KDVN [181416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 181416
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
915 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 NNE CEDAR RAPIDS 42.04N 91.64W
10/18/2007 E2.00 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0430 AM HEAVY RAIN MANCHESTER 42.49N 91.46W
10/18/2007 E3.25 INCH DELAWARE IA EMERGENCY MNGR

0445 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 N BELLE PLAINE 41.89N 92.28W
10/18/2007 E1.75 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 AM HEAVY RAIN CEDAR RAPIDS 41.97N 91.67W
10/18/2007 E1.75 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 E CEDAR RAPIDS 41.97N 91.58W
10/18/2007 M1.32 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN WHAT CHEER 41.40N 92.35W
10/18/2007 M1.93 INCH KEOKUK IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN RUTLEDGE 40.31N 92.09W
10/18/2007 M1.90 INCH SCOTLAND MO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN SHERRARD 41.32N 90.51W
10/18/2007 M1.80 INCH MERCER IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0725 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W DUBUQUE 42.50N 90.74W
10/18/2007 M2.09 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 AM HEAVY RAIN 4 W MOUNT STERLING 40.62N 92.02W
10/18/2007 M2.80 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN WASHINGTON 41.30N 91.69W
10/18/2007 E2.50 INCH WASHINGTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KLZK [181411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 181411
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
910 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG NORTH LITTLE ROCK 34.79N 92.26W
10/18/2007 PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

THREE SIZEABLE TREES DOWN ON LYNN LANE...5000 BLOCK

1201 AM TSTM WND DMG NORTH LITTLE ROCK 34.79N 92.26W
10/18/2007 PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

TREE DOWN ON CAMP ROBINSON ROAD NEAR LINDENHURST AVE.

&&

$$

29

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KSGF [181404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 181404
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
904 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0925 PM TSTM WND DMG CARTHAGE 37.18N 94.31W
10/17/2007 JASPER MO NEWSPAPER

TWO LARGE TREES DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF PINE AND FOREST
STREETS IN CARTHAGE.

&&

$$

AFOSTER

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KMFR [181351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181351
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
651 AM PDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0651 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SE BANDON 43.10N 124.40W
10/18/2007 M59 MPH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BUNKER

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KPAH [181350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KPAH 181350
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
849 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW MADRID 36.59N 89.55W
10/17/2007 NEW MADRID MO TRAINED SPOTTER

LATE REPORT. TWO TREES BLOWN DOWN IN COMMUNITY ASSOCIATED
WITH BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN.

0124 AM TSTM WND GST DONIPHAN 36.62N 90.82W
10/18/2007 M56.00 MPH RIPLEY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

0126 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG DONIPHAN 36.62N 90.82W
10/18/2007 RIPLEY MO EMERGENCY MNGR

WIDESPREAD MINOR DAMAGE WITH LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS. TREES
AND POWER LINES DOWN. DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOME. EM TEAM
CONDUCTING SURVEY AT THIS TIME. RADAR INDICATED STORM
MOVED THROUGH COMMUNITY AT 126 AM.

0145 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 N POPLAR BLUFF 36.81N 90.41W
10/18/2007 BUTLER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINES NORTH OF POPLAR BLUFF. ESTIMATED WINDS
IN POPLAR BLUFF 65-70 MPH.

0222 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 SE MARBLE HILL 37.26N 89.93W
10/18/2007 BOLLINGER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED POWER LINES IN THE LEOPOLD AREA. NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES REPORTED.

0230 AM TSTM WND DMG BENTON 37.10N 89.56W
10/18/2007 SCOTT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

0235 AM TSTM WND DMG DEXTER 36.79N 89.96W
10/18/2007 STODDARD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF DAMAGE TO BUILDING ALONG EAST STODDARD STREET. NO
INJURIES REPORTED AT THIS TIME. POWER LINES DOWN JUST
EAST OF HIGHWAY 25.

0240 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N MOUNDS 37.14N 89.20W
10/18/2007 PULASKI IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 51 NORTH OF MOUNDS.

0240 AM TSTM WND DMG MILLERSVILLE 37.42N 89.80W
10/18/2007 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO EMERGENCY MNGR

BUILDING AND VEHICLE DAMAGE REPORTED IN COMMUNITY. EM
TEAM RESPONDING AT THIS TIME. MUCH OF NORTHEAST CAPE
GIRARDEAU COUNTY WITHOUT POWER.

0255 AM TSTM WND DMG ANNA 37.46N 89.24W
10/18/2007 UNION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES THROUGHOUT THE
COUNTY.

