KEWX [120316]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 120316
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
916 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL 1 SSW CEDAR PARK 30.50N 97.84W
11/11/2008 E0.25 INCH WILLIAMSON TX PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0800235

$$

SBS

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KEWX [120212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 120212
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
812 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0536 PM HAIL 4 NNW ELGIN 30.40N 97.40W
11/11/2008 M0.50 INCH TRAVIS TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0800234

$$

CA

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KFSD [120124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFSD 120124
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
724 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM SNOW 8 NE SLOAN 42.32N 96.11W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH WOODBURY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW SPENCER 43.15N 95.15W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH CLAY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW ROCK VALLEY 43.20N 96.30W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1138 AM SNOW YANKTON 42.89N 97.39W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH YANKTON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

1148 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/11/2008 E1.0 INCH WOODBURY IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1156 AM SNOW ALTON 42.99N 96.01W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1200 PM SNOW WORTHINGTON 43.63N 95.60W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH NOBLES MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

1200 PM SNOW 1 SSE VERMILLION 42.76N 96.92W
11/11/2008 M0.7 INCH CLAY SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0115 PM SNOW BROOKINGS 44.31N 96.79W
11/11/2008 E0.0 INCH BROOKINGS SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOTS OF PROBLEMS WITH ICE THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION HAD
BEEN FREEZING RAIN, BUT JUST CHANGED OR LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0125 PM SNOW LUVERNE 43.65N 96.21W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH ROCK MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK, BUT I-90 AND US 75 ARE OK.
SNOW CAME THROUGH LATE MORNING, BUT NOWITS FLURRIES AND
FOG. SNOWFALL WAS ABOUT 1/2 INCH.

0135 PM SNOW JACKSON 43.62N 94.99W
11/11/2008 E1.5 INCH JACKSON MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK, BUT PRIMARY ROADS ARE
PASSABLE. PLENTY OF ICE AND THEN RAIN THIS MORNING, SNOW
CAME THROUGH LATER AND BROUGHT ABOUT 1.5 INCHES. NO
PRECIP NOW.

0200 PM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/11/2008 M0.9 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0200 PM SNOW HURON 44.36N 98.22W
11/11/2008 E0.0 INCH BEADLE SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

PRECIPITATION AT HURON HAS BEEN MAINLY FREEZING RAIN
TODAY, BUT IT ENDED BY 845 AM. THERE WAS A TRACE OF
SNOWFALL EARLY IN THE MORNING.

0400 PM SNOW 2 SSE SIOUX CENTER 43.06N 96.15W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

0438 PM SNOW E WAKEFIELD 42.27N 96.86W
11/11/2008 M0.5 INCH DIXON NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 PM SNOW 2 NE FORESTBURG 44.04N 98.07W
11/11/2008 M0.1 INCH SANBORN SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 PM SNOW ESE MENNO 43.24N 97.57W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH HUTCHINSON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

JC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2372

ACUS11 KWNS 120031
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120030
TXZ000-120230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2372
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS S TX.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 120030Z - 120230Z

TSTMS MAY DEVELOP AND INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER PORTIONS
MIDDLE-UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN -- FROM ROUGHLY I-37 NEWD TOWARD
CORRIDOR BETWEEN HOU-SAT. STRONGER TSTMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS.

