KBIS [110013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 110013
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
613 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HEAVY SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M11.9 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOW THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KBIS [110000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 110000
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
600 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0559 PM HEAVY SNOW WHITE SHIELD 47.66N 101.85W
12/10/2010 E10.0 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KGGW [102353]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 102353
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
453 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1108 AM SNOW MALTA 48.36N 107.87W
12/10/2010 E0.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WESTBOUND HIGHWAY 2 HAD 3 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. WIND WAS
BLOWING SNOW PARALLEL TO ROAD.

1220 PM SNOW MALTA 48.36N 107.87W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SNOW IS BLOWING AROUND.

1220 PM SNOW 21 N WINNETT 47.31N 108.35W
12/10/2010 U0.0 INCH FERGUS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING SINCE 1030AM. BLOWING SNOW HAS LOWERED VISIBILITY
TO 1/2 MILE.

0135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WINNETT 47.00N 108.35W
12/10/2010 E35.00 MPH PETROLEUM MT LAW ENFORCEMENT

SUSTAINED 25 MPH.

0208 PM SNOW GLASGOW 48.20N 106.64W
12/10/2010 M5.0 INCH VALLEY MT NWS EMPLOYEE

SNOW TOTAL AS OF 1245PM

0218 PM SNOW OPHEIM 48.86N 106.41W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SNOWING AND BLOWING
CURRENTLY. VISIBILITY IS 1/4 MILE.

0220 PM SNOW WOLF POINT 48.09N 105.64W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 7AM. SNOW IS BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
VISIBILITY IS 1/2 MILE.

0225 PM SNOW WOLF POINT 48.09N 105.64W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SNOW IS DRIFTING AND
BLOWING. VISIBILITY IS 1/2 MILE.

0230 PM SNOW POPLAR 48.11N 105.20W
12/10/2010 E6.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW STARTED AROUND 9AM. SNOW IS DRIFTING AND BLOWING.
VISIBILITY IS GREATER THAN 1/4 MILE.

0234 PM SNOW SCOBEY 48.79N 105.42W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH DANIELS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. CURRENTLY LIGHT SNOW IS

FALLING. BLOWING SNOW HAS LOWERED VISIBILITY TO 3/4 MILE.

0240 PM SNOW BAINVILLE 48.14N 104.22W
12/10/2010 E2.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

SNOWFALL BEGAN AT 815AM. SNOW IS BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
VISIBILITY IS LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.

0245 PM SNOW BROCKTON 48.15N 104.92W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT PUBLIC

SNOWFALL BEGAN AT 10AM. SNOW IS DRIFTING AND BLOWING.
VISIBILITY IS LESS THAN 1/4 MILE.

0258 PM SNOW HINSDALE 48.39N 107.08W
12/10/2010 E9.0 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING
AND THE VISIBILITY IS SLOWING IMPROVING.

0315 PM SNOW 35 W VANDALIA 48.35N 107.67W
12/10/2010 E6.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE THIS MORNING. SNOW IS BLOWING AND
DRIFTING.

0425 PM SNOW HINSDALE 48.39N 107.08W
12/10/2010 E5.0 INCH VALLEY MT CO-OP OBSERVER

SNOWFALL TOTALS RANGED FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES IN YARD.

0448 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 N HINSDALE 48.44N 107.08W
12/10/2010 M6.0 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 7AM. SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING.

&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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KBIS [102351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102351
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
551 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0549 PM SNOW 10 N TUTTLE 47.29N 99.99W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH KIDDER ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SNOW SO FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KCYS [102342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102342
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
442 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KIMBALL 41.23N 103.66W
12/10/2010 M59 MPH KIMBALL NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STRONGEST WIND GUST OBSERVED AND FIRST TO EXCEED 45 MPH.
SUSTAINED WIND AT TIME OF OBSERVATION WAS W AT 44 MPH.

