ACUS02 KWNS 290428
SWODY2
SPC AC 290426
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL PROGRESS INLAND OVER
THE PAC NW COAST ON FRIDAY...AROUND THE SERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP
CLOSED LOW OVER THE SE GULF OF ALASKA. STEEPENING LOW-MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES...PRIMARILY IN THE POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT FRIDAY
NIGHT...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK BUOYANCY NEAR THE COAST AND AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR ISOLATED LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS.
OTHERWISE...A LARGELY ZONAL FLOW REGIME IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS
FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE ATLANTIC COAST. A LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CROSSING THE CENTRAL ROCKIES...AND THIS WILL INDUCE NWD MOISTURE
RETURN ACROSS THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO AND S TX. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST WEAK SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
ACROSS S TX FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID-UPPER 60S SPREAD INLAND. HOWEVER... RELATIVELY POOR MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND A LACK OF FORCING FOR ASCENT BOTH SUGGEST THAT
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IS IMPROBABLE AND AN OUTLOOK AREA IS NOT
NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.
..THOMPSON.. 11/29/2012
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Wednesday, November 28, 2012
DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 290426
SWODY1
SPC AC 290424
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WAKE OF A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW ACCELERATING EAST
OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...UPPER FLOW EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE ZONAL DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
WHILE ANOTHER COLD SURFACE RIDGE MAY NOSE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS
OF THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST...THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER NOW NEAR
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO
THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST. BUT SURFACE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER ALONG AN AXIS WESTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF COAST
REGION...WHICH PROBABLY WILL LIMIT ANY SUBSTANTIVE MOISTURE RETURN
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z FRIDAY. WHILE FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK POTENTIAL INSTABILITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THIS MOISTENING...A GENERALLY SUBSIDENT MID/UPPER REGIME IS EXPECTED
TO MINIMIZE THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
ACROSS THE WEST...LARGE-SCALE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGHING MAY
BEGIN TO DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC COAST STATES...WHILE
DOWNSTREAM RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.
HOWEVER...THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY AND BEYOND. SOME MID-LEVEL COOLING IS
FORECAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST AND
CASCADES...WITH PERHAPS ANOTHER MODEST EASTWARD SURGE ACROSS PARTS
OF OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS...WHERE IT STILL
APPEARS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES COULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF A COUPLE
OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS.
..KERR/ROGERS.. 11/29/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 290424
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE WAKE OF A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH NOW ACCELERATING EAST
OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD...UPPER FLOW EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
APPEARS LIKELY TO BECOME MORE ZONAL DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
WHILE ANOTHER COLD SURFACE RIDGE MAY NOSE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO PARTS
OF THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST...THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER NOW NEAR
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO
THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST. BUT SURFACE RIDGING IS EXPECTED TO
LINGER ALONG AN AXIS WESTWARD THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF COAST
REGION...WHICH PROBABLY WILL LIMIT ANY SUBSTANTIVE MOISTURE RETURN
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS
THROUGH AT LEAST 12Z FRIDAY. WHILE FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO INDICATE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK POTENTIAL INSTABILITY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THIS MOISTENING...A GENERALLY SUBSIDENT MID/UPPER REGIME IS EXPECTED
TO MINIMIZE THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS.
ACROSS THE WEST...LARGE-SCALE EASTERN PACIFIC UPPER TROUGHING MAY
BEGIN TO DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO THE PACIFIC COAST STATES...WHILE
DOWNSTREAM RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS.
HOWEVER...THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL
OFFSHORE THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY AND BEYOND. SOME MID-LEVEL COOLING IS
FORECAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST AND
CASCADES...WITH PERHAPS ANOTHER MODEST EASTWARD SURGE ACROSS PARTS
OF OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTAL AREAS...WHERE IT STILL
APPEARS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES COULD BECOME SUPPORTIVE OF A COUPLE
OF THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT HOURS.
..KERR/ROGERS.. 11/29/2012
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 290051
SWODY1
SPC AC 290049
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 290100Z - 291200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...WESTERN STATES....
