Monday, November 26, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2126

ACUS11 KWNS 270415
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270414
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-270645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2126
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1014 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX...CNTRL/NRN/WRN LA...PARTS OF FAR SRN
AR...CNTRL/SWRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270414Z - 270645Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A THREAT FOR ISOLATED MARGINALLY SVR HAIL MAY PERSIST INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...THE OVERALL SVR THREAT APPEARS TO BE DIMINISHING AHEAD
OF A FRONT THAT LIES APPROXIMATELY FROM S-CNTRL TX TO E OF
SHREVEPORT TO E OF GREENVILLE MS. DESPITE RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
CHARACTERIZED BY MIDDLE 60S DEWPOINTS...NOCTURNAL COOLING IS
MINIMIZING BOUNDARY-LAYER INSTABILITY. WHILE CLUSTERS OF STORMS
CONTINUE DEVELOPING NEAR AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...APPRECIABLE
MID-LEVEL ASCENT IS LACKING...AS THE PRIMARY SRN-STREAM VORT MAX
LAGS BACK ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. WITH CONTINUED
NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION... STORM INTENSITY WILL BE HINDERED AMIDST
ONLY MODEST DEEP SHEAR -- I.E. 20-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR.
REGARDLESS...A FEW INSTANCES OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL CANNOT BE RULED
OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE...DISCRETE/SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS. A FEW
STORMS EAST OF AN INCREASINGLY ILL-DEFINED WARM FRONT/CONFLUENCE
AXIS HAVE OCCASIONALLY EXHIBITED WEAK STORM-SCALE ROTATION ACROSS
N-CNTRL/NERN LA -- A MANIFESTATION OF RELATIVELY GREATER LOW-LEVEL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PER VWP DATA. HOWEVER...THE THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT NEAR AND DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL NOT BE
CONDUCIVE FOR ANY SVR THREAT ASIDE FROM ISOLATED MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 30399585 31649430 32519339 33249239 33299051 32519000
31809034 31069138 30669197 30109320 29589492 29789595
30399585

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KHGX [270356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 270356
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
956 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0947 PM HAIL 2 ENE WILLIS 30.44N 95.45W
11/26/2012 E1.00 INCH MONTGOMERY TX TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN WILLIS


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1200026

$$

CM

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KHGX [270249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 270249
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
849 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 PM HAIL MADISONVILLE 30.95N 95.91W
11/26/2012 E0.75 INCH MADISON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN MADISONVILLE
NEAR COURTHOUSE.


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1200025

$$

CM

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KSHV [270233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 270233
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
833 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0825 PM HAIL TIMPSON 31.91N 94.40W
11/26/2012 E0.88 INCH SHELBY TX PUBLIC


&&

$$

20

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270057
SWODY1
SPC AC 270055

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0655 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

VALID 270100Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF SRN AND ERN TX
EWD INTO SRN AR/LA/WRN MS...

...SRN AND ERN TX EWD INTO PARTS OF AR/LA/MS...
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED JUST AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL TX THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...WITH NEW CONVECTION NOW
DEVELOPING OVER PARTS OF NERN TX AND ADJACENT NWRN LA/SRN AR NEAR A
WEAK FRONTAL WAVE. THE CONVECTION IS BEING FUELED BY A ZONE OF
MODERATE WARM-SECTOR INSTABILITY /1000 TO 1500 J/KG MIXED-LAYER
CAPE/...AS A MOIST /MID 60S DEWPOINTS/ BOUNDARY LAYER ADVECTS NWD
BENEATH FAIRLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES.

WHILE CONVECTION IS FORECAST TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS AS THE FRONT SHIFTS SEWD...OVERALL ORGANIZATION/SEVERITY
OF THE STORMS SHOULD REMAIN SOMEWHAT SUBDUED GIVEN ONLY MODEST FLOW
ALOFT. STILL...POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING. WITH TIME...A SEWD
SHIFT IN THE THREAT TOWARD THE TX COAST IS EXPECTED AS THE FRONT
ADVANCES...WHILE FARTHER E A LIMITED THREAT MAY SLOWLY EXPAND EWD
ACROSS THE MS VALLEY. FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO RECENTLY ISSUED SWOMCD PRODUCTS ACROSS
THIS AREA.

