KLUB [142115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 142115
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
315 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NE AMHERST 34.02N 102.40W
12/14/2012 M58 MPH LAMB TX MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200407

$$

JGD

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KPUB [142113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 142113
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
213 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0209 PM SNOW 11 NNE CRESTONE 38.13N 105.58W
12/14/2012 M4.8 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MN

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KPUB [142110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 142110
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
210 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0207 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M15.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL IN PAST 24 HOURS. 12 INCHES FELL SINCE 637 AM.


&&

$$

KT

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KLUB [142104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 142104
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
303 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0259 PM TSTM WND GST LAZBUDDIE 34.39N 102.61W
12/14/2012 M66 MPH PARMER TX SCHOOL OFFICIAL

SCHOOLNET AT LAZBUDDIE


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200406

$$

JGD

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KABQ [142057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 142057
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
157 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0127 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N CANNON AFB 34.39N 103.31W
12/14/2012 M63 MPH CURRY NM ASOS

KCVS ASOS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201530

$$

KJ

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KLUB [142054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 142054
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
253 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSW MULESHOE 34.20N 102.74W
12/14/2012 M65 MPH BAILEY TX MESONET


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200405

$$

JGD

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KMPX [142052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 142052
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
252 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW ST CLOUD 45.55N 94.17W
12/10/2012 M11.2 INCH STEARNS MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL FROM THE DEC 8-9 STORM.

1200 AM SNOW MINNEAPOLIS 44.96N 93.27W
12/10/2012 M10.6 INCH HENNEPIN MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL FROM THE DEC 8-9 STORM.


&&

$$

SPD

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KABQ [142044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KABQ 142044
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
144 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0114 PM TSTM WND GST 13 SE TOLAR 34.30N 103.80W
12/14/2012 M65 MPH ROOSEVELT NM PARK/FOREST SRVC

MELROSE RANGE RAWS.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201529

$$

KJ

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KABQ [142038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 142038
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
137 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0114 PM TSTM WND GST 13 SE TOLAR 34.30N 103.80W
12/14/2012 M75 MPH ROOSEVELT NM PARK/FOREST SRVC

MELROSE RANGE RAWS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201529

$$

KJ

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 681

WWUS20 KWNS 142036
SEL1
SPC WW 142036
OKZ000-TXZ000-150200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 681
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL 800
PM CST.

HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES WEST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...A LINE OF FORCED...LOW-TOPPED STORMS HAS FORMED ALONG
PACIFIC COLD FRONT OVER FAR ERN NM...AHEAD OF POTENT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH ACCELERATING ENE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. CLEARANCE OF
MID/UPR LVL CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED LOW-LVL LAPSE RATES TO
SUFFICIENTLY STEEPEN ALONG A WIDE ENOUGH SWATH TO SUGGEST THAT
CONVECTIVE BAND MAY FURTHER INTENSIFY AS IT CONTINUES RAPIDLY ENE
INTO W TX. IN FURTHER SUPPORT OF STORM STRENGTHENING IS THE NEARLY
SIMULTANEOUS ARRIVAL OF STRONGER DCVA/MID LVL COLD ADVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH LEADING EDGE OF UPR TROUGH.
GIVEN 40-50 KT MEAN LWR TROPOSPHERIC FLOW AHEAD OF FRONT...AND SOME
STRENGTHENING OF MEAN FLOW EXPECTED ACROSS AREA THROUGH EARLY
EVE...SETUP APPEARS TO SUPPORT AN APPRECIABLE ENOUGH RISK FOR SVR
WIND GUSTS TO WARRANT WW ISSUANCE. THE SVR THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
LATER THIS EVE AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES BEYOND REGION OF
GREATEST DIURNAL HEATING...ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY REMAIN ACTIVE NEWD
INTO PARTS OF ERN OK/KS LATER TNGT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...CORFIDI

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KABQ [142036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 142036
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
136 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM HAIL 8 WNW PLEASANT HILL 34.58N 103.20W
12/14/2012 M0.88 INCH CURRY NM TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201528

$$

CML

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2155

ACUS11 KWNS 142012
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142012
OKZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-142145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2155
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NM...TX PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS...OK
PANHANDLE...PARTS OF WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 142012Z - 142145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AREAS FROM WRN OK AND THE OK PANHANDLE SWWD INTO E-CNTRL
NM ARE BEING MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH
DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THE AREA OF GREATEST CONCERN FOR SVR
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH SVR WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY CONCERN...WILL LIE
FROM NEAR THE NM/TX BORDER ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/SOUTH PLAINS.

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH COMPRISED
OF TWO VORTICITY MAXIMA OVER AZ/NM...WITH THE ERN-MOST FEATURE
EXPECTED TO TRACK ENEWD/NEWD FROM CNTRL NM DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. ACCOMPANYING STRONG DCVA/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL CONTINUE
TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA WHILE A PACIFIC FRONT ADVANCES INTO A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS CHARACTERIZED BY 200-400 J/KG MLCAPE
PER MODIFIED FORECAST SOUNDINGS. A STRONG SFC PRESSURE RISE-FALL
COUPLET ACROSS THE FRONT /FALLS OVER 2 MB PER 2 HOURS LEADING THE
FRONT AND RISES OVER 4 MB PER 2 HOURS BEHIND THE FRONT/ ARE
INDICATIVE OF THE STRONG ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT OF THE FLOW AND
AGEOSTROPHIC CIRCULATION ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM.

BANDS OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE NEAR
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS E-CNTRL NM BEFORE SHIFTING INTO
ADJACENT W TX DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. DESPITE THE MEAGER DEGREE
OF INSTABILITY...VWP DATA FROM CANNON AIR FORCE BASE DEPICT OVER 50
KT OF FLOW AOA 1 KM AGL IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG MID-LEVEL JET
CORE ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT. VERTICAL MOMENTUM TRANSPORT COULD
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR SVR WIND GUSTS WITH MORE ORGANIZED BOWING
STRUCTURES. ALSO...A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT GIVEN AT LEAST
MODEST AMOUNTS OF LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...THOUGH THE THREAT
WILL BE LIMITED BY MEAGER BUOYANCY. STORMS COULD REACH PARTS OF THE
OK AND ERN TX PANHANDLES...AS WELL AS WRN OK BY MID-EVENING...THOUGH
A PERSISTENT STRATUS DECK NEAR/NE OF A WEAKLY DEFINED WARM FRONT MAY
FURTHER LIMIT BUOYANCY AND THE SVR THREAT.

..COHEN/GOSS/CORFIDI.. 12/14/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

LAT...LON 36619977 35089957 33600086 33070212 33050306 33460364
34470372 36580250 36940080 36619977

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KABQ [142009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 142009
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
108 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM TSTM WND GST SUMNER LAKE 34.60N 104.38W
12/14/2012 M58 MPH DE BACA NM TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201527

$$

CML

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 142002
SWODY1
SPC AC 142000

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX...

...TX PANHANDLE/NORTHWEST TX TO WESTERN OK/SOUTHWEST KS...
WHILE OVERALL FORECAST SCENARIO HAS NOT CHANGED DRAMATICALLY...HAVE
INTRODUCED A CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK /15 PERCENT WIND/ BASED ON
EARLY AFTERNOON OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS AND SHORT-TERM MODEL GUIDANCE.
AS OF MID-AFTERNOON...AN APPROX 150-MILE EAST-WEST WIDE CORRIDOR OF
CLEARING EXISTS PER VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST
OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT...WITH THIS CLEARING COINCIDENT WITH A
CORRIDOR OF 4-5MB/2HR SURFACE PRESSURE FALLS.

