KGLD [290126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 290126
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
726 PM MDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM TSTM WND GST 9 NE GOODLAND 39.44N 101.59W
06/28/2012 M60 MPH SHERMAN KS TRAINED SPOTTER

WINDS WERE CAUSING BLOWING DUST AND REDUCING VISIBILITY
TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE.


&&

$$

MBULLER

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KLOT [290118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290118
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
818 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM HAIL 1 S ORLAND HILLS 41.58N 87.84W
06/28/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

0800 PM HAIL PARK FOREST 41.48N 87.69W
06/28/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

LASTED 10 MINUTES.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [290117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290117
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
817 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM HAIL SCHERERVILLE 41.49N 87.45W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290117]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290117
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
817 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0756 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S KOUTS 41.29N 87.03W
06/28/2012 PORTER IN LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN

0800 PM HAIL NNE PARK FOREST 41.48N 87.69W
06/28/2012 M0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0817 PM HAIL CRETE 41.45N 87.62W
06/28/2012 M0.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLOT 290110
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
810 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 PM HAIL WSW ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH KANE IL COCORAHS

HAIL STARTED AT 507PM AT OBSERVER LOCATION AND LASTED 9
MINUTES...DENTING SOME CARS AND SHREDDING LEAVES. AVERAGE
SIZE WAS NICKEL SIZE WITH THE LARGEST STONES OF PING PONG
BALL SIZE.

0510 PM HAIL ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

MCLEAN BOULEVARD NEAR WING PARK.

0519 PM HAIL ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH KANE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

AT RT 20 AND RT 25.

0525 PM HAIL BARTLETT 41.98N 88.21W
06/28/2012 M0.25 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0525 PM HAIL 5 SE ELGIN 42.00N 88.20W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

MINOR LEAF DAMAGE.

0653 PM HAIL E ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 PM HAIL ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

I-294 AND CICERO AVENUE.

0656 PM HAIL WORTH 41.69N 87.79W
06/28/2012 M1.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST HAIL IS HALF-DOLLAR SIZED...MIXED WITH DIME SIZED
HAIL. REPORT FROM 117TH AND RIDGELAND.

0657 PM HAIL ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

NICKLE TO QUARTER-SIZED HAIL AT I-294 AND CICERO AVENUE.

0700 PM HAIL MIDLOTHIAN 41.63N 87.72W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 PM HAIL CRESTWOOD 41.65N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED HALF DOLLAR TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL. AT
MIDLOTHIAN AND LARAMIE NEAR CRESTWOOD MIDLOTHIAN LINE.

0703 PM HAIL MIDLOTHIAN 41.63N 87.72W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZED AND LARGER. CICERO AVENUE AND 147TH
STREET.

0705 PM HAIL SOUTH HOLLAND 41.60N 87.60W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL. MANY TREE LEAVES SHREDDED BY
THE HAIL.

0717 PM HAIL CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
06/28/2012 E0.88 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

134 STREET AND AVENUE O.

0720 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER-SIZE TO GOLF BALL SIZE. HAIL OCCURRED IN THE
MUNSTER IN/LANSING IL AREA.

0720 PM HAIL 1 WNW DYER 41.51N 87.52W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST HAIL STONE MEASURED AT 2.25 IN.

0720 PM HAIL 1 WNW DYER 41.51N 87.52W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST WAS 2.25 INCHES

0721 PM HAIL LANSING 41.57N 87.55W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL FALLING.

0725 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

0729 PM HAIL SCHERERVILLE 41.49N 87.45W
06/28/2012 M0.50 INCH LAKE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL.

0730 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT A FIRE STATION IN MUNSTER.

0730 PM HAIL TINLEY PARK 41.57N 87.80W
06/28/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

0731 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST HAIL STONE MEASURED AT 2.25 IN.

0731 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY QUARTER-SIZED HAIL. 109 COURT AND NORTHGATE.

0733 PM HAIL ORLAND PARK 41.61N 87.85W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM HAIL GRIFFITH 41.52N 87.42W
06/28/2012 M0.50 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

I80 AND CLINE AVENUE

0736 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/28/2012 M0.88 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LEAVES AND SMALL BRANCHES FALLING FROM TREES DUE TO HAIL

0736 PM HAIL HIGHLAND 41.55N 87.46W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN AMATEUR RADIO

RIDGE AVENUE AND CLINE AVENUE.

0736 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN AMATEUR RADIO

0739 PM HAIL HOMEWOOD 41.56N 87.66W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL FOR TWO MINUTES...183RD AND HIGHLAND

0740 PM HAIL 1 S ORLAND HILLS 41.58N 87.84W
06/28/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

0741 PM HAIL GRIFFITH 41.52N 87.42W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

I-80 AND CLINE AVENUE

0742 PM HAIL MOKENA 41.53N 87.88W
06/28/2012 E0.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZED HAIL AT 191ST AND LAGRANGE.

0743 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

INTERSTATE 65 EXIT 249.

0743 PM HAIL MERRILLVILLE 41.47N 87.33W
06/28/2012 M0.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT 73RD AVE 1/2 MILE E
OF I-65 NEAR MISSISSIPPI ST

0745 PM HAIL S ORLAND HILLS 41.59N 87.84W
06/28/2012 M0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

.375 MEASURED


&&
THIS LIST WILL BE UPDATED AS FURTHER REPORTS ARE RECEIVED.
$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290102
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
802 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 PM HAIL MERRILLVILLE 41.47N 87.33W
06/28/2012 M0.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO PENNY SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT 73RD AVE 1/2 MILE E
OF I-65 NEAR MISSISSIPPI ST


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290102
SWODY1
SPC AC 290100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS EXTREME NERN IL TO WRN
PA...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN WILL REMAIN DOMINATED BY STG ANTICYCLONE ALOFT
THAT COVERS MUCH OF CONUS S OF ABOUT 40N. SLGT WEAKNESS/COL IS
EVIDENT IN THAT REGIME OF RIDGING OVER OK...MARKING NRN PORTIONS OF
TROUGHING THAT EXTENDS NWD FROM BROAD/WEAK UPPER CYCLONE CENTERED
OVER S TX. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SPLIT ANTICYCLONE IN TWO...WITH
ERN MEMBER OVER TN VALLEY REGION AND WRN UPPER HIGH CENTER OVER NM
BY END OF PERIOD. RIDGING ALOFT WILL EXTEND FROM 4-CORNERS REGION
NNWWD ACROSS N-CENTRAL ROCKIES TO NRN HIGH PLAINS. MOISTURE CHANNEL
IMAGERY INDICATES SHORTWAVE TROUGH FROM SERN LM TO NRN LOWER
MI...NWRN LH AND ADJOINING PORTIONS ONT...MOVING GENERALLY EWD.
THIS PERTURBATION IS EXPECTED TO TRACK ESEWD...REACHING SRN NEW
ENGLAND AND JUST OFFSHORE NJ BY 12Z.

