KMFR [310344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310344
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
844 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0837 PM HAIL ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH JACKSON OR EMERGENCY MNGR

CITY OF ASHLAND REPORTED BRIEF HEAVY HAIL ABOUT 1 INCH IN
DIAMETER EARLIER THIS EVENING. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AROUND
THE CITY...ONE OF WHICH WAS 4 FEET IN DIAMETER AND CAME
DOWN ON A HOUSE. TWO LARGE TREES DOWN IN GARFIELD PARK.

&&

$$

STOCKTON

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KMFR [310253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310253
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
753 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S ASHLAND 42.18N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE

MUD ACROSS HIGHWAY 66 DOWN THE ROAD FROM THE WINDMILL
INN. RAIN HAS LIGHTENED UP, BUT WATER IN DITCHES IS ONLY
2 INCHES FROM THE TOP OF THEM.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310248
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
748 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HEAVY RAIN ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 M3.05 INCH JACKSON OR PUBLIC

FORMER SPOTTER. MEASURED 3.05 TOTAL RAINFALL SINCE 1515
LOCAL TIME.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310247]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310247
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
747 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM FLASH FLOOD ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR PUBLIC

ON THE CORNER OF EAST MAIN AND CLAY CREEK, WATER IN
HAMILTON CREEK 1 FOOT FROM THE UPPER EDGE OF THE BANK AND
RISING RAPIDLY.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310243
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
743 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 E CHILOQUIN 42.58N 121.70W
08/30/2007 M0.15 INCH KLAMATH OR TRAINED SPOTTER

0.15 IN 10 MINUTES. HAIL...BUT LESS THAN PEA SIZED. 2ND
STORM OF THE DAY.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310241]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310241
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
741 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM FLASH FLOOD ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR PUBLIC

FORMER SPOTTER. FLOODING ON MAIN STREET CURB DEEP. WATER
BUBBLING OUT OF STORM DRAINS.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310240
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
740 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR PUBLIC

FORMER NWS SPOTTER. 1 FOOT OF STANDING WATER ON THE
CORNER OF WHITEMAN AND SISKIYOU.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310238
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
738 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE

4-6 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN IN LITHIA TRIANGLE IN
ASHLAND CITY CENTER. UNSURE IF IT IS FROM WIND OR
LIGHTNING.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KMFR [310234]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310234
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
733 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM FLASH FLOOD ASHLAND 42.19N 122.70W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR NWS EMPLOYEE

OFF DUTY EMPLOYEE REPORTED RAINFALL BEGINNING TO
OVERWHELM DRAINAGE SYSTEM. WATER STARTED TO GO ONTO THE
SIDEWALKS FROM THE STREETS. PEA SIZED HAIL ALSO CONVERING
THE GROUND. WIND GUSTS 20-30MPH.

&&

$$

LUTZ

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KLCH [310223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLCH 310223
LSRLCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
922 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM WATER SPOUT 5 NE PORT ARTHUR 29.95N 93.87W
08/30/2007 JEFFERSON TX PUBLIC

SEVERAL REPORTS FROM PUBLIC OF ONE SMALL WATERSPOUT AND
OTHER FUNNEL CLOUDS OVER SABINE LAKE.

&&

$$

SHAMBURGER

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KGYX [310215]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 310215
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1015 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM HAIL ROME 44.58N 69.87W
08/30/2007 E2.00 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

LOTS OF DAMAGE FROM 2 INCH HAIL.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMFR [310212]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310212
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
712 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0433 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 SE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.68W
08/30/2007 JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORT OF 1 FT WATER RUNNING OVER THE INTERSECTION OF
WHITEMAN AND SISKIYOU IN ASHLAND OR.

&&

$$

JOHNSON

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KPDT [310157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KPDT 310157
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
657 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 W REDMOND 44.25N 121.21W
08/30/2007 M0.25 INCH DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

THUNDERSTORM WITH LIGHTNING...DIME SIZED HAIL...WINDS
ESTIMATED 35 MPH GUSTING TO 45 MPH...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.
RECEIVED .25 INCH RAIN IN 15 MINUTES.

0605 PM HEAVY RAIN REDMOND 44.26N 121.17W
08/30/2007 M0.62 INCH DESCHUTES OR ASOS

.62 INCH RAIN FELL IN 30 MINUTES AT THE REDMOND AIRPORT.

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W REDMOND 44.25N 121.21W
08/30/2007 DESCHUTES OR TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER CALLED BACK AFTER A SECOND THUNDERSTORM MOVED
OVER THEM. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED TO 45 MPH CAUSED DAMAGE
TO A JUNIPER TREE...DIME SIZED HAIL...HEAVY RAIN RECEIVED
.75 INCH IN 15 MINUTES.

&&

$$

AMA

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KRAH [310136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 310136
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
936 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0855 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW SNOW CAMP 35.84N 79.45W
08/30/2007 ALAMANCE NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TREE DOWN ACROSS ANDERS RD. AT
PLEASANT HILL CHURCH RD.

&&

$$

BSMITH

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KMFR [310129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310129
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
629 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0625 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.68W
08/30/2007 M1.00 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

FROM AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

$$

GLASER

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KREV [310114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KREV 310114
LSRREV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
613 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0233 PM HEAVY RAIN 6 WSW BOCA RESERVOIR 39.36N 120.18W
08/30/2007 M0.50 INCH NEVADA CA TRAINED SPOTTER

A TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTER EAST OF TRUCKEE REPORTED 0.50
INCH OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES. NO FLOODING WAS OCCURRING.

0239 PM HAIL 2 E BECKWOURTH 39.82N 120.34W
08/30/2007 E0.25 INCH PLUMAS CA TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN REPORTED NEAR BECKWORTH AIRPORT ON
HIWAY 70.

0310 PM HEAVY RAIN 15 SE JANESVILLE 40.15N 120.35W
08/30/2007 M1.05 INCH LASSEN CA MESONET

1.05 INCHES RAIN IN 1 HOUR FROM 310PM TO 410PM.

0445 PM HEAVY RAIN 8 E BIEBER 41.12N 120.98W
08/30/2007 M0.84 INCH LASSEN CA TRAINED SPOTTER

MEASURED 0.84 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN 45 MINUTES. MARBLE
SIZE HAIL WITH WIND EST 35-40 MPH.

&&

$$

JKIELHOR

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KALY [310105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KALY 310105
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
905 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM TSTM WND DMG ADIRONDACK 43.77N 73.76W
08/30/2007 WARREN NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

1 TREE AND MULTIPLE WIRES DOWN.

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG BRUNSWICK 42.74N 73.56W
08/30/2007 RENSSELAER NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN

0620 PM HAIL GREENVILLE CENTER 42.39N 74.00W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GREENE NY PUBLIC

0700 PM HAIL CATSKILL 42.21N 73.87W
08/30/2007 M0.88 INCH GREENE NY TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL MEASURED 0.88 OF AN INCH AND MANY LARGE TREE LIMBS
DOWN.

