KDDC [040054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDDC 040054
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
754 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S DEERFIELD 37.89N 101.13W
06/02/2011 M58.00 MPH KEARNY KS MESONET

&&

$$

JFINCH

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KCHS [040043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 040043
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
842 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0839 PM HAIL 2 WSW MENDES 31.99N 82.00W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH TATTNALL GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR THE TATTNALL COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100435

$$

VB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1082

ACUS11 KWNS 040038
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040037
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-040230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1082
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN NEB/NRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 040037Z - 040230Z

PROBABILITIES FOR A WW ISSUANCE APPEAR LOW...BUT NOT COMPLETELY OUT
OF THE QUESTION THIS EVENING.

VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING...SOUTH OF GOODLAND INTO
AREAS WEST OF HILL CITY...JUST NORTH OF A WEAK/STALLING SURFACE
FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. ACTIVITY MAY HAVE INITIATED IN
RESPONSE TO A ZONE OF ENHANCED LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM
ADVECTION...BUT APPEARS TO HAVE ROOTED IN THE MORE MOIST
NORTHEASTERLY POST-FRONTAL BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW...WHERE CAPE MAY BE A
BIT HIGHER THAN INDICATED BY REGIONAL SOUNDINGS.

VERTICAL SHEAR BENEATH 30-40 KT SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW IS STRONG
AND SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS AS LONG AS FORCING REMAINS SUFFICIENT
TO OVERCOME SUBSTANTIAL MID-LEVEL INHIBITION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER. THIS PROBABLY WILL INCREASE FURTHER
THOUGH 02-03Z...WITH THE ONSET OF BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING.
HOWEVER...NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF THE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
/30-40 KT AT 850/ PROVIDES SOME POTENTIAL FOR THE MAINTENANCE OF
ONGOING STORMS...OR NEW ACTIVITY COULD FORM A BIT FURTHER TO THE
NORTH...ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE WARMER ELEVATED MIXED LAYER
AIR...JUST NORTH OF THE KANSAS BORDER.

IF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ABLE TO PERSIST AND CONSOLIDATE THIS
EVENING...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES CHARACTERIZED BY STEEP LAPSE RATES
AND SIZABLE MID-LEVEL AND SUB-CLOUD TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR DOWNBURSTS AND SIGNIFICANT SURFACE COLD POOLS.
THIS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY AN INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING
SURFACE GUSTS.

..KERR.. 06/04/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON 38510197 39180183 39460182 39880217 40680194 40850079
41159895 41379666 40669616 39879698 39199817 38769969
38230185 38510197

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KJAN [040035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 040035
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
735 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 PM TSTM WND DMG FERRIDAY 31.63N 91.56W
06/03/2011 CONCORDIA LA PUBLIC

A TREE AND POWER LINE WERE DOWNED

&&

$$

DL

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KCAE [040027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 040027
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
827 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 9 W WAYNESBORO 33.07N 82.16W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH BURKE GA PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC

&&

$$

KILMER

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KCHS [040024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 040024
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
824 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0821 PM HAIL 1 N MIDWAY 32.05N 81.89W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH EVANS GA PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZE HAIL WAS FALLING AND WAS GETTING BIGGER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100434

$$

VB

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KGLD [040018]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 040018
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
617 PM MDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HAIL 6 W OAKLEY 39.13N 100.97W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH LOGAN KS EMERGENCY MNGR

WITH PEA-SIZED HAIL

&&

$$

CJS

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KJAN [040012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 040012
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
712 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0611 PM TSTM WND DMG HAZLEHURST 31.86N 90.39W
06/03/2011 COPIAH MS EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWER LINES WERE DOWNED AROUND HAZLEHURST

&&

$$

DL

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KGLD [040009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 040009
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
609 PM MDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 4 S MONUMENT 39.04N 101.00W
06/03/2011 E0.88 INCH LOGAN KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CJS

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KGLD [040006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 040006
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
606 PM MDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 3 WSW MONUMENT 39.08N 101.05W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH LOGAN KS STORM CHASER

&&

$$

CJS

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KCAE [040004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 040004
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
804 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 S KEYSVILLE 33.10N 82.23W
06/03/2011 BURKE GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

BURKE COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTS TREE DOWN ON HWY 305 JUST
NORTH OF GOUGH

&&

$$

KILMER

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KCAE [032353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 032353
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
753 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 4 SE GIRARD 33.00N 81.66W
06/03/2011 E0.50 INCH BURKE GA PUBLIC

DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC ALONG WITH SMALL LIMBS
DOWN

0725 PM HAIL 10 ENE SARDIS 33.03N 81.60W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH BURKE GA PUBLIC

QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC ALONG WITH TREE
LIMBS DOWN

&&

$$

KILMER

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KDLH [032330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 032330
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
630 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM HAIL HIBBING 47.40N 92.95W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH ST. LOUIS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZE HAIL IN HIBBING

&&

$$

MELDE

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KCHS [032329]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 032329
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
728 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0709 PM HAIL 5 NW SYLVANIA 32.79N 81.70W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH SCREVEN GA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100433

$$

VB

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1081

ACUS11 KWNS 032233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032232
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-040030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1081
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0532 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN GA...CNTRL/SRN AL...CNTRL/SRN MS...ERN LA...FL
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 032232Z - 040030Z