AN INITIAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PROGRESSING ACROSS THE SIERRA NEVADA
INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND GREAT BASIN IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
AN APPRECIABLE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT.
MEANWHILE...THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES ALSO APPEAR NEGLIGIBLE ALONG
THE PACIFIC COAST...AS FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED
WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGHS CIRCULATING AROUND THE BROAD COLD MID/UPPER
LOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC REMAIN OFFSHORE.
...FLORIDA...
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY POST FRONTAL
FLOW...COUPLED WITH WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY...IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS. THIS MAY
PERSIST AND DEVELOP SOUTHWESTWARD INTO PARTS OF THE KEYS...BUT A
RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT
INTENSIFICATION INTO THUNDERSTORMS.
..KERR.. 11/29/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 290049
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 290100Z - 291200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...WESTERN STATES....
AN INITIAL SHORT WAVE IMPULSE PROGRESSING ACROSS THE SIERRA NEVADA
INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND GREAT BASIN IS
NOT EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION TO SUPPORT
AN APPRECIABLE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVERNIGHT.
MEANWHILE...THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITIES ALSO APPEAR NEGLIGIBLE ALONG
THE PACIFIC COAST...AS FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED
WITH SHORT WAVE TROUGHS CIRCULATING AROUND THE BROAD COLD MID/UPPER
LOW OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC REMAIN OFFSHORE.
...FLORIDA...
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH NORTHEASTERLY POST FRONTAL
FLOW...COUPLED WITH WEAK BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY...IS SUPPORTING
SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS. THIS MAY
PERSIST AND DEVELOP SOUTHWESTWARD INTO PARTS OF THE KEYS...BUT A
RELATIVELY WARM MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO INHIBIT
INTENSIFICATION INTO THUNDERSTORMS.
..KERR.. 11/29/2012
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KMTR [282137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 282137
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
137 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1050 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW LUCIA 36.07N 121.56W
11/28/2012 M56.00 MPH MONTEREY CA MESONET
HIGHLANDS PEAK RAWS 2490 FEET ELEVATION
1118 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WSW BURLINGAME 37.56N 122.44W
11/28/2012 M61.00 MPH SAN MATEO CA MESONET
SPRING VALLEY RAWS 1075 FEET ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
137 PM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1050 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW LUCIA 36.07N 121.56W
11/28/2012 M56.00 MPH MONTEREY CA MESONET
HIGHLANDS PEAK RAWS 2490 FEET ELEVATION
1118 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 WSW BURLINGAME 37.56N 122.44W
11/28/2012 M61.00 MPH SAN MATEO CA MESONET
SPRING VALLEY RAWS 1075 FEET ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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KMQT [282038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 282038
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
338 PM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM SNOW 4 SE BIG BAY 46.78N 87.66W
11/28/2012 E2.5 INCH MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC
6 HOUR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
KFLEEGEL
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
338 PM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 AM SNOW 4 SE BIG BAY 46.78N 87.66W
11/28/2012 E2.5 INCH MARQUETTE MI PUBLIC
6 HOUR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
KFLEEGEL
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KMTR [281958]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281958
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1158 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1148 AM FLOOD 2 ESE HAYWARD 37.61N 122.07W
11/28/2012 ALAMEDA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT
CHP REPORTS AREAS OF MINOR ROAD FLOODING IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS IN ALAMEDA COUNTY
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1158 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1148 AM FLOOD 2 ESE HAYWARD 37.61N 122.07W
11/28/2012 ALAMEDA CA LAW ENFORCEMENT
CHP REPORTS AREAS OF MINOR ROAD FLOODING IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS IN ALAMEDA COUNTY
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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KMTR [281956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281956
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1156 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1142 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NW SANTA CRUZ 37.02N 122.10W
11/28/2012 SANTA CRUZ CA BROADCAST MEDIA
POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS INCLUDING A
LINE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 9 BLOCKING TRAFFIC. LOCATION
ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1156 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1142 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 NW SANTA CRUZ 37.02N 122.10W
11/28/2012 SANTA CRUZ CA BROADCAST MEDIA
POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS SANTA CRUZ MOUNTAINS INCLUDING A
LINE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 9 BLOCKING TRAFFIC. LOCATION
ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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KMTR [281947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281947
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1147 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ROSE PEAK RAWS 37.50N 121.74W
11/28/2012 M60 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET
3060 FT ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1147 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ROSE PEAK RAWS 37.50N 121.74W
11/28/2012 M60 MPH ALAMEDA CA MESONET
3060 FT ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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KMTR [281944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281944
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1144 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LOS GATOS RAWS 37.20N 121.95W
11/28/2012 M72 MPH SANTA CLARA CA MESONET
1842 FEET ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1144 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1144 AM NON-TSTM WND GST LOS GATOS RAWS 37.20N 121.95W
11/28/2012 M72 MPH SANTA CLARA CA MESONET
1842 FEET ELEVATION
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281942
SWODY1
SPC AC 281940
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON AS MAIN UPPER FORCING ADVANCES INLAND. BY 23-00Z...MODEST
MID LEVEL WARMING/DRYING WILL RESULT IN LIMITED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
...LEE OF LAKE ONTARIO...
