Friday, September 14, 2012

KLWX [150337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KLWX 150337
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1137 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FUNNEL CLOUD CAPE ST. CLAIRE 39.04N 76.45W
09/08/2012 ANNE ARUNDEL MD AMATEUR RADIO

REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER LWX1201208

$$

SBK

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KLWX [150337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 150337
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1137 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0432 PM WATER SPOUT 2 E CAPE ST. CLAIRE 39.04N 76.41W
09/08/2012 ANZ531 MD PUBLIC

NORTHEASTWARD MOVING WATER SPOUT OBSERVED FROM
FORMATION JUST OFFSHORE FROM BAY FRONT TERRACE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1201231

$$

SBK

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KEWX [150255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 150255
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
955 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0611 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 ENE JONESTOWN 30.50N 97.91W
09/13/2012 TRAVIS TX UTILITY COMPANY

FLASH FLOODING DOWN BIG SANDY CREEK WASHED SEVERAL
DOCKS...THAT WERE ON DRY LAND NEAR DROUGHT STRIKEN LAKE
TRAVIS...DOWN STREAM. UPSTREAM RAINFALL OF 7.75 INCHES
IN APPROX 3 HOURS CAUSED A 10 FOOT RISE ON CREEK.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200481

$$

BF

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KVEF [150153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KVEF 150153
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
652 PM PDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HEAVY RAIN LAS VEGAS 36.17N 115.15W
09/11/2012 E1.00 INCH CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

THE CLARK COUNTY REGIONAL JUSTICE CENTER WAS CLOSED DUE
TO WATER ENTERING FROM THE ROOF AND FLOODING THE
BUILDING. TWO MACHINES USED TO SCAN FOR WEAPONS WERE
DAMAGED BY FLOODWATERS AS WELL AS SEVERAL SECURITY
CAMERAS.


&&
CORRECTED EVENT TYPE BASED ON UPDATED MEDIA REPORTS.
$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 150033
SWODY1
SPC AC 150031

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 150100Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN NY...
A BROKEN LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL NY SHOULD
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN...AS THE CELL RESPONSIBLE FOR MOST RECENT
DAMAGING WIND REPORTS HAS PROGRESSED INTO QUEBEC. DOWNSTREAM AIR
MASS WAS MEAGERLY BUOYANT AND WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALREADY 8-12
DEG F OFF AFTERNOON HIGHS...MUCH OF THIS LINE IN THE CONUS SHOULD
DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..GRAMS.. 09/15/2012

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KBGM [150029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBGM 150029
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
828 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM TSTM WND DMG CICERO 43.18N 76.12W
09/14/2012 ONONDAGA NY TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER LINES DOWN. SPOTTER ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 50
MPH.

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG VIENNA 43.23N 75.72W
09/14/2012 ONEIDA NY 911 CENTER

REPORT OF TREE DOWN. ALSO REPORTS OF SCATTERED TREES
DOWN ACROSS CENTRAL PARTS OF THE COUNTY BETWEEN 7 AND 8
PM. WINDS ESTIMATED AT 40 TO 50 MPH.


&&

$$

JML

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KTBW [150005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 150005
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
805 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 ESE LARGO 27.89N 82.70W
09/14/2012 PINELLAS FL PUBLIC

STATE WATCH OFFICE RELAYED REPORT FROM PUBLIC OF FUNNEL
CLOUD OVER OLD TAMPA BAY.


&&

$$

MML

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KBTV [142359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBTV 142359
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
759 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0612 PM TSTM WND DMG RUSSELL 44.43N 75.15W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 17

0633 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNE PYRITES 44.54N 75.17W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 21

0634 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST PIERREPONT 44.49N 75.05W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES DOWN ON SELLECK ROAD

0720 PM HAIL WEST BANGOR 44.80N 74.44W
09/14/2012 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME-SIZED HAIL

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW WHIPPLEVILLE 44.82N 74.27W
09/14/2012 FRANKLIN NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN ON COUNTY ROUTE 25 FROM MALONE TO
WHIPPLEVILLE

0732 PM TSTM WND DMG MALONE 44.85N 74.29W
09/14/2012 FRANKLIN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN TOWN

0732 PM HAIL MALONE 44.85N 74.29W
09/14/2012 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN NY PUBLIC

DIME-SIZED HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200430 BTV1200431 BTV1200432 BTV1200433 BTV1200436
BTV1200434 BTV1200435

