NWUS55 KTFX 082238
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
437 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM HAIL 2 WNW HAYS 48.00N 108.68W
07/08/2013 E0.75 INCH BLAINE MT TRAINED SPOTTER
ESTIMATED UP TO PENNY SIZE HAIL
&&
$$
UTTECH
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Monday, July 8, 2013
KOAX [082237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 082237
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
536 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM HAIL 3 NE WHITING 42.16N 96.11W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH MONONA IA PUBLIC
SOME TREE BRANCHES ALSO BLOWN DOWN WITH THUNDERSTORM
WINDS.
&&
$$
VDEWALD
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LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
536 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0335 PM HAIL 3 NE WHITING 42.16N 96.11W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH MONONA IA PUBLIC
SOME TREE BRANCHES ALSO BLOWN DOWN WITH THUNDERSTORM
WINDS.
&&
$$
VDEWALD
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KBYZ [082232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082232
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
432 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0428 PM TSTM WND GST 10 ESE LAVINA 46.24N 108.75W
07/08/2013 E60 MPH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
432 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0428 PM TSTM WND GST 10 ESE LAVINA 46.24N 108.75W
07/08/2013 E60 MPH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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KMSO [082227]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082227
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
426 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HAIL 7 SSE CONDON 47.44N 113.65W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH MISSOULA MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
426 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HAIL 7 SSE CONDON 47.44N 113.65W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH MISSOULA MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KUNR [082226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KUNR 082226
LSRUNR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
426 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HAIL 8 S DEADWOOD 44.26N 103.73W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
ME
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LSRUNR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
426 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0425 PM HAIL 8 S DEADWOOD 44.26N 103.73W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
ME
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KBYZ [082225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082225
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
425 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM TSTM WND GST 8 SSW FLATWILLOW 46.73N 108.48W
07/08/2013 E60.00 MPH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
0415 PM HAIL 8 SSW FLATWILLOW 46.73N 108.48W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
425 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM TSTM WND GST 8 SSW FLATWILLOW 46.73N 108.48W
07/08/2013 E60.00 MPH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
0415 PM HAIL 8 SSW FLATWILLOW 46.73N 108.48W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH MUSSELSHELL MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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KUNR [082223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KUNR 082223
LSRUNR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
423 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM HAIL 3 NE WEWELA 43.04N 99.74W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH TRIPP SD PUBLIC
&&
$$
POJORLIE
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LSRUNR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
423 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0415 PM HAIL 3 NE WEWELA 43.04N 99.74W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH TRIPP SD PUBLIC
&&
$$
POJORLIE
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KAPX [082214]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KAPX 082214
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
613 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0613 PM HEAVY RAIN LOVELLS 44.81N 84.47W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD MI PUBLIC
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
613 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0613 PM HEAVY RAIN LOVELLS 44.81N 84.47W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH CRAWFORD MI PUBLIC
HEAVY RAIN DURATION 12 HOURS
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KBYZ [082207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082207
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
407 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0327 PM HAIL 12 S SHAWMUT 46.17N 109.52W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH GOLDEN VALLEY MT PUBLIC
WINDOWS BROKEN BY HAIL
0355 PM TSTM WND GST N RYEGATE 46.30N 109.26W
07/08/2013 E60.00 MPH GOLDEN VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER
ALSO LOTS OF MARBLE SIZED HAIL PILED UP ON DECK.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
407 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0327 PM HAIL 12 S SHAWMUT 46.17N 109.52W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH GOLDEN VALLEY MT PUBLIC
WINDOWS BROKEN BY HAIL
0355 PM TSTM WND GST N RYEGATE 46.30N 109.26W
07/08/2013 E60.00 MPH GOLDEN VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER
ALSO LOTS OF MARBLE SIZED HAIL PILED UP ON DECK.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 401
WWUS20 KWNS 082204
SEL1
SPC WW 082204
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-090500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF
MILES CITY MONTANA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GILLETTE
WYOMING. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...WW 399...WW 400...
DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
ARE ONGOING ATTM ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ADJACENT
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OVER CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MONTANA. WITH THE AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY EXTENDING
SSEWD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MT/NORTHEASTERN WY AND INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE MOVING
EASTWARD/EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THIS AREA. SHEAR REMAINS
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS...AND MAY INCREASE WITH TIME
AS A MID-LEVEL JET STREAK SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE SHEAR AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY...VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...GOSS
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SEL1
SPC WW 082204
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-090500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 401
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF
MILES CITY MONTANA TO 75 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GILLETTE
WYOMING. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...WW 399...WW 400...
DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
ARE ONGOING ATTM ACROSS THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ADJACENT
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS...WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OVER CENTRAL AND
EASTERN MONTANA. WITH THE AXIS OF GREATEST INSTABILITY EXTENDING
SSEWD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MT/NORTHEASTERN WY AND INTO PARTS OF
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA...EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE MOVING
EASTWARD/EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THIS AREA. SHEAR REMAINS
SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS...AND MAY INCREASE WITH TIME
AS A MID-LEVEL JET STREAK SHIFTS EWD ACROSS THE NORTHERN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE SHEAR AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY...VERY LARGE HAIL AND STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE
EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...GOSS
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KDTX [082205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDTX 082205
LSRDTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
605 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM HEAVY RAIN RIVERVIEW 42.17N 83.19W
07/08/2013 M3.00 INCH WAYNE MI TRAINED SPOTTER
3 HOUR STORM TOTAL. 15 INCHES OF PONDING WATER ALSO
REPORTED.
&&
$$
MOSTEIKO
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LSRDTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
605 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0555 PM HEAVY RAIN RIVERVIEW 42.17N 83.19W
07/08/2013 M3.00 INCH WAYNE MI TRAINED SPOTTER
3 HOUR STORM TOTAL. 15 INCHES OF PONDING WATER ALSO
REPORTED.
