KEAX [270238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KEAX 270238
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
938 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0426 PM TSTM WND DMG BUCYRUS 38.72N 94.72W
07/26/2008 MIAMI KS NWS EMPLOYEE

GUTTER AND SIDING LOST ON A HOUSE DUE TO ESTIMATED 60 MPH
WIND GUSTS.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG 11 SSW LOUISBURG 38.48N 94.76W
07/26/2008 MIAMI KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE REPORTED DOWN WITH WINDS
ESTIMATED TO 60 MPH.

0719 PM HAIL SHAWNEE 39.02N 94.80W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON KS PUBLIC

0741 PM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE

0742 PM HAIL 2 S KANSAS CITY 39.09N 94.55W
07/26/2008 E2.00 INCH JACKSON MO BROADCAST MEDIA

0748 PM HAIL 2 SSE KANSAS CITY 39.10N 94.54W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH JACKSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AT 27TH AND MAIN.

&&

$$

21

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KLZK [270237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 270237
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
937 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0927 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S PRUITT 36.05N 93.14W
07/26/2008 NEWTON AR LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ON HWY 7 JUST SOUTH OF PRUITT.

&&

$$

108

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KSGF [270225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KSGF 270225
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
925 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S LOCKWOOD 37.31N 93.95W
07/26/2008 DADE MO BROADCAST MEDIA

60 YEAR OLD HICKORY TREE UPROOTED. FIELD CORN FLATTENED.
THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S PENNSBORO 37.30N 93.83W
07/26/2008 DADE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES AND TREES DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 39 SOUTH OF
PENNSBORO

0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S LOCKWOOD 37.34N 93.95W
07/26/2008 DADE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

TRESS DOWN SOUTH OF LOCKWOOD ALONG HIGHWAY 97

0455 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 S LOCKWOOD 37.34N 93.95W
07/26/2008 DADE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY ROAD 182 OFF OF 39 HIGHWAY FLOODED AND CLOSED

0605 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SE OZARK 37.00N 93.18W
07/26/2008 CHRISTIAN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

TREE LIMBS AND BILLBOARD SIGN BLOWN DOWN

0605 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE CARTHAGE 37.23N 94.25W
07/26/2008 E3.00 INCH JASPER MO AMATEUR RADIO

THREE INCHES OF RAIN NORTHEAST OF CARTHAGE.

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT SCOTT 37.84N 94.71W
07/26/2008 BOURBON KS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN FORT SCOTT

0640 PM FLASH FLOOD FORT SCOTT 37.84N 94.71W
07/26/2008 BOURBON KS EMERGENCY MNGR

FLASH FLOODING REPORTED IN FORT SCOTT

0648 PM TSTM WND GST 3 N BRONAUGH 37.74N 94.47W
07/26/2008 M60.00 MPH VERNON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

A FEW TREES DOWN

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNE NASHVILLE 37.40N 94.48W
07/26/2008 BARTON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVER WEST BOUND LANE OF 126 HIGHWAY. MANY COUNTY
ROADS FLOODED ALONG 126 HIGHWAY BETWEEN HIGHWAYS 71 AND
43.

0754 PM HEAVY RAIN LAMAR 37.49N 94.28W
07/26/2008 M3.65 INCH BARTON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 430 PM

&&

$$

MTERRY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Amend 1

ACUS01 KWNS 270224
SWODY1
SPC AC 270221

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AMEND 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0921 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 270215Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NRN PLAINS AREA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A LARGE PART OF NY...

AMENDED TO EXTEND SLIGHT RISK INTO NW NEB

...NRN PLAINS AREA...

A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM SE MT SEWD THROUGH SD AND ERN NEB. IN
VICINITY OF AND JUST SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME
QUITE UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500 J/KG OVER ERN MT TO NEAR 3000
J/KG OVER CNTRL AND ERN SD AND NEB WHERE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
EXIST. A VERY WARM EML WITH 700 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND 15C HAS
OVERSPREAD WRN PORTION OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS RESULTING IN A
CAP...AND THIS WAS CONFIRMED ON THE 00Z RAOB FROM RAPID CITY. WARM
EML IN CONJUNCTION WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING OVER THE NRN PLAINS HAS
PRECLUDED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SO FAR OVER MOST OF UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR. STORMS THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WY CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE AS THEY SPREAD EWD TOWARD WRN SD WHERE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION IS STRONGER.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY CRESTING UPPER RIDGE OVER NERN MT
AND THIS FEATURE WILL TURN SEWD INTO THE DAKOTAS TONIGHT. STORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED OVER NERN MT WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FEATURE. ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW BENEATH A 50 KT MID LEVEL JET
ATTENDING THE IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH NERN MT IS RESULTING IN 50+ KT
BULK SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREATS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD
SEWD THROUGH ERN MT ALONG NRN FRINGE OF EML AND ALONG INSTABILITY
GRADIENT INTO THE WRN ND AND NWRN SD LATER THIS EVENING.

OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS SLY LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS THIS
EVENING OVER PARTS OF CNTRL OR ERN SD IN VICINITY OF INSTABILITY
GRADIENT WHERE 00Z RAOB FROM ABERDEEN SHOWS COOLER MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ON ERN PERIPHERY OF THE WARMER EML. BULK SHEAR OF 50+
KT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. LOWER LCLS AND INCREASING
HODOGRAPH SIZE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
PROVIDE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO
IF STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES.
OTHERWISE STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AND SPREAD EWD
TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER TONIGHT.

...UPPER OH VALLEY THROUGH NY...

SCATTERED STORMS THAT DEVELOPED IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITHIN
ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD MIGRATING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. THE 00Z
BUFFALO RAOB SHOWS MLCAPE NEAR 2000 J/KG AND WLY UNIDIRECTIONAL BULK
SHEAR AROUND 35 KT SUFFICIENT FOR SOME STORMS TO DEVELOP MID LEVEL
ROTATION. INTENSITIES SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH
THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

...SRN KS THROUGH SRN MO...

