KMFR [270354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 270354
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
854 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 ESE COOS BAY 43.33N 124.12W
03/26/2008 M1.96 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO REPORTS INTENSE GRAUPEL SHOWER AT 8PM...RAIN IS 24HR
TOTAL

&&

$$

JOHNSON

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KREV [270334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KREV 270334
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
834 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARSON CITY 39.17N 119.76W
03/26/2008 CARSON CITY NV BROADCAST MEDIA

TWO COTTONWOOD TREES BLOWN ONTO A HOUSE AND DAMAGED THE
ROOF. REPORTED BY THE MEDIA. EXACT TIME OF THE EVENT
UNKNOWN.

0735 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
03/26/2008 M56.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

0802 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E GARDNERVILLE 38.94N 119.65W
03/26/2008 M55.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BRONG

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KFSD [270312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 270312
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1012 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM SNOW DE SMET 44.39N 97.55W
03/26/2008 M1.0 INCH KINGSBURY SD CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 PM SNOW BERESFORD 43.08N 96.78W
03/26/2008 E0.5 INCH UNION SD NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

JSHEEHAN

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KSGF [270232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 270232
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
932 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM HAIL 5 N HARTVILLE 37.32N 92.51W
03/26/2008 M1.00 INCH WRIGHT MO PUBLIC

HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

KARDELL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270044
SWODY1
SPC AC 270041

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..MO/IL...

00Z SOUNDING FROM SGF SUGGESTS AIRMASS IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE
ACROSS MO THIS EVENING AS MUCAPE IS ROUGHLY 500 J/KG. VEERED LLJ
AND DEEP SWLY TRAJECTORIES SUGGEST THIS INSTABILITY IS THE SOURCE
REGION FOR THE MCS THAT IS SPREADING/DECAYING EWD ACROSS IL/IND.
UPSTREAM...00Z SOUNDING FROM OUN IS CONSIDERABLY MORE UNSTABLE AND
IS ONLY WEAKLY INHIBITED AT 700MB. IT APPEARS STEEPER LAPSE RATE
PLUME/INSTABILITY WILL SPREAD BACK INTO MO LATER TONIGHT BUT THERE
IS REASON TO BELIEVE WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALONG/NORTH OF WARM FRONT
WILL STRUGGLE TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION WHERE INSTABILITY
WOULD OTHERWISE SUPPORT MORE ROBUST POTENTIALLY SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAJORITY OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MAY ACTUALLY
PERSIST ACROSS ERN MO/SRN IL/SRN IND WHERE ELEVATED CAPE SHOULD BE
INADEQUATE TO JUSTIFY AN ORGANIZED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
FOR THIS REASON WILL MAINTAIN LOW PROBABILITIES FOR LARGE HAIL
ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY WITH THE GREATEST RISK OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO BE WITHIN THE GENERATION ZONE ACROSS MO
AGAIN LATER TONIGHT.

.DARROW.. 03/27/2008

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KMFR [270033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 270033
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
532 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM SNOW 2 NNW KLAMATH FALLS 42.25N 121.78W
03/26/2008 U0.0 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

VISIBILITY DROPPED TO 1/4 MILE IN SNOW...SNOW IS
ACCUMULATING ON NON-PAVED SURFACES BUT ROADS ARE WET.

0445 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW OBRIEN 42.06N 123.71W
03/26/2008 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

TOTAL LIQUID PRECIPITATION SINCE MIDNIGHT...SNOW
PREVIOUSLY MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.
LOCATION IS ABOUT 1550 FEET IN ELEVATION.

&&

$$

WOODHEAD

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KREV [270005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 270005
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
505 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARSON CITY 39.17N 119.76W
03/26/2008 CARSON CITY NV NEWSPAPER

TWO COTTONWOOD TREES BLOWN ONTO A HOUSE AND DAMAGED THE
ROOF. REPORTED BY THE MEDIA. EXACT TIME OF THE EVENT
UNKNOWN.

&&

$$

BRONG

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KBOI [262350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 262350
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
550 PM MDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW DEADWOOD RES 44.30N 115.67W
03/26/2008 M3.3 INCH VALLEY ID CO-OP OBSERVER

3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 200 AM TO 800 AM.

0800 AM SNOW YELLOW PINE 44.90N 115.48W
03/26/2008 M3.0 INCH VALLEY ID CO-OP OBSERVER

3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 200 AM TO 800 AM.

1000 AM SNOW 2 N PINE 43.50N 115.32W
03/26/2008 M3.0 INCH ELMORE ID TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 300 AM TO 1000 AM.

1100 AM HEAVY SNOW WNW FAIRFIELD 43.35N 114.80W
03/26/2008 M7.0 INCH CAMAS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

7 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 300 AM TO 1100 AM.

1100 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 ENE BLAINE 43.37N 114.55W
03/26/2008 M6.0 INCH CAMAS ID TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF NEW SNOW FROM 300 AM TO 1100 AM.

0130 PM SNOW 11 SSE HORSESHOE BEND 43.77N 116.10W
03/26/2008 E3.0 INCH BOISE ID MESONET

ESTIMATED 3 INCHES OF NEW SNOW AT BOGUS BASIN SKI RESORT
FROM 300 AM TO 130 PM.

&&

$$

DDECKER

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KREV [262349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 262349
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
449 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SW NIXON 39.75N 119.46W
03/26/2008 M94.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MEASURED ON VIRGINIA PEAK AT NWS RENO RADAR SITE.
ELEVATION 8300 FEET.

