Sunday, August 24, 2008

KJAX [242011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 242011
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
411 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0401 PM HEAVY RAIN GAINESVILLE AIRPORT 29.69N 82.28W
08/24/2008 M0.39 INCH ALACHUA FL ASOS

THE ASOS AT THE GAINESVILLE AIRPORT MEASURED NEARLY 4
TENTHS OF AN INCH IN JUST 8 MINUTES.


&&

$$

SHULER

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KJAX [242009]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 242009
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
409 PM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0350 PM FLOOD GAINESVILLE 29.67N 82.34W
08/24/2008 ALACHUA FL TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IN THE
GAINESVILLE AREA. SPOTTERS WERE REPORTING RAINFALL RATES
OF 3 INCHES PER HOUR. FLOODING WAS REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN
GAINSVILLE. FLOODING WAS REPORTED AT MAIN STREET AND 53RD
AVENUE...AND ALSO ON 13TH STREET TO 23RD AVENUE SOUTH.


&&

$$

SHULER

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241958
SWODY1
SPC AC 241955

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 242000Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF AL AND
VICINITY...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
AND NRN HIGH PLAINS...

...AL AND VICINITY...
CENTER OF T.D. FAY IS INDICATED OVER SRN MS ATTM...WITH STRONGEST
CONVECTION WELL E OF THE CENTER ACROSS NRN AND ERN AL/GA/THE FL
PANHANDLE. GREATEST THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES SHOULD PERSIST
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL AL...WHERE MOST FAVORABLE
JUXTAPOSITION OF INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR EXISTS. FOR
ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO SWOMCD #2149.

...PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NRN HIGH PLAINS...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF THE FRONT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON......BUT MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS
FURTHER E INTO THE PLAINS REMAINS CAPPED. PRESENCE OF THIS
CAP...ONLY MODEST LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE COMPONENT...AND OVERALL
LARGE-SCALE RIDGING SUGGESTS THAT STORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE LIMITED
-- AND THAT STORMS MAY STRUGGLE TO MOVE APPRECIABLY OFF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

THIS EVENING...THE SELY LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN A
BIT...PERHAPS ALLOWING SOME SEWD PROPAGATION OF STORMS. COMBINATION
OF ROUGHLY 20 KT NWLY FLOW AT MID LEVELS FROM NRN CO NWD ATOP
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL SELYS WOULD RESULT IN SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A
FEW STRONGER/ORGANIZED STORMS. THUS...WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT RISK
OVER THE HIGH PLAINS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE POTENTIAL THAT WIND/HAIL
THREAT COULD INCREASE/SPREAD SEWD BY THIS EVENING.

...LOWER GREAT LAKES/MID AND UPPER OH VALLEY REGION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED INVOF COLD FRONT
THIS AFTERNOON...WITHIN A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY EXTENDING FROM
SRN ONTARIO SWWD ACROSS LK ERIE INTO THE LOWER OH/MID MS VALLEY
REGION. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS INDICATED FROM ROUGHLY SRN IN
SWWD...BUT INSTABILITY IS WEAKER FROM SWRN OH NEWD WHERE SLIGHTLY
ENHANCED FLOW ALOFT IS OBSERVED. WHILE SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD
REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WILL MAINTAIN 5%
PROBABILITY FOR LOCALLY GUSTY/DAMAGING WINDS IN/NEAR THE STRONGEST
CELLS.

..GOSS.. 08/24/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2149

ACUS11 KWNS 241956
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241955
GAZ000-ALZ000-242130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0255 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS AL AND EXTREME WRN GA.

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 861...

VALID 241955Z - 242130Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 861 CONTINUES.

WIDELY SCATTERED DISCRETE CELLS -- SOME OF WHICH HAVE SHOWN
INTERMITTENT LOW LEVEL ROTATION -- CONTINUE TO MOVE NWD TO NNWWD
ACROSS WW AREA. MOST INTENSE OF THESE DURING LAST 1-2 HOURS HAS
RESULTED IN AT LEAST TWO TORNADO REPORTS OVER PORTIONS ELMORE/COOSA
COUNTIES AL.

19Z SFC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED PRONOUNCED AXIS OF SFC HEATING -- WITH
TEMPS MID 80S F -- NEAR VPS-MGM-TCL LINE. TWO SFC TROUGHS WERE
ANALYZED -- ONE EXTENDING ESEWD FROM SERN MS WHERE FAY IS
CENTERED...TO NEAR MAI...N OF WHICH SFC WINDS BACK FROM SLY TO SELY.
NRN TROUGH EXTENDS FROM CENTER NEWD TO NEAR EET-AND-VPC...N OF WHICH
WINDS BACK FURTHER TO NELY. EACH TROUGH SHOULD PIVOT NWD AROUND ERN
SEMICIRCLE OF CIRCULATION. MOST FAVORABLE OVERLAP OF
SHEAR...BUOYANCY...AND RELATIVELY DISCRETE CONVECTIVE COVERAGE FOR
SUPERCELLS CONTINUES TO SHIFT NWWD ACROSS WW AREA...GENERALLY NEAR
NRN SFC TROUGH AND INVOF THERMAL AXIS. THREAT MAY SHIFT NWWD
OVER/PAST BHM AREA BEFORE DIMINISHING. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST AROUND 250-700 J/KG MLCAPE AND 150-250 J/KG OF 0-1 KM SRH
OVERLAPPING OVER THIS AREA. ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR SHOULD DIMINISH
SLOWLY WITH TIME BUT REMAIN FAVORABLE THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z.
THEREFORE...POTENTIAL CONTINUES FOR SMALL SUPERCELLS AND A FEW MORE
TORNADOES.

ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE COVERAGE GENERALLY IS INCREASING OVER SERN
PORTION OF WW AND ADJACENT AREAS OF FL PANHANDLE...LOW LEVEL WINDS
AND SIZE OF HODOGRAPHS IS DECREASING PER TRENDS IN VWP. THIS SHOULD
CONTINUE FROM HERE ON...AS CENTER OF FAY CONTINUES TO FILL AND MOVE
SLOWLY FARTHER AWAY FROM THIS AREA. TORNADO POTENTIAL ACCORDINGLY
WILL BECOME MORE MRGL/CONDITIONAL WITH TIME OVER SERN AL AND SWRN
GA...BUT SLOWLY. THEREFORE WW SHOULD BE CLEARED WITH CAUTION.

