOW THE GREATEST LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IN SRN LA. THIS
SUGGESTS A TORNADO THREAT MAY BE ONGOING IN SRN LA AT THE BEGINNING
OF THE PERIOD. BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON...MODEL FORECASTS BEGIN TO
INCREASE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE TX COASTAL
PLAINS AS THE OUTER RAINBANDS MOVE FURTHER INLAND. THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN AN INCREASING TORNADO THREAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE TX
COASTAL PLAINS WITH ROTATING STORMS THAT REMAIN SOMEWHAT DISCRETE ON
THE EDGE OF IKE OR WITH MESOCYCLONES EMBEDDED IN THE OUTER
RAINBANDS. LCL HEIGHTS REALLY DROP ALONG THE TX COAST FRIDAY EVENING
CONTINUING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS THE EYE OF IKE APPROACHES.
THIS COULD BE THE TIME OF GREATEST TORNADO POTENTIAL ESPECIALLY
NORTHEAST OF THE EYE FROM NEAR HOUSTON TX NEWD TO BATON ROUGE LA
WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED.

...SRN PLAINS/OZARKS/OH AND TN VALLEYS...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
GULF COAST STATES WITH SWLY FLOW IN PLACE FROM THE SRN ROCKIES
EXTENDING NEWD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS AND OH VALLEY. THIS PATTERN
SHOULD CONTINUE AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH GRADUALLY MOVES EWD ACROSS
THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD
ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS AND SRN HIGH PLAINS...BEING POSITIONED FROM
CNTRL MO SWWD ACROSS KS INTO WRN OK AND WEST TX BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS
DESTABILIZATION TAKES PLACE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS IN THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS SHOW ENOUGH DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT WITH HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS POSSIBLE. FURTHER NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OZARKS...OH VALLEY AND
TN VALLEY...LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO BE STRONGER AND WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BE MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL. THIS COMBINED WITH THE AMOUNT OF
INSTABILITY AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD ALSO SUPPORT A MARGINAL WIND
DAMAGE THREAT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 09/11/2008

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KLIX [111718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 111718
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1217 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM STORM SURGE NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
09/11/2008 M5.90 FT ORLEANS LA OTHER FEDERAL

INDUSTRIAL CANAL - INNER HARBOR NAVIGATION CANAL. NAVD88.

1045 AM STORM SURGE GOLDEN MEADOW 29.39N 90.27W
09/11/2008 M3.10 FT LAFOURCHE LA OTHER FEDERAL

GOLDEN MEADOW FLOODGATE READING. NAVD88.

1045 AM STORM SURGE 11 SE VENICE 29.16N 89.23W
09/11/2008 M4.80 FT PLAQUEMINES LA OTHER FEDERAL

HEAD OF PASSES. NAVD88

1045 AM STORM SURGE WAVELAND 30.29N 89.38W
09/11/2008 M5.75 FT HANCOCK MS OTHER FEDERAL

WAVELAND YACHT CLUB. MLLW.

1045 AM STORM SURGE GRAND ISLE 29.21N 90.03W
09/11/2008 M3.42 FT JEFFERSON LA OTHER FEDERAL

MLLW

1045 AM STORM SURGE PORT FOURCHON 29.11N 90.19W
09/11/2008 M3.41 FT LAFOURCHE LA OTHER FEDERAL

MLLW

1045 AM STORM SURGE NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 90.08W
09/11/2008 M2.45 FT ORLEANS LA OTHER FEDERAL

ORLEANS AVENUE CANAL. NAVD88.

1045 AM STORM SURGE 17 E NEW ORLEANS 29.97N 89.80W
09/11/2008 M3.56 FT GMZ555 LA OTHER FEDERAL

CHEF PASS. ORLEANS LEVEE BOARD REPORTING WATER
OVERFLOWING U.S. HIGHWAY 90 AT CHEF PASS. STILL PASSIBLE.

1045 AM STORM SURGE CHALMETTE 29.94N 89.97W
09/11/2008 M5.10 FT ST. BERNARD LA OTHER FEDERAL

BAYOU BIENVENUE LOCK AT MISSISSIPPI RIVER-GULF OUTLET.
NAVD88.

1045 AM STORM SURGE VIOLET 29.90N 89.89W
09/11/2008 M4.53 FT ST. BERNARD LA OTHER FEDERAL

BAYOU DUPREE FLOODGATE AT MISSISSIPPI RIVER-GULF OUTLET.
NAVD88.

