KTAE [180352]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 180352
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1152 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1150 PM HEAVY RAIN BACONTON 31.38N 84.16W
08/17/2013 M12.20 INCH MITCHELL GA BROADCAST MEDIA

MEDIA RELAYED A VIEWER REPORT OF 12.2 INCHES OF RAIN IN
BACONTON SINCE THURSDAY.

1150 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SW CAMILLA 31.21N 84.24W
08/17/2013 M10.48 INCH MITCHELL GA MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL OF 10.48 INCHES MEASURED AT THE CAMILLA
RAWS SITE SINCE THURSDAY

1150 PM HEAVY RAIN 4 SE NEWTON 31.28N 84.28W
08/17/2013 M10.54 INCH MITCHELL GA MESONET

RAINFALL TOTAL OF 10.54 INCHES MEASURED AT THE STRIPLING
IRRIGATION RESEARCH PARK SINCE THURSDAY


&&

$$

DVD

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KRAH [180344]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KRAH 180344
LSRRAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1143 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1130 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 ESE WELCOME 35.90N 80.20W
08/17/2013 DAVIDSON NC 911 CALL CENTER

HEAVY RAIN HAS CAUSED AROUND FIFTEEN ONGOING ROAD
CLOSURES IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY...WITH THE
FIRST REPORT BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM.


&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1300907

$$

MWS

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KTAE [180323]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 180323
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1122 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1200 AM FLASH FLOOD 1 SW BASCOM 30.92N 85.13W
08/17/2013 JACKSON FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT GEORGIA ROAD NEAR
BASCOM HAD A LARGE HOLE IN IT COVERED WITH WATER AND THAT
CARS WOULD LIKELY GET STUCK IF THEY ATTEMPTED TO GO
THROUGH IT. THIS IS A DELAYED REPORT FROM THE FRIDAY
NIGHT FLOODING.

0215 PM FLASH FLOOD SE LYNN HAVEN 30.23N 85.64W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT MINNESOTA AVE WAS
UNDER A FOOT OF WATER

0215 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 E LYNN HAVEN 30.23N 85.62W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT ACCESS INTO THE
DERBY WOODS NEIGHBORHOOD WAS FLOODED AND PASSABLE ONLY BY
TRUCK

0315 PM FLASH FLOOD SOUTHPORT 30.29N 85.64W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT THE INTERSECTION OF
HIGHWAY 77 AND DEERPOINT WAS COMPLETELY UNDERWATER IN THE
SOUTHPORT AREA. THE FLOODING WAS REPORTED TO BE SIMILAR
TO THE JULY 4TH FLOODING AT THAT LOCATION.

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD CALLAWAY 30.14N 85.58W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT HIGHWAY 22 EAST IN
CALLAWAY WAS UNDERWATER

0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 ESE PANAMA CITY BEACH 30.20N 85.82W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA THAT ALF COLEMAN ROAD
WAS UNDERWATER AND IMPASSIBLE TO SMALL CARS

0600 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N LYNN HAVEN 30.24N 85.65W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

PUBLIC UPLOADED A PICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF
APPROXIMATELY 3 FEET OF STANDING WATER NEAR THE LYNN
VILLAGE APARTMENTS AS WELL AS A PICKUP THAT WAS FLOODED
OUT


&&

$$

DVD

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KTWC [180236]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 180236
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
735 PM MST SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0732 PM BLOWING DUST ELOY 32.74N 111.61W
08/17/2013 PINAL AZ NWS OFFICE

VISIBILITY 20 FEET IN BLOWING DUST. REPORT FROM DPS.


&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300099

$$

FRANCIS

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KDDC [180208]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 180208
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
908 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0600 AM HAIL 9 WSW MEADE STATE PARK 37.12N 100.57W
08/17/2013 E1.00 INCH MEADE KS PUBLIC

THIS REPORT CAME FROM A POST ON DDCS FACEBOOK.


&&

$$

BURKE

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KJAX [180158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 180158
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
958 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0750 PM HAIL HOBOKEN 31.18N 82.13W
08/17/2013 M1.00 INCH BRANTLEY GA FIRE DEPT/RESCUE


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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KMKX [180129]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS53 KMKX 180129
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
828 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SE MADISON CAPITOL SQ 43.06N 89.36W
08/17/2013 DANE WI BROADCAST MEDIA

APPARANT DUST DEVIL TYPE CIRCULATION ON SHORE OF LAKE
MONONA. BOAT WAS ON A HOIST AND OVERTURNED AS IT TIPPED
OVER.


