KCYS [082240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 082240
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
440 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM WILDFIRE 17 E WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.63W
07/08/2007 GOSHEN WY EMERGENCY MNGR

THREE FIRES WERE STARTED BY LIGHTNING. ONE WAS AT 154
DEER CREEK ROAD...ANOTHER AT 122 DEER CREEK ROAD AND THE
THIRD WAS AT CHERRY KNOLL.

&&

$$

RUBIN

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KGRB [082240]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082240
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
540 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0505 PM TSTM WND DMG 7 NE RHINELANDER 45.70N 89.31W
07/08/2007 ONEIDA WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

SCATTERED TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY.

&&

$$

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KFWD [082239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082239
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
539 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0523 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 SW CLEBURNE 32.30N 97.47W
07/08/2007 JOHNSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL FARM TO MARKET AND COUNTY ROADS FLOODED.
VEHICLES IN HIGH WATER ON HILLTOP ROAD TOWARD CLEBURNE
STATE PARK.

$$

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KMQT [082239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 082239
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
639 PM EDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0636 PM HAIL 1 N GLADSTONE 45.87N 87.02W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH DELTA MI PUBLIC

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL

&&

$$

MRC

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KFWD [082236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082236
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
535 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0535 PM FLASH FLOOD 6 SW HICO 31.92N 98.10W
07/08/2007 HAMILTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER OVER HIGHWAY 219 NEAR CARLTON

$$

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KFWD [082226]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082226
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
526 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0525 PM FLASH FLOOD 15 S STEPHENVILLE 32.00N 98.22W
07/08/2007 ERATH TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOODING OF ROADS NEAR SOUTHERN ERATH COUNTY BORDER.

$$

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KARX [082225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 082225
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
525 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0522 PM HAIL 2 S WESTBORO 45.32N 90.30W
07/08/2007 E0.50 INCH TAYLOR WI PUBLIC

&&

$$

JLR

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KBGM [082225]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBGM 082225
LSRBGM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
624 PM EDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0605 PM HAIL PRATTSBURG 42.52N 77.28W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH STEUBEN NY PUBLIC

&&

$$

BMW

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KMPX [082224]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082224
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
523 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM TSTM WND DMG LINO LAKES 45.16N 93.08W
07/08/2007 ANOKA MN AMATEUR RADIO

3 INCH BRANCHES DOWN

&&

$$

MKM

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 493

WWUS20 KWNS 082222
SEL3
SPC WW 082222
MIZ000-LHZ000-LMZ000-LSZ000-090700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 493
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
625 PM EDT SUN JUL 8 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN LOWER AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN
LAKE HURON
LAKE MICHIGAN
LAKE SUPERIOR

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 625 PM UNTIL
300 AM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES NORTHWEST
OF TRAVERSE CITY MICHIGAN TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALPENA
MICHIGAN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING OVER
NORTHERN WI AND WESTERN UPPER MI. THESE STORMS WILL PROGRESS
EASTWARD ACROSS LAKE MI AND INTO NORTHERN LOWER MI DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS. STRONG INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF ORGANIZED CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.

..HART

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KARX [082223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 082223
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
523 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0519 PM TSTM WND GST WESTBORO 45.35N 90.30W
07/08/2007 E50 MPH TAYLOR WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

CORN FLATTENED IN A FIELD JUST WEST OF WESTBORO

&&

$$

JLR

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KDLH [082223]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 082223
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
523 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM FLASH FLOOD BRANTWOOD 45.56N 90.12W
07/08/2007 PRICE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING IN BRANTWOOD

0520 PM FLASH FLOOD BRANTWOOD 45.56N 90.12W
07/08/2007 PRICE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

STREET FLOODING IN BRANTWOOD

&&

$$

MSTEWART

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KBYZ [082220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 082220
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
419 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM HAIL 5 N ALZADA 45.09N 104.42W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH CARTER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

0400 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 5 N ALZADA 45.09N 104.42W
07/08/2007 CARTER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

SPOTTER REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD WITH POSSIBLE BRIEF
TOUCHDOWN.