A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE DMGG WIND GUSTS THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
THE COVERAGE OF ANY SEVERE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO ISOLATED
TO NECESSITATE THE ISSUANCE OF A WW.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY DEPICT
THE RECENT INTENSIFICATION OF ISOLATED CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF
THIS ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST INVOF A SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE
PROPAGATING NWD...WHILE LYING ACROSS SERN LA...SRN MS...SRN AL...AND
THE FL PANHANDLE. NORTH OF THIS ZONE TOWARD THE INTERSTATE 20
CORRIDOR...AN UNCAPPED AND MODERATELY TO VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
OWING TO HOT SFC TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 DEGREES
WILL CONTINUE TO ALLOW MORE SPOTTY CONVECTION TO DEVELOP. ACROSS THE
ENTIRE DISCUSSION AREA...DCAPE VALUES FROM 1500 TO 1800 J/KG COULD
PROMOTE INTENSE WET MICROBURSTS WITH ANY CONVECTION...WITH AN
ATTENDANT THREAT FOR DMGG SFC WINDS. THIS THREAT WILL BE ENHANCED BY
20 KT OF NLY TO ELY FLOW IN THE 3-4-KM-AGL LAYER OBSERVED FROM
JACKSON MS AND BIRMINGHAM AL VWP DATA. SOME SMALL HAIL CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WITH THE DEEPEST CONVECTION...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR LARGER
HAIL WILL LIKELY BE MITIGATED BY MELTING PROCESSES AS IT FALLS
THROUGH THE HOT BOUNDARY LAYER.

THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN A
PRIMARILY PULSE CONVECTIVE MODE. HOWEVER...SOMEWHAT GREATER FORCING
AND CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ALONG THE SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE COULD
BE ASSOCIATED WITH A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR MERGING COLD
POOLS...LOCALIZED AREAS OF UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH...AND A
SOMEWHAT GREATER THREAT FOR DMGG WIND GUSTS. NEVERTHELESS...WITHOUT
ADDITIONAL FORCING FOR ASCENT...THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS
EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED.

..COHEN.. 06/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...
SHV...

LAT...LON 30178497 30578666 30588933 30939163 31919200 32759131
33519006 33788895 33828699 33378507 32278376 31138319
30228350 30178497

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 424

WWUS20 KWNS 032231
SEL4
SPC WW 032231
MNZ000-WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 424
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
530 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHEAST MINNESOTA INCLUDING THE ARROWHEAD
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 530 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH OF ELY
MINNESOTA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 423...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A COLD FRONT WITHIN A MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHERE MLCAPE HAS INCREASED TO
1500-2500 J/KG. THIS AREA OF INITIATION COINCIDES WITH THE SERN
EDGE OF 70-75 KT MIDLEVEL JET STREAK...RESULTING IN 45-50+ KT
DEEP...SWLY SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP WILL FAVOR SUPERCELL EVOLUTION
WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD BEING VERY LARGE HAIL. A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY MATURE SUPERCELLS THAT CAN
FAVORABLY INTERACT WITH WELL-DEFINED LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARY.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.

...MEAD

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KFFC [032220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KFFC 032220
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
620 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HAIL 3 ESE NORTH FORT BENNIN 32.44N 84.75W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH CHATTAHOOCHEE GA PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED ONE INCH HAIL.

&&

$$

DEESE

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 423

WWUS20 KWNS 032214
SEL3
SPC WW 032214
WIZ000-040500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 423
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 515 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF GREEN BAY
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STORM INITIATION HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED WSW EAU ON THE
NRN EDGE OF LOW-LEVEL THERMAL AXIS WHERE TEMPERATURES HAS WARMED
INTO THE LOW/MID 90S. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A CAP EXISTS
ACROSS DOWNSTREAM WARM SECTOR...THOUGH IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONG
DIABATIC HEATING MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN ISOLATED STORMS PRIOR
TO 00Z. AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS RATHER MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S...RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG. AREA
PROFILER/VWP DATA INDICATE VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH
SUFFICIENT LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.

...MEAD

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KCHS [032159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 032159
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
559 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0556 PM TSTM WND DMG ROCKY FORD 32.66N 81.83W
06/03/2011 SCREVEN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

2 TREES DOWN IN ROCKY FORD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100432

$$

VB

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KABR [032156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 032156
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
456 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1115 PM HAIL MISSION RIDGE 44.69N 100.79W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH STANLEY SD PUBLIC

1115 PM TSTM WND GST MISSION RIDGE 44.69N 100.79W
06/02/2011 E60.00 MPH STANLEY SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

EWY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1080

ACUS11 KWNS 032154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032154
SCZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-TNZ000-040000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1080
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0454 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/CNTRL GA...SRN/WRN SC...FAR SERN TN...FAR SWRN
NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 032154Z - 040000Z

ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WITH DMGG WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