WHILE MOISTURE/BUOYANCY WILL REMAIN MINIMAL...SUFFICIENT MOISTURE
SHOULD EXIST FOR THE MATURATION OF LOW-TOPPED TSTMS AND EVENTUAL
FAST-MOVING CONVECTIVE BANDS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON IN THE PRESENCE
OF INCREASING FORCING FOR ASCENT AND ROBUST LOWER-MIDDLE
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW. THIS SCENARIO IS WELL-SUPPORTED BY VARIOUS
12Z-BASED HIGH-RES CONVECTION ALLOWING GUIDANCE. RECENT CANNON AFB
WSR-88D VWP DATA SAMPLES 50+ KT WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 1-3 KM. FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2155.

..GUYER.. 12/14/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1029 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE ACROSS THE LWR 48 THROUGH SAT...ON
NRN FRINGE OF ELONGATED UPR RIDGE EXTENDING FROM CNTRL MEXICO ENE
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO/FL. POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER AZ
SHOULD ACCELERATE ENE INTO ERN NM BY EVE...AND INTO CNTRL IA/MO BY
12Z SAT...AS UPSTREAM IMPULSE AMPLIFIES SE TOWARD NRN BAJA CA.

AT THE SFC...LEE CYCLONE WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER SE CO LATER
TODAY...AND TRACK ENE ACROSS CNTRL/NRN KS TNGT/EARLY SAT. TRAILING
PACIFIC COLD FRONT SHOULD SURGE E ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLNS THIS
AFTN/EARLY TNGT...WHERE IT WILL OVERTAKE LEE TROUGH/DEVELOPING DRY
LINE OVER FAR ERN NM/W TX NWD INTO SW KS.

...SRN HI PLNS ENE INTO PARTS OF KS/OK THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
A BAND OF STRONG/DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT /DCVA/ ON LEADING EDGE OF
EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE QUICKLY ENE ACROSS ERN NM/W TX
THIS AFTN...AND INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION BY EVE...BEFORE
CONTINUING NE INTO KS AND NE OK EARLY SAT.

DEEP WIND PROFILES WITHIN THE ZONE OF ASCENT WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE
FOR ORGANIZED SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WITH 700 MB SWLY FLOW
INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS AND 500 MB WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 80 KTS.
BUOYANCY ACROSS THE REGION WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN VERY
LIMITED...DESPITE PRESENCE OF SIGNIFICANT MID LVL COLD ADVECTION
WITH UPR IMPULSE. BUOYANCY WILL BE LIMITED BOTH BY /1/ INSUFFICIENT
TIME FOR LOW LVL AIR MASS RECOVERY/GULF MOISTURE RETURN OVER THE SRN
PLNS...AND /2/ LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SCTD AREAS OF RAIN WITHIN THE
NARROW AXIS OF MOISTURE RETURN /WITH SFC DEWPOINTS MID-UPR 40S/.
THIS RAINFALL IS BEING SUPPORTED BY PERSISTENT UPR DIVERGENCE WELL
AHEAD OF THE AZ UPR TROUGH...AND WILL MAINTAIN LOW LVL CLOUD COVER
ACROSS MOST OF TX THAT WILL HINDER SFC HEATING/STEEPENING OF LOW LVL
LAPSE RATES.

NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN STRENGTH OF DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT...AND
PRESENCE OF MERGING COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH TO FOCUS LOW LVL
UPLIFT...EXPECT A LINE OF FORCED...LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
FORM IN NARROW ZONE OF PARTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER ERN NM BY EARLY AFTN.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SUBSEQUENTLY SWEEP ENE INTO W TX AND THE TX/OK
PANHANDLE REGION BY EVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A RISK FOR SPORADIC STRONG
TO POSSIBLY BRIEFLY SVR WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL. A TORNADO ALSO CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT. THE CONVECTION
SHOULD WEAKEN BY LATER TNGT AS THE BAND OF STRONGEST/DEEPEST ASCENT
CONTINUES RAPIDLY NEWD BEYOND AXIS OF GREATEST SFC-BASED
INSTABILITY.

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KEPZ [141955]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141955
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1254 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 PM SNOW CLOUDCROFT 32.95N 105.74W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH OTERO NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

VISIBILITY CONSISTENTLY LESS THAN 0.25 MILE AND AS LOW
AS 200 YARDS. SNOW DRIFTS UP TO A FOOT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200301

$$

FK

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KEPZ [141949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141949
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1249 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1239 PM SNOW GILA HOT SPRINGS 33.20N 108.21W
12/14/2012 E4.0 INCH GRANT NM CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATE 4 INCHES SNOW ON HWY 15 EARLIER IN THE DAY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200300

$$

FK

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KPSR [141948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 141948
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1248 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1226 PM HAIL 1 NE SAN TAN VILLAGE MA 33.31N 111.74W
12/14/2012 E0.25 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL NEAR WILLIAMS FIELD ROAD AND 202 FREEWAY


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200335

$$

AJ

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KVEF [141948]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 141948
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1147 AM PST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 WNW MT. CHARLESTON 36.30N 115.68W
12/14/2012 M13.0 INCH CLARK NV PUBLIC

LAS VEGAS SKI AND SNOWBOARD RESORT MEASURED 13 INCHES OF
NEW SNOW SINCE THURSDAY MORNING.

0900 AM HEAVY SNOW 5 WNW MT. CHARLESTON 36.32N 115.70W
12/14/2012 E9.0 INCH CLARK NV MESONET

NRCS BRISTLECONE TRAIL SNOTEL ESTIMATED 9 INCHES OF SNOW
BETWEEN 10 AM THURSDAY AND 9 AM FRIDAY. ELEVATION 8979
FEET.

0900 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 WNW MT. CHARLESTON 36.31N 115.68W
12/14/2012 E9.0 INCH CLARK NV MESONET

NRCS LEE CANYON SNOTEL ESTIMATED 9 INCHES OF SNOW BETWEEN
10 AM THURSDAY AND 9 AM FRIDAY. ELEVATION 8626 FEET.

0900 AM HEAVY SNOW 2 SSW MT. CHARLESTON 36.25N 115.63W
12/14/2012 E10.0 INCH CLARK NV MESONET

NRCS RAINBOW CANYON SNOTEL ESTIMATED 10 INCHES OF SNOW
BETWEEN 10 AM THURSDAY AND 9 AM FRIDAY. ELEVATION 7975
FEET.

0945 AM SNOW NNE HUALAPAI MOUNTAIN 35.10N 113.88W
12/14/2012 E3.0 INCH MOHAVE AZ PARK/FOREST SRVC

HUALAPAI MOUNTAIN PARK ESTIMATED 3 INCHES BETWEEN 430 PM
MST THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 1045 AM MST. ELEVATION
NEAR 6525 FEET.


