KEAX [180456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 180456
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1056 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM HEAVY SNOW 7 W SPICKARD 40.24N 93.72W
02/17/2008 M6.0 INCH GRUNDY MO CO-OP OBSERVER

1200 PM SNOW 1 SE KANSAS CITY 39.11N 94.54W
02/17/2008 M3.0 INCH JACKSON MO CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MRD

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KEAX [180447]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KEAX 180447
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1042 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0951 AM SNOW OREGON 39.98N 95.14W
02/17/2008 E3.5 INCH HOLT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

NORTHERN HOLT COUNTY REPORTED 1-2 INCHES.

&&

$$

MRD

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KBMX [180447]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 180447
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1046 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0306 PM TORNADO 2 E PRATTVILLE 32.46N 86.42W
02/17/2008 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 29 INJ *** WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO
BUSINESSES AND HOMES IN THE VICINITY OF THE INTERSECTION
OF MCQUEEN SMITH RD AND EAST MAIN STREET IN PRATTVILLE.

&&

$$

JD/81

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0264

ACUS11 KWNS 180436
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180435
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-180600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0264
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1035 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS CENTRAL/ERN FL PANHANDLE TO NWRN FL AND
COASTAL BEND...SWRN THROUGH E-CENTRAL GA...PORTIONS CENTRAL/SRN SC.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 65...

VALID 180435Z - 180600Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 65 CONTINUES.

ALTHOUGH SOME SVR POTENTIAL STILL REMAINS...INCLUDING RISK FOR A
TORNADO OR TWO...OVERALL DECREASING TREND THAT ALREADY IS UNDERWAY
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH REMAINDER WW PERIOD. MAIN CONCERN HAS
EVOLVED TO ISOLATED/EPISODIC WIND DAMAGE AND BRIEF TORNADIC
SPIN-UPS...ACCOMPANYING MESOVORTICES IN BOW/LEWP FORMATIONS. THIS
THREAT MAY SHIFT E OF WW. AREAS OF ERN GA AND SC E OF PRESENT WW
WILL BE MONITORED FOR EPISODES OF REORGANIZATION.

PRIMARY CONVECTIVE BANDS ATTM ARE EVIDENT FROM ALLENDALE COUNTY SC
NEWD ACROSS SSC AREA...ALONG NWRN EDGE OF WW IN CENTRAL/NERN
GA...AND VERY BROAD CONVECTIVE PLUME FROM OFFSHORE PFN NEWD ACROSS
SWRN/S-CENTRAL GA TO NEAR VDI. EACH OF THESE SHOULD REMAIN ALIGNED
NEARLY PARALLEL TO MEAN WIND VECTORS THROUGH CAPE-BEARING
LAYER...SUPPORTING CONTINUED OVERALL LINEAR MODES.
HOWEVER...EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW FEATURES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED AND MAY
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...IN ENVIRONMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR. MODIFIED RAOBS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
EFFECTIVE INFLOW PARCELS WILL REMAIN SFC-BASED FOR A FEW MORE HOURS
FROM CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL GA SWWD OVER CENTRAL/SRN FL PANHANDLE INTO
GULF...A FUNCTION OF RELATIVELY HIGH BOUNDARY LAYER THETAE
ASSOCIATED WITH LOW-MID 60S F SFC DEW POINTS. AS PRIMARY MID-UPPER
LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS EJECT ACROSS GREAT LAKES REGION AND AWAY FROM
THIS AREA...LOW-MIDLEVEL WIND PROFILES ARE BECOMING MORE
UNIDIRECTIONAL...BUT SUFFICIENT SPEED SHEAR STILL SHOULD BE
MAINTAINED TO SUPPORT 150-300 J/KG 0-1 KM SRH ACROSS THIS REGION.
LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL TREND STRONGER...BUT LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES
WEAKER...WITH NWD EXTENT ACROSS GA AND SC.

.EDWARDS.. 02/18/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...

