Monday, November 4, 2013

KGJT [050453]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 050453
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
953 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0937 PM SNOW CRAIG 40.52N 107.55W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH MOFFAT CO PUBLIC

STILL SNOWING


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301799

$$

JDC

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KCYS [050449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050449
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
949 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0935 PM SNOW SARATOGA 41.45N 106.81W
11/04/2013 E2.0 INCH CARBON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

MODERATE SNOWFALL.


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KGJT [050441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 050441
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
941 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 PM SNOW DINOSAUR 40.24N 109.01W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH MOFFAT CO PUBLIC

SO FAR TODAY AND STILL SNOWING.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301798

$$

JDC

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KGJT [050436]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 050436
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
936 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1134 PM SNOW SNOWMASS 39.33N 106.98W
11/03/2013 E5.0 INCH PITKIN CO PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301797

$$

JDC

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KGJT [050433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 050433
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
933 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0932 PM SNOW RANGELY 40.09N 108.78W
11/04/2013 E2.3 INCH RIO BLANCO CO PUBLIC

TOTAL SINCE 5 PM MST


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301796

$$

JDC

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KCYS [050405]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KCYS 050405 CCA
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
904 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0850 PM SNOW LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
11/04/2013 E2.5 INCH ALBANY WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0852 PM SNOW WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
11/04/2013 E0.5 INCH PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE HALF INCH MAINLY IN GRASSY AREAS.

0854 PM SNOW LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
11/04/2013 E0.8 INCH NIOBRARA WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES.


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KCYS [050404]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050404
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
904 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM SNOW LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
11/04/2013 E2.5 INCH ALBANY WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0852 PM SNOW WHEATLAND 42.05N 104.96W
11/04/2013 E0.5 INCH PLATTE WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

ONE HALF INCH MAINLY IN GRASSY AREAS.

0854 PM SNOW LUSK 42.76N 104.45W
11/04/2013 E0.8 INCH NIOBRARA WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

BETWEEN ONE HALF AND ONE INCH MAINLY ON GRASSY SURFACES.


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050350
SWODY1
SPC AC 050348

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0948 PM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS DURING
THE DAY...CONTINUING INTO THE SRN PLAINS OVERNIGHT BENEATH SWLY FLOW
ALOFT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND RAIN...WITH A FEW
WEAK EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS...WILL BE ONGOING FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD
ACROSS OK...KS...AND NEB IN A WARM ADVECTION REGIME. ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE CONUS...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN STABLE.

...CNTRL KS...WRN OK...TX PANHANDLE...
SOME HEATING IS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MAINLY ACROSS NWRN
TX INTO THE TX PANHANDLE...WHICH WILL HELP TO CREATE MARGINAL
INSTABILITY ON THE ORDER OF 500-750 J/KG MUCAPE. ALTHOUGH WIND
PROFILES WILL BE STRONG ALOFT...A NOTED VEER-BACK SIGNAL IN THE
700-500 MB LAYER AS WELL AS LINEAR FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT ALL
SUGGEST SUB-MARGINAL SUPERCELL POTENTIAL AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF
LINEAR STORM MODE. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT COULD YIELD SOME SMALL
HAIL...AND WHILE LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS CAN NEVER BE RULED
OUT...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..JEWELL.. 11/05/2013

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KCYS [050239]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050239
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
739 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM SNOW LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
11/04/2013 E2.0 INCH ALBANY WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0733 PM SNOW SARATOGA 41.45N 106.81W
11/04/2013 E1.0 INCH CARBON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KCHS [050148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 050148
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
848 PM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 39 SSE CENTENARY 32.50N 79.10W
11/04/2013 M40 MPH AMZ370 SC BUOY

GALE FORCE WIND GUST OCCURRED AT THE EDISTO BUOY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1300937

$$

JHP

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KCYS [050146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050146
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
646 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM SNOW 21 SSE ELK MOUNTAIN 41.41N 106.26W
11/04/2013 E6.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

MEDICINE BOW SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 10500
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.3 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 20 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 5 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.16N 106.86W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

WEBBER SPRINGS SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 9250 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 28 E SAVERY 41.02N 106.91W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

WHISKEY PARK SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
8950 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 11 SSE ENCAMPMENT 41.06N 106.71W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

BLACKHALL MOUNTAIN SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 9820 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 30 WNW LARAMIE 41.48N 106.12W
11/04/2013 E1.5 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SAND LAKE SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 10050
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.1 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 6 SW CENTENNIAL 41.24N 106.19W
11/04/2013 E1.5 INCH ALBANY WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