&&
$$
MOSTEIKO
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KTWC [082203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTWC 082203
LSRTWC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
303 PM MST MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0259 PM BLOWING DUST 6 W PIRTLEVILLE 31.37N 109.66W
07/08/2013 COCHISE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS BLOWING DUST MOVING TO HIGHWAY
80...VISIBILITY AT 3 QUARTERS OF A MILE
&&
EVENT NUMBER TWC1300037
$$
RH
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LSRTWC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
303 PM MST MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0259 PM BLOWING DUST 6 W PIRTLEVILLE 31.37N 109.66W
07/08/2013 COCHISE AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTS BLOWING DUST MOVING TO HIGHWAY
80...VISIBILITY AT 3 QUARTERS OF A MILE
&&
EVENT NUMBER TWC1300037
$$
RH
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KTFX [082200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082200
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
400 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL TOSTON 46.19N 111.44W
07/08/2013 M1.25 INCH BROADWATER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
400 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL TOSTON 46.19N 111.44W
07/08/2013 M1.25 INCH BROADWATER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KTFX [082156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082156
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
356 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 AM HAIL GERALDINE 47.60N 110.27W
07/07/2013 E1.00 INCH CHOUTEAU MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
356 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 AM HAIL GERALDINE 47.60N 110.27W
07/07/2013 E1.00 INCH CHOUTEAU MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KMSO [082152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082152
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
352 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM HAIL 4 WNW CHARLO 47.45N 114.25W
07/08/2013 E0.75 INCH LAKE MT PUBLIC
DIME TO PENNEY SIZED HAIL
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
352 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0351 PM HAIL 4 WNW CHARLO 47.45N 114.25W
07/08/2013 E0.75 INCH LAKE MT PUBLIC
DIME TO PENNEY SIZED HAIL
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KBYZ [082148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082148
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
348 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0323 PM HAIL 12 SE BARBER 46.20N 109.67W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH SWEET GRASS MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
348 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0323 PM HAIL 12 SE BARBER 46.20N 109.67W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH SWEET GRASS MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
CHURCH
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KBYZ [082145]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082145
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
345 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S RYEGATE 46.23N 109.27W
07/08/2013 E60 MPH GOLDEN VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER
STRONG WIND GUSTS AHEAD OF APPROACHING STORM.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
345 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S RYEGATE 46.23N 109.27W
07/08/2013 E60 MPH GOLDEN VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER
STRONG WIND GUSTS AHEAD OF APPROACHING STORM.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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KTFX [082144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082144
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
344 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HAIL 8 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN 46.55N 111.07W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
344 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0200 PM HAIL 8 W WHITE SULPHUR SPRIN 46.55N 111.07W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1349
ACUS11 KWNS 082142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082142
NEZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-082345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1349
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0442 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN MT...ERN WY...WRN SD...NEB PANHANDLE.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 082142Z - 082345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WW LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED OVER AT LEAST SERN PORTIONS MT
AHEAD OF SVR CONVECTION EXITING WW 398. MORE CONDITIONAL SVR
POTENTIAL EXTENDS SWD ACROSS ERN WY AND PORTIONS WRN SD/NEB
PANHANDLE. WW MAY INCLUDE SOME OF THOSE AREAS AS WELL.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION NOW OVER CENTRAL MT IS EXPECTED TO EXIT WW
398 AROUND 2230Z...WHILE PROCEEDING INTO FAVORABLE AIR MASS. NARROW
CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY MAXIMIZED BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE EXTENDS NWWD
FROM SRN SD AROUND AREA OF STABILIZED AIR FROM EARLIER CLOUDS/PRECIP
OVER CENTRAL/WRN SD...INTO SERN/E-CENTRAL MT. THIS SUPPORTS
1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE OVER ERN MT AND NERN WY. FARTHER S...WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN
WY...BUT APPEARS TO BE STRUGGLING WITH MASS CONTINUITY. BUOYANCY
AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EACH INCREASE WITH EWD EXTENT FROM THAT
ACTIVITY...WITH SFC DEW POINTS 40S OVER MUCH OF ERN WY AND 50S OVER
NEB PANHANDLE W OF WW 400.
MODIFIED RAOBS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS EACH INDICATING MLCAPE 500-1000
J/KG NEAR WY/NEB BORDER AND INCREASING EWD. DEEP SHEAR DECREASES
WITH SWD EXTENT...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES GENERALLY 30-40 KT
OVER SERN MT AND FCST TO INCREASE WITH TIME AS NRN ROCKIES SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APCHS. MEANWHILE EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES SHOULD REMAIN IN
25-35 KT RANGE OVER ERN WY...SWRN SD AND WRN NEB. MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY SHOWS STG DRYING AND IMPLIED SUBSIDENCE ALOFT OVER ERN
WY/NEB PANHANDLE REGION...BEHIND SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW CROSSING
S-CENTRAL SD AND N-CENTRAL NEB.
..EDWARDS/GOSS.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...
LAT...LON 41130275 41380541 45150664 46640776 46720426 45850397
44500352 43540280 41610262 41130275
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082142
NEZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-082345-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1349
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0442 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SERN MT...ERN WY...WRN SD...NEB PANHANDLE.
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 082142Z - 082345Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...WW LIKELY WILL BE REQUIRED OVER AT LEAST SERN PORTIONS MT
AHEAD OF SVR CONVECTION EXITING WW 398. MORE CONDITIONAL SVR
POTENTIAL EXTENDS SWD ACROSS ERN WY AND PORTIONS WRN SD/NEB
PANHANDLE. WW MAY INCLUDE SOME OF THOSE AREAS AS WELL.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION NOW OVER CENTRAL MT IS EXPECTED TO EXIT WW
398 AROUND 2230Z...WHILE PROCEEDING INTO FAVORABLE AIR MASS. NARROW
CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY MAXIMIZED BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE EXTENDS NWWD
FROM SRN SD AROUND AREA OF STABILIZED AIR FROM EARLIER CLOUDS/PRECIP
OVER CENTRAL/WRN SD...INTO SERN/E-CENTRAL MT. THIS SUPPORTS
1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE OVER ERN MT AND NERN WY. FARTHER S...WIDELY
SCATTERED CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN OF ERN
WY...BUT APPEARS TO BE STRUGGLING WITH MASS CONTINUITY. BUOYANCY
AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EACH INCREASE WITH EWD EXTENT FROM THAT
ACTIVITY...WITH SFC DEW POINTS 40S OVER MUCH OF ERN WY AND 50S OVER
NEB PANHANDLE W OF WW 400.
