KLOT [020010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KLOT 020010
LSRLOT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
710 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0708 PM HAIL HARVARD 42.42N 88.62W
10/01/2009 M0.25 INCH MCHENRY IL TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

RODRIGUEZ

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KGLD [020008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 020008
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
608 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0531 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E MCCOOK 40.20N 100.58W
10/01/2009 M53 MPH RED WILLOW NE ASOS

&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KDVN [020005]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 020005
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
705 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN CEDAR RAPIDS MUNICIPAL 41.88N 91.72W
10/01/2009 M1.39 INCH LINN IA ASOS

SO FAR TODAY.

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN IOWA CITY MUNICIPAL AIR 41.63N 91.55W
10/01/2009 M1.49 INCH JOHNSON IA ASOS

SO FAR TODAY.

0700 PM HEAVY RAIN MOLINE QUAD-CITY AIRPOR 41.45N 90.50W
10/01/2009 M1.16 INCH ROCK ISLAND IL ASOS

SO FAR TODAY.

&&

$$

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch - Number 751

WWUS20 KWNS 020003
SEL1
SPC WW 020003
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH - NUMBER 751
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
703 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS CANCELLED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 751 ISSUED AT 115 PM CDT FOR PORTIONS OF

ARKANSAS
MISSOURI
OKLAHOMA

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KSGF [012357]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012357
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
657 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0512 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW SHELL KNOB 36.60N 93.67W
10/01/2009 BARRY MO PUBLIC

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KLZK [012354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KLZK 012354
LSRLZK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
654 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0641 PM HAIL WALDRON 34.90N 94.09W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH SCOTT AR PUBLIC

&&

$$

57

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KDVN [012354]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 012354
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
654 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSE CEDAR RAPIDS 41.95N 91.66W
10/01/2009 E1.10 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SO FAR.

0348 PM HEAVY RAIN FAIRFIELD 41.01N 91.97W
10/01/2009 M1.16 INCH JEFFERSON IA CO-OP OBSERVER

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0400 PM HEAVY RAIN 5 S DEWITT 41.75N 90.55W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCH SCOTT IA CO-OP OBSERVER

SO FAR.

0445 PM HAIL DEWITT 41.82N 90.55W
10/01/2009 E0.25 INCH CLINTON IA NWS EMPLOYEE

TIME ESTIMATED.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN LOWDEN 41.86N 90.92W
10/01/2009 M1.23 INCH CEDAR IA CO-OP OBSERVER

SO FAR.

0515 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW BELLE PLAINE 41.89N 92.28W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH BENTON IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SO FAR.

0516 PM HEAVY RAIN DEWITT 41.82N 90.55W
10/01/2009 M1.58 INCH CLINTON IA NWS EMPLOYEE

SO FAR.

0548 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NNE CHARLIE HEATH MEM 40.61N 91.87W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH VAN BUREN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SO FAR.

0558 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 W URBANA 42.22N 91.89W
10/01/2009 E1.10 INCH BENTON IA PUBLIC

24 HOUR TOTAL.

0559 PM HEAVY RAIN ANAMOSA 42.11N 91.28W
10/01/2009 M1.37 INCH JONES IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SO FAR.

0601 PM HEAVY RAIN HAZLETON 42.62N 91.91W
10/01/2009 M1.39 INCH BUCHANAN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

SO FAR.

&&

$$

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KFWD [012351]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012351
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
651 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0550 PM TSTM WND DMG BURLESON 32.53N 97.32W
10/01/2009 JOHNSON TX PUBLIC

WOOD FENCE AND TREE LIMPS UP TO 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER
DOWN IN BRIAR OAKS SUBDIVISION.

$$

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KDVN [012343]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 012343
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
643 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0610 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 WNW DUBUQUE 42.52N 90.76W
10/01/2009 M1.40 INCH DUBUQUE IA TRAINED SPOTTER

0615 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 WNW CEDAR RAPIDS 41.98N 91.70W
10/01/2009 M1.90 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

LE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 753

WWUS20 KWNS 012331
SEL3
SPC WW 012331
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-020700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 753
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
630 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 630 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF LONGVIEW
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 751...WW 752...

DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EWD/SEWD THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS SW
AR/NE TX/NW LA...WHILE OTHER MORE ISOLATED STORMS FORM IN THE WARM
SECTOR ACROSS SW AR IN A ZONE OF WEAK BACKGROUND ASCENT. THE
COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED
SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT CLOSER TO THE
WARM FRONT IN AR...THOUGH GRADUAL WEAKENING OF LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY TONIGHT SUGGESTS THAT ANY TORNADO THREAT WILL BE
LIMITED.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29030.

...THOMPSON

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KSGF [012330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012330
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
630 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0612 PM HAIL 6 SSE HOLLISTER 36.55N 93.16W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH TANEY MO STORM CHASER

ESPOTTER REPORT

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KGLD [012330]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGLD 012330
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
529 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0851 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE HILL CITY 39.39N 99.83W
10/01/2009 M52.00 MPH GRAHAM KS ASOS

1104 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N GOODLAND 39.53N 101.67W
10/01/2009 M50.00 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET

0113 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W GOODLAND 39.34N 101.80W
10/01/2009 M55.00 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET

0113 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
10/01/2009 M54.00 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS

0113 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE COLBY 39.40N 101.01W
10/01/2009 M59.00 MPH THOMAS KS MESONET

0143 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 N COLBY 39.42N 101.04W
10/01/2009 M58.00 MPH THOMAS KS MESONET

MEASURED AT THE COLBY AIRPORT

0209 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ENE MCCOOK 40.22N 100.58W
10/01/2009 M51.00 MPH RED WILLOW NE ASOS

0209 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N NORTON 39.85N 99.89W
10/01/2009 M51.00 MPH NORTON KS MESONET

MEASURED AT NORTON AIRPORT AWOS

0240 PM NON-TSTM WND GST BIRD CITY 39.75N 101.53W
10/01/2009 M58.00 MPH CHEYENNE KS MESONET

0243 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BURLINGTON 39.26N 102.29W
10/01/2009 M55.00 MPH KIT CARSON CO ASOS

