KDVN [240421]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 240421
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1021 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM SNOW BELLE PLAINE 41.90N 92.27W
12/23/2010 M1.0 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

NEW SNOW SO FAR. VISIBILITY 1/2 TO 1 MILE IN SNOW RIGHT
NOW.

&&

$$

ERVIN

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KDMX [240413]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 240413
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1013 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1012 PM SNOW APLINGTON 42.58N 92.88W
12/23/2010 E1.0 INCH BUTLER IA PUBLIC

REPORT OF 1 INCH OF SNOWFALL IN APLINGTON...RELAYED BY
KWWL

&&

$$

JB

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KMPX [240407]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240407
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1007 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1006 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
12/23/2010 M3.5 INCH HENNEPIN MN NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 240400
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1000 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW GLENWOOD 45.65N 95.38W
12/23/2010 M4.0 INCH POPE MN PUBLIC

0.21 OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

0711 PM SNOW 5 N LOWRY 45.78N 95.52W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0831 PM SNOW 4 SSE SILVER CREEK 45.26N 93.91W
12/23/2010 M1.0 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0907 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
12/23/2010 M2.0 INCH HENNEPIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0919 PM SNOW MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.80W
12/23/2010 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0948 PM SNOW PAYNESVILLE 45.38N 94.72W
12/23/2010 E6.0 INCH STEARNS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0948 PM SNOW BELGRADE 45.45N 95.00W
12/23/2010 M5.0 INCH STEARNS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240350]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240350
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
950 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0948 PM SNOW BELGRADE 45.45N 95.00W
12/23/2010 M5.0 INCH STEARNS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0948 PM SNOW PAYNESVILLE 45.38N 94.72W
12/23/2010 E6.0 INCH STEARNS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240338
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
938 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0919 PM SNOW MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.80W
12/23/2010 M1.1 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240324]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240324
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
924 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW GLENWOOD 45.65N 95.38W
12/23/2010 M4.0 INCH POPE MN PUBLIC

0.21 OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240307
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
907 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0907 PM SNOW PLYMOUTH 45.02N 93.46W
12/23/2010 M2.0 INCH HENNEPIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LS

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KABR [240301]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KABR 240301
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
901 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM SNOW 3 ESE FORT PIERRE 44.35N 100.32W
12/23/2010 E1.5 INCH HUGHES SD PUBLIC

3 HOUR TOTAL.

0257 PM SNOW 4 NW ONIDA 44.75N 100.12W
12/23/2010 M2.0 INCH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING.

0257 PM SNOW ROSCOE 45.45N 99.33W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING.

0524 PM SNOW 4 NNE VICTOR 45.92N 96.80W
12/23/2010 M8.0 INCH ROBERTS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING BUT HAS TAPERED OFF SOME.

0637 PM SNOW 6 SE MCINTOSH 45.86N 101.26W
12/23/2010 E5.0 INCH CORSON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

ONLY SNOWING VERY LIGHTLY NOW.

0700 PM SNOW BOWDLE 45.45N 99.66W
12/23/2010 M4.0 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 PM SNOW TIMBER LAKE 45.43N 101.07W
12/23/2010 M2.8 INCH DEWEY SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 PM SNOW POLLOCK 45.90N 100.29W
12/23/2010 M4.5 INCH CAMPBELL SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0801 PM SNOW IPSWICH 45.44N 99.03W
12/23/2010 M2.5 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0858 PM SNOW 1 E ABERDEEN 45.47N 98.46W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH BROWN SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

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KABR [240300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 240300
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
900 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0858 PM SNOW 1 E ABERDEEN 45.47N 98.46W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH BROWN SD OFFICIAL NWS OBS

&&

$$

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KPUB [240255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 240255
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
755 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0701 PM SNOW 5 ESE FORT GARLAND 37.40N 105.35W
12/23/2010 E3.0 INCH COSTILLA CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0730 PM SNOW 2 WSW ROSITA 38.09N 105.36W
12/23/2010 E1.5 INCH CUSTER CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RMG

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KBIS [240254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 240254
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
853 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0852 PM SNOW BISMARCK 46.81N 100.78W
12/23/2010 M1.0 INCH BURLEIGH ND OFFICIAL NWS OBS

24 HOUR SNOWFALL AT THE AIRPORT.

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KMPX [240232]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240232
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
832 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0831 PM SNOW 4 SSE SILVER CREEK 45.26N 93.91W
12/23/2010 M1.0 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LS

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KABR [240202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 240202
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
802 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0801 PM SNOW IPSWICH 45.44N 99.03W
12/23/2010 M2.5 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

KGILLE

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KABR [240152]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 240152
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
752 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM SNOW TIMBER LAKE 45.43N 101.07W
12/23/2010 M2.8 INCH DEWEY SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

KGILLE

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KGJT [240126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240126
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
626 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0536 PM SNOW SCOTCH CREEK 37.65N 108.01W
12/23/2010 M37.0 INCH DOLORES CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STORM TOTAL SNOW FALL... WATER EQUIVALENT 3.50

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000923

$$

BK

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KGJT [240124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240124
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
624 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0536 PM SNOW LIZARD HEAD PASS 37.81N 107.90W
12/23/2010 M37.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STORM TOTAL SNOW FALL... WATER EQUIVALENT 2.70