1045 AM STORM SURGE 2 N YSCLOSKEY 29.87N 89.69W
09/11/2008 M5.65 FT ST. BERNARD LA OTHER FEDERAL

SHELL BEACH. ST BERNARD PARISH LEVEE BOARD REPORTS 1 1/2
FT SURGE OVER HWY 624 AT HOPEDALE FROM BAYOU LA LOUTRE.
BELOW HOPEDALE HWY 624 IS IMPASSIBLE. STORM TIDE COMING
IN QUICK. MLLW.

&&

$$

RICKS

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KMOB [111657]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMOB 111657
LSRMOB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1157 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 AM TSTM WND GST 2 E DAUPHIN ISLAND 30.25N 88.07W
09/11/2008 M64 MPH GMZ650 AL C-MAN STATION

THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST ASSOCIATED WITH AN EXTREME OUTER
RAIN BAND OF HURRICANE IKE.

&&

$$

CACERES

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KMRX [111650]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMRX 111650
LSRMRX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1250 PM EDT THU SEP 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 S ROCKWOOD 35.74N 84.68W
09/10/2008 ROANE TN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ONE TREE DOWN ON KEYLON HOLLOW ROAD.

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSE KINGSTON 35.83N 84.49W
09/10/2008 ROANE TN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ONE TREE DOWN ON PAINTROCK FERRY ROAD.

&&

$$

MEP

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111553
SWODY1
SPC AC 111550

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARIZONA...
DEEP LAYER SHEAR HAS WEAKENED ACROSS MUCH OF AZ SINCE WED AS UPPER
LOW/TROUGH SHIFTS SLOWLY EWD FROM SRN CA. HOWEVER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO FLOW NWD FROM GULF OF CA INTO SRN AZ. COMBINED WITH
THE PRESENCE OF RELATIVELY STEEP LAPSE RATES AND FULL
HEATING...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP NEAR HIGHER TERRAIN
BY MID AFTERNOON. WITH THE WEAK MID LEVEL SHEAR STORMS WOULD BE
PRIMARILY OF THE PULSE MODE WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.
COVERAGE SHOULD BE LIMITED THUS KEEPING SEVERE PROBABILITIES
RELATIVELY LOW.

...ERN UT/WRN CO...
UPPER LOW NWRN WY/SERN ID BORDER MOVES SLOWLY SWD INTO NWRN UT BY
THIS EVENING. AIR MASS OVER ERN UT/WRN CO IS SOMEWHAT MOIST AND WITH
HEATING BECOMES MARGINALLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN BY MID AFTERNOON
ERN UT/WRN CO AND WITH RELATIVELY COOL AIR ALOFT AHEAD OF UPPER
LOW/TROUGH AND 30KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR A FEW STRONG/SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HAIL AND BRIEF DAMAGING
DOWNBURST WINDS.

...LA COAST...
SHEAR IS ALREADY INCREASING ALONG CENTRAL GULF COAST IN RESPONSE TO
APPROACH OF HURRICANE IKE. WEAK OUTER RAIN BANDS NOW MOVING ONSHORE
LA. ADDITIONAL RAIN BANDS WILL SPREAD WWD SRN LA INTO SERN TX. THE
THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THRU THE FORECAST
PERIOD. ATTM WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW PROBABILITIES AS THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION STILL REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE THROUGH 12Z FRI.

..HALES/CROSBIE.. 09/11/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111229
SWODY1
SPC AC 111226

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 111300Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A LARGE BUT RATHER WEAK LARGE SCALE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN STATES...WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE OH VALLEY. AMPLE MOISTURE AND
SEVERAL MINOR IMPULSES ARE FORECAST TO TRAVERSE THIS SW TO NE
ORIENTED FLOW FIELD...PROVIDING THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NM/TX INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. MOST AREAS
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR WILL SEE CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE DAY...LIMITING INSTABILITY AND OVERALL SEVERE THREAT. A
FEW MORE INTENSE UPDRAFTS COULD DEVELOP OVER THE MIDDLE MS
VALLEY...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATES AND MEAGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGEST
THREAT OF HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND DOES NOT WARRANT SEVERE
PROBABILITIES TODAY.

...AZ...
UPPER TROUGH OVER SOUTHERN CA WILL BEGIN MOVING EASTWARD TODAY
ACROSS PARTS OF UT/NV/AZ. STRONG HEATING IS LIKELY ONCE AGAIN OVER
THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF AZ...LEADING TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND
EVENING STORMS. POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW INTENSE STORMS CAPABLE
OF GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL.