0300 AM TSTM WND DMG CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.31N 89.55W
10/18/2007 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF CAPE GIRARDEAU

0302 AM TSTM WND GST 1 NE CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.32N 89.54W
10/18/2007 E60.00 MPH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED 1 MI NORTHEAST OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU

0314 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 N EDDYVILLE 37.56N 88.59W
10/18/2007 POPE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE BLOCKING SOUTH BOUND LANE OF IL RT 145 4 MI NORTH OF
EDDYVILLE, IL

0315 AM TSTM WND DMG JOHNSTON CITY 37.82N 88.93W
10/18/2007 WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO TREES DOWN IN JOHNSTON CITY, IL

0315 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N BUCKNER 38.01N 89.02W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

42 BY 48 FOOT POLE BARN DESTROYED.

0324 AM TSTM WND GST VALIER 38.02N 89.04W
10/18/2007 E60.00 MPH FRANKLIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST IN VALIER, IL

0327 AM TSTM WND GST MARION 37.73N 88.94W
10/18/2007 E60.00 MPH WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED BY STORM CHASER...LIMBS DOWN
AND POWER OUT IN THE TOWN OF MARION, IL

0330 AM TSTM WND DMG BENTON 38.01N 88.92W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES COUNTY WIDE.

0332 AM TSTM WND DMG WEST FRANKFORT 37.90N 88.93W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON TOP OF HOUSE IN WEST FRANKFORT, IL

0337 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 N MARION 37.82N 88.94W
10/18/2007 WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

DOWNED TREES REPORTED IN JOHNTSON CITY. WINDS MEASURED AT
62 MPH.

0340 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 S MCLEANSBORO 38.02N 88.53W
10/18/2007 HAMILTON IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 142S.

0345 AM TSTM WND GST CAIRO 37.00N 89.18W
10/18/2007 E60.00 MPH ALEXANDER IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

0445 AM TSTM WND DMG MOUNT CARMEL 38.42N 87.77W
10/18/2007 WABASH IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREE BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF 12TH STREET AND
WALNUT.

&&

$$

MIKEY

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KPAH [181346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 181346
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
846 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N BUCKNER 38.01N 89.02W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

42 BY 48 FOOT POLE BARN DESTROYED.

&&

$$

MIKEY

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KTSA [181312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 181312
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
811 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0727 PM TSTM WND GST 5 NNE TULSA 36.20N 95.89W
10/17/2007 M85 MPH TULSA OK NWS EMPLOYEE

FAA EQUIPMENT ON GROUND AT TULSA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
MEASURED THE GUST. REPORTED THROUGH NWS.

&&

$$

SAA

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 721

WWUS20 KWNS 181311
SEL1
SPC WW 181311
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
911 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 721 ISSUED AT 535 AM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ILLINOIS
INDIANA
KENTUCKY

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DAY1SVR: Public Severe Weather Outlook (Automatic)

893
WOUS40 KWNS 181302
PWOSPC
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-182100-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH TORNADOES ARE EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF
THE LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG AND POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ILLINOIS
MUCH OF INDIANA
NORTHERN AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EXTREME WESTERN OHIO
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE

SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN GULF COAST TO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES.

THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF POWERFUL JET STREAM DISTURBANCES WILL SWEEP
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THIS EVENING BEFORE CONTINUING NORTH INTO ONTARIO EARLY FRIDAY.

THIS FEATURE WILL BE EVEN STRONGER THAN THE ONE THAT AFFECTED PARTS
OF THE PLAINS AND OZARKS YESTERDAY...AND WILL SERVE TO FURTHER
STRENGTHEN THE DEEP SURFACE LOW NOW LOCATED IN WESTERN IOWA.

THE IOWA LOW WILL DRAW A BROAD CURRENT OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
HUMID AIR NORTH THROUGH THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO PARTS OF
MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN.

AS SKIES CLEAR IN THE WAKE OF OVERNIGHT STORMS...THIS MOISTURE WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
VERY FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THE IOWA LOW.

WITH JET STREAM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 120 MPH AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO
SERVE AS FUEL...THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SUPERCELLS. WITH A
BROAD AREA OF FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...THESE ROTATING STORMS
COULD BECOME LONG-LIVED AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG AND
POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.

WHILE THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LIKELY WILL EXIST ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OH AND TN VALLEYS...A MORE LIMITED POTENTIAL
WILL ALSO EXTEND SOUTH TO THE GULF COAST...EAST TO THE WESTERN
SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND NORTH INTO THE GREAT LAKES.
THIS THREAT MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY OVER PARTS OF MICHIGAN
AND THE UPPER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS.

THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..IMY.. 10/18/2007

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KTSA [181301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KTSA 181301
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
800 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1039 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT SMITH 35.39N 94.40W
10/17/2007 SEBASTIAN AR AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AROUND CITY

1041 PM TSTM WND DMG VAN BUREN 35.44N 94.35W
10/17/2007 CRAWFORD AR AMATEUR RADIO

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER DOWN AROUND VAN BUREN

1128 PM TSTM WND DMG ALTUS 35.45N 93.76W
10/17/2007 FRANKLIN AR EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REPORTED DUE TO DOWNED POWER
LINES.