SFC MESOANALYSIS INDICATED VERY STG OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER
MCS...EXTENDING FROM NEAR BPT WSWWD ACROSS SRN/WRN PORTIONS OF HOU
METRO AREA...THEN WNWWD INTO AUSTIN COUNTY...INTERSECTING ONGOING
NON-SVR CONVECTIVE BAND THERE. THIS BAND -- COLLOCATED WITH
PERSISTENT/QUASISTATIONARY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE -- BECAME MORE
BKN WITH SWWD EXTENT TO KARNES COUNTY. THERE...CONVERGENCE ZONE
INTERSECTED SEA BREEZE-REINFORCED CONFLUENCE LINE THAT EXTENDED SWD
THROUGH JIM WELLS COUNTY. LATTER BOUNDARY SHOULD DECELERATE/WEAKEN
AS DIURNAL/DIABATIC FORCING FOR SEA BREEZE SOLENOIDS
DIMINISHES...BUT CONFLUENT ZONE SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE FOR A FEW
MORE HOURS. LATTER TWO BOUNDARIES ARE MOST LIKELY AREAS FOR
ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...WHICH THEN WOULD MOVE INTO REGIME OF BACKED
SFC WINDS AND ENHANCED STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW CHARACTERISTIC OF
COASTAL AIR MASS E AND S OF THESE BOUNDARIES. ANOTHER BOUNDARY --
APPARENT FRONTAL/OUTFLOW COMBINATION -- IS MOVING SEWD ACROSS I-10
AREA ENE OF SAT AND WILL REINFORCE PRE-EXISTING ENE-WSW ALIGNED
CONVERGENCE BAND.

MARINE AIR MASS WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY RELATIVELY MAXIMIZED
THETAE...WITH SFC DEW POINTS AROUND 70 F HELPING TO KEEP EFFECTIVE
LIFTED PARCELS ROOTED AT OR NEAR SFC FOR MUCH OF THIS EVENING.
WEAKNESSES IN LOW LEVEL WINDS JUST ABOVE SFC -- EVIDENT IN HOU/CRP
AREA VWP -- WILL LIMIT HODOGRAPH SIZE...ALTHOUGH 40-50 KT OF
DEEP-LAYER/EFFECTIVE SHEAR INDICATES SUPERCELL POTENTIAL. LARGE
SCALE ASCENT/DESTABILIZATION ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY ABOUT
06Z AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY
OVER FAR W TX AND ADJACENT PORTIONS NM/CHIHUAHUA -- PIVOTS EWD
TOWARD REGION. MODIFIED 00Z CRP RAOB AND RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE
MLCAPES 1000-2000 J/KG SHOULD BE MAINTAINED IN MARINE AIR
MASS...CINH INCREASING AND INITIATION PROBABILITY DECREASING WITH
SWD EXTENT FROM MIDDLE-LOWER TX COASTAL PLAIN. DEEP/STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER AND WEAK ELEVATED CAPE NE OF HOU/BPT AREA OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
INDICATES MRGL HAIL THREAT AT BEST WITH ANY CONVECTION MOVING NEWD
ATOP COLD POOL.

..EDWARDS.. 11/12/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 28039831 29299792 29929713 30279628 30139550 29539541
28669654 27619725 28039831

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KEWX [120025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 120025
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
625 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 9 E ELGIN 30.35N 97.22W
11/11/2008 LEE TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

ELGIN F.D. SPOTTED A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR JUNCTION OF FM
696 AND FM 619 MOVING TOWARD LEXINGTON

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0800233

$$

CM

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KMPX [120008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 120008
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
608 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM SNOW PRESCOTT 44.75N 92.79W
11/11/2008 E0.8 INCH PIERCE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATION OF SLEET...SNOW...AND FREEZING RAIN.

&&

$$

MDB

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KMPX [120004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 120004
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
604 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0601 PM SNOW 6 NW RICE LAKE 45.56N 91.83W
11/11/2008 M0.5 INCH BARRON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

SINCE APPROXIMATELY 3 PM. LIGHT SLEET FALLING AT REPORT
TIME.

&&

$$

MDB

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KFSD [112023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KFSD 112023
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
222 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM SNOW 8 NE SLOAN 42.32N 96.11W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH WOODBURY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW SPENCER 43.15N 95.15W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH CLAY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW ROCK VALLEY 43.20N 96.30W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1134 AM SNOW ORANGE CITY 43.00N 96.06W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH SIOUX IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

1136 AM SNOW ROCK RAPIDS 43.43N 96.17W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH LYON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

1138 AM SNOW YANKTON 42.89N 97.39W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH YANKTON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

1145 AM SNOW VERMILLION 42.78N 96.93W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH CLAY SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

1148 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/11/2008 E1.0 INCH WOODBURY IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1152 AM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/11/2008 M0.7 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1156 AM SNOW ALTON 42.99N 96.01W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1200 PM SNOW WORTHINGTON 43.63N 95.60W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH NOBLES MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0115 PM SNOW BROOKINGS 44.31N 96.79W
11/11/2008 E0.0 INCH BROOKINGS SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOTS OF PROBLEMS WITH ICE THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION HAD
BEEN FREEZING RAIN, BUT JUST CHANGED OR LIGHT SNOW NOW.

