MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1795

ACUS11 KWNS 210250
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 210250
TXZ000-210415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1795
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0950 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NW TX AND SOUTH-PLAINS REGION.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 586...

VALID 210250Z - 210415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 586
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...REMAINDER WW MAY BE CLEARED BEHIND MCS MOVING SEWD 30-40
KT ACROSS SERN PANHANDLE AND SOUTH-PLAINS REGION. PRIND SVR THREAT
HAS PEAKED...BUT CORRIDOR OF THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND REMAINS
BETWEEN CDS-LBB BEFORE COMPLEX ENCOUNTERS PROGRESSIVELY MORE STABLE
AIR AND WEAKENS FURTHER.

DISCUSSION...FORWARD-PROPAGATIONAL MCS THAT PRODUCED SEVERAL SVR
GUSTS IN AMA AREA -- INCLUDING AT LEAST TWO ABOVE 65 KT -- WAS
EVIDENT AT 230Z FROM HALL COUNTY SWWD TO NEAR LBB. MRGLLY SVR/50-KT
GUSTS ALSO WERE MEASURED AT LBB AT 226Z AND TURKEY (HALL COUNTY)
MESONET SITE AT 220Z. NARROW CORRIDOR OF LINGERING SFC-BASED
BUOYANCY IS EVIDENT ALONG AND SW OF QUASISTATIONARY SFC FRONT
ANALYZED FROM HALL COUNTY SEWD TO NEAR ABI...AND ALONG AND E OF
MOIST AXIS DRAWN JUST E OF LBB-SJT LINE. SFC DEW POINTS GENERALLY
MID 50S TO LOW 60S F CONTRIBUTE TO ESTIMATED MLCAPE 300-800 J/KG IN
THAT SWATH. ALONG AND W OF FRONT...MLCAPE WILL CONTINUE DECREASING
TREND WHILE MLCINH INCREASES WITH TIME...AS DIABATIC SFC COOLING
CONTINUES. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE GEN/GRADUAL WKNG TREND ALREADY
EVIDENT IN REFLECTIVITY/BASE-VELOCITY RADAR AND IR-SATELLITE
IMAGERY. HOWEVER...A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS CANNOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH
ABOUT 04Z AS CONVECTION PROCEEDS SEWD OVER CENTRAL/SRN SECTIONS OF
CAPROCK AND ERN SOUTH-PLAINS REGION.

..EDWARDS.. 08/21/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 33670261 33710189 34290115 34650065 34260019 33479989
33329990 32870052 32890178 33250260 33670261

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KLUB [210248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 210248
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
948 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0920 PM TSTM WND GST 2 WSW TURKEY 34.38N 100.93W
08/20/2012 M58 MPH HALL TX MESONET

WEST TEXAS MESONET REPORT


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200367

$$

JWJ

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KTAE [210245]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 210245
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1045 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1044 PM HEAVY RAIN 10 WSW PERRY 30.06N 83.74W
08/20/2012 M4.00 INCH TAYLOR FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WCTV RELAYED A VIEWER REPORT OF 4 INCHES OF RAIN ABOUT 10
MILES WSW OF PERRY.


&&

$$

DVD

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KJAX [210239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 210239
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1039 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0230 PM LIGHTNING 5 SW DURBIN 30.03N 81.51W
08/20/2012 ST. JOHNS FL 911 CALL CENTER

ST. JOHNS COUNTY 911 DISPATCH REPORTS A STRUCTURE FIRE
DUE TO A LIGHTNING STRIKE. TIME OF INCIDENT BASED ON
RADAR AND LIGHTNING STRIKE DATA.


&&

$$

NELSON

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KPSR [210237]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 210237
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
737 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 E MESA 33.42N 111.64W
08/20/2012 M1.25 INCH MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL OCCURRED IN 35 MINUTES.


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200257

$$

MB

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KPSR [210234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 210234
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
734 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW CHANDLER 33.28N 111.90W
08/20/2012 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN. CHANDLER BLVD AND THE 101


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200256

$$

MB

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KLUB [210230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 210230
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
930 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0926 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NE LUBBOCK 33.64N 101.80W
08/20/2012 M58 MPH LUBBOCK TX ASOS

WIND GUST TO 58 MPH AT THE KLBB ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200366

$$

JWJ

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KJAX [210230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 210230
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1030 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1240 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 ENE ICHETUCKNEE SPRIN 29.99N 82.69W
08/20/2012 COLUMBIA FL 911 CALL CENTER

COLUMBIA COUNTY 911 DISPATCH REPORTS A LARGE TREE DOWNED
BY STRONG WIND GUSTS THAT IMPACTED A HOME IN THE FORT
WHITE AREA. TIME OF DAMAGE BASED ON RADAR DATA.


&&

$$

NELSON

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KPSR [210229]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 210229
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
728 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 WSW EAST MESA 33.41N 111.71W
08/20/2012 MARICOPA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER

CARPORT BLOWN DOWN AND 2 TO 3 IN. TREE BRANCHES BROKEN
AND HOUSE ROOF DAMAGED


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200255

$$

PSR

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KAMA [210224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210224
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
924 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM TSTM WND DMG LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.06N 101.78W
08/20/2012 RANDALL TX PUBLIC

ROOF BLOWN OFF A METAL BUILDING NEAR THE CLAUDE HIGHWAY
AND TANGLEWOOD ROAD


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200637

$$

SFJ

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KTBW [210206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 210206
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1006 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0924 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 2 WNW MACDILL AIR FORCE 27.86N 82.55W
08/20/2012 M44.00 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL C-MAN STATION

OLD PORT TAMPA PORTS SITE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 38
KNOTS.

0936 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 3 ESE TAMPA 27.93N 82.43W
08/20/2012 M46.00 MPH HILLSBOROUGH FL C-MAN STATION

TPA CRUISE TERMINAL 2 MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 40 KNOTS.