CLUSTER OF STORMS FROM S CNTRL THROUGH ERN KS AND SWRN MO MAY
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SLOWLY SWD NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING SOUTH OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT AND ORGANIZATION APPEARS
LIMITED. THE 00Z RAOB DATA SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG MLCAPE...BUT WARM
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WHICH SHOULD LIMIT ANY REMAINING THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND NEXT
COUPLE HOURS...AFTER WHICH THE THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS. REFERENCE SWOMCD 1926 FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

..DIAL.. 07/27/2008

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KGGW [270220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 270220
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
820 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM HAIL 10 NNE WOLF POINT 48.22N 105.56W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MATTM

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KLWX [270219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 270219
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1019 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1008 PM HAIL SW JEFFERSONTON 38.63N 77.92W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH CULPEPER VA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

ROGOWSKI

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KPSR [270217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 270217
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
717 PM MST SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG GILBERT 33.22N 111.74W
07/26/2008 MARICOPA AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER POLES AND TREES DOWN AT CHANDLER HEIGHTS AND
GREENFIELD ROADS...OCOTILLO AND HIGLEY ROADS...AND
OCOTILLO AND POWER ROADS.

&&

$$

KINCAID

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KBGM [270216]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBGM 270216
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1016 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL CUYLER 42.73N 75.93W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH CORTLAND NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

0507 PM HAIL SOUTH OXFORD 42.38N 75.62W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CHENANGO NY PUBLIC

0510 PM HAIL 3 N WHITESBORO 43.17N 75.30W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0526 PM HAIL 2 NNE GUILFORD 42.43N 75.47W
07/26/2008 M0.75 INCH CHENANGO NY PUBLIC

0602 PM HAIL 5 N LOWMAN 42.11N 76.72W
07/26/2008 U1.00 INCH CHEMUNG NY PUBLIC

0620 PM HAIL BREESPORT 42.17N 76.73W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CHEMUNG NY PUBLIC

0624 PM HAIL ERIN 42.18N 76.67W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH CHEMUNG NY PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL NEW ALBANY 41.60N 76.44W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH BRADFORD PA PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL NEW LONDON 43.20N 75.60W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0741 PM HAIL VESTAL 42.08N 76.05W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0743 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U0.75 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0743 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0744 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U0.75 INCH BROOME NY AMATEUR RADIO

0746 PM HAIL ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0750 PM HAIL ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0752 PM HAIL ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 U0.75 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0754 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U1.00 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0755 PM HAIL BERKSHIRE 42.30N 76.18W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH TIOGA NY PUBLIC

0757 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U1.25 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

TREES AND LIMBS DOWN

0810 PM HAIL SENECA FALLS 42.91N 76.80W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH SENECA NY PUBLIC

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE ROME 43.22N 75.48W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN

0810 PM HAIL 1 SE ROME 43.22N 75.48W
07/26/2008 M1.75 INCH ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0810 PM HAIL ENDWELL 42.12N 76.02W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH BROOME NY BROADCAST MEDIA

0811 PM HAIL SENECA FALLS 42.91N 76.80W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH SENECA NY PUBLIC

0812 PM HAIL JOHNSON CITY 42.12N 75.96W
07/26/2008 M1.25 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0816 PM HAIL BINGHAMTON 42.10N 75.91W
07/26/2008 U1.75 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0820 PM HAIL BINGHAMTON 42.10N 75.91W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH BROOME NY AMATEUR RADIO

0830 PM HAIL DEERFIELD 43.12N 75.22W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0831 PM HAIL AUBURN 42.93N 76.57W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0831 PM HAIL 4 SSW AUBURN 42.88N 76.60W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0832 PM HAIL 2 SW AUBURN 42.91N 76.60W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0836 PM TSTM WND DMG DEERFIELD 43.12N 75.22W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN AND 1.00 INCH HAIL.

0840 PM HAIL UNION SPRINGS 42.85N 76.69W
07/26/2008 U1.00 INCH CAYUGA NY PUBLIC

0917 PM HAIL 2 S WHITNEY POINT 42.30N 75.97W
07/26/2008 E0.50 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0920 PM HAIL WATERVILLE 42.93N 75.38W
07/26/2008 U2.00 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0926 PM HAIL CAMILLUS 43.04N 76.31W
07/26/2008 M0.75 INCH ONONDAGA NY PUBLIC

0930 PM HAIL KING FERRY 42.67N 76.62W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0930 PM HAIL HOMER 42.64N 76.18W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH CORTLAND NY AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

EMG

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KBGM [270214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 270214
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1014 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0926 PM HAIL CAMILLUS 43.04N 76.31W
07/26/2008 M0.75 INCH ONONDAGA NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

EMG

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KGGW [270210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 270210
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
810 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM HAIL 20 NNE FRAZER 48.33N 105.88W
07/26/2008 E2.00 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

1 TO 2 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND...DESTROYED CROPS.

&&

$$

MATTM

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KUNR [270208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270208
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
808 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TSTM WND GST 3 W FAIRPOINT 44.75N 102.86W
07/26/2008 E70 MPH MEADE SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

MERICKSON

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KCHS [270206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 270206
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1006 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM TSTM WND DMG HINESVILLE 31.85N 81.60W
07/26/2008 LIBERTY GA PUBLIC

MEDIUM SIZE OAK TREE DOWN IN THE WALMART PARKING LOT.

&&

$$

VB

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 755

WWUS20 KWNS 270204
SEL5
SPC WW 270204
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-270900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 755
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NEBRASKA PANHANDLE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
EXTREME SOUTHEAST WYOMING

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 805 PM
UNTIL 300 AM MDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
MOBRIDGE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ALLIANCE
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 753...WW 754...