&&

$$

LIZS

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KGRB [082217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082217
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
517 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0510 PM HAIL 4 N ARGONNE 45.72N 88.88W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH FOREST WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1421

ACUS11 KWNS 082212
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082212
MIZ000-082315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0512 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN LOWER AND ERN UPPER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIKELY

VALID 082212Z - 082315Z

DOWNSTREAM OF WW 492...AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE ACROSS NRN
LOWER MI WITH STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. ONGOING CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO
SEVERE TSTMS OVER NRN WI/CNTRL UPPER MI WILL LIKELY CONTINUE EWD
THROUGH THE EVENING...NECESSITATING A SEVERE TSTM ISSUANCE BY 23Z.

AS OF 2205Z...RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTED SEVERAL
CLUSTERS/BANDS OF STRONG TO OCCASIONALLY SEVERE TSTMS ALONG A
SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT FROM E-CNTRL MN E/NEWD THROUGH CNTRL UPPER
MI. WITH 40 TO 50 KTS OF MID-LEVEL WLY FLOW....THESE TSTMS SHOULD
CONTINUE EWD ACROSS UPPER MI AND EVENTUALLY INTO NRN LOWER MI
TOWARDS 02Z. ALTHOUGH CONVECTION FROM EARLIER TODAY AND ONSHORE FLOW
FROM LKS MI AND HURON HAVE STABILIZED THE SURFACE LAYER ACROSS ERN
UPPER MI...A THREAT FOR ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY EXIST GIVEN
THE STRONG DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. FARTHER S ACROSS NRN LOWER MI...NEARLY
CLOUD FREE HEATING HAS RESULTED IN A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
MLCAPES OF 2500 TO 3500 J/KG AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE /PER
LATEST RUC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/. ALTHOUGH DIURNAL COOLING WILL RESULT
IN SOME STABILIZATION...THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
SHOULD STILL BE MAINTAINED GIVEN THE ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
CONVECTION OVER NRN WI.

.GRAMS.. 07/08/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...GRR...MQT...

46728469 45688322 44578270 43788394 43878577 44278652
45418632 46488543

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KGRB [082207]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082207
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
507 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0430 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 W WOODBORO 45.59N 89.72W
07/08/2007 ONEIDA WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON CR L NEAR LINCOLN COUNTY LINE. TIME APPROX.

&&

$$

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KFWD [082206]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082206
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
506 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0345 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 SW CLEBURNE 32.26N 97.52W
07/08/2007 JOHNSON TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE LIMBS DOWN AT LAKE CLEBURNE STATE PARK...TIME
ESTIMATED

$$

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KARX [082200]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KARX 082200
LSRARX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
500 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0454 PM TSTM WND GST 3 E JUMP RIVER 45.36N 90.74W
07/08/2007 E50 MPH TAYLOR WI PUBLIC

&&

$$

JLR

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KGRB [082158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082158
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
458 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM TSTM WND GST RHINELANDER 45.63N 89.41W
07/08/2007 M45 MPH ONEIDA WI ASOS

&&

$$

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KBUF [082157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS51 KBUF 082157
LSRBUF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
557 PM EDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 PM TSTM WND DMG NAPLES 42.62N 77.40W
07/08/2007 ONTARIO NY LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREE AND WIRES DOWN IN ROAD

&&

$$

MPUKAJLO

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KGRB [082151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082151
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
451 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM HAIL 4 N ARGONNE 45.72N 88.88W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH FOREST WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KTFX [082150]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 082150
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
350 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0910 PM HAIL 5 NNE GREAT FALLS 47.57N 111.25W
07/07/2007 E1.00 INCH CASCADE MT PUBLIC

&&

$$

EK

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KGRB [082147]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGRB 082147
LSRGRB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
447 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0428 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 S HAZELHURST 45.76N 89.71W
07/08/2007 ONEIDA WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN NEAR HWY 51. WIND ESTIMATED 60 MPH.

&&

$$

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KMPX [082141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082141
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
440 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0420 PM HAIL MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.80W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH WRIGHT MN AMATEUR RADIO

0435 PM HAIL ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH SHERBURNE MN AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

MKM

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KMPX [082133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082133
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
433 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HEAVY RAIN MINNEAPOLIS 44.96N 93.27W
07/08/2007 E0.00 INCH HENNEPIN MN AMATEUR RADIO

1 FOOT OF WATER OVER INTERSTATE 35W AT DIAMOND LAKE ROAD.

&&

$$

MKM

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KMPX [082129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KMPX 082129
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
428 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0118 PM HAIL 8 NE ANNANDALE 45.34N 94.00W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0125 PM HAIL 5 W MONTICELLO 45.30N 93.91W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH WRIGHT MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0145 PM HAIL BIG LAKE 45.34N 93.75W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0151 PM HAIL ZIMMERMAN 45.44N 93.59W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH SHERBURNE MN AMATEUR RADIO

AT COUNTY RD 4 AND HIGHWAY 169 INTERSECTION.