MODIFIED RAOBS AND MODEL SOUNDINGS EACH INDICATING MLCAPE 500-1000
J/KG NEAR WY/NEB BORDER AND INCREASING EWD. DEEP SHEAR DECREASES
WITH SWD EXTENT...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES GENERALLY 30-40 KT
OVER SERN MT AND FCST TO INCREASE WITH TIME AS NRN ROCKIES SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APCHS. MEANWHILE EFFECTIVE SHEAR MAGNITUDES SHOULD REMAIN IN
25-35 KT RANGE OVER ERN WY...SWRN SD AND WRN NEB. MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY SHOWS STG DRYING AND IMPLIED SUBSIDENCE ALOFT OVER ERN
WY/NEB PANHANDLE REGION...BEHIND SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW CROSSING
S-CENTRAL SD AND N-CENTRAL NEB.
..EDWARDS/GOSS.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...LBF...UNR...CYS...BYZ...GGW...RIW...
LAT...LON 41130275 41380541 45150664 46640776 46720426 45850397
44500352 43540280 41610262 41130275
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KLBF [082142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 082142
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
442 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0441 PM HAIL 9 N SPRINGVIEW 42.96N 99.75W
07/08/2013 M1.50 INCH KEYA PAHA NE PUBLIC
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
442 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0441 PM HAIL 9 N SPRINGVIEW 42.96N 99.75W
07/08/2013 M1.50 INCH KEYA PAHA NE PUBLIC
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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KMSO [082138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082138
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
337 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM HAIL 1 N MOIESE 47.38N 114.26W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH LAKE MT PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT NATIONAL BISON RANGE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
337 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0334 PM HAIL 1 N MOIESE 47.38N 114.26W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH LAKE MT PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZED HAIL AT NATIONAL BISON RANGE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KBMX [082136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 082136
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
436 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0434 PM HEAVY RAIN GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
07/08/2013 E0.00 INCH ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER WAS REPORTED COVERING 4TH STREET, LAKE STREET, AND
CHESNUT STREET IN GADSDEN.
&&
$$
JTALLEY
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LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
436 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0434 PM HEAVY RAIN GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
07/08/2013 E0.00 INCH ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER WAS REPORTED COVERING 4TH STREET, LAKE STREET, AND
CHESNUT STREET IN GADSDEN.
&&
$$
JTALLEY
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KGGW [082134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGGW 082134
LSRGGW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
334 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL 10 SW NELSON CREEK RECR 47.44N 106.36W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL JUST STARTED WITH HEAVY RAIN...ESTIMATED WIND GUST
OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
&&
$$
MATTM
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LSRGGW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
334 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL 10 SW NELSON CREEK RECR 47.44N 106.36W
07/08/2013 E1.00 INCH GARFIELD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL JUST STARTED WITH HEAVY RAIN...ESTIMATED WIND GUST
OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
&&
$$
MATTM
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KBMX [082125]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 082125
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
425 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0419 PM HEAVY RAIN N CENTRE 34.16N 85.67W
07/08/2013 U0.00 INCH CHEROKEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
PARK STREET NEAR ALABAMA HIGHWAY 9 HAS BECOME IMPASSIBLE
DUE TO WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY. ONE PERSON HAD TO BE
RESCUED FROM THEIR VEHICLE.
&&
$$
JTALLEY
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
425 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0419 PM HEAVY RAIN N CENTRE 34.16N 85.67W
07/08/2013 U0.00 INCH CHEROKEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
PARK STREET NEAR ALABAMA HIGHWAY 9 HAS BECOME IMPASSIBLE
DUE TO WATER COVERING THE ROADWAY. ONE PERSON HAD TO BE
RESCUED FROM THEIR VEHICLE.
&&
$$
JTALLEY
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KBGM [082114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBGM 082114
LSRBGM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
514 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HEAVY RAIN CHENANGO BRIDGE 42.17N 75.87W
07/08/2013 M2.10 INCH BROOME NY TRAINED SPOTTER
RAIN FELL IN ONE HALF HOUR TIMEFRAME.
&&
$$
MJN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRBGM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
514 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HEAVY RAIN CHENANGO BRIDGE 42.17N 75.87W
07/08/2013 M2.10 INCH BROOME NY TRAINED SPOTTER
RAIN FELL IN ONE HALF HOUR TIMEFRAME.
&&
$$
MJN
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KSLC [082112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KSLC 082112
LSRSLC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
311 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM TSTM WND GST 4 WSW LEHI 40.37N 111.92W
07/08/2013 M59 MPH UTAH UT MESONET
PIONEER CROSSING SENSOR UTPCR
&&
$$
CRK
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRSLC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
311 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM TSTM WND GST 4 WSW LEHI 40.37N 111.92W
07/08/2013 M59 MPH UTAH UT MESONET
PIONEER CROSSING SENSOR UTPCR
&&
$$
CRK
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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KTFX [082107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082107
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
306 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL 5 SW UTICA 46.92N 110.17W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
306 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL 5 SW UTICA 46.92N 110.17W
07/08/2013 E1.75 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KBYZ [082102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBYZ 082102
LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
302 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM HAIL 7 S TWODOT 46.32N 110.10W
07/08/2013 E1.50 INCH WHEATLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER
LOTS OF HAIL, ALSO STRONG WINDS TAKING DOWN SOME SMALL
BRANCHES.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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LSRBYZ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
302 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0255 PM HAIL 7 S TWODOT 46.32N 110.10W
07/08/2013 E1.50 INCH WHEATLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER
LOTS OF HAIL, ALSO STRONG WINDS TAKING DOWN SOME SMALL
BRANCHES.
&&
$$
CHURCH
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 400
WWUS20 KWNS 082100
SEL0
SPC WW 082100
NEZ000-SDZ000-090200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO
2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MULLEN NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ONEILL NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...WW 399...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM SOON OVER NORTH
CENTRAL NEB AND SOUTH CENTRAL SD...SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. STRONG INSTABILITY
COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED
MULTICELL TO SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. STORMS WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS THIS
EVENING AS THEY TRACK ACROSS THE WATCH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
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SEL0
SPC WW 082100
NEZ000-SDZ000-090200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO
2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 85 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MULLEN NEBRASKA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
ONEILL NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...WW 399...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM SOON OVER NORTH
CENTRAL NEB AND SOUTH CENTRAL SD...SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. STRONG INSTABILITY
COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE ORGANIZED
MULTICELL TO SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS. STORMS WILL LIKELY ORGANIZE INTO BOWING SEGMENTS THIS
EVENING AS THEY TRACK ACROSS THE WATCH.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
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KLBF [082100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 082100
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
400 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NE GRANT 40.93N 101.62W
07/07/2013 PERKINS NE PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST BLEW DOWN AND DAMAGED CORN
CROPS.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
400 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NE GRANT 40.93N 101.62W
07/07/2013 PERKINS NE PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WIND GUST BLEW DOWN AND DAMAGED CORN
CROPS.