&&

$$

SAA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181252
SWODY1
SPC AC 181249

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

VALID 181300Z - 191200Z

..THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE LWR OH AND LWR
TN VLYS...

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE ERN GULF CST THROUGH
THE MID MS VLY TO THE GRT LKS...

..SYNOPSIS...
LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT AFFECTED THE PLNS/OZARKS YESTERDAY WILL
MOVE NE ACROSS THE UPR GRT LKS LATER TODAY AS UPSTREAM SPEED MAX NOW
OVER THE CO/NM BORDER REDEVELOPS E ACROSS THE SRN PLNS TODAY...AND
INTO THE MID/LWR MS VLY TONIGHT.

AT LWR LVLS...IA SFC LOW SHOULD TRACK N TO NRN MN BY THIS EVENING AS
ATTENDANT COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES E TO LK MI...ERN IL...SE MO AND
NRN LA. THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE E/NE ACROSS THE OH AND TN VLYS
TONIGHT AS LOW REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE MN ARROWHEAD.

..LWR TN VLY/LWR OH VLY NWD INTO MI LATE THIS AFTN/TONIGHT...
A VERY STRONG WIND FIELD WILL EXIST TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY FROM
THE LWR MS VLY NNE TO GRT LKS REGION...IN BROADENING WARM SECTOR OF
DEEP IA LOW. 500 MB WIND SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 75 KTS WILL PREVAIL
THIS AFTERNOON FROM AR TO MI. AND...SPEEDS SHOULD INCREASE TO
NEARLY 100 KTS BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PARTS OF IL/IND AND MI AS CO/NM JET STREAK REDEVELOPS NEWD. COUPLED
WITH EXISTING BROAD BELT OF 40 KT SWLY LOW LVL FLOW THAT WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD...KINEMATIC SETUP WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG ROTATING STORMS IN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID AIR STREAMING
N AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.

HOWEVER...WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING IN WAKE OF LEAD UPR DISTURBANCE
LIKELY WILL PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY OVER NRN PARTS OF THE
WARM SECTOR. THIS WILL LIMIT DEGREE OF LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR
ASCENT DURING MAX HEATING TIME...AND MAY LIMIT COVERAGE OF
DIURNALLY-DRIVEN STORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY OVER MI/IL AND IND.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT...EXPECT THAT
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL MARKEDLY INCREASE FROM THE LWR MS/LWR TN VLY
NE INTO THE LWR OH VLY AS JET ENTRANCE REGION EVOLVES IN ASSOCIATION
WITH EWD REDEVELOPMENT OF CO/NM SPEED MAX. GIVEN PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED KINEMATIC AND MOISTURE SETUP...THIS SHOULD SUPPORT
INITIATION OF SVR STORMS INVOF COLD FRONT VERY LATE THIS AFTN OR
EARLY TONIGHT OVER SE MO/SRN IL/SW IND/WRN KY AND WRN TN.
THE STORMS SHOULD BUILD BOTH N AND S ALONG FRONT LATER TONIGHT
..WITH SOME OF THE ACTIVITY REMAINING STRONG TO SVR THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY.

BREADTH OF WARM SECTOR...60-70 KT DEEP SWLY SHEAR AND QUALITY OF
MOISTURE INFLOW SUGGEST GOOD LIKELIHOOD FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELLS FOR
PERHAPS A 2-3 HOUR PERIOD EARLY TONIGHT...BEFORE STORMS MERGE INTO
BROKEN LINES. STRONG LOW LVL SPEED SHEAR AND LOW LCLS SUGGEST
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO HIGH WIND AND
HAIL...DESPITE LESS THAN OPTIMAL TIME OF DAY. THE STORMS MAY
CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR HIGH WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE LWR TN VLY.

..ERN IA/SE MN/WI/NRN IL THIS AFTN/EVE...
MID LVL DRY SLOT WITH IA LOW WILL ROTATE NNE ACROSS ERN IA/NRN IL
AND SRN WI LATER TODAY. COUPLED WITH COOL MID LVL TEMPERATURES
/MINUS 16C AT 500 MB/ ON CYCLONIC SIDE OF UPR JET...SFC DEWPOINTS IN
THE UPR 50S TO LOW 60S...AND CONVERGENCE INVOF OF DEEP SFC
LOW...SETUP MAY SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF AFTN STORMS DESPITE WEAK UPR
LVL FORCING FOR ASCENT.

MODEST INSTABILITY /SBCAPE AOB 1000 J PER KG/ SHOULD LIMIT STORM
INTENSITY. BUT 35-45 KT DEEP SWLY SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A CONDITIONAL
RISK FOR SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL/HIGH WIND AND PERHAPS A TORNADO IF
SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS DO INDEED DEVELOP.