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142359
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
759 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NNW WHIPPLEVILLE 44.82N 74.27W
09/14/2012 FRANKLIN NY TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN ON COUNTY ROUTE 25 FROM MALONE TO
WHIPPLEVILLE


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200436

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142357
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
757 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM HAIL MALONE 44.85N 74.29W
09/14/2012 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN NY PUBLIC

DIME-SIZED HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200435

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142357
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
756 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM TSTM WND DMG MALONE 44.85N 74.29W
09/14/2012 FRANKLIN NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN TOWN


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200434

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBUF [142346]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 142346
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
746 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0553 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 SE BUTLER CENTER 43.16N 76.76W
09/14/2012 WAYNE NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES DOWN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1200328

$$

APFFEL

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KBTV [142334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142334
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
734 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL WEST BANGOR 44.80N 74.44W
09/14/2012 E0.75 INCH FRANKLIN NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME-SIZED HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200433

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142321
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
721 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0634 PM TSTM WND DMG WEST PIERREPONT 44.49N 75.05W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES DOWN ON SELLECK ROAD


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200432

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142320
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
720 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0633 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NNE PYRITES 44.54N 75.17W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 21


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200431

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBTV [142317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 142317
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
717 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0612 PM TSTM WND DMG RUSSELL 44.43N 75.15W
09/14/2012 ST. LAWRENCE NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

TREES AND WIRES DOWN ON COUNTY ROAD 17


&&

EVENT NUMBER BTV1200430

$$

MUCCILLI

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KBUF [142306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 142306
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
705 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0554 PM MARINE TSTM WIND OSWEGO 43.46N 76.51W
09/14/2012 M51 MPH OSWEGO NY COAST GUARD


&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1200327

$$

APFFEL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1948

ACUS11 KWNS 142133
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142133
NYZ000-142230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1948
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0433 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NY ADIRONDACKS AND FINGER LAKES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 142133Z - 142230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A FEW STRONG STORMS...PERHAPS CAPABLE OF AN ISOLD WIND
DAMAGE RISK WILL PROBABLY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING NEAR SUNSET. IF STORMS INCREASE IN INTENSITY SWD TO THE
PA/NY BORDER...THEN WATCH PROBABILITIES WILL INCREASE.

DISCUSSION...21Z SURFACE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A SURFACE LOW INVOF NERN
LAKE ONTARIO WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING EWD AND DRAPED FROM THE ST.
LAWRENCE VALLEY SSWWD INTO WRN NY. A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE LAKE HURON VICINITY THIS
EVENING...WITH AN ATTENDANT INCREASE IN FORCING FOR ASCENT AND A
STRENGTHENING WIND PROFILE.

RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A MIX OF LOW TOPPED TSTMS IN THE FORM OF CELLS
AND BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS...AND THIS CONVECTION WILL AFFECT THE
FINGER LAKES REGION NWD NEAR THE ONTARIO/NY BORDER OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HRS. RADAR TRENDS OVER THE PAST HOUR HAVE SHOWN A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN INTENSITY...WITH A SUPERCELL EXHIBITING PERSISTENT ROTATION
TRAVERSING THE NRN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO. THIS STORM IS LOCATED
NEAR THE SURFACE LOW AND WILL PROBABLY AFFECT PORTIONS OF ST.
LAWRENCE COUNTY NY PRIOR TO 2230Z. ALTHOUGH ONLY MODEST
MOISTURE...CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 50S DEWPOINTS...AND INSTABILITY
ARE PRESENT...THE STRENGTH OF FORCING WILL LIKELY AID IN SUSTAINING
THE STORMS FOR AT LEAST SEVERAL MORE HOURS. THE STRONGEST STORMS
MAY BE CAPABLE OF A WIND DAMAGE RISK.

..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 09/14/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

LAT...LON 42087828 42987742 44587640 45297512 45167334 44697355
43257475 42377631 42027763 42087828

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KPBZ [141954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KPBZ 141954
LSRPBZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
354 PM EDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0320 PM HAIL OIL CITY 41.43N 79.70W
09/14/2012 E0.88 INCH VENANGO PA PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER PBZ1200992

$$

XX

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KCRP [141935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 141935
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
234 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 10 SW PORT LAVACA 28.51N 96.74W
09/14/2012 CALHOUN TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED TO BE NEAR HIGHWAY 185 AND 35.