DISCUSSION...AREAS OF HIGH-BASED CONVECTION NOW DEVELOPING EAST INTO
ZONE OF MUCH STRONGER INSTABILITY AND A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED ASCENT
AND MASS INFLOW ON STRENGTHENING SLY LOW LEVEL JET. ACTIVITY APPEARS
TO BE ENCOUNTERING MORE FAVORABLE REGIME BASED ON LATEST RADAR
TRENDS AND EXPECT ONE OR TWO CLUSTERS TO CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT
OF HIGH WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WHILE SPREADING SEWD INTO LLJ...AND
ALONG INSTABILITY AXIS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.

...CARBIN

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KSGF [270204]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 270204
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
903 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 S LOCKWOOD 37.31N 93.95W
07/26/2008 DADE MO BROADCAST MEDIA

60 YEAR OLD HICKORY TREE UPROOTED. FIELD CORN FLATTENED.
THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KGGW [270159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 270159
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
759 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM HAIL 36 SSE MALTA 47.88N 107.58W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH PHILLIPS MT PUBLIC

SOME CROP DAMAGE...HAIL PILED UP ON DECK

&&

$$

MATTM

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KSGF [270159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 270159
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
858 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE CARTHAGE 37.23N 94.25W
07/26/2008 E3.00 INCH JASPER MO AMATEUR RADIO

THREE INCHES OF RAIN NORTHEAST OF CARTHAGE.

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KUNR [270158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270158
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
758 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0718 PM TSTM WND GST RAPID CITY AIRPORT 44.04N 103.06W
07/26/2008 M59 MPH PENNINGTON SD ASOS

&&

$$

WFO UNR STAFF

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KCYS [270156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 270156
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
756 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0746 PM HAIL LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH NIOBRARA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SRUBIN

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KUNR [270156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270156
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
756 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM HAIL 24 NNW EDGEMONT 43.62N 104.01W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH CUSTER SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

MERICKSON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1927

ACUS11 KWNS 270151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270151
SDZ000-NEZ000-270315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1927
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0851 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF WRN AND CENTRAL SD/NWRN AND N CENTRAL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 270151Z - 270315Z

WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY AS STORMS SPREAD ESEWD ACROSS SD/NEB.

ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUE MOVING ESEWD OUT OF THE NRN HIGH PLAINS OF
ERN WY...TOWARD INCREASINGLY-UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT NOW IN PLACE OVER
MUCH OF NEB/SD. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT INCREASING LLJ SHOULD ALLOW
STORMS TO CONTINUE/EXPAND IN COVERAGE.

STRENGTHENING LLJ WILL ALSO RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR...SUPPORTIVE OF ROTATING/SUPERCELL STORMS. ASSOCIATED THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
DISCUSSION AREA SUGGESTS THE NEED FOR WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 07/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...

45850178 45790063 44699842 42959794 41490008 41450202
42260371 43690268 45120274

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KBOI [270148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 270148
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
748 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM TORNADO 10 S TWIN FALLS 42.42N 114.46W
07/22/2008 TWIN FALLS ID PUBLIC

EYEWITNESS REPORT OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR 30
SECONDS 10 MILES SOUTH OF TWIN FALLS...OR 4 MILES SOUTH
OF THE TWIN FALLS AIRPORT.

&&

$$

DFISHLER

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KGGW [270148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 270148
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
748 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL 1 SW MALTA 48.35N 107.89W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH PHILLIPS MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MATTM

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KUNR [270140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270140
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
740 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 PM TSTM WND GST 13 NE NEWELL 44.84N 103.22W
07/26/2008 E70 MPH BUTTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

WORST WIND HE HAS EVER SEEN

&&

$$

MERICKSON

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KUNR [270127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270127
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
727 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 PM TSTM WND GST 13 NE NEWELL 44.84N 103.22W
07/26/2008 E60 MPH BUTTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

WFO UNR STAFF

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KCLE [270123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 270123
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
922 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HAIL NEWTON FALLS 41.19N 80.97W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH TRUMBULL OH PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED.

0421 PM HAIL WARREN 41.24N 80.82W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH TRUMBULL OH TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED.

0440 PM HAIL NILES 41.19N 80.75W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH TRUMBULL OH PUBLIC

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0445 PM HAIL AUSTINTOWN 41.09N 80.74W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MAHONING OH TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0455 PM HAIL EDINBORO 41.87N 80.12W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH ERIE PA PUBLIC

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0510 PM HAIL 4 W MASSILLON 40.79N 81.60W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0514 PM HAIL MASSILLON 40.79N 81.52W
07/26/2008 E1.25 INCH STARK OH PUBLIC

HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0515 PM HAIL HYDETOWN 41.65N 79.72W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD PA TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0516 PM HAIL STRUTHERS 41.05N 80.59W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MAHONING OH TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0522 PM HAIL NORTH CANTON 40.87N 81.40W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0522 PM HAIL MASSILLON 40.79N 81.52W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0525 PM HAIL CANTON 40.81N 81.37W
07/26/2008 E2.00 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL THE SIZE OF HEN EGGS WAS REPORTED NEAR THE PRO
FOOTBALL HALL OF FAME.

0525 PM HAIL TITUSVILLE 41.63N 79.67W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD PA TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0540 PM HAIL LOUISVILLE 40.84N 81.26W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0737 PM TSTM WND DMG NORTON 41.03N 81.65W
07/26/2008 SUMMIT OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN.

0820 PM TSTM WND DMG VIENNA 41.26N 80.68W
07/26/2008 TRUMBULL OH LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN.

0530 PM HAIL CANTON 40.89N 81.58W
07/26/2008 E2.00 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL THE SIZE OF HEN EGGS WAS REPORTED. MANY VEHICLES
DAMAGED.

0445 PM HAIL COCHRANTON 41.52N 80.05W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH CRAWFORD PA LAW ENFORCEMENT

PENNY SIZE HAIL WAS OBSERVED.

0728 PM HAIL BARBERTON 41.01N 81.61W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH SUMMIT OH PUBLIC

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0726 PM HAIL NORTON 41.03N 81.65W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH SUMMIT OH TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

0540 PM HAIL 2 S CANTON 40.78N 81.37W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH STARK OH TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED.