CINNABAR PARK SNOTEL IN THE SNOWY RANGE. ELEVATION 9574
FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.1 INCHES AND THE SNOW
TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS OVER
PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 35 S RAWLINS 41.28N 107.23W
11/04/2013 E4.5 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SAGE CREEK BASIN SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE.
ELEVATION 7850 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.3 INCHES
AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 19 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.10N 107.13W
11/04/2013 E4.5 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

DIVIDE PEAK SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
8880 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.3 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 17 SW ENCAMPMENT 41.03N 107.03W
11/04/2013 E1.5 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

SANDSTONE RANGER STATION SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE
RANGE. ELEVATION 8150 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS
0.1 INCHES AND THE SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 15 TO 1.
ACCUMULATION WAS OVER PAST 24 HOURS.


0630 PM SNOW 10 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.15N 106.97W
11/04/2013 E4.0 INCH CARBON WY PARK/FOREST SRVC

OLD BATTLE SNOTEL IN THE SIERRA MADRE RANGE. ELEVATION
10000 FEET. SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT IS 0.2 INCHES AND THE
SNOW TO LIQUID RATIO USED WAS 20 TO 1. ACCUMULATION WAS
OVER PAST 24 HOURS.



&&

$$

HAMMER

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KCYS [050120]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 050120
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
620 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 PM SNOW SARATOGA 41.45N 106.81W
11/04/2013 E0.0 INCH CARBON WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOW NOT STICKING YET AND MELTING AS IT FALLS.

0609 PM SNOW LARAMIE 41.31N 105.58W
11/04/2013 E0.5 INCH ALBANY WY LAW ENFORCEMENT

SNOW MOSTLY ON GRASSY SURFACES.

0611 PM SNOW 21 NW LARAMIE 41.53N 105.87W
11/04/2013 E1.0 INCH ALBANY WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOWING MODERATE TO HEAVY.

0613 PM SNOW ELK MOUNTAIN 41.69N 106.41W
11/04/2013 E0.0 INCH CARBON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

SNOW NOT STICKING YET AND MELTING AS IT FALLS.

0614 PM SNOW 16 E RAWLINS 41.78N 106.92W
11/04/2013 E0.2 INCH CARBON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

DUSTING OF NEW SNOW AT WOLCOTT JUNCTION.


&&

$$

MWEILAND

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KMQT [050035]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMQT 050035
LSRMQT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
735 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG CARNEY 45.59N 87.55W
11/04/2013 MENOMINEE MI TRAINED SPOTTER

NON-CONVECTIVE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A LINE
OF SHOWERS SNAPPED A 14 INCH 30 FOOT TALL
PINE TREE AND BLEW A TRAMPOLINE ACROSS A
YARD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. NO ESTIMATE
OF WIND SPEED.



&&

$$

NWS MARQUETTE MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 050028
SWODY1
SPC AC 050024

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0624 PM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
WITH A HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE SRN AND CNTRL PLAINS THIS
EVENING. MOST OF THE MOISTURE INCREASE WILL BE SEEN ALOFT WITH AN
INCREASING SLY LOW LEVEL JET. AS A RESULT OF THIS ISENTROPIC
LIFT...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
FROM NERN NM INTO WRN KS...BUT INSTABILITY WILL BE TOO WEAK FOR
SEVERE WEATHER DESPITE STRONG SHEAR PROFILES.

..JEWELL.. 11/05/2013

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KAPX [042339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 042339
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
639 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0548 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N MUNUSCONG 46.26N 84.19W
11/04/2013 M39 MPH LSZ322 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 1 N MUNUSCONG /RCKM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [042339]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 042339
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
638 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0418 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW MUNUSCONG 46.28N 84.21W
11/04/2013 M39 MPH LSZ322 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 2 NNW MUNUSCONG /WNEM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [042338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 042338
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
638 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0340 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 S NAUBINWAY 46.09N 85.44W
11/04/2013 M39 MPH LMZ341 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 1 SSE NAUBINWAY /NABM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [042338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 042338
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
637 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1236 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 ESE GOETZVILLE 45.99N 83.90W
11/04/2013 M43 MPH LSZ322 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 11 ESE GOETZVILLE /DTLM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KAPX [042338]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 042338
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
637 PM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE WHITEFISH POINT 46.77N 84.97W
11/04/2013 M43 MPH CHIPPEWA MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 1 NE WHITEFISH POINT /WFPM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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KJAX [042331]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 042331
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
631 PM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0615 PM NON-TSTM WND GST JACKSONVILLE BEACH 30.28N 81.39W
11/04/2013 M42 MPH DUVAL FL MESONET

JACKSONVILLE BEACH PIER REPORTED A 42 MPH GUST FROM THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST.


