NWUS54 KBMX 212106
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
405 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0302 PM HAIL 5 W LADONIA 32.46N 85.17W
05/21/2012 M0.75 INCH RUSSELL AL OTHER FEDERAL
&&
$$
SUNGER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
Monday, May 21, 2012
KJAN [212104]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212104
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0355 PM TSTM WND DMG VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/21/2012 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN VICKSBURG.
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0355 PM TSTM WND DMG VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/21/2012 WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN VICKSBURG.
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212103]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212103
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
402 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL 1 N MENDENHALL 31.98N 89.87W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH SIMPSON MS OTHER FEDERAL
PENNY TO QUARTER HAIL...REPORTED BY NSSL SHAVE PROJECT.
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
402 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0330 PM HAIL 1 N MENDENHALL 31.98N 89.87W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH SIMPSON MS OTHER FEDERAL
PENNY TO QUARTER HAIL...REPORTED BY NSSL SHAVE PROJECT.
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212101]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212101
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
401 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
PEA HAIL DOWNTOWN VICKSBURG...REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
401 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0400 PM HAIL VICKSBURG 32.33N 90.87W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH WARREN MS EMERGENCY MNGR
PEA HAIL DOWNTOWN VICKSBURG...REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212058]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212058
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
358 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL WATERPROOF 31.81N 91.39W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH TENSAS LA COUNTY OFFICIAL
NICKEL HAIL REPORTED BY TOWN HALL.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
358 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL WATERPROOF 31.81N 91.39W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH TENSAS LA COUNTY OFFICIAL
NICKEL HAIL REPORTED BY TOWN HALL.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KFFC [212056]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS52 KFFC 212056
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
456 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM HAIL DECATUR 33.78N 84.30W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH DEKALB GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
DECATUR FIRE DEPARTMENT EMPLOYEE REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL
AT 1655 PM EDT IN DOWNTOWN DECATUR.
&&
$$
RGARCIA
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRFFC
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
456 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0455 PM HAIL DECATUR 33.78N 84.30W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH DEKALB GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
DECATUR FIRE DEPARTMENT EMPLOYEE REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL
AT 1655 PM EDT IN DOWNTOWN DECATUR.
&&
$$
RGARCIA
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212051
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
351 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL WATERPROOF 31.81N 91.39W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH TENSAS LA PUBLIC
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
351 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL WATERPROOF 31.81N 91.39W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH TENSAS LA PUBLIC
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KJAN 212037
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
336 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HAIL 2 N MENDENHALL 31.99N 89.87W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH SIMPSON MS 911 CALL CENTER
PENNY HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS NO ESTIMATED SPEED AT THIS
TIME...OCCURRING NEAR HIGHWAY 13 AND STRONG RIVER
ROAD...JUST NORTH OF MENDENHALL...REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
336 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HAIL 2 N MENDENHALL 31.99N 89.87W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH SIMPSON MS 911 CALL CENTER
PENNY HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS NO ESTIMATED SPEED AT THIS
TIME...OCCURRING NEAR HIGHWAY 13 AND STRONG RIVER
ROAD...JUST NORTH OF MENDENHALL...REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0859
ACUS11 KWNS 212035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212035
MTZ000-212200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0859
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 212035Z - 212200Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...MARGINALLY ORGANIZED FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENTS POSING A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT. A WW IS NOT
LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT 20Z SHOW TEMPERATURES WARMING
INTO THE 80S FROM SWRN INTO ERN MT...WITH 60S AND 70S MORE COMMON
OVER WRN INTO CNTRL MT. THIS SURFACE HEATING COMBINED WITH MARGINAL
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 40S/ IS AIDING IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MUCAPE VALUES FROM 250-500 J/KG. THIS DESTABILIZATION
IS RESULTING IN GRADUAL STRENGTHENING OF CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF 15-20 KT LOW-LEVEL W-SWLY FLOW INCREASING TO
50 KT AT 5 KM AGL /PER TFX VWP/...FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THOUGH ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR...MARGINAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..GARNER/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...MSO...
LAT...LON 45990821 45321072 45281246 45971349 47141330 47881169
48170880 47640767 46800756 45990821
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212035
MTZ000-212200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0859
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 212035Z - 212200Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...MARGINALLY ORGANIZED FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENTS POSING A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT. A WW IS NOT
LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AT 20Z SHOW TEMPERATURES WARMING
INTO THE 80S FROM SWRN INTO ERN MT...WITH 60S AND 70S MORE COMMON
OVER WRN INTO CNTRL MT. THIS SURFACE HEATING COMBINED WITH MARGINAL
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE /DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE 40S/ IS AIDING IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MUCAPE VALUES FROM 250-500 J/KG. THIS DESTABILIZATION
IS RESULTING IN GRADUAL STRENGTHENING OF CONVECTION OVER THE AREA.
GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF 15-20 KT LOW-LEVEL W-SWLY FLOW INCREASING TO
50 KT AT 5 KM AGL /PER TFX VWP/...FAST MOVING LINE SEGMENTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THOUGH ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR...MARGINAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WW.
..GARNER/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...MSO...
LAT...LON 45990821 45321072 45281246 45971349 47141330 47881169
48170880 47640767 46800756 45990821
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212033
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
333 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HAIL 2 SW MENDENHALL 31.94N 89.89W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH SIMPSON MS 911 CALL CENTER
PENNY HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS NO ESTIMATED SPEED AT THIS
TIME...OCCURRING NEAR HIGHWAY 13 AND STRONG RIVER
ROAD...JUST SOUTHWEST OF MENDENHALL...REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
333 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0331 PM HAIL 2 SW MENDENHALL 31.94N 89.89W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH SIMPSON MS 911 CALL CENTER
PENNY HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS NO ESTIMATED SPEED AT THIS
TIME...OCCURRING NEAR HIGHWAY 13 AND STRONG RIVER
ROAD...JUST SOUTHWEST OF MENDENHALL...REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT.
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
WATCHES: Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 287
WWUS20 KWNS 212029
SEL7
SPC WW 212029
NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-220400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 287
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
EXTREME WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WEST TEXAS TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST
AND CENTRAL NM ARE EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD/SEWD THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVE INTO AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /SURFACE
DEW POINTS IN THE 50S AND MUCAPE TO 2500 J/KG/. WIND PROFILES
EXHIBIT STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH HEIGHT WITH LIGHT SELY LOW
LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO 20-30 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS. THIS
WILL PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING
A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. ACTIVITY MOVE GROW UPSCALE INTO A SMALL MCS BY THIS
EVENING THAT MAY PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS
ALONG ITS LEADING EDGE AS IT MOVES SEWD INTO PARTS OF WEST TX.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...WEISS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SEL7
SPC WW 212029
NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-220400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 287
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
225 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
EXTREME WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
WEST TEXAS TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 225 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 75
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CLAYTON NEW MEXICO TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST
AND CENTRAL NM ARE EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EWD/SEWD THIS AFTERNOON AND
MOVE INTO AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /SURFACE
DEW POINTS IN THE 50S AND MUCAPE TO 2500 J/KG/. WIND PROFILES
EXHIBIT STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH HEIGHT WITH LIGHT SELY LOW
LEVEL WINDS VEERING TO 20-30 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS. THIS
WILL PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING
A FEW SUPERCELLS WITH POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. ACTIVITY MOVE GROW UPSCALE INTO A SMALL MCS BY THIS
EVENING THAT MAY PRODUCE MORE WIDESPREAD STRONG/SEVERE WIND GUSTS
ALONG ITS LEADING EDGE AS IT MOVES SEWD INTO PARTS OF WEST TX.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29025.
...WEISS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KMOB [212023]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMOB 212023
LSRMOB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
322 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0307 PM HAIL 2 S BELLEFONTAINE 30.46N 88.11W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH MOBILE AL BROADCAST MEDIA
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GREERS MARKET ON DAUPHIN
ISLAND PARKWAY. LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES.
&&
$$
CL
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRMOB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
322 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0307 PM HAIL 2 S BELLEFONTAINE 30.46N 88.11W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH MOBILE AL BROADCAST MEDIA
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GREERS MARKET ON DAUPHIN
ISLAND PARKWAY. LASTED ABOUT 5 MINUTES.
&&
$$
CL
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJAN [212010]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KJAN 212010
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
310 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL 2 E ITTA BENA 33.50N 90.29W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH LEFLORE MS EMERGENCY MNGR
NICKEL TO QUARTER HAIL
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJAN
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
310 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0300 PM HAIL 2 E ITTA BENA 33.50N 90.29W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH LEFLORE MS EMERGENCY MNGR
NICKEL TO QUARTER HAIL
&&
$$
CME
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [212006]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 212006
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
306 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0302 PM HAIL PARKMANVILLE 32.39N 85.17W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH RUSSELL AL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 50 MPH.
&&
$$
ANDERSON
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
306 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0302 PM HAIL PARKMANVILLE 32.39N 85.17W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH RUSSELL AL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 50 MPH.