&&

$$

KUBINA

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KUNR [270123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270123
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
722 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 21 W CUSTER 43.77N 104.02W
07/26/2008 E60 MPH CUSTER SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

MERICKSON

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KBGM [270122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 270122
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
922 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0840 PM HAIL UNION SPRINGS 42.85N 76.69W
07/26/2008 U1.00 INCH CAYUGA NY PUBLIC

0920 PM HAIL WATERVILLE 42.93N 75.38W
07/26/2008 U2.00 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

EMG

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KTOP [270118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 270118
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
817 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW OSKALOOSA 39.19N 95.35W
07/26/2008 M1.10 INCH JEFFERSON KS TRAINED SPOTTER

1.10 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM 705 PM TO 750 PM.

&&

$$

JTL

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KPBZ [270114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 270114
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
914 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM TSTM WND DMG CAMBRIDGE 40.03N 81.59W
07/26/2008 GUERNSEY OH EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES REPORTED DOWN

&&

$$

JD

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KICT [270111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 270111
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
811 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM TSTM WND GST 3 WNW GODDARD 37.68N 97.63W
07/26/2008 E60 MPH SEDGWICK KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HOWERTON

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KDDC [270110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 270110
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
810 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S WALKER 38.85N 99.06W
07/26/2008 M4.40 INCH ELLIS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

0630 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 NNW LARNED 38.30N 99.16W
07/26/2008 M3.20 INCH PAWNEE KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

26

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KBGM [270108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 270108
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
908 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0816 PM HAIL BINGHAMTON 42.10N 75.91W
07/26/2008 U1.75 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0830 PM HAIL DEERFIELD 43.12N 75.22W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0735 PM HAIL NEW LONDON 43.20N 75.60W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

EMG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270103
SWODY1
SPC AC 270100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE NRN PLAINS AREA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A LARGE PART OF NY...

...NRN PLAINS AREA...

A BAROCLINIC ZONE EXTENDS FROM SE MT SEWD THROUGH SD AND ERN NEB. IN
VICINITY OF AND JUST SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME
QUITE UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500 J/KG OVER ERN MT TO NEAR 3000
J/KG OVER CNTRL AND ERN SD AND NEB WHERE DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S
EXIST. A VERY WARM EML WITH 700 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND 15C HAS
OVERSPREAD WRN PORTION OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS RESULTING IN A
CAP...AND THIS WAS CONFIRMED ON THE 00Z RAOB FROM RAPID CITY. WARM
EML IN CONJUNCTION WITH SHORTWAVE RIDGING OVER THE NRN PLAINS HAS
PRECLUDED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SO FAR OVER MOST OF UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR. STORMS THAT DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WY CONTINUE
TO STRUGGLE AS THEY SPREAD EWD TOWARD WRN SD WHERE CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION IS STRONGER.

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY CRESTING UPPER RIDGE OVER NERN MT
AND THIS FEATURE WILL TURN SEWD INTO THE DAKOTAS TONIGHT. STORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED OVER NERN MT WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FEATURE. ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW BENEATH A 50 KT MID LEVEL JET
ATTENDING THE IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH NERN MT IS RESULTING IN 50+ KT
BULK SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREATS. THIS ACTIVITY MAY SPREAD
SEWD THROUGH ERN MT ALONG NRN FRINGE OF EML AND ALONG INSTABILITY
GRADIENT INTO THE WRN ND AND NWRN SD LATER THIS EVENING.

OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP AS SLY LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS THIS
EVENING OVER PARTS OF CNTRL OR ERN SD IN VICINITY OF INSTABILITY
GRADIENT WHERE 00Z RAOB FROM ABERDEEN SHOWS COOLER MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ON ERN PERIPHERY OF THE WARMER EML. BULK SHEAR OF 50+
KT WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. LOWER LCLS AND INCREASING
HODOGRAPH SIZE ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET WILL
PROVIDE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO
IF STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES.
OTHERWISE STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AND SPREAD EWD
TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER TONIGHT.

...UPPER OH VALLEY THROUGH NY...

SCATTERED STORMS THAT DEVELOPED IN PRE-FRONTAL WARM SECTOR WITHIN
ZONE OF ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH EWD MIGRATING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL
REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL. THE 00Z
BUFFALO RAOB SHOWS MLCAPE NEAR 2000 J/KG AND WLY UNIDIRECTIONAL BULK
SHEAR AROUND 35 KT SUFFICIENT FOR SOME STORMS TO DEVELOP MID LEVEL
ROTATION. INTENSITIES SHOULD GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH
THE ONSET OF NOCTURNAL COOLING.

...SRN KS THROUGH SRN MO...

CLUSTER OF STORMS FROM S CNTRL THROUGH ERN KS AND SWRN MO MAY
CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SLOWLY SWD NEXT HOUR OR TWO. THE STORMS ARE
MOVING SOUTH OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT AND ORGANIZATION APPEARS
LIMITED. THE 00Z RAOB DATA SHOW MODERATE TO STRONG MLCAPE...BUT WARM
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WHICH SHOULD LIMIT ANY REMAINING THREAT FOR
LARGE HAIL. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND NEXT
COUPLE HOURS...AFTER WHICH THE THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS
THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS. REFERENCE SWOMCD 1926 FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

..DIAL.. 07/27/2008

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KTFX [270100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 270100
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
700 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM HAIL 21 NNE CHESTER 48.79N 110.79W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH LIBERTY MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAIRD ROAD

1230 PM HAIL 30 NNW CHESTER 48.91N 111.22W
07/26/2008 E1.50 INCH LIBERTY MT PUBLIC

IN WHITLASH, HAILED FOR 15 MINUTES, MOST STONES ABOUT
QUARTER SIZED, STONES BOUNCED OFF GROUND A LITTLE BIT

0256 PM HAIL HAVRE 48.54N 109.68W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH HILL MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN WITH WINDS GUSTING UP TO 50 MPH.