..GOSS.. 11/27/2012

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2125

ACUS11 KWNS 270044
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270044
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-270215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2125
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0644 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN TX...NRN/CNTRL/WRN LA...FAR SRN
AR...SWRN/W-CNTRL MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 270044Z - 270215Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS PARTS OF NERN TX
AND NWRN LA...AND THE ISSUANCE OF A SVR TSTM WATCH IS POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM SHREVEPORT INDICATE COOLING
WITHIN THE 730-600-MB LAYER FROM 18Z TO 00Z...POTENTIALLY INDICATING
THE INCREASE IN LARGE-SCALE ASCENT DOWNSTREAM OF A MID-LEVEL VORT
MAX SOON TO EMERGE OVER CNTRL/SRN TX. THE ASCENT/COOLING HAS
CONTRIBUTED TO DESTABILIZATION...WITH THE 00Z SHREVEPORT RAOB
INDICATING AROUND 1100 J/KG OF MLCAPE WITH AROUND 20 J/KG MLCIN.
RADAR RETURNS HAVE BEEN NOTED FROM RUSK COUNTY TX TO BOSSIER PARISH
LA...WHICH IS THE MANIFESTATION OF ONGOING CONVECTIVE INITIATION AS
A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NW...WITH MESOSCALE ASCENT ENHANCED
BY CONVERGENCE AROUND A WEAK SUB-SYNOPTIC-SCALE CYCLONE POSITIONED
NEAR SHREVEPORT. STORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO...POTENTIALLY EVOLVING INTO ONE OR MORE
SQUALL LINES NEAR/JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AMIDST 20-35 KT OF
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR. SVR WINDS/HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH
THIS ACTIVITY...MAINLY TO THE W OF A NNW/SSE-ORIENTED CONFLUENCE
AXIS/WARM FRONT ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF LA. WEAKER INSTABILITY
FARTHER E TOWARD THE MS RIVER INTO WRN MS AND N INTO FAR SRN AR MAY
MITIGATE THE THREAT WITH TIME...WHERE WW ISSUANCE IS RELATIVELY LESS
LIKELY.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/27/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LZK...LCH...SHV...HGX...

LAT...LON 29849303 29549484 30929543 32149468 33189347 33289272
33159198 32819123 31989096 31139139 30359203 29849303

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KEWX [270013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 270013
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
613 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HAIL 5 NNW GEORGETOWN 30.71N 97.72W
11/26/2012 E0.50 INCH WILLIAMSON TX COCORAHS


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200505

$$

SBS

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KEWX [270003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 270003
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
603 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HAIL MARBLE FALLS 30.58N 98.27W
11/26/2012 E0.70 INCH BURNET TX PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200504

$$

SBS

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KEWX [262313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 262313
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
513 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL 1 WSW HORSESHOE BAY 30.53N 98.37W
11/26/2012 E0.25 INCH LLANO TX TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL OBSERVED JUST NORTH OF BAY BLVD AND FM2147


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200503

$$

SBS

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KMQT [262311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 262311
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
611 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW 1 WSW MUNISING 46.41N 86.66W
11/26/2012 M8.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

APPROXIMATELY 24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL.


&&

$$

KCOOLEY

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KMQT [262309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 262309
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
609 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW 1 SSE MUNISING 46.40N 86.63W
11/26/2012 M12.0 INCH ALGER MI TRAINED SPOTTER

APPROXIMATELY 24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL. MEASURMENTS RANGED
FROM 10 TO 12 INCHES.


