Wednesday, August 27, 2008

KABR [271556]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 271556
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1055 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0905 PM HAIL 4 E PROMISE 45.33N 100.52W
08/26/2008 E1.75 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

ATG

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KRAH [271555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 271555
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1155 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1100 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 NNW LEWISVILLE 36.15N 80.43W
08/27/2008 FORSYTH NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT THAT BEROTH ROAD IN THE LEWISVILLE
AREA HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.


&&

$$

SMITH

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KGSP [271553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271553
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1152 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TORNADO 3 W DACUSVILLE 34.94N 82.61W
08/26/2008 PICKENS SC UTILITY COMPANY

TREES AND LIMBS DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0405 PM TORNADO 1 N PUMPKINTOWN 35.02N 82.65W
08/26/2008 PICKENS SC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FEW TREE LIMBS DOWN ON HWY 8 NEAR HWY 11.

0410 PM TORNADO 5 S CAESARS HEAD 35.03N 82.61W
08/26/2008 PICKENS SC PARK/FOREST SRVC

LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON HWY 276 BETWEEN CAESARS HEAD AND HWY
11.


&&

$$

LG

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KEWX [271549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KEWX 271549
LSREWX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1049 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0416 PM TSTM WND GST LOCKHART 29.87N 97.68W
08/26/2008 M60 MPH CALDWELL TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

STORAGE UNIT METAL ROOFING TORE OFF...SOME DAMAGE TO
BRICK WALLS


0425 PM HAIL LOCKHART 29.87N 97.68W
08/26/2008 E0.70 INCH CALDWELL TX PUBLIC

MARBLE TO DIME SIZE HAIL


&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX0800221 EWX0800222

$$

SMART

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KGSP [271547]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271547
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1146 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM TORNADO SIX MILE 34.81N 82.82W
08/26/2008 PICKENS SC UTILITY COMPANY

TREES ON POWER LINES AND POWER LINE SNAPPED NEAR SIX MILE
AND HWY 137.

0410 PM TORNADO ROCKY BOTTOM 35.05N 82.80W
08/26/2008 PICKENS SC UTILITY COMPANY

TREES AND LIMBS DOWN ON POWER LINES OFF HWY 178.


&&

$$

LG

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KILM [271533]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 271533
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1133 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1120 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 N WILMINGTON 34.23N 77.91W
08/27/2008 NEW HANOVER NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUD JUST NORTH OF ISABEL
HOLMES BRIDGE OVER THE NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER.


&&

$$

HAWKINS

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KGSP [271517]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271517
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1116 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0358 PM TORNADO 5 E PELZER 34.64N 82.37W
08/26/2008 GREENVILLE SC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

GARAGE DESTROYED, SHINGLES OFF ROOFS, YARD FURNITURE
BLOWN AROUND, TREES UPROOTED AND LARGE OAK LIMBS TWISTED
OFF AT DAVIS AND RICHEY ROADS. 1/2 MILE OF DAMAGE.


&&

$$

LG

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KPSR [271511]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 271511
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
811 AM MST WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM HEAVY RAIN 3 E APACHE JUNCTION 33.40N 111.50W
08/27/2008 U0.00 INCH PINAL AZ BROADCAST MEDIA

HEAVY RAINS PRODUCING RATE NEAR 1.5 INCHES PER HOUR
CAUSED WASHES TO FLOW WITH WATER. VEHICLE WASHED AWAY
ATTEMPTING TO CROSS A FLOODED WASH NEAR GERONIMO AND 28TH
AVE.

0735 AM HEAVY RAIN GLOBE 33.38N 110.75W
08/27/2008 U0.00 INCH GILA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER AND SMALL DEBRIS FLOWING RAPIDLY ACROSS US HIGHWAY
60 IN DOWNTOWN GLOBE.


&&

$$

PADDOCK

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KRAH [271501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 271501
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1101 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1057 AM FLASH FLOOD GREENSBORO 36.08N 79.83W
08/27/2008 GUILFORD NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED AND SOME ARE CLOSED IN THE
CITY OF GREENSBORO. EVACUATIONS HAVE TAKEN PLACE AT THE
ASHELY CREEK APARTMENT COMPLEX ON PINECROFT ROAD DUE TO
CONTINUED FLOODING.


&&

$$

JFB

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 271459
SWOD48
SPC AC 271458

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0958 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID 301200Z - 041200Z

...RESENT PER REQUEST...