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000922

$$

BK

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KGJT [240122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240122
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
622 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0327 PM SNOW DOUGLAS PASS 39.60N 108.80W
12/23/2010 M20.0 INCH GARFIELD CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STORM TOTAL SNOW FALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000921

$$

BK

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KGJT [240121]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240121
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
620 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0324 PM SNOW GRAND MESA 39.05N 107.87W
12/23/2010 M13.0 INCH DELTA CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

STORM TOTAL SNOW FALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000920

$$

BK

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KABR [240116]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 240116
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
715 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM SNOW POLLOCK 45.90N 100.29W
12/23/2010 M4.5 INCH CAMPBELL SD CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 PM SNOW BOWDLE 45.45N 99.66W
12/23/2010 M4.0 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

KGILLE

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KGJT [240114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 240114
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
614 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0321 PM SNOW MCCLURE PASS 39.09N 107.28W
12/23/2010 M6.0 INCH GUNNISON CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

24 HOUR SNOWFALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000919

$$

BK

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KMPX [240112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240112
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
711 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0711 PM SNOW 5 N LOWRY 45.78N 95.52W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH DOUGLAS MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LS

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KMPX [240055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 240055
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
655 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM SNOW GLENWOOD 45.65N 95.38W
12/23/2010 E3.0 INCH POPE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0545 PM SNOW PAYNESVILLE 45.38N 94.72W
12/23/2010 E2.0 INCH STEARNS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0652 PM SNOW CYRUS 45.62N 95.74W
12/23/2010 E2.5 INCH POPE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0652 PM SNOW MORRIS 45.59N 95.91W
12/23/2010 E1.5 INCH STEVENS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0653 PM SNOW GILCHRIST 45.46N 95.32W
12/23/2010 E2.5 INCH POPE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240055
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
655 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 PM SNOW MORRIS 45.59N 95.91W
12/23/2010 E1.5 INCH STEVENS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MTF

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KMPX [240054]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240054
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
654 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0652 PM SNOW CYRUS 45.62N 95.74W
12/23/2010 E2.5 INCH POPE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0653 PM SNOW GILCHRIST 45.46N 95.32W
12/23/2010 E2.5 INCH POPE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MTF

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KABR [240038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 240038
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
638 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0637 PM SNOW 6 SE MCINTOSH 45.86N 101.26W
12/23/2010 E5.0 INCH CORSON SD CO-OP OBSERVER

ONLY SNOWING VERY LIGHTLY NOW.

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240036
SWODY1
SPC AC 240035

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 240100Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN PLAINS...

LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION IS BEGINNING TO INCREASE ACROSS THE
SRN/CNTRL PLAINS THIS EVENING PER RECENT INCREASE IN SHOWERS FROM
CNTRL OK INTO ERN KS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EVOLVING WITHIN A WEAK
INSTABILITY REGIME AND SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ATTAIN DEPTHS NECESSARY
FOR MORE THAN AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE AT BEST. FARTHER
SOUTH...SLIGHTLY MORE INSTABILITY MAY ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR A FEW
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WCNTRL INTO NCNTRL TX...BUT EVEN HERE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES ARE NOT PARTICULARLY SUPPORTIVE OF A LOT OF
DEEP CONVECTION CAPABLE OF GENERATING LIGHTNING.

..DARROW.. 12/24/2010

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KMPX [240006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 240006
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
606 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM SNOW GLENWOOD 45.65N 95.38W
12/23/2010 E3.0 INCH POPE MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

0545 PM SNOW PAYNESVILLE 45.38N 94.72W
12/23/2010 E2.0 INCH STEARNS MN LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MTF

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KICT [232355]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 232355
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
555 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM FREEZING RAIN 6 ENE SALINA 38.84N 97.52W
12/23/2010 E0.00 INCH SALINE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

GETTING REPORTS OF ACCIDENTS AS BRIDGES DEVELOP ICY SPOTS

&&

$$

MWM

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KBIS [232337]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 232337
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
536 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0530 PM SNOW ELGIN 46.40N 101.85W
12/23/2010 M3.5 INCH GRANT ND PUBLIC

SNOWFALL TODAY, PUBLIC REPORT RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA.

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KTFX [232333]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 232333
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
432 PM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0405 PM FLOOD 5 SW HAVRE 48.49N 109.76W
12/23/2010 HILL MT PUBLIC

REPORT OF BEAVER CREEK BEING UP ABOUT 2 FEET AND OUT OF
ITS BANKS.

&&

$$

LOSS

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KABR [232326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 232326
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
526 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0524 PM SNOW 4 NNE VICTOR 45.92N 96.80W
12/23/2010 M8.0 INCH ROBERTS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING BUT HAS TAPERED OFF SOME.

&&

$$

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KLOX [232201]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KLOX 232201
LSRLOX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
201 PM PST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0123 PM FLOOD LANCASTER 34.69N 118.18W
12/22/2010 LOS ANGELES CA NEWSPAPER

THREE CARS TRAPPED IN FLOOD WATERS ON AVENUE H EAST OF
LANCASTER. FIVE PEOPLE WERE RESCUED ALONG WITH ONE DOG.