&&
$$
JGOMEZ
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KTFX [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082057
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
257 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0224 PM HAIL 5 SE HOBSON 46.95N 109.80W
07/08/2013 M1.00 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
257 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0224 PM HAIL 5 SE HOBSON 46.95N 109.80W
07/08/2013 M1.00 INCH JUDITH BASIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KTFX [082055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082055
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
255 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM HAIL 10 S MOORE 46.83N 109.69W
07/08/2013 E1.50 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
255 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0240 PM HAIL 10 S MOORE 46.83N 109.69W
07/08/2013 E1.50 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KPAH [082053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KPAH 082053
LSRPAH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
353 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S KEVIL 37.07N 88.89W
07/06/2013 BALLARD KY NWS STORM SURVEY
1 FARM BUILDING OVERTURNED AND THE SIDEWALLS OF AN
EQUIPMENT SHED WERE BLOWN IN APPROXIMATELY A FOOT.
SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN.
&&
$$
RICKS
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LSRPAH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
353 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0610 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S KEVIL 37.07N 88.89W
07/06/2013 BALLARD KY NWS STORM SURVEY
1 FARM BUILDING OVERTURNED AND THE SIDEWALLS OF AN
EQUIPMENT SHED WERE BLOWN IN APPROXIMATELY A FOOT.
SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN.
&&
$$
RICKS
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KTFX [082051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082051
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
251 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM HAIL 4 W BELGRADE 45.78N 111.26W
07/08/2013 M0.75 INCH GALLATIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
251 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0212 PM HAIL 4 W BELGRADE 45.78N 111.26W
07/08/2013 M0.75 INCH GALLATIN MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KMSO [082049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082049
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
248 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM HAIL PARADISE 47.39N 114.81W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH SANDERS MT PUBLIC
DIME SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
248 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0244 PM HAIL PARADISE 47.39N 114.81W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH SANDERS MT PUBLIC
DIME SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KTFX [082047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082047
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
247 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM HAIL WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS 46.55N 110.90W
07/08/2013 E0.70 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
247 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 PM HAIL WHITE SULPHUR SPRINGS 46.55N 110.90W
07/08/2013 E0.70 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KTFX [082046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082046
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
245 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM HAIL 20 SE WHITE SULPHUR SPR 46.34N 110.61W
07/08/2013 M0.70 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
245 PM MDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0215 PM HAIL 20 SE WHITE SULPHUR SPR 46.34N 110.61W
07/08/2013 M0.70 INCH MEAGHER MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
JNS
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KLWX [082040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KLWX 082040
LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
440 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0413 PM TSTM WND DMG BAKERTON 39.36N 77.76W
07/07/2013 JEFFERSON WV 911 CALL CENTER
DOWNED TREE BLOCKING ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300605
$$
JRK
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LSRLWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
440 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0413 PM TSTM WND DMG BAKERTON 39.36N 77.76W
07/07/2013 JEFFERSON WV 911 CALL CENTER
DOWNED TREE BLOCKING ROAD
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX1300605
$$
JRK
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KAPX [082034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KAPX 082034
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
433 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0432 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E LUZERNE 44.62N 84.23W
07/08/2013 M1.38 INCH OSCODA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE NOON TODAY.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
433 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0432 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 E LUZERNE 44.62N 84.23W
07/08/2013 M1.38 INCH OSCODA MI TRAINED SPOTTER
SINCE NOON TODAY.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [082028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082028
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
227 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0226 PM HEAVY RAIN COLUMBIA FALLS 48.37N 114.18W
07/08/2013 E1.10 INCH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
IN 40 MINUTES.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
227 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0226 PM HEAVY RAIN COLUMBIA FALLS 48.37N 114.18W
07/08/2013 E1.10 INCH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
IN 40 MINUTES.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [082023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 082023
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
222 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0221 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WSW COLUMBIA FALLS 48.37N 114.21W
07/08/2013 E50 MPH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
222 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0221 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WSW COLUMBIA FALLS 48.37N 114.21W
07/08/2013 E50 MPH FLATHEAD MT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1348
ACUS11 KWNS 082022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082021
IAZ000-NEZ000-082115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL AND CNTRL IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 082021Z - 082115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A
QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY OVER W-CNTRL AND CNTRL IA...AND MAY POSE A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS. DUE TO THE EXPECTED
LOCALIZED NATURE OF THE THREAT...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.
DISCUSSION...MCV CLEARLY EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE MO RIVER...AND IS PROGRESSING EWD INTO SW
AND CNTRL IA. INCREASING ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IS APPROACHING
A WEAKLY CONVERGENT QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY DRAPED W-E ACROSS IA
/POSITIONED FROM NEAR SUX TO 10 S ALO AS OF 20Z/. ONE LONE TSTM WAS
NOTED OVER MONONA COUNTY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND WAS SHOWING SIGNS
OF INCREASING INTENSITY. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS INTO CNTRL PORTIONS OF IA...PRIMARILY
ALONG THE BOUNDARY. STRONG HEATING WITHIN A MOISTURE-RICH BOUNDARY
LAYER IS YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG. THIS...ALONG
WITH MODERATE EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 30 KTS...COULD RESULT IN BRIEF
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH AN ENHANCED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR IS EXPECTED TO
BE SPARSE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION...GIVEN BACKGROUND MIDLEVEL
RIDGING/HEIGHT RISES IN THE WAKE OF AN EARLIER SHORTWAVE UPPER
TROUGH...WHICH WILL PROBABLY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..ROGERS/HART.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 41929337 41939484 41939590 41999640 42319662 42589635
42719571 42779459 42789385 42859311 42709254 42139246
41929337
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082021
IAZ000-NEZ000-082115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1348
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL AND CNTRL IA
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 082021Z - 082115Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED TSTMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG A
QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY OVER W-CNTRL AND CNTRL IA...AND MAY POSE A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS. DUE TO THE EXPECTED
LOCALIZED NATURE OF THE THREAT...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.