&&

$$

KCOOLEY

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KEWX [262309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 262309
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
509 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 PM HAIL ANDICE 30.78N 97.85W
11/26/2012 E0.70 INCH WILLIAMSON TX TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1200502

$$

SBS

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2124

ACUS11 KWNS 262308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262308
LAZ000-TXZ000-270115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0508 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/SERN TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 262308Z - 270115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SVR STORMS WITH SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY SVR WINDS
MAY BE OF CONCERN LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...AND THE
ISSUANCE OF A WW IS POSSIBLE.

DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE ARKLATEX SWWD ACROSS THE
EDWARDS PLATEAU AND FARTHER W INTO THE TRANS-PECOS REGION. A FRONTAL
INFLECTION NOTED E OF JUNCTION TX APPEARS TO BE THE FOCUS FOR A
SMALL...BUT PERSISTENT...AREA OF CONVECTION. RECENT STORM
DEVELOPMENT IS NOTED IN CNTRL TX ALONG A PREFRONTAL TROUGH THAT
DELINEATES THE WRN EDGE OF RICHER GULF MOISTURE AND EXTENDS FROM
JUST NORTH OF SHREVEPORT LA TO NORTH OF AUSTIN. DURING THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...STORM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY INCREASE ALONG THE PREFRONTAL
TROUGH...WEST OF WHICH A DEEPER BOUNDARY LAYER/STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT IS PRESENT. FURTHERMORE...MID-LEVEL ASCENT
OVERSPREADING THE AREA...IN ASSOCIATION WITH A VORT MAX ABOUT TO
EMERGE OVER CNTRL/SRN TX PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...MAY ALSO LEAD TO
AN UPTICK IN CONVECTION. MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2000 J/KG NEAR/SE OF
THE PREFRONTAL TROUGH WILL SUPPORT INTENSE UPDRAFTS WITH SVR HAIL
POSSIBLE...THOUGH ONLY MODEST MID-LEVEL FLOW/DEEP SHEAR COULD LIMIT
THE THREAT. SVR WINDS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE...THOUGH THE UNDERCUTTING
NATURE OF THE COLD FRONT MAY MITIGATE THIS CONCERN.

..COHEN/DARROW.. 11/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON 29779389 29159550 29139676 29699819 30479838 30919740
31099640 30809520 30679395 29779389

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KAPX [262252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 262252
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
551 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HEAVY SNOW 4 S SAULT STE. MARIE 46.43N 84.37W
11/26/2012 M10.1 INCH CHIPPEWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER

18 HR TOTAL THRU 530 PM.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [262219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 262219
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
518 PM EST MON NOV 26 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW 5 SW WHITEFISH POINT 46.70N 85.05W
11/26/2012 M6.0 INCH CHIPPEWA MI PUBLIC

12 HR TOTAL THRU 5 PM. SNOWDEPTH 13 IN.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2123

ACUS11 KWNS 262134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262134
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-262300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 PM CST MON NOV 26 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN TX...NRN LA...EXTREME SRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 262134Z - 262300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS NERN TX...NRN
LA AND EXTREME SRN AR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ACTIVITY WILL
EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A LINE AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS
THE AREA. STORMS WILL PRIMARILY POSE A DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL
THREAT. A WW MAY NEED TO BE ISSUED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

DISCUSSION...MESOANALYSIS AT 21Z PLACES A SURFACE LOW IN FAR NERN
TX...WITH A WARM FRONT SLOWLY RETREATING EWD INTO CNTRL PORTIONS OF
LA...AND A COLD FRONT ADVANCING E-SEWD ACROSS CNTRL TX. AMPLE
SUNSHINE HAS AIDED IN WARM SECTOR TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S
TO LOW 80S...WHILE AN AXIS OF LOW TO MID 60S DEWPOINTS EXTENDS
N-NEWD FROM THE TX GULF COAST INTO WRN LA. THE WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY
LAYER COMBINED WITH 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM IS YIELDING
MLCAPE VALUES ESTIMATED TO BE AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AS OF 2115Z SHOWS THE WARM SECTOR IS
CAPPED...WHICH IS ALSO SUPPORTED BY 18Z SHV RAOB.
HOWEVER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SERIES OF SRN STREAM
DISTURBANCES EMANATING OUT OF NRN MEXICO...COMBINED WITH FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE/ASCENT ARE FORECAST TO ERODE THE CAPPING INVERSION
DURING THE 22-00Z TIME PERIOD. THIS WILL FAVOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND PERHAPS EWD INVOF THE SURFACE
LOW AND WARM FRONT. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 KT WILL
SUPPORT MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND PERHAPS A FEW SUPERCELLS POSING A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR
PROFILES WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY STRONG...THUS ANY TORNADO THREAT
IS EXPECTED TO BE BRIEF AND FOCUSED NEAR THE LOW WHERE BACKED
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE MOST PROBABLE.