&&

$$

SJC

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KCYS [102329]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102329
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
429 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0410 PM HIGH SUST WINDS KIMBALL 41.23N 103.66W
12/10/2010 M32 MPH KIMBALL NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

HIGHEST SUSTAINED WIND OF THE DAY. GUST AT TIME OF
OBSERVATION WAS 44 MPH. ADDITIONAL ADVISORY CRITERIA
WINDS SUSTAINED IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AT 250 PM AND 310 PM
MST.

&&

$$

SJC

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KBIS [102328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102328
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
528 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0527 PM SNOW MCCLUSKY 47.49N 100.44W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH SHERIDAN ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL SNOW THUS FAR. REPORT RELAYED BY THE MEDIA.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KCYS [102326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102326
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
426 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0344 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 SSE GARRETT 41.97N 105.52W
12/10/2010 E62 MPH ALBANY WY MESONET

DODGE CREEK RAWS. STRONGEST GUST OF THE DAY. SUSTAINED
WIND AT TIME OF THE OBSERVATION WERE NW AT 39 MPH.

&&

$$

SJC

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KCYS [102315]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102315
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
415 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0116 PM HIGH SUST WINDS DALTON 41.41N 102.97W
12/10/2010 M32 MPH CHEYENNE NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS ALSO REPORTED AT 105 PM MST.

&&

$$

SJC

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KCYS [102314]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102314
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
414 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM HIGH SUST WINDS SCOTTSBLUFF AIRPORT 41.87N 103.60W
12/10/2010 M32 MPH SCOTTS BLUFF NE OFFICIAL NWS OBS

ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS...BUT ONLY REPORT SO FAR THROUGH
253 PM MST.

&&

$$

SJC

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KBIS [102313]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102313
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
513 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
12/10/2010 E3.5 INCH MCLEAN ND TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR ESTIMATED BETWEEN 3 AND 4
INCHES.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KCYS [102310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102310
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
410 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0310 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 7 NW GLEN 42.68N 103.68W
12/10/2010 M47 MPH SIOUX NE DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUMMER CREST HIGHWAY OBSERVATION. SUSTAINED WIND AT
OBSERVATION WAS 20 MPH. FIRST OBSERVATION TO MEET
ADVISORY CRITERIA.

&&

$$

SJC

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KCYS [102308]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102308
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
408 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1049 AM NON-TSTM WND GST SCOTTSBLUFF 41.87N 103.66W
12/10/2010 M49 MPH SCOTTS BLUFF NE MESONET

SCOTTSBLUFF RAWS. STRONGEST WIND GUST BETWEEN 1049 AM MST
AND 349 PM MST TODAY. GUSTS OF 45 MPH ALSO REPORTED AT
1149 AM MST AND 349 PM MST.

&&

$$

SJC

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KCYS [102307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102307
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
406 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0342 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 NE ALBIN 41.51N 104.00W
12/10/2010 E51 MPH BANNER NE MESONET

STRONGEST GUST OF THE DAY WITH ADDITIONAL GUSTS OF 48 AND
45 MPH BACK THROUGH 1142 AM MST. ADDITIONAL REPORTS OF
SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH REPORTED AT THE TIME
OF THE PEAK GUST AND AT 242 PM MST AND BETWEEN 1142 AM
AND 142 PM MST TODAY.

&&

$$

SJC

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KBIS [102306]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102306
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
506 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM SNOW 3 E HAZEN 47.29N 101.56W
12/10/2010 E3.5 INCH MERCER ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KBIS [102304]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102304
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
504 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 PM HEAVY SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M11.1 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KBIS [102241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102241
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
441 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM SNOW CARTWRIGHT 47.86N 103.93W
12/10/2010 E4.0 INCH MCKENZIE ND BROADCAST MEDIA

THROUGH 430 PM CST.

&&

$$

ABELING

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2117

ACUS11 KWNS 102240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102240
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-110245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2117
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MN...WRN WI...FAR NRN IA

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN

VALID 102240Z - 110245Z

A BAND OF FREEZING RAIN APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS SRN MN AND
FAR NRN IA THIS EVENING MOVING INTO WRN WI DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. FREEZING RAIN RATES OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION OCCURS.

THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC ANALYSIS SHOW A WELL-DEFINED
VORTICITY MAX CURRENTLY LOCATED IN FAR SERN SD. THIS FEATURE ALONG
WITH LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE NOSE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS HELPING
TO CREATE AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION IN THE MID-MO VALLEY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. LIFT WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE MCD AREA AS THE VORTICITY
MAX MOVES EWD AND THE LOW-LEVEL JET STRENGTHENS THIS EVENING
RESULTING IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION. SFC
TEMPS ARE ALREADY BELOW FREEZING FROM THE IA-MN STATE-LINE NWD AND
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE ENEWD INTO THE SUB-FREEZING AIR.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE MCD AREA THIS EVENING SUGGEST AN ABOVE
FREEZING LAYER MAY EXIST AROUND 850 MB WITH A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING
LAYER NEAR THE SFC. THIS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE SHOULD RESULT IN
FREEZING RAIN AS THE DOMINANT MODE OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 3
TO 4 HOURS AT LEAST IN THE EARLY STAGES OF A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM
TO THE WEST. THE HEAVIEST RATES OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD OCCUR ALONG
THE PATH OF THE VORTICITY MAX WHERE ICE ACCUMULATION OF .10 INCHES
PER HOUR SEEMS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IF A PERSISTENT BAND CAN SETUP.

..BROYLES.. 12/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...MPX...DMX...FSD...

LAT...LON 43229075 43369371 43629590 43989617 44389580 44589506
44659315 44539081 43889021 43229075

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KCYS [102236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102236
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
336 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0250 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
12/10/2010 M58.00 MPH PLATTE WY MESONET

A GUST OF 61 MPH OCCURRED AT 255 PM AND 300 PM...MAKING
THAT THE HIGHEST GUST SO FAR.

0311 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SKYLINE 41.13N 106.58W
12/10/2010 M58.00 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

HIGHEST SO FAR. SUSTAINED WINDS WERE 40 MPH.

&&

$$

LUNDQUIST

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KBIS [102232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102232
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
432 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW GARRISON 47.65N 101.42W
12/10/2010 M2.5 INCH MCLEAN ND PUBLIC

STILL SNOWING.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102212
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
412 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW 5 W WILLISTON 48.15N 103.73W
12/10/2010 M7.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND PUBLIC

NDSU RESEARCH CENTER.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102210
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
410 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW RAY 48.34N 103.17W
12/10/2010 M3.0 INCH WILLIAMS ND PUBLIC

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102208
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
408 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW THEODORE ROOSEVELT NATI 47.60N 103.26W
12/10/2010 M3.3 INCH MCKENZIE ND OTHER FEDERAL

AS OF 4 PM CST.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102202
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
402 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M8.1 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

2.5 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR. STORM TOTAL OF 8.1 INCHES AS
OF 4 PM CST.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102146
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
346 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM SNOW WASHBURN 47.29N 101.03W
12/10/2010 E2.0 INCH MCLEAN ND CO-OP OBSERVER

STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KCYS [102124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 102124
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
224 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 SW CHEYENNE 41.01N 104.97W
12/10/2010 M63.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

HIGHEST GUST SO FAR. REPORTED FROM UNION PACIFIC RAILROAD
SENSOR AT EMKAY. SUSTAINED WIND AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH FROM
1130 AM TO PRESENT TIME.

1251 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 8 SSW CHEYENNE 41.04N 104.85W
12/10/2010 E57.00 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE BEEN AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH FROM 1246 PM
TO PRESENT TIME. REPORTED FROM WYO HILL SENSOR.

0111 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
12/10/2010 M60.00 MPH CARBON WY MESONET

SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE BEEN AT OR ABOVE 40 MPH FROM 1136 AM
TO PRESENT TIME.

0135 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
12/10/2010 M58.00 MPH LARAMIE WY ASOS

HIGHEST GUST SO FAR.