0125 PM SNOW LUVERNE 43.65N 96.21W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH ROCK MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK, BUT I-90 AND US 75 ARE OK.
SNOW CAME THROUGH LATE MORNING, BUT NOWITS FLURRIES AND
FOG. SNOWFALL WAS ABOUT 1/2 INCH.

0135 PM SNOW JACKSON 43.62N 94.99W
11/11/2008 E1.5 INCH JACKSON MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK, BUT PRIMARY ROADS ARE
PASSABLE. PLENTY OF ICE AND THEN RAIN THIS MORNING, SNOW
CAME THROUGH LATER AND BROUGHT ABOUT 1.5 INCHES. NO
PRECIP NOW.

0200 PM SNOW HURON 44.36N 98.22W
11/11/2008 E0.0 INCH BEADLE SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

PRECIPITATION AT HURON HAS BEEN MAINLY FREEZING RAIN
TODAY, BUT IT ENDED BY 845 AM. THERE WAS A TRACE OF
SNOWFALL EARLY IN THE MORNING.

0200 PM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/11/2008 M0.9 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

TRM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111929
SWODY1
SPC AC 111926

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0126 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

VALID 112000Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTN AND TONIGHT
ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SE TX...PERHAPS INTO WRN LA....

...PARTS OF CNTRL/SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE/WARMING IN THE WAKE OF THE CLOSED LOW NOW
LIFTING ACROSS THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY APPEARS TO BE INHIBITING
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. BUT...THE BOUNDARY
LAYER REMAINS MOIST...PARTICULARLY ALONG/SOUTH OF A WEAK BAROCLINIC
ZONE EXTENDING ACROSS THE TEXAS HILL COUNTRY THROUGH THE UPPER TEXAS
COASTAL PLAIN INTO CENTRAL LOUISIANA. AND...THE PRESENCE OF
MODEST DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 40 KT WEST SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW
WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...AS DAYTIME HEATING
CONTINUES.

THE UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE IMPULSE DIGGING INTO THE BASE OF THE
SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH IS STILL WEST OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND... BUT IT
APPEARS AT LEAST A WEAK INCREASE IN FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION MAY OCCUR WITHIN THE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT PRIOR TO 12/00Z.
THIS MAY INVIGORATE ONGOING CONVECTION NEAR/WEST THROUGH NORTH OF
HOUSTON...AND SUPPORT ADDITIONAL STORMS ALONG THE FRONT AND WITHIN
WEAK PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE BANDS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT CONTINUED
STRENGTHENING OF LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WITH THE APPROACH OF THE UPPER
TROUGH COULD AID UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH ACROSS THE MID/UPPER
COASTAL PLAIN INTO/THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...BEFORE THE SEVERE
RISK BEGINS TO WANE AS RADIATIONAL COOLING GRADUALLY STABILIZES THE
BOUNDARY LAYER.

..KERR.. 11/11/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2371

ACUS11 KWNS 111906
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111906
LAZ000-TXZ000-112000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2371
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0106 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX AND SWRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 111906Z - 112000Z

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON FROM SE TX INTO
SW LA...WITH AN ADDITIONAL THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
EXCEEDING 1 IN/HR.