BY NIGHT...STORMS ARE FORECAST TO ORGANIZE INTO A LINE AS THE COLD
FRONT ADVANCES EWD...WITH THE THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG/SVR WIND
GUSTS CONTINUING.

..GARNER/EDWARDS.. 11/26/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...

LAT...LON 30849533 31499614 32559605 33229461 33279249 32889138
31999124 31479198 30929358 30849533

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KLBF [261452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261452
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
852 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 AM SNOW AINSWORTH 42.55N 99.86W
11/26/2012 M4.0 INCH BROWN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL SO FAR.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KLBF [261452]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261452
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
852 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW GORDON 42.81N 102.20W
11/26/2012 M7.0 INCH SHERIDAN NE PUBLIC

REPORT WAS RELAYED THROUGH SOCIAL MEDIA.

0800 AM SNOW 1 S DUNNING 41.81N 100.10W
11/26/2012 M1.5 INCH BLAINE NE PUBLIC


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261437]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261437
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
936 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 AM SNOW 3 NNE ALSTON 46.81N 88.71W
11/26/2012 E3.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI PUBLIC

12 HOUR TOTAL. 12 INCH SNOW DEPTH.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261415
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
815 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW EMMET 42.48N 98.81W
11/26/2012 M2.0 INCH HOLT NE MESONET

REPORT WAS FURNISHED BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT
AND INFORMATION NETWORK OBSERVER.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KLBF [261408]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261408
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
807 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW ARNOLD 41.42N 100.19W
11/26/2012 M0.9 INCH CUSTER NE PUBLIC

REPORT WAS RELAYED VIA FACEBOOK SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261405
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
905 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 5 N SHINGLETON 46.42N 86.48W
11/26/2012 M7.0 INCH ALGER MI TRAINED SPOTTER

APPROXIMATE 12 HOUR TOTAL. 19 INCH SNOW DEPTH.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261404
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
804 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW CHAMBERS 42.21N 98.75W
11/26/2012 M1.3 INCH HOLT NE CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL THROUGH 800 AM CST.

0800 AM SNOW NEWPORT 42.60N 99.33W
11/26/2012 M2.5 INCH ROCK NE CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL THROUGH 800 AM CST.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KLBF [261345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KLBF 261345
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
745 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 AM HEAVY SNOW RUSHVILLE 42.71N 102.47W
11/26/2012 E2.0 INCH SHERIDAN NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT ESTIMATES ABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE
GROUND AT RUSHVILLE.

0530 AM HEAVY SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M6.0 INCH CHERRY NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

6 INCHES OF SNOW WAS MEASURED ON THE GROUND AND 7 INCHES
HAS FALLEN SINCE SUNDAY.

0600 AM SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M7.0 INCH CHERRY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 600 AM CST WAS 7 INCHES IN
VALENTINE.

0700 AM SNOW 1 NE KILGORE 42.95N 100.94W
11/26/2012 M5.0 INCH CHERRY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW BREWSTER 41.94N 99.87W
11/26/2012 M3.0 INCH BLAINE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0700 AM SNOW 2 SE ANSELMO 41.60N 99.84W
11/26/2012 M1.0 INCH CUSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 9 NW ANSELMO 41.71N 99.99W
11/26/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 700 AM CST. REPORT WAS
FURNISHED BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND
INFORMATION NETWORK OBSERVER.