&&

$$

CLOSE

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KLOT [210158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 210158
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
858 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0857 PM HEAVY RAIN OAK BROOK 41.84N 87.95W
08/20/2012 M0.44 INCH DUPAGE IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0.44 INCHES IN 35 MINUTES.


&&

$$

RATZER

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KAMA [210155]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210155
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
854 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N CLAUDE 35.12N 101.36W
08/20/2012 E70 MPH ARMSTRONG TX EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200636

$$

SFJ

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KLOT [210153]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 210153
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
853 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0853 PM HAIL OSWEGO 41.70N 88.33W
08/20/2012 E0.25 INCH KENDALL IL TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL.


&&

$$

RATZER

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KTWC [210144]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTWC 210144
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
644 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 PM FLASH FLOOD SELLS 31.92N 111.88W
08/20/2012 PIMA AZ WARNING NOTIFY

SWIFT WATER RESCUE ON RT 19 T.O. NATION NEAR SOUTH
KOMELIK


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER TWC1200074

$$

RSM

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KTAE [210143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS52 KTAE 210143
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
942 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE PERRY 30.10N 83.57W
08/20/2012 M3.32 INCH TAYLOR FL CO-OP OBSERVER

THE PERRY CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED A 24 HOUR RAINFALL
TOTAL OF 3.32 INCHES ENDING AT 2 PM.

0446 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 NW PANACEA-WAKULLA AI 30.01N 84.42W
08/20/2012 M3.02 INCH WAKULLA FL MESONET

24 HOUR TOTAL OF 3.02 INCHES AT RAWS SITE PRWF1

0535 PM HEAVY RAIN SOUTHPORT 30.29N 85.64W
08/20/2012 M6.00 INCH BAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA REPORT FROM A VIEWER OF 6 INCHES OF RAIN IN
SOUTHPORT SINCE SUNDAY.

0623 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 WSW ST GEORGE ISLAND 29.63N 84.94W
08/20/2012 M3.79 INCH FRANKLIN FL MESONET

24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL OF 3.79 INCHES FROM APRSWXNET SITE
C8103 ON SAINT GEORGE ISLAND

0628 PM HEAVY RAIN PANACEA 30.04N 84.39W
08/20/2012 M3.62 INCH WAKULLA FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WCTV RELAYED A VIEWER REPORT OF 3.62 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE
10 AM IN PANACEA.


&&

$$

DVD

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KAMA [210141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210141
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
841 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 WNW AMARILLO 35.24N 101.92W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

ROADS FLOODED NEAR MEDI PARK. TIME ESTIMATED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200635

$$

CJM

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KLOT [210141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 210141
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
841 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0839 PM HEAVY RAIN WESTMONT 41.80N 87.97W
08/20/2012 E1.25 INCH DUPAGE IL EMERGENCY MNGR

APPROXIMATELY 1.25 INCHES IN 15 MINUTES.


&&

$$

RATZER

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KTWC [210140]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 210140
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
640 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 PM FLASH FLOOD SELLS 31.92N 111.88W
08/20/2012 PIMA AZ WARNING NOTIFY

SWIFT WATER RESCUE ON RT 19 T.O. NATION NEAR SOUTH
KOMELIK


&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1200074

$$

RSM

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KAMA [210139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210139
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
839 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 S AMARILLO 35.17N 101.82W
08/20/2012 RANDALL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

27TH STREET EAST OF INTERSTATE 27 IS FLOODED. TIME
ESTIMATED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200634

$$

CJM

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KAMA [210136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210136
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
836 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 E AMARILLO 35.20N 101.80W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

UNDERPASSES NEAR INTERSTATE 40 AND SOUTH GRANT ARE
FLOODED. TIME ESTIMATED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200633

$$

CJM

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KVEF [210135]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 210135
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
634 PM PDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 WSW WIKIEUP 34.66N 113.73W
08/20/2012 M1.42 INCH MOHAVE AZ 911 CALL CENTER

A MOHAVE COUNTY ALERT GAUGE LOCATED ON TOP OF AUBREY PEAK
MEASURED A 30 MINUTE RAINFALL TOTAL OF 1.42 INCHES.


&&

$$

ASG

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KAMA [210126]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210126
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
826 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER

45TH AND GEORGIA STOP SIGN BLOWN OFF POST


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200632

$$

SPENCER

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KLUB [210123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 210123
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
823 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 PM HAIL 8 SW DIMMITT 34.47N 102.41W
08/20/2012 E1.00 INCH CASTRO TX PUBLIC

REPORTED BY PUBLIC NEAR FLAG COMMUNITY


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200365

$$

JWJ

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KAMA [210122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210122
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
822 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM TSTM WND GST 5 S AMARILLO 35.13N 101.82W
08/20/2012 E60 MPH RANDALL TX AMATEUR RADIO

45TH AND WESTERN. POWER IS STILL OUT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200630

$$

CJM

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KAMA [210122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210122
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
822 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0735 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW AMARILLO 35.18N 101.84W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA

SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE WITH SOME BIG TREES LEANING AND
OR DOWNED IN AMARILLO COLLEGE AREA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200631

$$

SFJ

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KTBW [210122]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 210122
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
922 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0909 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 3 E SAINT PETERSBURG 27.77N 82.63W
08/20/2012 M45.00 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS

ASOS AT KSPG MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 39 KNOTS.

0912 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 6 E LARGO 27.91N 82.69W
08/20/2012 M49.00 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS

ASOS AT KPIE MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 43 KNOTS.