&&

$$

MZ

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KCHS [042230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 042230
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
530 PM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0434 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 22 ESE RACCOON BLUFF 31.40N 80.87W
11/04/2013 M40 MPH AMZ354 GA BUOY

GALE FORCE WIND GUST OCCURRED AT THE GRAYS REEF BUOY.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1300936

$$

SPR

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KMSO [042139]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 042139
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
239 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1030 AM SNOW HUNGRY HORSE 48.39N 114.06W
11/04/2013 E6.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT PUBLIC


&&

$$

JOHNSON

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KMSO [042127]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 042127
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
227 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1024 AM SNOW 1 SE SWAN LAKE 47.92N 113.83W
11/04/2013 E4.0 INCH LAKE MT PUBLIC

1024 AM SNOW 2 ESE COLUMBIA FALLS 48.36N 114.14W
11/04/2013 E4.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT PUBLIC


&&

$$

JOHNSON

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KTFX [042103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 042103
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
203 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM HEAVY SNOW 14 NE BELGRADE 45.89N 110.94W
11/04/2013 M9.0 INCH GALLATIN MT MESONET

9 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL IN THE LAST 12 HOURS


&&

$$

SUK

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KTFX [042102]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 042102
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
202 PM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0202 PM HEAVY SNOW 5 S WEST YELLOWSTONE 44.59N 111.12W
11/04/2013 M6.0 INCH GALLATIN MT MESONET

6 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL IN THE LAST 12 HOURS


&&

$$

SUK

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KJAX [042030]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 042030
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
330 PM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0249 PM NON-TSTM WND GST MAYPORT 30.38N 81.41W
11/04/2013 M41 MPH DUVAL FL ASOS

MAYPORT NAVAL AIR STATION REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 41 MPH
FROM THE NORTHEAST.


&&

$$

MZ

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041958
SWODY1
SPC AC 041956

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 042000Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO SEVERE WEATHER STILL
ANTICIPATED. MINOR CHANGE TO TRIM THE GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA A
BIT OVER THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS BASED ON LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE.

..GRAMS.. 11/04/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0945 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013/

...SYNOPSIS...
A MODIFYING CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS IS RETURNING NWWD ACROSS THE
SRN GULF TO THE SRN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO WEAK LEE CYCLOGENESIS OVER
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED POOR LAPSE
RATES AND LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR BUOYANCY WITHIN THE RETURNING
MOISTURE PLUME...AND SURFACE HEATING WILL BE LIMITED BY MID-HIGH
CLOUDS. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP FARTHER W THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS ERN AZ/NM...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SRN CA. ASCENT AND GRADUAL LOW-MIDLEVEL
MOISTENING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK BUOYANCY ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES...WITH AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. OVERNIGHT...THE RISK FOR A
FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NEWD TO WRN KS...IN A
STRENGTHENING WAA REGIME ON THE NW EDGE OF THE RETURNING MOISTURE
PLUME FROM THE SRN PLAINS.

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KMSO [041845]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 041845
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1144 AM MST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM SNOW WEIPPE 46.38N 115.94W
11/04/2013 E2.5 INCH CLEARWATER ID PUBLIC

CLOUDY SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


1142 AM SNOW 8 NNE KALISPELL 48.30N 114.25W
11/04/2013 M2.2 INCH FLATHEAD MT PUBLIC

SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0400 AM SNOW 3 SSW LAKESIDE 47.98N 114.25W
11/04/2013 M2.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT MESONET

MESONET STATION 2 SSW LAKESIDE /BLTM8/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0600 AM SNOW 9 S PORTERS CORNER 46.13N 113.31W
11/04/2013 M2.0 INCH GRANITE MT MESONET

MESONET STATION PETERSON MEADOWS /PTNM8/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0600 AM SNOW 5 N CRESTON 48.26N 114.16W
11/04/2013 M2.0 INCH FLATHEAD MT COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION 5 NNW CRESTON /3666S/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0515 AM SNOW 4 SSE COTTONWOOD 46.00N 116.33W
11/04/2013 M1.6 INCH IDAHO ID MESONET