STRONG SFC HEATING BENEATH THE ERN PERIPHERY OF A PERSISTENT
DEEP-LAYER RIDGE ENVELOPING MUCH OF THE SERN CONUS HAS ALLOWED SFC
TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S IN MANY
AREAS...EXCEPT INTO THE UPPER 80S OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SRN
APPALACHIANS. STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...COMBINED WITH SOME UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE LOW-LEVEL
FLOW...HAVE RESULTED IN THE RECENT INITIATION OF INTENSE CONVECTION
OVER HABERSHAM AND STEPHENS COUNTIES IN NERN GA. REPORTS OF DMGG
WINDS...AND AN ESTIMATED ONE-INCH DIAMETER HAIL REPORT...HAVE
EMANATED FROM THIS ACTIVITY NEAR CLARKESVILLE GA. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY REVEALS BUILDING/TOWERING CUMULUS FARTHER NORTH ALONG THE
SRN APPALACHIANS...WITH A FEW PATCHES OF AGITATED CUMULUS OVER SC
AND GA NEAR AND SOUTH OF A STATIONARY FRONT STRETCHING FROM N-CNTRL
TN TO NERN SC.

FRONTAL CONVERGENCE...CONTINUED UPSLOPE FLOW...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
A SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE ZONE TO EMANATE FROM THE LAND-OCEAN
INTERFACE WILL FOSTER ISOLATED DEEP CONVECTION ACROSS THE DISCUSSION
AREA AMIDST A MODERATE TO VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS -- I.E. MLCAPE
AROUND 3500 J/KG ACCORDING TO THE MODIFIED 12Z PEACHTREE CITY
SOUNDING FOR CURRENT SFC OBSERVATIONS. WET MICROBURSTS ASSOCIATED
WITH COLLAPSING CONVECTION WILL BE SUPPORTED BY VERY STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES YIELDING DCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG...WITH THE
THREAT ENHANCED BY TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS OF 20-25F.

THE MAGNITUDE OF THE DEEP-LAYER WIND SHEAR IS NOTABLY LESS THAN IT
WAS 24 HOURS AGO -- I.E. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES 5 TO 10 KT
LOWER TODAY. THIS COULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
PERSISTENT/ORGANIZED CONVECTION TO ENSUE...WITH A PRIMARILY PULSE
CONVECTIVE MODE. NEVERTHELESS...THE THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS WILL
FAVOR THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED INSTANCES OF DMGG WINDS AND MARGINALLY
SEVERE HAIL...AUGMENTED BY NLY 20-30-KT-FLOW IN THE 2-4-KM-AGL LAYER
OBSERVED IN THE PEACHTREE CITY GA VWP. THE THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY
ENHANCED INVOF ANY MERGING COLD POOLS/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS.
GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED ISOLATED NATURE OF THE SEVERE THREAT...THE
ISSUANCE OF A WW IS UNLIKELY.

..COHEN.. 06/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...JAX...MRX...FFC...

LAT...LON 32967943 31968096 31788185 32078353 32918427 33678464
34138490 34748513 35288472 35668375 35598290 35168217
34678176 34018074 33887910 32967943

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KGSP [032153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032153
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
553 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HAIL CORNELIA 34.51N 83.53W
06/03/2011 E1.25 INCH HABERSHAM GA PUBLIC

&&

$$

HG

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KGSP [032150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032150
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
550 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM HAIL CLARKESVILLE 34.61N 83.52W
06/03/2011 E1.75 INCH HABERSHAM GA PUBLIC

HAIL SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN GOLF BALL BROKE CAR WINDSHIELD.

&&

$$

HG

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KGSP [032148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032148
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
548 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HAIL 1 SSE DEMOREST 34.55N 83.54W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH HABERSHAM GA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BSH

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KGSP [032138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032138
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
538 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM HAIL DEMOREST 34.57N 83.55W
06/03/2011 E0.88 INCH HABERSHAM GA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

HG

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KGSP [032138]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032138
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
537 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0458 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE CLARKESVILLE 34.64N 83.49W
06/03/2011 HABERSHAM GA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN ON POWERLINES NEAR NEW LIBERTY ROAD AND OKELLY
ROAD.

0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE CLARKESVILLE 34.63N 83.50W
06/03/2011 HABERSHAM GA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN ON POWERLINES NEAR FAITH LANE AND HOLLYWOOD
HIGHWAY.

&&

$$

BSH

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KGSP [032126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 032126
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
526 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL 1 NE CLARKESVILLE 34.62N 83.51W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH HABERSHAM GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF NEW LIBERTY ROAD AND HOLLYWOOD
HIGHWAY.

&&

$$

BSH

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KFGF [032054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 032054
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
353 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 AM HAIL LARIMORE 47.91N 97.63W
06/03/2011 E0.75 INCH GRAND FORKS ND BROADCAST MEDIA

0350 AM HAIL EDINBURG 48.50N 97.86W
06/03/2011 E0.88 INCH WALSH ND LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

VGODON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1079

ACUS11 KWNS 032053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032053
OKZ000-COZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-032200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1079
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM / SERN CO / NWRN TX PANHANDLE / WRN OK
PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 032053Z - 032200Z

ISOLD TO WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
PERHAPS A FEW ISOLD SEVERE WIND GUSTS. WW WILL LIKELY NOT BE NEEDED
TO ADDRESS THIS POTENTIAL THREAT.