&&

$$

CLOSE

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KAMA [210114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210114
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
814 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0809 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S AMARILLO 35.13N 101.82W
08/20/2012 RANDALL TX EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED NUMEROUS FLOODED
INTERSECTIONS AND VEHICLES STRANDED WITH WATER RESCUES
BEING CONDUCTED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200629

$$

ABM

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KAMA [210112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210112
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
812 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0809 PM FLASH FLOOD AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED NUMEROUS FLOODED
INTERSECTIONS AND VEHICLES STRANDED WITH WATER RESCUES
BEING CONDUCTED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200628

$$

ABM

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KAMA [210111]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210111
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
811 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 PM FLASH FLOOD AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

RESIDENTAL STREETS FLOODED AND IMPASSIBLE NEAR DOWNTOWN


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200627

$$

SPENCER

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KAMA [210109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210109
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
809 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM FLASH FLOOD AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX TX DPS

WESTERN ST. FLOODED SOUTH OF I40


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200626

$$

SPENCER

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KAMA [210106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210106
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
806 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0758 PM TSTM WND DMG AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 POTTER TX NWS EMPLOYEE

LARGE TREE ABOUT 10 FT TALL AND 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER
DOWN IN BACKYARD


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200625

$$

SPENCER

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KTBW [210104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 210104
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
904 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0857 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 WSW SAINT PETERSBURG 27.74N 82.75W
08/20/2012 E48 MPH PINELLAS FL MESONET

HOME WEATHER STATION.


&&

$$

CLOSE

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KTBW [210051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 210051
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
851 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0849 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 5 SW LARGO 27.86N 82.85W
08/20/2012 E50 MPH PINELLAS FL MESONET

HOME WEATHER STATION.


&&

$$

NOAH

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KAMA [210047]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210047
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
747 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0744 PM TSTM WND GST LAKE TANGLEWOOD 35.06N 101.78W
08/20/2012 M61 MPH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200624

$$

SFJ

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KAMA [210046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210046
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
746 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM TSTM WND GST 3 S AMARILLO 35.16N 101.82W
08/20/2012 M78 MPH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200623

$$

SFJ

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KAMA [210045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210045
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
745 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0740 PM TSTM WND GST 6 ENE AMARILLO 35.22N 101.72W
08/20/2012 M74 MPH POTTER TX ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200622

$$

ABM

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KLUB [210045]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 210045
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
745 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 SW DIMMITT 34.46N 102.43W
08/20/2012 CASTRO TX NWS EMPLOYEE

CROPS REPORTED STRIPPED DUE TO HAIL NEAR COMMUNITY OF
FLAG


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200364

$$

JWJ

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KAMA [210044]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210044
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
744 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0738 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S AMARILLO 35.17N 101.82W
08/20/2012 M66 MPH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200621

$$

SFJ

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KAMA [210043]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210043
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
743 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0738 PM TSTM WND GST 2 S AMARILLO 35.17N 101.82W
08/20/2012 M77 MPH RANDALL TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200620

$$

SFJ

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KAMA [210041]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 210041
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
741 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM TSTM WND GST AMARILLO 35.20N 101.82W
08/20/2012 M63 MPH POTTER TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200619

$$

SFJ

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KTFX [210039]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 210039
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
639 PM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 14 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.74W
08/20/2012 M65 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

65 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST REPORTED AT GARDEN WALL
OBSERVATION SITE IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [210038]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 210038
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
638 PM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 PM TSTM WND GST 14 W SAINT MARY 48.74N 113.74W
08/20/2012 M65 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

65 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST REPORTED AT GARDEN WALL
OBSERVATION SITE IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTFX [210036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 210036
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
636 PM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
08/20/2012 M49 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

49 MPH THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST REPORTED AT LOGAN PASS
VISITORS CENTER IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 210034
SWODY1
SPC AC 210031

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0731 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 210100Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS EXTREME E CNTRL NM INTO THE TX
PANHANDLE AND S PLAINS...

...ERN NM INTO THE TX PANHANDLE...
A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO PROPAGATE SEWD ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE...WITH A FEW SLOW MOVING SUPERCELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE.
BOTH HAIL AND WIND WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS BEFORE
CAPPING STARTS TO INCREASE. THE 00Z AMA SOUNDING SHOWED A
RELATIVELY COOL BOUNDARY LAYER RELATIVE TO THE 700-500 MB
LAYER...WITH VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT.

OUTFLOW FROM THE LINE SHOULD DISRUPT THE ISOLATED SUPERCELLS...WITH
THE ENTIRE CLUSTER CONTINUING SEWD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE AND S
PLAINS. THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE WELL CONTAINED WITHIN WW
568...AND SHOULD BE RELATIVELY ISOLATED OUTSIDE THE WATCH.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE MCD 1794.

...SERN STATES...
ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS MAY REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE SE...WHERE A FEW POCKETS OF STRONGER INSTABILITY REMAIN. ONE
AREA IS OVER SERN LA INTO SRN MS/AL. 00Z SOUNDINGS FROM LIX TO JAN
SHOWED STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES BUT RATHER WEAK WINDS IN THE
LOWEST 6 KM. A FEW STRONGER CELLS MAY PERSIST FOR A COUPLE MORE
HOURS. TO THE E...STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR EXISTS INTO THE
CAROLINAS BENEATH THE UPPER JET...BUT STORM COVERAGE SHOULD CONTINUE
TO WANE THIS EVENING WITH LOSS OF HEATING AND NO SUBSTANTIAL FORCING
MECHANISM.

..JEWELL.. 08/21/2012

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KLUB [210032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLUB 210032
LSRLUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
732 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 SW DIMMITT 34.45N 102.41W
08/20/2012 CASTRO TX NWS EMPLOYEE

POWER POLES SNAPPED ALONG FM1055


&&

EVENT NUMBER LUB1200363

$$

JWJ

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KPSR [210023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 210023
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
523 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD HARCUVAR 33.77N 113.66W
08/20/2012 LA PAZ AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING IN THE WASHES IN AND AROUND
HARCUVAR


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200254

$$

PSR

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KVEF [210021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 210021
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
521 PM PDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0518 PM FLASH FLOOD NE WIKIEUP 34.71N 113.61W
08/20/2012 MOHAVE AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

MOHAVE COUNTY SHERIFF REPORTED LOTS OF MUD AND DEBRIS AT
CHICKEN SPRINGS ROAD AND US 93. THEY ALSO STATED THAT
ADOT WAS ON THE WAY TO CLEAR THE ROAD.