&&

$$

MEIER

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KABR [232059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 232059
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
259 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM SNOW ROSCOE 45.45N 99.33W
12/23/2010 M3.0 INCH EDMUNDS SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING.

0257 PM SNOW 4 NW ONIDA 44.75N 100.12W
12/23/2010 M2.0 INCH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER

STILL SNOWING.

&&

$$

KGILLE

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KFGF [232043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 232043
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
243 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM SNOW LIDGERWOOD 46.07N 97.15W
12/23/2010 E1.5 INCH RICHLAND ND CO-OP OBSERVER

ESTIMATED 1 TO 1.5 INCH STORM TOTAL AS OF 200 PM.

&&

$$

WBARRETT

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KRIW [232028]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 232028
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
0130 PM MDT THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM SNOW 36 N KEMMERER 42.30N 110.68W
12/22/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

INDIAN CREEK SNOTEL

0734 PM SNOW 19 SE AFTON 42.53N 110.66W
12/22/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

SPRING CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL

0734 PM SNOW 17 E AFTON 42.76N 110.59W
12/22/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

TRIPLE PEAK SNOTEL

0735 PM SNOW BIG PINEY 42.53N 110.11W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM SNOW KEMMERER 41.79N 110.54W
12/22/2010 M5.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0736 PM SNOW 1 NW ALPINE 43.18N 111.04W
12/22/2010 M1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PUBLIC

0736 PM SNOW 1 SW PINEDALE 42.85N 109.87W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0736 PM SNOW COKEVILLE 42.08N 110.95W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY POST OFFICE

0739 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 N KEMMERER 41.79N 110.54W
12/22/2010 M6.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0547 AM HEAVY SNOW 9.9 NNW JACKSON 43.60N 110.85W
12/23/2010 M7.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-RAYMER

0547 AM SNOW 8.6 NNW JACKSON 43.58N 110.85W
12/23/2010 M4.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-BASE

0547 AM SNOW 9.3 NNW JACKSON 43.59N 110.84W
12/23/2010 M5.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-MID

0547 AM SNOW 14.3 E THAYNE 42.87N 110.71W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

BOX Y RANCH

0548 AM SNOW 1 S JACKSON 43.46N 110.76W
12/23/2010 M4.00 INCHES TETON WY PUBLIC

SNOW KING SKI AREA

0550 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 WNW JACKSON 43.52N 110.91W
12/23/2010 E6.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

PHILLIPS BENCH SNOTEL

0551 AM SNOW 6 ENE ALTA 43.78N 110.93W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL

0554 AM SNOW CORA 42.96N 109.99W
12/23/2010 M3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

0555 AM SNOW 10 W KEMMERER 41.81N 110.71W
12/23/2010 M3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

0556 AM SNOW 19 SW BONDURANT 42.96N 110.61W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

BLIND BULL SUMMIT SNOTEL

0558 AM SNOW 8 SE AFTON 42.65N 110.81W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

COTTONWOOD CREEK SNOTEL

0559 AM SNOW 15 S AFTON 42.51N 110.91W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

SALT RIVER SUMMIT SNOTEL

0601 AM SNOW 21 W BIG PINEY 42.49N 110.53W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

SNIDER BASIN SNOTEL

0604 AM SNOW 8 NNE MORAN JUNCTION 43.95N 110.45W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

BASE CAMP SNOTEL

0604 AM SNOW 8 W SOUTH ENTRANCE 44.13N 110.83W
12/23/2010 E5.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRASSY LAKE SNOTEL

0605 AM SNOW 25 MW DUBOIS 43.75N 110.06W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

TOGWOTEE PASS SNOTEL

0607 AM SNOW 22 N CORA 43.25N 110.02W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

KENDALL RANGER STATION SNOTEL

0608 AM SNOW 12 N CORA 43.11N 109.95W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

NEW FORK LAKE SNOTEL

0608 AM SNOW 12 NNE PINEDALE 43.01N 109.76W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

ELKHART PARK G.S. SNOTEL

0609 AM SNOW 14 E BONDURANT 43.17N 110.14W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

LOOMIS PARK SNOTEL

0112 PM SNOW 1 SE THAYNE 42.90N 110.98W
12/23/2010 M3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PUBLIC

0112 PM SNOW JACKSON 43.47N 110.75W
12/23/2010 M1.00 INCHES TETON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0113 PM SNOW AFTON 42.72N 110.93W
12/23/2010 M1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0113 PM SNOW 15 NNE COKEVILLE 42.27N 110.81W
12/23/2010 E5.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

KELLEY RANGER STATION SNOTEL

0114 PM SNOW 8 NE AFTON 42.82N 110.84W
12/23/2010 E5.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

WILLOW CREEK SNOTEL

0114 PM SNOW 26 N KEMMERER 42.15N 110.68W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

HAMS FORK SNOTEL

0114 PM SNOW 12 ESE BONDURANT 43.13N 110.20W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

EAST RIM DIVIDE SNOTEL

0114 PM SNOW 20 NE BONDURANT 43.39N 110.13W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GROS VENTRE SUMMIT SNOTEL