0310 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N RENO 39.61N 119.82W
03/26/2008 M61.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0334 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SSW RENO 39.43N 119.80W
03/26/2008 M65.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

&&

$$

BRONG

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KUNR [262339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 262339
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
539 PM MDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0537 PM HEAVY SNOW 2 NE ROCKYPOINT 44.92N 105.07W
03/26/2008 M5.0 INCH CROOK WY CO-OP OBSERVER

FELL IN 2 1/2 HOURS

&&

$$

WFO UNR

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KREV [262159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 262159
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
258 PM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1001 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW GARDNERVILLE 38.91N 119.83W
03/25/2008 M60.00 MPH DOUGLAS NV TRAINED SPOTTER

1203 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE MOUNT ROSE SKI ARE 39.38N 119.83W
03/26/2008 M67.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

GALENA RAWS.

1210 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW CARSON CITY 39.19N 119.80W
03/26/2008 M58.00 MPH CARSON CITY NV MESONET

PEAK WIND GUST AT DRI SITE NEAR WESTERN NEVADA COMMUNITY
COLLEGE.

1245 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 SE MOUNT ROSE SKI ARE 39.27N 119.82W
03/26/2008 M72.00 MPH WASHOE NV MESONET

PEAK GUST AT NDOT SITE IN WASHOE VALLEY. WINDS GUSTED
ABOVE 60 MPH SINCE YESTERDAY EVENING.

1230 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 N RENO 39.61N 119.82W
03/26/2008 M60.00 MPH WASHOE NV OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

BRONG

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KLSX [262137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262137
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
437 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL OWENSVILLE 38.35N 91.50W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH GASCONADE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN OWENSVILLE MO.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KSGF [262132]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KSGF 262132
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
432 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM HAIL NIANGUA 37.39N 92.83W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH WEBSTER MO AMATEUR RADIO

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NIANGUA.

1000 AM HAIL CLIMAX SPRINGS 38.10N 93.05W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH CAMDEN MO POST OFFICE

PEA SIZE TO HALF INCH HAIL IN CLIMAX SPRINGS

1040 AM HAIL MANSFIELD 37.11N 92.58W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH WRIGHT MO AMATEUR RADIO

QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

1055 AM HAIL NORWOOD 37.11N 92.41W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH WRIGHT MO POST OFFICE

HALF INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

1112 AM HAIL 6 S MOUNTAIN GROVE 37.04N 92.26W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH DOUGLAS MO BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

1151 AM HAIL WILLOW SPRINGS 36.99N 91.97W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH HOWELL MO EMERGENCY MNGR

HALF INCH HAIL STILL FALLING

1210 PM HAIL 8 N HARTVILLE 37.37N 92.51W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH WRIGHT MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR 5 MINUTES

1220 PM HAIL 4 NW HARTVILLE 37.29N 92.56W
03/26/2008 M0.75 INCH WRIGHT MO AMATEUR RADIO

HAIL COVERING GROUND AT HIGHWAY 5 AND F HIGHWAY.

1222 PM HAIL VERSAILLES 38.43N 92.84W
03/26/2008 E0.70 INCH MORGAN MO EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL FELL IN VERSAILLES

1222 PM HAIL MOUNTAIN VIEW 37.00N 91.70W
03/26/2008 E0.25 INCH HOWELL MO PUBLIC

QUARTER INCH HAIL FALLING

1225 PM HAIL GRAFF 37.32N 92.28W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH WRIGHT MO PUBLIC

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS COVERING THE GROUND

1245 PM HAIL OLEAN 38.41N 92.53W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MILLER MO PUBLIC

LOTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL FALLING

1255 PM HAIL 3 NE BAGNELL 38.26N 92.56W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH MILLER MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

1258 PM HAIL BUCYRUS 37.34N 92.02W
03/26/2008 E0.70 INCH TEXAS MO POST OFFICE

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES IS COVERING THE ROADS

0110 PM HAIL 1 E TUSCUMBIA 38.23N 92.44W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MILLER MO OTHER FEDERAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FOR 10 MINUTES

0120 PM HAIL SAINT ELIZABETH 38.26N 92.27W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MILLER MO POST OFFICE

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS COVERING THE GROUND

0144 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MARIES MO OTHER FEDERAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FALLING

0144 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E0.88 INCH MARIES MO CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

0145 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E1.50 INCH MARIES MO COUNTY OFFICIAL

1.5 INCH HAIL FALLING

0205 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.61W
03/26/2008 PHELPS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SCHOOL ROOF SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED. NO INJURIES REPORTED.
TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED.

0209 PM HAIL 2 E ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.58W
03/26/2008 E2.75 INCH PHELPS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

OCCURRED ON HIGHWAY KK EAST OF ST. JAMES. TIME ESTIMATED.

0220 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.61W
03/26/2008 PHELPS MO PUBLIC

PORTION OF ROOF BLOWN OFF SCHOOL. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

0248 PM HAIL BELLE 38.29N 91.72W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MARIES MO POST OFFICE

&&

$$

JSS

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KLSX [262130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262130
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
430 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL RUSSELLVILLE 38.51N 92.44W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH COLE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [262117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262117
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
417 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0348 PM HAIL WEINGARTEN 37.88N 90.22W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH STE. GENEVIEVE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL 2 WEST OF WEINGARTEN MO.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [262109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262109
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
409 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0403 PM HAIL ST. MARY 37.88N 89.95W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH STE. GENEVIEVE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [262039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262039
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
338 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL PARK HILLS 37.85N 90.53W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH ST. FRANCOIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL IN PARK HILLS.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [262036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262036
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
336 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HAIL 4 W PARK HILLS 37.85N 90.60W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH ST. FRANCOIS MO TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL 4 W OF PARK HILLS.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [262030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262030
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
330 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0318 PM HAIL 3 E POTOSI 37.94N 90.73W
03/26/2008 M0.75 INCH WASHINGTON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KSGF [262013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 262013
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
313 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0205 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.61W
03/26/2008 PHELPS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SCHOOL ROOF SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED. NO INJURIES
REPORTED. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