&&

$$

ASG

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KPSR [210021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 210021
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
521 PM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD SALOME 33.78N 113.62W
08/20/2012 LA PAZ AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING IN WASHES IN AND AROUND
SALOME


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1200253

$$

PSR

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KVEF [210020]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KVEF 210020
LSRVEF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
518 PM PDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM TSTM WND GST WIKIEUP 34.70N 113.62W
08/20/2012 E70 MPH MOHAVE AZ PUBLIC

THUNDERSTORM WINDS OF 70 MPH LASTED FOR 5 MINUTES IN
WIKIEUP. WINDS CAUSED A PERGOLA TO TIP OVER.


&&

$$

METZGER

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KJAX [202025]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 202025
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
425 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM LIGHTNING 3 NNW FLAGLER BEACH 29.52N 81.14W
08/20/2012 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS A1A
DUE TO LIGHTNING STRIKE.


&&

$$

JHESS

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KMKX [202002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 202002
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
302 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0235 PM HAIL PLEASANT PRAIRIE 42.55N 87.93W
08/20/2012 M1.00 INCH KENOSHA WI PUBLIC

INTERSECTION OF INTERSTATE 94 AND HIGHWAY 165.


&&

$$

MBK

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KMKX [201957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 201957
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
257 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0153 PM HAIL 6 N BRISTOL 42.65N 88.05W
08/20/2012 E0.25 INCH KENOSHA WI BROADCAST MEDIA

MEASURED IN TOWN OF PARIS. RELAYED FROM WISN-12.


&&

$$

MBK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201955
SWODY1
SPC AC 201953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 202000Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS...

HAVE OPTED TO LOWER SEVERE PROBS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NRN FL
PENINSULA DUE PRIMARILY TO MCS SEWD PROPAGATION AND CONVECTIVE
OVERTURNING ACROSS THIS REGION. WHILE A FEW STORMS MAY ULTIMATELY
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AS THE SW-NE ORIENTED COMPLEX DRIFTS SEWD IT
DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE THREAT THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING SEVERE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS REMAIN. CONVECTION IS GRADUALLY INCREASING ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF LAS ANIMAS/COLFAX COUNTIES ALONG THE CO/NM
BORDER. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD INCREASE IN INTENSITY/COVERAGE AS IT
SPREADS/DEVELOPS ACROSS NERN NM INTO THE WRN TX PANHANDLE THIS
EVENING.

..DARROW.. 08/20/2012

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1111 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012/

...SYNOPSIS...

LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM JAMES BAY THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EWD IN RESPONSE TO THE SLOW EWD DEVELOPMENT OF
UPSTREAM RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...AND THE ONSHORE
MOVEMENT OF NEXT TROUGH ONTO THE PACIFIC NW COAST. WITHIN THIS
BROAD-SCALE PATTERN...A VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVER MS/LA WILL WEAKEN
TODAY WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT REGIME OVER
THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE
SIGNIFICANT PERTURBATION MOVING SEWD FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH
THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF STATES. FARTHER W...A VORTICITY
MAXIMUM CURRENTLY CRESTING THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE ERN GREAT
BASIN/CNTRL ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS
LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...A DIFFUSE FRONT FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SWWD
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES WILL SETTLE SLOWLY SWD WHILE A LEE
TROUGH BECOMES BETTER DEFINED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

12Z ABQ/AMA/MAF SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED PW DATA INDICATE
THAT A MODESTLY-MOIST /I.E. PW VALUES OF AROUND ONE INCH/ AIR MASS
RESIDES ACROSS THE REGION...COINCIDENT WITH ERN EXTENSION OF
EML/STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME. WHEN COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. THE AUGMENTATION
OF OROGRAPHIC UPLIFT BY FORCING FOR ASCENT/DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH
VORTICITY MAXIMUM MENTIONED IN SYNOPSIS IS EXPECTED TO GIVE RISE TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A KINEMATIC SETTING
FEATURING 30-40 KT OF DEEP...NWLY SHEAR. AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM MODE WITH THE PRIMARY
HAZARD BEING LARGE HAIL. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS APPEARS
PROBABLE BY LATE EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH A LOCAL WIND/HAIL THREAT
DEVELOPING SEWD INTO WRN TX.

...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST AND FL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL AND
EVOLVING SEA BREEZE FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO SERVE AS THE FOCI FOR
TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A MOIST...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-2500 J/KG. THIS
INSTABILITY RESIDES ON THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID AND HIGH-LEVEL
WIND FIELD...YIELDING SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR TRANSIENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND DOWNSHEAR COLD POOL ELONGATION/FORWARD
PROPAGATION. WHILE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD...A BRIEF TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A RENEWAL IN TSTM COVERAGE AND VIGOR MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
FL PNHDL INTO BIG BEND AREA IN RESPONSE TO APPROACH OF VORTICITY
MAXIMUM THROUGH THE CNTRL GULF STATES AND ASSOCIATED WEAK
CYCLOGENESIS. MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY MAY PROMOTE A
FEW ORGANIZED/MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

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KLOT [201940]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201940
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
240 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0234 PM HEAVY RAIN PARK FOREST 41.48N 87.69W
08/20/2012 M0.30 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

CM

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KLOT [201932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201932
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
231 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0227 PM HAIL INVERNESS 42.12N 88.10W
08/20/2012 M0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

0.75 INCHES OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES.


&&

$$

CM

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KTAE [201915]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 201915
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
315 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE PERRY 30.10N 83.57W
08/20/2012 M3.32 INCH TAYLOR FL CO-OP OBSERVER

THE PERRY CO-OP OBSERVER REPORTED A 24 HOUR RAINFALL
TOTAL OF 3.32 INCHES ENDING AT 2 PM.