0122 PM SNOW 5 NW JACKSON 43.53N 110.82W
12/23/2010 M5.00 INCHES TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0122 PM SNOW 2 SW TETON VILLAGE 43.59N 110.79W
12/23/2010 M3.50 INCHES TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0123 PM SNOW 14 NW PINEDALE 42.98N 110.08W
12/23/2010 M3.30 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0123 PM SNOW 5 SSE SMOOT 42.55N 110.88W
12/23/2010 M2.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0123 PM SNOW 13 SE PINEDALE 42.75N 109.66W
12/23/2010 M2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0124 PM SNOW 12 NE JACKSON 43.62N 110.62W
12/23/2010 M2.00 INCHES TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KBIS [231858]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 231858
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1257 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 5 NW BISMARCK 46.86N 100.86W
12/23/2010 M1.0 INCH BURLEIGH ND CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

$$

VROLLER

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KABR [231846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 231846
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1245 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1225 PM FREEZING RAIN 6 W ROSCOE 45.45N 99.46W
12/23/2010 U0.00 INCH EDMUNDS SD EMERGENCY MNGR

ONE-VEHICLE ROLLOVER ACCIDENT DUE TO ICY ROADS. ALSO 1
INCH OF SNOW AND STILL SNOWING.

&&

$$

TMT

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KFGF [231817]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 231817
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1217 PM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 PM SNOW HAVANA 45.95N 97.62W
12/23/2010 M1.5 INCH SARGENT ND CO-OP OBSERVER

3 HR. REPORT FROM UCOOP OBSERVER.

&&

$$

WBARRETT

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KPSR [231725]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 231725
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1025 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 ESE GLENDALE 33.57N 112.16W
12/22/2010 MARICOPA AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

10-12 INCH DIAMETER TREE BLOWN OVER ALONG WITH OTHER
SMALLER TREE LIMBS. A FEW SHINGLES BLOWN OFF A ROOF.
APPROXIMATELY 51ST AVE AND OLIVE AVE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR.

&&

$$

LEINS

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KABR [231715]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 231715
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1114 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 8 WSW MCINTOSH 45.88N 101.50W
12/23/2010 M2.6 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

ATG

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KGRR [231710]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRR 231710
LSRGRR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
1210 PM EST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 PM SNOW MOUNT PLEASANT 43.60N 84.77W
12/23/2010 U0.0 INCH ISABELLA MI PUBLIC

SOME LIGHT SNOW/SLEET/FREEZING DRIZZLE NEAR THE MOUNT
PLEASANT AREA IS CREATING SOME SLIPPERY CONDITIONS ON
SIDEWALKS AND ROADWAYS.

&&

$$

KHOOG

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KCYS [231705]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 231705
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1005 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 11 SSE ENCAMPMENT 41.06N 106.71W
12/23/2010 E6.0 INCH CARBON WY MESONET

BLACKHALL MOUNTAIN SNOTEL. ELEVATION 9820 FEET. SWE 0.5
FROM 12/22 08L THROUGH 12/23 08L. 12-1 RATIO USED.

0800 AM SNOW 19 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.10N 107.13W
12/23/2010 E7.0 INCH CARBON WY MESONET

DIVIDE PEAK SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8880 FEET. SWE 0.7 INCHES
FROM 12/22 8AM THROUGH 12/23 8AM. 10-1 RATIO USED.

0800 AM SNOW 5 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.16N 106.86W
12/23/2010 E7.0 INCH CARBON WY MESONET

WEBBER SPRINGS SNOTEL. ELEVATION 9250 FEET. SWE 0.7

INCHES FROM 12/22 08L THROUGH 12/23 08L. 10-1 RATIO USED.

0800 AM SNOW 10 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.11N 106.93W
12/23/2010 E7.0 INCH CARBON WY MESONET

LITTLE SNAKE RIVER SNOTEL. ELEVATION 8915 FEET. SWE 0.7

INCHES FROM 12/22 08L THROUGH 12/23 08L. 10-1 RATIO USED.

&&

$$

GCLAYCOM

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KABR [231644]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 231644
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1043 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1042 AM SNOW MOBRIDGE 45.54N 100.44W
12/23/2010 E2.0 INCH WALWORTH SD UTILITY COMPANY

&&

$$

ATG

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KVEF [231639]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 231639
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
839 AM PST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM FLOOD 3 SSW CALIENTE 37.58N 114.54W
12/21/2010 LINCOLN NV LAW ENFORCEMENT

LINCOLN COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED STATE ROUTE 317
SOUTH OF CALIENTE THROUGH RAINBOW CANYON CLOSED DUE TO
WATER OVER THE ROAD.

0239 PM FLOOD 2 SSE LOGANDALE 36.59N 114.47W
12/22/2010 CLARK NV TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF GABLER AND HEYER
STREETS THAT WATER WAS OVER THE ROAD...THE MEASUREMENT
WAS ABOUT 12 INCHES DEEP.

0300 PM FLOOD 11 W BEAVER DAM 37.51N 114.25W
12/22/2010 LINCOLN NV COUNTY OFFICIAL

LINCOLN COUNTY OFFICIAL REPORTED TWO TO THREE FEET OF
WATER OVER ROAD FROM CLOVER CREEK ADJACENT TO RAILROAD
TRACKS.

&&

$$

BPIERCE

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 231633
SWODY2
SPC AC 231632

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1032 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES WILL
CONTINUE EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS ON FRIDAY...PARTNERING WITH A SEWD
MOVING SHORTWAVE OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE
OVER THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY. AT THE SURFACE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE
WILL EXIST OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS...WITH A MEAGER ATTEMPT AT
RETURN FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO TOWARDS THE TX COAST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT.