&&

$$

KGS

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KGYX [310105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 310105
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
905 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG NEW SHARON 44.64N 70.02W
08/30/2007 FRANKLIN ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ALONG A 20 MILE STRETCH OF ROUTE 27 FROM
BELGRADE LAKES IN KENNEBEC COUNTY TO NEW SHARON IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

0445 PM TSTM WND DMG BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ALONG A 20 MILE STRETCH OF ROUTE 27 FROM
BELGRADE LAKES IN KENNEBEC COUNTY TO NEW SHARON IN
FRANKLIN COUNTY.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMFR [310105]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310105
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
605 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0604 PM HAIL 3 ESE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.65W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINING HARD WITH HAIL. GUSTY WINDS.

&&

$$

GLASER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 310103
SWODY1
SPC AC 310100

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 310100Z - 311200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE ERN TROUGH EXTENDING SWD
FROM HUDSON BAY VORTEX ACROSS MID-ATLANTIC REGION...AND RIDGING FROM
4-CORNERS AREA ANTICYCLONE NWD OVER NRN ROCKIES TO ERN AB/WRN SASK.
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AND ACCOMPANYING CYCLONIC SHEAR ZONE WILL
EXTEND FROM UPPER LOW OVER W-CENTRAL MEX...NEWD ACROSS ARKLATEX
REGION AND WRN TN...THEN MERGING WITH MEAN TROUGH OVER NERN CONUS.
QUASISTATIONARY/WEAK UPPER TROUGH ALSO IS EVIDENT IN MOISTURE
CHANNEL IMAGERY FROM PNS/MOB AREA SWWD ACROSS W-CENTRAL/SERN GULF.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT IS ANALYZED FROM NWRN ONT SWWD ACROSS NERN MN
AND NRN ND...MOVING SSEWD. FRONT SHOULD SETTLE OVER SWRN THROUGH
E-CENTRAL ND AND EXTREME N-CENTRAL MN TONIGHT BEFORE DECELERATING.
MEANWHILE...PERSISTENT...WAVY AND OUTFLOW-DIFFUSED FRONTAL ZONE IS
EVIDENT FROM E-CENTRAL NM EWD ACROSS RED RIVER REGION OF
TX/OK...ENEWD OVER SRN APPALACHIANS...THEN NEWD ACROSS MAINE. NEW
ENGLAND/MID ATLANTIC PORTION OF FRONT WILL PROCEED OFFSHORE...WHILE
REMAINDER OF FRONT DRIFTS SEWD/SWD.

...MN/ND...
ISOLATED BAND OF TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS PORTIONS
EXTREME ERN ND AND NWRN MN FOR A FEW MORE HOURS...AS LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE NEAR COLD FRONT PROVIDES SUFFICIENT LIFT. MRGLLY SVR
HAIL AND STG/DAMAGING GUSTS MAY OCCUR IN MORE INTENSE CELLS...BUT
THREAT APPEARS TOO BRIEF/ISOLATED AND LIMITED IN SPATIAL EXTENT TO
WARRANT CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK. THIS ACTIVITY MAY TEND TO BACKBUILD
WWD INTO SFC MOIST AXIS...WHICH IS ANALYZED FROM N-CENTRAL SD NEWD
ACROSS NERN ND. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE LIMITED BY
CAPPING LOCATED AT BASE OF ELEVATED MIXED LAYER...AROUND 700 MB.
THOUGH VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR
40-50 KT...STRENGTHENING SBCINH RELATED TO DIABATIC SFC COOLING WILL
LIMIT SVR POTENTIAL WITH TIME AFTER ABOUT 03Z.

..ORE/NRN CA...
SCATTERED-NUMEROUS TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM KLAMATH MOUNTAINS OF
NWRN CA NWD THEN NEWD OVER PORTIONS SWRN/CENTRAL ORE. KINEMATIC
PROFILES BENEATH BELT OF MIDLEVEL SWLYS APPEARS MRGLLY FAVORABLE
OVER THIS AREA...WITH 40-45 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR. MODIFIED MFR RAOB
AND RUC SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LOW-MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40S/50S
F SFC DEW POINTS OVER MUCH OF THIS AREA SUPPORT 500-1000 J/KG
MLCAPE. FAVORABLE BUOYANCY SHOULD PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 2-3 HOURS IN
PRECONVECTIVE AIR MASS...UNTIL DIABATIC SFC COOLING ACCELERATES AND
INCREASES SBCINH. GEN DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
IS FCST AFTER 03Z...THOUGH ISOLATED HAIL/GUSTS NEAR SVR LEVELS STILL
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE EVENING FROM MOST INTENSE CELLS.

..ELSEWHERE...
WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS -- MUCH OF THEM IN BANDS AND MULTICELLULAR
CLUSTERS -- WILL CONTINUE THROUGH REMAINDER EVENING FROM ERN NEW
ENGLAND SWWD ACROSS GA...MS DELTA REGION...AND CENTRAL/WRN TX.
OVERALL COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH FROM NOW
THROUGH REMAINDER EVENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZES...FROM
COMBINATION OF DIABATIC EFFECTS RELATED TO OUTFLOW AND LOSS OF
INSOLATION. DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN QUITE WEAK FROM
MID-ATLANTIC REGION SWWD AS WELL. WHILE VERY BRIEF/ISOLATED
CONVECTIVE WIND EVENT CANNOT BE RULED OUT...SVR POTENTIAL APPEARS
TOO ISOLATED FOR 5 PERCENT RISK AREA ATTM.

.EDWARDS.. 08/31/2007

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 663

WWUS20 KWNS 310103
SEL3
SPC WW 310103
MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-310100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 663
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
903 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 663 ISSUED AT 310 PM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF

MASSACHUSETTS
MAINE
NEW HAMPSHIRE
NEW YORK
VERMONT

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KMFR [310101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310101
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
601 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM HAIL 2 ESE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.66W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINING HARD WITH STANDING WATER. TREE DOWN ACROSS
CALIFORNIA STREET.

&&

$$

GLASER

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KRAH [310052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 310052
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
852 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 W SILER CITY 35.72N 79.52W
08/30/2007 CHATHAM NC LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN ON WEST THIRD ST.
NEAR TRIPP COTTAGE RD... WEST OF SILER CITY.

&&

$$

BSMITH

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KGYX [310051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KGYX 310051
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
851 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1239 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S THE FORKS 45.29N 69.97W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROUTE 201 3 MILES SOUTH OF THE
WEST FORKS.

0255 PM HAIL WOODSVILLE 44.15N 72.04W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0321 PM HAIL 6 NNE HAVERHILL 44.11N 72.02W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0345 PM HAIL BENTON 44.59N 69.55W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

0417 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW WILTON 44.61N 70.26W
08/30/2007 FRANKLIN ME PUBLIC

TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN AT WILSON LAKE COUNTRY CLUB. ALSO
HALF INCH HAIL.