0323 PM HAIL 7 SE CHINOOK 48.52N 109.12W
07/26/2008 M2.00 INCH BLAINE MT NWS EMPLOYEE

0435 PM HAIL 15 NE HARLEM 48.69N 108.55W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH BLAINE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

MOST HAILSTONES 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER, 0.20 INCHES OF RAIN
IN 5 MINUTES

&&

$$

MCGINNIS

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KTFX [270100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 270100
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
659 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0435 PM HAIL 15 NE HARLEM 48.69N 108.55W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH BLAINE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

MOST HAILSTONES 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER, 0.20 INCHES OF RAIN
IN 5 MINUTES

&&

$$

MCGINNIS

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KSGF [270056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 270056
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
755 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0754 PM HEAVY RAIN LAMAR 37.49N 94.28W
07/26/2008 M3.65 INCH BARTON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 430 PM

&&

$$

ANGLE

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KUNR [270054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 270054
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
654 PM MDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM TSTM WND GST 12 ENE COLONY 44.92N 103.93W
07/26/2008 E70 MPH BUTTE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MERICKSON

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KEAX [270051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KEAX 270051
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
751 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0748 PM HAIL 2 SSE KANSAS CITY 39.10N 94.54W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH JACKSON MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AT 27TH AND MAIN.

&&

$$

GAMIS

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KEAX [270050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 270050
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
750 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0748 PM HAIL 2 SSE KANSAS CITY 39.10N 94.54W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH JACKSON MO AIRPLANE PILOT

GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED AT 27TH AND MAIN.

&&

$$

GAMIS

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KBGM [270046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 270046
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
846 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0746 PM HAIL ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

0754 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U1.00 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0757 PM HAIL ENDICOTT 42.10N 76.06W
07/26/2008 U1.25 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0812 PM HAIL JOHNSON CITY 42.12N 75.96W
07/26/2008 M1.25 INCH BROOME NY PUBLIC

0810 PM HAIL 1 SE ROME 43.22N 75.48W
07/26/2008 M1.75 INCH ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE ROME 43.22N 75.48W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN

0810 PM HAIL SENECA FALLS 42.91N 76.80W
07/26/2008 U0.88 INCH SENECA NY PUBLIC

0811 PM HAIL SENECA FALLS 42.91N 76.80W
07/26/2008 E1.75 INCH SENECA NY PUBLIC

0810 PM TSTM WND DMG ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY PUBLIC

TREES AND LIMBS DOWN

0831 PM HAIL AUBURN 42.93N 76.57W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0831 PM HAIL 4 SSW AUBURN 42.88N 76.60W
07/26/2008 M0.88 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0832 PM HAIL 2 SW AUBURN 42.91N 76.60W
07/26/2008 M1.00 INCH CAYUGA NY AMATEUR RADIO

0836 PM TSTM WND DMG DEERFIELD 43.12N 75.22W
07/26/2008 ONEIDA NY AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN AND 1.00 INCH HAIL.

&&

$$

EMG

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KEAX [270044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 270044
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
744 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0742 PM HAIL 2 S KANSAS CITY 39.09N 94.55W
07/26/2008 E2.00 INCH JACKSON MO BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

$$

GAMIS

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KALY [270043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 270043
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
843 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM HAIL MELROSE 42.84N 73.63W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH RENSSELAER NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KFFC [270043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 270043
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
843 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 S DAHLONEGA 34.51N 83.98W
07/26/2008 M3.00 INCH LUMPKIN GA EMERGENCY MNGR

3 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED JUST SOUTH OF DAHLONEGA.

0730 PM HEAVY RAIN THOMASTON 32.89N 84.33W
07/26/2008 M3.10 INCH UPSON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

3.1 TO 3.6 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE COUNTY...NUMEROUS
STREETS IN THOMASTON COVERED WITH A FEW INCHES OF WATER.

&&

$$

TDP

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KEAX [270042]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 270042
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
742 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0741 PM HAIL KANSAS CITY 39.12N 94.55W
07/26/2008 E1.00 INCH JACKSON MO NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

GAMIS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1926

ACUS11 KWNS 270038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270038
MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-270145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1926
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN KS/EXTREME SERN NEB/WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 753...

VALID 270038Z - 270145Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 753
CONTINUES.

GENERALLY SLOW MOVING TSTMS...SOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ACROSS NERN KS AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NWRN MO EARLY THIS
EVENING. AIR MASS REMAINS VERY UNSTABLE /MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 3000
J/KG PER TOP 00Z SOUNDING AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES/ FROM KS/NEB BORDER
TO CENTRAL/SRN MO. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT REMAINS
SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS WITH A THREAT FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL.

ELSEWHERE OVER SRN-SERN KS AND SWRN MO...TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EARLY THIS EVENING ALONG AND N OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
MOVING SWD AND SWWD ACROSS SRN KS AND SERN KS/SWRN MO...
RESPECTIVELY. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN THESE
LOCATIONS...WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD CONTINUE TO LIMIT THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE GENERALLY SLOW
MOVING STORMS WITHIN A VERY MOIST AIR MASS SHOULD BE HEAVY RAINFALL
RATES.

..PETERS.. 07/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...

38189725 38769644 40029644 40249639 40269547 39169415
38689402 38069446 37979535

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KALY [270035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 270035
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
835 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0815 PM HAIL WATERFORD 42.79N 73.68W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH SARATOGA NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KALY [270032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 270032
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
832 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0810 PM HAIL COHOES 42.77N 73.71W
07/26/2008 E0.75 INCH ALBANY NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

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KCTP [270032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCTP 270032
LSRCTP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
832 PM EDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0356 PM TSTM WND DMG MERCERSBURG 39.83N 77.90W
07/26/2008 FRANKLIN PA COUNTY OFFICIAL

911 CENTER REPORTED TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS NEAR MERCERSBURG. WIND SPEED GUSTS ESTIMATED IN
EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

0358 PM TSTM WND DMG MERCERSBURG 39.83N 77.90W
07/26/2008 FRANKLIN PA EMERGENCY MNGR

UTILITY POLE AND WIRES DOWN IN THE TOWN OF MERCERSBURG

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG ENTERPRISE 41.63N 79.59W
07/26/2008 WARREN PA COUNTY OFFICIAL

MULTIPLE TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN 1 MILE EAST OF
CRAWFORD/WARREN COUNTY LINE NEAR SR 27.

