KBIS [030257]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 030257
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
957 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0955 PM SNOW SHERWOOD 48.96N 101.63W
11/02/2012 E3.5 INCH RENVILLE ND PUBLIC

RELAYED BY MEDIA


&&

$$

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KBIS [030250]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 030250
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
950 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 PM SNOW 4 S LAKE METIGOSHE STAT 48.93N 100.32W
11/02/2012 M5.0 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER REPORTED STORM TOTAL SNOW OF 5 INCHES. IT WAS
STILL SNOWING AT THE TIME OF OBSERVATION.


&&

$$

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KFGF [030230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 030230
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
930 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0929 PM SNOW DAZEY 47.19N 98.20W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH BARNES ND PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KFGF [030115]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFGF 030115
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
815 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM SNOW DEVILS LAKE 48.11N 98.87W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH RAMSEY ND TRAINED SPOTTER

0500 PM SNOW GRAND FORKS 47.92N 97.07W
11/02/2012 M1.7 INCH GRAND FORKS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0530 PM SNOW STARKWEATHER 48.45N 98.88W
11/02/2012 M2.7 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0545 PM SNOW HOPE 47.32N 97.72W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH STEELE ND PUBLIC

0545 PM SNOW 12 NW CAVALIER 48.92N 97.81W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH PEMBINA ND COCORAHS

0600 PM SNOW MOORHEAD 46.86N 96.76W
11/02/2012 M0.4 INCH CLAY MN CO-OP OBSERVER

OFFICIAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 6 PM FOR FARGO-MOORHEAD

0600 PM SNOW BATHGATE 48.88N 97.47W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

0608 PM SNOW CAVALIER 48.80N 97.62W
11/02/2012 M3.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

0630 PM SNOW ST. THOMAS 48.62N 97.45W
11/02/2012 M6.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

0730 PM SNOW RINDAL 47.50N 96.13W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH NORMAN MN PUBLIC

0730 PM SNOW ALVARADO 48.19N 97.00W
11/02/2012 M3.0 INCH MARSHALL MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KFGF [030106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 030106
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
806 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM SNOW RINDAL 47.50N 96.13W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH NORMAN MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KFGF [030038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KFGF 030038
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
738 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM SNOW ALVARADO 48.19N 97.00W
11/02/2012 M3.0 INCH MARSHALL MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 030038
SWODY1
SPC AC 030036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 030100Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID MS VALLEY AREA...

MOISTURE TRANSPORT WITH STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ BENEATH 7 C/KM
700-500 MB LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY
/MUCAPE AROUND 500 J/KG/ OVERNIGHT. INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT DUE
TO INTERACTION OF THE LLJ WITH PRE-EXISTING BAROCLINIC ZONE SHOULD
PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY FROM PARTS OF
CNTRL/NRN MO INTO SRN IL LATER TONIGHT.

..DIAL.. 11/03/2012

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KFGF [030034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 030034
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
734 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM SNOW ALVARADO 48.19N 97.00W
11/02/2012 M0.0 INCH MARSHALL MN PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KFGF [022356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 022356
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
656 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM SNOW ST. THOMAS 48.62N 97.45W
11/02/2012 M6.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KBIS [022315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022315
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
615 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM SNOW BOTTINEAU 48.83N 100.44W
11/02/2012 E1.0 INCH BOTTINEAU ND LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

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KBIS [022313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022313
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
613 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM SNOW 4 S LAKE METIGOSHE STAT 48.93N 100.32W
11/02/2012 M3.5 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

HAW

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KFGF [022313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 022313
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
613 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW GRAND FORKS 47.92N 97.07W
11/02/2012 M1.7 INCH GRAND FORKS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS


&&

$$

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KFGF [022312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 022312
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
612 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM SNOW STARKWEATHER 48.45N 98.88W
11/02/2012 M2.7 INCH RAMSEY ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0545 PM SNOW 12 NW CAVALIER 48.92N 97.81W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH PEMBINA ND COCORAHS

0545 PM SNOW HOPE 47.32N 97.72W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH STEELE ND PUBLIC

0600 PM SNOW BATHGATE 48.88N 97.47W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC

0600 PM SNOW MOORHEAD 46.86N 96.76W
11/02/2012 M0.4 INCH CLAY MN CO-OP OBSERVER

OFFICIAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 6 PM FOR FARGO-MOORHEAD