DISCUSSION...MCV CLEARLY EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE MO RIVER...AND IS PROGRESSING EWD INTO SW
AND CNTRL IA. INCREASING ASCENT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IS APPROACHING
A WEAKLY CONVERGENT QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY DRAPED W-E ACROSS IA
/POSITIONED FROM NEAR SUX TO 10 S ALO AS OF 20Z/. ONE LONE TSTM WAS
NOTED OVER MONONA COUNTY ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND WAS SHOWING SIGNS
OF INCREASING INTENSITY. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HRS INTO CNTRL PORTIONS OF IA...PRIMARILY
ALONG THE BOUNDARY. STRONG HEATING WITHIN A MOISTURE-RICH BOUNDARY
LAYER IS YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG. THIS...ALONG
WITH MODERATE EFFECTIVE SHEAR NEAR 30 KTS...COULD RESULT IN BRIEF
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH AN ENHANCED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS. THE PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR IS EXPECTED TO
BE SPARSE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION...GIVEN BACKGROUND MIDLEVEL
RIDGING/HEIGHT RISES IN THE WAKE OF AN EARLIER SHORTWAVE UPPER
TROUGH...WHICH WILL PROBABLY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..ROGERS/HART.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...
LAT...LON 41929337 41939484 41939590 41999640 42319662 42589635
42719571 42779459 42789385 42859311 42709254 42139246
41929337
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KBGM [082022]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KBGM 082022
LSRBGM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
422 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0545 PM HEAVY RAIN PORT DICKINSON 42.14N 75.89W
07/07/2013 M2.20 INCH BROOME NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RAIN FELL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR.
0545 PM FLASH FLOOD PORT CRANE 42.17N 75.83W
07/07/2013 BROOME NY EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF PORT CRANE.
0600 PM FLASH FLOOD PORT CRANE 42.17N 75.83W
07/07/2013 BROOME NY EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS NEAR PORT CRANE EXIT...NEAR
SR36 AND PINE STREET...HELPED TO COLLAPSE HEAD WALL AT A
CONSTRUCTION SITE. WALL FELL INTO CREEK.
0635 PM HEAVY RAIN CHENANGO BRIDGE 42.17N 75.87W
07/07/2013 M2.30 INCH BROOME NY TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 45 MINUTES... WATER RUNNING ACROSS ROADS...
BRIEF POWER OUTAGE
0818 PM FLASH FLOOD SHERBURNE 42.68N 75.50W
07/07/2013 CHENANGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF SHERBURNE.
0900 PM FLASH FLOOD UTICA 43.10N 75.23W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
MAJOR ROAD FLOODING IN UTICA ON GENESSEE STREET...
OSWEGO STREET... NOYES STREET... SUNSET STREET AND ROUTE
12
0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S UTICA 43.08N 75.23W
07/07/2013 M1.30 INCH ONEIDA NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAINFALL IN 45 MINUTES
0920 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUQUOIT 43.00N 75.25W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY POST OFFICE
HOLMAN CITY ROAD WAS FLOODED AND WATER WAS OVER THE
BANKS OF THE CREEK.
0933 PM HEAVY RAIN ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/07/2013 M1.20 INCH ONEIDA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES
1014 PM FLASH FLOOD UTICA 43.10N 75.23W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY PUBLIC
ROUTES 8... 12 AND 5 FLOODED IN UTICA. NUMEROUS OTHER
ROADS FLOODED.
1130 PM FLASH FLOOD WHITESBORO 43.12N 75.30W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY FACEBOOK
MAIN STREET COVERED BY A FOOT OF WATER IN SOME SPOTS
1135 PM FLASH FLOOD SHEDS 42.80N 75.82W
07/07/2013 MADISON NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROUTE 80 AND DUGWAY ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
1140 PM FLASH FLOOD MORRISVILLE 42.90N 75.64W
07/07/2013 MADISON NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROUTE 26 CLOSED DUE TO MUDSLIDE
1149 PM HEAVY RAIN CLINTON 43.05N 75.38W
07/07/2013 M1.30 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC
FELL IN 4 HOURS
1228 AM FLASH FLOOD YORKVILLE 43.11N 75.27W
07/08/2013 ONEIDA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
SAUQUOIT CREEK IS NOW FLOODING PARTS OF YORKVILLE.
&&
$$
MJN
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LSRBGM
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
422 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0545 PM HEAVY RAIN PORT DICKINSON 42.14N 75.89W
07/07/2013 M2.20 INCH BROOME NY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
RAIN FELL IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR.
0545 PM FLASH FLOOD PORT CRANE 42.17N 75.83W
07/07/2013 BROOME NY EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF PORT CRANE.
0600 PM FLASH FLOOD PORT CRANE 42.17N 75.83W
07/07/2013 BROOME NY EMERGENCY MNGR
WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS NEAR PORT CRANE EXIT...NEAR
SR36 AND PINE STREET...HELPED TO COLLAPSE HEAD WALL AT A
CONSTRUCTION SITE. WALL FELL INTO CREEK.
0635 PM HEAVY RAIN CHENANGO BRIDGE 42.17N 75.87W
07/07/2013 M2.30 INCH BROOME NY TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN 45 MINUTES... WATER RUNNING ACROSS ROADS...
BRIEF POWER OUTAGE
0818 PM FLASH FLOOD SHERBURNE 42.68N 75.50W
07/07/2013 CHENANGO NY EMERGENCY MNGR
SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN THE TOWN OF SHERBURNE.
0900 PM FLASH FLOOD UTICA 43.10N 75.23W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
MAJOR ROAD FLOODING IN UTICA ON GENESSEE STREET...