A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WITHIN A
LOW LEVEL CONFLUENCE ZONE CONTINUES TO HEAT/DESTABILIZE ON THE W
EDGE OF A SUFFICIENT MOISTURE RESERVOIR ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS.
GIVEN A STEEP LOW TO MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATE PROFILE WITH ADEQUATE
PW/S...AS INDICATED BY 0.75-1.00 INCH PER GPS AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS
DATA...STORMS ARE INITIALLY EXPECTED TO PREFERENTIALLY DEVELOP/FAVOR
ELEVATED TERRAIN BEFORE MOVING NE INTO RICHER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
/DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S/. THE TCU VWP SHOWS GENERALLY LOW LEVEL SLY/S
VEERING AND INCREASING TO THE 40-50 KT RANGE AT 5-7 KM AGL. THIS
SHOULD FAVOR STORM MOTIONS TO THE NE AND LEAD TO STORMS EVENTUALLY
MOVING INTO A LESS DRY AIR MASS ACROSS FAR ERN NM AND ADJACENT
AREAS. WITH DEEPLY MIXED AND DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYERS IN PLACE...ISOLD
STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE DUE TO AN OCCASIONAL
MICROBURST.

..SMITH.. 06/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON 33700498 36100438 37470344 37570268 36880212 35830250
34120363 33220442 33170482 33700498

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1078

ACUS11 KWNS 032033
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032033
MIZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-032200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1078
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL WI...WRN U.P. OF MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 032033Z - 032200Z

LATEST VIS IMAGERY SUGGESTS ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG ERN EDGE OF
STRONG CAP MAY BE GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING OVER SCNTRL MN. ALTHOUGH
ECHOES ARE WEAK WITH THIS CONVECTION...THERE IS A NOTABLE WIND SHIFT
WHICH SUPPORTS A MORE SUSTAINED ORGANIZED UPDRAFT. THIS ACTIVITY IS
MOVING RAPIDLY NEWD AT ROUGHLY 45-50KT TOWARD A FAIRLY
MOIST/UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER CNTRL/NRN WI WHERE INTENSIFICATION
MAY OCCUR. WHILE INHIBITION REMAINS STRONG WITHIN THE WARM
ADVECTION ZONE OVER WI...SUSTAINED ASCENT MAY ULTIMATELY LEAD TO
SUFFICIENT COOLING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE CAP FOR DEEPER UPDRAFTS TO
ROOT INTO MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER. IF SO...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND EVEN TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. WW
MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THIS REGION TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS INCREASING
SEVERE POTENTIAL.

..DARROW.. 06/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON 46129242 46418849 45008766 44128966 44279278 46129242

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KPAH [032004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 032004
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
304 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0839 PM TORNADO 4 S WINSLOW 38.33N 87.21W
05/25/2011 PIKE IN NWS STORM SURVEY

A DAMAGE SURVEY REVEALED AN EF1 TORNADO THAT MOVED FROM 4
MILES SOUTH OF WINSLOW TO 4.25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WINSLOW. SEE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

0836 PM TORNADO 3 SW WINSLOW 38.35N 87.25W
05/25/2011 PIKE IN NWS STORM SURVEY

STORM DAMAGE SURVEY REVEALED AN EF1 TORNADO THAT MOVED
FROM JUST NORTH OF COLE INDIANA TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WINSLOW. SEE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR DETAILS.

&&

$$

PS

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KABQ [032001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 032001
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
201 PM MDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW TEXICO 34.43N 103.07W
06/02/2011 M61 MPH CURRY NM AWOS

KCVN AWOS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1101148

$$

DPORTER

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KCAR [031951]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 031951
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
351 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM TSTM WND DMG SAINT FRANCIS 47.17N 68.89W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME TRAINED SPOTTER

PINE TREE DOWN IN DRIVEWAY.

0300 PM HAIL 3 SE CHAMBERLAIN LAKE 46.25N 69.31W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME OTHER FEDERAL

1 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND AT INDIAN POND

0408 PM TSTM WND DMG SOLDIER POND 47.16N 68.58W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME UTILITY COMPANY

TREE DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 WSW OXBOW 46.35N 68.72W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

TREE DAMAGE

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG DAIGLE 47.19N 68.46W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS PWR LINES AND ROAD REPORTED IN NEW
CANADA.

0433 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT KENT 47.26N 68.59W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN RTE 11 BRIEF POWER OUTAGE

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E SANGERVILLE 45.16N 69.25W
06/01/2011 E60.00 MPH PISCATAQUIS ME CO-OP OBSERVER

ALSO REPORTED HAIL QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0715 PM HAIL 1 WNW GUILFORD 45.17N 69.40W
06/01/2011 E1.75 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW GUILFORD 45.17N 69.40W
06/01/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND DAMAGE IN GUILFORD AND EAST SANGERVILLE...LARGE
TREES DOWN IN BOTH LOCATIONS.