0608 PM SNOW CAVALIER 48.80N 97.62W
11/02/2012 M3.0 INCH PEMBINA ND PUBLIC


&&

$$

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KBIS [022312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022312
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
612 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0611 PM SNOW ROLETTE 48.66N 99.84W
11/02/2012 E3.0 INCH ROLETTE ND LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

HAW

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KBIS [022311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022311
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
611 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM SNOW ROLLA 48.86N 99.62W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH ROLETTE ND LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

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KBIS [022302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022302
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
602 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM SNOW ROLLA 48.86N 99.62W
11/02/2012 M6.0 INCH ROLETTE ND TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER MEASURED 6 INCHES OF SNOW IN THREE DIFFERENT
SPOTS


&&

$$

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KBIS [022302]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022302
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
602 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW ROLLA 48.86N 99.61W
11/02/2012 M4.0 INCH ROLETTE ND TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW. ONLY LIGHT SNOW IS
CURRENTLY FALLING.


&&

$$

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KBIS [022258]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022258
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
558 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0557 PM SNOW 6 WNW ST. JOHN 48.96N 99.84W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH ROLETTE ND TRAINED SPOTTER

OBSERVER REPORTED 2 INCHES OF SNOW


&&

$$

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KBIS [022200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KBIS 022200
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
459 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM SNOW DUNN CENTER 47.35N 102.62W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH DUNN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1143 AM SNOW 10 S MAXBASS 48.58N 101.14W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1218 PM SNOW BEULAH 47.26N 101.78W
11/02/2012 E1.0 INCH MERCER ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1220 PM FREEZING RAIN GRASSY BUTTE 47.39N 103.25W
11/02/2012 E0.15 INCH MCKENZIE ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0100 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0329 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

0439 PM SNOW DES LACS 48.26N 101.56W
11/02/2012 E3.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

0441 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

IN SOUTHWEST MINOT.

0442 PM SNOW HARVEY 47.77N 99.94W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH WELLS ND BROADCAST MEDIA

0454 PM SNOW HALLIDAY 47.35N 102.34W
11/02/2012 E3.5 INCH DUNN ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL...24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

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KBIS [022155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022155
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
455 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0454 PM SNOW HALLIDAY 47.35N 102.34W
11/02/2012 E3.5 INCH DUNN ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL...24 HOUR TOTAL


&&

$$

HAW

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KBIS [022150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KBIS 022150
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
449 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM SNOW DUNN CENTER 47.35N 102.62W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH DUNN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1143 AM SNOW 10 S MAXBASS 48.58N 101.14W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1218 PM SNOW BEULAH 47.26N 101.78W
11/02/2012 E1.0 INCH MERCER ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1220 PM FREEZING RAIN GRASSY BUTTE 47.39N 103.25W
11/02/2012 E0.15 INCH MCKENZIE ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0100 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0329 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

0439 PM SNOW DES LACS 48.26N 101.56W
11/02/2012 E3.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

0441 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

IN SOUTHWEST MINOT.

0442 PM SNOW HARVEY 47.77N 99.94W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH WELLS ND BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

HAW

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KBIS [022149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022149
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
449 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

HAW

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KBIS [022145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KBIS 022145
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
445 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM SNOW DUNN CENTER 47.35N 102.62W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH DUNN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1143 AM SNOW 10 S MAXBASS 48.58N 101.14W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1218 PM SNOW BEULAH 47.26N 101.78W
11/02/2012 E1.0 INCH MERCER ND TRAINED SPOTTER

1220 PM FREEZING RAIN GRASSY BUTTE 47.39N 103.25W
11/02/2012 E0.15 INCH MCKENZIE ND CO-OP OBSERVER

0329 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

0439 PM SNOW DES LACS 48.26N 101.56W
11/02/2012 E3.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

0441 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

IN SOUTHWEST MINOT.

0442 PM SNOW HARVEY 47.77N 99.94W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH WELLS ND BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [022142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022142
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
442 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0442 PM SNOW HARVEY 47.77N 99.94W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH WELLS ND BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [022142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022142
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
441 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

IN SOUTHWEST MINOT.