&&

$$

BP

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KPSR [141945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 141945
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1245 PM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1227 PM HAIL 1 N SAN TAN VILLAGE MAL 33.32N 111.75W
12/14/2012 E0.25 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL NEAR RAY RD. AND SAN TAN VILLAGE PARKWAY


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200334

$$

AJ

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KMPX [141916]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 141916
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
115 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 AM SNOW ST PAUL 44.95N 93.10W
12/10/2012 M13.0 INCH RAMSEY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0628 AM SNOW ALBANY 45.63N 94.57W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH STEARNS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0641 AM SNOW CARLOS 45.97N 95.29W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0652 AM SNOW ANNANDALE 45.26N 94.12W
12/10/2012 M13.0 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0700 AM SNOW 2 WNW LADYSMITH 45.47N 91.13W
12/10/2012 M5.7 INCH RUSK WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL.

0725 AM SNOW DURAND 44.63N 91.96W
12/10/2012 M11.8 INCH PEPIN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0729 AM SNOW WATERTOWN 44.96N 93.85W
12/10/2012 M9.6 INCH CARVER MN NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 2 NE MINNEAPOLIS 44.98N 93.24W
12/10/2012 M13.1 INCH HENNEPIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 1 SE CHASKA 44.81N 93.59W
12/10/2012 M10.8 INCH CARVER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 AM SNOW WILLMAR 45.12N 95.05W
12/10/2012 M13.3 INCH KANDIYOHI MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0730 AM SNOW MADELIA 44.05N 94.42W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH WATONWAN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW SPRING LAKE PARK 45.12N 93.25W
12/10/2012 M13.5 INCH ANOKA MN NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 2 ESE NEW AUBURN 45.18N 91.53W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0730 AM SNOW CHIPPEWA FALLS 44.93N 91.39W
12/10/2012 E10.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 3 NW REDWOOD FALLS 44.57N 95.16W
12/10/2012 M13.0 INCH REDWOOD MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 2 W MONTGOMERY 44.44N 93.62W
12/10/2012 M10.4 INCH LE SUEUR MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
12/10/2012 M16.2 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
12/10/2012 E15.2 INCH DUNN WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 5 ENE MINNEAPOLIS 44.98N 93.18W
12/10/2012 E13.5 INCH RAMSEY MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. U OF M STATE CLIMATE OFFICE

0730 AM SNOW 4 E ELLSWORTH 44.73N 92.41W
12/10/2012 M14.0 INCH PIERCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOAL

0730 AM SNOW RIDGELAND 45.20N 91.90W
12/10/2012 M10.5 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0730 AM SNOW 5 ESE CAMBRIDGE 45.54N 93.13W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH ISANTI MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0746 AM SNOW BRANDON 45.97N 95.60W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL...ALSO 200FT VISBYS DURING THE STRONG WINDS
IN THE AFTERNOON.

0814 AM SNOW MOTLEY 46.34N 94.64W
12/10/2012 M6.0 INCH MORRISON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW RICE 45.75N 94.23W
12/10/2012 M12.2 INCH BENTON MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ROBERTS 44.99N 92.55W
12/10/2012 M15.5 INCH ST. CROIX WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 NE ELK MOUND 44.89N 91.67W
12/10/2012 M13.5 INCH DUNN WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 SE CAMERON 45.38N 91.71W
12/10/2012 M5.5 INCH BARRON WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 7 ESE ST CROIX FALLS 45.37N 92.50W
12/10/2012 M12.3 INCH POLK WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 6 ESE DRESSER 45.33N 92.52W
12/10/2012 M10.3 INCH POLK WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 6 WNW ELLSWORTH 44.77N 92.59W
12/10/2012 M10.8 INCH PIERCE WI COCORAHS

0830 AM SNOW 3 WSW PRINCETON 45.55N 93.65W
12/10/2012 M13.2 INCH SHERBURNE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW DASSEL 45.08N 94.31W
12/10/2012 M10.6 INCH MEEKER MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 SW CARLOS 45.94N 95.34W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 NE BUFFALO 45.20N 93.84W
12/10/2012 M14.0 INCH WRIGHT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW CANNON FALLS 44.52N 92.90W
12/10/2012 M5.2 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 SE ALBERT LEA 43.62N 93.32W
12/10/2012 M1.0 INCH FREEBORN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW REDWOOD FALLS 44.54N 95.11W
12/10/2012 M10.5 INCH REDWOOD MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 NNW RED WING 44.61N 92.61W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. LOCK AND DAM 3

0830 AM SNOW RED WING 44.58N 92.60W
12/10/2012 M10.5 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW OWATONNA 44.09N 93.22W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH STEELE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW HAMBURG 44.73N 93.96W
12/10/2012 M9.1 INCH CARVER MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 E MINNEAPOLIS 44.96N 93.25W
12/10/2012 M13.2 INCH HENNEPIN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL LOWER ST ANTHONY FALLS

0830 AM SNOW LONG PRAIRIE 45.98N 94.86W
12/10/2012 M10.1 INCH TODD MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW LITTLE FALLS 45.98N 94.36W
12/10/2012 M12.4 INCH MORRISON MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW WACONIA 44.85N 93.79W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH CARVER MN NWS EMPLOYEE

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 S LADYSMITH 45.45N 91.10W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH RUSK WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 N KIMBALL 45.36N 94.30W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 SSW JORDAN 44.66N 93.64W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH SCOTT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW JIM FALLS 45.05N 91.27W
12/10/2012 M8.8 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW HOLCOMBE 45.22N 91.12W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 SW ISANTI 45.46N 93.30W
12/10/2012 M16.5 INCH ISANTI MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0830 AM SNOW ROCKFORD 45.09N 93.74W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH HENNEPIN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW MILACA 45.76N 93.65W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH MILLE LACS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW HASTINGS 44.73N 92.85W
12/10/2012 M13.5 INCH DAKOTA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL LOCK AND DAM 2

0830 AM SNOW FOREST LAKE 45.28N 92.99W
12/10/2012 M16.5 INCH WASHINGTON MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 N MAPLEWOOD 45.02N 93.02W
12/10/2012 M12.2 INCH RAMSEY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STROM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 W ROSEMOUNT 44.75N 93.13W
12/10/2012 M14.0 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STROM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW NEW PRAGUE 44.55N 93.57W
12/10/2012 M8.2 INCH SCOTT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STROM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW JIM FALLS 45.05N 91.27W
12/10/2012 M8.7 INCH CHIPPEWA WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW CLEAR LAKE 45.45N 94.00W
12/10/2012 M16.0 INCH SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ROSEMOUNT 44.75N 93.07W
12/10/2012 M10.1 INCH DAKOTA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW CLAYTON 45.32N 92.17W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 NE WATSON 45.02N 95.79W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH CHIPPEWA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW RIVER FALLS 44.86N 92.62W
12/10/2012 M7.0 INCH PIERCE WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. RPD RICE LAKE AIRPORT

0830 AM SNOW FARIBAULT 44.30N 93.27W
12/10/2012 M3.8 INCH RICE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW SPRING VALLEY 44.85N 92.24W
12/10/2012 M15.0 INCH PIERCE WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 SW STILLWATER 45.04N 92.85W
12/10/2012 M13.3 INCH WASHINGTON MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 E ST CLOUD 45.55N 94.15W
12/10/2012 M11.7 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. SCSU