THUNDER PROBS HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM THE LAKE ONTARIO REGION IN NY.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FORCING ARE ALREADY PROGRESSING
ACROSS/TO THE EAST OF THE AREA AND STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP.
..LEITMAN/PETERS.. 11/28/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1111 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012/
RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST.
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281940
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 PM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 282000Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON AS MAIN UPPER FORCING ADVANCES INLAND. BY 23-00Z...MODEST
MID LEVEL WARMING/DRYING WILL RESULT IN LIMITED THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
...LEE OF LAKE ONTARIO...
THUNDER PROBS HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM THE LAKE ONTARIO REGION IN NY.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED FORCING ARE ALREADY PROGRESSING
ACROSS/TO THE EAST OF THE AREA AND STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP.
..LEITMAN/PETERS.. 11/28/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1111 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012/
RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST.
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
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KMTR [281836]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281836
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1036 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1036 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MT. DIABLO RAWS 37.88N 121.91W
11/28/2012 M66 MPH CONTRA COSTA CA MESONET
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1036 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1036 AM NON-TSTM WND GST MT. DIABLO RAWS 37.88N 121.91W
11/28/2012 M66 MPH CONTRA COSTA CA MESONET
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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KMTR [281811]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KMTR 281811
LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1011 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PACIFICA 37.61N 122.48W
11/28/2012 SAN MATEO CA UTILITY COMPANY
POWER OUTAGES NEAR PACIFICA DUE TO WIND
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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LSRMTR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
1011 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0945 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG PACIFICA 37.61N 122.48W
11/28/2012 SAN MATEO CA UTILITY COMPANY
POWER OUTAGES NEAR PACIFICA DUE TO WIND
&&
$$
JOHNSON
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Resent 1
ACUS01 KWNS 281711
SWODY1
SPC AC 281711
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST.
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
..MEAD/SMITH.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281711
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
RETRANSMITTED PER REQUEST.
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
..MEAD/SMITH.. 11/28/2012
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KHNX [281710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS56 KHNX 281710
LSRHNX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
909 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W KETTLEMAN CITY 36.01N 120.05W
11/28/2012 M50.00 MPH KINGS CA MESONET
SSW SUSTAINED 34 MPH WITH GUST TO 50 MPH
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD 36.73N 120.48W
11/28/2012 M49.00 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET
SOUTH WIND OF 12 MPH GUSTS TO 49 MPH
&&
$$
PJON
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LSRHNX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
909 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W KETTLEMAN CITY 36.01N 120.05W
11/28/2012 M50.00 MPH KINGS CA MESONET
SSW SUSTAINED 34 MPH WITH GUST TO 50 MPH
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD 36.73N 120.48W
11/28/2012 M49.00 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET
SOUTH WIND OF 12 MPH GUSTS TO 49 MPH
&&
$$
PJON
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KHNX [281703]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS56 KHNX 281703
LSRHNX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
903 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W KETTLEMAN CITY 36.01N 120.05W
11/28/2012 M0 MPH KINGS CA MESONET
SSW SUSTAINED 34 MPH WITH GUST TO 50 MPH
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD 36.73N 120.48W
11/28/2012 M0 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET
SOUTH WIND OF 12 MPH GUSTS TO 49 MPH
&&
$$
PJON
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LSRHNX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
903 AM PST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W KETTLEMAN CITY 36.01N 120.05W
11/28/2012 M0 MPH KINGS CA MESONET
SSW SUSTAINED 34 MPH WITH GUST TO 50 MPH
0856 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD 36.73N 120.48W
11/28/2012 M0 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET
SOUTH WIND OF 12 MPH GUSTS TO 49 MPH
&&
$$
PJON
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 281648
SWODY2
SPC AC 281647
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1047 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...COASTAL NRN CA TO ORE...