&&

$$

DVD

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KLOT [201909]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201909
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
208 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 PM HAIL LAKE ZURICH 42.19N 88.09W
08/20/2012 M0.88 INCH LAKE IL PUBLIC

0130 PM HAIL LAKE ZURICH 42.19N 88.09W
08/20/2012 M0.50 INCH LAKE IL TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

ALLSOPP

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KRAH [201859]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 201859
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
259 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0500 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 SSW GREENSBORO 36.05N 79.84W
08/19/2012 GUILFORD NC BROADCAST MEDIA

FLOOD WATERS FROM SOUTH BUFFALO CREEK FLOODED LATHAM
ROAD NEAR WENDOVER AVENUE. THE INTERSECTIONS OF BECKFORD
DR. AND FAIRFAX ROAD WAS ALSO BLOCKED OFF.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1200874

$$

CBL

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KFGZ [201809]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 201809
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1108 AM MST MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0130 AM FLASH FLOOD LEES FERRY 36.87N 111.59W
08/20/2012 COCONINO AZ USGS

4 FOOT RISE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES MEASURED ON PARIA
RIVER


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1200087

$$

DJO

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KSHV [201743]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 201743
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1243 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1026 AM LIGHTNING 2 E VIENNA 32.61N 92.62W
08/18/2012 LINCOLN LA BROADCAST MEDIA

LIGHTNING STRUCK A HOME ON PEA RIDGE ROAD SETTING FIRE TO
THE LAUNDRY ROOM IN FRONT OF THE RESIDENCE. THE HOME
SUFFERED MINOR SMOKE AND WATER DAMAGE. REPORT FROM THE
DUBACH FIRE DEPARTMENT RELAYED BY KSLA.


&&

$$

15

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KCLE [201728]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 201728
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
128 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0105 PM HAIL 2 W WARREN 41.24N 80.86W
08/20/2012 E0.75 INCH TRUMBULL OH PUBLIC

THE HAIL REPORT WAS FROM LEAVITTSBURG.


&&

$$

KIELTYKA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 201715
SWODY2
SPC AC 201713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1213 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 211200Z - 221200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN ROCKIES...

WEAK HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NRN ROCKIES AHEAD OF
TRANSITORY SHORT-WAVE TROUGH TUESDAY. COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
AND ASSOCIATED STEEP LAPSE RATES SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM
EXTREME ERN WA INTO WRN MT. WHILE PW VALUES ARE NOT ANTICIPATED TO
BE PARTICULARLY HIGH ACROSS THIS REGION...LESS THAN ONE INCH...IT
APPEARS SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL EXIST FOR A FEW HIGH BASED STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL ALONG/AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT.

...SERN U.S...

POSITIVE-TILTED OH VALLEY TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT INTO THE
CNTRL APPALACHIANS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY2 PERIOD. AHEAD
OF THIS FEATURE A CORRIDOR OF STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO
EXTEND FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS TO OFF THE COAST OF DOWNEAST ME.
WHILE POOR LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL INSTABILITY ACROSS THE
SERN U.S. IT WOULD SEEM PLAUSIBLE THAT ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS
COULD EVOLVE BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITHIN BROAD BUT MODEST SWLY FLOW
REGIME. ISOLATED LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY
WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

...ELSEWHERE...

LATEST WV IMAGERY SUPPORTS THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE REGARDING THE
LIKELIHOOD FOR A WEAK DISTURBANCE TO DIG SEWD ACROSS ERN UT/WRN CO
INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS OF TX TUESDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD INDUCE
A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS AS LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION FOCUSES
ACROSS NWRN TX INTO SWRN OK. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE NOT
PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE ACROSS THIS REGION AND FOR THIS REASON WILL
NOT INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBS. EVEN SO THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD PROPAGATE
SEWD INTO CNTRL TX AND ULTIMATELY MAY REQUIRE LOW SEVERE PROBS TO
ACCOUNT FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS.

..DARROW.. 08/20/2012

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KCLE [201711]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCLE 201711
LSRCLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
110 PM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1255 PM HAIL 3 W WARREN 41.24N 80.87W
08/20/2012 E0.88 INCH TRUMBULL OH TRAINED SPOTTER

NICKEL-SIZED HAIL REPORTED.


&&

$$

JMAYERS

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KLOT [201708]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201708
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1208 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1034 AM HAIL SUMMIT 41.78N 87.82W
08/20/2012 E0.25 INCH COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

A MIX OF PEA AND DIME SIZE HAIL.


&&

$$

JEE

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KSHV [201653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 201653
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1152 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM TSTM WND DMG SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
08/17/2012 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ON HARVARD STREET.

0630 AM FLASH FLOOD SHREVEPORT 32.47N 93.80W
08/17/2012 CADDO LA BROADCAST MEDIA

NUMEROUS STREETS WERE FLOODED ALL ACROSS SHREVEPORT AND
SEVERAL WERE CLOSED. A HIGH WATER RESCUE WAS NEEDED FOR A
STALLED VEHICLE ON SOUTHERN AVENUE. TWO FEET OF WATER
ENTERED THE CAFETERIA AT FAIR PARK HIGH SCHOOL.