MESONET STATION 4 SSE COTTONWOOD /ITD73/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0600 AM SNOW 2 ENE EAST MISSOULA 46.88N 113.90W
11/04/2013 M1.2 INCH MISSOULA MT MESONET

MESONET STATION 2 ENE EAST MISSOULA /D4550/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0600 AM SNOW 2 ENE EAST MISSOULA 46.88N 113.90W
11/04/2013 M1.2 INCH MISSOULA MT COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION 2 ENE EAST MISSOULA /2041R/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0300 AM SNOW 8 WSW JAYPE 46.50N 115.99W
11/04/2013 M1.0 INCH CLEARWATER ID MESONET

MESONET STATION 8 WSW JAYPE /PRNI1/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0400 AM SNOW 14 NNE LIBBY 48.57N 115.45W
11/04/2013 M1.0 INCH LINCOLN MT MESONET

MESONET STATION BANFIELD MOUNTAIN /BANM8/
SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0600 AM SNOW 8 S JANNEY 45.80N 112.52W
11/04/2013 M1.0 INCH SILVER BOW MT MESONET

MESONET STATION BASIN CREEK /BSCM8/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0900 PM SNOW BONNER 46.87N 113.86W
11/03/2013 M0.9 INCH MISSOULA MT COCORAHS

COCORAHS STATION BONNER /7872B/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS


0515 AM SNOW 10 N GIBBONSVILLE 45.69N 113.95W
11/04/2013 M0.8 INCH LEMHI ID MESONET

MESONET STATION 1 SSW LOST TRAIL PASS
/ITD87/ SNOW DURATION 24 HOURS


0519 AM SNOW ELK CITY 45.82N 115.44W
11/04/2013 M0.8 INCH IDAHO ID MESONET

MESONET STATION ELK CITY /ITD62/ SNOW
DURATION 24 HOURS



&&

$$

NWS MISSOULA MT
IRIS SYSTEM

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KMSO [041816]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KMSO 041816
LSRMSO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1115 AM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1011 AM WATER SPOUT WOODS BAY 48.00N 114.05W
11/04/2013 LAKE MT PUBLIC

WATER SPOUT OCCURRED OVER FLATHEAD LAKE BETWEEN WOODS BAY
AND YELLOW BAY


&&

$$

JOHNSON

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 041724
SWODY2
SPC AC 041723

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A BROAD POSITIVE-TILT UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SHIFT EWD FROM THE
WEST INTO THE CNTRL CONUS BY EARLY WED. WEAK SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
WILL OCCUR FROM THE MID-MO TO UPPER-MS VALLEY DURING THE LATTER HALF
OF THE PERIOD. ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL ACCELERATE SEWD FROM CNTRL
INTO THE SRN PLAINS...OVERTAKING A DRYLINE ACROSS WRN TX.

...SRN PLAINS...
A RELATIVELY LETHARGIC SETUP FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS
ANTICIPATED LATE AFTERNOON TO EVENING ON TUE AS ANTECEDENT
THERMODYNAMIC PATTERN REMAINS LARGELY UNFAVORABLE. SLY LOW-LEVEL
FLOW WILL YIELD POLEWARD ADVECTION OF A MODIFIED GULF AIR MASS
CHARACTERIZED BY 50S TO LOWER 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS. THIS SHOULD
AID IN EXTENSIVE CLOUDS/RAIN DEVELOPING NWD THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
D2. IN THE WAKE OF THIS WAA-DRIVEN ACTIVITY...SURFACE HEATING MAY
REMAIN LIMITED IN AMPLITUDE AND SPATIAL EXTENT TO NEAR THE DRYLINE
IN THE ERN TX PANHANDLE/WRN OK. CONVERGENCE ALONG THE DRYLINE SHOULD
BE WEAK AND DIURNAL SURFACE-BASED INITIATION MAY FAIL TO BE
REALIZED. MORE PROBABLE INITIATION WILL OCCUR WITH THE FRONT DURING
THE EVENING...BUT SHOULD BE QUICKLY UNDERCUT. THIS ALONG WITH MODEST
MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND MLCAPE HOLDING AOB 500 J/KG SHOULD
MITIGATE SEVERE HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL DESPITE STRONG MID/HIGH-LEVEL
SWLYS.