&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [022140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022140
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
440 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0439 PM SNOW DES LACS 48.26N 101.56W
11/02/2012 E3.0 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

$$

RK

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KBIS [022032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 022032
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
332 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0329 PM SNOW MINOT 48.23N 101.30W
11/02/2012 M2.5 INCH WARD ND BROADCAST MEDIA

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.


&&

$$

AYD

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KFGF [022032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 022032
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
332 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM SNOW CANDO 48.49N 99.20W
11/02/2012 E1.5 INCH TOWNER ND LAW ENFORCEMENT

TOWNER CO. SHERIFF REPORT


&&

$$

WBARRETT

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KFGF [022030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 022030
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
330 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM SNOW DEVILS LAKE 48.11N 98.87W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH RAMSEY ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

WBARRETT

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021949
SWODY1
SPC AC 021947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 022000Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE IS TO EXTEND THE
THUNDER AREA ALONG THE MIDDLE TX COAST NWD TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. OTHERWISE...THE OUTLOOK APPEARS TO BE ON
TRACK.

..BROYLES.. 11/02/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1103 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012/

...S TX...
VISIBLE SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING TRENDS SHOW SCATTERED CONVECTION
OCCURRING OFFSHORE WITHIN A CONFLUENCE ZONE AHEAD OF A WEAK MIDLEVEL
CIRCULATION. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG A
DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE LOWER-MID 80S...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-2000 J/KG. HOWEVER...WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND SPARSE
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

...MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
A SFC LOW AND ATTENDANT WARM FRONT WILL SHIFT EWD OUT OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS AND INTO WRN MO OVERNIGHT. MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR
ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING
LLJ...FOCUSING ASCENT MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/WRN MO AND INTO
SRN IL. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7 C/KM SHOULD AID IN MUCAPE
VALUES OF 300-500 J/KG...SUPPORTING ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT PRIMARILY AFTER 03/04Z. GIVEN THE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...ANY HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB-SVR...PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR SVR
PROBABILITIES ATTM.

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 021728
SWODY2
SPC AC 021726

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ARKLATEX...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S. ON
SATURDAY AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS AND
MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX FROM SCNTRL AR WSWWD TO AROUND DALLAS/FORT
WORTH. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WHEN INSTABILITY IS
FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE SHOULD BE
ENHANCED. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE BOUNDARY AT 00Z/SUN GENERALLY
SHOW ABOUT 1500 J/KG OF SBCAPE WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.
THIS COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS. SMALL HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES SHOULD MAKE ANY
SEVERE THREAT MARGINAL ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 11/02/2012

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KBIS [021721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021721
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1221 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM FREEZING RAIN GRASSY BUTTE 47.39N 103.25W
11/02/2012 E0.15 INCH MCKENZIE ND CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

LHUBER

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KBIS [021719]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021719
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1219 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1218 PM SNOW BEULAH 47.26N 101.78W
11/02/2012 E1.0 INCH MERCER ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LHUBER

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KBIS [021716]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021716
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1216 PM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1215 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LHUBER

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KBIS [021644]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021644
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1144 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1143 AM SNOW 10 S MAXBASS 48.58N 101.14W
11/02/2012 M1.5 INCH BOTTINEAU ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LHUBER

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KLWX [021620]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KLWX 021620
LSRLWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1220 PM EDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM COASTAL FLOOD 2 E RIDGE 38.12N 76.34W
10/29/2012 ST. MARYS MD PUBLIC

COUPLE OF INCHES OF WATER FLOWING ACROSS PARTS OF ST
JEROMES NECK RD


&&

EVENT NUMBER LWX1201524

$$

KLW

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KBIS [021620]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021620
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1120 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 AM SNOW DUNN CENTER 47.35N 102.62W
11/02/2012 E2.0 INCH DUNN ND TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

LHUBER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021605
SWODY1
SPC AC 021603

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...S TX...
VISIBLE SATELLITE AND LIGHTNING TRENDS SHOW SCATTERED CONVECTION
OCCURRING OFFSHORE WITHIN A CONFLUENCE ZONE AHEAD OF A WEAK MIDLEVEL
CIRCULATION. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG A
DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES ARE
FORECAST TO WARM INTO THE LOWER-MID 80S...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OF
1000-2000 J/KG. HOWEVER...WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND SPARSE
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.

...MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...
A SFC LOW AND ATTENDANT WARM FRONT WILL SHIFT EWD OUT OF THE CNTRL
PLAINS AND INTO WRN MO OVERNIGHT. MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/WARM AIR
ADVECTION IS FORECAST TO OCCUR IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING
LLJ...FOCUSING ASCENT MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/WRN MO AND INTO
SRN IL. MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7 C/KM SHOULD AID IN MUCAPE
VALUES OF 300-500 J/KG...SUPPORTING ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT PRIMARILY AFTER 03/04Z. GIVEN THE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
ENVIRONMENT...ANY HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB-SVR...PRECLUDING THE NEED FOR SVR
PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..ROGERS/EDWARDS.. 11/02/2012

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KBIS [021404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 021404
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
904 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
11/02/2012 M1.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SO FAR...


&&

$$

LHUBER

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KGGW [021359]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 021359
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
759 AM MDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FREEZING RAIN 30 S FLAXVILLE 48.37N 105.17W
11/02/2012 E0.00 INCH ROOSEVELT MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS WERE REPORTED.


&&

$$

TEDJ

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KRLX [021337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 021337
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
937 AM EDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 AM SNOW WEBSTER SPRINGS 38.48N 80.41W
10/31/2012 E36.0 INCH WEBSTER WV BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** AS REPORTED FROM THE MEDIA. A 71 YEAR
OLD WEBSTER COUNTY WOMAN WAS FOUND UNDER 3 FEET OF SNOW
IN HER DRIVEWAY. SHE WAS LAST SEEN ON MONDAY AND WAS
DISCOVERED ON WEDNESDAY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1200655

$$

ARB

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KGGW [021322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 021322
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
722 AM MDT FRI NOV 02 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0702 AM FREEZING RAIN PLENTYWOOD 48.77N 104.56W
11/02/2012 U0.00 INCH SHERIDAN MT CO-OP OBSERVER

A CO OP OBSERVER CALLED TO REPORT FREEZING RAIN. THE RAIN
WAS NOT FREEZING TO HIS VEHICLE...BUT SOME AREAS WERE
SLIPPERY ON THE ROADS.


&&

$$

JB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 021235
SWODY1
SPC AC 021232

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 021300Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS BEEN NOTED IN SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE PW ESTIMATES...AND OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM
00Z TO 12Z ALONG THE TX COAST. MEANWHILE...A DIFFUSE SRN STREAM
TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT EWD OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY
TODAY. THE MOISTURE INCREASE ALONG WITH STRONG DAYTIME HEATING WILL
RESULT IN MINIMAL CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND MLCAPE VALUES OF
2000-3000 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE MIDDLE AND LOWER TX COAST.
THE APPROACHING MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND SEA BREEZE COULD SUPPORT
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH SPARSE
STORM COVERAGE AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIMIT THE RISK OF
HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS.

OTHERWISE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL
PROGRESS ESEWD AND APPROACH THE MIDDLE AND UPPER MS VALLEY BY 12Z
SATURDAY. AN ASSOCIATED WEAK LEE CYCLONE IN WRN KS WILL DEVELOP EWD
TO SRN MO IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH...AND THIS WILL
INDUCE A SWLY/WSWLY LLJ FROM THE SRN PLAINS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY
TONIGHT. MOISTENING ABOVE A COOL BOUNDARY LAYER AND MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES NEAR 7 C/KM WILL SUPPORT MUCAPE AOA 500 J/KG OVERNIGHT ACROSS
PARTS OF THE MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEYS...WHEN A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE WAA REGIME.

..THOMPSON/LEITMAN.. 11/02/2012

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 020822
SWOD48
SPC AC 020821

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 051200Z - 101200Z

...DISCUSSION...
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRI/D8.

AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD...AN UPPER TROUGH WILL BE SITUATED
OVER THE ERN STATES WITH GENERALLY DRY WEATHER. A DISTINCT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS FORECAST BY SEVERAL MODELS TO MOVE ACROSS THE SERN STATES
ON TUE/D5...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS FL DURING THE DAY.
ALTHOUGH SOME STORMS MAY OCCUR...THEY SHOULD BE WEAK WITH LITTLE
INSTABILITY.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS TROUGH...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN OFFSHORE
FLOW ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE ATLANTIC...WITH LITTLE THREAT
OF STORMS.

