NWUS52 KMLB 082208
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
608 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0548 PM TSTM WND GST PATRICK AIRFORCE BASE 28.24N 80.61W
06/08/2012 M45 MPH BREVARD FL ASOS
KCOF ASOS MEASURED A 39 KT/45 MPH WIND GUST.
&&
$$
ARB
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Friday, June 8, 2012
KTFX [082207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 082207
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
407 PM MDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HAIL 3 S HOGELAND 48.81N 108.66W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH BLAINE MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
JNS
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
407 PM MDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0325 PM HAIL 3 S HOGELAND 48.81N 108.66W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH BLAINE MT PUBLIC
&&
$$
JNS
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KBRO [082206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBRO 082206
LSRBRO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
506 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HAIL EDINBURG 26.30N 98.16W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH HIDALGO TX PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT HIGHWAY 107 AND SHARY RD IN
EDINBURG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BRO1200133
$$
GB
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LSRBRO
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
506 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HAIL EDINBURG 26.30N 98.16W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH HIDALGO TX PUBLIC
QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT HIGHWAY 107 AND SHARY RD IN
EDINBURG.
&&
EVENT NUMBER BRO1200133
$$
GB
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KGYX [082205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082205
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
605 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 PM HAIL 5 E ANDOVER 44.64N 70.65W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC
VERY STRONG WINDS AND HAIL
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200073
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
605 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0310 PM HAIL 5 E ANDOVER 44.64N 70.65W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC
VERY STRONG WINDS AND HAIL
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200073
$$
MC
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KBOX [082202]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KBOX 082202
LSRBOX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
602 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 PM LIGHTNING SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
06/08/2012 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTING WITH ROOF ON FIRE
0528 PM TSTM WND DMG SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
06/08/2012 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
TREE DOWN UTILITY POLE BLOCKING WARREN STREET
0530 PM HAIL DORCHESTER 42.28N 71.08W
06/08/2012 M0.75 INCH SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
WAS
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LSRBOX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
602 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0528 PM LIGHTNING SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
06/08/2012 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
HOUSE HIT BY LIGHTING WITH ROOF ON FIRE
0528 PM TSTM WND DMG SOMERVILLE 42.39N 71.10W
06/08/2012 MIDDLESEX MA AMATEUR RADIO
TREE DOWN UTILITY POLE BLOCKING WARREN STREET
0530 PM HAIL DORCHESTER 42.28N 71.08W
06/08/2012 M0.75 INCH SUFFOLK MA AMATEUR RADIO
&&
$$
WAS
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KGYX [082149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082149
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
549 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM HAIL SOUTH PORTLAND 43.64N 70.24W
06/08/2012 E0.70 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200072
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
549 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0530 PM HAIL SOUTH PORTLAND 43.64N 70.24W
06/08/2012 E0.70 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200072
$$
MC
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KGYX [082147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082147
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE LEEDS 44.32N 70.09W
06/08/2012 KENNEBEC ME UTILITY COMPANY
OVER 600 POWER OUTAGES IN LEEDS TREES ON WIRES
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200071
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NE LEEDS 44.32N 70.09W
06/08/2012 KENNEBEC ME UTILITY COMPANY
OVER 600 POWER OUTAGES IN LEEDS TREES ON WIRES
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200071
$$
MC
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KMLB [082147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 082147
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0519 PM HAIL 4 SSW SUNTREE 28.16N 80.70W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH BREVARD FL EMERGENCY MNGR
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND 30 MPH WIND GUST SOUTH OF POST ROAD
AND EAST OF WICKHAM IN MELBOURNE.
&&
$$
ARB
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
547 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0519 PM HAIL 4 SSW SUNTREE 28.16N 80.70W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH BREVARD FL EMERGENCY MNGR
NICKEL-SIZED HAIL AND 30 MPH WIND GUST SOUTH OF POST ROAD
AND EAST OF WICKHAM IN MELBOURNE.
&&
$$
ARB
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KGYX [082143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS51 KGYX 082143
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
543 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM HAIL CAPE ELIZABETH 43.56N 70.20W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200070
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
543 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0520 PM HAIL CAPE ELIZABETH 43.56N 70.20W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200070
$$
MC
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KGYX [082142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082142
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
542 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0541 PM HAIL CAPE ELIZABETH 43.56N 70.20W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200070
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
542 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0541 PM HAIL CAPE ELIZABETH 43.56N 70.20W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200070
$$
MC
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KMLB [082134]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMLB 082134
LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM HAIL 5 SW PATRICK AIRFORCE B 28.18N 80.66W
06/08/2012 E0.75 INCH BREVARD FL PUBLIC
PENNY-SIZED HAIL REPORTED NORTH OF POST RD AND WEST OF
US-1 IN MELBOURNE.
&&
$$
ARB
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LSRMLB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
534 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM HAIL 5 SW PATRICK AIRFORCE B 28.18N 80.66W
06/08/2012 E0.75 INCH BREVARD FL PUBLIC
PENNY-SIZED HAIL REPORTED NORTH OF POST RD AND WEST OF
US-1 IN MELBOURNE.
&&
$$
ARB
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KGYX [082133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082133
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
533 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200069
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
533 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0418 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200069
$$
MC
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KGYX [082131]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082131
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
531 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200068
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
531 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200068
$$
MC
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KGYX [082127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082127
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
527 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 PM HAIL GORHAM 43.68N 70.44W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200067
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
527 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0505 PM HAIL GORHAM 43.68N 70.44W
06/08/2012 E0.88 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200067
$$
MC
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KBTV [082126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 082126
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
526 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0519 PM HAIL SOUTH HERO 44.65N 73.30W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH GRAND ISLE VT PUBLIC
PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200141
$$
MAB
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
526 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0519 PM HAIL SOUTH HERO 44.65N 73.30W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH GRAND ISLE VT PUBLIC
PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200141
$$
MAB
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KBTV [082107]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 082107
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
507 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HAIL PLATTSBURGH 44.70N 73.45W
06/08/2012 M0.75 INCH CLINTON NY EMERGENCY MNGR
CLINTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200140
$$
MAB
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
507 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HAIL PLATTSBURGH 44.70N 73.45W
06/08/2012 M0.75 INCH CLINTON NY EMERGENCY MNGR
CLINTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200140
$$
MAB
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KGYX [082055]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082055
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
455 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200066
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
455 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0430 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 E1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200066
$$
MC
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1099
ACUS11 KWNS 082053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082052
MTZ000-082145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1099
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 082052Z - 082145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS NERN MT. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DMGG WIND
GUSTS...AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL WW
ISSUANCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS INCREASING TOWERING
CU FIELD /PRIMARILY ANCHORED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN/ OVER PORTIONS OF
CNTRL MT. ONE EXCEPTION IS A PERSISTENT/REGENERATING STORM OVER
BLAINE COUNTY...WHICH HAS SHOWN RADAR INDICATIONS FOR POTENTIALLY
SUB-SEVERE HAIL. STRONG SFC HEATING /TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S AT 20Z/
...UPSLOPE E-SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AND INCREASING LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A POWERFUL NWRN CONUS UPPER
TROUGH...SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE DURING THE NEXT
2-3 HRS. THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION IS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...BUT RECENT CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE /INCLUDING THE
18Z WRF-HRRR/ INDICATES DISCRETE STORMS OR SMALL CLUSTERS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN EWD TOWARDS THE HIGH PLAINS
OF ERN MT.
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY APPEARS RATHER MARGINAL /MLCAPE VALUES AOB 500
J/KG PER MODIFIED 20Z GGW SOUNDING/...FURTHER HEATING AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE SE WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE ENVIRONMENT
THROUGH THIS EVENING...BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING STRONG
UPDRAFTS. ADDITIONALLY...ESELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH MODERATE
MIDLEVEL SWLYS WILL YIELD EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 50-60 KTS. THIS
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS...AND MAY NECESSITATE ISSUANCE OF A
WW BY THE EARLY EVENING.
..ROGERS/MEAD.. 06/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...
LAT...LON 48990556 48080527 47200534 46560592 46270739 46340860
46760963 47760980 48970926 48990556
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082052
MTZ000-082145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1099
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0352 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 082052Z - 082145Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT
SUMMARY...A GRADUAL INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE IS EXPECTED THROUGH
LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS NERN MT. THE ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DMGG WIND
GUSTS...AND CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL WW
ISSUANCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DISCUSSION...RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS INCREASING TOWERING
CU FIELD /PRIMARILY ANCHORED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN/ OVER PORTIONS OF
CNTRL MT. ONE EXCEPTION IS A PERSISTENT/REGENERATING STORM OVER
BLAINE COUNTY...WHICH HAS SHOWN RADAR INDICATIONS FOR POTENTIALLY
SUB-SEVERE HAIL. STRONG SFC HEATING /TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S AT 20Z/
...UPSLOPE E-SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW...AND INCREASING LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A POWERFUL NWRN CONUS UPPER
TROUGH...SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE DURING THE NEXT
2-3 HRS. THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF CONVECTION IS SOMEWHAT
UNCERTAIN...BUT RECENT CONVECTION-ALLOWING GUIDANCE /INCLUDING THE
18Z WRF-HRRR/ INDICATES DISCRETE STORMS OR SMALL CLUSTERS SHOULD
EVENTUALLY MOVE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN EWD TOWARDS THE HIGH PLAINS
OF ERN MT.
ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY APPEARS RATHER MARGINAL /MLCAPE VALUES AOB 500
J/KG PER MODIFIED 20Z GGW SOUNDING/...FURTHER HEATING AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION FROM THE SE WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE THE ENVIRONMENT
THROUGH THIS EVENING...BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINING STRONG
UPDRAFTS. ADDITIONALLY...ESELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW BENEATH MODERATE
MIDLEVEL SWLYS WILL YIELD EFFECTIVE SHEAR VALUES OF 50-60 KTS. THIS
ENVIRONMENT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND GUSTS...AND MAY NECESSITATE ISSUANCE OF A
WW BY THE EARLY EVENING.
..ROGERS/MEAD.. 06/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...
LAT...LON 48990556 48080527 47200534 46560592 46270739 46340860
46760963 47760980 48970926 48990556
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KGYX [082052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082052
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
452 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM HAIL 1 ESE STANDISH 43.73N 70.53W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200065
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
452 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0440 PM HAIL 1 ESE STANDISH 43.73N 70.53W
06/08/2012 M1.00 INCH CUMBERLAND ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200065
$$
MC
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KGYX [082049]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082049
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
449 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0448 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 E0.50 INCH CUMBERLAND ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200064
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
449 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0448 PM HAIL WINDHAM 43.79N 70.41W
06/08/2012 E0.50 INCH CUMBERLAND ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200064
$$
MC
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KGYX [082037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KGYX 082037
LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM HAIL 2 N TURNER 44.28N 70.26W
06/08/2012 M0.70 INCH ANDROSCOGGIN ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200062
$$
MC
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LSRGYX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
437 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0435 PM HAIL 2 N TURNER 44.28N 70.26W
06/08/2012 M0.70 INCH ANDROSCOGGIN ME TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER GYX1200062
$$
MC
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KOKX [082031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS51 KOKX 082031
LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
431 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM HAIL FAHNESTOCK STATE PARK 41.45N 73.83W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH PUTNAM NY PARK SERVICE
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN FAHNESTOCK STATE PARK.
0245 PM HAIL MAHOPAC 41.37N 73.74W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH PUTNAM NY PUBLIC
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN MAHOPAC.
0300 PM HAIL YORKTOWN 41.30N 73.81W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH WESTCHESTER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN YORKTOWN.
&&
$$
DH
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LSROKX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
431 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM HAIL FAHNESTOCK STATE PARK 41.45N 73.83W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH PUTNAM NY PARK SERVICE
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN FAHNESTOCK STATE PARK.
0245 PM HAIL MAHOPAC 41.37N 73.74W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH PUTNAM NY PUBLIC
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN MAHOPAC.
0300 PM HAIL YORKTOWN 41.30N 73.81W
06/08/2012 M0.88 INCH WESTCHESTER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT
NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN YORKTOWN.
&&
$$
DH
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 082002
SWODY1
SPC AC 082000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN
PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WRN GREAT
LAKES AND UPPER MS VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NERN
STATES...
SEVERAL CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK AT 20Z. THE FIRST
CHANGE IS TO MAKE THE 30 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITIES
ACROSS ERN MT SMALLER AND FOCUSED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHWEST WHERE
THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL BE THE
GREATEST. HAVE LEFT THE SIGNIFICANT HAIL HATCHED AREA THE SAME
EXTENDING FROM SW ND SWD INTO THE RAPID CITY AREA WHERE THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS PRISTINE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE
HAIL. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAY BE ISOLATED ALONG THIS CORRIDOR BY
HAIL LARGER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL THAT CAN INITIATE AND DEVELOP. A SECOND CHANGE TO THE
OUTLOOK HAS BEEN TO FOCUS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES FURTHER TO THE NORTH WHERE OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDING ESEWD FROM
THE ARROWHEAD OF MN INTO NRN WI. ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN
THIS AREA IS UNCERTAIN...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. THE FINAL
CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO MAKE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE NERN
STATES SMALLER AND CONFINED TO THE AREA WITH ANALYZED MODERATE
INSTABILITY. THE SEVERE THREAT IN THE NERN STATES IS EXPECTED TO BE
GREATEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DIMINISHED THREAT BY EARLY EVENING.
..BROYLES/BUNTING.. 06/08/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012/
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WA COASTS WILL MOVE INLAND
INTO THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NW WITH AN ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK
AND 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS OF 60-90 M/12-HR DEVELOPING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY CRESTING MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY
INTO SRN MANITOBA/WRN ONTARIO WILL WEAKEN WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN
INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
FARTHER E...MID TO UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS OVER ERN ONTARIO WILL
DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE HUDSON VALLEY/WRN NEW ENGLAND...
CONTRIBUTING TO THE AMPLIFICATION OF UPPER TROUGH ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND/NEW BRUNSWICK/NOVA SCOTIA.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER ERN MT WILL DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS MENTIONED ABOVE WITH CYCLONE DEVELOPING INTO
WRN ND BY 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ATTENDED BY A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...A COLD
FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND IN CONJUNCTION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TODAY OWING TO
DEEPENING LEE CYCLONE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS INCREASING
THROUGH THE 50S BENEATH AN EML/STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME PRECEDING
PACIFIC NW SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN
08/21-09/00Z N/NW OF SURFACE LOW WHERE CONVERGENCE/UPSLOPE FLOW IS
ENHANCED. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME SWD
ALONG LEE TROUGH INTO FAR ERN WY/WRN SD. LOCAL ENVIRONMENT BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-2500
J/KG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH 35-50 KT DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM
MODE WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WHILE
A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...A MORE ROBUST THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY
RELATIVELY HIGH LCL HEIGHTS OWING TO SIZABLE T-TD SPREADS.
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO AN MCS IS POSSIBLE BY MID-LATE EVENING
OVER ERN MT WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CONTINUING
TONIGHT INTO WRN ND.
...NERN U.S...
DESPITE MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S/...COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 500-1000 J/KG. FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER SYSTEM WILL GIVE RISE TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS
THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING DEEP
LAYER SHEAR. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
RELATIVELY COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL INTO
THIS EVENING.
...UPPER GREAT LAKES...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF MIDLEVEL PERTURBATION AND SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL
WAA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A SLOW INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. INITIALLY ELEVATED
STORMS MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE ROOTED IN A WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON WHERE MLCAPE WILL INCREASE TO
1000-2000 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE A VERTICALLY
VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 35-45 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL
SUPPORT ROTATING/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS THOUGH A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OWING TO
THE PRESENCE OF A 30 KT SWLY LLJ AND RESULTANT ENHANCEMENT OF
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...
12Z TAMPA/MIAMI/KEY WEST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S AND LOWEST
100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 16-17+ G PER KG/ WHICH IS ALREADY
CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1500-2500 J/KG. ONGOING STORMS SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE TODAY...FOCUSED ALONG DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND SYNOPTIC FRONT STALLED ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OWING TO WATER LOADING EFFECTS.
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SWODY1
SPC AC 082000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 082000Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NRN
PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE WRN GREAT
LAKES AND UPPER MS VALLEY...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NERN
STATES...
SEVERAL CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE OUTLOOK AT 20Z. THE FIRST
CHANGE IS TO MAKE THE 30 PERCENT HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITIES
ACROSS ERN MT SMALLER AND FOCUSED SLIGHTLY TO THE NORTHWEST WHERE
THE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WILL BE THE
GREATEST. HAVE LEFT THE SIGNIFICANT HAIL HATCHED AREA THE SAME
EXTENDING FROM SW ND SWD INTO THE RAPID CITY AREA WHERE THE
THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT IS PRISTINE FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE
HAIL. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE MAY BE ISOLATED ALONG THIS CORRIDOR BY
HAIL LARGER THAN 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL THAT CAN INITIATE AND DEVELOP. A SECOND CHANGE TO THE
OUTLOOK HAS BEEN TO FOCUS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE UPPER MS
VALLEY AND WRN GREAT LAKES FURTHER TO THE NORTH WHERE OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY EXTENDING ESEWD FROM
THE ARROWHEAD OF MN INTO NRN WI. ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN
THIS AREA IS UNCERTAIN...MODERATE INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. THE FINAL
CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO MAKE THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IN THE NERN
STATES SMALLER AND CONFINED TO THE AREA WITH ANALYZED MODERATE
INSTABILITY. THE SEVERE THREAT IN THE NERN STATES IS EXPECTED TO BE
GREATEST THIS AFTERNOON WITH A DIMINISHED THREAT BY EARLY EVENING.
..BROYLES/BUNTING.. 06/08/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012/
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WA COASTS WILL MOVE INLAND
INTO THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NW WITH AN ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK
AND 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS OF 60-90 M/12-HR DEVELOPING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY CRESTING MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY
INTO SRN MANITOBA/WRN ONTARIO WILL WEAKEN WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN
INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
FARTHER E...MID TO UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS OVER ERN ONTARIO WILL
DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE HUDSON VALLEY/WRN NEW ENGLAND...
CONTRIBUTING TO THE AMPLIFICATION OF UPPER TROUGH ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND/NEW BRUNSWICK/NOVA SCOTIA.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER ERN MT WILL DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS MENTIONED ABOVE WITH CYCLONE DEVELOPING INTO
WRN ND BY 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ATTENDED BY A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...A COLD
FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND IN CONJUNCTION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TODAY OWING TO
DEEPENING LEE CYCLONE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS INCREASING
THROUGH THE 50S BENEATH AN EML/STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME PRECEDING
PACIFIC NW SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN
08/21-09/00Z N/NW OF SURFACE LOW WHERE CONVERGENCE/UPSLOPE FLOW IS
ENHANCED. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME SWD
ALONG LEE TROUGH INTO FAR ERN WY/WRN SD. LOCAL ENVIRONMENT BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-2500
J/KG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH 35-50 KT DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM
MODE WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WHILE
A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...A MORE ROBUST THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY
RELATIVELY HIGH LCL HEIGHTS OWING TO SIZABLE T-TD SPREADS.