..GRAMS.. 11/04/2013

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KCHS [041654]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KCHS 041654
LSRCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1154 AM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0812 AM HIGH ASTR TIDES 1 E CHARLESTON 32.78N 79.93W
11/04/2013 CHARLESTON SC TIDE GAGE

A MAXIMUM TIDE LEVEL OF 7.03 FT MLLW WAS OBSERVED AT
THE CHARLESTON HARBOR TIDE GAGE. THIS IS AN APPROXIMATE
MAX VALUE DUE TO A 3 HOUR DATA VOID.


&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS1300935

$$

BDC

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KGJT [041648]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 041648
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
948 AM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0945 AM SNOW SKYWAY 39.05N 108.12W
11/04/2013 E3.0 INCH MESA CO NWS EMPLOYEE

ELECTRONIC TECHS REPORT 2-3 INCHES OF 24 HOUR SNOW AT
SKYWAY ON THE GRAND MESA.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301795

$$

JOE

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KGJT [041628]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 041628
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
928 AM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0807 AM SNOW 4 S COLLBRAN 39.18N 107.96W
11/04/2013 M1.0 INCH MESA CO PUBLIC

TOTAL SNOWFALL SUNDAY NIGHT.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301794

$$

NL

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KAPX [041615]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KAPX 041615
LSRAPX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1114 AM EST MON NOV 4 2013

...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0918 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 ESE GOETZVILLE 45.99N 83.90W
11/04/2013 M39 MPH LSZ322 MI MESONET

MESONET STATION 11 ESE GOETZVILLE /DTLM4/



&&

$$

NWS GAYLORD MI
IRIS SYSTEM

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041547
SWODY1
SPC AC 041545

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0945 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 041630Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A MODIFYING CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS IS RETURNING NWWD ACROSS THE
SRN GULF TO THE SRN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO WEAK LEE CYCLOGENESIS OVER
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...12Z SOUNDINGS REVEALED POOR LAPSE
RATES AND LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR BUOYANCY WITHIN THE RETURNING
MOISTURE PLUME...AND SURFACE HEATING WILL BE LIMITED BY MID-HIGH
CLOUDS. THE PRIMARY THUNDERSTORM RISK WILL DEVELOP FARTHER W THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS ERN AZ/NM...IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER SRN CA. ASCENT AND GRADUAL LOW-MIDLEVEL
MOISTENING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF WEAK BUOYANCY ACROSS THE SRN ROCKIES...WITH AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. OVERNIGHT...THE RISK FOR A
FEW ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NEWD TO WRN KS...IN A
STRENGTHENING WAA REGIME ON THE NW EDGE OF THE RETURNING MOISTURE
PLUME FROM THE SRN PLAINS.

..THOMPSON/GARNER.. 11/04/2013

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KJKL [041545]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KJKL 041545
LSRJKL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1045 AM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM TSTM WND DMG 4 E SANDY HOOK 38.08N 83.05W
11/01/2013 ELLIOTT KY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON HWY 706 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 5 AND
10.


&&

$$

ABE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 041249
SWODY1
SPC AC 041247

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 041300Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...

BROAD TROUGHING FROM THE WRN STATES TO MS VALLEY WILL CONSOLIDATE
INTO A SHORTER WAVELENGTH BUT HIGHER AMPLITUDE TROUGH WHICH WILL
EXTEND FROM CNTRL CANADA TO THE SWRN DESERTS BY 05/12Z. WITHIN THIS
LARGE-SCALE PATTERN...A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE DAKOTAS AND NEB
WILL EJECT NEWD INTO ONTARIO AROUND AN UPPER LOW SLOWLY ADVANCING
EWD THROUGH SASKATCHEWAN AND MANITOBA. UPSTREAM FROM THESE
DEVELOPMENTS...THE EQUATORWARD MOVEMENT OF MID AND UPPER-LEVEL JET
STREAKS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE AMPLIFICATION
AND EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SRN PORTION OF THE FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH
THROUGH THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST.

IN THE LOW LEVELS...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE DAKOTAS/NEB
IMPULSE STRETCHES FROM THE UPPER MS VALLEY TO SRN HIGH PLAINS AS OF
12Z. THE NRN EXTENSION OF THIS FRONT WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES WHILE THE SRN PORTION SAGS MORE SLOWLY SWD OVER
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS TODAY BEFORE RETREATING NWD TONIGHT IN RESPONSE
TO CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE SRN ROCKIES.