AT SFC...AT 23Z...COLD FRONT WAS NEARLY COLLOCATED WITH MID/UPPER
TROUGH OVER MI/LM...EXTENDING WSWWD ACROSS S-CENTRAL IA AND BECOMING
QUASISTATIONARY OVER S-CENTRAL NEB. IA/IL PORTION OF FRONT SHOULD
STALL THROUGH REMAINDER PERIOD WHILE ERN SEGMENT PROCEEDS EWD/SEWD
OVER LOWER GREAT LAKES AND INTERIOR MID-ATLC REGION.

...GREAT LAKES...
REF WW 433 AND ACCOMPANYING MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS FOR LATEST
NEAR-TERM INFO.

IN ADDITION TO COLD FRONT...LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES ARE AFFECTING
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER NERN IL/NWRN INDIANA...IN ENVIRONMENT
OTHERWISE CHARACTERIZED BY INTENSE MLCINH THAT HAS BEEN PREVENTING
PERSISTENCE IN EARLIER DEVELOPMENT. AREA ALSO LIES WITHIN ERN
PORTION OF PLUME OF VERY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER AIR...WITH SFC
TEMPS 90S TO NEAR 100 F AND DEW POINTS MID 70S CONTRIBUTING TO
4000-6000 J/KG MLCAPE. MLCAPE DECREASES AND MLCINH INCREASES WITH
EWD EXTENT ACROSS NRN INDIANA AND OH...BUT NOT TO AN EXTENT
PROHIBITIVE FOR SWATH OF SVR HAIL AND TSTM WIND POTENTIAL -- GIVEN
RISK OF UPSCALE GROWTH AND STG COLD-POOL ORGANIZATION AND RELATE
FORCED ASCENT ON MESO-BETA TO STORM SCALES. AS SUCH...PROBABILITIES
HAVE BEEN BOOSTED TO CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK LEVELS FOR PART OF THAT
REGION ENCOMPASSING AND DOWNSHEAR OF WW AREA. MEANWHILE...WILL
MAINTAIN ERN LOBE OF CATEGORICAL THRESHOLD SVR PROBABILITIES IN
DEFERENCE TO SVR POTENTIAL DOWNSHEAR FROM TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER SERN
LOWER MI...PER EARLIER OUTLOOKS. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1298
FOR ADDITIONAL NOWCAST INFO.

...CENTRAL PLAINS...
LARGE AREA OF ESSENTIALLY NON-SVR MULTICELLULAR CONVECTION HAS
DEVELOPED OVER CO...MOVING EWD TO ENEWD INTO REGIME CHARACTERIZED BY
WEAK DEEP-LAYER FLOW BUT INTENSE SFC HEAT AND INCREASING BUOYANCY
WITH EWD EXTENT OVER SRN NEB. DEEP/WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYERS S OF
SFC FRONT WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR STG-SVR GUSTS WITH MOST INTENSE
CELLS...ESPECIALLY THOSE ON ERN PORTIONS OF COMPLEX AND ENCOUNTERING
POCKETS OF RESIDUAL/HOT BOUNDARY LAYERS NOT YET IMPACTED BY OUTFLOW.
ISOLATED SVR HAIL ALSO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

..EDWARDS.. 06/29/2012

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KLOT [290100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290100
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
800 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0653 PM HAIL E ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290059
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
759 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0731 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST HAIL STONE MEASURED AT 2.25 IN.


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290058
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
757 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0742 PM HAIL MOKENA 41.53N 87.88W
06/28/2012 E0.75 INCH WILL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZED HAIL AT 191ST AND LAGRANGE.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290057
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
757 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 PM HAIL S ORLAND HILLS 41.59N 87.84W
06/28/2012 M0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

.375 MEASURED


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1298

ACUS11 KWNS 290054
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290053
PAZ000-OHZ000-MIZ000-290230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1298
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0753 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LOWER MI...NRN OH...FAR NWRN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 290053Z - 290230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...PORTIONS OF SERN LOWER MI...NRN OH...AND FAR NWRN PA ARE
BEING MONITORED FOR ADDITIONAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND A POSSIBLE
SVR THREAT. A WW MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...RECENT RADAR/VISIBLE SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SERN LOWER MI -- WITHIN A RELATIVE
MINIMUM OF CONVECTIVE INHIBITION INVOF A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDS SW
OF A TRIPLE POINT LOCATED 35 MILES SSE OF BAD AXE MI. ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION COULD DEVELOP WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR LEADING THE COLD
FRONT INTO SWRN ONTARIO DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AIDED BY
INCREASING ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH MASS CONVERGENCE WITHIN THE EXIT
REGION OF A STRENGTHENING PRE-FRONTAL 850-700-MB SPEED MAX. WITH
GENERALLY 2000-3500 J/KG OF MLCAPE IN PLACE -- PROVIDED STEEP
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ATOP RICH BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE -- AMIDST
40-50 KT OF WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW PER DETROIT AND CLEVELAND VWP
DATA...ROBUST UPDRAFTS MAY ENSUE. HOWEVER...THERE IS SOME QUESTION
AS TO WHETHER SUBSTANTIAL STORM COVERAGE WILL OCCUR OWING TO NOTABLE
CINH WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR -- CHARACTERIZED BY 700-MB TEMPS IN
EXCESS OF 15C -- WITH CINH REINFORCED BY NOCTURNAL COOLING.

GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY AND MODERATE
VERTICAL SHEAR...AND GIVEN THE GLANCING INFLUENCE OF A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH CROSSING THE GREAT LAKES AREA...AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN ORGANIZED/SEVERE CONVECTIVE
SYSTEM...MORE LIKELY AFTER 03Z. SHOULD THIS THREAT APPEAR TO
INCREASE...A WW MAY BE NEEDED.

..COHEN/HART.. 06/29/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...DTX...