&&

$$

HENTZ

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KTWC [180110]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTWC 180110
LSRTWC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
610 PM MST SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0429 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SSE TUCSON 32.13N 110.95W
08/17/2013 M61 MPH PIMA AZ ASOS


&&

EVENT NUMBER TWC1300098

$$

MEYER

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KPSR [180059]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KPSR 180059
LSRPSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
559 PM MST SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND GST ROOSEVELT 33.66N 111.13W
08/17/2013 E60 MPH GILA AZ TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER PSR1300122

$$

LEINS

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 180048
SWODY1
SPC AC 180046

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0746 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

VALID 180100Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...NRN PLAINS...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH
CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE NRN HIGH PLAINS. AS THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD
DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT IN NRN ND LATER THIS EVENING. FORECAST
SOUNDINGS AT 06Z NEAR THE CANADIAN-ND BORDER SHOW MLCAPE IN THE 1500
TO 2000 J/KG RANGE WITH 30-40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS
ENVIRONMENT ALONG WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES COULD SUPPORT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...MUCH OF THE SHORT-TERM
GUIDANCE KEEPS CONVECTIVE COVERAGE ISOLATED WHICH ALONG WITH
DECREASING INSTABILITY DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD SHOULD KEEP ANY
SEVERE THREAT CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA. HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

...SE GA/NRN FL...
A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING IN
SERN GA LOCATED AHEAD OF A SUBTLE IMPULSE MOVING NNEWD OUT OF THE
NERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE STORMS ARE LOCATED ON THE NRN EDGE OF
MODERATE INSTABILITY WHERE MESOANALYSIS IS ESTIMATING MLCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG. THIS COMBINED WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S F AND 20
TO 30 KT OF UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW IN THE LOW TO MID-LEVELS EVIDENT ON
THE TALLAHASSEE WSR-88D VWP SHOULD BE ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED WET
DOWNBURSTS FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.

...CNTRL GULF COAST...
THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL IMPULSES MOVING NNEWD
OUT OF THE CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO WITH A VORTICITY MAX LOCATED JUST TO
THE SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS. AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE...NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING AND SHOULD MOVE TOWARD THE CNTRL GULF
COAST BY LATE THIS EVENING AND INLAND DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
ONSHORE FLOW SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING SFC DEWPOINTS FROM NEW
ORLEANS EWD TO TALLAHASSEE. IN RESPONSE...INSTABILITY SHOULD
INCREASE WHICH ALONG WITH 20 TO 30 KT OF LOW-LEVEL FLOW COULD BE
ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LATER TONIGHT.

...SCNTRL AZ...
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ALONG THE MOGOLLON RIM EARLY THIS
EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD TRANSLATE SLOWLY SWD ACROSS SCNTRL AZ
WHERE MESOANALYSIS IS SHOWING MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE
AROUND 1500 J/KG. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-3 KM LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING
9.0 C/KM WITH LARGE TEMP-DEWPOINT SPREADS SHOULD HELP ACCELERATE
DOWNDRAFT SPEEDS ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT WITH THE
MORE INTENSE CELLS.

..BROYLES.. 08/18/2013

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KJAX [180037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 180037
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
837 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0959 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 W ST. AUGUSTINE 29.89N 81.34W
08/17/2013 ST. JOHNS FL 911 CALL CENTER

TREE BLOWN DOWN WHICH BLOCKED THE ROAD.


&&

$$

LSTRUBLE

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KJAX [180037]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 180037
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
837 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM HAIL N DOUGLAS 31.51N 82.85W
08/17/2013 M1.00 INCH COFFEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

0728 PM TSTM WND DMG DOUGLAS 31.51N 82.85W
08/17/2013 COFFEE GA EMERGENCY MNGR

A LARGE PINE TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN ONTO A RESIDENCE.
EXTENSIVE DAMAGE WAS DONE TO THE HOME. NO INJURIES WERE
REPORTED.


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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KTFX [180014]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KTFX 180014
LSRTFX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
614 PM MDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0400 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 13 WSW SAINT MARY 48.69N 113.71W
08/17/2013 M58 MPH GLACIER MT MESONET

58 MPH WIND GUST REPORTED AT LOGAN PASS VISITORS CENTER
IN GLACIER NATIONAL PARK. SUSTAINED WIND WAS 30 MPH.


&&

$$

COULSTON

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KTBW [180013]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 180013
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
813 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0556 PM MARINE TSTM WIND 4 SE PORT CHARLOTTE 26.94N 82.04W
08/17/2013 M40 MPH CHARLOTTE FL MESONET

A 35 KNOT OR 40 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY THE MESONET
WEATHER STATION AT CHARLOTTE REGIONAL MEDICAL CENTER.