...SRN ROCKIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

WHILE THE AIR MASS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY DRY /I.E. PW
VALUES GENERALLY LESS THAN 0.5 TO 0.6 INCH/...STEEPENING LOW TO
MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL YIELD POCKETS OF WEAK INSTABILITY LATER
TODAY. WHEN COUPLED WITH INCREASING HEIGHT FALLS ALOFT AND
LOW-LEVEL UPLIFT ALONG THE STALLED SURFACE FRONT AND FAVORED
TERRAIN...ISOLATED TSTMS APPEAR POSSIBLE FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON
INTO LATE EVENING.

...CNTRL AND SRN PLAINS THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

MORNING SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS AS WELL AS 12Z SOUNDINGS AND
SATELLITE-DERIVED PW IMAGERY INDICATE THE POLEWARD RETURN OF A
MODIFIED CP AIR MASS THROUGH THE NWRN GULF OF MEXICO AND SOUTH TX.
THIS PROCESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ONE PERIOD AS SLY
LOW-LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS IN RESPONSE TO THE EVOLVING WRN U.S.
TROUGH.

BY THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT...THIS MOISTURE RETURN/DESTABILIZATION
WILL COMBINE WITH INCREASING WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT ALONG THE AXIS OF
THE DEVELOPING NOCTURNAL LOW-LEVEL WIND MAXIMUM TO FOSTER ISOLATED
TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS FROM ERN NM/WRN TX INTO CNTRL KS.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN WEAK AND NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED.

..MEAD/BOTHWELL.. 11/04/2013

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KTFX [040944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 040944
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
244 AM MST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM HEAVY SNOW 24 W BYNUM 47.92N 112.82W
11/04/2013 E7.0 INCH TETON MT MESONET

12-HR SNOWFALL OF 7 INCHES. LOCATION IS MT LOCKHART
SNOTEL. ELEVATION 6400 FT.


&&

$$

HOENISCH

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 040924
SWOD48
SPC AC 040924

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0324 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 071200Z - 121200Z

...DISCUSSION...
STRONG COLD FRONT WITH OFFSHORE FLOW WILL FORCE REMNANT INSTABILITY
DEEP INTO THE GULF BASIN DURING THE DAY4-5 TIME PERIOD. ANY
CONVECTION THAT EVOLVES INLAND ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE WILL STRUGGLE
TO ATTAIN INTENSITY DUE TO MARGINAL LAPSE RATES/INSTABILITY. WHILE
TRANSITORY SHORT-WAVES WILL BE NOTED LATER IN THE PERIOD THERE IS
LITTLE CONCERN REGARDING ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
MOISTURE/INSTABILITY MOVE INLAND.

..DARROW.. 11/04/2013

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 040813
SWODY3
SPC AC 040811

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 061200Z - 071200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...TX...

LAGGING PIECE OF LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL TRANSLATE INTO THE SRN PLAINS
WEDNESDAY ENCOURAGING SFC PRESSURES TO BUILD ACROSS THE PLAINS
DRIVING A COLD FRONT DEEP INTO TX EARLY IN THE PERIOD. VERY MOIST
AIR MASS...BUT WEAKLY BUOYANT WITH MARGINAL LAPSE RATES...WILL PROVE
CONDUCIVE FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG/AHEAD OF SFC FRONT.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR SUGGEST A FEW HUNDRED J/KG
OF CAPE MAY PROVIDE ADEQUATE BUOYANCY FOR UPDRAFTS TO PENETRATE
LEVELS NECESSARY FOR THE PRODUCTION OF LIGHTNING WITHIN THE
STRONGEST CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY ACROSS CNTRL/SOUTH TX.

FARTHER NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT...WHILE CONVECTION WILL BE NOTED
ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS UPDRAFTS WILL REMAIN
TOO SHALLOW TO WARRANT ANY MEANINGFUL THREAT FOR LIGHTNING NORTH OF
I-20.

..DARROW.. 11/04/2013

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KPDT [040659]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS56 KPDT 040659
LSRPDT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
1059 PM PST SUN NOV 03 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WNW WEST VALLEY 46.61N 120.69W
11/02/2013 YAKIMA WA TRAINED SPOTTER

LARGE TREE DOWN AND POWER OUT. POWER STILL OUT AT 745 PM.



&&

$$

MVESCIO

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KCAR [040653]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS51 KCAR 040653
LSRCAR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
153 AM EST MON NOV 04 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1140 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG CHARLOTTE 45.02N 67.25W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME UTILITY COMPANY

TREES DOWN ON POWER LINES WITH POWER OUTAGES.

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PEMBROKE 44.95N 67.16W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG JONESPORT 44.53N 67.60W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. SOME POLES WERE BENT DOWN DUE
TO THE STRONG WINDS.