0733 PM HAIL 4 SW GUILFORD 45.12N 69.45W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0757 PM HAIL 10 ESE DOVER-FOXCROFT 45.13N 69.04W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S DEXTER 45.01N 69.29W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ON THE BANE RD.

0833 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W EXETER 44.97N 69.18W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON THE CIDER HILL RD.

0920 PM HAIL 1 SE GREENFIELD 45.04N 68.47W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PENOBSCOT ME TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

NRR

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 031949
SWODY1
SPC AC 031947

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0247 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL GULF
COAST STATES...

SEVERAL CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR 20Z. THE FIRST
CHANGE IS TO CONSOLIDATE THE 30 PERCENT HAIL PROBABILITY WITH THE
SIGNIFICANT HAIL HATCHED AREA AND 5 PERCENT TORNADO PROBABILITY
WHERE THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT CONCERNING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
THIS AREA IS ALSO COINCIDENT WITH THE STRONGEST COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR. HAVE ORIENTED THE 30 PERCENT WIND
DAMAGE PROBABILITY SLIGHTLY DOWNSTREAM OF THE GREATEST HAIL
PROBABILITIES WHERE LINEAR MCD DEVELOPMENT WILL BE MOST LIKELY EARLY
THIS EVENING. ANOTHER CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO REMOVE NE
AL...MUCH OF GA AND WRN SC FROM THE SLIGHT RISK AREA WHERE
CONVECTION HAS YET TO INITIATE. HAVE CONCENTRATED THE SLIGHT RISK
AREA ACROSS SRN AND CNTRL AL AND SW GA WHERE MESOANALYSIS SHOWS
STRONG INSTABILITY AND SOME MODEL FORECAST INITIATE SCATTERED STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON. HAVE LEFT A 5 PERCENT PROBABILITY OF WIND DAMAGE AND
HAIL ACROSS THE AREA OF THE SLIGHT RISK AREA THAT WAS REMOVED. OTHER
THAN THESE CHANGES...HAVE REMOVED THUNDER FROM MUCH OF THE LOWER TO
MS VALLEY AND ACROSS PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY WHERE CONVECTION IS NOT
FORECAST BY MOST OF THE MODEL FORECASTS.

..BROYLES.. 06/03/2011

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1112 AM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011/

...SYNOPSIS...
E OF THE DEEPENING COLD LOW OFF CA COAST TO LOW OVER
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA THERE IS A BROAD SWLY FLOW. DOWNSTREAM FULL
LATITUDE RIDGE MOVES ONLY SLOWLY EWD ACROSS WRN GREAT LAKES WITH
UPPER HIGH REMAINING OVER AR.

N/S COLD FRONT MOVING INTO WRN MN FROM WHERE IT EXTENDS SWWD ACROSS
NEB INTO SERN CO. A WEAK WAVE ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN W CENTRAL MN
WITH A WARM FRONT TRAILING SEWD ACROSS SWRN WI AND WILL BE LIFTING
NWD THU THE AFTERNOON ALLOWING A MOIST AND INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS TO SPREAD ACROSS ERN MN INTO WI.

...UPR MS VLY/WRN GRT LKS THIS AFTN THROUGH TNGT...
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER REMAINING FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE TO THIN ACROSS ERN MN/NRN WI INTO THE AFTERNOON ALLOWING
STRONG HEATING/DESTABILIZATION TO OCCUR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE EXPANDING WARM SECTOR.

THE COMBINATION OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEWPOINTS RISING
TO AROUND 70F WILL LEAD TO MDT/STG INSTABILITY BY MID AFTERNOON WITH
MLCAPES TO AOA 3000 J/KG. WITH THE PRONOUNCED EML ACROSS THE
AREA...TIMING OF SURFACE INITIATION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS A
CONCERN AND APPEARS SHOULD BE DELAYED TO MID OR LATE AFTERNOON.

LACK OF ANY SUBSTANTIAL UPPER FORCING WITH THE SWLY FLOW WILL LIKELY
REQUIRE FULL HEATING TO OVERCOME THE CAPPING NOW IN PLACE.

ONCE STORMS FORM...40-50 KT DEEP WSWLY SHEAR AND STEEP MID LVL LAPSE
RATES SHOULD SUPPORT SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED STORMS WITH LARGE
HAIL...DMGG WIND...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. THE LATTER THREAT SHOULD
BE GREATEST IN NRN WI...WHERE LOW LVL SRH SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED IN
ZONE OF LOW LCLS NEAR THE WARM FRONT.

BY EARLY TONIGHT...EXPECT STORMS TO MERGE INTO ONE OR MCS/S. WIND
PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR BOWING
SEGMENTS WITH AN INCREASING THREAT DMGG WIND IN WI AND POSSIBLY NRN
MI.

...ERN GULF CST STATES/GA/SC THIS AFTN/EVE...
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY WILL ONCE AGAIN DEVELOP WITHIN A
HOT/MOIST AIR MASS OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. SFC
HEATING AND TERRAIN CIRCULATIONS SHOULD INITIATE SCTD AREAS OF
STORMS BY MID-AFTERNOON IN WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT. GIVEN STEEP
LOW/MID-LVL LAPSE RATES AND 20+ KT MID LVL FLOW...A FEW MULTICELL
CLUSTERS WITH SVR HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND INTO THIS EVE.