0452 PM HAIL DIXFIELD 44.53N 70.46W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH OXFORD ME AMATEUR RADIO

0500 PM HAIL LYME 43.81N 72.16W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0504 PM HAIL JAY 44.50N 70.22W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH FRANKLIN ME PUBLIC

0505 PM HAIL LIVERMORE FALLS 44.48N 70.19W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH ANDROSCOGGIN ME PUBLIC

0505 PM HAIL 5 W WATERVILLE 44.55N 69.73W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

REPORT FROM BELGRADE ON THE SMITHFIELD TOWN LINE.

0506 PM TSTM WND DMG BELGRADE 44.45N 69.83W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN

0510 PM HAIL WEST PARIS 44.32N 70.57W
08/30/2007 E0.75 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC

0510 PM HAIL WEST PARIS 44.32N 70.57W
08/30/2007 E1.25 INCH OXFORD ME PUBLIC

0515 PM HAIL OAKLAND 44.54N 69.72W
08/30/2007 E1.75 INCH KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG WATERVILLE 44.55N 69.63W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN.

0516 PM HAIL CLAREMONT 43.38N 72.35W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH SULLIVAN NH PUBLIC

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NW WATERVILLE 44.63N 69.75W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

TREES DOWN. QUARTER SIZE HAIL. EVENT OCCURRED IN
SMITHFIELD.

0520 PM TSTM WND DMG LOVELL 44.13N 70.89W
08/30/2007 OXFORD ME NEWSPAPER

TREES DOWN - RELAYED FROM OXFORD COUNTY SHERIFF

0535 PM TSTM WND DMG FAIRFIELD 44.59N 69.60W
08/30/2007 KENNEBEC ME AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES.

0616 PM TSTM WND DMG PITTSFIELD 44.77N 69.38W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0620 PM HAIL W BRISTOL 43.59N 71.74W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

0620 PM HAIL 1 W BRISTOL 43.59N 71.76W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED IN BRISTOL.

0625 PM TSTM WND DMG DETROIT 44.79N 69.30W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

0659 PM HAIL FRANKLIN 43.45N 71.67W
08/30/2007 E0.88 INCH MERRIMACK NH PUBLIC

&&

$$

SJC

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KMFR [310040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KMFR 310040
LSRMFR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
540 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0539 PM HAIL 2 ESE ASHLAND 42.18N 122.66W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH JACKSON OR TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

GLASER

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KSGX [310026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSGX 310026
LSRSGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
526 PM PDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0440 PM FUNNEL CLOUD RUNNING SPRINGS 34.21N 117.11W
08/30/2007 SAN BERNARDINO CA PUBLIC

UNCONFIRMED REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR RUNNING
SPRINGS.

&&

$$

PGONSA

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KBTV [302357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KBTV 302357
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
756 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL WELLS RIVER 44.15N 72.07W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH ORANGE VT TRAINED SPOTTER

FEW BRANCHES DOWN DUE TO WIND.

0300 PM HAIL PARADOX 43.90N 73.63W
08/30/2007 E2.75 INCH ESSEX NY PUBLIC

0315 PM HAIL BENSON 43.71N 73.31W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH RUTLAND VT TRAINED SPOTTER

0335 PM HAIL MORIAH 44.05N 73.50W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH ESSEX NY POST OFFICE

0345 PM HAIL PORT HENRY 44.05N 73.46W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH ESSEX NY TRAINED SPOTTER

DELAYED REPORT.

&&

$$

DONNYD

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KGSP [301944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 301944
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
344 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 PM LIGHTNING GREENVILLE 34.84N 82.37W
08/30/2007 GREENVILLE SC COUNTY OFFICIAL

LIGHTNING STRIKES RESULTED IN TWO HOUSE FIRES.

&&

$$

NED

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KRLX [301943]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 301943
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
341 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0336 PM HAIL RAVENSWOOD 38.94N 81.72W
08/30/2007 U0.25 INCH JACKSON WV PUBLIC

EVENT OCCURRED BETWEEN
321 PM 08/30/2007 AND 336 PM 08/30/2007

&&

$$

NNNN

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KBTV [301941]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 301941
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
341 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0335 PM HAIL MORIAH 44.05N 73.50W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH ESSEX NY POST OFFICE

&&

$$

DONNYD

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KGYX [301939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 301939
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
339 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0255 PM HAIL WOODSVILLE 44.15N 72.04W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH GRAFTON NH PUBLIC

&&

$$

KIRKA

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KMEG [301935]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KMEG 301935
LSRMEG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
234 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0224 PM TSTM WND GST COMO 34.51N 89.94W
08/30/2007 E60 MPH PANOLA MS PUBLIC

GAS STATION ATTENDANT ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS. CANOPY OVER
PUMPS SHAKING VIGOROUSLY

&&

$$

DSV

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KBTV [301932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 301932
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
331 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM HAIL BENSON 43.71N 73.31W
08/30/2007 E1.00 INCH RUTLAND VT TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

DONNYD

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KGSP [301930]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KGSP 301930
LSRGSP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
329 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0311 PM TSTM WND GST GREENVILLE 34.84N 82.37W
08/30/2007 M59 MPH GREENVILLE SC ASOS

WIND GUST MEASURED AT THE GREENVILLE DOWNTOWN
AIRPORT...KGMU.

&&

$$

NED

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KALY [301924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KALY 301924
LSRALY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
323 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0247 PM TSTM WND DMG ADIRONDACK 43.77N 73.76W
08/30/2007 WARREN NY COUNTY OFFICIAL

1 TREE AND MULTIPLE WIRES DOWN.

&&

$$

KGS

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KRLX [301924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KRLX 301924
LSRRLX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
323 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 N SAND FORK 38.97N 80.75W
08/30/2007 GILMER WV TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

$$

NWEBB

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 663

WWUS20 KWNS 301909
SEL3
SPC WW 301909
MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-310100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 663
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
310 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
WEST AND SOUTHERN MAINE
NEW HAMPSHIRE
EASTERN NEW YORK
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 310 PM UNTIL
900 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF ALBANY NEW YORK TO 15 MILES EAST OF AUGUSTA MAINE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...BROAD AREA OF MID LEVEL HEIGHTS FALLS WILL OVERSPREAD
THE NORTHEAST AHEAD OF PROGRESSIVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS ONTARIO/WRN
QUEBEC ATTM. THIS IS HELPING DRIVE A SURFACE COLD SEWD INTO NEW
ENGLAND...WHERE PREFRONTAL TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER
80S/LOWER 90S IN SOME LOCATIONS. RESULTANT MODERATE INSTABILITY AND
MODEST SWLY FLOW ALOFT/SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING A FEW ORGANIZED LINES/CLUSTERS AND
POSSIBLY A SUPERCELL OR TWO. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL SHOULD
ACCOMPANY THE MORE INTENSE STORMS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.