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO AN MCS IS POSSIBLE BY MID-LATE EVENING
OVER ERN MT WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CONTINUING
TONIGHT INTO WRN ND.
...NERN U.S...
DESPITE MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S/...COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 500-1000 J/KG. FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER SYSTEM WILL GIVE RISE TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS
THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING DEEP
LAYER SHEAR. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
RELATIVELY COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL INTO
THIS EVENING.
...UPPER GREAT LAKES...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF MIDLEVEL PERTURBATION AND SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL
WAA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A SLOW INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. INITIALLY ELEVATED
STORMS MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE ROOTED IN A WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON WHERE MLCAPE WILL INCREASE TO
1000-2000 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE A VERTICALLY
VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 35-45 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL
SUPPORT ROTATING/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS THOUGH A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OWING TO
THE PRESENCE OF A 30 KT SWLY LLJ AND RESULTANT ENHANCEMENT OF
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...
12Z TAMPA/MIAMI/KEY WEST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S AND LOWEST
100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 16-17+ G PER KG/ WHICH IS ALREADY
CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1500-2500 J/KG. ONGOING STORMS SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE TODAY...FOCUSED ALONG DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND SYNOPTIC FRONT STALLED ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OWING TO WATER LOADING EFFECTS.
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KBTV [081947]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 081947
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
347 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM HAIL STOCKBRIDGE 43.79N 72.75W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH WINDSOR VT PUBLIC
PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200139
$$
MAB
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
347 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0340 PM HAIL STOCKBRIDGE 43.79N 72.75W
06/08/2012 M0.25 INCH WINDSOR VT PUBLIC
PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200139
$$
MAB
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KBTV [081945]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS51 KBTV 081945
LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL 1 W PITTSFIELD 43.77N 72.84W
06/08/2012 M1.25 INCH RUTLAND VT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200138
$$
JMG
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LSRBTV
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
344 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL 1 W PITTSFIELD 43.77N 72.84W
06/08/2012 M1.25 INCH RUTLAND VT TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER BTV1200138
$$
JMG
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KBIS [081921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KBIS 081921
LSRBIS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM HAIL BENEDICT 47.83N 101.08W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH MCLEAN ND PUBLIC
REPORT FROM WEB RELAYED BY MEDIA.
&&
$$
AYD
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LSRBIS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0420 PM HAIL BENEDICT 47.83N 101.08W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH MCLEAN ND PUBLIC
REPORT FROM WEB RELAYED BY MEDIA.
&&
$$
AYD
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KCYS [081921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS55 KCYS 081921
LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
121 PM MDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HAIL 15 W MULE CREEK JUNCTIO 43.38N 104.52W
06/07/2012 E0.25 INCH NIOBRARA WY TRAINED SPOTTER
COVERS THE GROUND. HEAVY RAIN. ESTIMATED GUST TO 50 MPH.
0214 PM HAIL 13 ESE WINDY PEAK 42.20N 105.35W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER
THIS REPORT WAS FROM THE COW CAMP FIRE CAMP
0218 PM HAIL HARRISON 42.69N 103.88W
06/07/2012 M0.25 INCH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. ALSO HEAVY RAINFALL.
0237 PM HAIL 14 NW WHEATLAND 42.19N 105.15W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZED HAIL FELL FROM 227 PM TO 237 PM. ONE HALF
INCH OF RAIN FELL IN 45 MINUTES.
0307 PM TORNADO 6 W WHEATLAND 42.05N 105.08W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
TORNADO ON THE GROUND 6 TO 8 MILES WEST OF WHEATLAND ON
PALMER CANYON ROAD.
0329 PM HAIL 6 SW WHEATLAND 41.99N 105.04W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0332 PM TORNADO 7 S WHEATLAND 41.95N 104.96W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO STILL ON THE GROUND AND WILL CROSS INTERSTATE 25
JUST NORTH OF THE BORDEAUX EXIT.
0345 PM TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
06/07/2012 M75.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WINDS WERE SUSTAINED AT 59 MPH.
0400 PM TORNADO WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT
A TORNADO MOVED FROM WEST OF WHEATLAND TO NORTHEAST OF
CHUGWATER. PRELIMINARY REPORTS INDICATE 5 HOUSES
DESTROYED...TRAIN DERAILED AND ONE PERSON INJURED BY THE
TORNADO.
0420 PM HAIL 29 NNW CHEYENNE 41.53N 105.01W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS
0427 PM HAIL 30 N CHEYENNE 41.58N 104.79W
06/07/2012 E1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL WAS BETWEEN QUARTER SIZE AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE
0428 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC
0434 PM TORNADO 2 N WHITAKER 41.44N 104.87W
06/07/2012 LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN.
0435 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC
OBSERVED ON THE WEST END OF GRANITE LAKE
0435 PM HAIL 11 E CHUGWATER 41.76N 104.61W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0510 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY EMERGENCY MNGR
REPORTS OF TRAILER AND CAMPER DAMAGE AT CURT GOWDY STATE
PARK
0528 PM TORNADO 8 ENE WHITAKER 41.46N 104.74W
06/07/2012 LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN FOR SEVERAL MINUTES BEFORE
DISSIPATING AT 528 PM.
0529 PM HAIL 13 W CHEYENNE 41.15N 105.04W
06/07/2012 M0.88 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0532 PM HAIL WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
06/07/2012 M4.00 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
ON THE WEST SIDE OF WHEATLAND.
0632 PM HAIL 22 NE CHEYENNE 41.37N 104.49W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0644 PM HAIL 8 N KIMBALL 41.35N 103.66W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH KIMBALL NE NWS EMPLOYEE
0650 PM HAIL 6 NNW PINE BLUFFS 41.26N 104.11W
06/07/2012 M0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0703 PM HAIL LORENZO 41.03N 103.05W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0705 PM HAIL 1 N SIDNEY 41.15N 102.97W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0706 PM HAIL 1 W SIDNEY 41.13N 102.99W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0710 PM HAIL 3 N BURNS 41.23N 104.36W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0715 PM HAIL 3 N BURNS 41.23N 104.36W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0722 PM HAIL PINE BLUFFS 41.18N 104.07W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0725 PM HAIL PINE BLUFFS 41.18N 104.07W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0728 PM HAIL 8 NE SIDNEY 41.22N 102.86W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0728 PM HAIL 3 SW BURNS 41.16N 104.40W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0729 PM HAIL BURNS 41.19N 104.36W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
MAINLY PING-PONG TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL WITH A FEW HEN
EGG. BROKE WINDOWS AND TORE UP SIDING.
0733 PM HAIL 5 SW BURNS 41.14N 104.43W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0752 PM HAIL SUNOL 41.16N 102.76W
06/07/2012 M0.88 INCH CHEYENNE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT
0948 PM HAIL 4 S CHEYENNE 41.09N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
THE HAIL WAS FALLING AT MILE MARKER 7 ON INTERSTATE 25.
0954 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
HEAVY RAIN ALSO WAS FALLING.
0956 PM HAIL 2 NNE CHEYENNE 41.17N 104.78W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
1000 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER OF AN INCH FELL IN CHEYENNE FROM
954 PM TO 1000 PM.
&&
$$
HUTCHEON
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LSRCYS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
121 PM MDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HAIL 15 W MULE CREEK JUNCTIO 43.38N 104.52W
06/07/2012 E0.25 INCH NIOBRARA WY TRAINED SPOTTER
COVERS THE GROUND. HEAVY RAIN. ESTIMATED GUST TO 50 MPH.
0214 PM HAIL 13 ESE WINDY PEAK 42.20N 105.35W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER
THIS REPORT WAS FROM THE COW CAMP FIRE CAMP
0218 PM HAIL HARRISON 42.69N 103.88W
06/07/2012 M0.25 INCH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL COVERED THE GROUND. ALSO HEAVY RAINFALL.
0237 PM HAIL 14 NW WHEATLAND 42.19N 105.15W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
PENNY SIZED HAIL FELL FROM 227 PM TO 237 PM. ONE HALF
INCH OF RAIN FELL IN 45 MINUTES.
0307 PM TORNADO 6 W WHEATLAND 42.05N 105.08W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
TORNADO ON THE GROUND 6 TO 8 MILES WEST OF WHEATLAND ON
PALMER CANYON ROAD.
0329 PM HAIL 6 SW WHEATLAND 41.99N 105.04W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0332 PM TORNADO 7 S WHEATLAND 41.95N 104.96W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO STILL ON THE GROUND AND WILL CROSS INTERSTATE 25
JUST NORTH OF THE BORDEAUX EXIT.
0345 PM TSTM WND GST BORDEAUX 41.95N 104.95W
06/07/2012 M75.00 MPH PLATTE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
WINDS WERE SUSTAINED AT 59 MPH.
0400 PM TORNADO WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
06/07/2012 PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT
A TORNADO MOVED FROM WEST OF WHEATLAND TO NORTHEAST OF
CHUGWATER. PRELIMINARY REPORTS INDICATE 5 HOUSES
DESTROYED...TRAIN DERAILED AND ONE PERSON INJURED BY THE
TORNADO.