0830 AM SNOW 2 E STANLEY 44.96N 90.90W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH CLARK WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW SPRINGFIELD 44.24N 94.98W
12/10/2012 M5.5 INCH BROWN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ZUMBROTA 44.29N 92.67W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH GOODHUE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW WINNEBAGO 43.77N 94.17W
12/10/2012 M1.0 INCH FARIBAULT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 N WILLMAR 45.15N 95.05W
12/10/2012 M13.3 INCH KANDIYOHI MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 3 SSW WOLF CREEK 45.52N 92.75W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH CHISAGO MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. DNR WILD RIVER STATE PARK

0830 AM SNOW WELLS 43.74N 93.73W
12/10/2012 M2.0 INCH FARIBAULT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 WSW WASECA 44.07N 93.53W
12/10/2012 M3.6 INCH WASECA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. U OF M EXPERIMENTAL STATION

0830 AM SNOW MADISON 45.01N 96.19W
12/10/2012 M12.9 INCH LAC QUI PARLE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 4 E MANKATO 44.17N 93.91W
12/10/2012 M1.7 INCH BLUE EARTH MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL KTOE

0830 AM SNOW 1 NW MILAN 45.12N 95.93W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH CHIPPEWA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 1 SW MONTEVIDEO 44.94N 95.73W
12/10/2012 M15.0 INCH CHIPPEWA MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW MELROSE 45.68N 94.81W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH STEARNS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW MORRIS 45.59N 95.91W
12/10/2012 M5.7 INCH STEVENS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. U OF M EXPERIMENTAL STATION

0830 AM SNOW 3 SE NEW ULM 44.28N 94.42W
12/10/2012 M5.7 INCH BROWN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW NORTH MANKATO 44.18N 94.03W
12/10/2012 M4.3 INCH NICOLLET MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ONAMIA 46.07N 93.67W
12/10/2012 M4.9 INCH MILLE LACS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL.DNR RANGER STATION

0830 AM SNOW HOLCOMBE 45.22N 91.12W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH CHIPPEWA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW MORA 45.88N 93.29W
12/10/2012 M10.5 INCH KANABEC MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ST CROIX FALLS 45.41N 92.63W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH POLK WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 2 SW STILLWATER 45.04N 92.85W
12/10/2012 M13.0 INCH WASHINGTON MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0830 AM SNOW 1 S BLUE EARTH 43.62N 94.10W
12/10/2012 M0.7 INCH FARIBAULT MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW FAIRMONT 43.64N 94.46W
12/10/2012 M0.4 INCH MARTIN MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH SHERBURNE MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW LAMBERTON 44.23N 95.26W
12/10/2012 M7.1 INCH REDWOOD MN CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL U OF M EXPERIMENTAL STATION

0830 AM SNOW SACRED HEART 44.78N 95.35W
12/10/2012 M17.3 INCH RENVILLE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0830 AM SNOW 5 NW GLEN FLORA 45.56N 90.96W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH RUSK WI CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL. BIG FALLS HYDRO

0845 AM SNOW CUMBERLAND 45.54N 92.02W
12/10/2012 M8.0 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. REPORTED RELAYED FROM WFO DULUTH.

0845 AM SNOW ELK MOUND 44.88N 91.69W
12/10/2012 M14.3 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0850 AM SNOW 1 ESE MILROY 44.41N 95.54W
12/10/2012 E14.7 INCH REDWOOD MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 N ALEXANDRIA 45.92N 95.38W
12/10/2012 M6.5 INCH DOUGLAS MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW FARMINGTON 44.66N 93.18W
12/10/2012 M5.6 INCH DAKOTA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 NE BURNSVILLE 44.80N 93.24W
12/10/2012 E12.5 INCH DAKOTA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW NNW WATERTOWN 44.96N 93.85W
12/10/2012 M11.8 INCH CARVER MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW CARVER 44.76N 93.63W
12/10/2012 M8.2 INCH CARVER MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 E HAM LAKE 45.26N 93.16W
12/10/2012 M12.1 INCH ANOKA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 SSE HAM LAKE 45.22N 93.18W
12/10/2012 M15.3 INCH ANOKA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL.

0850 AM SNOW 1 W WOODLAND 44.95N 93.53W
12/10/2012 M7.2 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL.

0850 AM SNOW 1 SW CHISAGO CITY 45.36N 92.90W
12/10/2012 M16.5 INCH CHISAGO MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL. BONNIE GLEN

0850 AM SNOW 3 W ELLSWORTH 44.74N 92.54W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH PIERCE WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 S HAMPTON 44.59N 93.00W
12/10/2012 E10.7 INCH DAKOTA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SW EDINA 44.88N 93.37W
12/10/2012 M9.2 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 SW MINNEAPOLIS 44.93N 93.31W
12/10/2012 M11.4 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SSW LONSDALE 44.46N 93.44W
12/10/2012 M8.7 INCH RICE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SE HENDERSON 44.52N 93.89W
12/10/2012 M5.5 INCH SIBLEY MN COCORAHS

0850 AM SNOW 1 NNE CUMBERLAND 45.55N 92.02W
12/10/2012 M8.0 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW HUGO 45.16N 92.96W
12/10/2012 M16.3 INCH WASHINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 4 SSE SILVER CREEK 45.26N 93.91W
12/10/2012 M15.9 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT 1.1 INCHES

0850 AM SNOW HAUGEN 45.61N 91.78W
12/10/2012 M6.2 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 SE LAKE ELMO 44.96N 92.86W
12/10/2012 M17.0 INCH WASHINGTON MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 NE FAIRMONT 43.65N 94.44W
12/10/2012 M1.0 INCH MARTIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW NW EAU CLAIRE 44.82N 91.49W
12/10/2012 M13.0 INCH EAU CLAIRE WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 N CUMBERLAND 45.56N 92.02W
12/10/2012 E7.0 INCH BARRON WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 N BOYCEVILLE 45.09N 92.04W
12/10/2012 M13.3 INCH DUNN WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SSW RIVER FALLS 44.84N 92.63W
12/10/2012 E12.5 INCH PIERCE WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 5 WNW LADYSMITH 45.49N 91.19W
12/10/2012 M5.9 INCH RUSK WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 NW MAPLEWOOD 45.02N 93.07W
12/10/2012 M0.0 INCH RAMSEY MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL. GLOSTER