&&

$$

JRJ

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KJAX [180011]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...corrected

NWUS52 KJAX 180011
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
811 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0714 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N JENNINGS 30.67N 83.11W
08/17/2013 ECHOLS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

CORRECTION...THE ROOF DAMAGE WAS THAT OF A BARN.


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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KTBW [180008]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 180008
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
807 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0638 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 W BEVERLY HILLS 28.92N 82.54W
08/17/2013 CITRUS FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN ON A VEHICLE IN DUNNELLON...AND DAMAGE TO A
POLE BARN IN HOMOSASSA...REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.


&&

$$

MML

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KJAX [180001]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 180001
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
801 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0728 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N JENNINGS 30.67N 83.11W
08/17/2013 ECHOLS GA EMERGENCY MNGR

A ROOF OF A HOME WAS BLOWN BACK BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS.


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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KJAX [172356]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KJAX 172356
LSRJAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
756 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0713 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 N JENNINGS 30.67N 83.11W
08/17/2013 ECHOLS GA 911 CALL CENTER

A FEW TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF J
FRANK CULPEPPER ROAD AND BETHAL CHURCH ROAD. THE TIME OF
DAMAGE WAS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.


&&

$$

AENYEDI

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KHGX [172209]: Preliminary Local Storm Report...summary

NWUS54 KHGX 172209
LSRHGX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
506 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0456 PM TSTM WND DMG THE WOODLANDS 30.16N 95.49W
08/16/2013 MONTGOMERY TX PUBLIC

TREES AND BRANCHES DOWN AROUND THE WOODLANDS MALL AREA
AND RESEARCH PARK DRIVE.

0600 PM TSTM WND DMG 5 WNW SOUTH HOUSTON 29.68N 95.30W
08/16/2013 HARRIS TX PUBLIC

YOUNG CEDAR TREE SNAPPED OFF ABOUT 15 FEET ABOVE
GROUND. ANOTHER TREE ABOUT 15 FEET TALL AND SHELTERED
KNOCKED DOWN AT GROUND LEVEL. ALSO FEW SHINGLES OFF ROOF
MISSING.

0609 PM TSTM WND GST 2 W HOUSTON 29.77N 95.42W
08/16/2013 M63 MPH HARRIS TX PUBLIC

63 MPH AT THE MEDICAL CENTER AIRPORT JUST WEST OF
DOWNTOWN HOUSTON.

0623 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 N FRESNO 29.55N 95.46W
08/16/2013 FORT BEND TX LAW ENFORCEMENT

TREES DOWN IN FRESNO AREA

0624 PM TSTM WND DMG PEARLAND 29.56N 95.28W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX EMERGENCY MNGR

NUMEROUS TREES DOWN...FENCES DOWN...POWERS LINES
DOWN...TRANSFORMERS BLOWN...POWER OUTAGES IN
PEARLAND...FROM HWY 35 TO HWY 288.

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG PEARLAND 29.56N 95.28W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

POWER POLES DOWN AT FM 518 AND CULLEN IN
PEARLAND...ESTIMATED WINDS OF 50 TO 70 MPH FROM TRAINED
SPOTTER.

0630 PM TSTM WND DMG PEARLAND 29.56N 95.28W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX TRAINED SPOTTER

FENCES DOWN AND TREES UPROOTED AND LAYING OVER ALONG
CULLEN BOULEVARD IN PEARLAND..

0637 PM TSTM WND GST PEARLAND 29.56N 95.28W
08/16/2013 E60 MPH BRAZORIA TX PUBLIC

ESTIMATED 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS IN PEARLAND.

0637 PM TSTM WND DMG MANVEL 29.48N 95.36W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN AROUND MANVEL AND 288 AREA.

0700 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 N BONNEY 29.33N 95.46W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN ROSHARON.

0728 PM TSTM WND DMG 2 NW ANGLETON 29.19N 95.45W
08/16/2013 BRAZORIA TX EMERGENCY MNGR

TREES DOWN IN THE CENTRAL AREAS OF THE COUNTY NEAR
ANGLETON AND HOLIDAY LAKES.