KARDELL

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KLSX [262011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 262011
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
311 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM HAIL 5 SW POTOSI 37.88N 90.85W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH WASHINGTON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

PENNY SIZE HAIL REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KSGF [261957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261957
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
256 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0209 PM HAIL 2 E ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.58W
03/26/2008 E2.75 INCH PHELPS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

OCCURRED ON HIGHWAY KK EAST OF ST. JAMES. TIME
ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

JSS

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KLSX [261957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLSX 261957
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
257 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL STEELVILLE 37.97N 91.36W
03/26/2008 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 INCH TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN TOWN.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261954
SWODY1
SPC AC 261951

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 262000Z - 271200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND ERN
MO AND INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SWRN IL...

..PARTS OF SRN MO INTO THE MID MS/LOWER OH VALLEY...
ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM N OF SURFACE
BOUNDARY...WHERE MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ABOVE A STABLE
SURFACE LAYER. WHILE CAPPING SHOULD CONTINUE TO INHIBIT WARM-SECTOR
DEVELOPMENT...ELEVATED STORMS CONTINUE TO EXHIBIT ORGANIZATION --
AIDED BY FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR.

PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN HAIL...AS STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION
N OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...AS ORGANIZED/BOWING STORM
SEGMENTS MOVE ESEWD ACROSS PARTS OF E CENTRAL AND SERN MO TOWARD SRN
IL -- WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER APPEARS TO BE SOMEWHAT LESS STABLE -- A
FEW GUSTS APPROACHING...OR EVEN EXCEEDING...SEVERE THRESHOLDS MAY BE
POSSIBLE.

.GOSS.. 03/26/2008

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KLSX [261950]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261950
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
250 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL STEELVILLE 37.97N 91.36W
03/26/2008 E0.25 INCH CRAWFORD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

1 INCH TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL FELL IN TOWN.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KSGF [261949]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261949
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
249 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0248 PM HAIL BELLE 38.29N 91.72W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MARIES MO POST OFFICE

&&

$$

DSA

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KLSX [261941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261941
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
240 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL STEELEVILLE 38.01N 89.66W
03/26/2008 E1.75 INCH RANDOLPH IL LAW ENFORCEMENT

NICKLE TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN STEELVILLE.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KSGF [261935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261935
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
233 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM TSTM WND DMG ST. JAMES 38.00N 91.61W
03/26/2008 PHELPS MO PUBLIC

PORTION OF ROOF BLOWN OFF SCHOOL. NO INJURIES REPORTED.

&&

$$

RKARDELL

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KLSX [261929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261929
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
229 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HAIL CUBA 38.06N 91.40W
03/26/2008 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

GOLFBALL SIZE NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [261925]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261925
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
225 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0222 PM HAIL CUBA 38.06N 91.40W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH CRAWFORD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER TO NICKLE SIZE HAIL IN CUBA. HAIL COVERING THE
GROUND.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [261922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261922
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
222 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL CUBA 38.06N 91.40W
03/26/2008 M0.75 INCH CRAWFORD MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL IN CUBA.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KLSX [261918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 261918
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
218 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 PM HAIL 7 S JEFFERSON CITY 38.47N 92.19W
03/26/2008 E0.88 INCH COLE MO TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.

&&

$$

RPRZY

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KAMA [261911]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 261911
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
210 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM WILDFIRE 5 E CANADIAN 35.91N 100.29W
03/19/2008 M2911 ACRE HEMPHILL TX PARK SERVICE

FIRE LEFT CONTAINMENT AT 1230 PM. 2911 ACRES REPORTED
WERE ACRES BURNED BEYOND THOSE OF INTENTIONAL PRESCRIBED
BURN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00153

$$

JC

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KSGF [261851]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261851
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
151 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E1.50 INCH MARIES MO COUNTY OFFICIAL

1.5 INCH HAIL FALLING

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0484

ACUS11 KWNS 261848
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261848
ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-262115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0484
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0148 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN MO INTO ADJACENT PORTIONS OF SE
KS/NE OK/NW AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 261848Z - 262115Z

IT STILL SEEMS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE SEVERE THREAT WILL
NOT BECOME SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO REQUIRE A WW ISSUANCE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. BUT...TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.

STEEPER ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON THE NOSE OF THE ELEVATED MIXED LAYER
EMANATING FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/PLATEAU REGION CONTINUES TO
PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR ONGOING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
MISSOURI OZARKS/LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY REGION. RECENT TIGHTENING OF
THE LOW/MID LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT SOUTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY THROUGH
THE ROLLA/VICHY AREA HAS BECOME THE FOCUS FOR THE STRONGEST STORMS.
AND...THIS ACTIVITY PROBABLY WILL SPREAD ACROSS/EAST OF COLUMBIA
THROUGH THE ST. LOUIS AREA BETWEEN NOW AND 22-23Z.

MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS A BIT UNCLEAR CONCERNING POTENTIAL FOR
REDEVELOPMENT TO THE SOUTH AND WEST. IT COULD BE THAT MID-LEVEL
WARMING BECOMES INHIBITIVE. HOWEVER...THE CONTINUED APPROACH OF THE
WEAK SOUTHERN STREAM PERTURBATION...AND THE STRENGTHENING OF THE
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTO THE WARM FRONTAL ZONE SOUTH/WEST OF THE
JOPLIN/SPRINGFIELD AREAS...SEEM LIKELY TO CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION LATE THIS AFTERNOON. AND...THIS MAY BECOME
SUFFICIENT FOR SURFACE BASED OR NEAR SURFACE BASED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IN THE PRESENCE OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND LARGE
CLOCKWISE CURVED LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS. WEAK MIXED LAYER/MOST
UNSTABLE CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG WILL PROBABLY BE A LIMITING
FACTOR...BUT AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL OR TWO IS POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS
22Z.

.KERR.. 03/26/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...ICT...

38959433 39369379 39369232 38829041 38178949 37288956
36969010 37069128 37019226 36569313 36429481 36919584
37549513 37729470

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KSGF [261845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261845
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
145 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E0.88 INCH MARIES MO CO-OP OBSERVER

HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KSGF [261845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261845
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
145 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0144 PM HAIL VIENNA 38.19N 91.95W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MARIES MO OTHER FEDERAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FALLING

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261826]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261826
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
126 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM HAIL SAINT ELIZABETH 38.26N 92.27W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MILLER MO POST OFFICE

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261815]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261815
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
115 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0110 PM HAIL 1 E TUSCUMBIA 38.23N 92.44W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH MILLER MO OTHER FEDERAL

QUARTER SIZE HAIL FOR 10 MINUTES

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261803]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261803
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
103 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM HAIL 3 NE BAGNELL 38.26N 92.56W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH MILLER MO TRAINED SPOTTER

HALF INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261759]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261759
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1259 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM HAIL BUCYRUS 37.34N 92.02W
03/26/2008 E0.70 INCH TEXAS MO POST OFFICE

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES IS COVERING THE ROADS

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261746]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261746
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1246 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 PM HAIL OLEAN 38.41N 92.53W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH MILLER MO PUBLIC

LOTS OF PENNY SIZE HAIL FALLING

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261731]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261731
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1231 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM HAIL GRAFF 37.32N 92.28W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH WRIGHT MO PUBLIC

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261730]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261730
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1229 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM HAIL 4 NW HARTVILLE 37.29N 92.56W
03/26/2008 M0.75 INCH WRIGHT MO AMATEUR RADIO

HAIL COVERING GROUND AT HIGHWAY 5 AND F HIGHWAY.

&&

$$

MTERRY

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KSGF [261726]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261726
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1226 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1222 PM HAIL VERSAILLES 38.43N 92.84W
03/26/2008 E0.70 INCH MORGAN MO EMERGENCY MNGR

DIME SIZE HAIL FELL IN VERSAILLES

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261723]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261723
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1222 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1222 PM HAIL MOUNTAIN VIEW 37.00N 91.70W
03/26/2008 E0.25 INCH HOWELL MO PUBLIC

QUARTER INCH HAIL FALLING

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261721
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1221 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM HAIL 8 N HARTVILLE 37.37N 92.51W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH WRIGHT MO TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY SIZE HAIL FELL FOR 5 MINUTES

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 261719
SWODY2
SPC AC 261716

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
OVERALL UPPER PATTERN TO REMAIN GENERALLY UNCHANGED ACROSS THE CONUS
THIS PERIOD...WITH AN EXTENSIVE/VERY LOW AMPLITUDE LONG-WAVE TROUGH
OVER THE ENTIRE CONUS. A SMALLER-SCALE TROUGH/VORT MAX IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OUT OF THE NRN ROCKIES AND ACROSS THE NRN HALF OF THE
PLAINS...THOUGH THE OVERALL/LARGER-SCALE FLOW FIELD OVER THE U.S.
WILL REMAIN WEAKLY-CYCLONIC TO NEARLY ZONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...LOW -- INDUCED BY PERSISTENT WLY FLOW ALOFT --
SHOULD LINGER OVER THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS REGION...WHILE AN
ASSOCIATED BAROCLINIC ZONE LINGERS FROM W-E FROM OK/KS EWD ACROSS
THE OH VALLEY REGION. WHILE A SWD PUSH ON THE WRN FRINGE OF THE
FRONT MAY OCCUR ACROSS WRN OK/THE TX PANHANDLE LATE IN THE
PERIOD...AS THE AFOREMENTIONED WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE NRN
PLAINS SHIFTS EWD...FRONT SHOULD OTHERWISE REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY
WITH LITTLE IMPETUS FOR AN APPRECIABLE SHIFT N OR S.

..NERN OK/SERN KS ACROSS OZARKS INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD N OF THE SURFACE FRONT FROM PARTS OF SRN MO EWD INTO THE OH
VALLEY...WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC LIFT ASSOCIATED
WITH LOW-LEVEL JET.

MODELS SUGGEST THAT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE SHOULD DECREASE DURING THE
DAY...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER INCREASE DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT THE WARM SECTOR S OF THE FRONT/E OF
AN OK DRYLINE SHOULD REMAIN CAPPED -- THUS PROHIBITING
DAYTIME/SURFACE-BASED STORMS. BEST SEVERE POTENTIAL APPEARS TO
EXIST FROM N CENTRAL OK/SERN KS ENEWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...IN
A CORRIDOR NEAR AND JUST N OF THE FRONT. IN THIS REGION...AMPLE
ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND MODEST SHEAR SHOULD ALLOW A FEW STRONGER
STORMS TO PRODUCE HAIL NEAR -- OR JUST ABOVE -- SEVERE THRESHOLDS.

