KCYS [290419]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 290419
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
919 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM SNOW 6 W BUFORD 41.11N 105.42W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH ALBANY WY CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

BCHAPMAN

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KBOU [290351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOU 290351
LSRBOU

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO
851 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 PM SNOW 2 WSW HIGHLANDS RANCH 39.54N 105.01W
11/28/2008 M2.2 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0836 PM SNOW FAIRPLAY 39.22N 106.00W
11/28/2008 M4.0 INCH PARK CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0830 PM SNOW 2 NW PARKER 39.53N 104.80W
11/28/2008 M1.8 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0815 PM SNOW 4 E PARKER 39.51N 104.69W
11/28/2008 M1.0 INCH DOUGLAS CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0737 PM SNOW 2 SSE BRECKENRIDGE 39.47N 106.03W
11/28/2008 M3.8 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0422 PM SNOW FRISCO 39.58N 106.10W
11/28/2008 E3.0 INCH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CLB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 290034
SWODY1
SPC AC 290031

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0631 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TONIGHT INLAND OF THE GULF
COAST...ACROSS PARTS OF THE LWR MS VALLEY....

...CENTRAL GULF COAST/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
A STRONG SOUTHERN BRANCH OF SPLIT POLAR WESTERLIES IS PRESENT
SOUTHEAST OF A REMNANT UPPER TROUGH AXIS EMANATING FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLATEAU...THROUGH TEXAS AND MUCH OF THE GULF STATES. NEAR AN
ASSOCIATED FRONTAL ZONE INLAND OF THE TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH
PARTS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA/MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...FLOW ALOFT
STILL APPEARS BROADLY ANTICYCLONIC. BUT...THIS IS EXPECTED TO
TRANSITION TOWARD A BROADLY CYCLONIC REGIME WITH THE ONSET OF
GRADUAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS TONIGHT...AS A SHORT WAVE IMPULSE
ACCELERATES EAST NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE
OZARK PLATEAU. WHILE STRONGEST UPPER FORCING LIKELY WILL REMAIN
WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE FRONTAL ZONE...MODELS INDICATE THAT A
WEAK FRONTAL WAVE MAY BEGIN TO SLOWLY DEEPEN LATER TONIGHT ACROSS
CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS IS FORECAST
TO BE ACCOMPANIED BY AT LEAST MODEST STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHWESTERLY
850 MB FLOW...PERHAPS IN EXCESS OF 40 KT...WHICH WOULD ENHANCE THE
RISK FOR LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONE FORMATION WITHIN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS.

THE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES TO BE A LIMITING FACTOR WITH
REGARD TO THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. BUT...THE AIR MASS ALONG/SOUTH OF
THE FRONTAL ZONE HAS BECOME SEASONABLY MOIST...WITH AT LEAST WEAK
CONDITIONAL INSTABILITY BASED NEAR THE SURFACE...OR JUST ABOVE A
SHALLOW NEUTRAL TO STABLE SURFACE LAYER. THUS...THE RISK FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAINS NON NEGLIGIBLE THIS EVENING IN ONGOING
STORMS NEAR AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA INTO
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI. AND...THIS POTENTIAL COULD INCREASE AT LEAST
A BIT FURTHER LATER TONIGHT...AS THE SURFACE LOW EVOLVES...PROBABLY
NEAR THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/SURFACE FRONT INTERSECTION SHIFTING EAST
NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

..KERR.. 11/29/2008

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KGGW [290000]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 290000
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
500 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W ZORTMAN 47.92N 108.55W
11/28/2008 M60 MPH PHILLIPS MT OTHER FEDERAL

ZORTMAN MINE RAWS

&&

$$

TFJ

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2399

ACUS11 KWNS 282333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282333
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-290030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0533 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...E/SE TX INTO CENTRAL LA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 282333Z - 290030Z

ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING FROM
PARTS OF E/SE TX THROUGH CENTRAL LA ALONG A SLOW SWD MOVING
BOUNDARY. TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IF TRENDS SUGGEST TSTM
COVERAGE WILL INCREASE.

A SLOW SWD MOVING FRONT EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL AL WSWWD THROUGH SRN
MS AND CENTRAL LA TO E CENTRAL/SE TX. AIR MASS IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE /MLCAPE 500-1000 J/KG/ FROM SE TX INTO CENTRAL/SRN LA.
ALTHOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER SHOULD COOL SOME WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING...A CONTINUED INFLUX OF MOISTURE INTO AREA S OF THE FRONT
SUGGESTS AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL BE MAINTAINED THROUGH
THE EVENING. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /35-50 KT/ REMAINS SUFFICIENT FOR
UPDRAFT ROTATION WITH REGIONAL RADARS INDICATING A PERSISTENT
ROTATION COUPLET WITH THE STORM TRACKING FROM SABINE COUNTY TX INTO
SABINE PARISH LA. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE MARGINAL THROUGH THE
EVENING...ANY STORMS DEVELOPING AND/OR TRACKING ALONG THE SURFACE
FRONT MAY HAVE AN ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT GIVEN GREATER LIKELIHOOD
FOR MORE FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE BOUNDARY.