0804 PM MARINE TSTM WIND PALACIOS 28.71N 96.24W
08/16/2013 M44 MPH MATAGORDA TX ASOS

PSX OBSERVATION


&&

EVENT NUMBER HGX1300158 HGX1300169 HGX1300159 HGX1300168 HGX1300163
HGX1300160 HGX1300162 HGX1300161 HGX1300165 HGX1300166 HGX1300167
HGX1300164

$$

BH

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KGJT [172158]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KGJT 172158
LSRGJT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
357 PM MDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0330 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NNE REDMESA 37.11N 108.16W
08/17/2013 M0.30 INCH LA PLATA CO TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

EVENT NUMBER GJT1301388

$$

PF

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KMKX [172137]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KMKX 172137
LSRMKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
436 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0215 PM NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 SE MADISON CAPITOL SQ 43.06N 89.36W
08/17/2013 DANE WI BROADCAST MEDIA

APPARANT DUST DEVIL TYPE CIRCULATION ON SHORE OF LAKE
MONONA. BOAT OVERTURNED AND A LIFT TIPPED OVER.


&&

$$

HENTZ

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KDDC [172128]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS53 KDDC 172128
LSRDDC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
428 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0555 AM HAIL PLAINS CITY 37.26N 100.59W
08/17/2013 E0.88 INCH MEADE KS PUBLIC

THIS WAS A SECOND HAIL OCCURANCE, AND THIS REPORT WAS
RECEIVED ON THE DDC FACEBOOK.


&&

$$

BURKE

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KTAE [172124]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 172124
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
524 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0515 PM TSTM WND GST MOULTRIE 31.18N 83.79W
08/17/2013 M41 MPH COLQUITT GA AWOS

41 MPH GUST MEASURED AT MOULTRIE AS LINE OF STORMS PUSHED
THROUGH.


&&

$$

JSE

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KFGZ [172051]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KFGZ 172051
LSRFGZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
149 PM MST SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0145 PM FLASH FLOOD 8 E FLAGSTAFF 35.19N 111.48W
08/17/2013 COCONINO AZ LAW ENFORCEMENT

FLOOD WATER ENTERING A RESIDENCE ON COSNINO RD.
FLOODING AT WAPITI RD AND COSISNO RD AT 1PM MST.


&&

EVENT NUMBER FGZ1300069

$$

MCS

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KSLC [172048]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 172048
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
248 PM MDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM FLASH FLOOD 5 S OAK CITY 39.30N 112.34W
08/17/2013 MILLARD UT LAW ENFORCEMENT

DEBRIS FLOW AND FLASH FLOODING FLOWING OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST ASPECT OF CLAY SPRINGS BURN SCAR TOWARDS US 50.
REPORTS OF 4 FT. OF WATER FLOWING OUT OF THE SCAR.


&&

$$

BMCINERN

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KSLC [172046]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS55 KSLC 172046
LSRSLC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
246 PM MDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0244 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 N HUNTINGTON 39.37N 110.96W
08/17/2013 EMERY UT PUBLIC

SEELEY BURN SCAR PRODUCED A DEBRIS FLOW AND FLASH FLOOD
AFFECTING THE HUNTINGTON POWER PLANT DOWNSTREAM. WATER
HAD TO BE DIVERTED AROUND PLANT. LOGS...MUD...AND ROCKS
FLOWING IN THE FLOOD.


&&

$$

BMCINERN

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KTBW [172033]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 172033
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
432 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0423 PM MARINE TSTM WIND SPG ALBERT WHITTED AIRP 27.76N 82.64W
08/17/2013 M43 MPH PINELLAS FL ASOS

43 MILE PER HOUR...37 KNOT...WIND GUEST REPORTED AT SPG.


&&

$$

MML

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1734

ACUS11 KWNS 172021
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 172020
MTZ000-IDZ000-ORZ000-WAZ000-172245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1734
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/W-CNTRL MT...NRN/CNTRL ID...FAR
NERN ORE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 172020Z - 172245Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A VERY ISOLATED...MARGINAL SVR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
COULD EXIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR LOOPS DEPICT THE MANIFESTATION OF A
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENTERING THE NRN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST
THROUGH ITS EFFECTS OF DEFORMATION ON A WAVY...NARROW MID-LEVEL DRY
SLOT BRANCHING NE OF AN E-PACIFIC CYCLONE. A MINOR INFLECTION IN
THIS DRY SLOT STRUCTURE APPEARS TO BE APPROACHING THE MUTUAL
INTERSECTION POINT OF THE WA/ORE/ID BORDERS...AND IS PRECEDED BY A
LOBE OF ASCENT. THIS ASCENT IS SERVING TO STEEPEN MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES. AND...WITH SFC DEWPOINTS HAVING MIXED OUT THROUGH THE 40S IN
MANY LOCATIONS BENEATH A PLUME OF MODEST MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
SUPPORTING PW VALUES AROUND 0.8-1.0 INCH PER GPS DATA...SFC-BASED
BUOYANCY CONTINUES TO INCREASE. MLCAPE VALUES ARE APPROXIMATED TO BE
AROUND 300-1200 J/KG ACROSS THE AREA.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS RECENT AGITATION TO CUMULUS
CONGESTUS FIELDS WITHIN THE OVERLAPPING CORRIDOR OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED PW VALUES AND MID-LEVEL ASCENT...AIDED BY LIFT
PROVIDED BY DIURNALLY DEEPENING/STRENGTHENING OROGRAPHIC
CIRCULATIONS. SUCH CIRCULATIONS ARE ALSO SUPPORTING CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT DOWNSTREAM OF STRONGER...LARGER-SCALE AGEOSTROPHIC
CIRCULATIONS ACCOMPANYING THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH -- I.E. INVOF MORE
ISOLATED MOUNTAINS IN CNTRL MONTANA INCLUDING THE LITTLE BELT
MOUNTAINS SE OF GREAT FALLS.

VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS
FROM THIS CUMULUS AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE
AFOREMENTIONED BUOYANCY...COMBINED WITH AROUND 30-40 KT OF EFFECTIVE
DEEP SHEAR...MAY CONDITIONALLY SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STORM
STRUCTURES/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS. MARGINALLY SVR HAIL/WIND CANNOT BE
RULED OUT WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS...WITH SFC WIND GUSTS BEING
ENHANCED BY LARGE SFC TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT SPREADS AROUND 30-40F
ACCOMPANYING DEEP INVERTED-VEE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES. HOWEVER...THE
LACK OF RICHER TROPOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND/OR EVEN STRONGER DEEP
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE COVERAGE/INTENSITY OF DEEP
CONVECTION.

..COHEN/KERR.. 08/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BYZ...GGW...TFX...MSO...BOI...OTX...PDT...

LAT...LON 44811860 45261841 45991724 46821536 48011233 48591023
48570872 47900783 46920836 46171048 44821604 44441802
44811860

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171956
SWODY1
SPC AC 171954

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0254 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

VALID 172000Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS...
TRENDS IN AFTERNOON RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY AND LIGHTNING DATA
INDICATED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS STATES AND GREAT BASIN WITHIN A MOISTURE PLUME AND FORCING
FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO ONE OR TWO MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. WHILE
WEAK BULK SHEAR WILL LIMIT STORM ORGANIZATION/SUSTENANCE AND HIGHER
SEVERE PROBABILITIES...FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMICS WILL SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR A FEW STORMS TO PRODUCE STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND/OR
SOME HAIL. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS...REFER TO SPC MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 1733.

...SRN HIGH PLAINS...
SIMILAR TO FRIDAY...TSTM DEVELOPMENT HAS BEEN CONFINED TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN /SANGRE DE CRISTO MTNS AND SACRAMENTO MTNS/ OF ERN NM AND
ADJACENT PART OF CO. THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND EXTENDING EWD INTO
THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS HAS BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 30-40 KT EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING. THESE
FACTORS WOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN STORM ORGANIZATION/INTENSITY
WITH ACTIVITY THAT IS ABLE TO MOVE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

...NRN ROCKIES INTO NRN PLAINS AND CENTRAL/ERN GULF COAST...
THE FORECAST FOR THESE REGIONS REMAINS ON TRACK WITH NO CHANGES
NEEDED TO THE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK. REFER TO THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
INCLUDED BELOW FOR DETAILS ABOUT THESE THREE AREAS.

..PETERS.. 08/17/2013

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013/

...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY BELT OF WESTERLIES CONTINUES TO EXTEND IN GENERALLY
ZONAL FASHION NEAR/NORTH OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...WITH A
STRONG MID LATITUDE PACIFIC JET STREAK LIKELY BEGINNING TO NOSE INTO
BRITISH COLUMBIA LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. A NUMBER OF SHORT WAVE
PERTURBATIONS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS REGIME...INCLUDING ONE WHICH
APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF CONTRIBUTING TO FLATTENING OF THE
CREST OF AN UPPER RIDGE...ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS...THAT
EXTENDS NORTH OF A SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLATEAU. BETWEEN THIS LATTER FEATURE AND ANOTHER SUBTROPICAL
HIGH...OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...A CLOSED LOW HAS
DEVELOPED...AND IS FORECAST TO LINGER...ACROSS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI/LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGION. ALONG AND AHEAD OF A TROUGH
AXIS TRAILING TO THE SOUTH...THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AN
INCREASINGLY SHEARED MID-LEVEL PERTURBATION MAY MIGRATE NORTHWARD
INTO CENTRAL GULF COASTAL AREAS BY 12Z SUNDAY.