..EDWARDS.. 08/24/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

31438652 31948680 32588715 33308808 33668821 34148763
33908654 33548552 32768485 31848483 31238490 31088556
31188638

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2148

ACUS11 KWNS 241949
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241948
SDZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-242145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2148
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...NCENTRAL/NERN CO...ERN WY...WRN NEB PANHANDLE...WRN
SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 241948Z - 242145Z

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE FROM NCENTRAL CO
INTO NERN WY/BLACK HILLS OF SD THROUGH 22Z. A FEW OF THE TSTMS MAY
POSE A THREAT FOR SVR HAIL/DMGG WINDS. NRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA IS
BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

TSTMS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
NCENTRAL CO/SCENTRAL WY...WHERE MODEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG
THE LEE TROUGH IS COMBINED WITH INCREASING DIURNAL UPSLOPE FLOW.
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AND THE PLATTEVILLE PROFILER INDICATE THAT
RELATIVELY WEAK MID LEVEL WINDS /AOB 10 KTS/ WILL LIMIT ANY
POTENTIAL FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS IN NERN CO SERN WY FOOTHILLS...FRONT
RANGE AND HIGH PLAINS. HOWEVER...THE COMBINATION OF STEEP LOW-MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SOME DIRECTIONAL SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT AT LEAST
THE POTENTIAL FOR MARGINAL SVR WIND/HAIL. IN ADDITION...SLOW STORM
MOTIONS AND RELATIVELY HIGH PWAT VALUES WILL SUPPORT THE THREAT FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES.

FURTHER NORTH...SLIGHTLY STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW OVER NERN WY/WRN SD
EXISTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A SUBTLE VORT MAX ROTATING EWD AROUND
THE UPPER RIDGE. SFC CONVERGENCE INVOF OF A SFC LOW EAST OF THE BIG
HORN MTNS AND UPSLOPE FLOW /ESPECIALLY OVER THE BLACK HILLS/
COMBINED WITH WEAKENING CINH /LESS THAN 100 J/KG AT 19Z OVER THE
BLACK HILLS/ SHOULD AID IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT IN THIS REGION BETWEEN
21-22Z. STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR /AROUND 35 KTS/ OWING TO 20 KT MID
LEVEL WINDS WILL SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR GREATER TSTM
ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONALLY...MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE AROUND
2000 J/KG/ WILL AID IN STRONG UPDRAFTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
HAIL/DMGG WINDS. MAIN UNCERTAINTY ATTM FOR WW ISSUANCE IN THIS
REGION IS HOW FAR EAST OF HIGHER TERRAIN WILL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
OCCUR /GIVEN INCREASING CINH AS NOTED BY THE 19Z RAP SOUNDING/ AND
THUS AREAL COVERAGE OF SVR THREAT.

..CROSBIE.. 08/24/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...BOU...CYS...RIW...

44940302 44860383 44860580 43960629 43030619 41470578
40180588 39700559 39640405 40260315 41290308 42870287
44410253

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KSEW [241944]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS56 KSEW 241944
LSRSEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1244 PM PDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1242 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 WSW QUINAULT 47.46N 123.86W
08/24/2008 M2.00 INCH GRAYS HARBOR WA TRAINED SPOTTER

RAINFALL IN PAST 4 HOURS. STILL RAINING HEAVILY.


&&

$$

GRUB

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KBMX [241942]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 241942
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
241 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM FUNNEL CLOUD DEATSVILLE 32.61N 86.40W
08/24/2008 ELMORE AL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD. TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS
A WALL CLOUD WITH SAME CELL.

0214 PM TORNADO EMERALD MOUNTAIN 32.46N 86.11W
08/24/2008 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO ON THE GROUND. NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.


0216 PM TORNADO 1 WSW WELONA 32.76N 86.36W
08/24/2008 COOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO SPOTTED ON THE GROUND RIGHT ON THE COOSA AND
ELMORE COUNTY LINE...NEAR THE COOSA RIVER.


&&

$$

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KBMX [241925]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241925
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
225 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0216 PM TORNADO 1 WSW WELONA 32.76N 86.36W
08/24/2008 COOSA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO SPOTTED ON THE GROUND RIGHT ON THE COOSA AND
ELMORE COUNTY LINE...NEAR THE COOSA RIVEER.


&&

$$

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KBMX [241917]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241917
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
217 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0216 PM TORNADO EMERALD MOUNTAIN 32.46N 86.11W
08/24/2008 ELMORE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TORNADO ON THE GROUND. NO REPORTS OF DAMAGE AT THIS TIME.

&&

$$

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KBMX [241848]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241848
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
148 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 PM FUNNEL CLOUD DEATSVILLE 32.61N 86.40W
08/24/2008 ELMORE AL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORT OF A FUNNEL CLOUD. TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTS
A WALL CLOUD WITH SAME CELL.


&&

$$

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KCRP [241846]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KCRP 241846
LSRCRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
146 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0125 PM FLASH FLOOD CORPUS CHRISTI 27.71N 97.29W
08/24/2008 NUECES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

CORPUS CHRISTI P.D. REPORTED STREET FLOODING AT KOSTORYZ
RD AND HWY 358 SERVICE ROAD.


&&

$$

RG

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 241718
SWODY2
SPC AC 241716

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1216 PM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
STRONG/PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NWRN
U.S. THROUGH THE PERIOD...WHILE A SECOND MOVES STEADILY EWD ACROSS
THE NERN CONUS.

AT THE SURFACE...THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE ERN FEATURE
SHOULD CROSS NEW ENGLAND THROUGH THE DAY...MOVING OFFSHORE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...A STRONG COLD FRONT -- ASSOCIATED WITH
THE WRN TROUGH -- IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EWD/SEWD...CROSSING MT AND
MOVING INTO WY/NRN UT BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.

ELSEWHERE...REMNANTS OF FAY SHOULD LINGER OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
LARGE-SCALE RIDGING IS FORECAST TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD OVER
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL.