0630 AM FLASH FLOOD BOSSIER CITY 32.52N 93.66W
08/17/2012 BOSSIER LA NWS EMPLOYEE

NUMEROUS STREETS WERE FLOODED AND CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER. SEVERAL CARS WERE STALLED IN HIGH WATER ON BENTON
ROAD NEAR OLD MINDEN ROAD WHERE THE WATER WAS AS HIGH AS
THE DOOR HANDLES ON THE VEHICLES. ANOTHER CAR WAS STALLED
ON SHED ROAD NEAR THE RAILROAD TRACKS.


&&

$$

15

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1792

ACUS11 KWNS 201634
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201634 COR
FLZ000-GAZ000-201800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1134 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH FL/EXTREME SOUTHEAST GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 201634Z - 201800Z

CORRECTED FOR TYPO

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FL AS WELL
AS EXTREME SOUTHEAST GA. DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR
A POSSIBLE WATCH.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED ZONE OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
NEAR THE FL/GA BORDER. ALONG/SOUTH OF THIS ZONE...THE AMBIENT
BOUNDARY LAYER IS QUITE MOIST WITH LOWER-MIDDLE 70S F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. AS
SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO STEADILY WARM THROUGH THE 80S
F...VIRTUALLY NO CINH EXISTS WITH MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1500-2500
J/KG WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. VERTICAL SHEAR IS RELATIVELY STRONG PER
12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM TLH/JAX AND MORE CONTEMPORARY WSR-88D
VWP DATA...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35 KT. AS UPDRAFTS
MATURE...THIS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST TRANSIENT
SUPERCELLS/SMALL BOWING STRUCTURES WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO POSSIBLE.

..GUYER/MEAD.. 08/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 29058269 29798355 30198392 30718322 30668145 29458144
29048256 29058269

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1792

ACUS11 KWNS 201629
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 201628
FLZ000-GAZ000-201800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1792
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH FL/EXTREME SOUTHEAST GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 201628Z - 201800Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
WINDS AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FL AS WELL
AS EXTREME SOUTHEAST FL. DEVELOPMENTAL TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR
A POSSIBLE WATCH.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST ORIENTED ZONE OF DIFFERENTIAL HEATING
NEAR THE FL/GA BORDER. ALONG/SOUTH OF THIS ZONE...THE AMBIENT
BOUNDARY LAYER IS QUITE MOIST WITH LOWER-MIDDLE 70S F SURFACE
DEWPOINTS AND PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. AS
SURFACE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO STEADILY WARM THROUGH THE 80S
F...VIRTUALLY NO CINH EXISTS WITH MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1500-2500
J/KG WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. VERTICAL SHEAR IS RELATIVELY STRONG PER
12Z OBSERVED SOUNDINGS FROM TLH/JAX AND MORE CONTEMPORARY WSR-88D
VWP DATA...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35 KT. AS UPDRAFTS
MATURE...THIS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR AT LEAST TRANSIENT
SUPERCELLS/SMALL BOWING STRUCTURES WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS
AND/OR A BRIEF TORNADO POSSIBLE.

..GUYER/MEAD.. 08/20/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

LAT...LON 29058269 29798355 30198392 30718322 30668145 29458144
29048256 29058269

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201613
SWODY1
SPC AC 201611

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1111 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 201630Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS N FL AND A SMALL PART OF
SERN GA...

...SYNOPSIS...

LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM JAMES BAY THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EWD IN RESPONSE TO THE SLOW EWD DEVELOPMENT OF
UPSTREAM RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS...AND THE ONSHORE
MOVEMENT OF NEXT TROUGH ONTO THE PACIFIC NW COAST. WITHIN THIS
BROAD-SCALE PATTERN...A VORTICITY MAXIMUM OVER MS/LA WILL WEAKEN
TODAY WHILE PROGRESSING INTO AN INCREASINGLY CONFLUENT REGIME OVER
THE SERN ATLANTIC COAST. THIS FEATURE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A MORE
SIGNIFICANT PERTURBATION MOVING SEWD FROM THE OZARK PLATEAU THROUGH
THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND CNTRL GULF STATES. FARTHER W...A VORTICITY
MAXIMUM CURRENTLY CRESTING THE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE ERN GREAT
BASIN/CNTRL ROCKIES WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS
LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...A DIFFUSE FRONT FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS SWWD
ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES WILL SETTLE SLOWLY SWD WHILE A LEE
TROUGH BECOMES BETTER DEFINED OVER THE HIGH PLAINS.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

12Z ABQ/AMA/MAF SOUNDINGS AND SATELLITE-DERIVED PW DATA INDICATE
THAT A MODESTLY-MOIST /I.E. PW VALUES OF AROUND ONE INCH/ AIR MASS
RESIDES ACROSS THE REGION...COINCIDENT WITH ERN EXTENSION OF
EML/STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATE PLUME. WHEN COUPLED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING...ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BY
AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1000-1500 J/KG. THE AUGMENTATION
OF OROGRAPHIC UPLIFT BY FORCING FOR ASCENT/DCVA ASSOCIATED WITH
VORTICITY MAXIMUM MENTIONED IN SYNOPSIS IS EXPECTED TO GIVE RISE TO
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A KINEMATIC SETTING
FEATURING 30-40 KT OF DEEP...NWLY SHEAR. AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL
WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AS THE INITIAL STORM MODE WITH THE PRIMARY
HAZARD BEING LARGE HAIL. UPSCALE GROWTH INTO AN MCS APPEARS
PROBABLE BY LATE EVENING INTO TONIGHT WITH A LOCAL WIND/HAIL THREAT
DEVELOPING SEWD INTO WRN TX.