0420 PM HAIL 29 NNW CHEYENNE 41.53N 105.01W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY COCORAHS
0427 PM HAIL 30 N CHEYENNE 41.58N 104.79W
06/07/2012 E1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
HAIL WAS BETWEEN QUARTER SIZE AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE
0428 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC
0434 PM TORNADO 2 N WHITAKER 41.44N 104.87W
06/07/2012 LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN.
0435 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC
OBSERVED ON THE WEST END OF GRANITE LAKE
0435 PM HAIL 11 E CHUGWATER 41.76N 104.61W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH GOSHEN WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0510 PM HAIL GRANITE SPRINGS RESERVO 41.18N 105.23W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY EMERGENCY MNGR
REPORTS OF TRAILER AND CAMPER DAMAGE AT CURT GOWDY STATE
PARK
0528 PM TORNADO 8 ENE WHITAKER 41.46N 104.74W
06/07/2012 LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN FOR SEVERAL MINUTES BEFORE
DISSIPATING AT 528 PM.
0529 PM HAIL 13 W CHEYENNE 41.15N 105.04W
06/07/2012 M0.88 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0532 PM HAIL WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
06/07/2012 M4.00 INCH PLATTE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
ON THE WEST SIDE OF WHEATLAND.
0632 PM HAIL 22 NE CHEYENNE 41.37N 104.49W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0644 PM HAIL 8 N KIMBALL 41.35N 103.66W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH KIMBALL NE NWS EMPLOYEE
0650 PM HAIL 6 NNW PINE BLUFFS 41.26N 104.11W
06/07/2012 M0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0703 PM HAIL LORENZO 41.03N 103.05W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0705 PM HAIL 1 N SIDNEY 41.15N 102.97W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0706 PM HAIL 1 W SIDNEY 41.13N 102.99W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0710 PM HAIL 3 N BURNS 41.23N 104.36W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0715 PM HAIL 3 N BURNS 41.23N 104.36W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0722 PM HAIL PINE BLUFFS 41.18N 104.07W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0725 PM HAIL PINE BLUFFS 41.18N 104.07W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0728 PM HAIL 8 NE SIDNEY 41.22N 102.86W
06/07/2012 M1.00 INCH CHEYENNE NE TRAINED SPOTTER
0728 PM HAIL 3 SW BURNS 41.16N 104.40W
06/07/2012 M1.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0729 PM HAIL BURNS 41.19N 104.36W
06/07/2012 M2.00 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
MAINLY PING-PONG TO GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL WITH A FEW HEN
EGG. BROKE WINDOWS AND TORE UP SIDING.
0733 PM HAIL 5 SW BURNS 41.14N 104.43W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
0752 PM HAIL SUNOL 41.16N 102.76W
06/07/2012 M0.88 INCH CHEYENNE NE LAW ENFORCEMENT
0948 PM HAIL 4 S CHEYENNE 41.09N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
THE HAIL WAS FALLING AT MILE MARKER 7 ON INTERSTATE 25.
0954 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
HEAVY RAIN ALSO WAS FALLING.
0956 PM HAIL 2 NNE CHEYENNE 41.17N 104.78W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER
1000 PM HAIL CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
06/07/2012 M0.75 INCH LARAMIE WY NWS EMPLOYEE
HAIL UP TO THREE QUARTER OF AN INCH FELL IN CHEYENNE FROM
954 PM TO 1000 PM.
&&
$$
HUTCHEON
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KMFL [081837]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 081837
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM TSTM WND GST DELRAY BEACH 26.46N 80.09W
06/08/2012 E40.00 MPH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A WIND GUST FROM A
THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH NEAR LYONS ROAD ON THE
BOARDER OF DELRAY BEACH AND BOCA RATON.
&&
$$
CARACOZZA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 PM EDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 PM TSTM WND GST DELRAY BEACH 26.46N 80.09W
06/08/2012 E40.00 MPH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER REPORTED A WIND GUST FROM A
THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 35 AND 45 MPH NEAR LYONS ROAD ON THE
BOARDER OF DELRAY BEACH AND BOCA RATON.
&&
$$
CARACOZZA
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 081729
SWODY2
SPC AC 081728
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...
...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY SATURDAY WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW LOCATED IN THE NRN ROCKIES.
SOUTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY WITH
THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A WELL-DEVELOPED MID-LEVEL JET LOCATED ACROSS
ERN MT. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS
EARLY IN THE DAY WITH ELEVATED MORNING CONVECTION POSSIBLE ALONG THE
FRONT. TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS EXTENDING NNEWD INTO NW MN
BY MIDDAY. HOWEVER...A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION WILL LIKELY PREVENT
CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
MODEL FORECASTS DIFFER CONCERNING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THE NAM
DEVELOPS CONVECTION ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NW
MN EXTENDING SSWWD INTO ERN SD WITH THE NAMKF FOCUSING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS ERN ND SSWWD INTO NCNTRL SD.
THE GFS KEEPS CONVECTION MORE ISOLATED IN THE NRN PLAINS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING WHICH ADDS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST. THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT A
SECOND AREA OF ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NE WY...SE MT
AND WRN SD LATE SATURDAY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR AT GRAND FORKS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW AN IMPRESSIVE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH
MLCAPE OF 3500 TO 4000 J/KG AND 700 TO 500 MB LAPSE RATES OF 8.5
C/KM. THIS ALONG WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR SHOULD EASILY
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN
DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE DOMINANT SUPERCELLS.
HOWEVER...WARM TEMPS ALOFT AND CONSIDERABLE CIN ON THE FORECAST
SOUNDINGS MAKES CONVECTIVE COVERAGE UNCERTAIN. IF SEVERAL SUPERCELLS
CAN INTENSIFY ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS BY EARLY EVENING...THEN AN
ENHANCED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT MAY OCCUR NORTH OF THE
GRAND FORKS AREA NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER WHERE INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PARAMETERS ARE MAXIMIZED AND COINCIDE WITH LOWER LCL HEIGHTS.
WIND DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTION CAN PERSIST INTO
THE EVENING ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS AND NW MN AS SOME OF THE MODELS
SUGGEST.
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SWWD ACROSS CNTRL SD AND POSSIBLE
IN NRN NEB BUT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING SHOULD BE INCREASINGLY ISOLATED WITH SWWD EXTENT. A
HAIL THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
...SRN AND WRN NY/PA/NJ...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NERN STATES SATURDAY AS A
SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AHEAD OF THE DISTURBANCE...A NARROW AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST BY AFTERNOON EXTENDING FROM LAKE ONTARIO
SEWD ACROSS WRN NY INTO NE PA. THE MODELS DEVELOP THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THIS AXIS OF INSTABILITY WITH CONVECTION PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT BINGHAMTON AT 21Z SHOW MLCAPE
VALUES OF 750 TO 1000 J/KG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 35 TO 40 KT
SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS WITH HAIL
POTENTIAL. UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW SHOULD ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE
CONFINED TO A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY AND UNCERTAINTY STILL
EXISTS CONCERNING THE MAGNITUDE AND SPATIAL LOCATION OF THE GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT.
..BROYLES/BUNTING.. 06/08/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 081728
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...
...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE UPPER MS
VALLEY SATURDAY WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW LOCATED IN THE NRN ROCKIES.
SOUTHWEST FLOW IS FORECAST ACROSS THE NRN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY WITH
THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A WELL-DEVELOPED MID-LEVEL JET LOCATED ACROSS
ERN MT. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN PLAINS
EARLY IN THE DAY WITH ELEVATED MORNING CONVECTION POSSIBLE ALONG THE
FRONT. TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY
SHOULD BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS EXTENDING NNEWD INTO NW MN
BY MIDDAY. HOWEVER...A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION WILL LIKELY PREVENT
CONVECTIVE INITIATION ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
MODEL FORECASTS DIFFER CONCERNING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THE NAM
DEVELOPS CONVECTION ON THE ERN SIDE OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS FROM NW
MN EXTENDING SSWWD INTO ERN SD WITH THE NAMKF FOCUSING CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT FURTHER TO THE WEST ACROSS ERN ND SSWWD INTO NCNTRL SD.
THE GFS KEEPS CONVECTION MORE ISOLATED IN THE NRN PLAINS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING WHICH ADDS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY TO THE FORECAST. THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT A
SECOND AREA OF ELEVATED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS NE WY...SE MT
AND WRN SD LATE SATURDAY EVENING.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR AT GRAND FORKS LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOW AN IMPRESSIVE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT WITH
MLCAPE OF 3500 TO 4000 J/KG AND 700 TO 500 MB LAPSE RATES OF 8.5
C/KM. THIS ALONG WITH 30 TO 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR SHOULD EASILY
SUPPORT SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. HAIL GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN
DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MORE DOMINANT SUPERCELLS.
HOWEVER...WARM TEMPS ALOFT AND CONSIDERABLE CIN ON THE FORECAST
SOUNDINGS MAKES CONVECTIVE COVERAGE UNCERTAIN. IF SEVERAL SUPERCELLS
CAN INTENSIFY ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS BY EARLY EVENING...THEN AN
ENHANCED THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT MAY OCCUR NORTH OF THE
GRAND FORKS AREA NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER WHERE INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR PARAMETERS ARE MAXIMIZED AND COINCIDE WITH LOWER LCL HEIGHTS.
WIND DAMAGE MAY ALSO OCCUR ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTION CAN PERSIST INTO
THE EVENING ACROSS THE ERN DAKOTAS AND NW MN AS SOME OF THE MODELS
SUGGEST.
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE SWWD ACROSS CNTRL SD AND POSSIBLE
IN NRN NEB BUT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING SHOULD BE INCREASINGLY ISOLATED WITH SWWD EXTENT. A
HAIL THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH
ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE EWD INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS.
