DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190446
SWODY1
SPC AC 190444

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1044 PM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER THE WRN U.S. TWO EMBEDDED
DISTURBANCES WILL PROVIDE SUBTLE FORCING FOR ASCENT...SUPPORTING AT
LEAST ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES ALONG THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST
AND THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN TX DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
HOWEVER...SPARSE INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT COVERAGE...AND 10 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES DO NOT APPEAR WARRANTED.

FARTHER E...A MID-LEVEL LOW OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS WILL
CONTINUE TO DRIFT EWD...WITH LIGHTNING POTENTIAL EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WELL OFFSHORE.

..DISPIGNA/GRAMS.. 11/19/2012

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KHNX [190436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS56 KHNX 190436
LSRHNX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
835 PM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM SNOW MITCHELL MEADOW 36.74N 118.71W
11/17/2012 E4.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

48 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 9900 FT.

1000 AM SNOW BEACH MEADOWS 36.13N 118.29W
11/17/2012 E2.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

48 STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 7650 FT.

1000 AM SNOW TUNNEL GUARD STATION 36.37N 118.29W
11/17/2012 E3.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

48 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 8900 FT.

1000 AM SNOW CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 36.50N 118.44W
11/17/2012 E3.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

48 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 10300 FT.

1000 AM SNOW UPPER TYNDALL CREEK 36.65N 118.40W
11/17/2012 E4.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

48 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 11400 FT.

1000 AM SNOW TENAYA LAKE 37.84N 119.45W
11/17/2012 E9.0 INCH MARIPOSA CA MESONET

48 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 8150 FT.

0435 PM HAIL 2 S MADERA 36.94N 120.08W
11/17/2012 E0.25 INCH MADERA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

1000 AM SNOW CHARLOTTE LAKE 36.80N 118.42W
11/18/2012 E8.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

72 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 10400 FT.

1000 AM SNOW BISHOP PASS 37.10N 118.56W
11/18/2012 E12.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

72 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 11200 FT.

1000 AM SNOW BIG MEADOWS 36.72N 118.84W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH TULARE CA MESONET

72 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 7600 FT.

1000 AM SNOW KAISER POINT 37.30N 119.10W
11/18/2012 E15.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

72 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 9200 FT.

1000 AM SNOW VOLCANIC KNOB 37.39N 118.90W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH FRESNO CA MESONET

72 HR STORM TOTAL. SNOTEL ELEV. 10050 FT.


&&

$$

BSO

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KMFR [190252]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 190252
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
652 PM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0651 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
11/18/2012 M0.50 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

AMOUNT IS SINCE 935 AM PST. STORM TOTAL SO FAR IS 1.20
INCHES.


&&

$$

SPILDE

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KMFR [190235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 190235
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
635 PM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 SW MERLIN 42.46N 123.49W
11/18/2012 M0.70 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER

OVERNIGHT


&&

$$

MOTTENWE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 190017
SWODY1
SPC AC 190015

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0615 PM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 190100Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW AND ITS ATTENDANT LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE
WILL DRIFT FARTHER EWD OFF COAST OF THE CAROLINAS. ALTHOUGH A FEW
STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST THIS
EVENING...THE GREATEST LIGHTNING POTENTIAL WILL SHIFT WELL OFFSHORE
OVERNIGHT.

ACROSS SRN NM AND W TX...A SUBTLE SHORT WAVE TROUGH PROGRESSING INTO
THE PLAINS MAY CONTINUE TO INDUCE A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AMIDST A
MOIST AND WEAKLY UNSTABLE REGIME.

MEANWHILE...FORCING FOR ASCENT OWING TO AN EWD PROGRESSING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ACROSS THE NRN
GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES. THE 00Z SLC SOUNDING REFLECTS MARGINAL
INSTABILITY...LIKELY HINDERING SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..DISPIGNA/GRAMS.. 11/19/2012

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KTFX [190003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KTFX 190003
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
503 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0659 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/18/2012 M46 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

46 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/18/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION.

0818 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
11/18/2012 M47 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

47 MPH WIND GUST AT THE CUT BANK AIRPORT.

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
11/18/2012 M84 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

84 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT THE LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER.