...CNTRL/ERN GULF COAST AND FL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE DEVELOPING ACROSS SRN GA/NRN FL AND
EVOLVING SEA BREEZE FRONTS ARE EXPECTED TO SERVE AS THE FOCI FOR
TSTM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A MOIST...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 1500-2500 J/KG. THIS
INSTABILITY RESIDES ON THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER MID AND HIGH-LEVEL
WIND FIELD...YIELDING SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR TRANSIENT
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND DOWNSHEAR COLD POOL ELONGATION/FORWARD
PROPAGATION. WHILE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
HAZARD...A BRIEF TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

A RENEWAL IN TSTM COVERAGE AND VIGOR MAY OCCUR OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE
FL PNHDL INTO BIG BEND AREA IN RESPONSE TO APPROACH OF VORTICITY
MAXIMUM THROUGH THE CNTRL GULF STATES AND ASSOCIATED WEAK
CYCLOGENESIS. MODEST VERTICAL SHEAR AND INSTABILITY MAY PROMOTE A
FEW ORGANIZED/MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

..MEAD/SMITH.. 08/20/2012

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KSLC [201551]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 201551
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
951 AM MDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM FLASH FLOOD 6 NNW BIG WATER 37.16N 111.70W
08/20/2012 KANE UT TRAINED SPOTTER

FLASH FLOOD REPORTED OVERNIGHT ALONG WAHWEAP CREEK,
DAMAGING THE SMOKEY MOUNTAIN ROAD.


&&

$$

HOSENFELD

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KJAX [201527]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 201527
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1127 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0302 PM LIGHTNING BUNNELL 29.47N 81.26W
08/19/2012 FLAGLER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

LIGHTNING STRUCK AN ANTENNA ON THE FLAGLER COUNTY
EMERGENCY OPERATIONS CENTER. THE ANTENNA WAS BLOWN TO
PIECES. THE LIGHTNING PROTECTION SYSTEM WORKED. NO OTHER
DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO THE BUILDING.


&&

$$

MTRABERT

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KLOT [201503]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201503
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1003 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0835 AM WATER SPOUT CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
08/20/2012 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER

WATER SPOUT WAS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1 MILE OFFSHORE
FROM NAVY PIER.


&&

$$

ACS

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KAMA [201459]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KAMA 201459
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
959 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S PAMPA 35.49N 100.96W
08/14/2012 GRAY TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SMALL OUTBUILDINGS SHIFTED ON FOUNDATIONS. 1 CAMPING
TRAILER OVERTURNED. 1 CAMPING TRAILER MOVED. FENCING
MOVED ACROSS ROADWAY.

0422 PM TSTM WND GST LEFORS 35.44N 100.80W
08/14/2012 E60 MPH GRAY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN...POWER LINE DOWN.

0432 PM TSTM WND GST 3 E MCLEAN 35.23N 100.55W
08/14/2012 E75 MPH GRAY TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

5 TO 6 POWER POLES SNAPPED ALONG INTERSTATE 40.
INTERSTATE EXIT SIGN BLOWN DOWN.

0435 PM TSTM WND GST 1 ENE MCLEAN 35.24N 100.57W
08/14/2012 M83 MPH GRAY TX MESONET

0509 PM TSTM WND GST SAMNORWOOD 35.05N 100.28W
08/14/2012 M65 MPH COLLINGSWORTH TX BROADCAST MEDIA


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200613 AMA1200609 AMA1200607 AMA1200608 AMA1200610

$$

LG

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KAMA [201458]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KAMA 201458
LSRAMA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
958 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 S PAMPA 35.49N 100.96W
08/14/2012 GRAY TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

SMALL OUTBUILDINGS SHIFTED ON FOUNDATIONS. 1 CAMPING
TRAILER OVERTURNED. 1 CAMPING TRAILER MOVED. FENCING
MOVED ACROSS ROADWAY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1200613

$$

LG

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KLOT [201418]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 201418
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
918 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0851 AM HAIL CHICAGO 41.88N 87.63W
08/20/2012 E0.75 INCH COOK IL PUBLIC

DIME SIZE HAIL AT BURNHAM HARBOR


&&

$$

ACS

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KLIX [201417]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 201417 CCA
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
912 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 43 S GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.64N 89.79W
08/20/2012 M58.00 MPH GMZ572 LA PLATFORM

PLATFORM KMDJ MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 50 KNOTS.


&&

$$

TDESTRI

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KLIX [201412]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLIX 201412
LSRLIX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
912 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 43 S GRAND ISLE CMAN 28.65N 89.96W
08/20/2012 M58.00 MPH GMZ572 XX UNKNOWN

PLATFORM KMDJ MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 50 KNOTS.


&&

$$

TDESTRI

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KKEY [201401]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KKEY 201401 CCA
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1000 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

CORRECTED WIND MAGNITUDE

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 15 NW KEY WEST 24.72N 81.92W
08/20/2012 M36 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET

THE SMITH SHOAL LIGHT MESONET MEASURED A 31 KNOT WIND
GUST FROM A PASSING THUNDERSTORM.


&&

$$

CLR

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KOAX [201327]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KOAX 201327
LSROAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
827 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1155 PM HAIL 2 NE SPRINGFIELD 41.10N 96.11W
08/15/2012 M1.00 INCH SARPY NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

JB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 201250
SWODY1
SPC AC 201248

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 201300Z - 211200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE SRN RCKYS AND
SRN HI PLNS...

...SYNOPSIS...
AMPLIFIED WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH PATTERN WILL PERSIST THIS
PERIOD...WITH SLOW EWD PROGRESSION EXPECTED AS UPSTREAM TROUGH NOW
OVER THE ERN PACIFIC EDGES E TO THE WA/ORE CST. AT LWR LVLS...WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN DOMINANT FROM THE UPR MS VLY INTO MUCH OF
THE OH AND TN VLYS. FARTHER SE...A WEAK FRONTAL ZONE WILL PERSIST
FROM JUST OFF THE NC CST WSW TO THE CNTRL GULF CST. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL CONTINUE TO SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR DIURNALLY ENHANCED TSTMS.