STRONG HEATING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IS LIKELY TO YIELD AROUND 2000
J/KG MIXED-LAYER CAPE ABOVE A CAPPED BOUNDARY LAYER.
HOWEVER...BOUNDARY-LAYER MIXING COMBINED WITH WEAK SELY UPSLOPE
COMPONENT COULD RESULT IN THE EVENTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STORMS
BY LATE AFTERNOON. WHILE FLOW ALOFT WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...PRONOUNCED VEERING WITH HEIGHT MAY RESULT IN SUFFICIENT
SHEAR FOR SOME ORGANIZATION WITHIN ANY STORM WHICH DOES DEVELOP --
AND THUS WILL MAINTAIN A LOW-PROBABILITY THREAT AREA FOR HAIL AND/OR
WIND.

...ELSEWHERE...
REMNANTS OF FAY SHOULD REMAIN INVOF SRN MS THROUGH THIS PERIOD PER
LATEST NHC FORECASTS...WITH A SLOW WEAKENING TREND FORECAST. WHILE
AMPLE SHEAR WITHIN THE ERN HALF OF THE REMNANT CIRCULATION MAY
CONTINUE TO SUPPORT AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED/BRIEF
TORNADO OR TWO...WILL NOT INTRODUCE A SEVERE PROBABILITY AREA THIS
FORECAST AS TORNADO THREAT APPEARS ATTM TO BE LESS THEN 5%.

MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE PERIOD. WHILE FLOW ALOFT COULD
SUPPORT SOME SEVERE POTENTIAL...VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY IS FORECAST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. DUE TO THE LACK OF INSTABILITY...AND EARLY
PASSAGE OF THE BOUNDARY THROUGH MOST OF NEW ENGLAND...WILL NOT
INTRODUCE A SEVERE PROBABILITY AREA ATTM.

..GOSS.. 08/24/2008

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 861

WWUS20 KWNS 241650
SEL1
SPC WW 241650
ALZ000-GAZ000-250200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 861
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHWESTERN AND EXTREME WEST-CENTRAL GEORGIA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1145 AM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DOTHAN
ALABAMA TO 15 MILES NORTH OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...DESPITE WEAKENING CENTRAL REGION...OUTER PORTIONS OF
RESIDUAL TD FAY CIRCULATION CONTINUE TO SHOW FAVORABLE SHEAR FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH ONLY GRADUAL WEAKENING OF WINDS JUST ABOVE GROUND
LEVEL THROUGH AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND 0-1 KM SRH REMAINING IN
200-400 J/KG OVER MUCH OF WW AREA. CONVECTIVE COVERAGE FCST TO
INCREASE IN VERY MOIST AND WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS...INCLUDING
ADDITIONAL MINI-SUPERCELLS WITH INCREASING RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16035.


...EDWARDS/HALES

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241602
SWODY1
SPC AC 241559

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1059 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 241630Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PART OF AL...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL AND
NRN HIGH PLAINS...

...CENTRAL GULF COAST...
WIND FIELDS AROUND REMNANTS OF FAY CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS
THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION MOVES SLOWLY FURTHER INLAND. HOWEVER
SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR LOW LEVEL ROTATION PROVIDED
SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP FOR FORMATION OF STRONG UPDRAFTS.
SINCE SOME MID LEVEL DRYING HAS ROTATED AROUND THE CENTER AND
INLAND ACROSS AL...SURFACE TEMPS ARE CLIMBING THRU THE LOW/MID 80S
WHICH COULD RAISE MLCAPES TO AOA 500-750 J/KG. THUS WILL BUMP UP
THE TORNADO PROBABILITIES SOME THRU THE AFTERNOON AND ADD A SLIGHT
RISK.

FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON THIS AREA REFER TO MCD 2147.

...CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE HAS SPREAD UPSLOPE INTO HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NERN
CO/ERN WY. WITH THE PRESENCE OF AN ELEVATED MIX LAYER WITH LAPSE
RATES IN EXCESS OF 9C/KM REF BOU AND RIW 12Z SOUNDINGS...THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OF MDT INSTABILITY DURING THE
AFTERNOON VICINITY ERN WY BORDER INTO NERN CO.

DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF AROUND 30KT IS MARGINAL FOR OTHER THAN
MULTICELLULAR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. BUT WITH MLCAPES TO 2000
J/KG A FEW STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY 21Z
WITH LARGE HAIL AND BRIEF DOWNBURST WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.

ACTIVITY WILL BE SLOW TO SPREAD EWD INTO HIGH PLAINS GIVEN THE
GENERALLY WEAK NWLY STEERING FLOW AND GREATER CINH.


...NE OH/NW PA INTO WRN/CNTRL NY...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR IMPULSE REINFORCING ONTARIO TROUGH WILL
ENHANCE UVV ACROSS THE LWR GRT LKS REGION LATER TODAY. A NARROW
AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY LIKELY WILL DEVELOP ALONG ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT...BUT WEAK MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT SBCAPE TO
GENERALLY AROUND 1000 J/KG. SCTD STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE FRONT

AND LK BREEZE BOUNDARIES OVER PARTS OF OH...PA AND NY. WEAK
DEEP SHEAR WILL FAVOR PULSE/MULTICELL STRUCTURES. RELATIVELY STEEP
LOW LVL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLD STRONG WIND GUSTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..HALES/CROSBIE.. 08/24/2008

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KGID [241537]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS53 KGID 241537
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1037 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1129 PM HAIL OXFORD 40.25N 99.63W
08/23/2008 E0.75 INCH FURNAS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD OXFORD 40.25N 99.63W
08/24/2008 FURNAS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL CITY STREETS UNDER WATER

0135 AM HAIL OXFORD 40.25N 99.63W
08/24/2008 E0.50 INCH FURNAS NE TRAINED SPOTTER

0158 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W OXFORD 40.25N 99.71W
08/24/2008 FURNAS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 136 IS FLOODED 4 MILES WEST OF OXFORD.

0325 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W PHILLIPSBURG 39.75N 99.42W
08/24/2008 M4.25 INCH PHILLIPS KS EMERGENCY MNGR

0455 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 N SPEED 39.71N 99.42W
08/24/2008 PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER WAS REPORTED OVER THE ROAD AT THE JUNCTION OF WEST
500 AND WEST VICTORY APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES NORTH OF
SPEED.

0455 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S PHILLIPSBURG 39.71N 99.32W
08/24/2008 PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER APPROXIMATELY A FOOT DEEP WAS REPORTED OVER THE
ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 183 AND EAST UNION
ROAD.