LAT...LON 42598377 43118314 43348251 43038147 42558033 42158002
41538062 41268107 41078168 41068235 41248292 41528339
41868370 42238386 42598377

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KLOT [290052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290052
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
752 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HAIL GRIFFITH 41.52N 87.42W
06/28/2012 M0.50 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

I80 AND CLINE AVENUE


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290052
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
752 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0743 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

INTERSTATE 65 EXIT 249.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290051
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
751 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0736 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN AMATEUR RADIO


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290051
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
751 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0717 PM HAIL CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
06/28/2012 E0.88 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

134 STREET AND AVENUE O.

0730 PM HAIL TINLEY PARK 41.57N 87.80W
06/28/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [290050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KLOT 290050
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
750 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0731 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY QUARTER-SIZED HAIL. 109 COURT AND NORTHGATE.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290050]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290050
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
750 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0739 PM HAIL HOMEWOOD 41.56N 87.66W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

FELL FOR TWO MINUTES...183RD AND HIGHLAND


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290049
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
749 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0736 PM HAIL HIGHLAND 41.55N 87.46W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN AMATEUR RADIO

RIDGE AVENUE AND CLINE AVENUE.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [290049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290049
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
748 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0736 PM HAIL CROWN POINT 41.42N 87.36W
06/28/2012 M0.88 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LEAVES AND SMALL BRANCHES FALLING FROM TREES DUE TO HAIL


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290048
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
748 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL 1 WNW DYER 41.51N 87.52W
06/28/2012 M2.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST WAS 2.25 INCHES


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290047
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
747 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM HAIL ORLAND PARK 41.61N 87.85W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290046
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
746 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

QUARTER-SIZE TO GOLF BALL SIZE. HAIL OCCURRED IN THE
MUNSTER IN/LANSING IL AREA.


&&

$$

BN

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KGJT [290045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 290045
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
644 PM MDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0629 PM WILDFIRE DE BEQUE 39.33N 108.21W
06/28/2012 E1500 ACRE MESA CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

EASTBOUND AND WESTBOUND INTERSTATE 70 ARE CLOSED FROM
MILEMARKER 49-62 DUE TO THE PINE RIDGE FIRE


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1200430

$$

TB

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KLOT [290044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290044
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
744 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0741 PM HAIL GRIFFITH 41.52N 87.42W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

I-80 AND CLINE AVENUE


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KLOT [290044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290044
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
744 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM HAIL SOUTH HOLLAND 41.60N 87.60W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

PEA TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL. MANY TREE LEAVES SHREDDED BY
THE HAIL.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290037
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
737 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0731 PM HAIL DYER 41.50N 87.51W
06/28/2012 E2.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

MOSTLY QUARTER-SIZED HAIL. 109 COURT AND NORTHGATE.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [290037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290037
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
737 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED AT A FIRE STATION IN MUNSTER.


&&

$$

LENNING

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KLOT [290034]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290034
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
734 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM HAIL MUNSTER 41.55N 87.50W
06/28/2012 M1.75 INCH LAKE IN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KBIRK

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KLOT [290033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290033
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
733 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 PM HAIL SCHERERVILLE 41.49N 87.45W
06/28/2012 M0.50 INCH LAKE IN EMERGENCY MNGR

PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290026
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
726 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0721 PM HAIL LANSING 41.57N 87.55W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL TO PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL FALLING.


&&

$$

RC

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 433

WWUS20 KWNS 290023
SEL3
SPC WW 290023
INZ000-290400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 433
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
725 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHWEST INDIANA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY EVENING FROM 725 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 20
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST OF
VALPARAISO INDIANA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF VALPARAISO
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...AN ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORM HAS FORMED ALONG THE
LAKE BREEZE NEAR CHI. THIS STORM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST IND DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.
DESPITE THE STORMS LIMITED AREAL COVERAGE...EXTREME INSTABILITY AND
FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.


...HART

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KLOT [290012]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290012
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
712 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 PM HAIL ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

I-294 AND CICERO AVENUE.

0657 PM HAIL ALSIP 41.67N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.00 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

NICKLE TO QUARTER-SIZED HAIL AT I-294 AND CICERO AVENUE.

0700 PM HAIL MIDLOTHIAN 41.63N 87.72W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0703 PM HAIL MIDLOTHIAN 41.63N 87.72W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

GOLF BALL SIZED AND LARGER. CICERO AVENUE AND 147TH
STREET.


&&

$$

BN

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KLOT [290005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290005
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
704 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HAIL CRESTWOOD 41.65N 87.74W
06/28/2012 E1.75 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

ESTIMATED HALF DOLLAR TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL. AT
MIDLOTHIAN AND LARAMIE NEAR CRESTWOOD MIDLOTHIAN LINE.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [290000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 290000
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
700 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 PM HAIL WORTH 41.69N 87.79W
06/28/2012 M1.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGEST HAIL IS HALF-DOLLAR SIZED...MIXED WITH DIME SIZED
HAIL. REPORT FROM 117TH AND RIDGELAND.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [282241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 282241
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
541 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HAIL 5 SE ELGIN 42.00N 88.20W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH COOK IL COCORAHS

MINOR LEAF DAMAGE.


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [282235]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 282235
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
535 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM HAIL BARTLETT 41.98N 88.21W
06/28/2012 M0.25 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

RC

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KLOT [282231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 282231
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
531 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0507 PM HAIL WSW ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH KANE IL COCORAHS

HAIL STARTED AT 507PM AT OBSERVER LOCATION AND LASTED 9
MINUTES...DENTING SOME CARS AND SHREDDING LEAVES. AVERAGE
SIZE WAS NICKEL SIZE WITH THE LARGEST STONES OF PING PONG
BALL SIZE.


&&

$$

RC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1297

ACUS11 KWNS 282230
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282230
MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-290000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1297
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0530 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IL...NRN IND...SWRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 282230Z - 290000Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...AN AT LEAST ISOLATED SVR THREAT MAY MATERIALIZE ACROSS
PARTS OF NERN IL/NRN IND/SWRN LOWER MI. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND A WW IS POSSIBLE IF A MORE WIDESPREAD
SVR THREAT APPEARS TO ENSUE.

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING INVOF A SFC FRONT AND
NEARBY WIND-SHIFT AXES...ENHANCED BY LOCALIZED LAKE-BREEZE
CIRCULATIONS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE CHICAGO AREA. THE AREAS OF
GREATEST CONCERN FOR POSSIBLY SVR CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR
TWO INCLUDE KANE COUNTY EWD TO COOK COUNTY INTO SRN LAKE
MICHIGAN...WITH POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE CHICAGO AREA BETWEEN 2300
AND 2330 UTC.