&&

$$

DVOGELSANG

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141928
SWODY1
SPC AC 141926

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 142000Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NY AND PA...
A FEW CELLS WERE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM NWRN PA INTO W
CNTRL NY WHERE WEAK INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED. GIVEN THE GRADUAL
MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT...AND INCREASING WINDS WITH
HEIGHT...CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN FAVOR FOR CELLULAR CONVECTION.
THIS STORM MODE WOULD SUGGEST A MINIMAL WIND THREAT...BUT 30 KT FLOW
AROUND 700 MB SUGGESTS GUSTY WINDS COULD OCCUR. WITH SUCH WEAK
INSTABILITY...ONLY SMALL HAIL IS EXPECTED. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR A
SEVERE WIND GUST WILL BE OVER NRN NY LATER TODAY...WHERE THE
STRONGEST FORCING WITH THE TROUGH WILL OCCUR. STORMS COULD BECOME A
BIT MORE LINEAR AT THAT TIME.

..JEWELL.. 09/14/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1118 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012/

...NY INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND...
A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS
CROSSING THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...AND IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD
AND BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT MOVES OVER THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL
MOVE EWD REACHING THE NRN AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST REGION BY LATE
TONIGHT. MINIMAL CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PROMOTE DIABATIC
HEATING WITHIN A SEASONABLY MOIST LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT /SURFACE DEW
POINTS GENERALLY UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60/...HOWEVER WEAK
ENVIRONMENTAL LAPSE RATES SEEN IN 12Z RAOBS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AOB 500 J/KG. LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
GENERATING A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PARTS OF UPSTATE NY INTO NWRN VT...BUT WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT.

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KEWX [141721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KEWX 141721
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1221 PM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM TSTM WND DMG DILLEY 28.67N 99.17W
09/13/2012 FRIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF BLOWN OFF A TRAILER HOME. SOME MINOR FLOODING.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT...SOURCE

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200480

$$

PM

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KVEF [141711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 141711
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1010 AM PDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0422 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 ESE LAS VEGAS 36.14N 115.05W
09/11/2012 CLARK NV BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** A LANDSCAPER WORKING AT THE DESERT ROSE
GOLF COURSE IN EAST LAS VEGAS WAS SWEPT AWAY BY FLOOD
WATERS. HIS BODY WAS DISCOVERED ON THE AFTERNOON OF
SEPTEMBER 13 ABOUT TWO AND HALF MILES FROM WHERE HE WAS
LAST SEEN.


&&

$$

ASG

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KEWX [141658]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 141658
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1158 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0337 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E GRANITE SHOALS 30.59N 98.36W
09/13/2012 M1.05 INCH BURNET TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL OVER PAST HOUR

0337 PM HEAVY RAIN HORSESHOE BAY 30.54N 98.35W
09/13/2012 M4.50 INCH LLANO TX BROADCAST MEDIA

RAINFALL AMOUNT OVER APPROXIMATELY 1.5 HOURS

0445 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNW LIBERTY HILL 30.67N 97.92W
09/13/2012 M2.75 INCH WILLIAMSON TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL IN PAST 80 MINUTES

0453 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N JOHNSON CITY 30.31N 98.41W
09/13/2012 M5.00 INCH BLANCO TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL IN THE PAST HOUR AND 10 MINUTES

0559 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 SW LEANDER 30.51N 97.92W
09/13/2012 M7.15 INCH TRAVIS TX MESONET

RAINFALL OVER PAST 3 HOURS

0630 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W UTOPIA 29.62N 99.57W
09/13/2012 M1.80 INCH UVALDE TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST HOUR

0645 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 N JOHNSON CITY 30.31N 98.41W
09/13/2012 M5.54 INCH BLANCO TX COCORAHS

3 HOUR TOTAL

0659 PM FLASH FLOOD GEORGETOWN 30.65N 97.69W
09/13/2012 WILLIAMSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL STREETS IN GEORGETOWN CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD LEANDER 30.56N 97.86W
09/13/2012 WILLIAMSON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

CR 279 NORTH OF CR 281 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0740 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 NNW BOERNE 29.92N 98.79W
09/13/2012 M3.09 INCH KENDALL TX COCORAHS

TOTAL RAINFALL SO FAR TODAY

0930 PM TORNADO DILLEY 28.67N 99.17W
09/13/2012 FRIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF BLOWN OFF A TRAILER HOME. SOME MINOR FLOODING.