MEDIUM RANGE MODEL FORECASTS ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
CONCERNING THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. THE MODELS BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SATURDAY ACROSS THE PLAINS MOVING THE RIDGE
INTO THE MS VALLEY SUNDAY. AT THAT TIME...THE MODELS DEVELOP A
RELATIVELY HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. THIS
SHOULD ENCOURAGE SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE PLAINS BY
LATE THIS WEEKEND AS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL JET SETS UP. HOWEVER...THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SEVERE THREAT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH CROSSES THE ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE PLAINS MOIST AXIS. A SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT REMAINS
POSSIBLE BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE TROUGH ADVANCES EWD ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. HOWEVER...THE EXACT TIMING OF THE
TROUGH REMAINS THE QUESTIONABLE. THE RESULTANT SEVERE THREAT COULD
BE DELAYED IF THE TROUGH ENDS UP BEING SLOWER THAN THE MODEL
FORECASTS.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2008

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KCAE [271453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCAE 271453
LSRCAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
1053 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM TSTM WND DMG WAGENER 33.65N 81.36W
08/26/2008 AIKEN SC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN IN THE WAGENER AND SALLY
AREAS


&&

$$

HC

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KILM [271453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 271453
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1053 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0915 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 ENE WRIGHTSVILLE BEAC 34.24N 77.72W
08/27/2008 AMZ250 NC FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH EMERGENCY RESUCE REPORTED A FUNNEL
CLOUD 5 MILES ENE OF WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH. FUNNEL NEVER
TOUCH THE WATER.


&&

$$

HAWKINS

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KABR [271451]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 271451
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
950 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 PM HAIL GLENHAM 45.53N 100.27W
08/26/2008 E1.75 INCH WALWORTH SD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

1000 PM HAIL 2 SE MOUND CITY 45.71N 100.04W
08/26/2008 E1.00 INCH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

ATG

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KRNK [271446]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271446
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1046 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NE BOONE 36.26N 81.61W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

CASTLE FORD RD. CLOSED


&&

$$

PC

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KILM [271443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KILM 271443
LSRILM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1043 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1038 AM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 ENE LELAND 34.25N 78.03W
08/27/2008 BRUNSWICK NC PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD JUST WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 17
AND HIGHWAY 74/76 INTERCHANGE.


&&

$$

HAWKINS

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KLBF [271440]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLBF 271440
LSRLBF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
940 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 AM HAIL 14 S THEDFORD 41.78N 100.57W
08/27/2008 E0.75 INCH THOMAS NE PUBLIC

HAIL OCCURRED 3 MILES WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 ON DISMAL RIVER.

&&

$$

SJC

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KRNK [271434]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271434
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1034 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD 7 WNW BOONE 36.25N 81.79W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

HERB THOMAS RD. CLOSED BY FLOODING


&&

$$

PC

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KRNK [271429]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271429
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1029 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 NE BOONE 36.25N 81.62W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING CLOSED ROBY GREENE RD.


&&

$$

PC

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KRNK [271420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271420
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1019 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 E BOONE 36.21N 81.63W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEERFIELD RD. CLOSED


&&

$$

PC

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KABR [271419]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 271419
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
918 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0725 PM HAIL 6 SE POLLOCK 45.84N 100.20W
08/26/2008 E1.00 INCH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC


&&

$$

ATG

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KFSD [271411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 271411
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
911 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0326 AM HAIL 2 WNW JACKSON 42.46N 96.60W
08/27/2008 E0.88 INCH DAKOTA NE PUBLIC

HAIL VARIED FROM PEA TO NICKEL SIZE.


&&

$$

WILLIAMS

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KRNK [271410]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271410
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1010 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E SEVEN DEVILS 36.15N 81.80W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

ALDRIDGE RD. CLOSED BY FLOODING


&&

$$

PC

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KGSP [271347]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271347
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
947 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD HICKORY 35.74N 81.33W
08/27/2008 CATAWBA NC TRAINED SPOTTER

ROCKY FORD BRIDGE WASHEDOUT IN HICKORY OTHER STREAMS OUT
OF BANKS.


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KRNK [271328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 271328
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
928 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM FLASH FLOOD 10 NNE WILKESBORO 36.27N 81.10W
08/27/2008 WILKES NC DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER ACROSS THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE COUNTY INCLUDING COTTON MILL BRIDGE
ON THE ROARING RIVER. ROADS REMAINED CLOSED DUE TO
ONGOING FLASH FLOODING AS OF 9 AM.


&&

$$

WERT

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KRAH [271317]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 271317
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
917 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD GREENSBORO 36.08N 79.83W
08/27/2008 GUILFORD NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

WENDOVER ROAD CLOSED NEAR LATHAM PARK. ROAD CLOSURE AT
BRIDFORD AND WENDOVER.FIRST FLOOR APARTMENTS BEGINNING TO
FLOOD 1600 BLOCK PINECROFT RD.


&&

$$

RWH

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 870

WWUS20 KWNS 271315
SEL0
SPC WW 271315
NCZ000-CWZ000-272100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 870
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 915 AM UNTIL
500 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 125 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
ROANOKE RAPIDS NORTH CAROLINA TO 30 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 869. WATCH NUMBER 869 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
915 AM EDT.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS...INCLUDING POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS/SUSTAINED
STORMS...EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN ZONE OF ASCENT AND SFC HEATING
AHEAD OF VORT LOBE ASSOCIATED WITH T.D. FAY REMNANTS. RICH MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY AND MODERATE DEGREE OF LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.