..EVANS

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KBTV [301907]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBTV 301907
LSRBTV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
306 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HAIL WELLS RIVER 44.15N 72.07W
08/30/2007 E0.50 INCH ORANGE VT TRAINED SPOTTER

FEW BRANCHES DOWN DUE TO WIND.

0300 PM HAIL PARADOX 43.90N 73.63W
08/30/2007 E2.75 INCH ESSEX NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

DONNYD

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KCAR [301846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 301846
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
245 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENVILLE 45.46N 69.59W
08/30/2007 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

A DC-3 AIRCRAFT WAS BLOWN ACROSS THE RUNWAY AT THE
GREENVILLE AIRPORT...AND HIT 7 OR 8 OTHER SMALLER PLANES
CAUSING DAMAGE.

&&

$$

STUREY

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1922

ACUS11 KWNS 301820
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301820
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-302015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1922
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...PA...NY...MA...VT...NH...ME

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 301820Z - 302015Z

STRONG TSTMS ARE BEGINNING TO INCREASE ALONG/AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
SPREADING GRADUALLY SEWD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK
SHEAR AND MODEST INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WILL PROBABLY
LIMIT MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...A FEW
CONVECTIVE LINES OR CLUSTERS COULD REACH SEVERE LEVELS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD. IF IT APPEARS THAT ONE OR TWO
LONGER-LIVED AND ROBUST STORM CLUSTERS WILL EVOLVE ALONG THE
FRONT...A WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY AS THE AFTERNOON PROCEEDS.

ISOLATED CELLS HAVE ERUPTED IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT FROM SW/CNTRL PA
NEWD ACROSS ERN NY...AND OVER NCNTRL VT. WARM SECTOR AIR MASS ACROSS
THESE AREAS WAS INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE FROM SW TO NE WITH MLCAPE OVER
2000 J/KG ACROSS PARTS OF PA TO ABOUT 1000 J/KG OVER VT. STRONGER
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR DOES EXIST ALONG THE FRONT ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF
NY/NEW ENGLAND AND APPEARS TO HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE WELL-ORGANIZED
BOW NOW TRACKING TOWARD ERN ME. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ONE OR TWO STORM
CLUSTERS NOW DEVELOPING ACROSS ERN NY AND VT COULD EVOLVE IN A
SIMILAR FASHION. HOWEVER...BULK OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT...ESPECIALLY SWWD FROM ERN NY...WILL LIKELY REMAIN
MULTICELLULAR IN CHARACTER GIVEN EFFECTIVE SHEAR IN THE RANGE OF
20-25KT.

WITH MORE ORGANIZED ACTIVITY IN NY/VT CONTINUING TO INCREASE AMIDST
MODEST INSTABILITY...SHEAR...AND FORCING...A WATCH APPEARS MOST
LIKELY ACROSS THESE AREAS IF STORMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND
INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

.CARBIN.. 08/30/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...CTP...PBZ...

44307361 44727084 44796958 43437098 41517527 40537736
39887863 39837970 40648014 42657664 43677552

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KILN [301810]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KILN 301810
LSRILN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
209 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0635 PM TSTM WND DMG 10 N FALMOUTH 38.82N 84.33W
08/29/2007 PENDLETON KY PUBLIC

SMALL TRESS BROKEN NEAR CAMPBELL COUNTY LINE.

&&

$$

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KCAR [301722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KCAR 301722
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
122 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1258 PM TSTM WND DMG GREENVILLE 45.46N 69.59W
08/30/2007 PISCATAQUIS ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN

&&

$$

STUREY

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KGYX [301716]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KGYX 301716
LSRGYX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
115 PM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1239 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 S THE FORKS 45.29N 69.97W
08/30/2007 SOMERSET ME PUBLIC

LARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROUTE 201 3 MILES SOUTH OF THE
WEST FORKS.

&&

$$

KIRKA

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 301654
SWODY2
SPC AC 301653

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1153 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...

PRIMARY BELT OF POLAR WESTERLIES WILL BE MAINTAINED ACROSS THE NRN
TIER OF STATES AND CANADA THROUGH THE DAY TWO PERIOD. MIGRATORY
TROUGH CURRENTLY FROM HUDSON BAY INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION WILL
AMPLIFY AS IT CONTINUES EWD THROUGH THE NERN STATES. MEANWHILE...
BROAD UPSTREAM TROUGH WILL PERSIST FROM THE GULF OF AK SWD INTO THE
E-CNTRL PACIFIC WITH EMBEDDED SHORT WAVE TROUGH /NOW NEAR 39N 141W/
PROGRESSING EWD INTO THE PACIFIC NW.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...DIURNAL TSTMS WILL BE FOCUSED FROM VICINITY OF
SURFACE LOW OVER THE FL PNHDL NEWD ALONG WEAK FRONT INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND SRN NEW ENGLAND. OTHER POTENTIALLY MORE INTENSE
TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT SHIFTING EWD THROUGH
THE PACIFIC NW INTO NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION.

..PACFIC NW INTO NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...

WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED...A STEEP LAPSE
RATE ENVIRONMENT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF SURFACE FRONT
FRIDAY...SUPPORTING POCKETS OF WEAK CONVECTIVE INSTABILITY WITH
SBCAPES OF 500-700 J/KG. FRONTAL FORCING COUPLED WITH
DEEPER-LAYER...LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ATTENDANT TO APPROACHING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO AN INCREASE IN TSTM COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING FROM ERN PARTS OF WA/ORE
INTO ID AND PERHAPS FAR WRN MT.

MODERATELY STRONG MID AND HIGH-LEVEL WIND FIELDS ASSOCIATED WITH
SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL RESULT IN SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR TO
SUPPORT SOME TSTM ORGANIZATION. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WILL BE LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS GIVEN DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
CONDITIONS AND RESULTANT EVAPORATIVE COOLING POTENTIAL. SOME HAIL
MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER CELLS.

.MEAD.. 08/30/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301623
SWODY1
SPC AC 301620

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 301630Z - 311200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEAST...

..NORTHEAST...
ASCENT ACROSS DEEP-LAYER FONTAL ZONE...NOW EXTENDING FROM NERN NY TO
NRN ME...WAS LIKELY BEING ENHANCED BENEATH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
UPPER LEVEL JET MAX SITUATED ACROSS ERN CANADA. MORE FOCUSED FORCING
ALONG THE BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTING STRONG TSTM NOW TRACKING
EWD OVER WRN ME. WELL-DEFINED DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE AHEAD OF
THIS PARTICULAR CELL...FROM NRN NH INTO WRN ME...AND FORCING/SHEAR
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR...COULD ENHANCE STORM SCALE PROCESSES OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WITH POSSIBLE EVOLUTION INTO A SMALL BOW ECHO AS
HEATING AND MIXING WEAKEN CIN NOW OVER CENTRAL ME.