&&
$$
ANDERSON
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 211956
SWODY1
SPC AC 211955
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 212000Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF ERN NM AND NWRN TX
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TRACK WITH MINIMAL CHANGES TO PROBABILITIES
BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS.
...MID/DEEP SOUTH TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS...
PULSE-TYPE STORM ENVIRONMENT WITH EMBEDDED DISORGANIZED CLUSTERS
SHOULD REMAIN PREVALENT DOWNSTREAM OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER
THE MID-MS VALLEY AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MCV OVER CNTRL AL. WITH
WEAK TO MINIMAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND PRESENCE OF AN ILL-DEFINED COLD
FRONT...SETUP SHOULD CONTINUE TO YIELD SPORADIC MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES NEEDED.
..GRAMS.. 05/21/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1127 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012/
...ERN AR/WRN TN/NRN MS AREA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED OVER THE
OZARKS...AS MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE STRENGTHENS IN THE IMMEDIATE
WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX MOVING SEWD OVER SERN MO. THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY AND PROVIDE
ENHANCED ASCENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-15C AT 500 MB/ ARE MAINTAINING MODERATELY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.0-7.5 C PER KM/...AND DIABATIC
HEATING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO PROVIDE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT INDICATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER EXTREME ERN AR/WRN TN BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY
SPREADING SEWD WITHIN DEEP NWLY 20-30 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT.
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL
STORMS...AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
DIURNAL COOLING BEGINS TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
CURRENT STORMS OVER PARTS OF NWRN TX ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
SEWD THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY HAS GENERATED COLD OUTFLOW OVER
THE PANHANDLE WHICH HAS TEMPORARILY STABILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THIS AREA. IT HAS ALSO HELPED TO MAINTAIN A MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL
WIND COMPONENT INTO EAST CENTRAL NM...AND SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
LOW/MID 50S ARE EVIDENT ATTM OVER MUCH OF ERN NM. THE MOISTURE IS
LIKELY TO MIX OUT OVER CENTRAL NM AS HEATING OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S-LOWER 50S WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER
PARTS OF ERN NM WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPER /AS EVIDENCED BY LOW CLOUDS
PER VISIBLE IMAGERY/.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MUCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT APPEARS LIMITED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...HEATING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD RESULT IN NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN AND EAST CENTRAL NM.
WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AS SSELY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO 30-40 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID
LEVELS. THIS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY INCLUDING SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. THE
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONGER
CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
...SERN MS/CENTRAL AND SRN AL...
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE MCV MOVING SEWD OVER NWRN AL. THIS
FEATURE MAY PERSIST IN THE WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG HEATING OCCURS
ACROSS THE REGION. RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-12 TO
-13C AT 500 MB/ WILL PROMOTE STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
POSSIBLE HAIL FORMATION...WHILE STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
ASSOCIATED LARGER SURFACE T/TD SPREADS WILL ENHANCE THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM NERN
OREGON/SERN WA INTO W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC
ASCENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWODY1
SPC AC 211955
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 212000Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF ERN NM AND NWRN TX
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TRACK WITH MINIMAL CHANGES TO PROBABILITIES
BASED ON RECENT OBSERVATIONS.
...MID/DEEP SOUTH TO THE SRN APPALACHIANS...
PULSE-TYPE STORM ENVIRONMENT WITH EMBEDDED DISORGANIZED CLUSTERS
SHOULD REMAIN PREVALENT DOWNSTREAM OF A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER
THE MID-MS VALLEY AND IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MCV OVER CNTRL AL. WITH
WEAK TO MINIMAL DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND PRESENCE OF AN ILL-DEFINED COLD
FRONT...SETUP SHOULD CONTINUE TO YIELD SPORADIC MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH ABOUT SUNSET.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
PREVIOUS FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES NEEDED.
..GRAMS.. 05/21/2012
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1127 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012/
...ERN AR/WRN TN/NRN MS AREA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED OVER THE
OZARKS...AS MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE STRENGTHENS IN THE IMMEDIATE
WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX MOVING SEWD OVER SERN MO. THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY AND PROVIDE
ENHANCED ASCENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-15C AT 500 MB/ ARE MAINTAINING MODERATELY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.0-7.5 C PER KM/...AND DIABATIC
HEATING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO PROVIDE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT INDICATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER EXTREME ERN AR/WRN TN BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY
SPREADING SEWD WITHIN DEEP NWLY 20-30 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT.
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL
STORMS...AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
DIURNAL COOLING BEGINS TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
CURRENT STORMS OVER PARTS OF NWRN TX ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
SEWD THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY HAS GENERATED COLD OUTFLOW OVER
THE PANHANDLE WHICH HAS TEMPORARILY STABILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THIS AREA. IT HAS ALSO HELPED TO MAINTAIN A MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL
WIND COMPONENT INTO EAST CENTRAL NM...AND SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
LOW/MID 50S ARE EVIDENT ATTM OVER MUCH OF ERN NM. THE MOISTURE IS
LIKELY TO MIX OUT OVER CENTRAL NM AS HEATING OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S-LOWER 50S WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER
PARTS OF ERN NM WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPER /AS EVIDENCED BY LOW CLOUDS
PER VISIBLE IMAGERY/.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MUCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT APPEARS LIMITED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...HEATING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD RESULT IN NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN AND EAST CENTRAL NM.
WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AS SSELY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO 30-40 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID
LEVELS. THIS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY INCLUDING SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. THE
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONGER
CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
...SERN MS/CENTRAL AND SRN AL...
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE MCV MOVING SEWD OVER NWRN AL. THIS
FEATURE MAY PERSIST IN THE WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG HEATING OCCURS
ACROSS THE REGION. RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-12 TO
-13C AT 500 MB/ WILL PROMOTE STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
POSSIBLE HAIL FORMATION...WHILE STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
ASSOCIATED LARGER SURFACE T/TD SPREADS WILL ENHANCE THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM NERN
OREGON/SERN WA INTO W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC
ASCENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KPUB [211944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KPUB 211944
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
144 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0138 PM HAIL 9 SSE COKEDALE 37.02N 104.56W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRPUB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
144 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0138 PM HAIL 9 SSE COKEDALE 37.02N 104.56W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH LAS ANIMAS CO PUBLIC
&&
$$
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211939]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211939
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
239 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0237 PM HAIL OPELIKA 32.65N 85.38W
05/21/2012 M1.00 INCH LEE AL PUBLIC
UPWARDS TO 25 CENT HAIL. AT I85 AND SR51.
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
239 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0237 PM HAIL OPELIKA 32.65N 85.38W
05/21/2012 M1.00 INCH LEE AL PUBLIC
UPWARDS TO 25 CENT HAIL. AT I85 AND SR51.
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KMOB [211937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KMOB 211937
LSRMOB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
237 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM HAIL WEST BEND 31.82N 88.13W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH CLARKE AL TRAINED SPOTTER
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT WEST BEND.
&&
$$
CL
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRMOB
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
237 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0230 PM HAIL WEST BEND 31.82N 88.13W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH CLARKE AL TRAINED SPOTTER
QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT WEST BEND.
&&
$$
CL
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211937]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211937
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
337 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM HAIL CHAPPELL 37.01N 83.35W
05/21/2012 M0.25 INCH LESLIE KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
SHALLENBERGER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
337 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0326 PM HAIL CHAPPELL 37.01N 83.35W
05/21/2012 M0.25 INCH LESLIE KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
$$
SHALLENBERGER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0858
ACUS11 KWNS 211931
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211930
ALZ000-FLZ000-212100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0858
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN AL AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 211930Z - 212100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR HAIL APPROACHING 1 INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PRIMARILY SOUTH
CENTRAL AL INTO ADJACENT COUNTIES IN THE FL PANHANDLE. GIVEN THE
LOW POTENTIAL FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY...BUT
IF A COLD POOL CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED...THEN A GREATER WIND THREAT
COULD DEVELOP. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A SSEWD MOVING MCV OVER
CENTRAL AL /CENTERED 25 SW BHM AT 19Z/...WHILE A CORRIDOR OF HIGHER
THETAE/MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE UP TO 1500 J PER KG/ RESIDES
IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM ACROSS SRN AL. ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE SSEWD
MOVING MCV WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION AS LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE REMAINS FAIRLY WEAK. SINCE
1830Z...TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED AN INCREASE IN
UPDRAFTS/STORM INTENSITY FROM INVOF MGM WSWWD TO CLARKE/CHOCTAW
COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING S OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL
FURTHER BOOST DCAPE VALUES TO AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MAINTAIN LARGE
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS AROUND 30 DEGREES.
WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION...
THOUGH GIVEN THE HIGHER DCAPE VALUES AND DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS...
STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS THREAT MAY BE ENHANCED
IF STORM MERGERS AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD POOL AND
SUBSEQUENT GUST POTENTIAL.