THE CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE COLOCATED WITH THE WARM SIDE OF A
700-MB THERMAL GRADIENT. WHILE HOT INLAND SFC TEMPERATURES AMIDST
LOWER/MIDDLE 70S DEWPOINTS ARE SUPPORTING EXTREME
INSTABILITY...STRONG INHIBITION SOUTH OF THE 700-MB TEMPERATURE
GRADIENT OWING TO A PRONOUNCED WARM-LAYER ALOFT -- 700-MB TEMPS IN
EXCESS OF 16C -- YIELD UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO THE FUTURE
EVOLUTION OF ONGOING CONVECTION. FURTHERMORE...THE ONLY GLANCING
INFLUENCE OF A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED HEIGHT
FALLS/ASCENT SHOULD PROVIDE ONLY MINIMAL REDUCTION TO ONGOING CINH.

REGARDLESS...THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR A LOCALIZED SVR-WIND THREAT
GIVEN SFC DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS IN EXCESS OF 20F AND DCAPE VALUES IN
AOA 1300 J/KG...AS WLY/NWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW STEERS CONVECTION FROM
NERN IL INTO SWRN LOWER MI AND NRN IND. IF STORMS APPEAR TO SHOW
SIGNS OF GROWING UPSCALE INTO A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WITH A MORE
WIDESPREAD SVR THREAT...A WW MAY BE NEEDED.

..COHEN/HART.. 06/28/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...LOT...

LAT...LON 42078508 41738528 41388615 41278783 41658893 42078911
42318826 42428749 42558686 42688579 42558527 42078508

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KLOT [282229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 282229
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
528 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0519 PM HAIL ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.50 INCH KANE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

AT RT 20 AND RT 25.


&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KLOT [282225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 282225
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
525 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL ELGIN 42.04N 88.29W
06/28/2012 M1.00 INCH KANE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

MCLEAN BOULEVARD NEAR WING PARK.


&&

$$

RC

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 9991...test

WWUS20 KWNS 282203
SEL1
SPC WW 282203
AZZ000-282200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 9991...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
303 PM MST THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9991 ISSUED AT 220 PM MST FOR PORTIONS OF

ARIZONA

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 9992...test

WWUS20 KWNS 282203
SEL2
SPC WW 282203
CAZ000-NVZ000-CWZ000-282200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 9992...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
303 PM PDT THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9992 ISSUED AT 230 PM PDT FOR PORTIONS OF

CALIFORNIA
NEVADA
COASTAL WATERS

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 9992...test

WWUS20 KWNS 282129
SEL2
SPC WW 282129
CAZ000-NVZ000-CWZ000-282200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9992...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM PDT THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
SOUTHERN NEVADA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 230 PM UNTIL 300 PM PDT.

THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 0 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TEST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG
AND 95 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF THERMAL CALIFORNIA TO 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DESERT ROCK NEVADA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9991...

DISCUSSION...THIS IS A TEST.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND
SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 0 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM
TOPS TO 0. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 1900.


...CARBIN

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 9991...test

WWUS20 KWNS 282114
SEL1
SPC WW 282114
AZZ000-282200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9991...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MST THU JUN 28 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

ARIZONA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 220 PM UNTIL 300 PM MST.

THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 0 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TEST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG
AND 45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 205 MILES SOUTH
OF KINGMAN ARIZONA TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF KINGMAN
ARIZONA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THIS IS A TEST

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME TURBULENCE AND
SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 0 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM
TOPS TO 0. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 1900.


...CARBIN

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KMKX [282112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 282112
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
412 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1152 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.94N 87.90W
06/28/2012 M103 F MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

KMKE HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 73

1153 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT 43.14N 89.33W
06/28/2012 M106 F DANE WI ASOS

KMSN HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 76

1200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT BEAR VALLEY 43.31N 88.12W
06/28/2012 M111 F WASHINGTON WI MESONET

JAKSN HEAT INDEX. TEMP 96 TD 77

1200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT CEDARBURG 43.30N 87.99W
06/28/2012 M110 F OZAUKEE WI MESONET

CDRBR HEAT INDEX. TEMP 97 TD 75.

1230 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE 42.97N 88.55W
06/28/2012 M113 F JEFFERSON WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MKXWS HEAT INDEX. TEMP 97 TD 77

1230 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT OCONOMOWOC 43.11N 88.50W
06/28/2012 M111 F WAUKESHA WI MESONET

OCNMW HEAT INDEX. TEMP 97 TD 76

1245 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT JANESVILLE AIRPORT 42.62N 89.04W
06/28/2012 M108 F ROCK WI AWOS

KJVL HEAT INDEX. TEMP 99 TD 72

1253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT RACINE BATTEN AIRPORT 42.76N 87.81W
06/28/2012 M108 F RACINE WI ASOS

KRAC HEAT INDEX. TEMP 97 TD 74

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT KENOSHA AIRPORT 42.60N 87.93W
06/28/2012 M110 F KENOSHA WI ASOS

KENW HEAT INDEX. TEMP 99 TD 73

0200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 E LAKE GENEVA 42.59N 88.35W
06/28/2012 M108 F WALWORTH WI MESONET

LKGEN HEAT INDEX. TEMP 96 TD 74

0253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT FOND DU LAC AIRPORT 43.77N 88.49W
06/28/2012 M101 F FOND DU LAC WI ASOS

KFLD HEAT INDEX. TEMP 94 TD 71

0300 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT BURLINGTON AIRPORT 42.69N 88.30W
06/28/2012 M103 F WALWORTH WI ASOS

KBUU HEAT INDEX. TEMP 95 TD 72.

0400 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT SHEBOYGAN 43.75N 87.72W
06/28/2012 M102 F SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

KSBM HEAT INDEX. TEMP 93 TD 73.


&&

$$

CRAVEN

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KJAX [282003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 282003
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
403 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0357 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE ICHETUCKNEE SPRING 30.02N 82.72W
06/28/2012 M19.99 INCH COLUMBIA FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF RAINFALL TOTALS...MONTH OF JUNE 27.55
INCHES/ JUNE 23RD-26TH 19.99 INCHES.