1013 PM HEAVY RAIN 9 NNW BOERNE 29.92N 98.80W
09/13/2012 M4.73 INCH KENDALL TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL OVER PAST 5 HOURS

1023 PM FLASH FLOOD SAN ANTONIO 29.46N 98.51W
09/13/2012 BEXAR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

HIGH WATER RESCUE AT 410 AND 151

1035 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW HELOTES 29.60N 98.71W
09/13/2012 M1.75 INCH BEXAR TX COCORAHS

RAINFALL OVER PAST 2.5 HOURS

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD SAN ANTONIO 29.46N 98.51W
09/13/2012 BEXAR TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FLASH FLOODING CLOSED FOUR STREETS IN SAN ANTONIO.
ORSINGER LN AT SLEEPY HOLLOW. OVERBROOK DR AT DANVILLE.
SLEEPY HOLLOW AT SUNBURST. VANCE JACKSON AT ORSINGER LN.

1230 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW KENDALIA 29.98N 98.54W
09/14/2012 KENDALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 473 AND HEIN ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200465 EWX1200466 EWX1200468 EWX1200467 EWX1200469
EWX1200470 EWX1200471 EWX1200472 EWX1200473 EWX1200474 EWX1200480
EWX1200475 EWX1200476 EWX1200477 EWX1200478 EWX1200479

$$

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KEWX [141656]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 141656
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1156 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM TORNADO DILLEY 28.67N 99.17W
09/13/2012 FRIO TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROOF BLOWN OFF A TRAILER HOME. SOME MINOR FLOODING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200480

$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 141628
SWODY2
SPC AC 141627

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
GENERALLY WEAK ZONAL FLOW WILL EXIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE CONUS WITH
THE PRIMARY STORM TRACK ACROSS SRN CANADA. ONE TROUGH WILL EXIT THE
NERN STATES WITH THE BASE OF ANOTHER AFFECTING THE FAR NRN PLAINS BY
SUN MORNING. NEITHER OF THESE TROUGHS WILL YIELD ANY SEVERE WEATHER
DUE TO A LACK OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY.

TO THE S...SOME MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL EXIST FROM ERN OK/TX INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND EWD ALONG THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST INTO FL.
HOWEVER...WINDS ALOFT WILL REMAIN WEAK WITH POOR LAPSE RATES
PROFILES...YIELDING ONLY NON-SEVERE STORMS.

..JEWELL.. 09/14/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141620
SWODY1
SPC AC 141618

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1118 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NY INTO NRN NEW ENGLAND...
A STRONG SHORT WAVE TROUGH INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS
CROSSING THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES...AND IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS EWD
AND BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY TILTED AS IT MOVES OVER THE ST
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT. ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES WILL
MOVE EWD REACHING THE NRN AND MIDDLE ATLANTIC COAST REGION BY LATE
TONIGHT. MINIMAL CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL PROMOTE DIABATIC
HEATING WITHIN A SEASONABLY MOIST LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT /SURFACE DEW
POINTS GENERALLY UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60/...HOWEVER WEAK
ENVIRONMENTAL LAPSE RATES SEEN IN 12Z RAOBS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AOB 500 J/KG. LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP ALONG/AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
GENERATING A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER
PARTS OF UPSTATE NY INTO NWRN VT...BUT WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT
OVERALL SEVERE THREAT.

..WEISS/ROGERS.. 09/14/2012

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KEWX [141619]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 141619
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1119 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 WNW KENDALIA 29.98N 98.54W
09/14/2012 KENDALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 473 AND HEIN ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200479

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141215
SWODY1
SPC AC 141213

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0713 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 141300Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
THIS MORNING WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS EWD TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES BY
AFTERNOON AND INTO NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY MORNING. AS DEVELOPING
SFC LOW NEAR NRN NY/SRN QUEBEC TRACKS SLOWLY NEWD...EWD ADVANCING
COLD FRONT FROM WRN NY/PA /EXTENDING SWWD INTO ERN OK/ WILL FOCUS
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FROM THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY
TOWARD THE LOWER LAKES/NEW ENGLAND. A SEPARATE AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED ACROSS ERN OK SWD TO THE GULF COAST.