A LARGE CLOSED LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SWD ALONG AND OFF THE WEST COAST. WHILE...A
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE
CONUS ON THU...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ATTENDANT TO THE NERN
PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE NWRN U.S. MODELS MAINTAIN
A FORECAST FOR STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND
FROM NRN CA TO WA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NOW SUGGEST THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR THIS FORCING TO OVERCOME MINIMAL BUOYANCY FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE NRN CA AND ORE COASTS.
THE ENVIRONMENT FARTHER INLAND IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO STABLE TO
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT. THUS...
THIS OUTLOOK HAS REDUCED THE AREAL COVERAGE FOR GENERAL TSTMS /10
PERCENT PROBABILITY/.
..PETERS/LEITMAN.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 281647
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1047 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...COASTAL NRN CA TO ORE...
A LARGE CLOSED LOW WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A
TROUGH EXTENDING SWD ALONG AND OFF THE WEST COAST. WHILE...A
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME IS EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE
CONUS ON THU...A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS ATTENDANT TO THE NERN
PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS THE NWRN U.S. MODELS MAINTAIN
A FORECAST FOR STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND
FROM NRN CA TO WA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NOW SUGGEST THE GREATEST
POTENTIAL FOR THIS FORCING TO OVERCOME MINIMAL BUOYANCY FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG AND OFFSHORE THE NRN CA AND ORE COASTS.
THE ENVIRONMENT FARTHER INLAND IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO STABLE TO
SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT. THUS...
THIS OUTLOOK HAS REDUCED THE AREAL COVERAGE FOR GENERAL TSTMS /10
PERCENT PROBABILITY/.
..PETERS/LEITMAN.. 11/28/2012
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KMQT [281626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KMQT 281626
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1126 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0600 AM SNOW 1 E ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.29W
11/28/2012 M2.2 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.42N 86.64W
11/28/2012 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0700 AM SNOW 1 N NEWBERRY 46.37N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M3.1 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR AND 24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL T
0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
11/28/2012 M8.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL 3.5
0800 AM SNOW TWIN LAKES 46.90N 88.83W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW COPPER HARBOR 47.47N 87.89W
11/28/2012 M2.4 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0815 AM SNOW 1 ESE HOUGHTON 47.11N 88.54W
11/28/2012 M3.7 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS
24HR SNOWFALL
0900 AM SNOW 3 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0900 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
1000 AM SNOW WATERSMEET 46.27N 89.18W
11/28/2012 M2.6 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1126 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0600 AM SNOW 1 E ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.29W
11/28/2012 M2.2 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.42N 86.64W
11/28/2012 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0700 AM SNOW 1 N NEWBERRY 46.37N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M3.1 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR AND 24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL T
0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
11/28/2012 M8.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL 3.5
0800 AM SNOW TWIN LAKES 46.90N 88.83W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW COPPER HARBOR 47.47N 87.89W
11/28/2012 M2.4 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0815 AM SNOW 1 ESE HOUGHTON 47.11N 88.54W
11/28/2012 M3.7 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS
24HR SNOWFALL
0900 AM SNOW 3 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0900 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
1000 AM SNOW WATERSMEET 46.27N 89.18W
11/28/2012 M2.6 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281615
SWODY1
SPC AC 281613
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
..MEAD/SMITH.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281613
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1013 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...NRN/CNTRL CA COAST INTO THE CNTRL VALLEY TODAY...
