KEAX [110349]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 110349
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1049 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1007 PM TSTM WND GST WHITEMAN AFB 38.73N 93.55W
09/10/2010 M69 MPH JOHNSON MO ASOS

&&

$$

SF

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KICT [110320]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 110320
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1020 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0946 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W BELLE PLAINE 37.39N 97.30W
09/10/2010 SUMNER KS PUBLIC

WINDOWS ON SOUTH SIDE OF HOUSE BLOWN OUT.

&&

$$

EPS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KICT [110307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 110307
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1007 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1007 PM TSTM WND GST BURDEN 37.31N 96.75W
09/10/2010 E54 MPH COWLEY KS MESONET

KSN WEATHER LAB.

&&

$$

LFW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [110300]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 110300
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1000 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0949 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NNE LONE STAR 38.89N 95.34W
09/10/2010 E60 MPH DOUGLAS KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [110254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 110254
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
954 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0755 PM HAIL 5 NW ST. MARYS 39.25N 96.14W
09/10/2010 E1.75 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1814

ACUS11 KWNS 110245
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110244 COR
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-110445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1814
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0944 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN MO...NERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 653...

VALID 110244Z - 110445Z

CORRECTED FOR WIND GUST TIME

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 653 CONTINUES.

CELLS HAVE BEGUN TO MERGE INTO QUASILINEAR STRUCTURES OVER THE PAST
HOUR OR SO...SUGGESTING A DECREASING TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...GIVEN
VERY STRONG INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE PROFILES...ESPECIALLY OVER NERN
OK AND SERN KS...MARGINAL LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
CELLULAR ACTIVITY TO PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES. OVERALL...THE MAIN
THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND HEAVY RAIN. A
WIND OF GUST OF 68 MPH WAS JUST RECORDED AT EMPORIA KS AT 0234Z.

HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO PERSIST NEAR THE WARM FRONT WHERE ISENTROPIC
LIFT WILL PERSIST...UNTIL THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT AND/OR STRONG
OUTFLOW PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. FARTHER S...THE LINE OF STORMS
ALONG THE KS TURNPIKE SHOULD PERSIST WITH A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT...AND THIS ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP FARTHER S INTO OK AS THE
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SWD.

..JEWELL.. 09/11/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 36599479 36599822 39709624 39699266 36599479

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [110243]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KTOP 110243
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
943 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0934 PM TSTM WND GST EMPORIA 38.40N 96.18W
09/10/2010 M68.00 MPH LYON KS ASOS

&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1814

ACUS11 KWNS 110240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110240
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-110445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1814
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0940 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN MO...NERN OK

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 653...

VALID 110240Z - 110445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 653 CONTINUES.

CELLS HAVE BEGUN TO MERGE INTO QUASILINEAR STRUCTURES OVER THE PAST
HOUR OR SO...SUGGESTING A DECREASING TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...GIVEN
VERY STRONG INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE PROFILES...ESPECIALLY OVER NERN
OK AND SERN KS...MARGINAL LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR
CELLULAR ACTIVITY TO PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES. OVERALL...THE MAIN
THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND HEAVY RAIN. A
WIND OF GUST OF 68 MPH WAS JUST RECORDED AT EMPORIA KS AT 0228Z.

HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY TO PERSIST NEAR THE WARM FRONT WHERE ISENTROPIC
LIFT WILL PERSIST...UNTIL THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT AND/OR STRONG
OUTFLOW PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. FARTHER S...THE LINE OF STORMS
ALONG THE KS TURNPIKE SHOULD PERSIST WITH A DAMAGING WIND
THREAT...AND THIS ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP FARTHER S INTO OK AS THE
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SWD.

..JEWELL.. 09/11/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 36599479 36599822 39709624 39699266 36599479

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [110240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 110240
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
939 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0934 PM TSTM WND GST EMPORIA 38.40N 96.18W
09/10/2010 E68 MPH LYON KS ASOS

&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KEAX [110136]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 110136
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
836 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NE EASTON 39.78N 94.56W
09/10/2010 E60 MPH DEKALB MO TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTERS REPORTED WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH A HALF MILE
NORTH OF LOWEMONT.

&&

$$

PC

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KICT [110123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 110123
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
823 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0822 PM HAIL 4 E CLEARWATER 37.51N 97.42W
09/10/2010 E0.88 INCH SEDGWICK KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LFW

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KDVN [110113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 110113
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
812 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 E CANTRIL 40.64N 91.98W
09/10/2010 E1.20 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

3 HOUR TOTAL.

&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGGW [110112]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KGGW 110112
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
712 PM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0729 PM HAIL WIBAUX 46.99N 104.19W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH WIBAUX MT TRAINED SPOTTER

EXTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS ALSO.

0730 PM HAIL WIBAUX 46.99N 104.19W
09/09/2010 M1.50 INCH WIBAUX MT TRAINED SPOTTER

GARDEN DESTROYED BY THE WIND AND LARGE HAIL. BASEMENT
SCREEN DOOR WAS ALSO DESTROYED.