...CORFIDI

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 271300
SWODY1
SPC AC 271257

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID 271300Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CAROLINAS AND
VA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE MID MO AND
UPR MS VLYS...

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE NRN TIER AND SRN CANADA THIS
PERIOD....WHILE WEAK TO VERY WEAK FLOW REGIME CONTINUES AT LWR
LATITUDES. INITIAL POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER MB/MN WILL
CONTINUE RAPIDLY NNE TO WRN HUDSON BAY AS A SERIES OF WEAKER
DISTURBANCES UPSTREAM ACROSS THE NRN RCKYS AND PACIFIC NW REINFORCE
BROADER CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE NRN PLNS. FARTHER E...BLOCK OVER
QUEBEC AND CLOSED LOW S OF THE MARITIME WILL COMPLICATE THE NEWD
ADVANCE OF T.D. FAY/S REMNANTS ACROSS THE OH VLY AND SRN MID
ATLANTIC REGION.

...CAROLINAS/SRN VA/SRN WV...
MAJOR PORTION OF WHAT WAS LEFT OF THE MID TROPOSPHERIC CIRCULATION
OF T.D. FAY IS MOVING NE ACROSS WRN VA/NC ATTM. SATELLITE DATA
SUGGEST THE VORT LOBE WILL CONTINUE TO ELONGATE/WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
CLOSER TO DEVELOPING BLOCK OVER THE NERN STATES. A MID LVL WARM
POCKET EXTENDS W AND SW FROM THE VORT LOBE TO AN UPSTREAM MID
LATITUDE IMPULSE OVER MO. ALL OF THESE FEATURES EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN WEAK CLOSED LOW OVER OH TODAY...AND MODEST SWLY MID LVL
FLOW ACROSS VA AND THE CAROLINAS. HOWEVER...AT LWR LVLS...ABOVE
SETUP LIKELY WILL SUPPORT ONLY MINIMAL FURTHER NWD ADVANCE OF SRN NC
W/E WARM FRONT.

CURRENT BAND OF STORMS OVER CNTRL AND SRN NC APPEARS TO BE
ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD VORT LOBE MENTIONED ABOVE. THE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE NE INTO INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR ALONG AND S OF WARM FRONT
OVER ERN NC THROUGH EARLY AFTN. ALTHOUGH MAGNITUDE AND DIRECTIONAL
COMPONENT TO SHEAR IN THIS REGION IS LESS RELATIVE TO THAT WHICH
EXISTED IN RECENT DAYS IN GA AND AL...IT WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO
ENHANCE LOW LVL STORM ROTATION AND POSE A RISK FOR ISOLD TORNADOES
GIVEN EXPECTED SFC HEATING AND RICH MOISTURE INFLOW. OTHER STORMS
MAY FORM WITH SFC HEATING IN WAKE OF VORT LOBE FROM WRN/CNTRL NC
SEWD ALONG LOW LVL CONFLUENCE ZONE INTO SC. WARM MID LVL
TEMPERATURES WILL...HOWEVER...LIKELY TEMPER THE STRENGTH/LONGEVITY
OF ANY SUCH CONVECTION.

...UPPER MIDWEST/MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS...
AS THE LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH EJECTS NE INTO CANADA TODAY...
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE E/SE ACROSS MN/ERN SD AND NEB.
ONGOING STORM CLUSTERS OVER MN/IA/ERN NEB SHOULD WEAKEN LATER THIS
MORNING. ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION SEEMS LIKELY
THIS AFTN AND...ESPECIALLY...EARLY TONIGHT. ALONG WITH
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR /WITH SBCAPE OF 1500-2500 J PER KG/...
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FOSTERED BY ARRIVAL OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH SHORTWAVE IMPULSE NOW IN THE NRN RCKYS. APPROACH OF
THIS DISTURBANCE MAY CAUSE COLD FRONT TO TEMPORARILY STALL ACROSS
NRN NEB...SE SD...NW IA...AND SRN MN LATER TODAY...WITH THE FRONT
SERVING AS THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR LOW LVL UPLIFT.

ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ONCE AGAIN EXIST N AND W OF
THE FRONT...AMPLE /35-40 KT/ DEEP WLY SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT NEAR THE
BOUNDARY FOR SUPERCELLS AND OTHER FORMS OF SUSTAINED STORMS.
OVERALL...SVR HAIL AND WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS...ALTHOUGH
TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING THE INITIAL STAGES OF
DEVELOPMENT. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL GROW INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS
LATE TONIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY. THESE COULD BOTH FORWARD-PROPAGATE E
INTO WI...AND BACK-BUILD/REGENERATE ACROSS SRN SD...SRN MN...NRN IA
AND NE NEB.