GIVEN CLEAR SKIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...STRONG HEATING AND MODEST
MOISTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WITH SOMEWHAT MARGINAL MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THE RANGE
OF 6-7 C/KM...MLCAPE VALUES WILL PROBABLY MAX OUT AROUND 1000 J/KG
FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S F. AS INHIBITION IS
OVERCOME AND FRONT SETTLES SEWD...ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD
ENSUE. AS USUAL...STRONGER DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO
THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...SHEAR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
FRONTAL ZONE...AND WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...COULD SUPPORT WIDELY SCATTERED WIND DAMAGE FROM A COUPLE OF
THE MORE ROBUST TSTMS...ESPECIALLY FROM THE HUDSON VALLEY/ERN NY
INTO SRN/CENTRAL ME.

..ORE...
SHORTWAVE TROUGH/VORT MAX NOTICED ON WV IMAGERY NOW OVER CENTRAL ORE
WILL CONTINUE LIFTING SLOWLY NEWD INTO THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION
TODAY. MID LEVEL MOISTURE AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS IMPULSE
SHOULD SUPPORT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH MLCAPE WILL BE QUITE
MEAGER WITH FAIRLY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER CONDITIONS...STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT MOISTENING ATOP DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
STILL SUPPORT MARGINAL INSTABILITY. RESULTANT THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE STRONG/BRIEFLY-SEVERE WINDS AND POSSIBLY HAIL WITHIN MODEST
SHEAR.

.EVANS/GRAMS/CARBIN.. 08/30/2007

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KDLH [301546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KDLH 301546
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1046 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM HAIL 7 N MCGREGOR 46.71N 93.31W
08/27/2007 M2.75 INCH AITKIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

BASEBALL HAIL AT BIG SANDY LAKE, COVERING THE GROUND

0600 PM HAIL 8 N MCGREGOR 46.72N 93.31W
08/27/2007 M1.75 INCH AITKIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL BROKE WINDSHIELD OF CAR

0635 PM HAIL 6 S FLOODWOOD 46.84N 92.92W
08/27/2007 E1.75 INCH ST. LOUIS MN CO-OP OBSERVER

MINOR CROP DAMAGE

0650 PM HAIL HILL CITY 46.99N 93.60W
08/27/2007 M0.75 INCH AITKIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0652 PM HAIL HILL CITY 46.99N 93.60W
08/27/2007 M1.75 INCH AITKIN MN PUBLIC

0658 PM HAIL 2 E HILL CITY 46.99N 93.55W
08/27/2007 M0.88 INCH AITKIN MN AMATEUR RADIO

0908 PM MARINE TSTM WIND PORT WING 46.77N 91.39W
08/27/2007 M41.00 MPH BAYFIELD WI C-MAN STATION

WINDS GUSTED FROM 40 TO 50 MPH BETWEEN 9 PM AND 10 PM.

1150 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 W PORT WING 46.77N 91.43W
08/27/2007 BAYFIELD WI NWS STORM SURVEY

TREES AND LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN IN AN AREA FROM 8 TO 2
MILES WEST OF OF PORT WING.

0200 AM HAIL 5 S SHELL LAKE 45.67N 91.90W
08/28/2007 E0.75 INCH WASHBURN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

PENNY-SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

$$

CC

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1921

ACUS11 KWNS 301508
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 301507
MEZ000-NHZ000-VTZ000-301700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1921
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1007 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...VT NH ME

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 301507Z - 301700Z

CHANCES FOR STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF NRN NEW ENGLAND. THIS POTENTIAL MAY
ALSO DEVELOP SWWD INTO PARTS OF ERN NY...SRN VT/NH...AND MA LATER
TODAY. AN UPGRADE TO SLGT RISK ACROSS PARTS OF THESE AREAS IS
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT SWODY1 AND A WATCH IS ALSO POSSIBLE IF STORMS
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

ASCENT ACROSS DEEP-LAYER FONTAL ZONE...NOW EXTENDING FROM NERN NY TO
NRN ME...WAS LIKELY BEING ENHANCED BENEATH RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
UPPER LEVEL JET MAX SITUATED ACROSS ERN CANADA. MORE FOCUSED FORCING
ALONG THE BOUNDARY APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTING STRONG TSTM NOW TRACKING
EWD OVER THE UPPER CT RIVER VALLEY/NRN NH AT ABOUT 40KT.
WELL-DEFINED DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE AHEAD OF THIS PARTICULAR
CELL...FROM NRN NH INTO WRN ME...AND FORCING/SHEAR ALONG THIS
CORRIDOR...COULD ENHANCE STORM SCALE PROCESSES OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE.

GIVEN CLEAR SKIES AHEAD OF THE FRONT...STRONG HEATING AND MODEST
MOISTURE WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION INTO THE
AFTERNOON. WITH SOMEWHAT MARGINAL MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES IN THE RANGE
OF 6-7 C/KM...MLCAPE VALUES WILL PROBABLY MAX OUT AROUND 1000 J/KG
FOR SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S F. AS INHIBITION IS
OVERCOME AND FRONT SETTLES SEWD...ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD
ENSUE. AS USUAL...STRONGER DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO
THE COOL SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. HOWEVER...SHEAR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
FRONTAL ZONE...AND WELL-MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...COULD SUPPORT WIDELY SCATTERED WIND DAMAGE FROM A COUPLE OF
THE MORE ROBUST TSTMS. GIVEN THIS SCENARIO...A SLGT RISK WILL LIKELY
BE ADDED TO THE NEXT SWODY1 ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION. A WATCH IS
ALSO POSSIBLE IF IT APPEARS STRONG TO SEVERE STORM ACTIVITY IS
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.CARBIN.. 08/30/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BTV...

45357084 45856929 46386796 45836788 45216810 44346989
44017098 43827162 43727242 44007300 44587264

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 9005...test

WWUS20 KWNS 301449
SEL5
SPC WW 301449
NEZ000-301500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9005...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 925 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TEST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG
AND 20 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HASTINGS NEBRASKA TO 15 MILES WEST OF HASTINGS
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THIS IS A TEST WATCH.

THIS IS A TEST WATCH.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 24035.

..SPC

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WATCHES: Test...severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 9005...test

WWUS20 KWNS 301445
SEL5
SPC WW 301445
NEZ000-301500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TEST...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 9005...TEST
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A...TEST...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING FROM 925 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TEST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG
AND 20 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HASTINGS NEBRASKA TO 15 MILES WEST OF HASTINGS
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THIS IS A TEST WATCH.

THIS IS A TEST WATCH.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 24035.

..SPC

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KLZK [301326]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 301326
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
826 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0745 AM FLASH FLOOD SULPHUR SPRINGS 34.18N 92.13W
08/30/2007 JEFFERSON AR COUNTY OFFICIAL

SIX INCHES OF WATER WAS OVER SULPHUR SPRINGS ROAD. MANY
YARDS WERE FLOODED IN THE SULPHUR SPRINGS COMMUNITY.