&&

$$

FOLTZ

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KDMX [012323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDMX 012323
LSRDMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
623 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0619 PM HEAVY RAIN GREENE 42.90N 92.80W
10/01/2009 M3.00 INCH BUTLER IA EMERGENCY MNGR

RAINFALL TOTAL FOR DAY SO FAR

&&

$$

AW

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KSGF [012318]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012318
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
618 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0608 PM HAIL 3 NNW RIDGEDALE 36.53N 93.25W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH TANEY MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KFWD [012311]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012311
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
611 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0609 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E CROWLEY 32.58N 97.27W
10/01/2009 TARRANT TX AMATEUR RADIO

PICKET FENCE DOWN, AND 2-3 INCH LIMBS DOWN JUST NORTH OF
SPINKS AIRPORT.

$$

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2055

ACUS11 KWNS 012303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012302
ARZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-020000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2055
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK...EXTREME SWRN AR...CENTRAL-NCENTRAL/NERN
TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 752...

VALID 012302Z - 020000Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 752
CONTINUES.

22Z SUBJECTIVE SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT A COLD FRONT EXTENDS
SWWD OUT OF WRN AR/ERN OK INTO NCENTRAL TX...WITH A DRYLINE
INTERSECTION NEAR FTW. LINE SEGMENTS HAVE BEEN OBSERVED ALONG THE
SSEWD SAGGING COLD FRONT OVER NCENTRAL TX...WHERE LOW LEVEL FORCING
IS STRONGEST. MORE DISCRETE ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ALONG THE DRYLINE
FROM FTW TO JCT...WHERE WEAKER LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND GREATER
CROSSING ANGLE BETWEEN THE LINE OF FORCING AND UPPER FLOW/DEEP SHEAR
VECTORS IS PRESENT. AS THE CENTRAL PLAINS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
CONTINUES TO EJECT ENE TOWARD THE MID/UPPER MS VALLEY REGION...SHORT
TERM MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL
CONTINUE MOVING S INTO CENTRAL AND ERN TX. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MID-UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMING INCREASINGLY PARALLEL TO LOW LEVEL
FORCING...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN A GRADUAL TREND TOWARD QUASI-LINEAR
STORM ORGANIZATION. IN THE MEAN TIME...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR VALUES
AROUND 40 KT AND MODERATE MLCAPE VALUES /AROUND 1500 J PER KG
ACCORDING TO SFCOA DATA/ WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR SHORT LIVED
SUPERCELLS S OF THE COLD FRONT /AS OBSERVED IN RECENT HI-RES RADAR
DATA/ FOR ANOTHER HR OR TWO...POSING A LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
THREAT.

..GARNER.. 10/01/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 34029710 34039419 30819605 30349950 34029710

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KFWD [012254]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012254
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
554 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0551 PM HAIL CROWLEY 32.58N 97.32W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH TARRANT TX AMATEUR RADIO

PENNY HAIL IN CROWLEY.

$$

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KFWD [012253]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012253
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
553 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0547 PM TSTM WND GST BURLESON 32.53N 97.32W
10/01/2009 E85 MPH JOHNSON TX AMATEUR RADIO

DESTRUCTIVE WINDS DOWNING SEVERAL TREES IN THE CITY.

$$

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KTSA [012238]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 012238
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
538 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0537 PM TSTM WND DMG RATTAN 34.20N 95.41W
10/01/2009 PUSHMATAHA OK PUBLIC

TV CABLE LINES DOWN.

&&

$$

KDJ

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KGID [012236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 012236
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
536 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0531 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE GRAND ISLAND 40.96N 98.31W
10/01/2009 M46 MPH HALL NE ASOS

PEAK WIND GUST TODAY AT CENTRAL NEBRASKA REGIONAL AIRPORT

&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KSGF [012231]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012231
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
531 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0520 PM HAIL 8 E CAPE FAIR 36.73N 93.37W
10/01/2009 E0.25 INCH STONE MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

AFOSTER

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KSGF [012230]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012230
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
530 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND DMG SHELL KNOB 36.63N 93.63W
10/01/2009 BARRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

POWER LINE AND NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS DOWN. PEA SIZE HAIL
ALSO REPORTED.

&&

$$

AFOSTER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2054

ACUS11 KWNS 012213
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012212
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-012345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2054
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0512 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN OK/WESTERN AR/SOUTHERN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 751...

VALID 012212Z - 012345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 751
CONTINUES.

SEVERE TSTM WATCH 751 CONTINUES UNTIL 00Z...WITH A CONTINUED RISK
FOR SEVERE WINDS/HAIL.

A NNE-SSW ARCING BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO STEADILY
PROGRESS GENERALLY EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN MO AND FAR SOUTHEAST OK/WESTERN AR AND
THE ADJACENT ARKLATEX. A FEW QUASI-DISCRETE/BRIEF SUPERCELLS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE...BUT AMPLE FRONTAL FORCING IS SUGGESTIVE OF A
TENDENCY FOR AN INCREASINGLY DENSE AREAL COVERAGE/LINEAR CONVECTIVE
MODE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. GIVEN AMPLE CLOUD
COVER/MARGINAL BUOYANCY TO THE EAST OF WW 751 ACROSS MO...AN
ADDITIONAL WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHERN/EASTERN MO. HOWEVER...PORTIONS OF AR AND THE ADJACENT
ARKLATEX...WITH A WARMER/MORE MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE IN SPITE OF
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER...WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GUYER.. 10/01/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...