EARLY AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS/REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED NEW
TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAD INCREASED IN INTENSITY FROM WALLER TO SAN
JACINTO COUNTIES JUST AHEAD OF THE SEWD ADVANCING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
WHICH EXTENDED FROM W CENTRAL LA SWWD TO FAYETTE COUNTY TX.
STRONGER SURFACE HEATING IN THE MOIST WARM SECTOR IS SUPPORTING
MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG...WITH THIS GREATER INSTABILITY REFLECTED IN
THE MORE VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS SUGGESTED BY THE RADAR DATA AND COLDER
CLOUD TOPS NNW OF HOU. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 35-40 KT COMBINED WITH
THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY SUGGESTS THE STRONGER CORES MAY PRODUCE
HAIL NEAR OR EXCEEDING SEVERE VALUES.

IN ADDITION TO THE ISOLATED HAIL THREAT...VWP/S INDICATED GREATER
LOW LEVEL SHEAR VALUES ACROSS SWRN LA...WITH A CONTINUED WEAKNESS IN
THE 2-3 KM AGL LAYER WITH SWWD EXTENT THROUGH THE HOU AREA TO THE
MIDDLE TX COASTAL AREA. THIS SUGGESTS ANY SUSTAINED STORMS
APPROACHING FAR SE TX/SW LA MAY POSE A GREATER TORNADO THREAT...BUT
INSTABILITY TENDS TO BE WEAKER INTO THIS REGION. THUS...THIS SHOULD
LIMIT THE UPDRAFT STRENGTH AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO SW LA AND MINIMIZE
THE SEVERE THREAT.

..PETERS.. 11/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...EWX...

LAT...LON 29149681 29859632 30469571 30689484 31029399 30979340
30269319 30059353 29619460 29439530 29289593 29149681

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KPQR [111854]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 111854
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1052 AM PST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 N OCEAN PARK 46.54N 124.04W
11/11/2008 53 MPH PACIFIC WA TRAINED SPOTTER

PACIFIC 34

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WALDPORT 44.42N 124.06W
11/11/2008 60 MPH LINCOLN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER LC-73

&&

$$

RNELSON

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KPQR [111853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPQR 111853
LSRPQR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
1052 AM PST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 N OCEAN PARK 46.54N 124.04W
11/11/2008 M53 MPH PACIFIC WA TRAINED SPOTTER

PACIFIC 34

1030 AM NON-TSTM WND GST WALDPORT 44.42N 124.06W
11/11/2008 M60 MPH LINCOLN OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER LC-73

&&

$$

RNELSON

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KFSD [111803]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111803
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1202 PM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW WORTHINGTON 43.63N 95.60W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH NOBLES MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MB

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KFSD [111756]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111756
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1156 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1156 AM SNOW ALTON 42.99N 96.01W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MB

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KFSD [111752]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111752
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1152 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1152 AM SNOW SIOUX FALLS 43.54N 96.73W
11/11/2008 M0.7 INCH MINNEHAHA SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

MB

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KFSD [111751]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111751
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1151 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1148 AM SNOW SIOUX CITY 42.50N 96.39W
11/11/2008 E1.6 INCH WOODBURY IA OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

MB

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KFSD [111749]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111749
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1149 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 AM SNOW ORANGE CITY 43.00N 96.06W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH SIOUX IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

1136 AM SNOW ROCK RAPIDS 43.43N 96.17W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH LYON IA LAW ENFORCEMENT

1138 AM SNOW YANKTON 42.89N 97.39W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH YANKTON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

1145 AM SNOW VERMILLION 42.78N 96.93W
11/11/2008 E0.5 INCH CLAY SD LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MB

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 111726
SWODY2
SPC AC 111723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A STRONG POLAR JET STREAK EMANATING FROM THE
NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL NOSE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CANADIAN/NORTHERN
U.S. ROCKIES INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THIS FORECAST
PERIOD...ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS FROM THE LEE OF
THE CANADIAN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA. AS
THIS OCCURS...AND DOWNSTREAM UPPER RIDGING STRENGTHENS ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO/CARIBBEAN AND WESTERN ATLANTIC...ANOTHER
SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE IS PROGGED TO LIFT OUT OF THE BASE OF AN
INCREASINGLY SHEARED POSITIVELY TILTED SOUTHERN BRANCH
TROUGH...ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY...INTO THE LOWER OHIO
VALLEY BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THUS...WHILE MODIFICATION OF THE
BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE WESTERN GULF CONTINUES...THE RETURN FLOW OF
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE DIRECTED INTO AREAS EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...MOSTLY ABOVE A LINGERING NEAR SURFACE STABLE
LAYER ASSOCIATED WITH A SLOWLY RETREATING/WEAKENING COLD SURFACE
RIDGE.