...AZ/LWR CO VLY...
MODERATE MID LVL ENE FLOW ALREADY PRESENT /PER FGZ RAOB/ WILL
INCREASE TO AROUND 30 KTS OVER AZ AND THE LWR CO VLY TODAY AS UPR
RIDGE ELONGATES INTO REGION ON SRN SIDE OF NRN RCKYS TROUGH. AMPLE
HEATING/MOISTURE SHOULD EXIST TO ALLOW STORMS TO FORM ALONG THE RIM
AND CERTAINLY OVER THE SRN THIRD OF THE STATE. HOWEVER... PRESENCE
OF SLOW SE-MOVING UPR TROUGH MAY COMPLICATE PATTERN OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...POTENTIALLY LESSENING CHANCES OVER NRN SECTIONS. AT
ANY RATE...OVERALL SETUP SUGGESTS AN UPSWING IN ACTIVITY OVER AT
LEAST CNTRL/SRN AZ RELATIVE TO YESTERDAY. INCREASING MID LVL FLOW
WILL ENHANCE STORM PROPAGATION FROM THE RIM SW TOWARD THE LWR
DESERTS...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR DMGG OUTFLOW WINDS.

..CORFIDI/BRIGHT.. 08/27/2008

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KGSP [271254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KGSP 271254
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
854 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW LAKEMONT 34.73N 83.48W
08/26/2008 RABUN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

BEAR GAP ROAD CLOSEDD DUE TO CREEK FLOODING ROAD.

0636 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 WNW CLAYTON 34.92N 83.53W
08/26/2008 RABUN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CAT GAP ROAD FLOODED AND CLOSED OFF DUE TO CREEK.


&&
CORRECTED FOR EVENT TIME.
$$

PTANNER

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KGSP [271247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271247
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
847 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0836 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW LAKEMONT 34.73N 83.48W
08/26/2008 RABUN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

BEAR GAP ROAD CLOSEDD DUE TO CREEK FLOODING ROAD.


&&

$$

PTANNER

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KGSP [271246]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 271246
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
846 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0836 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 WNW CLAYTON 34.92N 83.53W
08/26/2008 RABUN GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

CAT GAP ROAD FLOODED AND CLOSED OFF DUE TO CREEK.


&&

$$

PTANNER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2173

ACUS11 KWNS 271244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 271244
NCZ000-271415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2173
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...THE CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 869...

VALID 271244Z - 271415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 869 CONTINUES.

THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO CONTINUES TO EXIST THIS
MORNING...BUT IT IS NOT YET CERTAIN THAT A NEW WW WILL BE NEEDED AS
WW 869 EXPIRES AT 14Z.

THE STRONGER CORE OF THE 850 MB JET IS IN THE PROCESS OF MIGRATING
INTO THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BROAD/WEAKENING REMNANT
CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH FAY...NOW OVER EASTERN TENNESSEE.
AND...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE GENERALLY SHRINKING NEAR THE SURFACE
FRONT ACROSS THE CAROLINA PIEDMONT...WITH AN AREA OF STRONGER
MID-LEVEL ASCENT SHIFTING EAST OF THE CORRIDOR OF LINGERING MODEST
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW...TOWARD MID ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS. IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT GENERALLY LIGHT EASTERLY LOW- LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO
20-30 KT WEST SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW ALONG FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAIN OF NORTH CAROLINA COULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF WEAK
MID-LEVEL UPDRAFT ROTATION IN INCREASING SCATTERED CONVECTION
THROUGH MID/LATE MORNING. THUS...WHILE POTENTIAL FOR BRIEF/ISOLATED
TORNADOES IS PROBABLY LOW...IT MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY NEGLIGIBLE.

..KERR.. 08/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

35387974 35657890 35817791 36117714 36307635 35897565
35057596 34437698 34037847

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KABR [271243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KABR 271243
LSRABR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
743 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 PM HAIL TURTON 45.05N 98.10W
08/26/2008 M1.00 INCH SPINK SD CO-OP OBSERVER


&&

$$

GNIELS

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KRAH [271233]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 271233
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
833 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 SSW ASHEBORO 35.68N 79.84W
08/27/2008 RANDOLPH NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER KNEE DEEP IN A PORTION OF US 220/64 INTERCHANGE
BECAUSE OF CLOGGED STORM DRAIN. SEVERAL OTHER REPORTS OF
MINOR FLOODING THROUGOUT RANDOLPH CO.


