KHNX [310127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KHNX 310127
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
626 PM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0832 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE WALKER PASS RAWS 35.65N 118.02W
10/30/2010 M45.00 MPH KERN CA MESONET

CLASS III 16-C /BLUE MAX/ RAWS

1130 AM SNOW LODGEPOLE 36.60N 118.73W
10/30/2010 M4.0 INCH TULARE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1130 AM SNOW PINE MOUNTAIN CLUB 34.85N 119.17W
10/30/2010 M2.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1130 AM SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.35W
10/30/2010 M4.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM SNOW BISHOP PASS 37.10N 118.56W
10/30/2010 E6.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 11200 FT

0400 PM SNOW TENAYA LAKE 37.84N 119.45W
10/30/2010 E5.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 8150 FT

0400 PM SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
10/30/2010 E7.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9200 FT

0400 PM SNOW AGNEW PASS 37.73N 119.14W
10/30/2010 E7.0 INCH MADERA CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 9450 FT

0400 PM SNOW CHARLOTTE LAKE 36.80N 118.42W
10/30/2010 E6.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 10400 FT

0400 PM SNOW HUNTINGTON LAKE 37.23N 119.22W
10/30/2010 E5.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 7000 FT

0400 PM SNOW TAMARACK SUMMIT 37.17N 119.20W
10/30/2010 E8.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

SNOTEL ELEV. 7550 FT

&&

$$

BINGHAM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 310039
SWODY1
SPC AC 310038

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0738 PM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...EASTERN GREAT BASIN/CENTRAL ROCKIES...
A COUPLE OF IMPULSES EMERGING FROM A WEAKENING CLOSED LOW OVER THE
EASTERN GREAT BASIN CONTINUE TO SUPPORT WIDELY SCATTERED WEAK
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN WYOMING AND CENTRAL/EASTERN
UTAH. EASTWARD DEVELOPMENT INTO WESTERN COLORADO...AND ACROSS PARTS
OF CENTRAL WYOMING...IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF HOURS. BUT AS UPPER FORCING CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...AND THE
LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT COOLS...THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGLIGIBLE BY 03-04Z.

..KERR.. 10/31/2010

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KHNX [302049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KHNX 302049 CCA
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
150 PM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

CORRECTED LOCATION OF GRAPEVINE PEAK RAWS

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1053 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N BAKERSFIELD 35.39N 119.00W
10/29/2010 M35 MPH KERN CA ASOS

MEADOWS FIELD AIRPORT

1135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST GRAPEVINE 34.94N 118.93W
10/29/2010 M51 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE CHP WEIGH STATION

1213 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 SE LEBEC 34.76N 118.77W
10/30/2010 M60 MPH KERN CA MESONET

GRAPEVINE PEAK RAWS

1227 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD RAWS 36.73N 120.48W
10/30/2010 M58 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET

1233 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AVENAL 36.03N 120.11W
10/30/2010 M43 MPH KINGS CA MESONET

MEASURED BY NWS-OWNED INSTRUMENTATION

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST KETTLEMAN HILLS RAWS 36.03N 120.06W
10/30/2010 M46 MPH KINGS CA MESONET

0113 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 NW MCKITTRICK 35.47N 119.82W
10/30/2010 M48 MPH KERN CA MESONET

TWISSELMAN RAWS

0418 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE MOJAVE 35.06N 118.17W
10/30/2010 M44 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED BY NWS-OWNED INSTRUMENTATION AT THE NATIONAL
TEST PILOTS SCHOOL.

0455 AM NON-TSTM WND GST INYOKERN 35.65N 117.81W
10/30/2010 M44 MPH KERN CA AWOS

0459 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW AHWAHNEE/OAKHURST 37.47N 119.76W
10/30/2010 M41 MPH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

MIAMI RAWS

0513 AM NON-TSTM WND GST INDIAN WELLS CANYON RAW 35.69N 117.89W
10/30/2010 M63 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0832 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE WALKER PASS RAWS 35.65N 118.02W
10/30/2010 M45 MPH KERN CA MESONET

CLASS III 16-C /BLUE MAX/ RAWS

&&

$$

SANGER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301940
SWODY1
SPC AC 301939

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0239 PM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 302000Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES ARE NECESSARY FOR THE 20Z OUTLOOK.