..GULF CST STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW LVL WAA WILL PERSIST OVER MUCH OF MS/AL AND WRN
GA AND UPR TN VLY THROUGH THE PERIOD AS DEEP WSW FLOW PREVAILS ON
SERN SIDE OF EVOLVING CNTRL U.S. TROUGH. VERY RICH BOUNDARY LYR
MOISTURE AND LOW LVL VEERING PROFILES MAY SUPPORT STORMS THAT
OCCASIONALLY DEVELOP LOW LVL ROTATION. THIS WILL BE ESPECIALLY TRUE
THIS AFTN AS HEATING BOOSTS SFC-BASED INSTABILITY...AND INVOF WEAK
INVERTED TROUGH NOW ALONG THE AL/MS BORDER...WHERE LOW LVL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED. WHILE DEEP SHEAR WILL BE WEAK
RELATIVE TO POINTS FARTHER NW...IT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS WITH A CONDITIONAL THREAT FOR
TORNADOES.

..ERN NEB/NE KS/NW MO...
STEEP LOW TO MID LVL LAPSE RATES AND FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH RECONFIGURATION OF UPR JET AS CO/NM SPEED MAX CONTINUES EWD MAY
SUPPORT A BAND OF LOW-TOPPED STORMS WITH MARGINALLY SVR HAIL/WIND
THIS AFTN ACROSS THE LWR MO VLY.

.CORFIDI/GUYER.. 10/18/2007

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KLSX [181251]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 181251
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
751 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG BOWLING GREEN 39.34N 91.20W
10/18/2007 PIKE MO CO-OP OBSERVER

ROOF BLOWN OFF OF LOCAL BUSINESS IN TOWN...TREE BLOWN
ONTO HOUSE AT 13TH AND CENTENNIAL

&&

$$

SIPPRELL

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KLZK [181241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KLZK 181241
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
741 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG WOODBERRY 33.58N 92.52W
10/17/2007 CALHOUN AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW TREES WERE REPORTED DOWN AROUND WOODBERRY.

0446 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N GRAPEVINE 34.21N 92.32W
10/17/2007 GRANT AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

A TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ON ARKANSAS HIGHWAY 35.

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG PINE BLUFF 34.21N 92.02W
10/17/2007 JEFFERSON AR EMERGENCY MNGR

DAMAGE WAS REPORTED AROUND PRINCETON PIKE INCLUDING A
LARGE TREE BETWEEN 18 AND 20 INCHES SNAPPED IN HALF.

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 WNW PINE BLUFF 34.23N 92.07W
10/17/2007 JEFFERSON AR EMERGENCY MNGR

PART OF THE ROOF WAS BLOWN OFF OF THE DOLLARWAY HIGH
SCHOOL GYM. LIMBS AND POWER LINES WERE ALSO REPORTED DOWN
ON PRINCETON PIKE.

0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N WOODSON 34.55N 92.22W
10/17/2007 PULASKI AR BROADCAST MEDIA

A LARGE TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 365. THE TIME
OF THE EVENT IS APPROXIMATE.

0555 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 W STAR CITY 33.94N 91.97W
10/17/2007 LINCOLN AR EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL HOMES...TRAILERS AND BARNS WERE DAMAGED OUTSIDE
OF STAR CITY. AT LEAST 6 HOMES WERE UNHABITABLE. THERE
WERE MANY TREES BLOWN DOWN AND POWER IS OUT IN PARTS OF
LINCOLN COUNTY.

0602 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 W STAR CITY 33.94N 91.91W
10/17/2007 LINCOLN AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

LIMBS...SIGNS AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN ON
ARKANSAS HIGHWAY 212.

0605 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E CARLISLE 34.79N 91.69W
10/17/2007 LONOKE AR BROADCAST MEDIA

A SEMI TRUCK WAS BLOWN OVER ON INTERSTATE 40. THE TIME OF
THE EVENT IS APPROXIMATE.

0616 PM FUNNEL CLOUD TAMO 34.11N 91.76W
10/17/2007 JEFFERSON AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED OFF OF TAMO RIVER ROAD.

0725 PM TSTM WND DMG S GREGORY 35.15N 91.33W
10/17/2007 WOODRUFF AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES REPORTED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 33.

0725 PM TSTM WND DMG S GREGORY 35.15N 91.33W
10/17/2007 WOODRUFF AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 33.

1010 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SW LANGLEY 34.27N 93.90W
10/17/2007 PIKE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN ACROSS ROCKY
HOLLOW ROAD.

1132 PM TSTM WND DMG CROWS 34.62N 92.77W
10/17/2007 SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

STRONG WINDS BROUGHT TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 5 SOUTH IN
CROWS.

1135 PM TSTM WND DMG BENTON 34.57N 92.58W
10/17/2007 SALINE AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY
298...HIGHWAY 5 NORTH...CONGO ROAD...AND SALEM ROAD.