0130 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG PERRY 44.97N 67.08W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROOKSVILLE 44.35N 68.68W
11/01/2013 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG SURRY 44.50N 68.50W
11/01/2013 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MACHIASPORT 44.70N 67.40W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DEER ISLE 44.22N 68.68W
11/01/2013 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. POWER IS OUT.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MACHIAS 44.72N 67.46W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG ADDISON 45.09N 67.47W
11/01/2013 WASHINGTON ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG BROOKLIN 44.27N 68.57W
11/01/2013 HANCOCK ME TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWN ALONG RTE 1.

0218 PM NON-TSTM WND GST EASTPORT 44.91N 66.99W
11/01/2013 M57.00 MPH WASHINGTON ME CO-OP OBSERVER

0234 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG LEE 45.36N 68.29W
11/01/2013 PENOBSCOT ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN INTO POWER LINES.

0234 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG DEDHAM 44.69N 68.66W
11/01/2013 HANCOCK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN INTO POWER LINES

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG FORT KENT 47.26N 68.59W
11/01/2013 AROOSTOOK ME LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

1100 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG MARS HILL 46.52N 67.87W
11/01/2013 AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ON MILITARY STREET. TIME IS
ESTIMATED. REPORT VIA FACEBOOK.

1200 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG MAPLETON 46.68N 68.16W
11/02/2013 AROOSTOOK ME PUBLIC

TREE TOOK DOWN POWER LINES ON HIGGINS ROAD. POWER
OUTAGES. TIME IS ESTIMATED. REPORT VIA FACEBOK.


&&

$$

JAH

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KGJT [040634]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 040634
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1134 PM MST SUN NOV 03 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM SNOW MAYBELL 40.52N 108.08W
11/03/2013 E4.5 INCH MOFFAT CO PUBLIC

ESTIMATED SNOWFALL AMOUNT TODAY WITH SOME WIND BLOWING
THE SNOW AROUND


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301793

$$

JDC

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KGJT [040626]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 040626
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1126 PM MST SUN NOV 03 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 PM SNOW 1 SE STEAMBOAT SPRINGS 40.47N 106.81W
11/03/2013 M5.3 INCH ROUTT CO TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM TOTAL TODAY...SNOW HAS ENDED.


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301792

$$

JDC

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040605
SWODY2
SPC AC 040603

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK RESENT 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 AM CST MON NOV 04 2013

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS
TUESDAY AS STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT INCREASES ON DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF
TROUGH FROM NEB INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL ASSIST THE
PROGRESSION OF MORE NRLY SHORT-WAVE AS IT MOVES INTO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. FARTHER SOUTH...TROUGHING IS
EXPECTED TO LAG ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION WHICH SHOULD APPROACH
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT A RIBBON OF
WARM ADVECTION...DRIVEN BY FOCUSED LLJ...WILL GENERATE ELEVATED
CONVECTION ACROSS KS TOWARD SERN NEB. THIS ACTIVITY WILL EVOLVE DUE
TO FOCUSED ASCENT WITHIN MARGINAL BUOYANCY THEN TRANSLATE TOWARD THE
MID MS VALLEY AS LLJ SHIFTS INTO THIS REGION. AN EXTENSIVE CORRIDOR
OF FRONTAL PRECIPITATION/EMBEDDED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
DURING THE PERIOD WITH A SEWD SHIFT TO THE PRECIP SHIELD BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE ONLY REGION OF POTENTIAL CONCERN THIS PERIOD WILL BE ACROSS THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS ALONG THE ERN PLUME OF STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
THAT WILL GENERATE OVER ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST SFC TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID 70S AS BOUNDARY
LAYER DEEPENS AND FLOW VEERS INTO THE SW. CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES
ARE NO HIGHER THAN THE MID 70S ACROSS THIS REGION AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUSTAINED ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THE
MAIN IMPEDIMENT TO ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION
IS THE EXPECTED MARGINAL SBCAPE...ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG. HAVE
INTRODUCED 5 PERCENT SEVERE PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND
MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL WITH ANY ROBUST UPDRAFTS THAT CAN EVOLVE IN
PROXIMITY TO THIS STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT. BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING WILL PROVE DETRIMENTAL TO SFC BASED CONVECTION AND TSTMS
WILL BECOME ELEVATED AS THEY SPREAD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TOWARD
SWRN OK/NWRN TX DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS.