..BROYLES.. 10/30/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1046 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010/

...GREAT BASIN INTO CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER CA THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE TRANSLATING EWD THROUGH LOWER
LATITUDE PORTION OF MIDLEVEL RIDGE IN PLACE FROM THE ROCKIES NWD
INTO ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN. NONETHELESS...A POCKET OF COLD MIDLEVEL
TEMPERATURES /I.E. -20 TO -22 C AT 500 MB/ AND RESULTANT STEEP
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...CONTRIBUTING TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON ATOP A
DEEP...WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF STRENGTHENING PACIFIC
FRONT AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM
INTERACTS WITH DESTABILIZING ENVIRONMENT. WHILE SOME SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ANY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT APPEARS QUITE LOW.

...S FL...

ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR WITH DEEPER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
FORMING ALONG SURFACE FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT NWD THROUGH
THE KEYS TODAY. WEAK MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OBSERVED BY 12Z EYW/MFL
SOUNDINGS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ROBUST UPDRAFT
DEVELOPMENT AND THE NECESSITY FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM AREA.

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KHNX [301935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 301935
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1235 PM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM SNOW TUOLUMNE MEADOWS 37.87N 119.35W
10/30/2010 E4.0 INCH TUOLUMNE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES OF SNOW

1130 AM SNOW PINE MOUNTAIN CLUB 34.85N 119.17W
10/30/2010 E2.0 INCH KERN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES OF SNOW

&&

$$

TMOR

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KHNX [301927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 301927
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1226 PM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM SNOW LODGEPOLE 36.60N 118.73W
10/30/2010 E4.0 INCH TULARE CA TRAINED SPOTTER

4 INCHES OF SNOW

&&

$$

TMOR

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 301708
SWODY2
SPC AC 301707

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1207 PM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

A FAST-MOVING SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS
SUNDAY WITH ZONAL FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SCNTRL AND SERN
UNITED STATES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG SEWD
ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES
SUNDAY NIGHT. THE TWO SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE
TO WORK WITH AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE CONUS DURING THE DAY 2 PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 10/30/2010

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KHNX [301624]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 301624
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
924 AM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1053 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N BAKERSFIELD 35.39N 119.00W
10/29/2010 M35 MPH KERN CA ASOS

MEADOWS FIELD AIRPORT

1135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST GRAPEVINE 34.94N 118.93W
10/29/2010 M51 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED AT THE CHP WEIGH STATION

1213 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE LEBEC 34.76N 118.77W
10/30/2010 M60 MPH LOS ANGELES CA MESONET

GRAPEVINE PEAK RAWS

1227 AM NON-TSTM WND GST PANOCHE ROAD RAWS 36.73N 120.48W
10/30/2010 M58 MPH FRESNO CA MESONET

1233 AM NON-TSTM WND GST AVENAL 36.03N 120.11W
10/30/2010 M43 MPH KINGS CA MESONET

MEASURED BY NWS-OWNED INSTRUMENTATION

1250 AM NON-TSTM WND GST KETTLEMAN HILLS RAWS 36.03N 120.06W
10/30/2010 M46 MPH KINGS CA MESONET

0113 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 16 NW MCKITTRICK 35.47N 119.82W
10/30/2010 M48 MPH KERN CA MESONET

TWISSELMAN RAWS

0418 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE MOJAVE 35.06N 118.17W
10/30/2010 M44 MPH KERN CA MESONET

MEASURED BY NWS-OWNED INSTRUMENTATION AT THE NATIONAL
TEST PILOTS SCHOOL.

0455 AM NON-TSTM WND GST INYOKERN 35.65N 117.81W
10/30/2010 M44 MPH KERN CA AWOS

0459 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW AHWAHNEE/OAKHURST 37.47N 119.76W
10/30/2010 M41 MPH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

MIAMI RAWS

0513 AM NON-TSTM WND GST INDIAN WELLS CANYON RAW 35.69N 117.89W
10/30/2010 M63 MPH KERN CA MESONET

0832 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE WALKER PASS RAWS 35.65N 118.02W
10/30/2010 M45 MPH KERN CA MESONET

CLASS III 16-C /BLUE MAX/ RAWS

&&

$$

SANGER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301547
SWODY1
SPC AC 301546

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1046 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 301630Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN INTO CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...

VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER CA THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO
WEAKEN THROUGH THE PERIOD WHILE TRANSLATING EWD THROUGH LOWER
LATITUDE PORTION OF MIDLEVEL RIDGE IN PLACE FROM THE ROCKIES NWD
INTO ALBERTA/SASKATCHEWAN. NONETHELESS...A POCKET OF COLD MIDLEVEL
TEMPERATURES /I.E. -20 TO -22 C AT 500 MB/ AND RESULTANT STEEP
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...CONTRIBUTING TO
THE DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY BY AFTERNOON ATOP A
DEEP...WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF STRENGTHENING PACIFIC
FRONT AS LARGE-SCALE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM
INTERACTS WITH DESTABILIZING ENVIRONMENT. WHILE SOME SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...ANY SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT APPEARS QUITE LOW.

...S FL...

ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY OCCUR WITH DEEPER CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
FORMING ALONG SURFACE FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO RETREAT NWD THROUGH
THE KEYS TODAY. WEAK MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES OBSERVED BY 12Z EYW/MFL
SOUNDINGS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE ROBUST UPDRAFT
DEVELOPMENT AND THE NECESSITY FOR A CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM AREA.

..MEAD/ROGERS.. 10/30/2010

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KJAX [301533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 301533
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1133 AM EDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1109 AM WILDFIRE 4 SSE JUNIPER SPRINGS 29.12N 81.71W
10/30/2010 MARION FL PARK/FOREST SRVC

FOREST SERVICE REPORTS THAT THE BOMBING RANGE NINE
WILDFIRE IN THE OCALA NATIONAL FOREST IS AT 3111 ACRES.

THIS IS AN UPDATE OF PREVIOUS STORM REPORTS ON THIS FIRE.

&&

$$

CARROLL

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KGGW [301449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 301449
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
848 AM MDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 AM DENSE FOG RAYMOND 48.88N 104.58W
10/30/2010 SHERIDAN MT OTHER FEDERAL

VISIBILITY ABOUT 100 YARDS NEAR THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.

&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301239
SWODY1
SPC AC 301237

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 301300Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE CA COAST THIS MORNING WILL
EJECT ENEWD ACROSS THE SRN GREAT BASIN THIS AFTERNOON TO THE CENTRAL
HIGH PLAINS OVERNIGHT. CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE LAPSE RATES AND
ASCENT IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE MID-UPPER JET STREAK WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO WEAK INSTABILITY AND AN ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WHILE IN PHASE
WITH THE DIURNAL CYCLE. GUSTY WINDS AND SOME SMALL HAIL MAY OCCUR
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS...BUT THE SEVERE STORM THREAT APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE. OTHERWISE...THE ONLY AREA WITH ANY CONCERN FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE FL KEYS AND EXTREME SE FL COAST...THOUGH
THE PRIMARY STORM THREAT WILL BE CONFINED TO A STALLED FRONT WHICH
SHOULD REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE IN THE FL STRAITS.

..THOMPSON/STOPPKOTTE.. 10/30/2010

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 300841
SWOD48
SPC AC 300841

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0341 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 021200Z - 071200Z

...DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO
THE EARLY PART OF THE DAY4 PERIOD BEFORE LARGE SCALE FORCING SHIFTS
SOUTH INTO THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO AS UPPER LOW DIGS TOWARD SOUTH
TX. GIVEN THE EXPECTED CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY3 PERIOD...INSTABILITY WILL
LIKELY BE LACKING FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY.
BEYOND THE DAY4 PERIOD...STABLE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY PREVENT
MEANINGFUL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE
MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/30/2010

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KHNX [300748]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 300748
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1248 AM PDT SAT OCT 30 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 AM HIGH SUST WINDS COALINGA 36.14N 120.36W
10/30/2010 E0.00 MPH FRESNO CA TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER INDICATED SHE HEARD FROM COALINGA PD THAT THERE
ARE SOME SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN IN THE TOWN...NO LOCATION
IDENTIFIED. PREVIOUS TO RPORT SHE INDICATED 20 TO 30 MPH
WIND.

&&

$$

PJON

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 300717
SWODY3
SPC AC 300716

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...SOUTH/EAST TX/WRN LA...