.GOSS.. 03/26/2008

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KSGF [261653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261653
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1152 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1151 AM HAIL WILLOW SPRINGS 36.99N 91.97W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH HOWELL MO EMERGENCY MNGR

HALF INCH HAIL STILL FALLING

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261630
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1130 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1112 AM HAIL 6 S MOUNTAIN GROVE 37.04N 92.26W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH DOUGLAS MO BROADCAST MEDIA

QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261624
SWODY1
SPC AC 261620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 261630Z - 271200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..OZARKS INTO OH RIVER VALLEY...
BROAD ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THIS
REGION AHEAD OF FAST MOVING TROUGH NOW MOVING ONTO THE WEST COAST.
IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...SWLY LLJ EXTENDING ACROSS ERN OK/WRN AR
THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AND EXPAND NEWD ACROSS THE OH RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH THE PERIOD. AT THE SURFACE...LOW CENTER OVER WRN OK
AT 16Z IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN PLACE OR SHIFT SLOWLY EWD INTO
CENTRAL OK WHILE WARM FRONT LIFTS SLOWLY NWD ACROSS SRN MO AND THE
OH RIVER VALLEY.

STRENGTHENING ASCENT ALONG NOSE OF INCREASING LLJ WILL
ENHANCE/SPREAD ONGOING ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER OVER SRN MO
ENEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD. ELEVATED MOIST CONVECTION WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD BY LATER TODAY FROM THE MID MS/LOWER OH RIVER VALLEY
ENEWD...DESPITE MEAGER FEED OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BECOME LESS LIKELY AS ACTIVITY SPREADS UP THE OH RIVER VALLEY
AND CELLS BECOME MORE REMOVED FROM PLUME OF MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE
RETURN AND ELEVATED-MIXED LAYER PERSISTING OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE
SRN PLAINS. HOWEVER ALONG SWRN FLANK OF THIS EXPANDING AREA OF
ELEVATED MOIST CONVECTION...INCREASE IN HEATING/LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
SHOULD PROMOTE MORE ROBUST CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS
SURFACE DEW POINTS INCREASE INTO MID/UPPER 50S ACROSS THE OZARK
PLATEAU. TRAINING/BACK-BUILDING WILL BE FAVORED FROM SRN MO ACROSS
SRN IL/IND/WRN KY. MUCAPE NEAR 1000 J/KG OVER THE OZARKS TO A FEW
HUNDREDS J/KG INTO THE OH RIVER VALLEY...ALONG WITH SUFFICIENT CLOUD
LAYER SHEAR FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS...SHOULD SUPPORT A FEW STORMS
CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.

APPEARS...EML WILL REMAIN TOO STRONG FOR DEVELOPMENT VERY FAR INTO
THE WARM SECTOR AND HAVE PULLED THUNDERSTORM/LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES NWD ACCORDINGLY OUT OF MUCH OF ERN OK/WRN AR.

.EVANS/GRAMS.. 03/26/2008

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KSGF [261612]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261612
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1112 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM HAIL NORWOOD 37.11N 92.41W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH WRIGHT MO POST OFFICE

HALF INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KVEF [261601]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 261601
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 AM PDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0240 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 WSW INDEPENDENCE 36.77N 118.28W
03/26/2008 M66 MPH INYO CA MESONET

SIERRA ROTOR SITE 1. ELEVATION 5697 FEET.

0330 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW INDEPENDENCE 36.77N 118.24W
03/26/2008 M69 MPH INYO CA MESONET

SIERRA ROTOR SITE 2. ELEVATION 4842 FEET.

0340 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 S INDEPENDENCE 36.76N 118.20W
03/26/2008 M42 MPH INYO CA MESONET

SIERRA ROTOR SITE 9. ELEVATION 4061 FEET.

0350 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SE INDEPENDENCE 36.77N 118.16W
03/26/2008 M42 MPH INYO CA MESONET

SIERRA ROTOR SITE 10. ELEVATION 3868 FEET.

0640 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 SSW INDEPENDENCE 36.79N 118.21W
03/26/2008 M52 MPH INYO CA MESONET

SIERRA ROTOR SITE 3. ELEVATION 4180 FEET.

&&

$$

BPIERCE

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KSGF [261550]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261550
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1049 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 AM HAIL MANSFIELD 37.11N 92.58W
03/26/2008 E1.00 INCH WRIGHT MO AMATEUR RADIO

QUARTER SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261542
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1042 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HAIL CLIMAX SPRINGS 38.10N 93.05W
03/26/2008 E0.50 INCH CAMDEN MO POST OFFICE

PEA SIZE TO HALF INCH HAIL IN CLIMAX SPRINGS

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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KSGF [261536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 261536
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1036 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM HAIL NIANGUA 37.39N 92.83W
03/26/2008 E0.75 INCH WEBSTER MO AMATEUR RADIO

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NIANGUA.

&&

$$

BARJENBRUCH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0483

ACUS11 KWNS 261505
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261504
MOZ000-ILZ000-ARZ000-261700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0483
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1004 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 261504Z - 261700Z

STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH 18-20Z. SEVERE POTENTIAL
APPEARS LOW...BUT TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.

BENEATH A GENERALLY ZONAL UPPER FLOW...A RATHER WARM ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER HAS ADVECTED EAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES/MEXICAN PLATEAU
THROUGH MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS AIR MASS EXTENDS AS FAR
NORTH/EAST AS THE MISSOURI OZARKS...WHERE STEEPER LOWER/MID
TROPOSPHERIC ISENTROPIC ASCENT IS FOCUSED...AND WEAKER INHIBITION IS
ALLOWING LIFTED PARCELS TO REACH THEIR LEVELS OF FREE CONVECTION.