BY FRI/D8...MODELS INDICATE A LARGE TROUGH AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE WRN
STATES. THIS WILL CREATE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND HELP
DRAW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE NWD. WHILE SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
THROUGH D8...THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

..JEWELL.. 11/02/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 020600
SWODY2
SPC AC 020558

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT FRI NOV 02 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A CONFLUENT FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES WITH A
SEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTING THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE A
SRN STREAM TROUGH MOVES EWD ACROSS TX. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
WILL EXTEND FROM TX SWWD TO THE RED RIVER AROUND 00Z ALONG WITH A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN MID
50S F TO NEAR 60 F DEWPOINTS...CREATING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS.

...NERN TX...SRN AR...FAR SRN OK AND NWRN LA...
STRONG HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR AN UNCAPPED AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE TO
DEVELOP FROM NERN TX INTO SRN AR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW AMPLE
INSTABILITY FOR STRONG STORMS. AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES
SWD...CONVERGENCE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW
OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OR WIND. WIND SHEAR
WILL BE WEAK...AND WILL FAVOR S TO SWWD PROPAGATING STORMS BEGINNING
IN AR...THEN SPREADING INTO NERN TX OVERNIGHT.

..JEWELL.. 11/02/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 020456
SWODY3
SPC AC 020455

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2012

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A MEAN TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS THE ERN U.S. WITH A RIDGE OVER THE W
COAST. WITHIN THE BROADER TROUGH...A SHORTWAVE WILL TRAVEL SEWD
ACROSS THE OH VALLEY REGION DURING THE DAY...THEN WILL SHIFT EWD
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...A WEAK LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH WILL EXIST ACROSS SRN SC INTO SERN GA...THEN
TRAILING WWD ALONG THE GULF COAST AND INTO CNTRL TX. HEATING ALONG
THIS BOUNDARY...AS WELL AS MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY RESULT
IN ISOLATED DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS.

...CNTRL AND SRN SC INTO FAR SERN GA...
A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT COULD MATERIALIZE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
STRONG HEATING AS WELL AS CONVERGENT SURFACE WINDS MAY PROVE
SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT. MUCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG IS
EXPECTED ALONG WITH MODERATE MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW WHICH MAY FAVOR
A FEW LONG LIVED STORMS. MARGINAL HAIL AND WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE.
GIVEN MARGINAL NATURE OF THE THREAT AND SMALL AREAL
COVERAGE...PREDICTABILITY ISSUES WILL PRECLUDE ANY SEVERE
PROBABILITIES THIS OUTLOOK.

..JEWELL.. 11/02/2012

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020451
SWODY1
SPC AC 020449

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2012

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID MS VALLEY REGION...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL
CONTINUE ESEWD...REACHING THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. A
SWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS FEATURE CONTRIBUTING TO MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND
INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT AS IT INTERACTS WITH A NW-SE ORIENTED
BAROCLINIC ZONE. A FEW ELEVATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A
RESULT OF THIS PROCESS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM ERN MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...SRN
IND AND WRN KY.

...S TX...

A WEAK UPPER LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SEWD THROUGH S TX. WITH AMPLE INSOLATION...THE ATMOSPHERE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE. COMBINATION OF SEABREEZE
CIRCULATIONS AND THE WEAK UPPER LOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR
AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL.. 11/02/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 020450
SWODY2
SPC AC 020449

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A CONFLUENT FLOW PATTERN WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CNTRL STATES WITH A
SEWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH AFFECTING THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE A
SRN STREAM TROUGH MOVES EWD ACROSS TX. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT
WILL EXTEND FROM TX SWWD TO THE RED RIVER AROUND 00Z ALONG WITH A
PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH. SLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MAINTAIN MID
50S F TO NEAR 60 F DEWPOINTS...CREATING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS.

...NERN TX...SRN AR...FAR SRN OK AND NWRN LA...
STRONG HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR AN UNCAPPED AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE TO
DEVELOP FROM NERN TX INTO SRN AR. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW AMPLE
INSTABILITY FOR STRONG STORMS. AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES
SWD...CONVERGENCE MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW
OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL OR WIND. WIND SHEAR
WILL BE WEAK...AND WILL FAVOR S TO SWWD PROPAGATING STORMS BEGINNING
IN AR...THEN SPREADING INTO NERN TX OVERNIGHT.

..JEWELL.. 11/02/2012

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