0200 PM HAIL ST FRANCIS 45.44N 93.31W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH ISANTI MN AMATEUR RADIO

0205 PM HAIL OTSEGO 45.29N 93.61W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0207 PM HAIL ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH SHERBURNE MN AMATEUR RADIO

0225 PM TSTM WND DMG WYOMING 45.33N 93.00W
07/08/2007 CHISAGO MN TRAINED SPOTTER

8 INCH DIAMETER TREE DOWN

0242 PM TSTM WND DMG STILLWATER 45.06N 92.82W
07/08/2007 WASHINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL BRANCHES DOWN. ADULT BLOW OFF FEET BY WIND.

0244 PM HAIL FOREST LAKE 45.28N 92.99W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

AT I-35 REST AREA

0303 PM HAIL 8 NW TURTLE LAKE 45.47N 92.26W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG AMERY 45.30N 92.36W
07/08/2007 POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 FT TREE AND BRANCHES DOWN.

0319 PM HAIL NEW GERMANY 44.88N 93.97W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH CARVER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0333 PM HAIL MAYER 44.88N 93.89W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH CARVER MN AMATEUR RADIO

0340 PM HAIL RICHFIELD 44.88N 93.28W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH HENNEPIN MN AMATEUR RADIO

DROPPED TO NICKEL SIZE AT 4PM.

0346 PM HAIL ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 E1.25 INCH SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0346 PM TSTM WND DMG ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

4 TO 6 INCH TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

0347 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE FOREST LAKE 45.33N 92.91W
07/08/2007 CHISAGO MN CO-OP OBSERVER

SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0351 PM HAIL HOPKINS 44.93N 93.41W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH HENNEPIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0352 PM HAIL ISANTI 45.49N 93.25W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH ISANTI MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0357 PM HAIL EAGAN 44.82N 93.16W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0358 PM HAIL ST PAUL 44.95N 93.10W
07/08/2007 E1.50 INCH RAMSEY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGHLAND PARK AREA. HAIL STARTED FALLING AT THE SIZE OF
NICKELS AT 347PM...CHANGED TO QUARTER AT 353PM THEN 1 1/2
INCH HAIL AT 358PM.

0406 PM HAIL RAMSEY 45.26N 93.45W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH ANOKA MN AMATEUR RADIO

STARTED AS NICKEL HAIL AT 358PM.

0407 PM HAIL ANDOVER 45.26N 93.33W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0415 PM HAIL MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO NICKEL HAIL BETWEEN 410 TO 415 PM.

&&

$$

MKM

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KMPX [082128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082128
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
428 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0352 PM HAIL ISANTI 45.49N 93.25W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH ISANTI MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0407 PM HAIL ANDOVER 45.26N 93.33W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH ANOKA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0415 PM HAIL MENOMONIE 44.89N 91.91W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH DUNN WI TRAINED SPOTTER

DIME TO NICKEL HAIL BETWEEN 410 TO 415 PM.

&&

$$

MKM

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KDLH [082118]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 082118
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
418 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM HAIL 8 E PHILLIPS 45.70N 90.23W
07/08/2007 M0.88 INCH PRICE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

REPORTED ON COUNTY HIGHWAY H.

&&

$$

MSTEWART

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KFWD [082114]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082114
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
414 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL LITTLE ELM 33.16N 96.93W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH DENTON TX PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL

$$

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KMPX [082113]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082113
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
412 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM HAIL RICHFIELD 44.88N 93.28W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH HENNEPIN MN AMATEUR RADIO

DROPPED TO NICKEL SIZE AT 4PM.

0346 PM TSTM WND DMG ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

4 TO 6 INCH TREE BRANCHES DOWN.

0346 PM HAIL ELK RIVER 45.33N 93.57W
07/08/2007 E1.25 INCH SHERBURNE MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0357 PM HAIL EAGAN 44.82N 93.16W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH DAKOTA MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0406 PM HAIL RAMSEY 45.26N 93.45W
07/08/2007 E1.75 INCH ANOKA MN AMATEUR RADIO

STARTED AS NICKEL HAIL AT 358PM.