IN RESPONSE TO RECENT AND FORECAST UPPER DEVELOPMENTS...SEASONABLY
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR HAS BECOME CONFINED TO A STALLED FRONTAL
ZONE NEAR CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...ALTHOUGH A RETURN OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS OCCURRING ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED
WITH VERY WARM AND CAPPING ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR HAVE STEEPENED
IN A PLUME ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA. THIS MAY BE SHUNTED SOUTHWARD A BIT TODAY...WHILE ALSO
CONTINUING TO ADVECT EASTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WITH SIMILARLY WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR ALSO ADVANCING
MUCH MORE SLOWLY EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO NORTHERN PLAINS...
MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG/EAST OF A LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS
THE WESTERN/CENTRAL DAKOTAS INTO SASKATCHEWAN AND MANITOBA MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIZABLE CAPE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
THIS ENVIRONMENT...HOWEVER...PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER...LIKELY WILL REMAIN CAPPED INTO EARLY EVENING BY THE VERY
WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR. STORM INITIATION APPEARS MOST LIKELY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MONTANA...PERHAPS AIDED BY A WEAK
IMPULSE ROUNDING THE CREST OF THE FLATTENING RIDGE. DESPITE WEAKER
INSTABILITY...DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY STILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH AT LEAST LOW POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WIND AND
HAIL AS THEY PROPAGATE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA. LATER THIS EVENING...AN INCREASE IN FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
WEAKENING INHIBITION AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA...POSSIBLY SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. IF THIS OCCURS...THE ENVIRONMENT PROBABLY
WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND PERHAPS AN UPSCALE GROWING
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WIND/HAIL.

...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST...
AT LEAST SOME STRENGTHENING IN LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS
APPEARS POSSIBLE BY LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT SHEAR...IN THE PRESENCE OF SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT AIR...TO SUPPORT LOW SEVERE WIND/TORNADO PROBABILITIES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANTICIPATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

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MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1733

ACUS11 KWNS 171910
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 171909
NMZ000-AZZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-172115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1733
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0209 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...AZ...NV...UT...NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 171909Z - 172115Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
ACROSS A LARGE AREA OF THE GREAT BASIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
CELLS COULD PRODUCE HAIL AND LOCALLY GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS. LACK OF
GREATER STORM ORGANIZATION SHOULD PRECLUDE WATCH ISSUANCE.

DISCUSSION...RELATIVELY STRONG BUOYANCY HAS DEVELOPED WITH HEATING
OF THE DAY FROM NRN AZ/WRN NM NWD ACROSS MUCH OF UT GIVEN VERY STEEP
LAPSE RATES IN EXCESS OF 9C/KM AND PLUME OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE /PW
VALUES NEARING 1 INCH/ ENTRAINED WITHIN MID-LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ACROSS
THE REGION. A WEAK DISTURBANCE TRANSLATING NNEWD ALONG THE WRN FLANK
OF THE MID/UPPER RIDGE AND TERRAIN/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING EFFECTS WERE
LIKELY AIDING IN SOME OF THE MORE ROBUST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVER
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. WHILE EFFECTIVE SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA IS
FORECAST TO REMAIN MARGINAL FOR GREATER ORGANIZATION...THERE APPEARS
TO BE SUFFICIENTLY STRONG UPPER FLOW TO AID IN MASS EVACUATION AT OR
NEAR ANVIL LEVEL. FGZ SOUNDING ADJUSTED FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS WOULD
SUPPORT HAILSTONE SIZE UP TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER. FURTHERMORE...AS
STORMS SPREAD ACROSS HEATED/MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...WHERE SFC T/TD
SPREADS ARE IN EXCESS OF 30-40F IN SOME AREAS...THE THREAT FOR
ISOLATED STRONG TO DAMAGING AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE.

THE CHAOTIC/RANDOM NATURE OF THE CONVECTION...AND THE LIKELIHOOD
THAT STRONGEST CELLS ARE PRONE TO HAVE RELATIVELY SHORT LIFETIMES
GIVEN LACK OF STRONG SHEAR AND FORCING...SHOULD PRECLUDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A WATCH OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

..CARBIN/KERR.. 08/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...GJT...TWC...FGZ...SLC...VEF...LKN...

LAT...LON 38291000 37640955 36070862 33610890 34591239 35621377
36691389 37431445 37551500 37961551 38601552 39591503
40081439 40371313 40251243 40141144 38291000

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KTBW [171853]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTBW 171853
LSRTBW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
253 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0355 AM TSTM WND DMG ENE FANNING SPRINGS 29.58N 82.92W
08/17/2013 LEVY FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN IN FRONT OF HOME. TIME ESTIMATED BY
RADAR.