&&

$$

PKEEGAN

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281945
SWODY1
SPC AC 281943

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0243 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM FAR SERN MI INTO NRN OH
AND WRN PA...

ONLY MINOR TWEAKS WERE MADE TO THE OUTLOOK...AND THE PREVIOUS
THINKING REMAINS VALID.

...LOWER MI INTO NRN OH AND WRN PA...
DESPITE EXTREME HEAT ACROSS THE REGION...MODIFIED SOUNDINGS INDICATE
SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING REMAINS. HOWEVER...AS A WEAK TROUGH CONTINUES
SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...SOME COOLING AND MOISTENING WILL OCCUR
ALONG THE SURFACE FRONT. CONFLUENT 850 MB FLOW AS WELL AS A
SUBSTANTIAL THETA-E AXIS AND WARM ADVECTION MAY YET RESULT IN EARLY
EVENING DEVELOPMENT. WITH HIGH PWAT...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WNWLY
FLOW ALOFT...DAMAGING WINDS WOULD BE LIKELY IF STORMS FORM AND MERGE
INTO AN MCS. HAIL WOULD ALSO BE LIKELY WITH THE STRONGEST CORES.

..JEWELL.. 06/28/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1253 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012/

CORRECTED SLGT RISK AREA DESCRIPTION.

...SYNOPSIS...
SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE SUBSTANTIALLY FROM EARLIER FORECAST
REASONING WITH THIS UPDATE. EXPANSIVE SUMMERTIME ANTICYCLONE AND
VERY WARM TEMPS THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE ENCOMPASS
MUCH OF THE CNTRL/SRN U.S. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH NEARING HUDSON BAY WILL ACT TO SUPPRESS THE UPPER RIDGE
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO WRN MID ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY FRI. SURFACE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE IN CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AND STALL FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO MIDWEST AMIDST HOT AND
STRONGLY CAPPED AIRMASS. A CORRIDOR OF MODEST ASCENT/WARM ADVECTION
DEVELOPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...FROM LOWER MI ACROSS THE ERN
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THIS EVENING AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT.

ON THE WRN FLANK OF THE ANTICYCLONE A NARROW PLUME OF HIGHER PW AIR
EXTENDS FROM THE SWRN DESERTS ACROSS THE ROCKIES WITHIN AN AXIS OF
RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN
SOMEWHAT STRONGER SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WILL TRACK NEWD
ACROSS ID AND WRN MT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES TO NORTHEAST...
PERSISTENT LIFT AND MOISTENING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE PRONOUNCED EML
PLUME SITUATED WITHIN THE DAMPENING UPPER RIDGE AXIS MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
FROM LOWER MI ACROSS NRN OH AND INTO WRN NY/PA. AIRMASS TRAJECTORIES
ORIGINATING IN VERY HOT UNSTABLE REGIME TO THE WEST AND MODEST
EFFECTIVE SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30-40KT WILL AID CONVECTIVE VIGOR
WITH SOME POSSIBILITY FOR A SMALL MCS EVOLVING AND SPREADING ESEWD.
SCATTERED SEVERE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE WIND EVENTS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

...MIDWEST...
FARTHER WEST ALONG THE WEAK FRONT/WIND SHIFT...FROM SW LOWER MI AND
NRN IND TO IL/IA...STORM COVERAGE IS MUCH MORE UNCERTAIN GIVEN
STRONG CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND WEAKER FORCING. HOWEVER...VERY
UNSTABLE TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO AOA 100F. SOME MODEL SCENARIOS
DEPICT POSSIBLE STORM INITIATION NEAR LAKE BREEZE/FRONT
INTERSECTION...FROM NRN IL ACROSS IND...DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...LATEST HRRR BACKS OFF EARLIER INDICATIONS OF STORMS
INITIATING ACROSS ERN IA. IF ANY STORMS CAN INITIATE...THE PROSPECT
FOR SEVERE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS WILL EXIST GIVEN EXPECTED MAGNITUDE
OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. THE CONDITIONAL NATURE OF THIS THREAT IN
SUCH A STRONGLY CAPPED REGIME SUGGESTS MAINTAINING LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

...ROCKIES TO CNTRL PLAINS...
SCATTERED TSTMS APPEAR LIKELY WITHIN THE NARROW MOIST AXIS
OVERSPREADING THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM ERN AZ TO CO THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN STEEP
LAPSE RATE REGIME BUT LACK OF STRONGER FLOW/SHEAR AND WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION.

HIGH-BASED TSTMS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY TO FORM NEAR THE STALLED
BOUNDARY ACROSS NERN CO LATER TODAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
PERSIST ALONG AND NEAR THE FRONT WHILE SPREADING EAST TOWARD GREATER
DOWNSTREAM INSTABILITY ACROSS NEB/NRN KS THIS EVENING. THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INITIALLY SUPPORT STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS FROM
THIS CONVECTION. WITH TIME...ANY STORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
WILL EXIST AMIDST STRONG BUOYANCY...RELATIVELY LOWER LFC... AND
BACKED/ELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW. THESE FACTORS WOULD FAVOR BETTER
STORM ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE...PERHAPS IN THE FORM OF A COUPLE
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL...WIND...AND BRIEF TORNADO POTENTIAL.

...NRN ROCKIES...
A SMALL CLUSTER OF HIGH-BASED/DRY TSTMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPING NEWD ACROSS SWRN MT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY SUB-CLOUD AIRMASS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL WITH THESE STORMS. OVERALL COVERAGE OF SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED AND WARRANT ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME.

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KGRR [281909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 281909
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
309 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 2 NNW BIG RAPIDS 43.72N 85.50W
06/28/2012 M101 F MECOSTA MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 94 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 71
DEGREES.

0235 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 SW FREMONT 43.44N 85.99W
06/28/2012 M100 F NEWAYGO MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 92 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 71
DEGREES.

0253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 NW LANSING 42.78N 84.59W
06/28/2012 M102 F CLINTON MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 95 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 70
DEGREES.

0253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 SSW ALMA 43.32N 84.69W
06/28/2012 M100 F GRATIOT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 93 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 70
DEGREES.

0255 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 2 ENE CHARLOTTE 42.57N 84.81W
06/28/2012 M105 F EATON MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 98 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 70
DEGREES.


&&

$$

WH

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KGRR [281901]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 281901
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
301 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 WSW BATTLE CREEK 42.31N 85.25W
06/28/2012 M103 F CALHOUN MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 97 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 69
DEGREES.