&&

$$

57

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KIND [301318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KIND 301318
LSRIND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
918 AM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 ENE ROCKVILLE 39.82N 87.07W
08/29/2007 PARKE IN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

LARGE TREE AND LIMBS DOWNED.

0800 PM TSTM WND DMG 4 NNE CRAWFORDSVILLE 40.10N 86.87W
08/29/2007 MONTGOMERY IN DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

LARGE TREE AND LIMBS DOWNED.

&&

$$

DTUCEK

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 301251
SWODY1
SPC AC 301249

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 301300Z - 311200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
BROAD RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS WILL DOMINATE THE PATTERN
OVER MUCH OF THE LWR 48 THIS PERIOD...WITH THE WLYS ONCE AGAIN
REMAINING CONFINED TO SRN CANADA. LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH THAT HAS
MOVED E ACROSS S CNTRL CANADA IN RECENT DAYS WILL CONTINUE E ACROSS
QUEBEC THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL UNDERGO SLIGHT AMPLIFICATION
AS IT REACHES THE ST LAWRENCE VLY TONIGHT IN RESPONSE TO A SERIES OF
IMPULSES DROPPING ESE ACROSS WRN ONTARIO.

IN THE WEST...WV IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES THAT LIKELY
WILL PLAY A ROLE IN GOVERNING DIURNAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT FROM CA/NV
NWD INTO THE PC NW/NRN RCKYS. DIFFUSE FEATURE NOW NEARING SFO
SHOULD EDGE SLOWLY NE INTO WRN NV...WHILE IMPULSE NOW IN CNTRL ORE
ACCELERATES NE TOWARD NRN ID.

AT LWR LVLS...WEAK COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NRN APPALACHIANS
ACROSS LWR TN VLY TO THE SRN PLNS ATTM SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN AS SETTLES FARTHER S AND SE.

..NERN U.S....
STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR OVER MUCH OF NRN NEW ENGLAND...ERN/SRN NY
AND NE PA TODAY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT SETTLING SE ACROSS REGION. AN
AXIS OF SLIGHTLY COOLER MID LVL AIR WILL ALSO PRECEDE THE FRONT.
NEVERTHELESS...EXPECT THAT DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION WILL REMAIN
MODEST...WITH AFTERNOON MLCAPE REMAINING AOB 1500 J/KG IN SRN
NY/PA...AND AOB 1000 J/KG IN ME.

30-40 KT WLY MID LVL FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODERATE DEEP SHEAR IN
ME...BUT WILL WEAKEN SUBSTANTIALLY WITH SW EXTENT ALONG/AHEAD OF
COLD FRONT AS MAIN BELT OF WLYS REMAINS IN CANADA.

COMBINATION OF HEATING...WEAK CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT AND/OR
TERRAIN-INDUCED CIRCULATIONS SHOULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF SCTD
AFTERNOON TSTMS FROM SW/CNTRL PA NEWD INTO CNTRL/NRN NEW ENGLAND.
POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO BE ENHANCED BY UPR DIVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH AMPLIFYING SYSTEM IN QUEBEC. WHILE THE AREAS OF
GREATEST SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE VERY JUXTAPOSED...SETUP
COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND LINE
SEGMENTS...WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND FROM
NRN PA/NY INTO NRN/CNTRL NEW ENGLAND.

..ORE...
DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL SW FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER NRN CA AND ORE THIS
PERIOD...SE OF BROAD GULF OF AK UPR LOW. SATELLITE AND MODEL FCSTS
SUGGEST THAT A RIBBON OF MID LVL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN/EVOLVE OVER
PARTS OF NRN CA AND WRN/CNTRL ORE TODAY AS AFOREMENTIONED UPR
SYSTEMS BECOME INCREASINGLY SHEARED. TSTMS LIKELY WILL FORM ALONG
THE MOIST AXIS AS SFC HEATING DESTABILIZES THE LWR LVLS DURING THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY INVOF TERRAIN-INDUCED CIRCULATIONS. COUPLED
WITH STRENGTHENING MID LVL GRADIENT FLOW...THIS SETUP COULD SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW CLUSTERS OR SHORT LINES OF HIGH-BASED STORMS.
THESE COULD POSE A RISK FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND/MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL AS THEY MOVE NEWD ATOP DEEPLY-MIXED LWR-ELEVATION BOUNDARY LYR.

.CORFIDI/CROSBIE.. 08/30/2007

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KTSA [301224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 301224
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
723 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM DOWNBURST BROKEN ARROW 36.05N 95.79W
08/29/2007 TULSA OK BROADCAST MEDIA

DOWNBURST WINDS DOWNED SEVERAL TREES IN BROKEN ARROW

&&

$$

MAT

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KTBW [301100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 301100
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
659 AM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0736 PM WATER SPOUT 6 SSE SAINT PETERSBURG 27.68N 82.65W
08/29/2007 GMZ830 FL BROADCAST MEDIA

BESIDE THE SUNSHINE SKYWAY BRIDGE.

0745 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SE SAINT PETERSBURG 27.72N 82.64W
08/29/2007 PINELLAS FL PUBLIC

MINOR DAMAGE TO BOATS AND A ROOF AT MARINA. NO ESTIMATE
ON WIND SPEED. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

NOAH

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KHUN [300957]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHUN 300957
LSRHUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
456 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM LIGHTNING 4 NW HUNTSVILLE 34.77N 86.64W
08/29/2007 MADISON AL NEWSPAPER

LIGHTNING SPARKED A SMALL ATTIC FIRE AT A RESIDENCE.
DAMAGES UNKNOWN. TIME ESTIMATED

0630 PM LIGHTNING 6 WNW OWENS CROSSROADS 34.61N 86.55W
08/29/2007 MADISON AL NEWSPAPER

LIGHTNING STRUCK A POWER SUBSTATION ON CHANEY THOMPSON
ROAD CAUSING A POWER OUTAGE AFFECTING 1900 CUSTOMERS.
LIGHTNING ALSO STRUCK A SUBSTATION IN DOWNTOWN HUNTSVILLE
AFFECTING 300 CUSTOMERS. TIME ESTIMATED.

0700 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 S HUNTSVILLE 34.72N 86.59W
08/29/2007 MADISON AL BROADCAST MEDIA

FLASH FLOOD WITH KNEE DEEP WATER IMPACTING RESIDENCES ON
AUBURN AND STANFORD STREETS. TIME ESTIMATED.

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 SSW HUNTSVILLE 34.69N 86.60W
08/29/2007 M3.40 INCH MADISON AL MESONET

MEASURED AT SPRING BRANCH...STATION ID SBHA1. ONE HOUR
RAINFALL FROM 6 TO 7 PM OF 3.40 INCHES. 30 MINUTE
RAINFALL FROM 6 TO 630 PM OF 2.41 INCHES. 20 MINUTE
RAINFALL FROM 615 PM TO 635 PM OF 2.18 INCHES...AVERAGING
0.55 INCHES EACH 5 MINTES.