...FAR SRN OK INTO CNTRL/SRN TX...
A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM NEAR THE RED RIVER SWD INTO SW TX
EARLY FRI...WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS IN A WARM
ADVECTION REGIME ALONG AND N OF THE BOUNDARY. BY LATE
AFTERNOON...SURFACE HEATING SHOULD STEEPEN LAPSE RATES OVER SRN/SERN
TX...WITH A FEW HUNDRED J/KG MUCAPE DEVELOPING AND BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS INTO THE MID/UPPER 50S F. DESPITE 40 KT MID LEVEL FLOW
INCREASING TO 60 KTS IN THE UPPER LEVELS...OVERALL EFFECTIVE SRH IS
EXPECTED TO BE MINIMAL WITH LITTLE ACCELERATION POTENTIAL IN THE
LOWEST 3 KM DUE TO A COOL BOUNDARY LAYER. AS SUCH...SEVERE WEATHER
IS UNLIKELY.

..JEWELL.. 12/23/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 231619
SWODY1
SPC AC 231617

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1017 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 231630Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NM THIS AFTERNOON AND W/NW TX TONIGHT...
A MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER AZ THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EWD OVER
NM THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN CONTINUE ESEWD TO W TX OVERNIGHT. COLD
MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES /NEAR -23 C AT 500 MB/ AND ASSOCIATED STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES WITHIN THE COMMA CLOUD THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WRN NM...BUT
WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. OVERNIGHT...THE
OBSERVED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN S TX THIS MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD NWD IN A WAA REGIME OVER W CENTRAL TX AND NW TX. MUCAPE OF A
FEW HUNDRED J/KG /BASED NEAR 850 MB/ WILL SUPPORT A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 06Z.

..THOMPSON/ROGERS.. 12/23/2010

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KFGZ [231500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 231500
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
800 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0318 AM SNOW 12 N PARKS 35.44N 111.95W
12/23/2010 M8.0 INCH COCONINO AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCHES SNOWFALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1000236

$$

ASL

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KPUB [231433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 231433
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
733 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0712 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
12/23/2010 M11.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

REPORTED BY WOLF CREEK SKI AREA IN PAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

MN

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KGJT [231425]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 231425
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
725 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0444 AM SNOW SILVERTON 37.81N 107.66W
12/23/2010 M4.5 INCH SAN JUAN CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

24HR SNOWFALL

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000918

$$

DC

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KGJT [231420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 231420
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
719 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 AM SNOW COAL BANK PASS 37.70N 107.78W
12/23/2010 U0.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

COAL BANK AND MOLAS PASSES HAVE BEEN CLOSED DUE TO
ADVERSE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000917

$$

DC

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KGJT [231416]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 231416
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
716 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
12/23/2010 U0.0 INCH OURAY CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

RED MOUNTAIN PASS HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO ADVERSE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000916

$$

DC

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KCYS [231339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 231339
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
639 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0634 AM ICE STORM LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
12/23/2010 NIOBRARA WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE HAS ACCUMULATED IN AND AROUND THE
TOWN OF LUSK OVERNIGHT.

&&

$$

HAHN

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KRIW [231311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 231311
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
610 AM MDT THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0733 PM SNOW 26 N KEMMERER 42.15N 110.68W
12/22/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

HAMS FORK SNOTEL

0733 PM SNOW 36 N KEMMERER 42.30N 110.68W
12/22/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

INDIAN CREEK SNOTEL

0734 PM SNOW 19 SE AFTON 42.53N 110.66W
12/22/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

SPRING CREEK DIVIDE SNOTEL

0734 PM SNOW 17 E AFTON 42.76N 110.59W
12/22/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

TRIPLE PEAK SNOTEL

0735 PM SNOW BIG PINEY 42.53N 110.11W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0735 PM SNOW KEMMERER 41.79N 110.54W
12/22/2010 M5.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0736 PM SNOW 1 NW ALPINE 43.18N 111.04W
12/22/2010 M1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PUBLIC

0736 PM SNOW 1 SW PINEDALE 42.85N 109.87W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0736 PM SNOW COKEVILLE 42.08N 110.95W
12/22/2010 M2.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY POST OFFICE

0739 PM HEAVY SNOW 1 N KEMMERER 41.79N 110.54W
12/22/2010 M6.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

0547 AM HEAVY SNOW 9.9 NNW JACKSON 43.60N 110.85W
12/23/2010 M7.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-RAYMER

0547 AM SNOW 8.6 NNW JACKSON 43.58N 110.85W
12/23/2010 M4.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-BASE

0547 AM SNOW 9.3 NNW JACKSON 43.59N 110.84W
12/23/2010 M5.00 INCHES TETON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