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 SSE KALAMAZOO 42.24N 85.56W
06/28/2012 M103 F KALAMAZOO MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 97 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 70
DEGREES.

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 2 NE MOUNT PLEASANT 43.62N 84.74W
06/28/2012 M100 F ISABELLA MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 95 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 69
DEGREES.

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 WNW JACKSON 42.26N 84.46W
06/28/2012 M100 F JACKSON MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 94 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 70
DEGREES.

0153 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 SSW CASCADE 42.88N 85.52W
06/28/2012 M103 F KENT MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 95 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 72
DEGREES.


&&

$$

WH

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KGRR [281727]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 281727
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
127 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 4 SSE KALAMAZOO 42.24N 85.56W
06/28/2012 M101 F KALAMAZOO MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 95 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 69
DEGREES.

1253 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT 3 WSW BATTLE CREEK 42.31N 85.25W
06/28/2012 M100 F CALHOUN MI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

THE TEMPERATURE WAS 94 DEGREES AND THE DEW POINT WAS 69
DEGREES.


&&

$$

WH

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KMKX [281718]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281718
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1218 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1145 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT JANESVILLE AIRPORT 42.62N 89.04W
06/28/2012 M104 F ROCK WI AWOS

104 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 97. DEWPOINT 70.

1153 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT RACINE BATTEN AIRPORT 42.76N 87.81W
06/28/2012 M105 F RACINE WI ASOS

105 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 95. DEWPOINT 73.

1153 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT SHEBOYGAN AIRPORT 43.77N 87.85W
06/28/2012 M100 F SHEBOYGAN WI ASOS

100 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 92. DEWPOINT 72.

1212 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT WATERTOWN AIRPORT 43.17N 88.72W
06/28/2012 M110 F JEFFERSON WI AWOS

110 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 93. DEWPOINT 79.


&&

$$

MEB

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 281716
SWODY2
SPC AC 281714

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1214 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER HIGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES WITH RIDGE
AXIS EXTENDING NWD INTO ERN MT. NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL EXTEND FROM THE
NRN PLAINS EWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO NEW ENGLAND WITH A
BROAD LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH AND FAST FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE...A
WEAK BOUNDARY AND AREA OF ENHANCED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL
EXTEND FROM SERN MT EWD ACROSS SD...SRN MN AND IA...CONTINUING SEWD
TO THE MID ATLANTIC AREA.

TO THE E...A LEAD SHORTWAVE EMBEDDED IN THE BROADER TROUGH WILL
AFFECT THE NERN STATES DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH A SFC TROUGH FROM
ME INTO SERN NEW ENGLAND HELPING TO FOCUS CONVECTION.

...SD SEWD INTO WV...
SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL CONDITIONALLY SUPPORT SEVERE HAIL AND
WIND ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...BUT THERE WILL BE NO LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER. EARLY STORMS MAY BE ONGOING
FROM SD INTO IA ASSOCIATED WITH WARM ADVECTION NEAR THE DIFFUSE
SURFACE FRONT...WITH THE MAIN THREAT HAIL. MODELS ARE RELATIVELY
INCONSISTENT WITH DAYTIME EVOLUTION...BUT GIVEN LACK OF
FORCING...ACTIVITY SHOULD BE ISOLATED ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.

SOME MODELS SUCH AS THE NAM SUGGEST A NOCTURNAL MCS DEVELOPING AFTER
03Z FROM SRN MN/IA EWD INTO NRN IL. ALTHOUGH THE LLJ WILL BE
STRONGER AND WILL SUPPORT UPWARD MOTION...CAPPING WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE. WIND AND HAIL WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

...NEW ENGLAND...
A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL EXIST OVER THE REGION EARLY...WITH SWLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION. A FEW EARLY STORMS MAY EXIST ACROSS
SRN NEW ENGLAND WITH HEAVY RAIN AS WELL AS MARGINAL HAIL...BUT THE
BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE OVER ME IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO
THE BETTER HEIGHT FALLS AND UPPER VORTICITY AXIS LATER IN THE DAY.
INCREASING WIND SPEEDS WITH HEIGHT AND MODESTLY STEEP LAPSE RATES
ALOFT SHOULD SUPPORT VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF HAIL. HODOGRAPHS
MAY BE FAVORABLE FOR SPLITTING CELLS.

FARTHER S INTO SERN NEW ENGLAND...THE FRONTAL PASSAGE APPEARS TO BE
OCCURRING TOO EARLY FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT WITH SOME
DRYING ALOFT AFTER 18Z. IF THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES JUST A BIT
SLOWER...THE BOSTON AREA COULD SEE A THREAT OF ISOLATED SEVERE.

..JEWELL.. 06/28/2012

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KJAX [281712]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281712
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
112 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM FLOOD 6 NNE SANDERSON 30.33N 82.25W
06/28/2012 BAKER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS COUNTY ROAD 127 BRIDGE OVER
CEDAR CREEK HAS COLLAPSED.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KMKX [281711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281711
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1211 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM EXCESSIVE HEAT NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE 42.97N 88.55W
06/28/2012 M110 F JEFFERSON WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

MAX HEAT INDEX SO FAR TODAY.


&&

$$

MEB

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KJAX [281707]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281707
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
107 PM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0106 PM FLOOD 6 N MACCLENNY 30.36N 82.14W
06/28/2012 BAKER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS THAT STATE ROAD 121 BRIDGE
ACROSS THE ST MARYS RIVER IS CLOSED FOR THE FORSEEABLE
FUTURE.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KMKX [281635]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281635
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1135 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1111 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT DODGEVILLE 42.96N 90.13W
06/28/2012 M101 F IOWA WI MESONET

101 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 90. DEWPOINT 76.

1128 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT HORICON 43.44N 88.64W
06/28/2012 M103 F DODGE WI MESONET

103 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 92. DEWPOINT 75.


&&

$$

MEB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281632
SWODY1
SPC AC 281630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WRN GREAT
LAKES FROM SE LWR MI TO WRN PA...