30378612 31038532 32478454 33128364 33938273 32918308
32938234 33958129 33697959 31648186 31128232 29658342
29968377 30118401 30078437 29908432 29588500 29688521
29658534 29898543 30038555 30178574

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KBOU [180431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 180431
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
931 PM MST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0918 PM SNOW 6 SW EVERGREEN 39.57N 105.42W
02/17/2008 M4.3 INCH CLEAR CREEK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0511 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 SW CONIFER 39.49N 105.34W
02/17/2008 M7.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0110 PM SNOW GENESEE 39.69N 105.27W
02/17/2008 M3.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1206 PM SNOW 3 SW CONIFER 39.49N 105.34W
02/17/2008 M5.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

1005 AM SNOW 3 SW CONIFER 39.49N 105.34W
02/17/2008 M3.0 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0910 AM SNOW ILIFF 40.76N 103.07W
02/17/2008 M1.5 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0910 AM SNOW STERLING 40.65N 103.21W
02/17/2008 M2.0 INCH LOGAN CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0907 AM SNOW 3 SW CONIFER 39.49N 105.34W
02/17/2008 M1.5 INCH JEFFERSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0900 AM SNOW ROXBOROUGH PARK 39.44N 105.07W
02/17/2008 M3.1 INCH DOUGLAS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0819 AM SNOW N LONGMONT 40.17N 105.11W
02/17/2008 M0.2 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL HAS ENDED

0801 AM SNOW SE BRECKENRIDGE 39.51N 106.05W
02/17/2008 M1.4 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW VIRGINIA DALE 40.95N 105.35W
02/17/2008 M0.9 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW EVERGREEN 39.63N 105.34W
02/17/2008 M2.1 INCH JEFFERSON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW BETWEEN 0700-0830

0747 AM SNOW BOULDER 40.03N 105.25W
02/17/2008 M0.5 INCH BOULDER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

COAL CREEK CANYON. PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW.

0747 AM SNOW 2 NNW FORT COLLINS 40.58N 105.09W
02/17/2008 M1.0 INCH LARIMER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW HAS ENDED. 10 MINUTES OF HEAVY SNOW

0700 AM SNOW FLEMING 40.68N 102.84W
02/17/2008 M0.4 INCH LOGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW 2 N LOVELAND 40.45N 105.07W
02/17/2008 M0.5 INCH LARIMER CO CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JK

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KEAX [180428]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 180428
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1028 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM SNOW 2 NE OSAWATOMIE 38.52N 94.92W
02/17/2008 E1.5 INCH MIAMI KS TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION.

&&

$$

MRD

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KDVN [170944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 170944
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
344 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0318 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
02/17/2008 M0.40 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE ABOUT MIDNIGHT.

&&

$$

WE

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KSGF [170942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170942
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
342 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 S WEST PLAINS 36.67N 91.85W
02/17/2008 HOWELL MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

APPROXIMATELY FOUR TO FIVE INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER
HIGHWAY 17 NEAR COUNTY ROAD 9100.

&&

$$

GAGAN

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 170908
SWOD48
SPC AC 170907

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

VALID 201200Z - 251200Z

..DISCUSSION...