&&

$$

MML

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KMLB [171839]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KMLB 171839
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
239 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM TSTM WND GST OKEECHOBEE 27.24N 80.83W
08/17/2013 M41 MPH OKEECHOBEE FL AWOS

THE OKEECHOBEE AIRPORT AWOS, KOBE, RECORDED A 36-KNOT OR
41-MPH WIND GUST AT APPROXIMATELY 220PM LOCAL.


&&

$$

ULRICH

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KTAE [171803]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 171803
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
202 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0120 PM FLOOD 1 S LYNN HAVEN 30.22N 85.65W
08/17/2013 BAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER APPROACHING HOMES NEAR HWY 77 AND 24TH STREET.

0120 PM FLOOD 2 E LYNN HAVEN 30.24N 85.62W
08/17/2013 BAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER APPROACHING HOMES ON DERBY WOODS DR.

0100 PM FLOOD 1 N VICKSBURG 30.34N 85.66W
08/17/2013 BAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

ROAD CLOSED DUE TO WATER OVER ROAD AT CR 388 AND SR 77.

0130 PM FLOOD 2 WNW CALLAWAY 30.15N 85.62W
08/17/2013 BAY FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WATER OVER THE ROAD AT 2ND ST AND HWY 98.

0140 PM FLOOD 5 WNW CALLAWAY 30.17N 85.65W
08/17/2013 BAY FL PUBLIC

KNEE DEEP WATER OVER ROAD AT FRANK NELSON AND MERCEDEZ.


&&

$$

MOORE

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DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS02 KWNS 171730
SWODY2
SPC AC 171728

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 PM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

VALID 181200Z - 191200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PART OF CENTRAL/ERN ND
INTO NWRN MN...

...NRN PLAINS TO NWRN MN...
A WEAK MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TO NRN
ROCKIES DURING DAY 1 WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE...YET STILL WEAK...ON
DAY 2 WITH THIS FEATURE LIKELY REACHING CENTRAL/ERN ND LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH ANALYZED THIS
MORNING OVER ERN MT WILL ADVANCE EWD FROM CENTRAL ND ON SUNDAY...AND
SHOULD EXTEND FROM NWRN MN THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL ND TO WRN SD AND
SERN WY BY 19/00Z. SLY LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE CENTRAL/NRN PLAINS
TODAY INTO DAY 2 WILL SUPPORT MOISTURE RETURN WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS
INTO THE MID 60S REACHING LOCATIONS E OF THE SURFACE TROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS...COMBINED WITH A PLUME OF STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE
RATES /7.5-8.5 C PER KM/ SPREADING EWD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TO NRN
MN...AND SURFACE HEATING WILL RESULT IN MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE
TO AROUND 2000 J PER KG/. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW MUCH OF THIS
REGION WILL BE CAPPED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...BY LATE
AFTERNOON OR TOWARD 19/00Z...FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE SURFACE
WIND SHIFT AND WITH DPVA SPREADING EWD WITH THE MIDLEVEL TROUGH
SHOULD PROVE SUFFICIENT IN WEAKENING THE INHIBITION FOR SURFACE
BASED STORMS. 40 KT WLY MIDLEVEL WINDS ATOP 20-25 KT SWLY FLOW WILL
RESULT IN 25-35 KT OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
FOR BOTH MULTICELL AND SUPERCELL STORM MODES...WITH HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EWD INTO
NWRN MN DURING THE EVENING.

...WRN-NWRN GULF COAST...
LATE DAY 1 TO THE FIRST SEVERAL HOURS OF DAY 2 /SUNDAY MORNING/ HAS
THE POTENTIAL FOR A LOW SEVERE WIND/TORNADO THREAT ALONG THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST...WITHIN A CORRIDOR OF CONVECTION ALONG A FRONTAL ZONE
EXTENDING NEWD THROUGH FAR SERN LA/SERN MS/SWRN AL AND THE WRN FL
PANHANDLE. A LOW SEVERE PROBABILITY HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FOR MAINLY
THE 12-18Z PERIOD OF THE DAY 2.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE TRACK OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
ON SUNDAY FROM ITS CURRENT LOCATION OVER THE SWRN GULF OF MEXICO. AN
INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL WINDS AND SHEAR SHOULD OCCUR ALONG THE ERN-NRN
PERIPHERIES OF THIS LOW WHICH WOULD ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOW
SEVERE WIND AND/OR A TORNADO THREAT. ONCE THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMES MORE CERTAIN...THEN PARTS OF THE LA AND/OR TX COASTS MAY
NEED TO HAVE SEVERE PROBABILITIES INTRODUCED FOR LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

..PETERS.. 08/17/2013

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KTAE [171652]: Preliminary Local Storm Report

NWUS52 KTAE 171652
LSRTAE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1251 PM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1220 PM FLOOD LYNN HAVEN 30.24N 85.65W
08/17/2013 BAY FL 911 CALL CENTER

WATER OVER THE ROAD ON HWY 77 IN LYNN HAVEN.

