KRAH [220236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220236
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1036 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1020 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW NEW HOPE 35.85N 78.59W
09/21/2011 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

VEHICLE STUCK IN FLOODING AT MILBROOK ROAD AND HOYLE
DRIVE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101453

$$

ELLIS

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KRAH [220233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220233
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1033 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NNE RALEIGH 35.85N 78.61W
09/21/2011 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

THREE FEET OF WATER ON OLD WAKE FOREST ROAD WITH
VEHICHLE STUCK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101452

$$

ELLIS

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KEWX [220231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 220231
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
931 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL 7 NW BANDERA 29.80N 99.16W
09/21/2011 E0.88 INCH BANDERA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

.50 RAINFALL AS OF 930 PM HAIL WAS BRIEF

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1100314

$$

JPB

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KRAH [220207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220207
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1007 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 WSW RALEIGH 35.80N 78.69W
09/21/2011 M2.51 INCH WAKE NC TRAINED SPOTTER

2.51 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED IN 1.5 HOURS AT RIDGE ROAD
AND WADE AVENUE

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101451

$$

ELLIS

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KRAH [220203]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220203
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1002 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0954 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW HOLLY SPRINGS 35.64N 78.86W
09/21/2011 M2.28 INCH WAKE NC NWS EMPLOYEE

2.28 INCHES OF RAIN OBSERVED IN 1.5 HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101450

$$

ELLIS

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KRAH [220159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220159
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
959 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 SW RALEIGH 35.77N 78.69W
09/21/2011 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

AVENT FERRY BLOCKED AT TRAILWOOD DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101449

$$

ELLIS

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KRAH [220157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220157
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
957 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 E CARY 35.79N 78.72W
09/21/2011 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

HILLSBORO STREET WAS BLOCKED OFF AT THE RAILROAD
CROSSING NEAR THE CHAPEL HILL ROAD SPLIT

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101448

$$

ELLIS

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KRAH [220154]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 220154
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
954 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0950 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WSW RALEIGH 35.79N 78.70W
09/21/2011 WAKE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

BLUE RIDGE ROAD AT WESTERN BLVD WAS BLOCKED DUE TO
FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101447

$$

ELLIS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 220036
SWODY1
SPC AC 220034

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0734 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 220100Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN...
SOUTH CENTRAL...AND EASTERN U.S...APPEARS TO HAVE RECEIVED
CONSIDERABLE SUPPORT FROM INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING. WITH THE ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING UNDERWAY ACROSS MOST
AREAS...ACTIVITY HAS GENERALLY SHOWN SIGNS OF DIMINISHING COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY...AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
03-05Z TIME FRAME.

ONE NOTABLE EXCEPTION IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN COLORADO...WHERE AN INCREASE IN CONVECTION AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS ALREADY ONGOING...SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS
INTO OKLAHOMA BY LATE EVENING...BEFORE CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. THIS
IS EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO GENERALLY WEAK LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC
DESTABILIZATION...ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION ACCOMPANYING A DIGGING SHORT WAVE IMPULSE.

..KERR.. 09/22/2011

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KEWX [212317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEWX 212317
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
617 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 PM HAIL KERRVILLE 30.04N 99.14W
09/21/2011 E0.25 INCH KERR TX BROADCAST MEDIA

REPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 27 TIVY ST AND AT 5
POINTS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1100313

$$

JPB

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KJAX [212244]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 212244
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
644 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW HIGH SPRINGS 29.78N 82.61W
09/21/2011 ALACHUA FL 911 CALL CENTER

A LARGE TREE WAS REPORTED DOWN ON NW 142 AVENUE JUST EAST
OF U.S. HIGHWAYS 27 AND 41.

&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KRAH [212217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 212217
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
617 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0613 PM FLOOD 1 E CARRBORO 35.91N 79.06W
09/21/2011 ORANGE NC TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED ABOUT A FOOT OF WATER ON WEST FRANKLIN
AND MALLETTE STREETS IN CHAPEL HILL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101446

$$

ELLIS

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KTAE [212113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 212113
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
513 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N COTTONDALE 30.83N 85.38W
09/21/2011 JACKSON FL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES DOWN JUST NORTH OF COTTONDALE. TWO HOMES
AND ONE BARN DAMAGED BY FALLING TREES.

&&

$$

CAMP

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KBMX [212047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 212047
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
347 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW ALLGOOD 33.91N 86.51W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING ACROSS 270 TIDWELL HOLLOW ROAD. ROAD IS
IMPASSABLE.