&&

$$

BLAES

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KRAH [271126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 271126
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
726 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM FLASH FLOOD ASHEBORO 35.71N 79.83W
08/27/2008 RANDOLPH NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

U.S. 220 BYPASS AT SALISBURY STREET IMPASSABLE


&&

$$

14

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KRAH [270954]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 270954
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
553 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0537 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 N LEXINGTON 35.84N 80.25W
08/27/2008 DAVIDSON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

WINSTON ROAD AND BUSINESS 70 AND 29 IMPASSABLE

0530 AM FLASH FLOOD LEXINGTON 35.82N 80.25W
08/27/2008 DAVIDSON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

ARTHUR DRIVE AND WASHINGTON AV THREE FEET OF WATER ON
ROAD


&&

$$

14

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2172

ACUS11 KWNS 270941
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270940
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-271115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2172
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0440 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB/WRN IA...PARTS OF NW MO...NE KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270940Z - 271115Z

RECENT NEW VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY APPEARS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOWER/
MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION. THIS IS FOCUSED IN THE WAKE OF A
WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...ON THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A FASTER/STRONGER SHORT WAVE IMPULSE...THE
BULK OF WHICH IS NOW LIFTING INTO THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES.
MODELS SUGGEST THIS FORCING COULD PERSIST ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS
BEFORE WEAKENING. THE TENDENCY MAY BE FOR THE STRONGEST NEW STORM
DEVELOPMENT TO REMAIN FOCUSED NEAR OR JUST EAST OF THE MISSOURI
RIVER...PERHAPS SHIFTING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE NOSE OF AN ELEVATED
MIXED LAYER EMANATING FROM THE PLATEAU REGION. ACTIVITY SPREADING
AWAY FROM THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN IN LESS FAVORABLE
INSTABILITY.

GIVEN MOST UNSTABLE CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 2000+ J/KG...SOME
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ACTIVITY
WEAKENS/DIMINISHES DURING THE 12-15Z TIME FRAME. BUT...DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS GENERALLY WEAK TO THE SOUTH OF THE STRONGER
WESTERLIES...AND THE LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS THIS REGION IS IN THE
PROCESS OF WEAKENING...WHICH SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO MINIMIZING SEVERE
POTENTIAL.

..KERR.. 08/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...

42699653 43279604 43399418 42969300 41729317 41059419
40599442 40039459 39809584 41409679

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KGSP [270927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 270927
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
527 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 NW SALISBURY 35.71N 80.53W
08/27/2008 ROWAN NC TRAINED SPOTTER

REST HOME BEING EVACUATED ON LASH DRIVE IN
SALISBURY...WATER IS ENTERING ONE WING OF THE BUILDING.


&&

$$

BSH

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KGSP [270919]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 270919
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
519 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0452 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW KANNAPOLIS 35.50N 80.63W
08/27/2008 CABARRUS NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

REST HOME BEING EVACUATED ON PINE STREET.

0456 AM FLASH FLOOD SALISBURY 35.67N 80.48W
08/27/2008 ROWAN NC TRAINED SPOTTER

VAN STUCK IN FLOOD WATERS ON N LONG STREET IN SALISBURY.

0456 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 SSW SALISBURY 35.61N 80.51W
08/27/2008 ROWAN NC TRAINED SPOTTER

SEVERAL VEHICLES TRAPPED IN WATER WITH RESCUE UNDERWAY ON
OLD CONCORD ROAD SOUTH OF SALISBURY.

0510 AM FLASH FLOOD SALISBURY 35.67N 80.48W
08/27/2008 ROWAN NC TRAINED SPOTTER

HOME FLOODED ON PINEHURST STREET IN SALISBURY...RESCUE
UNDERWAY.


&&

$$

BSH

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 270901
SWOD48
SPC AC 270900

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID 301200Z - 041200Z

MEDIUM RANGE MODEL FORECASTS ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT
CONCERNING THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. THE MODELS BEGIN THE PERIOD WITH
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE SATURDAY ACROSS THE PLAINS MOVING THE RIDGE
INTO THE MS VALLEY SUNDAY. AT THAT TIME...THE MODELS DEVELOP A
RELATIVELY HIGH-AMPLITUDE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WRN U.S. THIS
SHOULD ENCOURAGE SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE PLAINS BY
LATE THIS WEEKEND AS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL JET SETS UP. HOWEVER...THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SEVERE THREAT SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH CROSSES THE ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND BEGINS TO
INFLUENCE THE PLAINS MOIST AXIS. A SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT REMAINS
POSSIBLE BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS THE TROUGH ADVANCES EWD ACROSS
THE NRN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. HOWEVER...THE EXACT TIMING OF THE
TROUGH REMAINS THE QUESTIONABLE. THE RESULTANT SEVERE THREAT COULD
BE DELAYED IF THE TROUGH ENDS UP BEING SLOWER THAN THE MODEL
FORECASTS.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2171

ACUS11 KWNS 270853
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270852
NCZ000-271015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2171
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE WRN CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 869...

VALID 270852Z - 271015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 869 CONTINUES.