...SYNOPSIS...
SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE SUBSTANTIALLY FROM EARLIER FORECAST
REASONING WITH THIS UPDATE. EXPANSIVE SUMMERTIME ANTICYCLONE AND
VERY WARM TEMPS THROUGH A DEEP LAYER OF THE ATMOSPHERE ENCOMPASS
MUCH OF THE CNTRL/SRN U.S. WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORT
WAVE TROUGH NEARING HUDSON BAY WILL ACT TO SUPPRESS THE UPPER RIDGE
FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO WRN MID ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY FRI. SURFACE
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE IMPULSE IN CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AND STALL FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO MIDWEST AMIDST HOT AND
STRONGLY CAPPED AIRMASS. A CORRIDOR OF MODEST ASCENT/WARM ADVECTION
DEVELOPS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT...FROM LOWER MI ACROSS THE ERN
GREAT LAKES THROUGH THIS EVENING AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC OVERNIGHT.

ON THE WRN FLANK OF THE ANTICYCLONE A NARROW PLUME OF HIGHER PW AIR
EXTENDS FROM THE SWRN DESERTS ACROSS THE ROCKIES WITHIN AN AXIS OF
RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW. A SHORT WAVE TROUGH EMBEDDED WITHIN
SOMEWHAT STRONGER SWLY FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHWEST WILL TRACK NEWD
ACROSS ID AND WRN MT THROUGH THIS EVENING.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES TO NORTHEAST...
PERSISTENT LIFT AND MOISTENING ALONG THE EDGE OF THE PRONOUNCED EML
PLUME SITUATED WITHIN THE DAMPENING UPPER RIDGE AXIS MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT LATE TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT
FROM LOWER MI ACROSS NRN OH AND INTO WRN NY/PA. AIRMASS TRAJECTORIES
ORIGINATING IN VERY HOT UNSTABLE REGIME TO THE WEST AND MODEST
EFFECTIVE SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30-40KT WILL AID CONVECTIVE VIGOR
WITH SOME POSSIBILITY FOR A SMALL MCS EVOLVING AND SPREADING ESEWD.
SCATTERED SEVERE HAIL AND PERHAPS A COUPLE WIND EVENTS CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

...MIDWEST...
FARTHER WEST ALONG THE WEAK FRONT/WIND SHIFT...FROM SW LOWER MI AND
NRN IND TO IL/IA...STORM COVERAGE IS MUCH MORE UNCERTAIN GIVEN
STRONG CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND WEAKER FORCING. HOWEVER...VERY
UNSTABLE TO EXTREMELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO AOA 100F. SOME MODEL SCENARIOS
DEPICT POSSIBLE STORM INITIATION NEAR LAKE BREEZE/FRONT
INTERSECTION...FROM NRN IL ACROSS IND...DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...LATEST HRRR BACKS OFF EARLIER INDICATIONS OF STORMS
INITIATING ACROSS ERN IA. IF ANY STORMS CAN INITIATE...THE PROSPECT
FOR SEVERE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS WILL EXIST GIVEN EXPECTED MAGNITUDE
OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR. THE CONDITIONAL NATURE OF THIS THREAT IN
SUCH A STRONGLY CAPPED REGIME SUGGESTS MAINTAINING LOW SEVERE
PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.

...ROCKIES TO CNTRL PLAINS...
SCATTERED TSTMS APPEAR LIKELY WITHIN THE NARROW MOIST AXIS
OVERSPREADING THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM ERN AZ TO CO THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW OF THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS GIVEN STEEP
LAPSE RATE REGIME BUT LACK OF STRONGER FLOW/SHEAR AND WEAK
INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT OVERALL STORM ORGANIZATION.

HIGH-BASED TSTMS ALSO APPEAR LIKELY TO FORM NEAR THE STALLED
BOUNDARY ACROSS NERN CO LATER TODAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY
PERSIST ALONG AND NEAR THE FRONT WHILE SPREADING EAST TOWARD GREATER
DOWNSTREAM INSTABILITY ACROSS NEB/NRN KS THIS EVENING. THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT SHOULD INITIALLY SUPPORT STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS FROM
THIS CONVECTION. WITH TIME...ANY STORMS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT
WILL EXIST AMIDST STRONG BUOYANCY...RELATIVELY LOWER LFC... AND
BACKED/ELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW. THESE FACTORS WOULD FAVOR BETTER
STORM ORGANIZATION/PERSISTENCE...PERHAPS IN THE FORM OF A COUPLE
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL...WIND...AND BRIEF TORNADO POTENTIAL.

...NRN ROCKIES...
A SMALL CLUSTER OF HIGH-BASED/DRY TSTMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE SHORT WAVE
TROUGH DEVELOPING NEWD ACROSS SWRN MT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A DEEP
BOUNDARY LAYER AND DRY SUB-CLOUD AIRMASS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DAMAGING
WIND POTENTIAL WITH THESE STORMS. OVERALL COVERAGE OF SEVERE THREAT
SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED AND WARRANT ONLY LOW SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT
THIS TIME.

..CARBIN/DEAN.. 06/28/2012

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KMKX [281631]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281631
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1131 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1014 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT PARDEEVILLE 43.53N 89.30W
06/28/2012 M103 F COLUMBIA WI MESONET

103 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 91. DEWPOINT 76.

1050 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT JACKSON 43.32N 88.16W
06/28/2012 M100 F WASHINGTON WI TRAINED SPOTTER

100 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 90. DEWPOINT 74.

1052 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT MILWAUKEE INTERNATIONAL 42.94N 87.90W
06/28/2012 M101 F MILWAUKEE WI ASOS

101 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 93. DEWPOINT 72.

1053 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT KENOSHA AIRPORT 42.60N 87.93W
06/28/2012 M103 F KENOSHA WI ASOS

103 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPEATURE 96. DEWPOINT 70.

1053 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT MADISON TRUAX AIRPORT 43.14N 89.33W
06/28/2012 M103 F DANE WI ASOS

103 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 92. DEWPOINT 75.

1055 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT MIDDLETON 43.10N 89.51W
06/28/2012 M101 F DANE WI AWOS

101 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 93. DEWPOINT 72.


&&

$$

MEB

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KMKX [281555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281555
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1055 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1035 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT WATERTOWN AIRPORT 43.17N 88.72W
06/28/2012 M103 F JEFFERSON WI AWOS

103 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 91. DEWPOINT 75.


&&

$$

MEB

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KMKX [281514]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281514
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1014 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT LONE ROCK AIRPORT 43.21N 90.19W
06/28/2012 M101 F SAUK WI ASOS

101 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 90. DEWPOINT 75.