...LA...
OUTER BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL AFFECT THE LOUISIANA DELTA REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SLOWLY INCREASE...POSSIBLY
ENOUGH TO RISK AN ISOLATED TORNADO BEFORE 12/12Z. THEREFORE...HAVE
ADDED A SMALL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS.

..HART/JEWELL.. 09/11/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 110558
SWODY2
SPC AC 110557

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE TX/SWRN LA COASTS...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH WILL BEGIN MOVING EWD OUT OF THE ROCKIES/TOWARD THE
PLAINS STATES THIS PERIOD..WITH WEAK SURFACE COOL FRONT FORECAST TO
CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S./MIDWEST THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...HURRICANE IKE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING ACROSS THE
WRN GULF...EVENTUALLY MAKING LANDFALL OVER THE TX COAST LATE IN THE
PERIOD PER LATEST NHC GUIDANCE.

...TX /SWRN LA COASTAL REGION...
WHILE CONSIDERABLE MODEL VARIABILITY CONTINUES TO EXIST...LATEST NHC
FORECAST DEPICTS IKE MOVING ASHORE ALONG THE MIDDLE/UPPER TX COAST
LATE IN THE PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...AND THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE
STORM -- WHICH INCLUDES THE ZONE OF MOST FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT -- BEGINS AFFECTING THE TX/LA
COASTS...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE. THUS -- WILL
INTRODUCE A SLIGHT RISK FOR TORNADOES THIS FORECAST -- ACROSS A
LARGE AREA INCLUDING THE ENTIRE TX COAST AND INTO SRN LA TO ACCOUNT
FOR STORM TRACK UNCERTAINTY.

...OH VALLEY WSWWD ACROSS OK/W TX/SERN NM...
WEAK COOL FRONT SETTLING SLOWLY SEWD SHOULD CONTINUE TO SERVE AS A
FOCUS FOR WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THIS PERIOD. HOWEVER...OVERALL
INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE HINDERED BY WEAK INSTABILITY
ARISING FROM WIDESPREAD WEAK/NEARLY-MOIST ADIABATIC LAPSE
RATES...AND ALSO LIMITED AS A RESULT OF GENERALLY MODEST DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. WHILE DEGREE OF SHEAR/INSTABILITY MAY LOCALLY SUPPORT A FEW
STRONGER STORMS -- AND THUS LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE MAINTAINED -- ANY THREAT SHOULD BE MARGINAL AND
SHORT-LIVED...DIMINISHING AFTER SUNSET.

..GOSS.. 09/11/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110543
SWODY1
SPC AC 110540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...AZ...

POSITIVE TILTED UPPER TROUGHING WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE SWRN
U.S. INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES THROUGH THURSDAY. WITHIN THIS
TROUGH...BIMODAL LOW STRUCTURES WILL BE NOTED ACROSS SRN CA/NRN BAJA
AND NEAR THE ID/UT/WY BORDER BY MID AFTERNOON. UNTIL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS SHUNTED EAST OF THE LOWER DESERTS AND HIGHER TERRAIN OF
AZ STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT WILL ALLOW MODEST INSTABILITY TO
DEVELOP DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
1000-1500 J/KG CAPE COULD EASILY DEVELOP WHERE DEW POINTS HOLD IN
THE 50S. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL LIKELY ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP WITHIN
SWLY FLOW REGIME WHERE H5 FLOW WILL BE ROUGHLY ON THE ORDER OF 20KT.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO SUPPORT
SEMI-ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF GENERATING GUSTY WINDS
AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.

...ELSEWHERE...

VERY MOIST AIRMASS WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS MUCH OF THE U.S. EAST
OF THE ROCKIES AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT THAT WILL STRETCH FROM
CO INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY BY 12/00Z. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD READILY DEVELOP ALONG AN AXIS FROM NRN
MEXICO...NEWD ACROSS WEST TX INTO WI WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
SHOULD RANGE FROM 1.5-2 INCHES. ANOTHER ZONE OF CONCENTRATED DEEP
CONVECTION WILL OCCUR FROM THE LOWER OH VALLEY...SEWD INTO THE FL
PENINSULA. IN THE ABSENCE OF STEEP LAPSE RATES OR MEANINGFUL SHEAR
EACH OF THE REGIONS WILL EXPERIENCE MAINLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS WITH
UNPREDICTABLE LOCAL WET MICROBURSTS.

..DARROW/JEWELL.. 09/11/2008

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