LAT...LON 38509233 38819184 38439061 35429199 34019390 34819515
37139336 38509233

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KCYS [012213]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 012213
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
413 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1052 AM NON-TSTM WND GST VEDAUWOO 41.15N 105.40W
10/01/2009 E60 MPH ALBANY WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KFWD [012211]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012211
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
511 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0502 PM HAIL 3 N DENTON 33.26N 97.15W
10/01/2009 E0.88 INCH DENTON TX AMATEUR RADIO

NICKEL HAIL 3 TO 4 NORTH OF DENTON, FALLING CONTINUOUSLY

$$

42

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KTSA [012210]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 012210
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0419 PM TSTM WND GST LEQUIRE 35.10N 95.11W
10/01/2009 E60 MPH HASKELL OK PUBLIC

&&

$$

KDJ

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KCYS [012159]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 012159
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
359 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0339 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ALLIANCE 42.10N 102.87W
10/01/2009 M61 MPH BOX BUTTE NE ASOS

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KFWD [012157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012157
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
457 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM TSTM WND GST SANGER 33.37N 97.18W
10/01/2009 E65 MPH DENTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

65 MPH WINDS REPORTED IN SANGER

$$

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KFWD [012156]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KFWD 012156
LSRFWD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
456 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM HAIL SANGER 33.37N 97.18W
10/01/2009 E0.88 INCH DENTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR SANGER

$$

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KEAX [012157]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 012157
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
457 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0425 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 SW BOONVILLE 38.93N 92.79W
10/01/2009 COOPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

SHED BLOW ONTO A PICK UP AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT OF A HOUSE
ON PRAIRIE LICK ROAD.

&&

$$

PC

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KHGX [012151]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KHGX 012151
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
451 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0449 PM FLOOD LEAGUE CITY 29.49N 95.11W
10/01/2009 GALVESTON TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED AROUND LEAGUE CITY.

&&

$$

BLOOD

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KSGF [012149]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012149
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
449 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0445 PM HAIL CASSVILLE 36.68N 93.87W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH BARRY MO LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KOUN [012148]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 012148
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
447 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0439 PM TSTM WND GST 1 N CADDO 34.15N 96.27W
10/01/2009 E65 MPH BRYAN OK STORM CHASER

&&

$$

MAHALE

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KGID [012146]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 012146
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
445 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0415 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ORD 41.60N 98.93W
10/01/2009 M46 MPH VALLEY NE ASOS

PEAK WIND GUST TODAY AT EVELYN SHARP FIELD

0200 PM NON-TSTM WND GST PHILLIPSBURG 39.75N 99.32W
10/01/2009 M52 MPH PHILLIPS KS AWOS

PEAK WIND GUST TODAY AT PHILLIPSBURG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT

&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KSGF [012142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012142
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
442 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0441 PM HAIL EXETER 36.67N 93.94W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH BARRY MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KOUN [012142]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 012142
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
441 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0436 PM TSTM WND GST 3 SSW CANEY 34.19N 96.23W
10/01/2009 E70 MPH ATOKA OK STORM CHASER

&&

$$

MAHALE

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KCYS [012141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 012141
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
341 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0201 PM NON-TSTM WND GST ALLIANCE 42.10N 102.87W
10/01/2009 M59 MPH BOX BUTTE NE ASOS

1235 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WHITAKER 41.41N 104.87W
10/01/2009 M57 MPH LARAMIE WY COUNTY OFFICIAL

WIND SUSTAINED WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR MORE FROM 1115 AM
TO 1235 PM.

0952 AM NON-TSTM WND GST ALLIANCE 42.10N 102.87W
10/01/2009 M58 MPH BOX BUTTE NE ASOS

0158 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SCOTTS BLUFF NATIONAL M 41.84N 103.71W
10/01/2009 E58 MPH SCOTTS BLUFF NE MESONET

1100 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 ESE I-80 EXIT 345 41.08N 105.04W
10/01/2009 M60 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

&&

$$

DDEAL

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KTOP [012141]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 012141
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
441 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1147 PM HAIL 2 WNW EMMETT 39.32N 96.09W
09/30/2009 E1.50 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS PUBLIC

1147 PM HAIL 1 NW EMMETT 39.32N 96.07W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCH POTTAWATOMIE KS PUBLIC

&&

$$

WOLTERS

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KOUN [012133]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 012133
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
432 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0424 PM TSTM WND GST 1 NNE TUSHKA 34.33N 96.16W
10/01/2009 E60 MPH ATOKA OK STORM CHASER

&&

$$

MAHALE

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KDVN [012130]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KDVN 012130
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
430 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0257 PM HAIL TIPTON 41.77N 91.13W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH CEDAR IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL.

0301 PM HAIL TIPTON 41.77N 91.13W
10/01/2009 E0.88 INCH CEDAR IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

0304 PM HAIL 2 WNW CEDAR RAPIDS 41.98N 91.70W
10/01/2009 E0.25 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL FELL FROM 304 TO 307 PM.

&&

$$

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KTSA [012108]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 012108
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
408 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 PM HAIL 2 SW QUINTON 35.10N 95.40W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH PITTSBURG OK PUBLIC

SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN.

&&

$$

KDJ

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KSGF [012106]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012106
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
406 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0404 PM HAIL MOUNT VERNON 37.10N 93.82W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH LAWRENCE MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KOUN [012104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KOUN 012104
LSROUN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
403 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0354 PM TSTM WND GST 3 NNE CHOCKIE 34.62N 95.98W
10/01/2009 E65 MPH ATOKA OK STORM CHASER

&&

$$

MAHALE

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KSGF [012100]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012100
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
400 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM HAIL STOTTS CITY 37.10N 93.95W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH LAWRENCE MO PUBLIC

&&

$$

CCROWE

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WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 752

WWUS20 KWNS 012050
SEL2
SPC WW 012050
OKZ000-TXZ000-020400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 752
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT THU OCT 1 2009

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
LARGE PART OF NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF TEMPLE TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 751...

DISCUSSION...COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD INTO NRN TX ENCOUNTERING AN AIR
MASS THAT HAS BECOME MDTLY UNSTABLE. WITH MLCAPES AOA 2000 J/KG AND
DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 30-40 KT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND E OF COLD FRONT AS IT CONTINUES SEWD ACROSS THE
WATCH.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27025.