&&

$$

MEB

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KMKX [281506]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 281506
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1005 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM EXCESSIVE HEAT NWS SULLIVAN/MILWAUKEE 42.97N 88.55W
06/28/2012 M100 F JEFFERSON WI OFFICIAL NWS OBS

100 DEGREE HEAT INDEX. TEMPERATURE 91. DEWPOINT 74.


&&

$$

MEB

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KJAX [281453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281453
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1053 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1050 AM FLOOD 6 NNE MACCLENNY 30.36N 82.08W
06/28/2012 BAKER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A BRIDGE FLOATING DOWN THE
ST MARYS RIVER. SPECIFIC LOCATION IS BEING DETERMINED.


&&

$$

SPC

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KJAX [281430]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 281430
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1028 AM EDT THU JUN 28 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1023 AM FLOOD LIVE OAK 30.29N 82.99W
06/28/2012 SUWANNEE FL NWS EMPLOYEE

SINK HOLE DEVELOPED 1 BLOCK FROM INTERSECTION OF HWY 90
AND SR 129. A FEW STRUCTURES IN DANGER OF BEING ENGULFED
INTO EXPANDING SINK HOLE.


&&

$$

JHESS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281256
SWODY1
SPC AC 281254

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 AM CDT THU JUN 28 2012

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ...

...SYNOPSIS...
EXPANSIVE ANTICYCLONE NOW EXTENDING FROM THE SRN RCKYS TO THE LWR OH
VLY WILL FURTHER ELONGATE W-E THIS PERIOD AS CNTRL PORTION
TEMPORARILY IS SUPPRESSED BY PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSING
MB. THE MB SYSTEM SHOULD REACH JAMES BAY BY 12Z FRI AS WEAK
TROUGHING CONTINUES OVER THE PACIFIC NW...AND LOW NOW OVER NB MOVES
NE INTO NEWFOUNDLAND. FARTHER S...A SERIES OF WEAKER DISTURBANCES
WILL PERSIST IN ARC OF ENHANCED FLOW SKIRTING IMMEDIATE N SIDE OF
RIDGE. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT OF THESE IMPULSES...NOW OVER ERN SD/NE
NEB...SHOULD REACH LWR MI THIS EVE AND THE MID ATLANTIC CST EARLY
FRI.

FEATURES WILL REMAIN WEAK AT THE SFC. NRN PART OF COLD FRONT NOW
EXTENDING FROM THE UPR GRT LKS TO THE CNTRL PLNS SHOULD CONTINUE
STEADILY E/SE ACROSS THE NRN APPALACHIANS/MID ATLANTIC REGION BY THE
END OF THE PERIOD. THE TRAILING WRN PART OF THE
BOUNDARY...HOWEVER...LIKELY WILL BECOME QSTNRY FROM SRN NEB/NW KS TO
NRN IL/IND. THE FRONT WILL TO SOME EXTENT SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR
POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SVR TSTMS THROUGH THE PERIOD. BUT STORM
COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED BY CONTINUING PRESENCE OF DEEP/EXPANSIVE
EML.

...LWR MI/OH VLY INTO PA/NY TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRI...
CAP ASSOCIATED WITH VERY WARM EML...AND RELATIVELY DRY LOW LVL
AIR...SUGGESTS THAT LIKELIHOOD FOR ORGANIZED SVR TSTMS WILL REMAIN
LOW ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT FROM LWR MI S/SE INTO THE OH VLY
TODAY. HOWEVER...A GREATER POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT MAY BE
REALIZED TNGT THROUGH EARLY FRI ALONG THE NE FRINGE OF THE EML.

ELONGATION OF UPR RIDGE WILL CARRY ERN EDGE OF THE EML WELL BEYOND
ITS USUAL RANGE...DISPLACING IT INTO THE UPR OH VLY/WRN MID ATLANTIC
REGION. WHILE ASSOCIATED WARM MID LVL TEMPS SHOULD PROHIBIT
SFC-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT...FRONTAL
UPLIFT/POST-FRONTAL WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT MAY SUPPORT ELEVATED
CONVECTION IN THE WAKE OF THE BOUNDARY. THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY DMGG WIND GIVEN STEEP MID LVL LAPSE
RATES/INCREASING MOISTURE ALOFT. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SUCH
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE OVER THE LK ERIE REGION THIS EVE...WHERE ASCENT
WILL BE ENHANCED BY CONTINUED E/ESE ADVANCE OF NEB/SD IMPULSE. THE
STORMS COULD SPREAD E/SE INTO ERN PA/MD BY 12Z FRI.

...CNTRL PLNS TO MID MS VLY TODAY/TNGT...
STALLING SFC FRONT AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL SERVE TO
FOCUS STORM DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY FROM THE CNTRL HI PLNS EWD INTO
SRN NEB/NRN KS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG SFC HEATING. THE STORMS SHOULD
BE HIGH-BASED/MULTICELLULAR GIVEN EXPECTED WIND/THERMODYNAMIC
ENVIRONMENT...AND COULD YIELD ISOLD DMGG WIND GUSTS. SOME POTENTIAL
ALSO WILL EXIST FOR COLD-POOL MERGERS THAT MIGHT ENHANCE SVR
POTENTIAL ON A SOMEWHAT LARGER SCALE OVER NE CO/SW NEB/NW KS THIS
EVE. HOWEVER...WEAK DEEP SHEAR AND MODEST NATURE OF LARGE SCALE
ASCENT/NOCTURNAL LLJ SHOULD LIMIT DEGREE/EXTENT OF SVR THREAT.

FARTHER E...OVER IA/WI AND NRN IL...STOUT EML SHOULD PROHIBIT
SFC-BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT...DESPITE PRESENCE OF
MORE SUBSTANTIAL BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE RELATIVE TO POINTS W AND E.
HOWEVER...AREAS OF MOISTURE WITHIN AND ABOVE THE LOWEST PORTION OF
THE EML MAY YIELD SCTD AREAS/SHORT LINES OF ACCAS/HIGH-BASED STORMS
THROUGH THE DAY AHEAD OF NEB/SD UPR IMPULSE. ANY SUSTAINED STORMS
THAT DO FORM IN THIS ENVIRONMENT COULD PRODUCE SVR HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG
WIND GIVEN STEEP MID LVL LAPSE RATES. BUT THE LIKELIHOOD FOR
SUSTAINED STORMS APPEARS TOO LOW ATTM TO WARRANT UPGRADE TO
CATEGORICAL SLIGHT RISK.

..CORFIDI/GARNER.. 06/28/2012

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