BOTH THE NAM AND GFS SUGGEST THE INTER-MOUNTAIN/CNTRL ROCKIES
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ON DAY2 WILL DIG SHARPLY SEWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS
MONDAY AS H5 FLOW IN EXCESS OF 50-60KT INTENSIFIES ALONG THE LEE OF
THE SRN ROCKIES. AS THE EXIT REGION OF THIS FEATURE SPREADS INTO
CNTRL/ERN TX IT APPEARS FORCING WILL INCREASE SUCH THAT CONVECTION
WILL DEVELOP ALONG ADVANCING COLD FRONT FROM AR...SWWD INTO SCNTRL
TX NEAR THE SRN ESCARPMENT. CONVECTION WILL BE AIDED IN LARGE PART
BY A FAVORABLE MOIST TRAJECTORY OFF THE WRN GULF THAT WILL ALLOW SFC
DEW POINTS TO RISE WELL INTO THE 60S - PERHAPS EVEN NEAR 70F ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TX. IN FACT SBCAPE COULD
RANGE FROM 1500-2000 J/KG BY PEAK HEATING AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT.
GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED SHEAR/INSTABILITY HAVE OPTED TO INTRODUCE A
5% PROBABILITY OF SEVERE FOR FRONTAL CONVECTION THAT SHOULD INITIATE
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD/DEVELOP SEWD
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH CONVECTION EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO
DEEP SOUTH TX BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. SEVERE PROBS MAY NEED TO BE
UPGRADED ACROSS THIS REGION IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF CONFIDENCE IN THIS
SCENARIO INCREASES.

..DARROW.. 10/30/2010

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KHNX [300644]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 300644
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
1144 PM PDT FRI OCT 29 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N GRAPEVINE 34.96N 118.93W
10/29/2010 M51 MPH KERN CA MESONET

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 300531
SWODY2
SPC AC 300530

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 AM CDT SAT OCT 30 2010

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

TRANSITORY SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PROGRESS ACROSS THE CNTRL ROCKIES
BEFORE DIGGING SEWD INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS LATE IN THE PERIOD.
THIS FEATURE WILL ENCOUNTER A VERY DRY AIRMASS EAST OF THE ROCKIES
AND RETURN FLOW OFF THE WRN GULF BASIN WILL BE DELAYED UNTIL AT
LEAST MONDAY. AS A RESULT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED
ACROSS THE CONUS THIS PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/30/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300501
SWODY1
SPC AC 300459

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1159 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2010

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT UPPER TROUGHING WILL REMAIN PROMINENT THROUGH
THIS PERIOD ACROSS EASTERN CANADA AND THE NORTHEASTERN U.S... WITHIN
THE NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE PREVAILING SPLIT FLOW REGIME.
MEANWHILE...A CLOSED LOW WITHIN THE SOUTHERN STREAM IS EXPECTED TO
ACCELERATE INLAND ACROSS CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND
CENTRAL ROCKIES...AHEAD OF A SPLITTING UPSTREAM TROUGH PROGGED INTO
THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST BY 12Z SUNDAY.

GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE SOUTHERN IMPULSE WILL WEAKEN EAST OF THE
SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA...BUT FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION
PROBABLY WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF AN
ASSOCIATED MID-LEVEL JET AS IT NOSES EASTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES DURING THE DAY. WHILE AN ISOLATED WEAK STORM OR TWO STILL
MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST
AND COASTAL RANGES THROUGH 12-15Z TODAY...THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS
SEEMS A BIT BETTER AS FORCING SPREADS ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN
AND CENTRAL ROCKIES DURING AND SHORTLY AFTER THE PEAK HEATING HOURS.
MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED... HOWEVER...LIKELY RESULTING IN SPARSE
STORM COVERAGE AND MINIMIZING THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS...DESPITE
THE PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS.

EAST OF THE ROCKIES...SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE GULF STATES AND
SOUTHEAST MAY BEGIN TO WEAKEN...BUT BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION OVER
THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND INLAND RETURN FLOW...WILL BE SLOW TO
DEVELOP. AS A RESULT...DRY STABLE CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL
WITH NEGLIGIBLE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.

..KERR/SMITH.. 10/30/2010

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KHNX [300456]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KHNX 300456
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
956 PM PDT FRI OCT 29 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0954 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BAKERSFIELD 35.36N 119.00W
10/29/2010 KERN CA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE BLOWN DOWN AT STOCKDALE HWY AND CHERRY HILL.

0954 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BAKERSFIELD 35.36N 119.00W
10/29/2010 KERN CA BROADCAST MEDIA

TRANSFORMER BLOWN AT WILSON ROAD WITH POWER OUTAGES.

&&

$$

DUDLEY

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