MODELS REMAIN SIMILAR IN EVOLUTION OF OVERALL LARGE SCALE UPPER
PATTERN THROUGH DAY 5. CONSENSUS IS TRANSITION TO MORE OR LESS A
SPLIT FLOW WITH SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS UNDERCUTTING THE BLOCKY
UPPER RIDGE OVER CANADA AND ADVANCING ESEWD THROUGH THE CNTRL AND
SRN CONUS. HOWEVER...DIFFERENCES DO EXIST WITH DETAILS REGARDING THE
AMPLITUDE AND TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL WAVES...AND BEYOND ABOUT DAY 5
MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE MORE SIGNIFICANTLY. MODELS HAVE TRENDED
SLOWER WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO THE SRN PLAINS
AND LOWER MS VALLEY DAY 5 WITH THE GFS BEING MUCH SLOWER AND LESS
AMPLIFIED THAN THE ECMWF AND MREF MEAN. WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE
ECMWF AND MAINTAIN A RISK AREA FOR DAY 5 FROM PARTS OF ERN TX INTO
THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR PARTIALLY
MODIFIED GULF AIR TO RETURN NWD AHEAD OF ADVANCING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH...AND SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION MAY OCCUR FOR A SEVERE
THREAT IN THIS AREA. GIVEN THE COMPLEX...TRANSITIONAL NATURE OF THIS
EVOLVING PATTERN AND UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING DETAILS AND TIMING OF
INDIVIDUAL WAVES...OVERALL CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST IS NOT
PARTICULARLY HIGH.

.DIAL.. 02/17/2008

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KSGF [170857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170857
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
257 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 S ROLLA 37.86N 91.77W
02/17/2008 PHELPS MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

A LITTLE LESS THAN ONE FOOT OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY O NEAR
JONES CREEK.

&&

$$

GAGAN

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KLCH [170906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170906
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
306 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 AM TSTM WND DMG 3 S KAPLAN 29.96N 92.28W
02/17/2008 VERMILION LA BROADCAST MEDIA

SHED AND DECK DAMAGED NEAR HWY 335.

0130 AM TSTM WND DMG OPELOUSAS 30.52N 92.08W
02/17/2008 ST. LANDRY LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE FELL ON POWERLINE AND HOME ON SUNNYSIDE AVE.

0130 AM TSTM WND DMG PALMETTO 30.72N 91.91W
02/17/2008 ST. LANDRY LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREES AND LIGHT POLES BLOWN DOWN. SHED BLOWN APART.

0135 AM HAIL ABBEVILLE 29.97N 92.12W
02/17/2008 M1.00 INCH VERMILION LA BROADCAST MEDIA

0220 AM TSTM WND DMG NEW IBERIA 30.01N 91.82W
02/17/2008 IBERIA LA BROADCAST MEDIA

WIND DAMAGE TO ROOF OF HOME OFF ADMIRAL DOYLE DRIVE.

&&

$$

DML

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KSGF [170905]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170905
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
305 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0302 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 N DIXON 38.06N 92.09W
02/17/2008 MARIES MO PUBLIC

ONE AND ONE HALF FEET OF WATER FLOWING OVER COUNTY ROAD
627.

&&

$$

GAGAN

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 61

WWUS20 KWNS 170851
SEL1
SPC WW 170851
LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-171500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 61
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 245 AM UNTIL 900 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
PINE BELT MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF HOUMA LOUISIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 60...

DISCUSSION...IN THE PAST 90 MINUTES OR SO...SEMI-DISCRETE STRUCTURES
HAVE FORMED WITHIN WRN MS/S CNTRL LA SQLN. THIS MAY REFLECT
WEAKENING OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL LINEAR FORCING AS LARGE SCALE UPR
TROUGH LIFTS NE TOWARD MO. AT THE SAME TIME...RECENT DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AHEAD OF SQLN SUGGESTS WEAKENING OF EXISTING CIN...POSSIBLY
REFLECTING DIMINISHING EML WITH INCREASING DISTANCE FROM THE PLAINS.
COUPLED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS THAT ARE RISING INTO THE MID 60S IN SE
LA...AND INTENSE LOW TO MID-LEVEL SHEAR...SETUP MAY SUPPORT A COUPLE
TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23050.

..CORFIDI

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch - Number 59

WWUS20 KWNS 170829
SEL9
SPC WW 170829
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-170900-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH - NUMBER 59
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
229 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59 ISSUED AT 825 PM CST FOR PORTIONS OF

LOUISIANA
TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0251

ACUS11 KWNS 170813
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170813
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-170845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0251
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA AND SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 60...

VALID 170813Z - 170845Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 60
CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY ACROSS SERN LA AND SRN MS.