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN STAMFORD 40.13N 99.59W
08/24/2008 M3.86 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

3.86 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 700 AM

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ORLEANS 40.13N 99.45W
08/24/2008 M3.90 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

3.90 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW ALTON 39.45N 98.97W
08/24/2008 M4.80 INCH OSBORNE KS CO-OP OBSERVER

4.80 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 800
AM.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NNW OXFORD 40.33N 99.68W
08/24/2008 M4.93 INCH FURNAS NE CO-OP OBSERVER

4.93 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS

0820 AM HEAVY RAIN 17 S OSBORNE 39.19N 98.70W
08/24/2008 M3.50 INCH OSBORNE KS PUBLIC

3.50 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 820 AM

0959 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S PHILLIPSBURG 39.74N 99.32W
08/24/2008 M3.86 INCH PHILLIPS KS AWOS

3.86 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS. AUTOMATED
GAUGE AT PHILLIPSBURG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.

0959 AM FLOOD 2 W ORLEANS 40.13N 99.49W
08/24/2008 HARLAN NE OTHER FEDERAL

ABOUT 100 YARDS OF A COUNTY ROAD UNDERWATER TWO MILES
WEST OF ORLEANS JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 89. REPORTED BY
CORPS OF ENGINEERS

1032 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S WOODSTON 39.44N 99.10W
08/24/2008 M4.13 INCH ROOKS KS OTHER FEDERAL

TOTAL RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS. AUTOMATED USGS
GAUGE ON SOUTH FORK OF THE SOLOMON RIVER.


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KGID [241529]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241529
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1028 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 AM FLOOD 2 W ORLEANS 40.13N 99.49W
08/24/2008 HARLAN NE OTHER FEDERAL

ABOUT 100 YARDS OF A COUNTY ROAD UNDERWATER TWO MILES
WEST OF ORLEANS JUST SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 89. REPORTED BY
CORPS OF ENGINEERS


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KBMX [241517]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241517
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1017 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 PM TROPICAL STORM MONTGOMERY 32.35N 86.28W
08/23/2008 MONTGOMERY AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE. THE HIGHER
WINDS OCCURRED GENERALLY BETWEEN 6 PM AND 1 AM. A FEW
ROADS IN MONTGOMERY EXPERIENCED MINOR NUISANCE FLOODING.
WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2147

ACUS11 KWNS 241512
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241511
GAZ000-ALZ000-241715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2147
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1011 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS AL...EXTREME SWRN GA.

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 241511Z - 241715Z

BRIEF/SPORADIC SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP WITH OUTER BANDS REVOLVING
AROUND REMAINS OF TS FAY. TORNADO POTENTIAL IS WEAK/MRGL ATTM BUT
MAY INCREASE THROUGH MID-LATE AFTERNOON.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS DIFFUSE LOW OVER SERN MS BETWEEN PIB-MEI...WITH
WEAK CENTRAL WINDS AND FILLING PRESSURE AS CIRCULATION OF FAY
CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. LOW-MIDLEVEL REMAINS OF TS FAY HAVE BECOME
INTERMINGLED WITH PRE-EXISTING MID-UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT PIVOTED
SWD/SEWD ACROSS AR AND LA YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.
MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY AND 12Z BMX/TLH RAOBS INDICATE PRONOUNCED
DRYING ALOFT FROM THAT UPPER PERTURBATION NOW WRAPPING AROUND ERN
PORTION OF COMBINED CIRCULATION. STRONGEST DRYING APPEARS CLOSER TO
CENTER AS ALSO EVIDENT IN GPS PW DATA...WHICH SHOWS VALUES OF
1.7-1.8 INCH FROM MOUTH OF MS RIVER NEWD ACROSS MOB AREA THEN NWD
INTO CENTRAL AL...AND PRONOUNCED DROP IN PW LAST FEW HOURS BETWEEN
MOB-BHM. RELATIVELY MOIST LOW LEVEL PLUME IS EVIDENT FARTHER E
ACROSS ERN AL...WRN GA AND FL PANHANDLE...WHICH SHOULD SUPPORT
CONVECTION POTENTIAL AS IT SHIFTS SLOWLY WWD IN STEP WITH
TRANSLATIONAL MOTION OF BROADER CIRCULATION. WHILE DRY SLOT REDUCED
POTENTIAL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE CLOSER TO CENTER...IT IS SUPPORTING
CONSIDERABLE BREAKS IN CLOUDS ACROSS MUCH OF SRN/CENTRAL AL THAT
EXTEND EWD OVER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE PLUME. CONTINUED INSOLATION
IN BETWEEN EXISTING CONVECTIVE BANDS MAY OFFSET VERY WEAK MID-UPPER
LEVEL LAPSE RATES ENOUGH TO DEVELOP MLCAPE 250-500 J/KG OVER
PORTIONS CENTRAL AL DURING NEXT FEW HOURS...INCREASING TO 1000 J/KG
NEAR SRN PORTION AL/GA LINE. STRENGTHENING INSTABILITY WILL
COINCIDE WITH WEAKENING OF LOW LEVEL SHEAR...A TREND ALREADY EVIDENT
IN DECREASE OF SELY NOCTURNAL LLJ FROM VWP SITES OVER SERN AND
CENTRAL AL. HOWEVER...FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST HODOGRAPH SIZE STILL
WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY FROM E-CENTRAL
AL NWWD ACROSS CENTRAL AL WHERE SFC FLOW IS MOST STRONGLY
BACKED...WITH 0-1 KM SRH 200-400 J/KG PERSISTING INTO AT LEAST
MID-AFTERNOON.

..EDWARDS.. 08/24/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...HUN...MOB...

31438652 31948680 32588715 33308808 33668821 34148763
33908654 33548552 32768485 31848483 31238490 31088556
31188638

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KGID [241504]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241504
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1004 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S PHILLIPSBURG 39.74N 99.32W
08/24/2008 M3.86 INCH PHILLIPS KS AWOS

3.86 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS. AUTOMATED
GAUGE AT PHILLIPSBURG MUNICIPAL AIRPORT.


