NWUS55 KTFX 280329
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
929 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0834 PM TSTM WND GST 21 SE CASCADE 47.06N 111.39W
08/27/2012 M53 MPH CASCADE MT MESONET
53 MPH WIND GUST AT MILLIGAN.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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Monday, August 27, 2012
KTFX [280310]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280310
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
910 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NNE AUGUSTA 47.56N 112.34W
08/27/2012 M50 MPH TETON MT MESONET
50 MPH WIND GUST. TIME OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
910 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 6 NNE AUGUSTA 47.56N 112.34W
08/27/2012 M50 MPH TETON MT MESONET
50 MPH WIND GUST. TIME OF EVENT IS ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [280309]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280309
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
909 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0837 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW PENDROY 48.07N 112.33W
08/27/2012 M45 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST NORTH OF
PENDROY.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
909 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0837 PM TSTM WND GST 2 NW PENDROY 48.07N 112.33W
08/27/2012 M45 MPH TETON MT DEPT OF HIGHWAYS
45 MPH WIND GUST AT THE DOT SENSOR JUST NORTH OF
PENDROY.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [280307]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280307
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
907 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0905 PM TSTM WND GST BRADY 48.04N 111.84W
08/27/2012 M64 MPH PONDERA MT PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTS A 64 MPH WIND GUST IN BRADY.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
907 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0905 PM TSTM WND GST BRADY 48.04N 111.84W
08/27/2012 M64 MPH PONDERA MT PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTS A 64 MPH WIND GUST IN BRADY.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KTFX [280255]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTFX 280255
LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
855 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0853 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SW GREAT FALLS 47.46N 111.38W
08/27/2012 M50 MPH CASCADE MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS
50 MPH WIND GUST AT THE NWS OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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LSRTFX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
855 PM MDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0853 PM TSTM WND GST 5 SW GREAT FALLS 47.46N 111.38W
08/27/2012 M50 MPH CASCADE MT OFFICIAL NWS OBS
50 MPH WIND GUST AT THE NWS OFFICE IN GREAT FALLS.
&&
$$
BRUSDA
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KLBF [280143]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLBF 280143
LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
843 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0751 PM TSTM WND GST 29 S MERRIMAN 42.50N 101.70W
08/27/2012 M45 MPH CHERRY NE MESONET
&&
$$
MARTIN
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LSRLBF
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
843 PM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0751 PM TSTM WND GST 29 S MERRIMAN 42.50N 101.70W
08/27/2012 M45 MPH CHERRY NE MESONET
&&
$$
MARTIN
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KTWC [280109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KTWC 280109
LSRTWC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
609 PM MST MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0605 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW BISBEE-DOUGLAS AI 31.45N 109.60W
08/27/2012 M60 MPH COCHISE AZ ASOS
THE BISBEE-DOUGLAS AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED A WIND GUST TO
52 KNOTS 60 MPH AT 540 PM MST.
&&
EVENT NUMBER TWC1200076
$$
MOLLERE
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LSRTWC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
609 PM MST MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0605 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SSW BISBEE-DOUGLAS AI 31.45N 109.60W
08/27/2012 M60 MPH COCHISE AZ ASOS
THE BISBEE-DOUGLAS AIRPORT ASOS REPORTED A WIND GUST TO
52 KNOTS 60 MPH AT 540 PM MST.
&&
EVENT NUMBER TWC1200076
$$
MOLLERE
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KILX [270609]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KILX 270609
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
109 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN PEORIA INTERNATIONAL AI 40.67N 89.68W
08/27/2012 M1.54 INCH PEORIA IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
08/27/2012 M1.10 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON AIRPORT 40.48N 88.92W
08/27/2012 M2.12 INCH MCLEAN IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E LACON 41.02N 89.39W
08/27/2012 M1.96 INCH MARSHALL IL AWOS
24-HOUR TOTAL. AT MARSHALL COUNTY AIRPORT
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN VERMILION COUNTY AIRPOR 40.20N 87.60W
08/27/2012 M1.94 INCH VERMILION IL AWOS
6-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE RANTOUL 40.29N 88.13W
08/27/2012 M2.54 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL AWOS
24-HOUR TOTAL AT RANTOUL NATIONAL AVIATION CENTER. MOST
FELL IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
109 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN PEORIA INTERNATIONAL AI 40.67N 89.68W
08/27/2012 M1.54 INCH PEORIA IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN WILLARD AIRPORT 40.04N 88.28W
08/27/2012 M1.10 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN BLOOMINGTON AIRPORT 40.48N 88.92W
08/27/2012 M2.12 INCH MCLEAN IL ASOS
24-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 E LACON 41.02N 89.39W
08/27/2012 M1.96 INCH MARSHALL IL AWOS
24-HOUR TOTAL. AT MARSHALL COUNTY AIRPORT
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN VERMILION COUNTY AIRPOR 40.20N 87.60W
08/27/2012 M1.94 INCH VERMILION IL AWOS
6-HOUR TOTAL
0100 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SE RANTOUL 40.29N 88.13W
08/27/2012 M2.54 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL AWOS
24-HOUR TOTAL AT RANTOUL NATIONAL AVIATION CENTER. MOST
FELL IN THE LAST 6 HOURS.