JACKSON HOLE-MID

0547 AM SNOW 14.3 E THAYNE 42.87N 110.71W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

BOX Y RANCH

0548 AM SNOW 1 S JACKSON 43.46N 110.76W
12/23/2010 M4.00 INCHES TETON WY PUBLIC

SNOW KING SKI AREA

0550 AM HEAVY SNOW 8 WNW JACKSON 43.52N 110.91W
12/23/2010 E6.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

PHILLIPS BENCH SNOTEL

0551 AM SNOW 6 ENE ALTA 43.78N 110.93W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL

0554 AM SNOW CORA 42.96N 109.99W
12/23/2010 M3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

0555 AM SNOW 10 W KEMMERER 41.81N 110.71W
12/23/2010 M3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

0556 AM SNOW 19 SW BONDURANT 42.96N 110.61W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

BLIND BULL SUMMIT SNOTEL

0557 AM SNOW 8 NE AFTON 42.82N 110.84W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

WILLOW CREEK SNOTEL

0558 AM SNOW 8 SE AFTON 42.65N 110.81W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

COTTONWOOD CREEK SNOTEL

0559 AM SNOW 15 S AFTON 42.51N 110.91W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

SALT RIVER SUMMIT SNOTEL

0601 AM SNOW 21 W BIG PINEY 42.49N 110.53W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

SNIDER BASIN SNOTEL

0603 AM SNOW 15 NNE COKEVILLE 42.27N 110.81W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

KELLEY RANGER STATION SNOTEL

0604 AM SNOW 8 NNE MORAN JUNCTION 43.95N 110.45W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

BASE CAMP SNOTEL

0604 AM SNOW 8 W SOUTH ENTRANCE 44.13N 110.83W
12/23/2010 E5.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRASSY LAKE SNOTEL

0605 AM SNOW 25 MW DUBOIS 43.75N 110.06W
12/23/2010 E2.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

TOGWOTEE PASS SNOTEL

0607 AM SNOW 22 N CORA 43.25N 110.02W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

KENDALL RANGER STATION SNOTEL

0608 AM SNOW 12 N CORA 43.11N 109.95W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

NEW FORK LAKE SNOTEL

0608 AM SNOW 12 NNE PINEDALE 43.01N 109.76W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

ELKHART PARK G.S. SNOTEL

0609 AM SNOW 14 E BONDURANT 43.17N 110.14W
12/23/2010 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

LOOMIS PARK SNOTEL

0609 AM SNOW 12 ESE BONDURANT 43.13N 110.20W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

EAST RIM DIVIDE SNOTEL

0610 AM SNOW 20 NE BONDURANT 43.39N 110.13W
12/23/2010 E3.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GROS VENTRE SUMMIT SNOTEL

&&

$$

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 231227
SWODY1
SPC AC 231225

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0625 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 231300Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN ROCKIES INTO SRN PLAINS...

POLAR BRANCH SHORT WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN
REGION IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH IMPULSE ROTATING SEWD THROUGH
SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA...SUPPORTING BROADER-SCALE TROUGH
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NRN PLAINS INTO UPPER GREAT LAKES. AT THE
SAME TIME...COMPACT VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVER THE SRN ROCKIES WILL
PROGRESS EWD INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...PHASING WITH EVOLVING POLAR
BRANCH SYSTEM...ESTABLISHING A POSITIVELY-TILTED FULL-LATITUDE
TROUGH OVER THE CNTRL CONUS. AT THE SURFACE...PRIMARY CYCLONE NOW
ANALYZED OVER THE FOUR-CORNERS REGION WILL REFORM OVER SERN CO/NERN
NM LATER TODAY PRIOR TO DEVELOPING SEWD ALONG PACIFIC FRONT PUSHING
EWD/SEWD THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS.

ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY OVER
THE SRN ROCKIES WHERE THE COUPLING OF A DIABATICALLY-WARMED BOUNDARY
LAYER AND THE COLD CORE OF MIDLEVEL SYSTEM YIELD POCKETS OF MARGINAL
INSTABILITY. AS THIS ACTIVITY STARTS TO DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING
INTO TONIGHT...THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNSTREAM TSTM DEVELOPMENT WILL
INCREASE THROUGH FRI MORNING AS PACIFIC FRONT ENCOUNTERS AN
INCREASINGLY MOIST AIR MASS RETURNING NWD THROUGH TX. HERE...
STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL WAA IN CONJUNCTION WITH FRONTAL CONVERGENCE
AND DCVA AHEAD OF UPPER SYSTEM WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MAINLY ELEVATED
TSTMS FROM THE EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO ERN OK. INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN
QUITE MARGINAL AND NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

..MEAD/STOPPKOTTE.. 12/23/2010

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KAPX [231206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 231206
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
706 AM EST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM SNOW 11 N LAKE CITY 44.49N 85.21W
12/23/2010 M2.0 INCH MISSAUKEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

24 HR TOTAL THRU 7 AM. SNOWDEPTH 11 INCHES. TRACE OF ICE
ACCUMULATION.

&&

$$

JZ

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 230938
SWOD48
SPC AC 230938

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0338 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 261200Z - 311200Z

...DISCUSSION...
BY START OF PERIOD...STG SYNOPTIC TROUGH WILL PREVAIL OVER ERN
CONUS...ANCHORED BY PROGRESSIVE UPPER LOW OVER LOWER GREAT
LAKES/MID-ATLANTIC REGIONS. AS TROUGH MOVES EWD OFF ATLC COAST
THROUGH DAY-5/27TH-28TH...RELATED SFC COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR GULF OF
MEXICO AND PENETRATE MUCH OF NRN/WRN CARIBBEAN...LEAVING BEHIND AIR
MASS TOO DRY AND/OR STABLE FOR SVR THREAT FOR SEVERAL DAYS. BY
DAY-8/30TH-31ST...OPERATIONAL SPECTRAL...ECMWF AND ABOUT HALF OF
MREF MEMBERS INDICATE RATHER DEEP SYNOPTIC TROUGH DEVELOPING OVER
WRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...WHICH WOULD INDUCE STG HIGH-PLAINS
CYCLOGENESIS AND BROAD ZONE OF LOW-LEVEL WAA IN CENTRAL CONUS.
HOWEVER...ANY AOA 30% LEVEL OF SVR THREAT APPEARS IMPROBABLE UNTIL
AFTER END OF PERIOD.