0850 AM SNOW 4 E NERSTRAND 44.34N 92.98W
12/10/2012 M4.9 INCH GOODHUE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 SE CHETEK 45.30N 91.62W
12/10/2012 M7.9 INCH BARRON WI COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW SE MAPLE LAKE 45.23N 94.00W
12/10/2012 M13.8 INCH WRIGHT MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 ENE ST MICHAEL 45.22N 93.64W
12/10/2012 M12.7 INCH WRIGHT MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 NE STILLWATER 45.07N 92.81W
12/10/2012 M13.8 INCH WASHINGTON MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 N WOODBURY 44.92N 92.92W
12/10/2012 M9.8 INCH WASHINGTON MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 4 NE WOODBURY 44.95N 92.86W
12/10/2012 M9.8 INCH WASHINGTON MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SSE SARTELL 45.61N 94.20W
12/10/2012 M11.5 INCH STEARNS MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 5 NNE BIG LAKE 45.40N 93.71W
12/10/2012 M10.3 INCH SHERBURNE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 WSW PRINCETON 45.55N 93.65W
12/10/2012 M4.7 INCH SHERBURNE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW SW ELLENDALE 43.87N 93.30W
12/10/2012 M2.1 INCH STEELE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 E OWATONNA 44.09N 93.20W
12/10/2012 M4.4 INCH STEELE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 W PRIOR LAKE 44.73N 93.47W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH SCOTT MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 9 NNE BIRD ISLAND 44.89N 94.82W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH RENVILLE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 4 SSW MINNEAPOLIS 44.91N 93.30W
12/10/2012 M11.4 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SSE BLOOMINGTON 44.82N 93.31W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 WNW RICHFIELD 44.89N 93.32W
12/10/2012 M14.1 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 NNW CRYSTAL 45.06N 93.38W
12/10/2012 M7.5 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW SSE SPRING LAKE PARK 45.12N 93.25W
12/10/2012 M9.0 INCH ANOKA MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 WSW GOLDEN VALLEY 44.98N 93.38W
12/10/2012 M12.0 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 N EDINA 44.91N 93.36W
12/10/2012 M11.3 INCH HENNEPIN MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW N CAMBRIDGE 45.56N 93.23W
12/10/2012 M12.5 INCH ISANTI MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 NNW COLD SPRING 45.47N 94.44W
12/10/2012 M14.2 INCH STEARNS MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 SW LITTLE FALLS 45.97N 94.38W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH MORRISON MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 3 ENE MONTGOMERY 44.46N 93.52W
12/10/2012 M8.7 INCH RICE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 NNW NORTH ST PAUL 45.03N 93.01W
12/10/2012 M13.3 INCH RAMSEY MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 5 ESE NEW PRAGUE 44.52N 93.48W
12/10/2012 M6.0 INCH RICE MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 2 SW ROSEVILLE 44.99N 93.18W
12/10/2012 M10.0 INCH RAMSEY MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0850 AM SNOW 1 WSW LITTLE CANADA 45.02N 93.10W
12/10/2012 M13.7 INCH RAMSEY MN COCORAHS

STORM TOTAL

0856 AM SNOW MADELIA 44.05N 94.42W
12/10/2012 M5.0 INCH WATONWAN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

1030 AM SNOW ANDOVER 45.26N 93.33W
12/10/2012 M11.0 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.

0301 PM SNOW CHETEK 45.32N 91.65W
12/10/2012 M6.5 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL.


&&

$$

SPD

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KMPX [141903]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 141903
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
103 PM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM SNOW EAU CLAIRE 44.82N 91.49W
12/10/2012 M14.7 INCH EAU CLAIRE WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOW FOR THE DECEMBER 8-9

1200 AM SNOW CHANHASSEN 44.86N 93.56W
12/10/2012 M13.6 INCH CARVER MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL AMOUNT FROM THE DECEMBER 8-9 STORM.


&&

$$

SPD

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KEPZ [141847]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141847
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1147 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1116 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NE EL PASO 31.78N 106.48W
12/14/2012 M66 MPH EL PASO TX NWS EMPLOYEE

WIND 26045G66KT NE EL PASO


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200299

$$

FK

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KEPZ [141833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141833
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1133 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1127 AM SNOW CLOUDCROFT 32.95N 105.74W
12/14/2012 E1.5 INCH OTERO NM FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WINDY WITH SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. ROADS SNOW PACKED AND ICY. SNOW ACCUM 1 TO
1.5 IN. VSBY 0.25-0.5 MI.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200298

$$

JMP

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KEPZ [141831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141831
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
1131 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1109 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NE EL PASO 31.78N 106.48W
12/14/2012 M60 MPH EL PASO TX NWS EMPLOYEE

NE EL PASO


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200297

$$

FK

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KPUB [141831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 141831
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1131 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1131 AM SNOW ALAMOSA 37.47N 105.87W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH ALAMOSA CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KT

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KGJT [141819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 141819
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1118 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM SNOW DURANGO 37.29N 107.87W
12/14/2012 E3.5 INCH LA PLATA CO PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200552

$$

TB

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KJAX [141811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 141811
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
110 PM EST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES MAYPORT 30.38N 81.41W
12/14/2012 DUVAL FL OTHER FEDERAL

THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE WATER LEVEL GAUGE AT THE BAR
PILOT DOCK IN MAYPORT FL MEASURED 6.6 FEET MLLW. MINOR
FLOODING LEVELS BEGIN AROUND 6.4 FEET.


&&

$$

ARS

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KPUB [141755]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 141755
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1055 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/14/2012 M3.0 INCH MINERAL CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES IN PAST 24 HOURS REPORTED AT WOLF CREEK SKI


&&

$$

MW

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KGJT [141748]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 141748
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1048 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1047 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
12/14/2012 M4.1 INCH SAN JUAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL...STILL SNOWING MODERATELY


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200551

$$

TB

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KPUB [141743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 141743
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1042 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 AM SNOW 4 SW SOUTH FORK 37.63N 106.67W
12/14/2012 M6.0 INCH RIO GRANDE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL SNOW WITH 5 INCHES SINCE 7 AM


&&

$$

MW

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 141732
SWODY2
SPC AC 141730

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHEAST TX/ARKLATEX/MID-SOUTH...
NEUTRAL HEIGHT TENDENCIES/WEAK FORCING ALOFT WILL BE PREVALENT OVER
THE REGION MUCH OF THE DAY IN THE WAKE OF A DEAMPLIFYING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING TOWARD THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION...AND AHEAD OF A
SECONDARY LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH EMERGING FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
AN EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY
DECELERATE/STALL ACROSS THE REGION IN A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST
ORIENTATION ACROSS THE REGION.

WHILE STEADY LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...CLOUD COVER/WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD HINDER THE DEGREE OF
DESTABILIZATION. EVEN SO...SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE AND
LOCALLY STRONGER HEATING/WEAKENING INHIBITION ACROSS PARTS OF THE
REGION MAY INFLUENCE THE MATURATION AND INTENSIFICATION OF TSTMS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WITHIN A CORRIDOR INCLUDING EAST
TX...LA...SOUTHERN/EASTERN AR INTO NORTHERN MS.

GIVEN THE DEGREE OF VERTICAL SHEAR...THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SMALL
LINE SEGMENTS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL EXIST.
FURTHERMORE...WHILE DIURNALLY HEATING WILL ABATE...THE GLANCING
INFLUENCE OF A SECONDARY SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH/JET STREAM
MAY HELP SUSTAIN OR REINVIGORATE CONVECTION WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR
SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE A PARTICULARLY ORGANIZED/SUSTAINED SEVERE RISK
IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...POTENTIAL DAMAGING WIND/TORNADO
HAZARDS CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

..GUYER.. 12/14/2012

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KFGZ [141658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KFGZ 141658
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
958 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0939 AM HEAVY SNOW FOREST LAKES 34.34N 110.80W
12/14/2012 M16.0 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

CORRECTED EVENT

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1200110

$$

CO

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KEPZ [141655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 141655
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
954 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0941 AM NON-TSTM WND GST EL PASO 31.78N 106.48W
12/14/2012 M52 MPH EL PASO TX TRAINED SPOTTER

NE EL PASO


&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1200296

$$

FK

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KFGZ [141641]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 141641
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
940 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0939 AM HEAVY SNOW FOREST LAKES 34.34N 110.80W
12/14/2012 M12.0 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1200110

$$

CO

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KFGZ [141639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 141639
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
939 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0938 AM HEAVY SNOW FOREST LAKES 34.34N 110.80W
12/14/2012 M14.0 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1200109

$$

CO

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141631
SWODY1
SPC AC 141629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1029 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PATTERN WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE ACROSS THE LWR 48 THROUGH SAT...ON
NRN FRINGE OF ELONGATED UPR RIDGE EXTENDING FROM CNTRL MEXICO ENE
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO/FL. POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER AZ
SHOULD ACCELERATE ENE INTO ERN NM BY EVE...AND INTO CNTRL IA/MO BY
12Z SAT...AS UPSTREAM IMPULSE AMPLIFIES SE TOWARD NRN BAJA CA.