AN ADDITIONAL THREAT FOR GREATER HODOGRAPH CURVATURE MAY DEVELOP
THROUGH THE EVENING AS A SWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS. THE CURRENT THREAT
FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POTENTIAL
WW...AS WILL THE POTENTIAL FOR AN INCREASED TORNADO THREAT LATER
THIS EVENING ALONG THE LLJ AXIS.

..PETERS.. 11/28/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31139002 30509105 30369296 30449430 30939431 31439397
31549314 31549081 31139002

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KPUB [282249]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 282249
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
348 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/27/2008 M2.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 2 S CUCHARA 37.36N 105.10W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH DAY...2 INCHES
OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV 0300 MST...

0720 AM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
11/28/2008 M0.8 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV 0200

0730 AM SNOW 1 S WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.80W
11/28/2008 M9.6 INCH MINERAL CO OTHER FEDERAL

FROM WOLF CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL. 24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 7AM
NOV 28.

0900 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
11/28/2008 M13.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

24 HOUR TOTAL AT WOLF CREEK SKI AREA

0912 AM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
11/28/2008 M6.6 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL

0930 AM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY

&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
13.00 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0900 AM
24 HOUR TOTAL AT WOLF CREEK SKI AREA
9.60 1 S WOLF CREEK PASS CO MINERAL 0730 AM
FROM WOLF CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL. 24 HOUR TOTAL
ENDING 7AM NOV 28.
6.60 1 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 0912 AM
3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL
6.00 5 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 0930 AM
6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY
3.00 2 S CUCHARA CO HUERFANO 0656 AM
STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH
DAY...2 INCHES OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV
0300 MST...
2.00 5 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 1009 PM
0.80 4 WNW BUENA VISTA CO CHAFFEE 0720 AM
STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV
0200

$$

LWALROD

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KPUB [282248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 282248
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
348 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/27/2008 M2.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 2 S CUCHARA 37.36N 105.10W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH DAY...2 INCHES
OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV 0300 MST...

0720 AM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
11/28/2008 M0.8 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV 0200

0730 AM SNOW 1 S WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.80W
11/28/2008 M9.6 INCH MINERAL CO OTHER FEDERAL

FROM WOLF CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL. 24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 7AM
NOV 28.

0900 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
11/28/2008 M13.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

24 HOUR TOTAL AT WOLF CREEK SKI AREA

0912 AM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
11/28/2008 M6.6 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL

0930 AM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY

&&

$$

LWALROD

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KSHV [282151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KSHV 282151
LSRSHV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
351 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0348 PM HAIL NACOGDOCHES 31.61N 94.65W
11/28/2008 M0.88 INCH NACOGDOCHES TX FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

0349 PM HAIL NACOGDOCHES 31.61N 94.65W
11/28/2008 E1.00 INCH NACOGDOCHES TX TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

STEVENS

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KGID [282137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 282137
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
334 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0332 PM SNOW 17 SSE OSBORNE 39.21N 98.58W
11/28/2008 E2.0 INCH OSBORNE KS PUBLIC

ABOUT 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION MAINLY ON GRASSY
SURFACES.

&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2398

ACUS11 KWNS 282117
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282116
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-282315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2398
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0316 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND PARTS OF SE LA THROUGH SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 282116Z - 282315Z

A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY REMAINS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING
FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO AND PERHAPS ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE.
COVERAGE OF ANY SEVERE EVENTS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN SPARSE...AND A
WW WILL PROBABLY NOT BE NEEDED UNLESS TRENDS BEGIN TO SUGGEST
OTHERWISE.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON A CONSOLIDATED OUTFLOW/FRONT PERSISTS FROM ERN
TX THROUGH CNTRL LA INTO SRN MS AND SRN AL. PORTION OF THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS SRN MS HAS BEGUN A SLOW SWD MOVEMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
MODEST COLD POOL TO ITS NORTH. A BROAD ZONE OF MODEST WSWLY LOW
LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO PROMOTE WIDESPREAD ISENTROPIC ASCENT WITH
LIFT MAXIMIZED ALONG AND NORTH OF CONSOLIDATED BOUNDARY. DIABATIC
HEATING WITHIN THE MOIST WARM SECTOR HAS RESULTED IN INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE STORM INFLOW...AND STORM INTENSITY HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED
DURING THE AFTERNOON. ROTATION CONTINUES TO BE OBSERVED PRIMARILY
WITH SOME OF THE STORMS TRAINING ALONG THE FRONT. THE MORE ORGANIZED
STORMS HAVE SHIFTED INTO SRN MS WHERE DEEP ASCENT HAS BEEN ENHANCED
ALONG AND AHEAD OF EWD ADVANCING UPPER IMPULSE. FARTHER WEST...THE
LIFT APPEARS MORE SHALLOW WITH MID-UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE IMPLIED IN
WAKE OF LEAD IMPULSE.

BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL SUPPORT OCCASIONAL SUPERCELL AND BOWING
STRUCTURES WITH THIS ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...VEERED LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH
LIMITED HODOGRAPH SIZE AND A MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT MAY
CONTINUE TO SERVE AS LIMITING FACTORS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...ESPECIALLY WITH EWD EXTENT INTO SRN AL WERE INSTABILITY IS
VERY MARGINAL.

..DIAL.. 11/28/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31428827 30958890 30469181 31019278 31689256 31799029
31878866 31428827

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 282002
SWODY1
SPC AC 281959

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0159 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 282000Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS CNTRL LA AND SW MS...

...SE TX/LA/SRN MS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS EVIDENT OVER THE CNTRL PLAINS AND SRN
ROCKIES WITH ZONAL FLOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES. A DRY
SLOT IS LOCATED ACROSS SE TX AND SW LA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING
JUST AHEAD OF THE DRY SLOT IN LA AND ON THE NORTH SIDE ACROSS PARTS
OF EAST TX. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED IN ECNTRL TX WITH A
QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING EWD ACROSS NRN LA INTO CNTRL MS.
THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE REGION
SUPPORTED BY A 30 TO 40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET LOCATED NEAR THE LA-TX
STATE-LINE. CONVECTION SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING AND COULD
BECOME MORE FOCUSED AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD INTO LA DURING THE
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

CONCERNING THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...RUC ANALYSIS SHOWS SOME
INSTABILITY ACROSS SE TX...LA AND SW MS WITH SBCAPE VALUES IN THE
1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS THIS
AFTERNOON SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 40 TO 50 KT RANGE. THIS
COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT MARGINALLY SEVERE
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW ROTATING STORMS POSSIBLE. LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR IS MAXIMIZED NEAR THE AXIS OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET ACROSS WRN LA
AND EWD ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT INTO SCNTRL MS WHERE 0-1 KM SHEAR
VALUES ARE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 25 KT. THIS SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR
AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WITH ROTATING STORMS THAT TRACK EWD ALONG
THE BOUNDARY IN CNTRL LA AND SW MS. THE STRONGER CELLS MAY HAVE
POTENTIAL FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS ESPECIALLY ACROSS LA WHERE LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SHOULD STEEPEN SOME LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 11/28/2008

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KPUB [281953]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281953
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1253 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM SNOW 1 SSE WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.79W
11/28/2008 M13.0 INCH MINERAL CO PUBLIC

24 HOUR TOTAL AT WOLF CREEK SKI AREA

&&

$$

PGW

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KPUB [281944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281944
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1243 PM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW 1 S WOLF CREEK PASS 37.47N 106.80W
11/28/2008 M9.6 INCH MINERAL CO OTHER FEDERAL

FROM WOLF CREEK SUMMIT SNOTEL. 24 HOUR TOTAL ENDING 7AM
NOV 28.

&&

$$

PGW

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KICT [281943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 281943
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
143 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 PM SNOW 10 N RUSSELL 39.03N 98.85W
11/28/2008 M2.0 INCH RUSSELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES.

&&

$$

BILLINGS

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KICT [281939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 281939
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
139 PM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0137 PM SNOW RUSSELL 38.89N 98.85W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH RUSSELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION ON GRASSY SURFACES.