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW REMLAP 33.83N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING OUT OF SMALL CREEK AND BEGINNING TO FLOW
ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 75 AT SOUTHEASTERN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
IN REMLAP.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD LOCUST FORK 33.91N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ALONG SPUNKY HOLLOW ROAD IN LOCUST
FORK.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW REMLAP 33.85N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ON HOUSE ROAD NEAR REMLAP.

0210 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE REMLAP 33.86N 86.59W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLASH FLOODING ON REMLAP DRIVE BETWEEN VALLEY GROVE ROAD
AND STATE HIGHWAY 75 SOUTH.

0213 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N AUTAUGAVILLE 32.50N 86.65W
09/20/2011 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

AT A HOME ON COUNTY ROAD 13, EIGHT TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN
CAUSING DAMAGE TO THE AWNING OF TRAVEL TRAILER AND A FLAT
BED AUTO TRAILER.

0213 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N AUTAUGAVILLE 32.45N 86.66W
09/20/2011 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ALONG COUNTY ROAD 13, A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN CAUSING
DAMAGE TO A FENCE.

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 NW LOWNDESBORO 32.39N 86.74W
09/20/2011 LOWNDES AL PUBLIC

HENDERSON ROAD COVERED BY WATER IN SEVERAL PLACES AND
IMPASSABLE BY CAR. SEVERAL HOMES ARE LOCATED ALONG THE
ROAD.

0400 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 E0.00 MPH ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE HOLTVILLE AREA. MEASURED WIND GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

COLLAPSED PORCH AND ROOF DAMAGE TO HOUSE IN HOLTVILLE.

0920 PM FLASH FLOOD LANETT 32.87N 85.21W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SHOPPING CENTER PARKING LOT ON U.S. HIGHWAY 29 ON THE
STATE LINE WAS REPORTED AS FLOODED. CARS WERE BEING
STALLED OUT DUE TO THE HIGH WATER.

0947 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NE LANETT 32.88N 85.19W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER REPORTED FLOWING UNDERNEATH DOORWAYS OF BUSINESSES
ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 29 IN WEST POINT DUE TO FLOODING.

0131 AM FLASH FLOOD PHENIX CITY 32.47N 85.01W
09/21/2011 RUSSELL AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SIX HOUSES FLOODED WITH UP TO 6 INCHES OF WATER IN PHENIX
CITY AREA. TWO HOUSES WERE IN THE SADDLEBROOK SUBDIVISION
OFF OF SUMMERVILLE ROAD AND FOUR HOUSES WERE IN THE IVY
CREEK SUBDIVISION OFF OF STADIUM DRIVE.

&&

$$

HB

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KBMX [212046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 212046
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
346 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N AUTAUGAVILLE 32.45N 86.66W
09/20/2011 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

ALONG COUNTY ROAD 13, A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN CAUSING
DAMAGE TO A FENCE.

0213 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N AUTAUGAVILLE 32.50N 86.65W
09/20/2011 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

AT A HOME ON COUNTY ROAD 13, EIGHT TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN
CAUSING DAMAGE TO THE AWNING OF TRAVEL TRAILER AND A FLAT
BED AUTO TRAILER.

&&

$$

HB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 211936
SWODY1
SPC AC 211935

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0235 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 212000Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

NO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THE 20Z ISSUANCE.

..BROYLES.. 09/21/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1128 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011/

...SYNOPSIS...
WI UPR LOW WILL EJECT ENE TO NRN LK SUPERIOR LATER TODAY...BEFORE
CONTINUING NE TOWARD JAMES BAY EARLY THU AS UPSTREAM SPEED MAX NOW
IN WRN ONT DROPS S INTO MN. VORT LOBE ON ERN SIDE OF WI LOW...NOW
CROSSING LK MI...SHOULD ACCELERATE NNE ACROSS LWR MI LATER TODAY.
FARTHER S AND E...SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE SLOWLY
PROGRESSIVE...POSITIVE TILT TROUGH OVER THE LWR MS VLY/SOUTHEAST
WILL TRACK NE ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL APPALACHIANS.