&&
$$
GEELHART
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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 270600
SWODY1
SPC AC 270558
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FL/GULF
COAST REGION...
...FL PENINSULA/GULF COAST REGION...
REFERENCE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST DETAILS AND
FORECASTS REGARDING ISAAC. ISAAC WILL LIKELY CONTINUE A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.
ESPECIALLY WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION...AN
ENVELOPE OF STRONG WINDS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF ISAAC WILL BE
CONDUCIVE FOR MINI-SUPERCELLS AND A RISK FOR TORNADOES WITH OUTER
BANDS. DIURNAL HEATING/MODEST CLOUD BREAKS SHOULD ESPECIALLY BOOST
UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES WITHIN A
MOISTURE-RICH AND AMPLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH ENVIRONMENT. GIVEN THE
LONGEST RESIDENCE TIME OF STRONGEST S/SE WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 1-3
KM...THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE FOR THE WESTERN/CENTRAL FL
PENINSULA. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE BY TONIGHT...AND ADDITIONAL PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL
REGION INCLUDING FAR SOUTHERN AL/MS AND SOUTHEAST LA BY EARLY
TUESDAY.
...SD/WESTERN NEB...
WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE
REGION...ISOLATED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SD...OR MORE LIKELY...NEAR A SURFACE
TROUGH /AND BLACK HILLS VICINITY/ ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NEB/SD.
AIDED BY A DEGREE OF VEERING AND STRONG HIGH LEVEL FLOW...SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL SHEAR/CAPE AND A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY ACCOUNT
FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE WIND /AND PERHAPS HAIL/ POTENTIAL THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
...UPPER OH VALLEY...
TSTMS SHOULD RE-INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A VORT MAX/COLD
FRONT SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/UPPER OH VALLEY. POCKETS
OF SOMEWHAT STRONGER PRE-FRONTAL HEATING AND GRADUAL LOW-LEVEL
MOISTENING WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST WEAK DESTABILIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON...WHILE MODESTLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /AS MUCH AS 30 KT
0-6 KM/ SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE AFOREMENTIONED VORT MAX. WHILE LIKELY
TO BE MARGINAL...THIS SCENARIO MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STRONGER/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.
...SOUTHERN AZ...
AS EASTERLY STEERING FLOW POTENTIALLY INCREASES ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW STRONG
TSTMS COULD DEVELOP ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND PROPAGATE TOWARD THE
DESERT FLOOR. HOWEVER...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME DRYING FROM THE
EAST...THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION AND SUBSEQUENT STORM
VIGOR/COVERAGE IS UNCERTAIN. OVERALL...ANY SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL
APPEARS SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PRECLUDE PROBABILITIES.
...TX...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD REDEVELOP/INCREASE AND DRIFT
GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A CORRIDOR ACROSS
SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL TX TO THE ARKLATEX/LOWER MS VALLEY. AN ISOLATED
DOWNBURST CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING...BUT WEAK MASS CONVERGENCE/LIMITED DESTABILIZATION SUGGESTS
NOTHING MORE THAN A VERY LIMITED POTENTIAL.
..GUYER/ROGERS.. 08/27/2012
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SWODY1
SPC AC 270558
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FL/GULF
COAST REGION...
...FL PENINSULA/GULF COAST REGION...
REFERENCE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST DETAILS AND
FORECASTS REGARDING ISAAC. ISAAC WILL LIKELY CONTINUE A GENERAL
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT.
ESPECIALLY WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION...AN
ENVELOPE OF STRONG WINDS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF ISAAC WILL BE
CONDUCIVE FOR MINI-SUPERCELLS AND A RISK FOR TORNADOES WITH OUTER
BANDS. DIURNAL HEATING/MODEST CLOUD BREAKS SHOULD ESPECIALLY BOOST
UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES WITHIN A
MOISTURE-RICH AND AMPLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR/SRH ENVIRONMENT. GIVEN THE
LONGEST RESIDENCE TIME OF STRONGEST S/SE WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 1-3
KM...THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE FOR THE WESTERN/CENTRAL FL
PENINSULA. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY DEVELOP INTO THE FL
PANHANDLE BY TONIGHT...AND ADDITIONAL PARTS OF THE GULF COASTAL
REGION INCLUDING FAR SOUTHERN AL/MS AND SOUTHEAST LA BY EARLY
TUESDAY.