1155 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 W DOWNTOWN LITTLE RO 34.73N 92.41W
10/17/2007 PULASKI AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREES WERE DOWN ON LAWSON ROAD NEAR FERNDALE
CUTOFF.

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG NORTH LITTLE ROCK 34.79N 92.26W
10/18/2007 PULASKI AR NWS EMPLOYEE

A LARGE TREE FELL ON A HOUSE ON MCARTHUR...NEAR BURNS
PARK.

&&
THIS IS A SUMMARY OF ALL REPORTS RECEIVED FROM LAST NIGHTS STORMS.
$$

57

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KDVN [181232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 181232
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
732 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN WHAT CHEER 41.40N 92.35W
10/18/2007 M1.93 INCH KEOKUK IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

ERVIN

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KSGF [181231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 181231
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
731 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1050 PM TSTM WND DMG MORRISVILLE 37.48N 93.43W
10/17/2007 POLK MO CO-OP OBSERVER

LIMBS AND A TREE DOWN.

&&

$$

HATCH

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KSGF [181227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 181227
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
727 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG CHEROKEE 37.35N 94.81W
10/17/2007 CRAWFORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER

TREE BLOWN DOWN AND BLOWN ACROSS ROAD INTO PARKED FIRE
TRUCK.

&&

$$

HATCH

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KSGF [181218]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 181218
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
717 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG CHEROKEE 37.35N 94.81W
10/17/2007 CRAWFORD KS CO-OP OBSERVER

TREE BLOWN DOWN AND BLOWN ACROSS ROAD INTO PARKED FIRE
TRUCK.

&&

$$

HATCH

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 719

WWUS20 KWNS 181223
SEL9
SPC WW 181223
ILZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 719
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
723 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 719 ISSUED AT 155 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ILLINOIS

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KMEG [181222]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 181222
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
722 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S JONESBORO 35.75N 90.69W
10/17/2007 CRAIGHEAD AR TRAINED SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 1 SOUTH IN CARY.

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N PALESTINE 35.01N 90.90W
10/17/2007 ST. FRANCIS AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN BLOCKING COUNTY ROAD 130. CAMPERS AND
TRAMPOLINES TOSSED AROUND AS WELL.

0840 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E COLT 35.13N 90.76W
10/17/2007 ST. FRANCIS AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 306-EAST.

0955 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S OLIVE BRANCH 34.93N 89.83W
10/17/2007 DESOTO MS EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN NEAR HWY 305 AND COLLEGE STREET

0959 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE OLIVE BRANCH 34.93N 89.80W
10/17/2007 DESOTO MS NWS EMPLOYEE

6 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS FELL INTO HOUSE CAUSING
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. SOME LIMBS 30 FEET IN LENGTH. DAMAGE
TO 80 FEET OF PRIVACY FENCING. ESTIMATE TSTM WIND GUST
MINIMUM 60 MILES AN HOUR

1214 AM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 MADISON TN EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 2 FEET OF WATER AT INTERSECTION OF HENDERSON AND
RIDGECREST ROADS ESTMTD 2.25 INCHES OF RAIN IN 45
MINUTES. OTHER STREETS FLOODED NEARBY.

1220 AM HEAVY RAIN JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 E0.00 INCH MADISON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

2.09 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN PAST 55 MINUTES

1250 AM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 MADISON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

ASHCROFT ROAD FLOODED AND HEAVY RAIN FALLING

&&

$$

DSV

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KLIX [181204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 181204
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
704 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 AM TORNADO VANCLEAVE 30.54N 88.67W
10/18/2007 JACKSON MS FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN WEST OF VANCLEAVE. MOBILE HOME
FORCED OFF BLOCKS AND ROOF TORN OFF IN VANCLEAVE.

&&

$$

17

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KSGF [181159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 181159
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
658 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM TSTM WND DMG GENTRYVILLE 36.86N 92.36W
10/18/2007 DOUGLAS MO CO-OP OBSERVER

20 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN IN YARD

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 720

WWUS20 KWNS 181141
SEL0
SPC WW 181140
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 720
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
640 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 720 ISSUED AT 225 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ILLINOIS
INDIANA
KENTUCKY

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KMEG [181133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 181133
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
633 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S JONESBORO 35.75N 90.69W
10/17/2007 CRAIGHEAD AR TRAINED SPOTTER

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 1 SOUTH IN CARY.

0835 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 N PALESTINE 35.01N 90.90W
10/17/2007 ST. FRANCIS AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN BLOCKING COUNTY ROAD 130. CAMPERS AND
TRAMPOLINES TOSSED AROUND AS WELL.

0840 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E COLT 35.13N 90.76W
10/17/2007 ST. FRANCIS AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 306-EAST.