MEANWHILE...UPR RIDGE WILL MAINTAIN NW FLOW OVER THE RCKYS AND PLNS.
SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THIS JET WILL MODULATE TSTM DEVELOPMENT
OVER PARTS OF CO/NM AND THE ADJACENT HIGH PLNS. SOME OF THESE STORMS
COULD BECOME SVR. A FEW STRONGER STORMS ALSO COULD OCCUR WITHIN UPR
TROUGH AXIS OVER THE UPR OH VLY.

...NE NM SEWD INTO THE WRN OK/TX PANHANDLES THIS AFTN/EVE...
VEERING WIND PROFILES...WITH WEAK SLY FLOW AT THE SFC AND NWLY FLOW
ALOFT WILL YIELD MODERATELY LONG...STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS FAVORABLE FOR
SLOWLY MOVING AFTN SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL OVER NE NM. AMPLE MOISTURE
/PW AOA 1 INCH WITH AVERAGE SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPR 40S TO MID 50S
F/ WILL BE PRESENT FOR STORMS TO FORM OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE
LIKELY WILL CONSOLIDATE INTO ONE OR TWO SE-MOVING CLUSTERS THAT
COULD ALSO POSE A DMGG WIND THREAT SEWD INTO PARTS OF TX AND WRN OK
BY EARLY TNGT. STRENGTHENING SSELY LLJ AHEAD OF UPR IMPULSES
APPROACHING FROM THE CNTRL RCKYS SUGGESTS THAT THE CLUSTERS COULD
PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUE OVER NW/WCNTRL TX AND SW OK.

...SERN LA INTO NRN/CNTRL FL AND NEWD TO THE NC CST TODAY...
DEEP...UNIDIRECTIONAL SW FLOW WILL PREVAIL FROM THE NERN GULF TO THE
NC CST THROUGH THIS EVE...ON SE SIDE OF UPR TROUGH. MID LVL LAPSE
RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK. BUT GIVEN BACKGROUND WIND FIELD AND
CONTINUING PRESENCE OF HIGH PWS WITH NEARLY STNRY COLD FRONT...SETUP
MAY YIELD NUMEROUS CLUSTERS OF AFTN STORMS. SUCH ACTIVITY MAY BECOME
MOST CONCENTRATED OVER NRN AND PERHAPS CNTRL FL...WHERE HEATING WILL
BE GREATEST...AND SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY WILL FOCUS UPLIFT ON E SIDE OF
PENINSULA. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD CONTAIN OCCASIONAL BOWING
SEGMENTS WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND. HAIL ALSO MAY
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY OVER CNTRL FL...WHERE HEATING WILL BE GREATEST
AND 12Z TAMPA RAOB SHOWS 500 MB TEMP AROUND MINUS 8 C.

...ERN OH/WRN PA/WV THIS AFTN...
SFC HEATING OF ELEVATED TERRAIN BENEATH AXIS OF UPR TROUGH COULD
YIELD SCTD STRONG DIURNAL STORMS CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SVR HAIL OVER
THE UPR OH VLY...WHERE SFC HEATING SHOULD BE GREATER THAN THAT WHICH
OCCURRED IN SIMILAR ENVIRONMENT YESTERDAY...AND ASCENT MAY BE
AUGMENTED BY WEAK IMPULSE DRIFTING NE FROM SRN IND.

..CORFIDI/HURLBUT.. 08/20/2012

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KKEY [201239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 201239
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
839 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM MARINE TSTM WIND 15 NW KEY WEST 24.72N 81.92W
08/20/2012 M41 MPH GMZ033 FL MESONET

THE SMITH SHOAL LIGHT MESONET MEASURED A 36 KNOT WIND
GUST FROM A PASSING THUNDERSTORM.


&&

$$

CLR

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KBGM [201021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBGM 201021
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
621 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2012

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM TORNADO SOUTH CORNING 42.12N 77.04W
07/26/2012 STEUBEN NY NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN ON WELCH ROAD IN CORNING. THERE
WERE MANY TREE SNAPS AND UPROOTS. FOR THE NEXT 3 TO 4
MILES...THE TORNADO LIFTED AT TIMES. THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE OCCURRED ALONG BROWN HOLLOW ROAD. A
SWATH OF DAMAGE...INCLUDING APPROXIMATELY 200-300
TREES...WAS SEEN. WINDS REACHED 100-110 MPH. THE DAMAGE
PATH APPEARED TO END JUST WEST OF MURPHY ROAD...STILL IN
SOUTH CORNING. THE TORNADO WAS ABOUT 800 YARDS WIDE AND
TRAVELED 6.5 MILES. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE BETWEEN 90-110
MPH. RATED EF-1.


&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...REMARKS

$$

MLJ

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 200835
SWOD48
SPC AC 200834

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0334 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2012

VALID 231200Z - 281200Z

...DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF A WEAK SHORT WAVE IMPULSE CROSSING THE SRN PRAIRIE
PROVINCES AND PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY ON
D4...GUIDANCE IS HIGHLY CONSISTENT IN DEPICTING A MORE VIGOROUS
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO SWRN CANADA/FAR NWRN CONUS AND THEN
INTO THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES. HOWEVER...GUIDANCE DIFFERS SUBSTANTIALLY
ON TIMING OF THIS LATTER IMPULSE WITH THE 00Z ECMWF NOTABLY 12-24 HR
FASTER THAN MOST OTHER DETERMINISTIC/ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE.
NEVERTHELESS...THE ATTENDANT BELT OF STRONG MID-LEVEL WLYS APPEAR TO
BE SPATIALLY REMOVED FROM THE WARM SECTOR/FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE
N-CNTRL CONUS. AS SUCH...SEVERE PROBABILITIES AOA 30 PERCENT ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED DESPITE LOW TEMPORAL PREDICTABILITY.

..GRAMS.. 08/20/2012

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