AT LWR LVLS...WRN-MOST COLD FRONTAL SEGMENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WI
LOW IS NOW OVER WRN LWR MI. THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY E
ACROSS LWR MI THIS AFTN...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR DIURNALLY ENHANCED
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

...ERN LWR MI INTO OH THIS AFTN/EVE...
MODEST INSTABILITY /SBCAPE TO 500 J PER KG/ WILL DEVELOP WITH SFC
HEATING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER ERN LWR MI THIS AFTN AS SFC
DEWPOINTS RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S F. AT THE SAME TIME...MID
LVL LAPSE RATES MAY SOMEWHAT STEEPEN AS UPR IMPULSE GLANCES REGION.
COUPLED WITH FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...SETUP MAY YIELD A
BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS BY EARLY TO MID AFTN. GIVEN 30-35 KT MEAN LWR
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW...DEEP LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY WIND
FIELD...THE STORMS COULD BECOME SUFFICIENTLY SUSTAINED/ORGANIZED TO
POSE A SHORT-LIVED THREAT FOR DMGG WIND AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL...ESPECIALLY IN ERN LWR MI. THE SVR THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET AS FRONT AND ASSOCIATED FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUE ENE
INTO CANADA.

...SERN STATES...
SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN MOISTENING/WARMING LOW LVL
ENVIRONMENT OVER PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS TODAY AS WEDGE AIR MASS
CONTINUES TO BE ERODED FROM THE S AND E. RESIDUAL SHALLOW LAYER OF
E TO ESELY LOW LVL FLOW MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT ENHANCEMENT TO LOW
LVL SRH TO POSE A RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO DURING THE AFTN.

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KJAX [211828]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 211828
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
227 PM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0225 PM HEAVY RAIN KINGSLAND 30.79N 81.66W
09/21/2011 U0.00 INCH CAMDEN GA TRAINED SPOTTER

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCING MINOR FLOODING OF LOW
LYING AREAS AND STANDING WATER UP TO 3 INCHES DEEP ON
STATE ROAD 40 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 17 IN KINGSLAND.

&&

$$

JHESS

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 211717
SWODY2
SPC AC 211716

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL GRADUALLY FILL ON
THURSDAY AS AN ASSOCIATED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES SEWD ACROSS THE
MID-MO VALLEY AND SRN PLAINS. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE
SWD ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS...LOWER MS VALLEY AND TN VALLEY EXTENDING
NEWD INTO THE APPALACHIAN MTNS BY MIDDAY ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS SFC HEATING TAKES PLACE AND LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE INCREASES. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE FRONT SUGGEST A FEW POCKETS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY COULD
DEVELOP ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND ATLANTIC SEABOARD. WHERE
INSTABILITY BECOMES LOCALLY MAXIMIZED...A FEW STRONG UPDRAFTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
BELOW 30 KT ALONG MOST OF THE FRONT WITH LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ALSO
WEAK SUGGESTING THE THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS SHOULD BE VERY
ISOLATED. DUE TO THIS REASONING...HAVE NOT ADDED A LOW-END SEVERE
PROBABILITY FOR THIS OUTLOOK.

..BROYLES.. 09/21/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 211630
SWODY1
SPC AC 211628

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 211630Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
WI UPR LOW WILL EJECT ENE TO NRN LK SUPERIOR LATER TODAY...BEFORE
CONTINUING NE TOWARD JAMES BAY EARLY THU AS UPSTREAM SPEED MAX NOW
IN WRN ONT DROPS S INTO MN. VORT LOBE ON ERN SIDE OF WI LOW...NOW
CROSSING LK MI...SHOULD ACCELERATE NNE ACROSS LWR MI LATER TODAY.
FARTHER S AND E...SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE SLOWLY
PROGRESSIVE...POSITIVE TILT TROUGH OVER THE LWR MS VLY/SOUTHEAST
WILL TRACK NE ACROSS THE SRN/CNTRL APPALACHIANS.

AT LWR LVLS...WRN-MOST COLD FRONTAL SEGMENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WI
LOW IS NOW OVER WRN LWR MI. THE FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY E
ACROSS LWR MI THIS AFTN...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR DIURNALLY ENHANCED
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

...ERN LWR MI INTO OH THIS AFTN/EVE...
MODEST INSTABILITY /SBCAPE TO 500 J PER KG/ WILL DEVELOP WITH SFC
HEATING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER ERN LWR MI THIS AFTN AS SFC
DEWPOINTS RISE INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S F. AT THE SAME TIME...MID
LVL LAPSE RATES MAY SOMEWHAT STEEPEN AS UPR IMPULSE GLANCES REGION.
COUPLED WITH FRONTAL AND PRE-FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...SETUP MAY YIELD A
BROKEN BAND OF TSTMS BY EARLY TO MID AFTN. GIVEN 30-35 KT MEAN LWR
TROPOSPHERIC FLOW...DEEP LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL SWLY WIND
FIELD...THE STORMS COULD BECOME SUFFICIENTLY SUSTAINED/ORGANIZED TO
POSE A SHORT-LIVED THREAT FOR DMGG WIND AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL...ESPECIALLY IN ERN LWR MI. THE SVR THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET AS FRONT AND ASSOCIATED FORCING FOR ASCENT CONTINUE ENE
INTO CANADA.