..CNTRL PLNS LT THIS AFTN THROUGH TNGT...
MODERATE INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP TODAY AHEAD OF CNTRL PLNS PART
OF COLD FRONT. WARM MID LVL TEMPS WILL DELAY STORM DEVELOPMENT
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY. ISOLD STORMS LATE THIS AFTN/EVE COULD YIELD
DMGG WIND FROM ERN CO INTO WRN KS/SW NEB GIVEN DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER. STORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE AFTER SUNSET AS FORCING FOR
ASCENT IS AUGMENTED BY DEVELOPING JET ENTRANCE REGION ALOFT...AND BY
NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF SSWLY LLJ. AS STORMS SPREAD N/NE ALONG
AND N OF FRONT...THEY MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS WITH AN ATTENDANT
THREAT FOR HAIL AND PERHAPS LOCALLY DMGG WIND. HOWEVER...RELATIVELY
WARM MID LVL TEMPS /AROUND MINUS 10C AT 500 MB/ AND CONGEALING OF
STORMS SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL INTENSITY AND DURATION OF SVR THREAT.

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KCAR [031947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 031947
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
347 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM TSTM WND DMG 12 WSW OXBOW 46.35N 68.72W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME PARK/FOREST SRVC

TREE DAMAGE

&&

$$

NRR

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KJAN [031921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 031921
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N MONTEREY 31.46N 91.72W
06/02/2011 CONCORDIA LA UTILITY COMPANY

UPDATE...NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER POLES BLOWN OVER IN THE
MONTEREY AREA AND ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 129. A SHED WAS
BLOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY...HITTING A MOVING VEHICLE.
EARLIER REPORTS OF TRANSMISSION LINES DOWNED FROM LARGER
TOWERS PROVED TO BE INCORRECT.

&&

$$

DL

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KJAN [031921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KJAN 031921
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
220 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0628 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N MONTEREY 33.73N 88.95W
06/02/2011 CLAY MS UTILITY COMPANY

UPDATE...NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER POLES BLOWN OVER IN THE
MONTEREY AREA AND ALONG STATE HIGHWAY 129. A SHED WAS
BLOWN ACROSS THE ROADWAY...HITTING A MOVING VEHICLE.
EARLIER REPORTS OF TRANSMISSION LINES DOWNED FROM LARGER
TOWERS PROVED TO BE INCORRECT.

&&

$$

DL

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KCHS [031917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KCHS 031917
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
317 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0908 AM WATER SPOUT 2 E TYBEE ISLAND 32.02N 80.84W
06/02/2011 AMZ354 GA LIFEGUARD

TYBEE ISLAND LIFE GUARDS REPORTED A SMALL WATER SPOUT
THAT WAS ABOUT 1.5 MILES OFF SHORE AND WAS STATIONARY.

1037 PM TSTM WND DMG CROCKETVILLE 32.92N 81.08W
06/02/2011 HAMPTON SC 911 CALL CENTER

2 REPORTS OF TREES DOWN ON ROUTE 601 NEAR CROCKETVILLE.

1037 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW WILLIAMS 33.05N 80.86W
06/02/2011 COLLETON SC 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS

1057 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNW ROUND O 33.00N 80.57W
06/02/2011 COLLETON SC 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS

1105 PM TSTM WND DMG ROUND O 32.94N 80.54W
06/02/2011 COLLETON SC 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWNED BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS

1118 PM TSTM WND DMG GRAYS 32.67N 81.02W
06/02/2011 JASPER SC LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN THE COMMUNITY OF GRAYS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1100426 CHS1100427 CHS1100431 CHS1100430 CHS1100429
CHS1100428

$$

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KBIS [031902]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 031902
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
202 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 AM TSTM WND DMG 6 S KINTYRE 46.46N 99.95W
06/03/2011 EMMONS ND PUBLIC

POLE BARN DESTROYED. STOCK TRAILER WAS ROLLED
APPROXIMATELY 200 FEET.

&&

$$

THAMILTO

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KPAH [031857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KPAH 031857
LSRPAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
156 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0819 PM TORNADO 10 NW MURRAY 36.71N 88.44W
05/25/2011 CALLOWAY KY NWS STORM SURVEY

EF0 TORNADO. 2.5 MILES NORTHWEST OF KIRKSEY KY OR 10
MILES NORTHWEST OF MURRAY KY. PEAK WIND 70 MPH. AVE. PATH
WIDTH 50 YARDS. PATH LENGTH 0.25 MILES. SEVERAL
DOZEN...MAINLY SMALL TREES WERE BROKEN OR UPROOTED
IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF SWIFT ROAD NEAR THE SOUTH FORK OF
DUNCAN CREEK.

&&

$$

K. SMITH

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KGSP [031831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 031831
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
231 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HAIL 1 NW ETOWAH 35.33N 82.61W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH HENDERSON NC PUBLIC

&&

$$

KRENTZ

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KCAR [031824]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 031824
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
224 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM TSTM WND DMG SAINT FRANCIS 47.17N 68.89W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME TRAINED SPOTTER

PINE TREE DOWN IN DRIVEWAY.