&&

$$

BILLINGS

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KDLH [281725]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 281725
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1125 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW 3 SW LITTLEFORK 48.37N 93.60W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH KOOCHICHING MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW GURNEY 46.47N 90.51W
11/28/2008 M1.5 INCH IRON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 281717
SWODY2
SPC AC 281714

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1114 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST STATES...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SRN PLAINS IS FORECAST TO DAMPEN AS
ANOTHER MORE AMPLIFIED TROUGH DIGS SEWD INTO THE GREAT PLAINS. AHEAD
OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...WSWLY FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS
THE GULF COAST STATES WITH A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL JET LOCATED IN
AL AND GA. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD SUPPORT
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A SFC LOW IN THE TN VALLEY
SATURDAY MORNING. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD EXIST EAST OF THE
LOW WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SWWD INTO THE LOWER MS VALLEY.
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...SFC DEWPOINTS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE MID 60S
F AND SOME DESTABILIZATION SHOULD TAKE PLACE BY MIDDAY SATURDAY.
THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
DURING THE DAY. MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST A LINEAR MCS COULD DEVELOP
AND MOVE SWD INTO THE FL PANHANDLE AND ACROSS SW GA BY EARLY
EVENING.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR BY 21Z SATURDAY SUGGEST
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL BE IN PLACE LARGELY DUE TO A 75
TO 85 KT MID-LEVEL JET MOVING INTO THE TN VALLEY. THIS COMBINED WITH
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES AND 30 TO 40 KT OF FLOW AT 850 MB
SHOULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH THE MORE
PERSISTENT LINE-SEGMENTS. CELLS THAT REMAIN DISCRETE AND HAVE ACCESS
TO LOCALLY MAXIMIZED INSTABILITY MAY ALSO HAVE A MARGINAL TORNADO
THREAT AS WELL. HOWEVER...THE OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE
LIMITED SOMEWHAT BY WEAKNESS IN INSTABILITY.

..BROYLES.. 11/28/2008

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KPUB [281702]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 281702
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1001 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/27/2008 M2.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 2 S CUCHARA 37.36N 105.10W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH DAY...2 INCHES
OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV 0300 MST...

0720 AM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
11/28/2008 M0.8 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV 0200

0912 AM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
11/28/2008 M6.6 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL

0930 AM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY

&&

THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET
CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE
FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION.

SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT

INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME
------ ----------------------- -- -------------- -------
6.60 1 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 0912 AM
3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL
6.00 5 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 0930 AM
6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY
3.00 2 S CUCHARA CO HUERFANO 0656 AM
STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH
DAY...2 INCHES OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV
0300 MST...
2.00 5 SSE CRESTONE CO SAGUACHE 1009 PM
0.80 4 WNW BUENA VISTA CO CHAFFEE 0720 AM
STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV
0200

$$

JKH

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KPUB [281701]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KPUB 281701
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1001 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/27/2008 M2.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

0656 AM SNOW 2 S CUCHARA 37.36N 105.10W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH DAY...2 INCHES
OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV 0300 MST...

0720 AM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
11/28/2008 M0.8 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV 0200

0912 AM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
11/28/2008 M6.6 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL

0930 AM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY

&&

$$

JKH

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KABQ [281700]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KABQ 281700
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
958 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM SNOW ROWE 35.49N 105.68W
11/27/2008 E1.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM OTHER FEDERAL

0351 PM SNOW LAS VEGAS 35.60N 105.22W
11/27/2008 E1.0 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM LAW ENFORCEMENT

0400 PM SNOW 8 SW ROCIADA 35.76N 105.53W
11/27/2008 E6.4 INCH SAN MIGUEL NM OTHER FEDERAL

WESNER SPRINGS SNOTEL.

0505 PM SNOW BUENA VISTA 35.91N 105.25W
11/27/2008 M5.0 INCH MORA NM BROADCAST MEDIA

0600 PM SNOW CAPULIN 36.74N 103.99W
11/27/2008 M1.8 INCH UNION NM CO-OP OBSERVER

ADDITIONAL 1.6 SINCE 1110 AM 11 27 08

0752 PM SNOW 5 ESE SANDIA PARK 35.14N 106.28W
11/27/2008 M1.0 INCH BERNALILLO NM PUBLIC

0800 PM SNOW 4 NW SANDIA PARK 35.21N 106.42W
11/27/2008 E2.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM PUBLIC

SANDIA SKI AREA.

1000 PM SNOW 7 N RATON 36.99N 104.44W
11/27/2008 E2.0 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

0624 AM SNOW TIERRA AMARILLA 36.70N 106.55W
11/28/2008 M4.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW ROY 35.94N 104.20W
11/28/2008 E1.0 INCH HARDING NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 2 N CHAMA 36.92N 106.58W
11/28/2008 M6.5 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

ADDITIONAL 0.5 INCHES SINCE 1045 PM 11 27 08

0700 AM SNOW EAGLE NEST 36.56N 105.26W
11/28/2008 M4.0 INCH COLFAX NM CO-OP OBSERVER

0800 AM SNOW 3 NW TRES RITOS 36.15N 105.55W
11/28/2008 E5.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

SIPAPU SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 8 SSW RED RIVER 36.59N 105.45W
11/28/2008 E8.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

TAOS SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 10 NE FOLSOM 36.95N 103.79W
11/28/2008 E2.5 INCH UNION NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW 11 NNE FOLSOM 36.99N 103.85W
11/28/2008 E3.0 INCH UNION NM TRAINED SPOTTER

0800 AM SNOW RED RIVER 36.71N 105.42W
11/28/2008 E4.0 INCH TAOS NM PUBLIC

RED RIVER SKI AREA.