0740 AM SNOW 29 S VALENTINE 42.45N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M4.0 INCH CHERRY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME MELTING HAS OCCURRED.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KLBF [261344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261344
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
744 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 1 NE KILGORE 42.95N 100.94W
11/26/2012 M5.0 INCH CHERRY NE CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261344
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
844 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 3 S IRON RIVER 46.06N 88.63W
11/26/2012 M3.0 INCH IRON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 0.07 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. SNOW
DEPTH IS 6 INCHES.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261343
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
743 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 AM SNOW 29 S VALENTINE 42.45N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M4.0 INCH CHERRY NE TRAINED SPOTTER

SOME MELTING HAS OCCURRED.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261342
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
842 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0841 AM SNOW 2 E WAKEFIELD 46.48N 89.89W
11/26/2012 M5.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI TRAINED SPOTTER

16 HOUR TOTAL. STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KMQT [261341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261341
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
840 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 ESE THREE LAKES 46.54N 88.17W
11/26/2012 M3.9 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 0.09 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. 8 INCH
SNOW DEPTH.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KMQT [261337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261337
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
837 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 2 E WINONA 46.88N 88.86W
11/26/2012 M7.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 0.31 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT. SNOW DEPTH
IS 15 INCHES.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261333
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
733 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 9 NW ANSELMO 41.71N 99.99W
11/26/2012 M1.5 INCH CUSTER NE MESONET

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 700 AM CST. REPORT WAS
FURNISHED BY A NEBRASKA RAINFALL ASSESSMENT AND
INFORMATION NETWORK OBSERVER.


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261322
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
821 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 ENE SIDNAW 46.51N 88.67W
11/26/2012 M3.8 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 3.2 INCHES SINCE 1700 EST ON 11/25. 0.10
INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261321]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLBF 261321
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
721 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 SE ANSELMO 41.60N 99.84W
11/26/2012 M1.0 INCH CUSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KLBF [261320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261320
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
720 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 2 SE ANSELMO 41.60N 99.84W
11/26/2012 M2.0 INCH CUSTER NE CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

CARMEL

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KMQT [261319]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261319
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
818 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW NEWBERRY 46.35N 85.51W
11/26/2012 M5.0 INCH LUCE MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL. 2.4 INCHES OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS.

0800 AM SNOW 2 WNW IRONWOOD 46.47N 90.19W
11/26/2012 M4.2 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.


&&

$$

KLUBER

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KLBF [261300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261300
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
700 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M7.0 INCH CHERRY NE CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THROUGH 600 AM CST WAS 7 INCHES IN
VALENTINE.

0700 AM SNOW BREWSTER 41.94N 99.87W
11/26/2012 M3.0 INCH BLAINE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

CARMEL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 261242
SWODY1
SPC AC 261240

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0640 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

VALID 261300Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NORTHEAST TX INTO PORTIONS
OF AR/LA/MS...

...ARKLATEX REGION...
MORNING WATER VAPOR LOOPS SHOW A DEVELOPING LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL UNITED STATES. A SOUTHERN STREAM
IMPULSE IS MOVING ACROSS THE BAJA PENINSULA AND WILL APPROACH THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EVENING. MEANWHILE AT THE SURFACE...A
COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS OK INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION.
CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL
RESULT IN SCATTERED STRONG-SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE COLD FRONT LATER
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG THIS MORNING...NOR WILL
THEY INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOWEVER...
INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION/ASCENT AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL RESULT IN GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. THIS PROCESS HAS ALREADY COMMENCED ACROSS PARTS OF LA/MS.
WHILE AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM IS POSSIBLE FROM THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON ACTIVITY...THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED AFTER
00Z.

MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS AGREE THAT MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS EVENING FROM
NORTHEAST TX...ACROSS SOUTHERN AR...INTO NORTHERN MS. THE AIR MASS
IN THIS REGION WILL BECOME MODERATELY MOIST/UNSTABLE WITH
SUFFICIENTLY STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO YIELD MLCAPE VALUES OF
1500-2000 J/KG. LOW AND MID LEVEL FORECAST WIND FIELDS WILL PROMOTE
SUPERCELL STORM STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
VEERED LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO MITIGATE THE RISK OF LOW LEVEL
MESOCYCLONES...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THE
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN LA AND
NORTHERN/CENTRAL MS BY LATE EVENING AND EVENTUALLY WEAKEN DUE TO
DECREASING INSTABILITY.

..HART/DISPIGNA.. 11/26/2012

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KCYS [261201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 261201
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
501 AM MST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 AM SNOW DOUGLAS 42.76N 105.39W
11/26/2012 E2.5 INCH CONVERSE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 2 TO 3 INCHES OVERNIGHT.

0455 AM SNOW LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
11/26/2012 E2.0 INCH NIOBRARA WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

AROUND 2 INCHES OVERNIGHT.

0455 AM SNOW WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
11/26/2012 E0.0 INCH PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

JUST A DUSTING OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.

0455 AM SNOW CHADRON 42.83N 103.00W
11/26/2012 E1.5 INCH DAWES NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

ESTIMATED 1 TO 2 INCHES ON THE GROUND.

0455 AM SNOW ALLIANCE 42.10N 102.87W
11/26/2012 E1.0 INCH BOX BUTTE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.


&&

$$

REMANUEL

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KMQT [261200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261200
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
700 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW GREENLAND 46.78N 89.10W
11/26/2012 M2.0 INCH ONTONAGON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL. LIQUID EQUIVALENT 0.12 INCHES. SNOW
DEPTH IS 8 INCHES.


&&

$$

JLA

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KMQT [261139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261139
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
639 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.41N 86.65W
11/26/2012 M5.0 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL. LIQUID EQUIVALENT 0.21 INCHES. SNOW
DEPTH IS 9 INCHES.


&&

$$

JLA

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KLBF [261134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLBF 261134
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
533 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 PM HEAVY SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/25/2012 M4.0 INCH CHERRY NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

4 INCHES OF SNOW HAS FALLEN AND 3 INCHES IS ON THE
GROUND. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.

1235 AM HEAVY SNOW RUSHVILLE 42.71N 102.47W
11/26/2012 E2.0 INCH SHERIDAN NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT ESTIMATES ABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE
GROUND AT RUSHVILLE.

0530 AM HEAVY SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M6.0 INCH CHERRY NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

6 INCHES OF SNOW WAS MEASURED ON THE GROUND AND 7 INCHES
HAS FALLEN SINCE SUNDAY.


&&

$$

CCOLE

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KLBF [261131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 261131
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
531 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 AM HEAVY SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/26/2012 M6.0 INCH CHERRY NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

6 INCHES OF SNOW WAS MEASURED ON THE GROUND AND 7 INCHES
HAS FALLEN SINCE SUNDAY.


&&

$$

CCOLE

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KMQT [261126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261126
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
626 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 AM SNOW 10 S GRAND MARAIS 46.53N 85.98W
11/26/2012 M4.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL. LIQUID EQUIVALENT 0.34 INCHES. SNOW
DEPTH IS 11 INCHES. LIGHT SNOW CURRENTLY.


&&

$$

JLA

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KMQT [261048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 261048
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
547 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.41N 86.65W
11/26/2012 E2.5 INCH ALGER MI LAW ENFORCEMENT

2 TO 3 INCHES SINCE 2 AM ET THIS MORNING.


&&

$$

JLA

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 260917
SWOD48
SPC AC 260917

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

VALID 291200Z - 041200Z

...DISCUSSION...
QUIESCENT PATTERN FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. SLY RETURN FLOW WILL DEVELOP LATE WEEK FROM THE WRN GULF
INTO THE S-CNTRL CONUS. GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY CONSISTENT THAT A
QUASI-ZONAL/MODEST FLOW REGIME WILL CONTINUE IN THIS REGION AS A
SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS IMPACT THE WEST AND TRACK NEWD ACROSS
THE N-CNTRL CONUS/S-CNTRL CANADA.