...WESTERN/CENTRAL GULF COAST...
A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY MAY EXIST FOR PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS PARTS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY MORNING...
BEFORE FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER IMPULSE LIFTS NORTHEAST OF
THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. IF THIS OCCURS...LINGERING HIGH
MOISTURE LEVELS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE A RISK FOR
SEVERE STORMS IN THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS...BENEATH 50+ KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW.

OTHERWISE...CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING
CONVECTION PROBABLY WILL LIMIT PRE-FRONTAL DESTABILIZATION FARTHER
TO THE NORTH...ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL GULF COASTAL AREAS INTO THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. COUPLED WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF ONLY VERY
WEAK WAVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE...POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
STORM DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT SEEMS LOW.

...UPPER PORTIONS OF THE LWR MS VLY INTO THE LEE OF SRN APLCNS...
THE RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE HAMPERED BY WEAK
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES. BUT...ZONES OF STEEPENING ISENTROPIC ASCENT
ABOVE THE COLD SURFACE-BASED LAYER ASSOCIATED WITH THE RETREATING
SURFACE RIDGE MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT FOR DEEP CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES AND CONTRIBUTES TO
DESTABILIZATION.

..KERR.. 11/11/2008

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KBOU [111701]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 111701
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
1000 AM MST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0828 AM SNOW SIMLA 39.14N 104.08W
11/11/2008 M4.5 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0801 AM SNOW 1 SE BRECKENRIDGE 39.50N 106.03W
11/11/2008 M2.5 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW HOLYOKE 40.58N 102.30W
11/11/2008 M4.8 INCH PHILLIPS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 18 ESE STERLING 40.55N 102.90W
11/11/2008 M2.3 INCH LOGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 5 WNW LINDON 39.76N 103.49W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH WASHINGTON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 NW FORT MORGAN 40.28N 103.81W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH MORGAN CO AMATEUR RADIO

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW BYERS 39.71N 104.22W
11/11/2008 M6.0 INCH ARAPAHOE CO AMATEUR RADIO

0700 AM SNOW LIMON 39.27N 103.69W
11/11/2008 M2.8 INCH LINCOLN CO AMATEUR RADIO

0630 AM HEAVY SNOW 15 SE HOLYOKE 40.43N 102.10W
11/11/2008 M9.8 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW CROOK 40.86N 102.80W
11/11/2008 M1.5 INCH LOGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW HUGO 39.13N 103.47W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 NNE WOODROW 40.06N 103.54W
11/11/2008 M8.2 INCH MORGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0755 PM SNOW 14 WSW AGATE 39.42N 104.20W
11/10/2008 M4.3 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0525 PM SNOW 11 ESE HOLYOKE 40.53N 102.10W
11/10/2008 E3.0 INCH PHILLIPS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

FREDIN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 111631
SWODY1
SPC AC 111628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1028 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

VALID 111630Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS S CENTRAL/SE TX AND WRN
LA THROUGH TONIGHT...