0800 AM SNOW 9 E CUBA 36.02N 106.80W
11/28/2008 E4.0 INCH SANDOVAL NM OTHER FEDERAL

VACAS LOCAS SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 5 NW CHAMA 36.95N 106.65W
11/28/2008 E7.2 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

CHAMITA SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 8 SE EAGLE NEST 36.46N 105.17W
11/28/2008 E4.1 INCH COLFAX NM OTHER FEDERAL

TOLBY SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 4 NNW TRES RITOS 36.18N 105.55W
11/28/2008 E4.8 INCH TAOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

GALLEGOS PEAK SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 11 NNW CANON PLAZA 36.70N 106.25W
11/28/2008 E10.8 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM OTHER FEDERAL

HOPEWELL SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 6 WNW TERERRO 35.76N 105.78W
11/28/2008 E7.8 INCH SANTA FE NM OTHER FEDERAL

SANTA FE SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 5 WNW LOS ALAMOS 35.91N 106.38W
11/28/2008 E4.9 INCH LOS ALAMOS NM OTHER FEDERAL

QUEMAZON SNOTEL.

0800 AM SNOW 7 ESE CUBA 36.00N 106.83W
11/28/2008 E2.2 INCH SANDOVAL NM OTHER FEDERAL

SENORITA DIVIDE SNOTEL.

&&

$$

GUYER

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KMQT [281653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMQT 281653
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1153 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.41N 86.65W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

0630 AM SNOW 2 W WATTON 46.54N 88.65W
11/28/2008 M2.4 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

0805 AM SNOW CHASSELL 47.03N 88.53W
11/28/2008 M2.9 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

0805 AM SNOW 5 WNW BARAGA 46.80N 88.60W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

0828 AM SNOW 1 WNW IRONWOOD 46.46N 90.17W
11/28/2008 M3.2 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

0936 AM SNOW 2 SW TWIN LAKES 46.88N 88.86W
11/28/2008 M5.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW TO WATER RATIO OF 10 TO 1.

0936 AM SNOW 2 ENE PELKIE 46.82N 88.61W
11/28/2008 M2.2 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

1150 AM SNOW MARENISCO 46.38N 89.70W
11/28/2008 E5.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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KMQT [281651]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281651
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1151 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 AM SNOW MARENISCO 46.38N 89.70W
11/28/2008 E5.0 INCH GOGEBIC MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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KPUB [281637]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281637
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
936 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0930 AM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL SINCE 3PM YESTERDAY

&&

$$

LWALROD

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281628
SWODY1
SPC AC 281625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 281630Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

BAND OF FAST ZONAL FLOW EXTENDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN UNITED
STATES...WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING MULTIPLE SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
EMBEDDED IN FLOW. ONE TROUGH IS NOW ANALYZED OVER EAST TX/WESTERN
LA. THIS FEATURE IS PROMOTING WEAK CYCLOGENESIS WEST OF SHV.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN THIS REGION THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON...SPREADING INTO MS BY EVENING. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
HAS BEEN INCREASING ALONG AND SOUTH OF E-W QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S NOW PRESENT. VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY SUGGESTS POCKETS OF HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST
TX/SOUTHERN LA/SOUTHERN MS WHERE AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF 750-1000
J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE. A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL VERTICAL
SHEAR IS FORECAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH MAY RESULT IN A FEW
STRONG STORMS ACROSS THE REGION. GUSTY WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN
THREAT...WITH A BRIEF TORNADO POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...AREAL COVERAGE OF
RISK APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL SEVERE RISK TODAY.
AREA WILL BE RE-EVALUATED AT 20Z.

..HART/JEWELL.. 11/28/2008

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KPUB [281623]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281623
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
923 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0720 AM SNOW 4 WNW BUENA VISTA 38.86N 106.20W
11/28/2008 M0.8 INCH CHAFFEE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 1800...ENDED BEFORE 28 NOV 0200

&&

$$

JKH

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KPUB [281621]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281621
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
921 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0912 AM SNOW 1 SSE CRESTONE 37.98N 105.69W
11/28/2008 M6.6 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

3.1 INCHES IN PAST 9 HOURS... 6.6 STORM TOTAL

&&

$$

JKH

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KAPX [281537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 281537
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1037 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM SNOW EAST JORDAN 45.16N 85.13W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH CHARLEVOIX MI PUBLIC

18 HR TOTAL THRU 10 AM. SNOW DEPTH 8 IN.

&&

$$

SWR

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KAPX [281519]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 281519
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1019 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM SNOW ALBA 45.00N 84.90W
11/28/2008 M6.0 INCH ANTRIM MI PUBLIC

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8AM. SNOW DEPTH 12 IN.