...SERN STATES...
SCTD TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN MOISTENING/WARMING LOW LVL
ENVIRONMENT OVER PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS TODAY AS WEDGE AIR MASS
CONTINUES TO BE ERODED FROM THE S AND E. RESIDUAL SHALLOW LAYER OF
E TO ESELY LOW LVL FLOW MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT ENHANCEMENT TO LOW
LVL SRH TO POSE A RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO DURING THE AFTN.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 09/21/2011

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KBMX [211510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 211510
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1010 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW ALLGOOD 33.91N 86.51W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING ACROSS 270 TIDWELL HOLLOW ROAD. ROAD IS
IMPASSABLE.

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW REMLAP 33.83N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING OUT OF SMALL CREEK AND BEGINNING TO FLOW
ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 75 AT SOUTHEASTERN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
IN REMLAP.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW REMLAP 33.85N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ON HOUSE ROAD NEAR REMLAP.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD LOCUST FORK 33.91N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ALONG SPUNKY HOLLOW ROAD IN LOCUST
FORK.

0210 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE REMLAP 33.86N 86.59W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLASH FLOODING ON REMLAP DRIVE BETWEEN VALLEY GROVE ROAD
AND STATE HIGHWAY 75 SOUTH.

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 NW LOWNDESBORO 32.39N 86.74W
09/20/2011 LOWNDES AL PUBLIC

HENDERSON ROAD COVERED BY WATER IN SEVERAL PLACES AND
IMPASSABLE BY CAR. SEVERAL HOMES ARE LOCATED ALONG THE
ROAD.

0400 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 E0.00 MPH ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE HOLTVILLE AREA. MEASURED WIND GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

COLLAPSED PORCH AND ROOF DAMAGE TO HOUSE IN HOLTVILLE.

0920 PM FLASH FLOOD LANETT 32.87N 85.21W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SHOPPING CENTER PARKING LOT ON U.S. HIGHWAY 29 ON THE
STATE LINE WAS REPORTED AS FLOODED. CARS WERE BEING
STALLED OUT DUE TO THE HIGH WATER.

0947 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NE LANETT 32.88N 85.19W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER REPORTED FLOWING UNDERNEATH DOORWAYS OF BUSINESSES
ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 29 IN WEST POINT DUE TO FLOODING.

0131 AM FLASH FLOOD PHENIX CITY 32.47N 85.01W
09/21/2011 RUSSELL AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SIX HOUSES FLOODED WITH UP TO 6 INCHES OF WATER IN PHENIX
CITY AREA. TWO HOUSES WERE IN THE SADDLEBROOK SUBDIVISION
OFF OF SUMMERVILLE ROAD AND FOUR HOUSES WERE IN THE IVY
CREEK SUBDIVISION OFF OF STADIUM DRIVE.

&&

$$

16

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KEPZ [211438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KEPZ 211438
LSREPZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX
837 AM MDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0820 AM TSTM WND GST HOLLOMAN AFB 32.85N 106.11W
09/21/2011 M58 MPH OTERO NM NWS OFFICE

HOLLOMAN AFB REPORTED TSTM WIND GUST 50KT AT 0726 GMT
126 AM MDT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EPZ1100365

$$

JMP

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KKEY [211255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 211255
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
854 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
09/21/2011 M39 MPH GMZ044 FL C-MAN STATION

THE SAND KEY C-MAN STATION MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 34
KNOTS...FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WITH THE PASSAGE OF A RECENT
THUNDERSTORM.

&&

$$

CROTHWEL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 211249
SWODY1
SPC AC 211248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 211300Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPR LOW AND ASSOCIATED BAND OF 60-70 KTS OF SWLY H5+ FLOW WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE CNTRL GRTLKS REGION TDY. A 1003 MB LOW VCNTY KDLH WILL
TRAVEL NEWD INTO NWRN OT THIS AFTN...WITH TRAILING FRONT EDGING
ACROSS THE MIDWEST. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A COMPARATIVELY WEAKER
DISTURBANCE WILL EJECT ENE FROM THE SRN APLCNS TO THE MID-ATLC
REGION TDY.