...HALES

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KSGF [012036]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KSGF 012036
LSRSGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
336 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0309 PM HAIL DIAMOND 37.00N 94.32W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH NEWTON MO EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

CCROWE

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KTSA [012032]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KTSA 012032
LSRTSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
332 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0319 PM HAIL CANADIAN 35.18N 95.65W
10/01/2009 E0.75 INCH PITTSBURG OK PUBLIC

&&

$$

NMM

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KRIW [012021]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS55 KRIW 012021 CCA
LSRRIW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
0129 PM MDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM SNOW PAHASKA 10 W 44.48N 110.16W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

SYLVAN LAKE SNOTEL

0750 PM SNOW MORAN JUNCTION 25 NE 44.15N 110.22W
09/30/2009 E3.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

TWO OCEAN PLATEAU SNOTEL

0750 PM SNOW CLARK 21 W 44.94N 109.57W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

BEARTOOTH LAKE SNOTEL

0751 PM HEAVY SNOW WAPITI 19 WSW 44.38N 109.79W
09/30/2009 E6.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

BLACKWATER SNOTEL

0751 PM SNOW PAHASKA 14 NE 44.65N 109.78W
09/30/2009 E3.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

EVENING STAR SNOTEL

0752 PM HEAVY SNOW MEETEETSE 30 SW 43.86N 109.32W
09/30/2009 E7.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

KIRWIN SNOTEL

0752 PM HEAVY SNOW CODY 18 SW 44.30N 109.24W
09/30/2009 E6.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

MARQUETTE SNOTEL

0752 PM SNOW THERMOPOLIS 40 W 43.66N 109.01W
09/30/2009 E2.00 INCHES HOT SPRINGS WY MESONET

OWL CREEK SNOTEL

0753 PM SNOW PAHASKA 16 N 44.73N 109.91W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

PARKER PEAK SNOTEL

0753 PM SNOW MEETEETSE 18 WSW 44.03N 109.18W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

TIMBER CREEK SNOTEL

0753 PM SNOW CLARK 26 WSW 44.80N 109.66W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

WOLVERINE SNOTEL

0753 PM SNOW CODY 56 SW 43.93N 109.82W
09/30/2009 E2.00 INCHES PARK WY MESONET

YOUNTS PEAK SNOTEL

0754 PM SNOW MORAN JUNCTION 8 NNE 43.95N 110.45W
09/30/2009 E2.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

BASE CAMP SNOTEL

0754 PM SNOW BONDURANT 10 N 43.34N 110.43W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRANITE CREEK SNOTEL

0755 PM SNOW ALTA 6 ENE 43.78N 110.93W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

GRAND TARGHEE SNOTEL

0755 PM SNOW JACKSON 8 WNW 43.52N 110.91W
09/30/2009 E3.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

PHILLIPS BENCH SNOTEL

0755 PM SNOW SNAKE RIVER STN SNOTEL 44.13N 110.67W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCHES TETON WY MESONET

SNAKE RIVER STN SNOTEL

0756 PM SNOW PINEDALE 12 NNE 43.01N 109.76W
09/30/2009 E4.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

ELKHART PARK G.S. SNOTEL

0756 PM SNOW DUBOIS 16 SW 43.38N 109.88W
09/30/2009 E2.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

GUNSITE PASS SNOTEL

0757 PM HEAVY SNOW AFTON 8 SE 42.65N 110.81W
09/30/2009 E7.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

COTTONWOOD CREEK SNOTEL

0757 PM SNOW KEMMERER 36 N 42.30N 110.68W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

INDIAN CREEK SNOTEL

0758 PM SNOW AFTON 15 S 42.51N 110.91W
09/30/2009 E3.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

SALT RIVER SUMMIT SNOTEL

0758 PM HEAVY SNOW AFTON 8 NE 42.82N 110.84W
09/30/2009 E11.OO INCHES LINCOLN WY MESONET

WILLOW CREEK SNOTEL

0759 PM SNOW BONDURANT 12 ESE 43.13N 110.20W
09/30/2009 E1.00 INCHES SUBLETTE WY MESONET

EAST RIM DIVIDE SNOTEL

1045 AM SNOW AFTON 42.71N 110.92W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1048 AM HEAVY SNOW SMOOT 42.62N 110.92W
10/01/2009 M8.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY PUBLIC

1049 AM SNOW CASPER 7 S 42.73N 106.33W
10/01/2009 M5.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

CASPER MOUNTAIN

1050 AM SNOW LANDER 10 S 42.69N 108.68W
10/01/2009 M3.00 INCHES FREMONT WY NWS EMPLOYEE

RED CANYON

1053 AM SNOW THERMOPOLIS 0.2 SSW 43.64N 108.21W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES HOT SPRINGS WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1056 AM SNOW CASPER 10SW 42.75N 106.49W
10/01/2009 M2.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1058 AM SNOW RIVERTON 3NNW 43.07N 108.40W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES FREMONT WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1059 AM SNOW RIVERTON 8NW 43.08N 108.51W
10/01/2009 M2.00 INCHES FREMONT WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1059 AM SNOW RIVERTON 8NW 43.07N 108.52W
10/01/2009 M0.10 INCHES FREMONT WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1059 AM SNOW KAYCEE 17 NNW 43.93N 106.75W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES JOHNSON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1100 AM SNOW THAYNE 4.2 NNE 42.97N 110.95W
10/01/2009 M5.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1101 AM HEAVY SNOW SMOOT 42.62N 110.91W
10/01/2009 M9.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY OTHER FEDERAL

1102 AM SNOW CASPER 4.4 WSW 42.82N 106.39W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1102 AM SNOW CASPER 2.7 NNE 42.86N 106.31W
10/01/2009 M2.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1103 AM SNOW CASPER 4.3 WSW 42.81N 106.41W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1103 AM SNOW CASPER 1.1 WSW 42.82N 106.34W
10/01/2009 M2.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1105 AM SNOW JACKSON 12.3 NE 43.62N 110.62W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1106 AM SNOW TEN SLEEP 4.8 NNW 44.10N 107.45W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES WASHAKIE WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1106 AM SNOW TETON VILLAGE 1.6 SW 43.59N 110.79W
10/01/2009 M2.00 INCHES TETON WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1107 AM SNOW CASPER 2.1 ENE 42.83N 106.28W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES NATRONA WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1107 AM SNOW RIVERTON 2W 43.02N 108.42W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES FREMONT WY NWS EMPLOYEE