0800 AM SNOW 5 SSW GAYLORD 44.97N 84.71W
11/28/2008 M3.4 INCH OTSEGO MI PUBLIC

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8AM. SNOW DEPTH 8 IN.

0800 AM SNOW 5 WNW GAYLORD 45.06N 84.77W
11/28/2008 M3.7 INCH OTSEGO MI PUBLIC

24 HR TOTAL THRU 8 AM. SNOW DEPTH 11 IN.

0800 AM SNOW 2 SSE MANCELONA 44.88N 85.05W
11/28/2008 M4.0 INCH ANTRIM MI PUBLIC

12 HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.

&&

$$

SWR

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KDLH [281510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 281510
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
909 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM SNOW INTERNATIONAL FALLS 48.59N 93.41W
11/27/2008 M4.4 INCH KOOCHICHING MN OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 AM SNOW COOK 47.85N 92.69W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW BUTTERNUT 46.01N 90.50W
11/28/2008 M1.0 INCH ASHLAND WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0600 AM SNOW EMBARRASS 47.66N 92.20W
11/28/2008 M3.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW FLOODWOOD 46.93N 92.92W
11/28/2008 M0.5 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW MADELINE ISLAND 46.81N 90.69W
11/28/2008 M1.4 INCH ASHLAND WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW UPSON 46.37N 90.41W
11/28/2008 M1.5 INCH IRON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW SILVER BAY 47.29N 91.28W
11/28/2008 M1.5 INCH LAKE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM SNOW 8 N BAYFIELD 46.93N 90.82W
11/28/2008 M2.0 INCH BAYFIELD WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW GRAND PORTAGE 47.96N 89.68W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH COOK MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW BABBITT 47.65N 91.94W
11/28/2008 M2.0 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM SNOW 4 W CLAM LAKE 46.16N 91.00W
11/28/2008 M0.9 INCH SAWYER WI CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

DONOFRIO

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KMQT [281509]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281509
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
1009 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM SNOW 2 ENE PELKIE 46.82N 88.61W
11/28/2008 M2.2 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW DEPTH OF 4 INCHES.

&&

$$

AJK

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KMQT [281438]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281438
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
937 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0936 AM SNOW 2 SW TWIN LAKES 46.88N 88.86W
11/28/2008 M5.5 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. SNOW TO WATER RATIO OF 10 TO 1.

&&

$$

AJK

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KPUB [281403]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 281403
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
702 AM MST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0656 AM SNOW 2 S CUCHARA 37.36N 105.10W
11/28/2008 M3.0 INCH HUERFANO CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STARTED 27 NOV 0945 MST...1 INCH THROUGH DAY...2 INCHES
OVERNIGHT...ENDED AFTER 28 NOV 0300 MST...

&&

$$

JKH

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KMQT [281328]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281328
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
828 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0828 AM SNOW 2 WNW IRONWOOD 46.47N 90.19W
11/28/2008 M3.2 INCH IRON WI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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KMQT [281312]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281312
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
811 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 AM SNOW CHASSELL 47.03N 88.53W
11/28/2008 M2.9 INCH HOUGHTON MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 281311
SWODY1
SPC AC 281308

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0708 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 281300Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SRN HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING
WILL EJECT EWD TO THE LOWER MS VALLEY TONIGHT. THIS WAVE IS
EXPECTED TO LOSE AMPLITUDE WITH TIME IN A CONFLUENT FLOW
REGIME...WHILE AN UPSTREAM TROUGH OVER THE NRN ROCKIES DIGS SEWD TO
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND HIGH PLAINS. IN ADVANCE OF THE
WEAKENING/EJECTING MID LEVEL TROUGH...WEAK CYCLOGENESIS WILL OCCUR
TODAY ALONG A BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS SE TX...AND THIS WEAK CYCLONE
WILL DEVELOP ENEWD TO CENTRAL MS BY EARLY SATURDAY. THE PRIMARY
FOCUS FOR DEEP CONVECTION THIS PERIOD WILL BE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE AND THE PATH OF THE WEAK SURFACE LOW FROM SE TX INTO CENTRAL
MS/AL.