..EDWARDS.. 12/23/2010

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KGJT [230927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 230927
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
226 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM HEAVY SNOW COAL BANK PASS 37.70N 107.78W
12/22/2010 M12.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

24HR SNOWFALL... WATER EQUIVALENT 1.40... STORM TOTAL
60.0 INCHES SNOW AND 7.15 INCHES WATER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000915

$$

DC

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KDVN [230926]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 230926
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
326 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 AM DENSE FOG 3 SE KEYSTONE 41.97N 92.16W
12/23/2010 BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED DENSE FREEZING FOG WITH
VISIBILITY DOWN TO A FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES. LIGHT
GLAZE OF ICE FORMING ON VEHICLES AND OTHER SURFACES.

&&

$$

HAASE

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KGJT [230924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 230924
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
223 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM SNOW MOLAS PASS 37.73N 107.70W
12/22/2010 M9.0 INCH SAN JUAN CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

24HR SNOWFALL... WATER EQUIVALENT 0.50 INCHES... STORM
TOTAL 50.0 INCHES SNOW 4.3 INCHES WATER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000914

$$

DC

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KGJT [230919]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 230919
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
219 AM MST THU DEC 23 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0922 PM SNOW RED MOUNTAIN PASS 37.90N 107.70W
12/22/2010 M8.0 INCH OURAY CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

24HR SNOW... WATER EQUIVALENT 0.70 INCHES... STORM
TOTAL 42.5 INCHES SNOW AND 3.90 WATER

&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1000913

$$

DC

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 230748
SWODY3
SPC AC 230747

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0147 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
IN MID-UPPER LEVELS...SYNOPTIC PATTERN AMPLIFICATION FCST THIS
PERIOD WITHIN BROADER/LONGWAVE REGIME OF TROUGHING OFFSHORE PAC
COAST...RIDGING OVER ROCKIES AND TROUGHING DOWNSTREAM. BY
25/12Z-25/18Z TIME FRAME...NRN-STREAM HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD FROM
MID/UPPER MS VALLEY SEWD ACROSS TN VALLEY REGION...EFFECTIVELY
ABSORBING WHAT IS LEFT OF PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW CROSSING
LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY REGION. BY END OF PERIOD...BROAD CYCLONE
SHOULD EVOLVE OVER LOWER GREAT LAKES...UPPER OH VALLEY AND N-CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS...WITH TROUGH SSWWD ACROSS GA AND MID-UPPER LEVEL JET
MAX ACROSS MN/IA/AR/SWRN MS/SRN GA.

...FL...
INITIALLY WEAK SFC FRONTAL-WAVE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ENEWD FROM
EXTREME N-CENTRAL/NERN GULF...ACROSS EXTREME NRN FL AND SERN
GA...BEFORE DEEPENING CONSIDERABLY OVER ATLANTIC LATE IN PERIOD. AS
THIS OCCURS...SFC COLD FRONT SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND ACCELERATE
SEWD/EWD...REACHING ERN PORTIONS FL PANHANDLE AROUND 26/00Z...AND
SRN PORTIONS FL PENINSULA BY 26/12Z. WHILE SHALLOW CONVECTION MAY
DEVELOP OVER LAND INVOF FRONT...PRIND GREATEST BOUNDARY-LAYER
MOISTURE CONTENT WILL REMAIN OVER OPEN GULF/ATLANTIC WATERS. WEAK
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY ENSURE THAT LARGEST/DEEPEST BUOYANCY
REMAINS AWAY FROM LAND...OVER MORE OPTIMALLY WARM/MOIST MARINE
FLUXES OF LOOP CURRENT AND GULF STREAM.

...CA...
ANOTHER IN SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS -- EMBEDDED IN CYCLONIC FLOW
BELT ASSOCIATED WITH NERN PAC MEAN TROUGHING -- IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
ASHORE SRN/CENTRAL CA COAST DURING 26/06Z-26/12Z TIME FRAME...BASED
ON BULK OF SREF GUIDANCE AND OPERATIONAL MODELS. ISOLATED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED TSTMS MAY PRECEDE THIS PERTURBATION OVER CA IN STG
LOW-LEVEL WAA AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME...OCCUR ALONG SFC COLD
FRONT...AND/OR DEVELOP IN COLDER AIR ALOFT NEAR MIDLEVEL TROUGH AND
BEHIND FRONT. MAIN CONCERN IS LACK OF STRONGER INSTABILITY IN EACH
INSTANCE. ATTM...SVR THREAT APPEARS TOO MRGL AND DEPENDENT ON
MESOSCALE PROCESSES TO ASSIGN UNCONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES.