1108 AM SNOW THAYNE 1 SE 42.90N 110.98W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES LINCOLN WY TRAINED SPOTTER

1108 AM SNOW MAMMOTH 44.97N 110.69W
10/01/2009 M0.10 INCHES PARK WY CO-OP OBSERVER

YELLOWSTONE MAMMOTH

1109 AM SNOW MIDWEST 43.41N 106.27W
10/01/2009 M3.00 INCHES NATRONA WY CO-OP OBSERVER

1110 AM SNOW HUDSON 42.89N 108.58W
10/01/2009 M0.30 INCHES FREMONT WY PUBLIC

1110 AM SNOW JEFFREY CITY 42.49N 107.82W
10/01/2009 M5.00 INCHES FREMONT WY CO-OP OBSERVER

1110 AM SNOW TEN SLEEP 16SSE 43.81N 107.36W
10/01/2009 M1.00 INCHES WASHAKIE WY CO-OP OBSERVER

1111 AM SNOW SUNSHINE 3NE 44.07N 108.95W
10/01/2009 M3.00 INCHES PARK WY CO-OP OBSERVER

1111 AM SNOW SHOSHONI 13 NNW 43.40N 108.16W
10/01/2009 M0.10 INCHES FREMONT WY CO-OP OBSERVER

BOYSEN DAM

1258 PM HEAVY SNOW BEAVER RIM 42.58N 108.28W
10/01/2009 M10.00 INCHES FREMONT WY WYDOT

&&

$$

SMITH

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KDVN [012010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 012010
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
310 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0304 PM HAIL 2 WNW CEDAR RAPIDS 41.98N 91.70W
10/01/2009 E0.25 INCH LINN IA TRAINED SPOTTER

PEA SIZED HAIL FELL FROM 304 TO 307 PM.

&&

$$

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KDVN [012004]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDVN 012004
LSRDVN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
304 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0301 PM HAIL TIPTON 41.77N 91.13W
10/01/2009 E0.88 INCH CEDAR IA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

&&

$$

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KKEY [011411]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011411
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1011 AM EDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0942 AM TSTM WND GST 10 SW KEY WEST 24.46N 81.88W
10/01/2009 M48 MPH GMZ075 FL C-MAN STATION

A WIND GUST OF 42 KNOTS...OR 48 MPH...WAS REPORTED BY THE
C-MAN STATION AT SAND KEY LIGHT. THIS GUST WAS ASSOCIATED
WITH A THUNDERSTORM PASSING THROUGH THE AREA.

&&

$$

WHOVORKA

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 011233
SWODY1
SPC AC 011230

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

VALID 011300Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE MID MS VALLEY
INTO CENTRAL TX...

A LARGE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS...WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS AND AN 80+ KT MID LEVEL
JET EXPECTED TO ROTATE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE MID
MS VALLEY TODAY. LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE PRIMARY COLD
FRONT SURGING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS KS/OK. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY
LOW LEVEL WINDS HAVE TRANSPORTED MID 60S DEWPOINTS INTO CENTRAL KS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AND SHOULD ALLOW SIGNIFICANT MOISTENING TO
SPREAD INTO PARTS OF MO/AR BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL LEAD TO
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS FROM
CENTRAL MO INTO EAST TX LATER TODAY.

...MO/AR/OK...
A BAND OF ONGOING CONVECTION CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM MO INTO EASTERN
OK AND CENTRAL TX. THIS PRE-FRONTAL BAND IS ASSOCIATED WITH WARM
ADVECTION AND LIFT ALONG THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS...AND WILL PROBABLY
BE MAINTAINED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. BEHIND THIS
ACTIVITY...STRONG HEATING WILL YIELD MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG THE
FRONT...ALTHOUGH 12Z RAOBS CONFIRM THAT CAP WILL LIKELY RETARD
SURFACE-BASED STORMS UNTIL AT LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON. INITIAL
ACTIVITY OVER WESTERN MO/NORTHWEST AR/EASTERN OK MAY BE
SUPERCELLULAR WITH A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. STORMS
WILL LIKELY CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL LINE BY EARLY EVENING AND SPREAD
ACROSS MO/AR WITH A CONTINUED RISK OF HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE.

...TX/LA...
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE SOUTH/WEST EXTENT OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY. AMPLE MOISTURE AND MODERATE
CAPE VALUES WILL BE IN PLACE...BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW
SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING WILL ALSO BE PRESENT. HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE STORMS INTO CENTRAL TX DUE TO UNCERTAINTY...BUT
THREAT INCREASES TO THE EAST OVER EAST TX AND NORTHERN LA AS COLD
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SQUALL LINE AFFECTS THIS REGION AFTER DARK.
ANY ISOLATED STORM THAT CAN DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OVER CENTRAL TX
WILL POSE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

...IA/NORTHERN MO...
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION HAS BEEN AFFECTING MUCH OF IA/NORTHERN MO
OVERNIGHT...BUT BACK EDGE HAS CROSSED THE MO RIVER AND A FEW BREAKS
IN THE CLOUDS ARE LIKELY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED IN THIS REGION...BUT MAY INCREASE INTO THE
LOWER 60S PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE. DESPITE ONLY MARGINAL
INSTABILITY...STRONG LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT IN LEFT EXIT
REGION OF MID/UPPER LEVEL JET PROVIDES SOME CONCERN FOR ISOLATED
STRONG STORMS. HAIL WOULD BE THE MAIN THREAT...BUT COVERAGE IS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO MEET CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK CRITERIA.

..HART/GRAMS.. 10/01/2009

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KKEY [011024]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected Format

NWUS52 KKEY 011024 CCA
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FORMAT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
623 AM EDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 AM TSTM WND GST LONG KEY 24.82N 80.83W
10/01/2009 M40.00 MPH MIDDLE KEYS IN MON FL MESONET

A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE
NORTHWEST AT THE AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT THE
FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY PUMP STATION ON LONG KEY.