...S CENTRAL/SE TX INTO WRN LA THROUGH TONIGHT...
A MID LEVEL TROUGH OVER KS/NEB WILL MOVE NEWD TO IA WHILE AN
UPSTREAM WAVE OVER SRN AZ PROGRESSES EWD TO THE TX BIG BEND REGION
BY EARLY WEDNESDAY. A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS...ASSOCIATED WITH A
WEAKENING LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH...IS MOVING SLOWLY SEWD INTO SE TX
AS OF MID MORNING. STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO FORM ALONG THE
COLLECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND IN THE OPEN WARM SECTOR THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON INTO SE TX...WHERE A VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AND
CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG UPDRAFTS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG IN THE WARM SECTOR BASED ON REGIONAL
SOUNDINGS AND VWP/S...AND IT IS UNLIKELY TO INCREASE TODAY IN THE
ABSENCE OF CYCLOGENESIS. THUS...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A
PRIMARY THREAT THIS AFTERNOON WITH EMBEDDED BOWING SEGMENTS...WHILE
THE STRONGEST STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL GIVEN THE
MODERATE INSTABILITY. ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL BE MARGINAL AND
DRIVEN LARGELY BY STORM-SCALE INTERACTIONS.

THE BAND OF CONVECTION WILL NOT CLEAR SE TX BEFORE THE AREA COMES
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER SRN AZ.
EXPECT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO INCREASE AGAIN OVERNIGHT AS LARGE
SCALE ASCENT INCREASES FROM S CENTRAL INTO SE TX...WHERE ONE OR MORE
ADDITIONAL STORM CLUSTERS ARE EXPECTED. A CONTINUED WEAKNESS OF THE
LOW-LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR...IN COMBINATION WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR /ASSOCIATED WITH 50-60 KT SWLY MID LEVEL
FLOW/...WILL SUPPORT A CONTINUED OVERNIGHT THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.

..THOMPSON/JEWELL.. 11/11/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2370

ACUS11 KWNS 111621
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111621
LAZ000-TXZ000-111715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2370
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1021 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF EAST TX INTO WRN LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 111621Z - 111715Z

ISOLATED...MAINLY SUB-SEVERE...WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH BOWING
SEGMENTS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF EAST TX
AND WRN LA.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED A LINE OF TSTMS EXTENDING FROM NWRN LA SWWD
THROUGH E TX TO SOUTH CENTRAL TX /VICINITY OF ATT/...WITH THE LINE
MOVING TOWARD THE ESE. DESPITE WEAK LAPSE RATES ACROSS THIS
REGION...SURFACE HEATING WITHIN A MOIST PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS IS AT
LEAST MAINTAINING WEAK INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AOB 750 J/KG/...WITH
STRONGEST INSTABILITY LOCATED ALONG THE SRN EXTENT OF THE LINE OF
TSTMS. ALTHOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR AROUND 40 KT IS SUPPORTIVE FOR
ORGANIZED STORMS...THE OVERALL WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT THE
SEVERE POTENTIAL. GREATEST THREAT SHOULD OCCUR WITH ANY BOWING
SEGMENTS AIDED BY PERIODIC COLD POOL DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THE HEAVIER
RAINFALL LOCATED ALONG AND N OF THE ADVANCING LINE OF TSTMS.

..PETERS.. 11/11/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 31519501 31949464 32229424 31879293 30989320 30589388
30289479 29959671 30519721 30979640 31359531 31519501

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KFSD [111618]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111618
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1018 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM SNOW SPENCER 43.15N 95.15W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH CLAY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MB

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KFSD [111611]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 111611
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1010 AM CST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 AM SNOW 8 NE SLOAN 42.32N 96.11W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH WOODBURY IA CO-OP OBSERVER

1000 AM SNOW ROCK VALLEY 43.20N 96.30W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH SIOUX IA CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MB

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KGLD [111607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 111607
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
907 AM MST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 19 NNE WRAY 40.33N 102.09W
11/11/2008 M10.0 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

REPORT FROM COCORAHS OBSERVER.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 21 NNE HAIGLER 40.29N 101.79W
11/11/2008 E9.0 INCH DUNDY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

REPORT FROM NERAIN OBSERVER.