0730 PM HAIL WIBAUX 46.99N 104.19W
09/09/2010 M1.50 INCH WIBAUX MT EMERGENCY MNGR

30 TO 40 MPH WINDS ALONG WITH 0.55 INCHES OF RAINFALL IN
A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

0732 PM HAIL 2 NE WIBAUX 47.01N 104.16W
09/09/2010 E2.50 INCH WIBAUX MT PUBLIC

BETWEEN 732 AND 800 PM MDT REPORTED GOLF BALL TO TENNIS
BALL SIZED HAIL DAMAGING ALL HOME WINDOWS ON WEST SIDE
AND VEHICLE WINDSHIELDS. WINDS ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH AND
BROKE 3 TO 4 INCH TREE LIMBS.

0735 PM HAIL 6 ENE WIBAUX 47.03N 104.08W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH WIBAUX MT TRAINED SPOTTER

60 MPH WIND WITH QUARTER SIZED HAIL LASTED FOR 10
MINUTES.

0740 PM HAIL 5 NNE SIDNEY 47.78N 104.10W
09/09/2010 M0.75 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0742 PM HAIL 1 SW SIDNEY 47.70N 104.17W
09/09/2010 E1.00 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HAIL RANGED PEA TO QUARTER SIZED

0744 PM HAIL SIDNEY 47.72N 104.16W
09/09/2010 M0.75 INCH RICHLAND MT CO-OP OBSERVER

0745 PM HAIL SIDNEY 47.72N 104.16W
09/09/2010 M1.50 INCH RICHLAND MT EMERGENCY MNGR

0755 PM HAIL 10 NNE SIDNEY 47.84N 104.06W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH RICHLAND MT TRAINED SPOTTER

HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH THE QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

&&

$$

RSMITH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTOP [110052]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 110052
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
752 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0752 PM HAIL PAXICO 39.07N 96.17W
09/10/2010 E1.00 INCH WABAUNSEE KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

BYRNE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 110044
SWODY1
SPC AC 110043

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CNTRL/SRN
PLAINS...

...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS TO MID-MS VALLEY...
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FINALLY INITIATED OVER NW MO AND ERN KS EARLY
THIS EVENING...SOMEWHAT DELAYED FROM EARLIER FORECASTS. ACTIVITY
APPEARS BE BENEFITING FROM A WEAK LEAD PV-FILAMENT GRAZING PARTS OF
CNTRL/ERN KS ATTM. ENVIRONMENT SAMPLED BY THE 00Z TOP SOUNDING
EXHIBITED 4141 J/KG MLCAPE...7.0 DEG C PER KM LAPSE RATES AND
EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 35 KTS...MORE THAN SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS.

FORECAST REASONING IS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED. EXPECT THAT AS THE
COLD FRONT CONTINUES SEWD AND OVERTAKES PRE-FRONTAL
CONFLUENCE...STORMS WILL TEND TO BACKBUILD SWWD INTO SCNTRL KS AND
PERHAPS NCNTRL OK THROUGH MID-EVENING...ESPECIALLY AS STRONGER
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SPREADS ACROSS THE REGION. INITIAL STORMS WILL
HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPING INTO SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE
HAIL. TORNADO RISKS WILL REMAIN ENHANCED WITH CELLS THAT DEVELOP
EARLY THIS EVENING VCNTY LAWRENCE KS-KANSAS CITY METRO AREA ALONG NE
FRINGE OF STEEPEST LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND AMIDST STRONGEST LLVL
TURNING OF WINDS NEAR A NW-SE ORIENTED FRONT.

AS NUMBER OF STORMS INCREASES THROUGH LATE EVENING...MODE WILL
STRONGLY TREND TOWARD CLUSTERS/SEMI-ORGANIZED LEWPS AS THE
DEEP-LAYER WSW FLOW INCREASES WITH APPROACH OF THE PRIMARY UPPER
TROUGH. AT THAT TIME...SEVERE THREATS WILL FAVOR DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ALONG WITH SOME HAIL OVER WRN/SRN MO AND NE OK.

..RACY.. 09/11/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 653

WWUS20 KWNS 102301
SEL3
SPC WW 102301
KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-110600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 653
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
555 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN MISSOURI
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 555 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF
LEAVENWORTH KANSAS TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BARTLESVILLE
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO FORM IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO IN
PERHAPS TWO OR THREE AREAS OVER ERN KS/NRN OK. DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
IN RESPONSE TO CONTINUED LOW LVL HEATING/MOISTURE INFLOW...AND LOW
LVL CONFLUENCE WITHIN AND ALONG W SIDE OF MOIST WARM SECTOR.
INITIATION ALSO MAY BE AIDED BY WEAK IMPULSE MOVING ENE FROM OK/TX
PANHANDLE REGION PER VWP/WATER VAPOR. AT ANY RATE...DEGREE OF
SFC-BASED INSTABILITY /REF MCD 1813/...MODERATE DEEP DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR...AND WEAK LOW LVL LINEAR FORCING SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW
DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. QUALITY OF LOW LVL MOISTURE...EXPECTED
NOCTURNAL INCREASE IN THE SSW LLJ...AND BACKED FLOW INVOF WNW-ESE
STNRY FRONT IN NE KS/WRN MO FURTHER SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO SVR WIND/HAIL...BEFORE STORMS MERGE INTO
AN MCS LATER THIS EVE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.