1220 PM FLOOD 5 WSW PANAMA CITY AIRPO 30.14N 85.75W
08/17/2013 BAY FL 911 CALL CENTER

WATER OVER ROAD ON THOMAS DR NEAR TREASURE CIR.


&&

$$

MOORE

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DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 171631
SWODY1
SPC AC 171629

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1129 AM CDT SAT AUG 17 2013

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
THE PRIMARY BELT OF WESTERLIES CONTINUES TO EXTEND IN GENERALLY
ZONAL FASHION NEAR/NORTH OF THE CANADIAN/U.S. BORDER AREA...WITH A
STRONG MID LATITUDE PACIFIC JET STREAK LIKELY BEGINNING TO NOSE INTO
BRITISH COLUMBIA LATER TODAY/TONIGHT. A NUMBER OF SHORT WAVE
PERTURBATIONS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS REGIME...INCLUDING ONE WHICH
APPEARS TO BE IN THE PROCESS OF CONTRIBUTING TO FLATTENING OF THE
CREST OF AN UPPER RIDGE...ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES/PLAINS...THAT
EXTENDS NORTH OF A SUBTROPICAL HIGH CENTER OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLATEAU. BETWEEN THIS LATTER FEATURE AND ANOTHER SUBTROPICAL
HIGH...OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC...A CLOSED LOW HAS
DEVELOPED...AND IS FORECAST TO LINGER...ACROSS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI/LOWER OHIO VALLEY REGION. ALONG AND AHEAD OF A TROUGH
AXIS TRAILING TO THE SOUTH...THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...AN
INCREASINGLY SHEARED MID-LEVEL PERTURBATION MAY MIGRATE NORTHWARD
INTO CENTRAL GULF COASTAL AREAS BY 12Z SUNDAY.

IN RESPONSE TO RECENT AND FORECAST UPPER DEVELOPMENTS...SEASONABLY
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR HAS BECOME CONFINED TO A STALLED FRONTAL
ZONE NEAR CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF AND SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...ALTHOUGH A RETURN OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS OCCURRING ACROSS
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU. MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ASSOCIATED
WITH VERY WARM AND CAPPING ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR HAVE STEEPENED
IN A PLUME ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO SASKATCHEWAN AND
MANITOBA. THIS MAY BE SHUNTED SOUTHWARD A BIT TODAY...WHILE ALSO
CONTINUING TO ADVECT EASTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...WITH SIMILARLY WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR ALSO ADVANCING
MUCH MORE SLOWLY EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.

...NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO NORTHERN PLAINS...
MODEST LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG/EAST OF A LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS
THE WESTERN/CENTRAL DAKOTAS INTO SASKATCHEWAN AND MANITOBA MAY BE
SUFFICIENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SIZABLE CAPE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
THIS ENVIRONMENT...HOWEVER...PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER...LIKELY WILL REMAIN CAPPED INTO EARLY EVENING BY THE VERY
WARM ELEVATED MIXED LAYER AIR. STORM INITIATION APPEARS MOST LIKELY
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MONTANA...PERHAPS AIDED BY A WEAK
IMPULSE ROUNDING THE CREST OF THE FLATTENING RIDGE. DESPITE WEAKER
INSTABILITY...DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY STILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH AT LEAST LOW POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WIND AND
HAIL AS THEY PROPAGATE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
MONTANA. LATER THIS EVENING...AN INCREASE IN FORCING ASSOCIATED
WITH LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION MAY CONTRIBUTE TO
WEAKENING INHIBITION AND CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR THE
INTERNATIONAL BORDER AREA...POSSIBLY SOUTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
NORTHERN NORTH DAKOTA. IF THIS OCCURS...THE ENVIRONMENT PROBABLY
WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND PERHAPS AN UPSCALE GROWING
CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WIND/HAIL.

...CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF COAST...
AT LEAST SOME STRENGTHENING IN LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS
APPEARS POSSIBLE BY LATE TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THAT THIS COULD CONTRIBUTE
TO SUFFICIENT SHEAR...IN THE PRESENCE OF SEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE
CONTENT AIR...TO SUPPORT LOW SEVERE WIND/TORNADO PROBABILITIES IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANTICIPATED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.

..KERR/COHEN.. 08/17/2013

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