...NY ADIRONDACKS/NRN VT...
MODEST SFC HEATING THROUGH THIN/BROKEN CLOUD COVER WILL RESULT IN
WEAK INSTABILITY/DESTABILIZATION BY AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD AS FORCING FOR
ASCENT INCREASES IN REGION OF STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR. POOR LAPSE
RATES AND SLIGHTLY WARMING TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 700-500 MB SHOULD
LIMIT SMALL HAIL POTENTIAL BUT A STRONG WIND REPORT OR TWO IS
POSSIBLE FROM BROKEN...LOW-TOPPED LINE SEGMENTS.

..LEITMAN/HART.. 09/14/2012

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 140846
SWOD48
SPC AC 140845

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0345 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

VALID 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
BY END OF DAY-4/17TH-18TH...EXPECT HEIGHT FALLS OVER CENTRAL
CONUS...UPPER GREAT LAKES AND MS VALLEY...RESULTING FROM
CONTINUATION OF AMPLIFIED SHORTWAVE PROCESSES DESCRIBED IN DAY 2-3
OUTLOOKS. THAT...ALONG WITH STG NERN-PAC RIDGING...WILL LEAD TO
HIGH-AMPLITUDE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER UPPER GREAT LAKES AND MS VALLEY
THROUGH REMAINDER DAY 4-8 PERIOD. MEANWHILE...SRN-STREAM TROUGHING
NOW OVER NRN MEX AND W TX SHOULD EJECT EWD ACROSS GULF COAST STATES
AND MID-ATLC REGION DAYS 4-5/17TH-19TH. THIS MAY BE PRECEDED BY
SOME SVR POTENTIAL OVER SERN CONUS ALONG/AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT.
GIVEN UNCERTAINTIES/INCONSISTENCIES ON TIMING AND AMPLITUDE OF
SHORTWAVES IN BOTH NRN AND SRN STREAMS...AND DISCREPANCIES IN PROGS
OF SFC FRONT AND OTHER RELATED LOW-LEVEL MASS FIELDS...THREAT
APPEARS TOO CONDITIONAL TO JUSTIFY AOA-30% LINE ATTM.

..EDWARDS.. 09/14/2012

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KEWX [140523]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 140523
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1223 AM CDT FRI SEP 14 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 PM FLASH FLOOD SAN ANTONIO 29.46N 98.51W
09/13/2012 BEXAR TX DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

FLASH FLOODING CLOSED FOUR STREETS IN SAN ANTONIO.
ORSINGER LN AT SLEEPY HOLLOW. OVERBROOK DR AT DANVILLE.
SLEEPY HOLLOW AT SUNBURST. VANCE JACKSON AT ORSINGER LN.


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200478

$$

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 140454
SWODY2
SPC AC 140453

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 PM CDT THU SEP 13 2012

VALID 151200Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY ANTICYCLONE
OVER GREAT BASIN REGION...PROGRESSIVE NRN-STREAM SHORTWAVES...AND
PERSISTENT/WEAK TROUGHING FROM WRN MEX NEWD ACROSS NM AND SRN KS.
LATTER FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO UNDERGO NET SEWD DRIFT...WHILE
EMBEDDED VORTICITY MAXIMUM EVOLVES INTO SMALL/WEAK/CLOSED/500-MB
CYCLONE. GIVEN MESOSCALE NATURE OF VORTICITY FEATURES ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS PERTURBATION...AND AMBIENT WEAKNESS OF BOTH FLOW AND
THERMAL FEATURES ALOFT...IT IS NOT SURPRISING THAT MODELS VARY
CONSIDERABLY ON TIMING AND TRACK OF THAT LOW...PROGGED AT 16/12Z
OVER TRANS-PECOS REGION BY NAM AND NEAR CDS BY SPECTRAL. RANGE OF
SREF SOLUTIONS IS EVEN GREATER. BETTER AGREEMENT EXISTS WITH
WELL-DEFINED/NRN-STREAM PERTURBATION WITH EMBEDDED CYCLONE NOW
CROSSING NWRN ONT OVER BOUNDARY WATERS/THUNDER BAY REGION. AS THAT
FEATURE SHIFTS EWD...ATTACHED MID-UPPER TROUGH SHOULD REACH ERN
NY/WRN NEW ENGLAND AROUND 15/12Z...THEN MOVE EWD OUT OF MAINE BEFORE
END OF PERIOD. MEANWHILE...SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FCST TO DEVELOP OVER
WRN CANADA...MOVING SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS MB/SK AND PERHAPS REACHING
ND/CANADA LINE BY END OF PERIOD.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH CANADIAN PERTURBATION SHOULD
CROSS MT...MOST OF ND...AND PORTIONS SD/NWRN MN THIS PERIOD.
FRONTAL-WAVE LOW SHOULD FORM BY 16/12Z OVER SD. OLDER COLD FRONT --
NOW DRAWN FROM LOWER GREAT LAKES SWWD ACROSS INDIANA...WRN/NRN
AR...AND S-CENTRAL TX -- SHOULD MOVE EWD OFFSHORE NEW ENGLAND EARLY
IN PERIOD...WHILE BECOMING QUASISTATIONARY AND DIFFUSE FROM PORTIONS
MS/AL SWWD ACROSS S TX. MORE SPECIFIC LOCATION OF THIS BOUNDARY IS
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT...GIVEN WEAKNESS OF LOW-LEVEL
WINDS...LIKELIHOOD OF MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE ADJUSTMENTS TO
BAROCLINICITY BETWEEN NOW AND THEN...AND AFOREMENTIONED DIFFERENCES
IN PROGS OF PROXIMAL UPPER FEATURES.