...CORFIDI

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1813

ACUS11 KWNS 102220
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102220
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-102345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1813
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0520 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN OK...SRN/ERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 102220Z - 102345Z

INITIATION OF SEVERE STORMS APPEARS LIKELY WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE
HOURS FROM E CNTRL KS INTO FAR NRN OK. ISOLATED TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT BISECTING THE STATE OF KS FROM
SW TO NE. STRONG HEATING HAS ERODED CONVECTIVE INHIBITION WITHIN THE
PREFRONTAL TROUGH WITH HIGH BASED CU FIELDS NOTED ACROSS SWRN KS AS
WELL AS OVER NWRN OK. E OF THE DRYLINE...VERY STRONG INSTABILITY
EXISTS WITH DEWPOINTS WELL INTO THE 70S. A MODIFIED 18Z LMN SOUNDING
YIELDS MUCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 3500 J/KG AND WITH CURRENT
TEMPERATURES SUGGESTING CIN IS ESSENTIALLY GONE.

DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH AREA VWPS
AND PROFILERS SHOWING MID LEVEL FLOW INCREASING TO 35-50 KTS FROM
NWRN OK INTO CNTRL KS. WHILE LOW LEVEL SHEAR WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE
FOR TORNADOES ALONG THE WARM FROM ACROSS NERN KS INTO NWRN MO...A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL JET INTO EARLY EVENING COMBINED
WITH EXPECTED SUPERCELLULAR STORM MODE SUGGEST ISOLATED TORNADOES
MAY OCCUR ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...ALTHOUGH WIND AND HAIL SHOULD BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..JEWELL.. 09/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON 36259823 36919785 38059746 38599750 38949753 39189743
39639690 39679596 39499489 39329435 39069417 38379438
37099491 36759523 36399579 36329680 36259823

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KJAX [102205]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 102205
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
605 PM EDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0545 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S RAINBOW LAKES ESTAT 29.12N 82.45W
09/10/2010 MARION FL BROADCAST MEDIA

BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED A REPORT OF SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING FROM STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

$$

JHESS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGGW [102129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KGGW 102129
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
328 PM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HAIL 2 NE WIBAUX 47.01N 104.16W
09/09/2010 E2.50 INCH WIBAUX MT PUBLIC

BETWEEN 715 AND 800 PM MDT REPORTED GOLF BALL TO TENNIS
BALL SIZED HAIL DAMAGING ALL HOME WINDOWS ON WEST SIDE
AND VEHICLE WINDSHIELDS. WINDS ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH AND
BROKE 3 TO 4 INCH TREE LIMBS.

&&

$$

JB

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [102026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 102026
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
426 PM EDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0349 PM HAIL PEMBROKE PINES 26.01N 80.34W
09/10/2010 E0.25 INCH BROWARD FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WSVN EMPLOYEE IN PEMBROKE PINES REPORTED PEA SIZED HAIL
AND LOCAL POWER OUTAGES NEAR JOHNSON STREET AND TAFT.

&&

$$

EBAUGH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSGF [102023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 102023
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
323 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM FLASH FLOOD MARSHFIELD 37.34N 92.91W
09/10/2010 WEBSTER MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED ACROSS THE COUNTY.
WATER OVER A FOOT IN DEPTH ACROSS OSAGE AND SUZANNA
ROADS.

&&

$$

AFOSTER

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KUNR [102014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KUNR 102014
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
214 PM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0705 PM HAIL WIND CAVE VISITORS CENT 43.56N 103.47W
09/09/2010 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

$$

MERICKSO

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1812

ACUS11 KWNS 102010
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102010
MOZ000-KSZ000-102145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1812
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS TO CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102010Z - 102145Z

LATEST VIS IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA SUGGEST A TRANSITORY BAND OF
ELEVATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM ADVECTION ARE
MIGRATING ACROSS ERN KS INTO WRN MO. THIS ACTIVITY IS FORMING ATOP
A PRONOUNCED CAP THAT HAS YET TO FULLY ERODE. DIAGNOSTIC DATA DOES
SUGGEST AIRMASS NEAR THE WARM FRONT OVER MO IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE DUE PRIMARILY TO ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AHEAD OF AFOREMENTIONED
WARM ADVECTION BAND. OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO A FEW ROBUST UPDRAFTS
HAVE EVOLVED WEST OF MKC. IT/S NOT ENTIRELY CLEAR HOW THE ELEVATED
CONVECTION WILL EVOLVE AS IT ENCOUNTERS DOWNSTREAM
INSTABILITY/FRONTAL CONVERGENCE. IF UPDRAFTS CAN BECOME ROOTED NEAR
THE WARM FRONT VERTICAL SHEAR WOULD CERTAINLY SUPPORT ROTATING
STORMS...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. WITH TIME ADDITIONAL CONVECTION
SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE SURGING COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES SEWD ACROSS
KS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION FOR POSSIBLE WW.

..DARROW.. 09/10/2010

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 39589438 38499209 37509284 38029441 38879666 39789657
39589438

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook Corr 1

ACUS01 KWNS 101955
SWODY1
SPC AC 101953

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KS...MO...NRN
OK AND FAR SE NEB...