0959 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE OLIVE BRANCH 34.93N 89.80W
10/17/2007 DESOTO MS NWS EMPLOYEE

6 TO 8 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS FELL INTO HOUSE CAUSING
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE. SOME LIMBS 30 FEET IN LENGTH. DAMAGE
TO 80 FEET OF PRIVACY FENCING. ESTIMATE TSTM WIND GUST
MINIMUM 60 MILES AN HOUR

1214 AM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 MADISON TN EMERGENCY MNGR

UP TO 2 FEET OF WATER AT INTERSECTION OF HENDERSON AND
RIDGECREST ROADS ESTMTD 2.25 INCHES OF RAIN IN 45
MINUTES. OTHER STREETS FLOODED NEARBY.

1220 AM HEAVY RAIN JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 E0.00 INCH MADISON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

2.09 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN PAST 55 MINUTES

1250 AM FLASH FLOOD JACKSON 35.63N 88.83W
10/18/2007 MADISON TN TRAINED SPOTTER

ASHCROFT ROAD FLOODED AND HEAVY RAIN FALLING

&&

$$

DSV

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KMFR [181052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181052
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
352 AM PDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 AM NON-TSTM WND GST N LANGLOIS 42.93N 124.45W
10/18/2007 E0 MPH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

BLOWING HARD AND IS KNOCKING SOME TREES DOWN

&&

$$

BUNKER

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 718

WWUS20 KWNS 181041
SEL8
SPC WW 181040
ARZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 718
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 718 ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ARKANSAS
MISSOURI
MISSISSIPPI
TENNESSEE

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KPAH [180957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180957
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
457 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 AM TSTM WND DMG MOUNT CARMEL 38.42N 87.77W
10/18/2007 WABASH IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREE BLOCKING INTERSECTION OF 12TH STREET AND
WALNUT.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KILX [180950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 180950
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
450 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0443 AM TSTM WND GST LAWRENCEVILLE 38.73N 87.69W
10/18/2007 M66 MPH LAWRENCE IL AWOS

WIND GUST OF 66 MPH MEASURED AT LAWRENCEVILLE ASOS.

&&

$$

SCHAFFER

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DAY1SVR: Public Severe Weather Outlook (Automatic)

613
WOUS40 KWNS 180946
PWOSPC
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-WIZ000-181745-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS TO SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG AND POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES FROM
THE LOWER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS NORTH TO THE LAKE MICHIGAN AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE

MUCH OF ILLINOIS
INDIANA
WESTERN AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY
MUCH OF LOWER MICHIGAN
WESTERN OHIO
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN WISCONSIN

SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE EASTERN GULF COAST TO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND UPPER GREAT LAKES.

THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF POWERFUL JET STREAM DISTURBANCES WILL SWEEP
FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS MORNING TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THIS EVENING BEFORE CONTINUING NORTH INTO ONTARIO EARLY FRIDAY.

THIS FEATURE WILL BE EVEN STRONGER THAN THE ONE THAT AFFECTED PARTS
OF THE PLAINS AND OZARKS YESTERDAY...AND WILL SERVE TO FURTHER
STRENGTHEN THE DEEP SURFACE LOW NOW ENTERING WESTERN IOWA.

THE IOWA LOW WILL DRAW A BROAD CURRENT OF UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
HUMID AIR NORTH THROUGH THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS INTO PARTS OF
MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN.

AS SKIES CLEAR IN THE WAKE OF OVERNIGHT STORMS...THIS MOISTURE WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG ATMOSPHERIC INSTABILITY. CONDITIONS WILL
BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE IOWA LOW.

WITH JET STREAM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 120 MPH AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE TO
SERVE AS FUEL...THE STORMS WILL QUICKLY BECOME SUPERCELLS. WITH A
BROAD AREA OF FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE...THESE ROTATING STORMS
COULD BECOME LONG-LIVED AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG AND
POSSIBLY LONG-TRACK TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.

WHILE THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT LIKELY WILL EXIST IN THE
MIDWEST...A MORE LIMITED POTENTIAL WILL ALSO EXTEND SOUTH TO THE
GULF COAST AND EAST TO THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. THIS THREAT MAY CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY OVER
PARTS OF MICHIGAN AND THE UPPER OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS.

THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.

..STEPHEN CORFIDI/STORM PREDICTION CENTER.. 10/18/2007

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KILX [180946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 180946
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
446 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0427 AM TSTM WND DMG FLORA 38.67N 88.48W
10/18/2007 CLAY IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN FLORA. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

SCHAFFER

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 721

WWUS20 KWNS 180944
SEL1
SPC WW 180944
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-181400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 721
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEASTERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA
NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 535 AM UNTIL 1000 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DANVILLE ILLINOIS TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF LOUISVILLE KENTUCKY. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 718...WW 719...WW 720...

DISCUSSION...STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING NEWD THROUGH MO INTO
IL. THIS SYSTEM IS FORCING A LINE OF STORMS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 50
KT THROUGH ILLINOIS INTO INDIANA. STRONG ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS AND
THE FAST MOTION OF THE STORMS SUGGEST WIND DAMAGE IS THE MAIN
THREAT. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF 1 KM SHEAR AT 40-50 KT AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S INDICATE A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.