..PETERS/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 31728790 31898753 31958695 32048651 32018646 31778610
31698583 31168555 30858600 30948765 31308792 31728790
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211930
ALZ000-FLZ000-212100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0858
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0230 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN AL AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF THE FL
PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 211930Z - 212100Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS AND/OR HAIL APPROACHING 1 INCH
WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS PRIMARILY SOUTH
CENTRAL AL INTO ADJACENT COUNTIES IN THE FL PANHANDLE. GIVEN THE
LOW POTENTIAL FOR STORM ORGANIZATION...WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY...BUT
IF A COLD POOL CAN BECOME ESTABLISHED...THEN A GREATER WIND THREAT
COULD DEVELOP. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED.
DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A SSEWD MOVING MCV OVER
CENTRAL AL /CENTERED 25 SW BHM AT 19Z/...WHILE A CORRIDOR OF HIGHER
THETAE/MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE UP TO 1500 J PER KG/ RESIDES
IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM ACROSS SRN AL. ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE SSEWD
MOVING MCV WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR UPWARD
VERTICAL MOTION AS LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE REMAINS FAIRLY WEAK. SINCE
1830Z...TRENDS IN REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED AN INCREASE IN
UPDRAFTS/STORM INTENSITY FROM INVOF MGM WSWWD TO CLARKE/CHOCTAW
COUNTIES. ADDITIONAL SURFACE HEATING S OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL
FURTHER BOOST DCAPE VALUES TO AROUND 1000 J/KG AND MAINTAIN LARGE
TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS AROUND 30 DEGREES.
WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION...
THOUGH GIVEN THE HIGHER DCAPE VALUES AND DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS...
STRONGER WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS THREAT MAY BE ENHANCED
IF STORM MERGERS AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COLD POOL AND
SUBSEQUENT GUST POTENTIAL.
..PETERS/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 31728790 31898753 31958695 32048651 32018646 31778610
31698583 31168555 30858600 30948765 31308792 31728790
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211927]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211927
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
227 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL LAFAYETTE 32.90N 85.40W
05/21/2012 M0.25 INCH CHAMBERS AL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
227 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL LAFAYETTE 32.90N 85.40W
05/21/2012 M0.25 INCH CHAMBERS AL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211924]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211924
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
324 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E CAMARGO 38.00N 83.85W
05/21/2012 MONTGOMERY KY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREE LIMBS WERE KNOCKED DOWN THAT WERE 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
DIAMETER. TIME OF EVENT WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
SHALLENBERGER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
324 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0234 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 E CAMARGO 38.00N 83.85W
05/21/2012 MONTGOMERY KY TRAINED SPOTTER
TREE LIMBS WERE KNOCKED DOWN THAT WERE 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
DIAMETER. TIME OF EVENT WAS ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
&&
$$
SHALLENBERGER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211922]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211922
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
322 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0236 PM HAIL 1 SE SLADE 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH POWELL KY PUBLIC
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
322 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0236 PM HAIL 1 SE SLADE 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 E1.00 INCH POWELL KY PUBLIC
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211921]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211921
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
221 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0221 PM HAIL OPELIKA 32.65N 85.38W
05/21/2012 M0.88 INCH LEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
221 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0221 PM HAIL OPELIKA 32.65N 85.38W
05/21/2012 M0.88 INCH LEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211913]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211913
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
213 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL HAYNEVILLE 32.18N 86.58W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH LOWNDES AL EMERGENCY MNGR
PEA TO 5 CENT HAIL
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
213 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL HAYNEVILLE 32.18N 86.58W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH LOWNDES AL EMERGENCY MNGR
PEA TO 5 CENT HAIL
&&
$$
MBAER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211850]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211850 RRA
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
248 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HEAVY RAIN NATURAL BRIDGE S.P. 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 M1.93 INCH POWELL KY OTHER FEDERAL
1.93 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES WAS REPORTED BY AN
IFLOWS RAIN GAUGE NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE STATE PARK.
&&
$$
JP
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
248 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HEAVY RAIN NATURAL BRIDGE S.P. 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 M1.93 INCH POWELL KY OTHER FEDERAL
1.93 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES WAS REPORTED BY AN
IFLOWS RAIN GAUGE NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE STATE PARK.
&&
$$
JP
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211848]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211848
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
248 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HEAVY RAIN NATURAL BRIDGE S.P. 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 M1.93 INCH POWELL KY OTHER FEDERAL
1.93 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES WAS REPORTED BY AN
IFLOWS RAIN GAUGE NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE STATE PARK.
&&
$$
JP
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
248 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0248 PM HEAVY RAIN NATURAL BRIDGE S.P. 37.78N 83.69W
05/21/2012 M1.93 INCH POWELL KY OTHER FEDERAL
1.93 INCHES OF RAIN IN 30 MINUTES WAS REPORTED BY AN
IFLOWS RAIN GAUGE NEAR NATURAL BRIDGE STATE PARK.
&&
$$
JP
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KILX [211841]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KILX 211841
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
141 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0540 PM TSTM WND DMG ELKHART 40.02N 89.48W
05/20/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE POWER POLE DOWN AND 2 TREES DAMAGED. INFORMATION FROM
LOGAN COUNTY EMA AND WICS-TV.
&&
$$
GEELHART
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
141 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0540 PM TSTM WND DMG ELKHART 40.02N 89.48W
05/20/2012 LOGAN IL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE POWER POLE DOWN AND 2 TREES DAMAGED. INFORMATION FROM
LOGAN COUNTY EMA AND WICS-TV.
&&
$$
GEELHART
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KABQ [211834]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KABQ 211834
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1234 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1220 PM HAIL 2 SE RUIDOSO 33.31N 105.66W
05/21/2012 M1.00 INCH LINCOLN NM TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME TO QUARTER SIZE FOR FIVE MINS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201181
$$
SHY
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRABQ
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1234 PM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1220 PM HAIL 2 SE RUIDOSO 33.31N 105.66W
05/21/2012 M1.00 INCH LINCOLN NM TRAINED SPOTTER
DIME TO QUARTER SIZE FOR FIVE MINS
&&
EVENT NUMBER ABQ1201181
$$
SHY
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KIWX [211827]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KIWX 211827
LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
227 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ATHENS 41.05N 86.15W
05/20/2012 FULTON IN EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
&&
$$
SKIPPER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRIWX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
227 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1145 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 W ATHENS 41.05N 86.15W
05/20/2012 FULTON IN EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
&&
$$
SKIPPER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0857
ACUS11 KWNS 211800
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211759
OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-211930-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0857
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN CO...NERN/E-CNTRL NM...WRN TX/OK
PANHANDLES
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 211759Z - 211930Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW
SUPERCELLS...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EXTREME SERN CO...NERN/E-CNTRL NM AND THE WRN TX/OK PANHANDLES.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SVR WEATHER
THREATS. WW IS LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MORNING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS CLEARED THE TX PANHANDLE. IN ITS WAKE...SURFACE COLD
POOL IS EVIDENT IN 17Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS /TEMPERATURES NEAR 70F
OVER THE PANHANDLE/...WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ORIENTED ROUGHLY N-S
OVER FAR E-CNTRL NM. BACKED SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE COOL SIDE OF
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY VEER TO SLY OVER NERN NM AND SERN CO...WHICH IS
AIDING IN MAINTAINING A RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS /DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S...MIXING RATIO VALUES FROM 9-11 G
PER KG/. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES FROM 7-8
C/KM AND MOIST/WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER...MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG
ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS E-CNTRL INTO NERN NM. IN ADDITION...SURFACE
HEATING OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND RATON MESA IS LEADING TO RAPIDLY
STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WHICH IS ENHANCING CUMULUS
GROWTH.
GIVEN THESE TRENDS...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED TO TAKE
PLACE DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND THEN
SPREAD SEWD AS THE PLAINS CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE. BOTH TCU PROFILER
DATA AND RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LOW-LEVEL S-SELYS VEERING TO
20-30 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MIDLEVELS...WHICH WILL YIELD SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARY SVR WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
/POSSIBLY VERY LARGE/ AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..GARNER/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 37490274 36960203 35670182 34110231 33930402 35100540
36800495 37470392 37490274
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211759
OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-211930-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0857
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1259 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME SERN CO...NERN/E-CNTRL NM...WRN TX/OK
PANHANDLES
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 211759Z - 211930Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT
SUMMARY...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A FEW
SUPERCELLS...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS
OF EXTREME SERN CO...NERN/E-CNTRL NM AND THE WRN TX/OK PANHANDLES.
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SVR WEATHER
THREATS. WW IS LIKELY.
DISCUSSION...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MORNING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY HAS CLEARED THE TX PANHANDLE. IN ITS WAKE...SURFACE COLD
POOL IS EVIDENT IN 17Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS /TEMPERATURES NEAR 70F
OVER THE PANHANDLE/...WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ORIENTED ROUGHLY N-S
OVER FAR E-CNTRL NM. BACKED SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THE COOL SIDE OF
THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY VEER TO SLY OVER NERN NM AND SERN CO...WHICH IS
AIDING IN MAINTAINING A RELATIVELY MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE SRN HIGH
PLAINS /DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S...MIXING RATIO VALUES FROM 9-11 G
PER KG/. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES FROM 7-8
C/KM AND MOIST/WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER...MLCAPE VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG
ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS E-CNTRL INTO NERN NM. IN ADDITION...SURFACE
HEATING OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND RATON MESA IS LEADING TO RAPIDLY
STEEPENING LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...WHICH IS ENHANCING CUMULUS
GROWTH.