...ERN LWR MI SWD INTO OH...
PRE-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL BECOME WEAKLY BUOYANT THIS AFTN IN ERN LWR
MI AND PARTS OF OH AMID MARGINAL DIURNAL HEATING. MID-LVL LAPSE
RATES WILL STEEPEN AS THE UPR LOW MOVES EWD AND WITH ADVECTION OF
60S SFC DEW POINTS NWD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE
SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE. WDLY SCTD TSTMS MAY FORM INVOF THE FRONT THIS
AFTN AND COULD BRIEFLY ORGANIZE GIVEN FAST SWLY MID-LVL FLOW /H5
WINDS OF 60 KT+/. SUSTAINED STORMS MAY GIVE LOCAL DMGG WIND GUSTS
AND/OR LOW-END SVR HAIL. SVR THREATS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET.

..RACY/COHEN.. 09/21/2011

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KBMX [211236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 211236
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
736 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0131 AM FLASH FLOOD PHENIX CITY 32.47N 85.01W
09/21/2011 RUSSELL AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SIX HOUSES FLOODED WITH UP TO 6 INCHES OF WATER IN PHENIX
CITY AREA. TWO HOUSES WERE IN THE SADDLEBROOK SUBDIVISION
OFF OF SUMMERVILLE ROAD AND FOUR HOUSES WERE IN THE IVY
CREEK SUBDIVISION OFF OF STADIUM DRIVE.

&&

$$

REM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 210825
SWOD48
SPC AC 210825

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0325 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 241200Z - 291200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A LARGE UPPER VORTEX OVER THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDWEST/OH VALLEY REGION EARLY IN THE
PERIOD...WHICH THEN MAKES ONLY VERY SLOW PROGRESS EWD WITH TIME. AN
ASSOCIATED SURFACE BAROCLINIC ZONE IS FORECAST TO PERSIST/REFORM
OVER TIME ACROSS THE E COAST STATES...AND WILL LIKELY BE A FOCUS FOR
PERSISTENT CONVECTION/RAINFALL.

THIS UPPER FEATURE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN THE
PRIMARY LARGE-SCALE SYSTEM AFFECTING THE U.S. THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH THE LOW EVENTUALLY MOVING OFF THE NORTHEAST U.S. COAST
BY DAY 8. WITH INSTABILITY/SHEAR COMBINATION ACROSS THE ERN STATES
LIKELY TO REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR WIDESPREAD/HIGHER-END SEVERE
THREAT...WILL CONTINUE TO REFRAIN FROM HIGHLIGHTING ANY THREAT AREAS
THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 09/21/2011

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 210725
SWODY3
SPC AC 210724

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
LARGE UPPER LOW LIKELY TO LIE INVOF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AT THE
START OF THE PERIOD IS PROGGED TO MAKE VERY LITTLE PROGRESS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. WHILE MORE MINOR DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW AND THUS
AFFECT THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES...THE OVERALL SYSTEM
WILL MOVE LITTLE.

AT THE SURFACE...THE FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE ERN THIRD OF THE U.S.
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE ATLANTIC COAST
STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A WEAKLY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING FRONT WILL
AGAIN SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE ENTIRE PERIOD. HOWEVER...SHEAR/INSTABILITY COMBINATION EXPECTED
ATTM ACROSS THE AREA REMAINS INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT INCLUSION OF
EVEN LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..GOSS.. 09/21/2011

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 210555
SWODY2
SPC AC 210554

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1254 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER LOW/TROUGH INITIALLY CENTERED INVOF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY WILL MAKE SLOW EWD/SEWD PROGRESS DAY 2...AND WILL REMAIN THE
PRIMARY FEATURE OF INTEREST ALOFT THIS PERIOD.

AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DRIFT NEWD ACROSS ONTARIO
TOWARD WRN QUEBEC WITH TIME...WHILE THE TRAILING COLD FRONT MAKES
LITTLE EWD PROGRESS ACROSS THE OH/TN/LOWER MS VALLEY REGION BUT A
BIT FASTER SWD PROGRESS ACROSS TX. MEANWHILE...SECONDARY
CYCLOGENESIS IS PROGGED INVOF FL OR JUST OFF THE FL ATLANTIC COAST.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST ALONG THE FRONT FROM
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION SWWD INTO TX. LITTLE INSTABILITY BUT
AMPLE SHEAR IS PROGGED ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THIS REGION...WITH
SLIGHTLY GREATER CAPE BUT WEAKER SHEAR WITH SWWD EXTENT ALONG THE
FRONT. OVERALL...THIS SUGGESTS THAT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD
REMAIN LOW-END AND QUITE ISOLATED...AND THEREFORE WILL NOT INTRODUCE
SEVERE PROBABILITY LINES TO THE FORECAST ATTM.