&&

$$

LUNDQUIST

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KBIS [102112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102112
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
312 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M5.6 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

2 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR. STORM TOTAL SO FAR OF 5.6
INCHES AT 3 PM CST.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KBIS [102053]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102053
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
253 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0252 PM SNOW 3 E HAZEN 47.29N 101.56W
12/10/2010 E2.0 INCH MERCER ND PUBLIC

STORM TOTAL SNOW THUS FAR.

&&

$$

PAYD

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KRIW [102031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 102031
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
130 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0845 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 ESE RENDEZVOUS PEAK 43.59N 110.85W
12/10/2010 M83.00 MPH TETON WY MESONET

0850 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N GREEN MOUNTAIN 42.34N 107.57W
12/10/2010 M60.00 MPH FREMONT WY MESONET

0900 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E RENDEZVOUS PEAK 43.60N 110.85W
12/10/2010 M61.00 MPH TETON WY MESONET

1046 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE U.S. HWY 287 MILE 42.58N 108.28W
12/10/2010 M59.00 MPH FREMONT WY MESONET

1110 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 E ERVAY 42.86N 107.27W
12/10/2010 M69.00 MPH NATRONA WY MESONET

1145 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E FORT PHIL KEARNY 44.53N 106.81W
12/10/2010 M60.00 MPH JOHNSON WY MESONET

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE DEAD INDIAN PASS 44.75N 109.37W
12/10/2010 M66.00 MPH PARK WY MESONET

1200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MOUNT COFFIN 42.62N 110.63W
12/10/2010 M106 MPH LINCOLN WY MESONET

&&

$$

MCDONALD

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KTFX [102024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 102024
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
124 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0121 PM SNOW CHINOOK 48.59N 109.23W
12/10/2010 M4.0 INCH BLAINE MT PUBLIC

4 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE EARLY MORNING.

&&

$$

JOH

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KBIS [102014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 102014
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
214 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0213 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M3.6 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1.5 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR. TOTAL OF 3.6 INCHES AS OF
2PM CST.

&&

$$

JVINING

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KCYS [101959]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 101959
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1258 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM HIGH SUST WINDS LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
12/10/2010 M41 MPH ALBANY WY ASOS

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KCYS [101956]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 101956
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1256 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1231 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
12/10/2010 M63 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WIND SPEED GUST 63 MPH FROM 1226 PM TO 1231 PM.

&&

$$

DDEAL

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2116

ACUS11 KWNS 101930
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101930
NDZ000-110030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2116
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0130 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL ND

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 101930Z - 110030Z

BANDED SNOW WITH HOURLY RATES OF 1-1.5 INCHES WILL EVOLVE OVER CNTRL
ND THROUGH THIS EVENING. HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED IN A 50-70 MILE
CORRIDOR CENTERED FROM KISN-40N KBIS-30E KJMS.

LATEST RUC FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT CONDENSATION PRESSURE
DEFICITS WILL FALL RAPIDLY BELOW 30 MB ACROSS CNTRL ND THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. EXPECT BANDED SNOWFALL TO EXPAND ESE AS UPPER
DISTURBANCE OVER ERN MT CONTINUES ON A TREK INTO SWRN ND LATER THIS
EVENING. CROSS-SECTIONS INDICATE THAT AN INCREASINGLY DEEP LAYER OF
SATURATED ASCENT WITH TEMPERATURES AOB MINUS 15 DEG C WILL EXIST
AMIDST MODEST MID-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS. BANDS WILL TEND TO
NARROW/INTENSIFY WITH TIME AS WEAKLY NEGATIVE EPV BEGINS TO
MATERIALIZE BY EARLY EVENING.

WHILE WATER EQUIVALENT HOURLY PCPN RATES WILL NOT BE EXCESSIVE...THE
15+:1 SNOW RATIOS WILL COMPENSATE AND SNOWFALL RATES WILL EASILY
EXCEED 1 INCH PER HOUR. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE 15Z SREF
GUIDANCE WHICH INDICATES A HIGH PROBABILITY OF THESE RATES...PEAKING
ESPECIALLY AFTER 00Z IN CNTRL ND.