...SD/WESTERN NEB...
WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER THE
REGION...ISOLATED TSTMS MAY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS SD...OR MORE LIKELY...NEAR A SURFACE
TROUGH /AND BLACK HILLS VICINITY/ ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF NEB/SD.
AIDED BY A DEGREE OF VEERING AND STRONG HIGH LEVEL FLOW...SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL SHEAR/CAPE AND A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER MAY ACCOUNT
FOR A MARGINAL SEVERE WIND /AND PERHAPS HAIL/ POTENTIAL THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
...UPPER OH VALLEY...
TSTMS SHOULD RE-INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A VORT MAX/COLD
FRONT SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/UPPER OH VALLEY. POCKETS
OF SOMEWHAT STRONGER PRE-FRONTAL HEATING AND GRADUAL LOW-LEVEL
MOISTENING WILL ALLOW FOR AT LEAST WEAK DESTABILIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON...WHILE MODESTLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /AS MUCH AS 30 KT
0-6 KM/ SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE AFOREMENTIONED VORT MAX. WHILE LIKELY
TO BE MARGINAL...THIS SCENARIO MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
STRONGER/POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.
...SOUTHERN AZ...
AS EASTERLY STEERING FLOW POTENTIALLY INCREASES ON THE SOUTHERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER RIDGE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW STRONG
TSTMS COULD DEVELOP ON THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND PROPAGATE TOWARD THE
DESERT FLOOR. HOWEVER...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME DRYING FROM THE
EAST...THE EXACT DEGREE OF DESTABILIZATION AND SUBSEQUENT STORM
VIGOR/COVERAGE IS UNCERTAIN. OVERALL...ANY SEVERE WIND POTENTIAL
APPEARS SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PRECLUDE PROBABILITIES.
...TX...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTMS SHOULD REDEVELOP/INCREASE AND DRIFT
GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN A CORRIDOR ACROSS
SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL TX TO THE ARKLATEX/LOWER MS VALLEY. AN ISOLATED
DOWNBURST CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING...BUT WEAK MASS CONVERGENCE/LIMITED DESTABILIZATION SUGGESTS
NOTHING MORE THAN A VERY LIMITED POTENTIAL.
..GUYER/ROGERS.. 08/27/2012
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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 270556
SWODY2
SPC AC 270555
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF
COAST STATES AND INTO GA...
...SYNOPSIS...
SLOW PROGRESSION OF THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST THIS
PERIOD...AS THE LARGE TROUGH OFF THE PAC NW COAST SHIFTS SLOWLY
INLAND...AND THE DOWNSTREAM NERN U.S. TROUGH LIKEWISE MAKES SLOW EWD
PROGRESS. IN BETWEEN...A LARGE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE
SWRN U.S. ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS.
THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN TROPICAL SYSTEM
ISAAC...WHICH IS LIKELY TO BE MOVING NWWD ACROSS THE N CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE. ALONG WITH TYPICAL TROPICAL SYSTEM
WEATHER THREATS...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITHIN A LARGE
ENVELOPE ENCOMPASSING THE NERN QUADRANT OF THIS STORM.
...CENTRAL AND ERN GULF COASTAL STATES AND MUCH OF GA...
WHILE MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS
STORM /PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NHC/...THE
ONGOING FORECAST WILL BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY...THOUGH THE OVERALL
FLAVOR OF THE FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME. STRONG/VEERING FLOW
THROUGH THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE WITHIN THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE STORM
WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING CELLS...WHICH -- AIDED BY THE
VERY MOIST/TROPICAL AIRMASS -- WILL SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITHIN
SUSTAINED CELLULAR CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITHIN THE BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THE THREAT SHOULD SHIFT NWWD WITH
TIME...DIMINISHING FROM E TO W ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND SERN
ATLANTIC COAST LATER IN THE PERIOD...WHILE LIKEWISE INCREASING WITH
TIME TOWARD/ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION.
...ND EWD/SEWD INTO NRN SD/WRN MN...
AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ROUNDS THE CREST OF THE RIDGE AND CROSSES THE
NRN PLAINS REGION...RESPONSE OF THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW FIELD WILL
RESULT IN A SHEAR PROFILE SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST LOOSELY ORGANIZED
STORMS. HOWEVER...MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT THE MIXED LAYER MAY
REMAIN TOO DRY -- AND THUS CAPPED -- TO FOSTER ANY MORE THAN A STORM
OR TWO AT BEST. STILL...GIVEN THE INCREASING SHEAR AND HINTS FOR
ISOLATED STORM COVERAGE WITHIN BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE...WILL INTRODUCE A LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT FOR
AFTERNOON/EVENING WIND/HAIL ACROSS THIS AREA.
..GOSS.. 08/27/2012
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SWODY2
SPC AC 270555
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1255 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF
COAST STATES AND INTO GA...
...SYNOPSIS...
SLOW PROGRESSION OF THE LARGE-SCALE UPPER PATTERN IS FORECAST THIS
PERIOD...AS THE LARGE TROUGH OFF THE PAC NW COAST SHIFTS SLOWLY
INLAND...AND THE DOWNSTREAM NERN U.S. TROUGH LIKEWISE MAKES SLOW EWD
PROGRESS. IN BETWEEN...A LARGE RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE FROM THE
SWRN U.S. ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS.
THE MAIN FEATURE OF INTEREST THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN TROPICAL SYSTEM
ISAAC...WHICH IS LIKELY TO BE MOVING NWWD ACROSS THE N CENTRAL GULF
OF MEXICO AS A HURRICANE. ALONG WITH TYPICAL TROPICAL SYSTEM
WEATHER THREATS...POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITHIN A LARGE
ENVELOPE ENCOMPASSING THE NERN QUADRANT OF THIS STORM.
...CENTRAL AND ERN GULF COASTAL STATES AND MUCH OF GA...
WHILE MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK OF THIS
STORM /PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NHC/...THE
ONGOING FORECAST WILL BE ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY...THOUGH THE OVERALL
FLAVOR OF THE FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME. STRONG/VEERING FLOW
THROUGH THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE WITHIN THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE STORM
WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING CELLS...WHICH -- AIDED BY THE
VERY MOIST/TROPICAL AIRMASS -- WILL SUPPORT TORNADO POTENTIAL WITHIN
SUSTAINED CELLULAR CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITHIN THE BROADER
PRECIPITATION SHIELD. THE THREAT SHOULD SHIFT NWWD WITH
TIME...DIMINISHING FROM E TO W ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA AND SERN
ATLANTIC COAST LATER IN THE PERIOD...WHILE LIKEWISE INCREASING WITH
TIME TOWARD/ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY REGION.
...ND EWD/SEWD INTO NRN SD/WRN MN...
AS A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ROUNDS THE CREST OF THE RIDGE AND CROSSES THE
NRN PLAINS REGION...RESPONSE OF THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW FIELD WILL
RESULT IN A SHEAR PROFILE SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST LOOSELY ORGANIZED
STORMS. HOWEVER...MODEL FORECASTS SUGGEST THAT THE MIXED LAYER MAY
REMAIN TOO DRY -- AND THUS CAPPED -- TO FOSTER ANY MORE THAN A STORM
OR TWO AT BEST. STILL...GIVEN THE INCREASING SHEAR AND HINTS FOR
ISOLATED STORM COVERAGE WITHIN BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE...WILL INTRODUCE A LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT FOR
AFTERNOON/EVENING WIND/HAIL ACROSS THIS AREA.
..GOSS.. 08/27/2012
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KMFL [270549]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 270549
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
149 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
08/27/2012 M6.98 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER AT THE 5 ASH WATER PLANT IN FORT
LAUDERDALE RECORDED A 24-HR RAINFALL OF 6.98 INCHES
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND MIDNIGHT.
&&
$$
ROSS
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
149 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 AM HEAVY RAIN FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
08/27/2012 M6.98 INCH BROWARD FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER AT THE 5 ASH WATER PLANT IN FORT
LAUDERDALE RECORDED A 24-HR RAINFALL OF 6.98 INCHES
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND MIDNIGHT.
&&
$$
ROSS
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KMFL [270546]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KMFL 270546
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
146 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0137 AM TROPICAL STORM WEST PALM BEACH 26.71N 80.06W
08/27/2012 PALM BEACH FL ASOS
A WIND GUST OF 61 MPH WAS MEASURED AT THE PALM BEACH
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.
&&
$$
GREGORIA
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
146 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0137 AM TROPICAL STORM WEST PALM BEACH 26.71N 80.06W
08/27/2012 PALM BEACH FL ASOS
A WIND GUST OF 61 MPH WAS MEASURED AT THE PALM BEACH
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT.
&&
$$
GREGORIA
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KDVN [270524]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KDVN 270524
LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1224 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1218 AM HEAVY RAIN PRINCETON 41.38N 89.47W
08/27/2012 M1.94 INCH BUREAU IL CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR RAINFALL.