...SRN AND WRN NY/PA/NJ...
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE NERN STATES SATURDAY AS A
SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AHEAD OF THE DISTURBANCE...A NARROW AXIS OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY IS FORECAST BY AFTERNOON EXTENDING FROM LAKE ONTARIO
SEWD ACROSS WRN NY INTO NE PA. THE MODELS DEVELOP THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG THIS AXIS OF INSTABILITY WITH CONVECTION PERSISTING INTO THE
EARLY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT BINGHAMTON AT 21Z SHOW MLCAPE
VALUES OF 750 TO 1000 J/KG WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES OF 35 TO 40 KT
SUGGESTING THE ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT ROTATING STORMS WITH HAIL
POTENTIAL. UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY FLOW SHOULD ALSO BE FAVORABLE FOR
STRONG GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE
CONFINED TO A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY AND UNCERTAINTY STILL
EXISTS CONCERNING THE MAGNITUDE AND SPATIAL LOCATION OF THE GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT.
..BROYLES/BUNTING.. 06/08/2012
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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1098
ACUS11 KWNS 081726
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081725
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-081900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1098
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 081725Z - 081900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A WW WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF A INCREASING SEVERE THREAT THAT COULD REQUIRE ONE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY IN
RESPONSE TO HEATING TO CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES...AIDED BY
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IN THE EXIT REGION OF
A DIGGING UPPER JET STREAK...FROM PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST
QUEBEC INTO PARTS OF THE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO RATHER WEAK CAPE...DEEP LAYER NORTHWESTERLY
MEAN FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR ARE STILL QUITE MODEST ACROSS MOST
AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. SO...WHILE SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH
SOME STORMS...SEVERE POTENTIAL...AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM...SEEMS
RATHER LIMITED. TOWARD 20-22Z...AS THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL
JET STREAK BEGINS TO NOSE INTO THE ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
REGION...STRENGTHENING MEAN FLOW FIELDS COULD ENHANCE THE RISK FOR
POTENTIAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT CLEAR TO WHAT EXTENT PRECEDING CONVECTIVE CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE ON THE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BY
THAT TIME. POCKETS OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY LINGER...BUT
STRONG/SEVERE STORM COVERAGE MAY REMAIN FAIRLY SPARSE AND MARGINAL
IN NATURE.
..KERR/MEAD.. 06/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...ALY...BUF...
LAT...LON 47716897 46446907 45756980 45057059 44447125 44117226
43597311 43357376 43637492 44047569 44397618 47716897
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SWOMCD
SPC MCD 081725
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-081900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1098
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1225 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 081725Z - 081900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...IT IS NOT CERTAIN THAT A WW WILL BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY
OF A INCREASING SEVERE THREAT THAT COULD REQUIRE ONE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON.
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS UNDERWAY IN
RESPONSE TO HEATING TO CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES...AIDED BY
LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IN THE EXIT REGION OF
A DIGGING UPPER JET STREAK...FROM PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST
QUEBEC INTO PARTS OF THE HUDSON/CHAMPLAIN VALLEYS AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. IN ADDITION TO RATHER WEAK CAPE...DEEP LAYER NORTHWESTERLY
MEAN FLOW AND VERTICAL SHEAR ARE STILL QUITE MODEST ACROSS MOST
AREAS TO THE SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. SO...WHILE SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION WITH
SOME STORMS...SEVERE POTENTIAL...AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM...SEEMS
RATHER LIMITED. TOWARD 20-22Z...AS THE EXIT REGION OF THE MID-LEVEL
JET STREAK BEGINS TO NOSE INTO THE ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
REGION...STRENGTHENING MEAN FLOW FIELDS COULD ENHANCE THE RISK FOR
POTENTIAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER.
HOWEVER...IT IS NOT CLEAR TO WHAT EXTENT PRECEDING CONVECTIVE CLOUD
COVER AND PRECIPITATION WILL HAVE ON THE LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BY
THAT TIME. POCKETS OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY LINGER...BUT
STRONG/SEVERE STORM COVERAGE MAY REMAIN FAIRLY SPARSE AND MARGINAL
IN NATURE.
..KERR/MEAD.. 06/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...ALY...BUF...
LAT...LON 47716897 46446907 45756980 45057059 44447125 44117226
43597311 43357376 43637492 44047569 44397618 47716897
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KHGX [081721]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KHGX 081721
LSRHGX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1221 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNE HUNTERS CREEK VIL 29.85N 95.48W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA
TREES DOWN AND BRICK WALL DAMAGED NEAR THE
TIDWELL/BINGLE/LUMBERDALE AREA ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
THE HOUSTON AREA.
0515 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N HUNTERS CREEK VILLA 29.85N 95.50W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX COUNTY OFFICIAL
WINDOW DAMAGE TO 30 CARS AROUND THE HARRIS COUNTY
APPRAISAL DISTRICT.
0535 PM HAIL 3 SE SPRING 30.03N 95.35W
06/07/2012 E0.75 INCH HARRIS TX PUBLIC
PENNY SIZE HAIL OBSERVED 3.3 MILES SOUTH OF SPRING.
0810 PM TSTM WND DMG HUNGERFORD 29.40N 96.08W
06/07/2012 WHARTON TX EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER LINES DOWN NEAR HUNGERFORD.
&&
$$
PKUHN
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LSRHGX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1221 PM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNE HUNTERS CREEK VIL 29.85N 95.48W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA
TREES DOWN AND BRICK WALL DAMAGED NEAR THE
TIDWELL/BINGLE/LUMBERDALE AREA ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
THE HOUSTON AREA.
0515 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N HUNTERS CREEK VILLA 29.85N 95.50W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX COUNTY OFFICIAL
WINDOW DAMAGE TO 30 CARS AROUND THE HARRIS COUNTY
APPRAISAL DISTRICT.
0535 PM HAIL 3 SE SPRING 30.03N 95.35W
06/07/2012 E0.75 INCH HARRIS TX PUBLIC
PENNY SIZE HAIL OBSERVED 3.3 MILES SOUTH OF SPRING.
0810 PM TSTM WND DMG HUNGERFORD 29.40N 96.08W
06/07/2012 WHARTON TX EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER LINES DOWN NEAR HUNGERFORD.
&&
$$
PKUHN
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KABR [081651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KABR 081651
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1150 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TSTM WND GST 12 WNW EAGLE BUTTE 45.07N 101.47W
06/07/2012 M65 MPH DEWEY SD MESONET
PEAK WIND REPORTED AT THE BEAR CREEK RAWS BETWEEN 452PM
AND 552PM MDT.
0623 PM HAIL 1 NE GREEN GRASS 45.18N 101.23W
06/07/2012 E0.70 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC
0700 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N HERREID 45.87N 100.08W
06/07/2012 M59 MPH CAMPBELL SD MESONET
MEASURED WIND GUST AT THE HERREID RWIS.
0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.71W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF REMOVED FROM OUTBUILDING.
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N AGAR 44.85N 100.07W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND LASTED ABOUT 30 MINUTES
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.63W
06/07/2012 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC
WINDOWS OUT ON WEST SIDE OF HOUSE. SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOF. HORSE TRAILER TIPPED OVER. WIND DRIVEN PEA SIZED
HAIL DAMAGED CROPS.
0723 PM TSTM WND GST MOBRIDGE 45.54N 100.44W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH WALWORTH SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0725 PM TSTM WND GST MOBRIDGE 45.54N 100.44W
06/07/2012 M77 MPH WALWORTH SD ASOS
MEASURED AT THE MOBRIDGE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. TREES BLOWN
DOWN AND PARTIAL ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING.
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS
0822 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W ROSCOE 45.45N 99.38W
06/07/2012 E55 MPH EDMUNDS SD EMERGENCY MNGR
0832 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S REE HEIGHTS 44.44N 99.20W
06/07/2012 E50 MPH HAND SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND WAS BLOWING SOME LEAVES OFF THE TREES AND THE HAIL
WAS VERY BRIEF
0845 PM TSTM WND GST OACOMA 43.80N 99.38W
06/07/2012 M58 MPH LYMAN SD MESONET
SDSU MESONET SITE
0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 N LITTLE EAGLE 45.74N 100.80W
06/07/2012 E2.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0905 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S MCLAUGHLIN 45.77N 100.81W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0915 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE LITTLE EAGLE 45.64N 100.74W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE TRAIL CITY 45.50N 100.64W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD PUBLIC
SIGNIFICANT RUSHING WATER DOWNHILL WITH WATER OVER
COUNTY ROADS. WATER FILLED TIERED DAMS.
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200186 ABR1200171 ABR1200187 ABR1200184 ABR1200179
ABR1200180 ABR1200172 ABR1200173 ABR1200183 ABR1200174 ABR1200175
ABR1200185 ABR1200176 ABR1200177 ABR1200178 ABR1200181 ABR1200182
$$
NWS ABR
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1150 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TSTM WND GST 12 WNW EAGLE BUTTE 45.07N 101.47W
06/07/2012 M65 MPH DEWEY SD MESONET
PEAK WIND REPORTED AT THE BEAR CREEK RAWS BETWEEN 452PM
AND 552PM MDT.
0623 PM HAIL 1 NE GREEN GRASS 45.18N 101.23W
06/07/2012 E0.70 INCH DEWEY SD PUBLIC
0700 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N HERREID 45.87N 100.08W
06/07/2012 M59 MPH CAMPBELL SD MESONET
MEASURED WIND GUST AT THE HERREID RWIS.