..IMY

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KLSX [180933]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLSX 180933
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
433 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM TSTM WND DMG CLARKSBURG 38.66N 92.67W
10/17/2007 MONITEAU MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 50
AND ROUTE H. SIZE OF TREES UNKNOWN.

1143 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW MADISON 39.40N 92.30W
10/17/2007 MONROE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLES DOWNED BY HIGH WINDS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR.

1145 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 S MADISON 39.37N 92.21W
10/17/2007 MONROE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

BARN HEAVILY DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG FULTON 38.85N 91.95W
10/18/2007 CALLAWAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE LIMBS DOWNING POWER LINES.

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG FULTON 38.85N 91.95W
10/18/2007 CALLAWAY MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

CONCENTRATED DAMAGE PATH ABOUT A QUARTER OF MILE WIDE
FROM FULTON TO CALWOOD ALONG HIGHWAY Z. NUMEROUS
TREES...TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES DOWN.

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW KINGDOM CITY 38.98N 91.98W
10/18/2007 CALLAWAY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES BLOWN OVER ON HOUSES ALONG COUNTY ROAD 254 NEAR
HEREFORD. TIME ESTIMATED.

1205 AM TSTM WND DMG MEXICO 39.17N 91.87W
10/18/2007 AUDRAIN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN IN THE CITY OF MEXICO.

1205 AM TORNADO 1 N PARIS 39.49N 92.00W
10/18/2007 MONROE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

*** 2 FATAL *** MOBILE HOME DESTROYED BY HIGH WINDS AND
POSSIBLE TORNADO ON ROUTE F JUST NORTH OF PARIS. TIME
ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

1235 AM TSTM WND DMG OWENSVILLE 38.35N 91.50W
10/18/2007 GASCONADE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN.

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG BOWLING GREEN 39.34N 91.20W
10/18/2007 PIKE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG HILLSBORO 38.23N 90.57W
10/18/2007 JEFFERSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TOP OF TREE TAKEN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY A.

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 S WARRENTON 38.81N 91.14W
10/18/2007 WARREN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER LINE DOWN AND TREE ACROSS HIGHWAY F.

0110 AM TSTM WND DMG NEW CANTON 39.64N 91.10W
10/18/2007 PIKE IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD.

0130 AM TSTM WND DMG 1 W FIELDON 39.11N 90.52W
10/18/2007 JERSEY IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE UPROOTED BLOCKING HIGHWAY 16.

0200 AM TSTM WND DMG O'FALLON 38.59N 89.91W
10/18/2007 ST. CLAIR IL AMATEUR RADIO

LARGE TREE DOWN AT WEST TERRA LANE AND HOFF ROAD

&&

$$

STRUETT

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KPAH [180914]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180914
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
414 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0314 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 N EDDYVILLE 37.56N 88.59W
10/18/2007 POPE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE BLOCKING SOUTH BOUND LANE OF IL RT 145 4 MI NORTH OF
EDDYVILLE, IL

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180910]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180910
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
410 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 AM TSTM WND DMG 5 S MCLEANSBORO 38.02N 88.53W
10/18/2007 HAMILTON IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 142S.

&&

$$

JG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2107

ACUS11 KWNS 180908
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180908
INZ000-KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MSZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-181015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2107
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0408 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...IL...SWRN IN...WRN KY...FAR SERN MO...WRN TN...ERN
AR AND NRN MS...

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 718...719...720...

VALID 180908Z - 181015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
718...719...720...CONTINUES.

A FAST MOVING LINE OF STORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR MTO TO E OF MVN TO W
OF PAH. SHORTWAVE TROUGH LIFTING NEWD THROUGH MO AND STRONG
ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS...INCLUDING 50-70 KT MID LEVEL WINDS...WERE
FAVORABLE FOR WIND DAMAGE. HOWEVER...STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR COMBINED
WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S ALSO INDICATES A
TORNADO OR TWO IS POSSIBLE WITHIN THE LINE...AS IT MOVES ENEWD AT
50-55 KT.

MORE ISOLATED STORMS WERE LOCATED ACROSS FAR ERN AR/WRN TN AND NRN
MS. THESE MORE DISCRETE STORMS...WITHIN THE STRONGLY LOW/MID LEVEL
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT SUGGESTS THE TORNADO THREAT MAY BE A LITTLE
GREATER WITH THE ACTIVITY MOVING THROUGH IL AND WRN KY.

.IMY.. 10/18/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...MEG...LSX...DVN...