..GRAMS.. 11/26/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 260757
SWODY3
SPC AC 260755

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MINIMAL RISK FOR TSTMS OVER THE CONUS ON WED. SPOTTY LIGHTNING
STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN THE CNTRL VALLEY OF CA IN ASSOCIATION
WITH A SHORT WAVE TROUGH IMPINGING ON THE WEST COAST. SCARCE
BUOYANCY/WEAK INSTABILITY SHOULD MITIGATE TSTM PROBABILITIES TO AOB
10 PERCENT.

..GRAMS.. 11/26/2012

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KCYS [260646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 260646
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1146 PM MST SUN NOV 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 PM SNOW CHADRON 42.83N 103.00W
11/25/2012 E1.0 INCH DAWES NE LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

LIEBL

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KLBF [260636]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 260636
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1236 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1235 AM HEAVY SNOW RUSHVILLE 42.71N 102.47W
11/26/2012 E2.0 INCH SHERIDAN NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT ESTIMATES ABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE
GROUND AT RUSHVILLE.


&&

$$

CCOLE

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KLBF [260628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 260628
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1228 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM HEAVY SNOW VALENTINE 42.87N 100.55W
11/25/2012 M4.0 INCH CHERRY NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

4 INCHES OF SNOW HAS FALLEN AND 3 INCHES IS ON THE
GROUND. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTS HAZARDOUS TRAVEL.


&&

$$

CCOLE

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 260611
SWODY2
SPC AC 260609

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 AM CST MON NOV 26 2012

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST...
A RELATIVELY AMPLIFIED BUT PROGRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN IS
EXPECTED ON TUE...HIGHLIGHTED BY AN EWD-SHIFTING TROUGH IN THE EAST
AND A RIDGE IN THE WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS ARE
PROBABLE IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD ALONG A SEWD-ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. ORGANIZED SEVERE TSTMS ARE NOT EXPECTED OWING TO WEAK LAPSE
RATES/LIMITED INSTABILITY AND THE WEAKENING NATURE OF THE FRONT.

..GRAMS.. 11/26/2012

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KAPX [260559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 260559
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1259 AM EST MON NOV 26 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1159 PM SNOW SAULT SAINT MARIE 46.48N 84.37W
11/25/2012 M3.2 INCH CHIPPEWA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

5 HR TOTAL THRU MIDNIGHT. SNOWDEPTH 5 IN.


&&

$$

ASULLIVA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 260543
SWODY1
SPC AC 260541

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST SUN NOV 25 2012

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF ERN
TX...NRN/CNTRL/WRN LA...FAR SRN AR...SWRN/W-CNTRL MS...

...SYNOPSIS...
LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BE EMBEDDED WITHIN A BELT OF
ZONAL TO BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE MID/UPPER LEVELS E OF THE
ROCKIES. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF THESE FEATURES WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE EWD/SWD-MOTION OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE SRN
PLAINS AND LOWER MS VALLEY AT THE LEADING EDGE OF A SPRAWLING
ANTICYCLONE OVER THE CNTRL UNITED STATES. RICH GULF MOISTURE LEADING
THE FRONT WILL ADVANCE NWD INTO SRN/ERN TX EWD INTO THE ARKLAMISS
REGION...AIDED BY THE FLOW AROUND A WEAK SFC CYCLONE TRACKING FROM
N-CNTRL TX TO NRN AL. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE DELMARVA TO THE
NW GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY TUE MORNING.