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KBMX [241502]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241502
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1002 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0100 AM TROPICAL STORM GADSDEN 34.01N 86.01W
08/24/2008 ETOWAH AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
MUCH OF THE HIGHER WINDS OCCURRED DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS WERE AROUND 40MPH.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [241450]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBMX 241450
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
950 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM TROPICAL STORM TROY 31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008 PIKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW ROADS WERE TEMPORARILY IMPASSABLE DUE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL MAINLY IN TROY.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KICT [241450]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 241450
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
950 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0940 AM FLOOD 4 N SYLVAN GROVE 39.07N 98.39W
08/24/2008 LINCOLN KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER HALF WAY ACROSS HIGHWAY 181 AT HIGHWAY MARKER 13.
CREEKS AND WATERWAYS IN AREA ARE RUNNING NEAR BANK FULL.


&&

$$

LFW

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KBMX [241449]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS54 KBMX 241449
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
949 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0305 PM TROPICAL STORM TROY 31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008 PIKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
THE REPORTS WERE RECEIVED MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED AT 40 TO 50
MPH.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KBMX [241441]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241441
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
939 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM TROPICAL STORM EUFAULA 31.82N 85.15W
08/23/2008 BARBOUR AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN
COUNTYWIDE. THE REPORTS WERE RECEIVED FROM AROUND 2 PM
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. A FEW TREES FELL ON HOMES.
WIND GUSTS WERE ESTIMATED AT 45 TO 50 MPH.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KJAX [241439]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 241439
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1039 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0436 PM FLOOD MIDDLEBURG 30.05N 81.90W
08/23/2008 CLAY FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

LAW ENFORCEMENT IN CLAY COUNTY REPORTED THAT 5 PEOPLE
WERE EVACUATED FROM RESIDENCE ALONG THE BLACK CREEK AT
SENIC DRIVE ON SATURDAY. ALSO, FLOODING OF SOME HOMES WAS
REPORTED. NO MONETARY ASSESMENT OF THE FLOOD DAMAGE
AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME.


&&

$$

BKERNS

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KBMX [241426]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241426
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
925 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 PM TROPICAL STORM PRATTVILLE 32.46N 86.45W
08/23/2008 AUTAUGA AL EMERGENCY MNGR

SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
A MAJORITY OF THE REPORTS RECEIVED FROM AROUND 8 PM
THROUGH 6 AM. A FEW VEHICLES RAN INTO DOWNED TREES BUT NO
INJURIES WERE REPORTED. WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 45 MPH.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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KJAN [241422]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KJAN 241422
LSRJAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
922 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST NEWTON 32.32N 89.16W
08/24/2008 E40 MPH NEWTON MS EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY AS TD FAY
MOVED INTO THE EAST. WIND GUSTS WERE IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH
RANGE.


&&

$$

CME

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KJAX [241344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 241344
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
944 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 NW WHITE SPRINGS 30.37N 82.80W
08/23/2008 HAMILTON FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO TREES WERE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 135.


&&

$$

ARS

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KJAX [241341]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 241341
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
941 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0450 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ENE WHITE SPRINGS 30.34N 82.75W
08/23/2008 HAMILTON FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO TREES WERE DOWN ACROSS COUNTY ROAD 135.


&&

$$

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KICT [241340]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KICT 241340
LSRICT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
839 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0830 AM FLOOD 1 E LURAY 39.12N 98.67W
08/24/2008 RUSSELL KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

COUNTY ROAD, LURAY LANE, JUST EAST OF LURAY AND OFF OF
HIGHWAY K-18. ROAD CLOSED BECAUSE OF WATER OVER ROAD.


&&

$$

LFW

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KGID [241334]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241334
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
833 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN ORLEANS 40.13N 99.45W
08/24/2008 M3.90 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

3.90 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW ALTON 39.45N 98.97W
08/24/2008 M4.80 INCH OSBORNE KS CO-OP OBSERVER

4.80 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 800
AM.

0800 AM HEAVY RAIN 6 NNW OXFORD 40.33N 99.68W
08/24/2008 M4.93 INCH FURNAS NE CO-OP OBSERVER

4.93 INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS

0820 AM HEAVY RAIN 17 S OSBORNE 39.19N 98.70W
08/24/2008 M3.50 INCH OSBORNE KS PUBLIC

3.50 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 820 AM


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KBMX [241305]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KBMX 241305
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
805 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0155 PM TROPICAL STORM CLIO 31.71N 85.61W
08/23/2008 BARBOUR AL BROADCAST MEDIA

SEVERAL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN NEAR CLIO AND A FEW TREES
WERE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY. THESE DOWNED TREES
PRODUCED SOME POWER OUTAGES. TREES DOWNED DUE TO HEAVY
RAIN AND ESTIMATED WINDS AROUND 40 MPH.

0251 PM TROPICAL STORM AUBURN 32.59N 85.48W
08/23/2008 LEE AL BROADCAST MEDIA

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN IN AUBURN. TREES DOWNED DUE
TO HEAVY RAIN AND ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.

0305 PM TROPICAL STORM TROY 31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008 PIKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

A FEW SMALL TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND SOME LIMBS SNAPPED
OFF NEAR TROY.

0305 PM TROPICAL STORM TROY 31.81N 85.97W
08/23/2008 PIKE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

HEAVY RAIN BEGINNING TO COLLECT ON ROADWAYS NEAR TROY.
THESE ROADS WERE STILL PASSABLE BUT CONDITIONS ARE
DETERIORATING.

0429 PM TROPICAL STORM AUBURN 32.59N 85.48W
08/23/2008 LEE AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES COUNTY WIDE.

0445 PM TROPICAL STORM EUFAULA 31.82N 85.15W
08/23/2008 BARBOUR AL EMERGENCY MNGR

3.1 INCHS OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME IN THE
BARBOUR CITY AREA.

0500 PM TROPICAL STORM SELMA 32.42N 87.02W
08/23/2008 DALLAS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

1 TREE DOWN AND POWER OUTAGES AT BRADFORD CIRCLE

0515 PM TROPICAL STORM HAYNEVILLE 32.18N 86.58W
08/23/2008 LOWNDES AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY INCLUDING COLLIRENE AND
HAYNEVILLE.

0700 PM TROPICAL STORM CRAWFORD 32.46N 85.19W
08/23/2008 RUSSELL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE ON HOME AT HWY 80 AND LYNN ROAD.

0700 PM TROPICAL STORM 1 S FORT MITCHELL 32.33N 85.02W
08/23/2008 RUSSELL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE ON HOME IN OSWICHEE...PEOPLE TRAPPED.