GIVEN THESE TRENDS...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IS EXPECTED TO TAKE
PLACE DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND THEN
SPREAD SEWD AS THE PLAINS CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE. BOTH TCU PROFILER
DATA AND RAP FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW LOW-LEVEL S-SELYS VEERING TO
20-30 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MIDLEVELS...WHICH WILL YIELD SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
BE POSSIBLE...PRIMARY SVR WEATHER THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL
/POSSIBLY VERY LARGE/ AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
..GARNER/WEISS.. 05/21/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 37490274 36960203 35670182 34110231 33930402 35100540
36800495 37470392 37490274
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211746]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211746
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1246 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 AM HAIL DEATSVILLE 32.61N 86.40W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH ELMORE AL PUBLIC
1210 PM HAIL MILLBROOK 32.48N 86.37W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH ELMORE AL 911 CALL CENTER
1235 PM HAIL MONTGOMERY 32.35N 86.28W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH MONTGOMERY AL BROADCAST MEDIA
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1246 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1155 AM HAIL DEATSVILLE 32.61N 86.40W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH ELMORE AL PUBLIC
1210 PM HAIL MILLBROOK 32.48N 86.37W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH ELMORE AL 911 CALL CENTER
1235 PM HAIL MONTGOMERY 32.35N 86.28W
05/21/2012 E0.25 INCH MONTGOMERY AL BROADCAST MEDIA
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211739]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211739
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
139 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM HAIL OWINGSVILLE 38.14N 83.76W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH BATH KY 911 CALL CENTER
SECOND CALL FROM DISPATCH. STATED THAT THEY HAD OBSERVED
BOTH PENNY AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
139 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM HAIL OWINGSVILLE 38.14N 83.76W
05/21/2012 E0.88 INCH BATH KY 911 CALL CENTER
SECOND CALL FROM DISPATCH. STATED THAT THEY HAD OBSERVED
BOTH PENNY AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL.
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KJKL [211733]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KJKL 211733
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
133 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM HAIL OWINGSVILLE 38.14N 83.76W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH BATH KY 911 CALL CENTER
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRJKL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
133 PM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0122 PM HAIL OWINGSVILLE 38.14N 83.76W
05/21/2012 E0.75 INCH BATH KY 911 CALL CENTER
&&
$$
TBREWER
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS02 KWNS 211731
SWODY2
SPC AC 211729
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NW
COAST WILL PROGRESS ACROSS SWRN CANADA/NWRN CONUS THROUGH EARLY
WED...AS AN INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK PENETRATES INLAND. THIS
WILL INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE NRN PLAINS WITH PRIMARY SURFACE
LOW EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL DAKOTAS AT 23/00Z ALONG
AN E/SEWD MOVING COLD FRONT. LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE WILL BE DRAPED SWD
INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEVELOPS TOWARDS
SERN MANITOBA TUE NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH THE RED RIVER
VALLEY SWWD TO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.
ELSEWHERE...A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY WILL
DROP SEWD AND LIKELY SHIFT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH/SRN APPALACHIANS ON
TUE.
...NRN PLAINS...
PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR TO A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE
LACK OF RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND
DEEPENING CYCLONE...AS SYNOPTIC PATTERN SETUP FOR LIFT/INSTABILITY
APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR A CONCENTRATED SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE /MOST
PROBABLE IN ERN ND ON TUE EVENING/. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
WITHIN A RELATIVELY CONFINED CORRIDOR...DRAWING NWD A MARGINALLY
MOIST AIR MASS FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD
GENERALLY RISE INTO THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. WITH A PRONOUNCED
EML RESULTING IN SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING...MLCAPE MAY REACH 2000-3000
J/KG ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL DAKOTAS. A VERY DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN SD BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT
AND DRYLINE. AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE STRENGTHENS...ISOLATED TSTMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT BY LATE AFTERNOON. INITIAL
TSTMS SHOULD BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF VERY LARGE
HAIL AS LARGE SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS LIMIT TORNADIC
POTENTIAL. AS THE SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS DURING THE EVENING AMIDST
INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL SWLYS...UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SUPERCELL
CLUSTER/SMALL MCS APPEARS PROBABLE WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY NARROW WARM/MOIST
SECTOR...CONVECTION SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED...WITH A
WANING SEVERE THREAT OVERNIGHT TOWARDS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.
...SOUTHEAST...
A POCKET OF COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES...MINUS 14-16C AT 500
MB...WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE DAY WITH APPROACH OF THE
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE CURRENTLY OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY. THIS WILL AID
IN STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AMIDST A NEAR-NORMAL PW AIR MASS /VALUES
AROUND 1-1.25 IN/. HIGHER MOMENTUM FLOW SHOULD LARGELY REMAIN
CONCENTRATED AOA 500 MB...WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE MAGNITUDE OF
EFFECTIVE SHEAR. STILL...THE SETUP SHOULD YIELD ISOLATED ROBUST
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
...CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
ALONG THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH...ISOLATED HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY FORM AT
PEAK HEATING. WITHIN A BELT OF CONFLUENT MID-LEVEL WLYS...MODERATELY
ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS WOULD FAVOR MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS.
..GRAMS.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWODY2
SPC AC 211729
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 221200Z - 231200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PARTS OF THE NRN PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OFF THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PACIFIC NW
COAST WILL PROGRESS ACROSS SWRN CANADA/NWRN CONUS THROUGH EARLY
WED...AS AN INTENSE UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK PENETRATES INLAND. THIS
WILL INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS OVER THE NRN PLAINS WITH PRIMARY SURFACE
LOW EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED OVER THE CNTRL DAKOTAS AT 23/00Z ALONG
AN E/SEWD MOVING COLD FRONT. LEE TROUGH/DRYLINE WILL BE DRAPED SWD
INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE DEVELOPS TOWARDS
SERN MANITOBA TUE NIGHT...THE COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH THE RED RIVER
VALLEY SWWD TO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.
ELSEWHERE...A WEAK MID-LEVEL IMPULSE OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY WILL
DROP SEWD AND LIKELY SHIFT ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH/SRN APPALACHIANS ON
TUE.
...NRN PLAINS...
PRIMARY LIMITING FACTOR TO A MORE ROBUST SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE
LACK OF RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT AND
DEEPENING CYCLONE...AS SYNOPTIC PATTERN SETUP FOR LIFT/INSTABILITY
APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR A CONCENTRATED SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE /MOST
PROBABLE IN ERN ND ON TUE EVENING/. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE
WITHIN A RELATIVELY CONFINED CORRIDOR...DRAWING NWD A MARGINALLY
MOIST AIR MASS FROM THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. SURFACE DEW POINTS SHOULD
GENERALLY RISE INTO THE MIDDLE 50S TO AROUND 60. WITH A PRONOUNCED
EML RESULTING IN SUBSTANTIAL CAPPING...MLCAPE MAY REACH 2000-3000
J/KG ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL DAKOTAS. A VERY DEEP MIXED BOUNDARY
LAYER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF WRN SD BETWEEN THE COLD FRONT
AND DRYLINE. AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE STRENGTHENS...ISOLATED TSTMS WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT BY LATE AFTERNOON. INITIAL
TSTMS SHOULD BECOME SUPERCELLULAR WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF VERY LARGE
HAIL AS LARGE SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS LIMIT TORNADIC
POTENTIAL. AS THE SLY LLJ STRENGTHENS DURING THE EVENING AMIDST
INTENSIFYING MID-LEVEL SWLYS...UPSCALE GROWTH INTO A SUPERCELL
CLUSTER/SMALL MCS APPEARS PROBABLE WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THE RELATIVELY NARROW WARM/MOIST
SECTOR...CONVECTION SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY ELEVATED...WITH A
WANING SEVERE THREAT OVERNIGHT TOWARDS THE UPPER MS VALLEY.
...SOUTHEAST...
A POCKET OF COLD MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES...MINUS 14-16C AT 500
MB...WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION DURING THE DAY WITH APPROACH OF THE
SHORT WAVE IMPULSE CURRENTLY OVER THE MID-MS VALLEY. THIS WILL AID
IN STEEPENING LAPSE RATES AMIDST A NEAR-NORMAL PW AIR MASS /VALUES
AROUND 1-1.25 IN/. HIGHER MOMENTUM FLOW SHOULD LARGELY REMAIN
CONCENTRATED AOA 500 MB...WHICH WOULD LIMIT THE MAGNITUDE OF
EFFECTIVE SHEAR. STILL...THE SETUP SHOULD YIELD ISOLATED ROBUST
STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.
...CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
ALONG THE SURFACE LEE TROUGH...ISOLATED HIGH-BASED TSTMS MAY FORM AT
PEAK HEATING. WITHIN A BELT OF CONFLUENT MID-LEVEL WLYS...MODERATELY
ELONGATED HODOGRAPHS WOULD FAVOR MARGINAL SUPERCELL STRUCTURES
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DOWNBURSTS.
..GRAMS.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211704]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211704
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1204 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM HAIL LINEVILLE 33.31N 85.75W
05/21/2012 E0.50 INCH CLAY AL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN LINEVILLE.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1204 PM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1200 PM HAIL LINEVILLE 33.31N 85.75W
05/21/2012 E0.50 INCH CLAY AL TRAINED SPOTTER
PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN LINEVILLE.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 211628
SWODY1
SPC AC 211627
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 211630Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN AR...WRN TN AND NRN
MS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN NM AND WRN TX...
...ERN AR/WRN TN/NRN MS AREA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED OVER THE
OZARKS...AS MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE STRENGTHENS IN THE IMMEDIATE
WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX MOVING SEWD OVER SERN MO. THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY AND PROVIDE
ENHANCED ASCENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-15C AT 500 MB/ ARE MAINTAINING MODERATELY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.0-7.5 C PER KM/...AND DIABATIC
HEATING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO PROVIDE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT INDICATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER EXTREME ERN AR/WRN TN BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY
SPREADING SEWD WITHIN DEEP NWLY 20-30 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT.
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL
STORMS...AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
DIURNAL COOLING BEGINS TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
CURRENT STORMS OVER PARTS OF NWRN TX ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
SEWD THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY HAS GENERATED COLD OUTFLOW OVER
THE PANHANDLE WHICH HAS TEMPORARILY STABILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THIS AREA. IT HAS ALSO HELPED TO MAINTAIN A MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL
WIND COMPONENT INTO EAST CENTRAL NM...AND SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
LOW/MID 50S ARE EVIDENT ATTM OVER MUCH OF ERN NM. THE MOISTURE IS
LIKELY TO MIX OUT OVER CENTRAL NM AS HEATING OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S-LOWER 50S WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER
PARTS OF ERN NM WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPER /AS EVIDENCED BY LOW CLOUDS
PER VISIBLE IMAGERY/.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MUCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT APPEARS LIMITED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...HEATING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD RESULT IN NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN AND EAST CENTRAL NM.
WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AS SSELY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO 30-40 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID
LEVELS. THIS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY INCLUDING SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. THE
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONGER
CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
...SERN MS/CENTRAL AND SRN AL...
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE MCV MOVING SEWD OVER NWRN AL. THIS
FEATURE MAY PERSIST IN THE WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG HEATING OCCURS
ACROSS THE REGION. RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-12 TO
-13C AT 500 MB/ WILL PROMOTE STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
POSSIBLE HAIL FORMATION...WHILE STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
ASSOCIATED LARGER SURFACE T/TD SPREADS WILL ENHANCE THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM NERN
OREGON/SERN WA INTO W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC
ASCENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..WEISS/GARNER.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWODY1
SPC AC 211627
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 211630Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN AR...WRN TN AND NRN
MS...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER ERN NM AND WRN TX...
...ERN AR/WRN TN/NRN MS AREA...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES THE SRN EXTENSION OF THE UPPER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE GREAT LAKES IS BECOMING BETTER DEFINED OVER THE
OZARKS...AS MID/UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE STRENGTHENS IN THE IMMEDIATE
WAKE OF A VORTICITY MAX MOVING SEWD OVER SERN MO. THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE MID-SOUTH/TN VALLEY AND PROVIDE
ENHANCED ASCENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-15C AT 500 MB/ ARE MAINTAINING MODERATELY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7.0-7.5 C PER KM/...AND DIABATIC
HEATING AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO PROVIDE
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WITH MLCAPE APPROACHING 2000 J/KG THIS
AFTERNOON.
MODEL GUIDANCE IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT INDICATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP OVER EXTREME ERN AR/WRN TN BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH ACTIVITY
SPREADING SEWD WITHIN DEEP NWLY 20-30 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW ALOFT.
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL
STORMS...AND STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROMOTE
DEVELOPMENT OF LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH STRONGER
STORMS. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AS
DIURNAL COOLING BEGINS TO STABILIZE THE BOUNDARY LAYER.
...ERN NM/WRN TX...
CURRENT STORMS OVER PARTS OF NWRN TX ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY
SEWD THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY HAS GENERATED COLD OUTFLOW OVER
THE PANHANDLE WHICH HAS TEMPORARILY STABILIZED THE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THIS AREA. IT HAS ALSO HELPED TO MAINTAIN A MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL
WIND COMPONENT INTO EAST CENTRAL NM...AND SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE
LOW/MID 50S ARE EVIDENT ATTM OVER MUCH OF ERN NM. THE MOISTURE IS
LIKELY TO MIX OUT OVER CENTRAL NM AS HEATING OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON
BUT DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 40S-LOWER 50S WILL LIKELY REMAIN OVER
PARTS OF ERN NM WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPER /AS EVIDENCED BY LOW CLOUDS
PER VISIBLE IMAGERY/.
12Z REGIONAL SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES...AND
WHEN COMBINED WITH STRONG HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MUCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH DYNAMIC SUPPORT FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT APPEARS LIMITED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...HEATING OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD RESULT IN NEW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LATER
THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY OVER PARTS OF NERN AND EAST CENTRAL NM.
WIND PROFILES ARE EXPECTED TO EXHIBIT CONSIDERABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
AS SSELY LOW LEVEL WINDS VEER TO 30-40 KT NWLY FLOW IN THE MID
LEVELS. THIS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT SHEAR TO ENHANCE STORM
ORGANIZATION AND INTENSITY INCLUDING SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. THE
ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD SEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS WITH STRONGER
CELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
...SERN MS/CENTRAL AND SRN AL...
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A POSSIBLE MCV MOVING SEWD OVER NWRN AL. THIS
FEATURE MAY PERSIST IN THE WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND PROVIDE A
FOCUS FOR REGENERATION OF THUNDERSTORMS AS STRONG HEATING OCCURS
ACROSS THE REGION. RELATIVELY COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES /-12 TO
-13C AT 500 MB/ WILL PROMOTE STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
POSSIBLE HAIL FORMATION...WHILE STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
ASSOCIATED LARGER SURFACE T/TD SPREADS WILL ENHANCE THREAT FOR
LOCALIZED MICROBURSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
...NRN PARTS OF INTERMOUNTAIN REGION AND ROCKIES...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE FROM NERN
OREGON/SERN WA INTO W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC
ASCENT...ALONG WITH INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT
FALLS. STORMS SHOULD MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..WEISS/GARNER.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KILX [211607]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KILX 211607
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1107 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CAPITAL AIRPORT 39.84N 89.68W
05/21/2012 M2.33 INCH SANGAMON IL ASOS
MOSTLY BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W LINCOLN 40.15N 89.40W
05/21/2012 E1.52 INCH LOGAN IL COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W LINCOLN 40.15N 89.46W
05/21/2012 M1.26 INCH LOGAN IL COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW ST. JOSEPH 40.10N 88.05W
05/21/2012 M1.23 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN SHERMAN 39.89N 89.61W
05/21/2012 M1.33 INCH SANGAMON IL CO-OP OBSERVER
0643 PM HAIL 3 SSW PHILO 39.96N 88.18W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL STORM CHASER
DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL
0710 PM HAIL WESTVILLE 40.04N 87.64W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
UP TO DIME SIZE.
0820 PM HAIL FAIRMOUNT 40.05N 87.83W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
UP TO DIME SIZE.
&&
$$
GEELHART
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRILX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1107 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN CAPITAL AIRPORT 39.84N 89.68W
05/21/2012 M2.33 INCH SANGAMON IL ASOS
MOSTLY BETWEEN 5 PM AND 10 PM
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 W LINCOLN 40.15N 89.40W
05/21/2012 E1.52 INCH LOGAN IL COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W LINCOLN 40.15N 89.46W
05/21/2012 M1.26 INCH LOGAN IL COCORAHS
0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW ST. JOSEPH 40.10N 88.05W
05/21/2012 M1.23 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL COCORAHS
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN SHERMAN 39.89N 89.61W
05/21/2012 M1.33 INCH SANGAMON IL CO-OP OBSERVER
0643 PM HAIL 3 SSW PHILO 39.96N 88.18W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH CHAMPAIGN IL STORM CHASER
DIME TO PENNY SIZE HAIL
0710 PM HAIL WESTVILLE 40.04N 87.64W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
UP TO DIME SIZE.
0820 PM HAIL FAIRMOUNT 40.05N 87.83W
05/20/2012 E0.75 INCH VERMILION IL EMERGENCY MNGR
UP TO DIME SIZE.