CORRECTED WORDING

TWO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE FOR THE 20Z OUTLOOK. THE FIRST CHANGE IS
TO REMOVE PARTS OF CNTRL SD AND NCNTRL NEB FROM THE 5 PERCENT WIND
AND HAIL PROBABILITIES. A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO ERN SD
AND NE NEB AND CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE
FRONT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY EXTENDS NWD
ACROSS NE NEB...ECNTRL SD INTO SE ND WHERE WSR-88D VWPS SUGGESTS
DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ARE QUITE STRONG. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS IS SHOWING A PLUME OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING
INTO ERN SD FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT HAIL
WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS NEAR PEAK HEATING. STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IF AN INTENSE SHORT-LINE SEGMENT CAN DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT. THE SECOND CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO ADD A SMALL
THUNDER AREA IN NCNTRL MT WHERE SCATTERED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING
ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. LAPSE RATES ARE
STEEP WHICH ALONG WITH SFC HEATING COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 09/10/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010/

...KS/MO/OK...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EAST ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE PRIMARY OCCLUDED SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO MANITOBA TODAY WHILE A WEAK SECONDARY
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT SITUATED FROM KS
INTO MO. COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE GREAT PLAINS TROUGH/LOW WILL
SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO LIE
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO OK BY SATURDAY MORNING.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE /HIGH PW VALUES OF 1.5-2 INCHES/ AND DIURNAL
HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION FROM
OK ACROSS ERN KS AND WRN MO TODAY. SBCAPE IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
EASILY CLIMB TO OVER 2000 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON BENEATH
STRONG...BUT GRADUALLY WEAKENING...CAPPING INVERSION. MUCH OF THE
REGION WILL EXPERIENCE ONLY A GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE STRONGER
HEIGHT FALLS AND DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH. IN ADDITION TO AN INCREASE IN WEAK BACKGROUND
ASCENT...STRONGER LIFT FOCUSED NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE
LOW...AND EVENTUALLY ON THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NW...SHOULD PROVE ADEQUATE FOR SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW OF 20-30KT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BY 10-20KT
THROUGH LATE EVENING. WEAKER EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AWAY FROM
THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE LOW SUGGESTS MARGINALLY ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CONVECTION INITIALLY. HOWEVER...STORMS INITIATING OR
PERSISTING ON THE WARM FRONT AND NEAR THE SURFACE LOW MAY ACQUIRE
SUPERCELL CHARACTER GIVEN LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
FORCING NEAR THESE FEATURES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
INITIAL WARM SECTOR STORMS GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF CAPE AND BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING WHILE MORE DISCRETE STORMS NEAR THE LOW AND WARM FRONT
COULD POSE A THREAT FOR HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.

INCREASING LINEAR FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT...AS WELL AS STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WLY FLOW IN THE BASE OF
THE GREAT PLAINS UPPER TROUGH ...COULD RESULT IN SQUALL LINE/MCS
EVOLUTION WITH WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL CONTINUING ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
KS/SWRN MO...AND PERHAPS FAR NRN/NERN OK...INTO LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
SATURDAY.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101950
SWODY1
SPC AC 101949

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0249 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 102000Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF KS...MO...NRN
OK AND FAR SE NEB...

TWO CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE FOR THE 20Z OUTLOOK. THE FIRST CHANGE IS
TO REMOVE PARTS OF CNTRL SD AND NCNTRL NEB FROM THE 5 PERCENT WIND
AND HAIL PROBABILITIES. A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO ERN SD
AND NE NEB AND CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BEHIND THE
FRONT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY EXTENDS NWD
ACROSS NE NEB...ECNTRL SD INTO SE ND WHERE WSR-88D VWPS SUGGESTS
DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ARE QUITE STRONG. IN ADDITION...OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS IS SHOWING A PLUME OF STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXTENDING
INTO ERN SD FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS ENVIRONMENT MAY SUPPORT HAIL
WITH THE MORE INTENSE CELLS NEAR PEAK HEATING. STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IF AN INTENSE SHORT-LINE SEGMENT CAN DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT. THE SECOND CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK IS TO ADD A SMALL
THUNDER AREA IN NCNTRL MT WHERE SCATTERED CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING
ON THE BACKSIDE OF AN EXITING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE. LAPSE RATES ARE
STEEP WHICH ALONG WITH SFC HEATING COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 09/10/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010/

...KS/MO/OK...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EAST ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE PRIMARY OCCLUDED SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO MANITOBA TODAY WHILE A WEAK SECONDARY
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT SITUATED FROM KS
INTO MO. COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE GREAT PLAINS TROUGH/LOW WILL
SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO LIE
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO OK BY SATURDAY MORNING.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE /HIGH PW VALUES OF 1.5-2 INCHES/ AND DIURNAL
HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION FROM
OK ACROSS ERN KS AND WRN MO TODAY. SBCAPE IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
EASILY CLIMB TO OVER 2000 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON BENEATH
STRONG...BUT GRADUALLY WEAKENING...CAPPING INVERSION. MUCH OF THE
REGION WILL EXPERIENCE ONLY A GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE STRONGER
HEIGHT FALLS AND DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH. IN ADDITION TO AN INCREASE IN WEAK BACKGROUND
ASCENT...STRONGER LIFT FOCUSED NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE
LOW...AND EVENTUALLY ON THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NW...SHOULD PROVE ADEQUATE FOR SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW OF 20-30KT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BY 10-20KT
THROUGH LATE EVENING. WEAKER EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AWAY FROM
THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE LOW SUGGESTS MARGINALLY ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CONVECTION INITIALLY. HOWEVER...STORMS INITIATING OR
PERSISTING ON THE WARM FRONT AND NEAR THE SURFACE LOW MAY ACQUIRE
SUPERCELL CHARACTER GIVEN LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
FORCING NEAR THESE FEATURES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
INITIAL WARM SECTOR STORMS GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF CAPE AND BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING WHILE MORE DISCRETE STORMS NEAR THE LOW AND WARM FRONT
COULD POSE A THREAT FOR HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.