...CNTRL/SRN/ERN TX EWD TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...
THE RETURN OF RICH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN ADVANCE OF THE COLD FRONT
AMIDST POCKETS OF INSOLATION WILL SUPPORT MLCAPE VALUES OF
500-1200 J/KG WHERE DEWPOINTS CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO THE MIDDLE
60S. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE
DAY WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR GIVEN THE WEAK LOW-LEVEL WAA REGIME
AMIDST WEAKLY CONFLUENT SFC FLOW. STORM INTENSITY MAY GRADUALLY
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS INFLOW DESTABILIZES WITH DIURNAL
HEATING. THE RELATIVELY HIGHER POTENTIAL FOR SVR STORMS WILL EXIST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THE EVENING HOURS...AS ONE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH EMERGES OVER SRN TX AND THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHES THE ARKLATEX
REGION...AND THE FRONT ADVANCES SEWD.

ONLY 20-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
WARM SECTOR GIVEN ITS SWD DISPLACEMENT FROM THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL
FLOW. MULTICELL STORMS AND SHORT LINE SEGMENTS SHOULD BE THE
PREDOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE...WITH SVR WINDS/HAIL POSSIBLE. LINEAR
FORCING ALONG THE FRONT MAY BE THE FOCUS FOR A MORE ORGANIZED SQUALL
LINE WITH SVR WINDS DURING THE EVENING.

A FEW TRANSIENT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO
WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE SFC WINDS REMAIN RELATIVELY BACKED WELL AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...BENEATH A 20-30-KT SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET MAX E/SE OF THE
SFC CYCLONE. THIS CONCERN IS GREATEST ACROSS FAR ERN
TX...NRN/CNTRL/WRN LA...FAR SRN AR...AND SWRN/W-CNTRL MS.
HOWEVER...A WEAKNESS IN THE HODOGRAPH WITHIN THE 2-5.5-KM-AGL LAYER
PER FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR PERSISTENT
SUPERCELLS AND THE TORNADO THREAT.

THE SVR THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST DURING THE EVENING ACROSS
PARTS OF ERN TX...NRN/CNTRL/WRN LA...FAR SRN AR...AND SWRN/W-CNTRL
MS...WHERE THE OVERLAP OF MODESTLY ENHANCED MID-LEVEL ASCENT AND
RICH MOISTURE/MODEST BUOYANCY IS ANTICIPATED. FOR LOCATIONS
SURROUNDING THE SLIGHT-RISK AREA...THE SVR THREAT WILL BE LIMITED
/1/ TO THE W BY CAPPING ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM LAYER ALOFT.../2/ TO
THE N/E BY THE LACK OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/BUOYANCY...AND /3/ TO THE
S BY THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT LATE IN THE NIGHT WHEN NOCTURNAL
STABILITY WILL BE PRONOUNCED.

..COHEN/GOSS.. 11/26/2012

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KUNR [260542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 260542
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1041 PM MST SUN NOV 25 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM SNOW DOWNTOWN HOT SPRINGS 43.43N 103.48W
11/25/2012 M1.5 INCH FALL RIVER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0600 PM SNOW LEAD 44.35N 103.77W
11/25/2012 M2.2 INCH LAWRENCE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

0600 PM SNOW 3 E DOWNTOWN STURGIS 44.41N 103.45W
11/25/2012 M1.0 INCH MEADE SD TRAINED SPOTTER

24-HOUR SNOWFALL.

1035 PM SNOW DOWNTOWN RAPID CITY 44.08N 103.23W
11/25/2012 M1.6 INCH PENNINGTON SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

RAPID CITY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.


&&
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WERE GENERALLY 1-2 INCHES FROM TODAY THROUGH THE
EVENING OVER MUCH OF NORTHEASTERN WYOMING...THE BLACK HILLS...AND
SOUTHWESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. CONSIDERABLE MELTING TOOK PLACE TODAY
WHICH REDUCED POTENTIAL SNOWFALL TOTALS. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL REPORTS
WILL BE PROVIDED MONDAY MORNING AFTER THE SNOW HAS ENDED.
$$

BUNKERS

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