A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ONSHORE LATE THIS MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT PROGRESSES THROUGH THE GREAT
BASIN TONIGHT. A CORRIDOR OF 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS APPROACHING 100
M/12 HR WILL ATTEND THIS SYSTEM...RESULTING IN STEEPENING MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES. WHEN COUPLED WITH MOISTENING...ONSHORE FLOW IN THE
LOW-LEVELS...THE SETUP WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY AND
THE POTENTIAL FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED.
ELSEWHERE...SENSIBLE MOISTURE AND HEAT FLUXES OFF LAKE ONTARIO WILL
PROMOTE WEAK BUOYANCY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION
CAPABLE OF ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
..MEAD/SMITH.. 11/28/2012
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KMQT [281558]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281558
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1058 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL T
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1058 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL T
&&
$$
PETRO
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KMQT [281541]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281541
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1041 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0815 AM SNOW 1 ESE HOUGHTON 47.11N 88.54W
11/28/2012 M3.7 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS
24HR SNOWFALL
1000 AM SNOW WATERSMEET 46.27N 89.18W
11/28/2012 M2.6 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1041 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0815 AM SNOW 1 ESE HOUGHTON 47.11N 88.54W
11/28/2012 M3.7 INCH HOUGHTON MI COCORAHS
24HR SNOWFALL
1000 AM SNOW WATERSMEET 46.27N 89.18W
11/28/2012 M2.6 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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KMQT [281538]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281538
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1038 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/27/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1038 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM SNOW ONTONAGON 46.87N 89.31W
11/27/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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KAPX [281453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KAPX 281453
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
953 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0952 AM SNOW SAULT STE. MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
11/28/2012 M0.8 INCH CHIPPEWA MI BROADCAST MEDIA
20 MIN TOTAL THROUGH 930AM.
&&
$$
SWR
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LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
953 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0952 AM SNOW SAULT STE. MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
11/28/2012 M0.8 INCH CHIPPEWA MI BROADCAST MEDIA
20 MIN TOTAL THROUGH 930AM.
&&
$$
SWR
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KMQT [281415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281415
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
915 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
915 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW AMASA 46.23N 88.45W
11/28/2012 M2.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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KMQT [281405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281405
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
905 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW 3 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
905 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0900 AM SNOW 3 E REDRIDGE 47.15N 88.72W
11/28/2012 M4.0 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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KMQT [281349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281349
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
849 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
11/28/2012 M8.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL 3.5
0800 AM SNOW TWIN LAKES 46.90N 88.83W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW COPPER HARBOR 47.47N 87.89W
11/28/2012 M2.4 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
849 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW MOHAWK 47.30N 88.37W
11/28/2012 M8.0 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL 12HR SNOWFALL 3.5
0800 AM SNOW TWIN LAKES 46.90N 88.83W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0800 AM SNOW COPPER HARBOR 47.47N 87.89W
11/28/2012 M2.4 INCH KEWEENAW MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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KMQT [281326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KMQT 281326
LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
826 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.42N 86.64W
11/28/2012 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0700 AM SNOW 1 N NEWBERRY 46.37N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M3.1 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR AND 24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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LSRMQT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
826 AM EST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
11/28/2012 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.42N 86.64W
11/28/2012 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER
24HR SNOWFALL
0700 AM SNOW 1 N NEWBERRY 46.37N 85.51W
11/28/2012 M3.1 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER
12HR AND 24HR SNOWFALL
&&
$$
PETRO
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 281258
SWODY1
SPC AC 281256
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CENTRAL CA COAST...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A VIGOROUS UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING
THE CENTRAL CA COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE SFO AREA
AND INTO THE CENTRAL VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A BAND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVERSPREADING THE AREA. 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS AND
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION TODAY.
HOWEVER...STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING MAY LEAD
TO ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES ASHORE. LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THE MORE ROBUST SHOWERS...BUT ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
ELSEWHERE...A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW MOVE INTO CENTRAL NY.
OTHERWISE...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TODAY.
..HART/DISPIGNA.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 281256
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0656 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...CENTRAL CA COAST...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A VIGOROUS UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING
THE CENTRAL CA COAST. THIS SYSTEM WILL ROTATE ACROSS THE SFO AREA
AND INTO THE CENTRAL VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A BAND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS OVERSPREADING THE AREA. 12Z OBSERVED RAOBS AND
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LITTLE INSTABILITY ACROSS THIS REGION TODAY.