&&

$$

MKM

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KFWD [082110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 082110
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
410 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 PM HAIL LITTLE ELM 33.16N 96.93W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH DENTON TX PUBLIC

ONE INCH HAIL REPORTED IN LITTLE ELM

$$

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KDLH [082109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 082109
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
409 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0406 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E PHILLIPS 45.70N 90.34W
07/08/2007 PRICE WI TRAINED SPOTTER

4-INCH DIAMETER TREES KNOCKED DOWN ON COUNTY HIGHWAY H

&&

$$

MSTEWART

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1420

ACUS11 KWNS 082100
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082100
MIZ000-WIZ000-MNZ000-082200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1420
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0400 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MN...NRN/CNTRL WI...WRN/CNTRL U.P. OF MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492...

VALID 082100Z - 082200Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492
CONTINUES.

INITIAL AREA OF SUPERCELLS WHICH DEVELOPED JUST E OF STC HAS NOW
PROGRESSED INTO W-CNTRL WI /BARRON AND DUNN COUNTIES/. THESE CELLS
HAVE TAKEN ON A NORTH-TO-SOUTH ORIENTATION AND APPEAR TO BE
ACCELERATING EWD. WITH THE GREATEST INSTABILITY LYING TO THE EAST OF
THESE TSTMS /MLCAPES AROUND 4000 J/KG/...AN ENHANCED THREAT FOR
DAMAGING WINDS APPEARS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS N-CNTRL
WI FROM EAU TO RHI. FARTHER W OF THIS CONVECTION...OCCASIONAL
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH UPSCALE GROWTH TO MULTICELLULAR CLUSTERS
SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS E-CNTRL MN AND THE TWIN CITIES METRO AREA.
LARGE HAIL WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY INTO EARLY EVENING. WEST TO EAST
BANDS OF TRAINING CONVECTION WILL ALSO POSE A HEAVY RAIN THREAT WITH
LATEST GPS PRECIPITABLE WATER ESTIMATES BETWEEN 1.75 TO 2.00 INCHES.

.GRAMS.. 07/08/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...APX...MQT...GRB...DLH...ARX...MPX...

44039192 43539321 43809435 44459483 45059466 45579371
45859228 45999079 46428914 46658639 45908568 44898739
44338987

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KDLH [082100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 082100
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0338 PM HAIL 4 SE FIFIELD 45.84N 90.36W
07/08/2007 E2.00 INCH PRICE WI PUBLIC

&&

$$

MSTEWART

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KMPX [082059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082059
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0347 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 NE FOREST LAKE 45.33N 92.91W
07/08/2007 CHISAGO MN CO-OP OBSERVER

SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0351 PM HAIL HOPKINS 44.93N 93.41W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH HENNEPIN MN TRAINED SPOTTER

0358 PM HAIL ST PAUL 44.95N 93.10W
07/08/2007 E1.50 INCH RAMSEY MN TRAINED SPOTTER

HIGHLAND PARK AREA. HAIL STARTED FALLING AT THE SIZE OF
NICKELS AT 347PM...CHANGED TO QUARTER AT 353PM THEN 1 1/2
INCH HAIL AT 358PM.

&&

$$

MKM

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KCYS [082057]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 082057
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
257 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0245 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 SSW CHEYENNE 41.08N 104.83W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

ONE INCH RAINFALL REPORTED IN 30 MINUTES.

0255 PM HAIL 10 N CHEYENNE 41.29N 104.79W
07/08/2007 E0.25 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALSO REPORTED.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMPX [082040]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082040
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
340 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0333 PM HAIL MAYER 44.88N 93.89W
07/08/2007 E0.75 INCH CARVER MN AMATEUR RADIO

&&

$$

MKM

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KTFX [082035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KTFX 082035
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
235 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM HAIL 14 W CARTER 47.78N 111.26W
07/07/2007 M0.75 INCH CHOUTEAU MT CO-OP OBSERVER

IRREGULAR SHAPED HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 44 MPH...LARGE TREE
LIMBS DOWN. NORTH SIDE OF STORM STARTED A FIELD FIRE 10
MI NE OF THIS LOCATION THAT BURNED BETWEEN 50 AND 100
ACRES.