AS UPPER LOW/TROUGH...NOW CENTERED OVER OK...CONTINUES TO MOVE NE
TOWARD MO AND REMAINS N OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY...WSR-88D VWPS
INDICATED A WEAKENING OF THE LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE SQUALL LINE.
THIS APPEARS TO BE VERIFIED BY RECENT DISCRETE STORM DEVELOPMENT
JUST AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE IN SOUTH CENTRAL LA AND NWD INTO SWRN
MS...AND ALSO REGIONAL RADARS INDICATING DISCRETE DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE LINE ITSELF. LOW LEVEL AIR MASS CONTINUED TO MOISTEN AND 00Z
GFS SHOWED THIS TREND MAY CONTRIBUTE TO DIMINISHING SURFACE BASED
INHIBITION FOR STORMS TO BECOME SURFACE BASED AND REALIZE STRONGER
LOW LEVEL SHEAR FOR INCREASED TORNADO THREAT ACROSS SERN LA AND SRN
MS.

.PETERS.. 02/17/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...

29129245 30209180 31619153 32409106 32368849 30158807
28638862

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KIWX [170812]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 170812
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
312 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 AM FREEZING RAIN ALBION 41.40N 85.42W
02/17/2008 E0.01 INCH NOBLE IN COUNTY OFFICIAL

SEVERAL SLICK SPOTS. FEW ACCIDENTS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00893

$$

LWF

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KGRR [170805]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 170805
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
305 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0304 AM FREEZING RAIN GRAND RAPIDS 42.96N 85.66W
02/17/2008 E0.10 INCH KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MODERATE FREEZING RAIN...ALREADY COATING PAVEMENT.

&&

$$

OSTUNO

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KIWX [170801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIWX 170801
LSRIWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
301 AM EST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0259 AM FREEZING RAIN COLDWATER 41.94N 85.00W
02/17/2008 E0.01 INCH BRANCH MI COUNTY OFFICIAL

COUNTY DISPATCH REPORTS SOME SLIPPERY AREAS FROM LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. ONE SLIDE OFF REPORTED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00892

$$

LWF

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0250

ACUS11 KWNS 170734
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170733
LAZ000-170830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0250
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0133 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN TO SOUTH CENTRAL LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 59...

VALID 170733Z - 170830Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 59 CONTINUES.

AT 0730Z...REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE
EXTENDING FROM NERN TO SOUTH CENTRAL LA...WITH SRN EXTENT NOW MOVING
THROUGH ERN PART OF WW 59. SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DECREASE WITH PASSAGE OF THIS SQUALL LINE...GIVEN GREATEST
INSTABILITY WAS OBSERVED ALONG AND E OF THIS LINE IN SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SERN LA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...STRONG
KINEMATICS COMBINED WITH RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN SRN LA /SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S/ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A NONZERO
THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.PETERS.. 02/17/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...

28349431 29839353 30259306 31099281 31419246 31449220
30359211 29209218 28769302

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KSGF [170733]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170733
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
133 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0131 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW GRAFF 37.31N 92.30W
02/17/2008 WRIGHT MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 38 FLOODED JUST EAST OF HIGHWAY 95 INTERSECTION
ALONG BEAVER CREEK.

&&

$$

DSA

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KLCH [170706]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170706
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
106 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0101 AM TSTM WND DMG MARKSVILLE 31.13N 92.06W
02/17/2008 AVOYELLES LA PUBLIC

TREE DOWN ON HWY 114.

&&

$$

RC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0249

ACUS11 KWNS 170704
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170703
MIZ000-171200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0249
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0103 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...LOWER MI

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 170703Z - 171200Z

FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NORTHWARD ACROSS LOWER MI
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOME ICE ACCUMULATION LIKELY.