...SE TX/SRN LA/CENTRAL/SRN MS THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE HAS INCREASED GRADUALLY DURING THE PAST 12-24
HOURS ACROSS THE NW GULF COAST...WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE NOW IN
THE MID-UPPER 60S FROM THE TX COASTAL PLAIN INTO SW LA. THIS
MOISTURE WILL SPREAD GRADUALLY ENEWD INTO SRN/CENTRAL MS AND AL
THROUGH TONIGHT. RELATIVELY POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL TEND TO
LIMIT THE OVERALL DEGREE OF INSTABILITY OVER THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...AND LOW-LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR MAGNITUDES WILL LIKEWISE BE
LIMITED BY THE DEAMPLIFICATION OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ONLY WEAK
SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS. THE RESULTANT WARM SECTOR WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS
/EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50 KT/...BUT RATHER MODEST LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH AOB 150 M2/S2/ AND INSTABILITY /MLCAPE OF
500-1000 J/KG/.

ONGOING CONVECTION FROM E TX INTO CENTRAL MS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTENS/DESTABILIZES S OF THE BOUNDARY DURING THE DAY. A FEW
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT ALONG
THE FRONT FROM SE TX ENEWD INTO MS...WHERE THE STRONGER STORMS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO.

..THOMPSON/HURLBUT.. 11/28/2008

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KMQT [281307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281307
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
807 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0805 AM SNOW 5 WNW BARAGA 46.80N 88.60W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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KICT [281241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 281241
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
641 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0632 AM SNOW 6 N SUSANK 38.73N 98.77W
11/28/2008 E2.5 INCH RUSSELL KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

SCHRECK

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KMQT [281240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281240
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
739 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW 2 W WATTON 46.54N 88.65W
11/28/2008 M2.4 INCH BARAGA MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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KMQT [281213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 281213
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
713 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 AM SNOW MUNISING 46.41N 86.65W
11/28/2008 M2.5 INCH ALGER MI CO-OP OBSERVER

IN THE LAST 24 HOURS.

&&

$$

AJK

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 280832
SWOD48
SPC AC 280831

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0231 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 011200Z - 061200Z

...DISCUSSION...

LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY HOSTILE FOR DEEP
CONVECTION EARLY NEXT WEEK AS STRONG COLD FRONT SURGES OFF THE
ATLANTIC COAST. POST FRONTAL RECOVERY NECESSARY FOR STRONG
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE DELAYED WELL BEYOND MODEL
PREDICTABILITY.

..DARROW.. 11/28/2008

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 280754
SWODY3
SPC AC 280752

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0152 AM CST FRI NOV 28 2008

VALID 301200Z - 011200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN GA/NORTHERN FL...

STRONG HIGH LEVEL FLOW WILL ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF DEEP UPPER
TROUGH AND EJECT INTO THE CAROLINAS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
PERIOD. THIS LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL ULTIMATELY DRIVE A WELL
PRONOUNCED COLD FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF GA AND NRN FL BY LATE
AFTERNOON. WITH H5 SPEED MAX WELL IN EXCESS OF 100KT ON COOL SIDE
OF FRONTAL ZONE...VERY STRONG SPEED SHEAR WILL OVERTAKE WARM SECTOR
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF WIND SHIFT. THE MAIN CONCERN FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY WILL BE THE EXTENT OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
RECOVERY PRIOR TO COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. IT APPEARS BUOYANCY WILL BE
VERY LIMITED INLAND ACROSS NRN FL INTO SRN GA...WHERE SFC-BASED CAPE
SHOULD BE AOB 500 J/KG...AS FORECAST LAPSE RATES MAY BE NO MORE THAN
6 C/KM THROUGH A VERY DEEP LAYER. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS
CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE STRONG FRONTAL ZONE...HOWEVER
UPDRAFT INTENSITY MAY PROVE TOO WEAK TO WARRANT MORE THAN A MARGINAL
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS OR PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. FOR THIS
REASON WILL MAINTAIN LOW PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF
IT BECOMES APPARENT GREATER INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT THEN A SLIGHT RISK MAY BE WARRANTED.

..DARROW.. 11/28/2008

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KABQ [280646]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KABQ 280646
LSRABQ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1145 PM MST THU NOV 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1045 PM SNOW 2 N CHAMA 36.92N 106.58W
11/27/2008 M6.0 INCH RIO ARRIBA NM CO-OP OBSERVER

2.5 INCHES SINCE LAST REPORT

&&

$$

44

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 280531
SWODY2
SPC AC 280529

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 PM CST THU NOV 27 2008

VALID 291200Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GULF COAST...