0730 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 S HUNTSVILLE 34.69N 86.58W
08/29/2007 MADISON AL NEWSPAPER

FLASH FLOODING PROMPTED A SECTION OF BALMORAL DRIVE TO BE
BLOCKED OFF. FLASH FLOODING WAS ALSO REPORTED ON SEVERAL
HUNTSVILLE STREETS INCLUDING MERIDIAN STREET...WHITESBURG
DRIVE...SOUTH MEMORIAL PARKWAY...AND UNIVERSITY DRIVE.
TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

$$

KULA

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 300900
SWOD48
SPC AC 300859

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0359 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 021200Z - 071200Z

..DISCUSSION...
THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE POLAR
WESTERLIES WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN U.S...AFTER THE
EXTENDED UPCOMING LABOR DAY WEEKEND...INTO THE MIDDLE TO LATTER
PARTS OF NEXT WEEK. THIS IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AS ONE OR MORE
SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE IMPULSES...EMANATING FROM A BROAD
NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH...CONTRIBUTE TO THE DOWNSTREAM
AMPLIFICATION OF AN UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE CENTRAL CANADIAN/U.S.
BORDER AREA. THIS PROBABLY WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY WAVE DEVELOPMENT
ALONG A SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE...FROM PARTS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL
PLAINS THROUGH THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION.
HOWEVER...THE SPREAD AMONG GUIDANCE IS LARGE CONCERNING JUST HOW
THIS OCCURS AT THE EXTENDED DAY 7-8 TIME FRAME.

AT THE SAME TIME...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT AN INFLUX OF DEEP
LAYER/HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR...AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
WESTERN ATLANTIC/SOUTHEAST STATES SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...WILL OCCUR.
ASSOCIATED CLOUD COVER/PRECIPITATION COULD COMPLICATE SEVERE
POTENTIAL. BUT...THE RISK FOR AT LEAST HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
INCREASE BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...FROM PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN/
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

.KERR.. 08/30/2007

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KBGM [300806]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS51 KBGM 300806
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
406 AM EDT THU AUG 30 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0253 PM TSTM WND GST ROME 43.23N 75.49W
08/25/2007 M65.00 MPH ONEIDA NY NWS STORM SURVEY

TREES DOWN ACROSS NORTH PART OF CITY. APPROXIMATELY TWO
DOZEN LARGE TREES UPROOTED IN ONE SECTION. ONE HOME
HEAVILY DAMAGED BY FALLEN TREE. OTHER PROPERTY DAMAGE
INCLUDED SIDING BLOWN OFF AND A DECK PARTIALLY BLOWN
APART. MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 MPH.

&&

$$

PVB

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 300731
SWODY3
SPC AC 300729

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0229 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
MODELS INDICATE THAT THE STRONGER WESTERLIES WILL REMAIN NEAR/ NORTH
OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER INTO THE WEEKEND. BUT...THE UPPER FLOW
REGIME IS FORECAST TO BECOME MORE ZONAL...AS THE LEAD
IMPULSE...EMANATING FROM A BROAD NORTHEAST PACIFIC TROUGH...
ADVANCES MORE RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CANADIAN
PROVINCES...THAN A DOWNSTREAM TROUGH PROGRESSES EAST OF THE NORTHERN
ATLANTIC COAST.

TO THE SOUTH/EAST OF THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ENCOMPASSING A
LARGE PORTION OF THE NATION....SEASONABLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
WILL ONCE AGAIN SUPPORT SUBSTANTIAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
GULF COAST STATES. MEANWHILE...WITHIN THE UPPER RIDGE...MONSOONAL
MOISTURE...STRONG HEATING AND FORCING...PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH
OROGRAPHY...WILL LIKELY SUPPORT CONSIDERABLE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN DESERTS. ELSEWHERE...PROBABILITIES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE LOW.

..PARTS OF NRN PLAINS/UPR MS VLY...
THE SURFACE CYCLONE AND STRONGER MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS ACCOMPANYING
THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE IMPULSE ARE PROGGED TO MIGRATE FROM
CENTRAL SASKATCHEWAN/MANITOBA INTO NORTHERN ONTARIO
SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT. AND...THE BULK OF THE ACCOMPANYING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA.

HOWEVER...JUST AHEAD OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT...WHICH IS FORECAST TO
ADVANCE THROUGH THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF NORTH DAKOTA BY LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...MODELS SUGGEST INCREASING LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION...ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
STRONGER MID-LEVEL COOLING. THIS FORCING IS PROGGED TO SHIFT FROM
PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION BY
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...AND MAY BECOME STRONG ENOUGH TO OVERCOME
INHIBITION.

IF THIS OCCURS...THE ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO BE MOIST ENOUGH IN
THE PRESENCE OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO CONTRIBUTE TO MOST
UNSTABLE CAPE UP TO AROUND 2000 J/KG. THIS WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF
VIGOROUS UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL IN A WEAK TO
MODERATELY SHEARED FLOW REGIME. AND...THOUGH THE PROBABILITY OF
OCCURRENCE IS LOW...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A CONSOLIDATING CLUSTER OF
STORMS BY SATURDAY EVENING. CONVECTION WOULD PROBABLY BE BASED
ABOVE A DECOUPLING BOUNDARY LAYER...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE
UNSATURATED PROFILES FAVORABLE FOR STRONG EVAPORATIVE COOLING NEAR
HEAVIER RAIN CORES...AND THE RISK FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS REACHING
THE SURFACE.

.KERR.. 08/30/2007

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KPSR [300542]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 300542
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1042 PM MST WED AUG 29 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM TSTM WND DMG COOLIDGE 32.98N 111.53W
08/29/2007 PINAL AZ AMATEUR RADIO

POWER POLES DOWN. NO POWER FROM HIGHWAY 87 INTO DOWNTOWN
COOLIDGE.

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SSW MAGMA 33.09N 111.52W
08/29/2007 PINAL AZ AMATEUR RADIO

ROOFS BLOWN OFF HOMES OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE INDIAN RESERVATION.

&&

$$

LWANEK

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 300533
SWODY2
SPC AC 300532

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1232 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN/SOUTHERN PLATEAU REGION THROUGH THIS FORECAST
PERIOD. HOWEVER...MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS NOW
BUILDING TO THE NORTH OF THE HIGH...INTO THE LEE OF THE CANADIAN
ROCKIES...WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN AND SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE
CANADIAN PRAIRIES ON FRIDAY. THIS IS FORECAST TO OCCUR AS THE FIRST
IN A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE IMPULSES...EMANATING FROM A BROAD
NORTHEASTERN PACIFIC TROUGH...PROGRESSES INLAND ACROSS BRITISH
COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NORTHWEST COASTAL AREAS. DOWNSTREAM...A POLAR
TROUGH APPEARS LIKELY TO CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
STATES/NORTH ATLANTIC COAST REGION. AND...AS THIS OCCURS...A
LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC CIRCULATION...WITHIN WEAK TROUGHING BETWEEN
SUBTROPICAL RIDGES...MAY BEGIN TO LIFT NORTHWARD...TO THE EAST OF
THE SOUTH ATLANTIC COAST. BUT...ANOTHER CIRCULATION IS PROGGED TO
DEVELOP WITHIN THIS REGIME...ACROSS EASTERN GULF COASTAL AREAS.