OWING TO AMPLE LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY
LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION REGIME...EXTENSIVE PRECIPITATION
CONTINUES TO DEVELOP NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD LOWER MI OVERNIGHT.
GRADUAL SATURATION/PRECIPITATION ONSET IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN LOWER MI THROUGH 09Z-12Z PER OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS
AND SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE. MAINTENENCE OF A SHALLOW SUB-32F
LAYER WILL LIKELY FAVOR FREEZING RAIN AS THE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION
TYPE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. WHILE THE 00Z OBSERVED RAOB
FROM DETROIT WAS ENTIRELY SUB-FREEZING IN THE VERTICAL...
AFOREMENTIONED STRONG WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL RESULT IN
CONSIDERABLE WARMING ALOFT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...SUCH
THAT PARTIAL/FULL MELTING OF HYDROMETEORS WILL RESULT IN MIXED
PRECIPITATION PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN. THIS WARMING
TREND ALOFT IS ALREADY WELL-SAMPLED BY TRENDS IN TAMDAR SOUNDINGS
FROM NEAR DETROIT OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. AS SUCH...FREEZING RAIN
WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF LOWER MI WHERE SUB-32F SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE MAINTAINED THROUGH 12Z-15Z.

.GUYER.. 02/17/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

..NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...

42428286 42188318 42638467 43318609 44078619 44648572
44858444 43768289 43108264

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KLCH [170655]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170655
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1255 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 N EUNICE 30.52N 92.42W
02/17/2008 ST. LANDRY LA PUBLIC

TREES BLOWN DOWN ON POWER LINES.

&&

$$

ERICKSON

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KSGF [170636]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170636
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1236 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 NW GAINESVILLE 36.66N 92.50W
02/17/2008 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW WATER CROSSINGS ALONG COUNTY ROADS 818 AND 831
FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KLCH [170630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170630
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1230 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM TSTM WND DMG LAKE CHARLES 30.21N 93.20W
02/17/2008 CALCASIEU LA PUBLIC

LARGE TREE HAS FALLEN ONTO POWER LINE ON THE 800 BLOCK OF
ORANGE AND KIRKMAN STREETS.

&&

$$

RC

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KSHV [170630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 170630
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1229 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM TSTM WND DMG HEMPHILL 31.34N 93.85W
02/16/2008 SABINE TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE
COUNTY.

&&

$$

18

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 170629
SWODY3
SPC AC 170628

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

UPPER PATTERN WILL BE IN TRANSITION AS UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN
U.S. DEAMPLIFIES AND A SPLIT ZONAL PATTERN EVOLVES. INTRUSION OF CP
HIGH PRESSURE INTO THE GULF WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STABLE CONDITIONS
WITH LIMITED THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OVER THE CONUS.

.DIAL.. 02/17/2008

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KSGF [170627]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170627
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1227 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM FLOOD WEST PLAINS 36.73N 91.85W
02/17/2008 HOWELL MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SOME MINOR FLOODING OF COUNTY ROADS

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KSGF [170625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170625
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1224 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM FLASH FLOOD ROLLA 37.95N 91.77W
02/17/2008 PHELPS MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY O JUST SOUTH OF ROLLA FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE.
TWO VEHICLES STRANDED IN FLOOD WATER..

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KLCH [170618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170618
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1218 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 E NEWTON 30.85N 93.67W
02/16/2008 NEWTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES BLOWN DOWN EAST OF NEWTON.

1140 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 E LEESVILLE 31.14N 93.11W
02/16/2008 VERNON LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR HICKS.

&&

$$

ERICKSON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 170559
SWODY1
SPC AC 170558

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

VALID 171200Z - 181200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
LA...MS...AL..GA...SC...NC AND TN...