0700 PM TROPICAL STORM 3 S PARKMANVILLE 32.34N 85.17W
08/23/2008 RUSSELL AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREE ON TRAILER IN SEALE

0900 PM TROPICAL STORM SELMA 32.42N 87.02W
08/23/2008 DALLAS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.

0915 PM TROPICAL STORM 2 SSE CUBA 32.41N 88.36W
08/23/2008 SUMTER AL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

COUPLE OF TREES DOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 10 SOUTH OF
SUMTER.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM BIRMINGHAM 33.53N 86.80W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN OLD TN PIKE AND HIWAY 79 FROM TS WINDS DURING
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM CENTER POINT 33.64N 86.68W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN 2600 BLOCK 5TH AVE NE FROM TS WINDS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM IRONDALE 33.54N 86.71W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN RUFFNER RD AND 500 BLOCK FROM TS WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM ONEONTA 33.95N 86.47W
08/24/2008 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY FROM TS WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.


&&

$$

LINHARES

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 241254
SWODY1
SPC AC 241251

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 241300Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE CNTRL/NRN HI PLNS...

...SYNOPSIS...
RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE FOUR CORNERS THIS PERIOD AS STRONG NE
PACIFIC TROUGH PROGRESSES E INTO BC/WRN WA. DOWNSTREAM TROUGH NOW
OVER ONTARIO AND THE UPR GRT LKS WILL BE REINFORCED BY IMPULSE NOW
APPROACHING LK SUPERIOR. THE TROUGH SHOULD REACH SRN QUEBEC BY 12Z
MONDAY. ELSEWHERE...WV LOOP SHOWS A DISTURBANCE NOW OVER NW WY/SRN
MT THAT SHOULD CONTINUE E/SE AROUND NERN FRINGE OF UPR RIDGE LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT. FINALLY...T.D. FAY EXPECTED TO REMAIN MORE OR LESS
STNRY OVER SRN MS AS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MERGE WITH WEAK UPR
DISTURBANCE THAT MOVED SE ACROSS AR/LA EARLIER TODAY.

...CNTRL HI PLNS...
LEE TROUGH WILL BECOME BETTER ESTABLISHED OVER THE CNTRL HI PLNS
TODAY AS LARGE SCALE TROUGH APPROACHES THE PACIFIC NW. ASSOCIATED
INCREASE IN LOW LVL SSELY FLOW WILL ALLOW UPR 50S TO LOW 60S F
DEWPOINTS TO SPREAD NNW THROUGH WRN NEB...SW SD...AND ERN WY BENEATH
NERN FRINGE OF RCKYS EML. COUPLED WITH STRONG SFC HEATING...EXPECT
AFTN SBCAPE ACROSS REGION TO RANGE FROM 1500 TO 2500 J/KG.

EML WARM LAYER AND ABSENCE OF LOW LVL FORCING LIKELY SHOULD KEEP THE
PLNS FREE OF DEEP CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. BUT
HEATING...WEAK UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO FLOW...AND ASCENT ASSOCIATED
WITH WY/MT IMPULSE SHOULD SUPPORT SCTD AFTN STORMS OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN JUST TO THE WEST. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP SE INTO
THE PLNS BY EVE...BEFORE SUBSEQUENTLY WEAKENING AS BOUNDARY LAYER
COOLS AND UPR IMPULSE CONTINUES E BEYOND AXIS OF GREATEST LOW LVL
INSTABILITY.

20 KT WNWLY MID LVL WINDS ATOP 15-20 KT SSELY NEAR-SFC FLOW COULD
SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORMS/MARGINAL SUPERCELLS. THESE COULD
YIELD LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DMGG WIND...AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.

...CNTRL GULF CST...
VWP AND RAOB DATA SHOW THAT DEEP WIND FIELD WITH FAY HAS WEAKENED
OVERNIGHT...AND WINDS OVER AL/MS AND LA SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY
WEAKEN TODAY. A MID LVL DRY SLOT HAS OVERSPREAD PARTS OF AL AND THE
FL PANHANDLE AS SYSTEM INTERACTED WITH MID LATITUDE IMPULSE THAT
CROSSED AR/LA. ASSOCIATED EROSION OF DEEP CLOUD FIELD WILL ALLOW
FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SFC HEATING IN SE QUADRANT OF REMNANT LOW LVL
CIRCULATION THAN HAS BEEN THE CASE IN RECENT DAYS. WHILE THIS MAY
SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF BANDS/CLUSTERS OF DIURNALLY- ENHANCED
CONVECTION/POSSIBLE STORMS...WARM 700-500 MB TEMPERATURES SHOULD
LIMIT COVERAGE/STRENGTH.

EXTRAPOLATION OF CURRENT PATTERN SUGGEST THAT SOME MID LVL COLD
ADVECTION COULD OVERSPREAD THE CNTRL GULF CST THIS EVE AND TONIGHT
AS PART OF FORMER AR/LA IMPULSE THAT IS NOW OVER THE NW/N CNTRL GULF
ROTATES NEWD. THIS FEATURE APPEARS...IN PART...TO BE RESPONSIBLE
FOR TSTMS NOW OVER THE GULF S OF LA...AND COULD ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR EVE/OVERNIGHT STORMS IN SRN MS/SRN AL AND THE FL
PANHANDLE. MODERATE DEEP SHEAR WILL EXIST ACROSS THAT REGION AT
THAT TIME...ALTHOUGH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL
COMPONENT WILL BE REDUCED RELATIVE TO WHAT IT HAS BEEN INVOF FAY IN
RECENT DAYS. NEVERTHELESS...GIVEN RICH MOISTURE
AVAILABILITY...PARTS OF THE CNTRL GULF CST REGION COULD REQUIRE
UPGRADE TO CATEGORICAL SVR RISK LATER TODAY IF IT BECOMES APPARENT
THAT SUSTAINED DISCRETE STORMS WILL INDEED OCCUR THIS EVE/OVERNIGHT.