&&
$$
MCCLURE
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LSRDVN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1224 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1218 AM HEAVY RAIN PRINCETON 41.38N 89.47W
08/27/2012 M1.94 INCH BUREAU IL CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR RAINFALL.
&&
$$
MCCLURE
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KLOT [270522]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KLOT 270522
LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1221 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1212 AM FLOOD SUMMIT 41.78N 87.82W
08/27/2012 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER
REPORTS OF SEVERAL SIDE STREETS WITH WATER UP TO THE CAR
BUMPERS.
&&
$$
KBIRK
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LSRLOT
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1221 AM CDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1212 AM FLOOD SUMMIT 41.78N 87.82W
08/27/2012 COOK IL TRAINED SPOTTER
REPORTS OF SEVERAL SIDE STREETS WITH WATER UP TO THE CAR
BUMPERS.
&&
$$
KBIRK
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KBOI [270445]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KBOI 270445
LSRBOI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1045 PM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1003 PM HAIL BUHL 42.60N 114.76W
08/26/2012 M0.88 INCH TWIN FALLS ID TRAINED SPOTTER
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
0712 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SW TWIN FALLS 42.54N 114.49W
08/26/2012 M49.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REPORTED AROUND TWIN FALLS
0712 PM TSTM WND GST TWIN FALLS 42.56N 114.46W
08/26/2012 E45.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID NEWSPAPER
REPORTED AT KMVT TV STATION.
0707 PM TSTM WND DMG JEROME 42.73N 114.52W
08/26/2012 JEROME ID NEWSPAPER
LARGE TREE UPROOTED. REPORTED TO LOCAL TWIN FALLS TV
STATION KMVT.
&&
$$
GSKARI
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LSRBOI
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1045 PM MDT SUN AUG 26 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1003 PM HAIL BUHL 42.60N 114.76W
08/26/2012 M0.88 INCH TWIN FALLS ID TRAINED SPOTTER
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH
0712 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SW TWIN FALLS 42.54N 114.49W
08/26/2012 M49.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES REPORTED AROUND TWIN FALLS
0712 PM TSTM WND GST TWIN FALLS 42.56N 114.46W
08/26/2012 E45.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID NEWSPAPER
REPORTED AT KMVT TV STATION.
0707 PM TSTM WND DMG JEROME 42.73N 114.52W
08/26/2012 JEROME ID NEWSPAPER
LARGE TREE UPROOTED. REPORTED TO LOCAL TWIN FALLS TV
STATION KMVT.
&&
$$
GSKARI
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KKEY [270431]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KKEY 270431
LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1231 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1152 PM TROPICAL STORM KEY WEST 24.56N 81.78W
08/26/2012 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL MESONET
WFO KEY WEST RSOIS REPORTED A 44 KNOT WIND GUST.
&&
$$
JLESKO
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LSRKEY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1231 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1152 PM TROPICAL STORM KEY WEST 24.56N 81.78W
08/26/2012 LOWER KEYS IN MONR FL MESONET
WFO KEY WEST RSOIS REPORTED A 44 KNOT WIND GUST.
&&
$$
JLESKO
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KMFL [270420]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS52 KMFL 270420
LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1220 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BOYNTON BEACH 26.53N 80.17W
08/27/2012 M10.00 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER IN WESTERN BOYNTON BEACH REPORTED 10
INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT. SEVERE
FLOODING WAS REPORTED WITH SEVERAL STREETS UNDER AN
ESTIMATED 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. UPDATED RAINFALL FROM 8.5
INCHES AT 10 PM EDT.
&&
$$
ROSS
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LSRMFL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1220 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W BOYNTON BEACH 26.53N 80.17W
08/27/2012 M10.00 INCH PALM BEACH FL TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER IN WESTERN BOYNTON BEACH REPORTED 10
INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM MIDNIGHT TO MIDNIGHT. SEVERE
FLOODING WAS REPORTED WITH SEVERAL STREETS UNDER AN
ESTIMATED 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER. UPDATED RAINFALL FROM 8.5
INCHES AT 10 PM EDT.
&&
$$
ROSS
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KIWX [270400]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KIWX 270400
LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 PM HEAVY RAIN SODUS 42.04N 86.37W
08/26/2012 M1.57 INCH BERRIEN MI BROADCAST MEDIA
RELAYED BY WNDU
&&
$$
FISHER
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LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1200 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 PM HEAVY RAIN SODUS 42.04N 86.37W
08/26/2012 M1.57 INCH BERRIEN MI BROADCAST MEDIA
RELAYED BY WNDU
&&
$$
FISHER
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