AT THE SFC...LEE CYCLONE WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER SE CO LATER
TODAY...AND TRACK ENE ACROSS CNTRL/NRN KS TNGT/EARLY SAT. TRAILING
PACIFIC COLD FRONT SHOULD SURGE E ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLNS THIS
AFTN/EARLY TNGT...WHERE IT WILL OVERTAKE LEE TROUGH/DEVELOPING DRY
LINE OVER FAR ERN NM/W TX NWD INTO SW KS.

...SRN HI PLNS ENE INTO PARTS OF KS/OK THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
A BAND OF STRONG/DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT /DCVA/ ON LEADING EDGE OF
EJECTING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE QUICKLY ENE ACROSS ERN NM/W TX
THIS AFTN...AND INTO THE TX/OK PANHANDLE REGION BY EVE...BEFORE
CONTINUING NE INTO KS AND NE OK EARLY SAT.

DEEP WIND PROFILES WITHIN THE ZONE OF ASCENT WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE
FOR ORGANIZED SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS...WITH 700 MB SWLY FLOW
INCREASING TO AOA 50 KTS AND 500 MB WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 80 KTS.
BUOYANCY ACROSS THE REGION WILL...HOWEVER...REMAIN VERY
LIMITED...DESPITE PRESENCE OF SIGNIFICANT MID LVL COLD ADVECTION
WITH UPR IMPULSE. BUOYANCY WILL BE LIMITED BOTH BY /1/ INSUFFICIENT
TIME FOR LOW LVL AIR MASS RECOVERY/GULF MOISTURE RETURN OVER THE SRN
PLNS...AND /2/ LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SCTD AREAS OF RAIN WITHIN THE
NARROW AXIS OF MOISTURE RETURN /WITH SFC DEWPOINTS MID-UPR 40S/.
THIS RAINFALL IS BEING SUPPORTED BY PERSISTENT UPR DIVERGENCE WELL
AHEAD OF THE AZ UPR TROUGH...AND WILL MAINTAIN LOW LVL CLOUD COVER
ACROSS MOST OF TX THAT WILL HINDER SFC HEATING/STEEPENING OF LOW LVL
LAPSE RATES.

NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN STRENGTH OF DEEP FORCING FOR ASCENT...AND
PRESENCE OF MERGING COLD FRONT/LEE TROUGH TO FOCUS LOW LVL
UPLIFT...EXPECT A LINE OF FORCED...LOW-TOPPED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
FORM IN NARROW ZONE OF PARTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER ERN NM BY EARLY AFTN.
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SUBSEQUENTLY SWEEP ENE INTO W TX AND THE TX/OK
PANHANDLE REGION BY EVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A RISK FOR SPORADIC STRONG
TO POSSIBLY BRIEFLY SVR WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL. A TORNADO ALSO CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT. THE CONVECTION
SHOULD WEAKEN BY LATER TNGT AS THE BAND OF STRONGEST/DEEPEST ASCENT
CONTINUES RAPIDLY NEWD BEYOND AXIS OF GREATEST SFC-BASED
INSTABILITY.

..CORFIDI/COHEN.. 12/14/2012

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KGJT [141600]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 141600
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
859 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0847 AM SNOW 9 W DURANGO 37.29N 108.03W
12/14/2012 M7.0 INCH LA PLATA CO PUBLIC

SNOW ACCUMULATION SINCE 3 AM...STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200550

$$

TB

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KMFR [141528]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 141528
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
728 AM PST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 AM SNOW 2 NE SEIAD VALLEY 41.86N 123.16W
12/14/2012 M0.2 INCH SISKIYOU CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW ON ROADS.


&&

$$

BPN

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KCHS [141518]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141518
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1018 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0842 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 3 WNW FORT SCREVEN 32.03N 80.90W
12/14/2012 CHATHAM GA TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 9.59 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE FORT PULASKI TIDE GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL FLOODING
TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE UPPER GEORGIA COAST WHEN TIDE
LEVELS REACH 9.2 FT MLLW AT FORT PULASKI.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200847

$$

ECT

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KCHS [141516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141516
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1016 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0836 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
12/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 7.68 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAGE. SHALLOW COASTAL
FLOODING TYPICALLY BEGINS ALONG THE LOWER SOUTH CAROLINA
COAST WHEN TIDE LEVELS REACH 7.0 FT MLLW IN THE
CHARLESTON HARBOR.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200846

$$

ECT

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KCHS [141512]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 141512
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1012 AM EST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 NNE JAMES ISLAND COUN 32.74N 79.98W
12/14/2012 CHARLESTON SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

MINOR SALTWATER FLOODING AT THE INTERSECTION OF CENTRAL
PARK ROAD AND RIVERLAND DRIVE. ROAD REMAINS PASSABLE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200845

$$

ECT

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KMFR [141511]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 141511
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
710 AM PST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0710 AM SNOW 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
12/14/2012 M0.2 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

NOT STICKING TO ROADS.


&&

$$

BPN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141250
SWODY1
SPC AC 141248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 141300Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MAIN UPPER-AIR FEATURE FOR THIS FCST IS STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
EMBEDDED MESO-ALPHA SCALE CIRCULATION...NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER NRN BAJA/NWRN GULF OF CA REGION. UPSTREAM
PERTURBATION OF EVEN SHORTER WAVELENGTH IS LOCATED OVER COASTAL PAC
NW THIS MORNING...SRN PORTION OF WHICH WILL MOVE SEWD AND AMPLIFY
ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN CA AND INTO MEAN TROUGH POSITION OVER AZ BY END
OF PERIOD. AS THIS OCCURS...LEADING/BAJA FEATURE WILL EJECT
NEWD...REACHING FROM ERN CO SWD ACROSS SRN HIGH PLAINS NEAR TX/NM
BORDER BY 00Z...AND LOWER MO RIVER VALLEY BY 15/12Z.

AT SFC...CYCLONE IS FCST TO SHIFT EWD OUT OF CENTRAL ROCKIES AROUND
00Z...REACHING HLC AREA BY 06Z THEN ERN NEB BY 12Z. RELATED
LOW-LEVEL WAA...MOIST ADVECTION AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL BOOST
SFC THETAE BETWEEN SRN KS AND WRN GULF COAST. THIS
PROCESS...COMBINED WITH DIURNAL HEATING/MIXING OF HIGHER TERRAIN
OVER SRN HIGH PLAINS...SHOULD RESULT IN GRADUALLY SHARPENING DRYLINE
THROUGHOUT TODAY FROM TX PANHANDLE SWD INTO NRN COAHUILA. THIS
DRYLINE SHOULD MOVE OFF CAPROCK BY LATE AFTERNOON...SHORTLY BEFORE
BEING OVERTAKEN BY PAC COLD FRONT MOVING EWD OUT OF NM AND AHEAD OF
MID-UPPER TROUGH. COMBINED BOUNDARY SHOULD MOVE EWD TO NEAR
DRT...FTW...CHK...GBD LINE BY 06Z. BY 12Z...FRONT SHOULD REACH ERN
PORTIONS KS/OK AND S-CENTRAL TX.