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E GEYSER 47.28N 110.35W
11/18/2012 M46 MPH JUDITH BASIN MT MESONET

46 MPH WIND GUST AT THE BRAVO RAWS LOCATION. TIME OF
PEAK WIND GUST IS ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [190003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 190003
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
503 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 E GEYSER 47.28N 110.35W
11/18/2012 M46 MPH JUDITH BASIN MT MESONET

46 MPH WIND GUST AT THE BRAVO RAWS LOCATION. TIME OF
PEAK WIND GUST IS ESTIMATED.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [190000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 190000
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
500 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0818 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SW CUT BANK 48.61N 112.38W
11/18/2012 M47 MPH GLACIER MT ASOS

47 MPH WIND GUST AT THE CUT BANK AIRPORT.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [182347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 182347
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
447 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0659 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E EAST GLACIER PARK 48.45N 113.19W
11/18/2012 M46 MPH GLACIER MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

46 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST EAST OF EAST
GLACIER PARK.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [182345]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 182345
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
445 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SE EAST GLACIER PARK 48.37N 113.10W
11/18/2012 M63 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

63 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DEEP CREEK RAWS LOCATION.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KTFX [182344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 182344
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
444 PM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
11/18/2012 M84 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

84 MPH PEAK WIND GUST AT THE LOGAN PASS VISITOR CENTER.


&&

$$

BRUSDA

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KREV [182007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 182007
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1206 PM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0540 AM SNOW HEAVENLY VALLEY 38.96N 119.89W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV PUBLIC

HEAVENLY SKI AREA REPORTED 7 INCHES OF SNOW IN 24 HOURS.

0550 AM SNOW BOREAL SKI AREA 39.33N 120.39W
11/18/2012 E15.0 INCH NEVADA CA PUBLIC

BOREAL SKI AREA REPORTED 10-15 INCHES OF SNOW IN 24
HOURS.

0600 AM SNOW ESE SODA SPRINGS 39.32N 120.38W
11/18/2012 E14.0 INCH NEVADA CA PUBLIC

SUGAR BOWL SKI AREA REPORTED 14 INCHES OF SNOW AT 8383
FEET WITH 8 INCHES AT 6883 FEET OVERNIGHT.

0619 AM SNOW ALPINE MEADOWS 39.17N 120.22W
11/18/2012 E9.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

ALPINE SKI AREA REPORTED 9 INCHES ON THE UPPER MOUNTAIN
AND 7 INCHES ON THE LOWER MOUNTAIN IN 24 HOURS.

0637 AM SNOW MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA 39.33N 119.89W
11/18/2012 E12.0 INCH WASHOE NV PUBLIC

MOUNT ROSE SKI AREA REPORTED 8-12 INCHES OF SNOW IN 12
HOURS.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN TAHOE CITY 39.17N 120.14W
11/18/2012 M0.91 INCH PLACER CA CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED 0.91 INCHES OF RAIN WITH A TRACE
OF SNOW IN 24 HOURS.

0700 AM SNOW DAGGET PASS 38.98N 119.89W
11/18/2012 E3.0 INCH DOUGLAS NV CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER ESTIMATED 3 INCHES OF SNOW OVERNIGHT.

0800 AM SNOW MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 118.96W
11/18/2012 M2.0 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 2 INCHES OF SNOW WITH 0.46 LIQUID
WATER.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN PORTOLA 39.80N 120.47W
11/18/2012 M1.25 INCH PLUMAS CA CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED 1.25 INCHES IN 24 HOURS WITH A
TRACE OF SNOW. 48 HOUR TOTAL OF 1.68 INCHES.

0800 AM SNOW BODIE 38.21N 119.01W
11/18/2012 M4.0 INCH MONO CA CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 4 INCHES OF SNOW WITH 0.15 LIQUID
WATER.

0831 AM SNOW NORTHSTAR 39.28N 120.12W
11/18/2012 E9.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

NORTH STAR SKI AREA REPORTED 9 INCHES OF SNOW AT THE

SUMMIT WITH 4 INCHES OF SNOW AT MID-MOUNTAIN IN 12 HOURS.

0852 AM SNOW SQUAW VALLEY 39.20N 120.22W
11/18/2012 E15.0 INCH PLACER CA PUBLIC

SQUAW VALLEY SKI AREA REPORTED 15 INCHES OF SNOW AT 8200
FEET WITH 2 INCHES OF SNOW AT 6200 FEET IN 12 HOURS.