..TN VALLEY...
A NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO LIFT NNEWD
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY AS A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ADVANCES QUICKLY EWD
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY TODAY. AT 12Z...A
SQUALL-LINE NEAR THE SRN END OF THE MS VALLEY AHEAD OF THE
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS MS...AL INTO GA BY THIS
EVENING. ANOTHER BAND OF CONVECTION SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND NRN AL LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE THREAT...A 100 KT MID-LEVEL JET OVER THE MID
MS VALLEY WILL MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE TN AND OH VALLEYS CREATING
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE REGION. LIFT WILL BE
ENHANCED FROM THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE JET ACROSS THE TN
VALLEY AND THIS ALONG WITH THE STRONG SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A SEVERE
THREAT WITH THE SQUALL-LINE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AHEAD OF THE
SQUALL-LINE THIS AFTERNOON SHOW IMPRESSIVE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES
WITH ABOUT 50 KT AT 850 MB AND RESULTANT 0-1 KM SHEAR VALUES AROUND
30 KT. THIS SHOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH SUPERCELLS AHEAD
OF THE LINE AND PERSISTENT ROTATING STORMS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE. IF
SUPERCELLS INITIATE EAST OF THE SQUALL-LINE...THEN AN ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADO OR TWO MAY OCCUR ACROSS SRN AND CNTRL AL. A POTENTIAL
FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL LIKELY EXIST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE SQUALL-LINE ADVANCES
EWD ACROSS THE REGION. THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE GREATEST ACROSS
SRN AND CNTRL AL IN THE EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN INSTABILITY WILL
BE MAXIMIZED WITH THE THREAT CONTINUING EWD INTO WRN GA BY EARLY
THIS EVENING. CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO OCCUR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE SQUALL-LINE FROM MIDDLE TN SWD ACROSS NRN AL.
ALTHOUGH THIS CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SHORT-TOPPED...THE STORMS
WILL HAVE ACCESS STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. AS A RESULT...LARGE
HAIL MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE NWRN PART OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. HAIL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE NEWD ACROSS ERN KY INTO WV UNDER THE AXIS OF
THE MID-LEVEL JET WHERE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE VERY STRONG AND TEMPS
WILL ALSO BE COLD ALOFT.

..CAROLINAS...
A WARM FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE NWD ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND SFC
DEWPOINTS SHOULD RISE INTO THE 60S F IN THE ERN CAROLINAS BY 06Z
TONIGHT. INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND STRONG LIFT ALONG THE AXIS OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS ERN NC AT 09Z
SUGGEST 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 60 KT AND THIS
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS. ISOLATED WIND
DAMAGE AND HAIL WOULD LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE EXTENT OF
THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DEPEND UPON HOW MUCH INSTABILITY IS
REALIZED ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE IN THE PERIOD.

.BROYLES.. 02/17/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 170547
SWODY2
SPC AC 170545

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EXTREME SERN VA THROUGH
THE ERN CAROLINAS INTO N CNTRL FL...

..SYNOPSIS...

HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL HAVE EVOLVED BY MONDAY WITH A LARGE
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. A SERIES OF VORTICITY
MAXIMA WILL ROTATE THROUGH THIS FEATURE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY EWD. AT
THE SURFACE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL EXTEND FROM AN OCCLUDED LOW IN
SE CANADA SEWD TROUGH ERN VA...THE ERN CAROLINAS...SERN GA AND INTO
THE FL PANHANDLE. THIS FRONT WILL ADVANCE EWD AND OFF THE ATLANTIC
SEABOARD BY MID DAY AND CONTINUE SEWD THROUGH THE FL PENINSULA
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

..ERN CAROLINAS...

A LINE OF CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING WITHIN ZONE OF ASCENT ALONG
WARM CONVEYOR BELT JUST AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FROM PARTS OF ERN VA
INTO THE ERN CAROLINAS. LOW TO MID 60S DEWPOINTS WILL HAVE ADVECTED
INLAND THROUGH THE REMAINING WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...INSTABILITY WILL
REMAIN MARGINAL DUE TO WEAK LAPSE RATES AND TIME OF DAY. STRONG DEEP
LAYER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH EWD ADVANCING UPPER TROUGH AND ATTENDANT
LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP SHEAR
FOR ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES WITHIN THE LINE. A WINDOW OF
OPPORTUNITY WILL EXIST FOR A THREAT OF ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND
PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO BEFORE ACTIVITY MOVES OFFSHORE BY LATE
MORNING.