&&
$$
GEELHART
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KGGW [211540]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS55 KGGW 211540
LSRGGW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
939 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW GLASGOW 48.24N 106.70W
05/18/2012 M0.20 INCH VALLEY MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
TEF
IRIS SYSTEM
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRGGW
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GLASGOW MT
939 AM MDT MON MAY 21 2012
...TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
...DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 NW GLASGOW 48.24N 106.70W
05/18/2012 M0.20 INCH VALLEY MT NWS EMPLOYEE
&&
$$
TEF
IRIS SYSTEM
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KOAX [211536]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 211536
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1036 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0815 PM TSTM WND DMG MODALE 41.62N 96.01W
05/19/2012 HARRISON IA CO-OP OBSERVER
TREE LIMBS AND ONE POWER POLE DOWN IN MODALE. DELAYED
REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BMAYES
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1036 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0815 PM TSTM WND DMG MODALE 41.62N 96.01W
05/19/2012 HARRISON IA CO-OP OBSERVER
TREE LIMBS AND ONE POWER POLE DOWN IN MODALE. DELAYED
REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED.
&&
$$
BMAYES
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KOAX [211532]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KOAX 211532
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1032 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W BLAIR 41.54N 96.18W
05/19/2012 M81 MPH WASHINGTON NE PUBLIC
MEASURED BY PUBLIC WITH WIND EQUIPMENT. HORSE BARN
DESTROYED AND SIDING DAMAGE TO HOUSE.
&&
$$
BMAYES
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSROAX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA
1032 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W BLAIR 41.54N 96.18W
05/19/2012 M81 MPH WASHINGTON NE PUBLIC
MEASURED BY PUBLIC WITH WIND EQUIPMENT. HORSE BARN
DESTROYED AND SIDING DAMAGE TO HOUSE.
&&
$$
BMAYES
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211342]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS54 KBMX 211342
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
842 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E DETROIT 34.03N 88.12W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 16 FROM HENSON
SPRINGS TO DETROIT. CORRECTED FOR LOCATION.
0543 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW DETROIT 34.02N 88.20W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HATLEY-DETROIT ROAD...AND ANOTHER
TREE DOWN NEAR THE FIRE DEPT ON HWY 17. NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES IN AND AROUND DETROIT...INCLUDING AREAS WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY.
0555 PM HAIL 1 S BEXAR 34.17N 88.15W
05/20/2012 E1.00 INCH MARION AL AMATEUR RADIO
QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG COUNTY ROAD 13,
SOUTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 22, EXIT 3.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
842 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E DETROIT 34.03N 88.12W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 16 FROM HENSON
SPRINGS TO DETROIT. CORRECTED FOR LOCATION.
0543 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW DETROIT 34.02N 88.20W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HATLEY-DETROIT ROAD...AND ANOTHER
TREE DOWN NEAR THE FIRE DEPT ON HWY 17. NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES IN AND AROUND DETROIT...INCLUDING AREAS WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY.
0555 PM HAIL 1 S BEXAR 34.17N 88.15W
05/20/2012 E1.00 INCH MARION AL AMATEUR RADIO
QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED ALONG COUNTY ROAD 13,
SOUTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 22, EXIT 3.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KBMX 211340
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
839 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0543 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW DETROIT 34.02N 88.20W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HATLEY-DETROIT ROAD...AND ANOTHER
TREE DOWN NEAR THE FIRE DEPT ON HWY 17. NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES IN AND AROUND DETROIT...INCLUDING AREAS WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
839 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0543 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 WSW DETROIT 34.02N 88.20W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
ONE TREE DOWN ALONG HATLEY-DETROIT ROAD...AND ANOTHER
TREE DOWN NEAR THE FIRE DEPT ON HWY 17. NUMEROUS POWER
OUTAGES IN AND AROUND DETROIT...INCLUDING AREAS WEST AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE CITY.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KBMX [211335]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected
NWUS54 KBMX 211335
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
835 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E DETROIT 34.03N 88.12W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 16 FROM HENSON
SPRINGS TO DETROIT. CORRECTED FOR LOCATION.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRBMX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
835 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 E DETROIT 34.03N 88.12W
05/20/2012 LAMAR AL EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 16 FROM HENSON
SPRINGS TO DETROIT. CORRECTED FOR LOCATION.
&&
$$
TGOGGINS
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook
ACUS01 KWNS 211243
SWODY1
SPC AC 211241
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 211300Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF NERN/E-CNTRL
NM...WRN PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND TX SOUTH PLAINS...FAR WRN
PARTS OF THE OK PANHANDLE...EXTREME SERN CO...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE MID LEVELS...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM LAKE SUPERIOR SSWWD INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL SHIFT
EWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE
ITS SRN EXTENT DIGS SEWD AS IT BECOMES ENTRENCHED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ANCHORED ACROSS THE SERN STATES. ELSEWHERE IN
THE MID-LEVELS...A RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL
ROCKIES TO THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...WITH A BROAD AREA OF NWLY FLOW
COVERING THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. MEANWHILE...A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NW COAST EXTENDING EWD
ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES.
AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
STRETCHES FROM THE NRN LOWER PENINSULA OF MI SSWWD INTO THE NWRN MS
DELTA REGION WHERE IT ARCS WWD INTO NORTH TX AND E-CNTRL NM. IN
RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS IN THE LEE OF THE CNTRL ROCKIES...THE
INCREASING SLY COMPONENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL FORCE THE WRN
EXTENT OF THE FRONT TO ADVANCE NWD OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH
PLAINS...WHILE THE N-CNTRL TX FRONTAL SEGMENT REMAINS
QUASI-STATIONARY...AND THE ERN/NRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD/SEWD.
...CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF NERN TX THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...
ONGOING WEAK WAA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER
WIND MAX CONTINUES TO FOSTER AREAS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM FAR
NERN NM EWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND INTO OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY
MAY WEAKEN/DISSIPATE THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE WAA DECREASES. AN
EXCEPTION COULD BE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE WHERE A MODESTLY
INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET STREAM /IN RESPONSE TO LEE TROUGHING/
WOULD REINFORCE WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF THE NWD-ADVANCING SFC
FRONT.
BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO /1/ MOIST/UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
SRN/CNTRL ROCKIES.../2/ LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG CONVECTIVELY
AUGMENTED SEGMENTS OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT...AND /3/ ASCENT
OVER SWRN FLANKS OF NWRN TX CONVECTION /AND ASSOCIATED BOUNDARIES/
THAT PERSIST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE 50S TO AROUND 60 F WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MLCAPE
VALUES OF 500-1500 J/KG.
ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...THE HIGHEST OF THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO EXIST...WHERE RELATIVELY
STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7-8 C PER KM WITHIN THE 700-500 MB
LAYER ACCORDING TO 12Z RAOB DATA/ WILL BE PRESENT. WITHIN THIS
AREA...NOTABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH MODERATE NWLY MID/HIGH-LEVEL
FLOW ATOP GENERALLY WEAK SSELY/SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT
30-40 KT OF DEEP SHEAR. WHILE NEUTRAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHT TENDENCIES
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH RELATIVELY LIMITED DEEP FORCING FOR
ASCENT...THE AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY/VERTICAL SHEAR COMBINATION WILL
SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEWD/SWD-MOVING STORM CLUSTERS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS
WITH SVR HAIL/WIND.
ELSEWHERE...COMPARATIVELY COOLER SFC TEMPERATURES NORTH OF THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA...AND WEAKER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO ITS
SOUTHEAST...WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO RELATIVELY WEAKER
UPDRAFTS/MORE LIMITED SVR THREAT.
...OHIO VALLEY SWD TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...
LOW-LEVEL ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH /1/ THE FRONT.../2/ OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES LEADING THE FRONT.../3/ OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS...AND /4/
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONES AMIDST THE BROAD AREA OF MID/HIGH-LEVEL
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN AREAS WHERE INSOLATION/DIABATIC HEATING STEEPEN
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES JUXTAPOSED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO THE LOWER 60S. CONVECTION SHOULD BE LARGELY DISORGANIZED...AS
ONLY 10-15 KT OF 500-MB FLOW ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAY MOST OF THE
WARM SECTOR...OFFERING VERY LITTLE DEEP SHEAR. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT
DCAPE AND MODEST SFC TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL SUPPORT A
LOW-END SVR WIND THREAT WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
A SOMEWHAT ENHANCED SVR THREAT COULD EVOLVE OVER PARTS OF
MS/AL...WHERE MID-LEVEL NWLY FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AHEAD OF
THE DIGGING SEGMENT OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A FEW ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL MAY OCCUR IN THIS AREA...FOCUSED ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
EMANATING FROM MORNING CONVECTION. ONGOING CLOUD COVERAGE COULD
LIMIT SFC-BASED BUOYANCY TO SOME DEGREE.
...PORTIONS OF E-CNTRL ID INTO W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER E-CNTRL ID AND
W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC ASCENT...ALONG WITH
INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS. STORMS SHOULD
MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWODY1
SPC AC 211241
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 211300Z - 221200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FOR PORTIONS OF NERN/E-CNTRL
NM...WRN PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND TX SOUTH PLAINS...FAR WRN
PARTS OF THE OK PANHANDLE...EXTREME SERN CO...