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS TSTMS SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN
LINE OR ARC AND MOVE ENEWD...POSING THREAT FOR STG/ISOLATED SVR
GUSTS INTO EARLY EVENING OVER TX PANHANDLE/NW TX/WRN OK REGION...AND
ISOLATED SVR HAIL INTO TONIGHT ACROSS MORE OF WRN/CENTRAL OK AND NW
TX. EVEN SUB-SVR CONVECTIVE CONTRIBUTION TO STG/AMBIENT GRADIENT
FLOW MAY YIELD DAMAGING GUSTS. BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...BUT THREAT APPEARS VERY CONDITIONAL/MRGL ATTM.

POTENT DCVA AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING MID-UPPER
TROUGH HAS BEEN CONTRIBUTING TO CONVECTIVE PRECIP ALL NIGHT OVER
PORTIONS SRN/ERN AZ INTO WRN NM...WITH INTERMITTENT/EMBEDDED TSTMS.
RELATED SWATH OF STG SYNOPTIC FORCING/COOLING ALOFT WILL OFFSET
WEAKNESS OF LOW-LEVEL THETAE JUST ENOUGH FOR SOME CONCERN OF
SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE INFLOW PARCELS. FOR EXAMPLE...A FEW MODEL
SOUNDINGS MODIFIED FOR SFC TEMPS MID-UPPER 60S F DO YIELD
NARROW/TRANSIENT/PRECONVECTIVE CORRIDOR OF 300-800 J/KG MLCAPE...AND
CINH WEAK ENOUGH THAT TSTM UPDRAFTS MAY HAVE SOME ACCESS TO BOUNDARY
LAYER THROUGH FORCED ASCENT. HOWEVER...THIS REPRESENTS MOST
AGGRESSIVELY DESTABILIZED SOLUTION. EXPECT VERY STG VERTICAL
SHEAR...BY ALL MEASURES...ATOP DRYLINE/FRONT DURING 21Z-00Z TIME
FRAME. EVEN WITH RELATIVELY SHALLOW BUOYANT LAYERS...50-60 KT
EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES APPEAR PROBABLE.

HOWEVER...SEVERAL FACTORS WILL SUBSTANTIALLY LIMIT AVAILABLE
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY...AND BY EXTENSION...MAGNITUDE/ORGANIZATION OF
SVR THREAT. SFC DEW POINTS ARE ANALYZED ONLY IN LOW-MID 60S OVER
NWRN GULF AND DEEP S TX...WITH MID-50S STILL CONFINED TO S OF I-10.
THIS REVEALS INCOMPLETENESS OF MARINE AIRMASS MODIFICATION OF
TRAJECTORIES LEADING INTO NW TX...TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRECIP IS FALLING INTO THIS AIR MASS ALREADY
ACROSS MOST OF LOWER-MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...AND RELATED
CLOUDS/RAIN WILL COVER PROGRESSIVELY MORE OF SRN/CENTRAL TX
THROUGHOUT FORENOON HOURS. THIS WILL PRECLUDE ROBUST
MOISTURE/THETAE RETURN INTO MAIN CONVECTIVE REGIME...THOUGH STRENGTH
OF DEEP-LAYER ASCENT STILL SHOULD YIELD STRONGLY FORCED BAND/QLCS.
TSTM WIND POTENTIAL WILL DIMINISH WITH TIME THIS EVENING AS ACTIVITY
MOVES INTO INFLOW AIR MASS THAT IS PROGRESSIVELY LESS BUOYANT AND
MORE ELEVATED WITH EWD EXTENT.

..EDWARDS/SMITH.. 12/14/2012

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KFGZ [141235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 141235
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
535 AM MST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW FOREST LAKES 34.34N 110.80W
12/14/2012 M12.0 INCH COCONINO AZ COUNTY OFFICIAL

10 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW WITH HEAVY SNOW STILL FALLING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1200108

$$

TC

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 140935
SWOD48
SPC AC 140935

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
DAY 4...MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT A LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE SERN STATES AND OFF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD
BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. THE 00Z RUN OF THE NAM AND ECMWF ARE MORE
AMPLIFIED WITH THIS FEATURE THAN GFS AND 12Z RUN OF THE ECMWF. NEWD
ADVECTION OF MODIFIED CP AIR SHOULD SUPPORT MARGINAL INSTABILITY IN
PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR. LATEST ECMWF WOULD SUGGEST A SEVERE THREAT
MIGHT INCREASE FROM SERN GA THROUGH THE ERN CAROLINAS AS CONVECTION
DEVELOPS NEWD WITHIN A WEAK CAPE AND HIGH SHEAR ENVIRONMENT. MODEL
INCONSISTENCIES AND POTENTIAL THERMODYNAMIC LIMITATIONS SUGGEST
OVERALL THREAT IS TOO UNCERTAIN TO INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME.

BEYOND DAY 4...LOW SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED UNTIL DAY 6 OR 7
WHEN ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF PROGRESSIVE TROUGHS MOVES INTO THE SRN
PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES
EXIST REGARDING THE AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF THIS FEATURE WHICH WILL
IMPACT MOISTURE RETURN AND SUBSEQUENT DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL.
ECMWF IS SLOWER AND MORE AMPLIFIED SUGGESTING A GREATER DEGREE OF
MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY THAN GFS WHICH IS LESS AMPLIFIED AND
MORE PROGRESSIVE.

..DIAL.. 12/14/2012

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KVEF [140846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 140846
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1246 AM PST FRI DEC 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 SE ESSEX 34.67N 115.17W
12/14/2012 M1.12 INCH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

A TOTAL OF 1.12 INCHES OF RAIN FELL AT A MESONET SITE
NEAR ESSEX AT AN ELEVATION OF 2644 FEET FROM 2 PM THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 140830
SWODY3
SPC AC 140828

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0228 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 161200Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

A PROGRESSIVE SYNOPTIC PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A
SERIES OF LOW AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS MOVING THROUGH THE U.S.
ONE SUCH FEATURE WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH THE OH
VALLEY DURING THE DAY. FARTHER UPSTREAM ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE SRN PLAINS...REACHING THE LOWER MS VALLEY LATER SUNDAY
NIGHT.

A COLD FRONT THAT SHOULD STRETCH FROM A WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE GREAT
LAKES SUNDAY MORNING WILL ADVANCE SEWD...LIKELY EXTENDING FROM THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO NRN TX BY THE END OF PERIOD. A PACIFIC
FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES SWWD THROUGH ERN TX
SUNDAY MORNING AND SUBSEQUENTLY ADVANCE THROUGH THE OH...TN AND
LOWER MS VALLEY REGIONS.

...SERN STATES...