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG NE GRAND VALLEY 41.72N 79.54W
07/26/2008 WARREN PA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN. POWER KNOCKED OUT.

0535 PM HAIL NE GRAND VALLEY 41.72N 79.54W
07/26/2008 M1.75 INCH WARREN PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0607 PM HAIL 4 N MUNCY 41.26N 76.79W
07/26/2008 E0.88 INCH LYCOMING PA PUBLIC

LARGE HAIL AT PENNSDALE.

0620 PM TSTM WND DMG LUDLOW 41.73N 78.95W
07/26/2008 MCKEAN PA COUNTY OFFICIAL

911 CENTER SWAMPED WITH CALLS OF DAMAGE FROM NUMEROUS
TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN THE AREA FROM LUDLOW NORTHEAST TO
MARSHBURG AND LEWIS RUN BETWEEN 620 PM AND 640 PM.

0622 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 SW FORKSVILLE 41.42N 76.70W
07/26/2008 SULLIVAN PA COUNTY OFFICIAL

911 CENTER REPORTED TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ALONG
HOPPESTOWN ROAD IN HILLSGROVE TOWNSHIP. FIRE DEPARTMENT
CREW DISPATCHED TO CLEAR ROAD.

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG WARREN 41.84N 79.14W
07/26/2008 WARREN PA COUNTY OFFICIAL

911 CENTER SWAMPED WITH CALLS OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGE IN
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PARTS OF WARREN COUNTY. NUMEROUS
TREES AND WIRES DOWN.

&&

$$

MACH

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KMEG [270030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KMEG 270030
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
730 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM TSTM WND DMG SALTILLO 34.38N 88.69W
07/26/2008 LEE MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN SALTILLO.

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG PONTOTOC 34.25N 89.01W
07/26/2008 PONTOTOC MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS LARGE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN THE CITY OF
PONTOTOC...WITH TREES BLOWN OVER ONTO 5 HOMES. 50 BY 30
FT METAL AWNING TORN UP AT THE CITY SHOP. LIGHTNING
STRIKE HIT HOME AND RUPTURED GAS LINE. ESTIMATED SEVERE
WIND DURATION OF 15 MINUTES.

0618 PM TSTM WND DMG HOULKA 34.03N 89.02W
07/26/2008 CHICKASAW MS LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN HOULKA.

&&

$$

MBS

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KSGF [270025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 270025
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
725 PM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NNE NASHVILLE 37.40N 94.48W
07/26/2008 BARTON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER OVER WEST BOUND LANE OF 126 HIGHWAY. MANY COUNTY
ROADS FLOODED ALONG 126 HIGHWAY BETWEEN HIGHWAYS 71 AND
43.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 260836
SWOD48
SPC AC 260835

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 291200Z - 031200Z

...SVR STORMS POSSIBLE TUE ACROSS MT/PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES...

A THERMODYNAMIC AND KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
STORM CLUSTERS IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO TUESDAY NEAR A BELT OF
STRONGER WESTERLIES ALONG THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...FROM THE
ROCKIES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AND...LARGE-SCALE FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH AN IMPULSE LIFTING OUT OF THE TROUGH ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST REGION...THROUGH THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...
WILL PROBABLY ENHANCE THIS POTENTIAL...AS WILL A DOWNSTREAM IMPULSE
AND SURFACE WAVE MIGRATING EAST OF THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE IS
REASONABLY SIMILAR WITH THESE FEATURES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THEREAFTER...HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTIES GROW CONSIDERABLY WITH REGARD
TO DEVELOPMENTS WITHIN THE WESTERLIES...AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL.

..KERR.. 07/26/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 260731
SWODY3
SPC AC 260729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS MON/MON NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO PARTS OF THE UPR MS VALLEY....

...SYNOPSIS...
VARIABILITY AMONG MODELS CONCERNING THE UPPER FLOW EVOLUTION BEGINS
TO INCREASE DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. BUT...THE GFS AND ECMWF
BOTH GENERALLY INDICATE THAT AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR WITHIN THE
STRONGER BELT OF WESTERLIES NEAR THE WESTERN CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER
AREA. UPPER TROUGHING IS PROGGED TO SHARPEN ALONG THE PACIFIC
COAST...WITH A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE BUILDING TO THE LEE OF THE
CANADIAN/NORTHERN U.S. ROCKIES. THIS IS PROGGED TO FORCE A BROAD
WAVE...WITH EMBEDDED IMPULSES...EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE CENTRAL
CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER...WHILE THE CLOSED LOW/UPPER TROUGH OVER
EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEASTERN U.S. ONLY VERY SLOWLY CONTINUES
TO SHIFT EASTWARD.

WHILE IMPULSES PROGRESSING AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A WEAKENING SOUTH
CENTRAL PLAINS HIGH CENTER WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO SUBSTANTIAL
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND
SOUTHEASTERN STATES MONDAY...POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORM
CLUSTERS APPEARS LIKELY TO BE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS/UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION. THIS IS WHERE CAPE WILL REMAIN
LARGE...ASSOCIATED WITH SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS BENEATH
STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...IN THE PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR.