..PAC NW COAST STATES INTO NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION...
MODELS INDICATE THAT 50-70 KT WEST SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW WILL
PRECEDE THE SHORT WAVE IMPULSE. AND...THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION...WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT FROM EASTERN
OREGON/SOUTHEAST WASHINGTON INTO IDAHO...BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. AS IS
TYPICALLY THE CASE ACROSS THIS REGION...UNCERTAINTY EXISTS
CONCERNING THE MAGNITUDE OF MOISTURE/DESTABILIZATION AVAILABLE FOR
MORE SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL AT THIS EXTENDED TIME FRAME.
MOST GUIDANCE CURRENTLY INDICATES THAT CAPE WILL GENERALLY REMAIN AT
OR BELOW 500 J/KG. HOWEVER...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AT LEAST WIDELY
SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY FRIDAY
EVENING...POSSIBLY INCLUDING AN ISOLATED SUPERCELL OR TWO...WITH
ASSOCIATED ENHANCED SEVERE THREATS.

..EASTERN STATES...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP FRIDAY IN THE VICINITY OF THE
FRONTAL ZONE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER POLAR TROUGH...FROM PARTS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST STATES
THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND CUMBERLAND PLATEAU.
HOWEVER...THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DURING THIS
PERIOD MAY BECOME FOCUSED NEAR THE MID-LEVEL CLOSED LOW OVER EASTERN
GULF COASTAL AREAS AND PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

.KERR.. 08/30/2007

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300529
SWODY1
SPC AC 300526

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1226 AM CDT THU AUG 30 2007

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

..SYNOPSIS...
ACTIVE NRN STREAM PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND
TONIGHT...DOWNSTREAM FROM PERSISTENT RIDGING THAT WILL EXTEND FROM
4-CORNERS HIGH NWD OVER CANADIAN ROCKIES. POSITIVELY TILTED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER
UPPER GREAT LAKES SWWD TO CENTRAL PLAINS -- IS FCST TO MOVE EWD AND
BECOME MORE DIFFUSE OVER NERN CONUS...WHILE MAIN VORTICITY LOBE
EJECTS ENEWD OVER/OFFSHORE LABRADOR. MEANWHILE...UPSTREAM SPEED MAX
PRESENTLY OVER FAR NRN PORTIONS SASK/MB IS FCST TO DIG
SEWD...RESULTING IN ANOTHER PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING OVER
MUCH OF NRN ONT...JAMES BAY AND LS REGIONS DURING THIS PERIOD.
DIFFUSE MID/UPPER TROUGH WILL LINGER OVER SRN/ERN TX...WITH EWD
EXTENSION DEVELOPING ALONG GULF COAST.

AT SFC...COLD FRONT -- INITIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH LEAD TROUGH -- WILL
MOVE SEWD OFF MID-ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND. FRONTAL ZONE WILL
BECOME BROAD AND DIFFUSE FARTHER SW ACROSS CAROLINAS...ARKLATEX
REGION AND SRN HIGH PLAINS. THIS WILL OCCUR AS NLY FLOW COMPONENT
PREDOMINATES ACROSS MUCH OF WRN/CENTRAL GULF COAST STATES AND SRN
APPALACHIANS...W THROUGH N OF WEAK SFC CYCLOGENESIS PROGGED OVER FL
PANHANDLE. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ALONG AND N OF COLD FRONT
NEAR AND S OF OH VALLEY SWD ACROSS AR...SUPPORTING POTENTIAL FOR
DIURNAL GEN TSTM THREAT ON BOTH SIDES OF FRONT.

..NERN CONUS...
TSTMS MAY MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS MAINE...AND PERHAPS NRN VT/NH...EARLY
IN PERIOD AND ATOP RELATIVELY STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINING FROM
NOCTURNAL DIABATIC COOLING. ANY SUCH ACTIVITY MAY LEAVE BEHIND
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE AHEAD OF COLD FRONT THAT MAY ACT AS FOCUS
FOR LATER DEVELOPMENT. LOW-MIDLEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN SUBSTANTIALLY WITH SWWD EXTENT ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONT IN NEW
ENGLAND...WHILE BUOYANCY STRENGTHENS DUE TO INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRONGER AND MORE PERSISTENT SFC
INSOLATION...AWAY FROM ANY CLOUD/PRECIP DEBRIS. ALTHOUGH WEAK LOW
LEVEL FLOW IS PROGGED INVOF FRONT...HEATING OF HIGH THETAE AIR MASS
AND WEAK FRONTAL FORCING SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO REMOVE SBCINH FROM
MIDDAY THROUGH AFTERNOON. MAIN CONVECTIVE MODES WILL BE
MULTICELLULAR AND LINE SEGMENTS...WITH STRONGER STORMS PRODUCING
GUSTS NEAR SVR CRITERIA.

..ORE...
LONG FETCH OF SWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE...SE OF BROAD MID/UPPER
VORTEX LOCATED OVER ERN GULF OF AK. NO SIGNIFICANT MID/UPPER
PERTURBATIONS ARE EITHER PROGGED TO MOVE OVER THIS AREA...OR ARE
EVIDENT UPSTREAM IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY...
ALTHOUGH WEAK/BROAD PERTURBATION NOW NEAR CENTRAL/NRN CA COAST
SHOULD LIFT NEWD ACROSS NV. HOWEVER...STRENGTHENING MIDLEVEL
GRADIENT WIND WILL ENHANCE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PROFILES OVER THIS AREA
THROUGHOUT AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...SFC AIR MASS WILL
HEAT/DESTABILIZE...BENEATH BROAD AREA OF MID 40S TO MID 50S F
LOWER-ELEVATION SFC DEW POINTS. BY LATE AFTERNOON...EXPECT
FAVORABLY STEEP LAPSE RATES...WEAKENING CINH AND HEATING OF HIGHER
TERRAIN TO SUPPORT TSTM DEVELOPMENT. SCATTERED TO WIDELY
SCATTERED...HIGH BASED TSTMS WILL MOVE NEWD OVER WELL MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYERS OF LOWER ELEVATIONS AND POSE RISK OF ISOLATED HAIL AND
STG-SVR GUSTS. POTENTIAL SHOULD WANE CONSIDERABLY AFTER ABOUT 03Z
AS DIABATIC SFC COOLING INTENSIFIES.

.EDWARDS/CROSBIE.. 08/30/2007

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