INCREASING LINEAR FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT...AS WELL AS STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WLY FLOW IN THE BASE OF
THE GREAT PLAINS UPPER TROUGH ...COULD RESULT IN SQUALL LINE/MCS
EVOLUTION WITH WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL CONTINUING ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
KS/SWRN MO...AND PERHAPS FAR NRN/NERN OK...INTO LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
SATURDAY.

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KGGW [101932]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGGW 101932
LSRGGW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
131 PM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0715 PM HAIL 2 NE WIBAUX 48.39N 108.05W
09/09/2010 E2.50 INCH PHILLIPS MT PUBLIC

BETWEEN 715 AND 800 PM MDT REPORTED GOLF BALL TO TENNIS
BALL SIZED HAIL DAMAGING ALL HOME WINDOWS ON WEST SIDE
AND VEHICLE WINDSHIELDS. WINDS ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH AND
BROKE 3 TO 4 INCH TREE LIMBS.

&&

$$

BARNWELL

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KMFL [101733]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMFL 101733
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
133 PM EDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0126 PM HEAVY RAIN SWEETWATER 25.76N 80.37W
09/10/2010 U0.00 INCH MIAMI-DADE FL NWS EMPLOYEE

STANDING WATER REPORTED ON TAMIAMI TRAIL NEAR THE
TURNPIKE.

&&

$$

TMOSLEY

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCYS [101717]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS55 KCYS 101717
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1117 AM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0543 PM HAIL 3 SSW MELBETA 41.74N 103.54W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0547 PM HAIL 2 SE MELBETA 41.76N 103.49W
09/09/2010 M1.75 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0550 PM HAIL 2 E MCGREW 41.75N 103.38W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0556 PM HAIL MELBETA 41.78N 103.52W
09/09/2010 M0.75 INCH SCOTTS BLUFF NE STORM CHASER

0650 PM TSTM WND GST 18 NW CRAWFORD 42.87N 103.67W
09/09/2010 E60.00 MPH SIOUX NE TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME SIZE HAIL ALSO.

&&

$$

LUNDQUIST

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLSX [101700]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 101700
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1200 PM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 SW STEELVILLE 37.90N 91.45W
09/10/2010 M3.22 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

$$

BYRD

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 101650
SWODY2
SPC AC 101650

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1150 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...OH VALLEY/MID-MS VALLEY...
A SHARPLY DEFINED UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES SATURDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE MID TO
UPPER MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER
OH VALLEY AND OZARKS WITH A LOW-LEVEL JET PARALLEL TO AND JUST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT IN THE MID-MS VALLEY. MODEL FORECASTS ARE IN AGREEMENT
CONCERNING ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ON THE NOSE OF THE
LOW-LEVEL JET SATURDAY MORNING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE EWD INTO
THE LOWER OH VALLEY WITH SFC-BASED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
OCCURRING BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON FURTHER WEST ACROSS SRN MO AND NRN
AR. ADDITIONAL STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP IN WRN KY AND WRN TN AS THE
FRONT MOVES EWD AND THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
A 50 KT MID-LEVEL JET IN THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
HELP CREATE MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES ACROSS THE WARM
SECTOR JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS COMBINED WITH STEEPENING
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 70S F AND
UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDING SUGGEST A
MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH THE BETTER ORGANIZED
MULTICELL LINE-SEGMENTS. HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR AS STORMS REACH PEAK
INTENSITY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON IN AREAS THAT MODERATELY
DESTABILIZE.

..BROYLES.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101631
SWODY1
SPC AC 101630

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 101630Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF ERN KS/WRN MO
AND NRN OK...

...KS/MO/OK...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EAST ACROSS THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE PRIMARY OCCLUDED SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO MANITOBA TODAY WHILE A WEAK SECONDARY
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ALONG A WARM FRONT SITUATED FROM KS
INTO MO. COOLER AIR IN THE WAKE OF THE GREAT PLAINS TROUGH/LOW WILL
SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO LIE
FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO OK BY SATURDAY MORNING.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE /HIGH PW VALUES OF 1.5-2 INCHES/ AND DIURNAL
HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO STRONG WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION FROM
OK ACROSS ERN KS AND WRN MO TODAY. SBCAPE IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
EASILY CLIMB TO OVER 2000 J/KG BY LATE AFTERNOON BENEATH
STRONG...BUT GRADUALLY WEAKENING...CAPPING INVERSION. MUCH OF THE
REGION WILL EXPERIENCE ONLY A GLANCING INFLUENCE OF THE STRONGER
HEIGHT FALLS AND DEEP-LAYER ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH TO THE
NORTH. IN ADDITION TO AN INCREASE IN WEAK BACKGROUND
ASCENT...STRONGER LIFT FOCUSED NEAR THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE
LOW...AND EVENTUALLY ON THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE
NW...SHOULD PROVE ADEQUATE FOR SURFACE-BASED TSTM DEVELOPMENT.

MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW OF 20-30KT IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN BY 10-20KT
THROUGH LATE EVENING. WEAKER EFFECTIVE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AWAY FROM
THE WARM FRONT AND SURFACE LOW SUGGESTS MARGINALLY ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CONVECTION INITIALLY. HOWEVER...STORMS INITIATING OR
PERSISTING ON THE WARM FRONT AND NEAR THE SURFACE LOW MAY ACQUIRE
SUPERCELL CHARACTER GIVEN LOCALLY ENHANCED LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND
FORCING NEAR THESE FEATURES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
INITIAL WARM SECTOR STORMS GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF CAPE AND BOUNDARY
LAYER HEATING WHILE MORE DISCRETE STORMS NEAR THE LOW AND WARM FRONT
COULD POSE A THREAT FOR HAIL AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.

INCREASING LINEAR FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE ADVANCING COLD
FRONT...AS WELL AS STRENGTHENING DEEP-LAYER WLY FLOW IN THE BASE OF
THE GREAT PLAINS UPPER TROUGH ...COULD RESULT IN SQUALL LINE/MCS
EVOLUTION WITH WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL CONTINUING ACROSS PARTS OF ERN
KS/SWRN MO...AND PERHAPS FAR NRN/NERN OK...INTO LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
SATURDAY.

..CARBIN/ROGERS.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSGF [101549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 101549
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1049 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLASH FLOOD 5 NE MANSFIELD 37.16N 92.53W
09/10/2010 WRIGHT MO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING ALONG ROUTE AB AT WOLF CREEK.

&&

$$

JCOLUCCI

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSGF [101539]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 101539
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1039 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WSW UDALL 36.52N 92.33W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

LOW WATER BRIDGE OVER T HIGHWAY NEAR HIGHWAY J WAS CLOSED
DUE TO FLOODING. AT 2 PM THE BRIDGE WAS COVERED BY TWO
FEET OF WATER.

&&

$$

JCOLUCCI

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLSX [101534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 101534
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1034 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NE HEMATITE 38.22N 90.45W
09/10/2010 M2.75 INCH JEFFERSON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

$$

BYRD

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KCHS [101443]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 101443
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1043 AM EDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1012 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.92W
09/10/2010 AMZ330 SC OTHER FEDERAL

THE TIDE LEVEL PEAKED AT 7.12 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
AT THE NOS GAGE ON CHARLESTON HARBOR. SHALLOW SALT WATER
FLOODING BEGINS AT 7 FEET MLLW.

&&

$$

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [101414]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101414 CCA
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
813 AM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 25 S LEWISTOWN 46.70N 109.43W
09/10/2010 M1.10 INCH FERGUS MT PUBLIC

RECEIVED 1.1 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

$$

JOH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KTFX [101413]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 101413
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
813 AM MDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 25 S LEWISTOWN 46.70N 109.43W
09/10/2010 M0.00 INCH FERGUS MT PUBLIC

RECEIVED 1.1 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

$$

JOH

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLZK [101408]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 101408
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
908 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM FLASH FLOOD MOUNTAIN VIEW 35.87N 92.11W
09/09/2010 STONE AR CO-OP OBSERVER

OBSERVER REPORTED WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 14 NEAR HARPS
GROCERY STORE.

&&

$$

JHOOD

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLSX [101404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 101404
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
904 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW FRANKCLAY 37.87N 90.65W
09/10/2010 M2.90 INCH WASHINGTON MO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

$$

BYRD

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KBIS [101341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 101341
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
841 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0631 PM HAIL 6 N BELFIELD 46.97N 103.20W
09/09/2010 M0.75 INCH STARK ND PUBLIC

1 INCH OF RAINFALL IN 15 MINUTES

&&

$$

KSIMOSKO

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 101234
SWODY1
SPC AC 101233

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 101300Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AND MID MS VALLEY...

...CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MID MS VALLEY...
A LARGE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL EMERGE
INTO THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS TODAY. AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE
LOW NOW OVER CENTRAL KS WILL SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD...PROVIDING A ZONE
OF ENHANCED LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LIFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF
KS/MO/OK. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS IN PLACE WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR OF THE LOW WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S...HELPING TO
YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OVER 3000 J/KG.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS REGION SHOW A PROMINENT CAPPING INVERSION
WILL SUPPRESS SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...ALL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN AGREEMENT THAT SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INTENSIFY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON FROM
NORTHWEST MO INTO EAST-CENTRAL KS...AND POSSIBLY SOUTHWARD INTO
NORTHERN OK. DEEP LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF AROUND 40 KT WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL STORM STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...ESPECIALLY EARLY IN THE EVENT OVER EASTERN KS. FORECAST
HODOGRAPHS SHOW CONSIDERABLE VEERING/INCREASING WINDS WITH
HEIGHT...SUGGESTING SOME RISK OF TORNADOES AS WELL THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. AS THE NUMBER OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASES THROUGH
THE EVENING...STORM CLUSTERS MAY POSE A GREATER THREAT OF LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS. OVERALL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO
DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT AS DIURNAL INSTABILITY WEAKENS.