0852 AM SNOW 3 W MAMMOTH LAKES 37.64N 119.01W
11/18/2012 E12.0 INCH MONO CA PUBLIC

MAMMOTH MOUNTAIN SKI AREA REPORTED 12 INCHES OF NEW SNOW
IN 24 HOURS.

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN VERDI 39.52N 120.00W
11/18/2012 M0.90 INCH WASHOE NV CO-OP OBSERVER

CO-OP OBSERVER MEASURED 0.90 INCHES OF RAIN IN 24 HOURS.

0945 AM SNOW 6 SE ALPINE MEADOWS 39.11N 120.14W
11/18/2012 M2.0 INCH PLACER CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER IN HOMEWOOD REPORTED 2 INCHES OF SNOW
FROM 2PM-9AM WITH 0.80 INCHES OF LIQUID WATER.

1020 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E SLOAT 39.87N 120.71W
11/18/2012 M2.50 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN 24 HOURS.


&&

$$

ZTOLBY

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181945
SWODY1
SPC AC 181943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0143 PM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 182000Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK -- WITH SPORADIC/ISOLATED
LIGHTING POTENTIAL TO CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF UT AND VICINITY...AS
WELL AS OVER PARTS OF FAR W TX AND THE TRANSPECOS AND BIG BEND
REGIONS. A FEW STRIKES ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE INVOF THE CAROLINA
COAST...THOUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LARGELY
OFFSHORE.

..GOSS.. 11/18/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0952 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...
A CLOSED MIDLEVEL LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY EWD NEAR THE SE ATLANTIC
COAST THROUGH TONIGHT...THOUGH THE LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE AND
PRIMARY THREAT FOR DEEP CONVECTION WILL REMAIN JUST OFF THE CAROLINA
COASTS. FARTHER W...A SERIES OF LOW-AMPLITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
WILL PROGRESS GENERALLY ENEWD IN A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME ACROSS
MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WITH RESPECT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORMS...THERE ARE TWO WAVES OF INTEREST -- 1/ ONE OVER AZ/NM
AND 2/ A SECOND OVER THE NRN GREAT BASIN/NRN ROCKIES. THE NRN GREAT
BASIN/ROCKIES TROUGH WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY WHILE MOVING ENEWD TOWARD
MT/WY BY TONIGHT. 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM SLC/GJT/LKN ALL SUGGEST SOME
POTENTIAL FOR WEAK SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY WITH A LITTLE DAYTIME
HEATING...AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE FOR DEEP CONVECTION. THUS...WILL
ADD A TSTM AREA TO THE GREAT BASIN TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

WILL ALSO MAINTAIN THE OUTLOOK AREA ACROSS FAR W TX SINCE WEAK
INSTABILITY AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME. THE ASSOCIATED SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND
WAA REGIME WILL REACH OK/KS/MO OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...ELEVATED
INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE WEAK OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND THE
RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TOO MARGINAL TO WARRANT THE ADDITION
OF A NEW OUTLOOK AREA AT THIS TIME.

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KJAX [181833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 181833
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
133 PM EST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1212 PM HIGH ASTR TIDES MAYPORT 30.38N 81.41W
11/18/2012 DUVAL FL OTHER FEDERAL

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 6.48 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT THE
MAYPORT TIDE GAGE...WHICH WAS +0.83 FT ABOVE THE
PREDICTED HIGH TIDE. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TYPICALLY
BEGINS WHEN THE TIDE LEVELS REACH 6.40 FT MLLW.


&&

$$

ZALLEN

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KCHS [181748]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 181748
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1248 PM EST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
11/18/2012 CHARLESTON SC TIDE GAGE

CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAUGE REPORTED A PEAK OF 7.14
FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1200836

$$

BDC

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 181729
SWODY2
SPC AC 181728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
WEAKLY PROGRESSIVE/GENERALLY LOW-AMPLITUDE FLOW PATTERN ALOFT WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS THE U.S. THIS PERIOD...THOUGH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES
WILL CONTINUE MOVING THROUGH BROAD/FLAT CYCLONIC FLOW FIELD OVER THE
WRN HALF OF THE CONUS. WITH FAST SWLY FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE PAC NW
VICINITY -- ON THE SERN FRINGE OF THE LARGE GULF OF AK/NERN PACIFIC
UPPER LOW -- SHOWERS AND AN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKE WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR WRN WA/ORE. HOWEVER...COVERAGE SHOULD
REMAIN INSUFFICIENT TO WARRANT A 10% THUNDER AREA.

SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF W TX/SERN NM INVOF THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH
AS AN UPPER DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
AGAIN HOWEVER...THUNDER POTENTIAL DOES NOT APPEAR TO JUSTIFY
INTRODUCTION OF A 10% PROBABILITY AREA ATTM.

..GOSS.. 11/18/2012

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KPIH [181328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181328
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
627 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 11 NE CUSTER 44.47N 114.49W
11/18/2012 E2.2 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

MILL CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL - 8870FT. CORRECTED
SNOW AMOUNT. SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181327
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
626 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 10 NE MACKAY 44.02N 113.47W
11/18/2012 E3.8 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

HILTS CREEK SNOTEL - 8001FT. CORRECTED SNOW
AMOUNT. SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181326
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
625 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 9 ENE SUN VALLEY 43.71N 114.16W
11/18/2012 E4.2 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

HYNDMAN SNOTEL - 7440FT. CORRECTED SNOW
AMOUNT AND TIME. SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181324
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
624 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 6 NNW KETCHUM 43.77N 114.42W
11/18/2012 E3.9 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

CHOCOLATE GULCH SNOTEL - 6440FT. CORRECTED
SNOW AMOUNT AND TIME.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181322]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181322
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
621 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 19 ENE BELLEVUE 43.61N 113.93W
11/18/2012 E3.7 INCH BLAINE ID PUBLIC

GARFIELD RANGER STATION SNOTEL - 6560FT.
SNOW DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181320
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
619 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 16 WSW KETCHUM 43.60N 114.67W
11/18/2012 E6.7 INCH BLAINE ID PUBLIC

DOLLARHIDE SUMMIT SNOTEL - 8421FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181317
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
616 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 10 NNE SUN VALLEY 43.82N 114.27W
11/18/2012 E7.9 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

LOST WOOD DIVIDE SNOTEL - 7903FT. SNOW
DURATION 12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181315
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
614 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 AM SNOW 9 ENE SUN VALLEY 43.71N 114.16W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

HYNDAMN SNOTEL - 7440FT. SNOW DURATION 12
HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181314
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
614 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 10 NE MACKAY 44.02N 113.47W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH CUSTER ID PUBLIC

HILTS CREEK SNOTEL - 8001FT. SNOW DURATION
12 HOURS

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KMFR [181313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 181313
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
513 AM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 AM HEAVY RAIN SSW GOLD BEACH 42.41N 124.42W
11/18/2012 M1.44 INCH CURRY OR TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR ACCUMULATION


&&

$$

BUNKER

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KPIH [181312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181312
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
612 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 AM SNOW 3 W GALENA 43.88N 114.71W
11/18/2012 E7.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SUMMIT SNOTEL - 8782FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181311
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
611 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 1 WNW GALENA 43.88N 114.67W
11/18/2012 E4.1 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

GALENA SNOTEL - 7440FT. 12 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181308
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
608 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 11 NE CUSTER 44.47N 114.49W
11/18/2012 E9.1 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

MILL CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL - 8870FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181307
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
607 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 AM SNOW 14 W LOST RIVER 43.73N 113.83W
11/18/2012 E9.1 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

SMILEY MOUNTAIN SNOTEL - 9520FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181306
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
605 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM SNOW 7 NNW KETCHUM 43.79N 114.42W
11/18/2012 E3.9 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

CHOCOLATE GULCH SNOTEL - 6440FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181304
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
603 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 16 WNW STANLEY 44.31N 115.23W
11/18/2012 E2.5 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

BANNER SUMMIT SNOTEL - 7040FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181301
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
600 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 23 SW CHILLY 43.86N 114.21W
11/18/2012 E2.5 INCH CUSTER ID MESONET

STICKNEY MILL SNOTEL - 7431FT. 12 HOUR
TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181300
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
559 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 21 ENE BELLEVUE 43.63N 113.91W
11/18/2012 E6.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

SWEDE PEAK SNOTEL - 7641FT. 12 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KPIH [181256]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181256
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
556 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 11 WSW GALENA 43.80N 114.85W
11/18/2012 E7.3 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

VIENNA MINE SNOTEL - 8963FT. 12 HOUR TOTAL

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 181228
SWODY1
SPC AC 181226

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0626 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 181300Z - 191200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MINOR UPPER IMPULSES COMBINED WITH MODEST MOISTURE AND WEAK CAPE
WILL AID IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER FAR W TX TODAY.
ELSEWHERE...AN UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY MOVE E AWAY
FROM COASTAL GA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOCUSED AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH ALONG A LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE LOCATED OFFSHORE FROM
THE CAROLINAS.