...SYNOPSIS...
IN THE MID LEVELS...A LOOSELY ORGANIZED SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING
FROM LAKE SUPERIOR SSWWD INTO THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL SHIFT
EWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT...WHILE
ITS SRN EXTENT DIGS SEWD AS IT BECOMES ENTRENCHED WITHIN A BROAD
AREA OF CYCLONIC FLOW ANCHORED ACROSS THE SERN STATES. ELSEWHERE IN
THE MID-LEVELS...A RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EWD FROM THE NRN/CNTRL
ROCKIES TO THE NRN/CNTRL PLAINS...WITH A BROAD AREA OF NWLY FLOW
COVERING THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. MEANWHILE...A STRONG PACIFIC TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC NW COAST EXTENDING EWD
ACROSS THE NRN GREAT BASIN AND NRN ROCKIES.
AT THE SFC...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
STRETCHES FROM THE NRN LOWER PENINSULA OF MI SSWWD INTO THE NWRN MS
DELTA REGION WHERE IT ARCS WWD INTO NORTH TX AND E-CNTRL NM. IN
RESPONSE TO SFC PRESSURE FALLS IN THE LEE OF THE CNTRL ROCKIES...THE
INCREASING SLY COMPONENT OF THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL FORCE THE WRN
EXTENT OF THE FRONT TO ADVANCE NWD OVER THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH
PLAINS...WHILE THE N-CNTRL TX FRONTAL SEGMENT REMAINS
QUASI-STATIONARY...AND THE ERN/NRN EXTENT OF THE FRONT GRADUALLY
SHIFTS EWD/SEWD.
...CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS INTO PARTS OF NERN TX THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT...
ONGOING WEAK WAA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE NOCTURNAL BOUNDARY LAYER
WIND MAX CONTINUES TO FOSTER AREAS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION FROM FAR
NERN NM EWD ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE AND INTO OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY
MAY WEAKEN/DISSIPATE THROUGH THE MORNING AS THE WAA DECREASES. AN
EXCEPTION COULD BE ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE WHERE A MODESTLY
INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL JET STREAM /IN RESPONSE TO LEE TROUGHING/
WOULD REINFORCE WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT NORTH OF THE NWD-ADVANCING SFC
FRONT.
BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION
WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO /1/ MOIST/UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
SRN/CNTRL ROCKIES.../2/ LOW-LEVEL ASCENT ALONG CONVECTIVELY
AUGMENTED SEGMENTS OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT...AND /3/ ASCENT
OVER SWRN FLANKS OF NWRN TX CONVECTION /AND ASSOCIATED BOUNDARIES/
THAT PERSIST INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY-LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
THE 50S TO AROUND 60 F WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF MLCAPE
VALUES OF 500-1500 J/KG.
ACROSS THE SLIGHT RISK AREA...THE HIGHEST OF THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED MLCAPE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO EXIST...WHERE RELATIVELY
STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /7-8 C PER KM WITHIN THE 700-500 MB
LAYER ACCORDING TO 12Z RAOB DATA/ WILL BE PRESENT. WITHIN THIS
AREA...NOTABLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR WITH MODERATE NWLY MID/HIGH-LEVEL
FLOW ATOP GENERALLY WEAK SSELY/SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW WILL SUPPORT
30-40 KT OF DEEP SHEAR. WHILE NEUTRAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHT TENDENCIES
WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH RELATIVELY LIMITED DEEP FORCING FOR
ASCENT...THE AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY/VERTICAL SHEAR COMBINATION WILL
SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEWD/SWD-MOVING STORM CLUSTERS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS
WITH SVR HAIL/WIND.
ELSEWHERE...COMPARATIVELY COOLER SFC TEMPERATURES NORTH OF THE
SLIGHT RISK AREA...AND WEAKER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES TO ITS
SOUTHEAST...WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO RELATIVELY WEAKER
UPDRAFTS/MORE LIMITED SVR THREAT.
...OHIO VALLEY SWD TO THE CNTRL GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING...
LOW-LEVEL ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH /1/ THE FRONT.../2/ OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES LEADING THE FRONT.../3/ OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS...AND /4/
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONES AMIDST THE BROAD AREA OF MID/HIGH-LEVEL
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL AID IN
THE DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE
INSTABILITY IN AREAS WHERE INSOLATION/DIABATIC HEATING STEEPEN
LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES JUXTAPOSED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO THE LOWER 60S. CONVECTION SHOULD BE LARGELY DISORGANIZED...AS
ONLY 10-15 KT OF 500-MB FLOW ARE FORECAST TO OVERLAY MOST OF THE
WARM SECTOR...OFFERING VERY LITTLE DEEP SHEAR. HOWEVER...SUFFICIENT
DCAPE AND MODEST SFC TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS WILL SUPPORT A
LOW-END SVR WIND THREAT WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS.
A SOMEWHAT ENHANCED SVR THREAT COULD EVOLVE OVER PARTS OF
MS/AL...WHERE MID-LEVEL NWLY FLOW WILL BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER AHEAD OF
THE DIGGING SEGMENT OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A FEW ORGANIZED
MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR
HAIL MAY OCCUR IN THIS AREA...FOCUSED ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES
EMANATING FROM MORNING CONVECTION. ONGOING CLOUD COVERAGE COULD
LIMIT SFC-BASED BUOYANCY TO SOME DEGREE.
...PORTIONS OF E-CNTRL ID INTO W-CNTRL/CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...
SFC HEATING BENEATH RELATIVELY COOLER MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF MARGINAL INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER E-CNTRL ID AND
W-CNTRL MT THIS AFTERNOON OWING TO OROGRAPHIC ASCENT...ALONG WITH
INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT/MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS. STORMS SHOULD
MOVE EWD/ENEWD INTO CNTRL MT LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING...INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF ONE TO TWO
FORWARD-PROPAGATING ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTERS GIVEN AROUND 35-50
KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. LIMITED BUOYANCY OWING TO RELATIVELY MEAGER
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MITIGATE THE OVERALL SVR THREAT...THOUGH A
FEW INSTANCES OF SVR WIND AND PERHAPS SVR HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..COHEN/CORFIDI.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KLZK [211209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS54 KLZK 211209
LSRLZK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
709 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0537 PM HAIL CALICO ROCK 36.13N 92.13W
05/20/2012 M1.00 INCH IZARD AR CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
224
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRLZK
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
709 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0537 PM HAIL CALICO ROCK 36.13N 92.13W
05/20/2012 M1.00 INCH IZARD AR CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
$$
224
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KGID [211109]: Preliminary Local Storm Report
NWUS53 KGID 211109
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
609 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 SSW SPALDING 41.58N 98.42W
05/20/2012 M3.28 INCH GREELEY NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT OF 24-HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM ON THE
20TH...MOST OF WHICH FELL DURING THUNDERSTORMS ON THE
19TH. FROM NERAIN.
0430 PM HAIL 4 E BLUE HILL 40.33N 98.37W
05/19/2012 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT FROM SEVERE STORMS ON THE 19TH. GOLF BALL
SIZE HAIL FOR NEARLY 20 MINUTES STARTING AROUND 430 PM.
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. SEVERE DAMAGE TO CROPS AND
BUILDINGS. FROM NERAIN.
0540 PM HAIL 6 SSW COLUMBUS 41.35N 97.40W
05/19/2012 E1.00 INCH POLK NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT FROM SEVERE STORMS ON THE 19TH. HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DATA. REPORT FROM
NERAIN OBSERVER.
&&
$$
PFANNKUCH
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRGID
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
609 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 8 SSW SPALDING 41.58N 98.42W
05/20/2012 M3.28 INCH GREELEY NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT OF 24-HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 7 AM ON THE
20TH...MOST OF WHICH FELL DURING THUNDERSTORMS ON THE
19TH. FROM NERAIN.
0430 PM HAIL 4 E BLUE HILL 40.33N 98.37W
05/19/2012 E1.75 INCH WEBSTER NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT FROM SEVERE STORMS ON THE 19TH. GOLF BALL
SIZE HAIL FOR NEARLY 20 MINUTES STARTING AROUND 430 PM.
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. SEVERE DAMAGE TO CROPS AND
BUILDINGS. FROM NERAIN.
0540 PM HAIL 6 SSW COLUMBUS 41.35N 97.40W
05/19/2012 E1.00 INCH POLK NE PUBLIC
DELAYED REPORT FROM SEVERE STORMS ON THE 19TH. HAIL UP TO
QUARTER SIZE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DATA. REPORT FROM
NERAIN OBSERVER.
&&
$$
PFANNKUCH
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS48 KWNS 210822
SWOD48
SPC AC 210821
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 241200Z - 291200Z
...DISCUSSION...