&&

$$

EK

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KBYZ [082031]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 082031
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
231 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 15 SE EKALAKA 45.74N 104.33W
07/08/2007 M0.50 INCH CARTER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO HEAVY RAIN

&&

$$

DANB

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KTFX [082030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 082030
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
230 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 PM HEAVY RAIN 13 S ULM 47.24N 111.51W
07/07/2007 M1.00 INCH CASCADE MT PUBLIC

&&

$$

EK

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KTFX [082029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 082029
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
229 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1015 PM HAIL 14 W CARTER 47.78N 111.26W
07/07/2007 M0.75 INCH CHOUTEAU MT CO-OP OBSERVER

IRREGULAR SHAPED HAIL...WIND GUSTS TO 44 MPH...LARGE TREE
LIMBS DOWN. NORTH SIDE OF STROM STARTED A FIELD FIRE 10
MI NE OF THIS LOCATION THAT BURNED BETWEEN 50 AND 100
ACRES.

&&

$$

EK

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KMPX [082029]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082029
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
328 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0315 PM TSTM WND DMG AMERY 45.30N 92.36W
07/08/2007 POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

4 FT TREE AND BRANCHES DOWN.

0319 PM HAIL NEW GERMANY 44.88N 93.97W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH CARVER MN TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MKM

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KMPX [082027]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082027
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
327 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

&&

$$

MKM

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KDLH [082026]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDLH 082026
LSRDLH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
326 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0326 PM HAIL 1 S FIFIELD 45.87N 90.42W
07/08/2007 M1.75 INCH PRICE WI LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

MSTEWART

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1419

ACUS11 KWNS 082022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082022
MNZ000-IAZ000-SDZ000-NEZ000-082145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1419
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MN...NWRN IA...SERN SD...N-CNTRL/NERN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 082022Z - 082145Z

ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND TO
THE N OF EITHER A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH OR SLOW SWD-MOVING COLD
FRONT...TO THE SW OF WW 492. IF INITIATION DOES OCCUR...STRONG TO
EXTREME INSTABILITY SHOULD ALLOW RAPID TSTM DEVELOPMENT WITH LARGE
HAIL AS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT. THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR A
POSSIBLE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

20Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM
NEAR MKT SWWD TO YKN TO 30 W BBW. THE SURFACE FRONT PARALLELS THIS
TROUGH AROUND 50 MILES TO THE NW. CU DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN INCREASING
ON VIS IMAGERY IN BETWEEN THESE BOUNDARIES. MIDDLE 60S TO LOWER 70S
SURFACE DEW POINTS LIE WITHIN THIS AXIS...SUPPORTING MLCAPES OF 3000
TO 4500 J/KG PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS. PRIMARY LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER ERN SD
SHOULD REMAIN FOCUSED FARTHER E/NE. HOWEVER...MODEST LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ALONG THE TROUGH MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR TSTM INITIATION
WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOST OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY REMAIN ON
THE SRN PERIPHERY OF STRONGER WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW /AROUND 30 KTS/.
THIS SHOULD AID IN POTENTIAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH LARGE HAIL AS
THE MAIN THREAT.

.GRAMS.. 07/08/2007

..PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

41669913 41609994 41940077 42940109 43410041 43509890
44059758 44599642 44699542 44469473 43789464 43249545
42239734

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KCYS [082021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 082021
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
221 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0204 PM HAIL 2 N CHEYENNE 41.17N 104.79W
07/08/2007 E0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY PUBLIC

SPOTTER REPORTED MOSTLY ONE HALF INCH HAIL WITH A FEW
DIME SIZE.

0210 PM HAIL 2 W CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.83W
07/08/2007 E0.50 INCH LARAMIE WY OTHER FEDERAL

ONE-HALF INCH HAIL COVERING GROUND AT WARREN AIR FORCE
BASE WEATHER. ALSO REPORTED ONE-HALF INCH OF RAINFALL IN
30 MINUTES ALONG WITH 35 KNOT WIND GUST.

&&

$$

SJC

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KMPX [082011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMPX 082011
LSRMPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
311 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0242 PM TSTM WND DMG STILLWATER 45.06N 92.82W
07/08/2007 WASHINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

SMALL BRANCHES DOWN. ADULT BLOW OFF FEET BY WIND.