..GARNER/MEAD.. 11/18/2012

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KPIH [181219]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPIH 181219
LSRPIH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
519 AM MST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM SNOW 2 SSW KETCHUM 43.66N 114.40W
11/18/2012 M5.0 INCH BLAINE ID MESONET

12 HOUR TOTAL SNOWFALL AT SUN VALLEY VIA THE
SNOWSTAKE.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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KSTO [181020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSTO 181020
LSRSTO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
219 AM PST SUN NOV 18 2012

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 AM HEAVY RAIN GRASS VALLEY 39.22N 121.06W
11/18/2012 E2.48 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

2.48 INCHES ON SATURDAY (MIDNIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT) 0.75 MIDNIGHT- 2AM SUNDAY.

&&

$$

IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 180758
SWOD48
SPC AC 180757

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0157 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 211200Z - 261200Z

...DISCUSSION...
THE LACK OF WIDESPREAD DEEP CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT
LEAST THROUGH D5/THURSDAY AS A TRANSIENT RIDGE DRIFTS EWD FROM THE
CNTRL PLAINS TO EAST COAST. WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL LIKELY BECOME
ESTABLISHED OVER THE SRN PLAINS AND PERHAPS THE MO RIVER VALLEY
AFTER THANKSGIVING DAY AS THE LARGE SCALE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS EAST.
THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE MAY AID TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN THE
D6/7...FRIDAY TO SATURDAY TIME PERIOD...WHEN A COLD FRONT IS
FORECAST TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS AND MIDWEST. WHILE ENSEMBLE
SPREAD AND DIFFERENCES IN DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE DO BEGIN TO
INCREASE BY D5/6...ESPECIALLY WITH REGARD TO THE COLD FRONT
DEVELOPING ACROSS THE NRN U.S....THE OVERALL LACK OF GREATER
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD SHOULD PRECLUDE
SEVERE TSTM FORMATION.

..CARBIN.. 11/18/2012

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 180624
SWODY3
SPC AC 180622

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1222 AM CST SUN NOV 18 2012

VALID 201200Z - 211200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN OVER THE CONUS WILL BECOME A BIT MORE
AMPLIFIED MOVING TOWARD MIDWEEK WITH LARGE POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES
FORECAST ACROSS MUCH OF THE MIDDLE OF THE NATION. TROUGHING WILL
CONTINUE TO FLANK THE EXPANDING CNTRL U.S. UPPER RIDGE ON BOTH
COASTS. ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
PARTS OF THE ERN SEABOARD FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO FL. WHILE
ISOLATED/SPORADIC TSTMS ARE POSSIBLE AMIDST THE MOIST ONSHORE FLOW
ON BOTH NORTHWEST AND EAST COASTS...OVERALL PROSPECTS FOR GREATER
DESTABILIZATION AGAIN APPEAR TOO LIMITED TO SUPPORT A GENERAL TSTM
FORECAST.

..CARBIN.. 11/18/2012

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 180557
SWODY2
SPC AC 180555

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 PM CST SAT NOV 17 2012

VALID 191200Z - 201200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
DEEP-LAYER CYCLONIC FLOW REGIME WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF WEEK. A NUMBER OF STRONG SHORT
WAVE IMPULSES WILL SPREAD INLAND FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC BEFORE
RACING NEWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND THEN TO SRN CANADA AND THE NRN
PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY AREAS. IN THE WAKE OF A LEADING LOW AMPLITUDE
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING EAST ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY AND
ADJACENT AREAS OF CANADA ON MONDAY...A TRANSIENT UPPER RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO BUILD FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE CNTRL STATES. TROUGHING
WILL GENERALLY PERSIST ACROSS THE EAST WITH THE MOST PROMINENT
IMPULSE BEING A SLOW MOVING LOW OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. THIS AREA
OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS FORECAST TO MOVE GRADUALLY EAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TOO WEAK TO SUPPORT MUCH
IN THE WAY OF TSTM ACTIVITY.

..CARBIN.. 11/18/2012

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