..HART/STOPPKOTTE.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSGF [100946]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KSGF 100946
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
446 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 AM FLOOD 5 S SPRINGFIELD 37.12N 93.29W
09/09/2010 GREENE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

GREENE COUNTY EMA REPORTS 8 INCHES OF STANDING WATER OVER
SOUTH SCENIC AVE NORTH OF FARM RD 164.

1233 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N BATTLEFIELD 37.17N 93.37W
09/09/2010 GREENE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

WILSONS CREEK REPORTED TO BE OUT OF ITS BANKS AND
COVERING FARM ROAD 156 WITH 6-8 INCHES OF WATER. LOCATION
IS BETWEEN U.S. HWY 160/ST HWY FF AND WEST SUNSHINE.

1233 PM FLOOD 2 ENE BATTLEFIELD 37.13N 93.33W
09/09/2010 GREENE MO EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL ROADS COVERED WITH 3-4 INCHES OF WATER IN THE
AREA OF SEXTON DRIVE...ALLEN DRIVE...AND JEWELL AVE.

0227 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 NNW BRUSHYKNOB 37.01N 92.52W
09/09/2010 DOUGLAS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING ALONG U HIGHWAY REPORTED FLOODED.

0227 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 WSW AVA 36.95N 92.67W
09/09/2010 DOUGLAS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

LOW WATER CROSSING AT HIGHWAY Y AND FF REPORTED FLOODED.

0918 PM FLASH FLOOD GAINESVILLE 36.60N 92.43W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

A SECTION OF MAIN STREET IN GAINEVILLE IS FLOODED DUE TO
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 NE GAINESVILLE 36.65N 92.35W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY AA NEAR COUNTY ROAD 307 IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD TECUMSEH 36.59N 92.29W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS CLOSED ACROSS EASTERN OZARK
COUNTY

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WSW UDALL 36.53N 92.33W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY T CLOSED NEAR HIGHWAY J DUE TO FLOODING

&&

$$

JSS

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KLSX [100937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLSX 100937
LSRLSX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
437 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1205 AM HEAVY RAIN 7 S STEELVILLE 37.87N 91.36W
09/10/2010 M3.38 INCH CRAWFORD MO TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE DAY OF SEPTEMBER 9TH

&&

$$

TES

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 100850
SWOD48
SPC AC 100849

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0349 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 131200Z - 181200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MEDIUM-RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND TOWARD AN INCREASINGLY ZONAL
MID-LEVEL FLOW PATTERN THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE MEDIUM RANGE
PERIOD...AFTER WHICH MODEL AGREEMENT BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN FAIRLY
SUBSTANTIALLY.

GIVEN THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT...THE RESULTING RELATIVELY
WEAK/NONDESCRIPT SURFACE PATTERN SUGGESTS LIMITED POTENTIAL FOR AN
ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER EVENT THROUGH THE PERIOD...AND THUS WILL
NOT INTRODUCE ANY THREAT AREAS THIS FORECAST.

..GOSS.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 100623
SWODY3
SPC AC 100622

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 121200Z - 131200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
A MORE ZONAL FLOW FIELD ALOFT IS FORECAST TO EVOLVE ACROSS MOST OF
THE U.S. DURING THIS PERIOD...AS A TROUGH PROGRESSING ACROSS THE ERN
STATES MOVES OFFSHORE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE PERIOD. AN
ASSOCIATED/EWD-MOVING COLD FRONT SHOULD LINGER ONSHORE OVER THE
SOUTHEAST U.S. AND WWD ACROSS THE GULF COAST REGION INTO TX...WHICH
SHOULD FOCUS DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ELSEWHERE...APPRECIABLE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

...THE SOUTHEAST...
MODEST AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION ACROSS THE SERN U.S. IS FORECAST
AHEAD OF THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL SUPPORT A DIURNAL
INCREASE IN CONVECTION. WITH THE DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION LIKELY
TO BE LIMITED AND WITH THE STRONGER LARGE-SCALE UVV ASSOCIATED WITH
THE UPPER TROUGH TO REMAIN FARTHER N...WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT IS
NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...WITH 25 TO 35 KT WLYS AT MID-LEVELS
FORECAST ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND VICINITY DURING THE AFTERNOON...A
STRONGER STORM OR TWO NEAR PEAK HEATING COULD PRODUCE
MARGINALLY-SEVERE HAIL AND/OR GUSTY WINDS.

..GOSS.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 100539
SWODY2
SPC AC 100538

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL NOAM THIS
PERIOD...ALONG WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT -- WHICH SHOULD SWEEP
EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND INTO THE ERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...LOWER AND MID OH/MID MS/TN VALLEYS...
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP DURING
THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT...AS MODEST AFTERNOON
DESTABILIZATION OCCURS AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY. WHILE SCATTERED
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS A MUCH LARGER GEOGRAPHIC REGION
ALONG THE FRONT...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE/INTENSITY MAY BE ENHANCED
ACROSS THE OH/TN/MID MS VALLEY REGION...INVOF A FRONTAL WAVE PROGGED
BY THE LATEST MODEL RUNS. WITH MODERATE/ROUGHLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WLYS
FORECAST...A FEW STRONGER CELLS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS/HAIL MAY
OCCUR NEAR PEAK HEATING...BUT OVERALL THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED BY
THE LACK OF A MORE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT.