BOTH THE GFS AND NAM MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT REGARDING THE
EVOLUTION OF UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MS VALLEY LATE IN
THE DAY2 PERIOD. OF PARTICULAR NOTE IS THE FORECAST VEERED LOW
LEVEL FLOW AND LIKELY RELUCTANCE OF MEANINGFUL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
TO WORK NWD BEYOND THE IMMEDIATE CNTRL GULF COAST. SFC DEW POINTS
WILL STRUGGLE TO RISE ABOVE THE LOWER 60S EXCEPT NEAR THE WATER.
INLAND...WLY FLOW REGIME WILL SEVERELY LIMIT BUOYANCY AS MEAGER
MOISTURE AND MARGINAL LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN JUST ENOUGH
INSTABILITY FOR THUNDERSTORMS ATOP COOLER AIRMASS AS FAR NORTH AS
I-20 OVER PORTIONS OF MS AND AL NEAR THE WARM FRONT. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WOULD CERTAINLY SUPPORT ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS GIVEN ROBUST
UPDRAFT DEVELOPMENT...HOWEVER ANY REAL THREAT FOR STRONGER UPDRAFTS
WILL OCCUR MOSTLY WITHIN 50-100MI OF THE COAST WITHIN NARROW WARM
SECTOR. IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONG HEATING IT APPEARS WARM ADVECTION
WILL INITIALLY DRIVE AN E-W BAND OF CONVECTION NEAR/NORTH OF WARM
FRONT. THE GREATER THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS WILL OCCUR WITH
ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVES ALONG/AHEAD OF ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS
MS/LA...WITH PROGRESSION EWD ALONG THE GULF COAST INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE EXPECTED BY EARLY EVENING. GUSTY WINDS ARE THE GREATEST
RISK WITH THIS FRONTAL CONVECTION.

..DARROW.. 11/28/2008

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 280527
SWODY1
SPC AC 280524

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 PM CST THU NOV 27 2008

VALID 281200Z - 291200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT A LARGE UPPER CLOSED LOW/TROUGH...WITHIN A
NORTHERN BRANCH OF SPLIT POLAR WESTERLIES...WILL LINGER OVER THE
EASTERN CANADIAN PROVINCES AND NORTHEASTERN U.S. THROUGH THIS
FORECAST PERIOD. AT THE SAME TIME...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED
TO CONTINUE BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC INTO THE PACIFIC
COAST STATES. AND...THIS IS EXPECTED TO FORCE THE SIGNIFICANT SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE...NOW DIGGING ACROSS THE CANADIAN/ NORTHERN U.S.
ROCKIES...SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS IS FORECAST TO
MAINTAIN UPPER TROUGHING ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS STATES INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS...EVEN AS THE LAST IN A SERIES OF SIGNIFICANT
SOUTHERN BRANCH IMPULSES SHIFTS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH
A CONFLUENT REGIME ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE OZARK
PLATEAU.

...GULF STATES...
THE STRONGEST FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE
IMPULSE EMANATING FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL LIKELY REMAIN TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE GULF STATES TODAY. BUT...WEAK MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS AND A TRANSITION TO AT LEAST BROADLY CYCLONIC FLOW IS EXPECTED
TO OCCUR ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS THROUGH PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
GULF STATES. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
IN AN ENVIRONMENT WHICH HAS MOISTENED DURING THE PAST DAY OR
SO...ASSOCIATED WITH GULF OF MEXICO BOUNDARY LAYER MODIFICATION AND
INLAND RETURN FLOW.

THE BULK OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY BE BASED ABOVE A
RESIDUAL NEAR SURFACE STABLE LAYER...WITH WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
LIMITING THE VIGOR OF THE UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...THERE ARE INDICATIONS
AMONG MODEL GUIDANCE THAT WEAK SURFACE FRONTAL WAVE DEVELOPMENT MAY
BE ACCOMPANIED BY BOUNDARY LAYER BASED DESTABILIZATION...WITH CAPE
OF 500-1000 J/KG...ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN INTO
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA BY LATE TODAY...PERHAPS INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
TONIGHT. IF THIS OCCURS...AND IS ACCOMPANIED BY STORM
DEVELOPMENT...DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH 50+ KT WESTERLY 500 MB FLOW
WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. AND...MODEST
STRENGTHENING OF SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB FLOW MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
SUFFICIENTLY LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF
LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES...ACCOMPANIED BY THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED
TORNADO OR LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

..KERR.. 11/28/2008

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KPUB [280510]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPUB 280510
LSRPUB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1010 PM MST THU NOV 27 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1009 PM SNOW 5 SSE CRESTONE 37.93N 105.67W
11/27/2008 M2.0 INCH SAGUACHE CO TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MOORE

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