...NE OH/NW PA INTO WRN/CNTRL NY...
GLANCING INFLUENCE OF UPR IMPULSE REINFORCING ONTARIO TROUGH WILL
ENHANCE UVV ACROSS THE LWR GRT LKS REGION LATER TODAY. A NARROW
AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY LIKELY WILL DEVELOP ALONG ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT...BUT WEAK MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT SBCAPE TO
GENERALLY AROUND 1000 J/KG. SCTD STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE FRONT
AND LK BREEZE BOUNDARIES OVER PARTS OF OH...PA AND NY. WEAK
DEEP SHEAR WILL FAVOR PULSE/MULTICELL STRUCTURES. RELATIVELY STEEP
LOW LVL LAPSE RATES MAY SUPPORT A THREAT OF ISOLD STRONG WIND GUSTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 08/24/2008

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KBMX [241248]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 241248
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
748 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM BIRMINGHAM 33.53N 86.80W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL AMATEUR RADIO

TREES DOWN OLD TN PIKE AND HIWAY 79 FROM TS WINDS DURING
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM CENTER POINT 33.64N 86.68W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN 2600 BLOCK 5TH AVE NE FROM TS WINDS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM IRONDALE 33.54N 86.71W
08/24/2008 JEFFERSON AL EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN RUFFNER RD AND 500 BLOCK FROM TS WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

0730 AM TROPICAL STORM ONEONTA 33.95N 86.47W
08/24/2008 BLOUNT AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ACROSS COUNTY FROM TS WINDS DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.


&&

$$

10.5

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KTAE [241220]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 241220
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
819 AM EDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 N THOMASVILLE 30.85N 83.98W
08/23/2008 M27.50 INCH THOMAS GA TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

MROCZKA

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KGID [241217]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241217
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
717 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0700 AM HEAVY RAIN STAMFORD 40.13N 99.59W
08/24/2008 M3.86 INCH HARLAN NE CO-OP OBSERVER

3.86 INCHES OF RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 700 AM


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KGID [241123]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241123
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
622 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0620 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 S WOODSTON 39.44N 99.10W
08/24/2008 M4.07 INCH ROOKS KS OTHER FEDERAL

TOTAL RAINFALL FROM OVERNIGHT STORMS THROUGH 620 AM.
AUTOMATED USGS GAUGE ON SOUTH FORK OF THE SOLOMON RIVER.


&&

$$

PFANNKUCH

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KGID [241007]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241007
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
506 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 AM FLASH FLOOD 3 S PHILLIPSBURG 39.71N 99.32W
08/24/2008 PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER APPROXIMATELY A FOOT DEEP WAS REPORTED OVER THE
ROAD AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 183 AND EAST UNION
ROAD.


&&

$$

KING

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KGID [241003]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 241003
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
503 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0455 AM FLASH FLOOD 2 N SPEED 39.71N 99.42W
08/24/2008 PHILLIPS KS LAW ENFORCEMENT

WATER WAS REPORTED OVER THE ROAD AT THE JUNCTION OF WEST
500 AND WEST VICTORY APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES NORTH OF
SPEED.


&&

$$

KING

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KGID [240831]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 240831
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
331 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0325 AM HEAVY RAIN 5 W PHILLIPSBURG 39.75N 99.42W
08/24/2008 M4.25 INCH PHILLIPS KS EMERGENCY MNGR


&&

$$

JCB

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DAY48SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS48 KWNS 240830
SWOD48
SPC AC 240829

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0329 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 271200Z - 011200Z

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
ACROSS THE NRN U.S. EARLY IN THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD. AT THE SAME
TIME...THE MODELS BRING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NWD ACROSS THE CNTRL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM BY MID-WEEK. THIS
MAY SUPPORT AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT AS STORMS DEVELOP AHEAD OF
THE TROUGH AND ADVANCE EWD ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY EITHER
WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY. HOWEVER...THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY THAT IS
PRESENT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND THE TIMING OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
WILL LIKELY DETERMINE THE AREA OF THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT ALONG
WITH AMOUNT OF COVERAGE. THESE UNCERTAINTIES ARE TOO GREAT TO
WARRANT A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AREA ATTM. LATE IN THE UPCOMING
WEEK...A SEVERE THREAT MAY CONTINUE EWD INTO PARTS OF THE GREAT
LAKES AND OH VALLEY AS THE SYSTEM PROGRESSES EWD.
HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTIES INCREASE WITH TIME DURING THE LATER HALF OF
THE DAY 4 TO 8 PERIOD.

..BROYLES.. 08/24/2008

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WATCHES: Tornado Watch Number 860

WWUS20 KWNS 240743
SEL0
SPC WW 240743
ALZ000-241400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 860
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALABAMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY MORNING FROM 235 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF AUBURN ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 859. WATCH NUMBER 859 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
235 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...CONVERGENCE ALONG CONFLUENCE BANDS IN ERN QUADRANT OF
T.D. FAY MAY CONTINUE TO BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF
WDLY SCTD SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS/SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING IN CNTRL
AND ERN AL...DESPITE WEAK LOW LVL LAPSE RATES. STRENGTH OF LOW LVL
DIRECTIONAL SHEAR /50 KTS ATTM AT BMX AND 36 KTS AT MXX/...AND
FAIRLY RICH MOISTURE INFLOW SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TORNADOES
WITH LONGER-LIVED UPDRAFTS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 15035.


...CORFIDI

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DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 240706
SWODY3
SPC AC 240704

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN AND CNTRL PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE QUICKLY EWD FROM THE NRN
ROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT INTO THE NRN HIGH PLAINS TUESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS
FEATURE...AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY IS FORECAST FROM THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS EXTENDING NWD INTO THE CNTRL AND ERN DAKOTAS. SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS A WELL-DEFINED COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS
THE CNTRL DAKOTAS. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON GENERALLY SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR VALUES IN THE 25 TO 35
KT RANGE. THIS SHOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF SOME ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA WHERE LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS
FORECAST TO BE STRONGER THAN AREAS FURTHER SOUTH.
HOWEVER...QUESTIONS REMAIN CONCERNING THE TIMING OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH AND THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN THE NRN PLAINS ON TUESDAY.
IF CURRENT MODEL FORECASTS REMAIN CONSISTENT...AN UPGRADE TO SLIGHT
RISK MAY BECOME NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
REGION.

..BROYLES.. 08/24/2008

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2146

ACUS11 KWNS 240700
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 240700
ALZ000-240830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2146
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0200 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF AL...MS...GA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 859...

VALID 240700Z - 240830Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 859 CONTINUES.

AN ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE ISSUED ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA BY
08Z.