0300 PM HAIL 3 SE CHAMBERLAIN LAKE 46.25N 69.31W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME OTHER FEDERAL

1 INCH HAIL COVERING THE GROUND AT INDIAN POND

0408 PM TSTM WND DMG SOLDIER POND 47.16N 68.58W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME UTILITY COMPANY

TREE DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0415 PM TSTM WND DMG DAIGLE 47.19N 68.46W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS PWR LINES AND ROAD REPORTED IN NEW
CANADA.

0420 PM TSTM WND DMG SOLDIER POND 47.16N 68.58W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

MAINE PUBLIC SERVICE REPORTS POWER LINES DOWN.

0433 PM TSTM WND DMG FORT KENT 47.26N 68.59W
06/01/2011 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE DOWN RTE 11 BRIEF POWER OUTAGE

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E SANGERVILLE 45.16N 69.25W
06/01/2011 E60.00 MPH PISCATAQUIS ME CO-OP OBSERVER

ALSO REPORTED HAIL QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0715 PM HAIL 1 WNW GUILFORD 45.17N 69.40W
06/01/2011 E1.75 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WNW GUILFORD 45.17N 69.40W
06/01/2011 PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

WIND DAMAGE IN GUILFORD AND EAST SANGERVILLE...LARGE
TREES DOWN IN BOTH LOCATIONS.

0733 PM HAIL 4 SW GUILFORD 45.12N 69.45W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0757 PM HAIL 10 ESE DOVER-FOXCROFT 45.13N 69.04W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S DEXTER 45.01N 69.29W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ON THE BANE RD.

0833 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W EXETER 44.97N 69.18W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON THE CIDER HILL RD.

0920 PM HAIL 1 SE GREENFIELD 45.04N 68.47W
06/01/2011 E1.00 INCH PENOBSCOT ME TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MIKEH

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KCAR [031823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KCAR 031823
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
223 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E SANGERVILLE 45.16N 69.25W
06/01/2011 E60.00 MPH PISCATAQUIS ME CO-OP OBSERVER

ALSO REPORTED HAIL QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S DEXTER 45.01N 69.29W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE DOWN ON THE BANE RD.

0833 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W EXETER 44.97N 69.18W
06/01/2011 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON THE CIDER HILL RD.

&&

$$

MIKEH

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KFGF [031822]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 031822
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
122 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 AM HAIL LAKE BRONSON 48.73N 96.66W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH KITTSON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

VERY STRONGS WINDS ALSO OCCURRED KNOCKING MANY LARGE
BRANCHES DOWN.

0425 AM HAIL 7 ENE LAKE BRONSON 48.77N 96.52W
06/03/2011 E1.00 INCH KITTSON MN PUBLIC

&&

$$

VGODON

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KGGW [031806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 031806
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1205 PM MDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM HAIL 1 ESE MALTA 48.35N 107.85W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL FALLING FOR 10 MINS...STILL FALLING AT TIME OF CALL

0220 PM HAIL 1 SSW MALTA 48.35N 107.88W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL...STARTED HAILING ABOUT 5 MINS
BEFORE THE CALL. HAIL IS ACCUMULATING

0430 PM HEAVY RAIN FORT PECK 48.01N 106.45W
06/02/2011 M0.70 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0.7 IN OF RAIN FELL IN 10 MINS

0500 PM HAIL 12 E FALLON 46.84N 104.87W
06/02/2011 E0.75 INCH PRAIRIE MT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

JBARNWEL

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KABR [031801]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KABR 031801
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
101 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM HAIL 13 S KELDRON 45.75N 101.81W
06/02/2011 E1.25 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

NSSL SHAVE REPORT

0755 PM HAIL 8 S KELDRON 45.82N 101.81W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

0800 PM HAIL 2 E KELDRON 45.93N 101.77W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

NSSL SHAVE

0805 PM HAIL 2 SSW MORRISTOWN 45.91N 101.73W
06/02/2011 E1.75 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

NSSL SHAVE REPORT

0817 PM HAIL 11 S KELDRON 45.77N 101.81W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

NSSL SHAVE REPORT

1030 PM HAIL 6 W HAYES 44.37N 101.15W
06/02/2011 E1.00 INCH STANLEY SD PUBLIC

1042 PM TSTM WND GST 6 E HAYES 44.37N 100.90W
06/02/2011 E60.00 MPH STANLEY SD TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZE HAIL AS WELL

1100 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW GREY GOOSE 44.58N 100.45W
06/02/2011 E60.00 MPH SULLY SD PUBLIC

1110 PM HAIL 5 WNW SULLY BUTTES 44.72N 100.59W
06/02/2011 E0.50 INCH SULLY SD PUBLIC

DIME SIZED HAIL. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

1115 PM TSTM WND GST 17 NNE ISABEL 45.62N 101.29W
06/02/2011 E60.00 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC

LOTS OF PEA HAIL WITH THE WINDS STRIPPED THE LEAVES FROM
THE TREES.