OSWEGO STREET... NOYES STREET... SUNSET STREET AND ROUTE
12
0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 S UTICA 43.08N 75.23W
07/07/2013 M1.30 INCH ONEIDA NY BROADCAST MEDIA
RAINFALL IN 45 MINUTES
0920 PM FLASH FLOOD SAUQUOIT 43.00N 75.25W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY POST OFFICE
HOLMAN CITY ROAD WAS FLOODED AND WATER WAS OVER THE
BANKS OF THE CREEK.
0933 PM HEAVY RAIN ROME 43.23N 75.49W
07/07/2013 M1.20 INCH ONEIDA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES
1014 PM FLASH FLOOD UTICA 43.10N 75.23W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY PUBLIC
ROUTES 8... 12 AND 5 FLOODED IN UTICA. NUMEROUS OTHER
ROADS FLOODED.
1130 PM FLASH FLOOD WHITESBORO 43.12N 75.30W
07/07/2013 ONEIDA NY FACEBOOK
MAIN STREET COVERED BY A FOOT OF WATER IN SOME SPOTS
1135 PM FLASH FLOOD SHEDS 42.80N 75.82W
07/07/2013 MADISON NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROUTE 80 AND DUGWAY ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING
1140 PM FLASH FLOOD MORRISVILLE 42.90N 75.64W
07/07/2013 MADISON NY FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROUTE 26 CLOSED DUE TO MUDSLIDE
1149 PM HEAVY RAIN CLINTON 43.05N 75.38W
07/07/2013 M1.30 INCH ONEIDA NY PUBLIC
FELL IN 4 HOURS
1228 AM FLASH FLOOD YORKVILLE 43.11N 75.27W
07/08/2013 ONEIDA NY TRAINED SPOTTER
SAUQUOIT CREEK IS NOW FLOODING PARTS OF YORKVILLE.
&&
$$
MJN
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 082001
SWODY1
SPC AC 081958
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MT ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS
INTO THE MIDDLE MO RIVER VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FRM SERN LOWER MI INTO NRN
OH...
...MT/ND...
AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TOWARD THE NRN ROCKIES...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM FROM WRN INTO NRN MT.
A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PATTERN IS SUPPORTIVE OF INCREASING
SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE EVENING AS AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
/SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/ COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT HEATING IS
LOCATED ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...ENHANCED BY STRONG DIRECTIONAL/SPEED SHEAR IN THE LOW-MID
LEVELS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ORGANIZE INTO BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN MT POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO ND TONIGHT.
THIS IS SUPPORTED BY MORNING CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE
INCLUDING THE LATEST HRRR THAT INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS A COMPOSITE COLD POOL GROWS UPSCALE...AND THIS
HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THE SEVERE WIND GRAPHICS FROM MT INTO WRN ND.
OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE SEVERE
RISK AREA SLIGHTLY FARTHER WEST IN MT BASED ON CURRENT STORM
INITIATION REGIONS.
...WY/SD/NEB/IA...
CONSENSUS OF CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE NRN NEB/SRN SD
REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
/MLCAPE 1500-2500 J PER KG/ ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT AND VERTICAL SHEAR. TO BETTER INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A
CORRIDOR OF SEVERE STORMS WITH ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL
ASSOCIATED WITH A BOWING LINEAR MCS...A 30% WIND PROBABILITY AREA
HAS BEEN ADDED FROM NRN NEB/SRN SD EWD INTO WRN IA/SWRN MN FOR
TONIGHT. SEE MCD 1347 FOR MORE DETAILS.
...EXTREME SERN LOWER MI INTO NRN OH...
THE SMALL SLIGHT RISK THREAT AREA HAS BEEN ADJUSTED EWD TO BE
CO-LOCATED WITH A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS COINCIDENT WITH A
THUNDERSTORM BAND EXTENDING FROM SERN LOWER MI INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT
BEFORE STORMS DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.
...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
A FEW STORMS MAY PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING IS ASSOCIATION WITH AN
UPPER LOW MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS PA. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS.
..WEISS.. 07/08/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1113 AM CDT MON JUL 08 2013/
...MT/ND...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH
OVER EASTERN WA/ORE. THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH A LEADING VORT MAX
OVER NORTHERN ID WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TODAY. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR AN ACTIVE AFTERNOON/EVENING OF
SEVERE STORMS OVER PARTS OF MT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER NORTHWEST MT AHEAD OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THEY TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG/SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. THE AIR MASS
AHEAD OF THE STORMS IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE...SO THE SEVERE
THREAT IS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED. NEVERTHELESS...ISOLATED
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
A MORE SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EVOLVE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER WEST/WEST-CENTRAL MT AND TRACK
EASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. SEVERAL OVERNIGHT AND 12Z
MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST SUPERCELLS WILL ORGANIZE INTO BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS ACROSS THIS AREA. HIGH LCL HEIGHTS SHOULD LIMIT THE
TORNADO RISK...BUT VERY LARGE HAIL AND SWATHS OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. STORMS MAY MAINTAIN SEVERE INTENSITY AS FAR
EAST AS WESTERN ND LATE TONIGHT.
...WY/SD/NEB/IA...
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN WY. THIS SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE HIGH PLAINS OF WESTERN
SD/NEB TODAY FOSTERING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SOUTHEASTERLY LOW
LEVEL WINDS IN THIS REGION WILL MAINTAIN DEWPOINTS IN THE
60S...WHICH ALONG WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND POCKETS OF STRONG
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL RESULT IN MODERATE MLCAPE. IT IS UNCLEAR
WHETHER PRIMARY INITIATION WILL BE ON THE WEST EDGE OF THE DEEPER
MOISTURE IN EASTERN WY...OVER PERHAPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONGOING
CONVECTION OVER SD. REGARDLESS...VERTICAL SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO AN MCS AND PERSIST MUCH OF THE NIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NEB/SD INTO IA.
...IND/OH/LWR MI...
THE REMNANTS OF AN OVERNIGHT MCS ARE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS PARTS OF LOWER MI/NORTHWEST IND/CENTRAL IL. STRONG HEATING
IS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
UPPER 60S AND MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD REACH 2000+ J/KG. WHILE THE
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF
INTENSE STORMS ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. SEVERAL 12Z MODEL SOLUTIONS SUPPORT
THIS SCENARIO.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 081958
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MT ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS
INTO THE MIDDLE MO RIVER VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FRM SERN LOWER MI INTO NRN
OH...
...MT/ND...