..RACY.. 12/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

LAT...LON 48200260 47870033 47769883 47659839 47239799 46669805
46349841 46539989 46720096 46900208 47080269 47320308
47550349 47740379 48020358 48230326 48200260

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KTFX [101930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101930
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1230 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM SNOW FORT BENTON 47.83N 110.66W
12/10/2010 M6.0 INCH CHOUTEAU MT TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 8 AM.

&&

$$

JOH

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KCYS [101929]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 101929
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1228 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ESE I-80 EXIT 345 41.08N 105.04W
12/10/2010 E63 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

THIS IS UP226 AT EMKAY. SUSTAINED WIND 41 MPH.

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KFGF [101926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 101926
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
126 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 PM SNOW MOORHEAD 46.86N 96.76W
12/10/2010 M1.3 INCH CLAY MN CO-OP OBSERVER

12 HOUR REPORT FROM OFFICIAL FARGO SNOWFALL OBSERVER
ENDED100PM CST.

&&

$$

WBARRETT

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KCYS [101924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 101924
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1224 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1206 PM HIGH SUST WINDS ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
12/10/2010 M40 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KTFX [101922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101922
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1222 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1210 PM SNOW FORT BELKNAP 48.48N 108.77W
12/10/2010 M3.0 INCH BLAINE MT PUBLIC

3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE EARLY MORNING.

&&

$$

JOH

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KTFX [101918]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101918
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1218 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW N HAVRE 48.54N 109.68W
12/10/2010 M5.0 INCH HILL MT PUBLIC

5 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE EARLY MORNING AT HAVRE
DONWTOWN.

&&

$$

JOH

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KCYS [101913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KCYS 101913
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1213 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ARLINGTON 41.59N 106.21W
12/10/2010 M63.00 MPH CARBON WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND 40 MPH.

&&

$$

DDEAL

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101910
SWODY1
SPC AC 101909

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0109 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
MORE THAN AN ISOLATED/SPORADIC CENTRAL U.S. LIGHTNING STRIKE THROUGH
THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 12/10/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST FRI DEC 10 2010/

DEEPENING TROUGH INTO THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL LEAD TO SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS BY LATER TONIGHT OVER NRN IA/SRN MN.

POOR LAPSE RATES COUPLED WITH A VERY DRY AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE CNTRL AND SRN
PLAINS. HOWEVER...STEEPENING MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ADVECTION OF
WARM/MOIST AIR AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT VIA STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL
WINDS ACROSS ERN TX IN TO OZARKS MAY INCREASE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
TOWARDS 12Z SATURDAY OVER PARTS OF LWR MO VALLEY. THE BULK OF ANY
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE DAY 2 PERIOD AND WILL THEREFORE CONTINUE THE NO THUNDER
FORECAST.

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KCYS [101907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 101907
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1206 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1141 AM NON-TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
12/10/2010 M63 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SUSTAINED WIND 40 MPH.

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KABQ [101906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 101906
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1205 PM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0613 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
12/10/2010 M5.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0700 AM SNOW 1 WNW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
12/10/2010 M2.0 INCH TAOS NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW EAGLE NEST 36.56N 105.26W
12/10/2010 M1.0 INCH COLFAX NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0720 AM SNOW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
12/10/2010 M3.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

RED RIVER SKI AREA.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1002306 ABQ1002307 ABQ1002310 ABQ1002309

$$

GUYER

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KMQT [101906]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 101906
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
206 PM EST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM SNOW 5 SW MCMILLAN 46.29N 85.77W
12/10/2010 M2.0 INCH LUCE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

MBABICH

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KBIS [101857]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 101857
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1257 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1256 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M2.1 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

LLP

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KBIS [101843]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 101843
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1243 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW WILLISTON 48.15N 103.63W
12/10/2010 M1.1 INCH WILLIAMS ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

STILL SNOWING

&&

$$

LLP

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KGGW [101829]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 101829
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
1129 AM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1008 AM HEAVY SNOW SAINT MARIE 48.40N 106.53W
12/10/2010 U0.0 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY SNOW IS CURRENTLY FALLING. BLOWING SNOW HAS LOWERED
VISIBILITY TO 100 YARDS.