..EDWARDS.. 12/23/2010

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KVEF [230648]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 230648
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
1048 PM PST WED DEC 22 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 W OVERTON BEACH 36.44N 114.44W
12/22/2010 CLARK NV PARK/FOREST SRVC

NORTH SHORE DRIVE IN THE LAKE MEAD NATIONAL RECREATION
AREA WAS IMPASSABLE NEAR MILE MARKER 44 DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

$$

JA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 230641
SWODY2
SPC AC 230640

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CST THU DEC 23 2010

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL REMAIN CHARACTERIZED BY RIDGING OFFSHORE ATLC
AND PAC COASTS...AND RIDGING OVER ROCKIES/HIGH PLAINS REGION.
STG MID-UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER SERN CA AND LOWER CO RIVER REGION -- IS FCST TO
MOVE THROUGH MEAN RIDGE POSITION DAY-1. BY 24/12Z...TROUGH SHOULD
ASSUME POSITIVE TILT FROM S-CENTRAL KS SWWD ACROSS PERMIAN BASIN
REGION. NRN-STREAM HEIGHT FALLS OVER MID/UPPER MS VALLEY
REGION...AHEAD OF APCHG SPEED MAX...WILL SPREAD SEWD ACROSS MUCH OF
SERN CONUS DURING THIS PERIOD. THIS WILL LEAD TO
DEAMPLIFICATION/ACCELERATION OF SRN-STREAM PERTURBATION...WHICH
SHOULD PHASE/MERGE WITH BROADER TROUGH OVER AL AROUND END OF PERIOD.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SEWD FROM SRN HIGH PLAINS ACROSS
TX/LA...WITH OCNL/WEAK WAVE LOWS. BY END OF PERIOD...ONE OF THESE
LOWS SHOULD BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER DEFINED INVOF COASTAL
MS/AL...WITH COLD FRONT SWWD ACROSS MS RIVER MOUTH AREA AND NWRN
GULF.

...CENTRAL TX TO OZARKS AND MS DELTA REGION...
WRN PORTION OF TSTM OUTLOOK REPRESENTS CARRY-OVER FROM REGIME
DISCUSSED IN DAY-1 OUTLOOK...AS BAND OF ELEVATED TSTMS ACCESSES MRGL
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE...AMIDST WEAK LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES SUPPORTING
LESS THAN 300 J/KG MUCAPE. BULK OF CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN ON COLD
SIDE OF FRONT. HOWEVER...BAND OF CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP ALONG FRONT
DURING DAY...SUPPORTED BY SFC DIABATIC HEATING AND FRONTAL ASCENT.
UPSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS GULF DOES NOT CONTAIN RESERVOIR OF HIGH-PW
AIR BECAUSE OF SERIES OF PRIOR FROPAS...SO EVEN WITH SKIN-LAYER DEW
POINTS REACHING LOW-MID 60S OVER PORTIONS TX COAST...MOISTURE
QUALITY MAY NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO OFFSET WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT FOR
GENERATING DEEP BUOYANCY. THEREFORE...TSTM COVERAGE IS IN QUESTION
WHERE INFLOW PARCELS ARE SFC-BASED OVER LAND. SVR THREAT IS
NON-ZERO...MAINLY FOR GUSTS INVOF MID-UPPER TX COAST DURING
AFTERNOON...HOWEVER IT IS TOO WEAK AND CONDITIONAL TO DRAW AOA 5%
PROBABILITIES ATTM. WITH TIME...CONVECTIVE REGIME SHOULD TAPER SEWD
ON N END...AS STRONGEST SUPPORTIVE LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND ELEVATED
CONVECTIVE FORCING OUTRUN NRN EXTENT OF PLUME OF MRGL THETAE.

..EDWARDS.. 12/23/2010

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 230526
SWODY1
SPC AC 230525

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 PM CST WED DEC 22 2010

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...4-CORNERS TO SRN PLAINS...

SIGNIFICANT MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN ROCKIES
INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS LATE IN THE PERIOD AS SRN CA SHORTWAVE
TROUGH EJECTS INTO NWRN TX BY 24/12Z. MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN
ALLOWING A POCKET OF COLD TEMPERATURES...MINUS 22C AT H5...TO MOVE
ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS WHICH WILL
ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR CONVECTION...SOME OF IT LIKELY DEEP ENOUGH
FOR LIGHTNING. EVEN SO FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST MUCAPE WILL ONLY
BE ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 J/KG.

DOWNSTREAM...LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION WILL INCREASE ACROSS WEST TX
INTO SWRN MO DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AS A LLJ
INTENSIFIES NEAR THE RED RIVER OF TX/OK AFTER MIDNIGHT. LATEST NAM
SUGGESTS PARCELS LIFTED NEAR 850MB WILL YIELD MUCAPE AROUND 100
J/KG...LIKELY SUFFICIENT FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LIGHTNING. A SW-NE ORIENTED BAND OF CONVECTION SHOULD
EVOLVE ALONG LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER FORCING BY SUNRISE...THOUGH
UPDRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN WEAK GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED INSTABILITY.

..DARROW/GARNER.. 12/23/2010

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