0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.71W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF REMOVED FROM OUTBUILDING.
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N AGAR 44.85N 100.07W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND LASTED ABOUT 30 MINUTES
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.63W
06/07/2012 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC
WINDOWS OUT ON WEST SIDE OF HOUSE. SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOF. HORSE TRAILER TIPPED OVER. WIND DRIVEN PEA SIZED
HAIL DAMAGED CROPS.
0723 PM TSTM WND GST MOBRIDGE 45.54N 100.44W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH WALWORTH SD TRAINED SPOTTER
0725 PM TSTM WND GST MOBRIDGE 45.54N 100.44W
06/07/2012 M77 MPH WALWORTH SD ASOS
MEASURED AT THE MOBRIDGE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT. TREES BLOWN
DOWN AND PARTIAL ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING.
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS
0822 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W ROSCOE 45.45N 99.38W
06/07/2012 E55 MPH EDMUNDS SD EMERGENCY MNGR
0832 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S REE HEIGHTS 44.44N 99.20W
06/07/2012 E50 MPH HAND SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND WAS BLOWING SOME LEAVES OFF THE TREES AND THE HAIL
WAS VERY BRIEF
0845 PM TSTM WND GST OACOMA 43.80N 99.38W
06/07/2012 M58 MPH LYMAN SD MESONET
SDSU MESONET SITE
0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 N LITTLE EAGLE 45.74N 100.80W
06/07/2012 E2.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0905 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 S MCLAUGHLIN 45.77N 100.81W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0915 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE LITTLE EAGLE 45.64N 100.74W
06/07/2012 E1.00 INCH CORSON SD PUBLIC
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE TRAIL CITY 45.50N 100.64W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD PUBLIC
SIGNIFICANT RUSHING WATER DOWNHILL WITH WATER OVER
COUNTY ROADS. WATER FILLED TIERED DAMS.
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200186 ABR1200171 ABR1200187 ABR1200184 ABR1200179
ABR1200180 ABR1200172 ABR1200173 ABR1200183 ABR1200174 ABR1200175
ABR1200185 ABR1200176 ABR1200177 ABR1200178 ABR1200181 ABR1200182
$$
NWS ABR
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KHGX [081649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KHGX 081649
LSRHGX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNE HUNTERS CREEK VIL 29.85N 95.48W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA
TREES DOWN AND BRICK WALL DAMAGED NEAR THE
TIDWELL/BINGLE/LUMBERDALE AREA ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
THE HOUSTON AREA.
0535 PM HAIL 3 SE SPRING 30.03N 95.35W
06/07/2012 E0.75 INCH HARRIS TX PUBLIC
PENNY SIZE HAIL OBSERVED 3.3 MILES SOUTH OF SPRING.
0810 PM TSTM WND DMG HUNGERFORD 29.40N 96.08W
06/07/2012 WHARTON TX EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER LINES DOWN NEAR HUNGERFORD.
&&
CORRECTED LOCATION FOR 5 PM REPORT.
$$
PKUHN
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LSRHGX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1149 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NNE HUNTERS CREEK VIL 29.85N 95.48W
06/07/2012 HARRIS TX BROADCAST MEDIA
TREES DOWN AND BRICK WALL DAMAGED NEAR THE
TIDWELL/BINGLE/LUMBERDALE AREA ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF
THE HOUSTON AREA.
0535 PM HAIL 3 SE SPRING 30.03N 95.35W
06/07/2012 E0.75 INCH HARRIS TX PUBLIC
PENNY SIZE HAIL OBSERVED 3.3 MILES SOUTH OF SPRING.
0810 PM TSTM WND DMG HUNGERFORD 29.40N 96.08W
06/07/2012 WHARTON TX EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER LINES DOWN NEAR HUNGERFORD.
&&
CORRECTED LOCATION FOR 5 PM REPORT.
$$
PKUHN
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 081623
SWODY1
SPC AC 081621
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT FOR THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HUDSON VALLEY INTO NEW ENGLAND...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WA COASTS WILL MOVE INLAND
INTO THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NW WITH AN ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK
AND 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS OF 60-90 M/12-HR DEVELOPING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY CRESTING MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY
INTO SRN MANITOBA/WRN ONTARIO WILL WEAKEN WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN
INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
FARTHER E...MID TO UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS OVER ERN ONTARIO WILL
DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE HUDSON VALLEY/WRN NEW ENGLAND...
CONTRIBUTING TO THE AMPLIFICATION OF UPPER TROUGH ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND/NEW BRUNSWICK/NOVA SCOTIA.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER ERN MT WILL DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS MENTIONED ABOVE WITH CYCLONE DEVELOPING INTO
WRN ND BY 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ATTENDED BY A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...A COLD
FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND IN CONJUNCTION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TODAY OWING TO
DEEPENING LEE CYCLONE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS INCREASING
THROUGH THE 50S BENEATH AN EML/STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME PRECEDING
PACIFIC NW SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN
08/21-09/00Z N/NW OF SURFACE LOW WHERE CONVERGENCE/UPSLOPE FLOW IS
ENHANCED. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME SWD
ALONG LEE TROUGH INTO FAR ERN WY/WRN SD. LOCAL ENVIRONMENT BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-2500
J/KG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH 35-50 KT DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM
MODE WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WHILE
A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...A MORE ROBUST THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY
RELATIVELY HIGH LCL HEIGHTS OWING TO SIZABLE T-TD SPREADS.
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO AN MCS IS POSSIBLE BY MID-LATE EVENING
OVER ERN MT WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CONTINUING
TONIGHT INTO WRN ND.
...NERN U.S...
DESPITE MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S/...COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 500-1000 J/KG. FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER SYSTEM WILL GIVE RISE TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS
THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING DEEP
LAYER SHEAR. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
RELATIVELY COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL INTO
THIS EVENING.
...UPPER GREAT LAKES...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF MIDLEVEL PERTURBATION AND SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL
WAA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A SLOW INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. INITIALLY ELEVATED
STORMS MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE ROOTED IN A WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON WHERE MLCAPE WILL INCREASE TO
1000-2000 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE A VERTICALLY
VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 35-45 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL
SUPPORT ROTATING/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS THOUGH A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OWING TO
THE PRESENCE OF A 30 KT SWLY LLJ AND RESULTANT ENHANCEMENT OF
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...
12Z TAMPA/MIAMI/KEY WEST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S AND LOWEST
100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 16-17+ G PER KG/ WHICH IS ALREADY
CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1500-2500 J/KG. ONGOING STORMS SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE TODAY...FOCUSED ALONG DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND SYNOPTIC FRONT STALLED ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OWING TO WATER LOADING EFFECTS.
..MEAD/ROGERS.. 06/08/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 081621
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 081630Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT FOR THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE HUDSON VALLEY INTO NEW ENGLAND...
...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LOW OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WA COASTS WILL MOVE INLAND
INTO THE INTERIOR PACIFIC NW WITH AN ASSOCIATED MIDLEVEL JET STREAK
AND 500-MB HEIGHT FALLS OF 60-90 M/12-HR DEVELOPING EWD ACROSS THE
NRN HIGH PLAINS. DOWNSTREAM FROM THIS FEATURE...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY CRESTING MIDLEVEL RIDGE AXIS OVER THE RED RIVER VALLEY
INTO SRN MANITOBA/WRN ONTARIO WILL WEAKEN WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN
INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT FLOW REGIME OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.
FARTHER E...MID TO UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAKS OVER ERN ONTARIO WILL
DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH THE HUDSON VALLEY/WRN NEW ENGLAND...
CONTRIBUTING TO THE AMPLIFICATION OF UPPER TROUGH ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND/NEW BRUNSWICK/NOVA SCOTIA.
AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE OVER ERN MT WILL DEEPEN IN RESPONSE TO
INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS MENTIONED ABOVE WITH CYCLONE DEVELOPING INTO
WRN ND BY 09/12Z. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ATTENDED BY A COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. ELSEWHERE...A COLD
FRONT WILL ADVANCE SEWD THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY INTO NEW
ENGLAND IN CONJUNCTION WITH AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH.
...NRN HIGH PLAINS...
SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN TODAY OWING TO
DEEPENING LEE CYCLONE WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS INCREASING
THROUGH THE 50S BENEATH AN EML/STEEP LAPSE RATE PLUME PRECEDING
PACIFIC NW SYSTEM. LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT IN
SUGGESTING AN INCREASED LIKELIHOOD FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT BETWEEN
08/21-09/00Z N/NW OF SURFACE LOW WHERE CONVERGENCE/UPSLOPE FLOW IS
ENHANCED. MORE ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS TIME SWD
ALONG LEE TROUGH INTO FAR ERN WY/WRN SD. LOCAL ENVIRONMENT BY LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE OF 1000-2500
J/KG AND VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH 35-50 KT DEEP-LAYER
SHEAR. AS SUCH...SETUP WILL FAVOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM
MODE WITH A RESULTANT RISK FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. WHILE
A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE...A MORE ROBUST THREAT WILL BE LIMITED BY
RELATIVELY HIGH LCL HEIGHTS OWING TO SIZABLE T-TD SPREADS.
UPSCALE GROWTH OF STORMS INTO AN MCS IS POSSIBLE BY MID-LATE EVENING
OVER ERN MT WITH A RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL CONTINUING
TONIGHT INTO WRN ND.
...NERN U.S...