1122 PM TSTM WND GST 10 S BULLHEAD 45.62N 101.08W
06/02/2011 M62.00 MPH CORSON SD MESONET

MEASURED AT GRAND RIVER RAWS SITE

1125 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W ONIDA 44.70N 100.11W
06/02/2011 M56.00 MPH SULLY SD MESONET

MEASURED BY ONIDA AIRPORT DAVIS WEATHER STATION

1147 PM HAIL MCLAUGHLIN 45.81N 100.81W
06/02/2011 E1.50 INCH CORSON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1155 PM TSTM WND GST GETTYSBURG 45.01N 99.95W
06/02/2011 M60.00 MPH POTTER SD AWOS

GETTYSBURG SUPER AWOS. TIME BASED ON NEARBY SDSU SITE.

1245 AM HAIL 6 S AKASKA 45.25N 100.14W
06/03/2011 E1.75 INCH WALWORTH SD PUBLIC

HAIL STONES RANGED FROM NICKLES TO GOLF BALL SIZED.
ESTIMATED TIME BASED ON RADAR.

1245 AM HAIL 10 NNE WHITLOCKS BAY RE 45.17N 100.19W
06/03/2011 E2.50 INCH POTTER SD PUBLIC

RANGED BETWEEN NICKLES TO TENNIS BALL.

&&

$$

CONNELLY/MARTIN

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KABR [031715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 031715
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1215 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 AM HAIL 6 S AKASKA 45.25N 100.14W
06/03/2011 E1.75 INCH WALWORTH SD PUBLIC

HAIL STONES RANGED FROM NICKLES TO GOLF BALL SIZED.
ESTIMATED TIME BASED ON RADAR.

&&

$$

CONNELLY/MARTIN

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KABR [031710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 031710
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1209 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1110 PM HAIL 5 WNW SULLY BUTTES 44.72N 100.59W
06/02/2011 E0.50 INCH SULLY SD PUBLIC

DIME SIZED HAIL. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

1125 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W ONIDA 44.70N 100.11W
06/02/2011 M56.00 MPH SULLY SD MESONET

MEASURED BY ONIDA AIRPORT DAVIS WEATHER STATION

1155 PM TSTM WND GST GETTYSBURG 45.01N 99.95W
06/02/2011 M60.00 MPH POTTER SD AWOS

GETTYSBURG SUPER AWOS. TIME BASED ON NEARBY SDSU SITE.

1245 AM HAIL 10 NNE WHITLOCKS BAY RE 45.17N 100.19W
06/03/2011 E2.50 INCH POTTER SD PUBLIC

RANGED BETWEEN NICKLES TO TENNIS BALL.

&&

$$

CONNELLY/MARTIN

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 031709
SWODY2
SPC AC 031707

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1207 PM CDT FRI JUN 03 2011

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE OH VALLEY...SRN
GREAT LAKES AND MID-MO VALLEY...

...OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES/MID-MO VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION
SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SWD INTO THE OH VALLEY. THE MODELS
FORECAST THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE FRONT
SATURDAY AFTERNOON FROM SRN LAKE MI WWD ACROSS NRN IL INTO SRN IA.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS NEAR THE BOUNDARY SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY IN
PLACE BY MID-AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES IN THE 2500 TO 3500 J/KG
RANGE. IN ADDITION...STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WILL LIKELY EXIST WITH
0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 40 TO 55 KT RANGE. THIS ENVIRONMENT
SHOULD SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH SUPERCELLS
POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...STRONG FRONTAL FORCING...VEERED LOW-LEVEL FLOW
AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD FAVOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
LINEAR MCS WITH AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE THREAT. WILL LEAVE THE 30
PERCENT PROBABILITY ACROSS THE NRN OH VALLEY AND NARROW THE THREAT
AREA TO COINCIDE WITH AN ENSEMBLED CONVECTIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
FROM THE NAM...GFS...NAMKF AND SREF. HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH THE
STRONGER CELLS WITHIN THE LINE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WRN PART OF THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA IN NRN MO AND SRN IA WHERE MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
ARE FORECAST TO BE STEEPER.

...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
THE WRN END OF AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE
LOCATED IN ERN CO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. MODEL FORECASTS INITIATE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN ERN CO MOSTLY DUE TO SFC
HEATING...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND TOPOGRAPHICAL FORCING. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS AT 00Z SUNDAY SUGGEST 40 TO 50 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
BE IN PLACE ACROSS ERN CO WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES SUGGESTING A THREAT
FOR HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL EXIST WITH THE MORE INTENSE
CORES.

...CNTRL GULF COAST STATES...
A MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL LIKELY BE IN PLACE
ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. DUE TO SFC
HEATING AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
INITIATE FROM SE LA EWD ACROSS SRN MS...SRN AL AND THE FL PANHANDLE
WHERE MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 2000 TO 2500 J/KG
RANGE. THE STRONG INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL CONCENTRATED NEAR PEAK HEATING.

..BROYLES.. 06/03/2011

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KGSP [031651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 031651
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1251 PM EDT FRI JUN 03 2011

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0433 PM HAIL BREVARD 35.24N 82.73W
06/02/2011 E0.50 INCH TRANSYLVANIA NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

$$

LG

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