PERSISTENT SLY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN INFLUX OF MODIFIED CP AIR THROUGH
THE SERN U.S. WITH NEAR SFC DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM MID 60S NEAR THE
GULF COAST TO 50S OVER THE TN VALLEY. GIVEN THE LIMITED NWD EXTENT
OF THE RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND POOR LAPSE RATES...INSTABILITY
WILL LIKELY REMAIN MARGINAL WITH MLCAPE AOB 500 J/KG. POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR CONVECTION TO PERSIST ALONG CONVEYOR BELT AND WITHIN LOW
LEVEL CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME FROM LOWER MS THROUGH TN VALLEYS. WHERE
DIABATIC WARMING OCCURS...STORMS MAY BECOME SFC BASED DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WHILE LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN
VEERED TO SWLY DURING THE DAY...THIS REGION WILL REMAIN EMBEDDED
WITHIN STRONG FLOW ALOFT WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 60+ KT AT 500 MB
AND STRONG 0-6 KM SHEAR. CONVECTION MAY UNDERGO SOME INCREASE WITH
THE APPROACH OF THE SRN STREAM WAVE AND POSSIBLE STRENGTHENING LLJ
SUNDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR SFC BASED STORMS AND
STRONG DEEP SHEAR...A FEW STORMS MIGHT DEVELOP SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
AND POSE A SEVERE THREAT. HOWEVER...LIKELIHOOD OF LIMITED
INSTABILITY PRECLUDES INTRODUCTION OF MORE THAN 5% SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

...OH VALLEY...

DESPITE MORE LIMITED MOISTURE RETURN WITH ONLY 40S DEWPOINTS
EXPECTED...COLD AIR ALOFT /-20 C AT 500/ AND DIABATIC HEATING MAY
CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST WEAK SFC BASED INSTABILITY DURING THE
AFTERNOON. LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT
WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW
AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MIGHT BECOME
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS...BUT LIMITED
INSTABILITY PRECLUDES INTRODUCTION OF MORE THAN 5% SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 12/14/2012

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KVEF [140711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 140711
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1111 PM PST THU DEC 13 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM SNOW PIOCHE 37.93N 114.45W
12/13/2012 M2.0 INCH LINCOLN NV CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOW STARTED IN PIOCHE THIS EVENING AND HAS TOTALED 2.0
INCHES AS OF 11 OM AT AN ELEVATION OF 5990 FEET.


&&

$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 140646
SWODY2
SPC AC 140645

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 AM CST FRI DEC 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

UPPER TROUGH OVER CA WILL EJECT INTO THE SRN PLAINS BY LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT CONTINUES THROUGH THE
MID MS AND OH VALLEYS SATURDAY AND THE LOWER GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
NIGHT. SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE PACIFIC NW WILL FOLLOW
CLOSELY ON THE HEELS OF THE LEAD TROUGH...REACHING THE SRN PLAINS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND LOWER MS VALLEY SATURDAY NIGHT.

AT THE SFC AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
FROM THE MID MS VALLEY TO GREAT LAKES IN ASSOCIATION WITH
DEAMPLIFYING LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH. COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD AND
EXTEND FROM THE SFC LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES SWWD INTO OK BY THE END
OF THE PERIOD. FARTHER SOUTH...DRYLINE OR PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH ERN TX.

...ERN TX THROUGH LOWER MS...TN AND OH VALLEY REGIONS...

PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR FOR A MORE ROBUST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
LIKELY BE QUALITY OF GULF MOISTURE RETURN AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF
THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE MID MS
VALLEY EARLY SATURDAY. TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM CP HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE ERN U.S. ARE CONTRIBUTING TO WRN GULF SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S. AS THIS RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EWD AND A LEE LOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED
OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...WRN GULF TRAJECTORIES WILL BECOME MORE
SLY AND RICHER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN RETURNING THROUGH SERN TX AND THE
LOWER MS VALLEY. SFC DEWPOINTS SHOULD INCREASE TO UPPER MID TO UPPER
60S ACROSS SERN TX INTO LA...BUT WITH 50S FARTHER NORTH INTO THE TN
AND OH VALLEYS.

PRIMARY /50+ KT/ LLJ WILL DEVELOP NEWD THROUGH THE LOWER-MID MS...TN
AND OH VALLEYS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THIS
WILL LEAVE SOMEWHAT WEAKER AND VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW FARTHER SW
ACROSS ERN TX. ZONE OF MOSTLY ELEVATED CONVECTION MAY BE ONGOING
EARLY SATURDAY ALONG WARM CONVEYOR BELT FROM ERN TX INTO THE LOWER
MS VALLEY...GRADUALLY SHIFTING EWD. TENDENCY WILL BE FOR STRONGER
FORCING TO LIFT NEWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY DURING THE DAY WHERE
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE LIMITED.

SOME THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS MAY INCREASE PRIMARILY SATURDAY NIGHT
FROM THE LOWER MS INTO THE TN VALLEY. CONTINUED INFLUX OF BOUNDARY
LAYER MOISTURE...APPROACH OF SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
SUBTROPICAL UPPER JET MIGHT BE SUFFICIENT TO REINVIGORATE CONVECTION
ALONG THE CONVEYOR BELT WHERE LARGE HODOGRAPHS AND STRONG DEEP SHEAR
WILL EXIST. HOWEVER...CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT STORMS WILL
PROBABLY REMAIN SLIGHTLY ELEVATED WITHIN A WEAK INSTABILITY
ENVIRONMENT WHICH MAY ULTIMATELY SERVE AS LIMITING FACTORS.

..DIAL.. 12/14/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140532
SWODY1
SPC AC 140530

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST THU DEC 13 2012

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

DIGGING UPPER LOW OFF THE NRN BAJA PENINSULA WILL SOON EJECT ENEWD
AND APPROACH THE SRN HIGH PLAINS DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS
FRIDAY BEFORE SHIFTING INTO THE MID MS VALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGEST A STRONG MID LEVEL SPEED MAX...100 KT AT 500
MB...WILL SPREAD ACROSS FAR WEST TX INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS DURING
THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS WHICH WILL ENHANCE ASCENT COINCIDENT WITH
PEAK HEATING. ADDITIONALLY...VERY COLD MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL BE NOTED ON THE CYCLONIC SIDE OF THIS FEATURE
WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A CORRIDOR OF MODEST INSTABILITY...ON THE
ORDER OF 500 J/KG...AS SFC DEW POINTS RISE INTO THE UPPER 40S.

INTENSE HEIGHT FALLS AND STRONG FORCING AHEAD OF WELL DEFINED VORT
MAX SUGGEST CONVECTION SHOULD EASILY DEVELOP ALONG LEADING EDGE OF
VORT INFLUENCE WHEN IT OVERSPREADS THE SFC DRYLINE-PACIFIC
FRONT...LIKELY BY 20Z ALONG THE NM/TX BORDER. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
SPREAD QUICKLY DOWNSTREAM WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WHERE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE
MAXIMIZED. MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THIS ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND BECOME THE DOMINANT THREAT ACROSS OK
DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS UPDRAFTS WILL QUICKLY BECOME
ELEVATED...ROOTED NEAR 850 MB.

IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW SIGNIFICANT TSTM ACTIVITY WILL BE SOUTH
OF THE MAIN SPEED MAX OVER TX...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-20. MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTABLY WARMER ACROSS CNTRL TX THOUGH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO COMPENSATE SOMEWHAT. GIVEN THAT STRONGER
FORCING WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE/OK CURRENT THINKING IS
ACTIVITY THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE BOUNDARY INTO CNTRL TX WILL
STRUGGLE SOMEWHAT THUS SEVERE PROBS ARE NOT WARRANTED AT THIS TIME.

..DARROW/LEITMAN.. 12/14/2012

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