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 17 N PARKS 40.29N 101.73W
11/11/2008 M7.0 INCH DUNDY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW YUMA 40.12N 102.72W
11/11/2008 M8.0 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW WRAY 40.08N 102.23W
11/11/2008 M5.0 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 15 NNW PARKS 40.24N 101.84W
11/11/2008 M5.0 INCH DUNDY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOW ON GROUND AT 7 AM. REPORT FROM NERAIN OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 NNE MAX 40.16N 101.37W
11/11/2008 M5.0 INCH DUNDY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW 3 N ALVIN 40.35N 102.08W
11/11/2008 M10.2 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

REPORT FROM COCORAHS OBSERVER.

&&

$$

HENDERSON

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KABQ [111549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 111549
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
847 AM MST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 AM SNOW GALLUP 35.52N 108.74W
11/10/2008 E1.0 INCH MCKINLEY NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

0650 AM SNOW TIERRA AMARILLA 36.70N 106.55W
11/10/2008 E2.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM PUBLIC

0800 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
11/10/2008 M3.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0810 AM SNOW 18 SW CUBA 35.84N 107.18W
11/10/2008 M1.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0815 AM SNOW 17 S GRANTS 34.91N 107.84W
11/10/2008 M4.6 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0850 AM SNOW EL MORRO 35.04N 108.32W
11/10/2008 M4.5 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0915 AM SNOW FENCE LAKE 34.65N 108.68W
11/10/2008 M1.0 INCH CIBOLA NM PUBLIC

0400 PM SNOW 2 N CHAMA 36.92N 106.58W
11/10/2008 M4.5 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

2.5 INCHES SINCE 7 AM.

0500 PM SNOW 2 WSW EL MORRO 35.04N 108.35W
11/10/2008 M3.0 INCH CIBOLA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0500 PM SNOW ANGEL FIRE 36.39N 105.29W
11/10/2008 M3.0 INCH COLFAX NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 PM SNOW CAPULIN 36.74N 103.99W
11/10/2008 M4.1 INCH UNION NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
11/11/2008 M6.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

RED RIVER SKI AREA. ADDITIONAL 4 INCHES SINCE 8 AM NOV 10

0800 AM SNOW 11 NE SANTA FE 35.79N 105.82W
11/11/2008 E3.8 INCH SANTA FE NM PUBLIC

SANTA FE SNOTEL AT 11445 FEET. ADDITIONAL 2.2 INCHES
SINCE 8 AM NOV 10

0800 AM SNOW 7 ESE CUBA 35.98N 106.84W
11/11/2008 E3.2 INCH SANDOVAL NM OTHER FEDERAL

SENORITA DIVIDE SNOTEL AT 8600 FEET.

&&

$$

GUYER

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KBOU [111523]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KBOU 111523
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
823 AM MST TUE NOV 11 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW LIMON 39.27N 103.69W
11/11/2008 M2.8 INCH LINCOLN CO AMATEUR RADIO

0700 AM SNOW HOLYOKE 40.58N 102.30W
11/11/2008 M4.8 INCH PHILLIPS CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM HEAVY SNOW BYERS 39.71N 104.22W
11/11/2008 M6.0 INCH ARAPAHOE CO AMATEUR RADIO

0700 AM SNOW 5 WNW LINDON 39.76N 103.49W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH WASHINGTON CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 1 NW FORT MORGAN 40.28N 103.81W
11/11/2008 M2.0 INCH MORGAN CO AMATEUR RADIO

0630 AM HEAVY SNOW 15 SE HOLYOKE 40.43N 102.10W
11/11/2008 M9.8 INCH YUMA CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW CROOK 40.86N 102.80W
11/11/2008 M1.5 INCH LOGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0630 AM SNOW HUGO 39.13N 103.47W
11/11/2008 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM HEAVY SNOW 6 NNE WOODROW 40.06N 103.54W
11/11/2008 M8.2 INCH MORGAN CO CO-OP OBSERVER

0755 PM SNOW 14 WSW AGATE 39.42N 104.20W
11/10/2008 M4.3 INCH ELBERT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0525 PM SNOW 11 ESE HOLYOKE 40.53N 102.10W
11/10/2008 E3.0 INCH PHILLIPS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

FREDIN

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