HOWEVER...STRONG LARGE SCALE ASCENT AND OROGRAPHIC FORCING MAY LEAD
TO ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES AS THE ACTIVITY MOVES ASHORE. LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THE MORE ROBUST SHOWERS...BUT ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
ELSEWHERE...A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW MOVE INTO CENTRAL NY.
OTHERWISE...DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY TODAY.
..HART/DISPIGNA.. 11/28/2012
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KTFX [281022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS55 KTFX 281022
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
322 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0849 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
0957 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M62 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M61 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
61 MPH WND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
322 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0849 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
0957 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M62 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M61 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
61 MPH WND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [281022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 281022
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
322 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0957 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M62 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
322 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0957 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M62 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
62 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS48 KWNS 280959
SWOD48
SPC AC 280958
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST INTO THIS
WEEKEND OWING TO THE LACK OF SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY IN THE CONUS. EARLY
NEXT WEEK...GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED TOWARD INCREASED CONSISTENCY WITH A
MODERATELY-AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO
THE CNTRL CONUS AROUND D6/MON. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE
WRN GULF APPEARS MODEST BUT SUFFICIENT FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A
COLD FRONT SWEEPING E/SEWD FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS.
ATTM...IT APPEARS STRONGER FLOW AND FORCING SHOULD BE DIVORCED FROM
THE COMPARATIVELY GREATER POTENTIAL BUOYANCY CLOSER TO THE COAST. AS
SUCH...SOME RELATIVE INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL IS APPARENT...BUT
STILL WELL BELOW THE AOA 30 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR HIGHLIGHTING AN
AREA.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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SWOD48
SPC AC 280958
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 011200Z - 061200Z
...DISCUSSION...
A QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL PERSIST INTO THIS
WEEKEND OWING TO THE LACK OF SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY IN THE CONUS. EARLY
NEXT WEEK...GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED TOWARD INCREASED CONSISTENCY WITH A
MODERATELY-AMPLIFIED AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO
THE CNTRL CONUS AROUND D6/MON. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE
WRN GULF APPEARS MODEST BUT SUFFICIENT FOR TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG A
COLD FRONT SWEEPING E/SEWD FROM THE MID-MS VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS.
ATTM...IT APPEARS STRONGER FLOW AND FORCING SHOULD BE DIVORCED FROM
THE COMPARATIVELY GREATER POTENTIAL BUOYANCY CLOSER TO THE COAST. AS
SUCH...SOME RELATIVE INCREASE IN SEVERE POTENTIAL IS APPARENT...BUT
STILL WELL BELOW THE AOA 30 PERCENT THRESHOLD FOR HIGHLIGHTING AN
AREA.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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KTFX [280819]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280819
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
119 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
119 AM MST WED NOV 28 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS03 KWNS 280746
SWODY3
SPC AC 280745
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE APPRECIABLE CHANGE WITH PROSPECTS OF TSTM POTENTIAL COMPARED
TO D2. A QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER MOST
OF THE CONUS...AS A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE
NERN PACIFIC. MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING OF TWO
SHORT WAVE IMPULSES EJECTING NEWD TO THE PACIFIC NW ON LATE FRI
MORNING AND AGAIN FRI NIGHT. HERE...STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT IN
CONJUNCTION WITH SCANT BUOYANCY MAY YIELD SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES
ALONG THE COAST.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY3
SPC AC 280745
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0145 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 301200Z - 011200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
LITTLE APPRECIABLE CHANGE WITH PROSPECTS OF TSTM POTENTIAL COMPARED
TO D2. A QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST OVER MOST
OF THE CONUS...AS A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE
NERN PACIFIC. MODEL GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT WITH THE TIMING OF TWO
SHORT WAVE IMPULSES EJECTING NEWD TO THE PACIFIC NW ON LATE FRI
MORNING AND AGAIN FRI NIGHT. HERE...STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT IN
CONJUNCTION WITH SCANT BUOYANCY MAY YIELD SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES
ALONG THE COAST.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 280640
SWODY2
SPC AC 280639
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE CONUS
ON THU. A DAMPENING/LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
EWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST. A LARGE-SCALE
TROUGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES EJECTING NEWD TO THE PACIFIC NW. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
PACIFIC NW COAST...STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT COULD OVERCOME MINIMAL
BUOYANCY TO YIELD SPARSE LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT.