LOW-LEVEL GULF MOISTURE RETURN...RELATIVE TO WARMTH ALOFT...IS STILL
LIMITED. AND...GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THIS IS RESTRICTING MOST
UNSTABLE CAPE TO VALUES AT OR BELOW 500 J/KG. SOME INCREASE IN
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACH OF A LOW AMPLITUDE IMPULSE WITHIN THE SOUTHERN STREAM...NOW
SHIFTING THROUGH THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE REGION...COULD
CONTRIBUTE TO A FURTHER INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
BUT...WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT DESTABILIZATION
EXPECTED...UNTIL PERHAPS INHIBITION WEAKENS FOR BOUNDARY LAYER
PARCELS IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AFTER 20-21Z...SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LOW. HOWEVER...WEAK TO MODERATE CLOUD BEARING LAYER SHEAR
COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL
NEAR...OR POSSIBLY BRIEFLY IN EXCESS OF...SEVERE LIMITS.

.KERR.. 03/26/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...

38449415 39119377 39189223 38769102 38169024 37269000
36519046 36349235 36719356 37429385 37929432

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KMQT [261438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261438
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1037 AM EDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW COOKS 45.92N 86.48W
03/26/2008 M4.0 INCH SCHOOLCRAFT MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 21 INCHES.

&&

$$

TGREEN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261251
SWODY1
SPC AC 261248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 261300Z - 271200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LWR 48...WITH DOMINATE NRN
STREAM JET EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE NRN TIER FROM ELONGATED
GULF OF AK CLOSED LOW. POTENT SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW NEARING 127W
WILL SWEEP E INTO ORE LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUE E INTO ERN ID BY
12Z THURSDAY. IN THE WEAKER SRN STREAM...A DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE
GRT BASIN SHOULD REACH THE CNTRL PLNS THIS EVENING AND WEAKEN AS IT
ENCOUNTERS SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE MID MS/LWR OH VLY EARLY
THURSDAY.

..SRN/CNTRL PLNS...
WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN LEE TROUGH/SWLY LLJ OVER THE SRN/CNTRL
PLNS TODAY...ALLOWING MOISTURE TO CONTINUE SPREADING NWD THROUGH THE
S CNTRL U.S. MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MOIST AXIS
AS HEATING OCCURS THROUGH THE DAY. BUT EML ASSOCIATED WITH WLY FLOW
ALOFT LIKELY WILL KEEP REGION CAPPED TO DEEP CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY
GIVEN EXPECTED ABSENCE OF STRONG LOW- OR UPR-LEVEL FORCING FOR
ASCENT. THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR ISOLD STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY EXIST
IN NE OK/SE KS...WHERE LIFT IN EXIT REGION OF LLJ WILL BE MAXIMIZED.
WHILE THE PROBABILITIES LOOK VERY LOW...SVR HAIL MAY OCCUR IF STORMS
DO FORM GIVEN MUCAPE AOA 1250 J/KG.

..OZARKS INTO LWR OH VLY...
THE LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN AND VEER THIS EVENING/EARLY THURSDAY FROM
THE OZARKS INTO THE LWR OH VLY AS AFOREMENTIONED SRN STREAM IMPULSE
APPROACHES REGION. QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT ALREADY IN PLACE WILL
SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR ASCENT AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE ALONG
IT FROM SE KS ENE INTO SRN IL/IND. COMBINATION OF INCREASING MASS
INFLOW/MOISTURE ATOP FRONT LIKELY WILL SUPPORT STORM DEVELOPMENT
THIS EVENING ON NERN FRINGE OF EML FROM SRN/CNTRL MO INTO IL. THIS
ACTIVITY LIKELY WILL EXPAND FARTHER E INTO THE LWR OH VLY OVERNIGHT.
AT THE SAME TIME...UNIDIRECTIONAL CLOUD-LAYER FLOW AND STATIONARY
NATURE OF FORCING SHOULD ALSO ALLOW FOR SOME REGENERATIVE/
BACK-BUILDING ACTIVITY IN MO/IL. WITH ELEVATED CAPE ON THE ORDER OF
750 J/KG AND 500 MB TEMPS AROUND -18 TO -20C...SETUP WILL SUPPORT
HAIL IN STRONGER STORMS. MODEST INSTABILITY SHOULD...HOWEVER
..LIMIT OVERALL EXTENT OF SVR THREAT.

IN THE MEANTIME...PATCHES OF ELEVATED CONVECTION/ISOLD THUNDER
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER PARTS OF MO AND IL
TODAY AS MOISTURE INCREASES ON LEADING EDGE OF ADVANCING EML. WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY SVR HAIL THREAT ISOLATED.

.CORFIDI/CROSBIE.. 03/26/2008

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KAPX [261250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 261250
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
850 AM EDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 AM SNOW LUZERNE 44.62N 84.27W
03/26/2008 M4.0 INCH OSCODA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 9 AM. SNOWDEPTH 6 IN.

&&

$$

LAWRENCE

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KAPX [261236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 261236
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
836 AM EDT WED MAR 26 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 11 N LAKE CITY 44.49N 85.21W
03/26/2008 M4.5 INCH MISSAUKEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOWDEPTH 12 IN.