1017 AM HEAVY SNOW 10 S DODSON 48.25N 108.24W
12/10/2010 E4.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW TOTAL SINCE SUNRISE. HEAVY SNOW IS STILL FALLING AND
VISIBILITY IS 1/4 MILE.

1100 AM SNOW 30 N DODSON 48.83N 108.24W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL SINCE 6AM.

1100 AM HEAVY SNOW HINSDALE 48.39N 107.08W
12/10/2010 E3.0 INCH VALLEY MT PUBLIC

HEAVY SNOW IS FALLING AND BLOWING. ROADS ARE CLEAR ALONG
HIGHWAY 2.

1110 AM SNOW 18 NNW WOLF POINT 48.33N 105.79W
12/10/2010 E2.0 INCH ROOSEVELT MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ACCUMULATED SNOWFALL SINCE 8AM.

1110 AM SNOW PORT OF MORGAN 49.00N 107.83W
12/10/2010 E2.0 INCH PHILLIPS MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWFALL OF 1 INCH SINCE 6AM. SOUTH OF THE PORT OF ENTRY
SNOWFALL WAS 2 INCHES.

1113 AM HEAVY SNOW 4 SW HINSDALE 48.35N 107.15W
12/10/2010 E4.0 INCH VALLEY MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW ACCUMULATION SINCE THIS MORNING.

&&

$$

ASCHNETZ

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KTFX [101823]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101823
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1123 AM MST FRI DEC 10 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1121 AM SNOW 11 ENE THE KNEES 48.07N 111.07W
12/10/2010 E5.0 INCH CHOUTEAU MT TRAINED SPOTTER

4 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW SINCE THIS MORNING. STILL
SNOWING.

&&

$$

NJL

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101724
SWODY2
SPC AC 101722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CST FRI DEC 10 2010

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD IS FORECAST TO AMPLIFY SUBSTANTIALLY AND BEGIN TO TAKE ON A
NEGATIVE TILT THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD...AS A STRONG
SHORT-WAVE TROUGH DIGS SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. TOWARD THE MID
MS VALLEY/MID SOUTH REGION.

AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SWEEP QUICKLY
EWD/SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. S OF A DEEPENING LOW EXPECTED TO
SHIFT ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST/SRN UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THROUGH
THE PERIOD. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...AN OCCLUDED LOW IS FORECAST
INVOF LOWER MI...WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM A TRIPLE POINT
INVOF SRN VA SWWD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. INTO THE ERN GULF OF
MEXICO.

...LOWER MS VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
WITH STRONGER COOLING ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
PROGGED TO REMAIN WELL NW OF SURFACE COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE
ACROSS THIS REGION FROM AFTERNOON ONWARD...POTENTIAL FOR APPRECIABLE
WARM-SECTOR DESTABILIZATION APPEARS MINIMAL DESPITE INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.

NONETHELESS...EXPECT A LINE OF SHOWERS -- WITH A FEW EMBEDDED
LIGHTNING STRIKES -- TO DEVELOP INVOF THE FRONT...WHICH WILL MOVE
QUICKLY ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD.
WITH FAST FLOW FORECAST FROM JUST ABOVE GROUND LEVEL THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE TROPOSPHERE...A DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO -- OR
EVEN AN BRIEF/ISOLATED TORNADO -- CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
HOWEVER...GIVEN GENERALLY WEAK CONVECTION FORECAST ATTM DUE TO
THERMODYNAMIC DEFICIENCIES...SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN QUITE
LIMITED.

..GOSS.. 12/10/2010

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