ALONG THE WRN GULF COAST...GUIDANCE HAS POORLY HANDLED THE DEGREE OF
DRYING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON TUE. WITH ONLY A WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION REGIME EXPECTED ON THU...TSTM
PROBABILITIES APPEAR TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 280639
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1239 AM CST WED NOV 28 2012
VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
QUASI-ZONAL UPPER-LEVEL FLOW REGIME EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THE CONUS
ON THU. A DAMPENING/LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS
EWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST. A LARGE-SCALE
TROUGH WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE NERN PACIFIC WITH A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES EJECTING NEWD TO THE PACIFIC NW. ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
PACIFIC NW COAST...STRONG FORCING FOR ASCENT COULD OVERCOME MINIMAL
BUOYANCY TO YIELD SPARSE LIGHTNING STRIKES THU AFTERNOON/NIGHT.
ALONG THE WRN GULF COAST...GUIDANCE HAS POORLY HANDLED THE DEGREE OF
DRYING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT PASSAGE ON TUE. WITH ONLY A WEAK
LOW-LEVEL WARM THETA-E ADVECTION REGIME EXPECTED ON THU...TSTM
PROBABILITIES APPEAR TO BE BELOW 10 PERCENT.
..GRAMS.. 11/28/2012
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KTFX [280623]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280623
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1123 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M61 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
61 MPH WND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1123 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/27/2012 M61 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET
61 MPH WND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION. TIME
OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [280622]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS55 KTFX 280622
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1122 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0849 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1122 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0849 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [280621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280621
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1121 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1049 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1121 PM MST TUE NOV 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1049 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/27/2012 M58 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
58 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 280545
SWODY1
SPC AC 280543
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST TUE NOV 27 2012
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LARGE EAST-PACIFIC CYCLONIC
GYRE WILL MOVE ASHORE AND TRACK ENEWD TOWARD THE NRN/CNTRL GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY/MID-AFTERNOON AROUND THE CNTRL CA
COAST...AS STRONG ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ITS ACCOMPANYING FRONT INTERACTS WITH MEAGER BUOYANCY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS DEPICT ONLY MODESTLY DEEP CAPE LAYERS FEATURING VERY
LIMITED AMOUNTS OF MAINLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY -- MUCAPE VALUES
GENERALLY AOB 150 J/KG -- AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD NOT
EXCEED ISOLATED. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
GREATLY HINDER SFC HEATING/DESTABILIZATION AMIDST ONLY MODEST
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO PREVENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SVR STORMS DESPITE STRONG
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER 48
STATES...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED OWING TO STABLE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.
..COHEN/GOSS.. 11/28/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 280543
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1143 PM CST TUE NOV 27 2012
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH A LARGE EAST-PACIFIC CYCLONIC
GYRE WILL MOVE ASHORE AND TRACK ENEWD TOWARD THE NRN/CNTRL GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW LOW-TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY/MID-AFTERNOON AROUND THE CNTRL CA
COAST...AS STRONG ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
ITS ACCOMPANYING FRONT INTERACTS WITH MEAGER BUOYANCY. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS DEPICT ONLY MODESTLY DEEP CAPE LAYERS FEATURING VERY
LIMITED AMOUNTS OF MAINLY ELEVATED INSTABILITY -- MUCAPE VALUES
GENERALLY AOB 150 J/KG -- AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD NOT
EXCEED ISOLATED. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
GREATLY HINDER SFC HEATING/DESTABILIZATION AMIDST ONLY MODEST
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO PREVENT THE DEVELOPMENT OF SVR STORMS DESPITE STRONG
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER 48
STATES...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED OWING TO STABLE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES.
..COHEN/GOSS.. 11/28/2012
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