..EXTRME SERN GA THROUGH N CNTRL FL...

STORMS WILL LIKELY BE IN PROGRESS IN VICINITY OF TRAILING PORTIONS
OF THE FRONT FROM SERN GA INTO NRN FL EARLY MONDAY. INSTABILITY IN
THIS REGION WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT ACTIVITY WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN
STRONG SWLY UNIDIRECTIONAL DEEP SHEAR WITH AT LEAST A MODEST THREAT
FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR THE
ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE LINE ACROSS PARTS OF
CNTRL FL AS SURFACE HEATING COMMENCES. HOWEVER...BOUNDARY LAYER
WINDS AND CONVERGENCE ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE
DAY AS THE LOW LEVEL JET LIFTS NEWD AWAY FROM THIS REGION.

.DIAL.. 02/17/2008

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KBRO [170543]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBRO 170543
LSRBRO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1142 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
02/16/2008 CAMERON TX NEWSPAPER

VALLEY MORNING STAR NEWSPAPER REPORTED ELECTRICAL LINES
DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS ON WEST MORAN COURT AND ON 23RD
STREET.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG HARLINGEN 26.20N 97.69W
02/16/2008 CAMERON TX NEWSPAPER

VALLEY MORNING STAR NEWSPAPER REPORTED TREE DOWNED BY
STRONG WINDS. LOCATION UNKNOWN.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MERCEDES 26.15N 97.92W
02/16/2008 HIDALGO TX BROADCAST MEDIA

KRGV CHANNEL 5 REPORTED ROOF OF MOBILE HOME BLOWN OFF IN
MERCEDES BY STRONG WINDS.

0330 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LA FERIA 26.16N 97.82W
02/16/2008 CAMERON TX NEWSPAPER

VALLEY MORNING STAR NEWSPAPER REPORTED TREE DOWNED BY
STRONG WINDS IN LA FERIA AT INTERSECTION OF PARKER ROAD
AND EBONY ROAD.

&&

$$

TOMASELLI

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KSGF [170542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170542
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1142 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE LEBANON 37.72N 92.61W
02/16/2008 LACLEDE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

PACIFIC ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE

&&

$$

FOSTER

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KSHV [170542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 170542
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1141 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 PM TSTM WND DMG NATCHITOCHES 31.76N 93.10W
02/16/2008 NATCHITOCHES LA UTILITY COMPANY

TREE DOWN ALONG 4TH STREET, BLOCKING THE ROAD.

1045 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W GOLDONNA 32.02N 92.96W
02/16/2008 NATCHITOCHES LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN ALONG HWY 156.

&&

$$

18

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KSGF [170540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170540
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1139 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1005 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 E CONWAY 37.50N 92.75W
02/16/2008 LACLEDE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

AMETHYST ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY J FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE

&&

$$

FOSTER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0248

ACUS11 KWNS 170535
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170534
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-171030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0248
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/EASTERN IA AND SOUTHERN WI/FAR NORTHERN IL

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 170534Z - 171030Z

FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL/EAST CENTRAL/NORTHEAST IA INTO SOUTHERN WI/EXTREME NORTHERN
IL...WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNRISE.