WHILE THE ECMWF AND GFS AGREE THAT A BELT OF STRONGER FLOW WILL BE
SHUNTED INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE U.S. DURING THE DAY3-4 PERIOD
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES EMERGE REGARDING INDIVIDUAL SHORT-WAVES BY
THURSDAY. THE GFS IS NOTABLY FASTER WITH AN EJECTING SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE THE ECMWF LAGS CONSIDERABLY
OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AT 25/00Z. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WARM EML
THAT WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THERE IS TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME TO WARRANT A RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.
BEYOND DAY4...UPPER HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
ERN CONUS WITH THE CENTER OF A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE TN VALLEY. IF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE CAN RETURN TO THE HIGH
PLAINS THEN STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THAT REGION.
..DARROW.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWOD48
SPC AC 210821
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 241200Z - 291200Z
...DISCUSSION...
WHILE THE ECMWF AND GFS AGREE THAT A BELT OF STRONGER FLOW WILL BE
SHUNTED INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE U.S. DURING THE DAY3-4 PERIOD
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES EMERGE REGARDING INDIVIDUAL SHORT-WAVES BY
THURSDAY. THE GFS IS NOTABLY FASTER WITH AN EJECTING SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHILE THE ECMWF LAGS CONSIDERABLY
OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AT 25/00Z. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WARM EML
THAT WILL BE IN PLACE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT THERE IS TOO MUCH
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME TO WARRANT A RISK OF ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.
BEYOND DAY4...UPPER HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
ERN CONUS WITH THE CENTER OF A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
OVER THE TN VALLEY. IF SUFFICIENT MOISTURE CAN RETURN TO THE HIGH
PLAINS THEN STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THAT REGION.
..DARROW.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
KAPX [210722]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary
NWUS53 KAPX 210722
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
322 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 PM HAIL WILLIAMSBURG 44.77N 85.40W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI SPOTTER
PEA SIZE HAIL
1033 PM HAIL LAKE CITY 44.33N 85.21W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH MISSAUKEE MI SPOTTER
PEA SIZE HAIL
1033 PM HAIL 3 E WILLIAMSBURG 44.77N 85.34W
05/20/2012 M1.25 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI SPOTTER
MOSTLY QUARTER SIZED OR LESS...A FEW HALF DOLLAR
HAILSTONES
1033 PM HAIL LAKE CITY 44.33N 85.21W
05/20/2012 M0.50 INCH MISSAUKEE MI SPOTTER
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
1043 PM HAIL 2 ENE KEWADIN 44.94N 85.33W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH ANTRIM MI SPOTTER
SOME SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN PEA SIZE.
1052 PM HAIL CENTRAL LAKE 45.07N 85.26W
05/20/2012 M1.00 INCH ANTRIM MI SPOTTER
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
EVENT NUMBER APX1200614 APX1200615 APX1200617 APX1200619 APX1200616
APX1200618
$$
JZ
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
LSRAPX
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
322 AM EDT MON MAY 21 2012
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 PM HAIL WILLIAMSBURG 44.77N 85.40W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI SPOTTER
PEA SIZE HAIL
1033 PM HAIL LAKE CITY 44.33N 85.21W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH MISSAUKEE MI SPOTTER
PEA SIZE HAIL
1033 PM HAIL 3 E WILLIAMSBURG 44.77N 85.34W
05/20/2012 M1.25 INCH GRAND TRAVERSE MI SPOTTER
MOSTLY QUARTER SIZED OR LESS...A FEW HALF DOLLAR
HAILSTONES
1033 PM HAIL LAKE CITY 44.33N 85.21W
05/20/2012 M0.50 INCH MISSAUKEE MI SPOTTER
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
1043 PM HAIL 2 ENE KEWADIN 44.94N 85.33W
05/20/2012 M0.25 INCH ANTRIM MI SPOTTER
SOME SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN PEA SIZE.
1052 PM HAIL CENTRAL LAKE 45.07N 85.26W
05/20/2012 M1.00 INCH ANTRIM MI SPOTTER
TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
&&
EVENT NUMBER APX1200614 APX1200615 APX1200617 APX1200619 APX1200616
APX1200618
$$
JZ
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-LSR send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-lsr" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
ACUS03 KWNS 210721
SWODY3
SPC AC 210720
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NRN KS TO SWRN MN...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST HEIGHTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD AS A BELT OF STRONGER
FLOW SAGS SEWD TOWARD NRN NM. AS THE UPPER TROUGH ESTABLISHES
ITSELF OVER THE WRN U.S. LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL
ENSURE SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND POTENTIALLY MORE FAVORABLE
TRAJECTORIES FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN ACROSS THE WRN GULF BASIN.
LATEST DATA SUGGESTS THIS MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTENING PROCESS WILL
BEGIN TO OCCUR LATE IN THE PERIOD AND MOST LIKELY REACH NO FARTHER
NORTH THAN TX WHERE MARITIME TROPICAL AIR SHOULD RETURN TO THE
COASTAL PLAINS.
ECMWF AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE GFS SUGGEST A VERY STRONG CAP WILL
OVERSPREAD THE CNTRL PLAINS WHERE 700 MB TEMPERATURES COULD APPROACH
16C. THIS PLUME OF WARM AIR ALOFT SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS KS INTO
SERN NEB/SWRN IA BY EARLY EVENING. CAPPING WILL LIKELY BE AN ISSUE
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WARM SECTOR CONVECTION. WHILE THE NAM
SUGGESTS TSTMS MAY INITIATE ALONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN IA/SERN
NEB AROUND 00Z IT DOES SO PARTLY BY COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
MUCH QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF/GFS. IT/S NOT CLEAR THAT THE CAP WILL
ERODE AS QUICKLY AS THE NAM IMPLIES AND CONVECTION MAY BE DELAYED
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET AND WITHIN A POST FRONTAL REGIME DRIVEN BY LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. FOR THIS REASON HAVE INTRODUCED 5% PROBS TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE UNCERTAINTY OF DAYTIME CONVECTION AND STRONG
CAPPING. HAIL/WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WITH NEAR-SFC
BASED CONVECTION AND MOSTLY HAIL WITH ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVES NORTH OF
THE WIND SHIFT. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD PROVE INSTRUMENTAL
IN A CORRIDOR OF LATE NIGHT ELEVATED TSTMS THAT SHOULD
SPREAD/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS CNTRL NEB INTO MN BY SUNRISE.
..DARROW.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
SWODY3
SPC AC 210720
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 AM CDT MON MAY 21 2012
VALID 231200Z - 241200Z
...NRN KS TO SWRN MN...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST HEIGHTS WILL FALL ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN
INTO THE CNTRL ROCKIES DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD AS A BELT OF STRONGER
FLOW SAGS SEWD TOWARD NRN NM. AS THE UPPER TROUGH ESTABLISHES
ITSELF OVER THE WRN U.S. LEE TROUGHING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL
ENSURE SLY LOW LEVEL FLOW...AND POTENTIALLY MORE FAVORABLE
TRAJECTORIES FOR MOISTURE TO RETURN ACROSS THE WRN GULF BASIN.
LATEST DATA SUGGESTS THIS MORE SIGNIFICANT MOISTENING PROCESS WILL
BEGIN TO OCCUR LATE IN THE PERIOD AND MOST LIKELY REACH NO FARTHER
NORTH THAN TX WHERE MARITIME TROPICAL AIR SHOULD RETURN TO THE
COASTAL PLAINS.
ECMWF AND TO A LESSER DEGREE THE GFS SUGGEST A VERY STRONG CAP WILL
OVERSPREAD THE CNTRL PLAINS WHERE 700 MB TEMPERATURES COULD APPROACH
16C. THIS PLUME OF WARM AIR ALOFT SHOULD SPREAD NEWD ACROSS KS INTO
SERN NEB/SWRN IA BY EARLY EVENING. CAPPING WILL LIKELY BE AN ISSUE
IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF WARM SECTOR CONVECTION. WHILE THE NAM
SUGGESTS TSTMS MAY INITIATE ALONG THE COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN IA/SERN
NEB AROUND 00Z IT DOES SO PARTLY BY COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES
MUCH QUICKER THAN THE ECMWF/GFS. IT/S NOT CLEAR THAT THE CAP WILL
ERODE AS QUICKLY AS THE NAM IMPLIES AND CONVECTION MAY BE DELAYED
UNTIL AFTER SUNSET AND WITHIN A POST FRONTAL REGIME DRIVEN BY LOW
LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. FOR THIS REASON HAVE INTRODUCED 5% PROBS TO
ACCOUNT FOR THE UNCERTAINTY OF DAYTIME CONVECTION AND STRONG
CAPPING. HAIL/WIND WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS WITH NEAR-SFC
BASED CONVECTION AND MOSTLY HAIL WITH ACTIVITY THAT EVOLVES NORTH OF
THE WIND SHIFT. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION SHOULD PROVE INSTRUMENTAL
IN A CORRIDOR OF LATE NIGHT ELEVATED TSTMS THAT SHOULD
SPREAD/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS CNTRL NEB INTO MN BY SUNRISE.
..DARROW.. 05/21/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)