LATEST RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SOUTHERLY 850 FLOW TO THE LEE OF
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN. BUT...LOW-LEVEL
HODOGRAPHS REMAIN MAXIMIZED AND SUPPORTIVE OF THE RISK OF TORNADOES
...WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL JET AXIS INTERSECTS A REMNANT SURFACE
BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS THE WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. AND...
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LOCALLY ENHANCED NEAR A SIGNIFICANT 2
HOUR SURFACE PRESSURE FALL CENTER...WHICH APPEARS COINCIDENT WITH
STRONGEST BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING/MOISTENING...NOW NORTHEAST OF
CHARLOTTE. POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADOES APPEARS HIGHEST
WITH THIS PERTURBATION...WHICH MAY PROGRESS ACROSS THE
WINSTON-SALEM/GREENSBORO AREA BY 12-13Z.

..KERR.. 08/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...GSP...

35278103 35628119 36018096 36238061 36208001 35817975
35278006 35118066

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KRNK [270833]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 270833
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
433 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 NW VALLE CRUCIS 36.24N 81.81W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

2900 BLOCK OF WATAUGA RIVER ROAD FLOODED


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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KRNK [270831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRNK 270831
LSRRNK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
431 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 E VALLE CRUCIS 36.22N 81.77W
08/27/2008 WATAUGA NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEWITT BARNETT ROAD BRIDGE FLOODED


&&

$$

JJACKSON

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2170

ACUS11 KWNS 270724
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270724
MNZ000-SDZ000-270900-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0224 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 270724Z - 270900Z

ONGOING PRE-FRONTAL BAND OF STORMS EXTENDING ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA INTO PARTS OF EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA HAS BEEN SLOW TO
DIMINISH. ACTIVITY...BASED IN AN 850-700 MB MOIST LAYER...ABOVE A
RELATIVELY COOL/STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...HAS BEEN SUPPORTED BY
FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE TROUGH...NOW BEGINNING TO LIFT THROUGH MANITOBA INTO THE
EASTERN DAKOTAS. AS THIS NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION
CONTINUES...MODEL GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE THAT THE BAND OF STRONGER
MID-LEVEL FORCING WILL BECOME FOCUSED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MANITOBA
AND WESTERN ONTARIO BY THE 10-12Z TIME FRAME. INCREASING INHIBITION
SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA BY THAT TIME SHOULD BEGIN TO
CONTRIBUTE TO WEAKEN/DIMINISHING TRENDS TO CONVECTION. BUT...UNTIL
THIS OCCURS...MOST UNSTABLE CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG...IN THE
PRESENCE OF MODEST CLOUD BEARING LAYER SHEAR...COULD PROMOTE THE
RISK FOR ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL IN STRONGER STORMS.
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES DO NOT APPEAR TO SUPPORT AN APPRECIABLE RISK
FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

..KERR.. 08/27/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...

48129147 46889219 45059335 43869484 43789625 44149678
44319702 44909697 46409520 47729481 49509510

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 270717
SWODY3
SPC AC 270714

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0214 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL AND ERN CO...
WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS IS
FORECAST TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY FRIDAY AS A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL
RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. BENEATH THE RIDGE...AN AXIS OF
MOISTURE SHOULD BE IN PLACE FROM THE TX PANHANDLE EXTENDING NNWWD
ACROSS THE ERN HALF OF CO. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD INITIATE AROUND
MIDDAY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF ECNTRL CO WITH STORMS MOVING ON THE
CO PLAINS BY LATE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS ECNTRL CO
FRIDAY AFTERNOON SHOW 30 TO 40 KT OF 0-6KM SHEAR MAINLY A RESULT OF
DIRECTIONAL TURNING IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS. THIS ALONG WITH STEEP
LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT ALONG THE
INSTABILITY AXIS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 08/27/2008

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KFFC [270659]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KFFC 270659
LSRFFC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
259 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0813 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 NW EAST POINT 33.71N 84.52W
08/26/2008 FULTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

SIX TREES BLOWN DOWN NEAR INTERSECTION OF BUTNER ROAD AND
CAMPBELLTON ROAD.

0845 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW CANTON 34.23N 84.51W
08/26/2008 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

LARGE TREE INTO STRUCTURE CAUSING MAJOR DAMAGE

0915 AM TSTM WND DMG 8 E CANTON 34.25N 84.35W
08/26/2008 CHEROKEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROAD.

1210 PM TORNADO 4 S EAST JULIETTE 33.06N 83.79W
08/26/2008 MONROE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO REPORTED NEAR PLANT SCHERER.

1245 PM TSTM WND DMG MURRAYVILLE 34.42N 83.91W
08/26/2008 HALL GA EMERGENCY MNGR

AROUND 200 TREES BLOWN DOWN. SOME DOWN IN ROADWAY.