0401 AM TSTM WND GST LONG KEY 24.82N 80.83W
10/01/2009 M40.00 MPH MIDDLE KEYS IN MON FL MESONET

A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE
NORTHEAST AT THE AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT THE
FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY PUMP STATION ON LONG KEY.

&&

$$

JACOBSON

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KKEY [011023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KKEY 011023
LSRKEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
623 AM EDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0351 AM TSTM WND GST LONG KEY 24.82N 80.83W
10/01/2009 M40.00 MPH MIDDLE KEYS IN MON FL MESONET

A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE
NORTHWEST AT THE AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT THE

FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY PUMP STATION ON LONG KEY.

0401 AM TSTM WND GST LONG KEY 24.82N 80.83W
10/01/2009 M40.00 MPH MIDDLE KEYS IN MON FL MESONET

A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCED A WIND GUST OF 35 KNOTS FROM THE
NORTHEAST AT THE AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION LOCATED AT THE

FLORIDA KEYS AQUEDUCT AUTHORITY PUMP STATION ON LONG KEY.

&&

$$

JACOBSON

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 010848
SWOD48
SPC AC 010847

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0347 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

VALID 041200Z - 091200Z

...DISCUSSION...
SUBSTANTIAL VARIATION IS NOTED IN THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS THIS
FORECAST...WITH DECENT AGREEMENT BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF ONLY
EVIDENT INTO DAY 5. BOTH MODELS MAINTAIN A NEARLY STATIONARY UPPER
LOW OVER THE GREAT BASIN DAY 4 /SUN. OCT. 4/...WHICH THEN EVOLVES
INTO A LARGE/POSITIVELY TILTED MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS THE
NRN AND WRN CONUS INTO DAY 5.

MODELS THEN BEGIN TO DIFFER IN HANDLING OF THIS TROUGH AND ITS
SMALLER-SCALE COMPONENTS...WHICH HAS SIGNIFICANT INFLUENCE ON THE
DOWNSTREAM CYCLOGENESIS INITIALLY EVOLVING IN LEE OF THE ROCKIES
OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. WHILE SOME SEVERE THREAT APPEARS
POSSIBLE DAYS 4 AND 5 OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS...THREAT DOES NOT
APPEAR SUFFICIENT ATTM TO WARRANT INTRODUCTION OF A THREAT AREA.
FROM LATE DAY 5 ONWARD...MODEL DIFFERENCES BECOME INCREASINGLY
SIGNIFICANT...AND THIS APPARENT LACK OF PREDICTABILITY PRECLUDES THE
INCLUSION OF ANY THREAT AREAS THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 10/01/2009

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 010721
SWODY3
SPC AC 010718

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0218 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
RELATIVELY SMALL CHANGES IN THE OVERALL UPPER PATTERN ARE FORECAST
THIS PERIOD...AS THE UPPER LOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION
DRIFTS SLOWLY NWD AND THE WRN LOW DIGS SWD TOWARD NRN PARTS OF
CA/NV.

A SURFACE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WRN UPPER LOW IS FORECAST
TO MOVE EWD/SEWD ACROSS CA AND THE GREAT BASIN. MEANWHILE...MODELS
SUGGEST THAT THE ERN U.S. COLD FRONT MAY LINGER INVOF THE ATLANTIC
COAST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD.

PRESUMING THE ERN FRONT REMAINS ONSHORE...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WOULD AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ATLANTIC SEABOARD.
SOME HINTS THAT AT LEAST A LIMITED SEVERE THREAT MAY EVOLVE OVER THE
MID ATLANTIC REGION ARE EVIDENT IN SOME MODEL GUIDANCE...BUT ATTM
CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBABILITIES.
ELSEWHERE...APPRECIABLE SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED.

..GOSS.. 10/01/2009

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KEAX [010649]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 010649
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
149 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0142 AM HAIL 4 S ATCHISON 39.50N 95.13W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH ATCHISON KS PUBLIC

REPORTED BY MOTORIST ON HWY 73

&&

$$

DDEROCHE

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KEAX [010625]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KEAX 010625
LSREAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
125 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 AM HAIL 1 N EASTON 39.36N 95.12W
10/01/2009 E1.00 INCH LEAVENWORTH KS EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

DDEROCHE

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KTOP [010605]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 010605
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
105 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0105 AM HAIL HIAWATHA 39.85N 95.54W
10/01/2009 E0.25 INCH BROWN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

$$

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KFSD [010601]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KFSD 010601
LSRFSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
101 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1245 AM HAIL MADISON 44.01N 97.11W
10/01/2009 E0.88 INCH LAKE SD EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

$$

KWEISSER

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KCYS [010558]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KCYS 010558
LSRCYS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1158 PM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0824 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
09/30/2009 M56 MPH LARAMIE WY ASOS

0905 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SW CHEYENNE 1WSW 41.05N 104.89W
09/30/2009 M61 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SITE WYO HILL ALONG I-25

0925 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SW CHEYENNE 1WSW 41.05N 104.89W
09/30/2009 M62 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SITE WYO HILL ALONG I-25

0930 PM NON-TSTM WND GST NNE CHEYENNE 1WSW 41.08N 105.04W
09/30/2009 M62 MPH LARAMIE WY MESONET

UPRR SITE EMKAY...ELEV. 6724 FT.

0945 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SW CHEYENNE 1WSW 41.05N 104.89W
09/30/2009 M63 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SITE WYO HILL ALONG I-25

1003 PM NON-TSTM WND GST CHEYENNE 41.15N 104.79W
09/30/2009 M56 MPH LARAMIE WY ASOS

1025 PM HIGH SUST WINDS SW CHEYENNE 1WSW 41.05N 104.89W
09/30/2009 M40 MPH LARAMIE WY DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

WYDOT SITE ALONG I-25. SUSTAINED 40-45 MPH 830-1040 PM
WITH LAST 60 MPH GUST AT 1025 PM MDT.