OTHER SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST OVER THE E
COAST/SOUTHEAST AND OFFSHORE...BENEATH BROAD UPPER CYCLONIC FLOW ON
THE ERN FRINGE OF THE MAIN TROUGH. HERE TOO...CAPE/SHEAR
COMBINATION APPEARS INSUFFICIENT FOR ANY MORE THAN A BRIEF/LOW-END
SEVERE THREAT WITH A STRONGER STORM OR TWO.

..GOSS.. 09/21/2011

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210534
SWODY1
SPC AC 210532

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 AM CDT WED SEP 21 2011

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EWD FROM NRN MN ACROSS LAKE SUPERIOR
DURING THE DAY...AS UPPER LEVEL COOLING SPREADS INTO MI WITH A 60-70
KT MID LEVEL SPEED MAX. AT THE SURFACE...OCCLUDED LOW WILL MIRROR
THE UPPER SYSTEM...WITH A DRYLINE MIXING EWD INTO ERN LOWER
MI...CNTRL IND AND INTO WRN OH BY 00Z. AHEAD OF THE
DRYLINE...WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH
STRONGER STORMS POSSIBLE LATER IN THE DAY.

ELSEWHERE...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RETURN NWD ACROSS THE SERN
STATES WHERE A WEAKENING SURFACE RIDGE WILL REMAIN. AS
SUCH...CLOUDS...WEAK SHEAR AND POOR LAPSE RATES PROFILES SHOULD
LIMIT ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL HERE.

...LOWER MI INTO OH...
AREAS OF RAIN AND WEAK STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE ONGOING WITHIN WARM
ADVECTION REGIME AHEAD OF DRYLINE. SOME HEATING IS LIKELY W OF THIS
ACTIVITY FROM LOWER MI INTO IND AND WRN OH LATE. WEAK
CONVERGENCE...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AND COOLING ALOFT WILL AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF AT LEAST ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF LOW END SEVERE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS THREAT WILL BE
MAINLY DIURNALLY DRIVEN...DISSIPATING AFTER SUNSET.

..JEWELL/GRAMS.. 09/21/2011

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KBMX [210404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 210404
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1104 PM CDT TUE SEP 20 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SSW ALLGOOD 33.91N 86.51W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING ACROSS 270 TIDWELL HOLLOW ROAD. ROAD IS
IMPASSABLE.

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW REMLAP 33.83N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER FLOWING OUT OF SMALL CREEK AND BEGINNING TO FLOW
ONTO STATE HIGHWAY 75 AT SOUTHEASTERN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
IN REMLAP.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD LOCUST FORK 33.91N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ALONG SPUNKY HOLLOW ROAD IN LOCUST
FORK.

0202 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NNW REMLAP 33.85N 86.62W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

WATER OVER ROADWAY ON HOUSE ROAD NEAR REMLAP.

0210 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 NE REMLAP 33.86N 86.59W
09/20/2011 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

FLASH FLOODING ON REMLAP DRIVE BETWEEN VALLEY GROVE ROAD
AND STATE HIGHWAY 75 SOUTH.

0330 PM FLASH FLOOD 11 NW LOWNDESBORO 32.39N 86.74W
09/20/2011 LOWNDES AL PUBLIC

HENDERSON ROAD COVERED BY WATER IN SEVERAL PLACES AND
IMPASSABLE BY CAR. SEVERAL HOMES ARE LOCATED ALONG THE
ROAD.

0400 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 E0.00 MPH ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE HOLTVILLE AREA. MEASURED WIND GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH.

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE DEATSVILLE 32.63N 86.37W
09/20/2011 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

COLLAPSED PORCH AND ROOF DAMAGE TO HOUSE IN HOLTVILLE.

0920 PM FLASH FLOOD LANETT 32.87N 85.21W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SHOPPING CENTER PARKING LOT ON U.S. HIGHWAY 29 ON THE
STATE LINE WAS REPORTED AS FLOODED. CARS WERE BEING
STALLED OUT DUE TO THE HIGH WATER.

0947 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NE LANETT 32.88N 85.19W
09/20/2011 CHAMBERS AL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER REPORTED FLOWING UNDERNEATH DOORWAYS OF BUSINESSES
ALONG U.S. HIGHWAY 29 IN WEST POINT DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

GGOGGINS

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