&&

$$

LAWRENCE

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 260854
SWOD48
SPC AC 260853

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 291200Z - 031200Z

..DISCUSSION...
PROGRESSIVE NRN STREAM PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS
PERIOD...AS FLOW ACROSS CONUS REMAINS DOMINATED BY MOSTLY
LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. ONE EXCEPTION WILL BE STG
SHORTWAVE THAT SHOULD MOVE FROM PACIFIC NW DAY-3...ENEWD FROM MT
ACROSS MB/ND TO WRN PORTION OF NW ONT DAY-4/29TH-30TH. LEE
CYCLOGENESIS IS LIKELY TO ITS S AND SE OVER CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS.
DECAYING SFC FRONTAL ZONE -- DISCUSSED IN DAY 3 OUTLOOK -- SHOULD
PREVENT RETURN OF FAVORABLE MOISTURE INTO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WHERE
STRONGEST LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL OCCUR. TSTMS -- SOME POSSIBLY SVR
-- MAY DEVELOP DAYS 5-6/30TH-1ST OVER PORTIONS MS VALLEY AND SRN
PLAINS...ALONG ANOTHER COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD FROM EJECTING
LEE/FRONTAL LOW. HOWEVER...DEVELOPMENT OF WELL-ORGANIZED SVR EVENT
WILL DEPEND STRONGLY ON MESOSCALE AND FRONTAL INFLUENCES THAT REMAIN
HIGHLY UNCERTAIN THIS FAR OUT.

.EDWARDS.. 03/26/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 260731
SWODY3
SPC AC 260730

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE MID/UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS FCST TO CONTINUE THROUGH
PERIOD...FEATURING TWO PRIMARY SHORTWAVE TROUGHS IN NRN STREAM.
FIRST TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY NEAR COASTAL
PACIFIC NW -- IS EXPECTED TO CROSS NRN ROCKIES AND N-CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH DAY-2. PERTURBATION THEN SHOULD ACCELERATE EWD FROM UPPER
GREAT LAKES STATES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND BY END OF DAY-3 PERIOD.
ASSOCIATED SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD FROM LOWER/MIDDLE OH VALLEY
REGION ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS...TN VALLEY...AND MUCH OF
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY THIS PERIOD. SWRN SEGMENT OF THIS FRONT
SHOULD DECELERATE LATE IN PERIOD OVER SOME PORTION CENTRAL/SRN TX.
DRYLINE SHOULD EXTEND FROM NERN MEX PIEDMONT NWD ACROSS SW TX TO
INTERSECTION WITH FRONT...AND WILL MARK WRN BOUND OF SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD WEAKEN AND RETREAT NWD
LATE IN PERIOD AS SFC CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS OVER NRN HIGH
PLAINS...AHEAD OF NWRN CONUS TROUGH.

FARTHER NW...SEVERAL SHORTWAVE COMPONENTS OF PERSISTENT GULF OF AK
LOW ARE PROGGED TO PHASE AND DIG SEWD. COMBINED PERTURBATION SHOULD
MOVE ASHORE PACIFIC NW EARLY IN DAY-3 PERIOD AS STG SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...PERHAPS WITH EMBEDDED/CLOSED LOW. TSTMS...PERHAPS WITH STG
GUSTS OR SMALL HAIL...MAY PRECEDE THIS FEATURE OVER INTERIOR PACIFIC
NW...ESPECIALLY INVOF STG LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...ANY
ASSOCIATED SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO MRGL/CONDITIONAL FOR
PROBABILITIES THIS SOON.

..SRN PLAINS TO LOWER MS VALLEY...
CONSIDERABLE MODEL VARIEGATION IN FRONTAL PLACEMENT -- DISCUSSED IN
DAY-2 OUTLOOK -- LIKEWISE EXTENDS INTO AND INFLUENCES
LOCATION/TIMING OF DAY-3 CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL. BECAUSE OF
ASSOCIATED UNCERTAINTIES...AS WELL AS CAPPING CONCERNS AND FCST
WEAKNESS OF LOW LEVEL FLOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR OVER ALMOST ANY
REASONABLE FRONTAL POSITION...WILL MAINTAIN LESS THAN CATEGORICAL
RISK OF SVR FOR THIS PERIOD. FAVORABLE FACTORS PRIMARILY INCLUDE
POTENTIAL FOR FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND STG SFC HEATING TO WEAKEN
CINH...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED WITH ELEVATED MIXED
LAYER...AND BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE E OF DRYLINE SUITABLE FOR
STG/BRIEFLY SVR TSTMS. SFC DEW POINTS 60S F SHOULD BE COMMON ACROSS
SFC MOIST SECTOR...CONTRIBUTING TO POTENTIAL MLCAPES OVER 2000 J/KG
FOR ANY DIURNAL TSTMS THAT CAN DEVELOP ALONG FRONT.

.EDWARDS.. 03/26/2008

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KVEF [260647]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 260647
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1147 PM PDT TUE MAR 25 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0616 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BARSTOW 34.88N 117.07W
03/25/2008 E41.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA ASOS

1024 PM NON-TSTM WND GST TWENTYNINE PALMS 34.14N 116.07W
03/25/2008 M43.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA ASOS

1040 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 31 NNE NEBO CENTER 35.30N 116.80W
03/25/2008 M48.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT GOLDSTONE. ELEVATION 3370 FEET.

1051 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 29 SSW SEARLES VALLEY 35.37N 117.57W
03/25/2008 M52.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT SQUAW SPRINGS. ELEVATION 3620 FEET.

1120 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 30 W BAKER 35.35N 116.59W
03/25/2008 M40.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT CLR14 MESONET SITE. ELEVATION 2484 FEET.

1120 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 25 NNE DAGGETT 35.20N 116.76W
03/25/2008 M50.00 MPH SAN BERNARDINO CA MESONET

MEASURED AT MESONET SITE CLR19. ELEVATION 3380 FEET.