1248 PM HAIL CORDELE 31.97N 83.77W
08/26/2008 E0.75 INCH CRISP GA EMERGENCY MNGR

EMA REPORTED PENNY SIZE HAIL IN CORDELE

1248 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 SE CORDELE 31.94N 83.75W
08/26/2008 CRISP GA EMERGENCY MNGR

THE FUNNEL CLOUD MOVED FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE
COUNTY AND THE EMA FOLLOWED IT UNTIL IT EXITED THE COUNTY


0130 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 E DAHLONEGA 34.54N 83.90W
08/26/2008 LUMPKIN GA EMERGENCY MNGR

MUDSLIDE REPORTED NEAR THE COPPERMINES ROAD BRIDGE OVER
THE CHESTATEE RIVER.

0215 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SSE HIAWASSEE 34.88N 83.72W
08/26/2008 TOWNS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

THE HIWASSEE RIVER REACHED FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET. MINOR
FLOODING OF THE ENCHANTED VALLEY RESORT AREA AROUND 1
MILE DOWNSTREAM FROM THE STREAM GAGE.

0230 PM FLASH FLOOD HELEN 34.70N 83.72W
08/26/2008 WHITE GA PUBLIC

THE CHATTAHOOCHEE RIVER REACHED FLOOD STAGE OF 6 FEET.
REPORTS OF FLOODING IN THE DOWNTOWN DISTRICT IMPACTING
SOME STORES...RESTAURANTS AND PARKS. LARGE DEBRIS
BLOCKAGE OF TREES AT THE BRIDGE IN HELEN.

0340 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NE FLOWERY BRANCH 34.22N 83.89W
08/26/2008 HALL GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

SEVERAL TREES DOWN AT OAKWOOD ELEMENTARY. POSSIBLE
TORNADO.

0355 PM TORNADO 2 SW GAINESVILLE 34.27N 83.86W
08/26/2008 HALL GA COUNTY OFFICIAL

PUBLIC WITNESSED TORNADO COMING THROUGH THE TREES WITH
AIRBORNE PLYWOOD AND SIDING DEBRIS. TREES SNAPPED AND
PART OF BUSINESS ROOF TORN OFF ALONG MURPHY BLVD. DAMAGE
TO SHOPPING CENTER NEAR 1500 BLOCK OF BROWNSBRIDGE RD.
CARS DAMAGED.

0416 PM TORNADO 2 SW PERRY 32.44N 83.76W
08/26/2008 HOUSTON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

BRIEF TOUCHDOWN AND BACKUP AT U.S. HWY 41 AND SOUTH PERRY
PKWY. NO DAMAGE OCCURRED.

0418 PM TORNADO 3 ESE JEFFERSON 34.12N 83.55W
08/26/2008 JACKSON GA TRAINED SPOTTER

BRIEF TORNADO OBSERVED BY BOTH A SHERIFFS DEPUTY AND A
SKYWARN SPOTTER NEAR JEFFERSON RIVER RD AND BROCKTON RD.
DAMAGE TO TREES AND LIMBS.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE LULA 34.42N 83.63W
08/26/2008 BANKS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

PUBLIC REPORT OF TORNADO WITH TREE DEBRIS AND MINOR
DAMAGE TO HOUSE.

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 SSW LULA 34.33N 83.70W
08/26/2008 HALL GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED ACROSS THE COUNTY AND ROOF BLOWN
OFF AT TIMBLE ROAD AND HEWELL ROAD. REPORT FROM 911.

0435 PM FUNNEL CLOUD PERRY 32.46N 83.74W
08/26/2008 HOUSTON GA LAW ENFORCEMENT

RELAYED BY MEDIA

0435 PM TORNADO COMMERCE 34.21N 83.46W
08/26/2008 JACKSON GA PUBLIC

POSSIBLE TORNADO KNOCKED DOWN SEVERAL LARGE TREES...SOME
BLOCKING ROADWAYS IN COMMERCE.

0437 PM TORNADO COMMERCE 34.21N 83.46W
08/26/2008 JACKSON GA EMERGENCY MNGR

*** 2 INJ *** POSSIBLE TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN COMMERCE.
40 TO 45...MAINLY MOBILE HOMES...WERE LIGHTLY DAMAGED TO
DESTROYED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HOMER STREET AND NORTH
BROAD STREET. IN ADDITION...NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES
ARE DOWN ACROSS THE CITY. 2 PEOPLE WERE HOSPITILAZED WITH
INJURIES.

0640 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 E GRAY 33.01N 83.50W
08/26/2008 JONES GA PUBLIC

REPORT OF FUNNEL CLOUD ON HWY 22 JUST EAST OF GRAY.
RELAYED BY WMAZ.

0655 PM TORNADO 2 SW NORMAN 33.91N 82.79W
08/26/2008 WILKES GA EMERGENCY MNGR

POSSIBLE TORNADO KNOCKED A MOBILE HOME OFF OF ITS
FOUNDATION ON BOYD ROAD. THERE WERE ALSO TREES DOWN ALONG
HIGHWAY 17 AND A DIRT ROAD IN THE AREA WAS BLOCKED.