DESPITE MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE
50S/...COOLING MIDLEVEL TEMPERATURES AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO AIR MASS DESTABILIZATION WITH MLCAPE VALUES
APPROACHING 500-1000 J/KG. FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
AMPLIFYING UPPER SYSTEM WILL GIVE RISE TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS
THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT OF GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING DEEP
LAYER SHEAR. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
RELATIVELY COOL THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES...A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL INTO
THIS EVENING.
...UPPER GREAT LAKES...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF MIDLEVEL PERTURBATION AND SUSTAINED LOW-LEVEL
WAA ARE EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE TO A SLOW INCREASE IN STORM COVERAGE
THROUGH THE PEAK OF THE DIURNAL HEATING CYCLE. INITIALLY ELEVATED
STORMS MAY BECOME PROGRESSIVELY MORE ROOTED IN A WARMING/MOISTENING
BOUNDARY LAYER THIS AFTERNOON WHERE MLCAPE WILL INCREASE TO
1000-2000 J/KG. KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT WILL FEATURE A VERTICALLY
VEERING WIND PROFILE WITH 35-45 KT OF DEEP NWLY SHEAR WHICH WILL
SUPPORT ROTATING/SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS THOUGH A TORNADO IS POSSIBLE OWING TO
THE PRESENCE OF A 30 KT SWLY LLJ AND RESULTANT ENHANCEMENT OF
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.
...CNTRL/SRN FL PENINSULA...
12Z TAMPA/MIAMI/KEY WEST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THE PRESENCE OF A VERY
MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER /I.E. DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S AND LOWEST
100-MB MEAN-MIXING RATIOS OF 16-17+ G PER KG/ WHICH IS ALREADY
CONTRIBUTING TO A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE OF
1500-2500 J/KG. ONGOING STORMS SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE IN AREAL
COVERAGE TODAY...FOCUSED ALONG DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS
AND SYNOPTIC FRONT STALLED ACROSS THE AREA. GIVEN THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT...SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OWING TO WATER LOADING EFFECTS.
..MEAD/ROGERS.. 06/08/2012
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KABR [081621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081621
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N HERREID 45.87N 100.08W
06/07/2012 M59 MPH CAMPBELL SD MESONET
MEASURED WIND GUST AT THE HERREID RWIS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200187
$$
FOWLE
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1121 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 PM TSTM WND GST 2 N HERREID 45.87N 100.08W
06/07/2012 M59 MPH CAMPBELL SD MESONET
MEASURED WIND GUST AT THE HERREID RWIS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200187
$$
FOWLE
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KABR [081613]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081613
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1113 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TSTM WND GST 12 WNW EAGLE BUTTE 45.07N 101.47W
06/07/2012 M65 MPH DEWEY SD MESONET
PEAK WIND REPORTED AT THE BEAR CREEK RAWS BETWEEN 452PM
AND 552PM MDT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200186
$$
FOWLE
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1113 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TSTM WND GST 12 WNW EAGLE BUTTE 45.07N 101.47W
06/07/2012 M65 MPH DEWEY SD MESONET
PEAK WIND REPORTED AT THE BEAR CREEK RAWS BETWEEN 452PM
AND 552PM MDT.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200186
$$
FOWLE
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KABR [081608]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081608
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1108 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM TSTM WND GST OACOMA 43.80N 99.38W
06/07/2012 M58 MPH LYMAN SD MESONET
SDSU MESONET SITE
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200185
$$
TMK
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1108 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0845 PM TSTM WND GST OACOMA 43.80N 99.38W
06/07/2012 M58 MPH LYMAN SD MESONET
SDSU MESONET SITE
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200185
$$
TMK
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KABR [081559]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081559
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1058 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.71W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF REMOVED FROM OUTBUILDING.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200184
$$
FOWLE
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1058 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0710 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.71W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD EMERGENCY MNGR
ROOF REMOVED FROM OUTBUILDING.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200184
$$
FOWLE
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KABR [081555]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS53 KABR 081555
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1055 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
CORRECTED EVENT
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200182
$$
SD
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1055 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
CORRECTED EVENT
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200182
$$
SD
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KABR [081553]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081553
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200183
$$
SD
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1053 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200183
$$
SD
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KABR [081552]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081552
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1052 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200182
$$
SD
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1052 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 SW POLLOCK 45.83N 100.39W
06/07/2012 M1.50 INCH CAMPBELL SD PUBLIC
WATER RAN OVER THE ROADWAY CAUSING DEEP RUTS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200182
$$
SD
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KLCH [081530]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLCH 081530
LSRLCH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1030 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W BELL CITY 30.11N 93.00W
06/07/2012 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE
NWS METEOROLOGIST REPORTS A TREE BLOWN DOWN TWO MILES
WEST OF BELL CITY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
DJONES
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LSRLCH
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1030 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W BELL CITY 30.11N 93.00W
06/07/2012 CALCASIEU LA NWS EMPLOYEE
NWS METEOROLOGIST REPORTS A TREE BLOWN DOWN TWO MILES
WEST OF BELL CITY. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
DJONES
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KABR [081519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081519
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1019 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE TRAIL CITY 45.50N 100.64W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD PUBLIC
SIGNIFICANT RUSHING WATER DOWNHILL WITH WATER OVER
COUNTY ROADS. WATER FILLED TIERED DAMS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200181
$$
FOWLE
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1019 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 ENE TRAIL CITY 45.50N 100.64W
06/07/2012 CORSON SD PUBLIC
SIGNIFICANT RUSHING WATER DOWNHILL WITH WATER OVER
COUNTY ROADS. WATER FILLED TIERED DAMS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200181
$$
FOWLE
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KLBF [081518]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 081518
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1018 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM HAIL 10 NE OSHKOSH 41.51N 102.21W
06/08/2012 E2.50 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER
A COOP OBSERVER LOCATED 10NE OF OSHKOSH REPORTED THAT
GOLF BALL AND TENNIS SIZE HAIL BROKE OUT WINDOWS AND
SKYLIGHTS 1E AND 1/2 SOUTH OF HIS LOCATION LAST NIGHT
AROUND 9PN CST.
&&
$$
JSWEET
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1018 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0915 AM HAIL 10 NE OSHKOSH 41.51N 102.21W
06/08/2012 E2.50 INCH GARDEN NE CO-OP OBSERVER
A COOP OBSERVER LOCATED 10NE OF OSHKOSH REPORTED THAT
GOLF BALL AND TENNIS SIZE HAIL BROKE OUT WINDOWS AND
SKYLIGHTS 1E AND 1/2 SOUTH OF HIS LOCATION LAST NIGHT
AROUND 9PN CST.
&&
$$
JSWEET
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KABR [081500]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081500
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1000 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.63W
06/07/2012 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC
WINDOWS OUT ON WEST SIDE OF HOUSE. SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOF. HORSE TRAILER TIPPED OVER. WIND DRIVEN PEA SIZED
HAIL DAMAGED CROPS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200180
$$
FOWLE
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1000 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 5 E TRAIL CITY 45.47N 100.63W
06/07/2012 E70 MPH CORSON SD PUBLIC
WINDOWS OUT ON WEST SIDE OF HOUSE. SHINGLES BLOWN OFF
ROOF. HORSE TRAILER TIPPED OVER. WIND DRIVEN PEA SIZED
HAIL DAMAGED CROPS.
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200180
$$
FOWLE
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KLBF [081435]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 081435
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
935 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1140 PM HAIL 15 NW RUSHVILLE 42.87N 102.68W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH SHERIDAN NE PUBLIC
QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL OCCURRED. DELAYED
REPORT FROM JUNE 7TH.
&&
$$
CARMEL
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
935 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1140 PM HAIL 15 NW RUSHVILLE 42.87N 102.68W
06/07/2012 M1.25 INCH SHERIDAN NE PUBLIC
QUARTER TO HALF DOLLAR SIZED HAIL OCCURRED. DELAYED
REPORT FROM JUNE 7TH.
&&
$$
CARMEL
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KAMA [081340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KAMA 081340
LSRAMA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
839 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM TSTM WND DMG BEAVER 36.81N 100.52W
06/08/2012 BEAVER OK EMERGENCY MNGR
GAS STATION SIGN BLOWN OVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER AMA1200513
$$
SFJ
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LSRAMA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
839 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0825 AM TSTM WND DMG BEAVER 36.81N 100.52W
06/08/2012 BEAVER OK EMERGENCY MNGR
GAS STATION SIGN BLOWN OVER
&&
EVENT NUMBER AMA1200513
$$
SFJ
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KABR [081338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KABR 081338
LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
838 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N AGAR 44.85N 100.07W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND LASTED ABOUT 30 MINUTES
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200179
$$
TMK
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LSRABR
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
838 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0715 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N AGAR 44.85N 100.07W
06/07/2012 E60 MPH SULLY SD CO-OP OBSERVER
WIND LASTED ABOUT 30 MINUTES
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABR1200179
$$
TMK
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KAMA [081326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KAMA 081326
LSRAMA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
826 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0820 AM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW BEAVER 36.80N 100.53W
06/08/2012 M58 MPH BEAVER OK MESONET
&&
EVENT NUMBER AMA1200512
$$
SFJ
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LSRAMA
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
826 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0820 AM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW BEAVER 36.80N 100.53W
06/08/2012 M58 MPH BEAVER OK MESONET
&&
EVENT NUMBER AMA1200512
$$
SFJ
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 081259
SWODY1
SPC AC 081258
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 081300Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NERN
STATES...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE UPR MS
VLY/UPR GRT LKS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER WRN PARTS OF THE NRN
PLNS...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH/RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NRN
HALF OF THE CONUS THIS PERIOD...WITH WEAK FLOW ACROSS THE SRN TIER.