&&
SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS SO FAR.
$$

STACHELSKI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 260553
SWODY1
SPC AC 260551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CONUS TODAY AS A SFC TROUGH
DEVELOPS IN THE HIGH PLAINS. IN RESPONSE...A LOW-LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND THIS WILL BRING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE QUICKLY NWD ACROSS EAST TX INTO OK BY THIS AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE MOIST
AXIS...A MID-LEVEL JET MOVING INTO THE ROCKIES WILL TRANSPORT A
STRONG ELEVATED MIXED LAYER EWD ACROSS THE REGION CAPPING THE
AIRMASS. AS A RESULT...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT APPEARS UNLIKELY
ACROSS MOST OF THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE IN ERN KS OR ERN OK WHERE STRONG LIFT
WILL EXIST ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET. IF A STORM CAN
DEVELOP...HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE AS THE CONVECTION MOVES EWD INTO
THE OZARKS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

..OZARK PLATEAU...
A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL BE IN PLACE TODAY FROM SE KS EXTENDING
ENEWD INTO SCNTRL IL. MODEL FORECASTS INCREASE LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHICH COMBINED WITH LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE EXIT REGION OF A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET
SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE ACTIVITY
SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY ELEVATED...EXPANDING NEWD ACROSS THE OZARK
PLATEAU LATE THIS AFTERNOON REACHING THE LOWER OH VALLEY BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION SHOW MODERATE TO
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MID-LEVEL TEMPS IN THE -18 TO -20C RANGE.
THIS SHOULD SUPPORT A HAIL THREAT WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP ANY HAIL POTENTIAL MARGINAL.

.BROYLES/CROSBIE.. 03/26/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 260546
SWODY2
SPC AC 260544

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 AM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE UPPER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
PERIOD...CHARACTERIZED BY LACK OF HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PERTURBATIONS.
MOST SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY APCHG COASTAL PACIFIC NW -- IS FCST TO MOVE EWD FROM
N-CENTRAL PLAINS ACROSS UPPER MS VALLEY DURING PERIOD. ASSOCIATED
SFC LOW SHOULD DEVELOP OVER WY DAY-1...THEN MOVE EWD-ESEWD ACROSS
N-CENTRAL PLAINS.

SFC FRONTAL ZONE NOW OVER OZARKS...CENTRAL OK AND WRN TX PANHANDLE
IS BECOMING QUASISTATIONARY AND SHOULD WEAKEN DAY-1...BEFORE BEING
OVERTAKEN BY LOW TRAILING SWWD FROM AFOREMENTIONED SFC LOW DURING
THIS PERIOD. SECONDARY FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS MID MS VALLEY
AND PORTIONS SRN PLAINS. DRYLINE SHOULD EXTEND SSWWD FROM FRONT
ACROSS S-CENTRAL/SWRN OK AND W-CENTRAL TX.

..LOWER OH VALLEY REGION...
SCATTERED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ARE FCST TO DEVELOP INVOF SFC
COLD FRONT...EARLIEST POTENTIAL BEING OVER IL/INDIANA AND SHIFTING
EWD NEAR WARM FRONT THROUGH AFTERNOON. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD
PERSIST THROUGH EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OH/PA...MOVING INTO
PROGRESSIVELY WEAKER BUOYANCY WIDTH EWD EXTENT. OCCASIONAL HAIL AND
STG-SVR GUSTS MAY OCCUR WITH MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY...IN ENVIRONMENT
OF FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR BUT MRGL BUOYANCY. TSTMS MAY
BACKBUILD DISCRETELY SWWD ALONG OR JUST N OF SFC FRONT DURING
MID-LATE AFTERNOON. EXPECT PROGRESSIVELY WARMER TEMPS WITH SWWD
EXTENT ABOVE SFC...ASSOCIATED WITH BASE OF ELEVATED MIXED-LAYER AIR
MASS. HOWEVER...FRONTAL LIFT AND LARGER SFC THETAE WITH SWWD EXTENT
ACROSS SRN IL...MO AND AR MAY SUPPORT PERIOD OF LATE AFTERNOON
DEVELOPMENT WITH ISOLATED HAIL AND STG GUSTS...SOME OF WHICH MAY
PERSIST INTO EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING.

..SRN PLAINS...
SVR POTENTIAL ACROSS THIS REGION IS STRONGLY CONDITIONAL...WITH
STOUT CAPPING LIKELY TO RESTRICT DIURNAL CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
SUBSTANTIALLY...AND TO CONFINE WHATEVER TSTMS MAY DEVELOP TO ALONG
OR JUST N OF SFC FRONT. CONSIDERABLE SPREAD STILL IS EVIDENT
AMONGST OPERATIONAL WRF/SPECTRAL...AS WELL AS VARIOUS SREF
MEMBERS...REGARDING POSITION OF SFC FRONT DURING LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. THIS IS CRITICAL TO MORE NARROWLY
DEFINING/CONCENTRATING SVR THREAT...GIVEN STRONG CAPPING REASONABLY
PROGGED ACROSS THIS REGION. PRIND LITTLE OR NO SIGNIFICANT
MID-UPPER LEVEL PERTURBATIONS WILL PASS OVER THIS REGION DURING
PERIOD OF PEAK SFC THETAE TO FURTHER SUPPORT POTENTIAL.
NONETHELESS...DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL
EVOLUTION...AND RESULTANT LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL...WITH ANY TSTMS THAT
CAN DEVELOP. EXPECT STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES...SFC DEW POINTS
UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S F IN MUCH OF MOIST SECTOR...AND ENLARGED
HODOGRAPHS RESULTING FROM BACKED SFC FLOW IN FRONTAL ZONE.

.EDWARDS.. 03/26/2008

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