..DARROW.. 11/04/2013

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 040531
SWODY2
SPC AC 040530

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CST SUN NOV 03 2013

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

WEAK HEIGHT FALLS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE CNTRL PLAINS
TUESDAY AS STRONGEST FLOW ALOFT INCREASES ON DOWNSTREAM SIDE OF
TROUGH FROM NEB INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS WILL ASSIST THE
PROGRESSION OF MORE NRLY SHORT-WAVE AS IT MOVES INTO THE UPPER MS
VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. FARTHER SOUTH...TROUGHING IS
EXPECTED TO LAG ACROSS THE 4-CORNERS REGION WHICH SHOULD APPROACH
THE SRN HIGH PLAINS BY EARLY EVENING.

EARLY IN THE PERIOD THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT A RIBBON OF
WARM ADVECTION...DRIVEN BY FOCUSED LLJ...WILL GENERATE ELEVATED
CONVECTION ACROSS KS TOWARD SERN NEB. THIS ACTIVITY WILL EVOLVE DUE
TO FOCUSED ASCENT WITHIN MARGINAL BUOYANCY THEN TRANSLATE TOWARD THE
MID MS VALLEY AS LLJ SHIFTS INTO THIS REGION. AN EXTENSIVE CORRIDOR
OF FRONTAL PRECIPITATION/EMBEDDED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE
DURING THE PERIOD WITH A SEWD SHIFT TO THE PRECIP SHIELD BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE ONLY REGION OF POTENTIAL CONCERN THIS PERIOD WILL BE ACROSS THE
SRN HIGH PLAINS ALONG THE ERN PLUME OF STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
THAT WILL GENERATE OVER ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST SFC TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE MID 70S AS BOUNDARY
LAYER DEEPENS AND FLOW VEERS INTO THE SW. CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES
ARE NO HIGHER THAN THE MID 70S ACROSS THIS REGION AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS MORE THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUSTAINED ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THE
MAIN IMPEDIMENT TO ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THIS REGION
IS THE EXPECTED MARGINAL SBCAPE...ON THE ORDER OF 500 J/KG. HAVE
INTRODUCED 5 PERCENT SEVERE PROBS TO ACCOUNT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND
MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL WITH ANY ROBUST UPDRAFTS THAT CAN EVOLVE IN
PROXIMITY TO THIS STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT. BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLING WILL PROVE DETRIMENTAL TO SFC BASED CONVECTION AND TSTMS
WILL BECOME ELEVATED AS THEY SPREAD OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN TOWARD
SWRN OK/NWRN TX DURING THE MID EVENING HOURS.

..DARROW.. 11/04/2013

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KGJT [040526]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 040526
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1026 PM MST SUN NOV 03 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1025 PM SNOW SNOWMASS 39.33N 106.98W
11/03/2013 E4.0 INCH PITKIN CO PUBLIC

SNOWFALL TODAY...LIGHT SNOW STILL FALLING


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301791

$$

JDC

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 040521
SWODY1
SPC AC 040519

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1119 PM CST SUN NOV 03 2013

VALID 041200Z - 051200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL DEVELOP FROM THE GREAT BASIN
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS STATES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH INCREASINGLY
SWLY FLOW ALOFT OVERSPREADING THE PLAINS STATES. AT THE SURFACE...A
LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS
OVER MUCH OF THE ERN CONUS...WITH A SLOW RETURN OF MODEST LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE INTO THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT. INCREASING LIFT AND
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WRN TROUGH WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM FOUR CORNERS STATES INTO THE CNTRL
PLAINS...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

...NM DURING THE DAY...THEN WRN KS INTO SRN NEB OVERNIGHT...
STRONG HEATING...COOLING ALOFT AND AREAS OF UPSLOPE FLOW WILL LEAD
TO WEAK DAYTIME STORMS OVER NM...WHERE GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AND PERHAPS GRAUPEL IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

OVERNIGHT...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM NRN NM INTO THE CNTRL/SRN
HIGH PLAINS. A STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL DEVELOP...RESULTING IN
ISENTROPIC LIFT AND SCATTERED STORMS. THOUGH SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR SEVERE STORMS...INSTABILITY WILL BE WEAK.

..JEWELL/MOSIER.. 11/04/2013

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KGJT [040501]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 040501
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1000 PM MST SUN NOV 03 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 PM SNOW CRAIG 40.52N 107.55W
11/03/2013 E3.0 INCH MOFFAT CO PUBLIC


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301790

$$

JDC

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