OWING TO AMPLE LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT DOWNSTREAM OF
NORTHEAST-TRANSITIONING SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS CYCLONE...REGIONAL
RADAR MOSAIC TRENDS REFLECT A NORTHWARD EXPANSION OF PRECIPITATION
INTO SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN IL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. AS THIS
TREND CONTINUES OVERNIGHT...FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED TO EXPAND
NORTHWARD/INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN IA
AND EXTREME NORTHERN IL INTO SOUTHERN WI. A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING
LAYER EXISTS ACROSS THE REGION PER SURFACE NETWORK OBSERVATIONS AND
00Z OBSERVED DAVENPORT IA RAOB AND MORE RECENT REGIONAL TAMDAR/ACARS
SOUNDINGS FROM LA CROSSE/MOLINE/ROCKFORD. ATOP THIS SUB-FREEZING
BOUNDARY LAYER...AN ELEVATED WARM LAYER OF 3-7C BASED AROUND 850-900
MB WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR FULL MELTING ALOFT AS SATURATION OCCURS
OVERNIGHT. THIS IDEA IS WELL SUPPORTED BY 00Z NAM/03Z RUC FORECAST
SOUNDINGS THROUGH DAYBREAK...AS WELL AS 21Z SREF PRECIP TYPE
PROBABILITIES. THUS IT APPEARS FREEZING RAIN WILL BE THE DOMINANT
PRECIPITATION TYPE OVERNIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL/EAST
CENTRAL/NORTHEAST IA...INCLUDING A CORRIDOR FROM DES MOINES TO CEDAR
RAPIDS/WATERLOO/DUBUQUE...INTO MUCH OF SOUTHERN WI INCLUDING THE
LONE ROCK/MADISON VICINITIES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
SUB-32F SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH EARLY
MORNING.

.GUYER.. 02/17/2008

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

..NOTICE...
SPC WINTER WEATHER MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS WILL BE ISSUED ON A
SCHEDULED BASIS FROM DECEMBER 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 28...FOUR
TIMES A DAY...AROUND 00 UTC...06 UTC...12 UTC...AND 18 UTC
FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORT RANGE WINTER WEATHER EVENTS.

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

43858869 43698796 42438823 42079024 41319232 40639398
41109456 42489318 43499118

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KSGF [170534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170534
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1133 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1040 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E LEBANON 37.68N 92.65W
02/16/2008 LACLEDE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

ROAD FLOODED AND IMPASSABLE AT GREEN HILLS AND PARK
ROAD

&&

$$

FOSTER

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 60

WWUS20 KWNS 170530
SEL0
SPC WW 170530
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-171100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 60
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
EASTERN LOUISIANA
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1130 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CST.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST
OF INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 59...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES
ACROSS LA. THESE STORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH AN EXTREMELY STRONG MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH WILL EJECT ACROSS WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT.
STRONG WIND FIELDS AT ALL LEVELS WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS WITH BOW/LEWP STRUCTURES...DESPITE RATHER WEAK
INSTABILITY.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 24045.

..HART

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KLCH [170516]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 170516
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1116 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1105 PM HAIL ROSEPINE 30.92N 93.28W
02/16/2008 E0.88 INCH VERNON LA PUBLIC

&&

$$

13

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KSHV [170514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 170514
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1114 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 PM TSTM WND DMG MANSFIELD 32.03N 93.70W
02/16/2008 DE SOTO LA LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE FELL INTO A HOME ALONG MAYWEATHER RD ON SOUTH SIDE
OF TOWN, TEMPORARILY TRAPPING PEOPLE INSIDE.

&&

$$

18

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KSGF [170502]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170502
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1102 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 PM FLASH FLOOD LEBANON 37.68N 92.66W
02/16/2008 LACLEDE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW LYING ROADS BEGINNING TO FLOOD INTHE LEBANON CITY
LIMITS. TUSCUMBIA NORTH OF CHERRY FLOODED IN TWO PLACES.
OTHER ROADS ALSO BEGINNING TO FLOOD.

&&

$$

DSA

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KSGF [170500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 170500
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1100 PM CST SAT FEB 16 2008

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1058 PM FLASH FLOOD MACKS CREEK 37.97N 92.97W
02/16/2008 CAMDEN MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER RISING OVER U HIGHWAY. STILL PASSABLE...BUT
DEPUTY BELIEVES IT WILL BE CLOSED WITHIN TWO HOURS.

&&

$$

DSA

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