&&

$$

ABEASLEY

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KGSP [270653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected For Spelling

NWUS52 KGSP 270653 CCA
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR SPELLING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
241 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 W MARION 35.68N 82.04W
08/27/2008 MCDOWELL NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

MUD SLIDE NEAR THE PLEASANT GARDENS AREA.


&&

$$

NED

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KGSP [270641]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 270641
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
241 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 W MARION 35.68N 82.04W
08/27/2008 MCDOWELL NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

MUD SLIDE NEAR THE PLEASAMT GARDENS AREA.


&&

$$

NED

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KFGF [270629]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFGF 270629
LSRFGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
129 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0117 AM HAIL 6 E ERHARD 46.48N 95.97W
08/27/2008 E0.88 INCH OTTER TAIL MN TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MEWENS

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KGSP [270616]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 270616
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
216 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM FLASH FLOOD CHERRYVILLE 35.38N 81.38W
08/27/2008 GASTON NC COUNTY OFFICIAL

PINE AVENUE AND MOONEY AVENUE REPORTED UNPASSIBLE. VERY
HIGH WATER AROUND CHERRYWOOD APARTMENTS.


&&

$$

JPT

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 270602
SWODY1
SPC AC 270600

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0100 AM CDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID 271200Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSOURI
VALLEY/CORN BELT...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NC/VA/WV...

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES/SOUTHERN CANADA THROUGH THE PERIOD. INITIAL POTENT SHORTWAVE
TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL QUICKLY ADVANCE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES...WHILE A
SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH REINFORCES THE LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE
NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/NORTHERN PLAINS. FARTHER EAST...UPPER
RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE NORTHEAST STATES/EASTERN CANADA...WITH
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY GRADUALLY WEAKENING/SPREADING
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.

...UPPER MIDWEST/MIDDLE MISSOURI VALLEY/CENTRAL PLAINS...
AS THE LONGWAVE TROUGH GRADUALLY SHIFTS EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST TODAY...SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MIGRATE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS MN/EASTERN SD AND NEB. WITH
ONGOING SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO WANE IN MOST AREAS DURING THE
MORNING...ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION SEEMS LIKELY
LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. ALONG WITH A MOIST/UNSTABLE
PREFRONTAL AIRMASS...THIS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FURTHER AIDED BY THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING ARRIVAL OF LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE TROUGH/MID LEVEL JET MAX. THIS SECONDARY BOUT
OF LARGE SCALE FORCING MAY CAUSE THE COLD FRONT TO RETREAT
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...MLCAPE WILL LIKELY RANGE FROM 250-1000 J/KG ACROSS MN...TO
2000-2500 J/KG ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/EASTERN NEB AND NORTHERN
KS. ALTHOUGH THE STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT WILL GENERALLY LAG BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...AS MUCH AS 35-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR COINCIDENT
WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL SUPPORT SOME SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH
WELL-ORGANIZED MULTICELLS. OVERALL...SEVERE HAIL/WIND WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS...ALTHOUGH A
TORNADO RISK CANNOT BE RULED OUT WITH INITIAL LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING DEVELOPMENT.

...CAROLINAS/VA/WV INTO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY...
REMNANTS OF DEPRESSION FAY WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN/BECOME MORE
EXTRATROPICAL IN NATURE TODAY. ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF RESIDUAL
FAY...THE STRONGEST LOW LEVEL FLOW FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS/UPPER OHIO VALLEY...WHERE
INSTABILITY WILL BE RATHER LIMITED ESPECIALLY WITH NORTH EXTENT.
WHILE THE OVERALL TORNADO THREAT OVER THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO BE
LESSER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS...A BRIEF/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK MAY BE
MAXIMIZED DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS ALONG A SLOW NORTH-LIFTING WARM
FRONT ACROSS NC INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF VA/WV. WITHIN THIS
CORRIDOR...EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR/SRH...IN JUXTAPOSITION WITH A VERY MOIST AIRMASS /LOWER
70S F DEWPOINTS/ AND WEAK INSTABILITY. OTHERWISE...TSTM INDUCED WIND
DAMAGE AND/OR A ROGUE TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS/FAR EASTERN GA GIVEN POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY.

...AZ/LOWER CO RIVER VALLEY...
UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BUILD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE SOUTHWEST
DESERTS/FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY. WHILE THERE WAS A RELATIVE LULL
IN DEEP CONVECTION ON TUESDAY...AMPLE HEATING/RECOVERY OF MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD RESULT IN AN UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE VIGOR WITH
ISOLATED TO PERHAPS SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS AZ DURING THE
AFTERNOON. INCREASINGLY STRONG MID LEVEL NORTHWESTERLY FLOW /20-30
KT AT 500 MB/ WILL HELP TSTMS PROPAGATE SOUTHWESTWARD OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN INTO A MOIST/MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS
SOUTHERN/WESTERN AZ.

..GUYER/BRIGHT.. 08/27/2008

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