Friday, November 2, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 020451
SWODY1
SPC AC 020449

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT THU NOV 01 2012

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...MID MS VALLEY REGION...

PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH NOW MOVING INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS WILL
CONTINUE ESEWD...REACHING THE UPPER MS VALLEY LATER FRIDAY NIGHT. A
SWLY LLJ WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THIS FEATURE CONTRIBUTING TO MODEST ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND
INCREASING ISENTROPIC ASCENT AS IT INTERACTS WITH A NW-SE ORIENTED
BAROCLINIC ZONE. A FEW ELEVATED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A
RESULT OF THIS PROCESS FRIDAY NIGHT FROM ERN MO...CNTRL/SRN IL...SRN
IND AND WRN KY.

...S TX...

A WEAK UPPER LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN LIGHT WINDS ALOFT WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SEWD THROUGH S TX. WITH AMPLE INSOLATION...THE ATMOSPHERE IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE. COMBINATION OF SEABREEZE
CIRCULATIONS AND THE WEAK UPPER LOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR
AT LEAST ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP SHOULD DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL.. 11/02/2012

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