LOW-LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS EXTREME BENEATH 50-60 KT CYCLONIC 850 MB
FLOW ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE REMNANTS OF FAY...ACROSS
CENTRAL ALABAMA INTO EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THE CORE OF THIS
STRONGER FLOW IS PROGGED TO ROTATE INTO THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE
CIRCULATION BETWEEN NOW AND 10-12Z...WITH GUIDANCE INDICATING
CONSIDERABLE WEAKENING OF SPEEDS AND SHEAR. GIVEN THE WARM MID-
LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...AND TENDENCY TOWARD FURTHER MID-LEVEL WARMING/
SUBSIDENCE OVER MUCH OF THE CURRENT WATCH AREA...TORNADO POTENTIAL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. THE
THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR PARTICULARLY HIGH NOW...AND IT DOES NOT SEEM
LIKELY TO INCREASE. BUT...THE RISK FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO IN
LINGERING WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA MAY NOT
BECOME NEGLIGIBLE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.

..KERR.. 08/24/2008

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...

32758790 33278781 33478682 33098593 32638553 32288548
31938554 32408677 32408773

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KGID [240701]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 240701
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
201 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0158 AM FLASH FLOOD 4 W OXFORD 40.25N 99.71W
08/24/2008 FURNAS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

HIGHWAY 136 IS FLOODED 4 MILES WEST OF OXFORD.


&&

$$

KING

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KGID [240640]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 240640
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
140 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0135 AM HAIL OXFORD 40.25N 99.63W
08/24/2008 E0.50 INCH FURNAS NE TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

$$

KING

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KGID [240630]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KGID 240630
LSRGID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
130 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0115 AM FLASH FLOOD OXFORD 40.25N 99.63W
08/24/2008 FURNAS NE LAW ENFORCEMENT

SEVERAL CITY STREETS UNDER WATER


&&

$$

JCB

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 240543
SWODY1
SPC AC 240540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PORTION OF THE CNTRL
HIGH PLAINS...

...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS AREA...

LEE TROUGH AND SLY FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS IN WAKE OF RETREATING SURFACE RIDGE. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
LOW 60S DEWPOINTS ADVECTING NNWWD THROUGH WRN NEB AND SW SD BENEATH
PLUME OF 8 C/KM 850-500 MB LAPSE RATES. MLCAPE FROM 1500-2500 J/KG
WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WARMS DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THE STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL CORRESPOND TO A WARM EML SPREADING EWD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS WITH 700 MB TEMPERATURES FROM 12-14C. THIS WILL
LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO A CAP EAST OF HIGHER TERRAIN.

HEIGHTS MAY RISE SLIGHTLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY IN WAKE
OF RETREATING UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO SE CANADA. HOWEVER...A VORT
MAX CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH ID IS FORECAST TO CREST UPPER RIDGE AND
THEN MOVE ESEWD INTO NE WY...WRN SD AND NW NEB. INITIAL STORMS WILL
MOST LIKELY DEVELOP WITHIN ZONE OF OROGRAPHIC FORCING OVER HIGHER
TERRAIN. ACTIVITY WILL THEN SPREAD SEWD INTO THE HIGH PLAINS DURING
THE EVENING BEFORE WEAKENING AS IT ENCOUNTERS STRONGER CONVECTIVE
INHIBITION AND NOCTURNAL COOLING. FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN
MODEST...BUT STRONG VEERING IN THE SURFACE-500 MB LAYER WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO 30-35 KT BULK SHEAR THAT WILL BE MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT
FOR ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.


...SRN HALF OF GULF COASTAL STATES...

FAY HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND WILL LIKELY
REMAIN SO ON SUNDAY GIVEN THAT IT IS EXPECTED TO STAY OVER LAND. THE
STRONGER LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO ROTATE FROM THE NE THROUGH
NW QUADRANT OF THE STORM...BECOMING FARTHER REMOVED FROM THE FETCH
OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR OFF THE GULF. A MARGINAL THREAT FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES MAY CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER...OVERALL THREAT DOES
NOT APPEAR TO WARRANT A CATEGORICAL RISK AT THIS TIME DUE TO
EXPECTED WEAKENING OF WIND FIELDS IN THE ERN HALF OF THE STORM. IF
IT BEGINS TO APPEAR THAT THE LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE SLOWER TO WEAKEN
THAN CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...THEN A SLIGHT RISK MAY BE REINTRODUCED
IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

...NE OH...NW PA THROUGH THE WRN HALF OF NY...

SRN EXTENTION OF UPPER TROUGH MOVING THROUGH SE CANADA WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND NERN U.S. SUNDAY ACCOMPANIED BY A
COLD FRONT. A NARROW AXIS OF INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG
MOIST AXIS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL
LIMIT MLCAPE TO GENERALLY AROUND 1000 J/KG.
SCATTERED STORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG FRONT AND LAKE BREEZE
BOUNDARIES AND SPREAD SEWD THROUGH PARTS OF OH...PA AND NY. WEAK
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL SUPPORT MOSTLY MULTICELL STORMS. LOW LEVEL LAPSE
RATES MAY STEEPEN ENOUGH FOR A THREAT OF ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING.

..DIAL/JEWELL.. 08/24/2008

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 240543
SWODY2
SPC AC 240541

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1241 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE FROM THE CNTRL ROCKIES TO THE NRN PLAINS WILL
BECOME LESS-DEFINED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES INTO THE NRN ROCKIES. AT THE SFC...A LEE TROUGH IS
FORECAST TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS MONDAY WITH AN AXIS OF
INSTABILITY LOCATED EAST OF THE SFC TROUGH ACROSS WRN KS AND WRN
NEB. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO DEVELOP IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF SE WY AND NE CO SPREADING SEWD INTO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY
AFTERNOON SHOW SUBSTANTIAL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE LOW TO
MID-LEVELS RESULTING IN 30 TO 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR. IN SPITE OF
WARM AIR ALOFT...THE SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY
SUPPORT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT AS THE CONVECTION MOVES INTO
INCREASING INSTABILITY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.

..BROYLES.. 08/24/2008

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KBMX [240534]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS54 KBMX 240534
LSRBMX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1234 AM CDT SUN AUG 24 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0900 PM TROPICAL STORM SELMA 32.42N 87.02W
08/23/2008 DALLAS AL EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES REPORTED DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY.


&&

$$

JSIRMON

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