..GOSS.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 100538
SWODY1
SPC AC 100537

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1237 AM CDT FRI SEP 10 2010

VALID 101200Z - 111200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CNTRL/SRN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER TROUGH MOVING ONTO THE HIGH PLAINS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL
CONTINUE EWD REACHING THE CORN BELT AND MID-UPPER MS VALLEY BY 12Z
SATURDAY. ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EWD FROM THE HIGH PLAINS
EARLY IN THE PERIOD...EVENTUALLY OVERTAKING THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE
OVER THE MO VALLEY/CNTRL PLAINS BY LATE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...AN
E-W ORIENTED FRONT WILL REMAIN ESSENTIALLY IN PLACE FROM CNTRL MO
INTO THE TN VALLEY.

...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS TO MID-MS VALLEY...
AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE/LEE TROUGH AND SW OF THE FRONT IN
CNTRL MO WILL BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS LOWER 70S
SURFACE DEW POINTS RESIDE BENEATH 7.5 DEG C PER KM MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES. MLCAPES WILL RANGE FROM 2500-3500 J/KG FROM CNTRL OK NWD TO
ERN KS AND WRN/SRN MO.

ALTHOUGH SRN FRINGES OF LARGE-SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ARE NOT EXPECTED
UNTIL AFTER DARK...STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING AND SLOWLY
INCREASING CONVERGENCE INVOF THE LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE WILL YIELD
SURFACE-BASED STORM INITIATION BY MID-AFTERNOON. THIS APPEARS MOST
LIKELY FROM NEAR THE THREE STATE BORDERS OF NE...KS...MO WITH
SUBSEQUENT BACKBUILDING/DEVELOPMENT SWWD INTO AT LEAST NCNTRL OK.

DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL INITIALLY BE 30-35 KTS BUT STRONG INSTABILITY
WILL COMPENSATE FOR FIRST STORMS TO GROW INTO SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE
HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO. AS THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHES...WIND FIELDS WILL IMPROVE...BUT BY THEN...ACTIVITY
SHOULD EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS OR SEMI-ORGANIZED LEWPS WHILE MOVING ESE
INTO WRN/SRN MO. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BECOME THE PRIMARY
THREATS DURING THE EVENING OVER THE OZARKS.

...MO VALLEY/ERN DAKOTAS...
EARLIER FORECAST REASONING IS UNCHANGED WITH CONSIDERABLY LESSER
OPPORTUNITY/DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION ALONG NRN END OF THE COLD
FRONT/OCCLUSION. HERE...MOISTURE CORRIDOR WILL BE NARROW WITH
INSTABILITY COMPARATIVELY WEAKER THAN FARTHER S /MLCAPES TO 500 J
PER KG/. IN WAKE OF A FEW ELEVATED MORNING STORMS...A COUPLE OF
STRONGER STORMS MAY DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON INVOF THE FRONT.
HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS...BUT RISKS SEEM
SMALL ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE A SLIGHT RISK.

..RACY/SMITH.. 09/10/2010

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 650

WWUS20 KWNS 100503
SEL0
SPC WW 100503
MTZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-100400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 650
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 PM MDT THU SEP 9 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 650 ISSUED AT 235 PM MDT FOR PORTIONS OF

MONTANA
NORTH DAKOTA
SOUTH DAKOTA

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KSGF [100441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 100441
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1141 PM CDT THU SEP 09 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 NE GAINESVILLE 36.65N 92.35W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY AA NEAR COUNTY ROAD 307 IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD TECUMSEH 36.59N 92.29W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS CLOSED ACROSS EASTERN OZARK
COUNTY

1000 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 WSW UDALL 36.53N 92.33W
09/09/2010 OZARK MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY T CLOSED NEAR HIGHWAY J DUE TO FLOODING

&&

$$

GAGAN

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KUNR [100405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KUNR 100405
LSRUNR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1004 PM MDT THU SEP 09 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0629 PM TSTM WND GST FAITH 45.02N 102.03W
09/09/2010 M69.00 MPH MEADE SD ASOS

0640 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W HERMOSA 43.84N 103.21W
09/09/2010 M1.48 INCH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

1.48 INCHES OF RAIN IN 25 MINUTES

0709 PM HAIL 2 W HAYWARD 43.87N 103.38W
09/09/2010 E0.75 INCH PENNINGTON SD TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 NE DOWNTOWN CUSTER 43.82N 103.53W
09/09/2010 M1.00 INCH CUSTER SD TRAINED SPOTTER

ONE INCH OF RAIN IN 20 MINUTES

0720 PM HAIL 4 NE PRINGLE 43.65N 103.52W
09/09/2010 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD PUBLIC

0750 PM HAIL 7 SE HERMOSA 43.77N 103.09W
09/09/2010 E1.00 INCH CUSTER SD PUBLIC

0750 PM TSTM WND GST 7 SE HERMOSA 43.77N 103.09W
09/09/2010 E60.00 MPH CUSTER SD PUBLIC

&&

$$

VAN CLEAVE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.

KBIS [100402]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KBIS 100402
LSRBIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1102 PM CDT THU SEP 09 2010

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1032 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 N MINOT 48.42N 101.30W
09/09/2010 M58 MPH WARD ND ASOS

MINOT AIR FORCE BASE.

&&

$$

SWICHE

+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.