...NORTH CENTRAL STATES...
CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH WITH REGARD TO THE DETAILS OF THE CONVECTIVE
EVOLUTION MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT. THERE HAVE BEEN INDICATIONS IN MODEL
GUIDANCE THAT AN AREA OF STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS SHIFTING EASTWARD
ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA COULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE
INITIATION OF A SIZABLE STORM CLUSTER EARLY IN THE DAY ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN MONTANA INTO NORTH DAKOTA. WHILE LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS
PROGGED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK...MOMENTUM ASSOCIATED WITH 30-50 KT
WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW...COUPLED WITH FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
FOR DOWNBURSTS AND SURFACE COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT...WILL SUPPORT A
RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL. STEERING FLOW
WILL TEND TO CONTRIBUTE TO AN EASTWARD MOTION ACROSS NORTH
DAKOTA...BUT THE TENDENCY MAY BE FOR A SOUTH/SOUTHEASTWARD
PROPAGATION OF VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG A STRONGER
LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA.

MONDAY EVENING INTO EARLY TUESDAY...MODELS INDICATE NOCTURNAL
DEVELOPMENT/STRENGTHENING OF A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY. LARGE-SCALE FORCING IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME FOCUSED ON THE NOSE OF THIS FEATURE... PROBABLY
SUPPORTING ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT STORM CLUSTER ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK
FOR DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL.

..KERR.. 07/26/2008

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 752

WWUS20 KWNS 260703
SEL2
SPC WW 260703
ARZ000-ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-TNZ000-260700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
203 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 752 ISSUED AT 640 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ARKANSAS
ILLINOIS
KENTUCKY
MISSOURI
TENNESSEE

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KTWC [260602]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...updated

NWUS55 KTWC 260602
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
1102 PM MST FRI JUL 25 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM LIGHTNING TUCSON 32.24N 110.94W
07/25/2008 PIMA AZ NEWSPAPER

*** 1 FATAL *** 8 YEAR OLD CHILD STRUCK BY LIGHTNING
WHILE STANDING NEXT TO A LIGHT POLE AT REID PARK WHILE
WATCHING A BASEBALL GAME.

&&

$$

BTURNER

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 260541
SWODY2
SPC AC 260540

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SUN ACROSS PARTS OF THE MID
MISSOURI/MID MS VALLEYS INTO THE LWR OH VALLEY....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SUN ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN
PLAINS....

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SUN ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN
MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST STATES INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND....

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS UPPER HIGH CENTER MAY
BEGIN TO WEAKEN DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WHILE A CLOSED LOW IN
THE SOUTHERN BRANCH OF SPLIT POLAR WESTERLIES BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST
OF JAMES BAY. BUT...WITH ANOTHER CLOSED LOW LINGERING NEAR THE GULF
OF ALASKA SUNDAY...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE GENERAL LARGE-SCALE UPPER
PATTERN ACROSS THE U.S. IS PROGGED.

FLOW WILL REMAIN BROADLY CYCLONIC ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES...BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ANTICYCLONIC
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...THEN CYCLONIC ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY
THROUGH THE NORTHEAST. WITHIN THIS REGIME...A SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE IS PROGGED TO GRADUALLY PROGRESS ACROSS AND EAST OF THE
CANADIAN/NORTHERN U.S. ROCKIES...WHILE ANOTHER DIGS SOUTHEAST OF THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION. PERHAPS ATTENDANT TO...OR JUST TRAILING
TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE LATTER FEATURE...MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT
IN SUGGESTING THAT ANOTHER FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVELY
GENERATED/ENHANCED IMPULSE WILL DIG SOUTHEAST OF THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY THROUGH PARTS OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY 12Z MONDAY.

...MID MISSOURI VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY...
WHILE THE IMPULSE NEAR THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY AT THE OUTSET OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD IS FORECAST TO DIG SOUTHEAST OF THE STRONGER
WESTERLIES DURING THE DAY...AN ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL SPEED MAXIMUM IS
EXPECTED TO ENHANCE SHEAR PROFILES AS IT NOSES TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT. COUPLED WITH MOISTENING AND
DESTABILIZATION...IN A FAVORABLE LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM
ADVECTION REGIME ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER
EMANATING FROM THE GREAT BASIN...THIS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS.

A MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM...OR REMNANTS OF ONE...STILL APPEARS
LIKELY TO RE-INTENSIFY OR REDEVELOP DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS ACROSS
PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL AS IT SPREADS
SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. AND...ITS POSSIBLE THAT
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IN ITS WAKE COULD CONTRIBUTE TO ADDITIONAL
STRONG/SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...BEFORE WEAKENING/DIMINISHING
WITH BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION OVERNIGHT.

...NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM DIGGING SOUTHEAST OF THE MIDDLE MISSOURI
VALLEY...AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM SHIFTING ACROSS THE ROCKIES
...MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000-3000 J/KG.
IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER...ASSOCIATED WITH LIGHT
EASTERLY LOW-LEVEL WINDS BENEATH 30-40+ KT WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW...
THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT OFF THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA. AND...MODELS ARE
SUGGESTIVE THAT LARGE-SCALE FORCING WILL BECOME SUFFICIENT TO AID
CONSOLIDATION OF ACTIVITY INTO AN ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTER CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING STRONG DAMAGING WINDS INTO THE WESTERN DAKOTAS... BEFORE
DIMINISHING SUNDAY NIGHT.

...NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST STATES INTO NEW ENGLAND...
DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY MODEST NEAR THE
LEE SURFACE TROUGH. BUT...MODELS INDICATE THAT THE BOUNDARY LAYER
COULD BECOME RATHER UNSTABLE WITH STRONG HEATING SUNDAY. CAPE MAY
APPROACH OR EXCEED 2000 J/KG TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...PERHAPS AS FAR NORTH AS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
COUPLED WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...THE ENVIRONMENT SHOULD BE
FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL. STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME ENHANCED DURING THE PEAK AFTERNOON
HEATING HOURS BY MID/UPPER FORCING AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
DIGGING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION.

..KERR.. 07/26/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 260539
SWODY1
SPC AC 260535

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 AM CDT SAT JUL 26 2008

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN AND
CNTRL PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...