0244 PM HAIL FOREST LAKE 45.28N 92.99W
07/08/2007 E0.88 INCH WASHINGTON MN TRAINED SPOTTER

AT I-35 REST AREA

0303 PM HAIL 8 NW TURTLE LAKE 45.47N 92.26W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH POLK WI TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

MKM

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KRIW [082003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KRIW 082003
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
203 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM HAIL 10 NW KAYCEE 43.81N 106.78W
07/08/2007 E1.00 INCH JOHNSON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

CNJ

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KBYZ [082002]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBYZ 082002
LSRBYZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
202 PM MDT SUN JUL 08 2007

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HAIL 17 SW EKALAKA 45.72N 104.80W
07/08/2007 M1.25 INCH CARTER MT TRAINED SPOTTER

ALSO VERY HEAVY RAIN.

&&

$$

DANB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 081953
SWODY1
SPC AC 081950

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT SUN JUL 08 2007

VALID 082000Z - 091200Z

..THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CNTRL/NRN HIGH PLAINS
TO THE GRTLKS REGION AND PARTS OF NY...

..UPR MS VLY EWD ACROSS THE GRTLKS REGION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A MID-LEVEL IMPULSE MOVING ACROSS THE
CNTRL DAKS THIS AFTN WITH FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASING DOWNSTREAM
ACROSS THE UPR MS VLY. RECENT MESOANALYSIS HINTS AT A MESOSCALE LOW
DEVELOPING JUST N OF KMSP WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT INTO SERN SD.
SFC CONVERGENCE VCNTY THIS LOW AND FAVORABLE BACKGROUND ASCENT
CONTRIBUTED TO RAPID TSTM DEVELOPMENT NW OF KMSP EARLY THIS AFTN.
ACARS SOUNDINGS WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT SHOWED CONSIDERABLE
INHIBITION AND IT WILL LIKELY TAKE A STRONG COLD POOL/FRONT TO FORCE
PARCELS TO THE LFC. THIS APPEARS MOST LIKELY IN A ZONE FROM NEAR
KMSP EWD ACROSS NRN WI INTO CNTRL/SRN UPR MI THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
INITIAL CELLS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE EMBEDDED IN A SUPERCELL WIND
PROFILE AND 100 MB MLCAPES OF 3000-4000 J/KG. AS A RESULT...VERY
LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE. AS COLD POOLS STRENGTHEN... BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS MAY EVOLVE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY TO CONTINUE EWD
INTO PARTS OF CNTRL/NRN LWR MI FROM MID-EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

..LWR GRTLKS INTO NEW ENGLAND...
NEXT IN A SERIES OF SPEED MAXIMA WAS MOVING ACROSS SWRN ONTARIO WITH
CONSIDERABLE HIGH-LEVEL CONVECTION OCCURRING DOWNSTREAM INTO NY AND
CNTRL/SRN NEW ENGLAND. DESPITE POCKETS OF STRONG HEATING...OVERALL
CONVERGENCE APPEARS TO BE LACKING THROUGH THE EVENING. ISOLD
STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS MAY YET DEVELOP THE LATTER PART OF HEATING LATE
THIS AFTN/EARLY EVENING...BUT PRIMARY SVR THREAT MAY AWAIT UNTIL
VERY LATE TONIGHT...MAINLY OVER UPSTATE NY AND SWRN ONTARIO. DAKS
IMPULSE WILL BE IMPETUS FOR UPSTREAM MCS DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT
ACROSS THE CNTRL GRTLKS. THIS COMPLEX OF STORMS MAY ARRIVE IN
WRN/NRN NY ALONG THE BAROCLINIC ZONE BY 12Z WITH POSSIBLE DAMAGING
WIND THREATS.

..CNTRL/NRN HIGH PLAINS...
19Z MESOANALYSIS PLACES THE PRIMARY COLD FRONT ARCING FROM SRN SD
INTO NERN WY AND SERN MT WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH FROM NCNTRL NEB
TO THE CO FRONT RANGE. MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW HAS INCREASED BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT INTO SERN MT...NERN WY AND THE BLACK HILLS OF SD THIS
AFTN. COMBINATION OF THE TYPICAL STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT AND
LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCD WITH A MID-LEVEL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION FROM WY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR DEEP
MOIST CONVECTION. STRONGER TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE OVER THE
BLACK HILLS REGION SWD INTO PARTS OF CO. THE NELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
BENEATH MODEST WLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BOOST VERTICAL SHEAR TO SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL. ACTIVITY MAY CONGEAL INTO A LOOSELY
ORGANIZED MCS OVERNIGHT AND MOVE SEWD INTO PARTS OF NRN/WRN NEB WITH
ATTENDANT DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THREATS.

.RACY.. 07/08/2007

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