&&

$$

JLH

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 010557
SWODY2
SPC AC 010557

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1257 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

VALID 021200Z - 031200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE UPPER LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE SLOWLY EWD ACROSS THE UPPER
MIDWEST AND INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION THIS PERIOD...WHILE A
SECOND LOW DROPS SWD OUT OF WRN CANADA AND INTO THE PAC NW LATE.

AT THE SURFACE...A SLOWLY FILLING LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE FROM SRN
MN/IA EWD TO LK MI BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. MEANWHILE...THE
TRAILING COLD FRONT -- FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM A TRIPLE POINT NEAR
SRN LK MI SSWWD ACROSS THE LOWER OH/TN VALLEY REGION INTO LA AND
THEN WSWWD INTO S TX EARLY -- IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EWD.
EXPECT THE FRONT TO BOTH CROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND SHIFT INTO THE
GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...S TX ENEWD TO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...
WHILE THE STRONGER LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AND STRONGER FLOW ALOFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER SYSTEM ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN N OF THIS
REGION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BECOME RELATIVELY
WIDESPREAD INVOF THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON -- PARTICULARLY
ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. WHILE MODERATE WLYS AT
MID-LEVELS MAY PROVIDE AMPLE SHEAR FOR A FEW STRONGER
CELLS...RELATIVELY WEAK LOWER LEVEL WINDS AND LIMITED
DESTABILIZATION SHOULD LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. HOWEVER...WITH A
LOCAL HAIL/WIND THREAT POSSIBLE WITH A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS --
PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON...WILL MAINTAIN LOW /5%/ SEVERE
PROBABILITY THIS FORECAST.

...ELSEWHERE...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS -- AND A VERY LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL --
SHOULD EVOLVE ACROSS PARTS OF THE ATLANTIC COASTAL REGION INCLUDING
COASTAL NC LATE IN THE PERIOD AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
W. HOWEVER...WITH VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY ANTICIPATED...WILL NOT
INTRODUCE SEVERE PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..GOSS.. 10/01/2009

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 010554
SWODY1
SPC AC 010551

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS SERN/N-CENTRAL TX AND
SWRN LA TO AR/MO OZARKS...

...SYNOPSIS...
UPPER-AIR PATTERN WILL REMAIN HIGHLY AMPLIFIED ACROSS CONUS THROUGH
PERIOD. CYCLONE INITIALLY CENTERED OVER SRN QUE IS FCST TO MOVE
SLOWLY IN CYCLONICALLY CURVING LOOP -- MAINLY N OF ST LAWRENCE
RIVER. MEANWHILE STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- NOW ANALYZED OVER
CENTRAL/NRN ROCKIES STATES -- IS FCST TO EVOLVE INTO CLOSED LOW BY
EARLY THIS PERIOD OVER NEB...MOVING EWD TO IA BY 2/12Z.

ASSOCIATED SFC CYCLONE -- NOW ELONGATED ALONG ARCHING COLD FRONT
OVER NWRN KS AND S-CENTRAL NEB -- IS FCST TO MOVE EWD INVOF KS/NEB
BORDER EARLY IN PERIOD...THEN MOVE/REDEVELOP UNDER CYCLONE
ALOFT...OVER NRN IA/SRN MN. AS THIS OCCURS...COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
SEWD FROM CENTRAL PLAINS...REACHING ERN MO...N-CENTRAL AR...SERN
OK...AND W-CENTRAL TX BY ABOUT 2/00Z. FRONT THEN SHOULD PROCEED
EWD/SEWD TO S-CENTRAL TX...W-CENTRAL/SWRN LA...CENTRAL MS...AND WRN
KY BY END OF PERIOD...AS PARENT CYCLONE OCCLUDES. OLDER FRONTAL
ZONE -- TRAILING FROM NWRN ATLANTIC AND DEMARCATING NRN EDGE OF
MOIST/RETURN-FLOW AIR -- IS EXPECTED TO LIFT SLOWLY ENEWD ACROSS
ARKLATEX AND WRN GULF COASTAL REGION THROUGH PERIOD...BUT WILL BE
OVERTAKEN BY COLD FRONT FROM N-S ACROSS LOWER MS VALLEY REGION.

...PORTIONS SERN/N-CENTRAL TX AND SWRN LA TO AR/MO OZARKS...
EARLY-PERIOD TSTMS IN CLUSTERS AND BANDS MAY BE ONGOING OVER
PORTIONS MO/IA...ROOTED IN LAYER OF ELEVATED BUOYANCY AND STG
ISENTROPIC ASCENT TO LFC. MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY SUCH ACTIVITY WILL
BE MRGL SVR HAIL...CARRYING OVER THREAT FROM PREVIOUS PERIOD. AS
LLJ WEAKENS THROUGH MID-LATE MORNING...SO SHOULD THIS
CONVECTION...CROSSING MID/UPPER MS VALLEY.

MAIN SVR CONCERN IS WITH DIURNAL CONVECTIVE INITIATION INVOF SFC
COLD FRONT...WHERE ROBUST LINE OF TSTMS PRODUCING DAMAGING GUSTS AND
MOSTLY LOW-END SVR HAIL IS EXPECTED TO FORM BY MID-LATE
AFTERNOON....THEN MOVE EWD ACROSS CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK AREA. SOME
INITIATION-TIMING UNCERTAINTIES STILL EXIST...COMPELLING LOOSER W-E
GRADIENT OF PROBABILITIES THAN ACTUAL SVR POTENTIAL IS LIKELY TO
EVOLVE ACROSS SWRN MO...ERN OK AND N TX. ONCE TSTMS DO
FORM...EXPECT RAPID UPSCALE GROWTH NEWD AND SWWD ALONG/AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT. CONVECTIVE MODE MAY TRANSITION THROUGH BRIEF MIX OF
MULTICELLS AND SUPERCELLS TO LINEAR...RESULTING IN LONG SQUALL LINE
AFTER DARK FROM SERN OZARKS REGION AT LEAST TO UPPER TX COASTAL
PLAIN. THIS LINE SHOULD SHIFT EWD ACROSS PORTIONS LOWER MS VALLEY
THEREAFTER...THREAT DIMINISHING WITH EWD EXTENT AFTER DARK AS
1. FOREGOING BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS DIABATICALLY...REDUCING AVAILABLE
SFC-BASED BUOYANCY...AND
2. CONVECTIVE BAND OUTRUNS HIGHEST THETAE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS
FROM N-S AND INGESTS MORE STABLE AND INCOMPLETELY MODIFIED
CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES.

STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE FCST TO OCCUR ACROSS NRN
PORTION OF OUTLOOK AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER OZARKS IN ZONE WHERE
BUOYANT ZONE WILL BE NARROWING AND DIMINISHING IN MAGNITUDE...AS
COLD FRONT OVERTAKES RETURN-FLOW BOUNDARY. SFC DEW POINTS MID 60S F
OVER SRN MO...AND UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S ACROSS MUCH OF ERN OK...AR AND
NRN/ERN TX -- WILL COMBINE WITH DIABATIC HEATING TO SUPPORT MLCAPES
RANGING FROM LESS THAN 1000 J/KG NEAR MO RIVER TO AROUND 3000 J/KG
OVER PORTIONS N-CENTRAL/NE TX.

SWLY SFC WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LIMIT SFC CONVERGENCE AND LOW LEVEL
SHEAR OVER MUCH OF AREA...WITH SIGNIFICANT COMPONENT OF MEAN FLOW
VECTOR BEING PARALLEL TO FRONTAL ZONE. FCST HODOGRAPHS ARE ENLARGED
ACROSS OZARKS REGION DUE TO COMBINATION OF CONSIDERABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER SPEED SHEAR AND SLGT VEERING WITH HEIGHT...HOWEVER CONCERNS
OVER CONVECTIVE MODE AND EXTENT OF FAVORABLE INSTABILITY PRECLUDE
MORE THAN MRGL TORNADO PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..EDWARDS/GARNER.. 10/01/2009

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KGLD [010508]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGLD 010508
LSRGLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1108 PM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N GOODLAND 39.52N 101.71W
09/30/2009 M56.00 MPH SHERMAN KS NWS EMPLOYEE

0250 PM DUST STORM 5 E STRATTON 39.30N 102.51W
09/30/2009 KIT CARSON CO TRAINED SPOTTER

I-70 FROM MILE MARKERS 419-429 CLOSED DUE TO BLOWING DUST
WITH ZERO VISIBILITY. CAR ACCIDENT IN WEST BOUND LANES
WITH UNKNOWN INJURIES. TIME IS ESTIMATED.

0304 PM NON-TSTM WND GST FIRSTVIEW 38.82N 102.53W
09/30/2009 M54.00 MPH CHEYENNE CO MESONET

MEASURED AT CDOT WEATHER STATION

0350 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 11 WNW FIRSTVIEW 38.90N 102.70W
09/30/2009 M61.00 MPH CHEYENNE CO MESONET

0400 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 W GOODLAND 39.34N 101.80W
09/30/2009 M58.00 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET

0401 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 E KIRK 39.62N 102.49W
09/30/2009 M54.00 MPH YUMA CO MESONET

0430 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 12 N GOODLAND 39.52N 101.67W
09/30/2009 M58.00 MPH SHERMAN KS MESONET

MEASURED 10 M AGL

&&

$$

MBULLER

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2051

ACUS11 KWNS 010445
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 010444
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-010615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2051
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN PORTIONS OF NEB/KS TO WESTERN IA/NORTHWEST
MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 010444Z - 010615Z

STRONG/SOME SEVERE TSTMS WITH HAIL AS THE PRIMARY RISK SHOULD
CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF KS/NEB
INTO WESTERN IA/NORTHWEST MO. A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...BUT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

SCATTERED ELEVATED TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE/SPREAD ENE-WARD
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS THE REGION. ALONG WITH THE INITIAL
BRUNT OF LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS ASSOCIATED WITH A POTENT ROCKIES
UPPER TROUGH...THIS ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING ALONG THE EASTERN EDGE OF
A STRONG PLAINS CAP/ELEVATED MIX LAYER. A SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASING
LOW LEVEL JET /50-60 KT ALREADY NOTED AROUND 1 KM PER DERIVED WIND
DATA ACROSS KS/ AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME...WITH 14C
850MB SOURCE REGION DEWPOINTS PER TOPEKA AND LAMONT OK OBSERVED
RAOBS...WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING TSTM COVERAGE OVERNIGHT
ROUGHLY ALONG/EAST OF A 850 MB WARM FRONT. GIVEN THIS
SCENARIO...STEEPENING LAPSE RATES/MODEST BUOYANCY WITHIN A
WELL-SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WILL SUPPORT SUSTAINED MULTICELLS/SOME
ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WITH THE RISK FOR HAIL OVERNIGHT. CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT THE RISK WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY MARGINAL/ISOLATED
TO PRELUDE A WATCH ISSUANCE...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED OVERNIGHT.

..GUYER.. 10/01/2009

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...

LAT...LON 42639568 42249465 40369326 38469364 38039521 39419619
42049726 42639568

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KTOP [010433]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KTOP 010433
LSRTOP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1133 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM HAIL 7 S ONEIDA 39.77N 95.94W
09/30/2009 E0.75 INCH NEMAHA KS TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

$$

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KBOI [010415]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KBOI 010415
LSRBOI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1015 PM MDT WED SEP 30 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1055 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 17 WSW HAGERMAN 42.69N 115.20W
09/30/2009 M48.00 MPH OWYHEE ID MESONET

TWIN BUTTES RAWS PEAK WIND GUST.

1132 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 S TWIN FALLS 42.48N 114.48W
09/30/2009 M55.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID ASOS

TWIN FALLS ASOS PEAK WIND GUST.

1204 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 E TWIN FALLS 42.57N 114.39W
09/30/2009 M64.00 MPH TWIN FALLS ID MESONET

HANSEN BRIDGE ITD PEAK WIND GUST.

1216 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 E JEROME 42.73N 114.46W
09/30/2009 M59.00 MPH JEROME ID ASOS

JEROME ASOS PEAK WIND GUST.

&&

$$

BW

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