...SYNOPSIS...

SYNOPTIC UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY A TROUGH OVER THE
GREAT LAKES...A RIDGE OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS AND A TROUGH OVER THE
PACIFIC NW. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE NRN ROCKIES
WILL CREST UPPER RIDGE OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY BEFORE
TURNING ESEWD TOWARD INTO THE DAKOTAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. A COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE EWD THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES...APPROACHING NY BY
SATURDAY EVENING. A LEE TROUGH WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE NRN
HIGH PLAINS WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING ESEWD THROUGH SD AND THE
UPPER MS VALLEY.

...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS AREA...

RESERVOIR OF RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
UPPER 60S WILL ADVECT NWD THROUGH NEB AND SD AS SLY FLOW BECOMES
BETTER ESTABLISHED EAST OF DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH. PLUME OF VERY WARM
ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR WITH 14-16C AT 700 MB WILL ADVECT EWD INTO
THE HIGH PLAINS ABOVE MOIST AXIS. THESE PROCESSES IN CONJUNCTION
WITH DIABATIC HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
INSTABILITY DURING THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE WARM BML MAY ALSO
SERVE TO CAP PART OF WARM SECTOR TO SURFACE BASED STORMS MUCH OF THE
DAY.

ELEVATED NON SEVERE CONVECTION MAY STILL BE ONGOING EARLY SATURDAY
IN ASSOCIATION WITH WEAK LEAD IMPULSE MOVING THROUGH THE CNTRL
PLAINS. OTHER STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF MT AND WY. STORMS WILL SPREAD EWD THROUGH THE
HIGH PLAINS WHERE ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD MAINTAIN BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY. PRONOUNCED
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AND 30-40 KT WLY FLOW AT 6 KM WILL RESULT IN BULK
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THE MAIN THREATS.

STORM DEVELOPMENT FARTHER EAST ACROSS NEB AND SD WILL BE MORE
COMPLICATED BY STRONGER CAP WHICH INCREASES UNCERTAINTY REGARDING
STORM COVERAGE DURING THE DAY. A FEW STORMS MAY DEVELOP BY LATE
AFTERNOON IN VICINITY OF BAROCLINIC ZONE AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH CRESTS
UPPER RIDGE AND INHIBITION WEAKENS. WHERE STORMS FORM...SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY GIVEN STRONG 50
KT BULK SHEAR AND STRONG INSTABILITY. SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN DURING THE EVENING...ENHANCING LIFT IN VICINITY OF WARM
FRONT OVER SD. THIS WILL PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS TO
DEVELOP WITH A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. STORMS WILL
LIKELY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AND SHIFT ESEWD ALONG THE INSTABILITY
GRADIENT INTO IA OVERNIGHT.

A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY ALSO EXIST FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES IF
STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP FAR ENOUGH EAST INTO MOIST WARM SECTOR
ACROSS SD AND NRN NEB...MAINLY DURING THE EARLY EVENING AS THE LOW
LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS AND BEFORE THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES AND
STORMS EVOLVE INTO AN MCS.

...OH VALLEY THROUGH NY...

MOIST AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD THROUGH THE OH VALLEY AND INTO NY AHEAD OF
FRONT. THIS WILL RESULT IN POTENTIAL FOR DESTABILIZATION WHERE
DIABATIC HEATING OCCURS. HOWEVER...WEAK LAPSE RATES SHOULD LIMIT
MLCAPE TO BELOW 1500 J/KG. STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AHEAD OF FRONT
WITHIN ZONE OF WEAK CAP AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW WITH 20-30 KT BULK SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
MULTICELLS. THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

..DIAL/HURLBUT.. 07/26/2008

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KSGF [260443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KSGF 260443
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1143 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0622 PM TSTM WND GST VERSAILLES 38.43N 92.84W
07/25/2008 E50.00 MPH MORGAN MO PUBLIC

0622 PM HAIL VERSAILLES 38.43N 92.84W
07/25/2008 E0.25 INCH MORGAN MO PUBLIC

0631 PM HAIL VERSAILLES 38.43N 92.84W
07/25/2008 E0.88 INCH MORGAN MO PUBLIC

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW CABOOL 37.14N 92.13W
07/25/2008 TEXAS MO PUBLIC

SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND LIMBS DOWN IN TOWN. SOME
LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES REPORTED.

0705 PM TSTM WND DMG ELDON 38.35N 92.58W
07/25/2008 MILLER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN.

0710 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S ELDON 38.32N 92.58W
07/25/2008 E60.00 MPH MILLER MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KLSX [260437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLSX 260437
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1137 PM CDT FRI JUL 25 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0655 PM HAIL 5 E CALIFORNIA 38.63N 92.47W
07/25/2008 E1.00 INCH MONITEAU MO PUBLIC

ON US HWY 50

0705 PM WALL CLOUD 2 S CALIFORNIA 38.60N 92.57W
07/25/2008 MONITEAU MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTED ORGANIZED ROTATION TO THE MONITEAU
COUNTY S. O.

0900 PM HAIL 5 N UNION 38.52N 91.01W
07/25/2008 E0.25 INCH FRANKLIN MO AMATEUR RADIO

A FEW PEA SIZE HAIL STONES ON HIGHWAY 47 BETWEEN
WASHINGTON AND UNION.

0909 PM TSTM WND GST ST. CLAIR 38.35N 90.98W
07/25/2008 E40 MPH FRANKLIN MO TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL REPORTS FROM ST. CLAIR AND OTHER AREAS IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY...HEAVY RAIN...WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

0953 PM HAIL 3 SW FESTUS 38.19N 90.44W
07/25/2008 E0.50 INCH JEFFERSON MO PUBLIC

PEA TO ONE HALF INCH HAIL IN REPORTED BY THE PUBLIC.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800720 LSX0800721 LSX0800723 LSX0800722 LSX0800725

$$

JPK

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