AS A STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST TOWARD THE NRN ROCKIES...SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM FROM WRN INTO NRN MT.
A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC PATTERN IS SUPPORTIVE OF INCREASING
SEVERE THREAT THROUGH THE EVENING AS AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
/SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE 50S/ COUPLED WITH SUFFICIENT HEATING IS
LOCATED ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES...ENHANCED BY STRONG DIRECTIONAL/SPEED SHEAR IN THE LOW-MID
LEVELS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY ORGANIZE INTO BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN MT POSSIBLY SPREADING INTO ND TONIGHT.
THIS IS SUPPORTED BY MORNING CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODEL GUIDANCE
INCLUDING THE LATEST HRRR THAT INDICATE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WIND GUSTS AS A COMPOSITE COLD POOL GROWS UPSCALE...AND THIS
HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN THE SEVERE WIND GRAPHICS FROM MT INTO WRN ND.
OTHERWISE...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO EXTEND THE SEVERE
RISK AREA SLIGHTLY FARTHER WEST IN MT BASED ON CURRENT STORM
INITIATION REGIONS.
...WY/SD/NEB/IA...
CONSENSUS OF CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS CONTINUES TO SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MOVING ACROSS THE NRN NEB/SRN SD
REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY MOVING INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS CHARACTERIZED BY SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
/MLCAPE 1500-2500 J PER KG/ ALONG THE SRN EDGE OF STRONGER WINDS
ALOFT AND VERTICAL SHEAR. TO BETTER INDICATE THE POTENTIAL FOR A
CORRIDOR OF SEVERE STORMS WITH ENHANCED DAMAGING WIND POTENTIAL
ASSOCIATED WITH A BOWING LINEAR MCS...A 30% WIND PROBABILITY AREA
HAS BEEN ADDED FROM NRN NEB/SRN SD EWD INTO WRN IA/SWRN MN FOR
TONIGHT. SEE MCD 1347 FOR MORE DETAILS.
...EXTREME SERN LOWER MI INTO NRN OH...
THE SMALL SLIGHT RISK THREAT AREA HAS BEEN ADJUSTED EWD TO BE
CO-LOCATED WITH A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS COINCIDENT WITH A
THUNDERSTORM BAND EXTENDING FROM SERN LOWER MI INTO NORTH CENTRAL
OHIO. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT
BEFORE STORMS DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.
...MID ATLANTIC REGION...
A FEW STORMS MAY PERSIST INTO THIS EVENING IS ASSOCIATION WITH AN
UPPER LOW MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS PA. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS.
..WEISS.. 07/08/2013
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1113 AM CDT MON JUL 08 2013/
...MT/ND...
WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED AND PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH
OVER EASTERN WA/ORE. THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH A LEADING VORT MAX
OVER NORTHERN ID WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
TODAY. THIS SHOULD SET THE STAGE FOR AN ACTIVE AFTERNOON/EVENING OF
SEVERE STORMS OVER PARTS OF MT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING OVER NORTHWEST MT AHEAD OF THE LEAD
SHORTWAVE...AND WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS AS THEY TRACK
EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ALONG/SOUTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. THE AIR MASS
AHEAD OF THE STORMS IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE...SO THE SEVERE
THREAT IS LIKELY TO BE LIMITED. NEVERTHELESS...ISOLATED
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
A MORE SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EVOLVE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE PRIMARY UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER WEST/WEST-CENTRAL MT AND TRACK
EASTWARD THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING. SEVERAL OVERNIGHT AND 12Z
MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST SUPERCELLS WILL ORGANIZE INTO BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS ACROSS THIS AREA. HIGH LCL HEIGHTS SHOULD LIMIT THE
TORNADO RISK...BUT VERY LARGE HAIL AND SWATHS OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. STORMS MAY MAINTAIN SEVERE INTENSITY AS FAR
EAST AS WESTERN ND LATE TONIGHT.
...WY/SD/NEB/IA...
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS INDICATED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY OVER
SOUTHERN WY. THIS SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE HIGH PLAINS OF WESTERN
SD/NEB TODAY FOSTERING THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SOUTHEASTERLY LOW
LEVEL WINDS IN THIS REGION WILL MAINTAIN DEWPOINTS IN THE
60S...WHICH ALONG WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND POCKETS OF STRONG
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL RESULT IN MODERATE MLCAPE. IT IS UNCLEAR
WHETHER PRIMARY INITIATION WILL BE ON THE WEST EDGE OF THE DEEPER
MOISTURE IN EASTERN WY...OVER PERHAPS ASSOCIATED WITH THE ONGOING
CONVECTION OVER SD. REGARDLESS...VERTICAL SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THESE STORMS MAY ORGANIZE INTO AN MCS AND PERSIST MUCH OF THE NIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF NEB/SD INTO IA.
...IND/OH/LWR MI...
THE REMNANTS OF AN OVERNIGHT MCS ARE TRACKING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS PARTS OF LOWER MI/NORTHWEST IND/CENTRAL IL. STRONG HEATING
IS OCCURRING AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY...WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
UPPER 60S AND MLCAPE VALUES SHOULD REACH 2000+ J/KG. WHILE THE
TIMING IS UNCERTAIN...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF
INTENSE STORMS ALONG THE REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT. SEVERAL 12Z MODEL SOLUTIONS SUPPORT
THIS SCENARIO.
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1347
ACUS11 KWNS 081952
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081951
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-082045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL SD...WRN/CNTRL NEB...ERN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 081951Z - 082045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HRS FROM ERN WY INTO S-CNTRL SD AND CNTRL NEB. PRIMARY THREATS OF
DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY REQUIRE A WW THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...THE FOCUS FOR INCREASING TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
TO LARGELY CENTER AROUND TWO PRIMARY AREAS. /1/ A SHORTWAVE UPPER
TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN NEB...WITH INCREASING SFC-BASED AND MIDLEVEL
CU AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE NOTED RECENTLY ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
LOOP...AND /2/...A LEE SFC TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN
WY/NERN CO. A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED TSTMS ACROSS S-CNTRL SD HAS SHOWN
A STEADY WEAKENING TREND...BUT COULD ALSO SERVE AS A SOURCE FOR
RE-INTENSIFICATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ACROSS N-CNTRL NEB HAS BECOME
MORE DIFFUSE WITH TIME...WITH GENERALLY UNIFORM AND WEAK E AND SELY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.
INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
MESOSCALE FEATURES SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE HRS FROM ERN
WY EWD INTO S-CNTRL SD AND CNTRL NEB. MODIFIED FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH TEMPERATURES
HEATING INTO THE 90S F...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000 J/KG.
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD ACCOMPANY TSTMS
INITIALLY WITH MORE DISCRETE/SUPERCELLULAR MODES...BUT EVOLUTION
INTO SMALL LINE SEGMENTS OR A MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOULD EVENTUALLY YIELD A PRIMARY THREAT OF DMGG WINDS.
..ROGERS/HART.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...CYS...
LAT...LON 44109913 43309831 42259787 41489844 41239932 41200083
41180204 41080359 41350425 42530506 43790525 44290509
44600395 44139918 44109913
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081951
NEZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-082045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL SD...WRN/CNTRL NEB...ERN WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 081951Z - 082045Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HRS FROM ERN WY INTO S-CNTRL SD AND CNTRL NEB. PRIMARY THREATS OF
DMGG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL LIKELY REQUIRE A WW THIS AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...THE FOCUS FOR INCREASING TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
TO LARGELY CENTER AROUND TWO PRIMARY AREAS. /1/ A SHORTWAVE UPPER
TROUGH MOVING INTO WRN NEB...WITH INCREASING SFC-BASED AND MIDLEVEL
CU AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE NOTED RECENTLY ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
LOOP...AND /2/...A LEE SFC TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN
WY/NERN CO. A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED TSTMS ACROSS S-CNTRL SD HAS SHOWN
A STEADY WEAKENING TREND...BUT COULD ALSO SERVE AS A SOURCE FOR
RE-INTENSIFICATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH OVERNIGHT CONVECTION ACROSS N-CNTRL NEB HAS BECOME
MORE DIFFUSE WITH TIME...WITH GENERALLY UNIFORM AND WEAK E AND SELY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE AREA.
INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
MESOSCALE FEATURES SHOULD OCCUR WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE HRS FROM ERN
WY EWD INTO S-CNTRL SD AND CNTRL NEB. MODIFIED FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THE AIR MASS CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE WITH TEMPERATURES
HEATING INTO THE 90S F...YIELDING MLCAPE VALUES OVER 2000 J/KG.
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD ACCOMPANY TSTMS
INITIALLY WITH MORE DISCRETE/SUPERCELLULAR MODES...BUT EVOLUTION
INTO SMALL LINE SEGMENTS OR A MCS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
SHOULD EVENTUALLY YIELD A PRIMARY THREAT OF DMGG WINDS.
..ROGERS/HART.. 07/08/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...CYS...
LAT...LON 44109913 43309831 42259787 41489844 41239932 41200083
41180204 41080359 41350425 42530506 43790525 44290509
44600395 44139918 44109913
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KDTX [081942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDTX 081942
LSRDTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HEAVY RAIN MARLETTE 43.33N 83.08W
07/08/2013 M1.94 INCH SANILAC MI TRAINED SPOTTER
1 HOUR ACCUMULATION.
&&
$$
MMOSTEIK
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LSRDTX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 PM EDT MON JUL 08 2013
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HEAVY RAIN MARLETTE 43.33N 83.08W
07/08/2013 M1.94 INCH SANILAC MI TRAINED SPOTTER
1 HOUR ACCUMULATION.
&&
$$
MMOSTEIK
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KAPX [081935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KAPX 081935
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
334 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0940 AM TSTM WND DMG FIFE LAKE 44.57N 85.35W
07/08/2013 GRAND TRAVERSE MI BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN, RIPPED
SHINGLES OFF A ROOF, AND DAMAGE TO AN AWNING
OF A CAMPER TRAILER IN THE FIFE LAKE AREA.
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
334 PM EDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0940 AM TSTM WND DMG FIFE LAKE 44.57N 85.35W
07/08/2013 GRAND TRAVERSE MI BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN, RIPPED
SHINGLES OFF A ROOF, AND DAMAGE TO AN AWNING
OF A CAMPER TRAILER IN THE FIFE LAKE AREA.
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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KMSO [081928]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KMSO 081928
LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
127 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0106 PM HAIL 9 SW CRACKERVILLE 45.98N 112.94W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH DEER LODGE MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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LSRMSO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
127 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0106 PM HAIL 9 SW CRACKERVILLE 45.98N 112.94W
07/08/2013 E0.50 INCH DEER LODGE MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
IRIS SYSTEM
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 399
WWUS20 KWNS 081915
SEL9
SPC WW 081915
MTZ000-090100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST MONTANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL
700 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 100 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF GLASGOW MONTANA TO 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SIDNEY
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...
DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE THUNDERSTORM OVER PHILLIPS COUNTY MT WILL
TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TODAY...POSING A RISK OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER THE WATCH AREA. OTHER ISOLATED
STORMS MAY ALSO FORM IN THIS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
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SEL9
SPC WW 081915
MTZ000-090100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST MONTANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL
700 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 100 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF GLASGOW MONTANA TO 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF SIDNEY
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 398...
DISCUSSION...AN INTENSE THUNDERSTORM OVER PHILLIPS COUNTY MT WILL
TRACK EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TODAY...POSING A RISK OF VERY
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER THE WATCH AREA. OTHER ISOLATED
STORMS MAY ALSO FORM IN THIS MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND FAVORABLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 398
WWUS20 KWNS 081902
SEL8
SPC WW 081902
MTZ000-090100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 398
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
700 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HELENA MONTANA TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF BILLINGS
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST MT AND SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE
CAPE VALUES WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. ACTIVITY MAY ORGANIZE INTO ONE OR MORE BOW
ECHOES BY EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
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SEL8
SPC WW 081902
MTZ000-090100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 398
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
105 PM MDT MON JUL 8 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL MONTANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 105 PM UNTIL
700 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HELENA MONTANA TO 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF BILLINGS
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY
THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST MT AND SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE
CAPE VALUES WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS. ACTIVITY MAY ORGANIZE INTO ONE OR MORE BOW
ECHOES BY EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
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