34248841 34219062 35889089 37438926 38748887 39498906
41199016 41098897 39848757 38268687 36378788

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 717

WWUS20 KWNS 180903
SEL7
SPC WW 180903
ILZ000-MOZ000-181100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
403 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 717 ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ILLINOIS
MISSOURI

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KPAH [180904]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180904
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
404 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0332 AM TSTM WND DMG WEST FRANKFORT 37.90N 88.93W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE DOWN ON TOP OF HOUSE IN WEST FRANKFORT, IL

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180858
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
357 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 AM TSTM WND GST CAIRO 37.00N 89.18W
10/18/2007 E60 MPH ALEXANDER IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180856]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180856
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
356 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM TSTM WND DMG BENTON 38.01N 88.92W
10/18/2007 FRANKLIN IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD DOWN TREES AND POWER LINES COUNTY WIDE.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KPAH [180853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180853
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
353 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 AM TSTM WND DMG JOHNSTON CITY 37.82N 88.93W
10/18/2007 WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO TREES DOWN IN JOHNSTON CITY, IL

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180850
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
350 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 AM TSTM WND DMG ANNA 37.46N 89.24W
10/18/2007 UNION IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WIDESPREAD DOWNED TREES AND POWERLINES THROUGHOUT THE
COUNTY.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KPAH [180850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KPAH 180850
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
350 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 AM BLIZZARD 6 N MARION 37.82N 88.94W
10/18/2007 WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

DOWNED TREES REPORTED IN JOHNTSON CITY. WINDS MEASURED AT
62 MPH.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KPAH [180844]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180844
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
343 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 AM TSTM WND GST MARION 37.73N 88.94W
10/18/2007 E60 MPH WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED BY STORM CHASER...LIMBS DOWN
AND POWER OUT IN THE TOWN OF MARION, IL

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180844]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180844
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
344 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N MOUNDS 37.14N 89.20W
10/18/2007 PULASKI IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 51 NORTH OF MOUNDS.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KPAH [180839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180839
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
339 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 AM BLIZZARD 6 N MARION 37.82N 88.94W
10/18/2007 WILLIAMSON IL TRAINED SPOTTER

DOWNED TREES REPORTED IN JOHNSON CITY. WINDS MEASURED AT
62 MPH.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KILX [180834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KILX 180834
LSRILX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
334 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0246 AM TSTM WND DMG 10 S SPRINGFIELD 39.64N 89.64W
10/18/2007 SANGAMON IL EMERGENCY MNGR

POWER LINE DOWN AT 10705N PAWNEE ROAD.

&&

$$

DSMITH

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KPAH [180833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180833
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
333 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 AM TSTM WND GST VALIER 38.02N 89.04W
10/18/2007 E60 MPH FRANKLIN IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST IN VALIER, IL

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KPAH 180821
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
321 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 AM TSTM WND DMG BENTON 37.10N 89.56W
10/18/2007 SCOTT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

&&

$$

SMITTY

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KPAH [180821]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180821
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
321 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM TSTM WND DMG CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.31N 89.55W
10/18/2007 CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER

TWO TREES DOWN IN THE CITY OF CAPE GIRARDEAU

&&

$$

JG

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KPAH [180815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 180815
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
315 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0302 AM TSTM WND GST 1 NE CAPE GIRARDEAU 37.32N 89.54W
10/18/2007 E60 MPH CAPE GIRARDEAU MO TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND GUST ESTIMATED 1 MI NORTHEAST OF CAPE
GIRARDEAU

&&

$$

JG

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2106

ACUS11 KWNS 180803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180802
ALZ000-FLZ000-MSZ000-180900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2106
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0302 AM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN MS...SWRN AL AND THE FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 180802Z - 180900Z

STORMS INCREASING IN NUMBER ACROSS FAR SERN MS AND SWRN AL...AND
WILL SHIFT EWD INTO THE FAR WRN PORTION OF THE FL PANHANDLE. A WATCH
IS POSSIBLE...THOUGH CURRENTLY EXPECT STRONGER UPDRAFTS TO BE SHORT
LIVED...RESULTING IN A LOW END THREAT.

ALTHOUGH STRONGER LOW LEVEL MASS CONVERGENCE AND FORCING WERE
LOCATED NORTH OF THE REGION ACROSS THE TN/MD MS VALLEYS...WARM
ADVECTION BETWEEN 750-800 MB APPEARS TO BE PROVIDING LIFT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. DEEP LAYER SHEAR AT 35-40 KT IS STRONG ENOUGH TO
SUPPORT MID LEVEL ROTATION. THE VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND 20-30
KT SHEAR IN THE LOWEST KM MIGHT EVEN BE SUPPORTIVE OF A BRIEF
TORNADO. HOWEVER...GIVEN THAT THE CONVERGENCE/LIFT IS LIKELY ABOVE
THE BOUNDARY LAYER...AND GPS MOISTURE SHOWS PW/S ABOVE 2
INCHES...BRIEF DOWNBURSTS FROM WATER LOADING APPEAR TO BE THE
GREATER THREAT.

.IMY.. 10/18/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

29988822 31558893 32198851 32328758 31798699 30898657
30368657 30118663

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