...ERN OK/WRN AR/NE TX...
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THIS REGION
ANYTIME DURING PERIOD. SOME POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SFC-BASED
CONVECTION IN AREAS THAT MAY BE DIABATICALLY HEATED DURING DAY WITH
SUBSTANTIAL WEAKENING OF MLCINH. REGIME OF BROAD/WEAK MOIST
ADVECTION AND TRANSPORT SHOULD BE IN PLACE AMIDST LOW-LEVEL SELY/SLY
FLOW...RESULTING IN 60S F SFC DEW POINTS. FCST SOUNDINGS
ACCOMPANYING MORE NERN/PROGRESSIVE SCENARIO FOR MID-UPPER
PERTURBATION OFFER SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER BULK SHEAR AND LOW-LEVEL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR FOR SOME ORGANIZED MULTICELL/MRGL SUPERCELL
CONCERN OVER THIS REGION. WEAK LAPSE RATES AND LACK OF SUBSTANTIAL
LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL BE LIMITING FACTORS. FURTHER UNCERTAINTIES
PRECLUDING UNCONDITIONAL SVR PROBABILITIES ATTM INVOLVE FEATURE
ALOFT...AND BY EXTENSION CHARACTER/POSITIONING OF ANY
SUBTLE/LOW-LEVEL TSTM FOCI.

..EDWARDS.. 09/14/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 140453
SWODY1
SPC AC 140451

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CDT THU SEP 13 2012

VALID 141200Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL RAPIDLY MOVE FROM THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES TO THE MOUTH OF THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.
THIS WILL OCCUR AS AN ELONGATED UPPER TROUGH RESIDES OVER THE LOWER
MO RIVER VALLEY SWWD TO THE DESERT SW. IN THE LOW LEVELS...A FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES INTO NRN NY BY EVENING AS THE
TRAILING PORTION OF THE FRONT BECOMES MORE DIFFUSE WITH TIME FROM
THE OZARKS INTO ERN TX. ISOLD TO WIDELY SCTD STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FROM WV-PA NNEWD...AND IN A SEPARATE AREA FROM ERN OK/WRN AR
SWD TO THE GULF COAST.

...NY ADIRONDACKS/NRN VT...
FILTERED SUNSHINE WITHIN A NARROW MOISTURE PLUME WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
MODEST DESTABILIZATION BY PEAK HEATING /250-750 J/KG SBCAPE/
ACCORDING TO VARIOUS MODEL FORECAST SOUNDINGS. AS LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASES...DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS/STORMS WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP IN A VEERING/STRENGTHENING WIND PROFILE. IN
TURN...THIS MAY SUPPORT A STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUST OR TWO
AS THE LOWER TOPPED CONVECTION EVOLVES INTO BROKEN LINE SEGMENTS BY
LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING IN TANDEM WITH THE
LOSS OF HEATING.

..SMITH/CORFIDI.. 09/14/2012

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