CLOSED LOW OFF VANCOUVER ISLAND SHOULD CONTINUE SE INTO ORE BY EARLY
SAT AS A SERIES OF WEAK DOWNSTREAM DISTURBANCES TRACK NE ACROSS ID
AND MT. FARTHER E...SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SRN SK/ND LIKELY WILL
WEAKEN AS IT SHEARS ESE IN CONFLUENT FLOW OVER WRN ONT/LK
SUPERIOR...WHILE IMPULSE NOW ENTERING SW QUE AMPLIFIES SE INTO ERN
NEW ENGLAND.
DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTMS...SOME POSSIBLY SVR...WILL ACCOMPANY THE
SHORTWAVE FEATURES OVER PARTS OF THE NRN PLNS...THE UPR MS VLY...AND
THE NERN STATES.
...NERN U.S. THIS AFTN/EVE...
INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT/UPR DIFFLUENCE WILL OVERSPREAD UPSTATE
NY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AHEAD OF UPR IMPULSE AMPLIFYING SEWD
FROM QUE. WHILE THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN HIGH-LVL
CLOUDS...APPROACH OF SYSTEM ALSO WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STEEPENING
MID LVL LAPSE RATES. LOW LVL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK...AND
MOISTURE COMPARATIVELY SPARSE. BUT COMBINATION OF INCREASING
ASCENT...STEEPENING MID LVL LAPSE RATES...AND SFC HEATING SHOULD
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF A SHORT BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF STORMS OVER
NRN/ERN NY AND WRN/NRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY TO MID AFTN. 30-40 KT
NWLY MID LVL FLOW SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS/MULTICELLS WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND/HAIL. WHILE BOTH WINDS
AND ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET...THE STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH WITH ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING.
...UPR MS VLY/UPR GRT LKS THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
WEAK WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL PREVAIL OVER NE MN...WI...AND UPR
MI TODAY AS SK/ND UPR IMPULSE SHEARS ESE TOWARD ONT. IN WAKE OF
EARLY DAY ELEVATED WAA CONVECTION/STORMS...SFC HEATING...MOISTURE
INFLOW...AND GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT NEW
STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTN GIVEN ABSENCE OF AN APPRECIABLE EML.
30-40 KT SWLY FLOW AT 850 MB VEERING TO NW WINDS OF SIMILAR SPEEDS
AT MID LVLS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.
CURRENT SFC OBS AND PW DATA SUGGEST...HOWEVER...THAT WARM SECTOR
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY LIMITED FOR THE TIME OF
YEAR...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS LIKELY TO AVERAGE IN THE UPR 50S TO LOW
60S F. AS A RESULT...HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN
SVR THREATS. TORNADO OR TWO COULD...HOWEVER...OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN
NE MN AND NW WI. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL EVOLVE INTO A CLUSTER OVER
NRN MI THIS EVE...WITH A DIMINISHING THREAT FOR SVR.
...MT/WRN ND THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER THE NRN HI PLNS TODAY...ESPECIALLY
FROM ERN MT INTO WRN ND/NW SD. MID LVL WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BACK
ACROSS MT TODAY...DOWNSTREAM FROM MAIN UPR LOW/TROUGH MOVING TOWARD
ORE. THIS PATTERN WILL STRENGTHEN LEE SFC LOW OVER THE NRN HI PLNS
AND MAINTAIN LOW LVL ELY FLOW/MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER CNTRL/ERN MT
AHEAD OF ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. FOR THIS REASON...AND WITH SFC
HEATING...EXPECT THAT LOW LVL BUOYANCY WILL DEVELOP SUFFICIENTLY FAR
W TO SUPPORT STRONG TSTM DEVELOPMENT JUST E OF THE MT RCKYS BY
MID-LATE AFTN. THESE STORMS SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND MOVE/DEVELOP E
INTO ERN MT THIS EVE...WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY AND LOW LVL SHEAR
WILL EXIST...POSING A RISK FOR SVR HAIL...HIGH WIND...AND POSSIBLY A
COUPLE TORNADOES.
SUSTAINED WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER ERN MT SHOULD FAVOR
DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS OR TWO OVER THE REGION TNGT. THESE SHOULD
MOVE MAINLY E INTO WRN ND LATER TNGT/EARLY SAT...WITH HAIL AND
LOCALLY DMGG WIND THE MAIN SVR THREATS.
..CORFIDI/LEITMAN.. 06/08/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 081258
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 AM CDT FRI JUN 08 2012
VALID 081300Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NERN
STATES...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE UPR MS
VLY/UPR GRT LKS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER WRN PARTS OF THE NRN
PLNS...
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH/RIDGE/TROUGH PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NRN
HALF OF THE CONUS THIS PERIOD...WITH WEAK FLOW ACROSS THE SRN TIER.
CLOSED LOW OFF VANCOUVER ISLAND SHOULD CONTINUE SE INTO ORE BY EARLY
SAT AS A SERIES OF WEAK DOWNSTREAM DISTURBANCES TRACK NE ACROSS ID
AND MT. FARTHER E...SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SRN SK/ND LIKELY WILL
WEAKEN AS IT SHEARS ESE IN CONFLUENT FLOW OVER WRN ONT/LK
SUPERIOR...WHILE IMPULSE NOW ENTERING SW QUE AMPLIFIES SE INTO ERN
NEW ENGLAND.
DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTMS...SOME POSSIBLY SVR...WILL ACCOMPANY THE
SHORTWAVE FEATURES OVER PARTS OF THE NRN PLNS...THE UPR MS VLY...AND
THE NERN STATES.
...NERN U.S. THIS AFTN/EVE...
INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT/UPR DIFFLUENCE WILL OVERSPREAD UPSTATE
NY AND NRN NEW ENGLAND TODAY AHEAD OF UPR IMPULSE AMPLIFYING SEWD
FROM QUE. WHILE THIS WILL LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN HIGH-LVL
CLOUDS...APPROACH OF SYSTEM ALSO WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY STEEPENING
MID LVL LAPSE RATES. LOW LVL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN WEAK...AND
MOISTURE COMPARATIVELY SPARSE. BUT COMBINATION OF INCREASING
ASCENT...STEEPENING MID LVL LAPSE RATES...AND SFC HEATING SHOULD
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF A SHORT BANDS/SMALL CLUSTERS OF STORMS OVER
NRN/ERN NY AND WRN/NRN NEW ENGLAND BY EARLY TO MID AFTN. 30-40 KT
NWLY MID LVL FLOW SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SUSTAINED
STORMS/MULTICELLS WITH A RISK FOR SVR WIND/HAIL. WHILE BOTH WINDS
AND ASCENT WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AFTER SUNSET...THE STORMS
SHOULD DIMINISH WITH ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING.
...UPR MS VLY/UPR GRT LKS THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
WEAK WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT WILL PREVAIL OVER NE MN...WI...AND UPR
MI TODAY AS SK/ND UPR IMPULSE SHEARS ESE TOWARD ONT. IN WAKE OF
EARLY DAY ELEVATED WAA CONVECTION/STORMS...SFC HEATING...MOISTURE
INFLOW...AND GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT NEW
STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTN GIVEN ABSENCE OF AN APPRECIABLE EML.
30-40 KT SWLY FLOW AT 850 MB VEERING TO NW WINDS OF SIMILAR SPEEDS
AT MID LVLS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.
CURRENT SFC OBS AND PW DATA SUGGEST...HOWEVER...THAT WARM SECTOR
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN COMPARATIVELY LIMITED FOR THE TIME OF
YEAR...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS LIKELY TO AVERAGE IN THE UPR 50S TO LOW
60S F. AS A RESULT...HAIL AND LOCALLY DMGG WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN
SVR THREATS. TORNADO OR TWO COULD...HOWEVER...OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN
NE MN AND NW WI. THE STORMS LIKELY WILL EVOLVE INTO A CLUSTER OVER
NRN MI THIS EVE...WITH A DIMINISHING THREAT FOR SVR.
...MT/WRN ND THIS AFTN INTO TNGT...
STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER THE NRN HI PLNS TODAY...ESPECIALLY
FROM ERN MT INTO WRN ND/NW SD. MID LVL WINDS WILL INCREASE AND BACK
ACROSS MT TODAY...DOWNSTREAM FROM MAIN UPR LOW/TROUGH MOVING TOWARD
ORE. THIS PATTERN WILL STRENGTHEN LEE SFC LOW OVER THE NRN HI PLNS
AND MAINTAIN LOW LVL ELY FLOW/MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER CNTRL/ERN MT
AHEAD OF ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. FOR THIS REASON...AND WITH SFC
HEATING...EXPECT THAT LOW LVL BUOYANCY WILL DEVELOP SUFFICIENTLY FAR
W TO SUPPORT STRONG TSTM DEVELOPMENT JUST E OF THE MT RCKYS BY
MID-LATE AFTN. THESE STORMS SHOULD STRENGTHEN AND MOVE/DEVELOP E
INTO ERN MT THIS EVE...WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY AND LOW LVL SHEAR
WILL EXIST...POSING A RISK FOR SVR HAIL...HIGH WIND...AND POSSIBLY A
COUPLE TORNADOES.
SUSTAINED WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER ERN MT SHOULD FAVOR
DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS OR TWO OVER THE REGION TNGT. THESE SHOULD
MOVE MAINLY E INTO WRN ND LATER TNGT/EARLY SAT...WITH HAIL AND
LOCALLY DMGG WIND THE MAIN SVR THREATS.
..CORFIDI/LEITMAN.. 06/08/2012
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